Latest / Toadstool Sports / SUNDAY BEST BETS | College Basketball March Madness & NIT & NHL & NBA | 3/22/26

Transcript

SUNDAY BEST BETS | College Basketball March Madness & NIT & NHL & NBA | 3/22/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: even know what to tell you about that. I just
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: don't want to do this anymore. I have never seen
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: anything like this. Man with the slump continuing, two straight losses,
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: not a good day at all. Oh in four that
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: have not had had a good season. Man with wookends
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: reached into pink. Actually, I'm gonna burn my browins hat Man,
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: I don't know what is going on with the Bruins.
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: March eight? Is that what it is? I don't even
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: know it's March ninth. I think who even knows? Man,
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: I don't know what data is anymore. But I don't
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: even know what data is anymore. Man, back with you
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: after the worst day that I could possibly have, Back
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: with you as I always am until I die at
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: least oh and two yesterday and yesterday did not go
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: well for me. Own five the worst month that I've
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: ever had in my eighteen years doing this. I don't
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: know what to even tell you about this anymore. Slump,
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: the slump discontinues, the slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:22
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: point other than potentially end it all. What's up, everybody,
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: It's sewed back with you. Toadstool Sports, Sunday, March twenty second.
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna talk more March Madness, obviously as the tournament continues.
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna give out one play that is in the tournament.
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: We'll talk NHL, NBA, n IT as well. But I
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: don't really like anything that I see there. You're not
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: gonna like my play in college, I'll tell you that.
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: I don't even know if I like it yesterday two
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: and two, But if you bet the way that I do,
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: it was a slight winning day the hockey play, dude.
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: I mean, I think we were on the right side
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: of it. Just you have the underdog and you get
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: the game into overtime. I mean, if you did a
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: split bet on it or whatever plus one buck line,
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: you would have pushed it. At least there were chances
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: for Winnipeg to get that thing. They were winning the
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: game four to three in the third period after they
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: overcame an early deficit, and then they wound up losing
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: an overtime. Yeah, I mean it kind of brutal, but
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: if you have an underdog like that, going into overtime
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: kind of indicates you're on the right side. I mean,
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: I thought the situation was really strong for that one.
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: So you heard me talk about it yesterday. We got
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: the win with Duke as they pulled away. People are
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: complaining about the reffing. I mean, obviously Duke's gonna get
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: a lot of the reffing calls, but that wasn't the
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: only reason they won that game. I mean they completely Yeah,
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: I mean they ran away with the game in the end.
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: It was an easy cover by the end of it.
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: Huge second half for them. The same could not be
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: said for Arkansas, as they were never able to pull away.
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: The final score not really indicative of how close that
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: game was. The game was close late High Point actually
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: had a one point lead with not that much time left,
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: and then Arkansas had like a small lead for almost
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: the remainder of the game. Some fouls happened. I presume
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: what I was not ready for was that apparently high point.
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: After they won the first game, they flew out a
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: bunch of their students to go to that game. After that,
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: after they'd won, they wanted to pack students into the arena.
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: So that's kind of crazy. You got to try to
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: figure out like these home advantages here in these arenas. Man,
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: we're actually gonna fade one of them with my plate today. Two,
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: which maybe I'm worried about it. I don't know. I
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: think it has a lot of things going for it though.
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: Nebraska also they had a ridiculous fan base there. I
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: think there was some bullshit in that game, a couple
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: of questionable calls and like one of them goes the
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: other way, you know, Like, I don't know. I think
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: there were some calls where like, yeah, Nebraska like clearly
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: trapped a couple other situations. Then of course the Vandy
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: final shot. I mean, you don't expect that to go in,
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: but it went in and out. But there were some
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: calls during that game. A lot of the foul calls
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: seemed one sided there. The crowd was heavily in favor
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: of Nebraska, which I wasn't really totally prepared for that.
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: I'm pissed these four or five matchups are completely fucking
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: up my bracket right now, which isn't a huge deal,
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: but it's not good. Like we need to get dude,
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: We need to get everything to go our way today
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: for my bracket to be decent enough right now. Although
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: I know him, you know, my final four are all
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: still there or whatever. My Elite eight are all still
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: alive right now, but still I don't know, man, Kyle,
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: what's up? Yeah, I mean, definitely some excitement there. And
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: then we did get the win outright when with the
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee Bucks, So there you go. That one seemed real ugly,
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: but they won the game, so there you go. A
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: bad spot for this is why you play the spots
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: man Milwaukee. You know, the worry was are they actually
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: gonna show up and put it in an effort in
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: that game? And they did, so there you go. All right,
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: let's get into today's slate here. There's a lot of
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: NIT today, which I I'll do that after the tournament
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: because the NIT is all night stuff. But I don't
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: like what I see, man, I don't love what I
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: see in the actual tournament either. The first game up
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: is Miami and Purdue in the West Region. This is
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: in Saint Louis, so the location is probably better for Purdue.
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: Purdue's good man. I mean, we can't really tell that
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: much from them running away with the game over Queen's.
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: Miami probably looked better than people expected. They looked better
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: than I thought against Missouri, but that game was pretty close, dude,
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: and Miami pulled away and they won by double digits,
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: but the game was closer than that for most of
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: the game. So I don't know. I don't know what
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: we could really take away from that other than I
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: think it was maybe a little bit of a misleading
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: final score there. I mean, I don't think Miami is
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: gonna win this game. Is Purdue actually gonna cover I
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: don't know. They're seven and a half way favorite here,
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: sixty eight percent of the tickets seventy two percent of
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: the cash on Purdue total has dropped quite a bit,
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: so there seems to be a lot of movement towards
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: the under here, which would probably help the underdog stay
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: within this number. But Purdue plays slow, we know that,
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: but they do score very efficiently. They're slow based team,
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: but they're actually worse on defense. I think Miami might
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: have an advantage in the paint in this game, because
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: that's kind of Miami's game they play. They like to
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: play down low. Purdue is more about guard play. Is
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: a tough handicap man. I don't really have much to
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: go on from the first games that we saw out
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: of these teams. The money is slightly indicating on Purdue.
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: I mean, I'm gonna, you know, I don't know, I
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: don't even know if I want to have an opinion
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: on this, but those are I'll just give you, you know,
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: give you my thoughts on it. But I really don't
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: have many thoughts on that game. I just don't know
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: that there's a whole lot to go on there. Kentucky
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: and Iowa State in the other seven to two matchups,
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: So two seven to two matchups to start, and there's
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: a third one today too, this one also in Saint Louis.
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: So that's gonna be after that first game gets played. Yeah,
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: I'm like, wait, that doesn't make sense because these teams
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: are different regions. Yeah, Iowa States in the Midwest, but
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: these games just happen to both be in the same location,
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis. You know, it's not a bad location for Kentucky.
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: I'll tell you that they're not that far away. Iowa
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: State not really that far away either. Now, the big
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: thing with Iowa State is the status of Josh Jefferson.
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: I think is his name. He's one of their best players.
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: He sprained his ankle in the first game, which really
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: sucks when you sprain your ankle in a two fifteen
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: matchup that you're gonna win easily. Anyway, it seems like
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: he avoided like a serious injury. I mean, I'm guessing
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: he's probably gonna play, but I don't know, man, It
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: might mean that I was not Iowa States, not totally
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: at one hundred percent here. Kentucky kind of got a
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: little bit lucky in the first game, lucky Kentucky, although
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: I did pick them to win that game. In my bracket, obviously,
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: I have the two seeds both advancing here and in
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: fact to the Elite eight. Although Iowa State could be
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: in a little bit of trouble here, I think produced
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: path is pretty good. With Gonzaga, well, that was the
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: other thing Gonzaga lost yesterday. So shout out to Key
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: is that his name from the chat. He's occasionally in
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: the chat. He won money on that I think and
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: called the Texas outright upset, So that was a that
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: was a good call. I you know, I didn't agree
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: with it. I thought you were gonna get a better
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: showing from Gonzaga after a very lackluster first game. Is
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: a big favorite, that's usually what you see, but they
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: had a bad tournament. Man, Goodzaga. I don't know what
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: that was. Brandon huff injury maybe coming into play there. Anyway, Kentucky,
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: they were down against Santa Clara. They hit that prayer
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: three to tie the game. After Santa Clara hit a
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: three that looked like it was gonna win the game,
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: Santa Clara started celebrating and you know, didn't get back
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: on defense, although people were complaining because Santa Clara's coach
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: seemed like he was calling a timeout after that. But
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man, I mean, in the heat of
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: the moment, like, there's no way the refs are gonna
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: see you calling that timeout. So I don't know, man.
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: And then Kentucky dominated over time because they were actually
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: kind of the better team there, even though they were
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: behind for a lot of the game. Kentucky, you know,
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: they're very talented team. It's just sometimes they don't utilize
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: that talent correctly. I healthy Iowa State team should get
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: by this game, but I don't know they're not healthy
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: because Jefferson is injured. We'll see what happens in this game.
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: The money is coming in towards Iowa State though, eighty
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets, eighty one percent of the cash,
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: and they're up to a five point favorite. I think
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: they will get through this game and escape. But Iowa State,
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: they've also been a team that's been much much better
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: at home than anywhere else this year. Although I know
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: they had that one ridiculous win at Purdue where they
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: totally blew the doors off them, but Purdue lost to
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: a lot of good teams at home this year. I
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: don't know. This is a game where I just can't
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: figure this game out. You know, Iowa State is definitely
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: the better team. I think they're one of the top
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: couple of two seeds. I think they're the second best
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: two seed to be honest, besides Houston, although I know
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: I'm high on Purdue in this particular bracket though, But yeah,
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: I don't have a whole lot else to say about
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: that one. The four or five matchup in the East
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: with Saint John's and Kansas in San Diego, California, so
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: not much of an advantage to either team here. Of course,
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: as I said, these teams have all played in these
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: arenas for one game now, so they're all used to
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: the arena now, which should mean that there should be
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: a little bit more offense than maybe there was in
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: the first game. Generally that is the case. Yeah, Kentucky,
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: they're a team that, yeah, they could beat good teams
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: and they also could lose to bad teams. Yeah, kind
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: of like Wisconsin does that, but that makes sense because
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: Wisconsin has three point variants. TCU was kind of that
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: way too, although TCU could not keep up yesterday with
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: Duke by the end of it, even though it is
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: an injured Duke team. Saint John's Kansas. I need Kansas
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: to win this in my bracket. They're an underdog here.
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: I think they have a shot, to be honest. Saint John's.
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: I know we went against him in the first game
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: against Northern Iowa, but that game was almost dead right
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: out of the gate. Saint John's was up like thirteen,
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: nothing like immediately, which really throws off anything you want
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: Northern Iowa to do because the whole thing is Northern
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: i was gonna slow the game down. They're not gonna
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: let Saint John's get out to a big enough lead
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: like that, and right away that is not what happened. So,
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: I mean, Northern Iowa played fine defensively in the game.
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: It was just that start to the game kind of
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: that was like the that was what decided the game,
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: which is ridiculous because Northern Iowa just doesn't have the
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: ability to come back. Kansas kind of does because I mean,
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: Kansas is a lot better than Northern Iowa. But they're
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: you know, they're better on offense than Northern Iowa. They're
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: a slow down team as well, and they play some
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: decent defense. This Kansas team similar ish to Northern Iowa,
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: but they're better than Northern Iowa. Again, like so they
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: might be able to slow down Saint John's here, which
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: is what Kansas is gonna try to do. Saint John's
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: wants to go fast, they want to turn you over,
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: and I know I said it with Northern Iowa, but
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: with Kansas it's also the case they don't turn the
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: ball over that much. They're like a top one hundred
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: team at protecting the ball, which is good when you're
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: facing a team that wants to try to turn you over,
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: which is really all that Saint John's does. Saint John's
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: not a very good offensive team, similar to last year.
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: They play fast, they don't score well. They do defend well,
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: but they try to kind of Wrekhavoc on you, and
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: maybe that won't work against Kansas. Kansas kind of goes
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: with where their headspace is at, you know what I mean.
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: Peterson has missed time this year just because he's a
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: head case. Even though he looks like he's gonna enter
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: the NBA draft and be one of the top draft picks.
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: Maybe he'll show up for this game though. I mean,
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: you're you're trying to get to the sweet sixteen here, man.
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: I mean, this is a big game. It's a big
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: coaching matchup as well, Self versus Patino. Everybody's gonna be
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: talking about that. Who's gonna have the upper hand here.
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: I think Patino has kind of out coached Self in
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: the bass, but you know, it remains to be seen here.
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: I like Kansas to cover this one. The money looks
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: like it's kind of indicating on Saint John's, although they
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: are pretty public, which is why I took the shot,
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: you know, to go against them in the bracket here
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: seventy six percent of ticket, seventy eight percent of the
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: cash on Saint John's. So I did a good job
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: in my bracket. I think at least with these flip
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: games here, as you'll see with Texas Tech and Tennessee,
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: the market seems to at least be indicating that way,
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: and at least in this one, Kansas has a chance.
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: At least it's a low total, which you know, that
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: makes sense because Saint John's doesn't score well and Kansas
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: plays slow, But that also means Kansas should be able
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: to stay in this game, and Saint John's is the
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: public side. So yeah, I kind of like Kansas in
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: this one, man, even though Saint John's probably is the
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: better defense according to ken Baum, we see where are
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: they at? Ken Bum's got them fourteenth right now, top
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: ten defense, Kansas twenty first, also a top ten. He
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: was actually better than Saint John's on defense, although believe
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: it or not, Kansas has a worse weighted offense than
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: Saint John's does, which I did not expect Kansas to me.
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: I just think they're their metrics are just kind of
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: all over the place just because they That's I don't know, man,
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: they just have these games where they're all over the place.
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: But we'll Seeman. The other thing I do like about
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: Kansas year is they played a more difficult schedule. They
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: played in the in like the toughest conference, Big twelve,
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: Saint John's playing in the Big East for a couple
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: of months. I mean that's I know. They beat Yukon
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: a couple of times. They also got embarrassed by Yukon ones.
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: Saint John's didn't face that difficult competition. Man, They have
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: face difficult competition really since the non con outside of
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: Yukon and Saint John's didn't do well in the non
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: conference schedules. So you know, Kansas does have a shot
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: here for sure. Six versus three matchup. This is one
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: of those ones where I need it for my bracket.
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: I need Tennessee to beat Virginia here in Philadelphia, which
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: is probably a good location for Virginia. For being honest,
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: here the spot I think is not bad for Virginia
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: because they didn't look good in the first game. Right
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: State was really hanging around in that game. Virginia pulled
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: away late, but a lot of times when a big
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: favorite like Virginia doesn't look good like that, they will
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: do better in the second game, whereas everybody's gonna think
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: Tennessee looked awesome because they destroyed Miami Ohio even more
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: than I thought they would. I said Tennessee would win
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: that game and that it was gonna be unlike any
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: other team that Miami Ohio had faced all season. I
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: was just worried that, well, Tennessee slows the game way down, like,
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: are they gonna be able to cover an number like this?
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: They were able to. Now this is a matchup. These
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: two teams are both pretty similar. They're both really good
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: at rebounding, they both play slow, they both play defense
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: the You know, Virginia realizes more than three pointers, which
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: does mean there's more variance with Virginia. Tennessee allows a
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: lot of three point attempts because they try to push
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: you out of the paint. Basically that's where they kind
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: of dominate. So I think it kind of comes down
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: to Virginia if they're hitting their threes or not. Tennessee
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're like the greatest three point defense.
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: If ken Bum has them ranked slightly higher than Virginia
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: very very This is a crazy matchup. Man, these teams
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: are so similar now in the luck index though, and
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: the strength the schedule, Tennessee face the stronger straight the schedule,
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: and they're the way unluckier team according to ken Bum.
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: But you can see that anyway, just based on their records,
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: the fact that ken Bum has them ranked really close
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: to each other, and Tennessee's record looks way worse, you
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: can tell all that just from that. Now, I just
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: want to see real quick by ken Bum, by the way,
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: But let's see, Actually, Tennessee's three point defense is actually good,
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: even though they allow a lot of three pointers. They're seventeenth,
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: they hold they're seventeenth in defensive three point a percentage.
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: They hold opponents to thirty point three percent. So that's
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: not that bad actually, So you know, I'm gonna just
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: stick with it. I lean to Tennessee in this one.
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: It looks like Virginia is somewhat of a public side here,
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: fifty eight percent of tickets and cash the public, you know,
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: I mean the other thing. It's interesting, the public is
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: gonna be on the better seed usually and the team
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: with the better record, which is Virginia so you know
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be misled by the fact that Virginia has
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: that really pretty record. They have the higher seed Tennessee,
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: even though the record is ugly. They face some more
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: difficult schedule, more difficult conference, and Tennessee is favored. And
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: when you see a lower seed favored over a better seed,
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: that is something you should take notice of, you know
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: what I mean, Because the oddsmakers are telling you something.
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: I'll slightly lean to ten to see there. That would
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: be money line Miami Ohio. Yeah, I mean I was
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: not a you know me, I wasn't a fan of
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: Miami Ohio all season. One of the most overhyped, overrated
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: teams ever. So you know, I'm not I'm not sad
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: about that result. And yet they finally ran into a
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: team that actually plays defense and rebounds like Tennessee and
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: Miami Ohio couldn't do anything. Dude. It kind of looked
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: like a little like a big brother toying with his
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: little brother, you know what I mean. Tennessee just has
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: so much size. They were just getting rebounds like effortlessly
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: pretty much. All right, Next up is going to be
• 18:39
  Speaker 1: the play. Yeah, I get ready for this one. As
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: we were getting into the evening games here, we're gonna
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: take Iowa plus ten and a half here against Florida.
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: I identified this man. I said, like, Florida's gonna have
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: to go up against Iowa or Clemson, probably Iowa, and
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: I think Iowa is the better team over Clemson. And
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: I was thinking, you know, as soon as the bracket
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: came out, I'm like, that's gonna be kind of a
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: weird game for Florida because Florida likes to play fast. Yes,
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: they have size, for sure, they have way more size.
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: That's their advantage here. But they're facing a slow down
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: Iowa team here, man, And I was not bad. They
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: have experience. And again I will point out I should
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: have pointed this out already, but I pointed out yesterday
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: coaching matters when you get into the quick turnaround time
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: here in the second round, because these teams are unfamiliar
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: with each other, and the better coach is usually the
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: one to you know, devise something to win the game here.
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: So like Purdue, I would give that edge to Painter
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: for sure. Against Miami has a first year coach, not
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: a first year coach in college basketball, but first year
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: coach with them, I would give the edge to Ottslburger
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: is that whatever his name is, Attsenburger whatever, for Iowa
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: State over Pope. I'm not a fan of Pope self.
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: For Patino is a very difficult call, man, you know.
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: I mean I think Patino, I think technically has a
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: a championship, right, but it was vacated. I forget was
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: that him there back then at Louisville, I don't know.
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: I think it was uh self. We know has a champion,
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: has two championships. I think I might give that edge
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: to itself to be honest, you know. Uh And then
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: if if Rick Patino says I'm gonna kill myself, maybe
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: what if he says I'm gonna I'm gonna kill myself
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: and he means Bill Seal, Yeah, inside I want to
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: kill myself. We'll see what happens there. I'm gonna give
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: the edge to Rick Barnes, by the way, in the
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: Tennessee game over Ryan Odom for Virginia, and Ryan Odam
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: came up from VCU, but this is his first year
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: with Virginia. Rick Barnes is just massively experienced, so I'll
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: give him the edge there. This one is probably have
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: to give the edge to Golden for Florida and the coaching.
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: But Ben McCollum, I mean, he's Ben in the tournament before.
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: He he's got his guy that he had at Drake
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: last year. Ben McCollum man, I mean, he was really
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: good in Division two, made the tournament last year and
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: his first year with Drake with Sturtz. Who is this
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: guy here who's playing for Iowa now they moved up
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: to Iowa. So he's not an inexperienced coach man. Even
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: though Golden does have a bit of an edge here,
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: we're talking about a huge number here. Everybody's gonna be
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: on Florida here because of what Florida did in the
• 21:24
  Speaker 1: first game. And I know I mentioned this yesterday with
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: the Michigan Saint Louis game, because both those teams scored
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: over one hundred in the first game. Florida also did,
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: And I know teams that have scored one hundred in
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: the first game are I think now twelve and two
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: against the spread in the next round. And that includes
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: yesterday's game where one of those teams had to not cover.
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: But even so, I think this is an Iowa spot man.
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: Ken Boond, by the way, has this number at like
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: seven or eight, So I think there is actually some
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: line value here, believing or not he's got Iowa's a
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: top twenty five team. I think they could slow the
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: game down. That's what you know. The lesser team is
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: gonna need to do that. They're gonna need to slow
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: the game down. I think they might be able to
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: do that against Florida. I think Iowa could have the
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: better guards in this game. To be honest, Florida's weakness
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: is kind of their guard play, even though they're gonna
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: try to dominate down low. But I wouldn't take that
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: much away from Florida's first game then against Prairie View
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: A and M. Praierview A and M was the lowest
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: rated team in Ken Bomb in the entire tournament field.
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: They're like barely in the top three hundred, So I
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: wouldn't take away anything from that. You saw Florida was
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: a thirty five and a half point favorite in that game,
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: you know, and they won by fifty nine. But the
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: other thing, so there is that trend where teams that
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: score one hundred do well in the next game, which
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: to me that seems weird because you'd think that if
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: a team scored that much to be overvalued in the
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: next game, which I'm going with here. I do think
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: this line is way too big, as I already said.
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: But teams that win by like that amount, by fifty
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: play or whatever by teams that win by like twenty
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: five plus I think in the first round, and they
• 23:04
  Speaker 1: go up against a team that won by six or less,
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: which applies to Iowa here. I'm pretty sure the team
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: that won by six or less has like they're covering it,
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: like a sixty three percent clip or something like that
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: in this round. So I like that, and that makes
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: sense to me because the public's gonna go, oh my god,
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: Florida won by fifty nine, they scored like one hundred
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: and twenty points or whatever. Iowa stands no chance here, right,
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: And Iowa barely got by Clemson. But that's just the
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: style for I mean again, Florida played the worst team
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: in the field. Iowall played an actual team in Clemson,
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: which means that Iowa was battle tested. Now, Florida didn't
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: get tested at all in that first game, which means yeah,
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: it means they're rested. Okay, fine, But a lot of
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: times the team that gets tested and they are involved
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: in a close game, that's better for them like Iowa was,
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: because they know how to handle that pressure situation, you
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: know what I mean, Whereas Florida was under no pressure
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: at all in that first game. So it's it's almost
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: like Florida hasn't even played an actual game yet in
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: the tournament, you know. So I like Iowa for that
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: reason as well. Here. Yeah, and you know again the
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: style where I think they could slow Florida down, and yeah,
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: that's what like when I saw this matchup, I'm like, Yeah,
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: because Iowa played a real ugly game, nobody's gonna want them.
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: Nobody wants those slow paced, ugly teams against a team
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: that scores an unbelievable amount that that team looks like invulnerable. Basically, Now,
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: this game isn't Florida, I know. So that's an issue.
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: Like I said, the site obviously favors Florida here, so
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: we have to worry about that. Gonna be a lot
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: of Florida fans there. But I think they could do it. Man,
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: this is my only play Iowa plus the points. Hopefully
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: we can get it done there, all right. The other
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: one seed in action, Arizona playing Utah State in San Diego.
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: It's a decent, you know, decent spot for both teams
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: to be playing in. Geographically, this looks like it's the
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: highest priced ticket out of all the games. By the way,
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: Saint John's Kansas is tied, which that kind of makes
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: sense because that's a really interesting matchup. But really Arizona
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: gets Utah State. That seems kind of crazy to me
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: that it's that high price to ticket. But Utah State,
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: and you know, they're familiar with playing in San Diego.
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: Like I said, I liked them to win their first game,
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: which they did. I thought that playing in San Diego
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: really helped them because they play in San Diego in
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: the Mountain West Conference. Because San Diego State is there,
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: Villanova had to fly all the way cross country. Villanova
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: actually had a ten point lead in that game at
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: one point, I think early in the second half, but
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: Utah State completely ran away with it. But Uta State's
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: got to go up against Arizona here in. Arizona is
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: the heaviest favorite of the day, and probably for good reason.
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: I mean, I think they're the best team playing today,
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: one of the best teams in the country. Of course,
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: Arizona had an easy win against Long Island in their
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: first game. Nothing to really see there. The money is
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: coming in on Arizona and this one. They're up to
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: a twelve point favorite, eighty five percent of tickets, ninety
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: one percent of the cash on Arizona. I mean, I
• 26:09
  Speaker 1: don't know, man, I don't know if Utah State can
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: hang in this one or not. Arizona's, you know, the
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: far more battle tested team. Utah State's gonna have to
• 26:17
  Speaker 1: hit threes. That's how they might be able to hang
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: in this game, is to hit threes because Arizona does
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: not do that. Arizona just doesn't take threes really, and
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: if they're dominating inside, they probably won't have to. Although
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: Uta States not that bad inside either, so I don't know.
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: It's a little bit interesting. We'll see what happens. I
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: think I would have a slight lean towards taking the
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: points in that one, but I don't have a strong
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: opinion there. You probably got to give the coaching edge
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: to Tommy Lloyd though on Arizona there, although it seems
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: like every year recently Arizona makes the Sweet sixteen and
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: then loses. But obviously I think they're gonna make it
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: further than that this year, but we will see. I
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: have them in the final four in my bracket. I
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: think too many people have them as a champion. But
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: they definitely could do it all right. Ucla and Yukon
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: seven versus two matchup in Philadelphia. But UCLA is already
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: in Philadelphia, so I don't think that's much of a
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: problem now that they're already there. They already played a
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: game Ucla was better than the final score looked there.
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: I mean, they were running away with that game against UCF.
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: They were winning by double digits and UCF kept hitting threes.
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: At the end of that game, UCLA kept missing free throws,
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: letting UCF hang around. Yukon actually got tested though, So
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: that's the thing. Yukon. They didn't look that good against Firman.
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: They wound up pulling away and winning by double digits
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: in the end, but Furman was within like five points
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: pretty late in that game. So Yukon actually got a
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: little bit of a scare there. And I know, I said,
• 27:49
  Speaker 1: I think UCLA has a decent shot to actually pull
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: the upset in this game, and they do. They're not
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: a huge underdog here. The health needs to be a concern.
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: The health is a concern for UCLA. We need to
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: know if Billodeah is actually gonna play or not. I
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: think he didn't play in the first game, but I
• 28:06
  Speaker 1: think it was that he was sick now and not injured,
• 28:08
  Speaker 1: So I don't know if he can go. He should
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: go in this game, and this is a huge game.
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: This is tournament life on the line here, man. Obviously
• 28:17
  Speaker 1: we'll see if he goes or not. I mean, I
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: do think Ucla is good enough and under the raidar
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: enough that they could actually win this game. But Yukon
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: coming up a bit of a scare in the first round.
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: You know, kind of has been leaning towards Yukon slightly
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: here fifty eight percent of tickets, only fifty percent of
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: the cash on Yukon though, so you know they're laying
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: only four and a half, and the market read is
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: kind of saying to go against that and take the points.
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: Some money is coming on the under which I could
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: see that as well. I mean, both these teams play slow,
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: and that's the whole thing here. Yukon is the better defense,
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: though Ucla is the better offense, but Yukon could definitely
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: have some offensive lapses there. Ucla could score actually better
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: than Yukon can, but Yukon is the better defense usually
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: I do like that, but maybe not laying points like
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: this and what's expected to be kind of a low scoring,
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: close ish game, very very difficult game to call here. Man,
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: that's the information for you. I don't really have that
• 29:19
  Speaker 1: strong of an opinion on it, even though when I
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: saw the bracket come out, I thought this might be
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: a spot where I might be actually firing on Ucla.
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: But I'm not doing it. And then we have Oh
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: the other thing I was gonna say about Iowa State,
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: by the way, is that because Jefferson is injured, that
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: might cause Iowa State to actually play harder, you know
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: what I mean, Like, you know, you have to play
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: harder when your guys injured. So there is that that
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: Iowa State has going on for them. I think Iowa State,
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: who did they play in the first round, I don't remember.
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: I think they had an easy game. Yeah, Tennessee State.
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: They completely blew them out, which actually impressed me because
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: Tennessee State is for a fifteen seed. They're not that bad,
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: all right. And then the final game is an interesting
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: one too, and I'm to need Texas Tech to get
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: this one in my bracket. Man, Texas Tech against Alabama
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: in a five to four matchup, and the five seed
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: is actually the favorite year, which it is with Saint
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: John's too, and again that is something to take note
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: of a little bit. But in this game, Texas Tech
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: seems like they're getting the actual money. They flip from
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: a one point dodge a one point favorite, fifty eight
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets, eighty two percent of the cash on
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech. I think Texas Tech is being overlooked because
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: of the JT top and injuring. Both these teams actually
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: did the same thing in the first game where both
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: teams were involved in close games Texas Tech against Akron,
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: Alabama against Hofstra, and then both teams pulled away late,
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: so in both cases the game was closer than the
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: final score indicated. So that's all just kind of a
• 30:46
  Speaker 1: wash because I was gonna say, well, you have a
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: team coming off a scare, but not really because both
• 30:50
  Speaker 1: teams are Now I think I'm gonna give the coaching
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: edge to McCaslin for Texas Tech. Here man in the
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: quick turnaround over Alabama. Here over nat Oates, who I
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: think can't keep his team under control. Of course, we
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: know Holloway is out for Alabama. He's their second best scorer.
• 31:07
  Speaker 1: Some Alabama just hasn't really been that tested yet, so
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: we don't know how much of an effect that's gonna have.
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: Because everybody's talking about the top and injury. You know,
• 31:15
  Speaker 1: people were kind of talking about the holiday thing, but
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: everybody's like, well, Texas Tech can't do anything without TOP,
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: and I don't know about that. Alabama they're a fast
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: paced team, they're not that good on defense, and they
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: take too many threes. Now Texas Tech does take threes
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: as well, but they're kind of good at it and
• 31:32
  Speaker 1: they're more balanced. Texas Tech is the better defense here,
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: and they're gonna try to slow the game down and
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: they might be able to do that because they're a
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: solid team. Man, Texas Tech, I actually think, to be honest,
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: I actually think they're better than Alabama even with the
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: TOP and injury and play Ken Bamezi seems really close.
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: He's got Alabama seventeenth, Texas Tech nineteenth. Both teams actually
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: better on offense and defense. I think the defense has
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: suffered a little bit for Texas Tech with Top and out,
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: but Texas Tech is still the better depense here by
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: a significant clip, even though Alabama is elite offensively, but
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: now they're down their second best score. Of course, Texas
• 32:10
  Speaker 1: Tech much slower, and they're the less lucky team. According
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: to Kenbum. Both teams face very difficult schedules, so that's
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: kind of a wash. I'm gonna go with it. My
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: bracket has it, but the money is also agreen with
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: it with Texas Tech, so hopefully we can get that done.
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: We need these, you know, I call these games like
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: kind of like leverage switches in the bracket because more
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: people are taking Alabama, more people are taking Virginia, but
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: I need the opposite to happen, So hopefully we can
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: get I'll be happy if we get two out of
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: the three of them. But knowing me, we're gonna get
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: one out of the three, uh with you know, Kansas
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: being the other one, and that one's probably not gonna win,
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: so you know, we'll see what happens there. And then
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: oh yeah, I will say I'll give Hurley the coaching
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: edge for Connecticut over mc crode. And and again the
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: refs whoever's repping that game. Yeah, I you know, I
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: feel for those rafts okay, dealing with two lunatic coaches
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: there between Corona and Hurley. But I think you do
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: have to give Hurley the coaching edge there for Connecticut.
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: I mean, he's won multiple championships at this point. All right,
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: we have a bunch of nit action that I just
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: I don't have a whole lot to say about the
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: nit here. But there's a lot of games here. Illinois
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: State is going to wake Forest. Illinois State won at
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: home in their first game against Kent State and destroyed them.
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: Now they're having to go to kind of an unfamiliar
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: environment here, going to North Carolina. But Illinois State's gonna
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: get excited for it, you know what I mean. These
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: teams are gonna get excited for playing a big boy.
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: But I think people might kind of like the look
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: of Illinois State here because they have a good looking
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: overall record and wake Forest doesn't. But obviously that's because
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: Wake Forest played a more difficult schedule. Wake Forest beat
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: Navy in their first game. I don't know how much
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: credit people are gonna give them for that kind of
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: an easy win for them at home. I don't think
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: they covered this game. I don't really have a good
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: opinion on this The money is coming into Illinois State though.
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: Wake Forest seven point favorite den for seven and a half,
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: fifty seven percent of tickets on them, fifty eight percent
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: of the money on Illinois State though, So do with
• 34:14
  Speaker 1: that info what you want to. The money is coming
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: out in Illinois State. Usually when I see like the
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: team from the better conference with a very ugly record
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: as a favorite, that's usually the way I want to
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: look though with wake Forest, So I don't know, I
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: have some Yeah, my mind is conflicted on that game
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: quite a bit. The market read is saying Illinois State though,
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: and I have seen some professional betters that I kind
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: of follow liking Illinois State in that game. So I
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: don't know, you know, it's not a game that I
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: want anything to do with. Seattle is having to go
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: to Auburn, which is gonna be a bit weird. They
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: have to travel from Seattle all the way to Alabama
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: for this. Now they're gonna get up for it. They're
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: gonna get excited. Hey, we get to face Auburn. That's big,
• 34:53
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean. Seattle beat Saint Thomas at
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: home in their first game, A pretty good Saint Thomas team,
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: But Seattle was gonna slow the game down on them,
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: do what they do. Seattle plays super ugly. I know
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: Auburn played a bit slow this year too. Auburn got
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: through their first game we gotta win with South Alabama
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: and that one plus the points, it was an easy
• 35:12
  Speaker 1: cover from South Alabama and there I thought South Alabama
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: was gonna get up for that game because little brother,
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: big brother Auburn, you know, coming off not making the tournament,
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: being kind of disappointed. But now that Auburn is a
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: game under their belt, they got a bit tested in
• 35:27
  Speaker 1: that game. I think they might come out with a
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: little bit more intensity in this game because now you
• 35:30
  Speaker 1: know you gotta win. I think at this point you're
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: gonna go for it. You're gonna try to win the nit,
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean. I think that first game
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: is really where that disappointment comes in, and then once
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: you win, it's like, okay, we're playing, like let's try
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: to win, you know. So I think it might be
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: a better spot for Auburn in this one. Now they're
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: thirteen and a halfway favorite. I actually think I would
• 35:51
  Speaker 1: probably lead towards laying the points with Auburn in that one.
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: But I don't really have that strong of an opinion
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: there either UNLV is having to go to Tulsa. UNLV
• 36:01
  Speaker 1: already won on the road in California at UC Irvine.
• 36:05
  Speaker 1: Pretty tough opponent there. UNLV coming from a better conference though,
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: and UNLV got to play in California, So that's not
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: really that strange for them, right because they're in the
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: Mountain West. There's some California teams in there. You know,
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: they're playing in the Pacific Times, and now they're gonna
• 36:21
  Speaker 1: go into Tulsa for this. Tulsa won their first game
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: in the n IT against Steven f. Austin got kind
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: of a scare in that game. I think the only
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: one by five. I don't know how the game yet,
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: I was gonna say, I don't know how the game
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: actually went, Steve when I have Austin was winning a
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: lot of that game in the second half, so Tulsa
• 36:38
  Speaker 1: definitely got a scare. It actually went into overtime. Tulsa
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: wasn't that big of a favorite, only five and a
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: half at close, but still when the favorite has, you know,
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: an escape like that a scare, a lot of times
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: they will give you a better effort in the next game.
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: I think I'll probably lead to Tulsa here. The money
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: is not agreeing with me on that one though. They're
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: down to four and a half seventy nine percent of
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: tickets seventy percent of the cash on them. But again,
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: I think UNLV's kind of outside of their comfort zone here.
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: I like the favorite coming off of scare like Tulsa.
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: The money totally disagreeing, probably because Tulsa is not very
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: good on defense, but I think I would probably need
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: towards laying it with Tulsa. George Washington at New Mexico.
• 37:20
  Speaker 1: George Washington was the only team I think to win
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: at Utah Valley all season. I think Utah Valley was
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: undefeated at home, but I didn't like the spot for
• 37:29
  Speaker 1: Utah Valley because of the way they lost their conference final.
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: I thought they might be hung over there. George Washington
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: very under the radar, a very underrated team. Now they
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: got used to elevation where they're gonna be an elevation
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: here as well against New Mexico, but they at least
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: got used to it. They beat Utah Valley, but New
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: Mexico is definitely a step up from that man. New
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: Mexico is one of the best teams in the NIT here.
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: They're coming to play now because you know, New Mexico
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: almost made the tournament, but they're not a team that's
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: like always in the tournament. Whatever. They showed up and
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: they blew out Sam Houston in their first game in
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: the tournament. New Mexico very very difficult place to play
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: when you're not used to it, and George Washington is
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: definitely not used to playing in the pit in New Mexico.
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: New Mexico minus seven and a half. They're getting the money.
• 38:17
  Speaker 1: It looks like fifty two percent of tickets, sixty six
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on them. I'm not going to
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: disagree with New Mexico in that one. I think they
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: probably win that game by margin, but you know, it's
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: it's not something that I really have a strong opinion
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: on either. Wichita at Oklahoma State. Now, Wichita, this is
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: not going to be that bad of a spot from them,
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: because they just won at home. They didn't win by
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: that much against Wyoming. They were six and a half
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: boy favorites five and a half. Actually when it closed,
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: they got tested, they didn't cover. Wyoming's not that bad
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: of a team though Wichita got the win now, I
• 38:52
  Speaker 1: think they're gonna be excited because they get to step
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: up and play Oklahoma State, a Big twelve team, and
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: they're staying in their area of the country, right, so
• 38:59
  Speaker 1: it's not gonna be that unfamiliar for Wichita to be
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: playing in Oklahoma State. Here. Oklahoma State did escape as
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: well though in their first game, and they're staying at home,
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: so they didn't cover against Davidson. And Oklahoma State does
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: fall into that category where they're one of those teams
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: from a week or from a stronger conference excuse that
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: has a bad looking record. Oh, the Wichita's record doesn't
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: look that great either. This is a very tough call.
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: Actually in this game, I actually think I do make
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: I think I do slightly lean to wich a time
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: this one. The money is agreeing with that Oklahoma State
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: down to three and a half, fifty two percent of
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: tickets fifty six percent of the casual on Wichita. To me,
• 39:38
  Speaker 1: in this case, it actually does almost look too easy
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: to lay the points with Oklahoma State because they're kind
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: of that name team. Uh So we'll see about that,
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: and then in the last game. You could make the
• 39:48
  Speaker 1: same argument in the last game because you have another
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: power Conference team here with CAL not really laying that
• 39:54
  Speaker 1: many points against Saint Joe's. But you know me, I'm
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: not a Saint Joe's fan, even though I think they
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: are pretty good on defense. Really, but I don't know, man,
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: they just went into elevation. They upset Colorado State. Now
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: you expect them to go to the Pacific Coast and
• 40:09
  Speaker 1: beat CAL two. I don't know if they're going to
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: be able to do it. They have gone out to
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: the Pacific Coast, They've gone out to the Pacific time
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: zone this year. Actually they lost at UNLV and actually
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: that might have been the only time they did that.
• 40:21
  Speaker 1: They lost by double digits. Cal is better than UNLV.
• 40:26
  Speaker 1: Cal might be in it to win it at this point. Man.
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: They've been really good at home to seventeen and four.
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: At home, Cal just easily beat UIC, And that kind
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: of impressed me because I thought Cal after playing in
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: the ACC tournament having to go back out there, I
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: kind of liked Uice. In that game, U I see
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: pretty good defense and Cal easily took care of them,
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: So that did impress me. So I'm not really very
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: high on Saint Joe's here. Man. I probably actually lead
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: to cal here to be honest, but the money is
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: not agreeing with that. They're five and a half point favorite,
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: fifty six percent of tickets, only fifty one percent of
• 40:59
  Speaker 1: the cash on them, So the money is indicating on
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: Saint Joe's. I kind of disagree, and I think it's
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: weird that the money's coming in on Saint Joe's and
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: the money's also coming in on the over. And with
• 41:11
  Speaker 1: Saint Joe's being a better defensive team, you would think
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: that Saint Joe's being a defensive underdog. They're being more
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: correlated to an under here. So it's kind of weird
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: to see money on Saint Joe's and the over in
• 41:24
  Speaker 1: this one. We'll see what happens, man, all right, let
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: me I'm gonna come right back and then we'll finish
• 41:30
  Speaker 1: it off. We'll do NHL NBA. There's not a whole
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: lot to talk about here. I don't have any plays
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: in any of them. But here's the uh, the NHL
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: board for you. I'll zoom out slightly. I'll be right back,
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: all right. NHL here, Yes we have yeah, actually, yeah,
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: we have a decent amount of NHL games here. We'll
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: probably have about what ten games nine games starting at noon,
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: Winnipeg and the Rangers at Madison Square. And of course,
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: you know, you know me, the Rangers at home highly unlikely.
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna recommend the Rangers at home. Ever, then maybe
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: I have at some point this year. I don't know.
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: But Winnipeg. I don't like the spot for them, really.
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: I mean, they just played into a shootout yesterday and
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: took the loss. As my one hockey play yesterday with
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: Hellobuk and net by the way, I told you he
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: would play, but wasn't good enough. You know, they lost
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: the game, tough loss. Now they're traveling for Pittsburgh to
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: New York with no time off. They did just lose
• 43:31
  Speaker 1: to the Rangers at home in March twelve, though, so
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: there is a little bit of a road revenge angle
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: here at least. But you know, the Rangers are gonna
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: have the rest edge here because they didn't play yesterday.
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: Winnipeg does have Vegas and Colorado coming up next. Don't
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: love the spot here, a third game in four days,
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: all in different cities. You know, it's not something that
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: I love. The Rangers are coming off some embarrassing losses.
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: They just lost six to three and two straight games,
• 43:58
  Speaker 1: including the last time they were here. What else is new?
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: That's what happens with the Rangers this year at home.
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: They went out to Columbus and lost also six to three,
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: two straight six to three losses. Now they're back at home.
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: I actually do lean to the Rangers in this game,
• 44:13
  Speaker 1: but I can't do anything with it. The money's actually
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: disagreeing with it too, which is hilarious. Down from minus
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: one thirty five to minus one twenty here seventy seven
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets only seventy one percent in the cash
• 44:24
  Speaker 1: on the Rangers. So money is actually fading them here
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: in Winnipeg because they're on the back to back. It's
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: not gonna be hell a buck in net for them
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: in this one. It'll be Calm Ray. So that's gonna
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: be a downgrade for Winnipeg as well. I'm pretty surprised
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: the money's on Winnipeg and that one man and a
• 44:40
  Speaker 1: lot of it probably has to do with the Rangers
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: being got awful at home nine seventeen and six at home,
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: but Winnipeg is not that good on the road eleven,
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: sixteen and six, So yeah, I don't know. I kind
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: of disagree with the market there NHL Network at twelve thirty,
• 44:53
  Speaker 1: Colorado at Washington. Colorado just ended their losing streak with
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: a win over Chicago. Not an impressive win really, but
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: that'll give them some momentum here coming into this game,
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: So I don't hate the spot for Colorado after ending
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: their losing streak. Washington comes into this one on a
• 45:12
  Speaker 1: two game win streak. They're staying at home. You know
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: they're gonna get up for a game against Colorado. I'll
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: watch it. Just beat New Jersey in their last game.
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: This is a tough call too. Colorado looks like a
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: pretty public road favorite here, up to minus one sixty
• 45:25
  Speaker 1: four on the money line, seventy four percent of tickets,
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: seventy the cash on them, So I will yeah, I
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: mean it's a tough call for me. Man. I think
• 45:36
  Speaker 1: I probably have a slight opinion towards the home underdog there,
• 45:39
  Speaker 1: just value wise. I think it might be there, but
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: no strong opinion. I don't have any strong opinions in
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: hockey here, man. Carolina at Pittsburgh is a weird one.
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: These two teams just played back on the eighteenth. The
• 45:53
  Speaker 1: Carolina got taken into overtime at home, so I think
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: Carolina will take Pittsburgh pretty seriously. After that Pittsburgh went
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: into their place and almost beat them. Now, Carolina just
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: got a scare because they were in a Pittsburgh sandwich,
• 46:06
  Speaker 1: if you want to call it that, a Promanty Bros.
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: Sandwich there. Carolina almost lost to Toronto in their last
• 46:13
  Speaker 1: game on Friday. So Carolina, for all those reasons, should
• 46:16
  Speaker 1: be focused here. I know those are two overtime games,
• 46:19
  Speaker 1: but Carolina getting a scare by a bad team in Toronto,
• 46:23
  Speaker 1: you know, having gotten a scare by Pittsburgh in the
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: previous game, even though Pittsburgh's having a good season. But
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: I think Carolina is definitely gonna bring focus into this one.
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh should too. But the problem with Pittsburgh is they're
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: not the better team. They played yesterday. They beat us,
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: Like I said, they did have some rest prior to that,
• 46:40
  Speaker 1: and this is their second game at home now, and
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: a lot of times your second game back home, you
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: will play better. And you could argue Pittsburgh did get
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: a scare yesterday not playing that well against Winnipeg, but
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: you know, and it is revenge for them, you know,
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: because Carolina did beat them, but they took Carolina right
• 46:59
  Speaker 1: to the limit, man, and if both teams are gonna
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: show up, focus Carolina being the better team. I think
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: I do lean to Carolina here. They're minus one forty
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: on the money line, seventy three percent of the tickets
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: and eighty three percent of the cash on them. The
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: money line dropped a little bit initially, but it looks
• 47:13
  Speaker 1: like the real money might be on the Carolina side there.
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: I actually do agree with that, but not that strongly.
• 47:20
  Speaker 1: Nashville at Chicago. Nashville, they're on a little bit of
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: a run right now. They've won three games in a row.
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: They just beat Vegas four to one yesterday, very satisfying win.
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: Now they're traveling to Chicago. As I've pointed out, these
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: two teams don't like each other because there are a
• 47:36
  Speaker 1: lot of Chicago transplants in Nashville. These two teams last
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: played on February twenty sixth, and Nashville won in Nashville
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: four to two. So there's a little bit of a
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: quick revenge angle for Chicago here. I think Nashville could
• 47:51
  Speaker 1: be in a letdown spot here. They're in a back
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: to back or that looks like they're probably gonna be
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: switching back to sorrows in net here. I think probably
• 47:58
  Speaker 1: the reason. Actually, I don't know. I don't know why
• 48:00
  Speaker 1: they would have saved him for this game instead of
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: the Vegas game. But they won with a noon in
• 48:04
  Speaker 1: the net yesterday anyway, so I don't know. I don't
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: know what they're doing there. But for Chicago, Chicago lost
• 48:11
  Speaker 1: four to one to Colorado and their last game they're
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: staying at home, they have a day off. I like
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: Chicago here. That's the way that I would lean in
• 48:19
  Speaker 1: this one. Nashville. Let me see, they're probably a road
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: favorite Nashville, Yeah, they are, well sort of. They're minus
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: one o eight seventy seven percent of tickets only fifty
• 48:31
  Speaker 1: one percent of the cash on Nashville, so they're like
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: a public road favorite here with less than money on them.
• 48:36
  Speaker 1: So the market seems to agree with me on that one.
• 48:38
  Speaker 1: With Chicago, that is the way I lean in that
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: one as well. Columbus at the Islanders. Columbus, they're on
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a run as well. Here. They're
• 48:47
  Speaker 1: having a good season. Really, four wins in a row
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: for them, one really impressive one against Carolina. The other
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: ones were against some not great teams. They beat Seattle
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: yesterday easily five to two. Now they're having to travel
• 49:00
  Speaker 1: to the Islanders here. Now, usually when a team starts
• 49:03
  Speaker 1: a road trip, i'll talk about how they'll be focused.
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: They should be focusing on a pretty decent Islanders team,
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: but having travel with no time off is a bit
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: of a concern. Coming off a very satisfying win might
• 49:14
  Speaker 1: be a bit of a concern. The Islanders just took
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: a single game, roach or no, they didn't take a
• 49:19
  Speaker 1: single game, or my mistake. They're on the road for
• 49:21
  Speaker 1: three games. My mistake. The Islanders just did the Eastern
• 49:26
  Speaker 1: Canada trip Toronto, Ottawa, Montreal. Only went one to two
• 49:30
  Speaker 1: in that trip, and they actually were in Montreal last night.
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: They got absolutely obliterated. So they were actually on a
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: back to back two and they're traveling back home and
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: playing a third game in four days, fourth game and
• 49:42
  Speaker 1: six days, all in different cities. That's not good for
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: the Islanders. Even though people will have a tendency to
• 49:49
  Speaker 1: think all they'll bounce back now that they're at home,
• 49:51
  Speaker 1: that may not be the case here. Even though I
• 49:55
  Speaker 1: know they're coming off ugly losses, Columbus is coming off
• 49:57
  Speaker 1: some good wins. Columbus is starting a road trip. I
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: believe here the Islanders are returning from one of that
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: was a quick road trip. Like I said, it was
• 50:05
  Speaker 1: less than a week, so a lot of times the
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: stuff that you have to do back at home won't
• 50:09
  Speaker 1: totally build up with a shorter road trip, saying in
• 50:12
  Speaker 1: the same time zone, but still a return home from
• 50:15
  Speaker 1: the road. Nonetheless, I would lean to Columbus in this
• 50:18
  Speaker 1: swank money seems to agree. They're up from minus one
• 50:21
  Speaker 1: ten to minus one nineteen sixty percent of tickets sixty
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: eight percent of the casual on Columbus. I agree with
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: the money in that one NHL Network not really a
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: double header because this one afternoon game and one night game,
• 50:34
  Speaker 1: but the night game is a pretty good one between
• 50:36
  Speaker 1: Vegas and Dallas. Vegas, you know, they're not really playing
• 50:41
  Speaker 1: up to their you know, actual talent level this year though.
• 50:45
  Speaker 1: Vegas has lost three in a row, though really kind
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: of embarrassing losses. They just lost yesterday at in Nashville.
• 50:52
  Speaker 1: Now they are playing on a back to back, which
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: is difficult, but you gotta think you're gonna get effort
• 50:57
  Speaker 1: out of them. Aiden Hill will be back net for them,
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: I assume because they us Schmid yesterday and shid uh So.
• 51:05
  Speaker 1: I think, uh yeah, Hill will be back in net.
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: He is their primary goalie. They're gonna get up for
• 51:10
  Speaker 1: a game against Dallas, and I think pretty much nobody's
• 51:13
  Speaker 1: gonna want Vegas because they've been playing so badly recently.
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: Dallas also played yesterday, and they're coming off overtime games
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: on Wednesday and Saturday, winning at Colorado losing at Minnesota yesterday.
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: I told you I leaned to Minnesota yesterday. I was
• 51:26
  Speaker 1: correct about that, but it was close. Both of those
• 51:29
  Speaker 1: games went into overtime and or shootout. So Dallas is
• 51:33
  Speaker 1: coming up those two huge games possible they overlook Vegas.
• 51:37
  Speaker 1: They did just beat Vegas back on March tenth, though
• 51:39
  Speaker 1: it was only two to one. But I actually like
• 51:41
  Speaker 1: Vegas in this one. It's a bit of a return
• 51:43
  Speaker 1: home spot for Dallas, even though they were only away
• 51:45
  Speaker 1: for two games. But yeah, I like Vegas here. Dallas
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: is up to minus one fifty for minus one forty
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: five on the money line here. They're definitely a very
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: good team. It's difficult to fade a very good team,
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: although I know we're doing it in a college basketball
• 51:58
  Speaker 1: but six tickets two percent of the cash on Dallas,
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: I lean slightly towards Vegas and that one as the dog.
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay is at Calgary. Now. Tampa Bay is in
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: a similar spot to what Florida was in the other
• 52:12
  Speaker 1: day when I gave you guys Calgary, which was a
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: winner on the show against Florida not that long ago.
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay is in a similar spot to what Florida was.
• 52:21
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay just beat Edmonton on the road, which is
• 52:25
  Speaker 1: the That's the situation that Florida was in. They'd beatn
• 52:28
  Speaker 1: Edmonton and then they just had nothing left against Calgary.
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: Maybe that's the case for Tampa here. They just beat
• 52:33
  Speaker 1: Edmonton yesterday, beat them easily five to two. Tampa's just
• 52:37
  Speaker 1: on a roll right now, three straight wins, scoring five
• 52:41
  Speaker 1: plus goals in each of them, allowing no more than
• 52:44
  Speaker 1: two in any of them. But the other two wins
• 52:45
  Speaker 1: were against Seattle in Vancouver, so dial it back a
• 52:48
  Speaker 1: little bit. Although Tampa Bay is really good, third game
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: in four days, fourth game in six days, all in
• 52:54
  Speaker 1: different cities, They've already won the road trip, so this
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: game probably doesn't mean as much when they get back home.
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: You gotta play in Minnesota. Who is a better team, So
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: it is a sandwich spot as well in my opinion.
• 53:05
  Speaker 1: So I like Calgary here. The problem is Calgary did
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: just beat Florida and that is a big deal, but
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: they've had a day off, they're staying at home. I mean,
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: I consider it actually making this one a play. I
• 53:17
  Speaker 1: think if I was gonna make anything a play today,
• 53:19
  Speaker 1: it would be this one with Calgary. I do like it.
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay down for minus one seventy five to minus
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: one sixty five here seventy six percent of tickets, only
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: seventy three percent of the cash on Tampa. Maybe you
• 53:30
  Speaker 1: could make the argument that Calgary went over Florida wasn't
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: that big because they seem to always beat Florida at
• 53:36
  Speaker 1: home and Florida is just not as good this season.
• 53:40
  Speaker 1: I just I don't know if I can quite get
• 53:41
  Speaker 1: there with this one. But I do like Calgary, and
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: I think this is the best way to look on
• 53:46
  Speaker 1: the hockey board today. It would be probably a split
• 53:49
  Speaker 1: bet on the puck line and the money line here
• 53:51
  Speaker 1: in this one. To make your own plus one puck
• 53:53
  Speaker 1: line or find a place that has the plus one
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: puck line, all right. Buffalo at Anaheim, Buffalo they're on
• 54:02
  Speaker 1: a back to back, but they're only going from LA
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: to Anaheim, so at least that mitigates it a little bit.
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: But still, they're playing a fourth game in six days technically,
• 54:10
  Speaker 1: all in different cities, and the back to back, like
• 54:13
  Speaker 1: I said, going from LA to Anaheim. And they've won
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: all the other games on the road trip. So Buffalo
• 54:18
  Speaker 1: is definitely flying high right now. Now they run into
• 54:21
  Speaker 1: an Anaheim team that I don't think played yesterday. Let
• 54:25
  Speaker 1: me see, correct, So they played on Friday. They beat
• 54:28
  Speaker 1: Utah in Utah four to one. Now they're back home
• 54:31
  Speaker 1: from that was only a single game road trip though,
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: so they have one day off. They're coming back home.
• 54:36
  Speaker 1: Anaheim is actually really good at home two ten and
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: two at home, but Buffalo's really good on the road
• 54:42
  Speaker 1: twenty two, eleven and three on the road, So kind of,
• 54:46
  Speaker 1: you know, strength versus strength. I think Buffalo is just
• 54:48
  Speaker 1: good either way. I kind of entwards Anaheim here, but
• 54:52
  Speaker 1: the money is not indicating that way. Buffalo flipped from
• 54:56
  Speaker 1: plus one ten to minus one twelve here. Eighty percent
• 54:59
  Speaker 1: of tickets ninety two under the cash on Buffalo, So
• 55:01
  Speaker 1: the money is on Buffalo. I slightly disagree with it
• 55:06
  Speaker 1: and then la at Utah. The Kings here having to
• 55:10
  Speaker 1: go into elevation. They were just at home against Buffalo yesterday,
• 55:14
  Speaker 1: like I said, and now they're having to go to
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: Utah with no time off, which is maybe not that
• 55:19
  Speaker 1: easy to do. But starting a road trip sometimes you
• 55:22
  Speaker 1: will be focused. Sometimes it's good to just leave home
• 55:24
  Speaker 1: when things aren't going well. Utah did just lose badly
• 55:27
  Speaker 1: at home as well to Anaheim. They were turning over
• 55:30
  Speaker 1: from a quick road trip. They got caught like kind
• 55:33
  Speaker 1: of got caught at home by Anaheim. They didn't do
• 55:35
  Speaker 1: well Utah with a day off staying at home. You
• 55:38
  Speaker 1: could argue that they might look ahead to Edmonton here,
• 55:40
  Speaker 1: but I think you will get an effort out of
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: Utah here in this one. The Kings are pretty good
• 55:44
  Speaker 1: on the road though, so somebody keep in mind they're
• 55:46
  Speaker 1: eighteen nine and eight on the road, which isn't that bad.
• 55:51
  Speaker 1: Utah has been like okay, both at home and on
• 55:53
  Speaker 1: the road. No real disparity there. Kings are just better
• 55:56
  Speaker 1: on the road than at home. Utah is getting a
• 55:59
  Speaker 1: little bit of the only fifty three percent of tickets
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: fifty six percent of the cash. Their minds one seventy though,
• 56:04
  Speaker 1: so if you want Utah, you know the money's uh,
• 56:09
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't know if it's coming in
• 56:10
  Speaker 1: on the on the under or not, and the like
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: the total move very very slightly. It looks like towards
• 56:16
  Speaker 1: the under. Uh So I don't know, because I was
• 56:18
  Speaker 1: thinking maybe you could go Utah over their team total
• 56:20
  Speaker 1: or something like that. I mean, I think I would
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: just leave the game alone though, but slightly for me
• 56:25
  Speaker 1: to Utah there, and it would probably be like a
• 56:26
  Speaker 1: puck line situation there. We only have one hockey game Tomorrow's.
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: Tomorrow is gonna be a real short show. I think
• 56:33
  Speaker 1: Tomorrow NBA there's a pretty decent sized slate though, So
• 56:39
  Speaker 1: tomorrow is gonna be like all NBA and there might
• 56:43
  Speaker 1: be a little bit of n I t all right NBA,
• 56:45
  Speaker 1: Speaking of which, to finish it off, here, we have
• 56:47
  Speaker 1: five NBA games. NBA TV has an early evening game,
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: Portland at Denver. Portland has been on a little bit
• 56:56
  Speaker 1: of a run. They just beat in Minnesota on their
• 56:58
  Speaker 1: last game, which I believe was Thany Edwards not playing
• 57:01
  Speaker 1: for Minnesota in that one. Still, when you go into
• 57:04
  Speaker 1: Minnesota and you beat them, That's still a pretty big
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: win though for a team like Portland. Now they're gonna
• 57:08
  Speaker 1: go into elevation and play Denver. Yeah, they're gonna get
• 57:11
  Speaker 1: up for the game. But what will they have left
• 57:13
  Speaker 1: having to play two big games in a row. I
• 57:15
  Speaker 1: don't know. Denver's got a little bit of a scare
• 57:18
  Speaker 1: against Toronto staying at home. They didn't do that well
• 57:20
  Speaker 1: against Toronto in their last game. I think the spot's
• 57:24
  Speaker 1: a little bit better for Denver here, but I know
• 57:26
  Speaker 1: the money's not agreeing with it because I looked earlier.
• 57:29
  Speaker 1: I always look Nuggets seventy nine percent of tickets, only
• 57:33
  Speaker 1: sixty six percent in the cash. They're laying eight and
• 57:35
  Speaker 1: a half. I kind of lean towards Denver though, and
• 57:37
  Speaker 1: it is a high total in the two forties. That's
• 57:40
  Speaker 1: because the Nuggets score a ton and they don't really
• 57:42
  Speaker 1: play good defense, but that makes it easier for them
• 57:45
  Speaker 1: to cover a number like that. It's higher variants. So yeah,
• 57:50
  Speaker 1: I kind of lean towards Denver in that one, but
• 57:52
  Speaker 1: definitely not a strong opinion. Brooklyn at Sacramento. I mean,
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: you look at this game. You got it, like, come on, man,
• 57:59
  Speaker 1: the Kings are laying six and a half. Are you
• 58:02
  Speaker 1: kidding me? How could the Kings be laying six and
• 58:05
  Speaker 1: a half against anybody in the NBA, like even the Wizards.
• 58:08
  Speaker 1: You wouldn't even expect this to be the line in
• 58:11
  Speaker 1: that game. I mean, this is crazy. Seventy per tickets,
• 58:15
  Speaker 1: ninety seven percent of the casual on the Kings. I
• 58:17
  Speaker 1: don't know if there are some injuries or somebody coming
• 58:19
  Speaker 1: back here. I don't know what the deal is. Brooklyn
• 58:23
  Speaker 1: looks like they're gonna be without Clowney and Claxton. I mean,
• 58:28
  Speaker 1: I'm not that familiar with these players, to be honest,
• 58:30
  Speaker 1: the Kings are gonna be without Russell Westbrook but whatever,
• 58:33
  Speaker 1: we know who he is, but he's old Brooklyn. Now,
• 58:37
  Speaker 1: I have to admit the spot is bad for Brooklyn.
• 58:40
  Speaker 1: I think part of the reason why the line is
• 58:41
  Speaker 1: so big is because Brooklyn played, or they didn't play.
• 58:44
  Speaker 1: I thought they played yesterday. They didn't. They played on Friday,
• 58:47
  Speaker 1: and they took the Knicks to the limit. Man, Brooklyn
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: almost beat the Knicks. And I told you, I thought, Brooklyn,
• 58:53
  Speaker 1: that might be a game that they might actually get
• 58:54
  Speaker 1: up for for once. Now they're traveling cross country. But
• 58:58
  Speaker 1: luckily for them, they don't have to play late night game,
• 59:01
  Speaker 1: so if it was a ten PM game, it would
• 59:04
  Speaker 1: be really really difficult these East Coast teams having to
• 59:06
  Speaker 1: play these really late biological clock games. At least Brooklyn
• 59:10
  Speaker 1: doesn't have to do that, but they're still traveling across country. Normally,
• 59:13
  Speaker 1: I say starting a road trip is a focused spot,
• 59:15
  Speaker 1: but maybe not in a situation like this, especially when
• 59:18
  Speaker 1: Brooklyn just put in one of the only efforts you'll
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: see for the remainder of the season from them almost
• 59:23
  Speaker 1: beating the Knicks. I don't like them in this spot. Man.
• 59:26
  Speaker 1: The Kings just got blown out on their home floor
• 59:29
  Speaker 1: by Philly and they're staying at home. So I do
• 59:31
  Speaker 1: actually agree with the Kings in this game. I just
• 59:33
  Speaker 1: I don't think I could lay six and a half man.
• 59:36
  Speaker 1: Kings actually have an extra day off here too, you know,
• 59:41
  Speaker 1: And you got to worry about how much effort the
• 59:44
  Speaker 1: Kings are going to give you here, right, because both
• 59:45
  Speaker 1: these teams are packing it in for the season, man,
• 59:48
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean. I'm kind of surprised the
• 59:50
  Speaker 1: totals as low as it is. I know everybody's injured here,
• 59:53
  Speaker 1: but when you have two teams that just don't have
• 59:55
  Speaker 1: anything to play for. Really, you usually want to look
• 59:57
  Speaker 1: towards an over because like guys don't want to get hurt,
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 1: you know, the defense won't be as intense. It kind
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 1: of becomes a scrimmage. So to me, it seems like
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 1: it would be an overtype of game. But the total
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 1: is really low at tow eighteen and a half. The
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 1: money is coming in on the Kings, like I said,
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 1: they're up to six and a half, which again is
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 1: that seems like too much to me. Seventy eight percent
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: of tickets, ninety seven percent of the cash on the Kings.
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 1: As far as the situation, I do agree with the Kings.
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 1: If you forced me to give you a side on
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 1: that one, I would still say lay it with the Kings,
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 1: But there's no way that I would actually recommend it.
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 1: No to Gems. What's up man, Purdue by exactly seventeen.
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 1: We'll see if that happens. I'm not gonna be playing
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 1: that game that that's not one of my games I gave.
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 1: I gave you the script man. My only play today's
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 1: Iowa plus ten and a half is my only play
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 1: today against the Mighty Florida. We're taking Iowa to keep
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 1: that game. Close, man, Washington Wizards are at the Knicks.
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 1: This is ridiculous. The Knicks are like a twenty something
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 1: point favorite in this one. Of course, Washington, maybe they'll
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 1: show up for it, but they did play yesterday at home.
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 1: They got blown out again. What else is new by
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma City? Sometimes it is good to just leave home
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 1: going on the road. Maybe Washington'll try to show up
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 1: for a game against the Knicks, but it is a
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: back to back, and the Knicks I think are actually
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 1: gonna show up because they just barely got by Brooklyn
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 1: in a very ugly performance and their last game, and
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 1: they're very well rested here right now. They had two
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 1: days off prior to that, and they didn't play yesterday.
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 1: So I would actually lay the points with the Knicks
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: in this game, which I know how ridiculous that sounds.
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 1: Maybe it doesn't sound that ridiculous because it's against the Wizards.
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 1: But me, I don't, you know, I'm not really a
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 1: you know, a guy who lays a lot of favorites.
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 1: I know I did in college basketball yesterday, because there
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 1: are some spots to do it in that second round.
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 1: But the Knicks are minus twenty sixty eight percent of
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 1: tickets eighty five percent of the cash on the Knicks.
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 1: Money is agreeing with the Knicks in that one. I
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 1: actually agree with it, but I'm not gonna actually do it.
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know if there's ever like I
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 1: don't think there's a chance I'm gonna lay a twenty
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 1: point spread ever in the NBA or the NHL. I
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 1: probably have never done it in my life, and I'm
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 1: not about to start now, but that would be my opinion.
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 1: In that game Minnesota at the Celtics, I think you
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 1: can tell based on the line here that Anthony Edwards
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 1: is still out because the Celtics are ten point favorite.
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 1: It is in Boston, but if Edwards was playing, this
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 1: number would be probably like five sixty percent of tickets
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 1: seventy four percent of the cash on the Celtics. So
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 1: the money seems to be indicating on taking the points
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 1: with the Tea Wolves here. Tea Wolves did just lose
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 1: at home out of Portland, like I said, so it
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 1: might be good for them to just leave going on
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 1: the road. It was a bad spot for Minnesota. Remember
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 1: I gave out a lean on Portland in that game.
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 1: Wish that I elevated it to a play because Minnesota
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 1: had scored one hundred and forty seven points the prior game,
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 1: probably feeling pretty high on themselves and they had this
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 1: big game against the Celtics on deck. So it was
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 1: kind of a sandwich spot for the Celtics. They just
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 1: had kind of a scare at Memphis against Memphis' backups.
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: The Celtics didn't really put in a huge effort in
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 1: that one. I didn't like the spot for the Celtics.
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 1: They're coming off murdering Golden State and then they had
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 1: Minnesota and Oklahoma City coming up. I think this should
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 1: be a focused spot, but maybe you show up with
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 1: a little bit less focus when you know that Anthony
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 1: Edwards is out and you know you got OKAC on deck.
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 1: Although the Celtics don't have to play OKAYC for three
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 1: days and this game is a home game on NBC
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 1: and Peacock, so maybe the Celtics will get up for it.
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 1: Celtics are good at home twenty four and ten Minnesota.
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 1: I mean, that's a pretty good road record all things considered,
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 1: nineteen and fifteen. But Celtics play well at home. Jalen
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 1: Brown game time decision here. It looks like he's probable,
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: so yeah, he'll play. Anthony Edwards, like I said, is
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 1: out until at least their next game, maybe the game
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 1: after that, which I knew that anyway, because again, I mean,
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 1: I follow the Celtics, so I knew right away when
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 1: I saw that line of new Edwards is still out.
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 1: So that's that, yes, sir, I'm seventeen all right, and
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 1: then we have a Raptors and Suns as the last
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 1: game here Toronto at Phoenix. Toronto just had that pretty
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 1: close game against Denver, so I don't really love how
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 1: it sets up for Toronto now coming out of elevation
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 1: after a real tough effort against Denver. Yes, Toronto is
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 1: still trying to avoid the play in games here at
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 1: this point. But you can't give a full effort every game, man,
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 1: And that was a big effort against a good team.
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 1: Lost a wins streak there, Phoenix. Phoenix is pretty good, man, Like,
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 1: they're one of the best teams at covering the spread
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 1: in the NBA, which you'd figure the oddsmakers would adjust
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 1: to that, but they can only do it so much
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 1: when they're dealing with a Phoenix team. It's on a
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 1: five game losing streak. Here then included losing to Toronto,
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 1: which by the way, started the losing streak. So you
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 1: think Phoenix is gonna remember that. I think they probably will.
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 1: They're gonna remember who started this losing streak for them.
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: And then they lost to Boston, Minnesota, San Antonio all
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 1: on the road. You're really gonna blame them for those losses.
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 1: That was some weird travel going on there too, to
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 1: play those games in a span of four days. And
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 1: they almost beat the Celtics, So Phoenix, they're not as
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 1: bad as this run makes it look. And then I
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 1: did give you Milwaukee last night. That was an outright
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 1: winner for us with the Bucks as an eleven and
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 1: a half point dog, because it was just a horrible
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 1: spot for Phoenix returning home from a road trip, coming
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 1: off a huge game against San Antonio. But now they're
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 1: in their second game back home off a bad loss.
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 1: Now it's a back to back, I know. So they've
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 1: played a lot of games recently, so you got to
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 1: worry about how tired they might be. But that second
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 1: game back home after a bad performance in the first game,
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 1: a lot of times the team does a lot better
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 1: in that game. So maybe we will get a better
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 1: effort out of Phoenix here, and I do lean that
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 1: way again. I think there's a little bit of a
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 1: quick revenge aspect of this, or a quick adjustment aspect
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 1: of this. I don't like the Toronto's coming off a
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 1: big game here. I like the Phoenix is coming off
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 1: a bad loss. Is a big favorite A lot of
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 1: times the team will bounce back when that happens. I
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 1: wanted to see if Dyan Brooks is still out. It
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 1: looks like he is still out, So that's one thing
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 1: for Phoenix. Is there still without Brooks here? But Phoenix,
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 1: like I said, they're one of the best teams against
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 1: the spread this season, and they're yet again a home
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 1: underdog here. That's kind of what you want to look for, man,
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 1: when the situation seems to set up better for them.
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 1: They're at home. They're basically a covering machine this year,
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 1: and they're actually an underdog. I would have to lean
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 1: to the Suns here, to be honest. I think if
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 1: I was gonna give you any play in the NBA today,
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 1: it would be this one. I think the Suns plus
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 1: the points, it looks like you can get two and
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 1: a half maybe three on this fifty to fifty on
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 1: the tickets in the market split year, but sixty nine
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 1: percent of the money on the Sun So it looks
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 1: like the real money is one Phoenix. I agree with
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 1: it in that one, but I worry a little bit
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 1: about the back to Backsinara. To be honest, if Phoenix
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 1: had like a day of rest in there, I might
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 1: actually make this a play. I'm just a little bit
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 1: concerned about it. But I think that's probably the reason
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 1: why you are getting more value on the Suns here
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 1: is the books always kind of skew the number against
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 1: the team that's on the back to back. So that's
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 1: the way that I look at it. That's gonna do
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 1: it for the show. Thanks guys for hanging out the
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 1: one play today. I know how brutal it looks, man,
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 1: Iowa plus ten and a half in the tournament is
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 1: the only play that we have today. I think they
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 1: can get it done again. I think the number, the
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 1: value is there in that number. Man, I'll tell you that.
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 1: I think stylistically it can happen. I was gonna slow
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 1: the game down. Nobody's gonna want it after what they
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 1: saw in the first round games, and that's why I
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 1: do like it. We're gonna have to deal with that
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 1: Florida crowd though, but hopefully we can get it done.
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: Learn a tone on Twitter, and learn a tone on Instagram.
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 1: Check it all out, Like, subscribe to the show here,
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 1: you'll get the notifications when I go live. Got a
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: couple of new subscribers, so shout out to those guys.
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 1: What else I had to say, Oh yeah, leave me
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 1: some you know, comments, whatever, let's get some traction on
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 1: this channel. Finally we are back on audio, where we're
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 1: already on Apple and a bunch of the other things.
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 1: I believe we're back on Spotify and I went into Speaker.
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 1: Thanks Charles for letting me know yesterday, because I think
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 1: what happened was if you remember when I was complaining
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 1: that Spreaker nuked my account, I got it back because
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 1: they incorrectly, like their automated system, flagged me as a spammer,
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 1: which is ridiculous. I'm like, dude, I'm not the only
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 1: one that posts like a daily show. I don't know.
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 1: So I got them to give to get me my
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 1: account back, and I think in doing that, for some reason,
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 1: I had to go re like connect to Spotify basically,
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 1: or I forget what the terminology is. But in spreaker
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 1: you have to manually like push your podcast to various platforms.
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 1: So I think that's what it was, so I pushed it. It
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 1: looks like the whole thing is back up now because
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 1: I checked later in the day yesterday. So I think
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 1: we're good there. So leave me, you know, give me
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 1: some good reviews over on Apple Spotify. Listen over there.
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 1: That helps me out as well. Covered in Yuke is
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 1: my ukulele cover channel on YouTube. You check that out
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 1: as well. Patreon dot com, slash and learn it to
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 1: it you get some bonus content that I I know,
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 1: I'm I'm not good at keeping up with it. Man,
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 1: I apologize, but I got to do something. And I
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 1: think again, I keep talking about doing like live yuke
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 1: request shows and stuff. Maybe I should just start doing that.
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 1: Uh actually, you know what that could like take the
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 1: place of the like doing actual like serious requests, you
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 1: know what I mean, just let the patroons get into it.
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 1: But I want to kind of do some non Pagreon
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 1: once first. I just don't have enough people in there yet,
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 1: so that's kind of the problem anyway, that's all about,
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 1: And then we have loser casts which will be back
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 1: on Tuesday with the new episode That's gonna do It.
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 1: I appreciate it. Everybody, have a good Sunday and peace.