Latest / Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar / 7/27/26: U.S. Munitions Run Low In War, Houthis Pressure Saudi Oil, Ukraine Strikes Iran Tanker
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Hey guys, Saga and Crystal here.
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- 0:33Speaker 1: Good morning, everybody, Happy Monday. Have an amazing show for
- 0:35Speaker 1: everybody today. What do we have, Crystal, indeed we do.
- 0:37Speaker 2: Trump backs off, at least for now. His threats against
- 0:40Speaker 2: Iran as Neo CON's push for all out war more
- 0:44Speaker 2: signs that the oil market is totally and completely screwed
- 0:47Speaker 2: this time because of the entry of the Huthis into
- 0:50Speaker 2: the fight. Ukraine attacks Iran as they beg for World
- 0:54Speaker 2: War three. Very very ominous developments there. Raw footage of
- 0:58Speaker 2: Lindsey Graham has been released showing him overcome with emotion.
- 1:01Speaker 2: He's so happy when we start bombing run the culmination
- 1:05Speaker 2: of his life's mission prosecutor investigating alleged Trump crimes in
- 1:10Speaker 2: Ecuador has been murdered. This is the craziest story I
- 1:14Speaker 2: have ever read. We have to break down all of
- 1:16Speaker 2: the details. This is some reporting from drop site that
- 1:18Speaker 2: we will bring you and Kashamasa want is going to
- 1:20Speaker 2: join myself and Ryan Grimm to talk about her independent
- 1:23Speaker 2: socialist campaign for Congress in Washington State against Adam Smith,
- 1:26Speaker 2: who we interviewed last week, so that should be interesting too.
- 1:29Speaker 1: That's right. Thank you. Everybody's been subscribed to the show.
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- 2:00Speaker 3: really helps other people find the show. But let's go
- 2:02Speaker 3: ahead and start with Iran. As Crystal said, all of
- 2:05Speaker 3: a sudden, everybody in Washington just woke up to stockpiles.
- 2:09Speaker 3: Not news to anybody who's been watching this show, but
- 2:11Speaker 3: of course mainstream media and all those people finally paying attention.
- 2:14Speaker 3: After many reports came out over the weekend, there have
- 2:17Speaker 3: been now three successive nights of no strikes on Iran.
- 2:21Speaker 3: There was apparently a major oval office or a situation
- 2:24Speaker 3: room confrontation in which the Vice President and the General
- 2:28Speaker 3: Chief Chairman of the Joint Che's Staff, General Dan Kine,
- 2:31Speaker 3: advised that critical munitions and stockpiles of interceptors in particular,
- 2:35Speaker 3: are running. Solow rationing was now in effect could explain
- 2:39Speaker 3: why many of those US forces were killed, and also
- 2:41Speaker 3: that if we were to reignite major combat operations, that
- 2:45Speaker 3: it would be even more critical, and that we could
- 2:48Speaker 3: potentially completely wipe out the entire stockpile that is used
- 2:52Speaker 3: in or held in reserve for other potential conflicts. Here
- 2:56Speaker 3: is Mike Waltz, the United States you ambassador to the
- 2:59Speaker 3: United Nations, is being pressed about this. The former National
- 3:02Speaker 3: Security Advisor He admits the stockpile issue, but also says
- 3:05Speaker 3: anybody who leaked that should go to jail.
- 3:07Speaker 1: Let's take a listen. You've raised assets. I want to
- 3:09Speaker 1: ask you about the assets.
- 3:11Speaker 4: NBC News is reporting the Pentagon is actually rationing some
- 3:14Speaker 4: defense weaponry amid diminishing supplies. Is America backing away from
- 3:19Speaker 4: a larger military attack because its military stockpile has been depleted?
- 3:24Speaker 5: Well, look, we have to take a step back here
- 3:27Speaker 5: in that a lot of stockpiles were depleted, not only
- 3:31Speaker 5: from what we gave Ukraine over the last however many years,
- 3:36Speaker 5: four or five years, and the administration inherited the Secretary
- 3:40Speaker 5: Secretary Headseth inherited a depleted situation from not only Ukraine,
- 3:45Speaker 5: but also the ongoing fight with the hu Thi's under
- 3:48Speaker 5: the Biden administration and a depleted military under the Biden administration.
- 3:52Speaker 5: So they have decided one they're going to new types
- 3:55Speaker 5: of munitions, cheaper munitions, new technologies, but also with these
- 4:00Speaker 5: new defense budgets, rebuilding our great military.
- 4:03Speaker 1: However, I want to be clear.
- 4:06Speaker 4: I want to acknowledge their deplete I want to be
- 4:08Speaker 4: this moment.
- 4:09Speaker 1: I want to be crystal clear.
- 4:10Speaker 5: The US military and I've verified this every which way,
- 4:15Speaker 5: has everything that it needs to conduct this campaign as
- 4:19Speaker 5: effectively as it.
- 4:20Speaker 1: Needs to be.
- 4:21Speaker 5: And I have to tell you that people that are
- 4:23Speaker 5: leaking this nonsense deserve to be in jail.
- 4:26Speaker 1: A lot going on there. Oh, it's all Biden's fault.
- 4:28Speaker 3: Blame Biden plenty on this show, talked a lot about
- 4:30Speaker 3: it over the last five years about stockpiles. But Biden
- 4:33Speaker 3: is not the person who fired twenty five percent of
- 4:36Speaker 3: the entire sad stockpiles.
- 4:38Speaker 2: Biden's fault. But also, there's no problem.
- 4:40Speaker 1: It's Biden's fault. There's no problem, There's no problem. And
- 4:43Speaker 1: I have the stat in front of me this.
- 4:45Speaker 3: I put this out on day two of the war,
- 4:48Speaker 3: which is in the twelve day War, the Operation Midnight Hammer,
- 4:51Speaker 3: the United States fired twenty five percent of the entire
- 4:55Speaker 3: global stockpile of thats just in twelve days, mostly to
- 4:59Speaker 3: defend ISRA. By the way, so who even wants to
- 5:02Speaker 3: know what the number is today? I wouldn't be surprised
- 5:04Speaker 3: if it was down to seventy five percent, not to
- 5:06Speaker 3: even mention all the patriots, all these other type of systems.
- 5:09Speaker 3: I mean, it is a full fledged disaster as of now,
- 5:12Speaker 3: which explains why there was rationing in place, potentially why
- 5:16Speaker 3: those service members were killed, and why many of the
- 5:19Speaker 3: bases have basically been abandoned as confirmed by satellite imagery
- 5:23Speaker 3: A two.
- 5:24Speaker 1: Let's put this up here on the screen.
- 5:25Speaker 3: Let's spend a lot of time here because there's a
- 5:27Speaker 3: lot of Washington games that are happening. So inside this
- 5:30Speaker 3: story is from Barack Revive. The headline may actually give
- 5:33Speaker 3: a mistaken impression. They say the top US military commander
- 5:37Speaker 3: in the Middle East advised halting horror moves bombing. But
- 5:40Speaker 3: to be extremely specific, what he said is that currently,
- 5:45Speaker 3: what had been happening, let's say in the last thirteen
- 5:47Speaker 3: days or so, was that Trump was exclusively bombing targets
- 5:51Speaker 3: along the Strait of Hormoz. What Admiral Cooper is saying
- 5:55Speaker 3: here is that the effectiveness of bombing just the target
- 6:00Speaker 3: gets in the strait has now come to a place
- 6:03Speaker 3: where it can no longer be effective, as in, we
- 6:05Speaker 3: have hit everything we can hit.
- 6:06Speaker 1: Now, keep that in mind.
- 6:08Speaker 3: If the admiral is saying we have hit everything that
- 6:10Speaker 3: we can hit along the Strait of Hormoves and Iran
- 6:12Speaker 3: is still able to fire, that means already it's been
- 6:15Speaker 3: a total military failure because everything is about degrading. No,
- 6:18Speaker 3: it's it's that even of a single person with you know,
- 6:22Speaker 3: a shoulder launched missile or a single small boat is
- 6:25Speaker 3: able to get through. That in and of itself is
- 6:28Speaker 3: enough to cause the insurers to cancel their policies to
- 6:31Speaker 3: disrupt traffic. That's why ultimately a diplomatic solution is the
- 6:34Speaker 3: only solution.
- 6:35Speaker 1: You can listen to the.
- 6:36Speaker 3: Vice President's comments on this very matter on the Joe
- 6:39Speaker 3: Rogan podcast. So that's number one, but number two actually
- 6:42Speaker 3: buried within this and multiple other reports that are coming
- 6:46Speaker 3: out as of this morning, Admiral Cooper is advising that
- 6:50Speaker 3: they should continue to go forward and to bomb twenty
- 6:53Speaker 3: percent of the targets that were left and the target
- 6:56Speaker 3: set from Operation Epic Fury from the major Combat operation earlier.
- 7:00Speaker 3: Admiral Cooper has also said he doesn't have as much
- 7:03Speaker 3: concern about munitions because he is looking at the total
- 7:07Speaker 3: number that is available and saying, well, if I use
- 7:10Speaker 3: all of that, then I'm good. Now that's not his job.
- 7:13Speaker 3: So that's where the Washington game comes in. So let's
- 7:15Speaker 3: put in a three up here on the screen. This
- 7:18Speaker 3: is from the New York Times, and here we're going
- 7:20Speaker 3: to look specifically at comments from General Dan Kine, who's
- 7:24Speaker 3: the chairman of the Joint Jesus Staff. His job is
- 7:27Speaker 3: to not just look at Iran, but also to look
- 7:29Speaker 3: at the entire picture, including China, Russia and Black Swan
- 7:33Speaker 3: event North Korea. So what he says is that privately
- 7:36Speaker 3: that resuming major combat operations was doable, but quote would
- 7:40Speaker 3: dangerously deplete interceptors available, which is responsible not just in
- 7:45Speaker 3: sentcom before the entire service. These comments were apparently both
- 7:49Speaker 3: raised and held significant We're both raised, held and pushed
- 7:53Speaker 3: by the Vice President, who also raised them in the
- 7:56Speaker 3: initial lead up to the war. So to explain again
- 7:59Speaker 3: very clearly, Admiral Cooper is still advocating for the resumption
- 8:03Speaker 3: of major combat operations. I also, you know, just to
- 8:07Speaker 3: read some tea leaves out here, Mark Levin as.
- 8:10Speaker 1: Of this morning, is putting out this quote I heard,
- 8:14Speaker 1: I hear Cooper is raring to go.
- 8:16Speaker 3: But Cain is not the Only reason I'm spending time
- 8:19Speaker 3: on this is that Admiral Cooper, which I've heard now privately,
- 8:22Speaker 3: Tucker Carlston put out tweets. So now I could say
- 8:24Speaker 3: it as well, is that Admiral Cooper has been advised
- 8:27Speaker 3: by Mark Dubowitz over the financial the foundation for the
- 8:31Speaker 3: defensive democracies. He is absolutely taking a lot of counsel
- 8:35Speaker 3: from these neo cons very close apparently with his Israeli counterparts.
- 8:40Speaker 3: He is somebody who you know, quote wants to finish
- 8:42Speaker 3: the job because if he doesn't, or to resume major
- 8:45Speaker 3: combat operations, he will go down as the commander of
- 8:47Speaker 3: one of the worst military defeats in modern history, you know,
- 8:51Speaker 3: from the United States. So he doesn't he doesn't have
- 8:54Speaker 3: to look at the big picture, but from the big
- 8:56Speaker 3: picture here in Washington, looking at the stockpiles and others.
- 8:59Speaker 3: I went back and checked dan Kine from this report
- 9:03Speaker 3: and then none of this has been denied. By the way,
- 9:05Speaker 3: is the only chairman of the Joint Chiefs in the
- 9:08Speaker 3: last fifteen years to advise against military action.
- 9:11Speaker 1: Do you know how insane that is?
- 9:13Speaker 3: There is only one chairman in the last twenty five
- 9:17Speaker 3: years who has warned against military action. That was General
- 9:20Speaker 3: Martin Dempsey in twenty thirteen. He was right by the
- 9:22Speaker 3: way saying that we shouldn't go when we should bomb Syria,
- 9:24Speaker 3: and that it would lead to a prolonged military disaster.
- 9:27Speaker 3: So that is how extraordinary the current situation when the
- 9:30Speaker 3: general is like, no, we can't do this, sir, please
- 9:32Speaker 3: please don't make us do this. And reportedly he said
- 9:35Speaker 3: something to this effect before the war even began, so
- 9:38Speaker 3: they knew, they knew that this would be really bad.
- 9:41Speaker 3: I also really want to caution people about this pause.
- 9:43Speaker 3: It could definite right now, there's a lot of deliberation.
- 9:46Speaker 3: And guess who's coming to town today BB All right,
- 9:50Speaker 3: so I wouldn't bet against him.
- 9:52Speaker 2: Yeah, it is all well, and Zelensky is coming later
- 9:55Speaker 2: and we'll get to that. And how he also was
- 9:57Speaker 2: pushing an aggressive posture here as well well, has found
- 10:00Speaker 2: it to be advantageous for himself too. I mean, we
- 10:04Speaker 2: already know the truth of the matter. NBC News has
- 10:06Speaker 2: a scoop from a couple of days ago why the
- 10:08Speaker 2: US military is letting some Iranian projectiles through its defenses.
- 10:12Speaker 2: We are already rationing, rationing this munition supply because we
- 10:18Speaker 2: do not have enough to protect everywhere, so we're prioritizing. Okay,
- 10:22Speaker 2: if this has headed and it could cause service member
- 10:24Speaker 2: loss of life, then maybe that one we're going to
- 10:27Speaker 2: try to stop. But if it's going to hit one
- 10:28Speaker 2: of our bases or one of these radars that's really
- 10:31Speaker 2: important going forward, then we're going to let it through.
- 10:33Speaker 2: We're already in that place. It's just insane to me,
- 10:37Speaker 2: like one point five trillion dollars that they're pushing for
- 10:39Speaker 2: the military, one trillion that we already spend, all these
- 10:42Speaker 2: extra billions that they've already sent for the Iran war,
- 10:45Speaker 2: and we are out of We are running so low
- 10:49Speaker 2: on critical stockpiles this early into the war. It is
- 10:52Speaker 2: completely insane.
- 10:53Speaker 3: Just to give you an example, Yeah, the New York
- 10:55Speaker 3: Times in April head of reported twelve hundred Patriot receptors
- 10:59Speaker 3: were fired. They're four million knowledge a piece's four point
- 11:01Speaker 3: eight billion. That was in April, So now is today?
- 11:04Speaker 3: Is what July twenty seven? What's the number now?
- 11:07Speaker 2: Well, and here's the thing too, is, you know, some
- 11:09Speaker 2: of the logic and the strategy of Iran has really
- 11:12Speaker 2: borne out here, both in terms of look, their strategy
- 11:15Speaker 2: is to wag a sound right to push us to
- 11:18Speaker 2: the edge of a global economic cliff. We're going to
- 11:21Speaker 2: talk about that more in the next block. With the
- 11:22Speaker 2: oil market and more the clock ticks, the more are
- 11:25Speaker 2: strategic petroleum reserve dwindles. Now we've got the houthis entering
- 11:29Speaker 2: the Ferra, putting pressure further pressure. They're closing off Saudi
- 11:33Speaker 2: oil exports as well, so they're you know, they are
- 11:36Speaker 2: succeeding on that front. The longer time goes on. And
- 11:40Speaker 2: then the munitions math that we've been talking about the
- 11:42Speaker 2: whole time. You know, not only is what they their
- 11:45Speaker 2: their drones and their ballistic missiles much cheaper, but they
- 11:48Speaker 2: can spin them up much more quickly. They have an
- 11:51Speaker 2: actually functional defense industrial base. And so in the meantime,
- 11:54Speaker 2: while we've been messing around with oh we'll do the MoU,
- 11:57Speaker 2: we want to do the MoU, We're going to try
- 11:59Speaker 2: to do this other thing, the straight up her moves
- 12:01Speaker 2: and create our own pathway and undercut the MoU, and
- 12:04Speaker 2: oh we're going to bomb you. All this time that's
- 12:06Speaker 2: going by, well, the Iranians are digging out their missile cities.
- 12:10Speaker 2: They're spinning out more missile and drone production. They're doing
- 12:14Speaker 2: that at a rapid clip. What are we doing. We're
- 12:17Speaker 2: revving up to produce another Patriot missile like next year,
- 12:21Speaker 2: you know, I mean, it's not comparable. So the time
- 12:26Speaker 2: wasting portion of this has really been to their advantage,
- 12:30Speaker 2: and I think that was something that was a question
- 12:31Speaker 2: mark in the beginning. I know doctor Parcy was kind
- 12:33Speaker 2: of skeptical that maybe they had given up some of
- 12:35Speaker 2: their leverage, and one of the arguments that the Iranians
- 12:37Speaker 2: were making was, no, we think time is on our side.
- 12:40Speaker 2: And then the other piece of this is they're looking
- 12:42Speaker 2: very closely at the American political horizon. They see, Okay,
- 12:45Speaker 2: you've got midterms in November, and we want to make
- 12:48Speaker 2: this as your life political hell in the US because
- 12:52Speaker 2: we know you don't have political support for this war.
- 12:54Speaker 2: We know that you're going to pay at the ballot box,
- 12:56Speaker 2: and so we want you to pay on the political, economic,
- 12:59Speaker 2: and military Harry front. So far that strategy has been
- 13:02Speaker 2: very successful.
- 13:03Speaker 1: Oh absolutely.
- 13:03Speaker 3: I mean, you know, it's, no questions, very similar to
- 13:05Speaker 3: how the North Vietnamese would play things back during that
- 13:09Speaker 3: war as well. Let's put just to give everybody an
- 13:11Speaker 3: update on the potential for talks and all of that,
- 13:14Speaker 3: let's put this up here on the screen. This is
- 13:16Speaker 3: from Iranian media, which quotes their Foreign Ministry spokesperson specifically
- 13:21Speaker 3: talking after Omani negotiators were in Tehran over the last
- 13:26Speaker 3: two days. Now, this actually was part of the excuse
- 13:29Speaker 3: as to why Washington was not bombing iran Is because
- 13:32Speaker 3: these Omani negotiators were actually on the ground in Tehran
- 13:36Speaker 3: and they were having all of these discussions, specifically about
- 13:39Speaker 3: horror Mouze security. So nobody knows the contours of alleged
- 13:43Speaker 3: deal which is on the table. Trump has supposedly been
- 13:47Speaker 3: pushing the negotiators. Jared Kushner and Steve Wikoff and the
- 13:51Speaker 3: Vice presidents continue their channels open with Arachi and with Golibov.
- 13:55Speaker 3: But what they say here is that the Iranians are
- 13:58Speaker 3: calling the negotiations productive. He confirmed that the operational status
- 14:02Speaker 3: and transit conditions of the Strategic Waterway remain unchanged. Remember
- 14:07Speaker 3: to them, that means that they control the Strait of
- 14:09Speaker 3: horm moves. They had some discussion specifically about the Strait
- 14:13Speaker 3: of Hormons. But the Iranian readout of this negotiation does
- 14:17Speaker 3: not float any longer memorandum of understanding with the United States.
- 14:22Speaker 3: It doesn't really float anything about the nuclear issue. This
- 14:25Speaker 3: is purely about what is happening in Horrormones. I also
- 14:29Speaker 3: want to give something from what tree to Parsi put
- 14:31Speaker 3: out this morning, which I thought was really smart and
- 14:33Speaker 3: I hadn't even thought about this. What he was saying
- 14:36Speaker 3: was that that Saudi nuclear deal is actually what happened
- 14:40Speaker 3: and played out with that is actually bolstering Tehran's view
- 14:44Speaker 3: of Washington, as in Saudi Arabia thought they had a
- 14:47Speaker 3: civilian nuclear deal done and dusted with the United States.
- 14:50Speaker 3: It was reported it was a quasi announced, and then
- 14:53Speaker 3: Trump came out and was like, by the way, none
- 14:55Speaker 3: of this is going to happen unless they signed the
- 14:57Speaker 3: Abraham Accords. And they were like, uh, literally, none of
- 14:59Speaker 3: that was the deal. We've been talking about this for
- 15:01Speaker 3: six months. So the fact that he could do a
- 15:03Speaker 3: deal on a nuclear issue with an alleged ally in
- 15:06Speaker 3: this entire war and then backtrack on the very first
- 15:09Speaker 3: day that he gets any sort of like any sort
- 15:12Speaker 3: of pushback in Washington from the neocons who were in Congress,
- 15:16Speaker 3: well that alone was evidence for them that they were like,
- 15:20Speaker 3: you can't do a deal with this man, so we
- 15:21Speaker 3: just had to punish and punish, and punish and punish.
- 15:23Speaker 3: I actually thought that was a very interesting view and
- 15:26Speaker 3: it just bolsters with Trump. Now, just think about how
- 15:29Speaker 3: many of these agreements. You know, the Twelve Day War,
- 15:33Speaker 3: we bombed them literally under the cover of negotiations, which
- 15:36Speaker 3: is one of the most disgraceful acts of any modern president.
- 15:39Speaker 3: I mean, I just remember there were people conservatives were
- 15:42Speaker 3: praising him and they were like, oh, this is like
- 15:44Speaker 3: Japan and Pearl Harbor.
- 15:46Speaker 1: I'm like, yeah, what was that? How did that work
- 15:48Speaker 1: out for Japan?
- 15:49Speaker 3: It was considered one of the most dishonorable acts ever
- 15:52Speaker 3: in the history of warfare. So to think about this
- 15:56Speaker 3: in the context of Iran of Russia, Ukraine, we're unable
- 16:00Speaker 3: to make a deal or you know, trying to force things,
- 16:03Speaker 3: and now the multiple will they won't. Theys Iran really
- 16:06Speaker 3: just has no option but to conclude we can't do
- 16:09Speaker 3: a deal until they have suffered immense amounts of pain,
- 16:12Speaker 3: and that just streams where things are going.
- 16:13Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I go back to our interview we
- 16:15Speaker 2: did with Professor Morandi and I take him out his word.
- 16:18Speaker 2: He's like, no one is talking about negotiations here. And
- 16:20Speaker 2: we have some evidence for that as well, because there
- 16:23Speaker 2: was some sort of a ceasefire proposal past the Iranians
- 16:26Speaker 2: via the Iraqi Prime Minister and the Iranians were like, no, yeah,
- 16:29Speaker 2: we're not doing this. He said that if they get
- 16:33Speaker 2: to the place that they would like to go forward
- 16:35Speaker 2: with negotiations, first of all, it's going to be it's
- 16:38Speaker 2: not going to be going back to the original MoU
- 16:40Speaker 2: It's going to require a lot more upfront from the US,
- 16:42Speaker 2: a lot more explicit commitments around the around the straight
- 16:46Speaker 2: of Woar moves. And also it's not just going to
- 16:48Speaker 2: include a ceasefire and Lebanon. It's also going to include Yemen,
- 16:51Speaker 2: and it's going to include Gaza. So the price has
- 16:54Speaker 2: gone up through our own foolishness here. But you know,
- 16:57Speaker 2: you were talking about how the guy he was in
- 17:00Speaker 2: charge of the Middle East, Cooper, how he has this
- 17:02Speaker 2: narrow view of we got to do whatever we can
- 17:05Speaker 2: to rescue this situation. His incentives are basically Trump's incentives
- 17:09Speaker 2: because Trump is in that same place, I got to
- 17:10Speaker 2: do whatever I can to rescue this situation. Even though
- 17:13Speaker 2: from a national and global perspective you would think, dude,
- 17:17Speaker 2: cut your losses, this is only going to get worse
- 17:19Speaker 2: for you over time. He is looking this like the
- 17:23Speaker 2: gambler who is down, you know, ten thousand dollars and
- 17:26Speaker 2: the mortgage is on the line or whatever, and you
- 17:29Speaker 2: got to just put more in because it's so catastrophic
- 17:31Speaker 2: to walk away at this point. And yes, it may
- 17:34Speaker 2: get more catastrophic, but you're holding on to that tiny
- 17:36Speaker 2: chance that maybe if I, maybe if I bomb carg Island,
- 17:39Speaker 2: maybe if I bomb Pickaxe Mountain, maybe if I do
- 17:41Speaker 2: some sort of a ground invasion, maybe I can salvage
- 17:44Speaker 2: this situation. Because to walk away at this point is
- 17:47Speaker 2: going to be disastrous for Trump. Like there is just
- 17:50Speaker 2: no denying that there is a good outcome, a good
- 17:52Speaker 2: negotiated outcome on the table for him. He would have
- 17:55Speaker 2: to take some serious lumps and acknowledge defeat de facto.
- 17:59Speaker 2: Not that he would say it verbally, but everyone would
- 18:01Speaker 2: see the riding on the wall. So that's the situation
- 18:04Speaker 2: that we continue to be in, which is why you know,
- 18:06Speaker 2: even though yes, the bombing is stopped temporarily, I'm very
- 18:09Speaker 2: skeptical of this possibility of new negotiations because I don't
- 18:13Speaker 2: think that the landscape for Trump has really shifted. He
- 18:17Speaker 2: is not going to be willing to accept what the
- 18:20Speaker 2: Iranians are willing to give at this point, and with
- 18:23Speaker 2: every one of his actions, he has further undermined the
- 18:26Speaker 2: possibility of the Iranians coming into any negotiations with any
- 18:30Speaker 2: sort of trust. And the Saudi deal, you know, being
- 18:32Speaker 2: undercut immediately is just the latest example of that.
- 18:35Speaker 1: What we are right now is no piece, no war,
- 18:39Speaker 1: forever war. I mean, that's it's Afghanistan.
- 18:41Speaker 2: This is with oil clock ticking on, loiloble economy even now.
- 18:45Speaker 3: I mean this is where these oil markets they're delusional, Like,
- 18:47Speaker 3: you know, you had three days of pause bombing. It
- 18:50Speaker 3: goes from one hundred to eighty six as of this morning.
- 18:52Speaker 3: So gas will come back under four dollars a gallon.
- 18:55Speaker 3: Just wait and watch the white I'll be like, oh see,
- 18:57Speaker 3: thanks to President Trump, gas is three ninety nine. But
- 19:02Speaker 3: you know, freedom fuel will be back to three p
- 19:04Speaker 3: forty seven by next week if we don't bomb in
- 19:07Speaker 3: the interims. So, you know, the oil people still seem
- 19:10Speaker 3: to think like, oh, this presage is something they do
- 19:13Speaker 3: not get it, like at this point there is I mean,
- 19:16Speaker 3: I say there's a ticking clock, and yet I've been
- 19:18Speaker 3: saying that for months.
- 19:19Speaker 1: I have no idea.
- 19:20Speaker 3: Maybe there's more slack in the system. You would think
- 19:23Speaker 3: eventually things have to you know, collide. Trump is also
- 19:26Speaker 3: just like one of the luckiest people alive. We were
- 19:29Speaker 3: talking about hurricanes, h apparently, like we're in this particular
- 19:32Speaker 3: El Nino cycle which will diminish hurricanes, and I was like,
- 19:35Speaker 3: you know, the one time where hurricane I'm not saying
- 19:38Speaker 3: I wish a hurricane, but I was like, could actually
- 19:40Speaker 3: force the geopolitical events in the direction that.
- 19:43Speaker 1: I wanted to go. I'm like, oh, okay, all right,
- 19:44Speaker 1: apparently that's not going to happen.
- 19:46Speaker 2: Okay, so lucky with I mean, China is.
- 19:48Speaker 1: Oh yeah, buying my story isn't.
- 19:50Speaker 2: Yes, why we haven't hit the wall in terms of
- 19:53Speaker 2: oil and in terms of gas prices because they were
- 19:55Speaker 2: just all right, we'll drastically reduce consumption in a way
- 19:59Speaker 2: that people didn't even think as possible. And you know,
- 20:02Speaker 2: apparently they've increased their imports somewhat but still have curtailed significantly.
- 20:07Speaker 2: So so yeah, I mean, we have been saying the
- 20:10Speaker 2: clock is sticking and so far has not gone to
- 20:12Speaker 2: where you would rationally think that it would be. Is
- 20:16Speaker 2: you know, the reason that I think we may be
- 20:18Speaker 2: closer to the edge than we were previously is just
- 20:20Speaker 2: the amount of time that's gone by the fact that
- 20:22Speaker 2: the spr is so low, and the fact that Trump
- 20:24Speaker 2: himself when he signed the MoU was like, I don't
- 20:27Speaker 2: want to be Herbert Hoover and it's going to be
- 20:29Speaker 2: a global catastrophe if we don't sign a deal. I
- 20:31Speaker 2: think he probably, you know, I think that probably was
- 20:34Speaker 2: the incentive that moved him in that direction. So those
- 20:37Speaker 2: dynamics still hold.
- 20:38Speaker 3: Yeah, okay, let's let's take a listen now to Mike Walls.
- 20:42Speaker 1: By the way, was the only administration officials which is.
- 20:44Speaker 2: Which is Yeah, that is very interesting because he is
- 20:48Speaker 2: very low level. He doesn't do a good job in
- 20:49Speaker 2: these situations. He got demoted from whatever he was supposed
- 20:52Speaker 2: to be originally to this UN ambassador position. Marco Ruby
- 20:56Speaker 2: is not shown his face. Jade Vance just sat a baby,
- 20:58Speaker 2: so he spent time with the baby. And this is
- 21:01Speaker 2: the guy that you've.
- 21:02Speaker 3: Got Mike Wells IQ of approximately fifty here defending the
- 21:09Speaker 3: Iran warm also not saying refusing to commit that we
- 21:12Speaker 3: will be out by twenty twenty six. Let's take a listen.
- 21:14Speaker 4: A lot of people are very interested in the timeline
- 21:18Speaker 4: of this because President Trump had initially said that this
- 21:21Speaker 4: conflict would last for a matter of weeks, five to
- 21:24Speaker 4: six weeks. He said, we are now at the five
- 21:28Speaker 4: month mark. Will this war be over by the new year?
- 21:32Speaker 5: Well, first, this war has been going on for forty
- 21:36Speaker 5: seven years. These attacks on Americans not in this of course,
- 21:42Speaker 5: not necessarily this intensity.
- 21:44Speaker 1: But at some level, do.
- 21:45Speaker 4: You anticipate this conflict will be concluded by the new year?
- 21:49Speaker 5: Oh, I'm not going to put some kind of timeline
- 21:52Speaker 5: on it. The President has all options on the table,
- 21:54Speaker 5: and he is exercising both diplomatic, economic, and military to
- 21:59Speaker 5: achieve a very clear strategic game.
- 22:01Speaker 1: And that's what's different.
- 22:02Speaker 3: A few days, few weeks, few months, few years, been
- 22:07Speaker 3: here before, seen the movie.
- 22:08Speaker 1: It's not very good. Let's go to the next one.
- 22:10Speaker 1: This was from Trump.
- 22:11Speaker 3: He posted this yesterday strike on carg Ai. But I
- 22:16Speaker 3: think he posted like fifty Ai memes yesterday. If you
- 22:19Speaker 3: want to go and take a scroll of a.
- 22:21Speaker 2: Long mental illness, that's what that is.
- 22:24Speaker 3: And yeah, strike on carg at the very same time
- 22:26Speaker 3: that we're not even bombing. We also just want to
- 22:29Speaker 3: just give you all a little taste of the rhetoric
- 22:32Speaker 3: which we can also see from a lot of the
- 22:34Speaker 3: cheerleaders here of the war. Here is Ben Shapiro assuring
- 22:38Speaker 3: the president we we and we truly wonder Ben who
- 22:42Speaker 3: we is in this sentence, are okay with American casualties.
- 22:46Speaker 1: Let's take a listen. I get why people are confused
- 22:49Speaker 1: and upset.
- 22:49Speaker 6: It feels like things are stalemated, that they're getting broader
- 22:52Speaker 6: and more difficult.
- 22:54Speaker 1: Why.
- 22:55Speaker 6: Well, because what the American people want is victory. There's
- 22:58Speaker 6: this bizarre notion in four policy that the American people
- 23:02Speaker 6: are deeply worried about the immediate cost of war to
- 23:05Speaker 6: the enemy, That the American people that we can't handle
- 23:09Speaker 6: the ugliness of war for even a day, that every
- 23:12Speaker 6: conflict has to be totally antiseptic. And here I'm not
- 23:15Speaker 6: even talking about the American willingness to undergo casualties. No
- 23:18Speaker 6: one in America wants American casualties. It's tragedy and a horror.
- 23:23Speaker 6: We do understand that war does come along with casualties,
- 23:26Speaker 6: and we are willing to undergo those casualties in pursuit
- 23:29Speaker 6: of an end and a victory for America. But as
- 23:32Speaker 6: far as the idea that, for example, America, we can't
- 23:35Speaker 6: hit Cargo Island because the Iranian people would then be
- 23:38Speaker 6: deprived of oil resources. The American people are, i should say,
- 23:43Speaker 6: not particularly concerned about that. We are far more concerned
- 23:46Speaker 6: with why we're there not winning. I think though we
- 23:49Speaker 6: actually ought to do is say an I for everything,
- 23:52Speaker 6: Like you touch a ship in the Strait of Hormuz
- 23:54Speaker 6: and we kill the head of the IERGC, we Killkhlibaf,
- 23:58Speaker 6: we kill your entire leadership class. Again, we destroy South
- 24:01Speaker 6: Pars and we strike hard one drone and that's what happens.
- 24:05Speaker 6: That is the way you win in the middle. By
- 24:06Speaker 6: the way, it's the way you win generally. We are
- 24:08Speaker 6: okay with it. I mean, this is this is what
- 24:10Speaker 6: they have come to. We're gonna show you a clip
- 24:11Speaker 6: here in a second.
- 24:12Speaker 3: Mark Tiessen, who by the way, huge cheerleader of the war,
- 24:15Speaker 3: very important figure in the war, who has been on
- 24:17Speaker 3: Fox News every single day urging action, used to it.
- 24:20Speaker 3: Yesterday he literally slipped up and said, President Boo Trump,
- 24:23Speaker 3: as in his old boss George W. Bush, it's like
- 24:26Speaker 3: a joke. It's like a sick joke that is being placed.
- 24:29Speaker 1: This is lot.
- 24:29Speaker 2: These psychos have to be drummed out of the public
- 24:32Speaker 2: square when I mean all the same people are cheerleading
- 24:36Speaker 2: for the Iraq War right back in the driver's sept
- 24:38Speaker 2: for this freaking things. Absolutely sick. I'm with you, truth
- 24:42Speaker 2: and recon we genuinely, genuinely, after all this is over.
- 24:46Speaker 2: But Wisha, hero, there is so much there. So first
- 24:49Speaker 2: of all, oh, we are willing to accept American Who
- 24:52Speaker 2: are you talking about?
- 24:53Speaker 1: Who's we you are?
- 24:54Speaker 2: Why don't you go sign up? Go ahead, go over
- 24:56Speaker 2: the Middle East? They need recruits. I'm sure they'd love
- 24:58Speaker 2: to have you over there. So that's a number one.
- 25:00Speaker 2: Number two, he says this thing about like, oh, Americans
- 25:03Speaker 2: don't really care if the you know, if our enemy
- 25:05Speaker 2: suffers losses. I haven't heard anyone talking about, you know,
- 25:09Speaker 2: oh they'll be deprived of oil and gas if we
- 25:11Speaker 2: Bombcark Island. But I have heard a lot of Americans
- 25:14Speaker 2: who are utterly disgusted with the fact that we triple
- 25:16Speaker 2: tapped a little girls' school. Okay, I think we do
- 25:18Speaker 2: have actually some morals around this who are disgusted with
- 25:22Speaker 2: the fact that now it's just totally a daily occurrence
- 25:24Speaker 2: that Trump floats new war crimes. Let me bomb the bridges,
- 25:27Speaker 2: let me bomb the civilian infrastructure. Yeah, I think people
- 25:30Speaker 2: are disgusted with that, and they are thoroughly disgusted with
- 25:33Speaker 2: what we've been complicit in in Gaza, seeing the largest
- 25:37Speaker 2: population of child amputees, seeing entire cities that are now
- 25:41Speaker 2: no more remember when all lives were on rafa. Look
- 25:44Speaker 2: at how much the politics on Israel have changed because
- 25:47Speaker 2: of the horror of what we did with our tax dollars. So, actually, Ben,
- 25:51Speaker 2: maybe you don't care about those things, maybe you don't
- 25:54Speaker 2: have a moral core, but yes, I do think the
- 25:56Speaker 2: American people are deeply concerned with some sense of morality.
- 26:00Speaker 2: They would like to preserve some image of America being
- 26:03Speaker 2: a potentially positive force in the world, and through this
- 26:07Speaker 2: president and the last one that has been effectively taken
- 26:10Speaker 2: off of the table. It is so disgusting and so
- 26:14Speaker 2: and then the final thing he says there, oh, we
- 26:15Speaker 2: should kill their leadership class again.
- 26:18Speaker 3: Yeah, I was going to say, how many how many
- 26:20Speaker 3: assassinations that last time?
- 26:22Speaker 2: Guess what you traded one supreme leader who had a
- 26:25Speaker 2: fatwa against nuclear weapons for one who reportedly is much
- 26:29Speaker 2: more open to it. So congratulations on that. But his
- 26:32Speaker 2: strategy is the Israeli strategy. If you murder Goliboff, which
- 26:35Speaker 2: we already tried to do. By the way, we tried
- 26:37Speaker 2: to murder all these people. Who are you going to
- 26:39Speaker 2: negotiate with That then commits you to the war. It
- 26:43Speaker 2: means that there is no choice left on that there
- 26:45Speaker 2: is no negotiated option on the table, which is exactly
- 26:48Speaker 2: what he wants. That's what he wants. He wants to
- 26:51Speaker 2: get anyone reasonable that we could even theoretically have a
- 26:54Speaker 2: deal with. He wants them dead. So disgusting, deeply discussed.
- 26:58Speaker 3: And just the lecturing, the hectoring of the American people
- 27:01Speaker 3: for being unwilling.
- 27:02Speaker 1: To take casualties.
- 27:03Speaker 3: America is fine with taking casualties if we think it's
- 27:06Speaker 3: worth it.
- 27:07Speaker 1: It just hasn't been worth it since World well too, Yeah,
- 27:10Speaker 1: genuely think about it.
- 27:12Speaker 3: You know, maybe Korea, I'm not not my opinion.
- 27:16Speaker 1: But most people supported it, at least at the time.
- 27:19Speaker 3: Since then, not really, And like that's the point is
- 27:22Speaker 3: everything is built on hectoring, on lecturing, on saying you're
- 27:25Speaker 3: not enough of a patriot, and then what they have
- 27:28Speaker 3: to do is to shape it so that we are
- 27:30Speaker 3: the failures and that we can we can. We are
- 27:32Speaker 3: the failures, not the leaders who were elected literally on
- 27:37Speaker 3: a specific promise of no New Wars.
- 27:39Speaker 1: Like, that's the crazy part about it.
- 27:41Speaker 3: The person who literally ran on a no New Wars platform,
- 27:44Speaker 3: whose advisors I mean, Jad literally wrote the op ed
- 27:47Speaker 3: wym endorsing Trump his best legacy is no New Wars.
- 27:50Speaker 3: Stephen Miller, I mean, I'm pretty sure said Kamala will
- 27:53Speaker 3: send your sons to war and would be a neocon,
- 27:55Speaker 3: you know, neo kon warmongering hawk who would start a
- 27:58Speaker 3: war with Iran. And then you come around and you
- 28:01Speaker 3: do something which honestly is worse than anything Biden is.
- 28:04Speaker 3: I don't even think Liz Chaining all these other psychos
- 28:07Speaker 3: would have maybe oh okay, I won't.
- 28:09Speaker 1: Go that off. I wanted to give some people a
- 28:12Speaker 1: benefit of the doubt.
- 28:13Speaker 3: But at the very least, like what we can see
- 28:15Speaker 3: here is this grappling and shaping of Fox News to
- 28:20Speaker 3: explicitly be a place to lecture the base and to
- 28:24Speaker 3: force them to spread it to all of us that
- 28:26Speaker 3: any of us who criticize war are unpatriotic, are fools,
- 28:30Speaker 3: that we are selfish for not wanting to pay four
- 28:33Speaker 3: dollars in gasoline. You know, the vice president is like
- 28:35Speaker 3: their chief opponent. But there's plenty more lecturing going on,
- 28:38Speaker 3: Let's take a listen.
- 28:39Speaker 7: If you look at the end result of our Libya
- 28:41Speaker 7: policy after Gaddafi was killed lybya basically turned into a
- 28:44Speaker 7: failed state. You had a refugee crisis, You had a
- 28:47Speaker 7: lot of violence, a lot of terrorism come from that.
- 28:50Speaker 7: How is it in the United States's interest to have
- 28:52Speaker 7: ninety four million desperate people flooding into Europe, flooding into
- 28:55Speaker 7: the United States to have, you know, sort of the
- 28:59Speaker 7: terrorists infrastructure that can get established when you fan tear
- 29:03Speaker 7: us all over the world. We've run this experiment before.
- 29:06Speaker 8: And Jadvance keeps putting up these straw men. He says, well,
- 29:09Speaker 8: the people who want President Trump to go back to war,
- 29:12Speaker 8: they want to send one hundred and fifty thousand troops,
- 29:15Speaker 8: and nobody's saying that. Nobody is saying that at all.
- 29:18Speaker 8: You don't have to turn to tear down straw man.
- 29:20Speaker 8: We've liberated four hundred million people during the Cold War
- 29:22Speaker 8: without a single boot on the ground.
- 29:25Speaker 3: Nobody is saying that. No, Mark, you actually are saying that.
- 29:29Speaker 3: And the reason why is what's your plan? When you
- 29:32Speaker 3: hear Shapiro, if that's your plan, that's actually the Libya
- 29:35Speaker 3: model that literally is the Libya model. If you want
- 29:38Speaker 3: to listen to Mark to the ultimate end state of
- 29:40Speaker 3: what he's actually advocating for regime change and continue dropping.
- 29:44Speaker 3: It is sacrificing the full might of the American Empire
- 29:47Speaker 3: literally for what so that we can open a strategic
- 29:51Speaker 3: waterway which was open on the.
- 29:52Speaker 1: Day that the war was launched. It is absolute madness.
- 29:57Speaker 3: And then pairrot here with sid Rosenberg, another you know,
- 30:00Speaker 3: ultra zionist neocon again on the Fox News air waves
- 30:04Speaker 3: delivering this lecture.
- 30:05Speaker 1: Take a listen.
- 30:06Speaker 9: It is inevitable that President Trump is going to have
- 30:09Speaker 9: to do what he doesn't want to do, which is
- 30:12Speaker 9: going there with this massive, all out attack. There's no
- 30:15Speaker 9: other way to stop this. There's another way to win
- 30:17Speaker 9: this war. So again, he's trying to do the best
- 30:21Speaker 9: he count. He's a very nice man. I love President Trump.
- 30:23Speaker 9: He doesn't want people to die, he really doesn't. Okay,
- 30:26Speaker 9: he's a nice man. But there's no other way to
- 30:28Speaker 9: end this. Once you start this. Midnight Hammer was great
- 30:32Speaker 9: at Victoria was great. Once you start this, there needs
- 30:35Speaker 9: to be a finish, and the only finish is complete
- 30:38Speaker 9: surrendered by the Iranians. I hate to say it, but
- 30:40Speaker 9: complete annihilation. Look, I'm not a parent of an army person,
- 30:45Speaker 9: a marine person, so I'm very sensitive to that, trust me.
- 30:48Speaker 9: But look, we have the army, we have marines for
- 30:51Speaker 9: a reason. They're not there to shake your hand at
- 30:53Speaker 9: the airport, Rachel, Okay, they're there for a reason.
- 30:55Speaker 10: Last night I checked.
- 30:56Speaker 9: We don't have a draft in this country. So these
- 30:58Speaker 9: courageous men and women know what exist. Actually what they're
- 31:00Speaker 9: signing up for. This is war.
- 31:03Speaker 3: This is war. That argument really galls me. They signed up,
- 31:07Speaker 3: they knew what was on the line. Maybe some of them,
- 31:10Speaker 3: like Isabella Gonzales or first of all, let's we lets
- 31:13Speaker 3: not even talk about the fact that we throw money
- 31:15Speaker 3: at like the poorest Americans begging them to join the military.
- 31:18Speaker 1: So that's one, right.
- 31:19Speaker 3: Two is maybe maybe some of them, many of them,
- 31:23Speaker 3: Many of these people joined after well before Trump was president,
- 31:27Speaker 3: had some level of faith that their lives would not
- 31:30Speaker 3: be used, as you know, dice rolled on a table
- 31:33Speaker 3: carelessly and foolishly by an American president.
- 31:37Speaker 1: I think maybe that's the latter.
- 31:39Speaker 3: That doesn't mean that we should never use them, but
- 31:41Speaker 3: I think everybody should be extremely careful in what we
- 31:44Speaker 3: use or expend their lives for ultimately, and there's there's
- 31:48Speaker 3: no there is nothing happening with the war with Iran
- 31:51Speaker 3: right now that is worth Isabella Gonzalez's life, who is
- 31:55Speaker 3: nineteen years old, or those one hundred and sixty eight
- 31:58Speaker 3: mina school growth. Nothing has happened which has worth that.
- 32:01Speaker 3: Nobody could say that, And so it's so disgusting when
- 32:04Speaker 3: they say that, they're like, oh, they volunteered. It's not
- 32:06Speaker 3: even draftees. By the way, this is one of my arguments,
- 32:09Speaker 3: you know, for a draft.
- 32:10Speaker 2: But anyway, I mean, I'm sure soccer they all signed
- 32:13Speaker 2: up to put their lives on the line for Israel
- 32:17Speaker 2: and for Trump to secure some sort of a legacy
- 32:19Speaker 2: as a world changing leader. That's they were all willing
- 32:22Speaker 2: to die for that cause. I mean, it's just utterly
- 32:24Speaker 2: disgusting the way that And this is the problem with
- 32:27Speaker 2: our leadership class. One of many problems with our leadership
- 32:30Speaker 2: class is they don't care, right, they don't care about
- 32:33Speaker 2: these service members. They don't come from their echelon of society.
- 32:37Speaker 2: So to them, they're completely expendable. If you want a
- 32:39Speaker 2: window into how they think about these individuals who sign up. Oftentimes,
- 32:43Speaker 2: like you said, it's an economic decision that is made.
- 32:46Speaker 2: Here is the reason that they sign up for the military.
- 32:49Speaker 2: Just take a look at the Epstein files and the
- 32:51Speaker 2: way that they talk about those who they considered to
- 32:53Speaker 2: be lesser than them. They barely see them as humans,
- 32:56Speaker 2: if at all. And this guy, by the way, I
- 32:59Speaker 2: don't know if it was the same appearance, I think
- 33:00Speaker 2: it was or another one. He has the gull to
- 33:03Speaker 2: call Zoronmumdanni a terrorist. Meanwhile, a sentence later he's calling
- 33:07Speaker 2: for complete annihilation of a run. If you want to
- 33:11Speaker 2: understand how screwed up and perverted this man's moral compass. Ultimately,
- 33:16Speaker 2: is last thing we have here, which is an important
- 33:19Speaker 2: one to get to. We mentioned Nanyahu coming to town.
- 33:22Speaker 2: What is this? I think his eighth.
- 33:24Speaker 3: Visit six still more than any other, more than.
- 33:27Speaker 2: Any other world leader, breaking records here, I'm sure bringing
- 33:30Speaker 2: his laundry, dirty laundry in tow He was asked about
- 33:34Speaker 2: what he would tell Trump when he meets with him.
- 33:36Speaker 2: Let's take a listen to that.
- 33:37Speaker 6: What can you tell us about any fresh new intelligence
- 33:40Speaker 6: that you may have about.
- 33:42Speaker 11: That nuclear program that you are about to present President
- 33:45Speaker 11: Trump with.
- 33:47Speaker 12: Well, first, let me say that Lindsey Graham is a
- 33:50Speaker 12: terrible loss. He was such a great friend, such a
- 33:53Speaker 12: champion of America and a patriot, and such a champion
- 33:57Speaker 12: of the Israeli American alliance. He believed in the benefits
- 34:01Speaker 12: that Israel gives to the United States in terms of
- 34:04Speaker 12: intel weapons technology, and of course we appreciated very much
- 34:08Speaker 12: all the help that we got from the United States.
- 34:10Speaker 12: So it was an extraordinary American patriot and we miss
- 34:14Speaker 12: him greatly. As far as the nuclear program, we constantly
- 34:18Speaker 12: exchange information. Our intel services and yours are working so
- 34:23Speaker 12: close together that it's not that I'm going to present
- 34:26Speaker 12: new information, but I think it's a good thing to
- 34:29Speaker 12: have the opportunity to sit with our good friend President
- 34:32Speaker 12: Trump and to hear what he has in mind, because
- 34:35Speaker 12: I think in many ways it's his decision.
- 34:39Speaker 2: So our intel commune, we're constant communication, we're deeply in
- 34:43Speaker 2: mesh with one another. And of course they're pushing legislation
- 34:46Speaker 2: to make it even more so between the military and
- 34:48Speaker 2: intel services. So he's going to come and push whatever
- 34:52Speaker 2: his perspective is on why we should go to back
- 34:54Speaker 2: to and all out.
- 34:55Speaker 1: Update for everybody.
- 34:56Speaker 3: It's real Channel twelve Yah who will present Trump with
- 34:58Speaker 3: an up to date intelligence on Iran's progress towards a
- 35:01Speaker 3: nuclear weapon.
- 35:03Speaker 2: Great, got it.
- 35:04Speaker 1: Yeah, they were.
- 35:06Speaker 2: The ones pushing all the pickax amount.
- 35:07Speaker 1: I'm thinking two weeks. What do you think that what
- 35:11Speaker 1: I do? Yeah? What do you think I'm gonna go with?
- 35:13Speaker 1: Two weeks?
- 35:13Speaker 2: I would say that's a pretty safe thing. You've been
- 35:15Speaker 2: saying that since like nineteen ninety one, or it.
- 35:17Speaker 1: Could be two days, It could be two days.
- 35:19Speaker 3: Yeah, the Dead Sea scrolls actually said Iran is weeks
- 35:23Speaker 3: away from But.
- 35:24Speaker 2: You know, the thing is like at a certain point
- 35:26Speaker 2: it will become true because not like because that is
- 35:29Speaker 2: the direction we push them in, right, right, at some
- 35:32Speaker 2: point we keep going in this direction. You know, we
- 35:34Speaker 2: murdered the guy who was who was opposed to pursuing
- 35:37Speaker 2: a nuclear weapon. We've made it clear you can't negotiate
- 35:40Speaker 2: with us. The straight up hor moves is an effective
- 35:43Speaker 2: to turn four now, but that's not going to last
- 35:45Speaker 2: forever because you can build new pipelines and you can
- 35:48Speaker 2: use renewable energy, and eventually, over time that diminishes. So
- 35:51Speaker 2: what's left if you're Iran and this is an existential
- 35:54Speaker 2: threat and you want to preserve your sovereignty doesn't leave
- 35:57Speaker 2: a lot of other options on the table, since the
- 36:00Speaker 2: shaded options seems to be a fool's errand at this point,
- 36:02Speaker 2: so yeah, at some point, not now, who will be right?
- 36:05Speaker 2: At some point if we continue to go in this direction.
- 36:08Speaker 3: Not only will he be right, he will be the
- 36:10Speaker 3: reason that he is right, which is irony in and
- 36:13Speaker 3: of itself. All right, let's get to Saudi Arabia. Let's
- 36:17Speaker 3: turn down to Saudi Arabia and the ongoing situation with
- 36:21Speaker 3: the Red Sea, which is highly determinative of where this
- 36:24Speaker 3: war could go, and the shortage in oil. We do
- 36:27Speaker 3: want to kick off though, with Mark Tieson, who we
- 36:29Speaker 3: showed a little bit of you earlier in our show
- 36:32Speaker 3: where here he says and pleads to the American people,
- 36:35Speaker 3: if you can't handle four dollars gasoline, then maybe we're
- 36:38Speaker 3: just not a superpower anymore.
- 36:40Speaker 1: Let's take a listen.
- 36:41Speaker 2: That sort of is the good news out there.
- 36:42Speaker 8: If we can't handle four dollars oil for a period
- 36:44Speaker 8: of months in order to disarm around up a nuclear weapon,
- 36:47Speaker 8: we're not a superpower anymore. Yeah, but there are a
- 36:49Speaker 8: lot of Americans who their kitchen table issues matter to
- 36:52Speaker 8: them more than foreign policy.
- 36:54Speaker 2: But I wanted to ask.
- 36:55Speaker 3: Yeah, easy for Mark to say, I see him a
- 36:56Speaker 3: whole foods all the time. I'll say hi next time
- 36:58Speaker 3: I see you there, Mark, Yeah, Tommy Laren.
- 37:02Speaker 2: You know, actually people kind of care about this, and
- 37:04Speaker 2: that's not unreasonable, by the way.
- 37:06Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, it's it's pretty disgusting.
- 37:08Speaker 3: See these like think tank people with fake jobs who
- 37:12Speaker 3: build their entire Look, I talk for a living, so
- 37:14Speaker 3: who am I But I'm not lecturing others on four
- 37:17Speaker 3: dollars gasoline.
- 37:17Speaker 1: I'm walking out suck it out the name.
- 37:19Speaker 3: I'm looking out for the for the people who, or
- 37:21Speaker 3: try to speak for the people who actually four dollars
- 37:23Speaker 3: of gasoline is going to break them financially. And that's
- 37:26Speaker 3: why it's just so ridiculous and disgusting, and you to
- 37:29Speaker 3: lecture people about that.
- 37:31Speaker 2: And you know what's crazy saga is I'm thinking back
- 37:33Speaker 2: to the beginning of the Ukraine War. After Russia invaded,
- 37:36Speaker 2: Americans were more willing, remember the polling, there were more
- 37:38Speaker 2: willing to pay high gas prices for that because they
- 37:41Speaker 2: saw it through a moral lens. They're like, this is
- 37:42Speaker 2: big country picking on this smaller country. This is illegal,
- 37:46Speaker 2: it's an invasion, we should stand on the side of Ukraine. Well,
- 37:49Speaker 2: we've talked plenty about how there was a lot more
- 37:51Speaker 2: going on there. We'll talk more about that actually in
- 37:54Speaker 2: the next block. But there was a moral sentiment behind it,
- 37:56Speaker 2: and people actually were willing like, Okay, you know what,
- 37:58Speaker 2: I can suck it up for a brief period of time.
- 38:00Speaker 2: I can pay more because this is a just cause.
- 38:03Speaker 2: It's not that Americans are selfish. They're looking at this
- 38:05Speaker 2: and they're going, this is not a just cause we're
- 38:07Speaker 2: bombing little girls school, Like, no, I'm not going to
- 38:09Speaker 2: pay war at the gas pump for this. I'm completely unwilling.
- 38:12Speaker 2: And this is exactly the opposite of what you said
- 38:14Speaker 2: you were going to do when you were running for
- 38:17Speaker 2: president and wanted our votes. So yes, you know what,
- 38:20Speaker 2: if it was some sort of truly just cause, I
- 38:23Speaker 2: think Americans would be willing or to suffer and pay more.
- 38:27Speaker 2: But they're looking at this and going absolutely not. This
- 38:30Speaker 2: is a horror show. And why and just even if
- 38:34Speaker 2: you take it his word like so to prevent ran
- 38:37Speaker 2: from developing a nuclear weapon, guess what we had the
- 38:39Speaker 2: JCPOA where you had them in a nuclear deal. Guess
- 38:43Speaker 2: what Before this whole we started this whole discussing war,
- 38:46Speaker 2: we were in negotiations that would have led to an
- 38:49Speaker 2: outcome where they were not going to pursue a nuclear weapon.
- 38:52Speaker 2: Now they are much more likely to pursue a nuclear weapon.
- 38:55Speaker 2: So we're paying four dollars a gas and we're more
- 38:56Speaker 2: likely to have a nuclear armed run. That's what we're
- 38:59Speaker 2: actually doing.
- 39:00Speaker 3: Let's put the let's just underscore the oil problem, which
- 39:03Speaker 3: ultimately will be really what forces everybody's hand.
- 39:05Speaker 1: Let's put this up here on the screen.
- 39:07Speaker 3: This was huge news which really was under reported in
- 39:10Speaker 3: American media. So the top shipping insurers have told brokers
- 39:14Speaker 3: they will no longer sell war cargo insurance to any
- 39:18Speaker 3: Saudi Arabia linked ships in the Red Sea following the
- 39:22Speaker 3: attacks by Yemen's who the rebels, in a further risk
- 39:25Speaker 3: to exports from the region. Several of the leading maritime
- 39:29Speaker 3: marine war insurers at Lloyd's of London said they would
- 39:33Speaker 3: exclude vessels quote with any Saudi touch points from coverage,
- 39:38Speaker 3: including ships traveling from under other flags that have made
- 39:42Speaker 3: pass calls at Saudi ports. This is titanic news in
- 39:47Speaker 3: the oil market because, as we have shown, people previously,
- 39:51Speaker 3: it's not the straight of horror moves that get shut
- 39:53Speaker 3: down or opened by America or by Iran to a
- 39:56Speaker 3: certain extent, it's the insurance companies on whether they're going
- 39:59Speaker 3: to be allowed to remember, in the early days of
- 40:01Speaker 3: the war, Trump actually created this wartime insurance board which
- 40:05Speaker 3: would enable these ships to go through the Strait of
- 40:07Speaker 3: Horn Mouz with an insurance contract, kind of an insurer
- 40:11Speaker 3: as last resort that does not yet exist in the
- 40:14Speaker 3: Red Sea. It also shows that the hooty threat to
- 40:17Speaker 3: target any vessel which docks at a Saudi port and
- 40:20Speaker 3: tries to go through the Bab al Mandeb strait is
- 40:23Speaker 3: fair game. And obviously now because they have shot at
- 40:27Speaker 3: several vessels coming through the Red Sea that they are
- 40:29Speaker 3: able to just tell the insurre effectively signal to the
- 40:32Speaker 3: insurers they have this to turn capability. The insurers cancel it,
- 40:36Speaker 3: which means very little oil from Saudi Arabia will be
- 40:39Speaker 3: able to flow through. Why does this matter? Maps are
- 40:42Speaker 3: actually important. If you're just listening, I'm gonna do my
- 40:45Speaker 3: best to describe this. Let's put this up here on
- 40:47Speaker 3: the screen. And this shows from the Wall Street Journal,
- 40:49Speaker 3: Saudi Arabia's vast oil supplies now increasingly depend on a
- 40:53Speaker 3: single exit. So as they show you turmoil and straight
- 40:56Speaker 3: of Hormoves in the red seat, means the Kingdom and
- 40:58Speaker 3: wood and world energy markets are relying heavily on the
- 41:01Speaker 3: Suez Canal. We've talked about this before, but I actually
- 41:04Speaker 3: think this map does a really good job of just
- 41:06Speaker 3: showing the various choke points for Saudi Arabia. They have
- 41:09Speaker 3: the Yanbu Terminal, which they previously had been able to
- 41:13Speaker 3: export oil through the Red Sea that's shutdown.
- 41:15Speaker 1: They also had been.
- 41:17Speaker 3: Able previously to export through the Strait of Hormuz, so
- 41:20Speaker 3: Hormus was their number one lifeline. During the war, they
- 41:22Speaker 3: shifted everything via the East West Pipeline to Yanbu to
- 41:25Speaker 3: get the oil out of the Red Sea. That's the
- 41:27Speaker 3: blue line for those who are watching now, they have
- 41:30Speaker 3: to rely on this alternative route to move oil through
- 41:34Speaker 3: the Suez Canal through the Mediterranean Sea around the Cape
- 41:36Speaker 3: of Good Hope in this alternative route to China and
- 41:39Speaker 3: to the rest of the world, or to various other buyers.
- 41:42Speaker 3: This is a huge problem for two reasons. As you
- 41:45Speaker 3: have said multiple times, Crystal, the very large what is
- 41:49Speaker 3: it the vlccs like the very.
- 41:50Speaker 1: Law, I forget exactly what it stands for.
- 41:52Speaker 3: But that type of ship is not going to move
- 41:54Speaker 3: through the Suez Canal, so already that's a big problem.
- 41:57Speaker 3: You also have this Siu Men pipeline, which is what
- 41:59Speaker 3: they're able to move oil through, but that pipeline has
- 42:02Speaker 3: a much more limited capacity, so already you're down to
- 42:05Speaker 3: basically a single point of failure. So both on their
- 42:08Speaker 3: production side and on their export side, they are being squeezed. Actually,
- 42:12Speaker 3: right as we're recording the show, Saudi Arabia just fired
- 42:15Speaker 3: multiple interceptors after attacks from drones came via Iraqi militias
- 42:21Speaker 3: which are linked to Iran at the Aramco facility, which
- 42:25Speaker 3: produces the vast majority of Saudi oil. So their economy
- 42:28Speaker 3: is in a serious, serious problem. Second to that is
- 42:32Speaker 3: that you have seen now that the choke on Saudi
- 42:36Speaker 3: Arabia was not able to be fully effective with horror
- 42:39Speaker 3: moves because they had that lifeline through the Red Sea,
- 42:43Speaker 3: but with both now closed off, relying both on this
- 42:45Speaker 3: pipeline or the sus Canal, they really are in a
- 42:48Speaker 3: situation where they're going to have to shut in oil
- 42:52Speaker 3: and take serious damage to their infrastructure on top of
- 42:55Speaker 3: what's going on with these drone strikes that are happening
- 42:57Speaker 3: literally right now as we speak, and that alone accounts
- 43:01Speaker 3: for what I'm four or five percent of the entire
- 43:03Speaker 3: global oil supply, not to mention the UAE, Kuwait and Kutar,
- 43:09Speaker 3: all of which continue to either be shut down or
- 43:11Speaker 3: dramatically lessened to where it was previously. Remember in the
- 43:13Speaker 3: early days of the war, Kuwait did not export one
- 43:16Speaker 3: single barrel of oil for thirty days. That's like three
- 43:18Speaker 3: to four percent alone of the entire global oil supply.
- 43:21Speaker 2: And we have Ukraine to mention Russian capacity. You have
- 43:24Speaker 2: yan Bu and this other oil infrastructure in addition to
- 43:27Speaker 2: Aramco which is getting hit that is very vulnerable to
- 43:30Speaker 2: future attacks. So they're tightening the screws, you know, bit
- 43:34Speaker 2: by bit by bit. The introduction of the huthis into
- 43:37Speaker 2: this obviously extremely significant. The Iraqi militias, we don't talk
- 43:41Speaker 2: that much about them, but in a lot of ways,
- 43:43Speaker 2: you know, they're viewed. This is what Professor Morandi told us,
- 43:46Speaker 2: that their view to sort of like their strongest allies
- 43:48Speaker 2: in the region that you know, have not fully joined
- 43:52Speaker 2: the fight as well. So It's not like this is
- 43:54Speaker 2: the maximum that they can do. There are more levers
- 43:57Speaker 2: that they can continue to pull to squeeze the global economy.
- 44:00Speaker 2: And just as we're talking, report from Reuter's Iron says Monday,
- 44:03Speaker 2: still in control of the Strait and not seeking to
- 44:05Speaker 2: resume peace talks with the US after Trump halted a
- 44:08Speaker 2: two week bombing campaign that his top brass told him
- 44:10Speaker 2: had run its course. So, just as we expected and predicted,
- 44:14Speaker 2: the Ranians are saying, you might be interested in negotiations,
- 44:17Speaker 2: we have no reason to trust you, and we don't
- 44:19Speaker 2: think that you're in a place where we're going to
- 44:21Speaker 2: be able to achieve and secure what we have actually
- 44:24Speaker 2: already secured on the battlefield. And one other update is
- 44:27Speaker 2: we were talking the last block about the you know,
- 44:30Speaker 2: the costs of this war and how casually our foreign
- 44:34Speaker 2: policy elite are willing to send service members to die
- 44:36Speaker 2: and posture lego. They all signed up for this. The
- 44:39Speaker 2: Pentagon has just updated their accounting and you now have
- 44:43Speaker 2: over six hundred service members who have either been killed
- 44:46Speaker 2: or wounded in the context of this war. So that
- 44:50Speaker 2: is a you know, that's a large number that we're
- 44:52Speaker 2: already at over six hundred who have You know, most
- 44:56Speaker 2: of those are alive, thankfully, most of them are wounded,
- 44:59Speaker 2: not killed. But you know, six hundred and twenty four
- 45:02Speaker 2: since we launched this war in Iran on February twenty eighth,
- 45:06Speaker 2: and that's with us trying to do this standoff bombing campaign.
- 45:09Speaker 2: You can only imagine what those numbers would be if
- 45:10Speaker 2: we're actually, you know, sending in some sort of a
- 45:13Speaker 2: ground force and taking greater risks than what we've done
- 45:15Speaker 2: thus far.
- 45:17Speaker 3: I can't I mean traumatic brain injury, shrapnel, disfigurement potential.
- 45:21Speaker 3: I mean, there's so many long lists of people from
- 45:24Speaker 3: the global War on Terror who already had to live
- 45:26Speaker 3: with this for a year.
- 45:27Speaker 1: You can ask them, you know, was it worth it?
- 45:29Speaker 1: Let's put B four up here on the screen.
- 45:31Speaker 3: This also, as I was saying earlier, there have been
- 45:34Speaker 3: multiple now attacks on Saudi oil facilities from these either
- 45:39Speaker 3: Iran from the hoo Thies or from now from the Iraqi.
- 45:42Speaker 3: So over the weekend, this was on top of the
- 45:44Speaker 3: Ramco strikes I just talked about fired missiles and drones
- 45:47Speaker 3: at two of their strategic oil facilities actually on the
- 45:51Speaker 3: Red Sea, both at the Yambu facility, but at another one.
- 45:54Speaker 3: Iran previously had had multiple strikes that were launched at
- 45:58Speaker 3: Saudi Arabia or at Saudi Arabi in facilities. Many of
- 46:01Speaker 3: these more recent ones though, are coming from the Iraqis
- 46:04Speaker 3: and from who these and so really what you can
- 46:06Speaker 3: see is that this new front of the war arguably
- 46:10Speaker 3: is you know, the tipping point you know, if you will,
- 46:12Speaker 3: for a decision that has to be made on whether
- 46:15Speaker 3: Trump is going to go full on invasion or full
- 46:18Speaker 3: on fold Now, you know, with this, with the pipeline
- 46:22Speaker 3: and with oil prices and all that where they are,
- 46:25Speaker 3: it may not necessarily be you know, today tomorrow, but
- 46:28Speaker 3: the bleeding and the restriction of supply will of course,
- 46:31Speaker 3: as we said earlier, eventually catch up to reality.
- 46:34Speaker 1: In the meantime.
- 46:35Speaker 3: Less put B five up here on the screen. Gas
- 46:37Speaker 3: is still four dollars an eleven gallon. That's the national
- 46:40Speaker 3: price average. The entire Ascella Corridor sees, you know, pretty
- 46:43Speaker 3: high gas prices, and you know non Human mentioned the
- 46:46Speaker 3: entire West coast bathed and read there California at five
- 46:49Speaker 3: sixty four a gallon. Significant amount of their oil actually
- 46:52Speaker 3: coming remember from the Middle East previously, so you could
- 46:56Speaker 3: see that they're facing significant pressure and this remains just
- 47:00Speaker 3: a general nightmare for the American consumer. Again, as you said, yeah,
- 47:04Speaker 3: I mean I have major problems with the will pay
- 47:06Speaker 3: more for Putin's price hike and all that. But we've
- 47:09Speaker 3: talked about this previously at the very least, like we
- 47:12Speaker 3: didn't invade Ukraine.
- 47:13Speaker 1: They did.
- 47:13Speaker 3: It was an external shock, so Putin's price hike was fake.
- 47:17Speaker 3: But I mean, I could understand why people fell for it.
- 47:21Speaker 3: There's nothing here.
- 47:22Speaker 1: You know.
- 47:22Speaker 3: Trump is one of the only wartime leaders in history
- 47:24Speaker 3: in American history to not give a major address before
- 47:28Speaker 3: the launching of a Warris White, it was even necessary
- 47:30Speaker 3: to this day, I don't think it could actually point
- 47:32Speaker 3: to a single address that he's made to be like,
- 47:34Speaker 3: here's what I'm doing, here's why I'm doing it, Here's
- 47:37Speaker 3: what it will cost, here's the cost to you, Here's
- 47:39Speaker 3: why it's worth it. I mean, straight comments here and there.
- 47:42Speaker 3: Remember the war was launched in the cover of darkness
- 47:46Speaker 3: at two am Eastern Time, with a bizarre video of
- 47:50Speaker 3: Trump wearing a Maga hat telling Iranians to rise up
- 47:52Speaker 3: and take back their country.
- 47:54Speaker 1: That's how the war was.
- 47:55Speaker 3: And then he was silent for forty eight forty eight hours,
- 47:57Speaker 3: if I recall, it didn't even make any public come.
- 48:00Speaker 3: So that's the comparison really with all of the other Yeah,
- 48:04Speaker 3: all of.
- 48:04Speaker 1: The other wars.
- 48:05Speaker 2: Original justification right after he launched it was basically like
- 48:08Speaker 2: the protesters and human rights and rise up and take
- 48:11Speaker 2: back your country. He'll still go back to that well sometimes,
- 48:15Speaker 2: even though I mean it's always been utterly preposterous to
- 48:18Speaker 2: imagine that Trump cares about the human rights of the
- 48:22Speaker 2: Iranian people and has some sort of a noble reason
- 48:25Speaker 2: for doing this. You know, we're still left in the
- 48:27Speaker 2: dark guessing. I think we've got a pretty good outline
- 48:29Speaker 2: of what it was, based on reporting from Johnson Swan
- 48:32Speaker 2: and Maggie Haberman, among others, of what was going on
- 48:35Speaker 2: behind the scenes. High on his own supply from Venezuela,
- 48:38Speaker 2: fixated on his legacy, you know, as an old man
- 48:41Speaker 2: wants to leave his mark on the world, got persuaded
- 48:44Speaker 2: that this he could be the one that did what
- 48:46Speaker 2: no other president was willing or able to do. Very casualty,
- 48:50Speaker 2: casually launches this war thinking it's going to be over
- 48:54Speaker 2: in a few days time, and then has no plan B.
- 48:57Speaker 2: When that doesn't work, because anyone who had looked at
- 49:00Speaker 2: this at all could tell you that that wasn't going
- 49:02Speaker 2: to work. You know, we're going to talk about some
- 49:04Speaker 2: of these Lindsay Graham clips. Hopefully we'll be able to
- 49:07Speaker 2: get to it today in the show. If not, we'll
- 49:09Speaker 2: cover it tomorrow. But one of the clips of Lindsay
- 49:12Speaker 2: Graham's him saying that he thinks some Iranian cities are
- 49:16Speaker 2: going to fall in just a mere few weeks time. Right,
- 49:20Speaker 2: this is a guy who spent his life thinking about
- 49:23Speaker 2: this conflict, and you know, veiling himself of all of
- 49:26Speaker 2: the military intelligence that he has access to, and talking
- 49:29Speaker 2: to Nahu about and all these other people, and he
- 49:31Speaker 2: had deluded himself into thinking that Iranian cities were on
- 49:35Speaker 2: the verge of collapse. And now here we are, you know, however,
- 49:38Speaker 2: many months later, and this government is stronger in many
- 49:42Speaker 2: ways than it was before we launched the war. So
- 49:45Speaker 2: just absolute idiocy and arrogance. Truly blinded by arrogance all
- 49:49Speaker 2: the way around.
- 49:50Speaker 1: Yep, absolutely, all right, let's get to Ukraine.
- 49:55Speaker 3: Turning down to Ukraine, some insane developments again not getting
- 49:59Speaker 3: new the coverage that it deserves here in the Western press.
- 50:03Speaker 3: Let's start with the Foreign Minister of Iran, Arachi. Let's
- 50:06Speaker 3: put this up here on the screen. He says, quote,
- 50:08Speaker 3: Zelenski has attacked an Iranian commercial vessel, killing a sailor,
- 50:13Speaker 3: a blatant un charter violation done at Israel's behest to
- 50:17Speaker 3: drag Europe into its war. In calls with the EU
- 50:20Speaker 3: High Representative Kalas and Foreign Minister Lavrov of Russia, he
- 50:24Speaker 3: made clear that what the freeloader in Kiev did cannot
- 50:28Speaker 3: go unanswered, cannot go unanswered in all caps. So this
- 50:34Speaker 3: highlights a new front here that we have in the
- 50:36Speaker 3: World War.
- 50:37Speaker 1: Let's put it up here on the screen.
- 50:39Speaker 3: Iran says that this Ukrainian attack on a vessel in
- 50:42Speaker 3: the Caspian Sea killed a sailor. Basically, what has happened
- 50:46Speaker 3: is that attack came in the Caspian Sea, which, if
- 50:50Speaker 3: you want to take a look at a map, is
- 50:52Speaker 3: pretty far from Ukraine and you might have a lot
- 50:54Speaker 3: of questions as to what exactly is going on here.
- 50:58Speaker 3: So Iran's Caspian ports are actually pretty important for trade
- 51:02Speaker 3: because of the US blockade whenever it comes to the
- 51:05Speaker 3: southern maritime round, so the northern corridor allows Iran to
- 51:09Speaker 3: import goods from states around the Caspian Sea and to
- 51:12Speaker 3: receive Chinese cargo, which is transported overland by rail through
- 51:17Speaker 3: Central Asia before it reaches a port on the Caspian
- 51:20Speaker 3: coast and then makes it way to Tehran or to
- 51:22Speaker 3: any of the other major cities. Arachi called quote for
- 51:25Speaker 3: a firm response to the strike from the UN Security
- 51:28Speaker 3: Council and from the European Union. But the reason why
- 51:32Speaker 3: all of this is honestly pretty important is first of all,
- 51:35Speaker 3: the Ukrainians just killed in Iranian sailor now you could
- 51:38Speaker 3: say from Ukraine side, and I'll be fair, there's a
- 51:41Speaker 3: lot of Iranian drones which have killed a lot of Ukrainians.
- 51:45Speaker 3: Let's be honest, right, But here in this case, let's
- 51:48Speaker 3: just see that Ukraine is a vassal state for the
- 51:52Speaker 3: United States and for the European Union. They literally would
- 51:55Speaker 3: not exist it wasn't for us. We give them all
- 51:57Speaker 3: their weapons, they know, even the stuff they is all.
- 52:00Speaker 1: Paid for basically by the US.
- 52:02Speaker 3: Here, so Ukrainian attack drones financed supported by the United
- 52:08Speaker 3: States being used to try and block an Iranian export
- 52:11Speaker 3: here in the Caspian Sea. But this is where Ukraine's
- 52:14Speaker 3: logic breaks down. They claim ultimately that they're the ones
- 52:18Speaker 3: doing the fighting, and the European Union and NATO and
- 52:20Speaker 3: the US are the ones that are just supporting them. Well,
- 52:23Speaker 3: by this logic, Russia could go out and start striking
- 52:27Speaker 3: American ships or European Union exports that come from Poland
- 52:31Speaker 3: into Ukraine because it's literally being directly used for the
- 52:34Speaker 3: war effort. Now, this is why, you know, their general
- 52:38Speaker 3: escalatory logic is one of yeah, we're going to fire
- 52:41Speaker 3: at them. Largely we all know why because to get
- 52:44Speaker 3: on trump good graces to ensnare themselves as part of
- 52:48Speaker 3: this you know, grand plan what Neo Khan takeover here
- 52:52Speaker 3: in Washington As evidence now by Laura Lumer and apparently
- 52:55Speaker 3: all these other people who have changed their mind Ukraine
- 52:59Speaker 3: and supporting supporting the Ukrainian war effort. The point remains
- 53:05Speaker 3: that Ukraine is doing this because they desperately need two
- 53:08Speaker 3: things from Washington. Number One, they need more pack two,
- 53:11Speaker 3: Pack three missiles, patriots and others to be sold from
- 53:15Speaker 3: the United States to Ukraine being paid for by European weapons.
- 53:18Speaker 3: Number Two, they need the sanctions build that is currently
- 53:22Speaker 3: in the United States Congress to pass. Those two things
- 53:26Speaker 3: are now directly linked with the Iran conflict. Iran because
- 53:30Speaker 3: we began our story all talking about what the stockpiles
- 53:34Speaker 3: massively depleted first for Ukraine then in the Iran War. Well,
- 53:38Speaker 3: Ukraine is still desperate with their handout because the ballistic
- 53:41Speaker 3: missiles are the one thing they can't shoot down, but
- 53:43Speaker 3: without any without the drones and other things they've been
- 53:46Speaker 3: able to shoot down with their own technology, So that
- 53:49Speaker 3: means they need us to either pay for them or
- 53:52Speaker 3: provide them to them, which you're not going to want
- 53:54Speaker 3: to do whenever you have a very limited amount of
- 53:57Speaker 3: supply and a supply chain bottom for our defense industrial
- 54:01Speaker 3: Brace two. They desperately want those Russia sanctions pass, and
- 54:04Speaker 3: Trump has given them the greatest gift of all by
- 54:06Speaker 3: linking the Iran and Russia sanctions together, which provides secondary
- 54:10Speaker 3: sanctions and effectively wipe foreign trade with Russia off the map,
- 54:14Speaker 3: which is a you know, the ultimate economic nuke.
- 54:17Speaker 1: I guess if you were going to call it.
- 54:19Speaker 3: Trump never even wanted to do it previously because he
- 54:20Speaker 3: knew if I do this, there's no negotiations that are
- 54:23Speaker 3: potential with the Kremlin. That's what these two things are about,
- 54:26Speaker 3: not to even mention the belligerent behavior of Ukraine, like,
- 54:29Speaker 3: I'm sorry, you can support Ukraine and all that if
- 54:31Speaker 3: you want, even striking deep into Russia, which I think
- 54:34Speaker 3: is nuts, but you know, okay, because they're a nuclear
- 54:37Speaker 3: arm power. Here, you're directly inserting yourself into the Iranian
- 54:40Speaker 3: conflict in a desperate bid to ingratiate yourself with the
- 54:44Speaker 3: neocons of Washington. And by the way, you have your
- 54:47Speaker 3: own war to be fighting, which is with Russia. So
- 54:50Speaker 3: what are you doing here if not trying to play
- 54:53Speaker 3: the game insert yourself in the neocons, you know, good graces,
- 54:57Speaker 3: and now inviting potential Iranian response. What is America going
- 55:02Speaker 3: to do? We're going to shoot down now Iranian you know,
- 55:04Speaker 3: missiles coming into Kiev.
- 55:06Speaker 1: I mean, the entire thing would be insane.
- 55:08Speaker 2: Well, the other possibility is that Ukraine wouldn't have taken
- 55:11Speaker 2: these actions without US and NATO acquiescence and encouragement, and
- 55:16Speaker 2: so I think I think that's a real possibility too,
- 55:18Speaker 2: because this is important. You know, these trading roots through
- 55:21Speaker 2: the caspiancy are important. I mean, this is basically how
- 55:24Speaker 2: Iran is able to import things from China. And from Russia,
- 55:27Speaker 2: obviously two countries very important to them. The world views
- 55:31Speaker 2: Zelenski is pushing, which does, by the way, have some
- 55:35Speaker 2: grounding to it, is that the Ukraine Russia conflict and
- 55:39Speaker 2: the Iran US Israel conflict are actually very much linked
- 55:44Speaker 2: and they're part of the same conflict. We've talked here
- 55:47Speaker 2: about how there is There are definitely some linkage linkages here,
- 55:52Speaker 2: you know, but Zelenski definitely wants to oversell it. He's
- 55:55Speaker 2: constantly pushing, you know, how impactful Russia has been in
- 55:58Speaker 2: terms of the Iran War. His claim is that Iran
- 56:01Speaker 2: would not be able to target US service members and
- 56:04Speaker 2: radars and other important assets and facilities without Russian help.
- 56:09Speaker 2: I don't know whether that is true or not, but
- 56:11Speaker 2: he's effectively selling this worldview of the West versus Iran, Russia, China,
- 56:16Speaker 2: and North Korea as this sort of new axis of evil.
- 56:20Speaker 2: He also, while yes, Sager is right Ukraine obviously needs
- 56:24Speaker 2: us for some things, he's also trying to position himself
- 56:27Speaker 2: as you need me for some things. So he's been
- 56:30Speaker 2: doing and we haven't covered this on the show, but
- 56:31Speaker 2: he's been doing a bunch of deals with the Gulf,
- 56:34Speaker 2: Arab allies in particular doing training. Hey, we've been dealing
- 56:39Speaker 2: with these Shahad drones. We know how to do it.
- 56:41Speaker 2: We've developed technology, selling them that technology in exchange for
- 56:46Speaker 2: money and support from those golf Arab allies. So he's
- 56:49Speaker 2: been striking all of these cooperation agreements to try to
- 56:52Speaker 2: further and mesh himself and make Ukraine invaluable to the US.
- 56:57Speaker 2: So now not only are we effect using the Ukrainian
- 57:01Speaker 2: population in a proxy fight against Russia, but he's saying, hey,
- 57:04Speaker 2: you can use this too for your proxy, you know,
- 57:06Speaker 2: to as a proxy against Iran. And so that's I
- 57:10Speaker 2: think the context that you have to look at. This
- 57:12Speaker 2: attack on this Iranian ship is kind of an opening
- 57:15Speaker 2: salvo in that. And I would be I would be
- 57:18Speaker 2: surprised if they didn't at least have a green light
- 57:22Speaker 2: from the US. I don't think that they would be
- 57:24Speaker 2: entirely freelancing here. And that is certainly the Iranians view
- 57:28Speaker 2: of things, that this is not just Selenski going out
- 57:30Speaker 2: on a limb. This is a new US strategy of Okay,
- 57:34Speaker 2: how do we further up the ancient apply more economic
- 57:37Speaker 2: to pressure to Iran. We can use Ukraine to put
- 57:41Speaker 2: pressure in the Caspian.
- 57:42Speaker 1: Sea, and you're not wrong.
- 57:43Speaker 3: It also this is part of why this is so dangerous,
- 57:46Speaker 3: by trying to link it as some sort of world
- 57:48Speaker 3: war that would I mean, let's think about all of
- 57:51Speaker 3: the massive risks, or at least right now, it's it's
- 57:54Speaker 3: contained to the Middle East. Iran's greatest Iran's great strategy
- 57:59Speaker 3: was to regionalize the war, to say, if you attack us,
- 58:02Speaker 3: we attack everything all of So Ukraine also knows, at
- 58:06Speaker 3: the end of the day, no Americans want to die
- 58:08Speaker 3: or yes, continue to pay five dollars gasoline so that
- 58:11Speaker 3: the eastern Gunboss region can be free. Sorry, I don't care.
- 58:15Speaker 3: I know a lot of other people don't care either.
- 58:17Speaker 3: He wants to globalize it into this grant and you'd
- 58:20Speaker 3: actually even see it. Let's put C three up here
- 58:22Speaker 3: on the screen, just to give you an example. Zelenski's
- 58:25Speaker 3: new line is to say, I will instruct our intelligence
- 58:29Speaker 3: to share with our partners the information we have received
- 58:32Speaker 3: regarding Russia's assistance to the Iranian regime. Since the beginning
- 58:36Speaker 3: of July, we have recorded active Russian satellite surveillance of
- 58:38Speaker 3: the Gulf States and US military facilities located there. These
- 58:41Speaker 3: images that appear in Iran at the same time, there's
- 58:44Speaker 3: clear correlation between Russia's satellite imagery of these sites and
- 58:48Speaker 3: Iran strikes, both before the attacks, in preparation for them,
- 58:51Speaker 3: and effort to assess the damage inflicted, basically saying, it
- 58:54Speaker 3: is Russia that is providing the backbone of the intelligence
- 58:58Speaker 3: for the Iran conflict, and it is Iran that is
- 59:00Speaker 3: supplying these drones to Russia to attack us. That's why
- 59:04Speaker 3: you need to support us in this global conflict. Now,
- 59:07Speaker 3: the funny thing behind all of this is that Trump
- 59:10Speaker 3: is the one downplaying any Russian assistance to Iran. Why
- 59:15Speaker 3: he doesn't want to fight with Russia. He already has
- 59:17Speaker 3: a bad enough fight on his hands. He put out
- 59:19Speaker 3: a long truth social post saying President Putin has assured me,
- 59:23Speaker 3: and I take him at his word, that he has
- 59:26Speaker 3: not provided anything to Iran. President g has also assured me.
- 59:30Speaker 3: Does he know that's bullshit? Of course he knows that.
- 59:32Speaker 3: Of course they are helping Iran. We help Ukraine hit Russia.
- 59:36Speaker 3: What we're not broughting all the battle damage assessments and
- 59:39Speaker 3: all the technology and everything to go all these deep strikes.
- 59:41Speaker 3: You be a fool not to believe that. So it's
- 59:44Speaker 3: very obvious that this is happening. But Zelenski has this
- 59:48Speaker 3: ultimate end of linking the two to become massively supplied
- 59:53Speaker 3: by the United States and by the Trump administration, which
- 59:55Speaker 3: is desperate to try and to defeat Iran. So these
- 59:58Speaker 3: things being linked togaein because Lensky knows otherwise. In a vacuum,
- 1:00:03Speaker 3: he's screwed, and basically has been since October seventh, whenever
- 1:00:06Speaker 3: he had to compete with Israel for munitions and for resources.
- 1:00:09Speaker 3: But one of the tactics that they are now using
- 1:00:12Speaker 3: is to link these two things together by buying off
- 1:00:15Speaker 3: or supporting many of the neo cons here in Washington,
- 1:00:18Speaker 3: as evidence now by Laura Lumer in her recent trip
- 1:00:21Speaker 3: to Ukraine, where she has made now a huge pivot,
- 1:00:25Speaker 3: and her trip, she says, was financed by donors. Who
- 1:00:28Speaker 3: knows exactly who these people are. Maybe she's speaking from
- 1:00:32Speaker 3: the heart, but she sat down for a very softball
- 1:00:34Speaker 3: interview here with Zelensky.
- 1:00:35Speaker 1: Let's take a listen.
- 1:00:37Speaker 11: We saw that about a week or so ago, President Trump,
- 1:00:39Speaker 11: after the death of Senator Lindsay Graham, tweeted that he
- 1:00:42Speaker 11: wants Iron to be added to the Russia sanctions bill,
- 1:00:45Speaker 11: and by posting that on truth Social it seems like
- 1:00:48Speaker 11: the President is willing to sign that Russia sanctions bill
- 1:00:51Speaker 11: when it reaches his desk.
- 1:00:52Speaker 2: So how does that make you feel?
- 1:00:54Speaker 11: And why do you think the American people should get
- 1:00:58Speaker 11: on board with a Russia and Iron joint sanctions bill.
- 1:01:02Speaker 13: First of all, I think that President exactly understood that
- 1:01:14Speaker 13: who really doesn't want to stop the war? I think so,
- 1:01:20Speaker 13: I mean this even not this ways, So he understood
- 1:01:24Speaker 13: that we want to stop them. He understood that we
- 1:01:27Speaker 13: really want piece that there have been before a lot
- 1:01:30Speaker 13: of voices that Ukraine doesn't want to stop, and they said,
- 1:01:34Speaker 13: of course we want to win.
- 1:01:36Speaker 14: Yeah, of course it's understandable. We have people and we
- 1:01:39Speaker 14: are rioting on our land, etc. But first of all,
- 1:01:42Speaker 14: we are focusing on the human lives. So if tomorrow
- 1:01:46Speaker 14: we can stop the war to make fire, it's better
- 1:01:49Speaker 14: than to fight ten twenty years for the victory and
- 1:01:53Speaker 14: to lose your people. Of course, she's fire is better.
- 1:01:57Speaker 13: Lindsay really was involved this bill, and he was I
- 1:02:03Speaker 13: don't remember about two years, one year and a half
- 1:02:06Speaker 13: something like this. And I think the idea of President
- 1:02:09Speaker 13: Trump to join the sunctions.
- 1:02:12Speaker 14: Or Iran.
- 1:02:13Speaker 13: We support this idea. Of course, this is very good idea.
- 1:02:17Speaker 13: I think that this idea is strong because you can
- 1:02:21Speaker 13: join maybe different people in Congress, Senna. You can join
- 1:02:26Speaker 13: people who are somebody is supporting Iranian sanctions, somebody is
- 1:02:31Speaker 13: a Russian sanction. So this is the idea.
- 1:02:34Speaker 1: So he's thrilled, obviously very thrilled about the idea.
- 1:02:37Speaker 3: And by the way, after BB has his hand out
- 1:02:40Speaker 3: here in Washington, another leader will come here to Washington
- 1:02:44Speaker 3: the very next day. Let's put it up here on
- 1:02:46Speaker 3: the screen. So just tomorrow, don't worry, Zelenski will be
- 1:02:50Speaker 3: here in Washington in the Oval Office to meet with
- 1:02:52Speaker 3: President Trump literally asking for I mean, you can look at.
- 1:02:55Speaker 1: His Twitter timeline.
- 1:02:56Speaker 3: All he's begging for Patriot and pack two, pack three missiles,
- 1:03:00Speaker 3: all to be able to shoot down ballistic missiles. But
- 1:03:02Speaker 3: of course you are going to have to ration them
- 1:03:04Speaker 3: both at US in terms of the defense industrial base
- 1:03:06Speaker 3: and in terms of the future. But at the very least,
- 1:03:09Speaker 3: I think it just highlights one of the major Trump
- 1:03:11Speaker 3: campaign promises was I'm going to bring the war.
- 1:03:13Speaker 1: What did he say before I even take office?
- 1:03:15Speaker 3: I believe that's what he said, is that I'll have
- 1:03:17Speaker 3: it solved before I even take office. It's July twenty seven,
- 1:03:20Speaker 3: twenty twenty six, almost two years into the Trump presidency,
- 1:03:24Speaker 3: and the war is escalating and now actually joining the
- 1:03:27Speaker 3: war that you started in the first place. So at
- 1:03:29Speaker 3: the very least, it's a total failure.
- 1:03:31Speaker 2: Yeah, And I think part of what is really scary
- 1:03:34Speaker 2: about this is that there is some truth to the
- 1:03:36Speaker 2: fact that this is a broader world war at this point,
- 1:03:40Speaker 2: and those linkages, you know, they are real in terms
- 1:03:43Speaker 2: of the way that these two conflicts interact. You could
- 1:03:47Speaker 2: even expand it to the Horn of Africa if you
- 1:03:49Speaker 2: want to look at what's happening in Sudan and the
- 1:03:51Speaker 2: way UA is backing that as well. And it's why
- 1:03:54Speaker 2: you know, we I mean, it's one of the reasons
- 1:03:56Speaker 2: why we've been very concerned about the launch of this
- 1:04:01Speaker 2: war to begin with, because of the way it could
- 1:04:03Speaker 2: turn into this sort of global conflagration. Sager's been bringing
- 1:04:07Speaker 2: up some of the World War One parallels. I think
- 1:04:09Speaker 2: you can see it here, all these you know, linkages
- 1:04:11Speaker 2: between different allies and different commitments to different countries and
- 1:04:15Speaker 2: the way that all comes together. So Celenski very much
- 1:04:18Speaker 2: wants to make reality that conception of this is not
- 1:04:22Speaker 2: just separate wars, but that they are in a sense joined,
- 1:04:26Speaker 2: because that serves his interests of pushing us to do
- 1:04:29Speaker 2: more against Russia and support him, makes him more indispensable
- 1:04:33Speaker 2: to this entire fight. And you know, I think is
- 1:04:36Speaker 2: having some success pushing in that time.
- 1:04:37Speaker 3: I mean, look, you have to admire it, I guess
- 1:04:39Speaker 3: in a certain sense. You know, he'd a hopeless conflict
- 1:04:42Speaker 3: that just continues to drag on and which he is
- 1:04:44Speaker 3: now escalated and actually convinced everyone that there's no risk.
- 1:04:47Speaker 3: But just like what you said earlier about the risk
- 1:04:50Speaker 3: of pushing Iran to a nuclear weapon, we have the
- 1:04:52Speaker 3: same risk here with Russia. We're going to economically nuke
- 1:04:55Speaker 3: them with the Russia sanctions link them with Iran. Well,
- 1:04:58Speaker 3: then now there's no negotiation ability.
- 1:05:00Speaker 1: We're really going to.
- 1:05:01Speaker 3: Draw the line in the sand over the Dunboss region
- 1:05:03Speaker 3: of Ukraine. Seriously, but that's apparently what it is. What Meanwhile,
- 1:05:07Speaker 3: Russia strikes or Ukraine strikes deep into Russia. Everybody in
- 1:05:11Speaker 3: Washington and the whole Blue Brigade just wipes it like,
- 1:05:14Speaker 3: oh yeah, you know, oh, it's okay, there's no risk.
- 1:05:16Speaker 3: They literally have nukes. They can use them anytime that
- 1:05:20Speaker 3: they want.
- 1:05:20Speaker 13: It's it.
- 1:05:21Speaker 3: Look, we saw remember the Wagner coup that almost I mean,
- 1:05:25Speaker 3: who knows what could happen in this country. The reality is,
- 1:05:28Speaker 3: if that there's any domestic problem in Russia, it will
- 1:05:31Speaker 3: be and Putin is removed, it will be a right
- 1:05:33Speaker 3: wing takeover that is much more likely to escalate the war.
- 1:05:37Speaker 3: And Zelenski is also making that more likely with no
- 1:05:40Speaker 3: pressure from Washington or from anybody else, anybody who's more
- 1:05:44Speaker 3: cool headed to just bring the war to an end.
- 1:05:47Speaker 3: And speaking of cool headed people who truly loved peace,
- 1:05:50Speaker 3: now let's talk.
- 1:05:50Speaker 1: About Lindsay grid.
- 1:05:55Speaker 2: This is actually quite extraordinary. Apparently, for the last year
- 1:05:59Speaker 2: or so of Lindsay grin life, he was being followed
- 1:06:01Speaker 2: by a documentary filmmaker who captured all of this behind
- 1:06:07Speaker 2: the scenes footage of Lindsey Graham as the Iran war
- 1:06:10Speaker 2: is being launched, even captured a phone conversation that he
- 1:06:13Speaker 2: had with net and Yahoo, all of these sensitive meetings.
- 1:06:16Speaker 2: This filmmaker, whose name is Alex Holder, who has quite
- 1:06:19Speaker 2: a long track record of making a lot of different documentaries,
- 1:06:22Speaker 2: had access to So we have a few of these
- 1:06:25Speaker 2: clips to share with you because they're quite illustrative. I
- 1:06:27Speaker 2: think we all know Lindsay gram is one of the
- 1:06:29Speaker 2: most consequential figures in terms of persuading Trump that the
- 1:06:33Speaker 2: Iran War would be a good idea. This was a
- 1:06:36Speaker 2: lifelong project for him. He was deeply committed to it.
- 1:06:39Speaker 2: I think, deeply, ideologically, principally committed to it. And we
- 1:06:44Speaker 2: have now the live reaction on camera of Lindsey Graham
- 1:06:48Speaker 2: as he's watching Trump announce that the Iran War has
- 1:06:52Speaker 2: been launched, and he has overcome with emotion. Let's take
- 1:06:54Speaker 2: a look at that.
- 1:06:57Speaker 13: We've done it, almost cried.
- 1:07:00Speaker 1: I mean, like, how long have we been pushing this?
- 1:07:04Speaker 6: You've been pushing this?
- 1:07:06Speaker 1: Is here id Trump this morning. Boy's Jack. He's the
- 1:07:10Speaker 1: best thing I've ever done.
- 1:07:12Speaker 13: He loves blowing stuff up.
- 1:07:16Speaker 15: So you know, there are a lot of people inside
- 1:07:19Speaker 15: didn't want to do it. So I've had my challenges
- 1:07:22Speaker 15: for President Trump. When he gets into the zone, he listens,
- 1:07:30Speaker 15: he asks good questions.
- 1:07:31Speaker 14: You know, no.
- 1:07:32Speaker 1: Tweeting, he has done nothing.
- 1:07:34Speaker 16: He hasn't tweeted much at all.
- 1:07:36Speaker 15: No drama. He's been a great wartime President. I said
- 1:07:40Speaker 15: last night that Trump and BB are like Roosevelt and Churchill.
- 1:07:45Speaker 15: I mean they're the right to guys to confront this.
- 1:07:48Speaker 2: Evil, like Roosevelt and Churchill, confronting this great evil. He says,
- 1:07:53Speaker 2: he almost cried when the announcement was made. There he
- 1:07:57Speaker 2: is laughing, He's delighted, he's so happy. I'm so happy
- 1:08:00Speaker 2: that this president loves in his words, blowing stuff up
- 1:08:04Speaker 2: and talks about how many years have I been pushing
- 1:08:07Speaker 2: this for? I mean, it really says it all there,
- 1:08:10Speaker 2: doesn't he.
- 1:08:11Speaker 1: I mean, he's ryan.
- 1:08:13Speaker 3: It's you know, watching this his dad his funerals today,
- 1:08:17Speaker 3: So you'll try to be semi muted, I guess, but
- 1:08:19Speaker 3: you know, this man revels in death like he revels
- 1:08:22Speaker 3: on his legacy and in conflict. And I actually think
- 1:08:25Speaker 3: it's his funeral. So let's talk about his legacy, which
- 1:08:27Speaker 3: we did kind of previously. Let's take a look at
- 1:08:30Speaker 3: his actual track record, of his track record and his
- 1:08:34Speaker 3: judgment who he is so unhinged in a phone call
- 1:08:38Speaker 3: here with baby net and Yahoo.
- 1:08:40Speaker 1: Baby has to talk him down.
- 1:08:43Speaker 15: Let's take a listen, Hey, baby lindsay, I couldn't. I'm
- 1:08:51Speaker 15: just so impressed. Glad to be your friend. I'm going
- 1:08:58Speaker 15: to meet with the President this weekend. I'm going down
- 1:09:00Speaker 15: to Durrel. I'm gonna try to get him to join
- 1:09:02Speaker 15: with y'all in Lebanon to maybe fly some with you.
- 1:09:06Speaker 7: Would you like that?
- 1:09:07Speaker 10: Yeah, I get that. I think I think you have
- 1:09:11Speaker 10: a point. But I've been thinking about the other side
- 1:09:16Speaker 10: of it for a second, concentrated right now on if
- 1:09:19Speaker 10: we tell that we're going all the way, but if
- 1:09:25Speaker 10: we actually do it, okay and they have no reason
- 1:09:29Speaker 10: not to go all the way against.
- 1:09:31Speaker 15: Okay, okay, later, well I'll uh, okay, Well that's that's
- 1:09:37Speaker 15: actually good counsel. I'll put it out there as an idea.
- 1:09:41Speaker 15: We can always go back to it.
- 1:09:43Speaker 3: Do you guys see that he's saying, I'm going to
- 1:09:45Speaker 3: go down to Durrell. I'm going to get Trump to
- 1:09:47Speaker 3: join you in bombing Hasbol And BB's like, oh, we're
- 1:09:50Speaker 3: just bombing Iran right now. I'll deal with Hesbola later.
- 1:09:52Speaker 3: But that's how unhinged he was. He was so unhinged
- 1:09:55Speaker 3: he wanted to do a bombing campaign that even Netta
- 1:09:58Speaker 3: Yahu didn't And by the way, his prediction is totally
- 1:10:02Speaker 3: wrong in all of this as we're all about to
- 1:10:04Speaker 3: show in a phone call with Jake Sullivan, former national
- 1:10:07Speaker 3: security advisor for Joe Biden. So just to show you
- 1:10:10Speaker 3: all the uniparty in terms of it's big club, We're
- 1:10:13Speaker 3: not in it. Former National security advisor Jake Sullivan, Lindsey
- 1:10:16Speaker 3: Graham like this in terms.
- 1:10:18Speaker 1: Of their worldview.
- 1:10:19Speaker 3: He starts talking about how all these Iranian cities are
- 1:10:22Speaker 3: about to fall, We're going to take over. Like his
- 1:10:24Speaker 3: level of optimism, enthusiasm, and ultimately he died at a
- 1:10:28Speaker 3: moment where he didn't get to.
- 1:10:29Speaker 1: Fully see what how the disaster.
- 1:10:32Speaker 3: He unleashed, but he had an idea at least somewhat.
- 1:10:35Speaker 3: Their predictions in the early days of the war, we
- 1:10:37Speaker 3: can never forget. Iran will rise up. We're going to
- 1:10:39Speaker 3: kill the Iyahtola. This will all be over in a
- 1:10:41Speaker 3: matter of days, and America will overwhelming win. We're catastrophically
- 1:10:45Speaker 3: proven incorrect. At the end of the day, they were
- 1:10:48Speaker 3: they got exactly what they wanted. They told us for years,
- 1:10:51Speaker 3: No Americans have to die. They've been killing us for
- 1:10:54Speaker 3: forty seven years. The forty seventh President will end the
- 1:10:56Speaker 3: forty seven year war with a few bombs and a
- 1:10:59Speaker 3: few aetola and then the entire region lit on fire
- 1:11:01Speaker 3: and it became a total disaster. And at the end
- 1:11:04Speaker 3: he at least knew that somewhat. And that's why the
- 1:11:08Speaker 3: ben Shapiros and the Martestans and all these people in
- 1:11:10Speaker 3: the world have to resort to cheap tricks on Fox
- 1:11:13Speaker 3: News television to cast their spell over these boomers, to
- 1:11:17Speaker 3: continue them to support the war.
- 1:11:19Speaker 1: They've got nothing left. Reality has hit them in the face.
- 1:11:22Speaker 2: Yeah, and excuse me, Lindsay Graham. I think as someone who,
- 1:11:26Speaker 2: in addition to, as you said, reveling in death and mayhem,
- 1:11:30Speaker 2: he also has been constitutionally incapable of taking in new information.
- 1:11:35Speaker 2: Very good at it in terms of the political landscape year,
- 1:11:37Speaker 2: but very bad at it in terms of his core ideology.
- 1:11:40Speaker 2: I mean, this is someone who never reckoned with what
- 1:11:41Speaker 2: a failure of the Iraq War was, Libya was, Syria was,
- 1:11:45Speaker 2: Afghanistan was, never moved, was completely unreconstructed, never moved his
- 1:11:50Speaker 2: ideological appetite for war, regime change wars even one inch,
- 1:11:56Speaker 2: did not change his worldview and his desire for these
- 1:11:59Speaker 2: endless wars even one bit. So do I think he
- 1:12:03Speaker 2: was at the end of his life looking at this
- 1:12:04Speaker 2: and going, oh, that was a disaster. No, of course,
- 1:12:07Speaker 2: he was like the rest of these people, we just
- 1:12:08Speaker 2: got to do more. We gotta go harder, we got
- 1:12:10Speaker 2: to invade, we got to bomb carg Island, we got
- 1:12:12Speaker 2: to join bb and bombing Lebanon, et cetera. The other
- 1:12:15Speaker 2: piece of that clip that is consequential is that he
- 1:12:18Speaker 2: feels like he can just go to Jerral and talk
- 1:12:21Speaker 2: to Trump and get him to do whatever bombing campaign
- 1:12:24Speaker 2: he wants. He seems to have that level kan Hey, babe,
- 1:12:26Speaker 2: you want me to do this for you, no problem,
- 1:12:28Speaker 2: I'm had it down to Jerral. I'll take care of
- 1:12:31Speaker 2: it for you. I'll get I'll get us to join
- 1:12:32Speaker 2: in your bombing campaign in Lebanon. And I don't think
- 1:12:36Speaker 2: he was crazy to feel that he had that kind
- 1:12:38Speaker 2: of impact. It gives you a window into just how
- 1:12:41Speaker 2: important and consequential this man, this unreconstructed Neocon, ended up
- 1:12:46Speaker 2: being in Trump's presidency. Trump the guy who ran on
- 1:12:49Speaker 2: No New Wars. Sager set up this clip of Lindsey
- 1:12:53Speaker 2: Graham talking to Jake Sullivan and you know, talking about
- 1:12:56Speaker 2: how he thinks the war was going to unfold. You
- 1:12:59Speaker 2: could see how you know with our own eyes, as
- 1:13:01Speaker 2: in our lived experience here, how catastrophically wrong he was
- 1:13:05Speaker 2: in every one of these predictions.
- 1:13:06Speaker 16: Let's take a listen, Democrats and Republicans are okay with
- 1:13:09Speaker 16: the treaty. Now you'll never get the treaty into you
- 1:13:12Speaker 16: get a pathway for the Palestinians. You just can't get there.
- 1:13:16Speaker 16: You can't get NBS to recognize Israel. So when I'm
- 1:13:19Speaker 16: gonna tell BB, and I just told later. I talked
- 1:13:22Speaker 16: to BB this morning. He called me and thanking me
- 1:13:24Speaker 16: for everything. He says. He's game. I said, listen, BB
- 1:13:28Speaker 16: and Smoltridge and being Avere are not going to deliver.
- 1:13:34Speaker 16: If you win your election, it's going to be before
- 1:13:37Speaker 16: our election. I think the time probably do this is
- 1:13:39Speaker 16: Elaine Duck will know pretty quickly whether it BB is
- 1:13:46Speaker 16: able to deliver. I'll to be honest with you, I
- 1:13:50Speaker 16: think about three to four weeks we should have him
- 1:13:53Speaker 16: in a spot where they start losing control of some cities.
- 1:13:58Speaker 16: And what we're trying to do, it's just get a
- 1:14:01Speaker 16: few cities to fall in the next month, get the
- 1:14:06Speaker 16: air is more openly involved tomorrow or by the end
- 1:14:09Speaker 16: of the week, and just have almost irreversible.
- 1:14:12Speaker 2: Momentum, irreversible, incredible. Yeah, andol like three to four weeks,
- 1:14:18Speaker 2: some cities are going to and I think this was
- 1:14:20Speaker 2: all there. You know, they had that crazy cockamating scheme
- 1:14:24Speaker 2: with Akamdenojod is going to rise into leadership and Kurds
- 1:14:28Speaker 2: are going to come in. We're going to arm these Curds.
- 1:14:29Speaker 2: They're going to come in, They're going to start a
- 1:14:31Speaker 2: civil war. They'll be able to take over these cities.
- 1:14:33Speaker 2: Like they actually believe this crap. They thought that's how
- 1:14:36Speaker 2: it was going to go, and that just like Venezuela
- 1:14:39Speaker 2: fell so quickly into us hands and by the way,
- 1:14:42Speaker 2: Venezuela now walking away from the ICC, because that's what
- 1:14:45Speaker 2: we want them to do. But in any case, they
- 1:14:47Speaker 2: thought Aron would be the same. We'll take out their
- 1:14:48Speaker 2: leadership class, we'll arm these Curds, We'll barely have to
- 1:14:51Speaker 2: do anything, and it's all going to crumble, it's all
- 1:14:53Speaker 2: going to fall apart. Obviously, here we are months later
- 1:14:57Speaker 2: and we have like we've lost. It's just a matter
- 1:15:00Speaker 2: of time until we actually reckon with that.
- 1:15:02Speaker 3: That tomorrow was five months to the day since the
- 1:15:04Speaker 3: war began, so that was almost five months ago that
- 1:15:08Speaker 3: that video was recorded. We're a few weeks away from
- 1:15:10Speaker 3: these cities losing control wrong, a few weeks away from
- 1:15:14Speaker 3: being able to by the way, even what he was
- 1:15:15Speaker 3: saying there about a treaty that lets us in on
- 1:15:18Speaker 3: a little secret. So because what he's trying to push,
- 1:15:20Speaker 3: just to explain a little behind the scenes, I assume
- 1:15:22Speaker 3: I called Sullivan's because Sullivan is STI close to a
- 1:15:24Speaker 3: lot of these Democratic senators, is to push some sort
- 1:15:27Speaker 3: either what we just learned about this Saudi nuclear deal
- 1:15:31Speaker 3: through in a lame duck style session in Congress, or
- 1:15:34Speaker 3: some sort of normalization ish of relations between the Gulf
- 1:15:38Speaker 3: Arab States and Israel.
- 1:15:40Speaker 1: But ultimately that was his aim.
- 1:15:42Speaker 3: His aim was to support Israel and to top all Iran.
- 1:15:45Speaker 3: I mean, he's supported, he accomplished the first one. But
- 1:15:48Speaker 3: it's just so crazy to me that he's more of
- 1:15:51Speaker 3: a warmonger than b B himself, like that saying I
- 1:15:53Speaker 3: just can't get over because.
- 1:15:54Speaker 2: Phoebe said something like that in a Fox News I
- 1:15:57Speaker 2: think interviewed too, who was like, oh, lindsay he'd always
- 1:15:59Speaker 2: be and I'll give you more a and I'll like,
- 1:16:01Speaker 2: we don't even need this much I had to talk
- 1:16:03Speaker 2: him back because he was always wanting to give us
- 1:16:05Speaker 2: more and more and more. That's your taskpayer dollars we're
- 1:16:07Speaker 2: talking about here.
- 1:16:08Speaker 3: Yeah, and you know, look, we talked about Zelenski, we
- 1:16:10Speaker 3: talked about Boebe. They're all coming to his I'm like,
- 1:16:13Speaker 3: is anyone from South Carolina going to this guy's funeral?
- 1:16:16Speaker 1: Literally?
- 1:16:16Speaker 3: Like you have all these foreign ministers and ambassadors from
- 1:16:19Speaker 3: the from Europe who were all like, oh, he was
- 1:16:21Speaker 3: such a great friend. Any poor people in South Carolina
- 1:16:23Speaker 3: hold their hands up and be like, thank you Lindsey
- 1:16:25Speaker 3: Graham for did he fix any roads like anything? He
- 1:16:28Speaker 3: was in Congress for a long time, not that I
- 1:16:31Speaker 3: can see. You know, what's what's the post in Courier
- 1:16:34Speaker 3: or any did do they mention anything? Does anybody down there,
- 1:16:37Speaker 3: even you know, miss him? Now that his sister, I guess,
- 1:16:40Speaker 3: will take up his mantle. You know, she's running for
- 1:16:42Speaker 3: his for the full election. It's crazy.
- 1:16:45Speaker 2: Yeah, who is this lady?
- 1:16:46Speaker 1: Who are you? Yeah? I looked her up.
- 1:16:48Speaker 3: She's like the she was on like the library board
- 1:16:50Speaker 3: or something in South or which he got.
- 1:16:52Speaker 1: Her the job. Now she's running for his entire term. Okay,
- 1:16:56Speaker 1: I can't deal with this country sometimes, I really can't.
- 1:16:58Speaker 2: All right, Ecuador, Absolutely wild story unfolding down in Ecuador
- 1:17:03Speaker 2: that we had to bring to you in relation to
- 1:17:06Speaker 2: some of these alleged boat drone strikes from the Trump administration.
- 1:17:10Speaker 2: Let's go on and put this reporting up on the
- 1:17:11Speaker 2: screen from drop Site. Their reporter, Camilla Lord's Galarza says
- 1:17:16Speaker 2: that a prosecutor investigating US boat strikes and claims of
- 1:17:19Speaker 2: torture was murdered in Ecuador. So the TLDR here is
- 1:17:25Speaker 2: that this prosecutor was appointed to investigate not only the
- 1:17:28Speaker 2: boat strikes, but there were a number of survivors from
- 1:17:31Speaker 2: these three different boat strikes, and they all claimed a
- 1:17:34Speaker 2: very similar series of events that after the drone strikes,
- 1:17:38Speaker 2: then they were apprehended by what appeared to be US
- 1:17:42Speaker 2: service members, They were held for more than a week,
- 1:17:47Speaker 2: they were tortured, and then they were dropped in El Salvador.
- 1:17:52Speaker 2: The US denies all of this. They all described the
- 1:17:55Speaker 2: uniform that appears to be like the US Coast Guard uniform.
- 1:17:58Speaker 2: I'll go through some of the evidence that drop Site
- 1:18:00Speaker 2: has been able to compile here that I would say
- 1:18:02Speaker 2: is pretty compelling. They all showed back up with severe injuries,
- 1:18:07Speaker 2: including their feet were torn to shreds. So there was
- 1:18:10Speaker 2: evidence of this alleged torture. And this woman who was
- 1:18:13Speaker 2: appointed to investigate this as a prosecutor has now been
- 1:18:16Speaker 2: assassinated on the street in Ecuador. Her sister, who tried
- 1:18:20Speaker 2: to say for life, was also killed. Her security detail
- 1:18:23Speaker 2: that she was supposed to have, because it is unfortunately
- 1:18:26Speaker 2: not uncommon for these types of investigators to be assassinated
- 1:18:29Speaker 2: in Ecuador, that security detail sager nowhere to be found.
- 1:18:34Speaker 2: So pretty insane all the way around. Let me just
- 1:18:37Speaker 2: read to you the beginning of this and I'll pull
- 1:18:39Speaker 2: out some quotes so that you can get the full
- 1:18:40Speaker 2: gist of the story and some of the evidence they
- 1:18:43Speaker 2: compiled of these allegations. Alexandra Bravo, the prosecutor assigned to
- 1:18:46Speaker 2: investigate US strikes on three Ecuadorian boats and the thirty
- 1:18:50Speaker 2: six survivors subsequent accounts of torture and kidnapping, was shot
- 1:18:54Speaker 2: dead in the cultural city of Monte last month. According
- 1:18:57Speaker 2: to police, on June fourteenth, a hitman aboard a black
- 1:18:59Speaker 2: motive cycle open fire on Bravo as she and her
- 1:19:02Speaker 2: sister were leaving a cafe at about eleven am. Bravo's sister,
- 1:19:05Speaker 2: who jumped to protect her, was also killed in the attack.
- 1:19:08Speaker 2: Upon arriving at the crime scene, officers say they found
- 1:19:11Speaker 2: five nine millimeters shell casings and Bravo's injured driver, no
- 1:19:15Speaker 2: sign of the police detail that had been assigned to
- 1:19:18Speaker 2: protect her. The Police director at which operates entirely under
- 1:19:22Speaker 2: the executive Branch, has launch approke to determine if there'd
- 1:19:25Speaker 2: been an internal security breach. So part of the political
- 1:19:28Speaker 2: backstory here too, Sager, is that the leader of Ecuador
- 1:19:32Speaker 2: is very right wing and very much allied himself with
- 1:19:35Speaker 2: the Trump administration, has wanted to be a part of
- 1:19:38Speaker 2: I came remember what they call this thing, Southern Spear
- 1:19:40Speaker 2: or something like that, which is the entire operation to
- 1:19:42Speaker 2: drone strike these these boats that they claim to be
- 1:19:45Speaker 2: drug runners. Some have already been proven to have been
- 1:19:47Speaker 2: just ordinary fishermen out there trying to earn a living.
- 1:19:50Speaker 2: So he's really tried to associate himself with that and
- 1:19:53Speaker 2: be a big partner to the Trump administration in all
- 1:19:56Speaker 2: of this. And you know, while I mentioned before, it's
- 1:20:00Speaker 2: not uncommon for these prosecutors to be assassinated in Ecuador,
- 1:20:05Speaker 2: and she was handling some other sensitive cases, so we
- 1:20:07Speaker 2: can't rule that out. We do know based on drop
- 1:20:10Speaker 2: site reporting, she was under a lot of pressure with
- 1:20:14Speaker 2: regards specifically to this investigation. They wanted her to really
- 1:20:19Speaker 2: downplay what had happened here, even though you had the
- 1:20:21Speaker 2: testimony and the clear signs of torture among these survivors.
- 1:20:25Speaker 2: She had just actually been taken off this case and reassigned.
- 1:20:29Speaker 2: So if you look at where she was feeling the
- 1:20:32Speaker 2: heat internally from the administration in An, Ecuador, it was
- 1:20:36Speaker 2: this case that seemed to be the hottest button is Yeah,
- 1:20:39Speaker 2: That's exactly what I was about to point out, is
- 1:20:40Speaker 2: that recently she had just been taken off of the
- 1:20:44Speaker 2: case inside of Ecuador.
- 1:20:45Speaker 1: Also, Daniel, how do you say? His name? Is it
- 1:20:47Speaker 1: Noboah Noboa? Guess where he was born? Miami? Interesting?
- 1:20:51Speaker 3: Just you know, my own personal ghat against the city
- 1:20:54Speaker 3: of Miami continues.
- 1:20:56Speaker 1: So we continue to look inside of this.
- 1:20:58Speaker 3: As you said, initially, I thought, look, is Latin America
- 1:21:02Speaker 3: prosecutors get killed all the time. You know. They even
- 1:21:05Speaker 3: open the story by saying that there have been multiple
- 1:21:07Speaker 3: of these, you know, the twenty sixth member of Ecuador's
- 1:21:11Speaker 3: justice system to be assassinated since twenty twenty. The second
- 1:21:14Speaker 3: individual investigating state crimes murdered just that week. But it
- 1:21:19Speaker 3: does seem very suspicious that she was killed at this
- 1:21:24Speaker 3: exact moment when she had been taken off the case
- 1:21:27Speaker 3: she had previously been fighting, investigating and releasing some of
- 1:21:30Speaker 3: those details. There is obviously immense pressure from Washington, specifically
- 1:21:36Speaker 3: Marco Rubio what does he call himself, like the Viceroy
- 1:21:39Speaker 3: of Venezuela. He runs the country from his cell phone,
- 1:21:43Speaker 3: he gets Delsea Rodriguez. I mean, yeah, I mean this
- 1:21:45Speaker 3: is where bringing in the Washington policy of these you know,
- 1:21:49Speaker 3: cartoonish vassal states just is so ridiculous. Like this more
- 1:21:53Speaker 3: recent beef between the US and the ICC, which doesn't
- 1:21:57Speaker 3: even have anything to do with US, has everything to
- 1:21:58Speaker 3: do with Israel. Withdrawing from the ICC, we're trying to
- 1:22:01Speaker 3: pressure all these countries to go after the ICC. They're
- 1:22:04Speaker 3: trying to get Venezuela. Now, Delsea Rodriguez saying, oh, actually,
- 1:22:07Speaker 3: you know, we also no longer like the ICC, trying
- 1:22:10Speaker 3: to connect it to Nicholas Maduro ironically, who is currently
- 1:22:13Speaker 3: in an American prison. But when you link these things together,
- 1:22:16Speaker 3: you can see Washington and Rubio specifically love to see
- 1:22:20Speaker 3: themselves as the governors of these territories look at nineteenth
- 1:22:24Speaker 3: century ambition, and in this case, they're putting immense pressure
- 1:22:28Speaker 3: on these governments. They're like, we need this to go away, right,
- 1:22:32Speaker 3: And as we just said, assassination of political justice figures
- 1:22:37Speaker 3: in Latin America is commonplace unfortunately for them. And so
- 1:22:42Speaker 3: it's very possible, you know, that she was killed either
- 1:22:44Speaker 3: on orders or through a cutout or via pressure.
- 1:22:47Speaker 1: Who knows exactly what was there, but we do know the.
- 1:22:50Speaker 3: US has got a lot to lose if these stories
- 1:22:53Speaker 3: become very public. Also, you know, just as we were talking,
- 1:22:56Speaker 3: just to look at the big picture, a new report
- 1:22:59Speaker 3: actually just came out from the DEA they had to
- 1:23:01Speaker 3: testify before Congress. Cocaine traffic has not slowed whatsoever as resulting.
- 1:23:06Speaker 3: Just in case anybody is wondering how it's going, Yeah,
- 1:23:08Speaker 3: engage anybody's wondering morality.
- 1:23:10Speaker 2: Of this aside of just randomly drone striking and murdering
- 1:23:14Speaker 2: people who we suspect maybe involved in the drug trade,
- 1:23:18Speaker 2: it's also not working. Even if that was you know,
- 1:23:21Speaker 2: even if that pragmatic goal was enough for you to
- 1:23:24Speaker 2: justify the immorality. Here put E three up on the
- 1:23:27Speaker 2: screen because this has some more details about the pressure
- 1:23:31Speaker 2: that she was experiencing. So it's, by the way, fantastic report.
- 1:23:34Speaker 2: Shout out to this reporter. She did such a thorough job.
- 1:23:37Speaker 2: She writes here. A source inside the Manta Police Department
- 1:23:39Speaker 2: who knew Bravo personally told Drop Site that the Ecuadorian
- 1:23:43Speaker 2: prosecutor was under pressure from her superiors at the Attorney
- 1:23:46Speaker 2: General's office to treat the US attacks as exclusively cases
- 1:23:50Speaker 2: of disappearance. The source, who asked for an anemity said
- 1:23:53Speaker 2: Bravo was told to close all lines of inquiry after
- 1:23:56Speaker 2: thirty six of the forty four missing men were found,
- 1:23:58Speaker 2: despite arriving with the severe injuries including seventy percent vision loss,
- 1:24:03Speaker 2: feet torn to flesh and bone, which medical experts found
- 1:24:07Speaker 2: consistent with their accounts of explosions and torture. So let
- 1:24:12Speaker 2: me just remind again what the allegations here are allegations are,
- 1:24:16Speaker 2: and this is three separate boats that we're talking about,
- 1:24:18Speaker 2: and the survivors from those collectively three boats that were
- 1:24:23Speaker 2: subject to drone strikes very similar pattern in terms of
- 1:24:26Speaker 2: the appearance of the drones the explosions, then very similar
- 1:24:30Speaker 2: stories about being abducted by these men wearing military uniforms
- 1:24:35Speaker 2: on a US flagship and being tortured and kidnapped for
- 1:24:38Speaker 2: eight days before being dumped in a country that is
- 1:24:41Speaker 2: not even their home country. What are we doing here? Again?
- 1:24:45Speaker 2: The UIs denis allegations, but their accounts are very consistent,
- 1:24:50Speaker 2: and drop site has compiled significant evidence that would point
- 1:24:54Speaker 2: to the US as having kidnapped these guys and then
- 1:24:57Speaker 2: tortured them, as if trying to murder them wasn't bad
- 1:25:00Speaker 2: enough to begin with. This is so completely insane, and
- 1:25:05Speaker 2: you can imagine why we would do it, because this
- 1:25:07Speaker 2: is all very uncomfortable. When they don't die and they
- 1:25:09Speaker 2: live and they can tell their stories about Hey, guess what,
- 1:25:12Speaker 2: I'm not a drug runner. I'm just trying to earn
- 1:25:14Speaker 2: a living here like a random fisherman. They don't want
- 1:25:17Speaker 2: those stories to get out, so they are trying to
- 1:25:19Speaker 2: terrify and intimidate these people, and in many instances that
- 1:25:23Speaker 2: has worked. Let me show you a little bit of
- 1:25:24Speaker 2: the evidence that they compiled here, and I really you
- 1:25:27Speaker 2: got to read the whole piece because there's a lot
- 1:25:29Speaker 2: more to it than just this piece that I'm going
- 1:25:31Speaker 2: to show you. Put E four up on the screen.
- 1:25:33Speaker 2: They obtained exclusive video of US Coast Guard activity in
- 1:25:38Speaker 2: the vicinity of the Negro Francisco bombing. That's one of
- 1:25:41Speaker 2: the boats that was bombed. Open source intelligence that corroborates
- 1:25:44Speaker 2: the testimonies and police interviews with eyewitnesses that confirm the
- 1:25:49Speaker 2: US involvement alleged by survivors and documented by drop site
- 1:25:52Speaker 2: with the help of Air Wars OCID analysts and former
- 1:25:55Speaker 2: US Marine Corps member Tommy McClusky. Drop Site access additional
- 1:25:58Speaker 2: NASA thermal imagery assistant with the Negrot Francisco bombing, and
- 1:26:02Speaker 2: vessel tracking data placing the US Coast Guard activity along
- 1:26:05Speaker 2: the route the fishermen say they were taken after the
- 1:26:07Speaker 2: strike at play. Here is a particular US Coast Guard
- 1:26:11Speaker 2: vessel which was in the vicinity, turns off their tracker
- 1:26:16Speaker 2: so that you can't see where they're moving, and then
- 1:26:19Speaker 2: turns it back on in an area where, again, if
- 1:26:22Speaker 2: the survivors are telling the truth, where it would make sense. Okay,
- 1:26:27Speaker 2: they were the ones who came, who apprehended, kidnapped these individuals,
- 1:26:31Speaker 2: tortured them, took them back to El Salvador and dumped
- 1:26:34Speaker 2: them there. The tracking data that we have access to,
- 1:26:37Speaker 2: and the very fact that they turned off that tracking
- 1:26:39Speaker 2: data for a time is relatively telling. And then you
- 1:26:42Speaker 2: do have some eyewitnesses who weren't on the boats, who
- 1:26:44Speaker 2: were in the area, whose accounts are consistent with what
- 1:26:47Speaker 2: the survivors have said. So there's a lot here that
- 1:26:50Speaker 2: indicates that what they're saying happened is in fact the truth.
- 1:26:53Speaker 3: Right, And I mean, looking through generally with all of this,
- 1:26:58Speaker 3: it just highlighted the sheer, I think insanity of that
- 1:27:03Speaker 3: entire camp. We've been so focused on Iran. That campaign
- 1:27:07Speaker 3: was insane from the beginning. It's still and then right,
- 1:27:11Speaker 3: it's still ongoing, but we covered it, and you know,
- 1:27:13Speaker 3: every single day when we were going Venezuela drug dealers,
- 1:27:16Speaker 3: all this bullshit nonsense. All I would do was look
- 1:27:20Speaker 3: at the DEA twenty twenty five report and say, Trump's
- 1:27:22Speaker 3: DEA says less than seven percent of the world's cocaine
- 1:27:25Speaker 3: even touches Venezuela.
- 1:27:27Speaker 1: To the extent that it does touch.
- 1:27:28Speaker 3: Venezuela, it's not coming to the United States, it's usually
- 1:27:30Speaker 3: going to Europe. And then in terms of fentanyl, the
- 1:27:32Speaker 3: number of the amount of fenchanyl coming through is zero.
- 1:27:35Speaker 3: They talk about trendy Argua, even their own report, the
- 1:27:38Speaker 3: DEA report, trendy Aragua never rose above street level dealing.
- 1:27:42Speaker 3: It's the Mexican cartels. So if you care about fentanyl,
- 1:27:44Speaker 3: it's all coming through Mexico. They can't actually touch Mexico
- 1:27:47Speaker 3: because of NAFTA and because of all the trade coming through.
- 1:27:50Speaker 3: So we can try, you know, all these little diplomatic things,
- 1:27:52Speaker 3: but the end of the day, nothing is actually going
- 1:27:54Speaker 3: to happen with that. So they had to focus there
- 1:27:56Speaker 3: on Venezuela and use it as a cover these drone
- 1:27:59Speaker 3: strikes of like dum civilians, which we now see with
- 1:28:02Speaker 3: the girls school strike and all the other strikes happening
- 1:28:04Speaker 3: in Iran. Doesn't look like our target set or identification
- 1:28:07Speaker 3: is all that good. And then on top of that,
- 1:28:09Speaker 3: we remember all the script was written in this campaign
- 1:28:12Speaker 3: for Iran, the double tap strike, remember kill them all
- 1:28:16Speaker 3: order that was given by Hegseeth after this drone strike,
- 1:28:19Speaker 3: the multiple testimony of the fishermen and others, all of
- 1:28:23Speaker 3: which just like with Iran, immoral wrong to do. But
- 1:28:26Speaker 3: also it didn't even touch what it allegedly was about
- 1:28:29Speaker 3: so foolish, foolhardy turning the people obviously of the region
- 1:28:33Speaker 3: against us and now resorting to sixties and seventies Latin
- 1:28:37Speaker 3: America dictatorial prop ups, which of course have never come
- 1:28:42Speaker 3: back to bite us and the ass whenever it comes
- 1:28:45Speaker 3: to our old strategy.
- 1:28:46Speaker 13: So it is just.
- 1:28:49Speaker 3: Begs belief that we even did it in the first place.
- 1:28:53Speaker 3: And I do think that looking back, it was such
- 1:28:56Speaker 3: an important thing for elevating Trump's confidence, this and the
- 1:29:00Speaker 3: Maduro raid, for how we can really accomplish youran and
- 1:29:03Speaker 3: now with the you know, the with nearly a year
- 1:29:05Speaker 3: or so. Now later we can be like, it's such
- 1:29:08Speaker 3: an obvious failure.
- 1:29:09Speaker 1: Yeah, but it happened. But of course nobody will even.
- 1:29:11Speaker 2: Well, not only that that he could do it and
- 1:29:13Speaker 2: get away with it. Yeah, you know, I mean that's
- 1:29:14Speaker 2: that's part of it too. And just to speak to
- 1:29:16Speaker 2: that broader picture, let's put E five up on the screen.
- 1:29:19Speaker 2: The Guardian partnered I think it was with uh pro Publica.
- 1:29:24Speaker 2: In any case, they partnered. No, it was a joint
- 1:29:26Speaker 2: effort by twenty journalists led by the Latin American Center
- 1:29:28Speaker 2: for Investigative Journalism. They published identities of thirteen of those
- 1:29:33Speaker 2: who've been killed in these drone strikes. There's roughly one
- 1:29:36Speaker 2: hundred and ninety four victims of these drone strike and
- 1:29:41Speaker 2: so they put enormous investigative efforts into finding, Okay, who
- 1:29:45Speaker 2: were these who were these men?
- 1:29:46Speaker 1: Right?
- 1:29:46Speaker 2: Who were the people that were being randomly killed by
- 1:29:50Speaker 2: the US. And what they find is none of them
- 1:29:53Speaker 2: could they definitively say they were involved in drug running,
- 1:29:56Speaker 2: but some of them, they looked at the pattern behavior,
- 1:29:58Speaker 2: it's possible these were even the guys who were potentially
- 1:30:02Speaker 2: involved in moving drugs. These were like deeply impoverished, desperate
- 1:30:07Speaker 2: people in some of the poorest parts of the region.
- 1:30:10Speaker 2: You're not taken out kingpins here, right, even in the
- 1:30:13Speaker 2: ones where maybe they were moving drugs. You're taking out
- 1:30:16Speaker 2: the low level people who are easily replaced that are
- 1:30:21Speaker 2: a dime a dozen because you have such desperate circumstances.
- 1:30:24Speaker 2: So that's why you're never going to move the needle
- 1:30:27Speaker 2: with this strategy. You know, you're not taking out the
- 1:30:30Speaker 2: top dogs. They're not the ones that are doing this
- 1:30:32Speaker 2: dirty work. And then in some instances they were not
- 1:30:36Speaker 2: involved with drugs at all. They were just living their life.
- 1:30:38Speaker 2: They were fishermen trying to ecount a living and doing
- 1:30:41Speaker 2: the best that they possibly could. What they also found
- 1:30:44Speaker 2: is that it appears and by the way, the US
- 1:30:46Speaker 2: military has never identified any of the people that they
- 1:30:49Speaker 2: have murdered with these drone strikes. What it appears they
- 1:30:53Speaker 2: do is they look at the boat itself and if
- 1:30:56Speaker 2: there are hallmarks of maybe potentially it's involved in drug trades.
- 1:30:59Speaker 2: So it's not like they know these people are there's
- 1:31:01Speaker 2: a case built against them, and then they're going out
- 1:31:03Speaker 2: and doing it. I was still object by the way,
- 1:31:04Speaker 2: because you know, the sentence is not shouldn't be death
- 1:31:07Speaker 2: for cocaine trafficking, But in any case, that's not what
- 1:31:11Speaker 2: they're doing here. They're just looking at the hallmarks of
- 1:31:14Speaker 2: potentially and then going in with these drone strikes. And
- 1:31:16Speaker 2: then if they're survivors, according to these particular survivors, they're
- 1:31:20Speaker 2: picking them up and they're torturing them so that they
- 1:31:22Speaker 2: won't tell the tale of what happened to them. They
- 1:31:24Speaker 2: won't tell their story, they won't file a lawsuit, which
- 1:31:28Speaker 2: is what a few of the family members of the
- 1:31:31Speaker 2: people who have been killed have done. So it is
- 1:31:33Speaker 2: just a you know, as disgusting and counterproductive and nonsensical
- 1:31:37Speaker 2: a policy as you could possibly imagine here.
- 1:31:40Speaker 3: Yeah, look, the entire thing it just is so it
- 1:31:44Speaker 3: was stupid from the beginning. It was a bad use
- 1:31:46Speaker 3: of resources, it didn't work, It set the United States
- 1:31:50Speaker 3: back in terms of how we should actually approach Latin America,
- 1:31:54Speaker 3: and then it set the stage for the insane Maduro operation,
- 1:31:57Speaker 3: which ultimately is the script that led to this Iran operation.
- 1:32:01Speaker 3: And in the meantime, as you just said, the only
- 1:32:04Speaker 3: people who suffer are the extremely poor you know, civilians
- 1:32:08Speaker 3: or in many case fishermen, or at the very least,
- 1:32:10Speaker 3: the so called drug dealers, while the actual cartel leaders
- 1:32:13Speaker 3: at the top are sitting pretty in Mexico completely untouched
- 1:32:16Speaker 3: who you know, if anything, they don't care at all
- 1:32:19Speaker 3: about some random fishermen who's out in the middle of
- 1:32:22Speaker 3: the Caribbean.
- 1:32:22Speaker 2: Yeah. And by the way, you know, the leader of
- 1:32:24Speaker 2: Ecuador Noboa has his own ties to high level ties
- 1:32:28Speaker 2: to the it's Latin America cartels. But you know, this
- 1:32:31Speaker 2: is our buddy. We're working with him, and then we're
- 1:32:34Speaker 2: you know, murdering these random fishermen, you know, torturing them,
- 1:32:37Speaker 2: et cetera. It's just could not be more disgusting.
- 1:32:40Speaker 3: Okay, I am going to step off now. Ryan is
- 1:32:43Speaker 3: going to come in and Crystal and him are going
- 1:32:45Speaker 3: to interview Kashamas On. I will be out tomorrow, going
- 1:32:48Speaker 3: to be in New York City, but I will be
- 1:32:49Speaker 3: back on Thursday for the show, So we'll see you
- 1:32:51Speaker 3: all later