Latest / Bloomberg Intelligence / SpaceX Is Said to Target $75 Billion in IPO at $135 Per Share
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- 0:24Speaker 2: I think the schedule is for the SpaceX IPO roadchhow
- 0:28Speaker 2: to start tomorrow.
- 0:29Speaker 3: Haven't seen a schedule, but that's what I'm hearing that.
- 0:32Speaker 4: Yeah, but this IPO is kind of progressing unusually. Yes,
- 0:36Speaker 4: it's so mammoth and they, you know, the company can
- 0:39Speaker 4: kind of call the shots on everything. And our reporting
- 0:41Speaker 4: shows that SpaceX's offering shares at one hundred and.
- 0:44Speaker 3: Thirty five dollars each.
- 0:45Speaker 4: If it gets that Elon Musk's net worth would be
- 0:49Speaker 4: just shy of a trillion dollars. It put him at
- 0:52Speaker 4: nine hundred and eighty eight billion dollars.
- 0:53Speaker 3: All right, here's the problem.
- 0:54Speaker 2: If you're an investor looking at this ipo, you don't
- 0:56Speaker 2: have any research. There's no research from Wall Street except
- 0:59Speaker 2: for Bloomberg Intelligence. George Ferguson joins us here. He is
- 1:03Speaker 2: a senior aerospace as analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence. He's got
- 1:06Speaker 2: a monster primer research report on SpaceX, So if you
- 1:12Speaker 2: have access to the Bloomberg terminal, you could find it
- 1:14Speaker 2: there under the aerospace dashboard a bi go and it
- 1:19Speaker 2: tells you everything you need to know about this company
- 1:21Speaker 2: and how stacks up relative to the comps and kind
- 1:24Speaker 2: of the market opportunities and all that kind of stuff.
- 1:27Speaker 3: That's the research, and you won't get street research for
- 1:29Speaker 3: a while.
- 1:30Speaker 2: So this is it on Global Wall Street. George joins us. Now, George,
- 1:34Speaker 2: what do you think the message is going to be
- 1:36Speaker 2: from Elon and Company regarding this company? Because boyd, it
- 1:41Speaker 2: is an expansive company with an expansive vision.
- 1:45Speaker 3: What do you think the message is going to be.
- 1:47Speaker 5: Yeah, Look, I think it's all about AI in the
- 1:50Speaker 5: future and the optimal way to deliver it, right, And
- 1:53Speaker 5: so I think that the space business, the lift business,
- 1:57Speaker 5: really supporting that satellite constellation Stark, which is all about
- 2:01Speaker 5: communications between the Earth surface and low Earth orbit. I
- 2:05Speaker 5: think that's interesting, but it's not I think a huge
- 2:09Speaker 5: value proposition. Right, you're trying to you'll be competing with
- 2:12Speaker 5: terrestrial providers that I think can do much better in
- 2:16Speaker 5: populated centers. So I think the big, big big sort
- 2:20Speaker 5: of opportunity here would be if data centers are going
- 2:23Speaker 5: to work in space, and AI is a big thing
- 2:26Speaker 5: in the world, You're going to be able to from
- 2:28Speaker 5: the surface of the Earth shoot your data request into
- 2:31Speaker 5: space and data centers in space will work out all
- 2:35Speaker 5: those things you need to know via AI and get
- 2:37Speaker 5: it back to you. I think you're betting on that
- 2:39Speaker 5: in the long run if you're buying into this into
- 2:43Speaker 5: the space X IPO.
- 2:44Speaker 4: George, we talk about how your title is the aerospace,
- 2:46Speaker 4: defense and airlines analysts. What kind of company is SpaceX
- 2:50Speaker 4: now is what is the comparable company? What group should
- 2:55Speaker 4: be considered a peer to?
- 2:57Speaker 2: Yeah?
- 2:57Speaker 5: So I mean when we built our value, shouldn't thought
- 3:00Speaker 5: about what was potentially, you know, plausible given current markets.
- 3:07Speaker 5: We really had to do with some of the parts, right,
- 3:09Speaker 5: So I went out and looked at the rocket business
- 3:11Speaker 5: against those peers like rocket Lab. My colleagues John Butler
- 3:15Speaker 5: went out and looked at Starlink based on some peers
- 3:19Speaker 5: as well, and then Man Deep Sing did it based
- 3:22Speaker 5: on AI. The biggest value that actually came out of
- 3:25Speaker 5: Rocket Lab. So I came out of the rocket business,
- 3:28Speaker 5: which is a little bit surprising to me. But I
- 3:30Speaker 5: still think sort of the you know, the long term
- 3:33Speaker 5: play here is the data center in space and AI.
- 3:37Speaker 5: So but we had we had to combine again analysis
- 3:40Speaker 5: and all those industries to really come up with what
- 3:43Speaker 5: we thought maybe a plausible valuation, albeit extremely lofty valuation,
- 3:48Speaker 5: would be.
- 3:50Speaker 3: Is there an expectation, George, that.
- 3:53Speaker 2: Elon may look to just kind of consolidate all of
- 3:56Speaker 2: his holdings within SpaceX, i e.
- 3:59Speaker 3: Roll up Tesla into SpaceX.
- 4:00Speaker 2: Is that something that when you talk to investors that
- 4:03Speaker 2: they think is possible?
- 4:04Speaker 3: Likely?
- 4:06Speaker 5: I hear noise like that. I mean, look, I think,
- 4:09Speaker 5: you know, when I look at the current SpaceX I
- 4:13Speaker 5: see the reason to put these three companies together again.
- 4:16Speaker 5: Sort of, the launch business gets your satellite constellations up
- 4:20Speaker 5: in the air. He's got the largest satellite constellations. Starlink
- 4:23Speaker 5: by far is the largest of any satellite constellation lower
- 4:27Speaker 5: with orbit. So the launch business gets those satellites up there,
- 4:31Speaker 5: it serves Starlink. And then again as AI comes in,
- 4:35Speaker 5: if you're going to put the data centers in space,
- 4:37Speaker 5: you've got to drive down the cost of drive of
- 4:40Speaker 5: getting things into orbit. And again your launch business matters,
- 4:43Speaker 5: and you know, you obviously need communications to get to it.
- 4:46Speaker 5: So I see how all three of those fit together.
- 4:49Speaker 5: I don't see how Tesla fits inside that mold. Now, look,
- 4:53Speaker 5: I think these all three of these are together because
- 4:56Speaker 5: AI needs a fair amount of financing. Right now, we're
- 5:01Speaker 5: seeing that all around the marketplace, right AI companies are
- 5:03Speaker 5: looking to raise funds to build data centers, build out
- 5:07Speaker 5: their models, make sure they're super competitive. So so look,
- 5:11Speaker 5: I think Elon could do. You could see him do
- 5:14Speaker 5: things for financing reasons that may not make sense from
- 5:20Speaker 5: you know, a company level reason. Right now, I see
- 5:22Speaker 5: the reason these three are together because they seem to
- 5:25Speaker 5: be supporting each other.
- 5:26Speaker 4: So, George, when SpaceX is a publicly traded company listed
- 5:30Speaker 4: on the NASAC under the CHICK or spc X and
- 5:32Speaker 4: it needs more money to fund its AI build out,
- 5:35Speaker 4: how's it going to get that money?
- 5:36Speaker 3: Is it going to sell more stock? Is it going
- 5:38Speaker 3: to go to the debt market? What are you thinking?
- 5:41Speaker 5: Well, I mean, right now, they're not selling all the
- 5:43Speaker 5: all the stock, you know they're they're not. They're not
- 5:46Speaker 5: listing sort of the full value this company on the exchanges.
- 5:50Speaker 2: Uh.
- 5:51Speaker 5: But but so so my sense is they probably could
- 5:55Speaker 5: sell more stock to raise money. Uh, and then I
- 5:58Speaker 5: think it's just, you know, it opened up the ability
- 6:01Speaker 5: to go into public markets and take public debt and
- 6:05Speaker 5: sort of I guess maybe get out of the venture
- 6:07Speaker 5: capital world a little bit. But look, I mean, I
- 6:13Speaker 5: guess we'll see. It still seems like a really hard
- 6:16Speaker 5: It's not a company that you're going to bank, right
- 6:18Speaker 5: the major banks of the world are going to show
- 6:20Speaker 5: up and say, we like the financi of the metrics
- 6:22Speaker 5: just aren't there for that some very specuative you know,
- 6:26Speaker 5: bond investors could potentially get involved. It still feels like
- 6:30Speaker 5: largely and you know, an equity fundraising kind of story
- 6:34Speaker 5: to make.
- 6:35Speaker 3: Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.
- 6:42Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live
- 6:45Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple, cock Play and
- 6:48Speaker 1: Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. Listen on demand
- 6:51Speaker 1: wherever you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.
- 6:56Speaker 4: We continue to look for details on this gigantic IPO
- 6:59Speaker 4: coming out from SpaceX. The latest reporting indicates that the
- 7:03Speaker 4: company plans to offer shares at one hundred and thirty
- 7:05Speaker 4: five dollars a piece that wants to raise seventy five
- 7:08Speaker 4: billion dollars in its IPO. And you know the fact
- 7:11Speaker 4: that it's kind of pinpointed a price already makes it
- 7:14Speaker 4: different than your typical IPO where companies announce a price
- 7:18Speaker 4: range as they get ready to market the shares during
- 7:21Speaker 4: these investor road shows. Let's bring in Godamakunda. He is
- 7:24Speaker 4: a lecturer at the Yale School of Management. He's also
- 7:26Speaker 4: a contributor to Bloomberg Opinion, and he's written about governance
- 7:30Speaker 4: at SpaceX, or perhaps lack of governance at SpaceX, and
- 7:33Speaker 4: got him. I want to start with this idea that
- 7:36Speaker 4: SpaceX's IPO is shaping them to be kind of a
- 7:38Speaker 4: departure from the norm. And you say that that's the
- 7:41Speaker 4: case with its governance as well, what have you spotted
- 7:44Speaker 4: in the paperwork that is filed that really shows its
- 7:46Speaker 4: defying convention.
- 7:49Speaker 6: They basically surrounded Elon Musk with rights and privileges and
- 7:53Speaker 6: special voting shares and rules and things like that that
- 7:56Speaker 6: make him. You know, the phrase I used in the
- 7:57Speaker 6: column was he's now the god king of like he
- 8:00Speaker 6: can never be fired. He has total control. No one
- 8:03Speaker 6: the organization has any ability to put a brake on him,
- 8:05Speaker 6: no shareholders the anability to put a break on him.
- 8:09Speaker 6: A lot of CEOs have been doing a lot to
- 8:11Speaker 6: concentrate power in their own hands, but I don't think
- 8:13Speaker 6: I've ever seen anything quite.
- 8:14Speaker 3: Like this Gotham.
- 8:16Speaker 2: It kind of makes sense, my guess, if I were
- 8:18Speaker 2: an investor taking a meeting here for this IPL, all
- 8:21Speaker 2: I want to hear is from Elon Musk and what
- 8:23Speaker 2: his vision is and how he thinks he can get
- 8:25Speaker 2: there and get chief profitability.
- 8:26Speaker 3: I don't care what the CFO says, I don't care
- 8:28Speaker 3: what anybody else says.
- 8:28Speaker 2: I just need to dial in on Elon because it's
- 8:31Speaker 2: a bet on Elon.
- 8:32Speaker 3: Maybe that's not reflected in the governance. No, I think
- 8:35Speaker 3: that's right.
- 8:36Speaker 6: And look, if you are, you know, a major institutional
- 8:39Speaker 6: investor and you decide to go in on SpaceX, you
- 8:41Speaker 6: do it because you are bought in on the story
- 8:43Speaker 6: of Elon Musk, and you might have lots of reasons
- 8:45Speaker 6: to buy it on that.
- 8:46Speaker 3: You might have made a lot of money on him.
- 8:48Speaker 6: There are two problems with that logic, and it's important
- 8:51Speaker 6: to help to highlight both of them. The first one
- 8:54Speaker 6: is a lot of the people who are investing in
- 8:55Speaker 6: SpaceX are not people who are buying into into the
- 8:58Speaker 6: logic the story of Elon Musk, their index fund people
- 9:01Speaker 6: who hold index funds, people in their four O one
- 9:03Speaker 6: ks who are just going in because it's in the index.
- 9:06Speaker 6: And because all of these institutions from you know, including
- 9:09Speaker 6: NASDAK that are supposed to put boundaries and guardrails and
- 9:13Speaker 6: protect instant investors like that, investors who because they're in
- 9:17Speaker 6: index funds literally cannot protect themselves. All of them have
- 9:20Speaker 6: fallen down on the job and decided that they're not
- 9:22Speaker 6: going to do that. So that's the first problem. But
- 9:24Speaker 6: the second problem, which it is just as important, which is,
- 9:27Speaker 6: however brilliant you think Elon Musk is, what, even if
- 9:31Speaker 6: you think he is the greatest business person who's ever lived,
- 9:33Speaker 6: there's no such thing as as a person who is
- 9:36Speaker 6: so brilliant they don't get better when other people test
- 9:39Speaker 6: and push their ideas. And this is a structure that's
- 9:42Speaker 6: designed to make sure that no one has the ability
- 9:45Speaker 6: to force Elon Musk to be the best version of
- 9:47Speaker 6: himself and not the worst one.
- 9:49Speaker 4: Well, I mean, SpaceX is not unusual in that it's
- 9:52Speaker 4: giving its some you know, leader of free hand you
- 9:55Speaker 4: point this out that Google's two thousand and four IPO
- 9:58Speaker 4: kind of codify this dual class shares into the tech
- 10:02Speaker 4: industry meta or then Facebook did something similar, So in
- 10:05Speaker 4: that way, this is a tried and true formula for
- 10:08Speaker 4: big tech companies.
- 10:11Speaker 6: Yes, and no, there's a great phrase in medicine that's
- 10:13Speaker 6: worth remembering here, the dose makes the poison. A lot
- 10:17Speaker 6: of companies did this. They created these dual class structures.
- 10:21Speaker 6: They did a lot of things because the financial markets
- 10:24Speaker 6: and sort of pressure from in Wall Street had made
- 10:27Speaker 6: it impossible for them to manage companies for the long term.
- 10:30Speaker 6: They realized that that was toxic. They looked, say at Boeing,
- 10:33Speaker 6: and said, we don't want to be Boeing, We don't
- 10:35Speaker 6: want to be ge We want to be a company
- 10:37Speaker 6: that actually creates value over the long term. And so
- 10:40Speaker 6: they created these structures to allow that to happen. That
- 10:44Speaker 6: was the problem. We have now taken this to the
- 10:46Speaker 6: point where the solution looks in a very great sense
- 10:49Speaker 6: to be much worse than the problem.
- 10:51Speaker 3: So thirty seconds left, Baltham, are you the index issue?
- 10:56Speaker 3: How serious is that for investors? Do you think?
- 10:59Speaker 6: I think it's in the So in this particular stock.
- 11:02Speaker 6: It is not devastating, although it's not good. What it's
- 11:05Speaker 6: those very serious our investors, is it is an assault
- 11:08Speaker 6: on the integrity of the capital markets, the guarantee that
- 11:10Speaker 6: you will be treated fairly, that this is not just
- 11:13Speaker 6: a way for insiders to extract money from index investors
- 11:17Speaker 6: and from people from people or not who are not,
- 11:19Speaker 6: you know, sort of asphiscated as they are right now.
- 11:22Speaker 6: This is structured as a transfer of wealth from like
- 11:25Speaker 6: investors to early stage space ex holders. That's wrong, and
- 11:29Speaker 6: it's that it is. It is really a frontal assault
- 11:32Speaker 6: on the thing one of the pillars of American capitalism
- 11:36Speaker 6: that has made it so successful.
- 11:39Speaker 3: Stay with us.
- 11:40Speaker 4: More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.
- 11:44Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live
- 11:48Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple, Cocklay and Android
- 11:51Speaker 1: Auto with the Bloomberg Business App. Listen on demand wherever
- 11:54Speaker 1: you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.
- 11:58Speaker 2: Let me take you all the way back to this
- 12:00Speaker 2: summer of nineteen ninety one. I was in the Chase
- 12:02Speaker 2: Manhattan Bank Summer that credit training program, and we were
- 12:06Speaker 2: assigned a company do a full credit report on and
- 12:08Speaker 2: do a presentation. That company for me was Medtronic medical
- 12:13Speaker 2: device maker. So I followed the company kind of ever since,
- 12:15Speaker 2: because when you put in a ton of work on
- 12:17Speaker 2: a company, it tends to stick in your brain. Other
- 12:19Speaker 2: folks cover the stock as well. They reported some numbers.
- 12:21Speaker 2: I thought that looked pretty decent to me. The stock
- 12:23Speaker 2: is up five percent today, but it's down about nineteen
- 12:25Speaker 2: percent year to date. This is one of the leading
- 12:27Speaker 2: medical device makers out there, so let's pay attention to
- 12:29Speaker 2: what's happening there. Matt Hendrickson does. He's a senior ecadanas
- 12:32Speaker 2: Bloomberg Intelligence, joining us live here in our studio.
- 12:35Speaker 3: Here, Matt talk to us about met Metronic.
- 12:37Speaker 2: What do you hear from them in their earnings releasing?
- 12:39Speaker 7: Yeah, I mean so, going in ahead of the call,
- 12:41Speaker 7: the question was for one of their key technologies, whether
- 12:45Speaker 7: it was a market slowdown or a competitive dynamic. The
- 12:48Speaker 7: previous company reporting, Boston Scientific talked about slow down, turned
- 12:53Speaker 7: into what was going to happen? When Metronic reported, they
- 12:56Speaker 7: reported very positive one hundred and twenty four percent growth
- 12:59Speaker 7: in this one secondment.
- 13:02Speaker 8: Eased a lot of concern ahead of the call. That's
- 13:04Speaker 8: why you're.
- 13:04Speaker 7: Seeing the bump this morning, right, and so turning into
- 13:07Speaker 7: their fiscal twenty twenty seven guidance shows signs of upside
- 13:11Speaker 7: in the future because of that momentum in that segment.
- 13:15Speaker 2: A medical device maker like Metronic, how much how much
- 13:18Speaker 2: are they impacted by healthcare policy out there? It seems
- 13:22Speaker 2: like it's such a a You guys have to figure
- 13:23Speaker 2: out what the earning is going to be and all
- 13:25Speaker 2: that kind of stuff, and Josto have to have an
- 13:26Speaker 2: opinion on it and of how policy is gonna unveil
- 13:29Speaker 2: over the next several years.
- 13:30Speaker 8: Yeah, it's it's it's tough. It's always a labyrinth.
- 13:33Speaker 7: It's a black box what's going on in the CMS
- 13:35Speaker 7: and the FBA. Medtech is a little bit less impacted
- 13:42Speaker 7: by it. You're gonna have procedure volumes, you have the
- 13:44Speaker 7: aging demographic, They're gonna have me procedures done. They're gonna
- 13:47Speaker 7: have heart surgery done, things like that. Recently, it's more
- 13:51Speaker 7: been the g LPs and so I remember two three
- 13:55Speaker 7: years ago when glp's first came out, everyone thought medtech
- 13:58Speaker 7: was dead. They were able totain procedure volumes. Now, with
- 14:01Speaker 7: the rise of oral glps, that is kind of coming back.
- 14:04Speaker 3: So what's the thinking there, what's the thesis.
- 14:07Speaker 7: Basically, it's easier to take a GLP orally as a
- 14:11Speaker 7: pill versus injecting.
- 14:12Speaker 3: Yourself for all the fewer knee replaces.
- 14:15Speaker 7: There's there's there's data out there that's showing that it's
- 14:18Speaker 7: it aids with cardiovascular cases, things like you know, healthier knees,
- 14:24Speaker 7: things like that, So less procedures there. What we saw
- 14:28Speaker 7: in twenty twenty four twenty twenty five is that cases
- 14:30Speaker 7: were steady throughout the whole and if not growing interesting
- 14:34Speaker 7: but once again we're getting into that new case of
- 14:36Speaker 7: uncertainty going on.
- 14:38Speaker 2: I was talking to Buddy Mind. He's that the doctor
- 14:40Speaker 2: that fixes his knees and ankles and stuff like that.
- 14:42Speaker 2: It's just pick aball has been a boon to his business.
- 14:45Speaker 2: His office is packed with people my age coming in
- 14:48Speaker 2: with torn up knees and ankles because they're playing pickleball.
- 14:51Speaker 8: You're you're not the first one to say that, because
- 14:53Speaker 8: I mean, think about it.
- 14:54Speaker 7: They're just so they're so eager to get out there
- 14:56Speaker 7: and they forget that they're in there's sixties and seventies
- 14:59Speaker 7: and next thing you know, crack. And then got to
- 15:02Speaker 7: get to the surgeon.
- 15:03Speaker 2: So who does Metronic compete against in their business?
- 15:07Speaker 7: So well, Metronics is very diversified, and so we can
- 15:09Speaker 7: talk about the cardiovascular space, the spine space, neuroscience for
- 15:14Speaker 7: particular this case pulse field ablation, which was not there
- 15:18Speaker 7: in nineteen ninety one. It's a new technology for cardiac ablation.
- 15:23Speaker 7: The two main competitors is Boston Scientific and Metronic. And
- 15:27Speaker 7: it turned into that question when Boston reported growth numbers
- 15:31Speaker 7: that were lower than expected, what was going to happen
- 15:34Speaker 7: to Medtronic? And so today was a kind of a
- 15:36Speaker 7: clear that hurdle at.
- 15:37Speaker 2: Least did these medical device companies like Metronic? Are they
- 15:42Speaker 2: aggressive on the acquisition front? Is that a growth driver
- 15:45Speaker 2: for them? Because I always joke with Sam Fazzelli his
- 15:47Speaker 2: pharma companies, every Monday morning, we wake up, there's another
- 15:49Speaker 2: farm of deal.
- 15:50Speaker 7: It's a it's a huge way for them to drive
- 15:52Speaker 7: that innovation that basically they acquire the innovation to be
- 15:55Speaker 7: able to maintain their revenue growth trajectory in the future.
- 16:00Speaker 8: So it's huge.
- 16:01Speaker 7: The difference that we're starting to see in medtech side
- 16:04Speaker 7: versus the pharmacide is that they're targeting the private companies
- 16:08Speaker 7: earlier in their series financing before they become publicly traded.
- 16:13Speaker 7: While Sam was probably talking about a lot of the
- 16:15Speaker 7: publicly traded companies that have been acquired over the last
- 16:18Speaker 7: few months.
- 16:19Speaker 2: So what's the call on Medtronic here? I'm just looking
- 16:23Speaker 2: at the an R function on the Bloomberg terminal. It's
- 16:26Speaker 2: kind of streets kind of split here. I got seventeen
- 16:28Speaker 2: buys but fourteen holds here. So what's kind of the
- 16:32Speaker 2: Is there something Streets looking for to say, Okay, I
- 16:34Speaker 2: can jump on board here.
- 16:35Speaker 8: I think people are waiting for.
- 16:37Speaker 7: It's always been an execution story for Medtronic, and it's
- 16:39Speaker 7: always been kind of Lucy pulling the football from you,
- 16:42Speaker 7: and they would have one or two great quarters. They
- 16:44Speaker 7: always talked about the great innovation, and the innovation always
- 16:47Speaker 7: has been promising for you know, whether it's pulse field ablation.
- 16:51Speaker 7: There's a few other ones that we can go into
- 16:53Speaker 7: the nitty gritties of it at another time. But all
- 16:55Speaker 7: this technology that is disrupting the standard of care, but
- 16:58Speaker 7: for whatever reason, the sales team or just the execution
- 17:01Speaker 7: wasn't there, So they would always have to revise something
- 17:03Speaker 7: after the third quarter, and then things would then retrace
- 17:07Speaker 7: from those kind of momentum that they had earlier. It's
- 17:11Speaker 7: kind of so basically there is that a little bit
- 17:13Speaker 7: of I don't want the some that I don't want
- 17:16Speaker 7: to try to kick the football for Lucy just to
- 17:17Speaker 7: pull it from me.
- 17:18Speaker 3: Yep.
- 17:19Speaker 8: And so they've had a bunch of good quarters.
- 17:21Speaker 7: It's going into you know, they issued fiscal twenty twenty
- 17:24Speaker 7: seven guidance that's showing that momentum from fiscal twenty twenty six.
- 17:29Speaker 7: A lot of it has to do with the Polsfield
- 17:31Speaker 7: ablation segment of their business that's showing some strong momentum.
- 17:36Speaker 7: So we'll see what happens come August with the fiscal
- 17:38Speaker 7: first quarter calls coming out.
- 17:40Speaker 4: Stay with us more from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.
- 17:47Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us Live
- 17:51Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple Coarclay, and Android
- 17:54Speaker 1: Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. Listen on demand wherever
- 17:58Speaker 1: you get your podcasts, or what us Live on YouTube.
- 18:02Speaker 2: In terms of earnings, Macy's reported some pretty good numbers.
- 18:05Speaker 2: Stocks trading up here today one and a half percent.
- 18:07Speaker 2: Let's break it down with Mary Ross Gilbert. She covers
- 18:09Speaker 2: the retailers for Bloomberg Intelligence. She's based out there in
- 18:13Speaker 2: Los Angeles.
- 18:15Speaker 3: So, Mary, what do we hear from Macy's.
- 18:18Speaker 9: Well, what you're hearing from Macy's, Paul, is that they're executing.
- 18:22Speaker 9: That's what you're hearing. So what we saw on the quarter,
- 18:25Speaker 9: their comps were up three percent. We had very strong
- 18:28Speaker 9: gains from Bloomingdale's being up ten percent. And what the
- 18:32Speaker 9: company is doing is they're bringing in a lot more
- 18:35Speaker 9: relevant brands. First of all, they had already been executing
- 18:38Speaker 9: it Bloomingdale's, but they're even taking it to a next level.
- 18:42Speaker 9: So I think I mentioned before last quarter how they
- 18:45Speaker 9: brought in our local store here in Westfield Century City.
- 18:49Speaker 9: They brought in a Chanelle shoe boutique that was brought
- 18:53Speaker 9: in over a year ago, and then just this year
- 18:56Speaker 9: they brought in Christian Lubaton. Well in New York City
- 19:00Speaker 9: in the fifty ninth Strength Street location, they have a
- 19:03Speaker 9: praduct shoe boutique. So what they're doing is just continuing
- 19:07Speaker 9: to elevate. This is also happening on the macy side too,
- 19:10Speaker 9: where they're really climbing up in terms of the brands
- 19:14Speaker 9: that they're bringing in. So some of the brands that
- 19:16Speaker 9: they mentioned include Mango is one of them. They're also
- 19:22Speaker 9: doing a whole activation for World Cup with Nike Audidos
- 19:27Speaker 9: and also Puma. So very exciting things that the company
- 19:32Speaker 9: is doing. And if you look online at their website,
- 19:35Speaker 9: it has completely changed. It's a lot more engaging, it's
- 19:39Speaker 9: a lot more exciting. So they're really and there's more
- 19:43Speaker 9: to come. So even with the nice game that we
- 19:46Speaker 9: saw this quarter, I think we're going to continue to
- 19:49Speaker 9: see that momentum build.
- 19:50Speaker 4: And Jessa heads up to everyone that Macy COEO Tony
- 19:53Speaker 4: Springwomb will be on Bloomberg Television today live at four
- 19:56Speaker 4: thirty pm speaking with Romaine Bostik, so we can get
- 20:00Speaker 4: more detail from the CEO. And I bring that up
- 20:03Speaker 4: because I feel like Macy's, the company, Bloomingdale's in particular,
- 20:08Speaker 4: was definitely a winner here. Following the bankruptcy filing of
- 20:11Speaker 4: SAX Global Enterprises, the parent company of SAX Fifth Avenue,
- 20:15Speaker 4: which has had to shut down a lot of stores.
- 20:18Speaker 8: Is that the case?
- 20:20Speaker 9: It absolutely is the case, Scarlet. We've been noticing this
- 20:23Speaker 9: and it actually really started last year and we saw
- 20:27Speaker 9: the sharp acceleration in Bloomingdale's sales ahead of the bankruptcy
- 20:31Speaker 9: actually because of the miss execution that was going on
- 20:36Speaker 9: when they acquired Nieman Marcus, and Nieman Marcus, which had
- 20:39Speaker 9: been showing positive sales trend, turned sharply negative following that acquisition.
- 20:45Speaker 9: So you can see that the consolidated chain, they weren't
- 20:48Speaker 9: paying vendors, they weren't treating their customers. While not accepting returns,
- 20:53Speaker 9: they couldn't get a lot of these customers who were
- 20:56Speaker 9: frustrated couldn't get in touch with anyone. So meanwhile, while
- 21:00Speaker 9: Bloomingdale's was really elevating their execution, they're taking share essentially.
- 21:06Speaker 9: And so I think we're continuing to see that because
- 21:08Speaker 9: even if we look at the transaction data, we can
- 21:11Speaker 9: see that the sales are still down double digits at
- 21:15Speaker 9: the consolidated Nieman Marcus group. So so the SAX global When.
- 21:21Speaker 2: You talk to your retailers, are they trying to go
- 21:24Speaker 2: just generally more upscale. I'm thinking about this case case
- 21:29Speaker 2: shaped economy, and the parts of the case seem to
- 21:32Speaker 2: be getting more and more pronounced. So if you're Macy's,
- 21:35Speaker 2: maybe on the margin I go a little higher end.
- 21:37Speaker 2: That brings some brands into maybe I wouldn't have had
- 21:39Speaker 2: them to pass.
- 21:39Speaker 3: Are you hearing that?
- 21:41Speaker 9: We're absolutely hearing that to a certain extent, though, Paul,
- 21:45Speaker 9: you raise a valid question. It's also important that you
- 21:49Speaker 9: have those entry brands, and you saw this with Cohle's.
- 21:52Speaker 9: That's really where their focus is because their consumer is
- 21:56Speaker 9: really that lower income that's our core consumer. Macy's will say,
- 22:00Speaker 9: our core consumer is really middle income to upper income,
- 22:05Speaker 9: and so they have to make sure they have sort
- 22:08Speaker 9: of those entry levels. So it's called really the good, better,
- 22:12Speaker 9: and best classifications. But yes, they're really pushing their merchants
- 22:18Speaker 9: to focus on going up the best chain because they're
- 22:22Speaker 9: finding that having newness.
- 22:25Speaker 3: Will drive conversion.
- 22:27Speaker 9: So bringing in new, fresh, exciting brands and classifications are
- 22:32Speaker 9: really driving that that incremental sales gain. And their average
- 22:38Speaker 9: price was up eight point three percent, so you had
- 22:41Speaker 9: at the Bloomingdale side it was up about nine to
- 22:43Speaker 9: ten percent, but Macy's the name plate was up mid
- 22:47Speaker 9: single digits, and where they saw strength and beauty once
- 22:50Speaker 9: again driven by a lot of newness across skincare and
- 22:54Speaker 9: fragrance driving those gains there. So that really does make
- 22:57Speaker 9: a difference, but it is important to have that good, better,
- 23:00Speaker 9: and best classifications, not just in private labels. So they're
- 23:05Speaker 9: bringing in some of these entry level brands you know,
- 23:08Speaker 9: or extending those like a Sam Edelman for example.
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