Latest / Financial Survival Network / The Global Fiat Debt Reset Begins - John Rubino #6415
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: You're listening to Carrie Let's's Financial Survival Network, where you
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- 0:27Speaker 2: Welcome to Financial Survival Network. Come your host.
- 0:31Speaker 3: Carrie Let's John Rapino is with us now. It's been
- 0:34Speaker 3: a while, John, he is now a good time to
- 0:38Speaker 3: visit Japan. I'll bet you the end's going to be
- 0:40Speaker 3: going down against the dollar, isn't.
- 0:42Speaker 4: It, hey, Carrie? Well, yeah, you know, the US bailout
- 0:46Speaker 4: of Japan is potentially a really big story, partially because
- 0:53Speaker 4: Japan has been taking on government dat at a dramatic
- 0:56Speaker 4: rate for decades now and seems to have gotten away
- 1:00Speaker 4: with it. And that provided a lot of ammunition for
- 1:05Speaker 4: economists and politicians to say, you know, it doesn't matter
- 1:08Speaker 4: how much the US borrows. Look at Japan. You know,
- 1:11Speaker 4: they borrowed more than US, and they're okay. But suddenly
- 1:15Speaker 4: Japan is not okay. The en is going down, their
- 1:17Speaker 4: interest rates are going up, and they're basically suffering the
- 1:21Speaker 4: early stages of the financial crisis that everybody has predicted
- 1:26Speaker 4: for them for so many years now. And that's not
- 1:30Speaker 4: just a Japan story, because they own a lot of
- 1:33Speaker 4: US treasury paper. They run trade surpluss with US, and
- 1:39Speaker 4: they put the extra money that they get into treasury
- 1:41Speaker 4: bonds and notes and bills, and if they have to
- 1:47Speaker 4: defend their currency by coming up with money and buying
- 1:52Speaker 4: the end from somewhere, they'll probably do that by selling
- 1:54Speaker 4: treasury paper, and that might force interest rates up in
- 1:59Speaker 4: the US, which would cause potential crisis for US. So
- 2:02Speaker 4: just this last week, the U or the US stepped
- 2:06Speaker 4: in and in effect bailed out Japan by buying in.
- 2:11Speaker 4: But but they did it with a funny Trumpian twists.
- 2:14Speaker 4: They didn't just print the money. They sold euros in
- 2:19Speaker 4: order to buy in, you know, So they kind of
- 2:21Speaker 4: screwed Europe over a little bit in order to help
- 2:24Speaker 4: out Japan. And yeah, so that then and then the
- 2:29Speaker 4: end went back up because if there was all that buying.
- 2:32Speaker 4: But with currency interventions, normally, if there's some kind of
- 2:36Speaker 4: an underlying problem, intervening doesn't help because it it gives
- 2:43Speaker 4: you a quick fix in terms of you know, rejiggering
- 2:48Speaker 4: exchange rates a little bit, but then as soon as
- 2:51Speaker 4: you stop intervening, the overall trend resumes. And in Japan's case,
- 2:57Speaker 4: you know, they just know so much money and and
- 3:00Speaker 4: the bond markets are just not you know, not listening
- 3:03Speaker 4: anymore when Japan says, hey, buy oer bonds for zero
- 3:06Speaker 4: percent interest. And now you got the ten year yield
- 3:11Speaker 4: on the Japanese government bonds approaching three percent and a
- 3:17Speaker 4: thirty year yield a little bit over four percent now,
- 3:19Speaker 4: and that means Japan's interest expense is massive, and it
- 3:26Speaker 4: also means that the en is probably going to fall
- 3:28Speaker 4: further from here. So the US problem with all of
- 3:31Speaker 4: this isn't going away. You know, Japan is still out
- 3:33Speaker 4: there as this potential crisis because they have to sell
- 3:37Speaker 4: all their treasures. So we'll see it's a big deal.
- 3:40Speaker 4: And finally, you know, the laws of finance are starting
- 3:45Speaker 4: to apply to Japan after all this time.
- 3:47Speaker 3: Hey, does this mark the return of the bond vigilantes?
- 3:51Speaker 3: They seem to have been in perpetual hibernation John for
- 3:55Speaker 3: like almost two decades now.
- 3:58Speaker 4: Well, yeah, with Japan, it's been a long time. And
- 4:00Speaker 4: with the US, you know, our interest rates are starting
- 4:02Speaker 4: to go back up too, So it could be that
- 4:05Speaker 4: the bond markets have finally taken a look at government
- 4:09Speaker 4: finances and decided out, we don't want any part of
- 4:11Speaker 4: this at these interest rates. We'll see. But you know,
- 4:16Speaker 4: it's possible with the US that if oil prices go
- 4:19Speaker 4: back down, then inflation stabilizes, and then you know, the
- 4:22Speaker 4: Fed has a rationale for easing and pushing bond prices
- 4:25Speaker 4: down again, or pushing bond interest rates down again, you know.
- 4:28Speaker 4: So it's it's possible that we're able to buy ourselves
- 4:30Speaker 4: some more time. But you know, I think what we're
- 4:33Speaker 4: seeing now is a sign of things to come in
- 4:36Speaker 4: the intermediate and long term where the bond markets do
- 4:40Speaker 4: just become vigilantes once again, they become the arbiters of
- 4:44Speaker 4: government finance. And if that happens, then then then we're
- 4:48Speaker 4: in at the we're at the end of the fiat
- 4:50Speaker 4: currency experiment that long last.
- 4:53Speaker 3: Yeah, well it's an experiment that that was cooked up
- 4:58Speaker 3: in Frankenstein's lab here and it went way beyond what
- 5:03Speaker 3: anyone ever expected.
- 5:05Speaker 2: And yeah, so look at oil.
- 5:07Speaker 3: It's up like three bucks today, but basically it hasn't
- 5:12Speaker 3: really gone up that much. It had the spike to
- 5:15Speaker 3: one twenty, kind of like silver, and it kind of
- 5:19Speaker 3: did what silver did in a large measure. It's been
- 5:24Speaker 3: bouncing around, but you know, the average American, if it
- 5:27Speaker 3: stays around this area, they just don't really care about
- 5:32Speaker 3: the war or whatever is going on. It seems like
- 5:36Speaker 3: there's more important things.
- 5:38Speaker 2: You know.
- 5:38Speaker 3: I just wrote an article today than I was thinking
- 5:41Speaker 3: of you when I wrote it as well, which is
- 5:44Speaker 3: that they talk about inflation and affordability and somehow like
- 5:51Speaker 3: what the government does printing up money getting into wars.
- 5:55Speaker 2: Wars are always inflationary.
- 5:57Speaker 3: We know that throughout history, going back to Napoleon, going
- 6:02Speaker 3: back to the wars of England being financed by the Rothschilds.
- 6:10Speaker 2: You know.
- 6:10Speaker 3: And yet these guys are running on a platform like, gee,
- 6:15Speaker 3: it's not affordable. Why they never say why affordability is down,
- 6:20Speaker 3: why inflation is up? They never make that connection. Like
- 6:23Speaker 3: Milton Friedman said that inflation first and foremost is always
- 6:28Speaker 3: a monetary phenomena.
- 6:32Speaker 4: Yeah, And basically the affordability thing has become an issue
- 6:37Speaker 4: because when you start inflating away your currency in other words,
- 6:41Speaker 4: where you drive the press of your currency down, you
- 6:43Speaker 4: drive the price of things up, and a lot of
- 6:46Speaker 4: those things are life's necessities, and they tend to go
- 6:49Speaker 4: up faster than wages, so you end up basically impoverishing
- 6:55Speaker 4: one or two whole generations when you do something like this.
- 6:58Speaker 4: Like that inflation of the past thirty years has helped
- 7:02Speaker 4: boomers because we own all the assets, so we make
- 7:05Speaker 4: out when the government makes houses more expensive and stocks
- 7:11Speaker 4: and bonds more expensive, because we already own them to
- 7:14Speaker 4: begin with. So we're generating profits while that goes on.
- 7:18Speaker 4: But the millennials and the Gen Z generation, they get
- 7:23Speaker 4: stuck with ever more expensive things, so they can, in
- 7:26Speaker 4: a lot of cases, never become the adults they were
- 7:29Speaker 4: supposed to be. You know, at the age of thirty,
- 7:31Speaker 4: you're supposed to own a house, and you're supposed to
- 7:35Speaker 4: be able to have kids, and you're supposed to be
- 7:37Speaker 4: able to do the basics things that adults do. But
- 7:40Speaker 4: you can't do that if a starter house is four
- 7:43Speaker 4: hundred and fifty thousand dollars and you can't have kids.
- 7:46Speaker 4: If you know, private schools insanely expensive and college will
- 7:50Speaker 4: cost you a quarter million dollars, you know, it makes
- 7:53Speaker 4: it prohibitively expensive to do these things. So we have basically,
- 7:59Speaker 4: you know, our generation carry has basically saddled our kids
- 8:03Speaker 4: and our grandkids with a life that's not really livable.
- 8:07Speaker 4: And so it shouldn't be a surprise that affordability becomes
- 8:11Speaker 4: a really powerful political platform. Nobody wants to explain why
- 8:16Speaker 4: things aren't affordable, so they just make stuff up, like, oh,
- 8:19Speaker 4: the corporations are price gauging and things like that, you know,
- 8:22Speaker 4: but they can run on, Oh, I'm going to make
- 8:26Speaker 4: the necessities of life cheaper for you. You know, I'm going
- 8:29Speaker 4: to drive down the price of groceries and of houses,
- 8:32Speaker 4: YadA YadA, which can't really be done unless you fix
- 8:36Speaker 4: the underlying problem, which is governments spending way too much
- 8:40Speaker 4: money and inflating away their currencies to cover the resulting debts.
- 8:44Speaker 4: And so this sort affordability thing is a really nice
- 8:49Speaker 4: political platform for everybody to run on, but they can't
- 8:52Speaker 4: fix it. There is no way to fix affordability because
- 8:57Speaker 4: that would involve driving prices down, which which is deflationary,
- 9:01Speaker 4: which would impair the financial system, which depends on inflation
- 9:06Speaker 4: going forward. So you know, we're basically in a place
- 9:09Speaker 4: where our problems are no longer fixable. But everybody's good
- 9:15Speaker 4: and that our problems are fixible, and they're going to
- 9:17Speaker 4: use it to run election campaigns. But we'll see. I mean,
- 9:21Speaker 4: I think the truth will come out in the not
- 9:23Speaker 4: too distant future.
- 9:24Speaker 2: We will. Yeah.
- 9:26Speaker 3: Yeah, it's just a little bit disconcerting what you say,
- 9:30Speaker 3: like the younger generations aren't in a position to, you know,
- 9:37Speaker 3: enjoy the so called roots of the American.
- 9:40Speaker 2: Dream, you know, like owning your own house.
- 9:44Speaker 4: Yeah. But now now a lot of people in the
- 9:47Speaker 4: establishment are talking about maybe we're going to have a
- 9:49Speaker 4: military draft. Good luck drafting these kids that you've totally
- 9:54Speaker 4: screwed over already and telling them they're going to go
- 9:56Speaker 4: off and fight and die in you know, so some
- 10:00Speaker 4: horrendously unpleasant part of the world. So I think that,
- 10:06Speaker 4: you know, should we keep starting these forever wars and
- 10:10Speaker 4: run out of people and start trying to draft them,
- 10:14Speaker 4: that that's going to be the invent you know what.
- 10:15Speaker 4: We keep looking at other decades to compare this decade too.
- 10:22Speaker 4: In the nineteen seventies is one that fits really well.
- 10:25Speaker 4: But if you want to start trying to draft people,
- 10:27Speaker 4: then we can go back to the nineteen sixties and
- 10:29Speaker 4: that will be our template where the eighteen year olds
- 10:33Speaker 4: just totally rebel across the board and if we try
- 10:36Speaker 4: a draft, that is what will happen.
- 10:39Speaker 2: Rightfully, so rightfully.
- 10:41Speaker 3: So it's like the congressman always send the young kids
- 10:45Speaker 3: off to war. Having visited Vietnam myself and you know,
- 10:50Speaker 3: seeing the presidential Palace, the war remnant museum, and you know,
- 10:58Speaker 3: the fact is it was just a color loss ale,
- 11:00Speaker 3: waste of human capital and just capital in general, to
- 11:08Speaker 3: accomplish absolutely nothing. And the way the Vietnam view, the
- 11:14Speaker 3: Vietnamese view things now is basically that China was always
- 11:18Speaker 3: the enemy. They were a convenient ally getting rid of
- 11:23Speaker 3: the French and then getting rid of the US. But
- 11:26Speaker 3: now they're back to the historical enemies. And they love America.
- 11:30Speaker 3: Everybody everybody wants to in the Vietnam wants to come
- 11:35Speaker 3: to America. It's you know, and you know it's really
- 11:39Speaker 3: funny is when you talk about this, they have tremendous
- 11:44Speaker 3: inflation there. Like I got off the plane and bought
- 11:48Speaker 3: some dong Vietnamese dong, and I was instantly a millionaire.
- 11:54Speaker 3: The problem was, it's like twenty six thousand dong back then.
- 11:58Speaker 3: It's probably worse now to the dollar. And so you
- 12:03Speaker 3: do with five hundred dollars and you got ten million
- 12:06Speaker 3: dong and you feel rich until you go spend a
- 12:09Speaker 3: million dollars a million dong for a cup of coffee.
- 12:13Speaker 3: There's a there's a cautionary tale there, John.
- 12:17Speaker 4: Yeah, and you know that illustrates the point that the
- 12:22Speaker 4: US fiscal and monetary mismanagement isn't just a US problem.
- 12:27Speaker 4: You know, the whole world is doing this right now.
- 12:29Speaker 4: Everybody with the field at currency is borrowing too much
- 12:32Speaker 4: money and then being forced to inflate their currency away
- 12:35Speaker 4: to cover the debt that had taken on. So you
- 12:40Speaker 4: know that that makes this even more interesting because there
- 12:43Speaker 4: have been financial crises and monetary collapses since there have
- 12:48Speaker 4: been money and finance. But in the past these these
- 12:55Speaker 4: crises have been one country specific. In other words, one
- 12:58Speaker 4: country screws up its currency and their currency collapses, but
- 13:02Speaker 4: it's in the context of a sound money world where
- 13:04Speaker 4: everybody else is on the gold standard. But now everybody's
- 13:08Speaker 4: on a fiat currency system. So we're all screwing up
- 13:13Speaker 4: in this very familiar way. At the same time, you know,
- 13:16Speaker 4: we're all trying to inflate our currencies away. So you know,
- 13:20Speaker 4: it's not clear how this plays out because it's global,
- 13:24Speaker 4: whereas in the past it was always country specific. But
- 13:28Speaker 4: I suspect it means we get to kick the can
- 13:31Speaker 4: down the road longer, which we've already done, and that
- 13:34Speaker 4: when the crisis happens, it's much bigger and much harder
- 13:37Speaker 4: control because there's no safe haven country. Somebody is going
- 13:43Speaker 4: to declare a gold standard at some point and they
- 13:45Speaker 4: will become the safe have in country. But it's not
- 13:48Speaker 4: clear that one country can do that in a fiat currency.
- 13:50Speaker 4: World might have to be the whole world doing it
- 13:53Speaker 4: at once. We'll see. But you know, the mess that's
- 13:57Speaker 4: coming is very clear in terms of how we got
- 14:01Speaker 4: here and what the main problem will be, but how
- 14:05Speaker 4: you fix it. You know that currency reset is going
- 14:08Speaker 4: to have to be global, which will be just from
- 14:11Speaker 4: an economics nerd standpoint, fascinating to watch, but from everybody
- 14:15Speaker 4: else's standpoint, totally terrifying.
- 14:19Speaker 3: So besides buying gold, John, what are we supposed to
- 14:22Speaker 3: do and solver hopefully?
- 14:24Speaker 4: Yeah, you know, but gold and silver is the quick
- 14:27Speaker 4: thing to do because and gold and silver are behaving
- 14:30Speaker 4: exactly as you would expect them.
- 14:31Speaker 2: To behave.
- 14:32Speaker 4: It's they've been going up for the past thirty years,
- 14:36Speaker 4: and you know, beyond that, you get as close to
- 14:40Speaker 4: debt free as you possibly plan. Although that doesn't that
- 14:43Speaker 4: sounds counterintuitive for an inflation you know, you want to
- 14:46Speaker 4: maybe take on as much debt as possible, but the
- 14:49Speaker 4: chaos that comes with rising inflation will make your job
- 14:54Speaker 4: and your finances really hard to manage. So you want
- 15:00Speaker 4: have as little debt as possible as you go into
- 15:03Speaker 4: a situation like that, that makes it easier to get through,
- 15:07Speaker 4: you know, a time when your job is uncertain or
- 15:10Speaker 4: some other aspect of your finances are are chaotic or whatever.
- 15:14Speaker 4: So you do that, and then you become as self
- 15:16Speaker 4: sufficient as possible. You know, you want you want to
- 15:19Speaker 4: have skills, and you know, not just to grow your
- 15:22Speaker 4: own food, but to take care of things and fix
- 15:24Speaker 4: stuff and everything. So yeah, I mean, there's a limited
- 15:28Speaker 4: number of things you can do to protect yourself, but
- 15:31Speaker 4: they're pretty straightforward when you think about it. It's just
- 15:34Speaker 4: basic old style prepping, which will you know, it won't
- 15:39Speaker 4: make you perfectly resilient, but it'll help help you get
- 15:42Speaker 4: through a time like this.
- 15:44Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, well okay, and then we you have the
- 15:48Speaker 3: war in Iran. It seems to me there's a lot
- 15:52Speaker 3: of disinformation going. We have no idea what's really happening there.
- 15:57Speaker 3: The media has been totally blocked doubt, and you know,
- 16:02Speaker 3: on the one hand, you know, it's it looks like
- 16:06Speaker 3: a quagmire. On the other hand, basically Iran is collapsing
- 16:11Speaker 3: before our very eyes.
- 16:13Speaker 4: Well, you know, a big part of this, all right,
- 16:16Speaker 4: there's two parts of this that are really interesting because
- 16:19Speaker 4: you know, the part where the US has blundered into
- 16:22Speaker 4: yet another war because the people running our foreign policy
- 16:25Speaker 4: are morons. That's that's not interesting because it's happened so
- 16:28Speaker 4: many times really since Iran in the nineteen fifty a days.
- 16:32Speaker 4: There's some symmetry here. We started our idiotic foreign policy
- 16:37Speaker 4: by overthrowing the democratically elected president of Iran back in
- 16:43Speaker 4: the nineteen fifties, and here we are again, you know,
- 16:45Speaker 4: invading Iran. But the two things that are really interesting
- 16:49Speaker 4: are one is that warfare has changed in a dramatic way,
- 16:56Speaker 4: and this war and the Ukraine War illustrated that fact.
- 17:01Speaker 4: You know, it's we've gotten asymmetric where cheap drones and
- 17:08Speaker 4: almost homemade missiles can overwhelm missile defense systems that cost
- 17:13Speaker 4: millions and billions of dollars. So all of a sudden,
- 17:18Speaker 4: this high tech, you know, unbeatable, untouchable war machine that
- 17:23Speaker 4: the US Empire has built and all its allies have
- 17:26Speaker 4: brought into can be at least countered and maybe actually
- 17:31Speaker 4: defeated by these drones that costs you know, twenty thousand
- 17:36Speaker 4: dollars apiece or whatever, compared to millions of dollars for
- 17:39Speaker 4: the interceptors that we're using against them. And you know,
- 17:43Speaker 4: you can churn these drones out on an assembly line.
- 17:47Speaker 4: That's what Ukraine is doing. And then Russia as well.
- 17:50Speaker 4: You know, in the Ukraine went out, Russia and Ukraine
- 17:53Speaker 4: can attack each other with impunity because they they're out
- 17:57Speaker 4: of interceptors, but they've got plenty of attacknes. And the
- 18:02Speaker 4: same thing with Iran. I mean, we were supposed to
- 18:05Speaker 4: have destroyed their ability to wage war like ten times
- 18:09Speaker 4: in this war. So far, every single time they come
- 18:12Speaker 4: back with a bunch of new drones that are hitting
- 18:15Speaker 4: our military targets in the Middle East and energy infrastructure
- 18:20Speaker 4: and and so you know, in some ways you could
- 18:25Speaker 4: say Iran is winning. But the other really interesting thing
- 18:28Speaker 4: now too, is that the US is on the clock.
- 18:30Speaker 4: We have midterm elections coming up in what is it now, August, September, October,
- 18:35Speaker 4: three three months in which it's possible that the Republicans
- 18:42Speaker 4: lose the House and maybe even the Senate if people
- 18:45Speaker 4: are pissed off enough about gasoline prices by then. And
- 18:49Speaker 4: if that happens, then you know, the Democrats are already
- 18:52Speaker 4: making their plans for the investigations they're going to do
- 18:55Speaker 4: and how they're who they're going to prosecute, and diet
- 19:00Speaker 4: and everything, and that that means the government descends into
- 19:05Speaker 4: chaos and Trump can no longer get a lot of
- 19:09Speaker 4: the things he wants to get done in the meantime,
- 19:12Speaker 4: and so he's on the clock. He needs to settle
- 19:15Speaker 4: the Iran war and has to hope that people forget
- 19:20Speaker 4: about it in just a little bit of time we
- 19:22Speaker 4: have before the midterm elections. Now, meanwhile, the Republicans are
- 19:27Speaker 4: in political trouble, but the Democrats are doing their best
- 19:31Speaker 4: to bail the Republicans out because they've they you know,
- 19:34Speaker 4: they've decided that they're they're going to nominate a bunch
- 19:39Speaker 4: of avowed communists. See this is you know, you know,
- 19:43Speaker 4: if you really want to know somebody, Yes, unrepented communists,
- 19:47Speaker 4: they literally say, our goal is to seize the means
- 19:51Speaker 4: of production, and we're going to do it with with prisons,
- 19:56Speaker 4: and we're going to do out of Thanksgiving and yeah,
- 19:58Speaker 4: and we're going to do away with the police and
- 20:00Speaker 4: everything that because they got a little taste of power,
- 20:05Speaker 4: and so they're feeling free to say the things they've
- 20:09Speaker 4: always said behind closed doors because in large part because
- 20:15Speaker 4: Mendani won in New York. You know, you have a
- 20:17Speaker 4: major Muslim slash communist politician out there who seems to
- 20:23Speaker 4: be very popular, so that that has a kind of
- 20:28Speaker 4: green lit all the other people who have the same
- 20:32Speaker 4: belief system to run for office, and a lot of
- 20:35Speaker 4: them are doing okay. You know, that's the wild thing
- 20:37Speaker 4: is they're getting nominated and now we're going to find
- 20:41Speaker 4: out if they can get elected in swing states and
- 20:47Speaker 4: it's highly likely that they can't, so that some you know,
- 20:51Speaker 4: Senate and House seats that might have been doable for
- 20:55Speaker 4: the Democrats turned out not to be doable, and that
- 20:58Speaker 4: saves that pulls the republic Cans out of a fire.
- 21:01Speaker 4: You know, maybe maybe they get control of it, or
- 21:04Speaker 4: we get to keep control of at least one legislative house,
- 21:08Speaker 4: and and therefore Trump can't be impeached, you know, or
- 21:13Speaker 4: his cronies can't be indicted and tried and convicted. So,
- 21:20Speaker 4: in other words, US politics is just as chaotic as
- 21:22Speaker 4: you would expect it to be, given all the idiotic
- 21:25Speaker 4: foreign policy and economic stuff that's going on. But you know,
- 21:29Speaker 4: the time is running short. We're going to find out
- 21:32Speaker 4: if if the guys that are best friends with Hassan
- 21:36Speaker 4: Piker and people like that are going to be able
- 21:39Speaker 4: to get elected on a communist platform, or if the
- 21:46Speaker 4: Republicans can run against that and hold power for a
- 21:49Speaker 4: little lot longer. We'll see, but you know, chaos is
- 21:52Speaker 4: coming one.
- 21:53Speaker 2: Way or the other. Yeah, yeah, it's it's it's crazy.
- 21:57Speaker 3: Like we fought war as we did the hire Cold
- 22:00Speaker 3: War two two basically defeat communism, and now we've got
- 22:08Speaker 3: like a homegrown movement taking place. I mean, I think
- 22:15Speaker 3: I understand that younger people are are really you know,
- 22:21Speaker 3: they're up the creek. You know, they're really feeling a
- 22:25Speaker 3: lot of pain, and you know, I feel bad about
- 22:28Speaker 3: it for them. But on the other hand, you know,
- 22:33Speaker 3: go back to a system that you know has has
- 22:39Speaker 3: failed over and over and over again and cannot possibly succeed,
- 22:46Speaker 3: you know, but you know they're a victim of our
- 22:52Speaker 3: inferior educational system, right.
- 22:56Speaker 4: No, I disagree. I think they are right to be
- 23:01Speaker 4: pissed off. And you know, kids, every generation of totally
- 23:06Speaker 4: every generation of kids figures out a way to freak
- 23:09Speaker 4: their parents out. And there's not all that much left,
- 23:13Speaker 4: but communism will do it. So, you know, just in
- 23:17Speaker 4: terms of the cycle of life, you can understand why
- 23:20Speaker 4: kids have gone back to left wing politics. But you know,
- 23:23Speaker 4: a big part of it is just Boomer's fault. We
- 23:26Speaker 4: won the Cold War and we should have created a
- 23:31Speaker 4: capitalist slash democratic utopia here. I mean, we could absolutely
- 23:37Speaker 4: have done that if we just run the country correctly.
- 23:40Speaker 4: And instead we borrowed insane amounts of money, we inflated
- 23:44Speaker 4: away our currency. We made life impossible for twenty five
- 23:48Speaker 4: year olds. And now we're kind of surprised that they're
- 23:54Speaker 4: deciding that the current system, Yeah, the current system isn't
- 23:57Speaker 4: working for them, so they're looking for something else else,
- 24:00Speaker 4: and right on que here comes communism. You know. So
- 24:06Speaker 4: the saving grace of collectivist political philosophy is that it's
- 24:11Speaker 4: self correcting. It sounds great, it's easy to run on,
- 24:15Speaker 4: but as soon as you gain power, you start absolutely
- 24:19Speaker 4: destroying the system that you inherited. So communism in New
- 24:24Speaker 4: York City, yeah, yeah, communism has maybe five years before
- 24:29Speaker 4: they get tossed out of office in any kind of
- 24:31Speaker 4: a rational political system. And you know, I think that
- 24:35Speaker 4: we're two years into that already with a lot of
- 24:39Speaker 4: the people that we've got running you know, cities and states,
- 24:42Speaker 4: or actually we're like fifteen or twenty years into the
- 24:45Speaker 4: process of old school Democrats ruining all the big cities
- 24:50Speaker 4: and all the big states that they've had a chance
- 24:52Speaker 4: to run.
- 24:53Speaker 2: Yeah, they certainly have.
- 24:56Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, nobody wants to live. It's increazy.
- 24:59Speaker 2: You know.
- 25:00Speaker 4: The people voting with their feet now is really amazing
- 25:05Speaker 4: because everybody is leaving places that are run by Democrats
- 25:09Speaker 4: and they're moving to places that are run by Republicans.
- 25:12Speaker 4: So but you know, I don't know that that saves
- 25:15Speaker 4: the Republicans this time around. But we'll just have to see,
- 25:18Speaker 4: because there's an awful lot of cross currents out there.
- 25:21Speaker 4: Everybody's screwed up some things, so it just depends who
- 25:25Speaker 4: gets blame for what. This time around.
- 25:28Speaker 2: I love it. You know, it's it's really crazy.
- 25:31Speaker 3: But yeah, I was a crazy leftist that I bought into.
- 25:36Speaker 2: All that garbage.
- 25:38Speaker 3: But then, you know, I got to the point where
- 25:41Speaker 3: I actually studied the systems how they failed, and we
- 25:46Speaker 3: got Cuba ninety miles off the coast of Florida just
- 25:50Speaker 3: to prove it. Now, they would like to blame all
- 25:52Speaker 3: their failure on the United States, and we certainly have
- 25:55Speaker 3: been encouraging the failure.
- 25:57Speaker 2: Right, but you know what, they've done pretty good on
- 26:04Speaker 2: their own. They didn't really need any.
- 26:06Speaker 3: Help from the United States to fail because the problem
- 26:11Speaker 3: with the you know, there's a number of problems with
- 26:14Speaker 3: socialism communism. As Margaret Thatcher said, eventually you run out
- 26:18Speaker 3: of other people's money. But it's not just that, it's
- 26:22Speaker 3: that it's incentives. There's no incentive in socialism, in communism
- 26:28Speaker 3: to invest for the future because you're never going to
- 26:32Speaker 3: get a return. In fact, the system is designed so
- 26:36Speaker 3: you don't get a return on an investment that you
- 26:39Speaker 3: make today.
- 26:40Speaker 2: Right, So where's your.
- 26:42Speaker 3: Incentive to invest. It's survival. That's your only incentive. In
- 26:47Speaker 3: a system where all the incentives have been removed for
- 26:52Speaker 3: you to improve, you know. To me, it's just so
- 26:57Speaker 3: obvious that it has to fail. But you know, I
- 27:01Speaker 3: think every generation has to learn that there's no free lunch.
- 27:07Speaker 3: But in the United States, we haven't learned it yet
- 27:10Speaker 3: because we're getting it. We're dining at the World's with
- 27:15Speaker 3: the world's support.
- 27:16Speaker 4: Right yeah, Well, carry here. Here's the upside of all
- 27:20Speaker 4: of this stuff that's gloomatum stuff we're talking about. It
- 27:24Speaker 4: is that the gold and silver mining stocks are just
- 27:28Speaker 4: going to crush it because gold and silver miners with
- 27:33Speaker 4: gold and silver at the current prices, the golden silver
- 27:35Speaker 4: miners you see, all the existing mines out there were
- 27:39Speaker 4: green lit at much lower golden silver prices. In other words,
- 27:43Speaker 4: they were designed to be profitable with gold dollars. Yeah, yeah,
- 27:48Speaker 4: So right now the golden silver miners are cash flow machines.
- 27:52Speaker 4: They are generating massive amounts of new cash at today's prices,
- 27:58Speaker 4: and they're using that cash to improve themselves. They're buying
- 28:02Speaker 4: buying back their stock, they're paying off their debts, they're
- 28:06Speaker 4: increasing dividends, they're going out and making a creative investments
- 28:10Speaker 4: in other companies. And so these are just you know,
- 28:14Speaker 4: the numbers for the gold and silver miners now are phenomenal.
- 28:18Speaker 4: So they're they're going to be great investments in the
- 28:21Speaker 4: next five years, and the people who see that coming
- 28:25Speaker 4: are going to make a lot of money, you know,
- 28:26Speaker 4: and it's still not very many people thanks to AI
- 28:32Speaker 4: the AI bubble, now, people really aren't paying attention to
- 28:36Speaker 4: how well the gold and silver miners are doing, and
- 28:38Speaker 4: copper miners, by the way, those guys are just crushing
- 28:40Speaker 4: it as well. Uh So with everybody watching the AI stocks,
- 28:47Speaker 4: very few people are paying attention to the miners even
- 28:50Speaker 4: though they're they're making fortune right now, so that means
- 28:53Speaker 4: they're still cheap enough to buy at today's prices. So
- 28:57Speaker 4: that's that's something that people who haven't looked into but
- 29:00Speaker 4: yet should look into because you know, there are still
- 29:04Speaker 4: a lot of five baggers out there that aren't even
- 29:07Speaker 4: you know, little explorers that might go bankrupt. You know,
- 29:11Speaker 4: there's some decent sized golden silver miners that are reasonably
- 29:15Speaker 4: safe that could still quintopple your money in the next
- 29:20Speaker 4: three to five years. So for people who are doing that, fantastic.
- 29:25Speaker 4: For people who aren't doing it yet aren't buying those
- 29:27Speaker 4: stocks yet, this is I mean, there's still time and
- 29:32Speaker 4: there might be a little time in the coming year,
- 29:34Speaker 4: but not that much. So pay attention, learn what you
- 29:36Speaker 4: need to learn, and make that part of your investment philosophy.
- 29:41Speaker 2: Exactly.
- 29:41Speaker 3: Couldn't have said it better myself. And yeah, the stocks
- 29:46Speaker 3: have come roaring back. A lot of stocks that really
- 29:50Speaker 3: took a hit are in the throes of recovery, so
- 29:55Speaker 3: that's a good thing. And make sure you go over
- 29:58Speaker 3: to Rabino dot substance and get John's latest writing and
- 30:04Speaker 3: financial survival Network dot com will take you to my
- 30:07Speaker 3: sub stack.
- 30:08Speaker 2: I've totally switched to it.
- 30:10Speaker 3: The only thing I'm sorry about is that I didn't
- 30:12Speaker 3: do it three years ago when John told me to.
- 30:15Speaker 3: I should have listened. But but I'm having a great
- 30:20Speaker 3: time with it. I've got another one, John, I told
- 30:23Speaker 3: you about it, Palmbach Player, and it's basically a sat tire.
- 30:29Speaker 2: It's a satire on wealth in Palm Beach.
- 30:35Speaker 3: I hang out there occasionally and I see all the madness.
- 30:40Speaker 3: So we've come up with a few indexes that I
- 30:43Speaker 3: think you'll appreciate. We've got the Palm Beach Trophy Wife Index,
- 30:49Speaker 3: which is the ultimate leading indicator because if the trophy
- 30:54Speaker 3: wifs stop spending we're guaranteed we're going to have a recession.
- 31:00Speaker 3: What upset the trophy wives recently and threw them off
- 31:04Speaker 3: of their equilibrium was the renaming of Palm Beach International
- 31:08Speaker 3: Airport to Donald J. President Donald J. Trump International Airport.
- 31:15Speaker 3: That caused seizure in the Palm Beach economy. We've also
- 31:20Speaker 3: got the Marriage Ultimate Counterparty Risk Index, and we've got
- 31:28Speaker 3: the farm Team Palm Beach Trophy Wife Index because.
- 31:34Speaker 2: They are the future.
- 31:37Speaker 3: So and my latest article coming out a little takeoff
- 31:43Speaker 3: on f Scott Fitzgerald. When it comes to inflation, the
- 31:47Speaker 3: rich are different from you and me, so you could
- 31:50Speaker 3: picture what that's about. And my latest book, we would
- 31:57Speaker 3: be remiss if we didn't mention this The Speaker's Guide
- 32:00Speaker 3: to avoiding tickets. You know, the ticket might cost you
- 32:04Speaker 3: two hundred and fifty bucks a speeding ticket, but when
- 32:07Speaker 3: they hit you with the insurance surcharge, it's going to
- 32:10Speaker 3: cost you twenty five hundred to five thousand dollars. Just
- 32:13Speaker 3: go to Speedersguide dot com. John always fun and we'll
- 32:18Speaker 3: talk to you in a little.
- 32:19Speaker 4: Bit, Hife.
- 32:20Speaker 1: Gary Seeya, thanks for listening to carry Letz's Financial Survival Network.
- 32:25Speaker 1: Your solution to today's trying times. For the latest, go
- 32:29Speaker 1: to Financial Survivalnetwork dot com. Financial Survival Network now more
- 32:35Speaker 1: than ever