Latest / Toadstool Sports / Tuesday BEST BETS | Playoffs? | NBA Play-In & MLB & NHL | 4/14/26

Transcript

Tuesday BEST BETS | Playoffs? | NBA Play-In & MLB & NHL | 4/14/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep.
• 0:02
  Speaker 2: Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on Own seven
• 0:07
  Speaker 2: run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:09
  Speaker 1: It was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: start off.
• 0:12
  Speaker 2: This show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't even
• 0:16
  Speaker 2: know what to tell you above that.
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: I just don't want to do this anymore.
• 0:20
  Speaker 2: I have never seen anything like this. Man, with the
• 0:23
  Speaker 2: slump continuing, two straight losses, not.
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: A good day at all. Own four, I have not
• 0:31
  Speaker 1: had a good season.
• 0:32
  Speaker 2: Man, with bookends the slump that I'm on, and the
• 0:36
  Speaker 2: slump continues.
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: I've reached into pink. Actually, I'm gonna burn my broins hat. Man,
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: I don't know what is going on with the bruins
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: arch hape? Is that what it is?
• 0:47
  Speaker 2: I don't even know it's It's March ninth, I think
• 0:50
  Speaker 2: who even knows?
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: Man, I don't know what day it is anymore. I
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: don't even know what day it is anymore. Man, back
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: with you after the worst day that I.
• 0:59
  Speaker 2: Can possibly have, I'm back with you as I always am.
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: Until I die. At least oh and two. Yesterday and
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: yesterday it did not go well for me.
• 1:08
  Speaker 2: Own five, the worst month that I've ever had in
• 1:12
  Speaker 2: my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:16
  Speaker 2: To the slump, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:21
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what I should do at this
• 1:26
  Speaker 2: point other than potentially end it all.
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: Uh, playoffs. Don't talk about playoffs? You kidding me? Playoffs?
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: I just hope we can win a game, another game.
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: What's up, everybody? It's towed back with you with Toadstool Sports.
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: It is Tuesday.
• 1:51
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what day it is, man h
• 1:54
  Speaker 2: April fourteenth. The hot streak, you know, continues ten ten
• 2:01
  Speaker 2: day streak here where we have nine winning days out
• 2:04
  Speaker 2: of the ten and the other day was a pass.
• 2:06
  Speaker 2: So you know, the streak cannot continue like this. But
• 2:10
  Speaker 2: we are on a twenty and seven run right now
• 2:13
  Speaker 2: on the show. So tell your friends, tell your lovers.
• 2:17
  Speaker 2: You know, yesterday it did go pretty well. I was
• 2:21
  Speaker 2: hoping for the sweep yesterday, but the late game let
• 2:24
  Speaker 2: us down big time.
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: We did get the win.
• 2:27
  Speaker 2: The first game that finished was the Sharks. They got
• 2:30
  Speaker 2: the win. They're winning the majority of the game, I
• 2:34
  Speaker 2: would say, I mean they had a tune to nothing lead,
• 2:36
  Speaker 2: I'm pretty sure in that game, and they let that slip.
• 2:39
  Speaker 2: They made it three to one, let that slip really
• 2:42
  Speaker 2: late in the game, and then all of a sudden,
• 2:43
  Speaker 2: I think it was three to two. Oh crap. But
• 2:45
  Speaker 2: it was like the final minute of the game. So
• 2:47
  Speaker 2: they were able to finish it off with the win.
• 2:50
  Speaker 2: Texas Rangers, easy win with that situational spot there. We
• 2:54
  Speaker 2: got the good start out of Eavaldi.
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure.
• 2:56
  Speaker 2: I don't know, I haven't looked at the box score yet,
• 2:58
  Speaker 2: but Texas Rangers with the win there in that one,
• 3:02
  Speaker 2: and Winnipeg was the loser. Winnipeg did not get there
• 3:06
  Speaker 2: as they lost. I got dude, I have to check
• 3:09
  Speaker 2: like some of these box scores real real quick, because
• 3:11
  Speaker 2: I'm like, yeah, you have all they did pitch well
• 3:13
  Speaker 2: in the game. It looks like I'm gonna look more
• 3:15
  Speaker 2: into it later, but yeah, we got the win with
• 3:18
  Speaker 2: that one. And then Winnipeg, Yeah, they blew it big time. Well,
• 3:21
  Speaker 2: it didn't blow it, they just had a horrible game.
• 3:23
  Speaker 2: They got completely outplayed.
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: In the game.
• 3:25
  Speaker 2: I was kind of shocked by that. Like their shot
• 3:29
  Speaker 2: total got doubled by Vegas. Vegas showed up man, I
• 3:32
  Speaker 2: mean Vegas. I didn't think the plan for seeding was
• 3:36
  Speaker 2: as important, but Vegas showed up for it, and yeah,
• 3:40
  Speaker 2: there's nothing you can really do about that.
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: Move on to today.
• 3:43
  Speaker 2: We're gonna have three baseball plays, and I'm gonna give
• 3:46
  Speaker 2: out a play in the NBA play ins as well.
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: There is hockey today, but.
• 3:51
  Speaker 2: Really difficult to get handicap these last couple of days
• 3:54
  Speaker 2: of hockey, Like there's not a ton of motivation evolved
• 3:57
  Speaker 2: for the most part. So I am passing on that.
• 4:01
  Speaker 2: And it's gonna be really on brand today with how
• 4:04
  Speaker 2: ugly some of these baseball plays are. So that's what
• 4:07
  Speaker 2: we're gonna do. Let's get into it. I think we
• 4:09
  Speaker 2: have no afternoon action here today for any of the sports,
• 4:13
  Speaker 2: starting with baseball. Actually, let me make sure it's hockey
• 4:16
  Speaker 2: afternoon not it is not. Everything's in the evening. Baseball,
• 4:20
  Speaker 2: we have some earlier evening action, if you want to
• 4:23
  Speaker 2: call it that.
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: Arizona and Baltimore.
• 4:26
  Speaker 2: Baltimore, by the way, I believe they wound up with
• 4:28
  Speaker 2: Dean Kreamer making his first start of the season, and
• 4:32
  Speaker 2: I did recommend Baltimore as a lean in that game,
• 4:35
  Speaker 2: and they did wind up winning, But I don't know.
• 4:38
  Speaker 2: If I had known the Creamer would have been the starter,
• 4:40
  Speaker 2: I would have been less bullish on Baltimore problem. You
• 4:43
  Speaker 2: know me, if you watch my show, it's because I'm
• 4:45
  Speaker 2: an anti Semite man. That's why I don't like Dean Creamer. No,
• 4:50
  Speaker 2: I don't think he's a very good pitcher. And that
• 4:53
  Speaker 2: game was very high scoring, so there was that Baltimore
• 4:56
  Speaker 2: did escape with a high scoring.
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: Win last night.
• 5:00
  Speaker 2: That I trust either of these bullpens that are in
• 5:03
  Speaker 2: action here in this game. Arizona used only two relievers yesterday,
• 5:07
  Speaker 2: though Baltimore used three. Still don't know that I would
• 5:11
  Speaker 2: prefer the Arizona bullpen. I don't think I do, even
• 5:14
  Speaker 2: though they're eleventh in Whip right now, they're eras horrendous.
• 5:19
  Speaker 2: I don't buy Arizona's bullpen. I think they're bad. The
• 5:23
  Speaker 2: Orioles bullpen has actually been better than that anyway, so
• 5:27
  Speaker 2: I'll give the Orioles the bullpen edge. Still, as far
• 5:30
  Speaker 2: as the hitting is concerned in this game, the Orioles
• 5:33
  Speaker 2: have actually hit well so far this year. There's sixth
• 5:35
  Speaker 2: in ops offensively, So the Diamondbacks, you think that they'd
• 5:41
  Speaker 2: be better than they are. They have a pretty decent lineup,
• 5:43
  Speaker 2: but they're twenty third right now. So the Orioles seem
• 5:46
  Speaker 2: to have a lot of edges with the way things
• 5:48
  Speaker 2: are going right now, and I think they probably have
• 5:50
  Speaker 2: the edge in the starting pitching matchup here too hard
• 5:54
  Speaker 2: to gauge.
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: So Merrill Kelly is pitching for Arizona.
• 5:57
  Speaker 2: He's making his season debut, and he's back with his
• 6:00
  Speaker 2: former team, which is kind of interesting because he spent
• 6:03
  Speaker 2: his entire career on Arizona until last year.
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: I believe he was traded in the middle of the year.
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: I want to say, am I right about there? Did
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: he get traded back to Arizona at the end of
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: the year?
• 6:14
  Speaker 2: I forget, but I know he was on Texas and
• 6:17
  Speaker 2: he did alright with Texas, But now he's back on Arizona,
• 6:20
  Speaker 2: which is a less friendly pitching environment. However, now he's
• 6:23
  Speaker 2: pitching in Baltimore and he's making his first start of
• 6:26
  Speaker 2: the season, and I could see it going both ways
• 6:29
  Speaker 2: because Merril Kelly is a veteran and veterans they're used
• 6:33
  Speaker 2: to this type of thing, and a lot of times
• 6:35
  Speaker 2: they will step up and get out.
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: There and give you a good performance.
• 6:37
  Speaker 2: When they're coming back off of an injury or whatever
• 6:41
  Speaker 2: the case might be. But then again, he hasn't made
• 6:44
  Speaker 2: a start yet this season, and he's going up against.
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: Rogers, who Trevor Rodgers.
• 6:48
  Speaker 2: I keep calling him Tie by accident, and Tie is
• 6:50
  Speaker 2: a different player who might not be in the league anymore.
• 6:54
  Speaker 2: Trevor Rodgers does have games under his belt this season already,
• 6:57
  Speaker 2: so that might be an advantage to him because he's
• 6:59
  Speaker 2: already off and running, and sometimes that first start can
• 7:02
  Speaker 2: be a little bit questionable, so it's difficult to really
• 7:06
  Speaker 2: want to put your money on Kelly here, although I
• 7:08
  Speaker 2: Am actually going to be playing on a pitcher making
• 7:11
  Speaker 2: his first start today, so you know, maybe I'm being hypocritical,
• 7:17
  Speaker 2: but yes, Merril, Kelly is coming back from injury.
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: He is an older.
• 7:20
  Speaker 2: Guy at this point, but he's been pretty good throughout
• 7:23
  Speaker 2: his career. Even when he was on Arizona, he was
• 7:25
  Speaker 2: posting pretty good numbers overall, good career numbers, And yes,
• 7:29
  Speaker 2: I was right. He was on Arizona last year. Then
• 7:32
  Speaker 2: he got traded and he spent the remainder of the
• 7:34
  Speaker 2: season with Texas and actually wasn't quite as good, which
• 7:37
  Speaker 2: kind of surprises me. But again, Overall, he's a pretty
• 7:40
  Speaker 2: solid pitcher, dude, and I don't know there's any reason
• 7:43
  Speaker 2: to expect any different, although, of course, when you're up
• 7:46
  Speaker 2: there in age, that drop off can be pretty immediate,
• 7:50
  Speaker 2: so that remains to be seen. But he has not
• 7:52
  Speaker 2: pitched yet this year. He's going up against Baltimore. Like
• 7:57
  Speaker 2: I said, his numbers are good against them. In his career,
• 8:00
  Speaker 2: only six of their batters have ever faced them, and
• 8:02
  Speaker 2: they're only five for thirty three off him, although three
• 8:06
  Speaker 2: of those hits are home runs, all five hits are
• 8:09
  Speaker 2: Pete Alonzo, so literally nobody else in Baltimore's offense has
• 8:14
  Speaker 2: had a hit off of him. He's got tense right gouts,
• 8:16
  Speaker 2: one walk against them, one fifty two average allowed, six
• 8:20
  Speaker 2: thirty one ohps allowed. He does have good numbers against them.
• 8:23
  Speaker 2: Trevor Rodgers, though, has been really good this year so far.
• 8:27
  Speaker 2: One point eight to ninety RA, one point zero five whip.
• 8:31
  Speaker 2: I questioned him last year when he came back up
• 8:33
  Speaker 2: from injury or whatever it was started pitching for Baltimore.
• 8:36
  Speaker 2: I was like, what did Baltimore seeing this guy?
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: Now?
• 8:39
  Speaker 2: I guess we know, because he was really good last
• 8:41
  Speaker 2: year for Baltimore He's picked up right where he left
• 8:44
  Speaker 2: off too.
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: He was really good at home as well.
• 8:47
  Speaker 2: I guess the one caveat you can see here is
• 8:49
  Speaker 2: that he hasn't faced any really good offenses yet this year.
• 8:51
  Speaker 2: But I mean, Minnesota and Texas are hitting alright sort
• 8:55
  Speaker 2: of this year still, I don't know, he hasn't faced
• 8:59
  Speaker 2: like a gaunt yet, let's say, but Arizona hasn't really
• 9:02
  Speaker 2: been hitting well either.
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: Overall, I mean, Rogers has been good. His strikeout rate.
• 9:05
  Speaker 2: Is not as high as you'd probably want it to
• 9:07
  Speaker 2: be at fourteen, but only five walks at fifteen hits
• 9:11
  Speaker 2: a lot in nineteen inninges.
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: That's not too bad.
• 9:13
  Speaker 2: The walk number is a little bit high against Arizona,
• 9:16
  Speaker 2: He's done well in the past.
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: They only have several hitters who have ever seen him.
• 9:20
  Speaker 2: They're only four for thirty three, often with one extra
• 9:22
  Speaker 2: base hit a Marte double, seven strikeouts, no walks, one
• 9:27
  Speaker 2: twenty one average overall two seventy three ops. My lean
• 9:31
  Speaker 2: in this game is going to be the under. Probably
• 9:35
  Speaker 2: not surprising there. I don't have it on my card.
• 9:37
  Speaker 2: The total where we're looking at here, I was looking
• 9:40
  Speaker 2: at the I was looking at Mitch Keller not Merrill Kelly. Yeah,
• 9:43
  Speaker 2: the it is the total actually flip to eight and
• 9:46
  Speaker 2: half juice to the over. You might actually be able
• 9:48
  Speaker 2: to find a nine on this. But yeah, my lean
• 9:50
  Speaker 2: would be under. Although then again, I don't like the
• 9:53
  Speaker 2: Arizona bullpen, so I don't know if I love Baltimore's
• 9:57
  Speaker 2: bullpen either. Under first five innings, this kind of makes
• 10:00
  Speaker 2: sense to me in this game as well, if you
• 10:01
  Speaker 2: wanted to do it that way, just focus on the
• 10:03
  Speaker 2: starting pitching here. The money is coming in on Baltimore,
• 10:06
  Speaker 2: for what that's worth. On the side there at Mights
• 10:09
  Speaker 2: won forty three now eighty six percent of the tickets,
• 10:11
  Speaker 2: ninety nine percent of the cash on Baltimore. Baltimore did win,
• 10:15
  Speaker 2: like I said yesterday, nine to seven. Don't know if
• 10:17
  Speaker 2: there's really any zig zag opportunity there. I think the
• 10:20
  Speaker 2: zigzag is really less of a thing in baseball anyway.
• 10:23
  Speaker 2: But the money is coming in on Baltimore. I'm not
• 10:26
  Speaker 2: gonna disagree. I mean, I think Baltimore has the better bullpen,
• 10:29
  Speaker 2: and probably as a starting pitching edge with the pitcher
• 10:32
  Speaker 2: that's already pitched multiple times this year versus a guy
• 10:36
  Speaker 2: coming in cold, you know. So I don't disagree with
• 10:37
  Speaker 2: Baltimore there. Maybe Baltimore is still the better approach in
• 10:41
  Speaker 2: that game, but I'd lean Baltimore and first five inning
• 10:44
  Speaker 2: under in that game, but not one that I love.
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: Cubs at Philadelphia.
• 10:50
  Speaker 2: Philadelphia got the win yesterday and a blowout thirteen to seven.
• 10:54
  Speaker 2: You would think that maybe that means the Cubs are
• 10:56
  Speaker 2: gonna have a bounce back opportunity here because the Cubs
• 10:59
  Speaker 2: are this bad bullpen wise. The Cubs only used two
• 11:03
  Speaker 2: relievers yesterday. Philadelphia used two as well. Philadelphia's bullpen has
• 11:08
  Speaker 2: actually pitched well so far this year.
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: Believe it or not. They weren't that good last year.
• 11:12
  Speaker 2: Their era doesn't look that good, but Whip is third,
• 11:16
  Speaker 2: so their bullpend has been good and it's been better
• 11:18
  Speaker 2: than the Cubs. All of the Cubs haven't been terrible
• 11:21
  Speaker 2: in the bullpen department. They're middle of the pack right now.
• 11:24
  Speaker 2: Phillies have been the better offense. The Cubs have just
• 11:27
  Speaker 2: really struggled. Neither offense has really totally lived up to.
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: I think what they should be so far. We know
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: there were good hitters.
• 11:36
  Speaker 2: In both these lineups, but they're both kind of middle
• 11:38
  Speaker 2: of the pack offenses with Philadelphia eleventh Cubs nineteenth in
• 11:42
  Speaker 2: ops right now, I'll give Philadelphia an offensive edge anyway,
• 11:46
  Speaker 2: though I think at full strength, I do actually think
• 11:48
  Speaker 2: they do have the somewhat better offense here. Starting pitching,
• 11:54
  Speaker 2: I don't know what's going on with Chicago.
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: Man. They're using Riley.
• 11:57
  Speaker 2: Martin, who is a twenty eight year rolled relief pitcher
• 12:02
  Speaker 2: who has only made three appearances in his major league career,
• 12:05
  Speaker 2: all this year and all out of the bullpen, so
• 12:08
  Speaker 2: it looks like he's gonna be the opener and actually
• 12:11
  Speaker 2: he might not even be actually be starting.
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: Let me see what's going on here, all right?
• 12:16
  Speaker 2: Well, pregame has Colin Ray listed as the starter here,
• 12:19
  Speaker 2: which maybe makes more sense, but you might get Riley
• 12:22
  Speaker 2: Martin opening for him. And I wouldn't really even bother
• 12:25
  Speaker 2: handicapping Martin really because he's probably gonna go one inning in.
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: Front of Ray if that's the case.
• 12:31
  Speaker 2: But keep that in mind that they might use Martin
• 12:34
  Speaker 2: as an opener in front of Ray here, and if
• 12:37
  Speaker 2: they do that, if you want to handicap it as
• 12:40
  Speaker 2: if Ray is the starter, because he's probably gonna give
• 12:42
  Speaker 2: you more innings there, but you're not sure if they're
• 12:44
  Speaker 2: gonna use that opener in front of him or not.
• 12:46
  Speaker 2: You want to go action on this bet, you know
• 12:49
  Speaker 2: what I mean, which means that it'll count regardless of
• 12:51
  Speaker 2: who actually starts, Whereas the default bet is usually the
• 12:56
  Speaker 2: starting pitchers listed must start, and usually I prefer that,
• 12:59
  Speaker 2: But in this game, I would say, you want to
• 13:03
  Speaker 2: go action on it, just because I don't think it
• 13:05
  Speaker 2: changes the handicap that much of Martin is in there
• 13:08
  Speaker 2: for one inning in front of Ray.
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: We're gonna handicap this.
• 13:12
  Speaker 2: Basically like Ray is gonna be the starter here, I
• 13:14
  Speaker 2: assume he's gonna give you more innings. He's been pretty
• 13:17
  Speaker 2: good so far this year three point one adra and one.
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: Point one five whip.
• 13:21
  Speaker 2: You know, I'm not really a huge Ray fan, although
• 13:23
  Speaker 2: he does have ten strikeouts and eleven and a third
• 13:25
  Speaker 2: innings so far this season. Three walks pretty good numbers
• 13:29
  Speaker 2: so far. Has only gone five innings in one of
• 13:32
  Speaker 2: his outings so far. I think his other two outings
• 13:33
  Speaker 2: are out of the bullpen, and then he had to
• 13:35
  Speaker 2: replace the injured Kate Horton in the.
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: Starting rotation here.
• 13:41
  Speaker 2: Ray He's been pretty decent against Philadelphia as well in
• 13:44
  Speaker 2: the past. In eighty six at bats, twenty to three
• 13:47
  Speaker 2: strikeout walk ratios. His command numbers are good against them,
• 13:50
  Speaker 2: two forty four average allowed, six to sixty five ohps.
• 13:55
  Speaker 2: Not bad numbers there for Colin Ray, so I think
• 13:59
  Speaker 2: he could do ok in this game.
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: He is going up against.
• 14:01
  Speaker 2: Aaron Nola, who looks like he might be back from
• 14:05
  Speaker 2: coming back from injury or whatever.
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: He's been good so far this season.
• 14:09
  Speaker 2: He looked pretty good at the end of last year,
• 14:11
  Speaker 2: started turning things around. He's got a three point six
• 14:14
  Speaker 2: three ERA and one point one whip so far this year.
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: Those are good numbers.
• 14:18
  Speaker 2: Nineteen to four strike at walk ratio and fifteen hits
• 14:21
  Speaker 2: allowed in seventeen to third innings. That's pretty good so
• 14:24
  Speaker 2: far as well. He's he just remains in good form
• 14:29
  Speaker 2: right now. He's pitched well this season. Good numbers against
• 14:31
  Speaker 2: the Cubs as well. In a large one hundred and
• 14:33
  Speaker 2: eighty six at bat sample size, a few of their
• 14:36
  Speaker 2: hitters have faced him quite a bit. Fifty two to
• 14:38
  Speaker 2: fourteen strike a walk ratio that's actually not too bad either,
• 14:43
  Speaker 2: even though it kind of looks like a lot of walks,
• 14:45
  Speaker 2: but it's a lot of strikeouts too. One ninety nine
• 14:47
  Speaker 2: average allowed five ninety nine OPS. That is a really
• 14:50
  Speaker 2: low batting average, pretty low ops as well. Nola has
• 14:53
  Speaker 2: done well here. I think Philadelphia has the advantages in
• 14:58
  Speaker 2: this game.
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 15:00
  Speaker 2: They've had the better bullpen pitching so far. They're hitting
• 15:03
  Speaker 2: has been a bit better. I think they probably have
• 15:05
  Speaker 2: the starting pitching edge. They're at minus one thirty eight
• 15:09
  Speaker 2: after dropping for minus one fifty, but eighty one percent
• 15:12
  Speaker 2: of tickets ninety five percent of the cash on the Phillies.
• 15:14
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna lean Phillies in this one. I know, on
• 15:18
  Speaker 2: the sort, like you know, based on like situational handicapping,
• 15:21
  Speaker 2: I should say it looks like the Cubs should bounce
• 15:23
  Speaker 2: back here. I'm not so sure that's gonna be the case.
• 15:26
  Speaker 2: Don't really know if I trust Ray either, So I
• 15:29
  Speaker 2: think that would be my opinion in that game, but
• 15:31
  Speaker 2: not a strong one.
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: This next game will be a play for me. This one.
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: I bounce back and forth.
• 15:38
  Speaker 2: Dude, I'm gonna give you all my opinions in these
• 15:40
  Speaker 2: games and try to tell you which ones I thought
• 15:42
  Speaker 2: were more strong, and this one I decided to put
• 15:46
  Speaker 2: on my card. Hopefully it's gonna get there. We'll see, man,
• 15:50
  Speaker 2: I think there might be some advantages to this. We're
• 15:53
  Speaker 2: gonna go under in Kansas City and Detroit here, and
• 15:56
  Speaker 2: I know Kansas City's bullpen has been bad this year,
• 15:59
  Speaker 2: so we're gonna have to dodge that, and I know
• 16:00
  Speaker 2: we're going full game on this.
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: I still just don't think.
• 16:04
  Speaker 2: They could possibly be this bad, though I know they've
• 16:07
  Speaker 2: been bad, but last year they have a lot of
• 16:10
  Speaker 2: those same guys. They were not a bad bullpen last year.
• 16:13
  Speaker 2: I don't think they're this bad. And Detroit's been fine,
• 16:16
  Speaker 2: like middle of the pack, but you have rested bullpens
• 16:19
  Speaker 2: here because these teams did not play yesterday, so the
• 16:22
  Speaker 2: bullpen's are rested. So I think it serves two purposes
• 16:27
  Speaker 2: as far as like the unders concerned. We have teams
• 16:29
  Speaker 2: coming off a day off. The offenses can kind of
• 16:32
  Speaker 2: cooled off a little bit by having a day off,
• 16:35
  Speaker 2: and it rests the bullpens. So I like looking at
• 16:38
  Speaker 2: unders with too rested teams typically, so we are doing
• 16:42
  Speaker 2: it here with this one, and I think we actually
• 16:44
  Speaker 2: have a nice advantage with the started pitching, although as
• 16:48
  Speaker 2: far as the side is concerned yet, like I said,
• 16:50
  Speaker 2: Detroit does have the better bullpen so far. I mean,
• 16:53
  Speaker 2: I'm not gonna really disagree with that. And then the offenses.
• 16:56
  Speaker 2: This is another thing that comes into play. The offenses
• 16:58
  Speaker 2: haven't really been particularly good. Detroit's fourteenth in ops right
• 17:02
  Speaker 2: now and the Royals are twenty sixth, so we're not
• 17:05
  Speaker 2: dealing with the offenses that have really been lighting it up,
• 17:08
  Speaker 2: you know, So I think that helps us with.
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: The under here as well.
• 17:11
  Speaker 2: It's not just, you know, the pitching, although I think
• 17:13
  Speaker 2: pitching does outweigh hitting. But when Hitty can't take advantage
• 17:17
  Speaker 2: of the bad pitching, that's also a thing. But I
• 17:20
  Speaker 2: like to starting pitching matchup here too. Man, if you
• 17:22
  Speaker 2: wanted to go first five under, I'm not gonna disagree
• 17:24
  Speaker 2: with that either.
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: I think we have two pretty solid starters here.
• 17:28
  Speaker 2: They're both coming off of really bad outings, and they're
• 17:31
  Speaker 2: both solid enough that they're better than what their numbers indicate.
• 17:35
  Speaker 2: So that's why I like the under in a game
• 17:37
  Speaker 2: like this. I think it's gonna be an overlooked play
• 17:39
  Speaker 2: here because nobody's gonna want to play an under with
• 17:41
  Speaker 2: the way these two pitchers have looked so.
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: Far based on their numbers.
• 17:45
  Speaker 2: But these are veteran pitchers, so I think could bounce
• 17:48
  Speaker 2: back from a bad out and Cole Reagan's.
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: His pitching for the Royals.
• 17:52
  Speaker 2: He's their a dude, like he's been that in the past.
• 17:55
  Speaker 2: He's off to not a good start obviously, five point
• 17:58
  Speaker 2: nine win, one point six to nine, but we know
• 18:01
  Speaker 2: that he's better than this, like he's not.
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: I don't think he's all of.
• 18:04
  Speaker 2: A sudden just a completely different guy at the age
• 18:07
  Speaker 2: of twenty eight, unless there's something else going on here.
• 18:09
  Speaker 2: I know he had kind of an injury plagued season
• 18:12
  Speaker 2: last year, but once he got going, he got going
• 18:15
  Speaker 2: and his numbers were good, So I think he is
• 18:17
  Speaker 2: going to turn it around. And he looked good in
• 18:19
  Speaker 2: his second start, but then he had an atrocious start
• 18:22
  Speaker 2: against Cleveland back on the eighth, but he only threw
• 18:25
  Speaker 2: eighteen pitches. He still did start on schedule, and a
• 18:29
  Speaker 2: veteran like this, I think when he's coming off a
• 18:30
  Speaker 2: really ugly outing like that, I think he's gonna give
• 18:33
  Speaker 2: you a much.
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: Better outing in the next outing.
• 18:35
  Speaker 2: Plus, he's going up against Detroit and while yes, they're
• 18:38
  Speaker 2: very familiar with him because he's been in their division,
• 18:41
  Speaker 2: he's done really well against them in sixty at bats
• 18:44
  Speaker 2: one seventeen batting average allowed. They're only seven for sixty
• 18:48
  Speaker 2: off of him and a three ninety seven ops. Those
• 18:51
  Speaker 2: are really good numbers. The only concern is the walk
• 18:54
  Speaker 2: number is way too high. Twenty six strikeouts is quite good,
• 18:57
  Speaker 2: but twelve walks, So that's the one here is Yeah,
• 19:00
  Speaker 2: he's issued a lot of walks to them, but otherwise
• 19:03
  Speaker 2: I really like these numbers here, so I think he
• 19:06
  Speaker 2: can come in here and give us a good start
• 19:08
  Speaker 2: here from ber Valdez is on the other side here,
• 19:12
  Speaker 2: his numbers don't look good this season. Four point seven
• 19:14
  Speaker 2: to six ERA, one point four to seven WHIP. But
• 19:17
  Speaker 2: I think he's better than what he looked like in
• 19:19
  Speaker 2: his last game too. He got shelled after in his
• 19:21
  Speaker 2: first two starts he only give up one earned run
• 19:24
  Speaker 2: across those two starts.
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: He got shelled by.
• 19:26
  Speaker 2: This Minnesota team that is somehow lighting it up against
• 19:29
  Speaker 2: everybody right now, even though don't even think they're good.
• 19:32
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna give him a little bit of a pass
• 19:34
  Speaker 2: for that.
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: Now.
• 19:35
  Speaker 2: I worry that his strikeout rate is down. That's been
• 19:37
  Speaker 2: the one issue with him so far. Really, twelve strikeouts
• 19:40
  Speaker 2: at seventeen innings. He's allowed twenty hits. That's a concern,
• 19:43
  Speaker 2: but it was pretty much all because of that one
• 19:45
  Speaker 2: bad outing against Minnesota. That's where ten of those twenty
• 19:50
  Speaker 2: hits came in. So I'm gonna give him a little
• 19:51
  Speaker 2: bit of a pass for that. Five walks isn't exactly great,
• 19:55
  Speaker 2: but Valdez he does tend to.
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: Be a little bit wild. He's got to get a
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: strikeout rate back.
• 20:00
  Speaker 2: But he did have ten strikeouts in the first two starts,
• 20:03
  Speaker 2: so he's been good except for that starting against Minnesota
• 20:06
  Speaker 2: pretty much. So again, I'm gonna give him a little
• 20:09
  Speaker 2: bit of a pass for that. He's a veteran. I
• 20:11
  Speaker 2: think he is gonna bounce back, even though I know
• 20:13
  Speaker 2: he's a guy that is kind of a head case.
• 20:15
  Speaker 2: It goes on tilt a little bit. But he's going
• 20:18
  Speaker 2: up against the Royals here, which should be probably an
• 20:21
  Speaker 2: easier task, and he's done well against them in the past,
• 20:24
  Speaker 2: even though they're pretty familiar with him. Eighty nine at bats,
• 20:27
  Speaker 2: twenty six to five strike a walk ratio that's solid,
• 20:30
  Speaker 2: one fifty seven average, allowed.
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: Four to eighty three ops.
• 20:34
  Speaker 2: So both of these starting pitchers have strong numbers against
• 20:37
  Speaker 2: these offenses. So we're gonna do it. Rested bullpens let's
• 20:41
  Speaker 2: do it. Let's go under. The total might actually even
• 20:44
  Speaker 2: reach eight here.
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: I found it.
• 20:46
  Speaker 2: It's seven and a half at even money. I mean
• 20:48
  Speaker 2: seven is the key number here. So get at least
• 20:50
  Speaker 2: under seven and a half of you a full game
• 20:52
  Speaker 2: on this first five, you might be able to find
• 20:55
  Speaker 2: maybe even a four at a decent price there on
• 20:58
  Speaker 2: the first five. I don't hate that either if you
• 21:01
  Speaker 2: are scared of the Kansas City bullpen, but at least
• 21:04
  Speaker 2: they're rested, and I think there is room for them
• 21:06
  Speaker 2: to improve. Like I don't think they're absolutely a disastrous
• 21:09
  Speaker 2: bullpen like some of these other ones. Are ninety three
• 21:12
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets, nine to nine percent of the cash
• 21:14
  Speaker 2: on the over so it looks like a pretty public
• 21:17
  Speaker 2: over here. And again you see two pictures with horrendous eras.
• 21:21
  Speaker 2: Nobody's gonna want to go under in a game like this,
• 21:23
  Speaker 2: we will, Uh. Detroit is at minus one seventeen. They
• 21:28
  Speaker 2: are taking money sixty six percent of tickets, ninety two
• 21:30
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on Detroit. So the money is
• 21:33
  Speaker 2: coming in of Detroit as far as the side is concerned.
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: Like situationally, Detroit.
• 21:38
  Speaker 2: Is coming off a sweep of Miami and staying at home.
• 21:41
  Speaker 2: I don't think that's really gonna put them in a
• 21:43
  Speaker 2: letdown spot Kansas City coming off losing their last game
• 21:47
  Speaker 2: to the White Sox and now going out on the road.
• 21:49
  Speaker 2: I don't think it's a negative spot for Kansas City either,
• 21:53
  Speaker 2: like I think it's kind of a positive spot for them.
• 21:55
  Speaker 2: I don't really see that much of an angle for
• 21:57
  Speaker 2: Detroit here.
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: Really.
• 21:58
  Speaker 2: I don't love the side, and I can't really form
• 22:01
  Speaker 2: an opinion on the side, but the money is saying
• 22:03
  Speaker 2: Detroit for whatever reason, maybe maybe just because they're just
• 22:08
  Speaker 2: overall the slightly better team I think, and maybe getting
• 22:12
  Speaker 2: just a little bit undervalued here. I think just generally though,
• 22:16
  Speaker 2: I think Reagan's is probably a better pitcher than Valdez.
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: Though when they're both.
• 22:21
  Speaker 2: In form I should say anyway, yeah, I like the
• 22:25
  Speaker 2: under on that game, and that's what we're doing there,
• 22:27
  Speaker 2: Dirty sock, what's up? Thanks for hanging out all right.
• 22:34
  Speaker 2: I've only gotten through a few games so far. Man,
• 22:37
  Speaker 2: this is going really slow so far. San Francisco at Cincinnati.
• 22:42
  Speaker 2: These two teams also did not play yesterday. Cincinnati is
• 22:45
  Speaker 2: staying at home. Just lost to Anaheim at home, so
• 22:49
  Speaker 2: could be a bounced back spot.
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: For them.
• 22:51
  Speaker 2: San Francisco is having to come in from Baltimore. Both
• 22:54
  Speaker 2: teams are off yesterday, which does mean rested bullpens. As
• 22:58
  Speaker 2: far as the bullpens are concerned, I think there's more
• 23:00
  Speaker 2: room for improvement with the Giants bullpen. I'm looking at
• 23:03
  Speaker 2: the offense so both offense has been terrible so far.
• 23:06
  Speaker 2: They're both in the bottom four ops wise, although I
• 23:10
  Speaker 2: think the Giants are legitimately a very weak offense. Cincinnati
• 23:13
  Speaker 2: maybe not as bad as that, but they've both been
• 23:16
  Speaker 2: bad so far this year.
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: The Giants have not had a good bullpen so far.
• 23:21
  Speaker 2: They're sitting at twentieth in WHIP, but I think they
• 23:24
  Speaker 2: should turn it around. Their bullpen was better, like was
• 23:27
  Speaker 2: one of the best bullpens last year, and I don't
• 23:29
  Speaker 2: see why they would be that much.
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: Worse this year.
• 23:32
  Speaker 2: Again, it's early, but you never really know how it's
• 23:34
  Speaker 2: gonna shape up. Cincinnati has had the better bullpens so
• 23:37
  Speaker 2: far at twelve. Other bullpens actually pitched pretty well so far,
• 23:40
  Speaker 2: even though they play in a hitter friendly ballpark, which
• 23:43
  Speaker 2: is where this is. But I think you might be
• 23:46
  Speaker 2: able to trust both bullpens enough here. If you're looking
• 23:48
  Speaker 2: at you know, going with an under or something like
• 23:51
  Speaker 2: that here, But I mean, that's not really what my
• 23:53
  Speaker 2: opinion would be in this game. I'm just saying generally,
• 23:56
  Speaker 2: I think the bullpens are somewhat trustworthy here and they're rested.
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: Robbie is pitching for the Giants.
• 24:01
  Speaker 2: He's had a good start to the season two point
• 24:04
  Speaker 2: eight point nine to eight whip. He pitched well last
• 24:08
  Speaker 2: year until he started to struggle later in the season.
• 24:10
  Speaker 2: I think maybe getting named to the All Star team
• 24:13
  Speaker 2: threw him off. I don't know exactly what happened there,
• 24:15
  Speaker 2: but his strikeout rates good, more than one per inning.
• 24:18
  Speaker 2: He's only allowed eleven hits in seventeen to third so far,
• 24:21
  Speaker 2: pitching well, and he's gone up against Yankees, Mets, Phillies,
• 24:25
  Speaker 2: not easy opponents to face.
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 24:28
  Speaker 2: The only concern with him really is that he walks
• 24:30
  Speaker 2: six guys over those last two outings, but he still
• 24:33
  Speaker 2: didn't allow many runs, so he is pretty much in
• 24:36
  Speaker 2: good form. You want to see that walk number go
• 24:38
  Speaker 2: down though. Against Cincinnati decent numbers and forty five at bats.
• 24:44
  Speaker 2: They don't have that many hitters who've even seen him.
• 24:46
  Speaker 2: They have six hitters who have faced him before twenty
• 24:49
  Speaker 2: strikeouts of four walks, so almost half of their at
• 24:52
  Speaker 2: bats have been strikeouts. That is a pretty crazy rate
• 24:56
  Speaker 2: there in ratio two hundred batting average allowed to them.
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: Even thirty two OPS is a bit high.
• 25:02
  Speaker 2: Suarez does have two of them runs off him, so
• 25:05
  Speaker 2: that's part of the reason why that OPS is that high.
• 25:09
  Speaker 2: It's still not that bad though, Like I think, Ray
• 25:11
  Speaker 2: is generally probably fairly trustworthy here. Maybe the same thing
• 25:16
  Speaker 2: cannot be said about Brady Singer, who is not off
• 25:19
  Speaker 2: to a good start for the Reds. Seven point seven
• 25:21
  Speaker 2: to one ERA two point zero six whip that is awful.
• 25:26
  Speaker 2: He's only made it five innings once so far, but
• 25:28
  Speaker 2: he got completely blasted in his last outing against the Mets.
• 25:32
  Speaker 1: Maybe he won't be as bad in this next one.
• 25:35
  Speaker 2: He's coming back home, and I believe last year he
• 25:37
  Speaker 2: actually did pitch pretty well at home, even though it's
• 25:39
  Speaker 2: a hitter friendly park. Yet he was actually significantly better
• 25:42
  Speaker 2: at home last year three point twenty nine ERA at
• 25:45
  Speaker 2: home versus four point eight eight on the road, So
• 25:48
  Speaker 2: he might be a little bit more trustworthy at home here.
• 25:50
  Speaker 2: Thirteen to three strikeout walk ratio is not bad. More
• 25:53
  Speaker 2: than one strikeout an inning this year. That's not bad either.
• 25:57
  Speaker 2: Just twenty one hits a lot is unbelievably bad, and
• 26:00
  Speaker 2: most of it is again because that last start he
• 26:02
  Speaker 2: got lit up by Miami.
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: He should be a bit better here.
• 26:07
  Speaker 2: I think he's he's a mediocre pitcher, but he's definitely
• 26:09
  Speaker 2: better than his numbers would suggest at least, and he's
• 26:12
  Speaker 2: going up against a pretty weak Giant offense here, but
• 26:16
  Speaker 2: he's been terrible against him. In forty seven at bats
• 26:19
  Speaker 2: eight zero strego walk.
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: Ratio is good.
• 26:22
  Speaker 2: Matt Chapman has absolutely wrecked him, seven for ten with
• 26:25
  Speaker 2: two one runs off him. Arai Az is eight for
• 26:28
  Speaker 2: nineteen off him. Those are some crazy numbers. He's a
• 26:31
  Speaker 2: lot of four to twenty six batting average to them
• 26:33
  Speaker 2: in one forty nine ohps. Overall, I mean it's mostly
• 26:37
  Speaker 2: those two guys doing the damage. And then Dever is
• 26:39
  Speaker 2: also four for eleven with a home run. So yeah, generally,
• 26:44
  Speaker 2: I am still gonna say yeah, even though it's kind
• 26:46
  Speaker 2: of a small sample sized, Singer has not done well
• 26:49
  Speaker 2: against the Giants, I'm gonna yeah, I'm gonna lean Giants
• 26:55
  Speaker 2: in this one. But the money is completely disagreeing with me.
• 27:00
  Speaker 2: You know, maybe Giants first five if you really don't
• 27:02
  Speaker 2: trust their bullpenal though, I think their bullpen is not
• 27:05
  Speaker 2: that bad.
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: Fifty percent of the tickets that are on the Giants.
• 27:08
  Speaker 2: It looks like the public sentiment is kind of that
• 27:11
  Speaker 2: the Giants are gonna bounce back.
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man, or they just don't like Cincinnati.
• 27:15
  Speaker 2: Eighty six percent of the cash on Cincinnati though, but
• 27:19
  Speaker 2: still yeah.
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know, man.
• 27:21
  Speaker 2: Maybe Ray is being a little bit overvalued in the market,
• 27:24
  Speaker 2: or singers being undervalued here. Maybe that's why the money's
• 27:27
  Speaker 2: coming out of Cincinnati. I don't know, man, But analyzing
• 27:30
  Speaker 2: that matchup, I kind of lean Giants.
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: Washington at Pittsburgh.
• 27:34
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh destroyed Washington yesterday sixteen to five. I don't think
• 27:40
  Speaker 2: Washington is that good. I don't think they're anywhere near
• 27:42
  Speaker 2: as good as the record looks. Will they bounce back
• 27:46
  Speaker 2: from a blowout loss?
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: Maybe?
• 27:48
  Speaker 2: I mean, when a team blows the team out and
• 27:50
  Speaker 2: then they play that team again, a lot of times
• 27:52
  Speaker 2: that team that won will overlook that team in the
• 27:55
  Speaker 2: next game. Washington three relief pitchers used yesterday, Pittsburgh US two.
• 28:01
  Speaker 2: Both these bullpens have actually been bad this year. Washington
• 28:04
  Speaker 2: is legitimately terrible. They're third worst right now in WHIP,
• 28:08
  Speaker 2: but I believe they have the worst bullpen era out
• 28:10
  Speaker 2: of any team. They're bad, They're definitely bad. Pittsburgh has
• 28:14
  Speaker 2: not been that much better at twenty sixth overall, though
• 28:17
  Speaker 2: their bullpen era is better than all the other teams
• 28:20
  Speaker 2: surrounding them, but their WHIP indicates that their bullpend is
• 28:23
  Speaker 2: not good. Offenses have both been good, Washington fourth and
• 28:27
  Speaker 2: ops and Pittsburgh seventh. So it's shaping up to look
• 28:31
  Speaker 2: like this should be another high scoring game if you
• 28:33
  Speaker 2: just look at that, and then if you start looking
• 28:36
  Speaker 2: at the starting pitchers, it kind of looks that way too.
• 28:38
  Speaker 2: With Miles Michelis pitching for Washington, he's been awful this year.
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: I mean, he's not good. He might have to retire. Dude.
• 28:47
  Speaker 2: Twelve point four to one ERA, two point three to
• 28:49
  Speaker 2: five WHIP. That is very bad.
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: Of course, it's.
• 28:53
  Speaker 2: Getting skewed a little bit by one absolutely atrocious game
• 28:56
  Speaker 2: against the Dodgers, but he's been bad anyway, like eleven
• 29:01
  Speaker 2: to seven strike out walk ratio overall, twenty two hits
• 29:03
  Speaker 2: allowed in twelve and a third his other starts besides
• 29:06
  Speaker 2: that Dodger one.
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: We're not exactly good. He's not good.
• 29:10
  Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, I don't think I need to be
• 29:12
  Speaker 2: labor that he sucks going up against uh oh no, wait,
• 29:15
  Speaker 2: he's on Washington. Who are we looking at here? Pirates
• 29:19
  Speaker 2: going up against the Pirates. Yeah, they've been him pretty hard.
• 29:22
  Speaker 2: He's been in their division.
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: In the past because he was on Saint Louis for
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: a long time.
• 29:26
  Speaker 2: Ninety nine at bats, twenty five to six strike out
• 29:28
  Speaker 2: walk ratio is actually not bad. But three zero three
• 29:31
  Speaker 2: batting average allowed, eight seventy five ops allowed to them,
• 29:35
  Speaker 2: Brian Reynolds fifteen for forty four with the home run
• 29:38
  Speaker 2: off him, and Ozuona six for fifteen of two of
• 29:41
  Speaker 2: hom runs off him, and they've combined for four walks
• 29:43
  Speaker 2: off him as well. So yeah, Mikolas definitely could get
• 29:47
  Speaker 2: lit up here in this game. Bad matchup numbers, Washington,
• 29:50
  Speaker 2: bad bullpen, Pittsburgh's got Mitch Keller on the mound. And
• 29:53
  Speaker 2: I told you I think he's pretty good. He goes
• 29:56
  Speaker 2: under the radar. People don't realize that he's pretty good.
• 30:00
  Speaker 2: He's got a one ERA so far this year, point
• 30:03
  Speaker 2: nine to four whip. Do I think he's that good. No,
• 30:06
  Speaker 2: I don't, but he is off to a good start here.
• 30:08
  Speaker 2: The one issue is the walks. He's got five walks
• 30:12
  Speaker 2: in eighteen innings. That's not great, but he's only allowed
• 30:15
  Speaker 2: twelve hits. Also not a strikeout pitcher though eleven strikeouts,
• 30:19
  Speaker 2: like I like guys that strike more guys out, you know.
• 30:22
  Speaker 2: And he also allows a lot of fly balls, which
• 30:24
  Speaker 2: I don't love. I like guys that induce ground balls
• 30:28
  Speaker 2: and you know, just get guys some ground out and
• 30:30
  Speaker 2: then you can get multiple outs on one plane and
• 30:32
  Speaker 2: stuff like that. When that's the case, it seems like
• 30:35
  Speaker 2: those ground ball guys are able to overcome more of
• 30:38
  Speaker 2: their shortcomings when they do that. Fly Ball guys give
• 30:41
  Speaker 2: up random home runs, you know what I mean. But Keller, yeah,
• 30:44
  Speaker 2: he's good. I don't think he's this good. Maybe there
• 30:47
  Speaker 2: is some room for regression here. And against Washington, his
• 30:50
  Speaker 2: numbers are actually not good. In seventy eight at bats,
• 30:53
  Speaker 2: fifteen to three strike out walk ratio is good, but
• 30:56
  Speaker 2: three twenty one batting average allowed eight to fifty eight
• 30:59
  Speaker 2: ops not good. So I'm gonna lean over in this game.
• 31:04
  Speaker 2: It seems too easy, I know, because yesterday's game went
• 31:07
  Speaker 2: way over. But we're looking at two bullpends that have
• 31:09
  Speaker 2: been bad, two offenses that have been good, two pitchers
• 31:13
  Speaker 2: that I think are at least questionable. Well in Washington
• 31:16
  Speaker 2: I think is yeah. I mean they're pitching is just bad.
• 31:20
  Speaker 2: Like the other way to approach this would be Pittsburgh
• 31:23
  Speaker 2: over their team totally. You could do it that way too,
• 31:26
  Speaker 2: but you're probably looking at them needing to score six
• 31:28
  Speaker 2: runs for you in this game. If you want to
• 31:30
  Speaker 2: do it that way, the total is up to nine
• 31:33
  Speaker 2: and a half, I would try to find a nine
• 31:36
  Speaker 2: and go over that. If you're gonna go over, it's
• 31:38
  Speaker 2: gone up for eight and a half. It looks like
• 31:39
  Speaker 2: it was nine at some point. So the money looks
• 31:41
  Speaker 2: like it's agreeing with me. On the over, eighty seven
• 31:44
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets, ninety nine percent of the cash on
• 31:46
  Speaker 2: the over. Pittsburgh has gone up for minus one fifty
• 31:50
  Speaker 2: five to minus one seventy three on the money line,
• 31:52
  Speaker 2: eighty nine percent of the tickets, ninety five percent of
• 31:54
  Speaker 2: the cash on Pittsburgh. Those numbers probably not accurate, but
• 31:58
  Speaker 2: it looks like some of the money coming in on Pittsburgh.
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: They look like they're.
• 32:01
  Speaker 2: Gonna be a public side too, though Yeah, again I
• 32:05
  Speaker 2: think the over is more trustworthy. Pittsburgh over their team
• 32:08
  Speaker 2: total might be more advantageous just because they think it's
• 32:11
  Speaker 2: more likely that Micholas will do poorly than Keller. But
• 32:15
  Speaker 2: you could see both of them doing bad here. So yeah,
• 32:19
  Speaker 2: I still think over is worth is worth a look
• 32:21
  Speaker 2: in that game. And yeah, I would find nine because
• 32:25
  Speaker 2: it's a key number. You have to break the four
• 32:27
  Speaker 2: to four tie, so I think over nine makes sense.
• 32:30
  Speaker 2: You might have to I would pay about up to
• 32:31
  Speaker 2: minus one twenty to do that probably, But that one's
• 32:34
  Speaker 2: also not making my card, So try to, you know,
• 32:38
  Speaker 2: try to gauge what my opinions are.
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: I mean, out of these games so far.
• 32:40
  Speaker 2: I guess that's the next strongest opinion that I have,
• 32:43
  Speaker 2: besides the total that I already gave out.
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: Anaheim at the Yankees. Yankees scored three.
• 32:49
  Speaker 2: Runs in the ninth inning yesterday to win, which obviously
• 32:52
  Speaker 2: I'm pissed about. Yankees should have lost that game. They
• 32:55
  Speaker 2: were down ten to eight in the ninth inning. But
• 32:57
  Speaker 2: of course Anaheim's bullpen is a piece of try rash.
• 33:01
  Speaker 2: As far as the bullpen usage, Anaheim used four relief
• 33:04
  Speaker 2: pitchers yesterday, Yankees.
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: Use four as well.
• 33:08
  Speaker 2: Don't know that either bullpen is particularly trustworthy, but the
• 33:10
  Speaker 2: Angels bullpen is the fourth worst in baseball, which is bad.
• 33:15
  Speaker 2: Yankees are middle of the pack right now. Obviously the
• 33:18
  Speaker 2: Yankees do have the better of the two bullpens. Maybe
• 33:21
  Speaker 2: they're both not trustworthy though offensively Yankees middle of the
• 33:26
  Speaker 2: pack or sorry that was looking, I need to look
• 33:28
  Speaker 2: at hitting here.
• 33:29
  Speaker 1: Yankee is still middle.
• 33:30
  Speaker 2: Of the pack though they're twelveth right now in ops,
• 33:32
  Speaker 2: so then we know they have a very potent lineup
• 33:35
  Speaker 2: though Anaheim's in the middle of the pack as well,
• 33:38
  Speaker 2: with Mike Trout somehow healthy right now, and I believe
• 33:41
  Speaker 2: he hit two of them runs yesterday. I think judged
• 33:43
  Speaker 2: it as well. A lot of offense going on here,
• 33:46
  Speaker 2: but again this game could be more offense. Like you think,
• 33:50
  Speaker 2: like you know, situationally, oh well, if one game goes
• 33:52
  Speaker 2: way over the total, you'd want to kind of like
• 33:54
  Speaker 2: fade that and go under in the next game.
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: But in baseball that's not necessarily.
• 33:58
  Speaker 2: The case because when a game went over, that means
• 34:01
  Speaker 2: a lot of the bullpen probably came in. Maybe the
• 34:04
  Speaker 2: bullpen's stink, you know, maybe the offenses are in good form,
• 34:07
  Speaker 2: So I don't really like zigzag totals like that in baseball,
• 34:11
  Speaker 2: and I actually lean over in this game as well.
• 34:14
  Speaker 2: The starting pitching matchup is also not a very elite
• 34:18
  Speaker 2: one reed Debt Mes is pitching for Anaheim.
• 34:21
  Speaker 1: He's got a four point six ERA one point two eight.
• 34:23
  Speaker 2: Whip that's not awful, but he's failed to make it
• 34:27
  Speaker 2: five innings in two of his three outings so far
• 34:30
  Speaker 2: this month, has only an eight to six strikeout walk ratio.
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: After his high strike up.
• 34:35
  Speaker 2: Performance against Houston and his first outing with nine strike uts,
• 34:38
  Speaker 2: since then, he's been walking more guys.
• 34:40
  Speaker 1: He hasn't been striking.
• 34:41
  Speaker 2: That many guys out. I don't know if I trust him.
• 34:44
  Speaker 2: He's going up against the Yankees. They've hit him pretty
• 34:46
  Speaker 2: well in the past thirty five at bats, not a
• 34:49
  Speaker 2: huge sample.
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: Fourteen strike cuts is a lot four walks.
• 34:55
  Speaker 2: That ratio is fine, but the Yankees do have a
• 34:57
  Speaker 2: three forty three average off him an eight ninety six
• 34:59
  Speaker 2: oh ps, so Denvers has not exactly been good against them.
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: He's going up against Ryan.
• 35:05
  Speaker 2: Weathers, who has pitched all right for the Yankees so far,
• 35:08
  Speaker 2: though his whip would indicate that his ERA should be
• 35:11
  Speaker 2: a lot higher than the two point eight to one
• 35:13
  Speaker 2: that it is right now. One point three to eight
• 35:16
  Speaker 2: whip is not going to cut it, man. That means
• 35:17
  Speaker 2: he's putting way too many guys on base. He is
• 35:20
  Speaker 2: coming off a really good outing against the A's though,
• 35:22
  Speaker 2: where he throw over one hundred pitches when eight innings,
• 35:26
  Speaker 2: one run allowed, seven strikeouts, no walks, seven hits. Although
• 35:30
  Speaker 2: the A's offense has kind of been struggling, still really
• 35:33
  Speaker 2: good performance out of him there easily as best start
• 35:35
  Speaker 2: of the year. Has a pretty good eighteen to five
• 35:38
  Speaker 2: strike out walk ratio so far this season, though, and
• 35:41
  Speaker 2: only one more hit than innings pitch, So overall, his
• 35:43
  Speaker 2: numbers are actually not even that bad with five. Yeah,
• 35:46
  Speaker 2: the five walks mixed in there, I guess is high
• 35:49
  Speaker 2: high strike up rate two. But overall, if you look
• 35:51
  Speaker 2: at his numbers, yeah, I don't think they're really that bad.
• 35:53
  Speaker 2: So I don't know that I necessarily would want to
• 35:56
  Speaker 2: fade him and go over here. But he doesn't have
• 35:58
  Speaker 2: good numbers against Anaheim really, It's a small sample of
• 36:01
  Speaker 2: only fifteen at bats. One of them is a home
• 36:03
  Speaker 2: run from Darnaut four to six strike out walker Raceiar
• 36:07
  Speaker 2: two sixty seven average without eight eighty six ops. It's
• 36:11
  Speaker 2: tough to gauge where you're gonna get out of weathers here, man,
• 36:14
  Speaker 2: which is why I don't really want to quite do
• 36:16
  Speaker 2: this and try to weather this thing. It would seem
• 36:19
  Speaker 2: like the Yankees do have the edge though, Like I
• 36:21
  Speaker 2: think they do have the better starting pitching here, the
• 36:24
  Speaker 2: better bullpen, and the better offense.
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: But obviously you're laying a price for the Yankees.
• 36:29
  Speaker 2: Are up to minus one seventy five for minus one
• 36:31
  Speaker 2: fifty five, and the money appears to be coming back
• 36:33
  Speaker 2: in against them. Eighty six percent of the tickets here
• 36:37
  Speaker 2: and seventy five percent of the cash on the Yankees,
• 36:41
  Speaker 2: so the money is kind of indicating against them. I
• 36:44
  Speaker 2: don't know, man, I mean yeah, I mean I kind
• 36:48
  Speaker 2: of lean towards the Yankees to win this one, especially
• 36:51
  Speaker 2: after Anaheim blew it last night. It could be a
• 36:54
  Speaker 2: little bit of a hangover spot for the Yankees or
• 36:56
  Speaker 2: excuse for the for the Angels. Excuse me, after the
• 36:59
  Speaker 2: Angels almost pulled off the upset last night. You know,
• 37:02
  Speaker 2: sometimes the team will be hung over after that, and
• 37:04
  Speaker 2: maybe the Yankees after getting a scare but also ending
• 37:07
  Speaker 2: their losing streak that could give the Yankees new momentum here.
• 37:10
  Speaker 2: So I do actually lean to the Yankees in this game.
• 37:13
  Speaker 2: I don't agree with the market there. Over probably would
• 37:16
  Speaker 2: be my preference. Though the total is headed towards nine.
• 37:19
  Speaker 2: It is going up ninety three percent of tickets, ninety
• 37:21
  Speaker 2: eight percent of the cash on the over. I think
• 37:23
  Speaker 2: the public is playing the over in that game too,
• 37:26
  Speaker 2: but I don't disagree with it.
• 37:27
  Speaker 1: In that one. You'd want to get better than like, at.
• 37:31
  Speaker 2: Least go over and nine in that like, don't let
• 37:34
  Speaker 2: it get to nine and a half at least, you know,
• 37:35
  Speaker 2: But it would be preferable to go over eight and
• 37:37
  Speaker 2: a half. But I don't think you'll be able to
• 37:39
  Speaker 2: find a good price on the eight and a half anymore,
• 37:42
  Speaker 2: But that.
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: Would be my preference still.
• 37:43
  Speaker 2: I think you'll see some runs in that game, and
• 37:46
  Speaker 2: it's a hitter from the ballpark.
• 37:48
  Speaker 1: Miami at Atlanta.
• 37:50
  Speaker 2: These two teams did play yesterday and Miami won ten
• 37:53
  Speaker 2: to four yesterday. Interesting Juri Perez looks like he got
• 37:58
  Speaker 2: the best of grant homes.
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: Yesterday.
• 38:02
  Speaker 2: Atlanta only used two relief pitchers yesterday, Miami used five,
• 38:07
  Speaker 2: so Atlanta's bullpen is much more rested after yesterday, and
• 38:10
  Speaker 2: they've been the better bullpen this season. They've been number
• 38:13
  Speaker 2: one in baseball with a one point oh four whip,
• 38:15
  Speaker 2: even though I think they're gonna regress to some extent,
• 38:19
  Speaker 2: but yeah, they're a good bullpen. You gotta admit that
• 38:22
  Speaker 2: they're third in offense so far this year though still
• 38:25
  Speaker 2: I still think there's gonna be some regression here out
• 38:27
  Speaker 2: of this brave team, but they've been good on both
• 38:30
  Speaker 2: of those sides of the ball. Miami has been good
• 38:32
  Speaker 2: as well, fifth in offense still and sixth in bullpen whip,
• 38:36
  Speaker 2: so you know, no shade in Miami there. Although Miami
• 38:40
  Speaker 2: did use way too many of their relief pitchers yesterday.
• 38:43
  Speaker 2: I gotta give Atlanta the edges there in the offense
• 38:46
  Speaker 2: and in the bullpen, and they might bounce back after
• 38:50
  Speaker 2: an ugly loss yesterday. A lot of times you will
• 38:52
  Speaker 2: see a team bounce back after a game like that.
• 38:54
  Speaker 2: Max Meyer is pitching from Miami. He's been okay so
• 38:59
  Speaker 2: far this year. Three six eighty r one point three
• 39:01
  Speaker 2: to six whip is definitely too high, though too many
• 39:04
  Speaker 2: walks eight walks in fourteen to two thirds innings. That's
• 39:07
  Speaker 2: not gonna cut it. Fifteen strikeouts is good. Twelve it's
• 39:11
  Speaker 2: allowed is not bad. He's got to get his walk
• 39:13
  Speaker 2: number down. That's been his problem.
• 39:16
  Speaker 1: Man. Like, he's got good stuff, good strikeout stuff. I
• 39:19
  Speaker 1: like him.
• 39:20
  Speaker 2: He's never totally panned out though from Miami, and again,
• 39:23
  Speaker 2: this wildness needs to get under control.
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: Maybe he'll do a little bit better. I don't know.
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: One of his like his worst start.
• 39:30
  Speaker 2: Was against the Yankees, which you know, a lot of
• 39:32
  Speaker 2: times you got to give a guy a pass for
• 39:34
  Speaker 2: that because the Yankees are good. But Braves have been
• 39:36
  Speaker 2: hitting well. His numbers against the Braves are not that
• 39:38
  Speaker 2: good at all. And thirty five at bats ten to
• 39:41
  Speaker 2: one strike out walk ratio, that is good, but two
• 39:44
  Speaker 2: eighty six average allowed nine oh six ops. That worries
• 39:47
  Speaker 2: me because I like looking at the strikeout walk ratio.
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: But also the OPS is a.
• 39:52
  Speaker 2: Good indicator, and they're conflicting with each other here, so
• 39:55
  Speaker 2: it's like, which meyer are you gonna get here? This
• 39:58
  Speaker 2: is a very difficult game to hand, and then you
• 40:00
  Speaker 2: don't know what you're gonna get out of Ronaldo Lopez either.
• 40:03
  Speaker 2: He's been pitching well so far this season, one point
• 40:06
  Speaker 2: one to five whip point or one point one five
• 40:09
  Speaker 2: era excuse me, point ninety six whip. Now he was
• 40:14
  Speaker 2: pitching well, but his walk number is too high. He's
• 40:16
  Speaker 2: got thirteen strikeouts, five walks, and fifteen to two thirds innings.
• 40:20
  Speaker 2: Hasn't allowed a lot of hits ten hits, that's good,
• 40:22
  Speaker 2: but he's allowed three home runs five walks. Those numbers
• 40:25
  Speaker 2: are not good. So he's got some problems. And if
• 40:28
  Speaker 2: you look at his career, I still don't know what
• 40:30
  Speaker 2: we should think about Lopez.
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: He's already in his thirties.
• 40:33
  Speaker 2: We've seen his velocity take a dip this year and
• 40:36
  Speaker 2: last year. I think so his numbers. He was bad
• 40:39
  Speaker 2: last year, but he only made I guess he made
• 40:41
  Speaker 2: one start last year, Is that right? I thought he
• 40:43
  Speaker 2: was in there longer than that. Maybe I just remember
• 40:45
  Speaker 2: the previous season. The previous season was the best season
• 40:48
  Speaker 2: of his career, starting most of the way ann for Atlanta.
• 40:52
  Speaker 2: But that almost looks like more of a fluke because
• 40:54
  Speaker 2: his other seasons that he started earlier in his career
• 40:57
  Speaker 2: where the White Sox were one was pretty good, one
• 41:00
  Speaker 2: was not good at all, and then he had some
• 41:02
  Speaker 2: shortened seasons.
• 41:04
  Speaker 1: Then he was a reliever for a while, he's been
• 41:07
  Speaker 1: all over the place, dude.
• 41:08
  Speaker 2: But the reason why I don't know what we should
• 41:10
  Speaker 2: do with him in this game, even though his career
• 41:13
  Speaker 2: is just a total rollercoaster too, is he just got
• 41:16
  Speaker 2: suspended because you guys saw the previous game that he
• 41:19
  Speaker 2: pitched against Anaheim. He got a seven day suspension for fighting,
• 41:26
  Speaker 2: where basically what happened was Jorge Solilaire was hitting him well.
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: In that game, he threw. He threw at Solaire, but.
• 41:33
  Speaker 2: He did one of the things where you throw above
• 41:36
  Speaker 2: the guy's head, you know what I mean, and it
• 41:37
  Speaker 2: went over the catcher. People saying, oh, he didn't throw
• 41:40
  Speaker 2: at him, that's bullshit. He definitely did. It was one
• 41:43
  Speaker 2: of those things, you know, to make a statement. And
• 41:45
  Speaker 2: then Solaire wound up rushing the mound, charging the mound.
• 41:49
  Speaker 2: A brawl into the bench is clear. But Lopez held
• 41:53
  Speaker 2: the baseball in his fist and like tried to punch
• 41:56
  Speaker 2: Solaire in the face with the baseball in his hand.
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: That could got some real damage. Man, That's like, that's
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: actually a salt.
• 42:03
  Speaker 2: So I don't think Lopez should even be pitching right now, man,
• 42:07
  Speaker 2: I really don't. He got his suspension dropped to five
• 42:12
  Speaker 2: days instead of seven to, which is ridiculous. He appealed
• 42:15
  Speaker 2: it either way. I mean, I guess either way. I
• 42:18
  Speaker 2: pushed his start back by one or two games. I
• 42:20
  Speaker 2: don't know exactly what it did. But what mindset is
• 42:23
  Speaker 2: it gonna be in coming out of suspension like that?
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: I have no idea. Man, is it gonna be on tilt?
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 42:29
  Speaker 2: So this game is really difficult to figure out. Against Miami,
• 42:33
  Speaker 2: He's never been seen before, which seems really insane to me.
• 42:37
  Speaker 2: I don't know how Miami has never faced him before.
• 42:39
  Speaker 2: None of their hitters have ever seen him before. So
• 42:42
  Speaker 2: I usually say that is an advantage when a pitcher
• 42:45
  Speaker 2: has good stuff, which I think he still pretty much
• 42:48
  Speaker 2: does a lot of times, that will be good against
• 42:52
  Speaker 2: a lot of that's never seen him before.
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: They'll have the advantage there. But I don't know.
• 42:56
  Speaker 2: Man, and Landa's up to minus one fifty six here,
• 42:59
  Speaker 2: ninety cent tickets, ninety five percent of the cash on them.
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: They look like a very public side.
• 43:04
  Speaker 2: Money is also coming in on the over after it
• 43:06
  Speaker 2: dropped to eight and a half.
• 43:07
  Speaker 1: Juice to the under. Margo Reid looks stronger on.
• 43:10
  Speaker 2: The over sixty one percent of tickets, ninety seven percent
• 43:12
  Speaker 2: of the cash in the over I want nothing to
• 43:15
  Speaker 2: do with this game at all. I don't even have
• 43:16
  Speaker 2: an opinion on this game. Really, this is one of
• 43:19
  Speaker 2: the hardest games that I've seen to handicap. I don't
• 43:21
  Speaker 2: even think I want to give an opinion on it.
• 43:23
  Speaker 2: It's just, yeah, very very difficult game to figure out.
• 43:27
  Speaker 2: My bust in Red Sox at Minnesota. There is something
• 43:31
  Speaker 2: wrong with the Red Sox. They need to get rid
• 43:34
  Speaker 2: of Andrew Bailey. Their pitching coach is just wrecking their pitchers, dude.
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: Like the Red Sox are the only team to.
• 43:41
  Speaker 2: Have a pitcher give up like ten or more runs
• 43:45
  Speaker 2: in two and a third or fewer innings. And it's
• 43:47
  Speaker 2: happened three times in the last like two seasons for
• 43:51
  Speaker 2: the Red Sox, twice to Tanner Houck and now to
• 43:54
  Speaker 2: Garrett Crochet, who is an elite pitcher.
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: I don't know what is happening here.
• 43:59
  Speaker 2: Five the pitching coach, fire, the manager, fire Alex cor
• 44:03
  Speaker 2: There's something going on with this team. When you have
• 44:05
  Speaker 2: that level of talent and that talent is completely underperforming
• 44:10
  Speaker 2: like this, you know that it's not the players that
• 44:13
  Speaker 2: are the problem. Okay, it's the coaching. You have to
• 44:16
  Speaker 2: get rid of these guys. I'm sick of it. I'm
• 44:18
  Speaker 2: fucking pissed. That was one of the worst things I've
• 44:21
  Speaker 2: ever seen yesterday. The good news is Minnesota is over
• 44:24
  Speaker 2: celebrating and probably feel way too good about that, and
• 44:27
  Speaker 2: everybody all of a sudden things Minnesota is a good team,
• 44:30
  Speaker 2: and I'm like, they're sitting at ten and seven and
• 44:34
  Speaker 2: they've had some kind of flukey wins. I think Toronto
• 44:36
  Speaker 2: is taking a big step back this year. I'm not
• 44:39
  Speaker 2: buying into this Minnesota team.
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: I'm not.
• 44:42
  Speaker 2: One thing that we do know is that Minnesota has
• 44:45
  Speaker 2: a terrible bullpen, second worst in baseball right now as
• 44:50
  Speaker 2: far as Whip is concerned. Their bullpend blows and the
• 44:53
  Speaker 2: Red Sox bullpen is seventh right now in bullpen Whip,
• 44:56
  Speaker 2: so I think the Red Sox do have a large
• 44:58
  Speaker 2: bullpen advantage here.
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: Minnesota. You only used two relief pitchers yesterday.
• 45:02
  Speaker 2: Red Sox only used three, So I'm not too concerned
• 45:05
  Speaker 2: about that.
• 45:06
  Speaker 1: Minnesota.
• 45:07
  Speaker 2: Their offense has been hitting well, they're at ninth, but
• 45:11
  Speaker 2: I just you see what they have.
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: In their lineup.
• 45:14
  Speaker 2: Man, they unloaded some of their guys. This is supposed
• 45:17
  Speaker 2: to be like a rebuilding year. I'm not buying it.
• 45:20
  Speaker 2: I'm not the Red Sox. I know they've been bad
• 45:22
  Speaker 2: so far this year, but if you look at who
• 45:24
  Speaker 2: is in these lineups, the Red Sox clearly have the
• 45:27
  Speaker 2: more talented lineup. So even though I guess you ought
• 45:31
  Speaker 2: to give Minnesota a little bit of a hitting edge
• 45:33
  Speaker 2: right now, I don't think that's gonna be the case.
• 45:36
  Speaker 2: Like at the end of the season, the Red Sox
• 45:39
  Speaker 2: should be in big bounce back mode. After that horrible
• 45:42
  Speaker 2: performance yesterday, I think you will see a better effort
• 45:45
  Speaker 2: out of them. So that's the good news. Sonny Gray
• 45:48
  Speaker 2: is on the mound for the Red Sox. He's pitching
• 45:50
  Speaker 2: well so far this season. Had a bad start in
• 45:53
  Speaker 2: his first start, and he's been pretty good since then.
• 45:55
  Speaker 2: Two point seven to six e ra point nine to
• 45:57
  Speaker 2: eight whip. Not a lot of strikeouts right now, which
• 46:02
  Speaker 2: is a concern, only ten strikeouts and sixteen to third innings.
• 46:06
  Speaker 2: His velocity might be down as he's getting towards the
• 46:08
  Speaker 2: end of his career, but he's only walked three guys
• 46:12
  Speaker 2: and giving up thirteen hits in that span, so he's
• 46:15
  Speaker 2: not putting a lot of guys on base. He's been
• 46:17
  Speaker 2: good in his last two starts. Like I said, just
• 46:19
  Speaker 2: you'd like to see him striking more guys out is
• 46:21
  Speaker 2: the only thing, but maybe that's not what he needs
• 46:25
  Speaker 2: to do. He's getting a lot of ground ball outs.
• 46:28
  Speaker 2: He looks fairly good right now. Against Minnesota's numbers are
• 46:32
  Speaker 2: just okay. In fifty four at bats nine to four
• 46:35
  Speaker 2: strikeout walk ratium, Larnock has two home runs off him,
• 46:39
  Speaker 2: so he does kind of need to pitch around him.
• 46:41
  Speaker 2: Nobody else really does that much damage against him though,
• 46:44
  Speaker 2: two fifty nine batting average allowed seven to seventy three
• 46:46
  Speaker 2: ops allowed. I think you will get a better effort,
• 46:49
  Speaker 2: a better performance here from Gray mick abel Is pitching
• 46:52
  Speaker 2: from Minnesota. I don't know that this guy's ever gonna
• 46:55
  Speaker 2: be that good man. He was a prospect for the Phillies.
• 46:58
  Speaker 2: They got rid of him the trade deadline. There might
• 47:02
  Speaker 2: not be a whole lot to see here with able man.
• 47:05
  Speaker 2: He hasn't been able to really do anything. I'm gonna
• 47:07
  Speaker 2: make that joke every time six point adr two point
• 47:11
  Speaker 2: one whip.
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: That's some bad stuff.
• 47:13
  Speaker 2: He's walked at least three guys in all three of
• 47:16
  Speaker 2: his outings so far, leading to a thirteen to end
• 47:19
  Speaker 2: strike out walk ratio, and on top of that, he's
• 47:21
  Speaker 2: allowed way more than one hit per inning.
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: This is bad. Now.
• 47:25
  Speaker 2: He is coming off a shutout performance against Detroit. He
• 47:28
  Speaker 2: threw over one hundred pitches, though, which I should have
• 47:32
  Speaker 2: called more attention to that when I talked about who
• 47:36
  Speaker 2: was it one of these other pitches just threw one
• 47:38
  Speaker 2: hundred pitches in their previous outing.
• 47:40
  Speaker 1: I think it might have been weathers. I forget.
• 47:42
  Speaker 2: But when a guy isn't used to it and they
• 47:44
  Speaker 2: throw over one hundred pitches like for the first time
• 47:47
  Speaker 2: in a season, and it's well over their usual pitch count,
• 47:50
  Speaker 2: sometimes they will be a bit tired coming into the
• 47:52
  Speaker 2: next game and it could be kind of a bit
• 47:54
  Speaker 2: of a letdown. I don't like his fly ball rad either.
• 47:58
  Speaker 2: He allows a lot of fly balls. That's album. And
• 48:02
  Speaker 2: again his walk number is just really bad. And he
• 48:05
  Speaker 2: is coming off a shutout of Detroit somehow, six inning
• 48:08
  Speaker 2: shut out, even though he walked three guys in that outing.
• 48:11
  Speaker 2: I think he could have a let down here, Matt
• 48:13
  Speaker 2: after that game. I think that game might be a
• 48:14
  Speaker 2: little bit more of a fluke rather than that, he's
• 48:17
  Speaker 2: you know, sort of trending in the right direction here.
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: Now, the Red Sox have basically never seen him before.
• 48:22
  Speaker 2: Kiner Filefa faced him last year and was one for two,
• 48:25
  Speaker 2: often with a single and a strikeout. So there's really
• 48:28
  Speaker 2: not a whole lot to see there. But I'm gonna
• 48:30
  Speaker 2: lead Red Sox here. I think it's a bounce back
• 48:33
  Speaker 2: spot for them. I think Gray is the more trustworthy
• 48:36
  Speaker 2: picture here. Red Sox have the better bullpen as well.
• 48:39
  Speaker 2: I'll lean that way. Minus one thirty is the price
• 48:42
  Speaker 2: right now. Red Sox are favored on the road for
• 48:45
  Speaker 2: a reason. Man, They're the better team and they have
• 48:46
  Speaker 2: the better picture here. Sixty percent of tickets eighty two
• 48:49
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on the Red Sox. I know
• 48:51
  Speaker 2: having the better picture didn't do anything for them last night,
• 48:54
  Speaker 2: but I silly, that was very, very fluky. This doesn't
• 48:59
  Speaker 2: make my card. But as far as what I've talked
• 49:01
  Speaker 2: about so far, this is one of my better opinions.
• 49:04
  Speaker 2: I actually think I would lean a Red Sox in
• 49:06
  Speaker 2: that one. Like I said Tampa at the Chicago White Sox,
• 49:11
  Speaker 2: this is gonna be one of my bets. And I
• 49:13
  Speaker 2: changed my approach for this game. I was gonna go
• 49:20
  Speaker 2: with a total on this game. I was gonna go under,
• 49:22
  Speaker 2: and then as I kind of thought about it more
• 49:25
  Speaker 2: and looked at it more, I flipped, and we're going
• 49:28
  Speaker 2: with the White Sox money line in this game. I know, Yeah,
• 49:32
  Speaker 2: it sounds insane. Yeah, the White Sox, they've been really
• 49:36
  Speaker 2: bad over the last couple of seasons. I do think
• 49:37
  Speaker 2: they're a little bit less bad this year. And if
• 49:40
  Speaker 2: you like this one, you're really gonna like the last
• 49:42
  Speaker 2: play that I have the White Sox. Both bullpens arrested.
• 49:46
  Speaker 2: Neither team played yesterday, so that's kind of where we start.
• 49:49
  Speaker 2: So we do have rested bullpens, which is part of
• 49:52
  Speaker 2: the reason why I was considering an under. Also, the
• 49:54
  Speaker 2: White Sox have been really bad offensively. Yes, they're the
• 49:57
  Speaker 2: worst offensive baseball right now, so we do have to
• 49:59
  Speaker 2: deal with that with this play here. I understand that
• 50:02
  Speaker 2: Tampa Bay has hit well, they're tenth in ops right now,
• 50:07
  Speaker 2: but I don't think their offense is really as good
• 50:10
  Speaker 2: as that makes them look, which again kind of lends
• 50:13
  Speaker 2: itself towards an under.
• 50:14
  Speaker 1: I know I was thinking under.
• 50:16
  Speaker 2: In this game, but then I started looking at the
• 50:18
  Speaker 2: situation and I'm like, maybe not, Well, we gotta look
• 50:22
  Speaker 2: at the bullpens here as well.
• 50:23
  Speaker 1: The bullpens.
• 50:26
  Speaker 2: Tampa has been pretty bad bullpen wise, like worse than
• 50:29
  Speaker 2: the White Sox. Actually, Tampa Bay has one of the
• 50:32
  Speaker 2: worst bullpen e ras second worst in the league. They're
• 50:35
  Speaker 2: like sixth worst bullpen whip wise White Sox. I understand
• 50:40
  Speaker 2: they're not much better, but they are at least slightly
• 50:42
  Speaker 2: better than that in the bullpen. So I think maybe
• 50:45
  Speaker 2: you have to give the White Sox a slight bullpen
• 50:47
  Speaker 2: edge year.
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: It is close.
• 50:49
  Speaker 2: I mean, if we're looking at what they did last year, yes,
• 50:51
  Speaker 2: Tampa should eventually have the better bullpen, but the way
• 50:54
  Speaker 2: they pitched right now not the case. But we're kind
• 50:57
  Speaker 2: of going situational on this. A Bay is coming off
• 51:00
  Speaker 2: sweeping the Yankees, dude, and they won every game by
• 51:04
  Speaker 2: small amount. So they're playing dramatic game after dramatic game
• 51:08
  Speaker 2: against the best team in the AL East, probably the
• 51:10
  Speaker 2: best team in the AL That's crazy that whenever.
• 51:13
  Speaker 1: You do that, that's huge, dude.
• 51:15
  Speaker 2: Tampall, Like, when was the last time they swept the Yankees?
• 51:18
  Speaker 2: I don't know, And that was in their first home
• 51:21
  Speaker 2: stand back in Tropic Canada too. Now they're leaving again
• 51:24
  Speaker 2: to go back out on the road. I don't think
• 51:26
  Speaker 2: that's a good thing.
• 51:26
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 51:27
  Speaker 2: That was a great series for them there. Now they're
• 51:30
  Speaker 2: going back out on the road where I don't think
• 51:33
  Speaker 2: they've been quite as good here. I'm trying to eyeball
• 51:38
  Speaker 2: with their record is on the road. I think it's
• 51:39
  Speaker 2: five and five, so it's not, yeah, not horrible, but yeah,
• 51:44
  Speaker 2: I think they're in a letdown spot, dude, coming off
• 51:46
  Speaker 2: of that, and they have a day to kind of
• 51:48
  Speaker 2: think about it in basket and a lot of times
• 51:50
  Speaker 2: when you start a road trip you will start out
• 51:52
  Speaker 2: with focus, but you're coming off a sweep of the Yankees.
• 51:55
  Speaker 1: Dude, how excited do you get about playing the White Sox? Really?
• 51:59
  Speaker 2: Like, I don't think you get that excited about on
• 52:00
  Speaker 2: my mistake, The Rays are four and five on the road,
• 52:03
  Speaker 2: white Sox three and three at home. By the way,
• 52:05
  Speaker 2: so the White Sox have been much worse on the road.
• 52:08
  Speaker 1: Now, I know the right.
• 52:09
  Speaker 2: The White Sox are returning home, but they only had
• 52:11
  Speaker 2: one series on the road there in Kansas City, so
• 52:14
  Speaker 2: I don't consider that to be a long road trip
• 52:16
  Speaker 2: return spot.
• 52:17
  Speaker 1: Yeah, it was a big series Divisional series.
• 52:19
  Speaker 2: Yes, they did get the win in the final game,
• 52:22
  Speaker 2: but the good thing about that is it ended a
• 52:23
  Speaker 2: two game losing streak, so maybe they do have a
• 52:26
  Speaker 2: little bit of momentum off of that. Again, I know
• 52:29
  Speaker 2: the returning home, but a return home from Kansas City,
• 52:32
  Speaker 2: They've done that plenty of times. It's really easy and
• 52:34
  Speaker 2: not from a long trip, So I don't think this
• 52:36
  Speaker 2: is gonna be a distracted spot for them. So I
• 52:38
  Speaker 2: think it is a letdown spot.
• 52:40
  Speaker 1: For the Rays.
• 52:40
  Speaker 2: Then we're gonna look at the starting pitching matchup here.
• 52:43
  Speaker 2: Shane McClanahan is pitching for Tampa. He's been decent so far,
• 52:49
  Speaker 2: four point one five ERA, one point one to five whip. Now,
• 52:53
  Speaker 2: I think he is good. You look at his career numbers.
• 52:55
  Speaker 2: He has really good career numbers. He's twenty eight, but
• 52:59
  Speaker 2: he missed two full seasons, so he is still kind
• 53:02
  Speaker 2: of getting his bearing still. And yes, he has made
• 53:05
  Speaker 2: two starts already, so he's in the process of doing that.
• 53:08
  Speaker 2: But I don't think he's fully back yet. When we're
• 53:11
  Speaker 2: gonna dive into his numbers in a second, and yes,
• 53:13
  Speaker 2: he might, you know, come fully back from these injuries
• 53:17
  Speaker 2: that he had or whatever, but sometimes it takes a
• 53:19
  Speaker 2: little while. And yeah, maybe eventually he will be good again.
• 53:22
  Speaker 2: But I don't know if I'm totally ready to trust
• 53:24
  Speaker 2: him right now. He's not made it five innings in
• 53:27
  Speaker 2: either of his starts yet. And what's really bad is
• 53:29
  Speaker 2: he's had three plus walks in both outings and has
• 53:32
  Speaker 2: a nine to seven strike out walk ratio.
• 53:34
  Speaker 1: That's not good.
• 53:35
  Speaker 2: Clearly, that's way too many walks. So I don't think
• 53:39
  Speaker 2: I can fully trust him yet. Even though against Tampa
• 53:41
  Speaker 2: he does have pretty good numbers or sorry against he
• 53:44
  Speaker 2: is Tampa. Against the White Sox excuse, he does have
• 53:46
  Speaker 2: good numbers, but very small sample. They only have they're
• 53:50
  Speaker 2: one for eleven off and Ben and Tende has a
• 53:52
  Speaker 2: single and they have four strikeouts no walks off him. Yes,
• 53:55
  Speaker 2: those numbers are really good, and yes that means he's
• 53:57
  Speaker 2: unfamiliar to them. But there is game fell on this guy.
• 54:00
  Speaker 2: He's been in the league for a little while, he's
• 54:02
  Speaker 2: been shaky with the walks to start the season. Man,
• 54:06
  Speaker 2: I think he is a little bit in question, and
• 54:08
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna go with an underdog price.
• 54:11
  Speaker 1: I like to do this man.
• 54:12
  Speaker 2: With Noah Shaltz making his major league debut for the
• 54:15
  Speaker 2: White Sox.
• 54:16
  Speaker 1: We're gonna do this here, man.
• 54:19
  Speaker 2: I like this when you get an underdog on this
• 54:20
  Speaker 2: picture that nobody knows who he is, but if you
• 54:23
  Speaker 2: look into it like this guy is one of the
• 54:25
  Speaker 2: top prospects in the White Sox organization, he is absolutely legit.
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: I looked at his minor league numbers.
• 54:32
  Speaker 2: He's been in the miners a little bit this year,
• 54:33
  Speaker 2: and he's put up good numbers this year in the miners.
• 54:36
  Speaker 1: Last year.
• 54:37
  Speaker 2: He struggled a little bit in Triple A last year,
• 54:39
  Speaker 2: but this year he looked good in Triple A. And
• 54:41
  Speaker 2: he was pretty much dominant throughout his minor league career.
• 54:45
  Speaker 1: Like I was looking at his numbers.
• 54:46
  Speaker 2: His strikeout rate was insanely high in the miners. His
• 54:49
  Speaker 2: whip was good. It was low up until last year.
• 54:53
  Speaker 2: He struggled making the move to Triple A. But then,
• 54:55
  Speaker 2: like I said, this year and he was really good
• 54:57
  Speaker 2: in Double A last year. This year in Triple A
• 55:00
  Speaker 2: he did pitch pretty well, which is part of the
• 55:03
  Speaker 2: reason why they called him up. He's a twenty two
• 55:05
  Speaker 2: year old. He's a lefty, so a lot of times
• 55:08
  Speaker 2: he's lefties actually do a little bit better when hitters
• 55:11
  Speaker 2: that they're opposing have never seen him before because the
• 55:13
  Speaker 2: lefties usually throw at a weirder arm angle. He's six',
• 55:16
  Speaker 2: ten so he's a ridiculously tall presence on the.
• 55:21
  Speaker 1: Mound he should be playing.
• 55:22
  Speaker 2: Basketball he's one of the tallest players In Major League
• 55:25
  Speaker 2: baseball and two Forty you, know, YEAH i think he's
• 55:31
  Speaker 2: gonna be it's gonna be tough to pick up his.
• 55:32
  Speaker 2: Pitches and you look at his pitch, mix it's pretty.
• 55:36
  Speaker 2: Insane he has six different pitches and he kind of
• 55:39
  Speaker 2: utilizes all of. Them he uses four of them more
• 55:42
  Speaker 2: than the. Others but he uses a sinker a. Lot
• 55:44
  Speaker 2: and he has this insane sinker that he throws at
• 55:47
  Speaker 2: like ninety six ninety seven miles an, hour and it
• 55:51
  Speaker 2: has movement on it and it's really really difficult to
• 55:53
  Speaker 2: hit along with like a high nineties four seam. Fastball
• 55:57
  Speaker 2: he's got a slider and a curveball THAT i think
• 56:00
  Speaker 2: both have a ton of movement on. Them AND i
• 56:03
  Speaker 2: think he does mix in like a cutter and a
• 56:05
  Speaker 2: change as. Well SO i think he is going to
• 56:07
  Speaker 2: be difficult for these hitters to face. Him, man and,
• 56:09
  Speaker 2: again he's totally unknown to these, Hitters SO i think
• 56:13
  Speaker 2: he's gonna have an advantage against these hitters who have
• 56:15
  Speaker 2: never seen him. BEFORE i Think schultz might be the
• 56:18
  Speaker 2: real deal. Man of, course it is questionable to ride
• 56:21
  Speaker 2: a guy in his major league debut because the nerves
• 56:24
  Speaker 2: might be. There you never, know the nervousness might be.
• 56:27
  Speaker 2: There BUT i don't. Know when you're playing for a
• 56:29
  Speaker 2: team like The White, sox where the expectations are, very very,
• 56:32
  Speaker 2: low you might be able to go out there and
• 56:35
  Speaker 2: pitch a little bit, looser you. Know and by the,
• 56:38
  Speaker 2: way he's pitching in front of a home crowd here
• 56:40
  Speaker 2: because he's From, Naperville, Illinois so how good is. THAT
• 56:43
  Speaker 2: i think that helps him a little bit. More that
• 56:45
  Speaker 2: probably means his family friends are going to be at this.
• 56:47
  Speaker 2: Game that's gonna help him out a, LOT i. Think
• 56:50
  Speaker 2: SO i didn't even actually think about. THAT i didn't
• 56:52
  Speaker 2: even consider, that BUT i think that is worth considering
• 56:55
  Speaker 2: that that's going to actually help him in this outing
• 56:57
  Speaker 2: because he's pitching In chicago, here so you, know this
• 57:02
  Speaker 2: is the dream for. Him, Baby he's pitching for the
• 57:05
  Speaker 2: local team. Here so, yeah we're gonna do. It we're
• 57:08
  Speaker 2: gonna take The White sox in this, Game, Uh tampa
• 57:11
  Speaker 2: looks like they're getting some of the money with eighty
• 57:13
  Speaker 2: two percent of the tickets ninety eight percent of the,
• 57:15
  Speaker 2: cash and on them they dropped for minus one forty
• 57:18
  Speaker 2: five to minus one thirty.
• 57:19
  Speaker 1: Three though money is coming in on the. UNDER i
• 57:22
  Speaker 1: do agree with the under as.
• 57:24
  Speaker 2: Well seventy nine percent of tickets on the, over fifty
• 57:26
  Speaker 2: five percent of the cash on the. Under it's a
• 57:28
  Speaker 2: total of eight or seven and a half. Here you
• 57:31
  Speaker 2: do have rested bullpens, here even though the bullpens are pretty,
• 57:34
  Speaker 2: untrustworthy so if you wanted to go under first.
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: Five you could do that.
• 57:37
  Speaker 2: Too, generally, YES i agree with the, under but AGAIN
• 57:42
  Speaker 2: i prefer The White sox WHEN i kind of thought
• 57:45
  Speaker 2: about this more and looked at what the situation was
• 57:47
  Speaker 2: and looked at McClanahan just kind of being shaky so
• 57:50
  Speaker 2: far this, year shaky like he's.
• 57:52
  Speaker 1: Got parkinson's, man we're gonna do. It.
• 57:55
  Speaker 2: Uh White sox is the play in that game money.
• 57:58
  Speaker 2: Line if you want to go first five Inning White,
• 58:00
  Speaker 2: sox you can do that. Too but, AGAIN i don't
• 58:03
  Speaker 2: think they have a major bullpend disadvantage, here so their
• 58:06
  Speaker 2: main disadvantage is their. Offense BUT i think good, hitting
• 58:10
  Speaker 2: excuse a good pitching counters good.
• 58:12
  Speaker 1: HITTING i think it over takes good. Hitting all, right
• 58:15
  Speaker 1: we gotta get, this.
• 58:16
  Speaker 2: Dude this is gonna be one of my longest baseball
• 58:18
  Speaker 2: analyses that we've had so.
• 58:20
  Speaker 1: Far it's gonna go way more than an. Hour toronto At.
• 58:22
  Speaker 2: MILWAUKEE i considered making this game a, play and if
• 58:26
  Speaker 2: you look at the starting pitching you might know Where
• 58:28
  Speaker 2: i'm going with, this and the fact that both teams
• 58:30
  Speaker 2: did not play. Yesterday, Now, milwaukee they're staying at home
• 58:33
  Speaker 2: and they've lost five straight, games including losing three in
• 58:37
  Speaker 2: a row at home To, washington And milwaukee was a
• 58:41
  Speaker 2: huge favorite in every one of those. Games you gotta
• 58:43
  Speaker 2: think this is a bounce back From. Milwaukee they're not this,
• 58:46
  Speaker 2: bad SO i.
• 58:48
  Speaker 1: Think they will show up with focus.
• 58:50
  Speaker 2: Here they're gonna have a arrested bullpend here as, well
• 58:52
  Speaker 2: so Will, toronto although if you look at the, Bullpens
• 58:55
  Speaker 2: milwaukee has the better bullpend, here ALTHOUGH i think they've
• 58:57
  Speaker 2: fallen off a. Bit, yeah they're actually nineteenth in whip,
• 59:01
  Speaker 2: now which is not, great although their era is a
• 59:03
  Speaker 2: bit better than that if you want to count. That
• 59:05
  Speaker 2: But toronto's bullpen has really struggled so, far even though
• 59:08
  Speaker 2: they're actually.
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: Above them and.
• 59:09
  Speaker 2: Whip BUT i Think milwaukee does have the better bullpen,
• 59:12
  Speaker 2: here So i'm gonna give them a slight bullpen advantage. There,
• 59:16
  Speaker 2: Offensively milwaukee has hit pretty. Well they're eighth right, now
• 59:19
  Speaker 2: and The Blue jays have struggled a little. Bit they've
• 59:22
  Speaker 2: had some injuries to deal. With they're at eighteenth right
• 59:24
  Speaker 2: now in, ops So i'm gonna Give milwaukee an advantage there.
• 59:28
  Speaker 2: Too so it does sound like there's some advantages For
• 59:30
  Speaker 2: milwaukee here. Now, TORONTO i think they're also in a
• 59:34
  Speaker 2: focused spot, though because they just lost twice at home To,
• 59:36
  Speaker 2: minnesota pretty ugly losses For toronto. There it might be
• 59:41
  Speaker 2: good for them to just go out on the road.
• 59:42
  Speaker 2: Focus SO i think this is a focused spot for
• 59:45
  Speaker 2: both teams coming off some pretty ugly.
• 59:47
  Speaker 1: Losses SO i think that's kind of a.
• 59:49
  Speaker 2: Wash it's a good spot for both teams, here which
• 59:51
  Speaker 2: might mean that you're gonna get more focused defenses and pitching,
• 59:56
  Speaker 2: here and again the offenses might cool off a little.
• 59:58
  Speaker 2: Bit having yesterday. Off Kevin gossman is pitching for The Blue.
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 2: Jays he's off to a really good start this season
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 2: two point eight point six to three. Whip, NOW i
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 2: don't think he's gonna continue to be this, good but
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 2: he is pretty. Good he has a ridiculous twenty six
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 2: to two strike out walk ratio so far this season
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 2: in seventeen to third innings with only nine hits. Allowed
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 2: but he did struggle a little bit more in his last,
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 2: outing but it was also against The, dodgers so maybe
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 2: give him a little bit of a pass for that
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 2: because we know The dodgers are elite on the offensive. Side,
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 2: now this is going to be his first road, start,
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 2: though so maybe that's a little bit of an issue
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 2: that he hasn't pitched away from home. Yet last year
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 2: he was actually better on the road than at, home,
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 2: though so it might not be that big of an.
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 1: Issue going up Against.
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee he does have really good numbers in seventy nine
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 2: career bats twenty six to five strike out walk, ratio
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 2: one seventy seven batting average, allowed.
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 1: Five h five.
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 2: Ohps he looks like he does match up pretty well
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 2: against this. Lineup and then on the other, Side Jacob
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 2: zerowski is pitching off to a good start this. Season
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 2: he came up last, year and you, know he's a
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 2: very talented young. Pitcher mostly that he throws harder than
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 2: anybody else in baseball besides Like Mason. Miller But Mason
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 2: miller's you, know coming out of the bullpen and only
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 2: throwing like one. Inning miz is going out there and
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 2: he's still throwing one hundred miles an hour and like
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 2: the third. Inning he's got a three point three ONE,
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 2: era one point zero four whip so. Far that's all
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 2: pretty good, stuff pretty good, groundball flyball, rate twenty eight
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 2: to nine strike out walk, ratio and sixteen and a
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 2: third inning so far eight hits, allowed so he's been
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 2: pretty much. Unhittable that hit rate is really. Good the
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 2: walks are a little bit of a concern. Though he's
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 2: walked multiple guys in every. Outing he's striking out guys
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 2: at a really high.
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 1: Rate that's what he. Does he blows guys.
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 2: Away but you'd like to see him get those walk numbers, down.
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 1: Man and he throws too many.
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 2: Pitches you, know he's getting close to one hundred pitches
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 2: through five innings in pretty much every start. Here he's
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 2: got to do something about. That he's not pitching. Efficiently
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 2: that's the. Problem, like if you're gonna be an elite,
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 2: pitcher you gotta go deep burnto games and save your
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 2: bullpen a little bit, more, man you, know help out your. Bullpen,
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 2: Now TORONTO i believe has never faced him. Before, yeah
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 2: so he does have that. Advantage Like i've been talking
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 2: about these starting pitch you, know these, pictures especially when
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 2: they're really good like, miss they have an extra advantage
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 2: when the hitters have never faced him. Before, so needless to,
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 2: say you know What i'm about to say, HERE i
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 2: like the under in this, game and this one almost
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 2: made the cut for. Me the total is a little,
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 2: bit you, know a little bit iffy.
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 1: There it's at. Seven maybe you'll find a seven and
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 1: a half out. There it is on that key.
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 2: NUMBER i would make sure to get at least that
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 2: key number going under the seven. There that is the
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 2: WAY i would. Lean you do have rested. Bullpens the
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 2: bullpens are a little bit questionable, Though so that's kind
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 2: of WHERE i was kind of, LIKE i don't think
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 2: this is good enough to put it on my card right.
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 2: Now does that MEAN i can never give, out you,
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 2: know an under with these two? TEAMS i don't, know
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 2: but the MORE i thought about, IT i was, like,
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 2: WELL nis doesn't go deep into.
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 1: GAMES i don't.
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 2: Know maybe the fact that the bullpens arrested will help, out,
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 2: Though LIKE i do still lean. UNDER i just don't
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 2: think it was strong. Enough if you want to go
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 2: first five, under you could do that, too you, know
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 2: maybe that's slightly. Preferable we don't really see percentages yere
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 2: on the total, yet SO i don't really.
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 1: Know But, under.
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 2: You, know in some way does make sense to me
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 2: in this. GAME i like the starting pitching matchup quite
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 2: a bit there first five. Innues you're probably looking at
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 2: about a three though in that, game with how well
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 2: those pitchers are, Pitched milwaukee looks like they're taking the
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 2: money on the. Side they're up to minus one twenty
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 2: three for minus one oh, five eighty three percent of the,
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 2: tickets ninety four percent of the cash on. Them so
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 2: do with that information what you. Want it looks Like
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 2: milwaukee is getting the money in that. ONE i don't
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 2: have a great opinion on the side in that. GAME
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 2: i do, think, WELL i GUESS i do kind of
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 2: agree with it Because, MILWAUKEE i, think is coming off
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 2: the more embarrassing games staying at. Home and WHILE i
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 2: don't think they have a huge starting pitching edge, HERE
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 2: i think they're open is probably the better one and
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 2: their offense is probably. Better SO i Guess i'll agree with. That,
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 2: garrett what's up, Man good to see you. Again you're
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 2: not gonna like WHAT i have to say about The
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 2: hornets game, here Which.
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna get to it The i'm gonna do. It
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 1: i'm DOING nba at the end of the.
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 2: Show we gotta go through some BORING nhl first, here
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 2: BUT i gotta. FINISH i have one more baseball play
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 2: to give out here, too and it's not in this
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 2: Game cleveland And Saint. Louis, Here i'm hearing a bunch of.
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 2: BEEPING i think it's like my washing machine or. SOMETHING
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 2: i FORGOT i. WAS i must have been running.
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 1: THAT i don't, KNOW i forget, anyway these teams did play.
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 2: Yesterday cleveland won nine to three, yesterday so you might
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 2: argue there's a bounce back opportunity For Saint louis, here
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 2: ALTHOUGH i really don't Think Saint louis is a good.
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 1: Team.
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 2: Uh looking at the bullpen usage for the teams, Yesterday
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 2: cleveland used four relief, pitchers which is not good uh
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 2: three For Saint. Louis ALTHOUGH i Think Saint louis has
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 2: the inferior bullpen, Here i'm looking at the offense, first
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 2: THOUGH i Apologize i'm not segueing well. Here cleveland has
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 2: a sixteenth best offense right, Now Saint louis.
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 1: TWENTIETH i don't think either offense.
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 2: Is that, good BUT i THINK i do Agree Saint,
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 2: louis you, KNOW i, mean they're really kind of in
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 2: a rebuilding, year So i'll probably Agree cleveland does have
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 2: the slightly better offense. Here bullpen, WISE i Think clevelan's
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 2: is the better, bullpen but right now not. Great eighteenth
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 2: IN whip and THEIR era looks a lot worse than.
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 2: That but The cardinals are still worse in Both Whip ANDY.
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 1: Ra they're twenty. First bullpen, wise.
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 2: Their bullpen is pretty much stunk this, Year SO i
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 2: do Think cleveland has the better bullpen, here even though
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 2: they're not quite as. RESTED i think they still have
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 2: a bullpen. Edge cleveland Is Joey cantillo pitching. Here decent
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 2: numbers to start the season two point four to FIVE,
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 2: era one point two to THREE. Whip you'd like to
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 2: see that whip be a little bit. Better it's too many, walks,
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 2: dude multiple walks in every. Start hasn't gone deep into
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 2: any start, yet But cleveland has.
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 1: Won all three of. Them he hasn't allowed that many.
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 2: Hits he has a high strikeout rate twenty to, seven
• 1:06:01
  Speaker 2: strike at walk ration in fourteen to two thirds with
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 2: eleven hits. Allowed everything's pretty good here except for the, walks.
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 1: Dude that's the.
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 2: Thing he's got to get that wildness under control here
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 2: and pitch a little bit more. Efficiently, maybe although they
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 2: have been pulling him around the ninety pitch mark, here
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 2: they don't want to like blow out his. ARM i
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 2: guess that we don't Have Dusty baker managing. Anymore but,
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 2: YES i think his ceiling is. HIGH i think he
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 2: has the higher ceiling out of these two. STARTERS i
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 2: think he has the better. Stuff And Saint louis basically
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 2: has never faced him. Before ureus is the only one
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 2: who's faced, him and he's one for two with a
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 2: strikeout off of him in a single was the. Hit
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 2: SO i think Can't TiO does have an extra edge,
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 2: there not having been seen before by that.
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 1: Lineup michael McGreevy For Saint.
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 2: Louis he's basically been their best starter this, season which sounds.
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 2: Insane McGreevy, again AS i sometimes, say sounds like he
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 2: should be In. Boston, baby bring the Eye schmidna over.
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 2: Here two point one SIXTY ra point seven to eight.
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 2: Whip those are solid. Numbers he's not a strikeout, guy
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 2: but he really is keeping guys off the base pass
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 2: and he's not allowing many. Runs he's gone six innings
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 2: to two of his three starts ten to two strikeout walk.
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 2: Ratio he has a good, command but again he's not like,
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 2: AGAIN i Think cantio a. Well Obviously cantillo has the
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 2: way better strikeout, Stuff SO i don't know.
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 1: IF i fully trust.
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 2: McGreevy but he's only allowed eleven hits in sixteen to
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 2: two thirds innings so. Far don't like his fly ball.
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 2: Rate it's higher than his ground ball. Rate but he
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 2: might have an extra edge here Because cleveland has never
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 2: seen him, before so both pitchers have that advantage of
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 2: never having been seen before by the opposing. Hitting you might, think,
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 2: well that means UNDER i don't know about this, game.
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 2: MAN i just don't know what to think about these two.
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 2: STARTERS i think this game is very difficult to handicap
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 2: sixty four percent of tickets on the under and sixty
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 2: four percent of the cash on the, over even though
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 2: it dropped off that key number nine down to eight
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 2: and a half. HERE i don't, know oh, MAN i
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 2: don't know about the total in that. One it looks
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 2: like the money's coming back in on the over after
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 2: dropping it off the key number. NINE i could see
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 2: the arguments for, it because both bullpens could be a
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 2: little bit questionable, Here BUT i don't know IF i
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 2: THINK i would probably lean under though in that, game
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 2: based on the unfamiliarity with the pitchers, there the fact
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 2: that both pitchers could actually do pretty well, here maybe
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 2: under verse five is a little better to avoid the,
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 2: bullpens Especially Saint louis with how bad their bullpen has.
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 2: Been under verse five makes. Sense the money's also coming
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 2: in On. Cleveland they're at minus one point fifteen, here
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 2: seventy nine percent of tickets.
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 1: Ninety eight percent of the cash on.
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 2: THEM i don't THINK i disagree, AGAIN i think Can't,
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 2: tillo you could argue has a little bit of an
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 2: advantage BECAUSE i think just his ceiling is, higher BUT
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 2: i Think cleveland has the better bullpen and offense, here
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 2: SO i don't really disagree With cleveland, there although you
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 2: could argue for maybe a bounce back From Saint louis.
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 2: There you Think charlotte's gonna, WIN i am going to they,
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 2: might But i'm gonna push back on. That, Yes Sir,
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 2: BRAVES i did talk about The braves game. ALREADY i
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 2: found that game to be almost impossible to.
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 1: READ i did not have a good opinion on The
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 1: braves game at.
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 2: ALL i have basically no opinion on, it BUT i
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 2: should On Ronaldo lopez, THOUGH i think he's a complete
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 2: asshole and a, fat tired, fuck AND i think he
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 2: should be out of the.
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 1: League colorado At. Houston this is my last.
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 2: PLAY i told you this is gonna be, ugly so
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 2: you probably know what it. Is, yeah we're getting so
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 2: ugly today that we're gonna have plays on The White
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 2: sox and The rockies.
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 1: Here but allow me to. Explain we're gonna play The.
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 2: Rockies if you want to go just run line on,
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 2: this you could do, that but it was out there
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 2: at minus one, thirty SO i was, like let's split the,
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 2: Bet like even if you do it at minus one.
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 2: Thirty i'd say you should probably put some amount on
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 2: the money line here at plus one. Sixty if you
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 2: want to go all money line and put just less
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 2: money on it to win, MORE i think there's an
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 2: okay chance That colorado gets this, win so you could do.
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 1: That but we're gonna go a little bit.
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 2: More risk averse, here AND i can show you the
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 2: good old Johnny Ma baseball run line calculator here doing
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 2: it out of to win one hundred, here you're getting
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 2: a plus one thirteen price if you create a plus
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 2: one run line. Here of, course you can find this
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 2: at a book. Too you can go plus one at
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 2: LIKE dk and some of the other books they.
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 1: Give you run.
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 2: Lines it's the possibility you can find a decent price
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 2: on just playing the plus one run line at one
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 2: of those books.
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 1: Too so in this, case.
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 2: To win one, hundred you'd only have to put fifty
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 2: on the minus one thirty part of, it which would
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 2: return thirty eight forty. Six and then you put the
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 2: thirty eight forty six on the money, line which is
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 2: gonna be you, know the bigger part of the return.
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 2: There and then the way this works out Is it's
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 2: basically like playing the plus one run, line where if
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 2: they lose by exactly, one your BET's gonna, push you.
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 1: Know so that's what we're doing. Here. Now this is.
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 2: All to do with the situation pretty. Much we're going
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 2: with situational place. Here houston is in the worst situation
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 2: out of any team, today. Dude they're returning home from
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 2: a road trip that was three series, long including one
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 2: four game series where they had to play yesterday In,
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 2: seattle and, Well, houston they've lost eight games in a.
• 1:11:14
  Speaker 2: Row so everybody's gonna be, like, oh now That houston's back,
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 2: home they're.
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 1: Gonna bounce, back, right because they've been better at.
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 2: HOME i think five of their six wins have come at,
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 2: Home so, yeah they should be better at, home.
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 1: RIGHT i don't think that's how it, works.
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 2: Man you know WHAT i always say with these daily sports,
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 2: here when teams are turned on from long.
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 1: Road, trips it's a.
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 2: Distraction you have to get back to home life you
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 2: got stopped to. DO i, mean how exciting are you
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 2: gonna get to play The Colorado? Rockies probably not that.
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 2: EXCITED i think this is a bad, spot. Dude and,
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 2: Again houston has no rest because they played yesterday In
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 2: seattle and they're having to travel back To houston from
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 2: that from a big divisional series where they had some
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 2: dramatic finishes in the, game not last, night but even,
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 2: so they played yesterday in like the middle of the day.
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 1: Yesterday but even, so this is a horrible spot for.
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 2: THEM i, mean they're going up against A colorado team
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 2: that didn't play, yesterday.
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 1: So Now houston.
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 2: Did although they did save their, bullpen they only Used
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 2: france out of the, bullpen so, Yeah houston's bullpen is,
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 2: rested so that does take a little bit away from.
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 2: It but still they have to travel with no time off,
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 2: here Whereas colorado they just got swept In San diego
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 2: and they're continuing a road. Trip SO i think this
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 2: might be more of a bounce back spot and maybe
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 2: advantageous spot for them because they had, rest they didn't play.
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 2: Yesterday they're coming in off getting.
• 1:12:35
  Speaker 1: Swept.
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 2: Now the one thing, is, yeah the one THING i
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 2: do worry about here besides EVERYTHING i just, said is
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 2: that this is a revenge spot For. Houston so that
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 2: worries me a little bit Because colorado just Swept houston In.
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 2: Colorado but Maybe colorado matches up well against.
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 1: THEM i don't. Know like usually WHEN i see, This i'm,
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 1: THINKING i want to go.
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 2: With the team that got, swept like it's the recent revenge,
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 2: angle you know WHAT i. Mean BUT i don't Think
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 2: colorado is gonna Overlook, houston because that's the, thing that
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 2: recent revenge thing the angle is that the team that
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 2: won is gonna overlook that. Team but do you really
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 2: Think colorado's gonna overlook anybody after they just got swept
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 2: By San. DIEGO i don't think they, will AND i
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 2: DON'T i Think houston has more of a possibility of
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 2: Overlooking colorado. HERE i Know colorado's bad on the, road
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 2: they're two and, Eight houston's five and two at. Home,
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 2: YES i went over. That that's a little bit of
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 2: an indicator, that you, know maybe we should worry about.
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 2: This but Then i'm looking at the pitching, here And i'm,
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 2: thinking you, KNOW i think this kind of makes.
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 1: Sense, look well we're looking at the.
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 2: Hitting, Yes houston has a better, offense, Fine colorado hasn't
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 2: been that bad on.
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 1: Offense though where are they at?
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 2: Here they're, well they're twenty second, Now so, YEAH i
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 2: don't Think colorado is that good. Offensively, Obviously houston's had
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 2: the better offense so. Far, fine BUT i Think houston
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 2: is going to regress offensively at some, point maybe not
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 2: in this, game but at some, point and well maybe
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 2: they're already kind of starting. To colorado said the thirteenth
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 2: best bullpen so far this, year, Though now will that?
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 2: Continue maybe, not BECAUSE i don't think they have that
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 2: talent of a, bullpen But houston's bullpen is an absolute.
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 2: Disaster they're the worst bullpen in baseball in both era
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 2: and whip horrible bullpen From houston so. Far SO i
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 2: do think we have a bullpen edge With colorado, here
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 2: which is probably good because we don't even know who's
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 2: starting for, Well, COLORADO i guess did Announce lorenzen is
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 2: gonna start, here.
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 1: BUT i actually liked, that SO i handicapped it both.
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 2: Ways SO i was, thinking Maybe colorado is gonna go
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 2: with the bullpend game, Here AND i actually still would
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 2: Go colorado even if they go with the bullpen, game
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 2: because they at least have a rested bullpen that's been pitching.
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 2: Okay but now it looks Like lorenzen will make the start,
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 2: here AND i know who's.
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 1: Gonna want this. Guy his number, SUCK.
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 2: I, know eight point three SIX, era two point one
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 2: four whip atrocious, NUMBERS i. Know but both of his
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 2: starts well after his first, START i should, say his
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 2: other two starts were at, home and he really basically
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 2: just got jacked up in one start against The, phillies
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 2: and that was against a really good.
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 1: Offense in course, field and that's skewing his. Numbers.
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 2: Now the weird thing is he did pitch three days.
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 2: Ago he pitched an inning Against San, Diego so he
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 2: might not go full starter's workload, here which is WHAT
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 2: i was. SAYING i think he might come out there
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 2: and maybe go about three innings in this. Game But
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 2: i'm still okay with that as far as what we're doing.
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 2: HERE i think he might go out there and he
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 2: might actually do. Okay he's familiar with pitching in this
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 2: ballpark because he was With texas for a. While he
• 1:15:29
  Speaker 2: was on The royals last, year and he actually has
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 2: good numbers Against, houston SO i am factoring that into the.
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 2: Handicap they have seventy two at bats against, him fourteen
• 1:15:37
  Speaker 2: to eight strike out walk.
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 1: Ratio that's not.
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 2: Good for, him but one sixty seven average allowed five
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 2: to twenty eight. Ops These houston inters have not done
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 2: a lot of damage Against, lorenzen SO i think he
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 2: can hold serve. Here and he has another advantage because
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 2: he's pitched this. Year and guess who. Hasn't, yeah that
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 2: would Be houston's listed starter, Here Colton, gordon who made
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 2: his major league debut last year at the age of twenty,
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 2: six and he was. Bad he had a five point
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 2: three to four ear ram one point four to two
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 2: whip last.
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 1: Year do we trust? THAT i don't THINK i.
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 2: Would his strike out walk rate was actually pretty good
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 2: seventy two to, nineteen so maybe there is room for improvement,
• 1:16:17
  Speaker 2: there BUT i don't trust it at, all AND i really.
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 1: Don't he had an extreme.
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 2: Fly ball, rate, too Which i'd like this more of
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 2: you was pitching a course, field but still he allowed
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 2: twenty one home runs in eighty six innings and one
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 2: hundred and three. Hits he was unbelievably hit aable last.
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 2: Year he's just leaving pitches like right out over the
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 2: plate that hitters can just jack up into the. Stands
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 2: and while HE i guess kind of pitched a little
• 1:16:43
  Speaker 2: bit better down the, stretch not, really BECAUSE i mean
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 2: he still was walking, guys SO i don't, know even
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 2: though he wasn't walking guys earlier of the. Season, really,
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 2: YEAH i don't Think gordon is good. MAN i just,
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 2: don't even THOUGH i don't even know If colorado has
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 2: faced him. Before actually they. HAVE i did look at
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 2: this Or colorado has fourteen at bats against. Them they're
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 2: seven to fourteen offen with two of them, runs one,
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 2: walk one, Strikeout so they have a five hundred batting
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 2: average against them and sixteen oh five. Ops So, colorado
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 2: even THOUGH i know it's a really small sample, Size.
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 1: Gordon is totally.
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 2: Untrustworth The colorado's lit them, up and you're gonna Get.
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 1: Gordon Plus houston's bullpen.
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 2: Plus given the situation here with the rest, EDGE i
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 2: Think colorado has some advantages in this. GAME i think
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 2: they have a starting pitching edge here and a bullpen
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 2: edge here and the rest.
• 1:17:32
  Speaker 1: Edge so let's do.
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 2: It let's play The rockies with a split bet, here
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 2: and we don't see the percentages, yet but the money
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 2: looks like it's, agreeing With houston dropping for minus one nine.
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 1: In minus one seventy.
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 2: Nine how Can houston be that heavy of a favorite
• 1:17:46
  Speaker 2: With Colton gordon on the, mound plus the bullpen that they,
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 2: have that's just absurd to.
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 1: Me houston is clearly.
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 2: Overvalued, here even though you would think That houston wouldn't
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 2: be overvalued because they've been playing poor, Recently but it's
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 2: because they're playing The Colorado, rockies who you're pretty much
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 2: gonna get value on The rockies in the market until further.
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 1: Notice so let's do.
• 1:18:10
  Speaker 2: It what DID i, SAY i don't. Know that was
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 2: The Ronaldo lopez. Thing, yeah he's an ass. Dude you
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 2: can't fist a baseball and try to like break people's
• 1:18:21
  Speaker 2: faces with. It he should be in, jail which might
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 2: actually help The. Braves and by the, WAY i think
• 1:18:27
  Speaker 2: once The braves get any of their Injured striter's, BACK
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 2: i Think lopez is going to be out of their.
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 1: Rotation there's the possibility of.
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 2: It like if they had a healthy, rotation he definitely
• 1:18:36
  Speaker 2: would not be in the rotation because.
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 1: They Have strider And schwellenbach And Smith shaver are all
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 1: on the injured list there for, them and they're all
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 1: clearly better Than, lopez all, right but you, Know lopez
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 1: might be better than a couple of the other. Guys
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 1: they have in the.
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 2: Rotation maybe maybe not Though seattle At San diego's the
• 1:18:59
  Speaker 2: other end of that Were seattle played yesterday and they're
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 2: coming up a very satisfying division sweep Of houston and
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 2: now traveling To San, diego where you could argue, that,
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 2: well they'll be focused because they're starting a road.
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 1: Trip but not a good spot For.
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 2: SEATTLE i think it's kind of kind of a letdown
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 2: spot they played.
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 1: YESTERDAY i don't Love seattle.
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 2: Here they did rest their, bullpen and their bullpen is
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 2: pretty good and the only is two relief. Pitchers just,
• 1:19:24
  Speaker 2: Say seattle's pretty good at managing their. Bullpen so, yeah
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 2: their bullpen is not in bad. Shape and that's kind
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 2: of Where i'm, like, Well i'm not gonna wind up
• 1:19:32
  Speaker 2: actually giving you this out as a play or.
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 1: Anything. Here San diego did not play. Yesterday they're staying at.
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 2: Home they also did have a divisional, sweep BUT i
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 2: don't know how satisfying it is to sweep The Colorado
• 1:19:43
  Speaker 2: rockies as far as.
• 1:19:45
  Speaker 1: The pitching is concerned.
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 2: Here, yeah LIKE i was, Saying mariners have a good,
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 2: bullpen so we should actually look at the bullpen's. Here
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 2: they're second in the major bullpen stats here right, now
• 1:19:55
  Speaker 2: they might have the best bullpen ra, actually so, yeah
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 2: they're a good, bullpen we know. This as far As San,
• 1:20:02
  Speaker 2: diego they're a good bullpen as, well. Though San diego's fourth,
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 2: now and we know They San diego had a very
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 2: good bullpen last year and that's pretty much still the,
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 2: case and they, have you, know the best closer in
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 2: baseball and. Whatever as far as the hitting is, Concerned
• 1:20:16
  Speaker 2: San diego has not hit well this year, though but
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 2: they've been moving.
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 1: Up they've moved up to the middle of the.
• 1:20:21
  Speaker 2: Pack after a bad, start so their offense is coming
• 1:20:23
  Speaker 2: around a little, bit AND i think they are kind
• 1:20:25
  Speaker 2: of a more mediocre. Offense, seattle their offense has not
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 2: been able to get it.
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 1: Going.
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 2: MAN i think they're probably better than, this but they're
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 2: in the bottom third right now in. Offense SO i
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 2: Think San diego probably does have the offensive edge right,
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 2: now and you could argue they have a slightly better
• 1:20:43
  Speaker 2: bullpen as, well, maybe but both bullpens are, good but,
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 2: Yeah San diego is a little bit of a rest
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 2: edge there starting, pitching, THOUGH i Think brian wo does
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 2: have the edge, here even though he's not quite as
• 1:20:53
  Speaker 2: good away From. Seattle this is another pitcher friendly park,
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 2: here SO i don't think he's gonna do.
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 1: Bad he's got a.
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 2: One point five YR ra point seven eight whip on
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 2: the season so. FAR i, mean, yeah that should regress
• 1:21:04
  Speaker 2: a little. Bit but he's a very good. PITCHER i
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 2: think he's the best pitcher In seattle's, rotation even though
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 2: they haven't miss like their third. Starter he's got eighteen
• 1:21:13
  Speaker 2: innings so, far only a long ten, hits seventeen, strikeouts
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 2: and four. Walks good stuff From. Wu not a whole
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 2: lot to say, there he's. Good, Uh he's going up
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 2: against A San diego lineup THAT i don't believe has
• 1:21:24
  Speaker 2: hit him that.
• 1:21:24
  Speaker 1: Well.
• 1:21:25
  Speaker 2: No seventy three at, bats seventeen to three strikeout walk,
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 2: ratio that's all. Good two nineteen batting average allowed is very.
• 1:21:31
  Speaker 2: Low the only problem is he's allowed five home runs to,
• 1:21:34
  Speaker 2: them two From tatis and two From, onduhar.
• 1:21:38
  Speaker 1: So seven oh two ops is a little bit.
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 2: High but Still wu is good AND i expect him
• 1:21:45
  Speaker 2: to pitch pretty well. HERE i think the matchup is,
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 2: fine but he's going up Against Michael, king who is also.
• 1:21:49
  Speaker 1: Pretty good For San.
• 1:21:50
  Speaker 2: Diego three point twenty FIVE y three point two FOUR
• 1:21:53
  Speaker 2: era one point two. Whip the walks have been an
• 1:21:57
  Speaker 2: issue For, king Though he's done sixteen to two thirds
• 1:21:59
  Speaker 2: innings so. Far twelve hits allowed us pretty, good but
• 1:22:02
  Speaker 2: eight walks that is concerning fifteen strikeouts is. Fine the,
• 1:22:06
  Speaker 2: Walks he's got to get that under. Control man he's
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 2: walked three or more and two of his three start so,
• 1:22:11
  Speaker 2: far including his most recent. One BUT i Think king
• 1:22:15
  Speaker 2: is good up Against. Seattle pretty good numbers in sixty
• 1:22:19
  Speaker 2: two at bats really, good twenty one to four strike
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 2: out walk. Ratio two of them runs, allowed but they're
• 1:22:25
  Speaker 2: both from A rosa, rain so maybe he can pitch
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 2: around him a little. Bit two twenty six batting average
• 1:22:30
  Speaker 2: allowed six to sixty. Ops not bad numbers at. All
• 1:22:33
  Speaker 2: so to, me it does look like this is going
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 2: to turn into a pitching, duel.
• 1:22:38
  Speaker 1: You, know Maybe seattle's.
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 2: BATS i think the continuity, though does help the, bats.
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 2: Though the fact That seattle did hit, YESTERDAY i think
• 1:22:46
  Speaker 2: it playing YESTERDAY i think affects the pitching. More But
• 1:22:49
  Speaker 2: seattle did not use many of the relievers. YESTERDAY i
• 1:22:53
  Speaker 2: like the under in this.
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 1: Game.
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 2: Generally the totals at seven WHICH i think is pretty
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 2: much where it should. Be he got two pretty good.
• 1:22:59
  Speaker 2: Bulls LIKE i, said they're not. Unrested. Really you, Know
• 1:23:02
  Speaker 2: San diego didn't even play. Yesterday but the money looks
• 1:23:06
  Speaker 2: like it's coming in slightly on the over eighty six
• 1:23:08
  Speaker 2: percent of the, tickets ninety seven percent of.
• 1:23:09
  Speaker 1: The cash on the.
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 2: OVER i would go under in this, game, though probably
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 2: IF i was gonna play the game at.
• 1:23:15
  Speaker 1: All seattle looks like they're taking the.
• 1:23:17
  Speaker 2: MONEY i don't know IF i agree with that up
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 2: to minus one seventeen sixty four percent of the tickets
• 1:23:21
  Speaker 2: eighty three percent of the cash On. Seattle the fact
• 1:23:24
  Speaker 2: That seattle did play yesterday could be in a letdown
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 2: off of that divisional.
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 1: SWEEP i don't Love seattle.
• 1:23:29
  Speaker 2: HERE i think you could make the, argument LIKE i,
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 2: said That San diego has a better.
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 1: BULLPEN i Think king is not that much worse Than.
• 1:23:36
  Speaker 2: Wu i'd probably lean slightly To San diego as the
• 1:23:39
  Speaker 2: home dog in a spot like.
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 1: That you, go what's? Up? MAN i agree with.
• 1:23:45
  Speaker 2: THAT i did talk about that a little while. Ago,
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 2: YES i agree with the under in that Game jay's And. Brewers, Yes,
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 2: basically starting pitching is really the main. Component they're both
• 1:23:57
  Speaker 2: starting pitchers are, good And mizierowski has an unfamiliarity that
• 1:24:01
  Speaker 2: should help him there Because toronto's never seen. Him gossman
• 1:24:05
  Speaker 2: has good numbers Against. Milwaukee so, YES i do like the,
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 2: under and you have two rested. Bullpends but my hesitation
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 2: on that was really that miss will basically only give
• 1:24:15
  Speaker 2: you like five innings because he's not, Efficient SO i
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 2: would kind of lean more towards making it a first
• 1:24:20
  Speaker 2: five inning, under although the bullpens are, rested so full
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 2: game does still make sense to me, There but, YEAH
• 1:24:26
  Speaker 2: i don't. KNOW i just to, ME i just hesitated
• 1:24:29
  Speaker 2: a little bit with, it, so you, know BUT i
• 1:24:33
  Speaker 2: THINK i would limit it to first five maybe Because
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 2: toronto's bullpen is really. Bad milwaukee's hasn't been great, Either but,
• 1:24:40
  Speaker 2: yes the bullpens are, rested so that does help the.
• 1:24:43
  Speaker 1: Bullpens.
• 1:24:47
  Speaker 2: YEAH i, mean if you wanted to look at like
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 2: a strikeout, problem, though you're probably gonna get a high
• 1:24:51
  Speaker 2: number on. That if you want to look at Like
• 1:24:52
  Speaker 2: mizierowski strikeouts, over you're probably not getting a good number
• 1:24:56
  Speaker 2: on it, though because everybody knows how good of a
• 1:24:58
  Speaker 2: strike up pitcher he is so you, KNOW i would
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 2: agree that he's gonna get a lot of strikeouts, there
• 1:25:03
  Speaker 2: but the number is probably, bad you, Know and he
• 1:25:08
  Speaker 2: just doesn't last long enough for me, Either like that sounds.
• 1:25:11
  Speaker 1: Really, gay but you, know you know WHAT i.
• 1:25:13
  Speaker 2: Mean like he goes five innings and he throws like
• 1:25:15
  Speaker 2: a hundred, pitches so you want to see him get
• 1:25:17
  Speaker 2: more efficient at working through these lineups even though he's
• 1:25:20
  Speaker 2: a strikeout. Man but, yeah those are my thoughts on
• 1:25:24
  Speaker 2: that Game texas at The.
• 1:25:26
  Speaker 1: A's we got the win last night With.
• 1:25:29
  Speaker 2: Texas that was my only baseball player last, night easy
• 1:25:31
  Speaker 2: win eight to. One got the good start out Of
• 1:25:34
  Speaker 2: evaldi last. NIGHT i Think Severn renos struggled as he
• 1:25:37
  Speaker 2: does in this particular. Stadium we're in this Horrible TRIPLE
• 1:25:40
  Speaker 2: a stadium at The a's PLAYING i thought it was
• 1:25:43
  Speaker 2: odd that that total was only at eight and a
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 2: half and it just snuck over and hit the nine last.
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 1: NIGHT i was just, like why.
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 2: Is the total That like usually you see a total
• 1:25:53
  Speaker 2: of ten in this ballpark and it's at eight and
• 1:25:56
  Speaker 2: a half again in this. Game but this, GAME i
• 1:25:59
  Speaker 2: actually think is a better pitching matchup than last night's
• 1:26:02
  Speaker 2: game was BECAUSE i Think severino is just that bad at.
• 1:26:05
  Speaker 2: HOME i actually Think springs is better for The a's
• 1:26:08
  Speaker 2: and even Though gore is not as good AS evoldi
• 1:26:12
  Speaker 2: probably but, well we're gonna get into that in a.
• 1:26:13
  Speaker 1: Second as far.
• 1:26:15
  Speaker 2: As, yesterday The a's they used two pitchers, yesterday so
• 1:26:19
  Speaker 2: out of their, BULLPEN i, mean which isn't too, bad
• 1:26:22
  Speaker 2: but their bullpen isn't. Good texas has the better bullpen
• 1:26:24
  Speaker 2: and ONLY us one relief, Pitcher so you gotta Give
• 1:26:27
  Speaker 2: texas a bullpen edge here right. NOW i have them
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 2: tenth just based ON i just arrange it by. Whip
• 1:26:32
  Speaker 2: as you, know The a's are twenty, Second so, Yeah
• 1:26:36
  Speaker 2: texas pretty clearly better bullpen. HITTING i think generally The
• 1:26:41
  Speaker 2: a's do have the better, offense but there's still twenty
• 1:26:43
  Speaker 2: fifth IN ops right now And texas is, thirteenth so
• 1:26:46
  Speaker 2: that hasn't really been the case this season so. Far.
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 2: THOUGH i don't think the gap between the offenses is
• 1:26:52
  Speaker 2: that crazy skewed Towards, texas BUT i like pitching over.
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 2: Hitting Mackensey gore pitching For. Texas he's had a big
• 1:27:00
  Speaker 2: time resurgence so far this.
• 1:27:01
  Speaker 1: Year man The texas pitching.
• 1:27:03
  Speaker 2: Coaches they're really, good AND i Think gore was just
• 1:27:06
  Speaker 2: in a bad organization before him in With. Washington The
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 2: gore clearly was always talented and had really good strikeouts,
• 1:27:13
  Speaker 2: stuff and he's been really good this. Season two point
• 1:27:16
  Speaker 2: seven to sixty, ra a point eighty six, whip twenty
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 2: five to five strikeout walk ratio in sixteen to third,
• 1:27:23
  Speaker 2: innings nine hits. Allowed really good numbers. There, man he's
• 1:27:27
  Speaker 2: coming off a five inning shutout Of. SEATTLE i guess
• 1:27:29
  Speaker 2: the one thing you could say is you'd like him
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 2: to go a little bit deeper into these. Games although
• 1:27:33
  Speaker 2: Maybe i'm just old, school but they are limiting his
• 1:27:36
  Speaker 2: pitches to basically about ninety every start because they don't
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 2: want to blow out his, Arms so maybe that is
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 2: a good. Thing against The, a's he has really bad
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 2: numbers though in thirty two at bats six to two
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 2: strike out walk ratio is, fine but, well you'd like
• 1:27:49
  Speaker 2: to see more, strikeouts, really especially.
• 1:27:51
  Speaker 1: From a guy like.
• 1:27:51
  Speaker 2: Him but they have a five sixty two batting average
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 2: against him thirteen sixty nine.
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 1: Ops that's.
• 1:27:58
  Speaker 2: Insane SO i don't know how much we can Trust gore,
• 1:28:02
  Speaker 2: here although he's in really good form right. Now, though
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 2: and that's the Thing TEXAS i think is getting the
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 2: best out of. Him SO i don't actually think he's
• 1:28:10
  Speaker 2: gonna do, badly but he is having a pitch in
• 1:28:12
  Speaker 2: This a's, stadium which is really. Bad these hitters have
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 2: done really well against him, historically so that makes me
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 2: worry a bit About gore. There Jeffrey springs is pitcher
• 1:28:22
  Speaker 2: for The. A's he's done well this season so. FAR
• 1:28:25
  Speaker 2: i don't think he's this, good but he's a serviceable.
• 1:28:28
  Speaker 2: PITCHER i would say one point four to SEVENTY a
• 1:28:31
  Speaker 2: or a point seven to six. Whip those are really good.
• 1:28:34
  Speaker 2: Numbers fifteen to six strikeout walk. RATIO i mean it's
• 1:28:38
  Speaker 2: the walk number is a little bit, high but it
• 1:28:39
  Speaker 2: was mostly because he walked a lot Of Blue jays
• 1:28:42
  Speaker 2: in his first outing and he's kind of faced to, gauntlet.
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 2: MAN i, mean he's faced The Blue, Jays houston and
• 1:28:47
  Speaker 2: The yankees and he's gone through that with these. Numbers
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 2: only allowing eight hits in eighteen to third, innings that's pretty, impressive.
• 1:28:54
  Speaker 1: Dude with fifteen.
• 1:28:56
  Speaker 2: Strikeouts, again the six walks is a little bit, high
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 2: but he's been pretty press is so far this. Season
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 2: he's only pitched once at, home but it was a
• 1:29:03
  Speaker 2: good outing Against. Houston seven, strikeouts one walk winner and
• 1:29:07
  Speaker 2: run all. Out he's been really good in his last two. Starts,
• 1:29:10
  Speaker 2: now after shutting out The yankees or whatever for seven
• 1:29:13
  Speaker 2: innings with one hit a, lout do you think he's.
• 1:29:15
  Speaker 1: Gonna regress a little? Bit?
• 1:29:17
  Speaker 2: Possibly he's he threw one hundred pitches in the outing before, that,
• 1:29:21
  Speaker 2: though and he's still pitched well against The. Yankees Against,
• 1:29:24
  Speaker 2: texas he's got decent numbers and fifty one at bats
• 1:29:27
  Speaker 2: nine to four strike at walk ratio is not. Good
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 2: two thirty five batting average is pretty good though low
• 1:29:34
  Speaker 2: batting average, allowed and seven h three oh ps isn't
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 2: that high, Either so you might be able to make
• 1:29:39
  Speaker 2: the Argument springs can hang in this game Against gore
• 1:29:43
  Speaker 2: based on the starting pitching the matchup.
• 1:29:45
  Speaker 1: Numbers but the money is coming in On.
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 2: Texas they flipped him minus one eleven fifty two percent
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 2: ticket seventy percent of the cash On.
• 1:29:52
  Speaker 1: Texas texas definitely has the better bullpen.
• 1:29:55
  Speaker 2: Man so if you are gonna Play texas, here which
• 1:29:57
  Speaker 2: does look like it's the money, side although it might change,
• 1:30:00
  Speaker 2: TONIGHT i would go full game if you're gonna Go
• 1:30:03
  Speaker 2: texas because you want the bullpen advantage on your side.
• 1:30:06
  Speaker 2: There if you're gonna go The, A'S i would limit
• 1:30:08
  Speaker 2: it first five, innings probably because you might have a
• 1:30:11
  Speaker 2: little bit LIKE i think that's where the bigger advantages
• 1:30:14
  Speaker 2: for The, a's if they have, any is that Maybe
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 2: springs can compete in the first part of that the
• 1:30:21
  Speaker 2: first part of that game, There BUT i wouldn't want
• 1:30:23
  Speaker 2: the bullpens there for The. A'S i keep Saying oakland
• 1:30:27
  Speaker 2: the homeless as the, total we don't really see much
• 1:30:30
  Speaker 2: going on. Yet it's dropped a little bit eight and
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 2: a half juice less to the. Over this is ONE
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 2: i don't THINK i want to play the total, here,
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 2: MAN i, mean this is just such an overconducing. Ballpark
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 2: the eight and a half really doesn't give you much
• 1:30:43
  Speaker 2: leeway if you want to go. Under even THOUGH i
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 2: was thinking maybe an undermakes, sense you don't really want
• 1:30:48
  Speaker 2: to deal With.
• 1:30:49
  Speaker 1: Oakland's bullpen or The a's.
• 1:30:50
  Speaker 2: BULLPEN i, Mean gore unfortunately has bad matchup numbers, too
• 1:30:54
  Speaker 2: SO i definitely have some hesitations if you.
• 1:30:56
  Speaker 1: Want to try to go under in that.
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 2: GAME i don't think i'd be able to do, it, so.
• 1:31:00
  Speaker 1: Yeah that's a.
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 2: Game i'm obviously staying off of that. GAME i don't
• 1:31:03
  Speaker 2: like it very.
• 1:31:04
  Speaker 1: Much Red.
• 1:31:06
  Speaker 2: SOX i agree with The Red sox. ABLE i, mean
• 1:31:09
  Speaker 2: there might be room for improvement. There we just haven't
• 1:31:12
  Speaker 2: seen it. Yet although he is unfamiliar to The Red,
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 2: sox but that hasn't really helped him in his short
• 1:31:19
  Speaker 2: career so. Far Sonny gray has looked good so, far
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 2: even though he's the more known. QUANTITY i think he
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 2: is the better picture. THERE i think The Red sox
• 1:31:26
  Speaker 2: have a bullpen advantage as. Well There minnesota bad. BULLPEN
• 1:31:30
  Speaker 2: i think it's about time That minnesota starts. Regressing, dude
• 1:31:33
  Speaker 2: they're not this good and doing what they did last.
• 1:31:36
  Speaker 2: Night that's not gonna happen. Again SO i think it
• 1:31:39
  Speaker 2: is a bounce. Back even THOUGH i am A Red sox,
• 1:31:41
  Speaker 2: FAN i don't want to be biased about, it but
• 1:31:43
  Speaker 2: IF i was, Biased i'd be down in the dumps
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 2: man BECAUSE i. Am because The Red sox looks so,
• 1:31:48
  Speaker 2: BAD i think they need to clean out all of their. Coaching,
• 1:31:51
  Speaker 2: man they need to fire the, manager fire the. COACHES
• 1:31:54
  Speaker 2: i like the talent on the, TEAM i don't like
• 1:31:56
  Speaker 2: how they're being. Coached but, yeah IF i was gonna be,
• 1:31:58
  Speaker 2: biased i'd probably be, like, yeah The Red sox are
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 2: gonna lose. Again but, NO i agree THAT i think
• 1:32:03
  Speaker 2: The Red sox are the right side in that. Game
• 1:32:06
  Speaker 2: it's not one of my plays. Though the last game
• 1:32:09
  Speaker 2: here not gonna be one of my plays. Either it's
• 1:32:11
  Speaker 2: a really interesting pitching Matchup mets And dodgers. Here The
• 1:32:14
  Speaker 2: DODGERS i, think got a really good outing last night
• 1:32:17
  Speaker 2: From robleski as The mets continue to not be able to,
• 1:32:21
  Speaker 2: hit ALTHOUGH i Think Juan soto is still out of
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 2: the line up. Here but The mets are just massively
• 1:32:27
  Speaker 2: struggling right. Now and we saw this with The mets last. Year,
• 1:32:29
  Speaker 2: dude The mets just they go on these, massive, massive
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 2: like horrible.
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 1: STREAKS i don't know what's.
• 1:32:34
  Speaker 2: Going on with The mets because their talent is, there
• 1:32:38
  Speaker 2: like they should be better than.
• 1:32:39
  Speaker 1: THIS i look at the.
• 1:32:40
  Speaker 2: Bullpens The dodgers have been pretty significantly improved from last
• 1:32:45
  Speaker 2: year their ninth in bullpen whip right. Now The mets
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 2: had the better bullpen last, year but this year that
• 1:32:50
  Speaker 2: has not been the. Case they are where they even At.
• 1:32:55
  Speaker 1: Oh, no, wait they're.
• 1:32:55
  Speaker 2: Fifth what AM i, saying all, right never, mind The
• 1:32:57
  Speaker 2: mets have had a bad offense this. YEAR i know,
• 1:32:59
  Speaker 2: That but, yeah The, mets their bullpen does continue to be.
• 1:33:02
  Speaker 2: Good they probably do actually have a bullpen advantage here
• 1:33:05
  Speaker 2: over The dodgers because they did have the better bullpend
• 1:33:07
  Speaker 2: last year and a lot of those guys are still. There, offensively,
• 1:33:10
  Speaker 2: obviously we know The dodgers are the better. Offense there's
• 1:33:13
  Speaker 2: no question about. That they're the best offensive. BASEBALL i
• 1:33:15
  Speaker 2: think the stats are. Correct they're just elite, offensively even
• 1:33:20
  Speaker 2: historically historically elite. Offensively The mets have really struggled. Offensively
• 1:33:25
  Speaker 2: they're down at twenty eighth in ops right. NOW i
• 1:33:28
  Speaker 2: don't think they're that bad on, offense though they can't,
• 1:33:32
  Speaker 2: be and you know at some point that god bounce back.
• 1:33:35
  Speaker 2: Here yesterday, though as far as the bullpen, usage The
• 1:33:40
  Speaker 2: mets used two relief pitchers, yesterday which isn't too. Bad
• 1:33:44
  Speaker 2: The dodgers used only one for eight. Pitches, Scott, so
• 1:33:49
  Speaker 2: how did? That how was that even the? Case what
• 1:33:50
  Speaker 2: happened in the game? YESTERDAY i haven't looked at the box.
• 1:33:53
  Speaker 2: SCORE i guess MAYBE i will right. Now, DUDE i
• 1:33:54
  Speaker 2: still have to do hockey AND. Nba, dude this is
• 1:33:57
  Speaker 2: gonna be one of my longest. Shows Did robleski really
• 1:34:01
  Speaker 2: pitch that deep into this game last?
• 1:34:03
  Speaker 1: Night he?
• 1:34:05
  Speaker 2: Did holy, crap he went eight innings last. Night that's.
• 1:34:08
  Speaker 2: Crazy and then you know The. Peterson i'm not surprised
• 1:34:11
  Speaker 2: That peterson had a mediocre. OUTING i, mean that's kind
• 1:34:13
  Speaker 2: of WHAT i. Expected but, Yeah robleski pitched a lot
• 1:34:16
  Speaker 2: better than you would. Think ALTHOUGH i did say IF
• 1:34:18
  Speaker 2: i Maybe robleski was undervalued. There but, anyway we're gonna
• 1:34:22
  Speaker 2: probably not have an Undervalue dodger team here in this.
• 1:34:24
  Speaker 2: One although, well, YEAH i don't. KNOW i, mean both
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 2: pitchers are good. HERE i don't know what my thought
• 1:34:31
  Speaker 2: was gonna be. There But nolan McClain is pitching for The,
• 1:34:33
  Speaker 2: mets AND i think he's probably still under the radar
• 1:34:35
  Speaker 2: because people don't know his name. Yet but he's a
• 1:34:38
  Speaker 2: very talented young pitcher they brought up last. Year he's
• 1:34:41
  Speaker 2: been good pretty much. Since he's come, up with a
• 1:34:43
  Speaker 2: couple of bad starts here and, there but this year
• 1:34:45
  Speaker 2: two point SEVEN era point eight four whip really good stuff,
• 1:34:49
  Speaker 2: here twenty to six strikeout walk, ratio eight, hits all
• 1:34:52
  Speaker 2: out in sixteen and two.
• 1:34:54
  Speaker 1: Thirds that's all. Good you'd like.
• 1:34:56
  Speaker 2: To see maybe fewer, walks but at least he's kind
• 1:34:58
  Speaker 2: of consistent in walking to an, outing which he's good
• 1:35:03
  Speaker 2: enough to just kind of battle through that type of.
• 1:35:05
  Speaker 2: Stuff and The dodgers have never seen him, before so
• 1:35:08
  Speaker 2: he does have that added advantage where he's he has
• 1:35:10
  Speaker 2: the unfamiliarity there where the opposing lineup has never faced him.
• 1:35:14
  Speaker 2: Before SO i think he should do actually fairly well,
• 1:35:16
  Speaker 2: here even THOUGH i know it is against any lead. Offense,
• 1:35:19
  Speaker 2: Here Yoshinoba yamamoto is pitching four The. Dodgers we know
• 1:35:23
  Speaker 2: he's really good as, well two point five yra this,
• 1:35:26
  Speaker 2: year eight point eight nine whip fourteen to two strike
• 1:35:30
  Speaker 2: a walk, Ratio so if are not a high strikeout,
• 1:35:32
  Speaker 2: rate but his command has been, there not walking a
• 1:35:35
  Speaker 2: lot of guys at, all fewer than one hit per inning.
• 1:35:37
  Speaker 1: Allowed he's pitching.
• 1:35:39
  Speaker 2: WELL i, mean we know. This you'd like to see
• 1:35:41
  Speaker 2: maybe his strikeout rate get a little bit. Higher against The.
• 1:35:44
  Speaker 2: Mets his numbers are actually kind of, mediocre but it's
• 1:35:47
  Speaker 2: a small sample size of nineteen six to one strike
• 1:35:50
  Speaker 2: a walk, ratio two sixty three batting average, allowed seven
• 1:35:53
  Speaker 2: to fifty four. Ops that's not, great although it's such
• 1:35:56
  Speaker 2: a small sample size that the only extra base hit
• 1:35:59
  Speaker 2: a home run From, vents is changing the ops quite
• 1:36:03
  Speaker 2: a bit.
• 1:36:03
  Speaker 1: There but this might be the spot where The mets
• 1:36:07
  Speaker 1: actually finally do. Something Man.
• 1:36:10
  Speaker 2: Dodgers are up to minus one ninety, five eighty nine
• 1:36:13
  Speaker 2: percent of the, tickets ninety eight percent of the cash on.
• 1:36:15
  Speaker 1: THEM i THINK i like The mets in this.
• 1:36:17
  Speaker 2: One we got a low total of seven and a,
• 1:36:19
  Speaker 2: half which is kind of telling you it should kind
• 1:36:21
  Speaker 2: of be a pitching duel. HERE i think the unfamiliarity,
• 1:36:24
  Speaker 2: is you, know being on the side of MCCLAN i
• 1:36:26
  Speaker 2: think gives him enough of an edge that he can
• 1:36:28
  Speaker 2: Outpitch yammoto in this. One and THEN i think, again
• 1:36:31
  Speaker 2: you could make the argument The mets have the better.
• 1:36:33
  Speaker 2: Bullpen YEAH i. WOULD i THINK i would Lean mets.
• 1:36:37
  Speaker 1: Eighty.
• 1:36:37
  Speaker 2: Yeah, again the money is coming in kind of on
• 1:36:40
  Speaker 2: The dodgers, here but they're gonna be the public. Side
• 1:36:42
  Speaker 2: the money's coming in on the. Over for what that's
• 1:36:44
  Speaker 2: worth of fifty eight percent of the tickets and ninety
• 1:36:46
  Speaker 2: one percent of the cash on the, OVER i don't
• 1:36:49
  Speaker 2: know about. That you, know an under kind of makes
• 1:36:52
  Speaker 2: sense to me in this. One these bullpens are not that.
• 1:36:54
  Speaker 2: Bad the starting pitching looks like a pretty good match up.
• 1:36:57
  Speaker 2: HERE i would probably lean, under BUT i think the,
• 1:36:59
  Speaker 2: uh the under is always dicey though when you're talking
• 1:37:03
  Speaker 2: about The dodgers IN la they hit really well at.
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 1: Home but, YEAH i Think mets.
• 1:37:08
  Speaker 2: Make sense to, me and that one man finally busts
• 1:37:11
  Speaker 2: out of their slump in a game where people don't
• 1:37:13
  Speaker 2: think it's gonna.
• 1:37:14
  Speaker 1: Happen, yeah you got it under the radar.
• 1:37:17
  Speaker 2: Picture that's way better than people realize with The mets,
• 1:37:20
  Speaker 2: there SO i think that's where the value. IS i
• 1:37:21
  Speaker 2: would go run line probably on The mets. THERE i
• 1:37:23
  Speaker 2: don't know what pricing can get on, it but getting
• 1:37:25
  Speaker 2: them at plus one and a half runs seems like
• 1:37:28
  Speaker 2: a decent deal to me in that. One, okay, oh
• 1:37:32
  Speaker 2: let's go to THE nhl here and then we HAVE
• 1:37:35
  Speaker 2: nba playing GAMES.
• 1:37:37
  Speaker 1: Nhl HOPEFULLY i can kind of breeze through.
• 1:37:39
  Speaker 2: THIS i, mean there's not a whole lot left to
• 1:37:41
  Speaker 2: be decided in THE, Nhl so these last couple of
• 1:37:43
  Speaker 2: days of THE nhl are like these are like just
• 1:37:47
  Speaker 2: the whole hum days of THE, nhl, LIKE i guess
• 1:37:50
  Speaker 2: there's some motivation for some teams fighting for, seeding but
• 1:37:53
  Speaker 2: the playoff picture is pretty much already, intact like we
• 1:37:56
  Speaker 2: know which teams are in and which teams are.
• 1:37:58
  Speaker 1: Out.
• 1:37:58
  Speaker 2: Now Boston bruins are, in and maybe they have some
• 1:38:03
  Speaker 2: sort of motivation here because if you look at the standings,
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 2: here The bruins are in the top wildcard AND i
• 1:38:09
  Speaker 2: think they do want to maintain that BECAUSE i think
• 1:38:11
  Speaker 2: they want to Avoid, carolina AND i believe with being
• 1:38:15
  Speaker 2: the top, WILDCARD i think they would Get buffalo instead Of.
• 1:38:18
  Speaker 2: Carolina you don't want to Face, carolina, Man so maybe
• 1:38:22
  Speaker 2: The bruins do have some motivation to get this. Win
• 1:38:25
  Speaker 2: The bruins have been good at home as. Well don't
• 1:38:27
  Speaker 2: know what Motivation New jersey might have here is their
• 1:38:30
  Speaker 2: season is pretty much.
• 1:38:31
  Speaker 1: Over this is their last game, though so that's the.
• 1:38:34
  Speaker 2: Thing So New jersey might get up for this game
• 1:38:37
  Speaker 2: because literally this is their final game of the, season
• 1:38:39
  Speaker 2: whereas The bruins will continue and play in the. Playoffs
• 1:38:43
  Speaker 2: so The bruins might start looking. Ahead New jersey did
• 1:38:46
  Speaker 2: win their last two. Games they do have a little
• 1:38:49
  Speaker 2: bit of, MOMENTUM i guess, Here BUT i don't. KNOW i,
• 1:38:51
  Speaker 2: mean coming off a pretty nice win Against ottawan. Overtime
• 1:38:55
  Speaker 2: as far as The, bruins they just ended a losing.
• 1:38:57
  Speaker 2: Streak they had a long losing streak and still got
• 1:38:59
  Speaker 2: into the, player but that was a really difficult. Stretcher
• 1:39:02
  Speaker 2: they lost To tampa, Twice carolina in, There philly who
• 1:39:06
  Speaker 2: just made the, playoffs and most of those games on the.
• 1:39:08
  Speaker 2: Road they somehow escaped with a win against The Blue.
• 1:39:12
  Speaker 2: Jackets they should not.
• 1:39:13
  Speaker 1: Have won that. Game i'm telling you that right. Now i'm, Sorry.
• 1:39:16
  Speaker 2: Josh if you're out there looking at the stats, There
• 1:39:18
  Speaker 2: columbus dominated that game. Statistically The bruins really got lucky
• 1:39:23
  Speaker 2: to win that. Game but The bruins didn't need. It
• 1:39:26
  Speaker 2: they were Already they're already going to be in the.
• 1:39:28
  Speaker 2: Playoffs it's just a matter of. Seeding but that did
• 1:39:31
  Speaker 2: break a losing, streak so maybe they will have ended
• 1:39:33
  Speaker 2: that losing momentum and maybe they show up here in this.
• 1:39:36
  Speaker 2: GAME i Think swayman is going to play here Because
• 1:39:38
  Speaker 2: corpusalo played in the last. Game so you'll get the
• 1:39:41
  Speaker 2: better goaltender for The bruins. Here but the money is
• 1:39:44
  Speaker 2: going against The bruins or at minus won forty sixty
• 1:39:47
  Speaker 2: nine percent of the tickets sixty three percent of the.
• 1:39:49
  Speaker 2: Cash on The, BRUINS i probably agree With New jersey.
• 1:39:53
  Speaker 1: THERE i think maybe.
• 1:39:54
  Speaker 2: You get a good effort out of them because they're
• 1:39:55
  Speaker 2: literally not playing again after, this so they probably want
• 1:39:58
  Speaker 2: to have a good finish to The sea and SO
• 1:40:00
  Speaker 2: i THINK i would lean that way a little, Bit
• 1:40:01
  Speaker 2: whereas The bruins may be looking ahead to the playoffs
• 1:40:04
  Speaker 2: at this, point AND i think The bruins actually might
• 1:40:06
  Speaker 2: have another regular season game as. Well, no they, don't,
• 1:40:10
  Speaker 2: actually my, mistake this is their last, game but they
• 1:40:13
  Speaker 2: do still have the playoffs coming. Up Playoffs carolina at
• 1:40:18
  Speaker 2: The New York. Islanders carolina don't know how much they
• 1:40:22
  Speaker 2: really have to play for.
• 1:40:23
  Speaker 1: HERE i, mean they have a huge lead Over.
• 1:40:25
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh the thing is like they do have a three
• 1:40:28
  Speaker 2: point lead Over. Buffalo so whole mice throughout the playoffs
• 1:40:31
  Speaker 2: IS i guess a little bit in question here With
• 1:40:34
  Speaker 2: carolina Against.
• 1:40:34
  Speaker 1: Buffalo so that's what they have to play. For is that?
• 1:40:37
  Speaker 1: Enough i'm not so sure about. That they just lost To.
• 1:40:40
  Speaker 2: Philadelphia this will be their final, game but they're playing
• 1:40:42
  Speaker 2: on a back to.
• 1:40:43
  Speaker 1: Back they just played.
• 1:40:44
  Speaker 2: Yesterday they're playing a third game in four, days fourth
• 1:40:47
  Speaker 2: game in six, days fifth game in eight, days and this.
• 1:40:52
  Speaker 1: Is a seventh game in eleven. Days that is not.
• 1:40:57
  Speaker 2: Good So, carolina they don't have rest on side coming
• 1:41:00
  Speaker 2: into this. Game and they did just beat The islanders
• 1:41:03
  Speaker 2: during that stretch back on the fourth only by one at.
• 1:41:07
  Speaker 2: Home BUT i don't, know, Man maybe The islanders have
• 1:41:09
  Speaker 2: a little bit more motivation. Here but then, again The
• 1:41:11
  Speaker 2: islanders could be in dream crusher mode because we have
• 1:41:14
  Speaker 2: them On sunday and they, lost and they're officially eliminated
• 1:41:17
  Speaker 2: now after that. Loss so a lot of times when
• 1:41:19
  Speaker 2: a team gets officially, eliminated they don't show up with
• 1:41:22
  Speaker 2: a good performance in the next. Game but they just
• 1:41:25
  Speaker 2: lost To. Carolina this is their last game of the.
• 1:41:28
  Speaker 2: Season they get to Play. Carolina maybe they will show
• 1:41:31
  Speaker 2: up and give you an effort in this one to
• 1:41:33
  Speaker 2: finish the, season Whereas carolina doesn't really have a ton
• 1:41:36
  Speaker 2: to play for him might be looking ahead. Here money
• 1:41:39
  Speaker 2: is indicating On carolina, though even though the money line
• 1:41:42
  Speaker 2: went up to minus one thirty five on The.
• 1:41:44
  Speaker 1: Islanders which you know that that has to do with.
• 1:41:47
  Speaker 2: Motivation though there's no way The islanders would be a
• 1:41:49
  Speaker 2: favorite like that Against carolina under normal, circumstances you think
• 1:41:53
  Speaker 2: the public would look at that and, think how AM
• 1:41:55
  Speaker 2: i Getting carolina as a big underdog? Here the percentages
• 1:41:59
  Speaker 2: don't bear that out, though seventy one percent of tickets
• 1:42:01
  Speaker 2: and only sixty percent of the cash on The. ISLANDERS
• 1:42:04
  Speaker 2: i don't know IF i agree With, carolina. THOUGH i
• 1:42:07
  Speaker 2: THINK i would actually slightly lean to The islanders. THERE i, mean,
• 1:42:10
  Speaker 2: again it's really telling that their favorite like. That but,
• 1:42:13
  Speaker 2: again obviously people are probably gonna know. That well it
• 1:42:17
  Speaker 2: is Because carolina has nothing to play. For maybe not
• 1:42:20
  Speaker 2: though like the way the public thinks they might be. Thinking,
• 1:42:22
  Speaker 2: No carolina is still playing to get the ones to
• 1:42:25
  Speaker 2: make sure they get the overall you, know whole ice
• 1:42:28
  Speaker 2: throughout The Eastern conference.
• 1:42:29
  Speaker 1: Playoffs. WHATEVER i don't, know, MAN i have a slight.
• 1:42:33
  Speaker 2: Lean towards The islanders there, Though But i'm avoiding this
• 1:42:36
  Speaker 2: hockey board today.
• 1:42:37
  Speaker 1: Though you had The Blue. Jackets, YES i agreed with,
• 1:42:41
  Speaker 1: that as you.
• 1:42:41
  Speaker 2: Know that one almost made my, card BUT i left
• 1:42:44
  Speaker 2: it off and INSTEAD i went with The.
• 1:42:45
  Speaker 1: Islanders and they lost Because montreal.
• 1:42:48
  Speaker 2: Scored three goals in fifty seconds against, them and that was.
• 1:42:51
  Speaker 2: It speaking Of, montreal they're At philadelphia. Here, montreal they
• 1:42:57
  Speaker 2: have a little bit of something to play for here
• 1:42:59
  Speaker 2: because they're playing to potentially have home ice Against tampa
• 1:43:04
  Speaker 2: in a first round matchup, here it looks like that's
• 1:43:06
  Speaker 2: what the matchup is gonna. BE i don't even know
• 1:43:08
  Speaker 2: if that's that's not completely determined yet, actually BUT i
• 1:43:12
  Speaker 2: think they are gonna play for something here because they'd
• 1:43:14
  Speaker 2: like to have home, ICE i would assume in the first.
• 1:43:16
  Speaker 2: Round so maybe they do have a little bit of motivation.
• 1:43:19
  Speaker 2: Here they did just beat The islanders On. Sunday they're
• 1:43:21
  Speaker 2: playing a third game in four and as though in different,
• 1:43:24
  Speaker 2: cities which is not that. Easy but For philadelphia they
• 1:43:28
  Speaker 2: might be in a letdown spot because they just clinched
• 1:43:30
  Speaker 2: a playoff spot and they had not been to the
• 1:43:32
  Speaker 2: playoffs for a, while and for a team Like, philadelphia
• 1:43:37
  Speaker 2: that's their, goal like they want to make the, playoffs
• 1:43:39
  Speaker 2: and after not making the playoffs for like a couple of,
• 1:43:41
  Speaker 2: YEARS i think at least that's a big deal making
• 1:43:44
  Speaker 2: the playoffs. Again and they did it by Beating carolina
• 1:43:47
  Speaker 2: in a shootout last night in dramatic. Fashion SO i
• 1:43:50
  Speaker 2: think you could definitely make the argument this is a
• 1:43:52
  Speaker 2: letdown spot here for.
• 1:43:53
  Speaker 1: Them they're in the.
• 1:43:54
  Speaker 2: Playoffs, yes they have a chance to actually Overtake pittsburgh
• 1:43:57
  Speaker 2: here and get into a home game or a home
• 1:44:00
  Speaker 2: series in the first. Series BUT i don't know if
• 1:44:03
  Speaker 2: that's gonna be enough in a case like, this especially
• 1:44:05
  Speaker 2: BECAUSE i Said montreal has the same. Motivation it's just
• 1:44:08
  Speaker 2: that they're in a better situational spot With rest here as.
• 1:44:11
  Speaker 2: Well But montreal's all the way up to minus one ninety,
• 1:44:14
  Speaker 2: HERE i think probably for that, Reason LIKE i would
• 1:44:17
  Speaker 2: not be able to lay a price like that in
• 1:44:19
  Speaker 2: this game with the road team. There, YES i Like
• 1:44:22
  Speaker 2: montreal in the. GAME i think they'll win the, game
• 1:44:24
  Speaker 2: BUT i don't think there's a way to play it, here,
• 1:44:26
  Speaker 2: man unless you want to Go montreal over their team.
• 1:44:28
  Speaker 2: Total that might be a way of attacking it where
• 1:44:31
  Speaker 2: you can get a better number on. That you're probably
• 1:44:32
  Speaker 2: gonna be asking them to score four goals in the, game,
• 1:44:36
  Speaker 2: though but maybe that would be the better approach BECAUSE
• 1:44:39
  Speaker 2: i just don't think you can lay minus one.
• 1:44:41
  Speaker 1: Ninety we don't.
• 1:44:42
  Speaker 2: See the percentages, yet but, YEAH i think the situational
• 1:44:44
  Speaker 2: setup is better For montreal all. There washington At columbus
• 1:44:48
  Speaker 2: is the first game on THE espn doubleheader. Here both
• 1:44:51
  Speaker 2: of these teams are eliminated, now so they might both
• 1:44:54
  Speaker 2: be kind of in dream crusher. Mode so what do
• 1:44:56
  Speaker 2: we do with this? Game washington is, eliminated even they
• 1:44:59
  Speaker 2: won three games in a, row and they've won a
• 1:45:02
  Speaker 2: bunch of games down the. Stretch we had them in
• 1:45:05
  Speaker 2: two of those games Against toronto AND i think the
• 1:45:07
  Speaker 2: first game Against pittsburgh, maybe or, no it was the
• 1:45:10
  Speaker 2: second game Against, PITTSBURGH i, guess, Yeah so we had
• 1:45:12
  Speaker 2: them in two out of those three. Games we got
• 1:45:14
  Speaker 2: wins on both of them as part of the streak
• 1:45:17
  Speaker 2: THAT i have on the s screen. Here but will
• 1:45:19
  Speaker 2: they really care now about going To columbus for a
• 1:45:22
  Speaker 2: final game where the game is pretty meaningless? HERE i don't, know,
• 1:45:25
  Speaker 2: Man Maybe columbus the game means a little bit more.
• 1:45:28
  Speaker 1: Because they're at.
• 1:45:28
  Speaker 2: Home they did just lose at. Home they should have
• 1:45:30
  Speaker 2: won that game against The. Bruins probably didn't. MATTER i
• 1:45:33
  Speaker 2: don't think they were gonna make the playoffs. Anyway but
• 1:45:35
  Speaker 2: you do have to worry about the dream crusher Because
• 1:45:37
  Speaker 2: columbus was trying to stay alive and they got eliminated
• 1:45:42
  Speaker 2: with that loss pretty, much so they could be in
• 1:45:44
  Speaker 2: the dream crusher.
• 1:45:44
  Speaker 1: Mode but they get to host.
• 1:45:46
  Speaker 2: A game ON, espn, man and it's the last game
• 1:45:48
  Speaker 2: of the, season so maybe the motivation is still a
• 1:45:51
  Speaker 2: little bit stronger For columbus.
• 1:45:52
  Speaker 1: Here but the money is indicating On.
• 1:45:54
  Speaker 2: Washington columbus up to minus won thirty three sixty four
• 1:45:58
  Speaker 2: percent of take at sixty one percent of The. Columbus
• 1:46:00
  Speaker 2: so the money right now is Saying carolina And washington.
• 1:46:04
  Speaker 2: Here this one is harder for me to read The Washington.
• 1:46:06
  Speaker 2: COLUMBUS i don't, know, Man my initial gauge on that
• 1:46:10
  Speaker 2: was just slightly lean Towards columbus, Though so do with
• 1:46:13
  Speaker 2: that information what you.
• 1:46:14
  Speaker 1: Want but Obviously i'm staying. Away anaheim At.
• 1:46:17
  Speaker 2: Minnesota anaheim just clinched a playoff spot by. LOSING i
• 1:46:21
  Speaker 2: believe That vancouver they got in, anyway THEY'RE i think
• 1:46:26
  Speaker 2: they have a chance to move up in the playoffs,
• 1:46:28
  Speaker 2: too because they have two games. Left but you gotta
• 1:46:31
  Speaker 2: think they might bounce back from a bad loss To
• 1:46:33
  Speaker 2: vancouver and with still a little bit of motivation. Here
• 1:46:36
  Speaker 2: WHAT i used the wrong the wrong window, there the
• 1:46:40
  Speaker 2: wrong tab hang. ON i wanted to look at the
• 1:46:43
  Speaker 2: standings here Because anaheim they're not necessarily done, Yet, like,
• 1:46:46
  Speaker 2: yeah they made the, playoffs but they did it by
• 1:46:50
  Speaker 2: having a horrible loss to the worst team in. Hockey
• 1:46:53
  Speaker 2: they're playing a Good minnesota team, here And anaheim does
• 1:46:55
  Speaker 2: have a chance to move up and get a home
• 1:46:58
  Speaker 2: serious here because their, division they're in his so close
• 1:47:01
  Speaker 2: and they're really good at, home so them having home
• 1:47:03
  Speaker 2: advantage does matter quite a. Bit AND i think they
• 1:47:06
  Speaker 2: will show up for this game Against, minnesota even though
• 1:47:08
  Speaker 2: they did just clinch a playoff, spot and that is
• 1:47:11
  Speaker 2: a pretty big. Deal, minnesota, though they're just playing out
• 1:47:14
  Speaker 2: the stretch on cruise. Control, man they've lost Six they
• 1:47:17
  Speaker 2: lost three games in a, row and they lost six
• 1:47:19
  Speaker 2: to three in their last game to a Bad Saint louis,
• 1:47:22
  Speaker 2: team but that was. Yesterday they're returning over from a road.
• 1:47:25
  Speaker 2: Trip it wasn't a long road, trip but these road
• 1:47:27
  Speaker 2: trip returns are still tricky, spots you, know where you
• 1:47:31
  Speaker 2: might not get totally up for the.
• 1:47:32
  Speaker 1: GAME i know it is their final.
• 1:47:33
  Speaker 2: Regular season game and home, game but they might already
• 1:47:36
  Speaker 2: been looking ahead to the playoffs. Now, man In, minnesota
• 1:47:39
  Speaker 2: they're like locked in to this three, seed AND i
• 1:47:41
  Speaker 2: don't think they can move up or.
• 1:47:42
  Speaker 1: DOWN i think they are literally locked into that.
• 1:47:44
  Speaker 2: Seed so they have nothing to play for, here and
• 1:47:48
  Speaker 2: on a back to, back playing a fourth game in six,
• 1:47:51
  Speaker 2: days all in different, cities and actually it's a seventh
• 1:47:54
  Speaker 2: game in eleven days with travel between every one of those,
• 1:47:57
  Speaker 2: games pretty difficult Spot Man, minnesota and again they look
• 1:48:01
  Speaker 2: like they just turned on cruise control because they have
• 1:48:03
  Speaker 2: nothing to play for. Here anaheim has something to play.
• 1:48:06
  Speaker 2: For but then, again that's Why anaheim is. Favored but
• 1:48:09
  Speaker 2: it is a more digestible. Price let's say minus one
• 1:48:13
  Speaker 2: of five would have been a lot, better but minus
• 1:48:15
  Speaker 2: one thirty is not that. Bad seventy eight percent of,
• 1:48:18
  Speaker 2: tickets eighty nine percent of the cash On. ANAHEIM i.
• 1:48:20
  Speaker 2: AGREE i would Go anaheim in that. Game still not
• 1:48:23
  Speaker 2: a horrible price on the money, line if you want
• 1:48:25
  Speaker 2: to do, that that would be the WAY i would.
• 1:48:26
  Speaker 2: Go winnipeg At. Utah winnipeg just got eliminated as. Well
• 1:48:31
  Speaker 2: we took that loss with it last. Night they had
• 1:48:33
  Speaker 2: a really bad. PERFORMANCE i don't know what that. Was
• 1:48:37
  Speaker 2: back to back now going into elevation of Like utah
• 1:48:40
  Speaker 2: could be in the Dream crusher off of that. LOSS
• 1:48:43
  Speaker 2: i don't know IF i love the spot here, Man
• 1:48:44
  Speaker 2: but then, Again, utah, Well, UTAH i, MEAN i think
• 1:48:50
  Speaker 2: basically they're pretty much locked, in. MAN i think they
• 1:48:52
  Speaker 2: could tumble to the two the second wildcard instead of
• 1:48:56
  Speaker 2: staying in the first. Wildcard that's really what they have
• 1:48:58
  Speaker 2: to play. For but maybe that is big actually, though
• 1:49:01
  Speaker 2: LIKE i, said with The bruins, There utah probably does
• 1:49:03
  Speaker 2: want to hang on to that because it means they Avoid.
• 1:49:05
  Speaker 1: Colorado i'm pretty sure it's how it.
• 1:49:07
  Speaker 2: WORKS i think If utah is the top, wildcard they
• 1:49:10
  Speaker 2: draw whoever wins The Pacific division instead Of.
• 1:49:13
  Speaker 1: Colorado so Maybe utah.
• 1:49:15
  Speaker 2: Does have motivation just for that Reason. Winnipeg maybe in
• 1:49:18
  Speaker 2: the dream crusher, Here utah has lost two games in
• 1:49:21
  Speaker 2: a row really.
• 1:49:22
  Speaker 1: Well they lost To. Carolina that's not really an ugly.
• 1:49:24
  Speaker 2: Loss carolina is, good but then a really ugly loss
• 1:49:27
  Speaker 2: At calgary in their last, game and they did.
• 1:49:29
  Speaker 1: Not play last.
• 1:49:30
  Speaker 2: Night the spot does look better For utah here, man
• 1:49:34
  Speaker 2: and maybe they do have a little bit of motivation.
• 1:49:35
  Speaker 1: Here i'm gonna lean slightly Towards.
• 1:49:38
  Speaker 2: Utah they're up to minus one eighty five, now though
• 1:49:40
  Speaker 2: for minus one sixty. Five it is a bit of
• 1:49:42
  Speaker 2: a price to lay with, them ninety three percent of,
• 1:49:44
  Speaker 2: tickets ninety six percent of the cash on. THEM i
• 1:49:47
  Speaker 2: don't want to do, it but that's probably the.
• 1:49:49
  Speaker 1: WAY i would.
• 1:49:50
  Speaker 2: Lean maybe there's a better way of looking at, it
• 1:49:52
  Speaker 2: Like utah going over their team, total although the money
• 1:49:54
  Speaker 2: is coming in on the under in that game, too
• 1:49:57
  Speaker 2: SO i don't. Know there might not be a great
• 1:49:58
  Speaker 2: way of playing, that but you could The utah split
• 1:50:01
  Speaker 2: bet puck line money line, thing and then if they
• 1:50:04
  Speaker 2: win by, one you'll push the. Bet colorado At calgary
• 1:50:07
  Speaker 2: and these teams both have nothing to play. For colorado's
• 1:50:10
  Speaker 2: locked into the one they're locked. Into i'm pretty sure
• 1:50:13
  Speaker 2: they're locked into home ice throughout The Western.
• 1:50:15
  Speaker 1: CONFERENCE i don't even think.
• 1:50:18
  Speaker 2: Anybody in The east can catch them, Either SO i
• 1:50:20
  Speaker 2: think they pretty much have whome ice throughout the entire
• 1:50:23
  Speaker 2: playoffs locked up Here President's trophy and, everything you.
• 1:50:26
  Speaker 1: Know but they are also just coming off Beating.
• 1:50:29
  Speaker 2: Edmonton they just played two overtime games Against vegas And
• 1:50:32
  Speaker 2: edmonton and Beat edmonton last night on the, road third
• 1:50:35
  Speaker 2: game in four, days all in different, cities coming off
• 1:50:37
  Speaker 2: two big, games and they just Beat calgary prior to
• 1:50:40
  Speaker 2: that On april, ninth three to. ONE i don't see
• 1:50:43
  Speaker 2: them Taking calgary very seriously here at. All, calgary they
• 1:50:48
  Speaker 2: get a chance at getting a big win, here at
• 1:50:50
  Speaker 2: least it's not their final home. Game they are coming
• 1:50:52
  Speaker 2: off a win Over utah that was in a return home,
• 1:50:55
  Speaker 2: spot a very weird spot WHERE i didn't think it
• 1:50:57
  Speaker 2: was a good spot at all for. Them That utah
• 1:51:00
  Speaker 2: had maybe a little bit to play for, there And
• 1:51:02
  Speaker 2: calgary still won that game as a home. Underdog any
• 1:51:05
  Speaker 2: bad return home spot from a long road trip pretty,
• 1:51:08
  Speaker 2: crazy BUT i think that ended a losing street for.
• 1:51:11
  Speaker 1: THEM i think they will get.
• 1:51:12
  Speaker 2: Up for this, game And colorado has really no reason
• 1:51:15
  Speaker 2: to show up, here which is Why colorado is not
• 1:51:17
  Speaker 2: a heavy. Favorite but you are still Getting calgary as
• 1:51:19
  Speaker 2: an underdog. Here colorado did drop all the way from
• 1:51:22
  Speaker 2: minus one seventy eight to minus one forty, though so
• 1:51:25
  Speaker 2: some of the value is.
• 1:51:26
  Speaker 1: Gone BUT i do lean To calgary in this.
• 1:51:28
  Speaker 2: Game fifty two percent of the tickets On colorado eighty
• 1:51:31
  Speaker 2: one percent of the cash On. CALGARY i agree with
• 1:51:33
  Speaker 2: that market read, there but it's just you're not getting
• 1:51:35
  Speaker 2: as much. VALUE i like, it but again it was
• 1:51:39
  Speaker 2: one THAT i decided to stay away. From but, again,
• 1:51:43
  Speaker 2: Yeah colorado has literally nothing to play for there But.
• 1:51:45
  Speaker 2: Calgary they are coming off a big win Over utah,
• 1:51:47
  Speaker 2: though SO i don't. Know i'm staying, off BUT i
• 1:51:50
  Speaker 2: Like calgary in that. One if they're not gonna take them,
• 1:51:57
  Speaker 2: seriously then why do you think they're gonna win by
• 1:51:59
  Speaker 2: Multiple like those are conflicting. Statements, OKAY i don't even
• 1:52:05
  Speaker 2: Think colorado's gonna win the. GAME i Think calgary is
• 1:52:07
  Speaker 2: gonna win the game. OUTRIGHT i think it's.
• 1:52:09
  Speaker 1: A total no show spot For.
• 1:52:11
  Speaker 2: Colorado but, yeah if you if you don't think they're
• 1:52:16
  Speaker 2: gonna take them, seriously, YEAH i don't understand that.
• 1:52:19
  Speaker 1: Logic that's like the whole reason.
• 1:52:21
  Speaker 2: For making a play is fading teams where you don't
• 1:52:24
  Speaker 2: think they're gonna take a game. Seriously pittsburgh At Saint
• 1:52:28
  Speaker 2: louis ON. Espn this is the second game of THE espn.
• 1:52:31
  Speaker 2: Doubleheader this is an ugly. Game pittsburgh maybe has something
• 1:52:35
  Speaker 2: to play for because they could potentially fall out of
• 1:52:38
  Speaker 2: having a home series. HERE i think it's almost guaranteed
• 1:52:42
  Speaker 2: that they have to Play philadelphia. Here maybe not totally, guaranteed, Though,
• 1:52:46
  Speaker 2: no it is because The bruins And auto are both
• 1:52:48
  Speaker 2: in the other. Division so, YES i think it is
• 1:52:50
  Speaker 2: guaranteed you're gonna get Any pennsylvania matchup in the first,
• 1:52:53
  Speaker 2: game and it's just a matter of who's gonna be at.
• 1:52:55
  Speaker 1: Home so that is What pittsburgh is playing for.
• 1:52:57
  Speaker 2: HERE i don't know if that's enough motivation, though but
• 1:53:00
  Speaker 2: that is something at, Least and they're coming off of
• 1:53:02
  Speaker 2: being shut out By washington and losing twice To. Washington
• 1:53:06
  Speaker 2: now they're playing a third game in four days, though
• 1:53:09
  Speaker 2: in fourth game in six, days all in different, cities
• 1:53:11
  Speaker 2: which is not that easy to.
• 1:53:12
  Speaker 1: Do but maybe they will show.
• 1:53:14
  Speaker 2: Up for once to bounce back from some ugly losses
• 1:53:17
  Speaker 2: and playing at least to try to get home, ice you,
• 1:53:20
  Speaker 2: know which again is.
• 1:53:21
  Speaker 1: Something.
• 1:53:22
  Speaker 2: Uh Saint louis had just Beaten minnesota six to, three
• 1:53:25
  Speaker 2: very satisfying, win and that was last, night so they're
• 1:53:28
  Speaker 2: on a back to back and, YES i know they're
• 1:53:30
  Speaker 2: hosting A espn game, here BUT i don't know if
• 1:53:33
  Speaker 2: they're really gonna get up for this out of conference
• 1:53:35
  Speaker 2: game here, man and they have one game remaining Against utah.
• 1:53:37
  Speaker 2: Two i'm gonna Lead pittsburgh in this, one even though
• 1:53:41
  Speaker 2: the money's.
• 1:53:42
  Speaker 1: All Over Saint.
• 1:53:42
  Speaker 2: LOUIS i don't totally get it unless the feeling is
• 1:53:46
  Speaker 2: Just pittsburgh just no shows in this. Game BUT i
• 1:53:48
  Speaker 2: don't know that they necessarily will sixty seven percent of
• 1:53:51
  Speaker 2: tickets On, pittsburgh ninety one percent of the cash On Saint.
• 1:53:54
  Speaker 1: Louis the money all coming in On Saint.
• 1:53:56
  Speaker 2: Louis and WHAT i will say is that you See
• 1:53:57
  Speaker 2: Saint louis up to minus one thirty, six, yeah you
• 1:54:00
  Speaker 2: probably don't want to fade. THAT i will say that
• 1:54:03
  Speaker 2: because the oddsmakers are lining them as a favorite like
• 1:54:05
  Speaker 2: that for a, reason even though it seems like it's
• 1:54:07
  Speaker 2: gone way too. Far but the public is gonna see
• 1:54:10
  Speaker 2: that and, think how AM i Getting pittsburg as an?
• 1:54:12
  Speaker 1: Underdog? Right just LIKE i was talking about With, carolina.
• 1:54:17
  Speaker 2: You know WHAT i, Mean even THOUGH i THINK i
• 1:54:19
  Speaker 2: kind of disagreed on The carolina when The islanders are
• 1:54:22
  Speaker 2: taking more and more money there, too less and less
• 1:54:24
  Speaker 2: value on The islanders there, Though But i'm kind of
• 1:54:27
  Speaker 2: Leaning islanders and this, One i'm kind of Leaning. Pittsburgh
• 1:54:29
  Speaker 2: but the money is saying otherwise on this. One the
• 1:54:33
  Speaker 2: money's disagreeing with. Me on both of those games in
• 1:54:36
  Speaker 2: the opposite. WAY i don't.
• 1:54:38
  Speaker 1: Know, man these games are tough to. HANDICAP i, mean
• 1:54:40
  Speaker 1: you know Why i'm staying away.
• 1:54:41
  Speaker 2: Here and then we have The kings At vancouver for
• 1:54:44
  Speaker 2: the final game. Here The, kings they've clinched a playoff.
• 1:54:48
  Speaker 2: Spot they're in the last wildcard spot, here but they
• 1:54:51
  Speaker 2: might have something to play for because they have a
• 1:54:54
  Speaker 2: chance to actually move out of the wildcard. Completely not
• 1:54:56
  Speaker 2: only could they move up and Avoid, colorado but they
• 1:54:59
  Speaker 2: could they could overtake Like, anaheim Even, edmonton WHATEVER i
• 1:55:03
  Speaker 2: think they could get into potentially like the second spot
• 1:55:06
  Speaker 2: in The, pacific Which i'm pretty sure is the division
• 1:55:08
  Speaker 2: they're in because THEY'RE, La SO la does have some motivation.
• 1:55:12
  Speaker 1: HERE i think they're on a hot streak right.
• 1:55:14
  Speaker 2: Now but they did win last night to clinch a
• 1:55:17
  Speaker 2: playoff spot, though so it could be a letdown spot after.
• 1:55:19
  Speaker 1: That BUT la was in the playoffs last year.
• 1:55:22
  Speaker 2: Too they're usually in the, playoffs SO i don't know
• 1:55:24
  Speaker 2: how big of a deal that really. Is, Like, okay,
• 1:55:27
  Speaker 2: good we're back there again and we just beat a
• 1:55:28
  Speaker 2: Bad seattle. Team, okay but, yes they've won five games
• 1:55:33
  Speaker 2: in a. Row they do have some momentum, here but
• 1:55:35
  Speaker 2: a back to back with, travel third game in four
• 1:55:37
  Speaker 2: and a is not really that, easy all in different,
• 1:55:40
  Speaker 2: cities But vancouver is returning over from a road, trip.
• 1:55:43
  Speaker 1: Which is not a good.
• 1:55:44
  Speaker 2: Spot AS i always, say that was a quick ish
• 1:55:46
  Speaker 2: road trip. There they went down to Southern california, though
• 1:55:51
  Speaker 2: returning home from. That they're playing a fourth game in six,
• 1:55:53
  Speaker 2: days all in different, cities although not on a back to,
• 1:55:56
  Speaker 2: back but they Beat San jose And anaheim and shootout
• 1:55:59
  Speaker 2: and over time in their last two. Games kind of
• 1:56:02
  Speaker 2: a tricky spot here for. THEM i think maybe they
• 1:56:05
  Speaker 2: can't really play spoiler here other than spoiling LA's chance
• 1:56:08
  Speaker 2: of getting a better. Seed they do Have edmonton, next
• 1:56:11
  Speaker 2: maybe that is a bigger game for. Them the money's
• 1:56:15
  Speaker 2: coming Into. Vancouver BUT i don't know IF i agree with.
• 1:56:18
  Speaker 2: THAT la down for minus one nine and minus one
• 1:56:21
  Speaker 2: fifty here seventy eight percent of tickets.
• 1:56:23
  Speaker 1: On, them sixty four percent of the catch Of. Vancouver
• 1:56:25
  Speaker 1: the money is coming Into. Vancouver.
• 1:56:27
  Speaker 2: NOW i guess what you could say is THAT la
• 1:56:28
  Speaker 2: just shouldn't be favored like this when their only motivation
• 1:56:32
  Speaker 2: is that playoff. Motivation BUT i still think it's SOMETHING
• 1:56:37
  Speaker 2: i don't. Know it's a little bit. Hidden, YEAH i,
• 1:56:39
  Speaker 2: mean maybe you could argue they're overvalued a little bit
• 1:56:41
  Speaker 2: and the public is gonna come in on. Them in
• 1:56:42
  Speaker 2: This vancouver team with nothing to play for a might show,
• 1:56:45
  Speaker 2: up BUT i don't.
• 1:56:46
  Speaker 1: Know very difficult to gauge these, games.
• 1:56:48
  Speaker 2: Man so Again i'm staying away from this board completely
• 1:56:51
  Speaker 2: for good. Reason and we're gonna go to THE nba playing.
• 1:56:55
  Speaker 2: Game so it'll be about two hours on the show.
• 1:56:57
  Speaker 2: Today baseball took really long, though by the, Way, LA
• 1:57:01
  Speaker 2: i forgot to, mention BUT i always. Do they're also
• 1:57:03
  Speaker 2: better on the road than they are at, home so
• 1:57:05
  Speaker 2: they are on the road in that, game which might
• 1:57:07
  Speaker 2: be better for. Them let's go to THE. Nba we're
• 1:57:09
  Speaker 2: gonna have a play in THE. Nba we have two
• 1:57:11
  Speaker 2: playing games, here and it's interesting because usually THE i
• 1:57:15
  Speaker 2: believe the seven eight games are usually. First i'm pretty
• 1:57:18
  Speaker 2: sure to give that team a little bit of an
• 1:57:20
  Speaker 2: extra advantage because the team that loses that, game well
• 1:57:26
  Speaker 2: you kind of have to know that, though, Right, like
• 1:57:28
  Speaker 2: how does this? Work the seven eight game has to
• 1:57:30
  Speaker 2: be played first because the loser of that game gets
• 1:57:33
  Speaker 2: to play one more. Time, right they get one more
• 1:57:36
  Speaker 2: shot at it against the winner of the eight to nine,
• 1:57:39
  Speaker 2: Games so, yeah how does this work exactly right?
• 1:57:42
  Speaker 1: NOW i don't.
• 1:57:45
  Speaker 2: Know this is very very strange to. ME i don't
• 1:57:48
  Speaker 2: fully understand how this. Works oh, NO i, guess because,
• 1:57:51
  Speaker 2: well you have to have both those games have to
• 1:57:53
  Speaker 2: get played, first, THOUGH i guess is. Why but, yeah
• 1:57:55
  Speaker 2: very very weird that the seven eight Game Magic sixers
• 1:57:59
  Speaker 2: is actually being played on the second day and it's
• 1:58:01
  Speaker 2: always played the first. Day And i'm pretty sure that's
• 1:58:03
  Speaker 2: because The flyers are playing tonight at home because they
• 1:58:06
  Speaker 2: use the same.
• 1:58:07
  Speaker 1: ARENA i think that's why The sixers game had to.
• 1:58:09
  Speaker 2: Move but IF i was The Magic i'd be pissed
• 1:58:11
  Speaker 2: off about, that because The sixers get like an extra
• 1:58:14
  Speaker 2: day to maybe recover from some of these injuries and.
• 1:58:17
  Speaker 1: Whatever you. Know the Embiid, SURGERRETS i.
• 1:58:20
  Speaker 2: Don't even know if he's gonna be back, THOUGH i don't.
• 1:58:22
  Speaker 2: Know we'll talk about that, tomorrow BUT i don't. Know
• 1:58:24
  Speaker 2: that seems a little bit weird to me that they're
• 1:58:26
  Speaker 2: doing it that. Way so we do have one seven
• 1:58:28
  Speaker 2: to eight match up, here which Is trailblazers and Suns Portland. Phoenix,
• 1:58:32
  Speaker 2: NOW i will say that since the Stupid Adam silver
• 1:58:36
  Speaker 2: playing games have, started the seventh seed has made the
• 1:58:39
  Speaker 2: playoffs every single. Year so they either win this game
• 1:58:43
  Speaker 2: or they win the next. Game so that is a
• 1:58:46
  Speaker 2: good sign for the seventh. Seed but the money is
• 1:58:48
  Speaker 2: coming in on The trailblazers. Here The suns are down
• 1:58:51
  Speaker 2: to a three point, favorite sixty six percent of tickets on,
• 1:58:53
  Speaker 2: them sixty six percent of the cash on The. TRAILBLAZERS
• 1:58:56
  Speaker 2: i don't know IF i fully buy The blazers.
• 1:58:59
  Speaker 1: Though Man phoenix has a little bit more experience.
• 1:59:01
  Speaker 2: Here The blazers are very young team haven't really been
• 1:59:04
  Speaker 2: in a spot like, this Whereas phoenix has been in the,
• 1:59:06
  Speaker 2: playoffs even though they seem to get knocked out right.
• 1:59:10
  Speaker 1: AWAY i think they've been in the playoffs most recent.
• 1:59:13
  Speaker 2: YEARS i always look at how the team finished the
• 1:59:15
  Speaker 2: season to try to gauge something from. That phoenix had
• 1:59:18
  Speaker 2: a horrible loss On sunday To, sacramento but it was
• 1:59:21
  Speaker 2: a game they didn't really. Need phoenix finished the season.
• 1:59:24
  Speaker 2: Horribly going back To march twenty, sixth.
• 1:59:28
  Speaker 1: What is this is?
• 1:59:29
  Speaker 2: This?
• 1:59:30
  Speaker 1: Wait is this? Real?
• 1:59:30
  Speaker 2: AM i looking at the Right, No i'm looking at last.
• 1:59:33
  Speaker 2: Year i'm, like, wait what AM i? Saying that was last?
• 1:59:34
  Speaker 2: Year i'm, like that can't be, right because, yeah they.
• 1:59:37
  Speaker 2: DIDN'T i don't think they made the playoffs last, year all, right,
• 1:59:40
  Speaker 2: yeah all, right never, Mind phoenix finished with a win
• 1:59:43
  Speaker 2: Over Oklahoma. City, yeah that makes more. Sense so, yeah
• 1:59:46
  Speaker 2: they could be in a little bit of a letdown.
• 1:59:47
  Speaker 2: Spot that was a huge win Against Oklahoma city for.
• 1:59:50
  Speaker 2: Sure so, YEAH i don't love that set up For
• 1:59:53
  Speaker 2: phoenix coming into this.
• 1:59:54
  Speaker 1: One, portland, though they're coming up a big win as. Well.
• 1:59:57
  Speaker 2: Well, actually they beat The clippers and they actually had
• 1:59:59
  Speaker 2: an e your, win my mistake Against i'm trying to
• 2:00:02
  Speaker 2: remember what.
• 2:00:03
  Speaker 1: Happened they Beat. Sacramento i'm all over the place right.
• 2:00:06
  Speaker 1: NOW i.
• 2:00:06
  Speaker 2: Apologize, YEAH i was thinking they were coming off the
• 2:00:08
  Speaker 2: winner of The, clippers but they Beat sacramento after, that
• 2:00:11
  Speaker 2: which is a much easier win. There so, ACTUALLY i
• 2:00:15
  Speaker 2: kind of agree that the situational setup is better for
• 2:00:18
  Speaker 2: The blazers with The suns coming up Beating Oklahoma. City
• 2:00:21
  Speaker 2: but The suns are at, home and, now if we
• 2:00:24
  Speaker 2: look at what these teams did during the regular, SEASON
• 2:00:27
  Speaker 2: i can tell you they played three times and The
• 2:00:30
  Speaker 2: suns were two and one against The, blazers but the
• 2:00:33
  Speaker 2: road team won every, game which is very. Strange so
• 2:00:37
  Speaker 2: The suns went too and oh At portland and The
• 2:00:40
  Speaker 2: blazers won the one time they played At. Phoenix it's very.
• 2:00:44
  Speaker 2: ODD i don't remember how recent any of those games.
• 2:00:47
  Speaker 2: WERE i do think The suns are the better, team
• 2:00:49
  Speaker 2: THOUGH i do think they have more. EXPERIENCE i don't
• 2:00:53
  Speaker 2: know THAT i would necessarily lean towards The blazers. Here, Man,
• 2:00:59
  Speaker 2: YEAH i mean the money is all coming in on
• 2:01:01
  Speaker 2: The blazers, though so do it that information what you?
• 2:01:03
  Speaker 1: WANT i don't know IF i love.
• 2:01:05
  Speaker 2: It the total is very low at two seventeen money
• 2:01:08
  Speaker 2: coming in the, UNDER i THINK i agree with. That
• 2:01:10
  Speaker 2: with the teams having a couple of days, off it
• 2:01:12
  Speaker 2: can cool off the.
• 2:01:13
  Speaker 1: Offense and now.
• 2:01:14
  Speaker 2: This is kind of a playoff, atmosphere you, know so
• 2:01:17
  Speaker 2: you're gonna get more intense defense. Here SO i don't
• 2:01:19
  Speaker 2: THINK i disagree with an under in this, game and
• 2:01:23
  Speaker 2: kind of the style of play with these two teams
• 2:01:25
  Speaker 2: might kind of bear that out.
• 2:01:26
  Speaker 1: Too maybe not the case With charlotte, though.
• 2:01:31
  Speaker 2: Looking at the injury, report we do have to look
• 2:01:32
  Speaker 2: at the injury Report Grayson allen game time. DECISION i
• 2:01:35
  Speaker 2: think he will play, though if he. Can but it
• 2:01:37
  Speaker 2: looks Like Devin booker is, Fine brooks is.
• 2:01:39
  Speaker 1: Fine.
• 2:01:40
  Speaker 2: Whatever Jeremy grant is probably the biggest deal here For.
• 2:01:44
  Speaker 2: Portland lillard. DOESN'T i, Mean leward's passed his, prime but
• 2:01:48
  Speaker 2: he's still. Good but obviously it doesn't. MATTER i, mean
• 2:01:50
  Speaker 2: he's been out FOR i think the whole. Season Jeremy
• 2:01:52
  Speaker 2: grant is a big component for The blazers, here BUT
• 2:01:55
  Speaker 2: i think he's gonna play as. Well he's questionable right,
• 2:01:58
  Speaker 2: now BUT i expect everybody to go if they. CAN i,
• 2:02:00
  Speaker 2: mean it's all hands on deck. Here so these games
• 2:02:04
  Speaker 2: are On Amazon.
• 2:02:04
  Speaker 1: Prime by the.
• 2:02:05
  Speaker 2: Way, whoops that was actually the late. GAME i don't
• 2:02:07
  Speaker 2: know why that game is. First So i'm talking about
• 2:02:10
  Speaker 2: them out of order. Here my, apologies but that means
• 2:02:12
  Speaker 2: you get my play THAT i have in the second
• 2:02:15
  Speaker 2: Game i'm going to talk about instead of the. First all,
• 2:02:19
  Speaker 2: right excuse. Me i'm choking on water, here, Man i'm inhaling. It,
• 2:02:26
  Speaker 2: Yes so, ANYWAY i don't have a good read on, this.
• 2:02:28
  Speaker 2: MAN i MEAN i was slightly le neing towards The
• 2:02:31
  Speaker 2: suns there just BECAUSE i kind of liked the experience factor,
• 2:02:34
  Speaker 2: better BUT i guess it wouldn't shock me if they.
• 2:02:36
  Speaker 2: Lost but then, again The phoenix remembers they had a
• 2:02:39
  Speaker 2: well look it, up they had a horrendous game the
• 2:02:42
  Speaker 2: time they played at home Against.
• 2:02:44
  Speaker 1: Portland we can find it right.
• 2:02:45
  Speaker 2: Now so they Beat portland on the road by seventeen
• 2:02:50
  Speaker 2: early in the, season In, november they played In february
• 2:02:53
  Speaker 2: on the road in one again by, five and then
• 2:02:56
  Speaker 2: In february they lost ninety two to seventy seven at,
• 2:02:59
  Speaker 2: home and that was the last time they.
• 2:03:02
  Speaker 1: Played so actually that does make me Like phoenix a
• 2:03:04
  Speaker 1: little bit.
• 2:03:04
  Speaker 2: More phoenix also has been good at home, man which
• 2:03:09
  Speaker 2: we can look at that. Too But, phoenix, yeah they
• 2:03:12
  Speaker 2: had a horrible shooting. Game in that, game, dude they
• 2:03:15
  Speaker 2: had more field goal attempts in the.
• 2:03:17
  Speaker 1: Game they only went to.
• 2:03:17
  Speaker 2: The line six, times although they had the same amount
• 2:03:21
  Speaker 2: of field goal. Makes it looks like it was a
• 2:03:23
  Speaker 2: very clean game with like no fouls.
• 2:03:25
  Speaker 1: Called But phoenix also had twenty three.
• 2:03:27
  Speaker 2: TURNOVERS i, mean they could clean that up quite a,
• 2:03:30
  Speaker 2: BIT i, Think and even with, that they still had
• 2:03:34
  Speaker 2: more field goal attempts in the. Game it's just they
• 2:03:37
  Speaker 2: made none of their, threes they only shot thirty six
• 2:03:40
  Speaker 2: percent from the, field SO i think there is room
• 2:03:42
  Speaker 2: For phoenix to do better. Here, portland, though was a
• 2:03:45
  Speaker 2: three and a half point favored in that. Game you know,
• 2:03:47
  Speaker 2: What i'm Guessing, phoenix that must have been one.
• 2:03:49
  Speaker 1: Of their injured games, here so that is something to
• 2:03:53
  Speaker 1: take into. Account of. Course, Yeah phoenix had nobody playing
• 2:03:57
  Speaker 1: in that, game, dude so that's why they. LOST i
• 2:03:59
  Speaker 1: think you just throw this game.
• 2:04:01
  Speaker 2: Out phoenix didn't have A booker Or brooks playing in that,
• 2:04:04
  Speaker 2: game so, YEAH i think that you can ignore that.
• 2:04:07
  Speaker 2: Result SO i actually kind of Like phoenix in the game.
• 2:04:10
  Speaker 2: TONIGHT i don't know what we're doing with that market read.
• 2:04:14
  Speaker 2: There phoenix twenty five and sixteen at home as, well
• 2:04:17
  Speaker 2: that's pretty, good although you need them to cover a
• 2:04:20
  Speaker 2: small number. Here But portland eighteen and twenty three on the,
• 2:04:24
  Speaker 2: road that's not, great although you know they've been playing
• 2:04:27
  Speaker 2: decent down the. Stretch but, YEAH i would Lean, Phoenix
• 2:04:30
  Speaker 2: but my actual play here is going to be on
• 2:04:32
  Speaker 2: a road. Team we're gonna Take miami plus six Against. Charlotte, Sorry,
• 2:04:37
  Speaker 2: garrett this is all about, experience. Man you're giving me
• 2:04:40
  Speaker 2: like you're telling me that you have A charlotte. Team
• 2:04:43
  Speaker 2: first of, all they're over, hyped like everybody Thinks charlotte's
• 2:04:45
  Speaker 2: gonna be one of the teams that makes the. Playoffs
• 2:04:47
  Speaker 2: but they're gonna have to win two, games. Dude this
• 2:04:51
  Speaker 2: is the nine to ten. Games so they have to
• 2:04:52
  Speaker 2: win this game and win again on the, ROAD i.
• 2:04:55
  Speaker 2: Believe so that's not easy to. Do can they in this? Game,
• 2:05:00
  Speaker 2: yeah obviously they. Can they're, favored they're at. Home, yeah
• 2:05:03
  Speaker 2: of course they can. Win so, Yeah i'm taking the points.
• 2:05:06
  Speaker 2: Here there is the possibility they win and don't cover as.
• 2:05:08
  Speaker 2: Well BUT i think you're giving me too many points.
• 2:05:10
  Speaker 2: Here with the more experienced. Team miami's always in these, plays,
• 2:05:14
  Speaker 2: man And charlotte's this up and coming team that's all
• 2:05:17
  Speaker 2: the hype right. Now AND i realize they've been playing,
• 2:05:19
  Speaker 2: Well they've been playing like maybe the fifth best team
• 2:05:21
  Speaker 2: in the conference for like two months. Now but this
• 2:05:24
  Speaker 2: is a different, environment, Man this is like. Crunch this
• 2:05:27
  Speaker 2: is playoff time, now and you're giving ME i think
• 2:05:30
  Speaker 2: the better coach And Eric spolstra the experience coach, here
• 2:05:34
  Speaker 2: the experienced guys On miami that have done this. Before
• 2:05:37
  Speaker 2: out of bio. Hero we need a, Hero we need a.
• 2:05:40
  Speaker 2: Hero you can also watch loser casts THAT i by the,
• 2:05:44
  Speaker 2: way Where i'm nanna lose for. TONIGHT i have a
• 2:05:47
  Speaker 2: couple of ideas for, tonight THOUGH i do that theme
• 2:05:50
  Speaker 2: song for that, show by the, way the. Parody, anyway
• 2:05:55
  Speaker 2: it's all about, experience, MAN i think you're just giving
• 2:05:57
  Speaker 2: me way too many points here With, miami even THOUGH
• 2:05:59
  Speaker 2: i know this line is line with the last time
• 2:06:01
  Speaker 2: they played In. Charlotte charlotte was around the same. FAVORITE
• 2:06:04
  Speaker 2: i think they were five and a, half AND i
• 2:06:06
  Speaker 2: think there was a previous game where they were seven
• 2:06:08
  Speaker 2: and a. Half but there might have been some injuries
• 2:06:10
  Speaker 2: For miami in that. One BUT i believe pretty much
• 2:06:12
  Speaker 2: everybody's playing in this one Now. Charlotte they also finished
• 2:06:15
  Speaker 2: the season with a good win against The. Knicks, man
• 2:06:18
  Speaker 2: they blew out The, knicks and that was the last
• 2:06:20
  Speaker 2: time they. PLAYED i don't love, that even, though, like,
• 2:06:24
  Speaker 2: yeah you finished the season on a good. Note, okay that's,
• 2:06:27
  Speaker 2: cool BUT i think that overvals over values you coming
• 2:06:31
  Speaker 2: into this. Game, man crushing The knicks like that on the,
• 2:06:34
  Speaker 2: road that's a really satisfying. Win AND i think it
• 2:06:37
  Speaker 2: was a game where The knicks kind of had something
• 2:06:38
  Speaker 2: to play for, too SO i think that Makes charlotte
• 2:06:41
  Speaker 2: look too. Good and then you Have, miami who you,
• 2:06:44
  Speaker 2: know they Beat atlanta.
• 2:06:45
  Speaker 1: To finish the.
• 2:06:45
  Speaker 2: Season that's a good, win but people are just gonna
• 2:06:48
  Speaker 2: overlook that even Though atlanta is a playoff. TEAM i
• 2:06:51
  Speaker 2: Think atlanta's not a horrible.
• 2:06:52
  Speaker 1: Team so, YEAH i don't.
• 2:06:54
  Speaker 2: KNOW i Think miami might just be a little bit
• 2:06:57
  Speaker 2: more under the radar right, now and people don't think
• 2:06:59
  Speaker 2: they're that. Good EVEN i, SAID i don't think they're
• 2:07:01
  Speaker 2: really that, good BUT i think the experience.
• 2:07:03
  Speaker 1: Is gonna speak volumes here.
• 2:07:05
  Speaker 2: Now if we look at what they did this, Season
• 2:07:07
  Speaker 2: miami won three out of the four, matchups but a
• 2:07:10
  Speaker 2: lot of them were early in the, season so, yeah
• 2:07:12
  Speaker 2: really early in the. Season they Beat charlotte twice In October.
• 2:07:15
  Speaker 2: NOVEMBER i think you can kind of ignore that a little.
• 2:07:17
  Speaker 2: Bit those games were both In, miami but you know
• 2:07:22
  Speaker 2: that was Before charlotte started playing like, this SO i
• 2:07:25
  Speaker 2: think those games you can kind.
• 2:07:26
  Speaker 1: Of ignore it a little. Bit then we did have
• 2:07:28
  Speaker 1: two recent.
• 2:07:29
  Speaker 2: Games miami came in here To charlotte and they beat
• 2:07:31
  Speaker 2: The may, Eight so they definitely have the ability to win,
• 2:07:34
  Speaker 2: here AND i believe they were about seven and a
• 2:07:36
  Speaker 2: half point dogs in that. Game it looks like it
• 2:07:38
  Speaker 2: was hero end up out of. Bio did both play
• 2:07:41
  Speaker 2: in that game? Though then the next game they played
• 2:07:43
  Speaker 2: very shortly after that on the seventeenth Of, march and
• 2:07:47
  Speaker 2: this is the last time these two teams, played so
• 2:07:49
  Speaker 2: this might be what everybody. Remembers charlotte Beat miami by
• 2:07:52
  Speaker 2: thirty in that. GAME i think this is gonna be
• 2:07:56
  Speaker 2: a zigzag, DUDE i really do you look at this,
• 2:07:59
  Speaker 2: game like what happened in this?
• 2:08:00
  Speaker 1: Game how Did miami lose this game by?
• 2:08:02
  Speaker 2: Thirty And miami was a five and a half point
• 2:08:04
  Speaker 2: favorite in this one and now they're.
• 2:08:05
  Speaker 1: Six you're getting a little bit of value or.
• 2:08:07
  Speaker 2: Excusing, charlotte of, course was a five and a half
• 2:08:09
  Speaker 2: point favorite, there now there's.
• 2:08:10
  Speaker 1: Six, well what happened in this?
• 2:08:12
  Speaker 2: Game charlotte shot fifty three percent from the field and
• 2:08:17
  Speaker 2: forty percent from. Three they were plus thirty from three point,
• 2:08:20
  Speaker 2: range and that is your entire final score right. There
• 2:08:24
  Speaker 2: miami only hit nineteen percent of their three seven of,
• 2:08:27
  Speaker 2: them and only shot forty percent from the. Field there's
• 2:08:29
  Speaker 2: gonna be some regression, here. MAN i, Know, charlotte they're
• 2:08:33
  Speaker 2: like the Mini. Celtics they like to jack up a
• 2:08:35
  Speaker 2: bunch of. Threes their Coach lee basically like he's an,
• 2:08:39
  Speaker 2: assistant a former assistant on The, celtics like a former
• 2:08:43
  Speaker 2: assistant in that. Organization so that's why they do. That
• 2:08:46
  Speaker 2: BUT i don't think they quite have it down.
• 2:08:48
  Speaker 1: Yet. Man, AGAIN i expect some regression here.
• 2:08:50
  Speaker 2: Though, yeah the three point volume is gonna be there For,
• 2:08:53
  Speaker 2: charlotte but they're not gonna hit forty percent, again, MAN
• 2:08:56
  Speaker 2: i just don't think. SO i don't think they're gonna
• 2:08:59
  Speaker 2: hit more than half for their field goals here. Either like,
• 2:09:01
  Speaker 2: THAT i Think miami there's a lot of room for improvement.
• 2:09:04
  Speaker 2: There miami went to the line a lot more in that,
• 2:09:06
  Speaker 2: game and they were decent on the interior, there which
• 2:09:09
  Speaker 2: kind of shows you maybe something in that. Game but
• 2:09:11
  Speaker 2: it was just such a blowout For. Charlotte that, again
• 2:09:15
  Speaker 2: when you see a blowout like that and then these
• 2:09:16
  Speaker 2: seems play each other. Again ALTHOUGH i know we're this
• 2:09:19
  Speaker 2: is a month, later but or almost a, month but
• 2:09:22
  Speaker 2: still it almost just feels like a, zigzag, like you,
• 2:09:25
  Speaker 2: know that's WHAT i look for in the. Playoffs if
• 2:09:27
  Speaker 2: the number is, RIGHT i look for what happened in that,
• 2:09:30
  Speaker 2: game why was, it you, know such an, outlier and
• 2:09:32
  Speaker 2: THEN i look to fade that.
• 2:09:33
  Speaker 1: OUTLIER i think we could do that. Here SO i
• 2:09:36
  Speaker 1: think we're doing.
• 2:09:37
  Speaker 2: That plus we're getting more experienced and we're getting decent
• 2:09:39
  Speaker 2: line value on this. Too and it could be a
• 2:09:41
  Speaker 2: letdown spot potentially For charlotte here as. Well we're Taking
• 2:09:45
  Speaker 2: miami plus the points. Here it looks like the money
• 2:09:48
  Speaker 2: we can't really tell if it's agreeing or not here
• 2:09:50
  Speaker 2: sixty three percent of the tickets and cash On charlotte
• 2:09:53
  Speaker 2: here total is higher in this, game of, course at two,
• 2:09:56
  Speaker 2: thirty because you got better offenses in this.
• 2:09:59
  Speaker 1: Game The, HORNETS i.
• 2:10:00
  Speaker 2: Think they play fast, too and they take a lot of.
• 2:10:02
  Speaker 2: Threes but a fast paced team like, THAT i don't
• 2:10:04
  Speaker 2: think that translates well into a playoff atmosphere like this.
• 2:10:08
  Speaker 1: Either. MAN i think The heat might try.
• 2:10:10
  Speaker 2: To slow this game down a bit and rough it,
• 2:10:13
  Speaker 2: up you, know make it more, ugly make it more,
• 2:10:15
  Speaker 2: physical you. Know AND i don't know if The hornets
• 2:10:18
  Speaker 2: are necessarily gonna have an answer to out Of bio
• 2:10:20
  Speaker 2: in the middle. Either so, Yeah i'm rolling with The heat, here.
• 2:10:23
  Speaker 2: Man so that's what we're gonna. Do money coming on
• 2:10:27
  Speaker 2: in the over in that game as. Well for what that's.
• 2:10:29
  Speaker 2: WORTH i don't really have a huge disagreement with, that
• 2:10:32
  Speaker 2: ALTHOUGH i tend to usually kind of lean unders in
• 2:10:35
  Speaker 2: these first games because you get like the playoff, atmosphere
• 2:10:39
  Speaker 2: the defenses show up and it takes a little while
• 2:10:41
  Speaker 2: for the offenses to get.
• 2:10:42
  Speaker 1: Going but, also by the, way that might hurt.
• 2:10:44
  Speaker 2: The hornets a little bit having some days, off it
• 2:10:47
  Speaker 2: might hurt their offensive continuity a little bit. More and
• 2:10:50
  Speaker 2: that's gonna do. It those are the games, tonight, man all.
• 2:10:54
  Speaker 2: Right so we have some plays. Today we have the
• 2:10:56
  Speaker 2: under in The royals and The tigers in baseball founded
• 2:11:00
  Speaker 2: at seven and a.
• 2:11:01
  Speaker 1: Half it even, money you might be able to find
• 2:11:02
  Speaker 1: a better number on. It and we have The White
• 2:11:05
  Speaker 1: sox on the money. LINE i know how ugly this.
• 2:11:07
  Speaker 2: IS i get it too, ugly you, know pictures with
• 2:11:10
  Speaker 2: ugly stats in that first, game and From ervaldez is
• 2:11:13
  Speaker 2: ugly as. Well Cole reagan's. Isn't he's kind of, sexy so,
• 2:11:17
  Speaker 2: Anyway BUT i think it's a spot where we're getting
• 2:11:19
  Speaker 2: pictures that are going to bounce back in that one, Anyway,
• 2:11:22
  Speaker 2: yes and then we have the situational plays here with
• 2:11:24
  Speaker 2: the money line on The White, sox the split bet run,
• 2:11:27
  Speaker 2: line money line on The. ROCKIES i get how ugly this?
• 2:11:30
  Speaker 2: Always this is WHAT i do, Man it's how you
• 2:11:32
  Speaker 2: win long. Term gotta not be afraid of these ugly.
• 2:11:36
  Speaker 2: Dogs and then we got On Miami heat in THE
• 2:11:39
  Speaker 2: nba to kick off of the fake playoff, season the play.
• 2:11:43
  Speaker 1: Ins let's do it, MAN nba.
• 2:11:46
  Speaker 2: PLAYOFFS i historically do really, well was really really good
• 2:11:49
  Speaker 2: in THE nba playoffs last. Year i'm pretty good in
• 2:11:51
  Speaker 2: AN nhl as, Well so hopefully you can continue doing
• 2:11:54
  Speaker 2: that with the situational. Zigzags let's call it is what
• 2:11:58
  Speaker 2: we do a lot of. Times let's get it done.
• 2:12:00
  Speaker 2: Man let's continue the heat or eventually it's gonna not
• 2:12:04
  Speaker 2: be this. GOOD i, know but the goal is to
• 2:12:07
  Speaker 2: try to get a winning day every.
• 2:12:08
  Speaker 1: Day that's the.
• 2:12:09
  Speaker 2: Goal it's not gonna happen every, day but we're. Trying,
• 2:12:12
  Speaker 2: uh let's do.
• 2:12:13
  Speaker 1: IT i appreciate. It.
• 2:12:14
  Speaker 2: Everybody learn it tone On, twitter learn it tone On.
• 2:12:16
  Speaker 2: Instagram you can subscribe to me On. TWITTER i have
• 2:12:19
  Speaker 2: a subscriber THAT i probably have blocked on there BECAUSE
• 2:12:21
  Speaker 2: i can't even see who it.
• 2:12:23
  Speaker 1: Is so you can check me out There.
• 2:12:24
  Speaker 2: Instagram i'll put up these short form videos, obviously like
• 2:12:29
  Speaker 2: a subscribe to the channel, here let's boost this. Thing
• 2:12:32
  Speaker 2: we're we got a head towards five. Hundred let's get it.
• 2:12:35
  Speaker 2: Monetized maybe we should put that in the. Banner let's
• 2:12:37
  Speaker 2: let's make it. Happen we're on audio as. Well that
• 2:12:39
  Speaker 2: helps me out listening over on the, audio the numbers
• 2:12:41
  Speaker 2: have gone up a little bit, recently So, Spotify, Apple
• 2:12:45
  Speaker 2: spreak or check it out over.
• 2:12:46
  Speaker 1: There but, obviously, yeah check it out here on.
• 2:12:48
  Speaker 2: YouTube covered in you because my yuke channel on YouTube
• 2:12:51
  Speaker 2: THAT i might wind up merging over, HERE i don't know.
• 2:12:53
  Speaker 1: YET i don't THINK i could really do that.
• 2:12:54
  Speaker 2: THOUGH i THINK i would just have to start posting
• 2:12:56
  Speaker 2: the new ut content over here. Instead If i'm gonna
• 2:12:59
  Speaker 2: do it that, WAY i don't know if people think
• 2:13:00
  Speaker 2: that that's a good idea or a bad, IDEA i don't.
• 2:13:02
  Speaker 2: Know but you can check that out patroon dot comver
• 2:13:05
  Speaker 2: sas learn To tone for some extra yuke stuff and
• 2:13:07
  Speaker 2: loser casts will be back tonight at ten Pm. Eastern
• 2:13:11
  Speaker 2: i'm gonna have to choose my, loser choose the lose.
• 2:13:15
  Speaker 2: Tonight SO i gotta figure that. Out who's my loser gonna.
• 2:13:18
  Speaker 2: BE i have some, ideas but one of them is
• 2:13:20
  Speaker 2: probably gonna be a popular, choice SO i might have
• 2:13:22
  Speaker 2: to go with somebody else that's gonna do.
• 2:13:24
  Speaker 1: It, thanks, GUYS i appreciate.
• 2:13:27
  Speaker 2: It. Thanks we get some newcomers on some of these shows,
• 2:13:29
  Speaker 2: recently WHICH i like as.
• 2:13:30
  Speaker 1: WELL i appreciate. IT i appreciate all the.
• 2:13:32
  Speaker 2: Regulars of, course as, USUAL i am an ass all the,
• 2:13:35
  Speaker 2: time but you, Know i'm just very.
• 2:13:39
  Speaker 1: Strongly opinionated that's gonna do. It, peace