Latest / Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar / 2/26/26: Trump Wants Israel To Start Iran War, Cuba Shoots 4 Invaders, AI Pushes Nuclear War
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Hey, guys, Saga and Crystal here.
- 0:01Speaker 2: Independent media just played a truly massive role in this election,
- 0:05Speaker 2: and we are so excited about what that means for
- 0:07Speaker 2: the future of the show.
- 0:08Speaker 1: This is the only place where you can find honest
- 0:10Speaker 1: perspectives from the left and the right that simply does
- 0:13Speaker 1: not exist anywhere else.
- 0:14Speaker 2: So if that is something that's important to you, please
- 0:17Speaker 2: go to Breakingpoints dot com. Become a member today and
- 0:19Speaker 2: you'll get access to our full shows, unedited, ad free,
- 0:22Speaker 2: and all put together for you every morning in your inbox.
- 0:25Speaker 1: We need your help to build the future of independent
- 0:27Speaker 1: news media and we hope to see you at Breakingpoints
- 0:29Speaker 1: dot com.
- 0:33Speaker 2: Good morning, everybody, Happy Thursday, and more importantly, happy comedy takeover. Ryan.
- 0:38Speaker 2: Great to see you.
- 0:38Speaker 3: Thanks, all right, we got it.
- 0:40Speaker 2: How you doing doing good? Lots to get to this morning.
- 0:44Speaker 2: We've got theoretically anyway, diplomacy happening in Geneva on the
- 0:49Speaker 2: Aran front, so we'll dig into that. We've got some
- 0:51Speaker 2: weird things developing with regard to Cuba. I'm hoping you
- 0:54Speaker 2: can explain that to me. We have AI pushing for
- 0:57Speaker 2: nuclear war, so definitely keeping our eye on that one
- 1:00Speaker 2: as well. Hillary Clinton is testifying with regards to the
- 1:03Speaker 2: Epstein files today, and there have been some there's been
- 1:07Speaker 2: some new fallout there, Bill Gates admitting to two affairs
- 1:10Speaker 2: with Russian women, Larry Summers out at Harvard completely. Ryan
- 1:14Speaker 2: and I are also going to do a deep dive
- 1:16Speaker 2: into the Save America Act that the Republicans are pushing
- 1:20Speaker 2: hard and look at the Maha moms who are abandoning
- 1:24Speaker 2: the Trump Mega movement and feeling betrayed. This comes as
- 1:27Speaker 2: Casey Means testified she's trying to win support to become
- 1:30Speaker 2: Surgeon General of the United States. And then Ryan's going
- 1:32Speaker 2: to be doing some heavy lifting. He's going to talk
- 1:34Speaker 2: to David Hogg and David Dan We've got dueling. David's
- 1:37Speaker 2: coming in to talk about some Democratic Party interesting fights
- 1:40Speaker 2: and dark money that's moving around there as well. And
- 1:43Speaker 2: he also recorded an interview with Nita Alum, who is
- 1:47Speaker 2: part of that dark money you know situation. She's having
- 1:50Speaker 2: a bunch of money spent against her. Ryan, just give
- 1:53Speaker 2: a little preview of that one and what's going on
- 1:55Speaker 2: why her race in particular is so interesting.
- 1:57Speaker 4: Yeah, her election is this coming Tuesday in North Carolina
- 2:00Speaker 4: and it's a rematch from twenty twenty two where she
- 2:03Speaker 4: lost by about nine points to this candidate, Valerie Fushi,
- 2:06Speaker 4: who's now the incumbent, but APAC had to spend more
- 2:10Speaker 4: than two million dollars beating her. Then she's now a
- 2:13Speaker 4: county commissioner. It looked like Nida was going to beat
- 2:17Speaker 4: her fairly easily going into this rematch because she's out,
- 2:21Speaker 4: she's outraised Fushi, and the district was redrawn a little
- 2:26Speaker 4: bit to make it even more progressive. Fushi had even
- 2:29Speaker 4: though she got all this a PAC money, she started
- 2:30Speaker 4: criticizing a pack, so APAC wasn't spending for her. All
- 2:34Speaker 4: of a sudden in the last like ten days of
- 2:35Speaker 4: the race, millions of dollars of AI money. And also
- 2:40Speaker 4: what we can report today is a PAC money is
- 2:42Speaker 4: flooding into the district. This comes after value Fushi said
- 2:46Speaker 4: she would not take.
- 2:47Speaker 3: Any a PAC money.
- 2:48Speaker 4: But they found they found a new kind of secret
- 2:51Speaker 4: vehicle to move it into the district. See we're going
- 2:54Speaker 4: we'll keep that as a teaser. You got to stick
- 2:56Speaker 4: around and find out how they did this.
- 2:58Speaker 2: Yeah, and you definitely will want to know because it's
- 3:02Speaker 2: very consequential how they are doing this, and says a
- 3:05Speaker 2: lot about the Democratic Party. I'll just leave it at that. Guys,
- 3:10Speaker 2: As you know, we've been having all kinds of segments demonetize,
- 3:13Speaker 2: but fortunately because of your support, we don't have to
- 3:15Speaker 2: care if you're able to become a premium subscriber breakingpoints
- 3:18Speaker 2: dot com to continue to support the work that we do.
- 3:21Speaker 2: You know, when we're covering war, when we're covering the
- 3:23Speaker 2: Epstein files, all of these things can be very tricky
- 3:26Speaker 2: from a YouTube perspective, but as I said before, we
- 3:29Speaker 2: don't really have to worry about that too much because
- 3:31Speaker 2: of the great support you guys have shown. All Right,
- 3:33Speaker 2: with that, let's go ahead and get into questions of
- 3:35Speaker 2: war and peace. As I said before, there is at
- 3:38Speaker 2: least theoretical diplomacy going on in Geneva today. Steve Witkoff
- 3:42Speaker 2: and Jared Kushner are there. Oman is the intermediary. They
- 3:46Speaker 2: are supposed to be meeting with the Iranians and trying
- 3:48Speaker 2: to strike some sort of a deal. I think it
- 3:51Speaker 2: is an open question all around how serious this administration
- 3:54Speaker 2: is about that diplomacy, but at least theoretically there could
- 3:58Speaker 2: be some kind of an off ramp. We're all reading
- 4:00Speaker 2: the tea leaves here from various administration officials about how
- 4:03Speaker 2: they are currently thinking about whether or not we will
- 4:06Speaker 2: be going to war with Iran. So let's go ahead
- 4:08Speaker 2: and take a listen to the Vice President of the
- 4:10Speaker 2: United States, JD. Vance on the threat that Iron postes.
- 4:13Speaker 5: Iran cannot have a nuclear weapon. If they try to
- 4:16Speaker 5: rebuild the nuclear weapon, that causes problems for US, And
- 4:19Speaker 5: in fact, we've seen evidence that.
- 4:20Speaker 3: They have tried to do exactly that.
- 4:22Speaker 5: So the President sending those negotiators to try to address
- 4:25Speaker 5: that problem. As the President has said repeatedly, he wants
- 4:28Speaker 5: to address that problem diplomatically, but of course the President
- 4:31Speaker 5: has other options as well.
- 4:33Speaker 2: Ryan, anything significant that you glean from those comments.
- 4:37Speaker 4: Just that they've kind of lost even the pretense of
- 4:40Speaker 4: having any respect for the public. You know, in June
- 4:44Speaker 4: they said they completely obliterated the nuclear program, but a
- 4:47Speaker 4: week ago Whitkapf went on TV and said that, you know,
- 4:50Speaker 4: they're now weeks away from a bomb.
- 4:53Speaker 3: It's like, and now.
- 4:54Speaker 4: Jade Vance is saying, well, Okay, yes we obliterated it,
- 4:59Speaker 4: and yes there's no instead they're doing any enrichment or
- 5:03Speaker 4: moving towards the bomb. But we have evidence that they're
- 5:05Speaker 4: thinking about it. It's like, what like stop, but but
- 5:11Speaker 4: now here I am being a hypocrite because I had
- 5:13Speaker 4: said that I didn't like the fact that they weren't
- 5:15Speaker 4: even trying to lie us into war. So at least
- 5:17Speaker 4: now they're trying to lie us into war. So yes,
- 5:20Speaker 4: I apologize. It's something, it's something.
- 5:23Speaker 2: At least it's a low bar. It's a pretty low bar're.
- 5:26Speaker 4: At least lying to us. Finally, before they were just like,
- 5:28Speaker 4: we're going to do it.
- 5:29Speaker 2: About we don't really care what you think, Like, we're
- 5:31Speaker 2: not even we're going to make up a variety. We
- 5:34Speaker 2: really care about the Iranian protesters, Okay, sure, yeah, and
- 5:38Speaker 2: real great beacons of human rights here from this administration,
- 5:41Speaker 2: deep concern for those sorts of principles and values. Marco
- 5:44Speaker 2: Rubio kind of sounding similar notes about, you know, how
- 5:47Speaker 2: Iran represents some grave threat to the American public. No
- 5:51Speaker 2: one serious would agree with that whatsoever. But in any case,
- 5:55Speaker 2: here's the Secretary of State, who's supposed to be a
- 5:57Speaker 2: serious person saying exactly that. Let's take a listen.
- 5:59Speaker 6: I think tomorrow Steve and Jarrett will be there. I
- 6:01Speaker 6: think they're on their way there now. Actually, and the
- 6:03Speaker 6: President was very clear last night that he always prefers
- 6:06Speaker 6: to plumbing. After their nuclear program was obliterated, they were
- 6:10Speaker 6: told not to try to restart it, and here they are.
- 6:12Speaker 6: You can see them always trying to rebuild elements of it.
- 6:15Speaker 6: They're not enriching right now, but they're trying to get
- 6:17Speaker 6: to the point where they ultimately can. The other thing
- 6:19Speaker 6: I would point you to, however, is that Iran possesses
- 6:23Speaker 6: a very large number of ballistic missiles, particularly short range
- 6:26Speaker 6: ballistic missiles that threaten the United States and our bases
- 6:30Speaker 6: in the region and our partners in the region, and
- 6:33Speaker 6: all of our basses in the UAE and Qatar in Bahrain.
- 6:37Speaker 6: And they also possess naval assets that threaten shipping and
- 6:42Speaker 6: try to threaten the US Navy. So I want to
- 6:44Speaker 6: be understand that. And beyond just a nuclear program, they
- 6:47Speaker 6: possess these conventional weapons that are solely designed to attack
- 6:52Speaker 6: America and attack Americans if they so choose to do so.
- 6:56Speaker 2: And that language right there, Ryan is really terrible because
- 6:59Speaker 2: now he's using not only you know, okay, So if
- 7:02Speaker 2: if the focus was really on nuclear weapons, there's a
- 7:06Speaker 2: deal that could be done. We know that because there
- 7:08Speaker 2: already was a deal that was done previously that we
- 7:11Speaker 2: walked away from, So that would be extremely doable. But
- 7:15Speaker 2: when you start throwing these other things into the mix.
- 7:17Speaker 2: Oh and by the way, they have ballistic missiles. This
- 7:19Speaker 2: is the first time I've heard this one. By the way,
- 7:21Speaker 2: they have naval assets of ships. What they're they're not
- 7:24Speaker 2: allowed to have any of that. I mean, no sane
- 7:26Speaker 2: government would give up all of their ability to defend
- 7:30Speaker 2: themselves in any situation, let alone when they have this
- 7:34Speaker 2: rogue nuclear power, superpower backed regime in the region that
- 7:38Speaker 2: is constantly trying to destroy them. So it's when you
- 7:41Speaker 2: start hearing that language that it becomes very dispiriting and
- 7:45Speaker 2: hard to imagine how we avoid some sort of conflict.
- 7:48Speaker 4: It's like they have these magical devices that float on
- 7:51Speaker 4: top of water and we just can't. We can't allow this,
- 7:54Speaker 4: We can't can't have this. They're threatening shit, they're threatening ships.
- 7:57Speaker 4: Now the irony there is that clearly he understands the
- 8:02Speaker 4: politics and in his mind he's saying, they have these
- 8:04Speaker 4: ballistic missiles that can threaten Israel, Like that's what he's
- 8:07Speaker 4: saying in his mind.
- 8:08Speaker 2: Yeah, our partners in the region that's Israel.
- 8:11Speaker 3: But then he doesn't go there.
- 8:12Speaker 4: He says, right, he leads with our bases, our American bases. Well,
- 8:16Speaker 4: a couple of things. One, why do we have American
- 8:19Speaker 4: bases all over the world? And does that mean, like
- 8:22Speaker 4: so if we put it an American base near a country,
- 8:24Speaker 4: that country has to disarm itself. That's kind of an
- 8:26Speaker 4: amusing kind of proposition for the world.
- 8:29Speaker 2: But they probably think about it that way.
- 8:30Speaker 4: But yeah, but the restrictions that it particularly Israel is
- 8:34Speaker 4: pushing for and that we are advocating for as a
- 8:38Speaker 4: result of that, would still allow them.
- 8:40Speaker 3: To hit American bases.
- 8:42Speaker 4: Like what we are doing is we're saying, we want
- 8:45Speaker 4: your ballistic missile restrictions such that you cannot attack Israel,
- 8:48Speaker 4: but our basin cutters right by Iran, the other bases
- 8:52Speaker 4: in Iraq, et cetera very much closer to Iran, And
- 8:56Speaker 4: so the deal that Israel is pushing on them would
- 9:00Speaker 4: still allow Iranian ballistic missiles to hit American basis, which
- 9:05Speaker 4: is I mean, just unpack that in your mind for
- 9:08Speaker 4: a second. It's incredible. Not that anybody is remotely confused
- 9:13Speaker 4: about this anymore, but if they are just just kind
- 9:15Speaker 4: of sit with that one for a second.
- 9:17Speaker 2: I do want to say I was listening to John
- 9:20Speaker 2: Mierscheimer this morning in an interview with Glenn Deson, and
- 9:23Speaker 2: he actually was somewhat optimistic based on Trump's comments in
- 9:27Speaker 2: the State of the Union because he didn't talk about,
- 9:30Speaker 2: oh my god, the naval assets and the ballistic missiles,
- 9:33Speaker 2: et cetera. He more or less confined his remarks to
- 9:36Speaker 2: just nuclear weapons, and so he thought there was a
- 9:39Speaker 2: possibility that maybe they would find some sort of a
- 9:41Speaker 2: face saving compromise and walk away from this thing because
- 9:45Speaker 2: the problem, I mean, the problems are abundant. The politically,
- 9:48Speaker 2: it's a disaster, and they seem to know that, in fact,
- 9:50Speaker 2: this is insane. We can put a three up on
- 9:53Speaker 2: the screen. Somebody is leaking to Politico that they believe
- 9:57Speaker 2: the politics are better if Israel strikes iron first. And
- 10:00Speaker 2: here's the logic, which is the most cynical thing you
- 10:04Speaker 2: can possibly imagine. They're like, all right, well, if Israel
- 10:07Speaker 2: hits Iran, Iran is likely to strike back and hit us,
- 10:12Speaker 2: and then maybe the American people can be more cajoled
- 10:16Speaker 2: and more persuaded to directly attack Iran so effectively They're like,
- 10:21Speaker 2: we want to jeopardize the lives and the safety of
- 10:24Speaker 2: some American service members in the region in service of
- 10:28Speaker 2: persuading the American public that we have to go to war.
- 10:31Speaker 2: But you know, to go back to my point about
- 10:34Speaker 2: the argument, which I'm not sure I really buy, but
- 10:36Speaker 2: I want to lay out there the argument that they
- 10:38Speaker 2: may actually walk away from this thing, that we may see,
- 10:40Speaker 2: you know, a much welcome and desired taco on this situation.
- 10:44Speaker 2: Is I perceive that this leak, because it is such
- 10:48Speaker 2: a sort of gross reasoning, must be coming from someone
- 10:51Speaker 2: inside the administration who does not want this thing to
- 10:54Speaker 2: go forward. We also know that General Kanan others on
- 10:58Speaker 2: the military side have been worn, Hey, we really don't
- 11:01Speaker 2: have great military options here. We're already significantly depleted. Even
- 11:06Speaker 2: with this vast armada that we've amassed in the region,
- 11:09Speaker 2: We've only got maybe like seven to ten days of firepower.
- 11:12Speaker 2: The Iranians are going to hit back hard. It's not
- 11:15Speaker 2: going to be a little, you know, choreographed return strike
- 11:19Speaker 2: the way that it has been in previous in previous instances.
- 11:24Speaker 2: And by the way, what are you even really trying
- 11:27Speaker 2: to accomplish, Because this is very unlikely to accomplish any
- 11:31Speaker 2: of your purported aims. So Trump, you know, I think
- 11:36Speaker 2: one thing you can say about him is he has
- 11:38Speaker 2: learned one lesson from Iraq, which is not like, don't
- 11:40Speaker 2: go and throw your weight around the world, but it's like,
- 11:43Speaker 2: don't get dragged in boots on the ground to these long,
- 11:46Speaker 2: forever wars. And so perhaps he's nervous. Perhaps he's nervous
- 11:50Speaker 2: that this could in fact spiral into something that is
- 11:54Speaker 2: more out of control and does not allow him to
- 11:58Speaker 2: declare some quick and easy victory the way that he
- 12:01Speaker 2: likes to do. I mean, that is his preferred option
- 12:04Speaker 2: for how to use the military, and there isn't a great,
- 12:08Speaker 2: you know, tactical path to him accomplishing the you know,
- 12:12Speaker 2: spectacular military victory mission accomplished moment.
- 12:16Speaker 3: Yeah, And I think that's right. I think that is
- 12:18Speaker 3: what he's thinking.
- 12:18Speaker 4: Jeremy it over drops that reported that you know, he's
- 12:21Speaker 4: been saying privately and in over office meetings and meetings
- 12:24Speaker 4: with his intelligence community advisors that yes, like he very
- 12:28Speaker 4: much wants to do this and wants to be the
- 12:29Speaker 4: guy that does this, but he keeps asking like, what
- 12:32Speaker 4: what kind of chaos is it going to produce when
- 12:34Speaker 4: will it die down? Will it still be going by
- 12:37Speaker 4: the midterms. That's a key question that that he has
- 12:40Speaker 4: and so far, h he hasn't, as far as we
- 12:43Speaker 4: can tell, gotten a satisfactory answer of like, Okay, we're
- 12:46Speaker 4: gonna completely empty the clip on Iran and we're going
- 12:52Speaker 4: to you know, break the back of the regime, uh
- 12:56Speaker 4: and not and they won't they won't be able to
- 12:58Speaker 4: govern the place anymore. And then we'll make and who
- 13:01Speaker 4: knows what comes next. And so he's like, well, what
- 13:03Speaker 4: comes next and what does that look like? And so
- 13:06Speaker 4: far he hasn't gotten anything that because he you know,
- 13:09Speaker 4: previously he's been asking a lot, you know, about Libya,
- 13:12Speaker 4: Like he's he uses Libya as an example of something
- 13:15Speaker 4: that went wrong and he doesn't want a Libya situation.
- 13:18Speaker 4: And that's very hard for kind of US policymakers because
- 13:22Speaker 4: they're like, you think Libya is bad, weird because like
- 13:26Speaker 4: Trump in that sense is more of a normal person,
- 13:29Speaker 4: because Libya is bad, like it's terrible, it's a it's
- 13:31Speaker 4: a failed state. You know, many hundreds of thousands of
- 13:34Speaker 4: people you know, suffering killed. He sees that as a
- 13:38Speaker 4: negative for American policymakers. They're like, well, now that peace
- 13:42Speaker 4: has been taken off the chessboard, they're no longer a threat,
- 13:46Speaker 4: you know, to Israel.
- 13:47Speaker 3: They are cut off.
- 13:48Speaker 4: He is no longer in power, So who cares, like
- 13:49Speaker 4: what's going on now? And so that that has presented
- 13:53Speaker 4: a bit of an analytical problem for kind of his
- 13:57Speaker 4: his advisors, because they're like, oh, so he want but
- 14:00Speaker 4: he doesn't want to do nation building, but he doesn't
- 14:02Speaker 4: want them to be chaos, but he wants to regime gone. Hmmm,
- 14:06Speaker 4: like what's what's left here? And so so I think
- 14:10Speaker 4: what he ends up deciding to do here will be
- 14:13Speaker 4: will suggest whether or not he's actually calling the shots,
- 14:15Speaker 4: because I think if he could, like he doesn't. He
- 14:18Speaker 4: sees this as a political you know, albatross or a
- 14:22Speaker 4: real political problem for him if he does this. But
- 14:26Speaker 4: if he does it, it means really he got pressured
- 14:29Speaker 4: into it and he couldn't He couldn't say no, which
- 14:32Speaker 4: is a kind of which I might be where we
- 14:36Speaker 4: wind up. You know, the Iranian he said on his
- 14:39Speaker 4: speech Tuesday night, you know they won't say the magic words,
- 14:42Speaker 4: we will not build a bomb. They said those words.
- 14:45Speaker 4: Today they're meeting in Geneva again today they will reiterate that,
- 14:49Speaker 4: no question about it. They will be very clear, and
- 14:52Speaker 4: they're willing to go further than before, like perhaps in definitely.
- 14:56Speaker 3: Delay in Richmond.
- 14:57Speaker 4: One thing that proposing is like, we will not stockpile
- 15:02Speaker 4: any enriched material. In other words, we have a civilian
- 15:06Speaker 4: nuclear program, so obviously we need to enrich some uranium
- 15:10Speaker 4: so that we can keep the program operational, but we
- 15:13Speaker 4: will only enrich as much as we need. If we
- 15:15Speaker 4: have any extra, we will not store it. That would
- 15:19Speaker 4: be far and away beyond what Carrie and Obama were
- 15:21Speaker 4: able to get out of the Iranians. So that feels
- 15:24Speaker 4: like the kind of thing Trump would.
- 15:25Speaker 3: Like to take. So if he doesn't take it, it
- 15:27Speaker 3: really tells you who's in charge.
- 15:29Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I think another problem here is that
- 15:32Speaker 2: we're not dealing with sophisticated like we are not dealing
- 15:37Speaker 2: with sophisticated experts when it comes to nuclear weapons. In
- 15:41Speaker 2: Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner and Sacer's pointing, the sound
- 15:44Speaker 2: is absolutely true. I mean, under the Obama administration, when
- 15:47Speaker 2: the JCPOA was negotiated, they painstakingly went through this and
- 15:52Speaker 2: you know understood all of the science of it, and
- 15:55Speaker 2: it was extraordinarily detailed, and so there's a risk when
- 15:59Speaker 2: you get people who are non experts involved, who you know,
- 16:02Speaker 2: may not even be able to fully understand the compromises
- 16:06Speaker 2: that Iran is offering and the ways in which it's vastly,
- 16:09Speaker 2: you know, going way further than what Obama was able
- 16:12Speaker 2: to achieve. I wanted to come back to your point
- 16:15Speaker 2: about we're going to learn something about the pressure that
- 16:18Speaker 2: Trump is under and whether or not he's really in
- 16:20Speaker 2: charge or not. I just want to underscore that because
- 16:24Speaker 2: basically the only country that really wants this is Israel,
- 16:29Speaker 2: and so you know how powerful is the lobby, right,
- 16:34Speaker 2: And I think it will also tell us something about
- 16:37Speaker 2: Trump's like what he's implicated in terms of the Epstein files.
- 16:42Speaker 2: You know, I missed this, but about a year ago
- 16:44Speaker 2: there was times of Israel post from like you know,
- 16:48Speaker 2: someone who regularly blogs from them for them, and they
- 16:52Speaker 2: were directly threatening like, oh, you crossed Israel. Guess what
- 16:56Speaker 2: the Epstein files are back at the in the news,
- 16:59Speaker 2: maybe you should learn something about that. It's like, Wow,
- 17:02Speaker 2: that is incredible. I don't know how I missed that
- 17:05Speaker 2: at the time. But for that to just be said
- 17:07Speaker 2: outright in the times of Israel was like, okay, And
- 17:10Speaker 2: so you know, I don't think we should I don't
- 17:13Speaker 2: think we should erase that element of things either, because
- 17:18Speaker 2: you have talked before about the way that the Israelis
- 17:21Speaker 2: used the Monica Lewinsky affair against Clinton to try to
- 17:24Speaker 2: you know, coercive in the context of negotiations previously, like
- 17:27Speaker 2: they're not above it. And from the Israeli perspective, obviously
- 17:31Speaker 2: they want to be the sole power in the region
- 17:34Speaker 2: and be able to throw their weight around. They certainly
- 17:37Speaker 2: want to be the only nuclear power in the region
- 17:40Speaker 2: and are perfectly happy for Iran to be a collapsed,
- 17:43Speaker 2: failed state and all of the you know, chaos and
- 17:46Speaker 2: you know, human tragedy that that would entail. And I
- 17:49Speaker 2: think that they understand they have a limited time to
- 17:51Speaker 2: accomplish this. Both from the perspective of it is true
- 17:54Speaker 2: that the Iranian government is weak right now. You know,
- 17:57Speaker 2: if you're going to do it, they sense an opening,
- 18:00Speaker 2: they sort of smell blood in the water. And then
- 18:02Speaker 2: in addition, they have their own internal demographic weakness. Syl
- 18:06Speaker 2: Benfram was tweeting yesterday about how they're suffering from net
- 18:10Speaker 2: out migration, and most of the people who are leaving
- 18:13Speaker 2: are young, they're more educated. These are like the more
- 18:17Speaker 2: secular U secular, highly educated types that they really depend
- 18:22Speaker 2: on for their military, they really depend on for their
- 18:24Speaker 2: technology sector. And so they've got a massive demographic crisis
- 18:28Speaker 2: because right now the social contract in the country is
- 18:30Speaker 2: effectively that those more secular educated types go to you know,
- 18:37Speaker 2: go to school and work and serve in the military,
- 18:41Speaker 2: and their tax money is what supports this broad social
- 18:44Speaker 2: safety net that the you know, the more orthodox types
- 18:48Speaker 2: who don't want to serve in the military and don't
- 18:51Speaker 2: want to work, that they benefit from. That is also
- 18:54Speaker 2: the group in terms of you know, in terms of
- 18:56Speaker 2: Jews in Israel, that is having the most children, so
- 19:00Speaker 2: you have more and more of the preponderance of the population.
- 19:04Speaker 2: Is that, you know, the type that doesn't work and
- 19:05Speaker 2: doesn't work, no one deserve in the military, So it
- 19:07Speaker 2: doesn't work out like the math doesn't math at a
- 19:09Speaker 2: certain point. And they're very well aware of that. They're
- 19:12Speaker 2: also very well aware of the way that the world
- 19:14Speaker 2: has turned against them in terms of popular opinion. So
- 19:17Speaker 2: they still have a lot of obviously forced they still
- 19:20Speaker 2: have the full throat of backing the United States of
- 19:22Speaker 2: America for now, but they have to be looking at
- 19:25Speaker 2: the way that politics have shifted so dramatically with them
- 19:28Speaker 2: for them within the Democratic Party, and they can't feel
- 19:31Speaker 2: confident that whoever is the next president of the United
- 19:33Speaker 2: States is going to support them in any way whatsoever.
- 19:37Speaker 2: I mean, that's really on the table right now. I
- 19:38Speaker 2: think is going to be a defining issue of the
- 19:40Speaker 2: Democratic primary. So I think that's part of why even
- 19:43Speaker 2: though you know, Israel has their own weaknesses right now,
- 19:46Speaker 2: and Iran figured out how to penetrate some of their defenses,
- 19:49Speaker 2: but I think that's why they are willing to engage
- 19:52Speaker 2: in what is for them also a very risky strategy
- 19:55Speaker 2: of pushing for this war right now at this moment.
- 19:58Speaker 4: Yeah, and so you know, both of us then are
- 20:01Speaker 4: on record this is a this is a critical moment
- 20:04Speaker 4: for Trump to show whether or not he's in charge here.
- 20:07Speaker 4: So if he does not launch another war on Iran,
- 20:13Speaker 4: you and I will both be like, hey, all right,
- 20:15Speaker 4: the man stood up for himself. I'm willing to say
- 20:17Speaker 4: it if he does it. So how's that for a carrot?
- 20:21Speaker 4: As president? Speaking of Trump's wars because of blockade is
- 20:28Speaker 4: an active war.
- 20:29Speaker 3: Let's move on to Cuba.
- 20:31Speaker 4: So yesterday, in a firefight between a speedboat with ten
- 20:37Speaker 4: Cuban nationals from the United States and the Cuban Coast Guard,
- 20:42Speaker 4: four of those Cuban nationals were killed. The rest of
- 20:47Speaker 4: them were captured by the Cubans. The Cuban captain, according
- 20:51Speaker 4: to the Cuban government, was wounded when this speedboat that
- 20:56Speaker 4: was about one nautical mile off the coast of Cuba
- 20:59Speaker 4: opened fire on it.
- 21:00Speaker 3: We can put up a four here. Uh. This is
- 21:04Speaker 3: from This is from drop. This is from drop site.
- 21:08Speaker 4: Laying out what the Cuban officials released late later that night.
- 21:12Speaker 4: They said they they UH neutralized what they called a
- 21:17Speaker 4: a terrorist action. They said the men were armed with
- 21:20Speaker 4: and seized with assault rifles, handguns, molotov cocktails, body armor,
- 21:25Speaker 4: telescopic sites, and camouflage uniforms, and that they were they
- 21:30Speaker 4: were intent on meeting somebody on the island and UH
- 21:33Speaker 4: and fomenting some kind of revolt there. They also said
- 21:37Speaker 4: that notably two of them, Ami hal Sanchez Gonzalez and
- 21:44Speaker 4: leord and Cruz Gomez, had already been listed on Cuba's
- 21:48Speaker 4: quote national list of persons and entities linked to terrorism,
- 21:51Speaker 4: which is which is published weekly in their in their
- 21:54Speaker 4: in their what that's called the official Gazette. That update,
- 21:59Speaker 4: that updated registry included sixty two individuals, and so two
- 22:02Speaker 4: of those individuals were on this ship. And they said
- 22:06Speaker 4: they also detained Daniel Hernandez Santos inside the country. They said,
- 22:11Speaker 4: everybody has the six that were captured, plus the one
- 22:15Speaker 4: that was taken on land, have confessed to this. We
- 22:18Speaker 4: can put up jd Vance, who has asked about this
- 22:24Speaker 4: at a briefing. Here's a five that.
- 22:26Speaker 7: Was I think that you know about the situation off
- 22:29Speaker 7: the coast of Cuba versus speed boat.
- 22:32Speaker 5: Shop, and briefed on that for Americans were killed in intervening. Yeah,
- 22:36Speaker 5: so on the second thing, heishi Marco briefly about fifteen
- 22:40Speaker 5: minutes ago on it. But we don't know a whole
- 22:41Speaker 5: lot of details, and so I'll defer to the White
- 22:45Speaker 5: House to provide more updates as we get them. Certainly,
- 22:47Speaker 5: you know a situation that we're monitoring. Hopefully it's not
- 22:50Speaker 5: as bad as we fear it could be. But I
- 22:52Speaker 5: can't say more because I just don't know more.
- 22:54Speaker 4: And so Crystal all ten of the men on the
- 22:57Speaker 4: speedboat were Cuban nationals who living in the United States.
- 23:00Speaker 4: We don't know yet if any had become American citizens
- 23:06Speaker 4: or not, but we do know that they were. You know,
- 23:08Speaker 4: they were armed and within within a mile of the
- 23:12Speaker 4: Cuban coast and according to the Cubans fired on the
- 23:15Speaker 4: coast guard. They fired first. So we don't have video
- 23:20Speaker 4: yet of this. It would be I think it would
- 23:22Speaker 4: be unusual. For the reason I credit the Cuban government
- 23:26Speaker 4: account here is that it would just be unusual for
- 23:31Speaker 4: the Cuban coast guard to just open fire on a
- 23:34Speaker 4: ship like that, right they have, They wouldn't basically never
- 23:38Speaker 4: done that.
- 23:39Speaker 2: It wouldn't be in their interest remotely right now to
- 23:41Speaker 2: provoke the US, you know, I mean this perfect pretet
- 23:44Speaker 2: like if you kill some American citizens, we don't like
- 23:48Speaker 2: you said, know if these are American citizens are not?
- 23:50Speaker 2: Again we learned from the Iran block where they're like
- 23:53Speaker 2: looking for pretext, Oh my god, you killed an American,
- 23:55Speaker 2: Now we're going to bomb the shit on of you.
- 23:57Speaker 2: Like they would love some sort of pretext to mess
- 23:59Speaker 2: with Cuba. I don't know what do you read in
- 24:01Speaker 2: terms of the tea leaves here o or whether these
- 24:02Speaker 2: were just some like Miami Cubans freelancing, or whether this
- 24:05Speaker 2: was some sort of you know, U s c I
- 24:07Speaker 2: A backed attempt to get on the island and cause
- 24:10Speaker 2: some sort of mischief.
- 24:11Speaker 3: You know.
- 24:11Speaker 4: On the one hand, it feels like the camouflage, you know, scopes,
- 24:16Speaker 4: like assault weapons, like it feels like it has some
- 24:20Speaker 4: you know, sophistication behind it. On the other hand, this
- 24:24Speaker 4: is the United States.
- 24:25Speaker 2: You know, you can not hard to access those things.
- 24:27Speaker 4: You can get all that stuff, you know, with a
- 24:30Speaker 4: credit card. You know, We're not We're not a place
- 24:34Speaker 4: that makes it difficult, particularly in Florida, to to arm
- 24:38Speaker 4: up that boat in the way that they did.
- 24:40Speaker 3: Uh. There there are you know, there is a you know, there.
- 24:44Speaker 4: Is a Cuban exile community there that is extraordinarily radical
- 24:49Speaker 4: and there's a militant wing of it that you know,
- 24:52Speaker 4: this is this has shades of this scandal from many.
- 24:55Speaker 3: Years ago called they called Brothers to the Rescue.
- 24:59Speaker 4: Where Miami exiles were flying over Cuba repeatedly and the
- 25:04Speaker 4: Cubans kept warning them stop and then eventually shot the
- 25:08Speaker 4: plane down. I believe it was a member of Congress
- 25:12Speaker 4: or somebody else was recently pushing Trump to indict and
- 25:17Speaker 4: then go capture Raul Castro for the murder of these
- 25:21Speaker 4: four men in the in what's called this Brothers to
- 25:24Speaker 4: the Rescue, you know, plane downing, So it has echoes
- 25:28Speaker 4: of that. What what what links are there to American intelligence?
- 25:33Speaker 4: You know, maybe we'll find out sooner rather than later.
- 25:37Speaker 4: But it's plausible that you know, there is enough of
- 25:40Speaker 4: a militant, you know, easily armed community in Miami that
- 25:43Speaker 4: would just that would do this and believe that they're
- 25:47Speaker 4: helping to spark some type of uprising on the island
- 25:50Speaker 4: that would then lead to some significant American intervention. So
- 25:55Speaker 4: could go either way. What what what? What do you think?
- 25:58Speaker 2: I mean? I think knowing a little bit more about
- 26:00Speaker 2: the background of these individuals would be helpful. You know,
- 26:03Speaker 2: certainly if one I was like, oh, former Delta Force
- 26:05Speaker 2: or whatever. Really okay, you know, a former Navy cl
- 26:08Speaker 2: We've okay, we've seen this before. So you know, for me,
- 26:11Speaker 2: it's still a question mark. I find both explanations plausible,
- 26:14Speaker 2: but you know, maybe give us an update. One of
- 26:16Speaker 2: the things that we were hopeful about when the Supreme
- 26:20Speaker 2: Court struck down Trump's tariffs and you brought this up immediately.
- 26:23Speaker 2: Ryan was, well, they've been using those terrorifts to threaten
- 26:26Speaker 2: Mexico and say you can't send the oil that Cuba
- 26:30Speaker 2: has already purchased. You can't send it to Cuba or
- 26:32Speaker 2: else we're going to tear if the shit on if
- 26:34Speaker 2: you Well, that tool has been taken out of their arsenal.
- 26:37Speaker 2: But when we talked to Jose of Dropside News that
- 26:39Speaker 2: you're ahead of your Latin America desk, he was pretty
- 26:42Speaker 2: doubtful that it would really change the calculation because his
- 26:45Speaker 2: sense was that Claudia Scheinbaum had told, had been told
- 26:48Speaker 2: in no uncertain terms like no, this is really a
- 26:50Speaker 2: problem for us, and you know, and that she would
- 26:53Speaker 2: be likely to listen and you know, not violate the
- 26:58Speaker 2: illegal oil embargo that we put on the island.
- 27:01Speaker 4: Yeah, because there are other tariffs that Trump can you know,
- 27:06Speaker 4: put on Mexican goods up to think fifty percent. You know,
- 27:09Speaker 4: you can challenge them and they will be challenged, no doubt.
- 27:12Speaker 2: Well, and she, I mean Trump made the point. He's like, well,
- 27:15Speaker 2: it's kind of ridiculous that I can destroy a country,
- 27:17Speaker 2: but I can't levey tariffs. And I mean in a sense,
- 27:20Speaker 2: he's correct, Like there's all kinds of ways that he
- 27:22Speaker 2: could screw with Mexico that don't have to do with tariffs.
- 27:25Speaker 3: Right right, So.
- 27:28Speaker 4: It's a real question for Shinbaum of how much she
- 27:32Speaker 4: wants to, you know, how important is it to her,
- 27:34Speaker 4: you know, to show solidarity with the Cubans and also
- 27:37Speaker 4: show her sovereignty. When she was asked about it at
- 27:41Speaker 4: her press conference I believe it was yesterday, she did say, like,
- 27:47Speaker 4: the tariffs that were preventing us from sending the Cuba
- 27:50Speaker 4: have been ruled unconstitutional in the United States, so stay
- 27:53Speaker 4: tuned as to what that means. So she did open
- 27:57Speaker 4: the door to the possibility that this Supreme Court ruling
- 28:00Speaker 4: will actually, you know, is having her rethink that maybe
- 28:04Speaker 4: she's just using that for leverage to get something else
- 28:06Speaker 4: out of Trump behind the scenes. But it's still a
- 28:11Speaker 4: jump ball, like it's back and play otherwise.
- 28:14Speaker 2: In other words, all right, let's move on to this
- 28:20Speaker 2: AI fight. And I want to start here, guys with
- 28:24Speaker 2: a seven, which is the latest in this feud between
- 28:26Speaker 2: the Pentagon and Anthropic. Pentagon has taking the first step,
- 28:31Speaker 2: according to Axios, toward blacklisting Anthropic, and I really want
- 28:37Speaker 2: everyone to take all of this very seriously, because Anthropic
- 28:42Speaker 2: has positioned itself as the most safety conscious large AI
- 28:47Speaker 2: like Frontier AI lab, and I think they've especially with
- 28:51Speaker 2: this fight with the Pentagon, I think they've earned that
- 28:54Speaker 2: reputation at this point. That's not to say, and we'll
- 28:57Speaker 2: get to some of the problems a little bit later
- 28:59Speaker 2: that you know, it's all great because they are also
- 29:02Speaker 2: very much acceding to the market logic of we got
- 29:05Speaker 2: to throw safety to the side and just build, build, build,
- 29:07Speaker 2: But they put down two pretty reasonable red lines with
- 29:11Speaker 2: regard to the Pentagon's use of Claude their AI, which
- 29:15Speaker 2: was number one, we don't want it used for mass
- 29:18Speaker 2: surveillance of Americans. Okay, that seems pretty reasonable. And number two,
- 29:23Speaker 2: we don't want it to be used for autonomous killer
- 29:26Speaker 2: robots where there is no human being involved whatsoever. Those
- 29:31Speaker 2: seem like, you know, really a low bar to meat.
- 29:35Speaker 2: And yet the Pentagon has thrown a complete fit over this,
- 29:38Speaker 2: and Pete Hegseth in particular, and so this showdown has
- 29:42Speaker 2: been ongoing. I believe the deadline that heg Seth arbitrarily
- 29:45Speaker 2: set for Anthropic to completely capitulate to their demands is tomorrow.
- 29:51Speaker 2: And the two threats that he had made were either
- 29:54Speaker 2: we're going to actually just use the Defense Production Act
- 29:57Speaker 2: to seize your technology and give however we want. You're
- 30:01Speaker 2: not going to get a say in it whatsoever, or
- 30:04Speaker 2: and that one had a little bit more of potential
- 30:07Speaker 2: legal issues with it. Or the other direction, which they
- 30:10Speaker 2: look like they're going in at this point, Ryan, is
- 30:12Speaker 2: we're going to declare your product a supply chain risk
- 30:17Speaker 2: because again, you won't completely capitulate to our demands for
- 30:20Speaker 2: killer robots and mass surveillance of Americans. Apparently, and that
- 30:24Speaker 2: means not only are we going to end our two
- 30:25Speaker 2: hundred million dollar contract with you, but all of our
- 30:28Speaker 2: everyone we work with at the Pentagon, all the you know,
- 30:32Speaker 2: prime contractors, any of our suppliers, We're going to tell
- 30:35Speaker 2: them they can't work with you either because you're a
- 30:38Speaker 2: quote unquote supply chain risk. It looks like they're moving
- 30:41Speaker 2: in that direction, and the only thing that's really preventing
- 30:44Speaker 2: them is that Claude is actually, you know, the best
- 30:46Speaker 2: of these models, I think in general at this point,
- 30:48Speaker 2: but specifically for whatever the Pentagon is using it for,
- 30:52Speaker 2: Claude apparently performs better than the other models, and so
- 30:56Speaker 2: it's going to be kind of a mess for them
- 30:58Speaker 2: to disentangle this. And actually there's a quote here from
- 31:01Speaker 2: some senior military official that's like, yeah, if we have
- 31:04Speaker 2: to stop using Anthropic, if we have to stop using Claude,
- 31:08Speaker 2: that's going to be a mess. And we're going to
- 31:10Speaker 2: make them pay for the trouble that they've cost us.
- 31:15Speaker 2: Of course, Elon and x AI have stepped up and said, hey,
- 31:18Speaker 2: we don't have any problem. We'll do your autonomous killer
- 31:21Speaker 2: robot swarms. No no issue here, So you know, x
- 31:25Speaker 2: is raising their hand and say, hey, count us in.
- 31:28Speaker 2: But and and the Pentagon is going to reportedly give
- 31:31Speaker 2: them access to their classified systems, et cetera. But apparently
- 31:35Speaker 2: the you know, the product is is not as good
- 31:37Speaker 2: at this point coming from Elon than it is from Anthropics.
- 31:42Speaker 2: So that's kind of where things stand at this point.
- 31:44Speaker 4: Ryan, Yeah, shocked that GROC is not not up to
- 31:48Speaker 4: the task of uh that the Pentagon wants wants or two.
- 31:53Speaker 3: But yes, they're they're they're using the language that.
- 31:59Speaker 4: You know that and they are walking back the safety
- 32:02Speaker 4: pledge like that's you know, this this that was reported
- 32:05Speaker 4: yesterday that this.
- 32:07Speaker 2: Was you're talking about. Anthropic is walking back the safety pledge.
- 32:09Speaker 4: And the quote from Jared Kaplan, who is the chief
- 32:14Speaker 4: Science officer who gave the time, he said, we didn't
- 32:18Speaker 4: feel with the rapid advance of AI that it made
- 32:20Speaker 4: sense for us to make unilateral commitments if competitors are
- 32:24Speaker 4: blazing ahead. We felt that it wouldn't actually help anyone
- 32:27Speaker 4: for us to stop training AI models. So the argument
- 32:31Speaker 4: that Musk and Altman and all of the others have
- 32:35Speaker 4: been making from the beginning is that we can't be
- 32:38Speaker 4: ethical because nobody else will be. We'd we'd like to be,
- 32:42Speaker 4: but nobody else is, so we can't be, So we
- 32:44Speaker 4: have to march forward.
- 32:46Speaker 3: Uh.
- 32:46Speaker 4: Anthropic was the only one really that was saying no,
- 32:48Speaker 4: that we don't believe in that. We we believe that
- 32:51Speaker 4: we can do this separately. And now they're capitulating, you know,
- 32:56Speaker 4: to this under these under this combination of pressures.
- 33:00Speaker 2: Yeah. Well, in their message would basically be like, what
- 33:02Speaker 2: you think it's going to be better if Elon wins
- 33:05Speaker 2: the AI war and ends up with AGI or super
- 33:08Speaker 2: intelligence first, do you think that's going to be better?
- 33:11Speaker 2: I mean, that's that's their thinking and that logic is
- 33:16Speaker 2: not just the competition between these companies, but then it's
- 33:19Speaker 2: also the competition, you know, this geopolitical competition between the
- 33:22Speaker 2: US and China and all this fear mongering about like,
- 33:25Speaker 2: oh my god, if China achieves AGI or super intelligence first,
- 33:28Speaker 2: then we're done for et cetera. And so the safety
- 33:32Speaker 2: pledge that you're talking about, you know, their previous model
- 33:34Speaker 2: had basically been like, Okay, if we develop a model
- 33:38Speaker 2: and we can't feel comfortable like certifying that this is
- 33:41Speaker 2: completely safe, we're not going to release it and we're
- 33:44Speaker 2: going to stop. We're going to pause and figure out
- 33:46Speaker 2: what's going on. And now they're like, well, yeah, we're
- 33:50Speaker 2: not going to do that anymore, and we're going to
- 33:53Speaker 2: we have these other safety guidelines in place, so don't worry.
- 33:56Speaker 2: But you know, that particular model of actually stopping development
- 34:00Speaker 2: and figuring out what the hell is going on before
- 34:02Speaker 2: moving forward, yeah, we can't really. We can't really do
- 34:05Speaker 2: that because we're going to fall behind, and the market
- 34:08Speaker 2: logic dictates that we have to keep going. And you know,
- 34:11Speaker 2: in a sense, Ryan, I sort of empathize with them
- 34:15Speaker 2: because I think in the system that exists now with
- 34:18Speaker 2: government completely I mean, you can't even say hands off.
- 34:21Speaker 2: Like they're actively pushing all of this forward as fast
- 34:25Speaker 2: as they possibly can. You are not going to be
- 34:28Speaker 2: able to resist those pressures. I mean, this is really
- 34:30Speaker 2: an issue from you know, from our politicians where they
- 34:34Speaker 2: need to come in and regulate, because as long as
- 34:37Speaker 2: you have one company that's willing to say, you know,
- 34:40Speaker 2: to hell with all the safeguards, I'm going to bolt,
- 34:43Speaker 2: I'm going to I'm going to go ahead and race
- 34:45Speaker 2: ahead as fast as i can, then it means the
- 34:49Speaker 2: most irresponsible actor is the one that is most likely
- 34:52Speaker 2: to achieve artificial general intelligence or super intelligence the first
- 34:57Speaker 2: and that is a terrible, terrible set of circumstances. So
- 35:02Speaker 2: you know, it's really it's really a genuine failure and
- 35:05Speaker 2: a terrifying one of the political class, as evidenced now
- 35:08Speaker 2: by this, you know, this fight with the Pentagon and
- 35:11Speaker 2: the fact that they've decided to draw this hard line
- 35:13Speaker 2: of like, no, we demand that we use your product
- 35:16Speaker 2: for both surveillance and you know, killer robot purposes. I
- 35:20Speaker 2: wanted to play the CEO of Anthropic Dario amide Uh
- 35:24Speaker 2: responded to, you know, explaining his thinking of why this
- 35:27Speaker 2: was a hard line for them and listen. I. Like
- 35:29Speaker 2: I said, it's a low bar. I do want to
- 35:31Speaker 2: give them credit though, because at least they're standing up
- 35:34Speaker 2: against something in all of this. None of the other
- 35:37Speaker 2: companies seems to be doing that. This is a eight.
- 35:40Speaker 2: Let's go ahead and take a listen to him laying
- 35:41Speaker 2: out his concerns.
- 35:43Speaker 8: That's one reason why I'm you know, I'm worried about
- 35:46Speaker 8: the you know, the the the autonomous drone swarm. Right, So,
- 35:50Speaker 8: you know, the constitutional protections in our military structures depend
- 35:56Speaker 8: on the idea that there are humans who would we hope,
- 35:59Speaker 8: dis bay illegal orders with fully autonomous weapons. We don't
- 36:03Speaker 8: necessarily have those protections, but I actually think this whole
- 36:08Speaker 8: idea of constitutional rights and liberty along many different dimensions
- 36:15Speaker 8: you know, can be undermined by AI if we don't
- 36:19Speaker 8: update these these protections appropriately. So, you know, think about
- 36:23Speaker 8: the Fourth Amendment. It is not illegal to you know,
- 36:27Speaker 8: put cameras around everywhere in public space and you know,
- 36:30Speaker 8: record every conversation. It's a public space. You don't have
- 36:32Speaker 8: a right to privacy in a public space. But today
- 36:35Speaker 8: the government couldn't record that all and make sense of it.
- 36:38Speaker 8: With AI, the ability to transcribe speech to look through it,
- 36:42Speaker 8: correlate it all You could say, oh, there's this, you know,
- 36:47Speaker 8: this person is a member of the opposition, this person
- 36:49Speaker 8: is expressing this view, and make a map of all
- 36:53Speaker 8: you know, one hundred million and so are you going
- 36:55Speaker 8: to make a mockery of the Fourth Amendment by the
- 36:58Speaker 8: technology finding kind of technical ways around it? And and
- 37:02Speaker 8: and so you know, again, if we if we had
- 37:05Speaker 8: the time, and we should do this. We should try
- 37:06Speaker 8: to do this even even if we don't have the time.
- 37:09Speaker 8: Is there some way of reconceptualizing constitutional rights and liberties
- 37:15Speaker 8: in the age of AI, Like, you know, we don't
- 37:17Speaker 8: need to write a new constitutional but you.
- 37:19Speaker 7: Know, does you have to do this?
- 37:20Speaker 3: Do we expand the meaning of the Fourth Amendment? Do
- 37:23Speaker 3: we expand the meaning of the First Amendment?
- 37:25Speaker 2: What do you think about those comments? Ryan and the
- 37:28Speaker 2: kind of like moral and ethical landscape that is being
- 37:31Speaker 2: trod right now.
- 37:33Speaker 4: I feel like that if those comments are not just
- 37:37Speaker 4: accepted as common sense and a baseline for how we're
- 37:42Speaker 4: moving forward, but instead are bull dozed over and used
- 37:48Speaker 4: as a rationale to nationalize the company and take its
- 37:53Speaker 4: take its product from it and use it again, Like
- 37:57Speaker 4: we're so ft like, yeah, the like they those to
- 38:01Speaker 4: me seems like such obvious basic principles that as humanity forget.
- 38:05Speaker 4: We do happen to have a constitution that says people
- 38:08Speaker 4: have you know, the right to you know, you know
- 38:12Speaker 4: that have basic protections, including the Fourth Amendment, and also
- 38:15Speaker 4: you can't just kill people for no reason. But even
- 38:18Speaker 4: if you don't have the constitution, like basic human rights
- 38:22Speaker 4: and our basic conception of humanity would suggest that those
- 38:26Speaker 4: are just that's just a that is the starting point,
- 38:30Speaker 4: and you would you would hope that would be the
- 38:32Speaker 4: starting point, and then people would then build on top
- 38:34Speaker 4: of that. Here are some other things that I think
- 38:36Speaker 4: we need to protect and some other things that we
- 38:38Speaker 4: should make sure that we're protecting as we're growing.
- 38:41Speaker 3: This.
- 38:41Speaker 4: To have that be the radical edge that's going to
- 38:45Speaker 4: be destroyed already instantly instantly is like wow, okay, well.
- 38:53Speaker 2: Yeah, and you know there's a lot of like, oh
- 38:55Speaker 2: I voted for this discourse or like I didn't vote
- 38:58Speaker 2: for this discourse around you know, Trump voters, but this
- 39:01Speaker 2: was definitely not a central part of the campaignity voting. Yeah,
- 39:06Speaker 2: we're going to just you know, off to the races
- 39:09Speaker 2: on Yeah, I mean not to say that that, like
- 39:11Speaker 2: I was paying attention to, that was their orientation for sure,
- 39:14Speaker 2: but the idea of like, yeah, we're just going to
- 39:16Speaker 2: try to eliminate all white collar work and by the way,
- 39:19Speaker 2: suck up all the water and electricity and spik your
- 39:22Speaker 2: rates and create these like you know, super dystopian panopticon surveillance,
- 39:27Speaker 2: state killer autonomous robots. You know, we're gonna we're going
- 39:32Speaker 2: to have this massive secret police force that is going
- 39:35Speaker 2: to be enabled with all of this technology, et cetera.
- 39:37Speaker 2: And that's going to be a main push. Like that
- 39:40Speaker 2: is the central and one of the most consequential things
- 39:42Speaker 2: that this administration is doing. The public is wildly, wildly
- 39:48Speaker 2: against all of this on any variety of fronts, and
- 39:52Speaker 2: to your point, they're just it looks like from the
- 39:54Speaker 2: jump they're just going to bulldoze through any of the
- 39:58Speaker 2: most terrifying concerns that are being offered here and say, Nope,
- 40:03Speaker 2: we want it all. We will do it all, and
- 40:06Speaker 2: we will use the whole force of the government, even
- 40:09Speaker 2: though we do not have a democratic mandate to do this,
- 40:11Speaker 2: in order to compel you to comply. And so let's
- 40:14Speaker 2: take a look at you know, the responsible decision making
- 40:17Speaker 2: nature of these leading AI products. At this point, let's
- 40:20Speaker 2: put a six up on the screen. Some new rather
- 40:24Speaker 2: terrifying research here from someone who tested the leading AI models,
- 40:30Speaker 2: and the headline here for new scientists says, AIS cannot
- 40:32Speaker 2: stop recommending nuclear strikes in wargame simulations. So they set
- 40:37Speaker 2: up these wargame simulations where it was like you know,
- 40:39Speaker 2: Claude versus Chat, GPT or whatever, and in ninety five
- 40:45Speaker 2: percent of instances, the AIS in the simulated war would
- 40:50Speaker 2: recommend using nukes. So that's that's where we're at, and
- 40:55Speaker 2: these are the products that we want to just like
- 40:58Speaker 2: let you know, run wild with any sort of human intervention, uh,
- 41:03Speaker 2: with the most powerful military on the planet that has
- 41:06Speaker 2: ever existed. So that seems like a really great idea.
- 41:10Speaker 4: Yeah, yes, And so when you think about autonomous armed drones,
- 41:15Speaker 4: like the next step would be you know autonomous like
- 41:20Speaker 4: how do you put guardrails around that autonomy that that
- 41:25Speaker 4: stopped short of control.
- 41:26Speaker 3: Of nuclear weapons?
- 41:28Speaker 4: Like if if you have deliberately destroyed all the safety mechanisms,
- 41:33Speaker 4: like don't you don't get a second chance at this
- 41:37Speaker 4: to come back in and be like, oh, you know what,
- 41:39Speaker 4: you were right? We actually, you know, should have made
- 41:42Speaker 4: sure before we rolled out this Pentagon AI that it
- 41:46Speaker 4: wouldn't just nuclear world.
- 41:48Speaker 3: You're right, next are bad. We're going to update it
- 41:52Speaker 3: and fix this.
- 41:52Speaker 2: Like you don't get that, yeah, completely. I was trying to.
- 41:57Speaker 2: I was messing around with CHAGBT yesterday and we're having
- 42:01Speaker 2: to like remodel our bathroom and I was trying to
- 42:03Speaker 2: get it to like move a shower head in the
- 42:06Speaker 2: new shower and it was it would not listen, and
- 42:09Speaker 2: it kept on like just producing an image that was
- 42:12Speaker 2: like the shower head in the same place. And I'd
- 42:14Speaker 2: be like, why are you doing this? And every time
- 42:16Speaker 2: I'd be like, you're right, I'm sorry, blah blah blah,
- 42:18Speaker 2: you know, and look when it's a showerhead in a
- 42:22Speaker 2: you know, fake image, no big deal. But what people
- 42:25Speaker 2: who are deeply concerned on the safety front point too,
- 42:28Speaker 2: is it's very possible that the catastrophe that makes everyone
- 42:33Speaker 2: wake up is an existential Like it's it's such a disaster,
- 42:39Speaker 2: can't yeah that you can't recover from it, or it's
- 42:42Speaker 2: so it's you know, horrifying, or you're talking about millions
- 42:44Speaker 2: of lives, like you know, there are a lot of
- 42:47Speaker 2: AI safety types who hope there's some sort of like
- 42:51Speaker 2: Chernobyl esque disaster that is really bad enough to wake
- 42:55Speaker 2: people up, but not so bad that you can't recover
- 42:58Speaker 2: from it, because there is a possibility that you know
- 43:01Speaker 2: already these models have developed to a point where they're
- 43:05Speaker 2: very powerful, and they're acting in ways that are extremely unpredictable.
- 43:10Speaker 2: We've gotten, you know, I've got a new example of
- 43:12Speaker 2: that we can put up here on the screen. A nine.
- 43:15Speaker 2: This is from Akash Gupta, who and this was reported elsewhere,
- 43:19Speaker 2: and he writes an AI newsletter. But in any case,
- 43:22Speaker 2: he says, one person writing the Spanish language prompt spent
- 43:25Speaker 2: a month talking Claude into acting as a penetration tester.
- 43:29Speaker 2: Federal Tax Authority, National Electoral Institute for State Governments, Mexico
- 43:33Speaker 2: City Civil Registry, Monore's water utility, one hundred and fifty
- 43:36Speaker 2: gigabytes out the door, one hundred and ninety five million
- 43:40Speaker 2: taxpayer records. The conversation lugs were publicly accessible the entire time.
- 43:45Speaker 2: What makes us worth paying attention to is the sequence.
- 43:47Speaker 2: Gambit Security is really firm that found the breach, traces
- 43:50Speaker 2: the attack to December twenty five through January twenty sixth. Today,
- 43:54Speaker 2: Anthropic dropped that central pledge of its responsible Scaling Policy
- 43:58Speaker 2: twenty twenty three commitment to never train a model unless
- 44:01Speaker 2: safety measures were proven adequate first. Also today, Defense Secretary
- 44:05Speaker 2: Hegseth gave Daryu Amidae an ultimatum roll back your AI
- 44:08Speaker 2: state guards or lose a two hundred million dollars Pentagon contract.
- 44:11Speaker 2: The Pentagon threaten to declare Anthropic a supply chain risk
- 44:14Speaker 2: and invoke the Defense Production Act. Three stories hit the
- 44:17Speaker 2: company on the same day, an AI assisted government breach,
- 44:20Speaker 2: a gutted safety policy, and a military shakedown, and they're
- 44:23Speaker 2: all connected by the same underlying tension, and so you
- 44:27Speaker 2: know you already have Claude. Basically, what this hacker was
- 44:31Speaker 2: able to do was to jail break claud meaning that
- 44:35Speaker 2: the sort of restrictions that are put in place about
- 44:37Speaker 2: don't do bad things. They're able to sort of break
- 44:40Speaker 2: it out of that, which is a well known vulnerability
- 44:43Speaker 2: for these models. You can sort of like cajole them like, well,
- 44:46Speaker 2: we don't want to do this, but hypothetically, and if
- 44:48Speaker 2: you talk to them long enough, then they start to
- 44:50Speaker 2: lose track of the things that they're not supposed to
- 44:53Speaker 2: do et cetera. And so this person was able over
- 44:57Speaker 2: you know, a month's time to talk Claude into hacking
- 45:00Speaker 2: into the Mexican government and stealing all of this data.
- 45:02Speaker 2: So this is where these models already are. And I
- 45:06Speaker 2: think ethical one, yeah, and this is the ethical one exactly.
- 45:11Speaker 2: And so I think people I just see a lot
- 45:14Speaker 2: of people still with their heads in the sand because
- 45:16Speaker 2: they'll see stupid stuff like you know, like my situation
- 45:18Speaker 2: with chat GPT, and they're like, this stuff is this
- 45:20Speaker 2: is nonsense, Like this is a parlor trick. This is
- 45:23Speaker 2: not going to transform anything. That's not a risk to anyone.
- 45:25Speaker 2: I wish that was true already. You know, Claud Code
- 45:29Speaker 2: and Claud Cowork. You can see the way they're upending markets,
- 45:31Speaker 2: destroying software companies. Like to imagine that this isn't going
- 45:36Speaker 2: to have a significant disruptive effect in one way or another.
- 45:41Speaker 2: I think it's just utterly delusional at this point and
- 45:44Speaker 2: not a sustainable view.
- 45:46Speaker 4: Well, let's hear Dario himself, Dario Muddy on that. Let's
- 45:51Speaker 4: here's a ten.
- 45:52Speaker 9: About some of the things that are more like in
- 45:55Speaker 9: the you know, in the kind of public awareness and
- 45:59Speaker 9: the actions of wider society. You know, it is surprising
- 46:03Speaker 9: to me that we are, you know, in my view,
- 46:06Speaker 9: so close to these models reaching the level of human intelligence,
- 46:10Speaker 9: and yet there doesn't seem to be a wider recognition
- 46:16Speaker 9: in society of what's about to happen. It's as if
- 46:18Speaker 9: this tsunami is coming at us, and you know, it's
- 46:21Speaker 9: so close we can see it on the horizon, and
- 46:23Speaker 9: yet people are coming up with these explanations, Oh, it's
- 46:26Speaker 9: not actually a tsunami, it's you know that that you know,
- 46:29Speaker 9: that's just a trick of the light, like it's some
- 46:31Speaker 9: you know. And I think along with that, there hasn't
- 46:33Speaker 9: been a public awareness of the risks, and you know,
- 46:36Speaker 9: therefore governments haven't acted to address the risk. There's even
- 46:40Speaker 9: an ideology that, you know, we should just try to
- 46:42Speaker 9: accelerate as fast as possible, which, you know, I understand
- 46:45Speaker 9: the benefits of the technology.
- 46:47Speaker 3: I wrote Machines of Loving Grace, but I.
- 46:48Speaker 9: Think there hasn't been an appropriate realization of the risks
- 46:52Speaker 9: of the technology, and there certainly hasn't been action.
- 46:54Speaker 3: So I would say that the.
- 46:57Speaker 9: Technical work on controlling the eye systems has gone maybe
- 47:00Speaker 9: a little better than I expected, and kind of the
- 47:02Speaker 9: societal awareness has gone maybe a little worse.
- 47:05Speaker 10: Than I expected. So I'm about where I was a
- 47:07Speaker 10: few years ago. Yeah, okay, well, and you put up
- 47:10Speaker 10: the next almis. This is the one I mentioned earlier
- 47:12Speaker 10: a eleven. This is from yesterday. Anthropic Ditch is its
- 47:15Speaker 10: core safety promise in the middle of an AI redline
- 47:18Speaker 10: fight with the Pentagon. So there we go.
- 47:22Speaker 2: Great not great. And Dario recently wrote an essay, very
- 47:26Speaker 2: long essay I recommend people read it, laying out his
- 47:30Speaker 2: concerns in more specificity, and he makes I think an
- 47:33Speaker 2: insightful point, which is, look, you're always going to have
- 47:38Speaker 2: technical experts in the world who, if they so desired,
- 47:40Speaker 2: could unleash, like, you know, some sort of biological or
- 47:43Speaker 2: chemical warfare, and you're always going to have separate and
- 47:47Speaker 2: apart from that, you're always going to have people who
- 47:50Speaker 2: are malevolent or extremist actors who would desire to unleash
- 47:55Speaker 2: that sort of pain, death and chaos. But it's pretty
- 47:58Speaker 2: rare to find people who are are both expert enough
- 48:02Speaker 2: and either malevolent enough or extreme enough, or radicalized enough
- 48:06Speaker 2: or crazy enough or whatever. And in fact, the two
- 48:09Speaker 2: things tend not to go together because it usually is
- 48:11Speaker 2: like unstable misanthropic losers, you know, school shooter types who
- 48:16Speaker 2: want to do this sort of stuff, who are unlikely
- 48:17Speaker 2: to be skilled enough to actually pull it off. And
- 48:21Speaker 2: what you have with these ais now is the ability
- 48:24Speaker 2: to turn anyone into you don't need to be an
- 48:27Speaker 2: expert anymore. You can you can vibe warfare, you know
- 48:30Speaker 2: you can. You can just if you can jail break
- 48:33Speaker 2: one of these things, which is, you know, if the
- 48:36Speaker 2: claud one can be done, then you can imagine the
- 48:38Speaker 2: Xai one or whatever other model that's even that's less
- 48:41Speaker 2: responsible than Claude being even more easily jail broken. They're
- 48:45Speaker 2: all pushing ahead without having these safeguards in place. The
- 48:50Speaker 2: politicians are actively encouraging this off to the race's mentality,
- 48:55Speaker 2: and so now you don't need to have in a
- 48:58Speaker 2: singular person that level of malevolence and expertise in order
- 49:03Speaker 2: to have some sort of you know, horror perpetrated. So
- 49:07Speaker 2: that's that's kind of already the landscape that we live in,
- 49:11Speaker 2: and you know, it's it's deeply, deeply disturbing. And with this,
- 49:17Speaker 2: with this government in charge, I have zero hope that
- 49:20Speaker 2: there's going to be any sort of significant, meaningful reform.
- 49:23Speaker 2: And so I think that's where the data center fights
- 49:25Speaker 2: come in, where at least if you can slow things
- 49:28Speaker 2: to you know, grind the gears a little bit. We've
- 49:31Speaker 2: got to slow this timeline down so that there's at
- 49:33Speaker 2: least a chance for democracy to catch up. So there's
- 49:35Speaker 2: at least a chance to have this debate in the
- 49:39Speaker 2: twenty twenty eight elections, because I have no doubt that
- 49:42Speaker 2: the public is horrified, you know, to the extent that
- 49:44Speaker 2: they're aware of everything that's going on. They're horrified by
- 49:47Speaker 2: what is going on here from a variety of levels,
- 49:50Speaker 2: from the resource usage to the you know, job loss,
- 49:53Speaker 2: to the more existential concerns. But if we don't even
- 49:56Speaker 2: have a chance to weigh in, you know, before this
- 49:58Speaker 2: thing takes off to to agr to super intelligence, then
- 50:02Speaker 2: I don't know, when we're pretty hosed.
- 50:04Speaker 4: Yes, And when the right talks about school shootings, for instance,
- 50:09Speaker 4: they will say, look, we don't it's not a problem
- 50:11Speaker 4: with guns. The guns are not the problem. The problem
- 50:15Speaker 4: is mental health. We have a mental health crisis in
- 50:18Speaker 4: this country, and that is why people lash out. Okay,
- 50:22Speaker 4: you thought school shootings were bad, give those if you
- 50:27Speaker 4: do believe that we have this mental health crisis that
- 50:29Speaker 4: is leading people to want to commit mass, horrific violence
- 50:35Speaker 4: on the way towards suicide. How is that going to
- 50:39Speaker 4: unfold if we have given them the ability to do
- 50:44Speaker 4: cataclysmic levels of damage on their way out?
- 50:48Speaker 3: So yeah, dark, very dark.
- 50:56Speaker 4: Hillary Clinton heads to Capitol Hill today to give a
- 50:59Speaker 4: position behind hind closed doors. Let's roll through some Epstein
- 51:02Speaker 4: updates for you today. First of all, unearthed audio from
- 51:07Speaker 4: the from the radio program Howard Stern many years ago
- 51:13Speaker 4: is making the rounds again in the context of these
- 51:18Speaker 4: files that the DOJ appears to have withheld that relate
- 51:22Speaker 4: to char an accusation against President Trump, which we'll get
- 51:26Speaker 4: to in a moment. We'll also talking about Bill Gates,
- 51:28Speaker 4: who has now admitted to a couple of affairs with
- 51:31Speaker 4: some Russian sex workers and apologize for that. We'll talk
- 51:35Speaker 4: about whether there's some blackmail potential involved there when it
- 51:38Speaker 4: comes to Jeffrey Epstein. But let's roll this Trump clip
- 51:42Speaker 4: that is surging around the internet again. This is B three.
- 51:48Speaker 9: What is the best thing about being Donald Trump right now?
- 51:51Speaker 7: Well, the fact I'm married, okay, and I'm very happily
- 51:54Speaker 7: we met I have a great way, but if I
- 51:55Speaker 7: weren't married, I'd be able to get all of the
- 51:59Speaker 7: girls I want, except for possibly Robin. Do you think
- 52:02Speaker 7: you could now be banging twenty four year olds?
- 52:04Speaker 6: Oh?
- 52:05Speaker 7: Absolutely? Would you do it? I have no problem? Yeah.
- 52:09Speaker 2: Do you have an age limit or would you?
- 52:11Speaker 5: No?
- 52:11Speaker 7: No, I have no age. I mean I have an agent.
- 52:13Speaker 7: I don't want to be with you. Twelve year olds.
- 52:16Speaker 3: Can I make a prediction for you?
- 52:17Speaker 7: Yes?
- 52:18Speaker 3: I saw you have one more marriage in you.
- 52:20Speaker 7: Well that's nice. I'm sure Millenia will love to hear.
- 52:23Speaker 4: Okay, so this is a time at Crystal Wilsee he's got.
- 52:27Speaker 2: His lines, Ryan. Yeah, twelve year olds, that's too far.
- 52:31Speaker 4: This is the kind when Mark, the Mark Foley scandal
- 52:33Speaker 4: was going around. I believe this was the two thousand
- 52:35Speaker 4: and six midterms.
- 52:36Speaker 3: Is that right?
- 52:37Speaker 4: This was a Republican congressman who was who was creeping
- 52:41Speaker 4: on interns. Not twelve I don't think twelve year olds,
- 52:44Speaker 4: but maybe maybe it won't.
- 52:46Speaker 2: They're like high school sophomores. I think they are.
- 52:49Speaker 3: Let go on that.
- 52:50Speaker 4: Let have gone pretty low, like the disgusting creature. And
- 52:53Speaker 4: he was forced to resign because the chats came out.
- 52:56Speaker 4: It was like this early internet thing where people realized
- 52:59Speaker 4: that you could catch people in bad behavior because the
- 53:03Speaker 4: Internet was saving what they were doing. So he's that's
- 53:06Speaker 4: his reference to folly there. Even Howard Stern is like,
- 53:10Speaker 4: you're an old man. Twenty four seems a little young
- 53:12Speaker 4: for you. Trump's absolutely not, but he does draw the
- 53:16Speaker 4: line at twelve. So yeah, so that's our that's our president.
- 53:22Speaker 4: I believe this might be the same interview where he
- 53:25Speaker 4: talked about how the reason he bought Miss teen Universe
- 53:29Speaker 4: or Miss teen USA, whichever one he purchased, was so
- 53:33Speaker 4: that he could walk into the locker room while the
- 53:36Speaker 4: while the young teens were changing and creep on them.
- 53:40Speaker 4: And his daughter Avonka later was asked about that and
- 53:43Speaker 4: she said, oh, yeah, that that sounds like that absolutely
- 53:46Speaker 4: sounds like something my dad would do. And the teen
- 53:49Speaker 4: girls also said publicly, yeah, it was creepy and he
- 53:52Speaker 4: would do that. So it's one of these just in
- 53:56Speaker 4: your face moments that.
- 53:58Speaker 2: Is completely and Lis would be one up on the screen.
- 54:02Speaker 2: You've got a bunch about Shout on to Roger Sollenbarger,
- 54:05Speaker 2: independent journalists who first unearthed some of these hidden files,
- 54:08Speaker 2: you've had NPR, New York Times and other outlets now
- 54:12Speaker 2: who have confirmed it. This latest revelation comes from CNN,
- 54:16Speaker 2: where they've built on some of the reporting and identified
- 54:18Speaker 2: additional missing files. Now, the key ones that people have
- 54:22Speaker 2: been focused on, to your point, Ryan, are about these
- 54:25Speaker 2: allegations from a a woman made them at the TEMP.
- 54:28Speaker 2: But she was a girl, a thirteen year old girl,
- 54:31Speaker 2: when she alleges that she was sexually assaulted by Donald Trump.
- 54:35Speaker 2: And this is initially in the files as coming in
- 54:38Speaker 2: on the FBI's anonymous tip line, which people kind of
- 54:41Speaker 2: looked at and like, eah, anyone can just call in
- 54:42Speaker 2: and make some sort of allegation. But what we have
- 54:45Speaker 2: now learned is that she was deemed credible enough to
- 54:49Speaker 2: have come in for four different interviews, and those interviews
- 54:53Speaker 2: were not contained in the files that were released. That
- 54:56Speaker 2: is a flagrant violation as far as we can tell
- 54:59Speaker 2: of the of the law here. No specific explanation has
- 55:03Speaker 2: been offered as to why they were withheld, and we
- 55:05Speaker 2: do know that Ghlaine Maxwell was given given access to
- 55:09Speaker 2: those interviews in context of discovery for her trial. So
- 55:14Speaker 2: now you have CNN saying dozens of FBI witness interviews
- 55:17Speaker 2: from the investigation of Jeffrey Epstein appear to be missing
- 55:20Speaker 2: from the massive trove of files released by the Department
- 55:23Speaker 2: of Justice last month, according to a CNN review, including
- 55:26Speaker 2: three interviews related to a woman who accused Trump of
- 55:29Speaker 2: sexually assaulting her decades ago. An evidence log provided to
- 55:32Speaker 2: attorneys for Epstein associate Gallaine Maxwell, includes serial numbers for
- 55:36Speaker 2: about three hundred and twenty five FBI witness interview records,
- 55:41Speaker 2: but more than ninety of those records, over a quarter
- 55:44Speaker 2: of the list, do not appear to be present on
- 55:47Speaker 2: the DOJ website. Among those missing records are those three
- 55:51Speaker 2: interviews related to a woman who told agents Epstein had
- 55:54Speaker 2: repeatedly abused her starting when she was approximately thirteen, and
- 55:57Speaker 2: who also accused Trump of sexually assaulted her. So you
- 56:00Speaker 2: know she was thirteen, she would have made his twelve
- 56:03Speaker 2: year old cutoff there, Ryan. But in any case, what
- 56:05Speaker 2: CNN is finding here is it's not only those interviews
- 56:09Speaker 2: that are missing. There are a lot of other witness
- 56:11Speaker 2: interviews which have been excluded from the files, and you
- 56:16Speaker 2: know that is unacceptable. The government has to offer some
- 56:19Speaker 2: sort of specific reason, and there's limited exceptions why files
- 56:24Speaker 2: would be you know, withheld or for reactions. So you know,
- 56:28Speaker 2: the blatant, brazen nature of this cover up just to
- 56:32Speaker 2: continues to be exposed.
- 56:36Speaker 4: Yeah, and so to be fair to Trump here, which
- 56:39Speaker 4: we always endeavor to do here at breaking points, one
- 56:43Speaker 4: of these one of these women sued the estate, did
- 56:49Speaker 4: not mention Trump when suing the Epstein estate and had
- 56:52Speaker 4: that suit tossed like it was. And there are a
- 56:58Speaker 4: lot of problems that you can cite with people who've
- 57:01Speaker 4: been able to get a compensation from the from the
- 57:06Speaker 4: Epstein estate. There are a lot of criticism that you
- 57:09Speaker 4: know that girls and not girls, but women who were
- 57:12Speaker 4: adults and were involved in recruiting refashioned themselves as as
- 57:17Speaker 4: victims and were able to get payoffs from the Epstein
- 57:20Speaker 4: estate and at the bar was not you know, terribly
- 57:23Speaker 4: high for you know, proving that you deserved some kind
- 57:26Speaker 4: of compensation from the Epsteina States. So the fact that
- 57:28Speaker 4: she was unable to get that from the Epsteina State
- 57:32Speaker 4: and did not mention Trump, and I believe claims that
- 57:35Speaker 4: happened in southern California, and there's I don't think there's
- 57:41Speaker 4: you know, a Mark Epstein is saying that his brother
- 57:44Speaker 4: never summered or you know what, that wouldn't wouldn't have
- 57:47Speaker 4: been there. There's there's a lot of and the FBI
- 57:49Speaker 4: found ultimately found the complaint to be not credible, which
- 57:53Speaker 4: is probably then why they pulled it. But it's illegal
- 57:56Speaker 4: to pull it, like you're not, like, that's not what
- 57:58Speaker 4: the Epstein files are. Consparency Act says that you can't
- 58:01Speaker 4: just say, well, we don't think that this allegation is credible,
- 58:05Speaker 4: so we're not going to we're not going to post
- 58:07Speaker 4: it because it's about the president. No, like that's the
- 58:11Speaker 4: Act says you have to you have to post it.
- 58:13Speaker 4: So that so then there's the other one seems to
- 58:15Speaker 4: be involves mar A Lago and does and that one
- 58:20Speaker 4: seems to be more credible, So just just putting that
- 58:25Speaker 4: out there in the interest of tr and the other.
- 58:27Speaker 2: One being the details there are that she does not
- 58:31Speaker 2: allege that she was sexually assaulted by Trump, but she
- 58:34Speaker 2: alleges that she was, you know, introduced to Trump at
- 58:37Speaker 2: a young age and Trump was kind of like leering
- 58:40Speaker 2: at her, and you know, Epstein said, oh, well, this
- 58:43Speaker 2: this is a good one, isn't it. And they sort
- 58:45Speaker 2: of like laughed, and she was like, what the hell's
- 58:48Speaker 2: going on here? So it doesn't you know, again, there's
- 58:51Speaker 2: no allegation of wrongdoing by the president outside of knowledge
- 58:57Speaker 2: of what is going on here and providing some in
- 59:00Speaker 2: site into you know, just exactly how intimately he was
- 59:03Speaker 2: involved in the disgusting and depraved and illegal activities of
- 59:08Speaker 2: Jeffrey Epstein, right.
- 59:09Speaker 4: And because and we know in the two thousand and
- 59:11Speaker 4: two was it Vanity fair or maybe New York Magazine
- 59:14Speaker 4: article about Janny Fair Epstein, there's a quote from Trump
- 59:17Speaker 4: where he says, you know, he likes him young, he
- 59:21Speaker 4: loves him young, likes him young.
- 59:23Speaker 2: Yeah, so like and we be mar A Lago is
- 59:25Speaker 2: known to have been a key hunting ground actually for
- 59:28Speaker 2: Glaine in particular, and that's where Virginia Guffray was working
- 59:33Speaker 2: at sixteen years old when she was you know, recruited
- 59:37Speaker 2: and groomed and ends up trafficing by.
- 59:39Speaker 4: Them, and which according to Trump, not according to Trump,
- 59:42Speaker 4: but like in fairness Trump that he then got upset
- 59:46Speaker 4: with them for poaching Virginia away from there. Like so
- 59:52Speaker 4: there was like anyway just going bet and over backwards
- 59:56Speaker 4: to be fair to Trump here, but yes, did he know, Yeah,
- 59:58Speaker 4: he knew and actually in the files, according to the
- 1:00:03Speaker 4: what Dade County or what county is Palm Beach is
- 1:00:06Speaker 4: at Dade County. The sheriff there said that Trump called
- 1:00:11Speaker 4: and so glad you got this guy like he's creep.
- 1:00:14Speaker 4: So like you can either you can say A that
- 1:00:17Speaker 4: is credit to Trump. B it's full knowledge of what
- 1:00:20Speaker 4: he was doing. And he maintained a friendship with the
- 1:00:22Speaker 4: guy for about twenty years and then before the early
- 1:00:27Speaker 4: eighties to two thousands before having.
- 1:00:29Speaker 3: A fall falling out over a real estate transaction.
- 1:00:32Speaker 2: Yeah, and so all this is all right, you know
- 1:00:36Speaker 2: the story we've been giving in anyway, I think it's
- 1:00:38Speaker 2: Palm Beach County, isn't.
- 1:00:39Speaker 3: It sounds right?
- 1:00:41Speaker 2: Yeah, well we'll go with that. We've also got a
- 1:00:44Speaker 2: couple other end let's put B five up on the
- 1:00:46Speaker 2: screen here. Actually, so Larry Summers was all over these files,
- 1:00:50Speaker 2: you know, asking Epstein for lady advice and all sorts
- 1:00:53Speaker 2: of things. And so he has now been completely forced
- 1:00:57Speaker 2: down at Harvard University, and he'd already been forced to
- 1:01:01Speaker 2: They finally got amount at Center for American Progress. Crazy
- 1:01:04Speaker 2: he was still involved over there, but that's another topic
- 1:01:07Speaker 2: for another day. In any case, he'd been forced to
- 1:01:10Speaker 2: step down from various leadership positions and board now he's
- 1:01:13Speaker 2: been forced out of his professorship entirely over his Epstein pies.
- 1:01:18Speaker 2: So we're not getting legal repercussions here in the United States,
- 1:01:21Speaker 2: but we are getting a little bit of corporate cancel
- 1:01:23Speaker 2: culture repercussions. I was telling Sober it makes me a
- 1:01:26Speaker 2: little more sympathetic towards cancel culture, since apparently that's the
- 1:01:29Speaker 2: only way that we get any lead accountability here in
- 1:01:31Speaker 2: the United States. So I guess we'll take what we
- 1:01:33Speaker 2: can get with that and then put before up on
- 1:01:36Speaker 2: the screen. This is some new revelations about a governor,
- 1:01:40Speaker 2: a Democratic governor of the Virgin Islands, who was exchanging
- 1:01:45Speaker 2: providing favors to Jeffrey Epstein leading right up until his
- 1:01:49Speaker 2: arrest in twenty nineteen for child sex crimes. So, according
- 1:01:53Speaker 2: to media eight just months before his twenty nineteen arrest,
- 1:01:56Speaker 2: Jeffrey Epstein was being helped by US Virgin Islands Governor
- 1:01:59Speaker 2: Albert Bryan Junior. And Virgin Islands, of course, are like
- 1:02:02Speaker 2: his island is part of the Virgin Islands, so he
- 1:02:05Speaker 2: maintained very close relationships with all of the politicians there
- 1:02:09Speaker 2: so he could do whatever he needed to do on
- 1:02:12Speaker 2: his quote unquote pedophile island Little Saint James. After in
- 1:02:16Speaker 2: this original reporting by the Ways from CNN, after Epstein
- 1:02:19Speaker 2: was ordered to stop unauthorized construction on Little Saint James
- 1:02:22Speaker 2: and Great Saint James in the US Virgin Islands, the
- 1:02:25Speaker 2: serial sex offender went to Brian for help. According to
- 1:02:28Speaker 2: the Network, text messages from twenty nineteen reviewed by CNN
- 1:02:31Speaker 2: show Brian, a Democrat, telling Epstein he had spoken with
- 1:02:34Speaker 2: the territory's top environmental official and asked him to pause
- 1:02:37Speaker 2: enforcement until they could discuss the matter. As Epstein complained
- 1:02:41Speaker 2: about possible mounting fines and negative press coverage. Brian later
- 1:02:43Speaker 2: wrote he had asked the commissioner overseeing the case to
- 1:02:46Speaker 2: accuse himself and concede on all previous permit requests. In
- 1:02:50Speaker 2: one text message to Epstein, the Democratic governor wrote, we
- 1:02:53Speaker 2: got you. In another exchange, after Epstein asked Brian whether
- 1:02:56Speaker 2: he could spare fifteen minutes, the governor quickly responded, for you. Absolutely.
- 1:03:02Speaker 2: It's not a lovely, lovely story of friendship.
- 1:03:04Speaker 3: It's so nice, you know.
- 1:03:05Speaker 4: It's about the friends that we make along the way
- 1:03:08Speaker 4: it truly is. And so meanwhile, speaking of friends people
- 1:03:13Speaker 4: made along the way. But Bill Gates, I can put
- 1:03:16Speaker 4: up B two here, you know, has apologized to staff
- 1:03:20Speaker 4: and said that okay, yes I did have affairs with
- 1:03:24Speaker 4: quote two Russian women, and that Epstein later found out
- 1:03:30Speaker 4: about these affairs. Epstein paid for one of the women's education,
- 1:03:36Speaker 4: which was you go through the files, He's constantly dangling
- 1:03:39Speaker 4: and this is what's you know, another layer of darkness
- 1:03:42Speaker 4: on top of it. These women wanted, wanted an education,
- 1:03:45Speaker 4: wanted to improve their lot in life, and they saw
- 1:03:49Speaker 4: their relationship, you know, with Epstein and his network as
- 1:03:52Speaker 4: a way of getting that thing that society makes so
- 1:03:55Speaker 4: hard for people, which is just to get ahead, get
- 1:03:57Speaker 4: an education, get it, get ahead. These constantly dangling that
- 1:04:01Speaker 4: and in front of them and oftentimes not delivering on it.
- 1:04:04Speaker 4: In this case, he he did pay for one of
- 1:04:06Speaker 4: the women's education. Uh, then he had Bill Gates pay
- 1:04:10Speaker 4: him back, which I cannot understand this world of billionaires,
- 1:04:17Speaker 4: Like are you serious if I'm if I'm out with
- 1:04:19Speaker 4: a friend and like Chick fil A', I'm picking up
- 1:04:22Speaker 4: there they're Chick fil a. It's fine, like and or
- 1:04:24Speaker 4: the friend be like, you know what I got you
- 1:04:26Speaker 4: this time? Like that's what you do for friends. So
- 1:04:30Speaker 4: he picks up the Bill Gates's uh mistresses education and
- 1:04:37Speaker 4: then invoices him for it, like what is going on?
- 1:04:40Speaker 4: Like you're he's a they're both billionaires, can't pick up
- 1:04:44Speaker 4: each other's mistresses college bills and just say you get
- 1:04:47Speaker 4: the next one, like you.
- 1:04:49Speaker 2: Need to see that. The text from the you know,
- 1:04:51Speaker 2: like from the Virgin Islands governor, I got you, right.
- 1:04:53Speaker 4: I got you, I got I got you. Hey, let
- 1:04:55Speaker 4: me let me, let me get that table. No, no,
- 1:04:58Speaker 4: I got this one. You get you, you get the
- 1:05:00Speaker 4: next one, Like for some reason, this one is like
- 1:05:04Speaker 4: what's wrong with these people? So it looks like what
- 1:05:08Speaker 4: Epstein really had in mind because I'm I'm kidding, like
- 1:05:11Speaker 4: this is not in the top ten of their most
- 1:05:12Speaker 4: depraved characteristics, but it's.
- 1:05:15Speaker 3: One of them.
- 1:05:16Speaker 4: I think what Epstein really wanted is some paper trail
- 1:05:19Speaker 4: that he could then hold over Bill Gates at.
- 1:05:24Speaker 2: Which you're so much better at understanding the criminal mind.
- 1:05:29Speaker 2: So I see you're reporting because.
- 1:05:31Speaker 4: He been in this for too long. But he so
- 1:05:35Speaker 4: he then does try to implicitly use it against Gates
- 1:05:39Speaker 4: as Gates suggests here that like, yeah, and because he's
- 1:05:42Speaker 4: got the paper trail, he's got them.
- 1:05:46Speaker 2: And apparently so some of what we've gleaned from the
- 1:05:50Speaker 2: files is, you know, in the context of like Leon
- 1:05:53Speaker 2: Black and what is it Steve Tish, it seems like
- 1:05:57Speaker 2: Epstein has these young women in his orbit and you know,
- 1:06:03Speaker 2: pays for their you know, their dentistry and dangles a
- 1:06:07Speaker 2: modeling career or whatever, and then he like farms them
- 1:06:12Speaker 2: out to his rich, depraved quote unquote friends, and so
- 1:06:18Speaker 2: they they are trafficked like directly by him. What it
- 1:06:22Speaker 2: looks like with Bill Gates is that these women, as
- 1:06:25Speaker 2: far as we can tell, did not come directly from
- 1:06:28Speaker 2: the Epstein network. But nevertheless Epstein found out about it
- 1:06:33Speaker 2: and realize like, oh, this is an angle I can work.
- 1:06:38Speaker 2: You know, this is a piece of information that can
- 1:06:41Speaker 2: be useful to me in the future, and you know,
- 1:06:44Speaker 2: lo and behold. Years later, when Bill Gates tries to
- 1:06:47Speaker 2: is probably under pressure from his wife and tries to
- 1:06:49Speaker 2: pull away from his relationship to Epstein, that's when Epstein
- 1:06:53Speaker 2: writes this mement to himself of you know, oh, well,
- 1:06:55Speaker 2: here's all the things I know about this dude, and
- 1:06:57Speaker 2: that he definitely wouldn't want to come out that he
- 1:07:00Speaker 2: contracted some sort of STD from one of these Russian
- 1:07:03Speaker 2: women and didn't want his wife to find out. So
- 1:07:06Speaker 2: it was trying to, you know, use Epstein to procure
- 1:07:09Speaker 2: antibiotics to slip surreptitiously to his wife, is what Epstein
- 1:07:14Speaker 2: wrote in the memo to himself anyway. So we haven't
- 1:07:17Speaker 2: gotten confirmation specifically from Bill Gates on that particular part,
- 1:07:20Speaker 2: but you know, this would seem to confirm some key
- 1:07:22Speaker 2: aspects of what Epstein was memorializing there to himself.
- 1:07:26Speaker 4: And what a couple of people who knew Epstein told
- 1:07:29Speaker 4: me was that it was very hard to get rid
- 1:07:31Speaker 4: of them. And these are not people who had like
- 1:07:33Speaker 4: problematic relationships with him, so they were doing some self justification.
- 1:07:37Speaker 4: But people who knew knew him and knew his world
- 1:07:40Speaker 4: that it wasn't as easy as like he wasn't taking
- 1:07:44Speaker 4: the hint. You know what, Jeff, I don't think we're
- 1:07:47Speaker 4: going to be buddies anymore. I don't think we're going
- 1:07:48Speaker 4: to hang out anymore. It was much more of a
- 1:07:51Speaker 4: mafia thing, like oh no, no, no, no, that is
- 1:07:54Speaker 4: not that is not how this goes like, no, we
- 1:07:57Speaker 4: are still involved. You're not getting rid I mean you
- 1:08:00Speaker 4: can see that in the Leon Black emails that the
- 1:08:03Speaker 4: New York Times and others reported on that Leon Black
- 1:08:07Speaker 4: can't get rid of him and ends up continuing paying
- 1:08:11Speaker 4: you know, millions of dollars to them going going forward.
- 1:08:14Speaker 4: And so Epstein along the way knows he's going to
- 1:08:18Speaker 4: be he's not going to let this person get away.
- 1:08:20Speaker 3: And so what do you do along the way.
- 1:08:22Speaker 4: You build up enormous amounts of a compromising information so
- 1:08:26Speaker 4: you don't even have to use it, although it does
- 1:08:28Speaker 4: appear that he used it with Gates, just just them
- 1:08:33Speaker 4: knowing that you have it means that it's it's easier
- 1:08:36Speaker 4: than for these men to just continue be like, Okay,
- 1:08:40Speaker 4: you know what I can't get out of it's it's
- 1:08:42Speaker 4: it's going to it could blow up my entire life
- 1:08:45Speaker 4: if if I try too hard to extract myself from
- 1:08:48Speaker 4: this relationship that I probably should and that I know
- 1:08:51Speaker 4: I should not have gotten in. And then on the
- 1:08:53Speaker 4: on the flip side, you're like, I do have a
- 1:08:55Speaker 4: lot of fun with him.
- 1:08:56Speaker 3: The island's nice and all that.
- 1:08:59Speaker 10: The prey things that we do, we do kind of
- 1:09:01Speaker 10: like those things.
- 1:09:02Speaker 2: So yeah, and he introduced me to this person and
- 1:09:05Speaker 2: that person. I made this deal with him, you know,
- 1:09:08Speaker 2: and he's helping me with my Nobel Peace Prize aspirations. Apparently,
- 1:09:12Speaker 2: in the context of Bill Gates, that was something that.
- 1:09:15Speaker 4: Which he would be the guy he like knew that
- 1:09:17Speaker 4: he knew the Norwegians and had Yeah, he blew up
- 1:09:20Speaker 4: the entire Norwegian you know, political system.
- 1:09:24Speaker 3: So yeah, if he's going to help you get your.
- 1:09:27Speaker 2: Nobel so incredible. Yeah, and people, you know, some of
- 1:09:30Speaker 2: some of those skeptics will say, like, well, if all
- 1:09:33Speaker 2: these people like knew about this world and you know
- 1:09:36Speaker 2: all this way he was operating, surely one of them
- 1:09:38Speaker 2: would have come forward and blown the whistle. And it's like,
- 1:09:41Speaker 2: when you dig into each of these relationships you understand
- 1:09:43Speaker 2: why no one did because because if you're Bill Gates,
- 1:09:47Speaker 2: you don't want your wife to know that you had
- 1:09:48Speaker 2: these two affairs and that you got an STD and
- 1:09:50Speaker 2: tried to slipper sir reptitious and ibiotics. You're not you know,
- 1:09:54Speaker 2: you're not looking if you're just daily to have the
- 1:09:56Speaker 2: emails revealed where you're saying, hey, I had a great
- 1:09:58Speaker 2: time with snow White and maybe the next is princess
- 1:10:00Speaker 2: I should try on as beauty and the beast. You're
- 1:10:02Speaker 2: not really excited about that stuff coming to light, so
- 1:10:05Speaker 2: it's mutually sure destruction and you keep your mouth shut
- 1:10:08Speaker 2: because that's what's best for you.
- 1:10:09Speaker 4: Yeah, And and lots of people over the years, whether it's
- 1:10:11Speaker 4: Maria Farmer come cheat the sarn Off or like Tina Brown,
- 1:10:15Speaker 4: like like plenty of people like tried to blow the
- 1:10:18Speaker 4: whistle throughout that's years. And there's there's no mechanism for
- 1:10:22Speaker 4: accountability within elite circle. So if you come out and
- 1:10:25Speaker 4: say like, there's no like calling the police, there's no
- 1:10:28Speaker 4: like I'm going to press charges through this vehicle that
- 1:10:30Speaker 4: we that we have, it would be assumed that you
- 1:10:34Speaker 4: have some you're you're either a gold digger or you
- 1:10:38Speaker 4: had some business deal that went south with Epstein. That
- 1:10:41Speaker 4: isn't our business. So you guys sort this out. There's
- 1:10:44Speaker 4: no way to actually hold people in these elite circles accountable,
- 1:10:48Speaker 4: and so what you and so I've seen a lot
- 1:10:50Speaker 4: of people complaining this is becoming a moral panic, Like.
- 1:10:53Speaker 3: Okay, let's say it is.
- 1:10:54Speaker 4: Then then set up a system of accountability for the elites.
- 1:10:59Speaker 4: If you have an elite class that is immune from
- 1:11:02Speaker 4: any accountability, do not complain when the public produces its
- 1:11:08Speaker 4: own mechanisms.
- 1:11:09Speaker 3: Of accountability against them.
- 1:11:10Speaker 4: A saw Grand Platner picking up on making that argument,
- 1:11:14Speaker 4: which is I think exactly the one to take out
- 1:11:16Speaker 4: of this.
- 1:11:17Speaker 3: This class should not exist.
- 1:11:21Speaker 2: Yeah, and that's that's my point about you know that
- 1:11:24Speaker 2: I was kind of jokingly making about cancel culture, which
- 1:11:26Speaker 2: is a form of virgilante justice. Like you don't support
- 1:11:29Speaker 2: mob justice in that way, which you know is definitely
- 1:11:34Speaker 2: not the ideal way to go about things, then you
- 1:11:36Speaker 2: have to support some sort of actual accountability, and not
- 1:11:41Speaker 2: just with regard to the Epstein class, but you know,
- 1:11:44Speaker 2: going back to the Iraq War, lies into the financial
- 1:11:46Speaker 2: crisis and nobody goes to prison, and the just absolute
- 1:11:49Speaker 2: impunity that elite seem to operate with, we just we
- 1:11:52Speaker 2: haven't had that. So you don't be surprised then when
- 1:11:55Speaker 2: people resort to like mob online, cancel culture, and digital
- 1:12:00Speaker 2: vigilante justice, because that's the only chance that they have
- 1:12:04Speaker 2: of seeing any of these people held to account.
- 1:12:06Speaker 4: Democracy or barbarism, no justice, no peace, like these these
- 1:12:11Speaker 4: cliches exist for a reason, and that's right. Some moments,
- 1:12:15Speaker 4: they have more fire behind them than others. Right now,
- 1:12:18Speaker 4: the fire is burning