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MLB ALCS + NHL + NFL Best Bets Monday 10/20/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:02
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: Own seven run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:09
  Speaker 2: It was just complete bullshit.
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: So that's that's what I'm gonna start off this show.
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: Horrible Sunday one and five.
• 0:16
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
• 0:18
  Speaker 2: I just don't want to do this anymore. I have
• 0:20
  Speaker 2: never seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing.
• 0:25
  Speaker 2: Two straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four,
• 0:29
  Speaker 2: I have not had a good season.
• 0:32
  Speaker 1: Man with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: slump continues.
• 0:38
  Speaker 2: I've reached a new pink. Actually, I'm going to burn
• 0:42
  Speaker 2: my browins hat Man. I don't know what is going
• 0:44
  Speaker 2: on with the bruins, our shape? Is that what it is?
• 0:47
  Speaker 2: I don't even know it's It's March ninth, I think
• 0:51
  Speaker 2: who even knows? Man, I don't know what day it
• 0:53
  Speaker 2: is anymore. I don't even know what day is anymore.
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: Man, back with you after the worst day that I
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: could POSSI, they have back with you as I always am.
• 1:03
  Speaker 2: Until I die at least oh and two. Yesterday and
• 1:07
  Speaker 2: yesterday did not go well for me.
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:14
  Speaker 2: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: To the slumpterdays, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:21
  Speaker 2: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
• 1:26
  Speaker 1: other than potentially end it all. Yeah, that's how I feel,
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: h having felt this way in a while, because we've
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: been running good until yesterday.
• 1:41
  Speaker 2: What's up, everybody? It's better off dead. I'm toad.
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: It's Monday, I think October twentieth one and three on
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: the show Yesterday, NFL obviously did not go well. New
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: Orleans Saints put themselves in a hole. Made it look
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: like maybe they'd be able to come back yet within
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: that number that didn't happen. I did not even watch
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: any of the game. Haven't looked at the box score.
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: It was a loss Denver. I'm just gonna I'm gonna
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: stop giving out plays on teams. In that return from London, man,
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know what else to say about it, Like,
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: I don't know what that was. Although I'm a Jackson
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: Dart fans, it was good to see him look good
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: in a very difficult environment.
• 2:23
  Speaker 2: He wasn't bad.
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: I mean, actually both quarterbacks are struggling ish early, especially
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: bo Nicks. They wound up kind of having even ish
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: stats between the two of them on the on the game,
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: but that was ridiculous if you didn't see it.
• 2:39
  Speaker 2: Giants had a nineteen to nothing league going into the
• 2:41
  Speaker 2: fourth quarter.
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: It looked like game basically over and then their their
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: defense was really the reason why they lost that game.
• 2:49
  Speaker 2: They completely imploded.
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: Denver had the biggest the largest amount of points scored
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: in the fourth quarter by any team that had not
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: sc through the first three quarters ever in an NFL game,
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: with thirty three in the fourth quarter to win thirty
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: three to thirty two. And probably the Giants still should
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: have won the game because they missed two extra points
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: in the game because they have some kicker that I
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: think they just picked up off of the street. I
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: have no idea who this guy is, and he missed
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: the crucial extra point at the end of the game.
• 3:25
  Speaker 2: After Jackson Dart rushed it in.
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: Although the refs pretty much gave the Giants an entire
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: drive on two pass interference penalties I think, or one
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: pass interference and one other penalty. If forget I think
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: it was too bad. Yeah, I think it was too
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: pass interference. Whatever it was. They get in they're about
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: to go up three. Oh yeah, let's miss another extra point.
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: Don't even know who that kicker is. The Giants had
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: signed Yungway Ku, and I don't know where that guy
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: is because it wasn't him. He's at least an experienced kicker.
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: The Falcons got rid of him after he missed that
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: crucial field goal in the first game, but I mean
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: he he could still do things. I think he's got
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: to be better than whoever the hell this Giants kicker
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: is right now, I don't know what the hell that was.
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: And then, of course Denver is able to get like
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: one huge play basically get into field goal range. They
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: wind up winning the game. Although I had Denver and
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: Survivor full disclosure, I was, dude, I should just go
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: with the balls your Survivor picks.
• 4:23
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: The last three weeks, I was seriously considering Saints Raiders, Browns,
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: and I'd still be alive and I'd have used those teams,
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: which You're never gonna want to use those teams again. Man,
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: I should have just done it. I absolutely should have
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: done it. I'm still alive though, and I'm still alive
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: in College Football Survivor as well US, so there is that.
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I mean, I was basically preparing my funeral yesterday,
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: figuring out what I was gonna write on my tombstone
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: because I thought Denver was done.
• 4:56
  Speaker 2: And of course they still didn't cover. Obviously they had
• 4:58
  Speaker 2: no chance to cover that number.
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: So that's great, other than you know, maybe if there
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: was a pick six or a fumble six there instead
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: of that Dart touchdown drive with the Dart run into
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: the end zone there, I don't know. And then the
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: Anaheim Ducks also lost, so that was great. We lose
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: a road favorite there that was a one to one
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: game and they lose in either overtime or shootout.
• 5:21
  Speaker 2: I didn't watch any of the game.
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: I didn't look at the stats yet to see if
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: it was anything misleading about it. Don't know, I could
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: dig into it later. And then the San Francisco forty
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: nine ers did get the win for US, a really
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: good defensive performance man, And I forgot to even mention
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: that San Francisco actually lost Warner as well, who is
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: basically their cap He's their captain on defense, so they're
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: without their two best defensive players at this point, and
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: their defense was still really good last night. Robert Sala,
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: I mean, he's the real deal, man, He's he sucks
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: as a head coach, or maybe the Jets organization just
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: really really sucks, but he's been excellent as a DC
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: in Sar Francisco, saraan Cisco, I think they have the
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: best coaching staff in the league, man.
• 6:07
  Speaker 2: I mean what they're doing with that.
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: Team, Like that team is absolutely crippled by injuries. They
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: have nobody on that team and they're five and two
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: when they keep winning, it's crazy.
• 6:17
  Speaker 2: Their defense looks good. I mean it's insane.
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: So we did get the win on that one, so
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: at least there was that Jeffrey, what's up man, thanks
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: for hanging out. Doesn't reflect well on the Giants. It
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: doesn't reflect well on the Giants a defense, that's for sure.
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: I know Dart had that one really ugly pick during
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: that fourth quarter, but I don't think it was The
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: loss was not really on him, man. He was better
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: early in the game. Like he he did way better
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: than I thought he would. I thought he was gonna
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: get crushed by that Denver defense. He didn't really, I
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: mean he was not really intimidated. I mean that was
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: Denver might have the best defense in the NFL, man,
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're one of the top few defenses. And
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: for the Giants to put up that many points in
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: that game on the road.
• 7:01
  Speaker 2: I don't really think it was Dart's fault.
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: It was the Giants defense was a fault there, and
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: maybe some of the coaching and the kicker. I think
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: they're more fault than Dart is Dart maybe slightly because
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: he did have that one big mistake.
• 7:16
  Speaker 2: But he was pretty good overall, or at least not.
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: I know, completion percentage wasn't that good, but he wasn't
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: that bad.
• 7:24
  Speaker 2: Redskins game is brutal.
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I should have given out Dallas as a play,
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: to be honest, I mean I had Dallas right. It
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: was one of my worst pick them weeks, so I
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: apologize for that. I told you the board was really
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: difficult for me to read this week. Dallas was one
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: of the ones that I got correct. Jaydon Daniels got
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: hurt in the game too, but I think Dallas was
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: gonna win anyway.
• 7:45
  Speaker 2: That Washington defense is no good.
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: I know Dallas isn't either, but it also seemed like
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: a game. I told you guys, like, it seemed like
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: a really public over in that game, and it still
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: went over the total. I mean, I was like, I
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: don't think I want to be on an under in
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: that game.
• 8:02
  Speaker 2: Those defenses, they're both bad.
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: Dallas's offenses is pretty good, though, and I was up
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: against Dak Prescott and Pickens in my fantasy league. But
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: I think I'm gonna win anyway. I could go to
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: six and one here in my main league because I've
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: Jonathan Taylor baby, and I have Keenan Allen, and I
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: have Patrick Mahomes. I had the Carolina defense. I'm good
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: at streaming defenses. I'm up by eighty two points in
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: that league and a half point PPR. I have Sam
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: Laporta left tonight. My opponent has Rashad White, Tampa Bay's
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: kicker McLaughlin, and he has fucking who else does he have?
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: I forget he has some wide receiver tonight, so I
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: can't remember which one. So he's got some Nico Collins
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: is who he has, So he has some pretty good
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: players left. I better still win up eighty two points
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: right now, I better still win the Red Wings one again.
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: They're off to a really good start. Man, let's get
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: into today. I'm gonna have two plays today, which are
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: the I'm gonna have a play in the baseball game,
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: so it's it's been a while off for the baseball plays,
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: and then I'm gonna have a hockey play as well.
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: There's not a whole lot going on on the board today,
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: so let's let's do it. Major League Baseball, we do
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: have ALCS Game seven Toronto, as you can see here,
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: is up from minus one twenty to minus one twenty
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: six on the money line, sixty to nine percent of
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: tickets eighty percent of the cash on Toronto. Man if
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: Seattle blows this series, man, I mean that would be
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: very Seattle esque, though, wouldn't it.
• 9:35
  Speaker 2: Seattle.
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: They're a team that's still never made the World Series
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: in their franchise history. They've never been in the World
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: I think they're the only team in Major League Baseball
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: that has never been.
• 9:44
  Speaker 2: In a World Series.
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: There are teams that haven't won a World Series, but
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: they've all been in a World Series before, which I
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: believe includes Milwaukee and San Diego.
• 9:54
  Speaker 2: Seattle hasn't even been there.
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: They're up to to Zho on the road in this series,
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: even though Toronto's a really good home team and now
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: they're on the verge of potentially losing.
• 10:03
  Speaker 2: It comes down to.
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: This one game and they're up three to two and
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: they still might lose. Oh boy, So what do I
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: think about this game? Well, the money is saying Toronto, and.
• 10:14
  Speaker 2: Yeah, you know what, fuck it? This is the best
• 10:17
  Speaker 2: This whole show was the best bets segment. How about that?
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: Even though I don't have a play in the Monday
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: night football games tonight, that sounds weird.
• 10:25
  Speaker 2: Plural whole games shouldn't happen. Man, whoops?
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: Whatever, double best bets? I have two best bets. I'm
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: clicking on the wrong things here. Man, I'm gonna go
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: with Toronto in this game minus one twenty two. I
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: know it would end my bracket. As you guys know,
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: I have Seattle winning the World Series over the Dodgers
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: in my bracket. It's not gonna happen. Man, I'm gonna
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: tell you that right now. Toronto they're really good at home.
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: It comes down to a game seven like this, I
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: just think they're gonna get at Seattle was below five
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: hundred on the road this season, still, mostly because their
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: pitchers are just all worse on the road, and I
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: think that's gonna again be the case here. I know
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: the road team won the first four games of the series,
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: but the last two games were both won by the
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: home team. You got to think that both of these
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: teams are so much better at home than they are
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: on the road. You got to think that that kind
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: of regression trend will continue, and that in a one
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: game like basically we're down to a one game series,
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: you gotta think the home team has an advantage. Partially
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: for that reason, Toronto was fifty four and twenty seven
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: at home this year.
• 11:34
  Speaker 2: Very good at home. I'm not gonna go against it.
• 11:36
  Speaker 2: Toronto was able to do it last night.
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: Yes, Savage was better as I predicted he would be
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: last night. Toronto's bullpen is actually not in a terrible shape.
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: They used one of their back end of their bullpen
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: to finish the game with Hoffman, so he's probably not
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: available here. Although it's game seven, so weird things can
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: happen in game seven. You never really know what's gonna happen.
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: Closer basically has been Dominguez. He's still available. Basically almost
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: their entire bullpen is available here, so that's pretty good
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: for the Jays. Seattle didn't use that much of their
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: bullpen either, but they did use Bizarto, and he is
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: like kind of their closer, so the closer ish. I
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: don't know why they would have used them last night,
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: but they did so. I think Seattle used somewhat more
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: high leverage arms than Toronto did, so even though I
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: think Seattle generally has a better bullpen, I think it
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: kind of evens out. We're gonna go full game on
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: this one.
• 12:33
  Speaker 2: Man. I think the home edge coming.
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: Into play, the bullpen's not really being a huge edge
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: one way or the other, which I think. You can't
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: even get a cheaper price on this if you want
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: to go or I think you can. Actually you can
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: get a cheaper price on the first five inning. Actually
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: you can get minus one twenty I think on Toronto
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: in the first five innings. If you want to go
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: with Toronto in the first five innings, you could do that.
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: I mean, that's another option in this game. I would
• 12:58
  Speaker 1: either I mean I'm recommending full I would either do
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: this or the first five innings on Toronto on the
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: money line, because obviously I do think they have the
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: edge of the starting pitching matchup where I probably would
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: not be doing the full game play either, but that
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: is what I'm doing. Obviously, Toronto also has the better
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: offense here. Toronto's offense has been actually like the best
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: in baseball since.
• 13:19
  Speaker 2: The All Star Break.
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: George Kirby's pitching for Seattle had a pretty good season
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: four point two to one ERA one point one to
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: nine whip wasn't good on the road though, five point
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: one six road ERA. He was significantly worse on the road,
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: like two runs higher ERA wise on the road, and.
• 13:37
  Speaker 2: He wasn't even good at home. In this series.
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: He had one start at home, which that was the
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: other game. I was on Toronto in that game too,
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: by the way, that was the other I think that
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: might have been the only other game I actually gave
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: out a play on in this series. I was on
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: Toronto in that one in Game three when they were
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: down two, and they blew up Kirby even though he
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: was in that pitcher friendly park at home, and he's
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: better at home, and he gave up eight or runs
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: on three on runs in only four innings for strikeouts,
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: two walks.
• 14:04
  Speaker 2: He got absolutely destroyed.
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: I'm not saying he's gonna get wrecked to that degree again,
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: But I don't think that's a good sign.
• 14:11
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: Part of my handicap on that, though, was that he
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: had pitched in that fifteen inning game. He was on
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: somewhat short rest, and part of which he's not really
• 14:22
  Speaker 1: on short rest. Well he's actually he is. He's on
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: the same rest here. So between the first two games
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: of the playoffs, it was he pitched six days later
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: after the first time he pitched against Detroit, but then
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: after the second time he pitched against Detroit, he only
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: pitched five days later. And that's what he's doing again here.
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: So I actually think his schedule was a little bit
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: off here, and he's not really used to the like
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: being on somewhat shorter rest here, he's not really used
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: to the playoff grind. In my opinion, he is the
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: more inexperienced pitcher here. This is a game seven, man,
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: I think experience does matter, and the experience edge is
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: gonna go to Toronto's starting pitcher in this one. It's
• 15:02
  Speaker 1: not gonna go to Kirby. Kirby also is not good
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: against Toronto. Seventy one career bats, he does have a
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: twelve to two strike a walk, ratio against him, which
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: is good, but they've hit him hard. Three ten batting
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: average against him in eight sixty four ohps against him.
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: They hit him well. They have multiple batters who hit
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: him pretty well. So I do not think this looks
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: very good for Kirby and this one for all of
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: those reasons. Bad matchup numbers, bad at home, I excuse you,
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: bad on the road, excuse.
• 15:29
  Speaker 2: Me, inexperience. He's going up against Shane Bieber the Beebes.
• 15:34
  Speaker 2: You know, I like this guy.
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: Even though some of the advanced analytics guys think that
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: Bieber wasn't really that good this year. I look at
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: the old school numbers and I say that he kind
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: of was three point five seventy or a one point
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: zero two whip. I don't think you could have a
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: whip that low and really be considered to be like
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: bad or anything like that. I mean, that is a
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: really good whip. I know it's in a small sample size.
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: I know Bieber was coming back from having tom at
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: John surgery. He missed I think an entire season, But
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: to me, his numbers looked pretty good to me this season.
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: He's a very experienced pitcher. He's either he's a Cy
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: Young winner. He was in the Cy Young race I
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: think multiple times back when he was on Cleveland, and
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: he's pitched in the playoffs before prior to this year
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: or two. He's got the experience, man. I mean, he's
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: a he's a veteran pitcher man. So we're gonna go
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: with him in this one. He was also better at
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: home this year three point two seventy ra. He's made
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: two starts in the playoffs year. He was a little
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: bit shaky against the Yankees in his first one, but
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: he was much better in the next one. He did
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: pitch on like seven days rest, though he pitched eight
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: days later after that Yankee start when he was in
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: that game against Seattle, which, by the way, that was
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: the same pitching matchup that game where I was on Toronto.
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: So I'm going right back to the well and I'm
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: going with Toronto again with the exact same pitching matchup
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: this time which Toronto won that game at Seattle thirteen
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: to four. I'm not saying that's gonna happen again, but
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: I do think it's a pitch mismatch. Bieber gave up
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: I think he gave up two runs in the first
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: ending of that game, and he completely settled down. He
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: wound up with a really nice start and went six innings,
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: eight strikeouts, one walk, remained only allowing those two earned
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: runs on four hits. That's not bad at all. That
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: was a really nice start out of him. He didn't
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: over exert him or overextend himself. He threw eighty eight pitches.
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: That's not bad, you know, not a high pitch total, really,
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: especially for a veteran like him. And the other good
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: thing about Bieber, which I pointed out last time we
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: went with him, is that he didn't pitch that much
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: this season. He came back in late August, so he
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: has not burned out right now. Man, He's only thrown
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: He only threw forty in a the third innings during
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: the I believe during the regular season, and then nice
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: thrown only like eight and two thirds more in the playoffs.
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: So he should be pretty fresh man, just like those
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: Dodgers pitchers.
• 17:51
  Speaker 2: So I think it's a good scenario here.
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: He got a veteran, very experienced pitcher who's been really
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: good throughout his career.
• 17:57
  Speaker 2: He was good this year two.
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: He seems to be back and for him again, and
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: he is not overworked this year, that's all good. He
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: is pitching on the same amount of rest as Kirby
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: this time, though with just four or five days in
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: between these two starts, so he last pitched on that
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: same day, on the fifteenth. But again, I think that's
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: where the experienced factor comes in. He's used to it,
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: He's used to the pressure of, like a situation like this,
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: a really key playoff game like this.
• 18:26
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna go with the experience again with Bieber.
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: But on top of that, he has good numbers against
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: Seattle one hundred and thirty one career of bats.
• 18:34
  Speaker 2: He has a dominant.
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: Fifty two to six strikeout walk ratio against them two
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: twenty one average, a lot of five forty six ohps allowed.
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: So it all lines up pretty well here.
• 18:44
  Speaker 2: We will go with Toronto.
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: The money seems to agree with it as well. Even
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: though the public is somewhat siding with Toronto at this point,
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: they're not always wrong, especially, I mean in baseball, you
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: can only be I mean, there's only one baseball game.
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: It's like, if you're gonna play that game, you gotta
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: choose one side. But it seems like the professional money
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: is on the same side as the public in this one.
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: It does kind of mean the books are probably gonna
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: want that side to go down, but I think it's
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: the right side. The total is sitting at seven and
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: a half, which seems low for a game in Toronto,
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: which is not as pitcher friendly as Seattle's Ballpark. I
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: know it is still a playoff game, though, and you
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: still have two pitchers who are generally pretty good, but
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: I don't think I would want to touch an under
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: in this one. Eighty percent of tickets, ninety three percent
• 19:31
  Speaker 1: of the cash on the over, I would probably agree
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: with that money to a slightly into an over, but
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: I think Toronto was the better way to play this game.
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: That's what we're gonna do here on the show, Toronto
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: Blue Jays to eliminate my bracket, unfortunately, but that's what
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: I think is gonna happen.
• 19:49
  Speaker 2: SOB, what's up man? What do you mean? No? Justin? Justin?
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: Who what are we talking about? You have a plus
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: seventeen hundred ticket on the Blue Jays to win it all? Well,
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: that was a good time to play it after they
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: went down two in the series, or if you would
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: play them on the series price just to win this
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: series that would have been good too. I'm gonna be honest,
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: I think the Dodgers gonna win it again. Their pitching
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: rotation is just too good. Although it's gonna be interesting
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: because Dodgers Blue Jays they both have a weakness in
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: the bullpen, which is gonna be interesting. But I do
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: think the Dodgers' rotation is just so strong. I actually
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: think Seattle would be better equipped to beat Toronto, to
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: beat the Dodgers, because Seattle's a more balanced team. In
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: my opinion, Toronto is more offensive orient than the other.
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: Offense is one of the ones that is almost at
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: the level of the Dodgers, so there is that at least,
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: which Seattle's a little bit behind that. But yeah, it
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: was definitely solid value. You could hedge if you want,
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: once you get I mean you could hedge. Well, I
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: wouldn't hedge he here because I think Toronto's gonna win
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: the game, so probably wouldn't even hedge it on this one.
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: But there is hedging opportunity here if you want, Yes, sir, oh, yeah,
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: Justin Bieber, Yes, Shane is not Justin.
• 21:13
  Speaker 2: Yeah, that is correct. Shane Bieber is in better shape.
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: Than Justin Bieber, right, now all right, Although there was
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: that picture of Justin Bieber wearing a Turning Point USA hoodie.
• 21:24
  Speaker 2: I don't know if that's true or not. Is Justin
• 21:27
  Speaker 2: Bieber a conservative?
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: I have no idea. Let's go to the NHL. Do
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: I really want to talk about every one of these games?
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: There are only five of them.
• 21:36
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna have one play. Let's hit him Minnesota at
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: the Rangers. All these games are in the evening. Rangers
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: are coming up a pretty big win in an Original
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: six matchup against Montreal, good win. Coming up two tough
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: games though against Toronto and Montreal. Actually really they played
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: four difficult opponents in a row. Washington, Edmonton, Toronto, Montreal.
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: I mean all four of those games are actually pretty close.
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: Now they're coming back home, so they are technically returning
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: home from a road trip, which I talk about is
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: being kind of a bad spot because you were away
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: from home for a bit.
• 22:12
  Speaker 2: You got to get back to home life.
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: Although it was only a two game road trip that
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: they stayed in the Eastern time zone, so I don't
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: know how much of an.
• 22:20
  Speaker 2: Effect that really will be.
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: I think Toronto's still in the Eastern times on I
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: might be wrong about that, but Quick was in net
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: in the Montreal game, so they will have Shawstarkin back
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: in net here, who is there starting goalie their top
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: goalie here, But it is still a difficult spot for
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: the Rangers in my opinion, Minnesota coming in they're below
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: five hundred. I don't think Minnesota is a particularly good team,
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: but I think they might actually be in a little
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: bit better shape here. I think they might be in
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: an angry mood because they came off a blowout loss
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: to Washington and they did not bounce back. They lost
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: in overtime to Philadelphia. That is a bad Philadelphia team. Still, man,
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: Minnesota also was not using their starting goalie in that one, Gustuson,
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: So Gustuson will most likely be in net here unless
• 23:08
  Speaker 1: there's an injury or something. But whilst that played in
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: that game against Philadelphia, so to me it looks like
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: more of a bounce back spot from Minnesota. The problem
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: I have with it is that it is still late
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: in a road trip, which sometimes you get a little
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: bit fatigued, and it is the third game in four days,
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: all in different cities, though at least the cities are
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: close ish. Washington Philadelphia, New York. I can't quite get
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: there at that one, but I would have a slight
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: lean to Minnesota on that one. The money's disagreeing and
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: coming in on the Rangers.
• 23:37
  Speaker 2: I don't know, man.
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: The Rangers are also still scoreless at home. They have
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: three games at home and their own three at home,
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: and they haven't scored a goal yet at home, which
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: is ridiculous. Eighty four percent of tickets, ninety six percent
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: of the cash on the Rangers up from minus one
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: twenty minus one thirty. To me, I don't really see it,
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: so I would Minnesota, but I'm not gonna have money
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: on that. The game I'm gonna be playing is the
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: Seattle Philadelphia game, so I have to talk about that
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: shitty game, which I'll talk about in a second. Buffalo
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: at Montreal. Montreal is coming up. That loss to the
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: Rangers still a tough loss, man. I know the Rangers
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: have struggled a little bit at the beginning of the season.
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: I think the Rangers will you will see improvement once
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: they get used to having a Sullivan there as their
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: coach and whatever, and once the guys have kind of
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: bought into his system.
• 24:30
  Speaker 2: Whatever.
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: I do expect the Rangers to start doing better. Montreal
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: is a pretty decent team, though I'm in young. Team
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: made the playoffs last year. But not only was that
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: loss to a pretty decent opponent in the Rangers a
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: tough matchup, they only lost by one goal, but it
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: also broke a four game win streak from Montreal. And
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: by the way, if you look at Montreal's like resume
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: so far, they've lost their games to the two good
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: opponents they faced, Toronto and New York. The Rangers other
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: winsor gets Detroit, that's their best win. I know Detroit's
• 25:03
  Speaker 1: off to a really good start. Still don't think Detroit
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: is really as good as the record looks, but the
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: other wins are Chicago, Seattle in overtime in Nashville and overtime.
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: Non impressive resume so far from Montreal, and though the
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: four and two record looks good, they are still staying
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: at home but coming off a tough game. When you
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: lose a win streak like that, sometimes that will hang
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: you over. They're playing a team that's maybe a little
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: bit under the radar. So I don't love the spot
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: for Montreal, but I also don't love the spot for Buffalo. Obviously,
• 25:32
  Speaker 1: because Buffalo just beat Florida, the returning champs, and now
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: they have to go up to Montreal for one game,
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: coming off an eight to four win over Ottawa prior
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: to that Florida game too, so two like.
• 25:45
  Speaker 2: Really good looking wins.
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: And they haven't given lie In a day off yet,
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: so I don't know if he's gonna be in net
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: again in this one or not. They might decide to
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: rest their goalie at some point, although here it says
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: Lion is projected to be the starter. Here Canadians will
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: definitely go with Montambau because he didn't play in their
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: last game.
• 26:03
  Speaker 2: I'm pretty sure Buffalo we don't even know if it's
• 26:07
  Speaker 2: gonna be.
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: Lyon or whoever their backup is, although I don't think
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: either goalie is really that good, but it is. It
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: looks like a letdown spot to me for Buffalo, and
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: they've also only played one game on the road so
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: far and it was a loss at Boston, so they
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: haven't played on the road much. It's a spot where
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: I really honestly wouldn't want to play either team. But
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: I think the Buffalo letdown spot off of shutting out
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: Florida actually is a worse spot than what Montreal is
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: in right now. So I actually do lean to Montreal.
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: I would agree with the money in this one. Montreal's
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: up for minus one thirty eight to minus one fifty one,
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: eighty three percent of tickets ninety eight percent of the
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: cash on montreal Slight agreement on that one, but I mean,
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: I wouldn't want to touch that game. I don't think
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: either team is in a playable spot there. You're not
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: gonna hedge, man, Honestly, I don't know, man. I mean,
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: I depends how much money you have at stake. Like
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: if it's just a small bet, then I guess just
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: let it ride. But Toronto is gonna have the home advantage,
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: Like whichever team wins the ALCS is gonna have the
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: home advantage I believe over the Dodgers.
• 27:14
  Speaker 2: So there is that, But.
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: The Dodgers are not unbeatable. But I don't know, man,
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: that starting pitching rotation is the best.
• 27:24
  Speaker 2: That there is. I mean, it's it's ridiculous.
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: Uh Yeah, Toronto has a good offense, so they could
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: potentially do that. But Phillies had a good offense, they
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: couldn't do it. Brewers offense wasn't as good though.
• 27:37
  Speaker 2: The Brewers.
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: They scored a decent amount of runs this year, but
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: they don't hit for a lot of power.
• 27:42
  Speaker 2: But the Phillies.
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: Phillies are like a comparable offense to Toronto's on The
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: Dodgers easily dispatched the Phillies too, So I don't know, man,
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: if there's any rotation that cannot hold Toronto's bats down,
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: it would be the Dodgers. Toronto is without Santander now
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: and Bishets. They have lost a couple of their bats,
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: which you know, I still don't think that affects them
• 28:08
  Speaker 1: that much, but it has a little bit of an effect.
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: Winnipeg at Calgary this game, I mean, I don't even
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: know what to say. Calgary has not won since their opener,
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: which was a play on my show. They got the
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: win against Edmonton and to shoot out. Haven't won since.
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: They could very easily be a winless team right now.
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: They played a somewhat difficult schedule though they played four
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: road games so far. They've played Vegas twice. Saint Louis,
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: Utah actually doesn't look like that bad of.
• 28:36
  Speaker 2: A team right now. Vancouver's okay.
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: Now they're playing another difficult team in Winnipeg and calgarys
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: are turning over from a road trip. They've been away
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: since the fifteenth. There was only a two game road trip,
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: still technically a road trip returning though, and they're coming
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: back up from Utah in Vegas, so the distance is
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: a little bit of something. They do have to return home.
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: They do have to get back to home. I don't
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: think they're gonna overlook Winnipeg, though everybody knows Winnipeg is good.
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: Coming off a six to one loss for Calgary, I
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: still think they're gonna have some focus in this game.
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: Winnipeg four and one, off to a good start after
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: they lost their opener, which I think that was a
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: loss for me on the show here.
• 29:17
  Speaker 2: They lost four five to four to Dallas.
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: Winnipeg since then has won every game, but their biggest
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: win is against the La Kings at home. Their other
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: wins are not that impressive Islanders, Flyers, Nashville. But Calgary
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: is also not an impressive team, which, by the way,
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: I should have also said about Buffalo, because Montreal has
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: only beaten bad teams, but Buffalo qualifies as a bad
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: team as well. Calgary certainly also does Winnipeg. They're not
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: quite as good on the road typically. I mean, at
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: least they weren't last year. But both their wins on
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: the road have been pretty easy wins, five to two wins.
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: They're not really in a spot where they're gonna be
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: like looking ahead to anything, we're gonna letdown spot or
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: anything like that. So it might be a spot where
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: Winnipeg does show up. So I would have fade Winnipeg
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: in this one, man, even though you get Calgary as
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: a home underdog here. But I wouldn't want to do it.
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: Winnipeg is public, ninety of the tickets, ninety seven percent
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: of the cash. They're up for minus one forty five
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: to one forty eight on the money line.
• 30:17
  Speaker 2: I just don't really. To me, it looks like the
• 30:19
  Speaker 2: spot is actually a little bit worse for Calgary. So
• 30:22
  Speaker 2: I wouldn't want to do it.
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: But I mean, what I want to lay a road
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: price with Winnipeg here as a really public favorite, No,
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: I wouldn't. Uh So, I mean this is the game
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: that I have the least of an opinion on. Calgary
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: and Winnipeg play again in three to four games. Flames
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: in a desperation spot here, eh, I don't know, man,
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: Vegas Utah. Now, coming back home from that, I would
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: if you force me to lean in this game, I
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: would slightly lean to Winnipeg.
• 30:50
  Speaker 2: But I'm I mean, no way, I'm gonna give that
• 30:53
  Speaker 2: out as a play.
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: Carolina at Vegas is probably the best game, maybe the
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: only good game really on the slate here. Carolina now
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: five and zero after we lost with the Kings with
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: my last minute play on the show the other night,
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: a four to three overtime loss absolutely brutal with Bussy
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: in net for Carolina. Both teams had their second string
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: goalie in net for that game. That does mean that
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: Anderson is gonna be back in net this time for Carolina.
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: Carolina also doing this, by the way, with three straight
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: road wins now. But Vegas is gonna be the most
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: difficult opponent they've faced so far. They have not faced
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: an opponent as good as Vegas so far. Yeah, they're
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: gonna show up for it, but maybe it is maybe
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: it is the spot where Carolina finally drops a game.
• 31:42
  Speaker 2: Both teams are gonna show up for this.
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: I would imagine both teams have no regulation losses Vegas.
• 31:48
  Speaker 1: Both their losses are overtime or shootout. They did lose
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: to the Kings, so people might see that and see, oh,
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: Carolina beat the Kings. The Kings beat Vegas, so Carolina
• 31:57
  Speaker 1: should beat Vegas here right, Vegas is at She had
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: a pretty easy schedule though, since facing the Kings, they
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: face San Jose, Seattle, Calgary twice in Boston.
• 32:08
  Speaker 2: None of those teams are very.
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: Good, so Vegas had an easy schedule so far. But
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: I do think they're gonna step it up for this game.
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: They do have momentum at least right now, after three
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: straight wins.
• 32:18
  Speaker 2: They easily took care of.
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: Calgary again, even though Calgary was in a road revenge angle,
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: there didn't even matter. I don't know who the goalie
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: is gonna be for Vegas in this one. When I
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: looked here, it looked like it was slated to still
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: be Hill, who is sort of their.
• 32:35
  Speaker 2: First string goalie, but they've been using him and Schmidt equally.
• 32:39
  Speaker 2: Hill is probably still the better of the two goalies.
• 32:41
  Speaker 2: I don't love either goalie, to be honest, but I
• 32:44
  Speaker 2: don't know.
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: Man a spot like this, Carolina maybe a little bit
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: fatigued here still.
• 32:49
  Speaker 2: On the road.
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: I mean, I'm tempted to say Vegas is the lead
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: in this game, but the money is coming in against it.
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: Vegas down for minus one seventeen to minus one ten
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: on the money, seventy four tickets on Vegas, fifty nine
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Carolina. I don't exactly see it.
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna be honest, I don't. I think the travel
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: spot's a lot better for Vegas. They got momentum, they're
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: just staying at home. Carolina having to step up in
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: class more here, both teams are having to step up
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: in class for this game. So the scheduling, like the
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: strength of schedule is somewhat weak on both sides here.
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: But Carolina, you know, they're in the middle of a
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: road trip here, They're having to do travel and coming
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: off that win, you know, in overtime over La two nights,
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: I think the spot is a little bit worse for them,
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: even though it's not like the travel is that insane.
• 33:41
  Speaker 1: The last few games Anaheim, La Vegas, all of those
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: are fairly close to each other. But still I'm gonna
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: lean to Vegas in that one and disagree with the market,
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: but a very small lean there, all right, And then
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: my play this is the best best segment anyway, man
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: show's best bets. We're gonna go with Philadelphia minus one thirty.
• 34:03
  Speaker 1: That is the play.
• 34:05
  Speaker 2: The money seemingly is agreeing with this.
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: Up for minus one twenty two to minus one twenty six.
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: Maybe you can find a better number of the minus
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: one thirty out there. Sixty one percent ticket, seventy five
• 34:14
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Philadelphia. This is a play
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: against Seattle, though, I mean, I don't think Seattle's that good.
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: They're sitting at three to zero two right now, so
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: they have no regulation losses so far. But they also
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: have not been as good on the road, and this
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: is gonna be their fourth straight road game with one
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: day off in between each game. But they're kind of
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: doing a lot of travel here.
• 34:35
  Speaker 2: Man. They had to do the Canada leg Montreal, Autawa, Toronto.
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: That's not that easy. They gotta win over Toronto in
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: the last game in overtime. Their last four games have
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: all been overtime games, with the Ottawa one going to
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: a shootout as well, So this could be a pretty
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: fatigued Seattle team right now. Man, four overtime games in
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: a row, three overtime games since October fourteenth, all in
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: different cities. That's and now they're coming off finally getting
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: a win in one of them against Toronto. They do
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: have a couple of good wins, no doubt, against Vegas
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: and Toronto.
• 35:08
  Speaker 2: They face some difficult teams. Montreal and Ottawa are not
• 35:11
  Speaker 2: that bad either.
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: But I think it could be a sandwich spot here
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: at this point, man, I think it could be a
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: little bit of a letdown off of that big overtime
• 35:17
  Speaker 1: win over Toronto. Always pretty big when you beat Toronto.
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: Now you have to go and face the Philadelphia Flyers,
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: not a good team where I don't think is really
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: going to attract that much attention. And after this they
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: have to play Washington tomorrow, and then they have to
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: go all the way to Winnipeg, and then they get Edmonton.
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: Then they get Montreal again and revenge, and then the
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: Rangers if that matters. But if you're looking at the schedule,
• 35:40
  Speaker 1: this looks like the flat spot to me, man, this
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: looks like the one team that they might overlook through
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: that entire stretch. So I think it is a pretty
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: bad spot for Seattle. Looks like a spot where they
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: might get caught. They will probably have to Cord back
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: in Net again because he is their goal who plays
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: the majority of games. Groob Hours, their backup to Cord
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: played in against Toronto, so he's not gonna be totally
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: fresh here, but I assume it will be him again
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: because he did.
• 36:05
  Speaker 2: Have a break between the fourteenth and the eighteenth.
• 36:08
  Speaker 1: He's a decent goalie, but I still think it's a
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: bad spot here man.
• 36:13
  Speaker 2: For Seattle. Philadelphia off to a two two and one start,
• 36:16
  Speaker 2: which isn't too bad. They did have a win over Florida.
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: They actually played Florida and Carolina pretty close prior to that,
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: and they do have an overtime win against Minnesota.
• 36:25
  Speaker 2: Minnesota is not that bad of a team either.
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: And their other loss was a winner for me on
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: the show with Winnipeg, a winner for us baby, because
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: I give out those plays. Philadelphia has had a pretty
• 36:35
  Speaker 1: difficult schedule, man, They haven't really had any letup. Like
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: Seattle is actually gonna be the least team that they
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: faced so far. I would say, despite the fact they're
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: three to zero to two so far, I think Seattle
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: might be the worst team that Philadelphia is gonna have
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: faced so far. So it's actually a step down in
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: class for Philadelphia. I know they're also coming off of
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: an overtime game, but at least they're still staying at home.
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: I don't know if it's gonna bevlaidh Ersen in net year,
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: it looked like it was slated to be Vlidaur according
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: to this website here. I don't know if it actually
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: will be because they've been alternating goalies. But for Philadelphia,
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: just like last year, I don't think it matters which
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: goalie it is, to be honest, I know they've lost
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: both Arson games so far.
• 37:17
  Speaker 2: Both their wins came with Floidare in net.
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: He's played better than Arson, but I don't think it
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: matters that much. I just think the spot is terrible
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: for Seattle. So the play is gonna be on Philadelphia
• 37:29
  Speaker 1: in that game, and that is the hockey play. Yes,
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: Seattle playing Washington tomorrow on the road in a back
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: to back, which I think is a look ahead spot. Fernando,
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: it's up man both teams coming off of overtime. Should
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: that be an automatic under I would say not necessarily,
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: because the fatigue can affect the defense as well. I
• 37:51
  Speaker 1: don't do a whole lot with NHL totals. I was
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: mostly an over player in the NHL. We don't see
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: anything with the market on this yet as far as
• 37:59
  Speaker 1: like where the money is coming in on the total
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: here totals at five and a half juice to the over,
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: I would I might actually lead to an over in
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: that game. I mean, I don't trust either goal like
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: I'm not sure I trust either goaltending situation to be honest.
• 38:15
  Speaker 2: Like either team's goalie.
• 38:17
  Speaker 1: I think the defense could be a little bit fatigued
• 38:20
  Speaker 1: after doing that, so but I mean, you're right, it
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: might slow down the offense too, but I think it
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: takes more effort to play defense than offense. So that's
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: kind of the way that I see it. But again,
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: I'm not really much of a totals guy, although I
• 38:32
  Speaker 1: did only play overs in hockey last year, and when
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: I was playing overs, it would kind of be like
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: a I mean, those are the only totals I played
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: in hockey. I'm almost entirely a side player. The only
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: totals I really do are baseball. But the when I
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: did do totals last year in the in the NHW,
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: they were all overs and they tended to be in
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: spots like kind of like this where I thought the
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: teams were both like fatigued. But I kind of wanted
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: to do it more when I thought the teams might
• 38:59
  Speaker 1: be unfocused too, because playing defense also requires focus. I
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: don't know if that answers your question. It's kind of
• 39:07
  Speaker 1: a vague answer, but I would have a slight opinion
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: on the over in that game. That would be my opinion,
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: But I don't know what I'm talking about. So NFL,
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: we have the two Monday night games here, and this
• 39:20
  Speaker 1: will be the.
• 39:22
  Speaker 2: The way that we end the show.
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: We always end the show on Football Man, because it's
• 39:25
  Speaker 1: I have to save the thing that everybody likes the
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: best for last. We have another one of these stupid
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: Monday night double header as although this one is actually
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: a doubleheader because you get both games televised by ESPN
• 39:38
  Speaker 1: and they're separated by three hours. The first game is
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: gonna be on ABC and ESPN, So I think if
• 39:43
  Speaker 1: the first game runs into the start time of the
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: second game, the first game will remain televised on ABC
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: and ESPN is gonna switch to the second game. I think,
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: I don't know. Tampa at Detroit is the first game. Detroit,
• 39:58
  Speaker 1: as I pointed out on my show on Saturday Night
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: when I did the NFL show, Detroit moved up from
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: a four and a half point favorite to a six
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: point favorite, And we did see that it looked like
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: Detroit was the public side. It looked like based on
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: the ticket percentage, and it looked like less of the
• 40:12
  Speaker 1: money was on Detroit. But now it's looking like that
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: may not be the case. And I told like I said,
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: I didn't think that was really the case. I thought
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: that was actually a legitimate move on Detroit up from
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: four and a half to six. I thought that was
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: actually professional money coming in on that side. And I
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: didn't think that it was a fake move either, because
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: if you're planning on taking the Tampa Bay plus the points, like,
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: why does it matter if it's through these dead numbers.
• 40:35
  Speaker 2: Of five, five and a half. Those are not key numbers.
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: So it didn't make sense that it would be like
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: professionals trying to like dummy up the line to get
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: a better number. They're not gonna try to get it
• 40:44
  Speaker 1: to all the way to seven because it's not gonna happen,
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: and it didn't happen. Sixty five percent of tickets and
• 40:50
  Speaker 1: cash now on Detroit. I think the line move was legit.
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: So I'm still leaning to Detroit in this game. I
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: think Detroit is in a bounce back spot here. They're
• 40:59
  Speaker 1: coming I know they're coming off of a high profile
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: game against Kansas City, but they didn't look good in
• 41:04
  Speaker 1: that game. It was a second straight road game. I
• 41:07
  Speaker 1: leaned to Kansas City in that game on my show.
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: The game I think was worse, like the score makes
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: it look worse than it actually was, too, because Kansas
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: City got a lot of helpful refing calls in that
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: game too. When you have a team that looked really
• 41:21
  Speaker 1: bad in primetime like Detroit did, sometimes the public will
• 41:24
  Speaker 1: have a tendency to not really want to be on
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: them as much as well, and I think that team
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: has a tendency to bounce back.
• 41:30
  Speaker 2: And they do at least have.
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: An extra day of rest here because I know they
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: played on Sunday night, so if they had to turn
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: around and play on Sunday, they might be on somewhat
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: shorter rest.
• 41:40
  Speaker 2: They still have a little bit less rest.
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: Than Tampa does, but they get to come back home
• 41:44
  Speaker 1: here and they get to play on Monday instead of Sunday,
• 41:47
  Speaker 1: So I think that's fine.
• 41:49
  Speaker 2: I think it's a bounced back spot for Detroit.
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: We saw what they did after they lost their home,
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: their excuse me, their open or on the road to
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: Green Bay. They bounced back in a big way and
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: absolutely destroyed Chicago. So I think if they are gonna
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: if they can come out and do that, I think
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: they're gonna do it. And as I pointed out on
• 42:05
  Speaker 1: my show the other night, this is actually a revenge
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: spot for Detroit as well. I don't know how much
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: that really factors into it, but they did lose at
• 42:12
  Speaker 1: home to Detroit. Excuse me, they lost at home to
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay early in the season last year, So Detroit
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: probably remembers that that was a big revenge spot for
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay in that game last year because Detroit had
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: eliminated Tampa from the playoffs the year prior to that.
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: Tampa came into Detroit in Week two last year and
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: they beat Detroit. So now I think the shoe is
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: kind of on the other foot here. I think Detroit
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: is gonna want to show up.
• 42:38
  Speaker 2: And beat these guys.
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: I mean, both teams are gonna show up, but I
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: actually think Tampa is somewhat overrated.
• 42:44
  Speaker 2: As I've been pointing.
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: Out, Tampa four of their five wins, they were losing
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: four of those five games in the final basically like
• 42:54
  Speaker 1: two minutes of the game. They were losing in the
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: final minutes of the games against Atlanta, Houston, the and Seattle.
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: So how good is this Tampa team. I think they're
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're probably gonna be a playoff team at
• 43:07
  Speaker 1: this point. But just like I thought last year, I
• 43:09
  Speaker 1: think they're a bit overrated right now. Man, Like those
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: games all came down to basically coin flips.
• 43:15
  Speaker 2: They could have easily lost.
• 43:16
  Speaker 1: All of those games, and you know, law of averages
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: basically says they should have lost two out of the
• 43:21
  Speaker 1: four basically because you know, it's like if you have
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: four coin flips, that's just kind of the law of averages.
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: So Tampa Bay kind of a misleading five and one
• 43:31
  Speaker 1: where they could easily be three and three right now
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: for sure. And they were getting blown out by Philadelphia
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: at home too, so that was somewhat of a misleading
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: final score to after Philadelphia just completely like stopped playing
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: in the second half of that game for whatever reason.
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: I think it's a difficult spot, man, Tampa. I mean,
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: they're games on the road. Yes, they won both of them,
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: but those are both wins they pulled out of their ass.
• 43:58
  Speaker 1: The one against Seattle. Seattle had a very beat up
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: defense in that one. I don't think it's gonna be
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: the same here, man. Detroit is kind of a different animal.
• 44:05
  Speaker 1: Tampa's coming out a nice win over San Francisco, which
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: makes Tampa look even better because San Francisco looked pretty
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: good last night.
• 44:13
  Speaker 2: But especially defensively.
• 44:15
  Speaker 1: But still, San Francisco was in a bad spot in
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: that one, having to travel east off of an upset.
• 44:22
  Speaker 2: Of the Rams.
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: San Francisco is kind of in a letdown spot there.
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: So I still think this is not a great spot
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: for Tampa. I think maybe that win doesn't even look
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: as great as it was. The game could have been
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: closer than it was as well on the score, but
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: with San Francisco there, I think San Francisco had a
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: couple of turnovers. So I still think Tampa bay The
• 44:40
  Speaker 1: record is more misleading than Detroit's record.
• 44:42
  Speaker 2: Let's just put it that way.
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: And I always kind of talking about when you have
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: a team, you have two good teams like this, you
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: have a one loss Tampa team and I believe a
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: two loss Detroit team, and Detroit is favored by close
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: to a touchdown.
• 44:56
  Speaker 2: The public has a tendency to think that that line
• 44:58
  Speaker 2: is too high.
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: So I tend to think that the favorite actually is
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: the way to look in most of those games. And
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: that way, you also know that if you play the favorite,
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: you're you know, you're playing on a good team because
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: they're favored for a reason over another team that has
• 45:12
  Speaker 1: a good record. The oddsmakers are telling you that that's
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: a good team in Detroit. The way the oddsmakers are
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: lying Detroit, they're lining them like one of the best
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: teams in the NFL, which you know is probably the case.
• 45:25
  Speaker 1: They're probably one of the top like three teams in
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: the NFL. It does look like the cashercentage is still
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: a little bit off of Detroit here, but I will
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: lean to Detroit and this one. The totals very high
• 45:36
  Speaker 1: down for fifty three and a half to fifty three,
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: ninety percent of tickets on the over, eighty seven percent
• 45:40
  Speaker 1: of the cash on the over, So the money is
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: kind of saying the under here.
• 45:44
  Speaker 2: It almost looks too easy to take the over.
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: The public's going to be all over the over because
• 45:48
  Speaker 1: they like both these offenses, they like the quarterbacks.
• 45:51
  Speaker 2: Whatever.
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: I could see it being more of a playoff atmosphere
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: and potentially being a lower scoring game. Wouldn't really want
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: to have money on it, though, but I think the
• 45:59
  Speaker 1: way play to still laying the points with the Lieons,
• 46:02
  Speaker 1: although I would yeah, I mean, it's certainly not gonna
• 46:06
  Speaker 1: be one that's a play for me, Fernando, you like
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: the under I'm not gonna disagree with that, but it
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: seems it seems dangerous, although that's what they want you
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: to think, like, that's why the public will just go
• 46:18
  Speaker 1: on this over even though it's a pretty big total.
• 46:22
  Speaker 1: Last year's game between these two teams in the same
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: stadium went way under that number, though I think the
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: final score was twenty to sixteen, so somebody to keep
• 46:30
  Speaker 1: in mind there. I don't think it's gonna be that
• 46:31
  Speaker 1: low scoring again, but it could be. You know, again,
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: it could be a playoff type of atmosphere in this
• 46:37
  Speaker 1: one where the teams are feeling each other out. These
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: teams have played each other a decent amount of times
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: in high profile games over the last couple of years too,
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: so they kind of know each other's tendency is a
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: bit too.
• 46:47
  Speaker 2: So there is that.
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: You like Mike Evans anytime touchdown. I don't like that one, man.
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: I don't love the touchdown props just because the touchdowns
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: is so fluky man like, you're just I mean, you're
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: you're almost it's you're basically just relying on luck for it.
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: And Mike Evans, you're correct, he's coming back in this game.
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: But I think that's gonna overhype him even more. I
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: think that the number on the Evans anytime touchdown it's
• 47:15
  Speaker 1: probably like one of the numbers that has the least
• 47:18
  Speaker 1: value out there because everybody knows he's coming back, so
• 47:20
  Speaker 1: everybody's gonna want to play him to score a touchdown.
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: I think you're not getting anywhere near good enough odds
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: on that it might happen. But yeah, I mean I
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: wouldn't do that as a as a grinder, who I really,
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: I only want to have my money where I think
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: I have an edge, and I don't think that that
• 47:36
  Speaker 1: I would have an edge on that one.
• 47:38
  Speaker 2: I mean, for fun, I mean why not.
• 47:40
  Speaker 1: I guess if you like Evans, h and the Buccaneers
• 47:43
  Speaker 1: are missing their other targets, so I could see the
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: argument that way, where the Buccaneers are without what's his name,
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: egg Bouca or whatever and a booky boo and fucking
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: god Wind has hurt again too, So yeah, Evans, if
• 47:58
  Speaker 1: he's healthy, he will most certainly factor into their offense.
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: But I also don't know how much he's gonna factor
• 48:05
  Speaker 1: in just because they kind of have to ramp him
• 48:06
  Speaker 1: up again, right, Like he has to get used to
• 48:08
  Speaker 1: playing in an actual game again, So that would kind
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: of worry me about that too. Mines thirteen and ten
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: and Home on Monday Night football then includes back when
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: the line sucked, I am assuming and right now they
• 48:19
  Speaker 1: don't suck.
• 48:20
  Speaker 2: So even when they blew ass, they were.
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: Still winning at home on Monday Night Towering ANBC. What's up, man,
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: Doug Martin? There's some weird stuff going on with that one.
• 48:34
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 48:34
  Speaker 1: We had two professional athletes who played, like during the
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: period of time where I was like young and watching sports,
• 48:44
  Speaker 1: not even that young either for me, Like this was
• 48:47
  Speaker 1: like fairly recent. You had Doug Martin, the muscle Hamster,
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: Boise State running back, Tampa Bay running back. Does that
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: mean Tampa is gonna actually have a little bit extra
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: motivation for the or the Doug Martin death spot? I
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: don't know, man, Is Tampa gonna like honor him? They're
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: not at home though, so I don't know, Like, is
• 49:06
  Speaker 1: that gonna motivate them a little bit? I don't know,
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: because he hasn't played on that team for a while.
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: I don't think it's really a factor. But who knows,
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: Doug Martin. There's a lot of weird stuff that, like
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: they have not released his cause of death, and I've
• 49:20
  Speaker 1: seen some stuff coming out.
• 49:21
  Speaker 2: That he was like posting some weird.
• 49:23
  Speaker 1: Stuff online, Like, I don't know, man, I mean to me,
• 49:28
  Speaker 1: it looked like he was maybe in trouble with some
• 49:30
  Speaker 1: something drug related. I don't know, but maybe it could
• 49:33
  Speaker 1: have been that he overdosed or suicide or something. I
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: honestly have no idea, but it could have been that.
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: Maybe even it potentially it could have been homicide.
• 49:41
  Speaker 2: I have no clue.
• 49:42
  Speaker 1: There's some some really weird stuff going on with that one,
• 49:46
  Speaker 1: and they have not, like no source has released anything
• 49:49
  Speaker 1: about the cause of death, which is not the case
• 49:51
  Speaker 1: with the other death that happened yesterday. He Zeus Montero,
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: who was on the Seattle Mariners who were also playing tonight.
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: So I don't know if that's gonna be a motive
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: for Seattle tonight. I don't know, because he didn't he
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: hasn't played for a while, but he played like back
• 50:05
  Speaker 1: when I used to watch baseball. He played not that
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: long ago. I believe he was an infielder. If I'm
• 50:10
  Speaker 1: not mistaken, I forget I might be wrong about that.
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: I do remember him.
• 50:16
  Speaker 2: But he died.
• 50:18
  Speaker 1: I believe in his home country of Venezuela. He died
• 50:21
  Speaker 1: in a car accident. I saw some people saying that
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: it was like somebody else was d y and hit
• 50:27
  Speaker 1: him or something like that. I'm not sure if that
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: part of is true or not, but the news sources
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: immediately reported that that one was a car accident though,
• 50:34
  Speaker 1: So that's why I think the Doug Martin thing is like,
• 50:36
  Speaker 1: there's something really strange going on with that one. But anyway, Yeah,
• 50:41
  Speaker 1: that's yeah. Rip to those dudes, man. I I kind
• 50:45
  Speaker 1: of liked both of them. I remember a little bit
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: more about Doug Martin just because he was a tiny dude.
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: That's why he was the muscle hamster. He was like Jose.
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: He was not very tall and very wide and muscular
• 50:58
  Speaker 1: and just yeah, I mean her. He ran with a
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: lot of effort. He was a punishing running back. He
• 51:05
  Speaker 1: was also a good pass catcher. I did actually compare
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: scatter Boots to him. Well, the Scataboots a little bit
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: taller than Doug Martin, but they're still kind of small
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: ish running backs that just put in a ton of
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: effort and take a bunch of hits and don't care
• 51:20
  Speaker 1: and you know, and they.
• 51:22
  Speaker 2: Catch passes as well. Texans and Seahawks.
• 51:26
  Speaker 1: The Seahawks are up from a two and a half
• 51:28
  Speaker 1: point favorite to a three point favorite with juice. Money
• 51:31
  Speaker 1: has come in on the Seahawks sixty per tickets, seventy
• 51:33
  Speaker 1: five percent of cash on the Seahawks. They're public as well,
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: I mean obviously because they have a good record so far.
• 51:40
  Speaker 1: The public is not going to want to be in
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: this Texas team whose offense has just been asked for
• 51:45
  Speaker 1: like two years now, whereas this the public likes what
• 51:48
  Speaker 1: the Seahawks offense looks like. Although I don't know, I'm
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: still I still don't know if I'm sold on Sam Darnold.
• 51:53
  Speaker 2: Man, I'm sorry.
• 51:55
  Speaker 1: The total in this game is low down for forty
• 51:57
  Speaker 1: two to forty one, seventy per tickets on the over,
• 52:00
  Speaker 1: fifty two cash on the under. It looks like there's
• 52:04
  Speaker 1: no way you'd want to try to play an under
• 52:05
  Speaker 1: in this game, but it might happen because the Seahawks,
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: if their defense is healthy, if they get those guys
• 52:11
  Speaker 1: back who are out the last couple of games, their
• 52:13
  Speaker 1: defense will be at least decent. And they're facing a
• 52:16
  Speaker 1: weak offense here with the Texans who have a lot
• 52:18
  Speaker 1: of injuries on that offense, and the Texans defense is
• 52:23
  Speaker 1: actually good and their past defense is pretty good, so
• 52:25
  Speaker 1: they might be able to slow down the Seahawks attack.
• 52:28
  Speaker 1: So I wouldn't really disagree with an under on this one.
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: I do think it's gonna be an ugly game, and
• 52:33
  Speaker 1: pretty much everybody's gonna want to watch that first game
• 52:35
  Speaker 1: between Tampa and Detroit with those two offenses, nobody's really
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: gonna want to watch Houston in Seattle late at night.
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: I'm not sure the spot is that good for Seattle either.
• 52:45
  Speaker 1: I'm still not sure if I'm sold on Seattle. Like
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: I said, I mean, the wins are against Pittsburgh in
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: a game where Pittsburgh made a bunch of mistakes, and
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: I don't think Pittsburgh is really as good as the
• 52:54
  Speaker 1: record looks. They beat New Orleans and it wasn't really
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: a blowout statistically, either of the score was a blow,
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: but the game was closer on the stat sheet. They
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: barely beat Arizona, and they beat Jacksonville when Jacksonville was
• 53:07
  Speaker 1: in a major letdown spot on a short week off
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: of that win over the Kansas City Chiefs. So still
• 53:13
  Speaker 1: not totally impressed with Seattle's resume. I know Houston's not
• 53:17
  Speaker 1: the best of teams, but again, I think Houston's defense
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: might be able to keep their team in this game here. Man,
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: I do think Seattle's gonna be a bit too public here.
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: It's not necessarily a bad spot for them, but they
• 53:30
  Speaker 1: did go out to.
• 53:31
  Speaker 2: The east, the Eastern times zone, and now.
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: They're having to travel back again, so they've actually gone
• 53:35
  Speaker 1: They've been doing a bunch of travel.
• 53:37
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 53:37
  Speaker 1: They had a Thursday game, they had to go to Arizona,
• 53:39
  Speaker 1: and they came back home, played Tampa Bay in a
• 53:42
  Speaker 1: high scoring shootout, and then they had to go back
• 53:45
  Speaker 1: over They had to go all the way to the
• 53:46
  Speaker 1: East coast. Now they're coming back to the West coast.
• 53:49
  Speaker 1: All of that with no weeks off yet. There's zigzagging
• 53:55
  Speaker 1: across the country, which is not that easy. Houston is
• 53:57
  Speaker 1: coming out of a bye, So Houston definitely as a
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: rest advantage, and that might help with the fact that
• 54:03
  Speaker 1: they're having to go to the West Coast, because I
• 54:05
  Speaker 1: talk about this, when a team that's in one of
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: the more eastern time zones has to go to the
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: West Coast and play a really late night game like this,
• 54:11
  Speaker 1: it's gonna end like midnight one am their time or whatever.
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: That's bad for their biological clock because you get like
• 54:17
  Speaker 1: fatigued at the end of the day.
• 54:19
  Speaker 2: So it's not the easiest spot for Houston.
• 54:21
  Speaker 1: But the fact they had a week off, maybe they
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: actually went out to the Basilic I don't know when
• 54:25
  Speaker 1: they went out there, but maybe they went out there
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: a little bit earlier to get themselves acclimated to the
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: time zone shift and whatever.
• 54:31
  Speaker 2: I don't know if they did. Hopefully they did.
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: If you want Houston here, I know it didn't work
• 54:36
  Speaker 1: out for the fucking Jaguars yesterday and Lundon.
• 54:39
  Speaker 2: The Jags were used to doing that.
• 54:41
  Speaker 1: They went out there early, and they just got smacked,
• 54:43
  Speaker 1: at least on the scoreboard. But I think statistically that
• 54:46
  Speaker 1: game was actually closer than the score looked. But man,
• 54:49
  Speaker 1: that was bad for the Jaguars Houston. I mean, at least, yes,
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: they do have that extra week off, but I don't
• 54:56
  Speaker 1: know how helpful that week off is going to be
• 54:58
  Speaker 1: because I talk about these when you get a buy
• 55:01
  Speaker 1: and you go into the buy in a really good note,
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: which Houston did. Houston got their first two wins. They
• 55:07
  Speaker 1: shut out Tennessee, and I know Tennessee is not that good,
• 55:09
  Speaker 1: but you shut anybody out in the NFL, you're gonna
• 55:12
  Speaker 1: be feeling pretty good about yourselves. Then they went into Baltimore,
• 55:14
  Speaker 1: and I know it was Baltimore without Lamar Jackson and
• 55:17
  Speaker 1: Baltimore has some defensive injuries too, or they did then,
• 55:20
  Speaker 1: but Houston annihilated them, which I don't think anybody thought
• 55:23
  Speaker 1: that was gonna happen. I wasn't shocked that Houston won
• 55:25
  Speaker 1: the game, but I mean I thought it was gonna
• 55:27
  Speaker 1: be a close call. But I am shocked that they
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: won forty four to ten. And that's the way they
• 55:32
  Speaker 1: went into the buy. So I don't know, man, that's
• 55:36
  Speaker 1: not the way you want to go into a buy,
• 55:38
  Speaker 1: because when you go into the buy in a really
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: good note like that, you don't really have a whole
• 55:41
  Speaker 1: lot to work on.
• 55:42
  Speaker 2: You don't have a whole lot to fix.
• 55:44
  Speaker 1: So in a way, that buye is not as much
• 55:46
  Speaker 1: of a positive as it should be, so I do
• 55:49
  Speaker 1: worry about that. So, yeah, it's not a game that
• 55:52
  Speaker 1: I want to play. I'm gonna have a slight lean
• 55:54
  Speaker 1: to Houston in this game right now, plus the points.
• 55:56
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I mean it's definitely something that I'm gonna stay
• 55:59
  Speaker 1: away from. And that is going to do it.
• 56:02
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 56:04
  Speaker 1: Hopefully that was helpful informative. Whatever the plays they are
• 56:08
  Speaker 1: going to be on the Blue Jays in the ALCS
• 56:10
  Speaker 1: game seven money Line minus one twenty two, we'll obviously
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: get whatever the best price you can is. I wouldn't
• 56:17
  Speaker 1: tell you not to play the first five innings in
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: that game either, that's the way you wanted to.
• 56:21
  Speaker 2: Go with that.
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: And the Philadelphia Flyers in Hockey minus won thirty.
• 56:25
  Speaker 2: That's it. Learn to toad on Twitter, learn to toad Instagram.
• 56:29
  Speaker 1: Better off Dead Still got to change the name of
• 56:32
  Speaker 1: the show, like subscribe to the channel. Man, everything helps
• 56:35
  Speaker 1: me out, Give me some comments, give me, give me
• 56:37
  Speaker 1: some positive stuff, man, boost this thing up.
• 56:41
  Speaker 2: Getting a monetized tould be sweet.
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: Getting some super chats, going live every morning with the people,
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: We'll be pretty cool.
• 56:47
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: We're also on the audio platforms Apple, Spotify. If you
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: give me a good review over there and listen over there,
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: that helps me out too. The numbers have been going
• 56:56
  Speaker 1: up over there at least, so that's good covered in
• 56:59
  Speaker 1: you because my yuke on YouTube, which I think I
• 57:01
  Speaker 1: got it up to date yesterday. So I just have
• 57:03
  Speaker 1: to worry about my Patreon feed, patreon dot com, slash
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: and learn to toe if you want to throw me
• 57:08
  Speaker 1: some support.
• 57:08
  Speaker 2: I do have.
• 57:11
  Speaker 1: Prioritize requests and I have a Spotify ukulele feed.
• 57:14
  Speaker 2: I do I know Charles.
• 57:16
  Speaker 1: I don't think Charles is in the chat right now,
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: but I do have a or was he in the chat?
• 57:20
  Speaker 2: Who do we have in the chat?
• 57:21
  Speaker 1: I lose my mind. Man, we have Jeffrey Impure, SOB
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: and Fernando today. All right, you know what Charles this morning?
• 57:29
  Speaker 1: But I know, I know Charles wants me to do
• 57:31
  Speaker 1: a Halloween song. I gotta listen to that song again.
• 57:34
  Speaker 1: And because there were a couple of parts of that
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: song and I just don't remember how they go, it's
• 57:37
  Speaker 1: gonna be really stupid when I do it.
• 57:39
  Speaker 2: It's probably not gonna be that difficult.
• 57:41
  Speaker 1: Of a song to do, but it's just like I
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: gotta remember like how like the transitions going, how some
• 57:47
  Speaker 1: of the like lesser known parts of the song go.
• 57:49
  Speaker 1: But I'll probably I'll do it for Charles. I mean,
• 57:52
  Speaker 1: I have to write. Because it's a prioritize request. I
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: have to at least attempt it. I think there are
• 57:56
  Speaker 1: gonna be some that I have to say no to.
• 57:58
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna say no to that one. But Charles,
• 58:00
  Speaker 1: if you're out there, I know you sent me one
• 58:03
  Speaker 1: I'm doing. I'm gonna do it prior to the end
• 58:06
  Speaker 1: of the month. I'm gonna do it because we got
• 58:08
  Speaker 1: to get it done before Halloween at some point.
• 58:10
  Speaker 2: So I'm gonna do it.
• 58:11
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it for me for now. Thanks guys
• 58:13
  Speaker 1: for hanging out. I appreciate it. Let's get some wins
• 58:16
  Speaker 1: again today after a losing day yesterday. Let's get back
• 58:19
  Speaker 1: on track because the last month or so has been good.
• 58:21
  Speaker 1: I know it's slowed down a little bit, but you
• 58:24
  Speaker 1: always have swings when you're doing this, man, you want
• 58:26
  Speaker 1: to just kind of avoid having really serious downturns. But yeah,
• 58:32
  Speaker 1: hopefully we get back on track here. I know we're
• 58:35
  Speaker 1: playing two favorites here, so to win money, we actually
• 58:38
  Speaker 1: need them both to win, so that's a difficult position
• 58:40
  Speaker 1: to be in. One in one wouldn't be awful, it
• 58:42
  Speaker 1: would be a slight loss. But I want both wins,
• 58:46
  Speaker 1: so let's get it. Thank you, sir Fernando, I appreciate it.
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: Thanks for coming back, man, I haven't seen you in
• 58:52
  Speaker 1: a while. That's gonna do it for now. Man, have
• 58:54
  Speaker 1: a good Monday, a good start to the week. We
• 58:57
  Speaker 1: got a case of the Mondays here man. It's I
• 58:59
  Speaker 1: think it's rain here too. I can hear the rain.
• 59:01
  Speaker 1: It feels very dark outside because usually it is light
• 59:05
  Speaker 1: out by now.
• 59:06
  Speaker 2: It's yeah, it's almost eleven am, Like, why is it
• 59:08
  Speaker 2: not lightout?
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: I think it's a very dark and rainy day here
• 59:11
  Speaker 1: in the Boston area.
• 59:13
  Speaker 2: That's gonna do it for now. Peace, guys,