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NHL + NBA + NCAAB Opening Day Best Bets Monday 11/3/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep.
• 0:01
  Speaker 2: Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN seven
• 0:06
  Speaker 2: run over the last two days after tonight it was
• 0:08
  Speaker 2: just complete bullshit. So that's that's what I'm gonna start
• 0:11
  Speaker 2: off this show. Horrible Sunday one and five.
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: I just don't want to do this anymore. I have
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: never seen anything like this.
• 0:21
  Speaker 2: Man with the slump continuing, two straight losses, not a
• 0:26
  Speaker 2: good day at all.
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: Own four that.
• 0:29
  Speaker 2: Have not had a good season, Man with bookends the
• 0:33
  Speaker 2: slump that I'm on.
• 0:35
  Speaker 1: The slump continues. I've reached into a peak.
• 0:38
  Speaker 2: Actually, I'm going to burn my Bruins hack Man, I
• 0:42
  Speaker 2: don't know what is going on with the Bruins arch hape?
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: Is that what it is? I don't even know it's
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: It's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man, I
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: don't know what data is anymore. But I don't even
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: know what data is anymore. Man's back with you after
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: the worst day that I could.
• 0:58
  Speaker 2: Possibly have, Back with you as I always am.
• 1:01
  Speaker 1: Until I die at least oh and two. Yesterday and
• 1:05
  Speaker 1: yesterday did not go well for me.
• 1:07
  Speaker 2: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
• 1:11
  Speaker 2: my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: Slump, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:22
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
• 1:25
  Speaker 2: other than potentially.
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: End it all. What's up?
• 1:33
  Speaker 2: Everybody sowed back with you? Better off dead? Monday, November three, Uh,
• 1:39
  Speaker 2: thanks for everybody who hung out last night in the
• 1:43
  Speaker 2: for the college basketball Opening Day Marathon preview or college
• 1:48
  Speaker 2: basketball season preview, whatever you want to call it. The
• 1:51
  Speaker 2: Boston Food Tour episode last night. Yeah, we have college basketball.
• 1:57
  Speaker 2: It already started. College basketball has been on since eight
• 2:00
  Speaker 2: here and it's gonna go until probably one am tomorrow
• 2:05
  Speaker 2: or whatever.
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: It's the Opening Day Marathon. Man.
• 2:08
  Speaker 2: I did not give out any actual plays. I wait
• 2:10
  Speaker 2: for like situations to kind of reveal themselves. As I
• 2:13
  Speaker 2: talked about last night.
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: I gave out a.
• 2:15
  Speaker 2: Few somewhat leans, but I don't have any plays today.
• 2:19
  Speaker 2: So we're gonna have a light day today. I'm gonna
• 2:21
  Speaker 2: talk about NHL, NBA Monday Night football here today. I'm
• 2:24
  Speaker 2: gonna have one play in NHL, one play in NBA.
• 2:28
  Speaker 2: Don't love the board really, but hopefully these plays are
• 2:32
  Speaker 2: gonna be winners and then yeah, and NFL. I still
• 2:37
  Speaker 2: don't have a great gauge on the NFL game, to
• 2:39
  Speaker 2: be honest, It's not gonna be one that I'm gonna
• 2:41
  Speaker 2: give out a play on college basketball.
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: By the way, it is free on YouTube.
• 2:46
  Speaker 2: These these opening day games that are listed as airing
• 2:50
  Speaker 2: on YouTube, they actually are like I can actually I can't.
• 2:53
  Speaker 2: I'm not gonna bring it up because it'll be like,
• 2:54
  Speaker 2: you know, you can't share somebody else's streamed. If you
• 2:57
  Speaker 2: see here Field of sixty eight after dark there, actually
• 3:01
  Speaker 2: they're airing it so you can watch that win through
• 3:04
  Speaker 2: Queen's game right now, I think it's actually tied. I
• 3:07
  Speaker 2: was trying to bring it up on my TV here,
• 3:08
  Speaker 2: but there's something going on with the YouTube app on
• 3:11
  Speaker 2: my TV here. I have it on my TV downstairs
• 3:14
  Speaker 2: right now.
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: Though.
• 3:16
  Speaker 2: You know, contrary to popular belief, I'm not broadcasting from
• 3:20
  Speaker 2: a basement and I'm not broadcasting from my parents' house here,
• 3:23
  Speaker 2: although maybe soon after I have to sell my house.
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: Who knows. But yeah, Jeffrey, thanks for hanging out man.
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: I don't know if I don't know if I shouted
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: you out yet. I'm so out of it right now, an,
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: what's up?
• 3:34
  Speaker 2: Thank you for hanging out, thank you for the thank
• 3:38
  Speaker 2: you for saying that we all we all love each
• 3:41
  Speaker 2: other here at Jesus loves us all as well. But yeah,
• 3:46
  Speaker 2: that win through Queen's game. It's on right now, lest
• 3:49
  Speaker 2: I saw it was tied. It's been kind of a
• 3:50
  Speaker 2: back and forth game. It's actually a good game to
• 3:53
  Speaker 2: open the slates. So if I can get this done
• 3:56
  Speaker 2: in the next like half hour, maybe I can. Actually
• 3:59
  Speaker 2: Actually no, because the game is probably about to end,
• 4:01
  Speaker 2: like almost right now, so I don't know. I wish
• 4:02
  Speaker 2: I had it on right now, but it's uh, it
• 4:04
  Speaker 2: might go into overtime.
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: Who knows.
• 4:08
  Speaker 2: I have not heard from SOB. I don't think I've
• 4:09
  Speaker 2: seen him since since the World Series. Man, I hope
• 4:14
  Speaker 2: he's out right. I hope he hedged some of it back,
• 4:16
  Speaker 2: because with the number that he got on the Blue Jays,
• 4:19
  Speaker 2: he could have guaranteed a profit by betting some amount
• 4:23
  Speaker 2: on the Dodgers there. Especially what he probably should have
• 4:27
  Speaker 2: done is because he already had the Blue Jays is
• 4:31
  Speaker 2: a huge underdog right once the blue Jays are up
• 4:33
  Speaker 2: three to two, he should have bet the serious price
• 4:36
  Speaker 2: on the Dodgers. Hedged some of it back that way
• 4:38
  Speaker 2: because the Dodgers were like plus two ten or something
• 4:40
  Speaker 2: like that, So he would have had both of them
• 4:42
  Speaker 2: as an underdog that you can't get any better than that.
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: That's a guaranteed that is obviously guaranteed profit. I hope
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: he's all right, let's get into it today, man.
• 4:55
  Speaker 2: So if you want to see my college basketball stuff,
• 4:57
  Speaker 2: I talked about the games that are happening tonight. I
• 5:00
  Speaker 2: talked about like any of the games that had any.
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: There were noteworthy at all.
• 5:03
  Speaker 2: You could go watch that show, though it's probably buried
• 5:06
  Speaker 2: in there, but basically I did say I had a
• 5:08
  Speaker 2: slight lean to Arizona plus the points against Florida here tonight.
• 5:14
  Speaker 2: That's the biggest game, that's the only game between two
• 5:16
  Speaker 2: ranked teams. And then I also leaned to Villanova against BYU,
• 5:21
  Speaker 2: just because I think Villanova is just an ugly, slow
• 5:24
  Speaker 2: down team and that's kind of what you want with
• 5:26
  Speaker 2: a team that's an underdog against what I think is
• 5:28
  Speaker 2: just an overrated BYU team that plays too fast. Thank you, sir, NFL.
• 5:34
  Speaker 2: I think I think I'm only five hundred in my
• 5:36
  Speaker 2: in my pick them league this week though, But I
• 5:39
  Speaker 2: did okay. I think I went three and two in
• 5:42
  Speaker 2: the pick five that I'm in, so I'm actually in
• 5:45
  Speaker 2: the money right now in the pick five, like barely
• 5:48
  Speaker 2: in the money. I need to do better though, but yeah,
• 5:51
  Speaker 2: I mean we could talk about that right now.
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: Yesterday was a winning day on.
• 5:54
  Speaker 2: The show, but it was very slight or a little
• 5:57
  Speaker 2: bit better than that, depending on how you want to
• 5:58
  Speaker 2: score the hockey player that I gave out. It was
• 6:01
  Speaker 2: either a three two and one day or three and
• 6:03
  Speaker 2: three with a slight win because it started off awesome. Dude,
• 6:06
  Speaker 2: Carolina won outright. Green Bay just did nothing offensively. They
• 6:10
  Speaker 2: looked horrendous in those old leatherhead uniforms.
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: They look so bad.
• 6:16
  Speaker 2: And then Minnesota JJ McCarthy, he showed up. Man, we
• 6:20
  Speaker 2: got the outright women in Minnesota. They really showed up.
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: Wanted to win the game. They did.
• 6:26
  Speaker 2: Meanwhile, I lost in Fantasy, by the way, because Jonathan
• 6:29
  Speaker 2: Taylor and Patrick Mahomes basically both know showed and they
• 6:32
  Speaker 2: were both the number one Fantasy player at their respective positions.
• 6:36
  Speaker 2: They both fucking know show. And then I lose in
• 6:38
  Speaker 2: Fantasy for the first times. It's Week one in my
• 6:42
  Speaker 2: Main League. But anyway, the bets, Yeah, it was looking
• 6:44
  Speaker 2: awesome because Carolina and Minnesota both won outright. So I
• 6:47
  Speaker 2: always recommend putting a little bit on the money line.
• 6:50
  Speaker 2: With Carolina, basically I would have said, like put one
• 6:52
  Speaker 2: percent of it on the money line. Minnesota, I would
• 6:54
  Speaker 2: have said put about three percent. Excuse me, no, ten
• 6:58
  Speaker 2: percent actually, because Minnesota was a single digit underdogs. That
• 7:01
  Speaker 2: would have been a nice money line cash on Minnesota there,
• 7:05
  Speaker 2: so that would have put you off.
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: New Orleans didn't get there for us.
• 7:08
  Speaker 2: I'm surprised the Rams were able to score as much
• 7:11
  Speaker 2: as they did on New Orleans. Was they were within
• 7:13
  Speaker 2: ten in the second half, but they just they couldn't
• 7:15
  Speaker 2: get it done. Their offense couldn't get anything done unfortunately.
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: And then NBA. I was wrong about Brooklyn.
• 7:22
  Speaker 2: I mean, I don't know, if you look at how
• 7:24
  Speaker 2: that game played out, I mean, Brooklyn had a pretty
• 7:27
  Speaker 2: horrendous shooting game.
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: What can you do.
• 7:30
  Speaker 2: I did not get that right. You can give me
• 7:33
  Speaker 2: props though, for being correct about US saying that Phoenix
• 7:35
  Speaker 2: was gonna win out right against San Antonio. The I
• 7:39
  Speaker 2: told you, man, I told you that that was gonna
• 7:41
  Speaker 2: be the case.
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: I believe I was.
• 7:43
  Speaker 2: Right about Oklahoma City covering as well, right, like they
• 7:46
  Speaker 2: just they they won by margin as well, like they're
• 7:49
  Speaker 2: just they're good at home.
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: Man, what can I say?
• 7:52
  Speaker 2: And then I was correct about the Knicks most importantly.
• 7:55
  Speaker 2: So we went one and one in the NBA yesterday,
• 7:57
  Speaker 2: which I want to be better than that, but NBA
• 7:58
  Speaker 2: has been pretty good so far. Think I'm twelve and six,
• 8:01
  Speaker 2: maybe thirteen and six, whatever, I think twelve and six,
• 8:04
  Speaker 2: whatever it is, I'll have to go back and look.
• 8:06
  Speaker 2: But yeah, the Knicks got there for us. That was
• 8:08
  Speaker 2: a nice win and cover by them. And then we
• 8:10
  Speaker 2: had the Detroit Red Wings. It depended on how you
• 8:13
  Speaker 2: played it. If you played it on the sixty minute line,
• 8:16
  Speaker 2: so them to win in regulation, that was a loss
• 8:18
  Speaker 2: because it was tied.
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: I mean, Detroit should have won that game more easily.
• 8:21
  Speaker 2: If you look at the statistics, Detroit, they kind of
• 8:24
  Speaker 2: dominated the game, dude. They had way more shots. They
• 8:27
  Speaker 2: and they were never trailing in the game. They had
• 8:30
  Speaker 2: way more shots, they won sixty three percent of the faceoffs,
• 8:33
  Speaker 2: and they still had to go into overtime and they
• 8:35
  Speaker 2: got the win in overtime. So if you did like
• 8:38
  Speaker 2: the split bet you would have pushed on it, which
• 8:40
  Speaker 2: is the other recommendation that I had if you wanted
• 8:42
  Speaker 2: to do that instead of the regulation bet, the split
• 8:46
  Speaker 2: bet being a little bit more risk averse. They won
• 8:48
  Speaker 2: by exactly ones you would have pushed it. I saw
• 8:52
  Speaker 2: somebody last night told me they just played it on
• 8:54
  Speaker 2: the money line on Detroit. So that was a winner,
• 8:57
  Speaker 2: a little bit of a hefty price on it.
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: But again, I.
• 9:00
  Speaker 2: Think the game played out like it didn't play out
• 9:03
  Speaker 2: the way that the statistics said that it should have.
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: Like Detroit was winning multiple times in the game.
• 9:08
  Speaker 2: They were up one nothing, and they're up two to one,
• 9:10
  Speaker 2: and then they had to go into overtime to win
• 9:12
  Speaker 2: it three to two.
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: So unfortunate there. We can move on to today. I'm
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: gonna have again two plays today.
• 9:20
  Speaker 2: It's gonna be a little you know, it's gonna be
• 9:24
  Speaker 2: a small card today, but that's usually the case on Monday.
• 9:28
  Speaker 2: I know, college basketball. It's very tempting to want to
• 9:31
  Speaker 2: throw some money on this huge college basketball board, but
• 9:34
  Speaker 2: I typically don't have any plays on the first day.
• 9:36
  Speaker 2: I wait, you know, for the situations to start lining up.
• 9:39
  Speaker 2: If you want to do college basketball today, my recommendation
• 9:42
  Speaker 2: was to look for like smaller conference teams that have
• 9:45
  Speaker 2: a lot of returning starters up against these big conference
• 9:48
  Speaker 2: teams because you're gonna get them as an underdog, and
• 9:50
  Speaker 2: you want to look to go against big conference teams
• 9:52
  Speaker 2: that have a ton of turnover because they're like not gonna.
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: Like mesh right away, you know what I mean.
• 9:57
  Speaker 2: So that's kind of the way to look at early
• 10:00
  Speaker 2: college basketball. But I just there's just too many games
• 10:03
  Speaker 2: for me to just dive into all the personnel like that,
• 10:05
  Speaker 2: So I just wait for like situations to start lining up.
• 10:09
  Speaker 2: You went against me with the Bengals, Yeah, I mean
• 10:14
  Speaker 2: I would not have gone against myself with that. I
• 10:16
  Speaker 2: picked the Bears in my pickums. The Bears should not
• 10:19
  Speaker 2: have blown that game, though, Like the Bears are winning
• 10:21
  Speaker 2: that game by what fourteen with like a few minutes left,
• 10:24
  Speaker 2: and then it took like a miracle for them to
• 10:26
  Speaker 2: actually wind up winning the game, But they never should
• 10:28
  Speaker 2: have fallen behind in the game to begin with. I
• 10:31
  Speaker 2: don't know the Bears outplayed them. Yeah Green Bay against
• 10:38
  Speaker 2: the Eagles, Yeah, I think I probably do. I'll have
• 10:41
  Speaker 2: to see what the situation looks like for that. I
• 10:43
  Speaker 2: think the Eagles are on by this week, so yeah,
• 10:45
  Speaker 2: I'm I probably.
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: Agree with you on that.
• 10:47
  Speaker 2: Green Bay is gonna be coming off looking as ugly
• 10:50
  Speaker 2: as possible.
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: It was a bad spot for green Bay.
• 10:53
  Speaker 2: I think they were looking ahead and green Bay has
• 10:55
  Speaker 2: a huge revenge angle because Eagles knocked them out of
• 10:58
  Speaker 2: the playoffs last year, and the Eagles, they I believe,
• 11:01
  Speaker 2: they just had a buy and they went into the
• 11:03
  Speaker 2: buy with a divisional revenge win over the Giants. So yeah,
• 11:06
  Speaker 2: I'm probably gonna agree with you on that one. The
• 11:09
  Speaker 2: Eagles just picked up another defensive player through trade.
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: Though.
• 11:14
  Speaker 2: The Eagles are trying to win this year again many
• 11:17
  Speaker 2: they lost a lot of their defensive players from last
• 11:19
  Speaker 2: year and now they're making all these trades. They just
• 11:21
  Speaker 2: traded for what's his name, Jalen Phillips. I think he's
• 11:25
  Speaker 2: a defensive lineman from Miami. He's one of their better
• 11:28
  Speaker 2: defensive players. That Miami defense stinks, he doesn't sink, and
• 11:31
  Speaker 2: now the Eagles just got him because Miami's probably I assume,
• 11:35
  Speaker 2: just unloading some guys for draft picks.
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: So yeah, yeah, the Knicks, it was a pretty easy win. Yeah.
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: I like when that happens. Bowls against the Sixers.
• 11:47
  Speaker 2: No, I don't think I do Bulls in a situation
• 11:51
  Speaker 2: where they just took their first loss, I don't like to.
• 11:54
  Speaker 2: I don't like to take teams after they have that
• 11:56
  Speaker 2: first loss. They can like they can essentially lose that
• 11:59
  Speaker 2: game twice in a row, basically because they're not used
• 12:01
  Speaker 2: to losing yet.
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: It can kind of hang them over.
• 12:04
  Speaker 2: I don't think there's any way I'm gonna be on
• 12:05
  Speaker 2: the Bulls the Green Bay. There's a decent likelihood Green
• 12:09
  Speaker 2: Bay will be a play for me though in the
• 12:11
  Speaker 2: in NFL next week, Pinsy, what's up?
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: Man? All right, let's talk about NHL. Here.
• 12:17
  Speaker 2: We have four games. I guess I could just briefly
• 12:19
  Speaker 2: hit them. Aloon Pittsburgh Toronto. I don't have much of
• 12:22
  Speaker 2: an opinion on Toronto's down from a minus one seventy
• 12:25
  Speaker 2: seven moneyline favorite to minus one sixty eight. They're public
• 12:29
  Speaker 2: seventy six percent of tickets, only seventy two percent of
• 12:31
  Speaker 2: the cash, So the money looks like it is coming
• 12:34
  Speaker 2: in on the Pittsburgh side because there's some reverse line
• 12:38
  Speaker 2: movement that we see there. I don't know if I
• 12:40
  Speaker 2: want to. I don't know if I would want to
• 12:43
  Speaker 2: do that. I'm Pittsburgh. They're finishing a road trip. I mean, yeah,
• 12:47
  Speaker 2: you could argue they're gonna show up motivated here because
• 12:49
  Speaker 2: it is Toronto. I mean, they're always kind of a
• 12:52
  Speaker 2: big opponent's after face because they're an Original six team.
• 12:55
  Speaker 2: It's an Eastern Conference game. Pittsburgh is trying to split
• 12:58
  Speaker 2: two and two on the road because they're one and
• 13:00
  Speaker 2: two right now, so there are some motivating factors. They're
• 13:04
  Speaker 2: gonna have Jari back at net for them because they
• 13:08
  Speaker 2: use Sillovs yesterday. Again, I don't love either of their goalies.
• 13:11
  Speaker 2: They just altered eight between them. They're coming off of
• 13:13
  Speaker 2: a loss to Winnipeg that was a bit ugly, but
• 13:16
  Speaker 2: one day off traveling from Winnipeg to Toronto doesn't seem
• 13:20
  Speaker 2: really that easy to me. Meanwhile, at Toronto somewhat of
• 13:24
  Speaker 2: an easier travel spot, I would say, even though they're
• 13:26
  Speaker 2: technically returning home from a road trip, they only went
• 13:29
  Speaker 2: to Columbus in Philadelphia. It was a quick road trip,
• 13:31
  Speaker 2: so I don't really see that as a real road
• 13:34
  Speaker 2: trip return spot. They did beat Philadelphia pretty handily in
• 13:37
  Speaker 2: their last game. Those of you kind of like gauge
• 13:40
  Speaker 2: it based on that, Oh, Toronto looked a little bit
• 13:42
  Speaker 2: too good in their last game. I did like Toronto
• 13:45
  Speaker 2: in that game, as I pointed out on Saturday, and
• 13:49
  Speaker 2: you got, you know, Pittsburgh coming off a game or
• 13:51
  Speaker 2: they didn't look very good against Winnipeg. So based on that, yeah,
• 13:54
  Speaker 2: maybe it makes sense to go with the team that
• 13:56
  Speaker 2: looked ugly in their last game, which is Pittsburgh. But
• 14:00
  Speaker 2: I wouldn't want to get involved in it. I don't
• 14:02
  Speaker 2: really see much of an angle here. I don't really
• 14:03
  Speaker 2: consider that to be a real road trip return spot
• 14:05
  Speaker 2: for Toronto, so I'm leaving that game alone. The market.
• 14:09
  Speaker 2: Reid says Pittsburgh is an underdog again. I'm just giving
• 14:13
  Speaker 2: you all the information of Vancouver and Nashville. We actually
• 14:16
  Speaker 2: have a very public road underdog here in Vancouver. Nashville
• 14:21
  Speaker 2: has dropped a little bit from minus one twenty to
• 14:23
  Speaker 2: minus one sixteen, but we have eighty five percent of
• 14:27
  Speaker 2: the cash on Vancouver and only eighty one percent of
• 14:29
  Speaker 2: the tickets. Vancouver's kind of a mediocre team right now.
• 14:32
  Speaker 2: In Nashville is mediocre, I would say as well. Nashville
• 14:36
  Speaker 2: was so bad last year that I think the public
• 14:38
  Speaker 2: is just they're just not willing to play Nashville in
• 14:41
  Speaker 2: like any capacity really, so they're seeing Vancouver as an
• 14:44
  Speaker 2: underdog if they like the name Vancouver. I think Vancouver
• 14:47
  Speaker 2: either made the playoffs, so they were close to making
• 14:49
  Speaker 2: the playoffs last year, so public kind of banking on
• 14:52
  Speaker 2: that as well, thinking there's value taking Vancouver as an
• 14:55
  Speaker 2: underdog based on the market. I would obviously fade that,
• 14:58
  Speaker 2: because you know public underdogs, they tend to be something
• 15:01
  Speaker 2: that you really want to fade. Although the Buffalo Bills
• 15:05
  Speaker 2: were correct yesterday as a public underdog, interestingly enough, and
• 15:10
  Speaker 2: there was some kind of late line movement on the
• 15:12
  Speaker 2: Chiefs there too, so I had a slight lean to
• 15:15
  Speaker 2: the Bills in that one, but it was going against
• 15:17
  Speaker 2: the market pretty heavily there. So I don't know, man,
• 15:21
  Speaker 2: And then yeah, I don't know what else to say
• 15:24
  Speaker 2: about Vancouver and Nashville.
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: Well, I got to look at the situation.
• 15:26
  Speaker 2: I guess Vancouver just lost pretty ugly five to two
• 15:30
  Speaker 2: to Minnesota on Saturday, finishing a road trip. They're one
• 15:35
  Speaker 2: and one on the road trip, so usually when that's
• 15:37
  Speaker 2: the case, a team will show up motivated in a
• 15:39
  Speaker 2: spot like that. Typically they don't really have anything up
• 15:43
  Speaker 2: next I think they have Chicago up next.
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: That's not really a huge game. Nashville is coming.
• 15:48
  Speaker 2: Off a win over Calgary, which I think is gonna
• 15:50
  Speaker 2: give them some momentum because they broke a three game
• 15:52
  Speaker 2: loss streak and beat in Calgary is not really gonna
• 15:55
  Speaker 2: make you overconfidence. So the spot isn't negative for either
• 15:58
  Speaker 2: team in my opinion. I'll lean with the market in
• 16:02
  Speaker 2: that one. I would play Nashville if I was gonna
• 16:04
  Speaker 2: play it, but I'm not going to do it. When
• 16:08
  Speaker 2: everybody likes the team then that usually is a red flag.
• 16:13
  Speaker 2: But it was like the from what I could see,
• 16:16
  Speaker 2: like a lot of professionals like the Bills, and the
• 16:18
  Speaker 2: public was on the Bills in a spot like that,
• 16:22
  Speaker 2: There's no way I want to put my money on that.
• 16:24
  Speaker 2: Like nothing is nothing is ever that easy. Yeah, I mean,
• 16:29
  Speaker 2: I don't know what else to say about that. The
• 16:30
  Speaker 2: Bills have been good against the Chiefs in the regular season, though,
• 16:33
  Speaker 2: and it was a playoff revenge spot, like I pointed out,
• 16:37
  Speaker 2: So I thought that was kind of the factor that
• 16:39
  Speaker 2: tipped the scales towards the Bills. But when you see public,
• 16:43
  Speaker 2: the public on a home underdog like that is very,
• 16:46
  Speaker 2: very rare and almost always you do not want to
• 16:49
  Speaker 2: be on that side.
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: So there was no way that I was going to
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: make that a play. Absolutely not.
• 16:55
  Speaker 2: But I had a slight lean that way just because
• 16:57
  Speaker 2: that's where the situation put me. But I mean, yeah,
• 17:01
  Speaker 2: I really really hated it because the market was the
• 17:04
  Speaker 2: market read was strongly against it, like less of the
• 17:07
  Speaker 2: cash was actually on the bills, and there was a
• 17:09
  Speaker 2: late reverse line move on the Chiefs, which is like,
• 17:13
  Speaker 2: which is actually a pretty strong indicator. So like I was, like,
• 17:16
  Speaker 2: I wanted to switch my pick like pretty badly in
• 17:19
  Speaker 2: that one to the Chiefs, all right, and then my
• 17:24
  Speaker 2: play is gonna be in the Edmonton Saint Louis game.
• 17:26
  Speaker 2: We do have a late game between Chicago and Seattle
• 17:28
  Speaker 2: as well. Chicago five four and three. They're coming up
• 17:32
  Speaker 2: an overtime loss at Edmonton on Saturday. That was a
• 17:35
  Speaker 2: big game for the Men. They were able to take
• 17:37
  Speaker 2: Edmonton into overtime. I think that might hang Chicago over
• 17:40
  Speaker 2: a little bit here. So I don't love Chicago coming
• 17:42
  Speaker 2: off that big game in this spot, you almost beat Edmonton,
• 17:46
  Speaker 2: you fall short.
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: Don't love that. Seattle.
• 17:49
  Speaker 2: They were a loser for me as well, taking the
• 17:53
  Speaker 2: Rangers into OT and the Rangers really dominated that game though,
• 17:56
  Speaker 2: so really it was a bad, bad read on my
• 18:00
  Speaker 2: with Seattle there, although they almost got the win as
• 18:02
  Speaker 2: an underdog. I don't really want to actually give out
• 18:05
  Speaker 2: Seattle as a play here, but I do think the
• 18:07
  Speaker 2: spot is worse for Chicago. Seattle is staying at home,
• 18:10
  Speaker 2: although they're coming off two straight overtime games as well,
• 18:13
  Speaker 2: including that one against the Rangers where they came close
• 18:15
  Speaker 2: to winning as an.
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: Underdog on Saturday.
• 18:19
  Speaker 2: Chicago's got Chicago's a public underdog, believe it or not,
• 18:23
  Speaker 2: because they're above five hundred right now. Seventy six percent
• 18:25
  Speaker 2: of it gets only excuse me, seventy six percent of
• 18:28
  Speaker 2: tickets and ninety one percent of the cash.
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: I'm so out of it.
• 18:32
  Speaker 2: But I don't know if that cash percentage is legit,
• 18:35
  Speaker 2: because you see, Seattle has moved up from minus one
• 18:37
  Speaker 2: forty nine to mine one to fifty one.
• 18:39
  Speaker 1: So the osbakers are telling you Seattle's.
• 18:41
  Speaker 2: The better team because they're getting more than whole ice
• 18:44
  Speaker 2: built into this line here.
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: And I do think that the spot is worse for Chicago.
• 18:49
  Speaker 2: So I would play Seattle in that game of I
• 18:51
  Speaker 2: was gonna play it money line or you know, doing
• 18:54
  Speaker 2: make your own one puck line there because they think
• 18:56
  Speaker 2: the price. If you want to go regulation, you could
• 18:59
  Speaker 2: do that, but you're gonna get a nice underdog price
• 19:01
  Speaker 2: on that one if you do that, because they're not
• 19:03
  Speaker 2: really at that level of a favorite. Or I would
• 19:06
  Speaker 2: start looking to play it in regulation. I would probably
• 19:08
  Speaker 2: either money line it on Seattle or do a split
• 19:10
  Speaker 2: bet to make it, like make your own minus one
• 19:14
  Speaker 2: puck line. Let's get into the best bet segment already here,
• 19:18
  Speaker 2: even though I'm gonna talk about NBA and there are
• 19:20
  Speaker 2: more NBA games today, the one bet that I have
• 19:24
  Speaker 2: in NHL, you could probably guess we're gonna go with
• 19:29
  Speaker 2: the Saint Louis Blues on the money line here. I
• 19:31
  Speaker 2: think we're actually getting a nice price here with the
• 19:33
  Speaker 2: Blues team that I don't think is as bad as
• 19:36
  Speaker 2: the record makes them look right now.
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: Public is on Edmonton.
• 19:39
  Speaker 2: I mean, Saint Louis has a really bad record right now,
• 19:41
  Speaker 2: but remember the Saint Louis team was a playoff team
• 19:44
  Speaker 2: last year and they're not much different this year. I mean,
• 19:46
  Speaker 2: maybe they got a spark having a new coach there
• 19:49
  Speaker 2: overperformed a little bit getting the Bruins coach over there
• 19:52
  Speaker 2: after you got fired, Montgomery. But I still think this
• 19:55
  Speaker 2: Saint Louis team is under the radar right now just
• 19:57
  Speaker 2: because they've had a bad start. Edmonton of the public
• 20:01
  Speaker 2: is just gonna line up on Edmonton because of what
• 20:03
  Speaker 2: they've done the last couple of years, because of their offense,
• 20:05
  Speaker 2: because they have Conor McDavid eighty nine percent of the tickets,
• 20:08
  Speaker 2: only sixty six percent of the cash on Edmonton, So
• 20:12
  Speaker 2: Edmonton very public but with less of the cash on them,
• 20:14
  Speaker 2: and we see a reverse line movement dropping them for
• 20:17
  Speaker 2: minus one fifty one thirty eight. So the market indicators
• 20:20
  Speaker 2: look pretty good for taking Saint Louis as a home
• 20:23
  Speaker 2: underdog here with the line actually moving against the public.
• 20:28
  Speaker 2: So that is that is what a reverse line movement is.
• 20:30
  Speaker 2: If I if I have not explained that thoroughly, I
• 20:33
  Speaker 2: don't know, that's a good indicator that that's where like
• 20:36
  Speaker 2: the bigger money is. If you see the line move
• 20:38
  Speaker 2: against where the ticket percentage is, and then that also
• 20:40
  Speaker 2: lines up with the cash percentage not being as heavy
• 20:43
  Speaker 2: on Edmonton. Edmonton is coming off that overtime game where
• 20:48
  Speaker 2: they they did escape against Chicago, so sometimes I would say, well,
• 20:51
  Speaker 2: that means you know that you're gonna get focus out
• 20:54
  Speaker 2: of that team, But I actually don't think so here
• 20:56
  Speaker 2: because they're going out on the road. Yes, they're starting
• 20:59
  Speaker 2: a road trip, and you will look for a team
• 21:02
  Speaker 2: to be focused to start a road trip because they
• 21:04
  Speaker 2: want to kick the road trip off on the right foot.
• 21:06
  Speaker 2: But they're coming up two straight overtime games, three overtimes
• 21:09
  Speaker 2: in their last four games, going back to last Sunday.
• 21:12
  Speaker 2: We're going back to yeah, to Sunday, the Sunday, the
• 21:15
  Speaker 2: twenty six.
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: Yeah. But this road trip is only two.
• 21:18
  Speaker 2: Games, and it's tonight and Tomorrow night, and tomorrow night
• 21:21
  Speaker 2: they have Dallas and then after that they got Colorado.
• 21:24
  Speaker 2: So Dallas is gonna be a big game, man. So,
• 21:28
  Speaker 2: and I think Dallas actually is gonna have revenge against
• 21:30
  Speaker 2: Edmonton in that game as well. So it's gonna be
• 21:33
  Speaker 2: a big game for both teams. Dallas is gonna have.
• 21:35
  Speaker 2: I believe Dallas will have a revenge angle there because
• 21:38
  Speaker 2: I think that's the Western Conference Final. I believe was
• 21:40
  Speaker 2: Dallas against Edmonton last off to make sure that I
• 21:43
  Speaker 2: think that was right.
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: So I think.
• 21:45
  Speaker 2: Edmonton might overlook Saint Louis in this one man, and
• 21:47
  Speaker 2: they're probably gonna go with Pickard in net. And things
• 21:52
  Speaker 2: have not gone well with Picker or Nett. The last
• 21:54
  Speaker 2: three times he's been in net, they had a five
• 21:56
  Speaker 2: to three loss, a six to five win, and a
• 21:59
  Speaker 2: four to three overtime loss, So they've been giving up
• 22:02
  Speaker 2: some goals with him in net, So that doesn't look good.
• 22:06
  Speaker 2: Skinner has played three games in a row, and you
• 22:08
  Speaker 2: gotta assume they're gonna leave Skinner. They're gonna rest him
• 22:11
  Speaker 2: and play him tomorrow, so they're most likely gonna have Pickards,
• 22:14
  Speaker 2: so they'll have their lesser goalie. Meanwhile, I like how
• 22:18
  Speaker 2: the spot sets up for Saint Louis. You're gonna be
• 22:21
  Speaker 2: looking at I think as Saint Louis team, it's gonna
• 22:23
  Speaker 2: be really trying to get a win here, man. I mean,
• 22:25
  Speaker 2: they've lost six games in a row. Seven games in
• 22:28
  Speaker 2: a row is out. That is seven games in a
• 22:29
  Speaker 2: row with a couple of overtime losses.
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: In the mix there.
• 22:33
  Speaker 2: Losing to Columbus on Saturday in just a weird single
• 22:37
  Speaker 2: game road trip over to Columbus.
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: Now they're coming back home here.
• 22:41
  Speaker 2: I don't consider that to be a true road trip
• 22:42
  Speaker 2: return because it was literally just one game on the road.
• 22:45
  Speaker 2: They're coming back home. They just have this one game
• 22:47
  Speaker 2: at home and then they don't have to go back
• 22:49
  Speaker 2: out on the road. But you know they're gonna show
• 22:51
  Speaker 2: up for a game against Edmonton at home. Almost guaranteed
• 22:55
  Speaker 2: they're gonna try to break this lost streak here, and
• 22:57
  Speaker 2: they will have Bennington back in net. You're almost certainly
• 23:00
  Speaker 2: because Hoffer played in their last game, So we're gonna
• 23:03
  Speaker 2: get their better goalie here in Bennington. I know things
• 23:06
  Speaker 2: have not gone well regardless of which goalie has been
• 23:08
  Speaker 2: a net for them, but he is still the better goalie.
• 23:11
  Speaker 2: I like Saint Louis in this spot. I think they're
• 23:13
  Speaker 2: gonna break their their lost streak here.
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: Well, me being the streak.
• 23:18
  Speaker 2: Breaker, let's do it again, man, I was I was right.
• 23:20
  Speaker 2: I didn't give it out as a play, but I
• 23:21
  Speaker 2: was right about breaking out the San Antonio undefeated streak
• 23:25
  Speaker 2: last night with Phoenix and I thought they might be
• 23:27
  Speaker 2: looking ahead to the Lakers. I'm gonna go here. I'm
• 23:30
  Speaker 2: gonna say that Saint Louis is gonna break their streak
• 23:32
  Speaker 2: here and they're gonna beat Edmonton. And I don't believe
• 23:35
  Speaker 2: it's playoff revenge because I believe Saint Louis lost to Yeah,
• 23:38
  Speaker 2: they lost to Winnipeg, so it's not playoff revenge.
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: But even so, it doesn't matter to me.
• 23:43
  Speaker 2: I mean, I still think it's a spot where you're
• 23:45
  Speaker 2: gonna get a focused Saint Louis team here for sure.
• 23:48
  Speaker 2: So give me Saint Louis on the money line. I
• 23:51
  Speaker 2: think they're undervalued right now. And let's go to NBA.
• 23:57
  Speaker 2: NBA Brooklyn is playing again today, so they're on a
• 24:00
  Speaker 2: back to back against Minnesota, and the money's coming in
• 24:04
  Speaker 2: on Brooklyn again. Minnesota is a nine point favorite, fifty
• 24:07
  Speaker 2: seven percent of the tickets on them, eighty one percent
• 24:09
  Speaker 2: of the cash they're on Brooklyn, so the money is
• 24:12
  Speaker 2: indicating on Brooklyn. I mean, I guess I'll tentatively maybe
• 24:17
  Speaker 2: still agree with that, but man, I mean, the only
• 24:20
  Speaker 2: thing I could really say is that Minnesota they might
• 24:22
  Speaker 2: be looking ahead to the Knicks on Wednesday, and that's
• 24:25
  Speaker 2: all I could really say about that. Brooklyn is still
• 24:27
  Speaker 2: in a back to back and a bad team, so
• 24:30
  Speaker 2: I really don't want to deal with Brooklyn here. Although
• 24:32
  Speaker 2: they had a bunch of days off priory yesterday, so
• 24:34
  Speaker 2: It's not like they're really like a really bad fatigue
• 24:38
  Speaker 2: spot or anything like that, because before yesterday they hadn't
• 24:40
  Speaker 2: played since Wednesday and they're still looking for their first wins.
• 24:43
  Speaker 2: So they're probably gonna show up with some effort. But
• 24:47
  Speaker 2: not again, I'm gonna get involved in it at all. Obviously,
• 24:52
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee at Indiana, this is gonna be a situation where
• 24:55
  Speaker 2: it is playoff revenge for Milwaukee. As I pointed out,
• 24:58
  Speaker 2: I thought Milwaukee gonna be looking ahead to this game
• 25:01
  Speaker 2: when I was correct about them losing to the Kings
• 25:04
  Speaker 2: or at least not covering. But they did lose outright
• 25:06
  Speaker 2: on Saturday. That was our NBA winner on Saturday. Jannis
• 25:10
  Speaker 2: did play in the game, so he was a game
• 25:13
  Speaker 2: time decision. He is a game time decision again tonight.
• 25:16
  Speaker 2: I'm expecting that he will play. I mean, he seems
• 25:19
  Speaker 2: like he's just always listed as a game time decision
• 25:22
  Speaker 2: right now. But I think the reason why Milwaukee dropped
• 25:25
  Speaker 2: that game is because they were coming off a couple
• 25:27
  Speaker 2: of big wins in a row man as I pointed out,
• 25:29
  Speaker 2: against the Knicks and Golden State, and they had taken
• 25:32
  Speaker 2: Cleveland almost to the wire the game prior to that too,
• 25:35
  Speaker 2: like made a comeback against Cleveland. I thought that was
• 25:38
  Speaker 2: a down spot of flat spot against Sacramento. And this
• 25:41
  Speaker 2: game matters more to them against Indiana. Even though Indiana
• 25:44
  Speaker 2: is off to a terrible start this year and they're
• 25:46
  Speaker 2: very injured team, Milwaukee's gonna have this game circle just
• 25:49
  Speaker 2: because Indiana eliminated them from the playoffs. I believe two
• 25:53
  Speaker 2: years in a row now if I'm not mistaken, but
• 25:55
  Speaker 2: definitely last year. So yeah, I think Milwaukee's going to
• 26:00
  Speaker 2: show up for this one.
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: Man. Yeah, I mean yeah, I.
• 26:04
  Speaker 2: Believe it is back to back playoff revenge here for Milwaukee,
• 26:07
  Speaker 2: So that's certainly somebody to consider. I think that is
• 26:10
  Speaker 2: actually a factor here as far as Indiana is concerned.
• 26:14
  Speaker 2: They're coming up beating Golden State, which was their first
• 26:17
  Speaker 2: win of the season, and sometimes when a team gets
• 26:18
  Speaker 2: their first win, yeah, they get that monkey off their
• 26:21
  Speaker 2: back and they can kind of just relax and play looser.
• 26:24
  Speaker 2: But in this case, it could be a little bit
• 26:26
  Speaker 2: of a letdown spot. Honestly, because that was a big
• 26:28
  Speaker 2: winner for Golden State. It was kind of strange because
• 26:33
  Speaker 2: I didn't think that it was really necessarily a bad
• 26:35
  Speaker 2: spot for Golden State there, but Indiana was able to
• 26:37
  Speaker 2: get the job done in that one. Digging into the
• 26:40
  Speaker 2: box score here, Golden State, I mean, they did shoot
• 26:44
  Speaker 2: pretty poorly in the game. Of the Both teams actually
• 26:46
  Speaker 2: had pretty poor shooting performances in the game, so it's
• 26:49
  Speaker 2: not really necessarily a huge outlier as far as that's concerned.
• 26:52
  Speaker 2: But Golden State was very bad from three point range
• 26:55
  Speaker 2: still in the game, worse than Indiana was.
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: So some reason is why Golden State did drop that game.
• 27:03
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I think if you get a focused Milwaukee team,
• 27:05
  Speaker 2: they're the better team, and.
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: I think they should get the job done.
• 27:09
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna lean to Milwaukee in this one, but the
• 27:11
  Speaker 2: money is completely disagreeing with me on that. Milwaukee is
• 27:14
  Speaker 2: a six point road favorite, and that's because, of course
• 27:17
  Speaker 2: the Pacers have many many injuries. Haliburton, Nemhart, who else
• 27:23
  Speaker 2: are they missing? I forget Top and I think might
• 27:26
  Speaker 2: still be out and uh, I forget man. They have
• 27:29
  Speaker 2: so many guys who are out right now, it's hard
• 27:31
  Speaker 2: to even keep track.
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: Let me see as I go to the wrong tab here.
• 27:35
  Speaker 2: But yeah, I mean, obviously the injuries are the reason
• 27:37
  Speaker 2: why the line is the way that it is.
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: Mathron is also out for the Basers.
• 27:44
  Speaker 2: But yeah, it's it's a row, it's a excuse me,
• 27:46
  Speaker 2: it's a playoff revenge spot.
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: So that's the determining factor for me.
• 27:50
  Speaker 2: But sixty two percent of the tickets are on Milwaukee,
• 27:52
  Speaker 2: eighty percent of the cash on the Pacers, So I
• 27:55
  Speaker 2: don't love it totally slightly to Milwaukee for me, And
• 27:59
  Speaker 2: that one though former pacer is on Milwaukee and Miles
• 28:05
  Speaker 2: Turner that's true, I don't know, yeah, I mean I
• 28:08
  Speaker 2: don't really know how that like factors in right, because like,
• 28:11
  Speaker 2: is Turner gonna really be like angry and like come
• 28:14
  Speaker 2: out playing really hard against Indiana when like he they
• 28:17
  Speaker 2: had a really good run with him last year, and
• 28:19
  Speaker 2: like I don't know, did they trade him away or
• 28:21
  Speaker 2: was his contract up or like, I'm not even really sure.
• 28:24
  Speaker 2: It's it's a little bit of an interesting angle, I guess,
• 28:27
  Speaker 2: but I don't know if it really factors into the
• 28:29
  Speaker 2: motivation one way or the other necessarily. I mean, I
• 28:33
  Speaker 2: guess you could argue it helps Milwaukee a little bit
• 28:35
  Speaker 2: more just because he's gonna want to play well against.
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: His former team.
• 28:39
  Speaker 2: I mean, Indiana will know how to defend against him too,
• 28:42
  Speaker 2: But yeah. I mean, I just don't think it's a
• 28:45
  Speaker 2: huge factor in the game, really, but it's an interesting storyline.
• 28:49
  Speaker 2: McConnell might still be out. I don't even think he's
• 28:51
  Speaker 2: listening on the Was he listening on the injury report?
• 28:53
  Speaker 2: I don't think I saw him. How long has he
• 28:57
  Speaker 2: been out? I don't even know. I don't see him
• 29:00
  Speaker 2: listening on the injury report here for Indiana, So I
• 29:03
  Speaker 2: have no idea.
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: Can look at their depth and see where he's at.
• 29:09
  Speaker 2: Uh, he's not even on here right now, so I
• 29:12
  Speaker 2: guess he is out. He looks like he's not even here.
• 29:14
  Speaker 2: So yeah, good call on that.
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: I guess.
• 29:16
  Speaker 2: Yeah, he's not even playing. So a lot a lot
• 29:19
  Speaker 2: of injuries, man, But they picked up Mac McClung man,
• 29:22
  Speaker 2: so they can have they can have a dunk specialist
• 29:25
  Speaker 2: on their team. All right, Utah, Jazz at my boss
• 29:29
  Speaker 2: and Celtics and the Celtics are a double digit favorite
• 29:32
  Speaker 2: in this one. Jazz still being lined like one of
• 29:35
  Speaker 2: the worst teams in the NBA. I don't think they're
• 29:36
  Speaker 2: the absolute worst, though, Celtics still getting a lot of
• 29:39
  Speaker 2: respect in the market. Celtics probably not quite as bad
• 29:43
  Speaker 2: as the record looks. I think the Celtics are probably
• 29:45
  Speaker 2: like a They're probably gonna make the playoffs, would be
• 29:49
  Speaker 2: my guest. The Celtics, because so many teams to make
• 29:51
  Speaker 2: the playoffs. I think you'll probably see them get one
• 29:53
  Speaker 2: of the bottom few seeds in the playoffs, would be
• 29:56
  Speaker 2: my guess. Celtics are run for May and a half
• 29:59
  Speaker 2: to ten and a half. Here, they're public, seventy six
• 30:02
  Speaker 2: percent of the tickets, sixty two percent of the cash
• 30:04
  Speaker 2: coming in on Utah.
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: Utah has lost three games in a row.
• 30:09
  Speaker 2: Now, you got to expect they're going to show up
• 30:11
  Speaker 2: with some focus here trying to get a win on
• 30:13
  Speaker 2: the road trip, just trying to get a win.
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: But they're in.
• 30:15
  Speaker 2: Kind of a difficult like rest spot here or lack
• 30:20
  Speaker 2: of rest because they're on a back to back, traveling
• 30:22
  Speaker 2: from playing in Charlotte yesterday that yes, they got blown out.
• 30:25
  Speaker 2: They were in Phoenix on Friday, they got blown out
• 30:28
  Speaker 2: there too. They were at home on Wednesday. So they're
• 30:30
  Speaker 2: actually playing a fourth game in six days. I think
• 30:34
  Speaker 2: is what that is that right, three games in four
• 30:36
  Speaker 2: days and a back to back, all of them in
• 30:38
  Speaker 2: different cities. That's not a good travel spot for Utah.
• 30:41
  Speaker 2: So I don't I would not want to have my
• 30:43
  Speaker 2: money on Utah on a spot like that. Celtics could
• 30:47
  Speaker 2: potentially be in a bounced back spot just because they
• 30:49
  Speaker 2: were in like a really bad rest spot themselves, because
• 30:53
  Speaker 2: they were just zigzagging all over the place, traveling all
• 30:55
  Speaker 2: over the place, came back home and I think the
• 30:57
  Speaker 2: fatigue just really got to them and they got blown
• 30:59
  Speaker 2: up by Houston. The Celtics, I don't even know if
• 31:02
  Speaker 2: they play at all their starters. I guess they did,
• 31:05
  Speaker 2: but they took them out actually pretty quickly. So the
• 31:07
  Speaker 2: Celtics are actually gonna be more rested here. As you
• 31:09
  Speaker 2: can see, the Celtics only played Jalen Brown for twenty
• 31:12
  Speaker 2: two minutes in that game. Derek White only played nineteen,
• 31:15
  Speaker 2: so the Celtics' best players are pretty rested.
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: Coming into this one. So that's at least a decent
• 31:22
  Speaker 1: sign for the Celtics.
• 31:23
  Speaker 2: So I don't even know if I actually agree with
• 31:25
  Speaker 2: the market in this one. I think that initial move
• 31:27
  Speaker 2: up on the Celtics, it actually might make more sense
• 31:31
  Speaker 2: to lean towards laying the points with the Celtics in
• 31:34
  Speaker 2: this game. And you also see the Celtics I think
• 31:36
  Speaker 2: are three and four and Utah's two and four, so
• 31:39
  Speaker 2: it looks like the teams aren't that much different. But
• 31:42
  Speaker 2: the Celtics are a huge favorite, so the Osbriggers are
• 31:45
  Speaker 2: still telling you that the significantly better team. So I
• 31:48
  Speaker 2: would actually lean slightly to the Celtics in that one.
• 31:51
  Speaker 2: Hopefully they win because I like the Celtics. Washington at
• 31:54
  Speaker 2: the Knicks, and you could argue the Knicks are in
• 31:56
  Speaker 2: a letdown spot, and we know they're in a back.
• 31:57
  Speaker 1: To back here. They just beat Chicago.
• 32:00
  Speaker 2: In quick revenge and beating an undefeated team could make
• 32:04
  Speaker 2: you a little bit overconfident. They're probably not gonna take
• 32:07
  Speaker 2: Washington totally seriously here. They do have Minnesota next, which
• 32:11
  Speaker 2: is a bigger game on ESPN on Wednesday, so I
• 32:13
  Speaker 2: could see the Knicks being in somewhat of a sandwich here.
• 32:17
  Speaker 2: Washington got blown out by Orlando on Saturday and they're
• 32:23
  Speaker 2: going out on the road again. So sometimes that's good
• 32:25
  Speaker 2: when you just get annihilated at home, just forget about it,
• 32:28
  Speaker 2: just go on the road, refocus on on the game.
• 32:33
  Speaker 2: So I would slightly lean to taking the points with
• 32:34
  Speaker 2: the Wizards against the Knicks here. The Knicks are very
• 32:37
  Speaker 2: public They're out from an eleven and a half point
• 32:39
  Speaker 2: favorite to a twelve and a half point favorite ninety
• 32:42
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets ninety nine percent of the cash.
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: Probably not accurate.
• 32:46
  Speaker 2: If you do want to fade the Knicks, I think
• 32:47
  Speaker 2: they're in a somewhat negative spot and you're probably gonna
• 32:51
  Speaker 2: be fading the public at least when you do that.
• 32:54
  Speaker 2: Dallas at Houston, we have a big Texas matchup here
• 32:57
  Speaker 2: in Houston is a huge favorite at twelve and a half.
• 33:01
  Speaker 2: So the oddsmakers are really disrespecting Dallas here. But Dallas
• 33:05
  Speaker 2: also has injuries. Anthony Davis I believe is still out.
• 33:09
  Speaker 2: Kyrie of course, is not coming back until like next year,
• 33:11
  Speaker 2: probably not next season, but I mean he's slated to
• 33:15
  Speaker 2: come back in like January maybe, So the MAVs still
• 33:19
  Speaker 2: don't really have a point guard I believe one of
• 33:23
  Speaker 2: the other big men, I think Lively is still out
• 33:25
  Speaker 2: for the MAVs as well. So the MAVs are definitely
• 33:27
  Speaker 2: thin on the interior, and that is not a good
• 33:29
  Speaker 2: thing when you're playing the tallest team in the NBA,
• 33:32
  Speaker 2: which is the Houston Rockets. The Rockets have so much
• 33:36
  Speaker 2: size and the MAVs being down two of their big men.
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: That is not a good thing.
• 33:41
  Speaker 2: Houston's up from twelve to twelve and a half here
• 33:43
  Speaker 2: eighty percent of the tickets, ninety nine percent of the cash,
• 33:46
  Speaker 2: and I probably don't buy that, but it looks very,
• 33:48
  Speaker 2: very strange, I think to see the Rockets being that
• 33:51
  Speaker 2: much of a favorite, even though the MAVs are not
• 33:54
  Speaker 2: off to a great start at two and four, but
• 33:56
  Speaker 2: Houston's only three and two, and I think Houston's better
• 33:58
  Speaker 2: than that three and two record. Look, Dallas is coming
• 34:01
  Speaker 2: back from playing in Mexico City as well, so I
• 34:04
  Speaker 2: don't really love that as a travel spot either.
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: That was a highlight game. Yeah, they didn't look good.
• 34:09
  Speaker 2: Sometimes when a team doesn't look good in a big
• 34:12
  Speaker 2: you know, like in a highly publicized game like that,
• 34:16
  Speaker 2: sometimes that team won't draw as much of the public
• 34:19
  Speaker 2: action and they will actually bounce back from it.
• 34:21
  Speaker 1: But I just I just don't love the travel spot. Man.
• 34:24
  Speaker 2: I think this is a situation where both teams are
• 34:26
  Speaker 2: gonna show up for this. The only negative for Houston
• 34:29
  Speaker 2: is that they're returning home from a road trip. Although
• 34:32
  Speaker 2: it was a quick road trip, they did go to Toronto
• 34:34
  Speaker 2: and Boston, so geographically it was not really that quick.
• 34:38
  Speaker 2: But they've only been gone since Wednesday, so they haven't
• 34:41
  Speaker 2: been away from home.
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: You know, for that long.
• 34:43
  Speaker 2: So it's like they I don't think they're gonna be
• 34:46
  Speaker 2: in a spot where it's like, oh, we have to
• 34:47
  Speaker 2: get home, like get a lot of this shit done.
• 34:50
  Speaker 2: But this is their only home game on the home stand,
• 34:52
  Speaker 2: and they do go right back out on the road.
• 34:54
  Speaker 2: But to me, I mean, it is the Dallas Mavericks, Like,
• 34:56
  Speaker 2: I just don't think you're gonna overlook Dallas and Dallas
• 34:59
  Speaker 2: for so long has been the better of the two
• 35:01
  Speaker 2: teams in Texas, and now Houston has kind of become
• 35:04
  Speaker 2: that team. So yes, I think both like Dallas is
• 35:06
  Speaker 2: gonna be motivated, but I think both teams are gonna
• 35:08
  Speaker 2: be motivated here.
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 35:12
  Speaker 2: I just don't know if I can get over like
• 35:14
  Speaker 2: the problems that I think Dallas is gonna have on
• 35:16
  Speaker 2: the interior in this one and the return from Mexico City.
• 35:20
  Speaker 2: I don't love it, man, I really don't you.
• 35:25
  Speaker 1: Lead to Dallas.
• 35:26
  Speaker 2: I somewhat, man, I don't know, I'm gonna somewhat disagree
• 35:30
  Speaker 2: with it. I'm gonna agree with the market and this
• 35:32
  Speaker 2: one slightly probably I would lay it with Houston, but
• 35:36
  Speaker 2: I don't love it at all.
• 35:40
  Speaker 1: Unders. Yeah, the money looks like it has come in
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: that way.
• 35:43
  Speaker 2: The total already dropped four and a half points though,
• 35:45
  Speaker 2: so you've lost some value on the under already.
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: At this point. It's a pretty low total two for
• 35:51
  Speaker 1: an NBA game. It's the lowest on the board.
• 35:53
  Speaker 2: It's down for two twenty nine and now to twenty
• 35:55
  Speaker 2: four and a half. Money looks like it might somewhat
• 35:59
  Speaker 2: be coming back in on the over though, eighty five
• 36:01
  Speaker 2: percent of the tickets, ninety eight percent of cash coming
• 36:03
  Speaker 2: in on the over. I don't do totals really again,
• 36:06
  Speaker 2: so I don't really have that great of a read
• 36:08
  Speaker 2: on it other than looking at the market. But I
• 36:11
  Speaker 2: think I would kind of worry about how the defense
• 36:13
  Speaker 2: is gonna hold up. With the MAVs traveling back from
• 36:16
  Speaker 2: Mexico City and the Rockets returning from the Northeast.
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: It kind of seems like it.
• 36:21
  Speaker 2: Would be somewhat like of a fatigue spot, which I
• 36:24
  Speaker 2: think does impact the defense. So I don't know, but
• 36:28
  Speaker 2: the MAVs seem like they're kind of under type of
• 36:31
  Speaker 2: team right now because their offense is just really struggling
• 36:33
  Speaker 2: right now Detroit at Memphis. Detroit is also returning home
• 36:38
  Speaker 2: from Mexico City, and they got the win in Mexico
• 36:41
  Speaker 2: City beating Dallas. Now they're having to go to Memphis.
• 36:45
  Speaker 2: So this spot, I mean, could be a bit of
• 36:47
  Speaker 2: a letdown spot.
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: Maybe, I don't know. I don't know if they're gonna
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: fully focus on Memphis.
• 36:52
  Speaker 2: Memphis, of course, has this Ja Morant situation going on,
• 36:55
  Speaker 2: so that's gonna throw a wrench into things. Memphis is
• 36:58
  Speaker 2: coming back from playing in Tero yesterday.
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: It's just very very strange spots in this game.
• 37:05
  Speaker 2: Memphis had played home at home against LA the game
• 37:07
  Speaker 2: before that, and I actually liked Memphis in that game.
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: Now they went up to Toronto, lost that game.
• 37:13
  Speaker 2: Weird travel spot because they're on a back to back
• 37:16
  Speaker 2: here with travel back from Toronto to Memphis. So I
• 37:19
  Speaker 2: don't like the travel spot that either team is in.
• 37:21
  Speaker 2: I don't love it at all. Memphis, I'm assuming Moran,
• 37:27
  Speaker 2: not Durant. Morant, not Kevin Kevin Morant, no Jah Durant,
• 37:32
  Speaker 2: no John Morant.
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: I believe is coming back because.
• 37:34
  Speaker 2: I think he was suspended for conduct detrimental to the team.
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: Probably I don't know.
• 37:42
  Speaker 2: Shooting at somebody would be my guest, something along those lines.
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 37:46
  Speaker 2: Actually, I think he shot his mouth off. I think
• 37:48
  Speaker 2: I think he angered the coach or something.
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't know what he did.
• 37:52
  Speaker 2: Morant, he's not a good He's not a good guy
• 37:56
  Speaker 2: for team chemistry.
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: Man, Maybe he's not a good guy. Maybe I should
• 37:59
  Speaker 1: just leave it at that.
• 38:00
  Speaker 2: I think he is going to be back for this game,
• 38:02
  Speaker 2: but that that makes me dislike Memphis a little bit more.
• 38:05
  Speaker 2: But I think if he's if he's gonna be back,
• 38:07
  Speaker 2: he's a game time decision. I think he's probably gonna
• 38:10
  Speaker 2: play because his suspension was only for one game.
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man, I mean, it looks.
• 38:20
  Speaker 2: Looks iffy to want to play Memphis here Mats, even
• 38:22
  Speaker 2: though I know Detroit could be in a letdown spot.
• 38:24
  Speaker 2: The money's coming in on Detroit, and I don't really
• 38:27
  Speaker 2: disagree with it because the only negative is that they're
• 38:30
  Speaker 2: coming back from Mexico City. But the Grizzlies on a
• 38:32
  Speaker 2: back to back with Morant potentially coming back, which could
• 38:35
  Speaker 2: just like jar their chemistry again. I mean, you can't
• 38:37
  Speaker 2: keep having your star player coming in and out of
• 38:40
  Speaker 2: the lineup like this, man, it's just ridiculous. Sixty four
• 38:43
  Speaker 2: percent of the tickets, ninety four percent of the cash
• 38:45
  Speaker 2: on Detroit throughout from three to four and a half.
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: So the money's saying Detroit. I won't disagree with it.
• 38:52
  Speaker 2: Uh, totals at two thirty eight down to two thirty six.
• 38:56
  Speaker 2: Actually fifty percent of tickets on the over, sixty percent
• 38:58
  Speaker 2: of the couch in the under money coming into the under.
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: I mean if Morent is coming back, I think you
• 39:03
  Speaker 1: got to think that that.
• 39:05
  Speaker 2: Means the Grizzlies are probably gonna score more points if
• 39:07
  Speaker 2: Morent is in the lineup. So the line having dropped
• 39:11
  Speaker 2: a little bit is somewhat interesting. Maybe he'll be held
• 39:14
  Speaker 2: out of the lineup. Man, I don't know a lot
• 39:17
  Speaker 2: of things to consider in this game. A lot of
• 39:20
  Speaker 2: moving parts, not a situation in the lines up very
• 39:23
  Speaker 2: cleanly for my purposes. So I don't want to do
• 39:26
  Speaker 2: anything with that shit. I yeah, I know the Pelicans
• 39:30
  Speaker 2: they lost by twenty. I recommend against NBA teasers for
• 39:35
  Speaker 2: a reason, man, because the games are just so high
• 39:37
  Speaker 2: scoring that you get like no value on the number.
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: Like each each point in the NBA.
• 39:43
  Speaker 2: Is worth so much less like the only teasers that
• 39:46
  Speaker 2: actually that actually have value or NFL going through the
• 39:49
  Speaker 2: key numbers of seven and three, the Stanford long teasers are.
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: Really the only ones.
• 39:53
  Speaker 2: And that's also because the NFL is a low scoring league,
• 39:58
  Speaker 2: so even though it's gotten higher scoring in recent years,
• 40:01
  Speaker 2: but you know, you get games where the totals are
• 40:05
  Speaker 2: like in the forties for the most part of the
• 40:07
  Speaker 2: in the NFL NBA they're in like the two thirties.
• 40:11
  Speaker 2: There's a huge difference in what those points mean. And
• 40:16
  Speaker 2: then all right, Sacramento in Denver is actually gonna be
• 40:19
  Speaker 2: my game. That's gonna be the one game I have
• 40:21
  Speaker 2: a play in LA at Portland is actually an interesting one.
• 40:26
  Speaker 2: Oh but did I skip any games? I don't think
• 40:28
  Speaker 2: I did. I'm gonna just hit every game real quick
• 40:32
  Speaker 2: because it's you know, we don't have too much going
• 40:34
  Speaker 2: on today.
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: LA.
• 40:35
  Speaker 2: I mean, they're on a nice run here, having beaten Minnesota, Memphis,
• 40:39
  Speaker 2: Miami the last two games they had Luca back, so
• 40:42
  Speaker 2: they're back in swing with Luca back, three big wins
• 40:45
  Speaker 2: in a row.
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: Though, So I first looked.
• 40:47
  Speaker 2: At this and I'm like, well, they're kind of in
• 40:48
  Speaker 2: a letdown spot here, having to go to Portland off
• 40:51
  Speaker 2: another big win over Miami last night for LA. I
• 40:56
  Speaker 2: think LA actually shot really well in the game too,
• 40:58
  Speaker 2: so maybe a little bit of an outlier there.
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: They shot well.
• 41:02
  Speaker 2: Actually, both teams shot pretty well from the field, so
• 41:04
  Speaker 2: it was kind of an outlier on both sides, and
• 41:06
  Speaker 2: they actually didn't shoot particularly well from three point range,
• 41:09
  Speaker 2: kind of an outlier with Miami shooting really really terribly
• 41:12
  Speaker 2: from three in the game. So my first instinct as well,
• 41:16
  Speaker 2: Lakers are in a letdown spot. Lakers have to travel
• 41:19
  Speaker 2: again here. They're actually on a back to back. They're
• 41:21
  Speaker 2: actually playing a third game in four days and a
• 41:24
  Speaker 2: fourth game in six days, all in different cities, and
• 41:26
  Speaker 2: they're actually playing a fifth game in eight days and
• 41:29
  Speaker 2: a but I think that's a sixth game in nine days,
• 41:32
  Speaker 2: and they've traveled all over the place Sacramento back home
• 41:36
  Speaker 2: to LA, Minnesota at Minnesota, at Memphis, back home against Miami,
• 41:40
  Speaker 2: now up to Portland. The travel spot is just really
• 41:43
  Speaker 2: really crammed for the Lakers right now.
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: I talked about it.
• 41:46
  Speaker 2: It was a similar spot with the Celtics when they
• 41:48
  Speaker 2: played Houston, and the Celtics that game just got away
• 41:51
  Speaker 2: from them and the Celtics just rested their starters. I'm
• 41:55
  Speaker 2: not gonna say that's gonna happen with LA here, but
• 41:57
  Speaker 2: it is a very very difficult rest spot for LA.
• 42:00
  Speaker 1: As you can see here.
• 42:01
  Speaker 2: I mean that's a huge negative for LA. The problem
• 42:04
  Speaker 2: that I have with it is I can't play Portland
• 42:07
  Speaker 2: in this game either. Portland's at four and two right now.
• 42:10
  Speaker 2: I don't think they're as good as the record looks.
• 42:11
  Speaker 2: Portland just returned home and they pulled off an upset
• 42:14
  Speaker 2: of the Denver Nuggets at home.
• 42:17
  Speaker 1: Huge win for Portland. Portland is way more.
• 42:20
  Speaker 2: Rested though, because they haven't played since Friday. So Portland
• 42:22
  Speaker 2: does have a huge rest advantage. But will they be
• 42:26
  Speaker 2: in like a letdown spot because they just beat Denver?
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 42:30
  Speaker 2: I mean, this is the Lakers. You're still gonna get
• 42:32
  Speaker 2: up for a game against the Lakers, I would presume,
• 42:34
  Speaker 2: although they do have Oklahoma City next too, so they
• 42:36
  Speaker 2: actually have three huge games in a row. Really with
• 42:39
  Speaker 2: a team like Portland after they beat Denver like that,
• 42:43
  Speaker 2: either they're gonna be in a letdown spot if they're
• 42:44
  Speaker 2: playing a lesser team, or you have to worry about
• 42:47
  Speaker 2: like will they be really tired, but they might not
• 42:50
  Speaker 2: be now because again they haven't played since Friday, so
• 42:52
  Speaker 2: they had the entire weekend off, so they actually might
• 42:56
  Speaker 2: get over that fatigue from beating.
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: Denver to face La here.
• 43:01
  Speaker 2: And the only other thing I could say about LA
• 43:03
  Speaker 2: really the only positive for La here is that it's
• 43:05
  Speaker 2: a quick revenge spot for LA because of course Portland
• 43:08
  Speaker 2: went to LA and beat them and blew them out,
• 43:10
  Speaker 2: and that was a game where I gave up Portland
• 43:12
  Speaker 2: on the show. LA was without Luca on that game.
• 43:14
  Speaker 2: Of course LA is still without Lebron. I mean that
• 43:17
  Speaker 2: kind of goes without saying at this point, but Luca
• 43:20
  Speaker 2: is of course back LA with a very white lineup
• 43:25
  Speaker 2: at this point with Luca Reeves and whatever that other
• 43:28
  Speaker 2: guy's names, I forget his name did huge things off
• 43:30
  Speaker 2: the bench the other night.
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: But yeah, La.
• 43:34
  Speaker 2: The reason why they will actually want to try to
• 43:37
  Speaker 2: show up with focus at least in this game is
• 43:38
  Speaker 2: because they know they lost at home pretty embarrassingly to Portland.
• 43:42
  Speaker 2: A winner for us on the show, but it is
• 43:44
  Speaker 2: a little bit of a revenge spot for La here,
• 43:46
  Speaker 2: one of those quick road revenge angles. So the road
• 43:50
  Speaker 2: revenge angle would have me looking towards the Lakers. But
• 43:53
  Speaker 2: the travel spot is just disgustingly bad for the Lakers,
• 43:56
  Speaker 2: and that's the reason why Portland is a favorite here,
• 44:00
  Speaker 2: from a one and a half point dog to a
• 44:01
  Speaker 2: three point favorite here. Sixty four percent of tickets, only
• 44:04
  Speaker 2: sixty one percent of the cash on the Lakers, So
• 44:06
  Speaker 2: the public's coming in on the Lakers. The public just
• 44:09
  Speaker 2: doesn't even look at these travel situations really, so the
• 44:12
  Speaker 2: public likes the Lakers the republic road underdog here. I'll
• 44:16
  Speaker 2: slightly lean with the market to the Blazers again here
• 44:18
  Speaker 2: just because I hate the travel spot and I think
• 44:20
  Speaker 2: that is that like that more than negates the road
• 44:25
  Speaker 2: revenge angle in my opinion, but we'll see. Man interesting
• 44:29
  Speaker 2: to note that the Blazers were two and a half
• 44:31
  Speaker 2: point favorite at LA when they beat LA in that
• 44:33
  Speaker 2: other game, but that was LA without Luca, so Luca
• 44:37
  Speaker 2: is worth some amount of points here. The Blazers would
• 44:40
  Speaker 2: have been an underdog in this game though, were it
• 44:42
  Speaker 2: not for the rest scenario here, And now I think
• 44:45
  Speaker 2: because well, I don't know, actually I don't know when
• 44:47
  Speaker 2: the line was that, but I think because of the
• 44:48
  Speaker 2: rest scenario, Blazers are three point favorites.
• 44:51
  Speaker 1: The line is a little bit high.
• 44:54
  Speaker 2: Line value wise, it looks like there is actually some
• 44:56
  Speaker 2: live value on the Lakers, although that's what the public
• 44:59
  Speaker 2: thinks too.
• 44:59
  Speaker 1: But again, the reason for the line being where it
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: is right now is because the oddsmakers are.
• 45:04
  Speaker 2: Reflecting this horrible rest spot for the Lakers in that line. So,
• 45:09
  Speaker 2: but it could be a game where the game just
• 45:10
  Speaker 2: gets away from the Lakers because of that rest scenario.
• 45:16
  Speaker 2: Bulls have a white guy, which white guy that they have?
• 45:18
  Speaker 2: They lost Caruso right to Oklahoma City. I don't I
• 45:22
  Speaker 2: don't even know who the Bulls have now. Embiid did
• 45:28
  Speaker 2: the degeneration X chop and they find him fifty thousand Yeah,
• 45:32
  Speaker 2: I mean Embiid, he just can't control himself. I don't
• 45:35
  Speaker 2: really think I don't really think that that's worthy of
• 45:38
  Speaker 2: a fine, Like I don't even know exactly what that is.
• 45:41
  Speaker 2: But I mean, there are definitely some things that are
• 45:43
  Speaker 2: way more worthy of fines than that, some of them,
• 45:45
  Speaker 2: some of which don't even get fined. Embiid, I don't.
• 45:48
  Speaker 2: I don't like him though, I mean, he's just generally
• 45:50
  Speaker 2: a total head case. And then to finish the slate
• 45:53
  Speaker 2: off here we have Miami at the Clippers. Miami is,
• 45:56
  Speaker 2: of course coming off that game against the Lakers where
• 45:59
  Speaker 2: they did not do part to well. Miami lost by
• 46:02
  Speaker 2: double digits to the Lakers. They got La here, They've
• 46:08
  Speaker 2: got the Clippers here. I mean on a back to back.
• 46:10
  Speaker 2: But first, the back to back is a little bit
• 46:11
  Speaker 2: less bad because they're not having to travel at least
• 46:14
  Speaker 2: because they're staying in LA. But they did still play
• 46:17
  Speaker 2: a game yesterday, so that's a little bit of a concern.
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: They got Denver up next. Will they overlook the Clippers here?
• 46:23
  Speaker 2: I don't know, because they've lost two games in a row,
• 46:26
  Speaker 2: so you might see Miami actually still show up for
• 46:28
  Speaker 2: this game. The Clippers, once they moved into that new stadium,
• 46:32
  Speaker 2: they're pretty good at home, and they actually have been
• 46:34
  Speaker 2: good at home again this year. The Clippers are actually
• 46:36
  Speaker 2: three and oh at home, although they haven't covered every
• 46:39
  Speaker 2: game at home. They're only two on the road and
• 46:41
  Speaker 2: three and oh at home here, so the Clippers are
• 46:44
  Speaker 2: better at home. Clippers are way more rested, and they're
• 46:46
  Speaker 2: coming off a game where they didn't do well against
• 46:49
  Speaker 2: New Orleans at home, the Clippers were a ten and
• 46:51
  Speaker 2: a half point favorite, and they only won the game
• 46:52
  Speaker 2: by two, and since then they've just been sticking around
• 46:55
  Speaker 2: at home for multiple days, having not played since Friday.
• 46:59
  Speaker 1: Yeah, they got Glahoma City up.
• 47:00
  Speaker 2: Next, but I kind of think they're gonna be focused here, man,
• 47:02
  Speaker 2: even though they play Oklahoma City tomorrow. Miami has still
• 47:07
  Speaker 2: been playing well to start the season, and the Clippers
• 47:10
  Speaker 2: coming up that close call with a bunch of rest here.
• 47:14
  Speaker 2: I kind of like the Clippers in this one, and
• 47:15
  Speaker 2: the money is a green. They're ut from seven and
• 47:17
  Speaker 2: a half to eight fifty three percent of tickets eighty
• 47:19
  Speaker 2: eight percent of the cash coming into the Clippers.
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: Of course, some of the reason.
• 47:22
  Speaker 2: For that is the fact that Miami did play yesterday,
• 47:25
  Speaker 2: so the Clippers do have a pretty big rest advantage,
• 47:28
  Speaker 2: But again, some of that's being factored into the line
• 47:30
  Speaker 2: as well. Zach, what's up man, Yeah, thirty nine pound me,
• 47:35
  Speaker 2: thirty eight pound me with a broken arm.
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: I had a broken arm twice. I had one.
• 47:39
  Speaker 2: Yeah, in second grade, after that big kid Carmine dropped
• 47:43
  Speaker 2: me at recess, I snapped my left radius aunt Olna,
• 47:46
  Speaker 2: and then the next year I broke my right arm
• 47:49
  Speaker 2: getting it caught in an escalator handrail. So yeah, the
• 47:54
  Speaker 2: tails of toad continue. The Clippers are going to be
• 47:58
  Speaker 2: on a back to back against Oklahoma City. Yeah, so
• 48:01
  Speaker 2: if they're gonna bring more focus for one of those games,
• 48:05
  Speaker 2: you would think it would be the Oklahoma City but
• 48:08
  Speaker 2: maybe not, because maybe LA is looking at it like, hey,
• 48:12
  Speaker 2: we have these two games here, and this game against
• 48:16
  Speaker 2: Miami is the more winnable one, so let's focus on
• 48:18
  Speaker 2: this one, especially after they almost lost to the Pelicans,
• 48:21
  Speaker 2: so I could see it actually going that way too.
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: So I don't know, we'll see, but I do lean
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: to the Clippers in that one.
• 48:27
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna give out my NBA play talk about Monday
• 48:29
  Speaker 2: Night football, and then we'll get out here. We're gonna
• 48:32
  Speaker 2: lay the points with Denver here. Man, I don't know
• 48:34
  Speaker 2: if people saw this coming or not. I like how
• 48:36
  Speaker 2: the spot lines up for Denver. Sometimes when you can
• 48:39
  Speaker 2: lay points with a really good team in a spot
• 48:42
  Speaker 2: where you think they're gonna show up, it's a good thing.
• 48:44
  Speaker 2: I know, we've lost a little bit of live value here.
• 48:47
  Speaker 2: They've moved up from nine and a half to eleven
• 48:48
  Speaker 2: and a half. But all those numbers are kind of
• 48:50
  Speaker 2: just in no man's land in the NBA. Really I
• 48:53
  Speaker 2: know it's an extra possession or so, but still you're
• 48:56
  Speaker 2: not looking at that key number of seven there. You
• 48:58
  Speaker 2: basically just need the Nuggets just run away with the game,
• 49:02
  Speaker 2: eighty one percent of the tickets, ninety five percent of
• 49:04
  Speaker 2: the cash coming in on the Nuggets. I actually think
• 49:06
  Speaker 2: the Nuggets are maybe a little bit undervalued here because
• 49:09
  Speaker 2: they they're only three and two so far, so they
• 49:12
  Speaker 2: don't look like they're that much better than the Kings.
• 49:14
  Speaker 1: But they are the Nuggets.
• 49:16
  Speaker 2: I mean, of course, we know that they're already one
• 49:18
  Speaker 2: of the top teams in the Western Conference, but they
• 49:21
  Speaker 2: stacked their line up this year too, so they they're
• 49:23
  Speaker 2: probably better this year than they were last year. They're
• 49:26
  Speaker 2: also undefeated at home already. But I like the situation.
• 49:30
  Speaker 2: And yes, the home advantage for Denver is a little
• 49:32
  Speaker 2: bit stronger because it's in high elevation, so I always
• 49:35
  Speaker 2: can kind of have an extra impact on road teams
• 49:38
  Speaker 2: coming in there. Sacramento, of course, as we know, I
• 49:41
  Speaker 2: took them on Saturday. That was my one NBA play
• 49:43
  Speaker 2: on Saturday. They pulled off the upset of Milwaukee in
• 49:46
  Speaker 2: Now after that they have to go to elevation for
• 49:48
  Speaker 2: a fourth straight road game, which is gonna be their
• 49:51
  Speaker 2: fourth game since Tuesday on the road, So a little
• 49:55
  Speaker 2: bit of a pack schedule here. They've had, like they
• 49:58
  Speaker 2: had a day off in between the Milwauke in this
• 50:00
  Speaker 2: Denver game, they had two days off prior to that game,
• 50:03
  Speaker 2: but still since Tuesday, they've only had those three days off. Sacramento,
• 50:10
  Speaker 2: they're gonna have to somehow maintain an effort two games
• 50:12
  Speaker 2: in a row, Man, to try to pull off back
• 50:14
  Speaker 2: to back road up sets. I'm not sure they're gonna
• 50:17
  Speaker 2: be able to get the job done here, Man, So
• 50:18
  Speaker 2: I think that could have Sacramento getting a little bit
• 50:22
  Speaker 2: tired by the end of this one. And I think Denver,
• 50:24
  Speaker 2: more importantly, is gonna be in a spot where they
• 50:26
  Speaker 2: will be focused because they just lost to Portland, Man,
• 50:29
  Speaker 2: and they have not played since Friday, So Denver has
• 50:32
  Speaker 2: a rest advantage here. Yes, they're returning home, but they
• 50:34
  Speaker 2: only went to Portland for one game on Friday, so
• 50:37
  Speaker 2: it's not like they were away from home for so
• 50:40
  Speaker 2: long that like a bunch of stuff that they need
• 50:42
  Speaker 2: to do at home is piled up or whatever.
• 50:45
  Speaker 1: That loss I think is gonna focus them.
• 50:46
  Speaker 2: I know sometimes I say that when you lose a
• 50:48
  Speaker 2: win streak, it hangs you over. They do have Miami
• 50:51
  Speaker 2: up next, but I still think they're gonna show up
• 50:53
  Speaker 2: for this one. Man. I think they're gonna be pissed.
• 50:54
  Speaker 2: They went into Portland as a road favorite. They lost
• 50:57
  Speaker 2: the game to Portland. Denver actually led most the second half.
• 51:00
  Speaker 2: They lid most of the game. They were leading almost
• 51:02
  Speaker 2: the entire game. They had to lead deep into the
• 51:04
  Speaker 2: second half, into the fourth quarter, and they actually led
• 51:08
  Speaker 2: for almost the entire fourth quarter.
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: Two.
• 51:10
  Speaker 2: They were up by five with less than two minutes
• 51:13
  Speaker 2: to go, and they wound up somehow losing the game.
• 51:16
  Speaker 2: They also had a very very bad shooting performance in
• 51:19
  Speaker 2: this game, from three twenty four percent of I know
• 51:21
  Speaker 2: Portland was bad all around shooting in the game, but
• 51:24
  Speaker 2: still Denver was very bad from three to twenty four percent.
• 51:27
  Speaker 1: And they had a ton of turnovers nineteen.
• 51:30
  Speaker 2: So those are the things that you could definitely improve,
• 51:32
  Speaker 2: Like the three point percentage was just a bit of
• 51:34
  Speaker 2: an outlier, and the turnover the turnover scenario, I mean,
• 51:38
  Speaker 2: you can obviously work on that and fix that shit,
• 51:41
  Speaker 2: because that's just a lot of that's mental focus and
• 51:43
  Speaker 2: teams at home tend to be more focused and not
• 51:46
  Speaker 2: turn the ball over as much.
• 51:47
  Speaker 1: So I like Denver.
• 51:49
  Speaker 2: I like Denver in a blowout here, Denver minus eleven
• 51:52
  Speaker 2: and a half, that's gonna be the NBA play there.
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: Yahoo.
• 51:57
  Speaker 2: That makes me like it less than the Yahoo has
• 52:00
  Speaker 2: money on Denver. I don't look at Yah who's a
• 52:02
  Speaker 2: percentage of so I don't know, but I just from
• 52:05
  Speaker 2: what I've seen, I don't really trust it.
• 52:07
  Speaker 1: Gang banging to do. I don't know what that's a
• 52:10
  Speaker 1: reference to.
• 52:11
  Speaker 2: But oh, the Denver returning back home, I guess I
• 52:14
  Speaker 2: don't know. Let me see who won this game between
• 52:17
  Speaker 2: the oh Man Winthrop wound up covering still Man they
• 52:21
  Speaker 2: were winning earlier on I told you I leaned to
• 52:23
  Speaker 2: Winthrom in this game just because they.
• 52:25
  Speaker 1: Were the home favorite here.
• 52:26
  Speaker 2: They actually had dropped to a three and a half
• 52:28
  Speaker 2: point favorite after I think they were about a six
• 52:30
  Speaker 2: point favorite overnight. So the money actually came in on
• 52:33
  Speaker 2: Queens and Queen's took the lead later in the game,
• 52:36
  Speaker 2: and Winthrop was still able to come back and win
• 52:39
  Speaker 2: the game by that key seven man, probably because of
• 52:41
  Speaker 2: intentional following. That's your start to college basketball. Man Field
• 52:45
  Speaker 2: of sixty eight is airing those on YouTube. By the way,
• 52:49
  Speaker 2: Field of sixty eight. They started following me because I
• 52:52
  Speaker 2: do bracketology stuff. When it gets closerner March madness, and
• 52:56
  Speaker 2: then they unfollowed me, probably because.
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: I'm way too a fence of Field of sixty eight.
• 53:02
  Speaker 2: Come on, man, follow me back again, like my you
• 53:05
  Speaker 2: like my college basketball content, right, come on man. But anyway, Yeah,
• 53:11
  Speaker 2: they're broadcasting these games, the ones that are listed as
• 53:14
  Speaker 2: being on YouTube, they're on Field of sixty eight channel
• 53:16
  Speaker 2: on YouTube for free. So and some of those games
• 53:19
  Speaker 2: are good too. Drake is gonna play you get to
• 53:22
  Speaker 2: see them in a while. And High Point Firm in
• 53:25
  Speaker 2: this afternoon or this evening should be a good game.
• 53:28
  Speaker 1: As well, so check them out.
• 53:31
  Speaker 2: Don't have any plays on these games today the college
• 53:35
  Speaker 2: basketball marathon where you don't know anything about these teams yet,
• 53:38
  Speaker 2: All right, Arizona and Dallas in Monday night football here.
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: Dallas is very public.
• 53:45
  Speaker 2: I mean they're down from a three and a half
• 53:46
  Speaker 2: way favorite to a three point favorite here. Obviously, if
• 53:49
  Speaker 2: you like the Cardinals, you'll be able to get three
• 53:51
  Speaker 2: if not three and a half here. Eighty one percent
• 53:54
  Speaker 2: of the tickets and eighty two percent of the cash
• 53:55
  Speaker 2: on the Cowboys right now. I think by the time
• 53:57
  Speaker 2: the game kicks off, I don't think the cash percentage
• 54:00
  Speaker 2: will actually be on the Dallas side. Dallas is gonna
• 54:03
  Speaker 2: be very public like they're the Cowboys. They're decent, at
• 54:07
  Speaker 2: least offensively this year, although their defense is horrible. Although
• 54:11
  Speaker 2: actually I think the Bengals defense is worse space on
• 54:14
  Speaker 2: what we saw yesterday. Maybe the Cowboys only of the
• 54:16
  Speaker 2: second worst defensive football right now. Cowboys defense is atrocious though,
• 54:21
  Speaker 2: and the public likes the Cowboys again just because their
• 54:24
  Speaker 2: offense is pretty good and Seedee Lamb is back and whatever.
• 54:27
  Speaker 2: So yeah, they have a good offense, but offense is
• 54:30
  Speaker 2: not everything. Looking at the Cardinals here, we have to
• 54:35
  Speaker 2: see who the Cardinals are even going to start a quarterback. Man,
• 54:38
  Speaker 2: I think the situation is better for the Cardinals.
• 54:40
  Speaker 1: As I've been saying.
• 54:41
  Speaker 2: If you watch my show on Saturday night, I mentioned
• 54:44
  Speaker 2: that I lean to the Cardinals in this game, plus
• 54:46
  Speaker 2: the points.
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: I still do.
• 54:48
  Speaker 2: The Cardinals are coming out of a buy and they
• 54:50
  Speaker 2: went to the by on a five game lost streak,
• 54:52
  Speaker 2: even though I know they played close against Indian Green Bay.
• 54:56
  Speaker 2: But still you go into the buy losing that many
• 54:59
  Speaker 2: games a row. You're gonna use that buy to clean
• 55:01
  Speaker 2: things up and fix some things. So I think the
• 55:03
  Speaker 2: bye came in a good time for Arizona to try
• 55:05
  Speaker 2: to bust that losing momentum. So I do like Arizona
• 55:09
  Speaker 2: how the situation lines up in that respect. For Dallas, Yes,
• 55:14
  Speaker 2: they got blown out last week against Denver, so I
• 55:17
  Speaker 2: don't necessarily think it's a negative spot for Dallas here.
• 55:20
  Speaker 1: But they haven't had a buy yet.
• 55:22
  Speaker 2: Their buy is actually coming up after this game, and
• 55:24
  Speaker 2: they've traveled a lot.
• 55:26
  Speaker 1: They had to travel to.
• 55:26
  Speaker 2: New York, Carolina back home to Dallas against Washington had
• 55:32
  Speaker 2: the big blowout divisional win. Washington looks like they're pretty
• 55:35
  Speaker 2: much done now. Is Jaden Daniels got RG three, man,
• 55:38
  Speaker 2: I don't know if you saw that last night.
• 55:40
  Speaker 1: It is very, very sad.
• 55:41
  Speaker 2: But I pointed out how many similarities there were between
• 55:44
  Speaker 2: Jayde Daniels and RG three. I'm like, holy shit, they're
• 55:47
  Speaker 2: both on the same team, playing in the same stadium.
• 55:52
  Speaker 1: Like they're both similar styles of quarterback.
• 55:54
  Speaker 2: They're both black guys, they both you know, run, they
• 55:58
  Speaker 2: both are dual threat quarterbacks, you know. I'm like that
• 56:00
  Speaker 2: means he's gonna have like a horrific career ending injury.
• 56:04
  Speaker 2: And I think that's what happened last night. It wasn't
• 56:07
  Speaker 2: his leg, it was his elbow was dislocated. His arm
• 56:10
  Speaker 2: was just bent the complete wrong way too. If you
• 56:12
  Speaker 2: saw that, I was wrong about that game. Seattle completely
• 56:16
  Speaker 2: destroyed them. But yeah, Jaden Daniels, it was his non
• 56:20
  Speaker 2: throwing arm, but still, I believe it was his non
• 56:24
  Speaker 2: throwing arm. I think it was his left but still,
• 56:26
  Speaker 2: and I think he's a righty, but yeah, it is
• 56:28
  Speaker 2: just really really really bad, man. So I don't know
• 56:33
  Speaker 2: if he's coming back. But the craziest thing is it
• 56:35
  Speaker 2: happened in the same stadium that the RG three injury happened,
• 56:39
  Speaker 2: and had happened on the same yard line, basically at
• 56:43
  Speaker 2: the five yard line, and it happened against the same.
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: Team, Seattle.
• 56:48
  Speaker 2: So both of those quarterbacks injuries happened. Yeah, I mean
• 56:53
  Speaker 2: that's so insane.
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: Dude, like we're living in a simulation. I think that
• 56:57
  Speaker 1: field is cursed.
• 56:58
  Speaker 2: I think there might be a Native America curse on
• 57:00
  Speaker 2: Washington now because they stopped using the Redskins name and
• 57:03
  Speaker 2: stopped using that logo. I think they're extra curse now,
• 57:07
  Speaker 2: even though I know the RG three injury happened before
• 57:09
  Speaker 2: they did that, but still that stadium is cursed, dude,
• 57:13
  Speaker 2: that team is cursed. They're gonna move to a new
• 57:15
  Speaker 2: stadium soon and maybe they'll break the curse. But that's
• 57:18
  Speaker 2: just ridiculous. Yeah, the escalator situation, that like that was
• 57:25
  Speaker 2: my right arm and that like twisted it around. Yeah,
• 57:30
  Speaker 2: my arm. The the other break was way worse for
• 57:32
  Speaker 2: my radius and on the both snapped when Carmine dropped me.
• 57:37
  Speaker 2: But anyway, Dallas back to Dallas. But well, I was
• 57:41
  Speaker 2: gonna say, Washington, there's no way they're gonna get over
• 57:43
  Speaker 2: their team total. Now, So if you guys played my
• 57:45
  Speaker 2: team totals, that Washington went under is almost certainly gonna
• 57:49
  Speaker 2: be a win under the nine and a half, which
• 57:51
  Speaker 2: looks so easy to take the over after they won
• 57:54
  Speaker 2: twelve games yesterday. But I told you they were gonna
• 57:56
  Speaker 2: regress that Daniels was gonna have a sophomore slump because
• 57:59
  Speaker 2: the league will figuring him out. The slump continues, and
• 58:02
  Speaker 2: now Washington they're gonna they're not even gonna make the playoffs.
• 58:06
  Speaker 2: And I predicted that too. I said they would miss
• 58:07
  Speaker 2: the playoffs. They're definitely missing the playoffs at this point. Man,
• 58:12
  Speaker 2: so very very sad for them. But anyway, Dallas went
• 58:15
  Speaker 2: to Denver last week, so they went to the on
• 58:18
  Speaker 2: the road again.
• 58:18
  Speaker 1: Into high elevation.
• 58:20
  Speaker 2: They did get blown out, so you could argue that
• 58:22
  Speaker 2: Dallas in a bounce back spot after that. But with
• 58:24
  Speaker 2: all this travel, I think the rest situation does set
• 58:28
  Speaker 2: up better.
• 58:28
  Speaker 1: For Arizona here.
• 58:29
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna lean to Arizona plus the point still, like
• 58:32
  Speaker 2: I already did, I won't make it a play or anything.
• 58:35
  Speaker 2: We got to look and see what the Arizona quarterback
• 58:38
  Speaker 2: situation is though, because I think it's actually better if
• 58:40
  Speaker 2: Kyler Murray is not going to play. He's listed as questionable,
• 58:44
  Speaker 2: and let me see, do we know if he's gonna
• 58:46
  Speaker 2: play or not. Where's the news Cardinals are starting Brissette again.
• 58:51
  Speaker 2: It looks like according to this article two days ago,
• 58:54
  Speaker 2: Jacoby Brissette will start on Monday night against the Cowboys.
• 58:57
  Speaker 2: That's a good thing in my opinion for Arizona. He's
• 58:59
  Speaker 2: actually been better than Kyler Murray has. Like Prissett, he's
• 59:03
  Speaker 2: at least a veteran, even though he's known as more
• 59:05
  Speaker 2: of like a game manager who doesn't turn the ball over.
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: But he's actually had a better QB rating QBR.
• 59:12
  Speaker 2: Both of those and because those are different things, and
• 59:16
  Speaker 2: he's thrown for more yardage and whatever. He's just been
• 59:18
  Speaker 2: all around better than Kyler Murray except that he doesn't
• 59:21
  Speaker 2: he doesn't run really like Kyler Murray does. But I
• 59:24
  Speaker 2: think he's the better quarterback out there. And if Kyler
• 59:26
  Speaker 2: Murray was coming back, I would actually worry about the
• 59:28
  Speaker 2: Cardinals more because he has to get back up to
• 59:31
  Speaker 2: game speed again. The team has to get used to
• 59:35
  Speaker 2: him being out there again. Yes, I know he adds
• 59:37
  Speaker 2: another dimension because he runs the football, but I don't
• 59:40
  Speaker 2: like it. I like the continuity that Jacoby Brissett is
• 59:42
  Speaker 2: gonna bring to them. And with Brissette out there, it's
• 59:45
  Speaker 2: possible that the that the opposing defense still like doesn't
• 59:48
  Speaker 2: take him as seriously as they would take Kyler Murray, and.
• 59:52
  Speaker 1: That could be a bad thing.
• 59:53
  Speaker 2: And Prissett, I mean, he's been good against He was
• 59:56
  Speaker 2: decent in the last couple of games against.
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 1: Who do they play?
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 2: They played Indian green Bay, and green Bit is actually
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 2: a pretty good defensive Brissette did well in those games,
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 2: and this is a step way down from Brissette here.
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 2: Man after facing Green Bay, who has one of the
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 2: better defenses, now he's facing one of the worst defenses in.
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 1: The NFL against the Cowboys.
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 2: Brissette's probably gonna be able to do something against this
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 2: Cowboy defense. So yeah, again, Arizona would be the lead
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 2: for me in that one, and that's gonna do it. Man,
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 2: I would enjoy the College of Basketball marathon. You guys
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 2: have any money on it, than good luck with those
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 2: bets today as well.
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 1: Good luck with all your bets today.
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 2: I am avoiding the College of Basketball until things get rolling,
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 2: which is what I tend to do. Plays today or
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 2: the Saint Louis Blues in the in hockey on the
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 2: money line and the Denver Nuggets minus the points.
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it, dirty sock. Thank you sir. You
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 1: had only one loss to this today.
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 2: Well that's better than me because I lost one of
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 2: the two NBA plays, and the hockey play with the
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 2: way that I gave it out was a loser on
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 2: the regulation that could have been a pullsh if it
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 2: was a split that it started out like it was
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 2: gonna be a really big day. The first two NFL plays,
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 2: and those both being money line winners actually gave me
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 2: a winning day anyway though, because like I say, when
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 2: you have NFL, especially NFL underdogs like that, always put
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 2: a small amount of money on the money line.
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: Dude. I recommend when.
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 2: It's a single digit underdog, put ten on the money line,
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 2: and when it's a bigger underdog than that, I recommend
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 2: putting between one and three percent on the on the
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 2: money line.
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 1: There.
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 2: So those both hit on the money line, those first
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 2: two Carolina and the Vikings. Thanks for hanging out, guys.
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 2: A great day in the NFL. It was two and
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 2: one with two big like money line underdog wins.
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 1: So yeah.
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 2: And then well with my my pick and pool, I'm
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 2: pretty sure i was five hundred, so I'm not happy
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 2: about that, including the loss on Thursday night, though, I'm
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 2: pretty sure I'm five hundred. Maybe I'm one game above
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 2: five hundred. Whatever it is, it's it wasn't great. I
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 2: might be Yeah, it might be one game above five
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 2: hundred or something like that. I mean, I'm doing well
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 2: overall on ESPN's Pick Them. I'm in like the ninety
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 2: nine point eight percentile or whatever.
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 1: It's not gonna be good.
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 2: Enough to win out of everybody that's doing it, though,
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 2: but I'm gonna win my like group that I have
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 2: on ESPN, I'm in the money. In the pick five
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 2: on Splash Done, I'm in as well, which you have
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 2: to have your five best picks, which.
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 1: I went three and two.
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 2: But I was gonna say one of the ones that
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 2: I lost yesterday and I picked five and in my
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 2: pick THEMS was Houston.
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 1: CJ.
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 2: Stroud got knocked out of that game. Dude, I think
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 2: he had a concussion. He just got lit up. It
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 2: was a pretty violent hit and Houston looked like they
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 2: were still gonna win the game.
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 1: They were up eight in the fourth quarter.
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 2: I'm pretty sure, very low scoring game, but I think
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 2: if Stroud was still in the game, they would have
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 2: won that game. I'm pretty sure he got knocked out
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 2: and didn't come back. You can correct me if I'm wrong,
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 2: But that was kind of a bullshit loser on Houston
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 2: because Houston was That was my favorite play that I
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 2: didn't give out as a play. That was the next
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 2: one and I added it to my pick five, And
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 2: luckily the fifth play that I added, I was choosing
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 2: between a few and I went with Pittsburgh plus the
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 2: points is my fifth in the pick five, so that
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 2: gave me the three and two. Houston should have been
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 2: a winner though, yeah bullshit, Yeah, so yeah, that should
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 2: have been a winner. I was not happy about that
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 2: at all. And it took like a last second field
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 2: goal for Denver to get it done too.
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 1: I hated that. Shit. Yeah, the game went way under. Yeah.
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 2: I liked the under in that game too. Just teams
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 2: that have been scoring more than they should be basically,
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 2: and those are.
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 1: Both good defenses. All right, that's gonna do it today.
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 2: Learn it tone on Twitter, learn it tone on Instagram,
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 2: like subscribe, you know, leave me a comment here, good
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 2: or bad, whatever. Maybe I'll get a little bit angry,
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 2: but I appreciate it, man.
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: I appreciate everybody showing up, the newcomers, the people who
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 1: were returning. I love that.
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 2: It was a winning day for me, at least yesterday.
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 2: I mean, that's that's that's what you want. Just keep winning,
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 2: keep going with today. We got the two plays today.
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 2: College basketball will start giving up plays at college basketball soon.
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 2: I usually start trickling them in once I see spots
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 2: that I can like identify.
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 1: The Opening Day Marathon is just so hard.
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 2: To handicap, dude, and it's just totally overwhelming.
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 1: It's just so insane.
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 2: So we'll hold off on it today, but enjoy the games,
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 2: and yeah, give me a good review on Apple and
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 2: Spotify as well, and listen over there that helps me
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 2: out as well. Covered in Yuke on YouTube is the
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 2: Yuke Channel. Haven't done any Yuke cover since the Halloween stuff.
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 2: I gotta get my voice back in order I'll do
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 2: I'll keep doing more though obviously I'm not gonna stop.
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 1: And then.
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 2: Patreon dot com, slash learn to Tone and you get
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 2: the yuke Spotify feed and yeah, you can give me
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 2: some requests over there.
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 1: That's gonna to do it.
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 2: Peace for now, guys, and I'll be back tomorrow, which
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 2: the Monday shows are gonna start incorporating college basketball, and
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 2: then I'm gonna figure out what i want to do
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 2: once the college basketball season gets in swing. Like I said,
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 2: I'm probably gonna have to do Friday night college basketball,
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 2: college basketball.
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 1: Streams that are gonna be insane. And then.
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 2: College basketball also has really big slates I think on
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 2: Tuesdays usually either Tuesday or.
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 1: Wednesday, I forget which day.
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 2: So we're gonna have to do like nightly like night
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 2: streams for those two.
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 1: Probably is kind of what I'm thinking. I don't know.
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 2: College basketball is absolutely insane, but I tried to handicap
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 2: literally all Division one so and it didn't work out
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 2: well last year, but the last few years it did,
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 2: so hopefully I'm not just overloading myself and over extending myself.
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 2: If that's gonna do it for now, I appreciate it, guys.
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 2: Thanks and peace for now.