Latest / After the Signal / Who Told You That?
Transcript
- 0:04SPEAKER_01: This is After The Signal.
- 0:05SPEAKER_01: I'm Thomas Calder.
- 0:07SPEAKER_01: Let's go a little farther down the road.
- 0:10SPEAKER_01: There's a question I've started asking myself more often.
- 0:13SPEAKER_01: Who told you that?
- 0:16SPEAKER_01: Not because I think everyone is lying.
- 0:18SPEAKER_01: Not because I've suddenly become suspicious of everything I hear.
- 0:23SPEAKER_01: Actually, it's almost the opposite.
- 0:25SPEAKER_01: I've become interested in how easily,
- 0:27SPEAKER_01: perfectly reasonable people come to believe things without ever really knowing
- 0:31SPEAKER_01: where those beliefs came from.
- 0:33SPEAKER_01: And often, the statement arrives already finished.
- 0:36SPEAKER_01: There's no uncertainty attached to it, no footnote, no source.
- 1:03SPEAKER_01: Just certainty.
- 1:04SPEAKER_01: And because the person saying it seems certain, we tend to receive the information the same way.
- 1:09SPEAKER_01: I do it too.
- 1:11SPEAKER_01: That's what makes this interesting to me.
- 1:13SPEAKER_01: We like to imagine that our beliefs are conclusions.
- 1:16SPEAKER_01: That we gather information,
- 1:18SPEAKER_01: examine it, consider competing explanations, and eventually decide what we think.
- 1:23SPEAKER_01: But I'm not sure that's how much of human belief actually works.
- 1:27SPEAKER_01: A lot of the time, somebody else gives us the conclusion first.
- 1:31SPEAKER_01: Then we begin collecting information around it.
- 1:33SPEAKER_01: Think about how quickly this can happen.
- 1:36SPEAKER_01: Someone you trust tells you something about someone you've never met.
- 1:40SPEAKER_01: You have no reason to doubt your friend.
- 1:42SPEAKER_01: So the information gets stored.
- 1:44SPEAKER_01: Then months later, you finally meet that person.
- 1:47SPEAKER_01: They say something slightly awkward, nothing extraordinary.
- 1:51SPEAKER_01: But now you have a frame for interpreting it.
- 1:53SPEAKER_01: There it is.
- 1:54SPEAKER_01: That must be what my friend was talking about.
- 1:57SPEAKER_01: Except maybe it wasn't.
- 1:58SPEAKER_01: Maybe the person was tired.
- 2:00SPEAKER_01: Maybe you misunderstood them.
- 2:02SPEAKER_01: Maybe your friend misunderstood them.
- 2:04SPEAKER_01: Maybe your friend heard the story from somebody else.
- 2:08SPEAKER_01: Maybe two people had an argument 15 years ago and you've just inherited one side of it.
- 2:13SPEAKER_01: The possibilities are almost endless.
- 2:16SPEAKER_01: But the first explanation has an enormous advantage.
- 2:19SPEAKER_01: It got there first.
- 2:20SPEAKER_01: I've been thinking about this while listening to ordinary conversations around me
- 2:24SPEAKER_01: and while observing the way information moves through the world now.
- 2:29SPEAKER_01: We live in an extraordinary information environment.
- 2:32SPEAKER_01: Almost anything can reach us instantly.
- 2:34SPEAKER_01: A photograph,
- 2:35SPEAKER_01: a quotation,
- 2:37SPEAKER_01: a headline,
- 2:38SPEAKER_01: a 10 second video,
- 2:40SPEAKER_01: a screenshot, someone describing what supposedly happened somewhere else.
- 2:45SPEAKER_01: And because we can see it with our own eyes, it feels like direct evidence.
- 2:49SPEAKER_01: But sometimes what we're actually seeing is a fragment.
- 2:52SPEAKER_01: The photograph may be real.
- 2:54SPEAKER_01: The quotation may be accurate.
- 2:57SPEAKER_01: The video may show exactly what happened during those 10 seconds.
- 3:00SPEAKER_01: And we can still misunderstand the larger event.
- 3:03SPEAKER_01: Because facts and context aren't the same thing.
- 3:06SPEAKER_01: That distinction matters.
- 3:08SPEAKER_01: Imagine I show you a photograph of a man standing alone outside a building.
- 3:12SPEAKER_01: That's a fact.
- 3:13SPEAKER_01: There he is.
- 3:15SPEAKER_01: Now I tell you he's waiting for someone.
- 3:17SPEAKER_01: Suddenly you have a story.
- 3:19SPEAKER_01: Maybe he is.
- 3:19SPEAKER_01: But notice what just happened.
- 3:21SPEAKER_01: The photograph didn't tell you that.
- 3:24SPEAKER_01: I did.
- 3:25SPEAKER_01: And once I supplied the explanation,
- 3:27SPEAKER_01: it became very difficult for you to look at the photograph without seeing
- 3:31SPEAKER_01: the story I attached to it.
- 3:33SPEAKER_01: That's influence,
- 3:34SPEAKER_01: not necessarily dishonest influence, not necessarily malicious, just influence.
- 3:41SPEAKER_01: Human beings interpret things, we have to.
- 3:44SPEAKER_01: We couldn't function if we independently investigated every piece of information we encountered.
- 3:49SPEAKER_01: Most of what we know has been given to us by somebody else,
- 3:52SPEAKER_01: teachers,
- 3:54SPEAKER_01: parents, Friends, journalists, experts, books, institutions, people we trust.
- 4:01SPEAKER_01: And most of the time, that works remarkably well.
- 4:04SPEAKER_01: Civilization would be impossible otherwise.
- 4:07SPEAKER_01: I don't need to personally reproduce every scientific experiment before accepting its findings.
- 4:12SPEAKER_01: I don't need to visit every country before believing it exists.
- 4:16SPEAKER_01: Trust is necessary.
- 4:17SPEAKER_01: But trust and certainty aren't quite the same thing.
- 4:21SPEAKER_01: That's the distinction I've become interested in.
- 4:24SPEAKER_01: Maybe intellectual humility doesn't require us to doubt everything.
- 4:28SPEAKER_01: Maybe it simply requires us to remember which things we actually know firsthand and
- 4:33SPEAKER_01: which things we have accepted because somebody we trust told us they were true.
- 4:39SPEAKER_01: There's nothing wrong with the second category.
- 4:42SPEAKER_01: It's enormous.
- 4:43SPEAKER_01: It has to be.
- 4:44SPEAKER_01: But perhaps we should know when we're standing in it.
- 4:47SPEAKER_01: And there's another layer to this.
- 4:49SPEAKER_01: Sometimes nobody can remember who told us.
- 4:52SPEAKER_01: The source disappears.
- 4:53SPEAKER_01: The belief remains.
- 4:55SPEAKER_01: Families are particularly good at this.
- 4:57SPEAKER_01: Every family has things everybody knows.
- 5:00SPEAKER_01: Granddad never forgave somebody.
- 5:02SPEAKER_01: An uncle made a terrible business decision.
- 5:05SPEAKER_01: Someone was the responsible sibling.
- 5:07SPEAKER_01: Someone else was the troublemaker.
- 5:09SPEAKER_01: This person caused the argument.
- 5:12SPEAKER_01: That person saved the day.
- 5:13SPEAKER_01: Ask where the story came from, and you may discover something fascinating.
- 5:18SPEAKER_01: Nobody knows.
- 5:19SPEAKER_01: They've simply heard it their entire lives.
- 5:23SPEAKER_01: At some point, the story stopped being something somebody said.
- 5:26SPEAKER_01: It became family history.
- 5:28SPEAKER_01: And that makes me wonder how many things I believe simply
- 5:31SPEAKER_01: because I encountered them early enough and often enough.
- 5:35SPEAKER_01: Not just about the world, about people, about success, about failure, maybe even about myself.
- 5:42SPEAKER_01: That's where this question gets uncomfortable.
- 5:45SPEAKER_01: Because who told you that isn't really a question about other people's gullibility.
- 5:49SPEAKER_01: It's a question about my own certainty.
- 5:51SPEAKER_01: Where did this belief come from?
- 5:53SPEAKER_01: Did I witness it?
- 5:55SPEAKER_01: Did somebody tell me?
- 5:56SPEAKER_01: Did I infer it?
- 5:58SPEAKER_01: Have I ever examined it?
- 5:59SPEAKER_01: And perhaps the most important question, what would it take for me to change my mind?
- 6:04SPEAKER_01: If the answer is nothing, then I'm probably not evaluating evidence anymore.
- 6:09SPEAKER_01: I'm protecting a conclusion.
- 6:12SPEAKER_01: I don't want to become someone who distrusts everything.
- 6:15SPEAKER_01: That seems just as foolish as believing everything.
- 6:18SPEAKER_01: I want something more challenging.
- 6:20SPEAKER_01: I want to become better at recognizing the difference between what I know,
- 6:25SPEAKER_01: what I believe,
- 6:26SPEAKER_01: what I've been told,
- 6:28SPEAKER_01: and what I've simply heard so many times that I stopped remembering there was ever
- 6:31SPEAKER_01: a difference.
- 6:33SPEAKER_01: So lately,
- 6:33SPEAKER_01: when I encounter something that arrives with absolute certainty,
- 6:37SPEAKER_01: I'm trying to develop a small habit.
- 6:39SPEAKER_01: Before deciding whether it's true, I ask one more question.
- 6:42SPEAKER_01: Who told you that?
- 6:44SPEAKER_01: Sometimes there's a very good answer.
- 6:46SPEAKER_01: Sometimes there isn't.
- 6:48SPEAKER_01: And sometimes...
- 6:50SPEAKER_01: I discover the person I really need to ask is myself.
- 6:54SPEAKER_01: I'm Thomas Calder.
- 6:56SPEAKER_01: This is After the Signal.
- 6:57SPEAKER_00: Until next time, strengthen the things that remain.