Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / Drew Franklin and Collin Wilson Talk Jared Lorenzen and NCAA Win Totals

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Drew Franklin and Collin Wilson Talk Jared Lorenzen and NCAA Win Totals · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

0:08
Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites the podcasts from the Action Network. Guy,
0:14
Speaker 1: I'm Chad Millman, flying solo today. It's the middle of July,
0:20
Speaker 1: the week after July four and uh, which means we're
0:24
Speaker 1: like so close to college football you can smell the
0:27
Speaker 1: grass and see the grass stayings. So um that's what
0:31
Speaker 1: we're doing today, A big excuse me, big college football day. Uh.
0:36
Speaker 1: What I want to say is that leader in the show,
0:39
Speaker 1: Colin Wilson from the Action Network is coming on. He's
0:43
Speaker 1: our college football expert. He has been talking about college
0:46
Speaker 1: football since March. He has been writing about it, uh
0:49
Speaker 1: NonStop since March. He's got so many uh stories up
0:53
Speaker 1: about a A C wind totals, the five FBS bets
0:58
Speaker 1: I'm making right now, the futures bets that he's made.
1:02
Speaker 1: We're gonna talk about all that. First up, one of
1:06
Speaker 1: the most talented and creative people in the sporting landscape,
1:10
Speaker 1: Drew Franklin, Kentucky Sports Radio at Drew Franklin, ks are
1:16
Speaker 1: first time on the podcast. Brother, Yeah, I appreciate that
1:19
Speaker 1: kind intro. Are you that complimentary of all your guests? No,
1:24
Speaker 1: not at all, But you know what you guys did
1:25
Speaker 1: amazing stuff. You and Matt Jones, your colleague there at
1:29
Speaker 1: Kentucky Sports Radio, founder of Kentucky Sports Radio, did amazing
1:32
Speaker 1: stuff with us during March Madness. You did phenomenal videos,
1:36
Speaker 1: You personally wrote a bunch of stories, and you know,
1:40
Speaker 1: I think of you as like the legit sharp better
1:44
Speaker 1: of the duo. So uh, that's why I'm glad to
1:48
Speaker 1: have you on the podcast today. Yeah, and I've got
1:50
Speaker 1: the receipts to back that up. If we're going to
1:52
Speaker 1: compare numbers between Matt myself, I'm definitely sharp of the
1:55
Speaker 1: k SR group. Sharper um, more handsome, better beard. Yeah,
2:03
Speaker 1: I just keep going. Let's just make the whole podcast
2:05
Speaker 1: about me. Let's do it, Let's do it all. What
2:07
Speaker 1: I love that you guys do is you guys go
2:08
Speaker 1: on like you guys do a tour of the state,
2:11
Speaker 1: like the the way the Kentucky Sports Radio and Mats
2:14
Speaker 1: talked about this in the podcast has sort of become
2:16
Speaker 1: the most important thing in sports radio and if not
2:19
Speaker 1: all of sort of Kentucky focused media in the state
2:23
Speaker 1: is phenomenal. Um, where have you been? Where are you now?
2:26
Speaker 1: Where are you going? We're just getting started this week,
2:30
Speaker 1: but we are doing a five week tour with our
2:32
Speaker 1: radio show where we will be in a different county
2:36
Speaker 1: every day. Tomorrow morning I have a three hour drive
2:39
Speaker 1: to get to Neuenberg County on the western south of state.
2:42
Speaker 1: Then have to drive four hours to northern Kentucky and
2:45
Speaker 1: then the next morning five hours even further west to Murray, Kentucky.
2:49
Speaker 1: And that that's probably our next two months. Is every
2:51
Speaker 1: morning we're popping up in different parts of the state
2:53
Speaker 1: and we do our live to our morning show and
2:56
Speaker 1: usually get good crowds, and it's just good to get
2:58
Speaker 1: out and you know, when we're blabbing on the radio
3:00
Speaker 1: talking to the microphone, it's good to get out and
3:01
Speaker 1: meet the people who are listening on the other end.
3:03
Speaker 1: So so we're up to next month or so. So
3:06
Speaker 1: who does the driving, Well, we're all in one car.
3:11
Speaker 1: Matt definitely drives, none of us gets touched the wheel.
3:14
Speaker 1: He'll drive every minute. But due to a lot of
3:16
Speaker 1: our schedules, some of these we end up taking three
3:19
Speaker 1: separate cars for three people, so it's a little ridiculous
3:21
Speaker 1: on the planning, a lot of miles going on the Okay,
3:25
Speaker 1: I saw our gas card which Kentucky County has the
3:27
Speaker 1: best food, Oh, the best food, putting me on the spot.
3:33
Speaker 1: I think they're all good. I like when we get
3:35
Speaker 1: off on these small towns we've never been to and
3:37
Speaker 1: there's just like a mom and pop diner, the little
3:40
Speaker 1: grocery store cafe that no one's ever heard of. Anytime
3:43
Speaker 1: you see one of those, they're gonna have the best
3:45
Speaker 1: food wherever. It is a mistake. Which Kentucky County has
3:48
Speaker 1: the best bourbon? Uh? Well, we got the Bourbon Trail
3:55
Speaker 1: that covers a couple of counties. Uh that that whole area.
3:59
Speaker 1: Any anyone listening that ever comes to Kentucky just get
4:01
Speaker 1: in the car and hit them all. It's a great
4:03
Speaker 1: area here. The county went for County Bourbon County, Payette County.
4:07
Speaker 1: Lots of fun with the bourbon here. I might even
4:09
Speaker 1: recommend ubering if you try to do the whole day.
4:12
Speaker 1: It's probably a good idea. Which Kentucky County has the
4:15
Speaker 1: best bookie? But I don't speak. You know, they don't
4:19
Speaker 1: let us gamble here in Kentucky, so I don't know
4:21
Speaker 1: what you're talking about. I don't do any gambling in
4:23
Speaker 1: the state. I think we'll be the fiftieth state to
4:27
Speaker 1: make it legal about forty years from now, so no
4:30
Speaker 1: bookies around here. I don't know what you're talking about. No,
4:32
Speaker 1: you're totally right. You're totally legit when you did You're
4:34
Speaker 1: gambling is for match dicks, and I've always appreciated that
4:36
Speaker 1: about you. Uh. I want to talk about two things today.
4:39
Speaker 1: You guys, UM, do you want to talk about Jared
4:42
Speaker 1: Lorenzen for a second, Which is a little bit off
4:44
Speaker 1: the betting topic, but you guys were close to Jared Lorenzen,
4:49
Speaker 1: and back when I was at ESPN, UM we did
4:52
Speaker 1: a story about Jared Lorenz and Tommy tom Listen did
4:55
Speaker 1: a story about Jared Lorenzen that the year that we
4:58
Speaker 1: commissioned it and published it, it was the most traffic
5:01
Speaker 1: story we did on ESPN dot com that year. It
5:06
Speaker 1: um no pun intended just completely blew up, and I
5:09
Speaker 1: thought it was reflective of sort of how Jared Lorenzen
5:15
Speaker 1: lived his life, completely honestly, but also sort of what
5:18
Speaker 1: a fascination he was as an athlete because he was
5:22
Speaker 1: so overweight and like the things he could do as
5:24
Speaker 1: a person that size being so nimble. UM, tell me
5:28
Speaker 1: about your relationship with him and why you think he
5:31
Speaker 1: resonated so much for such a broad audience. You mentioned
5:35
Speaker 1: that story, which is curribly well done, but you could
5:37
Speaker 1: do three different stories, one on Jared on the football field,
5:41
Speaker 1: one on Jared just in the room being the fun guy,
5:44
Speaker 1: and then a third on Jared's fight with his weight loss.
5:47
Speaker 1: I mean, his entire life. We keep saying he's larger
5:50
Speaker 1: than life figure. He's one of the con as a
5:53
Speaker 1: football player. He was out there playing like he's you know,
5:56
Speaker 1: in the backyard, one of my favorite players. He's at
5:58
Speaker 1: George A throws the foot ball over his head, which
6:01
Speaker 1: if it had not been completed, I'm sure would have
6:03
Speaker 1: kicked off the team to the most insane thing to
6:05
Speaker 1: do in a game. But that was just Jared out
6:07
Speaker 1: there having a blast. And then he was the same
6:09
Speaker 1: way off the field, just a magnetic personality that could
6:11
Speaker 1: light up the room. And then of course he had
6:14
Speaker 1: a struggles that have been well documented. Just an unbelievable guy.
6:17
Speaker 1: And I'm sitting here, I got a suit next to
6:19
Speaker 1: me from arobably going to his funeral soon. And obviously
6:21
Speaker 1: it's been almost a week and I can't believe we're
6:23
Speaker 1: having this conversation. How did you guys become so close
6:26
Speaker 1: to him. I'm about four years younger than Jared, so
6:31
Speaker 1: when he was playing UK, I was in high school
6:34
Speaker 1: and so I don't like to say I looked up
6:36
Speaker 1: to him wanted to be hi, because I'm not that
6:37
Speaker 1: much younger, but I definitely he was definitely my favorite player.
6:40
Speaker 1: And then as KSR went on and he finished his
6:43
Speaker 1: NFL career, he did some pregame radio with us, and
6:46
Speaker 1: through that we became friends. And honestly, yeah, a year
6:51
Speaker 1: of knowing him and working with him, I would still
6:52
Speaker 1: be sitting in the room like I'm sitting next to
6:55
Speaker 1: Jared the Rims and it was kind of surreal for
6:57
Speaker 1: a while. Then his town went on and became real close,
7:00
Speaker 1: always texting and goofing off about whatever football stuff is
7:03
Speaker 1: going on. Uh. Just a great friend and we really
7:06
Speaker 1: missed him already. What was the best football story he
7:10
Speaker 1: told you, either about Kentucky or playing with the Giants
7:13
Speaker 1: or anything else. Well, I have a good one that
7:18
Speaker 1: actually pertains to what you all do. Uh. We did
7:21
Speaker 1: a special football podcast that was just Jared telling stories
7:26
Speaker 1: of his Super Bowl title with the Giants, and uh,
7:31
Speaker 1: I hate to telling him here, but since he kind
7:33
Speaker 1: of set it himself. He might have gone over and
7:36
Speaker 1: looked at the color gatorade on the Patriots side and
7:39
Speaker 1: texted some of his friends, uh, what what color to
7:42
Speaker 1: bet on that year? Then of course the Giants go
7:47
Speaker 1: on to set the Patriots and his friends whilst be
7:50
Speaker 1: But that's that's one of my all time favorite Jared's.
7:53
Speaker 1: I couldn't believe he admitted to it, but since he
7:55
Speaker 1: already put it out there, I got no problem retelling it.
7:58
Speaker 1: He was spying on the color of the gatorade for
8:00
Speaker 1: his gambling firms, but not only that, he was spying
8:03
Speaker 1: in the color of the gateaide for the opposite team. Yeah. Well,
8:07
Speaker 1: I think he told them both colors and they just
8:09
Speaker 1: assumed Patriots had win and they went with it, and
8:12
Speaker 1: then of course they pulled me upset. So that's one
8:15
Speaker 1: of all time favorite Jetts that he's just constantly out
8:19
Speaker 1: having fun. I gotta tell you, I'm so glad to
8:21
Speaker 1: ask that question, because that is the most perfect story
8:24
Speaker 1: to telling this podcast about jaredn I'm actually wondering if
8:27
Speaker 1: I should have kept that to myself, but it's out
8:28
Speaker 1: there now, so it's out there. Jarrett was tipping people
8:31
Speaker 1: off on the Gatorade back in that famous Super Bowl
8:34
Speaker 1: that is that is phenomenal. What do you think, um,
8:40
Speaker 1: what do you think Jared le Linsen would think of
8:42
Speaker 1: what Kentucky did last year and what their prospects are
8:46
Speaker 1: this year. I'm I'm glad Jared got to see all
8:52
Speaker 1: that happened last year because obviously past season, in thirty years,
8:56
Speaker 1: they win ten games. But that for just Rereek weight
9:00
Speaker 1: on him a whole lot because and I want to
9:02
Speaker 1: say two thousand three, I believe he was the quarterback
9:07
Speaker 1: when they blew an eighteen point lead in the fourth quarter.
9:09
Speaker 1: He threw an interception that basically gave Florida the game,
9:12
Speaker 1: And though he kind of points it off, that weight
9:15
Speaker 1: on him a lot that that Street just kept building
9:17
Speaker 1: up and building up and building up because he knew
9:19
Speaker 1: he had a beat, you know, decades ago. So then
9:22
Speaker 1: for him to see it last year when they finally
9:24
Speaker 1: got to win at Florida, Uh, he did a periscope
9:27
Speaker 1: of his reaction and really after the game, he's just
9:29
Speaker 1: watching home by himself, but I mean he's screaming, almost
9:32
Speaker 1: in tears watching that Street snap. And then for them
9:34
Speaker 1: to go on and win that Citrus Bowl it was
9:37
Speaker 1: just a great season for to be the last one
9:39
Speaker 1: Jay will ever get to see, because I know how
9:40
Speaker 1: much it meant for him to see that football program
9:43
Speaker 1: turn it around. All right, So you know SEC football obviously,
9:46
Speaker 1: and and you are mad to a phenomenal job covering
9:49
Speaker 1: college football. Uh for Ksrum, I want to talk about
9:54
Speaker 1: the SEC for a minute. I do want to start
9:56
Speaker 1: with Kentucky because the projections for them probably anywhere from
10:01
Speaker 1: five to six wins depending on where you're looking right
10:04
Speaker 1: now at the Action Network. Uh, Colin Wilson hasn't projected
10:08
Speaker 1: for five point four five wins and only two conference wins.
10:15
Speaker 1: We are you coming in on that, Drew Franklin, I mean,
10:20
Speaker 1: take my money. I'm all in on the over. I
10:22
Speaker 1: try to not to be a homer when I'm looking
10:25
Speaker 1: at gambling here because you know, grew up the UK fan.
10:28
Speaker 1: I'm always leading on the positive side. But when I
10:30
Speaker 1: look at that schedule, therefore, they have four non conference
10:34
Speaker 1: games that I think they could sleep walk through and win.
10:36
Speaker 1: They have to lead to Eastern Michigan, UT Martin and
10:40
Speaker 1: Louisville home and Louisville's normally you know fight. They terrible
10:43
Speaker 1: last year, so I think right now, before you even
10:46
Speaker 1: kicked the ball off, they have four wins. The only
10:49
Speaker 1: one I see that is counter to the losses at Georgia.
10:53
Speaker 1: Certainly seven games to win two to just hit six wins,
10:58
Speaker 1: and a lot of those I'm almost want to call
11:00
Speaker 1: coin flips. You have Missouri at home, Tennessee at home.
11:04
Speaker 1: You go at Vanderbilt, which should be a win. I
11:07
Speaker 1: would set this line more at seven. And that's not
11:11
Speaker 1: even me being overly optimistic as a UK fan. I
11:14
Speaker 1: can't believe it's low in some of these places. So
11:16
Speaker 1: low it I've seen six. You just mentioned someone that five.
11:19
Speaker 1: I can't even believe that. Well, listen, Colin Wilson is
11:22
Speaker 1: gonna come on later. Has Missouri at nearly nine and
11:25
Speaker 1: a half wins. I believe Missouri is gonna be very good.
11:29
Speaker 1: Uh but when you when you just beat Kentucky, you
11:32
Speaker 1: want a couple to hit the over and you've got
11:34
Speaker 1: Missouri at home. Missouri might even be favorite that game,
11:37
Speaker 1: but there are gonna be double digit favors. I think
11:39
Speaker 1: it's a close game and they live all right. Um,
11:43
Speaker 1: the other teams, I want to discuss weight one thing.
11:45
Speaker 1: What makes you so high in Kentucky Like to me,
11:48
Speaker 1: there are an interesting team because they were so good
11:50
Speaker 1: last year. They're one of those things where like people
11:51
Speaker 1: get excited to root for teams the following year because
11:55
Speaker 1: you want to see new blood and football. You want
11:57
Speaker 1: to see a team like Kentucky. They had such a
12:00
Speaker 1: madic season last year. What makes you feel like they
12:03
Speaker 1: are better than advertise. I think it's easy for some
12:08
Speaker 1: of the outsiders who don't follow as closely as we
12:09
Speaker 1: do living here in Lexton, to just look at it
12:12
Speaker 1: and say they lost to Josh Allen and Benny Snell
12:14
Speaker 1: to the best ever. They have to take a step back,
12:16
Speaker 1: and they will take a step back. The backfields coming
12:19
Speaker 1: in behind Bennie is very good. It will be a
12:22
Speaker 1: drop off, but they're gonna be an exciting bunch. There
12:25
Speaker 1: won't be a huge drop off. I think Terry Wilson
12:27
Speaker 1: at quarterback, now that he's got a season under his belt,
12:30
Speaker 1: is gonna shock some people. I think he can be
12:32
Speaker 1: a star. The linebackers replacing Allen are good. None of
12:35
Speaker 1: them are Josh Allen, but it's a good group. My
12:37
Speaker 1: only concern where I think the under hit on this
12:39
Speaker 1: win total is the secondary is going to be very bad.
12:43
Speaker 1: So I'm ready for you k to get beat beep alive.
12:46
Speaker 1: But I think in every other position there's still gonna
12:48
Speaker 1: be a very good thing. All Right, you've got some
12:51
Speaker 1: neighbors down there Tennessee. Tell people what you told me
12:57
Speaker 1: before we started the podcast. Uh, Well, I have thoughts
13:02
Speaker 1: about Tennessee. I wasn't sure what their win total is
13:06
Speaker 1: at right now, but I told you that no matter
13:09
Speaker 1: what it is, I will go under I don't care
13:11
Speaker 1: if they're one in total is one, I will take
13:14
Speaker 1: under one. That That's how I feel about the Tennthy
13:16
Speaker 1: football program. You must explain yourself. Well, they're obviously gonna
13:22
Speaker 1: lose to Kentucky. Uh, even their trash nonconference games. I
13:28
Speaker 1: think they'll lose to I think it might be able
13:29
Speaker 1: to speak off the helm marry on Stadale whoever to
13:32
Speaker 1: play in the first game of the year. But this
13:33
Speaker 1: is where my hatred of Tennessee. I wouldn't encourage anyone
13:36
Speaker 1: to follow my opinion here. What is your personal animus
13:40
Speaker 1: for Tennessee? Tell me about the rivalry. Well, my whole
13:43
Speaker 1: life I watched Kentucky lose to them until just fairly recently,
13:46
Speaker 1: and then my own father is a Tennessee fan who
13:49
Speaker 1: when I left town to be the UK, he turned
13:53
Speaker 1: my old bedroom into Tennessee room, painting to completely orange,
13:57
Speaker 1: so anytime I was home to visit, I would have
13:58
Speaker 1: to sleep in that best So really, my whole life
14:01
Speaker 1: it's been hatred of Tennessee and it will continue to
14:03
Speaker 1: be that way. Nothing will ever give you a change.
14:05
Speaker 1: My mom on the Balls, I think I love your dad.
14:09
Speaker 1: Oh he he had a checkerboard blanket, orange walls. Even
14:13
Speaker 1: the t TV remote had a t on it. The
14:15
Speaker 1: first time I slept in there, he snuck in and
14:17
Speaker 1: took a picture and seen it's the map. So I
14:18
Speaker 1: didn't start sleeping in the hallway. But yeah, I've been
14:21
Speaker 1: getting trolled by my Balls fan dad for a long time.
14:24
Speaker 1: Why does he left Tennessee? Did he go there? Uh?
14:27
Speaker 1: He was a Kentucky fan. Uh. Born and raised Kentucky,
14:31
Speaker 1: went to Western Kentucky. I guess he's just like that
14:33
Speaker 1: puke orange or wanted to be a troll. But he
14:35
Speaker 1: switched probably when I was about eight or nine, and
14:38
Speaker 1: he's all out. He's even got the big T on
14:40
Speaker 1: the hood of his truck. And he's that kind of fan.
14:42
Speaker 1: So when you walk into your room and you see
14:44
Speaker 1: it painted in orange and you've got the checkerboard blanket
14:48
Speaker 1: and stuff. Was happy? Was he with you? What happened?
14:52
Speaker 1: What is he? I'm trying to think of, Like, what's
14:54
Speaker 1: the meanest joke I've ever played on either of my
14:56
Speaker 1: sons And I don't think it's I don't think it
14:59
Speaker 1: stacks up to that. Give me your reaction and how
15:01
Speaker 1: he played it for you? Yeah, well, I mean I
15:03
Speaker 1: live it's about a three hour drive. When I was
15:05
Speaker 1: at UK, so I wouldn't visit a whole probably four
15:08
Speaker 1: or five times a year. And I guess maybe it
15:10
Speaker 1: was Thanksgiving one year because the game was right around
15:13
Speaker 1: that time. Uh did my normal trip home and little
15:15
Speaker 1: did I know he had completely remodeled the room that
15:18
Speaker 1: I would be sleeping in for the weekend. And that
15:21
Speaker 1: was the last time I slipped in there. Seriously, you
15:24
Speaker 1: never slept in there again. No, always on the couch.
15:27
Speaker 1: He's the guy that wears those ugly checkerboard pants everywhere.
15:31
Speaker 1: I mean, he he'll on work wag if it's a
15:33
Speaker 1: big game. He's that kind of idiot. God, sec football
15:37
Speaker 1: is the best. It is just fin You really don't
15:40
Speaker 1: get that anywhere else. I I you do not get
15:43
Speaker 1: you know, you do not get people doing that in
15:45
Speaker 1: the a SEC. You don't get people doing that in
15:47
Speaker 1: the pack twelve. Maybe you get it a little bit
15:50
Speaker 1: in the Big ten, but that is that is a
15:52
Speaker 1: decidedly SEC uh characteristic. Yeah, I mean one week out
16:00
Speaker 1: of the year, SEC football makes me hate my own father,
16:03
Speaker 1: and I'm not proud of that. But I mean he
16:05
Speaker 1: started it, so it's going to continue to be that way.
16:07
Speaker 1: Basketball collerate him a little bit more, I can, I
16:10
Speaker 1: can just let it slide. But that week leading up
16:12
Speaker 1: to the football game and weird enemies? Is he the
16:15
Speaker 1: one that got you into bedding? Uh? No, he didn't.
16:19
Speaker 1: I do bet on mountain. He doesn't even understand how
16:21
Speaker 1: any of that works. I've tried to practice it with
16:23
Speaker 1: about a couple of bets. And I'm speaking of the language.
16:26
Speaker 1: To give me another take here, I want to hear
16:28
Speaker 1: your take on Alabama. I know you've got a hot
16:30
Speaker 1: take in Alabama. Well, what do we have them said?
16:34
Speaker 1: Is they at eleven and eleven and a half. Let's
16:36
Speaker 1: say it's uh, let's say it's eleven. I'm going uh,
16:41
Speaker 1: I think they win ten. I don't know which one
16:43
Speaker 1: is the loser, or they go at A and M,
16:45
Speaker 1: they go uh, they go to Auburn whe they have
16:48
Speaker 1: LSU at home. But I'm just playing the odds of
16:51
Speaker 1: they've been too good for too long and if someone
16:53
Speaker 1: finally has to upset them when it's not expected, I'm
16:56
Speaker 1: putting them at ten wins this year. I don't know
16:57
Speaker 1: which too they're losing, but it's just want to happen
17:00
Speaker 1: because they've been too good every year and someone will
17:02
Speaker 1: knock the boss to someone's true that is A and
17:06
Speaker 1: M and I don't know. I hate say it. Auburn
17:08
Speaker 1: Maybe LS you beat him at home? That is awful analysis. Hey,
17:13
Speaker 1: I'm I'm just playing the number every single year. I
17:16
Speaker 1: know they're the best team and they reload all those
17:18
Speaker 1: wins and it's kind of past. But I'm a believer.
17:21
Speaker 1: At some point they have to lose a game that
17:22
Speaker 1: they're not supposed to I don't care what. Maybe it's Tennessee,
17:26
Speaker 1: probably not, but they're bound to lose the game that
17:28
Speaker 1: Nick Saban wasn't supposed to lose. I can't even think
17:30
Speaker 1: of the time they've been upset in the last couple
17:32
Speaker 1: of years. What what what is what is worse for you? Kentucky?
17:41
Speaker 1: Kentucky winning? Now, let me see, let me see the
17:46
Speaker 1: phrasing here. I want to know, like, would you rather
17:50
Speaker 1: Alabama lose? But what if they lose to Tennessee. Oh,
17:57
Speaker 1: I don't even plant that seat in my head. If
18:00
Speaker 1: Tennessee we're upset Albam and I like Alabama, I actually
18:03
Speaker 1: root for Alabama, not like a bandwagon pick in Kentucky
18:06
Speaker 1: basketball Alabama football, but I'll pull for the sec outside
18:09
Speaker 1: of Tennessee. I can't fathom a scenario we're asked to
18:12
Speaker 1: my father in the eyes with Tennessee just upset Alabama
18:15
Speaker 1: and Brian didn't didn't figure this year. I can't even
18:18
Speaker 1: wrap my head around that possibility. But I do think
18:21
Speaker 1: someone upset to Alabama when we when we're not expecting it.
18:25
Speaker 1: All right, well, listen, that might be of the of
18:28
Speaker 1: the takes you gave me. I can buy Tennessee, I
18:32
Speaker 1: can buy Kentucky. I'm glad your dad trold you. I
18:36
Speaker 1: think that's an amazing Jared Lorenzen story. Um, but I'm
18:40
Speaker 1: not buying the Alabama. I bet they lose at Startinville.
18:45
Speaker 1: I'll bet you right now, what kind of have you
18:48
Speaker 1: given me. I kind of threw that one out of
18:49
Speaker 1: the hot tick. What well, let's just you're saying they're
18:53
Speaker 1: gonna lose. I'm saying they're gonna win. We'll just beat
18:55
Speaker 1: it straight up, all right, I got the Bulldogs. I
18:59
Speaker 1: hate the Well, maybe Alabama will walk in into that
19:01
Speaker 1: town and then just come out and the yeah, we'll
19:04
Speaker 1: see I'll make let's say, well, no, let's just do
19:07
Speaker 1: it straight up. Wonder One there, buddy, wonder One, that's
19:10
Speaker 1: what we're doing. That sounds like a terrible bed. I'm
19:12
Speaker 1: a greand too, but I like you still. Let's do it. Well. Listen,
19:15
Speaker 1: you haven't proven yourself to be there. Listen, you're sharper
19:17
Speaker 1: than Matt Jones. But what are we saying here? That's true?
19:21
Speaker 1: All right? Go bulldog Drew Franklin, Kentucky Sports Radio. Actually, Franklin,
19:28
Speaker 1: ks are uh. That is a phenomenal Jaral Lorenzen story
19:32
Speaker 1: And that was a gift from out of nowhere that
19:34
Speaker 1: I did not see coming. Thank you for coming on
19:36
Speaker 1: the favorites the podcast. Enjoy your tour of Kentucky well
19:41
Speaker 1: try Thanks for having me on. I love everything you
19:43
Speaker 1: guys do. Alright, brother, I'll talk to you soon yea
19:46
Speaker 1: as promised up next. Action Network college football analyst expert extradinaire,
19:53
Speaker 1: host of the brand new Action Network podcast, The Colleges Podcast,
20:00
Speaker 1: along with our friend Stucky Mr Colin Wilson. What's going
20:06
Speaker 1: on man? Thanks for having me on. I hope you
20:08
Speaker 1: sharpened all of your pencils and put them in your
20:11
Speaker 1: pocket protector, because we're gonna get nerdy. We're gonna have
20:13
Speaker 1: to get a couple of minutes to be nerdy here
20:15
Speaker 1: with some numbers. Listen. I listened to the Action Network
20:17
Speaker 1: podcast the other day. You add on Matt Lindeman from
20:20
Speaker 1: Caesar's the Bookmaker there, uh and it was amazing, Like
20:24
Speaker 1: it is. It is so deep into college football. It
20:29
Speaker 1: is pure passion. That's just what it is. It is
20:32
Speaker 1: like it was like a guy who had been spending
20:34
Speaker 1: the past five months in a bunker watching every single
20:38
Speaker 1: thing he can watch on YouTube, updating his rankings, updating
20:43
Speaker 1: like the rosters and depth charts, and just had a
20:47
Speaker 1: blast to finally let it out. Like I just felt
20:49
Speaker 1: like I felt like you've had so much pent up
20:52
Speaker 1: emotion about the college football upcoming college football season, that
20:57
Speaker 1: that was your first opportunity. So I encourage everybody go
21:00
Speaker 1: subscribe to the new Action Network podcast Rated Subscribe Review
21:07
Speaker 1: all that kind of good stuff to hear Colin and
21:09
Speaker 1: Stucky in a whole bunch of other folks talking about
21:12
Speaker 1: big sports in UH in the betting world. Welcome, Welcome,
21:16
Speaker 1: Colin Wilson. Yeah. And I would suggest everybody if you're
21:19
Speaker 1: interested in the win totals the Action Network was, we
21:22
Speaker 1: just put out all of our win totals because people
21:24
Speaker 1: have been asking about them for a couple of weeks.
21:26
Speaker 1: Those are now public and available for everybody. UH. And
21:29
Speaker 1: not only does it capture the win total for every team,
21:32
Speaker 1: and captures the conference win total for every team. So
21:36
Speaker 1: a team may have like a certain win total overall
21:38
Speaker 1: for the season, but that doesn't necessarily mean they're gonna
21:41
Speaker 1: win a division. So those conference win totals are in
21:43
Speaker 1: there too, so it'll be you'll be fully prepared for
21:45
Speaker 1: conference odds when they come out. I just printed out
21:48
Speaker 1: the SEC win total. By the way, nice shilling. I
21:50
Speaker 1: printed out the win totals and conference totals for the
21:54
Speaker 1: SEC um today because I drew Franklin on earlier and
21:57
Speaker 1: I was using it as a reference. So um, give
22:00
Speaker 1: me two teams whose win totals you hate right now
22:05
Speaker 1: that most people would look at and say national title contenders.
22:12
Speaker 1: I hate Ohio State and I hate Washington. And when
22:15
Speaker 1: I say, hey, that means I'm using the money that
22:17
Speaker 1: I can to get under their win totals. And that
22:20
Speaker 1: is certainly in the face of a lot of people
22:23
Speaker 1: that I'm hearing out there who love Ohio State. They
22:26
Speaker 1: love Justin Fields transferring in from Georgia, they love Ryan
22:29
Speaker 1: Day as the head coach. So let me just start
22:33
Speaker 1: off with saying I've got them at nine point seven.
22:36
Speaker 1: You can find ten and a halfs out there. You
22:37
Speaker 1: can find ten, but I just don't think there's any
22:40
Speaker 1: way that this is getting to eleven. They got a
22:42
Speaker 1: big deduction in my power writings for second order win totals,
22:45
Speaker 1: which is really kind of a way of looking at
22:47
Speaker 1: teams and saying, well, you won the game by three,
22:49
Speaker 1: but if you were given four turnovers, that's not really
22:51
Speaker 1: a win. Ryan Day, he baby set the team for
22:55
Speaker 1: three Saturdays last year. I mean, Urban Meyer coached the
22:58
Speaker 1: team all through the week and and Day really just
23:00
Speaker 1: kind of ran out on the field. They had an
23:02
Speaker 1: offensive plan. Uh so we don't really know how good
23:04
Speaker 1: Ryan Day is. So they got a negative one for me, uh,
23:08
Speaker 1: and their power rating for that because Urban Meyer stucky.
23:11
Speaker 1: I talked about this all the time. We think that
23:13
Speaker 1: he was worth about two points the spread, and we
23:14
Speaker 1: think he's even bigger, worth worth more to Ohio States
23:18
Speaker 1: pr in games like the Rose Bowl or the Big
23:21
Speaker 1: Ten Championship, because he's just a big game coach. But
23:23
Speaker 1: now he's not there. Justin Fields on the other end,
23:25
Speaker 1: a quarterback his odds attend to want at the West
23:27
Speaker 1: Gate to win the Heisman is just I don't know
23:30
Speaker 1: where that number is coming from. He looked clunky in
23:32
Speaker 1: the spring game. He went four or thirteen, he didn't
23:35
Speaker 1: have many yards. He's throwing it over receivers, under receivers,
23:39
Speaker 1: left right. He can't hit any targets. And there's news
23:42
Speaker 1: quietly circulating, especially with people in Vegas. We're all talking
23:46
Speaker 1: about how Justin Fields was given every opportunity to beat
23:50
Speaker 1: Jake from a Georgia. He could never take the role,
23:52
Speaker 1: he could never take the job in practice. He didn't
23:54
Speaker 1: look good in garbage time. Uh. And now he's at
23:58
Speaker 1: House State where they lose everything on offense, and I
24:00
Speaker 1: just don't know where the points are going to come from. Wow,
24:02
Speaker 1: that's such a good point, right, Justin Fields and makes
24:05
Speaker 1: such a big deal about him transfer in tow Ohio.
24:06
Speaker 1: State could not win the job from the guy they
24:09
Speaker 1: were dying to move out of the out of the
24:13
Speaker 1: quarterback position to Georgia absolutely where I mean Jake From.
24:16
Speaker 1: The knock on him two years ago was that, well,
24:18
Speaker 1: this kid can't convert third and eight. This kid can't.
24:21
Speaker 1: He's not an accurate pastor. And they've got Justin Fields,
24:24
Speaker 1: and they've got Jacob Eason and Justin Fields is just
24:26
Speaker 1: there to hold a clipboard. Well, I got news for everybody.
24:29
Speaker 1: I mean, Jake From is a much better value for
24:32
Speaker 1: a heisman than Justin Fields ever is. And the other
24:34
Speaker 1: thing about how State that I'll end on with them
24:36
Speaker 1: is that, yeah, they do return a ton on defense,
24:39
Speaker 1: but this crew was a hundred and fifteenth in defending
24:41
Speaker 1: explosive plays last year. I think back to that TCU
24:44
Speaker 1: game when Herbert Meyer was suspended. TCU had like fifty
24:47
Speaker 1: yard plays like every few minutes. And this same defense
24:51
Speaker 1: returns and I'm supposed to expect them to all of
24:52
Speaker 1: a sudden be good against the rush. And be good
24:54
Speaker 1: against explosiveness. Ohio states not and I just don't think
24:57
Speaker 1: there's I don't think they're gonna get over ten. And
24:59
Speaker 1: I happily put my money on the under with these guys.
25:02
Speaker 1: All right, So who's the other national title contender that
25:04
Speaker 1: you're often everybody's on if you consider Washington a national title?
25:10
Speaker 1: Are reconsidering the packs twelve? I guess, assuming you may
25:13
Speaker 1: get through the Packs twelve with one loss, your your
25:15
Speaker 1: you should go to the College football playoffs. But Washington
25:19
Speaker 1: atten is something that that number should be under. And
25:22
Speaker 1: we're already starting to see some of the books out
25:24
Speaker 1: there go to nine and a half and and Matt
25:26
Speaker 1: Linderman and I got into this over on the Action
25:28
Speaker 1: Network podcasts about how CG technology out in Vegas. They
25:32
Speaker 1: opened this at ten and Matt through nine out there
25:36
Speaker 1: max power rating was the same as mine, which is
25:38
Speaker 1: eight point three on these guys for a win total
25:41
Speaker 1: uh Caesars throughout nine. They didn't care that that other
25:43
Speaker 1: places in shops in Vegas for at ten and they
25:46
Speaker 1: have the lowest defensive returning production rating of any team
25:49
Speaker 1: in FBS of all hundred and thirty teams, Washington is
25:53
Speaker 1: the lowest they finished a hundred and seventeen and special
25:56
Speaker 1: teams SMP plus. I think that reflects on coaching. And
25:59
Speaker 1: look at this. We have an another quarterback that was
26:01
Speaker 1: supposed to be Kirby Smarts guy in the under center
26:05
Speaker 1: that lost to Jake from and that's Jacob Eason. Jacob
26:08
Speaker 1: Eason didn't even win the job during spring practice. Jake
26:11
Speaker 1: Hayner's was supposed to be the backup, and he went
26:13
Speaker 1: fourteen and seventeen in the spring game. And if you're
26:16
Speaker 1: looking for an upset in week one, don't look any
26:19
Speaker 1: farther than Washington. They're taking on an Eastern Washington team
26:23
Speaker 1: that lost lost the FCS championship game to North Dakota
26:26
Speaker 1: State last year. Eastern Washington returns everybody they can throw
26:30
Speaker 1: seventy points up on a really bad defense, and Washington
26:33
Speaker 1: returns zero experience on defense. Lookout for Eastern Washington week
26:37
Speaker 1: one and take the under Washington. What's the spread in
26:40
Speaker 1: that game going to be? I know, the only thing
26:44
Speaker 1: I have is saguring because the mix of FCS and
26:46
Speaker 1: FBS really the Sagurn ratings that I get into that,
26:50
Speaker 1: and I would think that that line looking at it
26:53
Speaker 1: right now is probably gonna be with Eastern Washington returning
26:56
Speaker 1: everybody seventeen and a half. So you're you're calling a
27:01
Speaker 1: potential upset right now of Eastern Washington beating Washington. I
27:05
Speaker 1: can almost guarantee I'll have money on Eastern Washington UH
27:08
Speaker 1: in week one with the spread and and and I'll
27:11
Speaker 1: definitely have some money on the side with money line
27:13
Speaker 1: on them. Oh my god. Now I'm going to have
27:16
Speaker 1: money with Eastern Washington on the money line. That's a
27:19
Speaker 1: no brainer. I've never been more excited for Eastern Washington.
27:23
Speaker 1: They're an exciting team when you when you actually get
27:25
Speaker 1: your eyes on them. Some of these FCS teams can
27:27
Speaker 1: really put up points past and they're fantastic in Eastern
27:29
Speaker 1: Washington's one of them can't play any defense worth the lick,
27:32
Speaker 1: but Jacobison can't throw the ball, so I think we're
27:34
Speaker 1: in good shape. Too bad there are any other former
27:37
Speaker 1: Georgia backups that are roaming around for over over value teams,
27:42
Speaker 1: But there is one game. There is one team in
27:45
Speaker 1: the SEC that, uh, I feel like you have severely
27:51
Speaker 1: potentially over valued than Missouri Tigers. And that's supposed to
27:58
Speaker 1: be this, you know, for my Alan from Arkansas. We
28:01
Speaker 1: have this made up rivalry with Missouri. I don't know
28:03
Speaker 1: why they keep pushing. It's not a real rivalry. But
28:05
Speaker 1: you're right, Missouri is I think fantastic. My number matches
28:10
Speaker 1: nobody else. I haven't seen anybody go. I haven't seen
28:13
Speaker 1: anybody put out a win total and standby that's over eight.
28:16
Speaker 1: I've seen eight in some places. That's what it's listed
28:19
Speaker 1: in Vegas, and that's what it's listed in Jersey. But
28:21
Speaker 1: I've got this number over nine. I would take this
28:24
Speaker 1: at eight. I would take this eight and a half.
28:26
Speaker 1: And let's talk about the transfer situation. Kelly Bryant comes
28:30
Speaker 1: in from Clemson. Obviously. UH. You know Missouri was able
28:33
Speaker 1: to win that battle with some of the other teams
28:35
Speaker 1: that were buying for him to play quarterback. UH. They
28:37
Speaker 1: retained the running back Larry Roundtree. Missouri has four wide
28:41
Speaker 1: receivers that had fifty plus targets last year. Kelly Bryant
28:45
Speaker 1: has a ton of weapons. The defense was seven in
28:49
Speaker 1: rushing SMP last year. UH. And they get their top
28:52
Speaker 1: linebacker back Kill Garrett, who accounted for fifteen of the
28:55
Speaker 1: team tackles, and they returned their top five defensive backs.
28:58
Speaker 1: Uh in the second area, which is great. Their nonconference
29:01
Speaker 1: schedule is filled with teams that are incompetent on offense.
29:05
Speaker 1: We're talking Troy, West Virginia, that's a that's a Will
29:08
Speaker 1: Greer lest West Virginia. We're talking Wyoming, and you know
29:12
Speaker 1: the powerhouse of Southeast Missouri. Uh. It's really a really
29:17
Speaker 1: easy schedule. Um. You know, as far as the conference
29:20
Speaker 1: play goes, they got the two worst teams in the West,
29:23
Speaker 1: which is Arkansas and Old miss um Missouri over eight.
29:27
Speaker 1: They've got all the weapons, they're gonna make a run.
29:29
Speaker 1: They have a chip on their shoulder because of this
29:30
Speaker 1: bull band, which I think is going to be lifted
29:32
Speaker 1: at some point, but Missouri over eight definitely. How how
29:37
Speaker 1: how how much does it hurt you to say that
29:40
Speaker 1: Arkansas is the worst team in the West. I am
29:44
Speaker 1: actually sitting in Fayetteville right now, and everybody's drinking the
29:49
Speaker 1: kool aid. Uh. They think we can get six wins
29:51
Speaker 1: over and under. By the way, it's five and a half,
29:53
Speaker 1: which I think the Arkansas The problem is Arkansas schedule.
29:57
Speaker 1: Look at listen to these listening to these teams port
30:00
Speaker 1: In State, San Jose State, Uh, Colorado State, Western Kentucky.
30:06
Speaker 1: I mean, I would love to slam under five and
30:08
Speaker 1: a half and I'd love to you know, I'd love
30:10
Speaker 1: to have more money going against Arkansas. But Chad Morris
30:13
Speaker 1: does have his old quarterback from SMU back Ben Hicks.
30:16
Speaker 1: He was successful quarterback when Chad Morris was down there. Uh.
30:20
Speaker 1: They did play actually some pretty deef decent defense last year,
30:24
Speaker 1: so it's you know, their number came out around five,
30:27
Speaker 1: so it's not really uh for me, I'm sorry the
30:29
Speaker 1: number came out around five, which isn't good enough for
30:31
Speaker 1: me to take an underbed on them. But we're terrible.
30:33
Speaker 1: We're a baseball school. Now. We we took pride, uh
30:37
Speaker 1: you know, showing my age here. We were in the
30:39
Speaker 1: Southwest Conference and we were number one and two with
30:41
Speaker 1: Texas every year in college football, monster rivalry, Richard Nixon
30:45
Speaker 1: showing up to the Game of the Century in nine.
30:49
Speaker 1: Arkansas football is everything because we don't have any pro sports.
30:51
Speaker 1: We don't have NDA, we don't have NFL. We're in Nebraska,
30:54
Speaker 1: we're Alabama. All we have is one team that we loved.
30:58
Speaker 1: And it's embarrassing how much money that has been donated
31:01
Speaker 1: into this program. And you can't make a bowl, and
31:03
Speaker 1: you can't get the players, and you can't get everything
31:05
Speaker 1: that we need to be a competent team in the SEC.
31:07
Speaker 1: And frankly, I kind of sometimes wish we would move
31:10
Speaker 1: to the Big twelve because we geographically don't fit and
31:12
Speaker 1: on football teams on the gridiron, we don't fit with
31:14
Speaker 1: the SEC. How do you really feel about Arkansas right now? Well,
31:18
Speaker 1: I don't know. They asked me for a donation every year.
31:20
Speaker 1: I'm tired of donating five thousand dollars and then paying
31:23
Speaker 1: another two thousand dollars for my seats and for my
31:25
Speaker 1: parking passes and for my time. My time is what's
31:28
Speaker 1: really important. I mean, you walk into a stadium. I
31:31
Speaker 1: think that's the problem with college football these days, is
31:33
Speaker 1: that everybody loves college football so much. But if you
31:36
Speaker 1: decide to take your family to a game, not only
31:38
Speaker 1: is it overly expensive, but you're missing a hundred and
31:41
Speaker 1: twenty eight other teams. Your time is just as important
31:44
Speaker 1: on a Saturday. So if I'm going to take time
31:46
Speaker 1: out to miss a d eight other teams playing football,
31:49
Speaker 1: you better give me a good product on the field. Well, listen,
31:52
Speaker 1: I think most people are probably not watching other teams
31:56
Speaker 1: that might be a specific excuse for you, Which is why,
32:00
Speaker 1: which is why you can also go way off the
32:03
Speaker 1: radar and give me two teams, uh, two of the
32:08
Speaker 1: other six that we've discussed. Um, whose win totals you like? Uh,
32:14
Speaker 1: you'd start with Texas State. I love the Bob's and
32:19
Speaker 1: there's so much to love about the Bob's. They they got,
32:21
Speaker 1: you know, they fired their their head coach. Uh and
32:24
Speaker 1: and they brought in Jake's Babotol, who was the offensive
32:26
Speaker 1: coordinator at West Virginia. Uh. He was mostly responsible for
32:30
Speaker 1: drawing up a place for everything you've seen from Will
32:32
Speaker 1: Greer over the last couple of years and just the
32:34
Speaker 1: amazing work at West Virginia. That's all because of the
32:36
Speaker 1: head coach who's now at Texas State. But Jake s
32:39
Speaker 1: Bavotol wasn't done there. I mean, even though he was
32:41
Speaker 1: an offensive coordinator, he decided to go and get Bob
32:44
Speaker 1: stick who was the head coach in Montana. Now on
32:47
Speaker 1: FCS levels, Bob Stid is a really big deal. He's
32:49
Speaker 1: kind of a legend in the offensive coordinating world. Uh.
32:53
Speaker 1: He is the one who famously gave Dana Holgersson a
32:56
Speaker 1: fly sweep that West Virginia used with Tavon Austin and
32:59
Speaker 1: the two thousand and twelve Orange Bowl that scored seventy points. Uh.
33:03
Speaker 1: Dana Olgerson came out interviews straight after the game and said,
33:06
Speaker 1: I got that from Bob Stitt. Well, Bob stid is
33:08
Speaker 1: now the offensive coordinator at Texas State. Uh. It's a
33:11
Speaker 1: great It's a perfect matchup because coincidentally, the quarterback that
33:16
Speaker 1: Bob Stid had at Montana had already transferred to Texas State.
33:19
Speaker 1: So you're bringing in an offensive coordinator and you've got
33:21
Speaker 1: his his quarterback from Montana, and that's who's gonna be
33:24
Speaker 1: running the show at Texas State. Um. It's just there's
33:27
Speaker 1: a lot of positives going on there. Everything from second
33:30
Speaker 1: order wind totals, everything from net turnovers. Texas State is
33:34
Speaker 1: really going to turn it around. And a sun Belt
33:37
Speaker 1: that has massive turnover this year. Scott Satterfield appalition State gone,
33:41
Speaker 1: he's moved up to Louisville. Uh. Neil Brown was a Troy,
33:45
Speaker 1: he's gone. He's at West Virginia. So the sun Belt
33:47
Speaker 1: is gonna look awful funky this year, and some teams
33:50
Speaker 1: can make a jump in Texas State is going to
33:51
Speaker 1: be one of them. I love when you talk about
33:54
Speaker 1: completely obscure college football teams in an obscure conference of
34:00
Speaker 1: coaches that nobody except for you and their new teams
34:03
Speaker 1: have heard of. Bob is the man. I love it.
34:07
Speaker 1: I can't wait that in Texas they gets the five wins. Uh.
34:10
Speaker 1: You know, it'll be a great investment. So I'm looking
34:13
Speaker 1: forward to them possibly making a bowl. What about the
34:15
Speaker 1: East Carolina Pirates? You impressed? You're impressed by that, by
34:18
Speaker 1: the way, Yeah, you knew that they were the Pirates.
34:22
Speaker 1: They It's funny if you ever drive through North Carolina, Uh,
34:25
Speaker 1: there are billboards up everywhere that says, this is the
34:28
Speaker 1: best team in North Carolina and this is this is
34:30
Speaker 1: Carolina's football team. I don't think that is a bold
34:33
Speaker 1: statement with North Carolina, NC State, wake everything going on.
34:37
Speaker 1: But East Carolina. I loved it this year. And I
34:40
Speaker 1: kind of feel like everybody's starting to catch on because
34:43
Speaker 1: wind turtles are out for all the teams now. And
34:45
Speaker 1: I had to fire on three and a half and
34:47
Speaker 1: I had to fire on over four and it was
34:49
Speaker 1: you know, it was quiet for a while, but now
34:50
Speaker 1: I'm starting to see that people are jumping on. They
34:52
Speaker 1: got a bump for net turnovers, and they have a
34:54
Speaker 1: huge coaching upgrade. Uh. Mike Houston comes in from James
34:58
Speaker 1: Madison James mat Uson as an FCS powerhouse. He actually
35:01
Speaker 1: won the FCS championship in seen uh and he made
35:05
Speaker 1: it back to the championship, but they lost that year.
35:08
Speaker 1: But still this is a guy who's on the rise
35:10
Speaker 1: and he very much deserves to be at the FBS level.
35:13
Speaker 1: They have a great duel for at quarterback that's coming
35:16
Speaker 1: in one of the highest ranked quarterbacks I've ever had
35:18
Speaker 1: at East Carolina. And look at this schedule. I mean
35:20
Speaker 1: it's pretty it's laughable. East Carolina is gonna play Gardner Webb.
35:25
Speaker 1: They're gonna play William and Mary, two teams you might
35:27
Speaker 1: have not known that had football teams. Uh So East
35:30
Speaker 1: Carolina should easily win those games. But after that they're
35:32
Speaker 1: just hanging out that you know, they're playing teams that
35:35
Speaker 1: are in the seller of college football Yukon, Old Dominion, Navy, Tulsa.
35:40
Speaker 1: All of these are winnable games. They got the head
35:42
Speaker 1: coach to do it. They have a great duel for
35:44
Speaker 1: at quarterback. Over for easy money, I'm gonna throw one
35:49
Speaker 1: wild card at you. But we have not discussed this one.
35:52
Speaker 1: But last year the first weekend of the season, you
35:56
Speaker 1: and Stuck you did a periscope talking about college football
35:59
Speaker 1: and what are the opportunities night day and you handicapped
36:03
Speaker 1: Sunny stony Brook and you talked about Sunny stony Brook
36:09
Speaker 1: as if they were the Alabama Crimson Tide. So give
36:13
Speaker 1: me your take on Sunny stony Brook right now. Sunny
36:17
Speaker 1: stony Brook actually has one of the lowest ranked schedules
36:23
Speaker 1: of all of all their conference of who they played,
36:26
Speaker 1: one of the their conferences actually ranked eleven or twelfth
36:30
Speaker 1: I think in all of their divisions. So, uh, they
36:33
Speaker 1: have an easy schedule. Their returning production is mid tier,
36:36
Speaker 1: so I would expect them to put up exactly what
36:38
Speaker 1: they did last year. So what do you think of
36:41
Speaker 1: their UH season win total? I'll put them at six
36:46
Speaker 1: if if a book wants to get if a book
36:47
Speaker 1: wants to get brave enough to put out a five
36:49
Speaker 1: and a half, I'll happily take an over on Sunny
36:51
Speaker 1: Stony Brooks. I mean, the fact that you had to
36:53
Speaker 1: take on Sunny stony Brook makes me ask you this.
36:57
Speaker 1: The last question, The last question bring him Young University. Yes. Uh,
37:05
Speaker 1: if you don't love b y U this year, then
37:08
Speaker 1: I don't want to know you. So I love by U. Uh.
37:13
Speaker 1: I have some friends that went to b y U,
37:15
Speaker 1: so I might have to wear some gear and hopefully
37:17
Speaker 1: I can get away with it. But uh yeah, So
37:20
Speaker 1: Coloni Sataki is the head coach there. He's a former
37:22
Speaker 1: defensive coordinator at Utah, and he was kind of on
37:26
Speaker 1: the hot seat last year. Uh, you know, trying to
37:29
Speaker 1: find some some offense. This by us having some of
37:32
Speaker 1: the worst offensive uh stat success rates and explosiveness. They
37:36
Speaker 1: were just terrible in all of all of FBS football.
37:40
Speaker 1: And uh that all changed last year when a kid
37:42
Speaker 1: named Zack Wilson came into quarterback in the mid season. Um,
37:46
Speaker 1: I have them at eight point one, their win totals
37:48
Speaker 1: at six and a half. I would just get again
37:51
Speaker 1: at the six and a half. I would take it
37:52
Speaker 1: at seven. Um. You know, and they always play an
37:55
Speaker 1: extremely tough schedule, but that's already baked into the number.
37:58
Speaker 1: And I'm not really worried about that because they went
38:00
Speaker 1: to Wisconsin last year and beat a very hyped Wisconsin
38:03
Speaker 1: team B y U. I think this this will kind
38:06
Speaker 1: of surprise people. B y U was the number one
38:10
Speaker 1: team in the nation defending explosiveness in and you may
38:15
Speaker 1: ask how good was that team and defending explosiveness? They
38:19
Speaker 1: were number one last year, but of all the teams
38:22
Speaker 1: in college football over the last four years since the
38:25
Speaker 1: beginning of b y you put up the best defensive
38:30
Speaker 1: ISO p p P rating in all of those four years.
38:33
Speaker 1: That's what they did last year, and they returned most
38:35
Speaker 1: of that defense this year. B y U is where
38:38
Speaker 1: explosive teams go to die. Now back on the offensive
38:41
Speaker 1: side of the ball. Study and I started making a
38:44
Speaker 1: whole bunch of money on b y U in the
38:45
Speaker 1: middle of the year. At Wisconsin. Win was not a fluke.
38:48
Speaker 1: Uh you know, they started covering towards the end of
38:50
Speaker 1: last season. November was great for them. They got to
38:52
Speaker 1: the Potato Bowl. And for people that don't remember the
38:55
Speaker 1: Potato Bowl, Zach Wilson, the quarterback, went eighteen for eighteen.
38:59
Speaker 1: He had three seventeen yards, four touchdowns, and zero interceptions.
39:04
Speaker 1: They are fantastic. They are great at stopping explosion plays
39:08
Speaker 1: and they have a wonderful quarterback who loves to throw
39:10
Speaker 1: it to the tight end to his running Backs to
39:13
Speaker 1: the Wide Receivers by us the must watch this year
39:16
Speaker 1: and they're an over six and a half play. Kelin Wilson,
39:19
Speaker 1: your obsessiveness makes me care well, you know, I mean,
39:25
Speaker 1: I have to live up to the nerd right. You
39:26
Speaker 1: can't get an engineering degree and they'll be called a
39:28
Speaker 1: nerd out of and I have to. I have to
39:30
Speaker 1: make sure I bring the number, bringing numbers and sound dorky.
39:33
Speaker 1: You are my nerd. Thanks for coming out. You got
39:41
Speaker 1: any w W your Star Wars for me? No, today,
39:43
Speaker 1: we're gonna let, We're gonna wait. We're gonna wait for
39:45
Speaker 1: the next movie to come out, wait for the next
39:47
Speaker 1: w W RAW. But I have no doubt that, as
39:50
Speaker 1: you did with Game of Thrones, um, you will find
39:52
Speaker 1: a way to sneak in some pop culture bets along
39:54
Speaker 1: the way. Absolutely, thank you for coming on the podcast, brother,
39:57
Speaker 1: great work as always. Go check Kelin Wilson out at
40:00
Speaker 1: the Action Network, download the free app, listen to him
40:03
Speaker 1: in the Action Network podcast. Thanks Buddy, Thanks Chad. All right.
40:08
Speaker 1: I want to thank Drew Franklin from Kentucky Sports Radio
40:10
Speaker 1: for coming on and giving us the best jar of
40:12
Speaker 1: the rens In story in the history of sports Betting.
40:15
Speaker 1: I also want to thank Colin Wilson College Football Experts
40:19
Speaker 1: for The Action Network coming on talking about his favorite
40:22
Speaker 1: season win total bets. This has been the favorites the podcast.
40:27
Speaker 1: Downloaded from Apple Podcast Subscribe Rate review Downloaded from radio
40:34
Speaker 1: dot Com Slash the Action Network Until next time, I
40:39
Speaker 1: Love you,