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Episode 333 - 8/11/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:19
  Hello and welcome to episode 333 of The All.
• 0:23
  Systems Go sports betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 0:28
  I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on, everyone?
• 0:35
  Happy Monday, a new week begins. As we.
• 0:38
  Roll through the early. Portion of August football is in
• 0:41
  full swing. Who's been playing these overs?
• 0:44
  Unbelievable. 12 and 2 the overs here.
• 0:47
  Of course, to start the preseason, if you were living
• 0:50
  under a rock, maybe you didn't know, but it's been a big topic
• 0:53
  of conversation. Why are we seeing such a higher?
• 0:55
  Scoring games than usual. Well, if you've been playing
• 0:57
  these overs, you're happy to see him.
• 0:59
  And then dogs, Dogs 11 and three against the spread to start the
• 1:02
  preseason. So it's all been dogs and overs.
• 1:05
  I'm already. Looking at NFL Week 2, we.
• 1:07
  Do have a couple games coming up here or?
• 1:09
  Pre season Week 2. Couple games coming up on Friday
• 1:12
  the 15th. And then we have a.
• 1:13
  Bunch of games on Saturday, think there's 11 games overall
• 1:15
  and then a couple games on Sunday.
• 1:17
  And I'm already seeing all. These totals way higher than
• 1:20
  week. One week, one we had, you know,
• 1:21
  30. 334-3536 Totals right now are 30.
• 1:25
  Eight and a half, 41 1/2 forty we've.
• 1:29
  Definitely seen an adjustment here on the part of the books
• 1:31
  and for good reason because we're seeing these points
• 1:34
  basically come off the board very quickly here, so.
• 1:36
  It'll be interesting to see this week.
• 1:38
  You know, do overs continue to fly over or?
• 1:41
  Do you see a few more starters on defense limit these games?
• 1:45
  In terms of point production and then also will there be an over
• 1:48
  adjustment where the public says, hey, this NFL?
• 1:50
  Pre season thing is easy. Take the dog.
• 1:53
  Take the over. Better yet.
• 1:54
  Parlay them together. Hint hint.
• 1:57
  We don't like parlays, but hey, we'll be seeing adjustment.
• 2:00
  Where maybe there's some opportunity to buy low on some
• 2:03
  unders inflated line unders going into Week 2.
• 2:05
  But either way, we'll kind of give that a few days to to
• 2:08
  develop and definitely want to get some reports on Twitter and
• 2:11
  across the market of who's playing and who's not.
• 2:13
  But typically again, you're down to 3/3.
• 2:15
  Preseason games, it used to be. Four-game.
• 2:18
  Two. Usually you see more of these
• 2:19
  starting. Caliber players get in there and
• 2:22
  start to play, so something to keep an eye out for, but that
• 2:24
  was definitely the topic of conversation over the weekend.
• 2:27
  Man, just overs and dogs. Unbelievable.
• 2:29
  But anyway, guys. It is a Monday.
• 2:32
  As we kick. Off a new week and get.
• 2:33
  Back into the swing of things. But more importantly, I buried
• 2:35
  the lead. It is Christmas Eve.
• 2:38
  It is New Year's Eve. It's the first day before
• 2:41
  school. Maybe that's not a great
• 2:42
  comparison, but it's. Christmas Eve, because tomorrow
• 2:45
  the NFL sharp betting playbook. Officially comes out again.
• 2:50
  The date of my second book being released.
• 2:52
  August 12th, 2025, it seemed like.
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  Such a. Long off number like I remember
• 2:57
  when I, you know, wrote the book and then I finally.
• 2:59
  Teamed up with Triumph. Books through my literary agent
• 3:02
  David Black Literary. Agency.
• 3:04
  And, you know, this was probably about a year and a half ago and
• 3:07
  it's like, yeah, August 12th, 2025.
• 3:09
  And it's like, OK, it's finally here, so.
• 3:11
  I can't believe it. But really, really excited and
• 3:14
  I've seen. A lot of you tweet to me that
• 3:16
  you've pre-ordered the book. On Amazon.com.
• 3:18
  That means the world. To me, I so very much appreciate
• 3:21
  it and it's kind of funny when I was at.
• 3:24
  Mohegan Sun over. The past four days and I got to
• 3:26
  tell you I have like a three day limit when it comes to staying
• 3:29
  at a sports book or staying at a casino.
• 3:31
  It's great the first three days, but then like.
• 3:33
  Any food, anytime you get food. It's going to cost a lot of
• 3:36
  money. You want to play or do anything
• 3:38
  else that cost money too. So it's like I got, I got to get
• 3:40
  back to like, you know. Annie's Mac and.
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  Cheese and kind of get back on my my grind here, but I had a
• 3:45
  great time. If I didn't mention this, I
• 3:47
  think I did before, but my brother is an artist.
• 3:49
  And he had a booth at. Terrificon, which is basically
• 3:52
  the Comic Con of of New England here.
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  And me and the. Wife we tagged along, we had a
• 3:57
  we got a had a great room, had a great.
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  Time at Mohegan. Sun Actually, my aunt and uncle
• 4:01
  met up with us yesterday, which is really cool.
• 4:03
  We had lunch with them. So that was pretty awesome.
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  And, and you know what I'm going to tell you?
• 4:06
  I'm going to be. Geek out a little.
• 4:08
  Bit I used to love. I'm 38 years old, OK?
• 4:11
  I used to love the Teenage Mutant Ninja.
• 4:12
  Turtles and I got. To meet the people.
• 4:15
  Who created the Mutant Ninja Turtles and then my?
• 4:17
  Favorite Ninja Turtles movie? It was like the.
• 4:20
  Return of the. Ooze or something, but it was a.
• 4:22
  Movie and it. Was with Vanilla Ice who did the
• 4:26
  go ninja go ninja go at the very end of it and I was able.
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  To meet. The creators and the main
• 4:32
  character. So I was pretty cool and I also
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  met. I didn't meet him, but I saw.
• 4:37
  Short round. Who was the He was in the
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  Everything Everywhere All at Once, But he was, more
• 4:42
  importantly, short round in Indiana Jones.
• 4:44
  He was there. Guy from The Walking Dead was
• 4:47
  there, so it was pretty cool and I was able to again hobnob with
• 4:50
  some some famous artists. That was a lot of fun.
• 4:53
  But anyway. I buried the lead.
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  Because the book comes out tomorrow, I don't know if I'll
• 4:57
  be able to sleep at night tonight, but it's pretty
• 5:00
  exciting. It's been a long way coming and
• 5:02
  a couple days at Mohegan Sun, me and the wife, we would hang by
• 5:05
  the pool and I brought a copy of my book and I started rereading.
• 5:08
  It and I'm like. Man, this is this.
• 5:10
  Is pretty good. I was.
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  Pretty proud of it. And it's kind of funny if you
• 5:12
  ever write a book, once it gets published like I have, you know?
• 5:16
  Reread every single. Page 1,000,000 times.
• 5:18
  Looking for any error. Any typo?
• 5:20
  Missed apostrophe. You know, wrong.
• 5:22
  Team name miss capitalized something a period here that
• 5:25
  shouldn't be there. And as I'm rereading the book
• 5:27
  I'm like terrified to find any typos but luckily no typos have
• 5:31
  been seen. So really excited but.
• 5:32
  Anyway, I want to. Thank you guys for pre ordering
• 5:35
  a copy of the NFL Sharp Betting Playbook.
• 5:37
  If you go to. Barnes and.
• 5:38
  Noble or any bookstore? Across America tomorrow.
• 5:41
  It should be on the shelves. And if you pre.
• 5:43
  Ordered it. It should get dropped off your
• 5:45
  house tomorrow by one of Jeff Bezos's drones, but if you would
• 5:48
  like. To support the team.
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  And if you like to see what I've been.
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  Working on for three. Plus years at this point and
• 5:54
  also I think you're going to get a lot out of it.
• 5:56
  We got a lot of angles here and we haven't really sweat football
• 5:59
  for quite a while, so it's going to get you your juices flowing
• 6:02
  back into the swing of things. And I spent again.
• 6:04
  Three years. Going through three full NFL
• 6:06
  seasons. Not just Weeks One through 17,
• 6:09
  but the offseason. The preseason.
• 6:11
  The Super Bowl, so I'm really pumped that it'll finally be out
• 6:14
  there and the public can can have at it.
• 6:17
  If you'd like to support the team, please, you can still
• 6:19
  pre-order a copy today for Amazon.com, the NFL Sharp
• 6:22
  Betting Playbook, or you can just pick it up in person at
• 6:24
  Barnes and Noble tomorrow. Or you can still.
• 6:26
  Order on Amazon. But anyway, with that being
• 6:28
  said. As the book launches tomorrow,
• 6:30
  I'm back. From Mohegan Sun.
• 6:32
  We got to get back to doing what we love to do.
• 6:34
  Which is betting data. Driven, sharp, contrarian plays
• 6:37
  and we have nothing else to bet on today other than Major League
• 6:40
  Baseball and that's OK with me we have a kind of a bigger than
• 6:43
  usual slate Mondays sometimes I get. 7-8 games we do have. 11
• 6:46
  here for tonight. I did.
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  Find 3 that caught my eye. So as always guys, a three pack.
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  Let's try to go 2 and one. Eke out a winning day before
• 6:54
  before the book launches tomorrow.
• 6:55
  Maybe we'll get some some book juju that'll help us with the
• 6:58
  gambling gods tonight. But anyway guys, 3 pack let's.
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  Try to get. Two of them.
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  Let's waste no more time and get.
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  Right after it. First one on the board seven O
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  5. PM, Eastern Time.
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  First pitch we got the Minnesota Twins.
• 7:08
  Visiting the New York Yankees. The twins come in. 56 and 61.
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  They had a bunch of trades at the deadline and actually.
• 7:15
  Been pretty. Competitive ever since they did
• 7:17
  just take two out of three against the Royals.
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  They won yesterday's series finale 5 to 3 as a -110 home
• 7:23
  pick em. On the other hand, the Yankees.
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  62 and 50. 6 and man they are falling off a Cliff right now.
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  The tabloids are ripping them apart.
• 7:31
  You got Aaron Boone getting injected left and right, the
• 7:34
  bullpens blowing it bad. News on the Yankees and as a
• 7:38
  contrarian. Value driven better.
• 7:39
  I want to buy low on this bad. News with the Yankees Hint hint.
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  I like the Yankees tonight. Even though they did just lose 2
• 7:45
  out of three against the Strohs, they lost. 7 to 1 yesterday as a
• 7:48
  -. 225 home favorite. You know things are bad when
• 7:51
  you're losing 7 to 1 as a -, 200 or more favorite.
• 7:55
  Anyway, pitch match up for tonight.
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  Twins are. Going to go with the righty
• 7:58
  Zebby Matthews. He's 3:00 and 3:00.
• 8:00
  With a 5.17. ERA.
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  Meanwhile, the Yankees. Are going to counter with the
• 8:03
  fellow. Righty Will Warren.
• 8:05
  He's 6 and. Five with a 4.44 ERA now, what
• 8:08
  have we seen across the market? This game open Yankees listed as
• 8:12
  a -165 home favorite Minnesota around a + 140 row dog and
• 8:17
  what's notable to me is that one the Yankees are playing really
• 8:20
  bad baseball recently, but yet they still.
• 8:22
  Open kind. Of as a relatively heavy
• 8:24
  favorite -165 and even though. They've struggled the betting.
• 8:28
  Market is moving further toward the Yankees.
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  The Yankees have gotten steamed up -165.
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  Up to -175 some shops. Even.
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  As high as minus. 180 so so this is.
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  Always notable. To me, when the media narrative
• 8:42
  or you turn on, you know, ESPN. Or listen to talk radio, they're
• 8:44
  all saying. You know A, yet you know B is.
• 8:47
  Happening across the betting market.
• 8:49
  So the whole drama with the Yankees is they stink, they're
• 8:51
  imploding, but yet they're having a line move in their
• 8:54
  favor today, which again tells me smart money is buying low on
• 8:57
  the Yankees. And one thing a mentor of mine
• 8:59
  told me a very long time ago is you always want to buy on bad
• 9:02
  news and sell on good news just because, you know, good news is
• 9:06
  overvalued, bad news is typically undervalued.
• 9:09
  But anyway, line is steamed up toward the Bronx Bombers.
• 9:12
  This jumped out to me as. Well over at Circa in Vegas.
• 9:15
  Caters to sharp money 42% of money line bets from the
• 9:18
  Yankees, but they're taking into account 82.
• 9:21
  Percent of money line dollars. So out in the desert you're only
• 9:25
  getting 4 out of 10 bets, but it accounts for eight out of $10,
• 9:28
  tells me. The people playing the Yankees
• 9:30
  are putting big money down. On.
• 9:31
  The on New York. We do have a couple system.
• 9:33
  Matches on the Yankees Monday Home teams with a line.
• 9:36
  Move in their favor. They're 62 and 38 this year, 62%
• 9:41
  with A7. Percent ROI.
• 9:43
  Also, if you'll get home favorites in the opening game of
• 9:45
  a new series getting big Steam $0.20 or more, those teams are
• 9:49
  67 and 2771%. With a 9% ROI.
• 9:55
  New York would. Also have betting system.
• 9:56
  Value as a non division. Favorite so lack of familiarity
• 9:59
  benefiting quote UN quote the better team.
• 10:01
  Yankees AL East of. Course Minnesota, AL Central.
• 10:04
  And the Yankees bats. Hopefully they'll come to play
• 10:06
  tonight. They're hitting or they have
• 10:08
  hit. 183 home runs. They've scored 400. 596 runs.
• 10:13
  Twins have hit 138 homers, only scored 494 runs.
• 10:18
  And if you dig into these pictures a little bit more,
• 10:20
  Warren going for the Yanks, he's actually pitched pretty well at
• 10:22
  home. He's five and three with a 2.88
• 10:25
  ERA, and he's giving up two earned runs or less.
• 10:28
  And five of his last six starts, so the.
• 10:30
  Yankees really need. Warren to pitch well tonight.
• 10:31
  I'm hoping that he does. Meanwhile, Zebby Matthews, he
• 10:35
  has allowed five earned runs or more.
• 10:37
  And two of his last four starts. So two of his last four starts,
• 10:40
  he's really gotten lit up. And again, the Yankees need to
• 10:43
  light someone up. There do for that.
• 10:44
  And he does have a 5. .63 ERA on the road and lastly.
• 10:48
  Home Rd. Splits.
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  Twins are 12 games. Below 500 on the road, they're
• 10:52
  24 and 36. Yankees are 35 and 24. 11 games
• 10:56
  above 500 so again. Yankees kind of stink.
• 10:59
  Right now or recently and it feels like you know the walls
• 11:02
  are closing in and they're imploding, but they're getting
• 11:05
  the line move in their favor and they got a great bet split with
• 11:07
  some system matches. So I'm going to buy low on New
• 11:09
  York. Shop around I.
• 11:10
  Got the Yankees? At -170. 5 I believe that was at
• 11:14
  Bet MGM. Next one for you 7. 40 PM
• 11:18
  Eastern Time. First pitch, let's go to the
• 11:20
  South Side where the Chicago White Sox are hosting the
• 11:22
  Detroit Tigers. Now going into it, we got the
• 11:25
  Tigers. 68 and 51. They did just take two out of
• 11:29
  three against the Halos. They won yesterday's series
• 11:32
  finale against the Angels, 9:00 to 5:00 as a -1. 90 home
• 11:35
  favorite. Other hand, we got the White
• 11:37
  Sox. 43 and 75 on the year. They just dropped two or three
• 11:41
  against the Guardians, but they did avoid the sweep.
• 11:43
  They won six to four yesterday as a + 110 home dog.
• 11:47
  So pitching match up here for tonight.
• 11:48
  We got the Tigers. Going with the ready.
• 11:50
  Chris Paddock, who they picked up at the deadline.
• 11:52
  He's 4 and 10. With a 4.91 ERA, he had a really
• 11:55
  good start in his debut. I think he gave up four runs his
• 11:58
  last start. So, So White Sox, meanwhile, are
• 12:01
  going to go. With Elvis Peguero, he's O&O
• 12:04
  with A4. .91 ERA. And looks like he's going to be
• 12:06
  the opener, so it's going to. Be a long bullpen game for the
• 12:09
  White Sox. Now what are we seeing across
• 12:11
  the market? This game opened Detroit around
• 12:14
  a -, 130. Five Rd.
• 12:16
  Favorite Chicago A + 1. 15 home dog and pros have.
• 12:19
  Jumped on the Tigers laying pretty modest chalk on the road,
• 12:23
  taking Detroit -135 up to -145. Some shops, even as as higher
• 12:28
  are closing. In they're closing and I should
• 12:30
  say on -1. 50 I got Detroit -142 at FanDuel.
• 12:35
  I like the splits on the Tigers. Looks like a pretty good pro and
• 12:37
  Joe split. Obviously the public saying just
• 12:39
  fade White Sox play Detroit, but wise guys kind of like the value
• 12:42
  of that number when it was opening as low as again -130 -,
• 12:46
  130. 5 but at DraftKings 80. 5% of bets.
• 12:50
  Nearly 90% of the money is on Detroit.
• 12:52
  And over at Circa in the Desert, wise guy spot. 92.
• 12:56
  Percent of dollars. Or sorry, 92% of bets 99%.
• 13:01
  Of dollars. So both.
• 13:01
  DraftKings and Circa showing a nice.
• 13:04
  Pro and Joe Low bets higher dollar split in favor of
• 13:07
  Detroit, which aligns with the line move in their direction.
• 13:10
  Now we got a couple system matches on the Tigers.
• 13:12
  Favorites with a winning record off.
• 13:14
  A win made the playoffs the previous year, and they're
• 13:16
  getting at least $0.05 of line movement.
• 13:18
  Those teams are 138 and 67. That is a 67% win rate.
• 13:23
  A 5% ROI when they're. Favored and getting line
• 13:27
  movement in their. Direction The Tigers in
• 13:28
  particular are. 39 and 2066. Percent. 5% ROI.
• 13:33
  That makes them the 5th best. Chalk with a line move team in
• 13:36
  baseball so. When you're expected to win and
• 13:38
  the market. 'S hitting you and moving the
• 13:39
  number. Detroit's been good in that
• 13:41
  situation. Now the Tigers do have the
• 13:43
  better. Bats, they're hitting 251 on the
• 13:44
  year, they've hit 154. Homers.
• 13:47
  They've scored five. 175 runs. White Sox, meanwhile, only
• 13:50
  hitting 229 on the year, 116 home runs with 450 two runs.
• 13:55
  Scored. Detroit in particular also go up
• 13:57
  against Righty's. We got 2 reddies on the bump.
• 14:00
  Detroit's hitting 246. Against righty's that's. 16th in
• 14:02
  baseball doesn't sound great. But Chicago is dead.
• 14:05
  Last against right, He's hitting only 220.
• 14:07
  Five, that is 30th in baseball, mentioned Peguero looking.
• 14:12
  To be the opener. That means it's a long bullpen
• 14:13
  game, so hopefully that is an advantage for Detroit.
• 14:16
  Tigers are technically 5 above 500.
• 14:20
  On the road, they're 29 and 20. 7 and the white.
• 14:22
  Sox are only 25 and 30. One at home and the Tigers, by
• 14:26
  the way, are five and two straight up against the White
• 14:29
  Sox this year. So we've.
• 14:30
  Seen a line move toward Detroit? We got some good system matches,
• 14:34
  feels like a good spot here to get a team that was really good,
• 14:37
  hit a rough spot and is now maybe turning it back around
• 14:40
  because that AL Central race is getting close.
• 14:41
  The Guardians are not that I. Think they're only six games
• 14:44
  back? Maybe five games back, hopefully
• 14:46
  a good spot to back Detroit. I got the tigers -140.
• 14:50
  Two at FanDuel. Last bat of the night 2
• 14:53
  favorites tonight. How about a dog?
• 14:55
  We get a dog to bark here. Let's go out to San Francisco,
• 14:59
  9:45 PM Eastern Time, where the. Giants are hosting.
• 15:02
  The San Diego Padres now coming into it, We got the pods. 66 and
• 15:06
  52 on the year. Just took two or three against
• 15:09
  the Red Sox. They won yesterday's series
• 15:11
  finale 6 to 2 as a -1. 50 home favorite Meanwhile, the G men.
• 15:15
  Right at 500. Now 59 to 59, they just lost two
• 15:19
  or three against the Nats. They lost 8.
• 15:20
  Nothing. Yesterday at home as a minus.
• 15:23
  160 home favorite. Gross tonight's series opener.
• 15:27
  Padres are going with the ready you, Darvish.
• 15:29
  He's one and three. With a 6.51.
• 15:31
  ERA. Meanwhile, the G Men are going
• 15:33
  with their ace ready, Logan Webb.
• 15:35
  He's 10 and eight with a three. .24 ERA What have we seen across
• 15:38
  the market here? Well, this game open san.
• 15:40
  Fran around a. -140 Home favorite San Diego A + 120 row.
• 15:45
  Dog and the Public. Doesn't know what to do here.
• 15:48
  Because giants have really struggled.
• 15:49
  But yet. Again, they have web who's got
• 15:52
  good numbers. At home laying a.
• 15:53
  Modest price, however, again, giants have.
• 15:57
  Really stunk and San Diego is a good team getting.
• 15:59
  Plus money, so the public has no idea.
• 16:01
  Where to go? Do we lay?
• 16:02
  It with San Fran do we take the. Plus money with San Diego.
• 16:05
  What do we always talk about when we have a?
• 16:07
  5050 ticket split. Theoretically in a vacuum, if
• 16:10
  the bets are even. Down the middle, you really
• 16:12
  shouldn't see line movement. One way or the other, maybe
• 16:14
  it'll be adjusted couple cents here or there.
• 16:16
  But you should not see. You know more than 5. $0.10
• 16:20
  move. One way or the other.
• 16:21
  Now, if it's 5050 and you do see a line move, that tells me that
• 16:24
  even though the public doesn't know which way to go.
• 16:27
  Wise guys have taken a position and it looks like they've taken
• 16:29
  a position on the dads tonight. Because we've seen, even though
• 16:32
  it's a 5050 split, San Fran has. Fallen -1. 40 down to -130 some
• 16:37
  books. Even down to -125.
• 16:40
  And we've seen the line move towards San Diego. +1125 down
• 16:45
  to. Plus 115 some shops.
• 16:47
  Now even down to plus 110. So aside.
• 16:50
  From the 5050 line move, we've seen a good split here on San
• 16:53
  Diego, only 51%, technically 51%.
• 16:57
  Of bets at DraftKings with 62% of dollars and then if you look
• 17:01
  over at Circa. 69% of bets 90. 6% of dollars coming in on the
• 17:07
  Padres, so good low bets. Higher dollar split at both
• 17:10
  DraftKings and Circa. System match here Monday.
• 17:13
  Dogs off a win with a line move in their favor.
• 17:16
  Very simple, but it's. 22 and 15 this season, 60% Twenty 8%.
• 17:21
  ROI if you're 60% on a dog. And a money line sport, you
• 17:24
  know. That's really good because
• 17:25
  you're getting plus money. San Diego does have.
• 17:28
  Value as a divisional dog, so built in familiarity, leveling
• 17:31
  the playing field, benefiting the team, getting plus money the
• 17:34
  pods. Are 40 and 2760.
• 17:37
  Percent, 5% ROI against teams that are 500 or below.
• 17:41
  And San Diego, by the way. Is the 7th most.
• 17:44
  Profitable dog in baseball. They're 27 and 26 as a dog. 51%
• 17:49
  but a. 14% ROI because of the plus money payouts.
• 17:53
  Pods are also. 4:00 and 2:00. Straight up against the Giants
• 17:55
  this year and get a load of this when the Red Sox traded Devers.
• 17:59
  I'm a Red Sox fan. I was like what a terrible
• 18:01
  salary dump I got cheap. Owners, they're still cheap.
• 18:03
  Owners John Henry. But you got to admit, since the
• 18:07
  Devers trade, Red Sox are, I think 12 games above 500.
• 18:11
  Saint Fran is 18 and 28. Since getting Devers and they're
• 18:15
  only. 7 and 14. Since the All Star break, so we
• 18:18
  have a. 5050 split. But low bets higher dollars
• 18:22
  toward San Diego the lines. Dropping toward San Diego.
• 18:25
  We got divisional dog. They've been profitable as a
• 18:27
  dog. I'm going to take a shot on the
• 18:29
  Padres here tonight, guys. I got them at +1. 15 at ESPN
• 18:33
  Bet. Some shops as low as plus 110
• 18:35
  plus one O 5 and I will just put this little cherry on top.
• 18:39
  I popped open the. Juice real app and noticed A10.
• 18:42
  Percent sharp mush edge on San Diego, so it's good to see that
• 18:45
  the wise guys who have downloaded juice real and sync
• 18:48
  their books they're also. Leaning Padres here.
• 18:51
  So Padres. Tigers.
• 18:53
  Yankees. We find a way to get two out of
• 18:55
  three. If we could get San Diego and
• 18:57
  then one of the others, that'll be nice.
• 18:58
  A little bit of plus money. I'll be either way guys.
• 19:00
  That's a three pack. I'll be sweating for tonight, so
• 19:04
  that about does. It for episode. 333 of the all
• 19:06
  systems. Go Sports betting podcast
• 19:08
  powered by Rhythm. This is the part of the pod
• 19:10
  where we wrap things up, and I always start first by saying
• 19:13
  thank you. Thank you for taking the time
• 19:15
  out of your day out of your. Busy lives.
• 19:17
  To pull up a chair to the virtual bar and sweat some sharp
• 19:20
  data-driven breakdowns with me really means a lot that you guys
• 19:23
  take the time out of your day. And if you're busy?
• 19:25
  You know, dog days of summer, you get a lot going on.
• 19:28
  You know, my nieces are getting ready for school.
• 19:30
  I know that this is kind of the the tail end of the summer here.
• 19:33
  I still have my. Week on Cape Cod, which we do
• 19:36
  with my family every year so I'm excited about that to be on the
• 19:40
  beach house in Chatham, which will be the last last week in
• 19:43
  August but seriously I know football's back which is great
• 19:46
  but you guys been grinding all summer baseball with me so thank
• 19:48
  you thank you I really appreciate that now if you do
• 19:51
  enjoy the pod you. Want to help?
• 19:52
  Me grow the pod. Would you please give?
• 19:54
  It a five star review on Spotify or iTunes if you want to leave a
• 19:57
  nice comment or click the follow button or recommend the pod to a
• 20:00
  friend. I'd also very much appreciate
• 20:03
  that. Next, if you enjoy the style of
• 20:05
  betting breakdown. Data-driven.
• 20:07
  Sharp contrarian. Betting, focusing on line
• 20:09
  movement, tracking the market, looking at splits and system
• 20:12
  matches, taking a contrarian approach, looking for fishy
• 20:15
  lines, dog to fave line was all that kind of.
• 20:18
  Stuff fading trendy dogs. If this style of betting has.
• 20:21
  Appealed to you. It's kind of giving you a
• 20:22
  blueprint. You maybe you love betting and
• 20:25
  you just kind of had pick and. Choose through throwing darts.
• 20:27
  Never really had a philosophy? Well, now you have one.
• 20:30
  Track the market. The market's going to tell you
• 20:32
  quite a bit about where the smart money is going.
• 20:35
  Or maybe you're. Brand new to betting and this
• 20:38
  maybe this is the first. That kind of way.
• 20:40
  You've learned to approach. Betting.
• 20:41
  Well, either way guys, if you want to learn more about
• 20:43
  data-driven betting or you may have someone in your life who
• 20:46
  could use some data-driven tips or you want to.
• 20:49
  Support the team. That's OK too.
• 20:50
  I'll love for you to go to Amazon.com.
• 20:53
  And type in the everything. Guide to Sports Betting.
• 20:55
  It's the first book I ever wrote.
• 20:57
  It's got everything I've learned in the industry.
• 20:58
  How lines are set, how and why they move.
• 21:00
  How to read line movement, how to locate sharp action, how to
• 21:03
  place a bet in person or online, how to shop for the best line,
• 21:05
  how to set up a bankroll management plan.
• 21:07
  Chapters on all the major sports.
• 21:09
  It's all included. In the.
• 21:10
  Everything guide to sports betting now the everything guide
• 21:13
  it's been. Out since 2019.
• 21:15
  But tomorrow? The NFL sharp.
• 21:17
  Betting playbook comes out. I can't believe it, guys.
• 21:20
  I'm pretty I'm pretty pumped. It's one of those days where you
• 21:23
  kind of finally sit back and say, man, it's finally here.
• 21:26
  I'll be the way guys, I mentioned at the outset because
• 21:28
  I'm just so excited about it. But if you do want to pre-order
• 21:31
  a copy. Of the NFL.
• 21:32
  Sharp Betting Playbook on Amazon or pick it up at your Barnes and
• 21:36
  Noble. I would very much appreciate
• 21:37
  that as well. And again, you'll get a leg up
• 21:40
  and a great summer reading before I get ready for NFL Week
• 21:43
  1. Grab the everything guide, pick
• 21:45
  up the NFL Sharp Betting Playbook, bring them to the
• 21:47
  sports book. I'll sign them for you and I'll
• 21:48
  buy you a beer or ginger ale. We'll sweat some games together
• 21:52
  next. Have you downloaded Rhythm and
• 21:54
  Juice Real yet? My two favorite sports betting
• 21:56
  apps. Rhythm.
• 21:57
  Fantastic job powering this pod. I have a big announcement.
• 22:00
  Rhythm. We got something really awesome
• 22:02
  lined up here. I should be able to tell you
• 22:04
  hopefully this week or next week.
• 22:06
  But anyway. Rhythm is great for their AI
• 22:07
  backed models and predictions for game bets and player props.
• 22:10
  Got MLB and WNBA. Right now, but pretty soon
• 22:13
  you're going to get the college football and NFL props and
• 22:16
  models lit up here and then of course, juice reel, another
• 22:19
  great sports betting app to download.
• 22:21
  I'm going to pass out the tip jar.
• 22:23
  If you want to tip your podcast host, this pod is free.
• 22:26
  It cost you nothing. But if you want to tip the host
• 22:28
  here because you tip your good bartender when they treat your
• 22:30
  right or your server, but you can tip your podcast host by
• 22:35
  signing up for the all systems go best bet picks.
• 22:37
  Exclusively on the Juice. Reel App.
• 22:39
  It costs $4.99. Cents a week, that is a. $5.00
• 22:43
  Bill that you can toss in the tip jar.
• 22:45
  And you'll get the. Official ASG best bets as soon
• 22:48
  as I bet them, so as soon as I place them in my online betting
• 22:52
  app, they're going to go right to juice reel.
• 22:53
  You can tail fade do what you like, but people are like hey,
• 22:56
  how do I support the pot? Well, hey, you can do it by
• 22:59
  buying one of my books is great too, but getting the all systems
• 23:01
  go best bet picks from juice reel also a great way to do it.
• 23:06
  You're also going to get the Robo Jackson AI driven pair of
• 23:09
  best bets each. Day from Juice Reel.
• 23:11
  Sharp mush indicators, Arbitrage plays.
• 23:13
  Shop for the best sign futures, sync up your books to the app.
• 23:17
  All available when you download Juice Reel.
• 23:18
  So download Rhythm and download Juice Reel.
• 23:21
  It'll be off and running, making sharp data-driven bets.
• 23:24
  Next, do you have? A live odds page.
• 23:26
  You need a live odds page. I can't stress it enough.
• 23:29
  If you want. To bet on sports, you got to
• 23:32
  know what games are being played today, what are the start times.
• 23:35
  I need live scoring. On the game gets going I need
• 23:37
  live in game wagering. Odds so I can track them the
• 23:40
  match up at hand and maybe get down if I see an in game
• 23:42
  opportunity. But also you got to know what is
• 23:45
  the line open at your opening column that's static and never
• 23:47
  changes. Then all the current numbers to
• 23:49
  the right. Figure out which direction the
• 23:51
  line is moved. Pull up the line history,
• 23:53
  identify Steam. When the team's.
• 23:54
  Getting hit, the price gets lit up in red.
• 23:57
  So these are all great benefits. To the.
• 24:00
  Odds logic, live odds page. So there's a lot of live odds
• 24:03
  pages out there. Some are good.
• 24:05
  I must admit there's some good ones, but they're really
• 24:07
  expensive. 500 bucks a month, 800 bucks a month.
• 24:10
  I mean seriously, they're they're really pricey.
• 24:12
  There's also live odds pages that are free but they're
• 24:15
  delayed. You don't know where the date is
• 24:17
  coming from. You don't know what books are
• 24:18
  taking it from. They don't have any good books
• 24:20
  and it's unreliable. So you know what you should do,
• 24:23
  especially with football season about to basically it's here now
• 24:25
  but almost in full swing. You should give odds logic a
• 24:28
  shot with a 7 day free trial. See if you like it.
• 24:31
  If you like it, you're. Going to get 50% off the.
• 24:32
  First month. Which is only 50 bucks and then.
• 24:34
  If you like it after that you can keep it around for 99 bucks
• 24:37
  a month. It's a great value and again,
• 24:40
  you're betting on sports daily. I I guarantee.
• 24:42
  You, this will be a page you bookmark and you know, if you're
• 24:44
  on your iPad, laptop, whatever, there's going to be the the page
• 24:48
  you're going to go to all the time.
• 24:49
  So you got to use this special. Link for the 50.
• 24:52
  Percent off and free trial go to oddslogic.com/josh 123.
• 24:58
  Make sure you do odds logic.com/josh 123.
• 25:02
  So that about does it everybody. Episode 333 in.
• 25:05
  The. Books Tomorrow the book
• 25:06
  launches. Cannot believe it.
• 25:08
  But as always, I'm leaving you with two final thoughts.
• 25:10
  One. Whether I see you at the.
• 25:11
  Borgata in Atlantic. City Twin.
• 25:13
  River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire,
• 25:15
  Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut where I was just at,
• 25:18
  of course, the Nash in Nashville, New Hampshire or the
• 25:21
  Encore Bet MGM in my neck of the woods or Plain Rich Park.
• 25:25
  Casino or of course. Out in the desert where the true
• 25:27
  grinders get down, where Billy Walter sends his number runners,
• 25:30
  where the lowest use possible is found at the South Point or
• 25:33
  Sweat and Sharp and Train plays, jumping in the stadium swimming
• 25:36
  pool. When you cash a big ticket at
• 25:37
  Circa, you're going to walk up to me.
• 25:40
  And you're just going to have in your hands the NFL.
• 25:41
  Sharp betting playbook and guess what I'm going to automatically
• 25:44
  buy you a drink and then first one will be on me next one's on
• 25:47
  you and we'll go back and forth we'll have some fun tonight.
• 25:50
  How about that? We'll tie one on because it's a
• 25:53
  pretty, pretty big night, Pretty big day tomorrow.
• 25:56
  But as always, guys coming off a three and O.
• 25:58
  Day or an. O in three day, A1 in. 2 day A2.
• 26:00
  In one day, whether we're hot, whether we're cold, whether
• 26:03
  we're grinding, whether we feel like we can't miss, whether we
• 26:06
  feel like we're cursed and can't get a winner, no matter how how
• 26:09
  hard we try sports betting, there's ups and downs.
• 26:11
  You're going to get little blips of hot and cold.
• 26:13
  We just got to stick to the model, stick to the blueprint
• 26:16
  and keep grinding. And if we can do that, make
• 26:18
  data-driven plays with our head and not our heart.
• 26:20
  Against the public. With the house with the pros,
• 26:23
  flat bat no. Parlays and get CLV.
• 26:25
  We can do that. We're going to be successful
• 26:27
  sports bettors. So have a great Monday night,
• 26:30
  everybody. I'll be right back at it.
• 26:32
  For episode 334 of The All. Systems go sports betting
• 26:35
  podcast for tomorrow and by the way.
• 26:38
  What are you? What are you waiting for?
• 26:39
  Go to Amazon.com and pre-order the NFL Sharp betting playbook.
• 26:43
  Make me happy. Make yourself happy.
• 26:46
  But seriously guys, thank you. Thank you for anyone who has
• 26:48
  already pre-ordered the book tomorrow, starting tomorrow.
• 26:52
  You can get it anywhere. But have a great night everybody
• 26:54
  Good luck. Let's get some winners on the
• 26:55
  diamond and I'll see you soon. Take care.