Latest / Conversations: Special Guests with Preston Scott / What Has Gone Wrong With U.S. Military Recruiting And Why?
Transcript
- 0:09Speaker 1: Welcome morning friends. Welcome to the third hour of the
- 0:12Speaker 1: Morning Show with Thrustin Scanose's running the radio program in
- 0:15Speaker 1: Studio one A, and I am here as always in
- 0:18Speaker 1: Studio one B, and it is Show five two hundred
- 0:22Speaker 1: and eighteen. You know, we came across some stories and
- 0:26Speaker 1: we've been following for quite a while now, the challenges
- 0:29Speaker 1: facing the armed services of this country and the recruiting
- 0:34Speaker 1: numbers and the challenges the vulnerabilities that that poses to
- 0:39Speaker 1: us as a nation. And I turned to where I
- 0:44Speaker 1: go when I need an expert to give us some
- 0:46Speaker 1: insight and better understanding, and that's the Heritage Foundation. And
- 0:52Speaker 1: Karin Williams was kind enough to go up the ladder
- 0:56Speaker 1: quite a bit here with this one. Our guest, James Carafana,
- 1:00Speaker 1: is a twenty five year Army vet. He's got his
- 1:03Speaker 1: master's and doctorate from Georgetown. He is an expert in
- 1:08Speaker 1: national security and foreign policy and serves as Senior counsel
- 1:12Speaker 1: Counselor to the President of Heritage Foundation and is the E. W.
- 1:16Speaker 1: Richardson Fellow at the Heritage Foundation. James, it's a long
- 1:21Speaker 1: and distinguished resume. Thank you so much for honoring us
- 1:24Speaker 1: with your presence today, How are you, sir so Europe.
- 1:27Speaker 2: For your third hour? Did you get like two o'clock
- 1:29Speaker 2: in the morning. How at work?
- 1:31Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm up early, no doubt about it, go to
- 1:34Speaker 1: bed early, up early. But James, thank you for serving
- 1:38Speaker 1: our country first and foremost, and thank you for making
- 1:41Speaker 1: time for us. I want to ask, as you started
- 1:45Speaker 1: to watch the numbers decline in the recruiting, at what
- 1:51Speaker 1: point did it start to concern you? Or are we not?
- 1:55Speaker 1: Are we worried for nothing?
- 1:58Speaker 2: Well, this is kind of a good news bad news thing.
- 2:01Speaker 2: And when I get to the punchline about why this
- 2:05Speaker 2: is important, it's not what people think. So the good
- 2:09Speaker 2: news is, you know, the the services are doing a
- 2:13Speaker 2: better job getting to their numbers. We saw a significant
- 2:17Speaker 2: decline in propensity to serve, particularly because of the woke
- 2:20Speaker 2: and everything else, and and and most people don't know that,
- 2:25Speaker 2: like somewhere between seventy percent of American youth are not
- 2:28Speaker 2: actually qualified to serve in the military because of the
- 2:32Speaker 2: physical standards, They've got health issues, they've got a criminal record,
- 2:35Speaker 2: they have completed high school something I thought, So you
- 2:38Speaker 2: think the vast majority can't even serve, right, So, so
- 2:41Speaker 2: isn't this great because we're actually getting close to making
- 2:43Speaker 2: our numbers now? Well, no, because one is under Biden.
- 2:48Speaker 2: The size of the military continues to decline. And you know,
- 2:51Speaker 2: we do this thing every year called the Index of
- 2:54Speaker 2: US Military Strengths and the Harry's Foundation. We've done it
- 2:56Speaker 2: for over a decade and we can consistently see in
- 3:01Speaker 2: the last four years declining in military reading. It's part
- 3:03Speaker 2: of that is just because the numbers are smaller, so
- 3:06Speaker 2: their goal isn't it's high. The other thing is that
- 3:08Speaker 2: they started to do something which sound smart but actually
- 3:12Speaker 2: it's a it's a red flag, and that is they
- 3:16Speaker 2: started kind of pre enlistment training. So they're actually bringing
- 3:20Speaker 2: kids in months early, putting them through PTS so they
- 3:24Speaker 2: could get up to the physical standards, actually educating them
- 3:27Speaker 2: enough so they could be equivalent of a high school
- 3:30Speaker 2: graduate and and so that's how they're they're rounding out
- 3:33Speaker 2: the numbers. The problem with that is that's not a
- 3:38Speaker 2: sustainable model. The Brits have been doing this for years
- 3:43Speaker 2: because they were literally running out of people, so they
- 3:45Speaker 2: were taking unqualified people and they're investing in them to
- 3:49Speaker 2: get them to be qualified. That's expensive. First, of all,
- 3:54Speaker 2: it's not scalable, like you can't really do that on
- 3:57Speaker 2: a mass scale. And if we ever had needed numbers
- 4:01Speaker 2: in the military, legitimate numbers and a three and a
- 4:04Speaker 2: half million or so, we couldn't sustain that. So this
- 4:08Speaker 2: is not going to work long term. And we have
- 4:11Speaker 2: two problems. One is our military is too small. The
- 4:13Speaker 2: other thing is if we're going to have kids who
- 4:16Speaker 2: both have the propensity and capability to serve that is
- 4:20Speaker 2: not a military problem. That is a that is a
- 4:23Speaker 2: whole of us problem. We're not educating our children. We're
- 4:27Speaker 2: not we're not making sure our children are physically and
- 4:29Speaker 2: mentally fit. And that is not a problem for the
- 4:32Speaker 2: military to solved. That is a problem for us to
- 4:35Speaker 2: solve our education system as crap are the nutrition and
- 4:40Speaker 2: the physical of our children. It's not about money, it's
- 4:43Speaker 2: not about poverty right now. How it's literally about not
- 4:47Speaker 2: having families. Because the lack of a family means you're
- 4:51Speaker 2: never going to do any of these things. Well, you're
- 4:53Speaker 2: never going to produce healthy, responsible kids. That's the real
- 4:58Speaker 2: root of this problem.
- 4:59Speaker 1: Use weather, traffic and the big stories in the press box,
- 5:04Speaker 1: the fastest three hours in media, and don't be surprised
- 5:08Speaker 1: if you have a chuckle here and there. Just like that.
- 5:15Speaker 1: It's The Morning Show with Preston Scott. Eleven minutes after
- 5:22Speaker 1: the hour, James Carafano with us from the Heritage Foundation.
- 5:25Speaker 1: We're talking about military recruiting. This has been an issue.
- 5:28Speaker 1: I've gotten a lot of email about how do we
- 5:31Speaker 1: turn this around? James, what would your response be. I mean,
- 5:34Speaker 1: let's say you and I have kids that are you know,
- 5:38Speaker 1: they're they're from an from an intelligence standpoint, They've got
- 5:42Speaker 1: their their high school out of the way, they're maybe
- 5:45Speaker 1: taking some college, they're physically fit. But would you want
- 5:49Speaker 1: them to serve under the leadership that is leading our
- 5:52Speaker 1: nation's military right now?
- 5:54Speaker 2: Well, uh, look, you know I would. Look. I think
- 5:58Speaker 2: I was in the military, Jimmy Carter is when I
- 6:01Speaker 2: first came in, and it was probably it wouldn't in
- 6:04Speaker 2: badness now. But I still think military service is a
- 6:08Speaker 2: great opportunity and a great thing for kids. And there's
- 6:10Speaker 2: a lot of sergeants and captains and young leaders out
- 6:14Speaker 2: there who want to take care of these kids and
- 6:16Speaker 2: serve them well. So I think the politics will turn around.
- 6:19Speaker 2: I still think the military is great. I'll tell you
- 6:21Speaker 2: what the problem is not and the solution is not
- 6:25Speaker 2: a draft. You probably saw this thing where there's a
- 6:27Speaker 2: bill they want to draft women, which has nothing to
- 6:32Speaker 2: do with military readiness at all. First of all, women
- 6:37Speaker 2: have plenty of opportunity to serve in the military, so
- 6:39Speaker 2: it's not like it's an equal opportunity thing. The second
- 6:42Speaker 2: thing is is the draft is completely useless. If eighty
- 6:45Speaker 2: percent of the of the draft pool is ineligible to serve,
- 6:49Speaker 2: you're drafting the people who are volunteering. So it's it's nonsensical.
- 6:55Speaker 2: We don't have training ground, we don't have equipment to
- 6:59Speaker 2: outfit a draft military. So the draft is really an anachronism.
- 7:03Speaker 2: It's something you would be if if we needed to
- 7:07Speaker 2: put twenty million people under arms, which I hope our
- 7:10Speaker 2: foreign policy never gets kind of that screwed up. So
- 7:13Speaker 2: it's about it's about woke politics and about erasing the
- 7:17Speaker 2: difference between men and women. It's not a serious thing.
- 7:20Speaker 2: And see to see Congress kind of messing around with it,
- 7:23Speaker 2: and then people always say, well, we should draft everybody, right, Well,
- 7:25Speaker 2: the problem with that is, you know, again most people
- 7:28Speaker 2: aren't eligible for the draft too. You're only in the
- 7:30Speaker 2: military for two years. So by the time you get trained,
- 7:32Speaker 2: you're gone. It's very, very expensive. It's not efficient at all.
- 7:36Speaker 2: And people say, well they'll learn discipline. Well look right
- 7:39Speaker 2: now they're learning to go to drag shows. The military
- 7:45Speaker 2: is not. You can build character in the military, but
- 7:48Speaker 2: you have to be a person of character when you
- 7:50Speaker 2: go in. I mean, I learned my character before I
- 7:53Speaker 2: went to West Point. And again it goes back to families.
- 7:57Speaker 2: So if you ask me, what what What's the first
- 7:59Speaker 2: thing I would two if I wanted to have a
- 8:03Speaker 2: stronger military is I would start to work on the
- 8:07Speaker 2: things that build healthy, strong families in America.
- 8:11Speaker 1: But and I don't disagree with one thing you're saying, James,
- 8:16Speaker 1: But if the people at the very top that are
- 8:18Speaker 1: making ultimately the decisions on deployments and so forth, I
- 8:23Speaker 1: always have felt high regard for those in in you know,
- 8:28Speaker 1: the basic levels of military leadership, but higher command, the
- 8:33Speaker 1: people that are ordering all of this wake ideology down
- 8:36Speaker 1: the chain. I feel as though until that changes, I'm
- 8:41Speaker 1: not sure I'm sacrificing or recommending my child sacrifice himself.
- 8:46Speaker 2: At that point, Well I would I'd take two thing.
- 8:48Speaker 2: One as uh, you know, the nation still has to
- 8:51Speaker 2: be defended. Uh, here's where I agree with you. I
- 8:54Speaker 2: think we should find there's virtually I can I can
- 8:56Speaker 2: think of maybe one or two I would fire. Most
- 8:58Speaker 2: of the generals agree. These are all people that got
- 9:02Speaker 2: promoted initially under Obama, and they were all designed to
- 9:06Speaker 2: give us a political military leadership, not in leadership dedicated
- 9:10Speaker 2: to military service. So they're all corrupted. Most of them
- 9:13Speaker 2: should go. The political leaders should go. The political leadership
- 9:17Speaker 2: of the Pentagon should completely go. But this is a
- 9:19Speaker 2: fixable problem. We had a terrible military inn or Jimmy Carter,
- 9:22Speaker 2: we fixed it. But they all should be gone. That's
- 9:24Speaker 2: the thing. But here's the thing. You're absolutely right. People.
- 9:28Speaker 2: The number one reason people enlist, and more importantly re
- 9:34Speaker 2: enlist and stay in the military, the number one reason
- 9:38Speaker 2: is they feel like they're doing something useful. It's not
- 9:42Speaker 2: pay it's not the GI bill, it's not promotions, it's
- 9:46Speaker 2: not pay raises. It is and I feel like I
- 9:51Speaker 2: am contributing to something positive and constructive. And so you're right.
- 9:56Speaker 2: When you throw kids in Afghanistan and then you tell
- 9:59Speaker 2: all this is it's just a big mistake. We're relieving
- 10:01Speaker 2: and then thirteen die and you say, oh, it's a
- 10:03Speaker 2: perfect operation that does not instill trusting competence in the
- 10:07Speaker 2: rank and files. The military.
- 10:12Speaker 1: Final a few minutes with James Carafano of the Heritage Foundation.
- 10:16Speaker 1: James is a national security expert. So let's zero in
- 10:19Speaker 1: on that. I've long wondered, you know why China Russia
- 10:23Speaker 1: doesn't just go for it? Because I feel like we
- 10:26Speaker 1: are that compromise with our military, our numbers and so
- 10:29Speaker 1: forth right now. Plus you know, we got a bunch
- 10:31Speaker 1: of guys more concerned with you know, personal pronouns than
- 10:34Speaker 1: military tactics. James, is the Second Amendment one of those
- 10:38Speaker 1: things that kind of keeps us safe.
- 10:42Speaker 2: Look, I thought the thing that China, Russia and Ran
- 10:45Speaker 2: all that in common is they want to roll without America.
- 10:48Speaker 2: But they also want to win a war without fighting.
- 10:51Speaker 2: And it doesn't mean they're not averse to fighting war.
- 10:53Speaker 2: They don't really want to fight a war directly with US,
- 10:55Speaker 2: and nobody wants to come and invade the United States.
- 10:58Speaker 2: So and part of it is second of them, right,
- 11:01Speaker 2: America as a country is a super hard target, which
- 11:04Speaker 2: is things why open border is so unbelievably stupid, Because
- 11:08Speaker 2: we were creating our own vulnerability that didn't exist until
- 11:11Speaker 2: we created it. They want to beat us by having
- 11:14Speaker 2: us withdraw in the world, weaken ourselves, not be seen
- 11:17Speaker 2: as a good ally. That's why declining military writing thiss
- 11:20Speaker 2: is so freaking dangerous because it could accidentally lead towards
- 11:24Speaker 2: and it couldn't intentionally do wards that they escalate, like
- 11:26Speaker 2: the invasion of Ukraine. So if people are seriously interested
- 11:30Speaker 2: in this, what I recommend is we have this on
- 11:32Speaker 2: our website. It's called the US Index of Military Strengths.
- 11:35Speaker 2: They just have to go on a search engine. You
- 11:37Speaker 2: can find it in two seconds. It is the only
- 11:40Speaker 2: it is the only objective assessment of the US military
- 11:46Speaker 2: in the world. The Pentagon doesn't even do this. It's
- 11:49Speaker 2: the same measure every year in and out, whether it's
- 11:52Speaker 2: a Republican, an officer, Democrat in office, and it looks
- 11:55Speaker 2: at the US, it looks at its enemies, looks where
- 11:57Speaker 2: we have to fight. It is a It's like hundred
- 12:00Speaker 2: pages and thousands of the notes. It's unbelievable, and you
- 12:03Speaker 2: can find that info. But here's the root it all
- 12:05Speaker 2: leads to, because it does go back to who is
- 12:10Speaker 2: the president of United States? And not until few people
- 12:14Speaker 2: who vote for him, not Republican A Democrats doesn't marry me.
- 12:16Speaker 2: I'm a dog in the fight. But look, people say, well,
- 12:19Speaker 2: I'm voting on taxes, I'm voting on the orange chair,
- 12:22Speaker 2: I'm voting on the Hyeno ass right, And the reality
- 12:26Speaker 2: is that it doesn't matter what you think you're voting for.
- 12:29Speaker 2: You are voting for the commander in chief of the
- 12:31Speaker 2: United States, whether you want to believe that or not,
- 12:33Speaker 2: whether you care or not, you are and the kind
- 12:35Speaker 2: of military you're going to get is dependent upon the
- 12:39Speaker 2: person that you elect. And I know because I've seen
- 12:43Speaker 2: this for decades. I came in the army under Jimmy Carter,
- 12:46Speaker 2: I saw the army under Ronald Reagan, Bill Clinton, the
- 12:49Speaker 2: Bush's Arack Afghanistan. I've seen all these things and it
- 12:54Speaker 2: all traces back to the person you put in the
- 12:56Speaker 2: Oval office. So if you don't like the military you have,
- 12:59Speaker 2: you just have to say, how, why did that election
- 13:02Speaker 2: turn out the way it is?
- 13:04Speaker 1: Could it be argued that is the single most important
- 13:07Speaker 1: thing that we're voting on.
- 13:09Speaker 2: Always it always is. And you know, we ended the
- 13:14Speaker 2: Cold War and we thought, you know, we're never going
- 13:16Speaker 2: to have to think but if actually, if you take Iran, China,
- 13:19Speaker 2: and Russia together and look at their total military and
- 13:25Speaker 2: economic power, that is actually a more significant threat than
- 13:29Speaker 2: dealing with the Soviet Union at the height of the
- 13:30Speaker 2: Cold War, and they have more nuclear weapons than the
- 13:33Speaker 2: Soviet Union did of Co War.
- 13:35Speaker 1: If I were to if I were to ask you, James,
- 13:37Speaker 1: to grade us right now, just taking that military strength
- 13:42Speaker 1: index that you have and I'm looking at right now
- 13:45Speaker 1: and boil it down for us, distill it. If you
- 13:48Speaker 1: were to grade us A through F, what grade would
- 13:50Speaker 1: you give us right now in our readiness to act
- 13:53Speaker 1: on more than one front?
- 13:55Speaker 2: Most well, we're an F at being able to act
- 13:58Speaker 2: on more than one front.
- 13:59Speaker 1: Were a D.
- 14:01Speaker 2: Basically overall, the number one issue we have right now
- 14:05Speaker 2: is we need a much bigger maritime force in the
- 14:09Speaker 2: Pacific to deter the Chinese. And people can't say, just
- 14:12Speaker 2: pivot to the Pacific because seventy percent of the US
- 14:14Speaker 2: Navy's already in the Pacific. If we move the rest
- 14:16Speaker 2: of it there won't be able to do anything. So
- 14:18Speaker 2: we need to build a navy that's worthy of the
- 14:21Speaker 2: United States. That's our number one mission number two, which
- 14:24Speaker 2: in ten years will be even more important, and nobody
- 14:27Speaker 2: gets this matter. Nobody gets the fact that Paris actually
- 14:31Speaker 2: is the chief space officer in the United States, head
- 14:34Speaker 2: of the UK Space Council. We just stranded two astronauts
- 14:36Speaker 2: in space for a year. In ten years, who dominates
- 14:42Speaker 2: in space is who's going to win wars on our period?
- 14:45Speaker 2: Drop mic end of statements.
- 14:47Speaker 1: Yeah, it's the high ground.
- 14:48Speaker 2: It is. It is not just the high ground, it
- 14:51Speaker 2: is controlling the universe. I'm my friend, I mean this
- 14:55Speaker 2: is going to mean everything. So after we build the
- 14:58Speaker 2: world's strongest made we have about fifteen years to catch
- 15:03Speaker 2: up and beat the Chinese in space. Otherwise we're all
- 15:07Speaker 2: going to be working for them.
- 15:11Speaker 1: I think that pretty well sums it up. Chicks, Thank
- 15:16Speaker 1: you for the time this morning.
- 15:17Speaker 2: Man.
- 15:18Speaker 1: I appreciate the visit and I hope we can get
- 15:20Speaker 1: you back on here sometime soon. That'd be great, Thank you, sir.
- 15:23Speaker 1: All right, James Carafinal with us and he's with the
- 15:27Speaker 1: Heritage Foundation. What do you think is that pretty much
- 15:29Speaker 1: sum it up? You better build up the navy. Weren't
- 15:33Speaker 1: we just talking about shipbuilding last week? How China is
- 15:38Speaker 1: just just destroying us in building ships, subs destroyers and
- 15:45Speaker 1: now he's talking space. We had a fifteen year window.
- 15:50Speaker 1: Twenty seven past the hour, It's The Morning Show with
- 15:52Speaker 1: Preston Scott