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NCAAB + NHL + NBA + NCAAF Playoffs Best Bets New Year's Thursday 1/1/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We're on Own
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: even know what to tell you about that. I just
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: don't want to do this anymore. I've never seen anything
• 0:21
  Speaker 1: like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two straight losses,
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: not a good day at all. Oh in four that
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: have not had a good season. Man with bookends the
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: slump that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've reached
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: into peak. Actually, I'm gonna burn my Broins hat. Man,
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: I don't know what is going on with the Bruins.
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: March Hape, is that what it is? I don't even
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: know it's it's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man,
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: I don't know what day it is anymore. But I
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: don't even know what day it is anymore. Man, back
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: with you after the worst day that I could possibly have,
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: Back with you as I always am until I die,
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday it did
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: not go well for me. Own five, the worst month
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: that I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this,
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: To the slumpers, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
• 1:25
  Speaker 2: other than potentially end it all.
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: What's up, everybody, It's towed back with you, toad school sports.
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: It is Thursday, January first. Happy New Year's everybody. We
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: wound up with a good twenty twenty five overall, even
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: though of course I had to stop actually funding my
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: betting habit myself. But I've been giving you guys winners,
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: so you guys are benefiting from it, I hope, as
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: yesterday was another winning day two and zero going into
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: like September. I think I was down on the year
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: if you track, if you track everything, as if I
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: were betting all these things, I was down. I mean
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: I was up until I got fired. I was down
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: on the year up until. Yeah, I think I was
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: down probably, Uh, I don't know, like the equivalent like
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: if my typical like betting amount was like three to
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: win three hundred on every game, and I think I
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: was down, I mean I'd gotten back up a little
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: bit through the baseball season, so I think I was
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: probably minus two grand or something and wound up finishing
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: the year uh around plus eighteen grand something like that,
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: so it would have been like my third best year
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: or second best year actually maybe Ever, despite being down
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: with a few months ago, that's how hot I have
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: been over the last few months. So I'm glad about that. Jeffrey,
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: what's up. Thanks for hanging out, Kyle h. Thank you everybody. Yeah,
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: I appreciate it. Happy New Year. Yesterday we got the
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: win on Gardner Webb. Gardner Webb was winning that game
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: by twelve at halftime, so it's like, this is gonna
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: be easy. Are that spread, by the way increase further
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: if you could have gotten into I think eleven maybe
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: eleven and a half when I did the show, and
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: then it was twelve and a half I think was
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: the best number I saw on that. Luckily for us,
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: that covered every number, but it should have been way
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: easier because they were winning by twelve at half time,
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: and then I looked and all of a sudden they
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: were down twelve points. I think near the end of
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: the game, I'm like, oh, come on, man, it's so ridiculous,
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: like they had the worst second half you could possibly have.
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: I know they're a bad team, but they were so
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: good in the first half you can't blow that. And
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: then they still wound up only losing the game by eight,
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: I believe, or nine nine, I think so. I think
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: they covered every number or was it ten It might
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: have been, but they still covered the ten and a
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: half man even if you got that worst number there.
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: So we got that and then there was no sweat
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: with the Bulls play the Bulls. I'm pretty sure they
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: just wire to wire win for the Bulls. I didn't
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: really pay attention to it, but very easy twelve and
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: a half. Nice. Yeah, the cheese it. They didn't sacrifice
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: an anthropomorphic cheese it though like the pop Tar Bowl.
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: Maybe they should because they can't compete with the pop
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: Tar Bowl right now. Cheese it, they do have a
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: They had like a big cheese it, Jester, I think
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: is what it was. I think, Jeffrey, you tagged me
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: in that yesterday. I forgot. They had Prince what is
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: his name again, Prince Chedward. Yeah, they have Prince Chedward
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: come out and then he takes his throne and they
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: have a cheese it, Jester, It's pretty ridiculous, but it
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: still doesn't reach anywhere near the level of the Pop
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: Tar Bowl. And we still do We still have the
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: Duke's Mayo Bowl to look forward to. Still we still
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: have not watched a coach get doused in mayo yet.
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: So hey, we still have that. Uh what do we?
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: What do we that humiliation ritual to go there? So
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: we still have that, Tyson, what's up man? Thanks for
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: hanging out today. I'm gonna have four players today. One
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: is in the playoffs college football playoffs, which I have
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: to do it. Uh, playoffs. Don't talk about playoffs, you
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: kidding me? Playoffs? I just hope we can win a
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: game another game, and then I'm gonna have three college
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: basketball players today. Actually, and I'm skipping NHL and NBA today.
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: Don't like the cards? Oh yeah, that's right. I almost
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: said Mayor mccheese. That's McDonald's. Prince Chedward came out on
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: a cheese dragon. It's which is pretty wild. Yeah, I
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: don't dude. The sacrificing the pop tarts and and eating
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: them is so much more demonic though. And in the
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: Pop Dart Bowl, as you saw, they now have six
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: pop tarts. They have two teams of pop tarts, the
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: Sprinkles and the Swirls BYU picked the Sprinkles, so they
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: were gonna eat all three of them. But then the
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: slam and Strawberry jumped behind the toaster and I guess
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: ran off and survived. And it's a whole marketing campaign
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: because if you saw slam and Strawberry was like jacked.
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: Because what they're doing is they're advertising these new protein
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: pop tarts, so that's why they're doing that. And then
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: they did sacrifice frosted cherry, which, by the way, good
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: pop dart variety, it's a classic, and they sacrificed cookies
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: and cream. So those are the two pop tarts that
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: no longer exist in the pop dart bowl lore, joining
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: cinnamon Roll from last year and Frosted Strawberry from the
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: year before that. Yeah, I have my pop dart bowl lore,
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: know it all, man. And they resurrected frosted Strawberry last
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: year as a one eyed zombie pop tart. What parade
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: is that? The Mummers Parade? It's a New Year's Day parade,
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: right whatever, I don't even know. Everything's cold and windy,
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: it's snowing up here again. We got snow on Christmas
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: and on New Year's here. All right. I want to
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: get into the games here though, because I hope this
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: doesn't take that long, but I always say that it
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: probably will. College basketball, I mean, there's a decent amount
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: of games today, but I don't know how many of
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: these I really want to talk about, Like, I'm probably
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: just gonna limit it to the ones that I found
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: more interesting. But conference play is underway, man, Horizon play
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: is continuing, soa Con is continuing. The Sun Belt is
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: beginning today, I believe, and so is the a Sun
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: or maybe the Sun Belt already started. I don't know,
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: but all these conferences are in play today. A Missouri
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: Valley is continuing, the Whack might be starting conference play,
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: and Big Sky I believe, is starting as well. OVC
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: is continuing. And then we got a bunch of Big
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: West as well. All these conferences in action today. A
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: lot of stuff going on here. There's some afternoon action
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: Oakland and Youngstown State. It's an interesting game in the Horizon.
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: Both these teams are fairly decent in the conference. Oakland,
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: we just faded them in the last game. They took
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: that loss to Right State. They were coming off that
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: big game against Michigan State, although I think they went
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: into the break on that note, but I still decided
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: to fade them. We got the win with Right State,
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: now they got Youngstown. Do they overlook Youngstown though, because
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: young Sound's been kind of mediocre this year and Robert
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: Morris is up next to Robert Morris were the winners
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: of this conference last year, I don't know. I kind
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: of doubt it. I think Oakland isn't gonna really overlook
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: anybody after that loss. Youngstown They're gonna show up as well, though.
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: They just lost to Detroit Mercy, which is not the
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: greatest loss, although Detroit Mercy is playing dly in the
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: conference right now and they're probably improved from how horrible
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: they were the last couple of years if I recall.
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: So what do we do with all that? I mean,
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: I kind of just default to the market when I
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: don't really have any better opinion on the game, and
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: the market is telling you Youngstown State is the side.
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: If you want to take the market for what it's worth,
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: Youngstown up from one to two and a half here,
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: so you're losing a little bit of value if you
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: do want to play them, eighty six percent of the
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: cash on them, fifty percent of the tickets evenly split.
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: Oakland is very battle tested, though I don't know. I mean,
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: I'm passing on that game. The money is saying Youngstown.
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: If you want to do anything with that information, it's
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: up to you. Obviously we got I don't know some
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: of these other games, man, I'm just like, I don't
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: even care. Again, if you want me to talk about
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: some of these others, I guess I will. Some of
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: these Missouri Valley games get a little bit interesting. So
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: these are games that caught my eyes, like, maybe I
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: want to look at playing this game. Valpo is playing
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: Southern Illinois. Valpo is coming off a couple of pretty
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: tough games. Man. They played Murray State and then you
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: do have to look at the schedule to see when
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: these teams had these breaks, right, So they had the
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: break after Murray State. They came out of the break,
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: they faced Northern Iowa, and Northern io was a good
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: team and they really really slow the game down and
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: play ridiculously ugly. Valpo was kind of in that game.
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: It looks ugly. They lost fifty eight to forty eight.
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: But they put in a big effort, man against a
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: good Northern Iowa team. So I would kind of be
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: looking to fade Valpo off of a game like that,
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: But I don't know that the I don't know if
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: they're necessarily gonna overlook Southern Illinois, though Southern Illinois is
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: not playing that well right now either. But if you
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: look at what Southern Illinois did, they had a huge
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: game going into the break, two actually three. Really They
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: went to overtime against Richmond, which is a non conference game.
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: Then they started conference play. They played Illinois State, who
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: was actually one of the best teams of the conference
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: right now, to within seven. Then they played Bradley to
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: within four. Bradley is one of the best teams in
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: the conference as well. That was on the road. Then
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: they went on the road to Murray State coming out
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: of the break and they only lost by three. Murray
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: State actually pretty good this year as well, John Morant's
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: Alma modo there. Playing them to within three on the
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: road is no small feat man. So I think Southern
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: Illinois is actually in a sandwich spot here because they
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: were an underdog in that game they played well, they're
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: probably an underdog. I would guess of I don't know,
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: maybe several points. I would have to actually go look
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: find the betting history there. And up next they got
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: Belmont Man and Belmont maybe the very best team in
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: this conference right now. So I actually think the spot
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: is worse for Southern Illinois here. So I would be
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: looking to take the points of Valpo in this one
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: if I was gonna play it. But I think Valpo's
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: they're coming off a big game themselves, man, So I worry.
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: And the money is saying Southern Illinois with sixty seven
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets on Valpo eighty six percent of
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: the cash on SIU. Is that is that what they
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: refer to themselves as SIU. I think southing in ILLINOI
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: down from eight and a half to eight here on
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: the line, it is a pretty low total in the
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: one forties, which makes taking the points a little bit better.
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: So I don't know, but the market read is kind
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: of disagreeing with me on that. But the spot really
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: looks bad for Southern Illinois to me in that one.
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: I guess if you want to take that information for
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: what it's worth, which is probably not much because it's
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: not one of my strong opinions. But Southern Illinois is
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: also literally the bottom of ken Bum's luck Index, so
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: that kind of indicates that you don't necessarily want to
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: fade them because ken Bom is saying that they've actually
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: way underperformed. He has them facing the sixty ninth strongest schedule,
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: so they face a strong schedule. They're in the top
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: one hundred in his defensive efficiency rankings. He actually has
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: them above Bradley, believe it or not, in his overall rankings,
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: which is crazy. The Mountain West very very competitive this year.
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: It looks like, so you know, I'm not really looking
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: to fade them right now, and he's got Valpo. Valpo
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: is also a better defensive team. They play slow, and
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: I believe Southern Illinois wants to speed it up. So
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: all of that for what it's worth, hold on, let
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: me looking. Yeah, Southern Illinois plays a faster tempo, so
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: they're kind of this weird combo, one of those teams
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: that plays fast but they don't actually score as well
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: as they defend. A lot of stuff going on in
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: that game, and like, if Southern Illinois is able to
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: push the tempo in that game, that will throw Valpo
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: out of their element because Valpo wants to play slow,
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: So that is one. There are a few indicators that
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: maybe you shouldn't fade Southern Illinois here. Let's just say that.
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: So it's a tough one, Alexander, what's up man? Thanks
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: for hanging out. Northern Alabama? Where are they at? Northern Alabama? Oh?
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: North Alabama is playing? Yeah, Stetson. I mean North Alabama
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: is obviously the way better team here. Stetson. They're awful
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: stats and just got smoked by Oklahoma, although that was
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: probably expected, although Oklahoma's not great. But I don't even
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: know was that game after the break or before the break?
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: That was before the break. So they have been off
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: since the holidays. Now they're starting conference playing, they should
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: show up for the game. But North Alabama, if they
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: are not in a bad spot, then they're probably gonna
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: show up as well for their conference opener. Ye, North
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: Alabama's been ofuftince the nineteenth But you get into the
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: rest versus rust argument, and I'm gonna be playing against
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: the team that I think is gonna be on the
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: rust side of things. That one of my plays today
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: is going to be against probably the team that's been
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: off for the longest out of all of these teams,
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: it's not North Alabama, but North Alabama's been aufince December nineteenth.
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: They lost pretty badly on the road to a pretty
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: strong Loyal and Merrymount team, But because they've been off
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: since then, and they went into the break losing two
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: games in a row, including losing the alib Obama A
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: and M, which is pretty inexcusable. Though we did have
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: a winner of Alabama A and M on my show here.
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: I gave out a winner on them in some game.
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: I forget which game it was. I think it was
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: more recent than that. It wasn't that one. Unfortunately, I
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: wasn't that good, I don't think, although North Alabama actually
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: had beaten San Francisco the game before that, Actually, no,
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: you know what was it. I think it was this game.
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: I think I did give out a winner on this game.
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: Because North Alabama had beaten San Francisco on the road,
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: they had a bunch of days off which broke their momentum,
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: I think, and they had to go back out to
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: California to play Loyal and Merrymount after that. I don't know,
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: but whatever, they had a weird schedule there where they
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: had to go out to California twice. Very very strange
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: having a little brother in between the two in Alabama.
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: Now they've had a bunch of days off. I think
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: having these days off should help them like break that momentum.
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: Now the offenses can come out a little bit slow here.
• 15:59
  Speaker 1: But I just don't see this being a really bad
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: spot for either team really, So in that case, I
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: kind of look towards the better team, unless you think
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: that they're being overvalued, which maybe they are in the market,
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: but this isn't really a game where the public's going
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: to be getting involved. I would probably lay it with
• 16:15
  Speaker 1: North Alabama, but I don't have a strong opinion whatsoever
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: on that game. You lost with the Stars and Ducks,
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: and one with the Pacers and Devils lost with the
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: Suns as well. This is this is why I why
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: I practice selectivity. Let's say, Stars, I'm shocked that they
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: got absolutely annihilated like that, although I worried a little
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: bit that they might actually be looking ahead to getting
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: revenge against Chicago today. Also, the Stars played just Smith
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: in net last night, by the way, so they used
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: their second string goalie last night, so that probably hurt
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: them a little bit as well, Thank you, sir. Yeah,
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: I don't know if you have an opinion on that game.
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: On that game or not, people might see something I don't,
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: So I don't know that game though. I mean the
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: way that I look at it, I just don't see
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: a whole lot there. But you know, you could do
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: with that information what you want. Evansville at Illinois State.
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: As I pointed out Illinois State, they're actually one of
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: the best teams in the Mountain West. Kenbam has a
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: lot of these teams like in the top one hundred
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: or close to the top one hundred Missouri Valley. It's
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: gonna be crazy, man, it's gonna be competitive. I don't
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: know which team I expect to come out of the
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: Missouri Valley right now. Illinois State is definitely in the mix.
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: I think Ken Bomb has them in his top one hundred.
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: Evansville is bad. They're not one of the better teams
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: in this conference. But Evansville just played pretty competitively against
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: three straight conference opponents, so I believe they're Yeah, they're
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: own three in the conference, but they played Belmont and
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: Drake before the break. Drake is, of course, not exactly
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: as good as they were the last couple of years,
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: but they got their program built up and then they
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: had the Ben McCay Hollm thing in there for one year.
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: Continue to be really good, and Drake doesn't look like
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: they've dropped off that much, even though they've dropped off
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: a little bit. That was a good performance from Evansville
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: against both of those teams. Man, Well, actually I forgot
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: about Belmont Belmont. Actually, yeah, Belmont might be the best
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: team in this conference. And then Evansville came out of
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: the break and they actually played decently against Bradley too
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: on the road, only losing by eight. I always like
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: to look at the box score, like, look at the
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: game flow here, like was this game really that close? Yeah?
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: It was. Evansville was within a couple of scores like
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: almost all the way in this game. So yeah, they
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: they put in a full effort in that game. Man. Ideally, yes,
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: they're gonna try to step it up for Illinois State here,
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: who is one of the top teams in the conference.
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: But second straight road game in a few days after
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: that huge performance, Evansville might just run out of gas here. Man,
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: for Illinois State, they did just beat Drake on the road,
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: so they are coming out of a decent win there
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: on the road. I assume that Illinois State was probably
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: favored in this game. I would imagine, yeah, they're a
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: small favorite in this game. It looks like, at least
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: according to ken Pom's projections, but they don't really have
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: anything upcoming. I mean, Drake isn't what they were the
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: last couple of years, So I think I would have
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: to lay it with Illinois State in this one. But
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: I thought about it, it didn't make my card, and
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: the money is disagreeing with me on that and coming
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: in on the Evansville side. Again, it could be numbers guys, right,
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: because a lot of times you'll see numbers guys. They
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: will just play the number like I think this number
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: is too high in Illinois State, and they won't really
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: look at the situation. And I try to look at both.
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: But I weigh the situation more heavily. So I'm guessing
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: that where the money is disagreeing with me like this,
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: I think it's probably numbers guys saying that Illinois State
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: was probably favored by more than what they should be
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: because sometimes the books do have to jack up the
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: number on these favorites. Illinois State down from fifteen to
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: thirteen and a half. Here seventy five percent of the
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: tickets ninety nine percent of the cash on Evansville though,
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: so Evansville looks like they're getting the money and the
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: total is low at one hundred and forty four and
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: a half, So if you want to do with that
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: information what you want, as I always say, Illinois State,
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: they play somewhat slow, and they's somewhat high in Kempbom's
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: Luck Index. They're a balanced team though, and Kembom has
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: some seventy ninth overall. He has them in the top
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: ninety in both offense and defense, so they're definitely a
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: decent team, and he does have Belmont a little bit
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: better than that and also balance. Now, Illinois State is
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: going to try to slow that game down though, which
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: also means you might not want to lay the points
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: with a slow down team like that. They might frustrate
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: Evansville though, because Evansville wants to play a little bit
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: faster than they do. They're like a mid tempo team.
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: Evansville very bad offensively, though Evansville has faced a fairly
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: difficult schedule, though at seventy first in Kembom's rankings, and
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: he has them low in the luck Index, which actually
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: means they've underperformed a little bit at three twenty six.
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: So a bunch of information there for you're going you're
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: going with Alabama or you're traveling to Alabama. We're sixty
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: six doesn't go through Alabama, right, it goes north of it. Yeah,
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure it goes north of it. It's further
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: south once you get further west. I'm just saying it
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: because you got sixty six is your avatar? Yeah, I
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: told you. Georgia Tech was the side that I leaned
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: to in that game against Duke Man based on the
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: situation you guys were saying Duke was gonna smoke them.
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: I didn't think so. I didn't think it would be
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: that close, but I was expecting Duke to win by
• 21:32
  Speaker 1: like fifteen to twenty maybe in that game. Yeah, Georgia
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: Tech might be a fade after that game because they
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: pretty much played their guts out in that game. You know,
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: I talk about when teams do that, they tend to
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: fall flat in the next game. So something to look
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: out for Georgia Tech whenever they play next, which is
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: probably soon. Cal Baptist is at ut Arlington in Whack
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: play here. It is whack some of these Actually, all
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: these teams already played one game in the conference. Cal
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: Baptists I would fade them in this game because they
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: played the new top team in the Whack, which is
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: Utah Valley, who is probably pretty happy that Grand Canyon
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: and Seattle both left the conference to go into bigger conferences.
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: Grand Canyon went to the Mountain West because they were
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: Grand Canyon was kind of dominating the WHACK over the
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: last couple of years. And who was the other, Oh yeah,
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: Seattle went to the West Coast Conference. So Utah Valley
• 22:29
  Speaker 1: now is pretty much the top team here. Kind of
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: interesting that that happened right after Utah Valley was the
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: scene of the Charlie Kirk assassination, which is pretty bizarre.
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: I don't know, I don't know what's going on there, man,
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: you know, me with all my conspiracy brain stuff going
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: on here, don't know if there's any correlation there at all,
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: But it is weird. But Utah Valley, the cal Baptists
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: played close against Utah Valley. Cal Baptist is one of
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: the better teams than this conference right now, as well,
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: this is a big game for them. Man, it was close.
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: Cal Baptists had the lead multiple times, and then they
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: had a stretch where they just didn't score. After they
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: were down two with five point fifty seven to go.
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: They didn't score for a stretch of like five minutes
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: or or not five minutes. Let me see what was that? Actually, yeah,
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: it was they didn't score for about five minutes, which
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: is brutal because they were right in that game and
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: brutal way to lose that game. Now they have to
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: come off of that and they got to go down
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: to play at UT Arlington. I think it's kind of
• 23:30
  Speaker 1: a bad spot for cal Baptists ut Arlington. I actually
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: think is it a positive spot. So I was close
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: to making this a play. UT Arlington lost at home
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: against Tarleton State. Charlton State's been decent in this conference recently,
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: but it seems like they always overperform, and I don't
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: know why that is. Like Charlton State, the analytics Ken
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: Bomb like always has them as being lucky and like
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: not as good as they actually are. Like I was
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: fading them two years ago and it was somewhat to
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: my detriment. I just couldn't get Tarleton State right that
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: year until they lost in the conference tournament, of course,
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: but UT Arlington just lost to them as a favorite,
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: which it seems like Tarlod the State just keeps doing this.
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: But off of that game, I think UT Arlington is
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: going to show up here. They're staying at home. They
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: just lost as a favorite. The only way that I
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: could play this game is to grab the points, with
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: UT Arlington cal Baptists taking some of the money. They're
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: up to two and a half here, seventy five percent
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: of the tickets and eighty three percent of the cash
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: on them. It's a low total at one hundred and
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: thirty five, so taking the points kind of makes more
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: sense in a game like this unless there's a huge
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: like tempo correlation against it, which there is not because
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: UT Arlington plays very slow. But ken Bump does have
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: them pretty high in as luck index, so I kind
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: of worry about that. But U T Arlington they're also
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: a very imbalanced team, but they're actually in Kem Bump's
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: top one hundred defensively, so they can't score, but they
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: play solid defense. That's what you get out of UT
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: Arlington cal Baptists. They also play slow, and they're even
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: higher in kem Bum's luck Index. And they've actually faced
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: a bit of a weaker schedule too, and they're a
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: little bit weaker on defense, but they are the better offense,
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: So you want to put that all in a blend
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: or whatever. I think this is actually the strongest one
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: that I've talked about so far. Like, if I was
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: gonna add a fourth play to my card, it would
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: be Arlington in this one plus the points. That's the
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: way that I would play that one. It's you know,
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: I mean, it's close to me, honest, it is close
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: to a play for me. You know, I just I
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: have to go on feel like where I like, like
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: where do I stop? Where? Where do I end my card?
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: You know what I mean. Georgia Tech got out remounted badly.
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: They made more field goals and threes. Well yeah, but
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: again the if Georgia Tech was like shooting hot or whatever,
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: and that had something to do with why they were
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: in that game. The refs counter again, and like, yeah,
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: if Duke is getting sent in the line all the time,
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: it almost like counters it though I'd have to look
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: at the box score, but yeah, I mean it was
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: the game it definitely was a it was a Georgia
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: Tech cover. Like I think, regardless of the way you
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: look at it, like Duke was favored by too many
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: points in that game in that spot and Georgia Tech
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: showed up. Even if they did get hot from shooting Duke. Again,
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: Duke gets all the calls, man, So that's another thing.
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: That's the rest are trying to swing it towards Duke.
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: I guess, to try to at least get them to
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: win the game. The books are probably gonna win money
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: on the side on that game if Georgia Tech just covers,
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: So probably not a not a lot of moneyline parlays
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: involving Duke yesterday, just because they were such a heavy
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: moneyline favorite. But who knows, So I don't know. But overall,
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: I think that free throat to Sparity might kind of
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: counter the shooting and it probably kind of boils down
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: to Georgia Tech was still the correct side statistically in
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: that game as well. Garrett, you were correct about Miami.
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: That was a good call by you. There was a
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: pick six that really threw that game in the other direction.
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: I kind of like it because Ohio State fans like
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: just thinking that they're better than the SEC or whatever
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: they're and they were using the Tennessee Bowl game to
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: shit on the SEC. I'm like, really, that's your ammo,
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: the Music City Bowl with Tennessee having like close to
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: a dozen opt outs in that game, and I gave
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: out that play on the show on Illinois for reason
• 27:30
  Speaker 1: one of the Dude, I think Illinois is terrible and
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: these Ohio State fans are talking about how good Illinois is.
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: I'm like, you have to be kidding me. Illinois is
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: not good. They just had a more full roster for
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: that game and they had more motivation in that game,
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: which was my handicap. In that game, Tennessee would be dude,
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: they would be a favorite of about six points against
• 27:49
  Speaker 1: Illinois and a neutral and they would probably win sixty
• 27:52
  Speaker 1: to seventy percent of the time when they play Illinois.
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: So these people are just stupid, Like that's not ammo. Like,
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: if you look at the power ratings, guys, they do
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: have the Big Ten better than the SEC right now,
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: not as a whole, but like the best teams in
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: the Big Ten are better than the best teams in
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: the SEC, so they do have that being the case,
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: like Ohio State. Even though they lost yesterday, they were
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: the number one team in the power rankings, the things
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: that the odds makers use. The odds makers would have
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: Ohio State favored over everybody, including Indiana. Ohio State, I
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: think would be about a two point favorite against them,
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: And now that matchup's not gonna happen, but that's about
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: what it would have been. I think they have Indiana
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: as the number two team, and then I believe Oregon
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: number three. Notre Dame is up there even though they
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: didn't even make the tar the playoff at all, which
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: I thought was bs and people are now, dude, this
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: is another thing. I think things might be rigged because
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: Miami beating Ohio State makes the committee look so good
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: for putting Miami in. But it's like, yeah, well, leaving
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: Notre Dame out is still ridiculous. Though Notre Dame is
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: still actually better than Miami. Notre Dame has the experience,
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: and you're gonna put James Madison in Tulane in this
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: thing instead of Notre Dame. I mean, it's just the
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: whole thing is ridiculous. And Notre Dame would be favored
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: over Miami fairly significantly as well, so I mean, it
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: is what it is. And then these the Ohio State
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: fans and whatever, they won't they can't even tell you
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: who the best team in the SEC is. Like they'll
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: tell you that it's Georgia, but I would probably tell
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: you that it's actually Alabama. I think it's close between
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: Alabama and Georgia, and I think they're the next teams
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: behind those four that I just mentioned. The next ones
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: I think are probably Alabama and Georgia in whichever order.
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: Like I think it probably varies between like the I
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: mean power ratings, guys will have different orders between these teams.
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: But that's kind of the way that I order them
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: as far as how good these teams actually are. And
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: I do have Tennessee as the top twenty five team,
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: very good offense and terrible defense. And I do not
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: have Illinois in the top twenty five. So I guess
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: you know, I'm just ranting, but you know you like
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: the points with Alabama. I do not disagree with that.
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: It's not my play though, Garrett, Hell yeah, what's up man?
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: Iowa plus the points? Yes, that was a good one.
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: I kind of wish I gave that out as a
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: play out of the whole slate yesterday. That was probably
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: the closest for me to being a play. I just
• 30:24
  Speaker 1: didn't know what Vandy's motivation was actually gonna look like
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: in that game. I had a hard time gauging it
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: because they still did have like a really good season,
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: like I think they still they what's the world? They
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: exceeded expectations still, Vandy did, so both of those teams did.
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: But better defense wins out, especially in these bowl games. Man.
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: When these finesse offenses like Vandy, like I said yesterday,
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: they come in cold, man. So I told you, like
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: Iowa early in that game, those would have won as well.
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: The first quarter, first half, Iowa was winning the game
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: out right after both. So again, these teams that run
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: the football and play defense, they are able to start
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: right out of the gate in these bowl games because
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: the long layoff doesn't have much of an impact on that.
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: And I did say the same thing about Utah, Jeffrey,
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: I think did bet Utah history. Utah did cover, but
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: they actually their defense actually started kind of poor, which
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: was interesting. They're actually losing the game fourteen to seven
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: really early on, although I wasn't that concerned about it
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: at that point. I was like, Yeah, they're still gonna
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: win this game. At that point, I was a little
• 31:32
  Speaker 1: bit concerned that maybe they wouldn't cover it because I
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: did pick them against the spread in my Bowl pick them,
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: but which is not for really any money, because bullpick
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: them is just craziness. Man, Georgia Tech is at home
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: against BC. Could be a situation to play BC as
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: an underdog. Man, I bet BC will not be a
• 31:54
  Speaker 1: huge underdog in that game because Georgia Tech is really
• 31:57
  Speaker 1: not good either. Utah. Utah is good, man. I thought
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: they would win the Big Twelve this year. They lost
• 32:06
  Speaker 1: their coach now though winning him he left prior to
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: the Bowl game. He's going to Michigan, So Michigan is
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: gonna be really good under him. Man, He's been at
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: Utah for forever and he just gets overlooked. Utah has
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: been awesome. It's just I don't know, they just haven't
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: won the Big twelve. I don't think they've won the
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: Big Maybe they did win the well, they were in
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: the Pac twelve for a while, then they moved to
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: the Big twelve. But Utah always gave all those teams
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: a problem because Utah was like the only physical team
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: and you know me, I'm old school. I love teams
• 32:35
  Speaker 1: that play physical defense and smash mouth rushing attacks or whatever.
• 32:41
  Speaker 1: Like John Gruden. I like seeing big bodies bang. Dude,
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: that's a clip that I need to get. I gotta
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: add that to my arsenal here for drops. Yeah, but
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: that was also Utah against Dude, Nebraska. They I'm sorry, Nate,
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: but Nebraska is very, very bad at defending the run
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: in Nebraska. It was also without Ryola in that game
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: as well, So yeah, Nebraska was just completely outmatched in
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: that game. But yes, John Gruden, dude, John Gruden was
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: one of the best Monday Night analysts. I love him
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: as a coach. I love his QB class QB camp
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: where he basically like hits on all the players and whatever.
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: But he would say such like sexual things when he
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: was on Monday Night Football Team. It was just so hilarious.
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: And up here in Boston we have well we used
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: to have Toucher and Rich, but they had a falling out.
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: They originally were on one of the Boston rock stations,
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: but they talked about sports enough that they moved over
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: to being the morning show on the one of the
• 33:41
  Speaker 1: sports the sports radio stations up here ninety eight five
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: the Sports Hub in Boston, which is the biggest sports
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: radio station. Tucher and Rich they were the biggest, probably
• 33:52
  Speaker 1: the biggest on morning show. Actually, they had this dynamic
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: where it was like Toucher was this just drunk idiot
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: that was like the comedic aspect of it, and Rich
• 34:03
  Speaker 1: was like really good at producing and was like the
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: straight man. But and the dynamic was awesome. But they
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: had like a falling out, which is very unfortunate. And Rich,
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: I think he's doing his own show and now somewhere else.
• 34:14
  Speaker 1: But on that show, they used to have these games
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: like they were always they always had caller participation in whatever.
• 34:21
  Speaker 1: Some of these games are such great ideas. One of
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: them every Tuesday Morning after John Gruden did the Monday
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: Night when John Grudham was doing Monday Night Football, they
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: would clip his stuff from the Monday Night Football game,
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: the stuff that they thought was the funniest, and they'd
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: have a caller call in to do the John Gruden
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: this guy challenge, because he always referred to everybody as
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: this guy, so you didn't know what he was talking about,
• 34:45
  Speaker 1: who he was talking about. They'd play the clip of
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: John Gruden talking about somebody during the game, usually in
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: a very sexual sounding man and the caller had to
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: guess which player Gruden was talking about in each clip
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: was it was a fun time, man, And I think
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: they gave the call or I think a little something
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: even if even if they didn't win everything, I think
• 35:06
  Speaker 1: I don't, I don't remember. That was one of the
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: best ones though, and that was a great idea. And
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: then their other great idea was they had they had
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: a guy named Adolpho who was like this obese Hispanic
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: manchild who was like they just like bully him basically,
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: and he eventually left the show, but he was like
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: their man on the street interview guy. He was. He
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: was hilarious as well. They'd have him go out to
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: talk to the crowd after games and they did a
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: segment called ask a Pink Hat with him, which the
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: pink Cat is like referring to these stupid young chicks
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: that go to Red Sox games typically because it's they're
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: always they want to go to these games during the
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: summer and you know, hang out in the in the
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: sun and whatever and look cute and whatever. So they
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: they would typically they'd have like pink Red Sox hats
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: and whatever, and they'd get drunk and they don't know
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: anything about aseball, Like they just go and they don't
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: even pay attention to the game. So the segment was
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: a Dolpha would find one of these chicks that he
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: thinks looks really stupid, like they don't know anything about baseball,
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: they just came out of the game, and he would
• 36:13
  Speaker 1: ask them like really easy questions about the Red Sox
• 36:16
  Speaker 1: that they should know, and a caller would call in
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: for the segment and they'd hear what the question was
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: gonna be, and they'd have to guess whether or not
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: the chick would get the answer right or not on
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: each question. So that was that was pretty awesome as well.
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: Matt rule is pretty bad. Yeah, Gruden's Grudon's emails. He
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: should not have been fired over that. Let's just let's
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: just put it that way. It was mostly because of
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: you can't insult Roger goodell Man. That was the main thing.
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: All right, let's finish this call. I haven't even gotten
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: to my plays yet here in college basketball, these games,
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: I mean a lot of these the rest of these
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: games aren't really that interesting. All right, first playoff, I'm
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: gonna give you is we're starting my card at five
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: pm here, man, first one up. Jeffrey might not love
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: what I'm doing here today because we actually have mostly
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: favorites here, but they're small ish favorites. We're gonna lay
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: the points with UC Davis minus three and a half
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: against cal State Northridge. On first look, it looks weird
• 37:20
  Speaker 1: because U see Davis has the lesser record here at
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: seven and five north Ridges eight and six, So why
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: would you want to lay points with UC Davis. Well,
• 37:29
  Speaker 1: first of all, they're at home. Second of all, ken
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: Bom has them as the higher ranked team, so you
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: could argue that maybe this line is actually a little short.
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: And I know the line is actually dropped a little bit,
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: so I don't know if there's some personnel stuff going on,
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: but we'll see what the market looks like when it
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: shapes up. But it's dropped from four and a half
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: to three and a half. I just see it as
• 37:48
  Speaker 1: value here and I like the spot as well. We
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: have a high total here, which does make it easier
• 37:54
  Speaker 1: to cover, although we're not asking. It makes it easier
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: to cover as a favorite, but we're not asking the
• 37:59
  Speaker 1: favorite to win by that much. Anyway, But we're gonna
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: fade north Ridge here. Man. If you remember, I had
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: my handicap on north Ridge the other day when they
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: were involved in the only Division one game that happened.
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: The other day. They went to Stanford and they stepped
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: up their game, big man against Stanford ACC team, one
• 38:16
  Speaker 1: of the big boys in the state of California. Northridge
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: showed up in this game and they only lost by
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: eight points. They had a good game in this one. Man,
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: it was a close game. I mean statistically it was close.
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: It wasn't really a misleading result or anything like that.
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: But Northridge they just kind of played out of their minds.
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: They were still down three points with like three minutes
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: left in the game. They just played their guts out.
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: They didn't go away. They were fifteen or so point
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: dogs in that one. I think I was correct about
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: the cover in that one. But now they're coming off
• 38:47
  Speaker 1: that game and they're playing another road game here against
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: UC Davis, who's been pretty mediocre here and I might
• 38:53
  Speaker 1: be a bit under the radar. And up next cal
• 38:56
  Speaker 1: State Northridge has to play UC Santa Barbara, which I
• 38:59
  Speaker 1: think is a bigger game. Santa Barbara's off to a
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: two and zero conference starter. Anyain, Santa Barbara is always
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: one of the better teams in this conference in the
• 39:07
  Speaker 1: Big West. So I think this is a sandwich spot
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: the north Ridges in and you're actually looking at value
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: on the number here because I think you see Davis
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: the number looks a little bit weird as well. So
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: I like those misleading lines sometimes too. You see Davis
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: is in a fine spot here because last time they
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: played was against Puke. Who is that not Pacific Union? Okay,
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: that's I think that's a that's a train, that's a
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: railroad line. I'm pretty sure you see Davis beat those
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: guys back on Sunday, which that's really just a tune
• 39:38
  Speaker 1: up game, I would say, coming out of the break,
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: And I think that's good because they just get that
• 39:42
  Speaker 1: game out of the out of the way. They get
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: some new momentum after Christmas. Now they can just play.
• 39:48
  Speaker 1: They're gonna be focused on this game, I think, whereas
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: north Ridges focus I think could definitely be called into question.
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: And again sneakily, you see Davis is actually the better team.
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: Ken Bum has them as having faced the eighty seven,
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: the most difficult schedule, So I like that, Yes, they
• 40:02
  Speaker 1: do play a little bit on the faster side. They're
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: pretty balanced offensive defense, so overall they're an OK team.
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: Ken Bum has them just kind of in the middle
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: of the rankings. Its nothing horrible here, and he actually
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: has them better than north Ridge. Like I said, he
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: has north Ridge outside of that's top two hundred and
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: north Ridge. They're a very imbalanced team. They're actually horrible
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: defensively according to kem Bum. They're two hundred and sixty
• 40:26
  Speaker 1: ninth defensively, so very bad defense, so they could definitely
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: allow some points here. They're twelfth in tempo, so they
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: play extremely fast. You see, Davis might actually be able
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: to slow them down from what they really want to
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: do and maybe that'll throw them off. And ken Bumb
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: also has Northridge being very lucky at forty eighth and
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: his luck in deck, so he's telling you they've overperformed
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: so far and they have not faced a strong schedule
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: two hundred and fifteenth strength of schedule. So put all
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: that in a blender. Yeah, I like you see Davis
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: in that game quite a bit. We're saying it with
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: UC Davis in that one. Again. I don't know if
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: there's like a personnel reason why the line has dropped
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: a little bit on Davis. But college basketball, I just
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: completely ignore it. Man. I'm doing what I've succeeded at doing,
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: So that's what I'm doing, all right. And by the way,
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: ken Baum, again I always point out, because I do
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: use his site, I usually try to avoid go like
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: diving into his actual projections and stuff because that's the
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: stuff you actually have to pay for. But it is
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: definitely worth it. You get all these projections, you get
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: all of his advanced analytics and stuff, all the stats
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: for like I think it's around thirty a year, so
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: it's almost nothing, you know, It's just at this point
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: it's really just like a few coffees a year pretty much.
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: All right. We got Southern missing Ule Monroe. Caught my
• 41:52
  Speaker 1: eye where Southern Miss they are coming up a big
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: game against LSU. Yeah, but LSU absolutely, no shocker, they
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: really LSU. They're an SEC team. They look like they're
• 42:05
  Speaker 1: kind of on the way back up a little bit,
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: even though I don't think they're as good as their
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: record looks. But Southern Miss was not expected to win
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: that game obviously. Now, yes, they're stepping way down in
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: class to vace Joel Monroe here coming off an ugly
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: loss really, so I kind of like the Southern Miss
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: side here. Juan Monroe is actually coming off a big
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: game where they went to Kansas State. They had a
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: huge step up game against Kansas State and they came
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: close to winning the game, and that was on Sunday,
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: so quick, kind of a quick turnaround time after this.
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: Jull Monroe actually gave a full effort here. They refused
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: to go away and they were still within four points
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: really late in this game. Man, So they played a
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: good game and then they just fell short late. So
• 42:47
  Speaker 1: this looks like jo Monroe could be in a big
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: flat spot after that, even though I know ideally they're
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: gonna try to get up for the Southern Miss. But
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: I would lay the points with Southern Miss in that one,
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: and it might look like a big line to lay
• 42:59
  Speaker 1: with Southern Miss because they're seven and seven. The public
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: might not look at this game at all, but they'll
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: look at a game like this and they probably won't
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: want to lay like a huge amount of points with
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: a five hundred team. The line is actually dropped by
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: the way for mate and a half to six and
• 43:12
  Speaker 1: a halven. I actually think there might be a pretty
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: decent amount of value in laying the points with Southern
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: Miss here. That is what I would do in this game.
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: It is a fairly high total as well, in the
• 43:21
  Speaker 1: one fifties, but I do have some hesitations. Southern Miss
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: is a slow tempo team, so I don't exactly love
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: that as far as laying points on the road. Let
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: me see here, Southern Miss, where are you at? Kem
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: Bom has them inside the top two hundred, which isn't terrible.
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: He has them pretty balanced offensively and defensively, but below
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: average team, let's say in Southern Miss. But obviously you
• 43:46
  Speaker 1: on Monroe, it's a terrible, terrible team, and he has
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: Southern Miss. They're just kind of in the middle of
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: the pack everywhere as far as strength, the schedule, temp
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: or not tempo, temple, a little bit slower luck index.
• 43:58
  Speaker 1: He has some kind of middle of the pack. You
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: on Monroe, he actually has very low in the luck
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: index though, so he's actually telling you Monroe has underperformed.
• 44:06
  Speaker 1: But they are so bad, dude. He has them three
• 44:09
  Speaker 1: hundred and fifty athout a three hundred and sixty five
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: teams in deepfense and they're not within the top three
• 44:15
  Speaker 1: hundred in offense either. So they are awful and he
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: does have them. The one thing they do crack the
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: top one hundred in his tempo. They play really fast
• 44:24
  Speaker 1: and they don't play deepfense. So to me, that does
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: seem like kind of a recipe for disaster as far
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: as not being able to cover as an underdog here.
• 44:33
  Speaker 1: So I do like Southern miss. I'm not quite gonna
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: get there with that one, but I do like that
• 44:38
  Speaker 1: one to some extent. So I'm just giving you what
• 44:40
  Speaker 1: I think are my stronger opinions here. Garrett. You're on
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: Oregon Alabama. You got a good number on that, and Georgia.
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: I actually agree with you on all three of those games,
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: even though the market seems to not really agree. Toucher
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: and Hardage, eff you listen how you know them? Yeah,
• 44:56
  Speaker 1: they're all right. I haven't really listened that much to them.
• 44:59
  Speaker 1: They're okay. I don't know, there's something to me, there's
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: something missing about the dynamic. Although I haven't listened that
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: much to them. I haven't really I haven't listened to
• 45:06
  Speaker 1: Riches show at all though I don't even know where
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: he's at. But yeah, I don't know a cup of
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: coffee on it. On the games, you mean, yeah, all right,
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: we have Actually one of the best games of the
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: day actually is probably this game here between well, actually,
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: you know, there are a couple of games that are
• 45:28
  Speaker 1: actually pretty decent here. Omaha and South Dakota State is
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: actually probably a decent game in the Summit, just because
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: Omaha won the Summit last year. Although I thought they
• 45:36
  Speaker 1: overperformed last year, they're kind of mediocre now. They did
• 45:39
  Speaker 1: just lose a long wind streak. They couldn't handle Oregon.
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: Oregon's been bad, but Omaha could not do anything against
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: them on the road. Oregon didn't score that much and
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: they still won decisively. Now Omaha does at least get
• 45:53
  Speaker 1: to step back down in class. I face South Dakota State,
• 45:55
  Speaker 1: although South Dakota State is usually one of the better
• 45:58
  Speaker 1: teams in the Summit, although this year I would say
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: it's really between Saint Thomas and North Dakota State right
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: now and not South Dakota State. South Dakota State did respectably,
• 46:09
  Speaker 1: I would say against Arizona on the road, losing by
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: twenty eight. That's respectable against Arizona, Okay, Arizona is a
• 46:16
  Speaker 1: powerhouse right now, so not a horrible looking loss for
• 46:19
  Speaker 1: South Dakota State. Now they're coming back home starting I
• 46:23
  Speaker 1: forgot to mention, yes, some at league is starting today
• 46:25
  Speaker 1: as well. I mean, it's a situation where I think
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: you probably got to lean towards the better team. And
• 46:31
  Speaker 1: I think if the public looks at this, they're going
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: to see both teams sitting at seven and eight or whatever,
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: and I think that laying points to this extent looks ridiculous.
• 46:40
  Speaker 1: South Dakota State's actually done from nine to seven and
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: a half, but they are taking what it looks like
• 46:45
  Speaker 1: the cash percentage right now. I would slightly agree with
• 46:49
  Speaker 1: laying it with South Dakota State here, but again, very
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: weak opinion for me. So my stronger opinions that are
• 46:55
  Speaker 1: not on my card right now are the two that
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: I mentioned otherwise, Southern miss And and what was the
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: other one again, Texas Arlington. Those are my strongest ones
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: that are not on my card. So do you do
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: what you want with all the information. Obviously, as I
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: always say, seventy five percent of the tickets around Omaha.
• 47:13
  Speaker 1: By the way, maybe the public remembers Omaha making the
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: tournament last year old though I kind of doubt that
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: but maybe South Dakota State just has more name recognition
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: in the Summit though, because it seems like they make
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: the tournament almost almost fifty percent of the time. Out
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: of this conference, it seems like it's always them or
• 47:31
  Speaker 1: North Dakota State usually until this year when the Tommies
• 47:35
  Speaker 1: finally get through. Man with Tyler Hero's brother, I want
• 47:38
  Speaker 1: to see that happen. Man, my parents house, my hot
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: I don't have a hot uncle, what you me? And
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: my cousin. My cousin was not there. No, that was
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: that was for Christmas. My we're talking about a male cousin. Yes, No,
• 47:56
  Speaker 1: it was just it was like pretty much the immediate family,
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: my brother in law's sister. They they made some chicken,
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: some tie chicken. We had some sweet tied chili chicken,
• 48:08
  Speaker 1: and we had some peanut coconut chicken. It was good.
• 48:12
  Speaker 1: I liked it. So yeah, that's what we were doing.
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: Some rice, some veggies. You know. It was a New
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: Year's dinner. Man never touch her enriched me. I I've
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: met a Dolpho before. He didn't. I didn't get on
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: the show through a dolph although like he didn't, cause
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: I'm not a dumb pink Cat, so he didn't interview
• 48:35
  Speaker 1: although he could have interviewed me for one of the
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: Drunken recaps though, although I never got on it for that.
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: But that's another thing that he would do. One of
• 48:43
  Speaker 1: their segments on the show was a Dolpho would find
• 48:46
  Speaker 1: like the rowdiest drunkest people coming out of like a
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: Bruins game, Celtics game, Red Sox game, whatever, Patriots as well.
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: I think they did, although that was more of a
• 48:55
  Speaker 1: chore for him to have to go out to Foxborough,
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: but usually it was the Boston teams and to find
• 49:01
  Speaker 1: drunk crazy dudes coming out of the game and interview
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: them for the Drunken Recap. I don't think they turned
• 49:07
  Speaker 1: it into like a call in the games segment or
• 49:10
  Speaker 1: anything like that. But I think they just played it
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: just because it was hilarious. I forget that. Yeah, I
• 49:16
  Speaker 1: don't think they came up with a game for it.
• 49:18
  Speaker 1: Maybe they did, and I don't remember, but yeah, the
• 49:21
  Speaker 1: Drunken recaps, I think it was more just like they
• 49:23
  Speaker 1: wanted to hear the like. Basically, the concept was Adolpha
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: would ask the drunk guy to recap the game for
• 49:30
  Speaker 1: him and tell him what happened and it was always
• 49:32
  Speaker 1: absolutely ridiculous and like some of it was wrong, he
• 49:35
  Speaker 1: somehow had a knack for finding like the drunkest guys possible,
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: especially after Bruins games. Bradley at Belmont is the game
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: I was gonna talk about. Man, we're getting into the
• 49:46
  Speaker 1: Knights slate here. This is one of the better games.
• 49:50
  Speaker 1: This arguably might be the best game on the college
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: basketball board today. Member. We have all these small conferences
• 49:56
  Speaker 1: playing today. This is I think this is potentially to
• 50:01
  Speaker 1: the two best teams in this conference, although I know
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: Illinois State is definitely in the mix there as well.
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: This is an interesting one, man, Bradley, They're coming off
• 50:09
  Speaker 1: that close call ish against Evansville, which was not a
• 50:12
  Speaker 1: good performance from Bradley, so I expect them to be
• 50:15
  Speaker 1: much more focused in this one and bounced back off
• 50:17
  Speaker 1: of that. But you want to talk about focus, Belmont
• 50:21
  Speaker 1: is actually coming off of an outright loss to Indiana
• 50:23
  Speaker 1: State in overtime, So even though it did go into
• 50:26
  Speaker 1: overtime and it was back on Monday, I think it's
• 50:29
  Speaker 1: a bounced back spot for them as well. So I
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: think this might be a situation where the better team
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: wins out here and Belmont is the better team right now,
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: though the money is kind of disagreeing and coming in
• 50:39
  Speaker 1: on the Bradley side. Bellmont has dropped from five and
• 50:41
  Speaker 1: a half to four and a half here, I kind
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: of disagree. I kind of entwards Belmont here because I
• 50:47
  Speaker 1: think their performance is just uglier in that prior game.
• 50:50
  Speaker 1: Although Evansville is a worse opponent than Indiana State, so
• 50:53
  Speaker 1: Brady not doing well against Evansville, you could argue that
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: was actually the worst of the two performances, but they
• 50:59
  Speaker 1: won the game. Sixty percent of the tickets eighty five
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash are on Bradley. To me, I
• 51:05
  Speaker 1: think because Bradley's been one of the teams right there
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: in the mix in the Missouri Valley for the last
• 51:10
  Speaker 1: few years, and Belmont used to be pretty dominant when
• 51:13
  Speaker 1: they were in like the A Sun They were dominant
• 51:15
  Speaker 1: in that conference. They were dominant in the Ohio Valley
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: for a little bit. I think now they're in this conference,
• 51:20
  Speaker 1: and since they moved to this conference, I think they
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: haven't really done a whole lot of anything. So I
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: think people have kind of forgotten about Belmont, and I
• 51:27
  Speaker 1: kind of think they're under the radar, right. I think
• 51:29
  Speaker 1: Belmont is the best team in that conference, so for
• 51:32
  Speaker 1: now at least, but again it's we'll see what happens
• 51:35
  Speaker 1: in that game. Speaking of Indiana State, they could be
• 51:40
  Speaker 1: in a letdown spot because they pulled off that upset.
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: It was a home win, huge win for Indiana State
• 51:44
  Speaker 1: against Belmont. But the question is that they can overlook
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: Are they going to overlook Northern Iowa? And I kind
• 51:52
  Speaker 1: of doubt it because Northern Iowa. I should have mentioned
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: them too. They're in the mix here, man, and so
• 51:57
  Speaker 1: is Murray State. To be honest, like I said, this,
• 52:00
  Speaker 1: Missouri Valley is actually a deep conference this year. The
• 52:03
  Speaker 1: conference tournament is gonna be awesome. I think in this
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: conference this year, like the last couple of years, it
• 52:08
  Speaker 1: was really just kind of Drake Bradley and that was
• 52:11
  Speaker 1: in Indiana State when they had Robbie Avila there and
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: not much else going on here. But this year looks
• 52:16
  Speaker 1: like there are like six teams that could legitimately win
• 52:20
  Speaker 1: this conference, and you could argue legitimately like belong in
• 52:24
  Speaker 1: the tournament. There is the possibility that Missouri Valley actually
• 52:28
  Speaker 1: gets two bids into the tournament this year, which would
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: be insane. But there might be a possibility of that
• 52:34
  Speaker 1: this year. Now, Indiana State, I just don't know if
• 52:38
  Speaker 1: they're gonna overlook Northern Iowa. Man, it's a difficult spot
• 52:40
  Speaker 1: to come off of this huge overtime win against Belmont,
• 52:44
  Speaker 1: and you see, they did not bounce back well after
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: they had a similar game where they lost in triple
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: overtime to Bradley. They just I think had nothing left
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: and they got smoked by Illinois State, who's again one
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: of the better teams in this conference. Indiana State just
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: couldn't keep it up two games in a row. They
• 53:01
  Speaker 1: had erectile dysfunction. Maybe they will again here. They do
• 53:05
  Speaker 1: have Drake up next, but again I don't think they're
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: gonna overlook Northern Iowa. So the question is are they
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: gonna have enough left in the tank to be able
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: to cover this and they're gonna be sizeable underdogs here,
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: So maybe they will for Northern Iowa or yeah, for
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: Northern Iowa. Northern Iowa's coming off that game where it
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: was a pretty ugly game against Valpo they won fifty
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: eight to forty eight. So if the public looks at this,
• 53:30
  Speaker 1: they're really not gonna like that, Like they're not gonna
• 53:34
  Speaker 1: think Northern Iowa looks very good beating Valpo in this ugly,
• 53:37
  Speaker 1: low scoring game like that. Northern Iowa, though, you could
• 53:40
  Speaker 1: kind of excuse them not playing that well because they
• 53:42
  Speaker 1: came off a huge game against Saint Mary's the game
• 53:45
  Speaker 1: before that were they only lost by five on the road.
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: That was a pretty good result for Northern Iowa there.
• 53:51
  Speaker 1: So if I was gonna play this game, I would
• 53:53
  Speaker 1: have to lay the points with Northern Iowa here. But
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: Northern Iowa they play real slow, ugly basketball, so I
• 53:59
  Speaker 1: do worry about laying points with them. They've already dropped
• 54:02
  Speaker 1: from eleven to nine here on the line total is
• 54:05
  Speaker 1: low one hundred and thirty four and a half, although
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: it's gone up a little bit. Eighty three percent of
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: tickets ninety eight percent of the cash on Northern Iowa.
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: But if the total is gonna be higher, that actually
• 54:14
  Speaker 1: kind of indicates against Northern Iowa because they play really slow.
• 54:18
  Speaker 1: They want to slow this thing down, So I worry
• 54:20
  Speaker 1: about laying close to double digits with the style of
• 54:24
  Speaker 1: game that this might turn out to be. But if
• 54:26
  Speaker 1: I was gonna play it, I would have to lay
• 54:28
  Speaker 1: it with Northern Iowa. But I have some concerns about it.
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: All right, next up, next play. This is the one
• 54:35
  Speaker 1: dog I have on the board today. We're gonna be
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: on UC riverside plus the points as long as you
• 54:40
  Speaker 1: can get at least seven and a half on this
• 54:42
  Speaker 1: it's dropped a little bit. I think it was nine
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: to eight, somewhere in that range for a little bit.
• 54:46
  Speaker 1: But seven is the key number in basketball ish if
• 54:50
  Speaker 1: you will, if there is a key number, because teams
• 54:52
  Speaker 1: stop potentially fouling once they fall behigh by more than six.
• 54:56
  Speaker 1: Although again we've seen teams foul at six and then
• 54:59
  Speaker 1: they lose by eight, which isn't great. But in this game,
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: this is the game I was talking about where it
• 55:04
  Speaker 1: could be Russ. Actually, I think you're gonna get better
• 55:06
  Speaker 1: value on this right now. You're probably gonna get eight
• 55:08
  Speaker 1: eight and a half. Right now. We're fading Hawaii in
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: this one. Hawaii's down from nine and a half to eight.
• 55:13
  Speaker 1: Year we don't really see the percentages yet, but Hawaii,
• 55:17
  Speaker 1: this is the team I was talking about that could
• 55:19
  Speaker 1: be rusty. Hawaii looks really good right now, right because
• 55:22
  Speaker 1: they're off to a ten and two start. Okay, cool,
• 55:25
  Speaker 1: but who have they played? They played two Power Conference
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: teams and yeah, they only lost to Oregon by one,
• 55:31
  Speaker 1: that's a pretty good result. On the road, they only
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: lost by seven to Arizona State. But for Power Conference teams,
• 55:38
  Speaker 1: neither of those teams are really that good. And other
• 55:40
  Speaker 1: than that, Hawaii has faced a very weak schedule. So
• 55:44
  Speaker 1: I'm not impressed by Hawaii's schedule here. And if you
• 55:47
  Speaker 1: look at what ken Bum says about it, they face
• 55:49
  Speaker 1: the second easiest schedule in all of Division one at
• 55:53
  Speaker 1: three hundred and sixty fourth strength to schedule. That is
• 55:56
  Speaker 1: really bad. So Hawaii is very battle tested, and they're
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: also a really imbalanced team. Looking at kem Bum's rankings,
• 56:05
  Speaker 1: they're actually in the top twenty five in defense, but
• 56:08
  Speaker 1: their offense is outside of the top two hundred. So
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: that does not profile as a team that you want
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: to lay points with man where they can't score. They
• 56:17
  Speaker 1: do focus on defense, but you're asking him to lay
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: a bunch of points on the road. I don't like that. Surprisingly,
• 56:23
  Speaker 1: he doesn't have them that high, and they're in his
• 56:25
  Speaker 1: luck Index though, like because they're at ten and two,
• 56:28
  Speaker 1: well they're ten and two, you think they've overperformed a
• 56:30
  Speaker 1: little bit. But I think just because their schedule has
• 56:32
  Speaker 1: been so weak, they haven't really overperformed. But I still
• 56:36
  Speaker 1: think they're totally on battle tested here. And I know
• 56:38
  Speaker 1: Riverside is also a weak opponent. I get it, they're
• 56:41
  Speaker 1: the lesser of these two teams. But we're gonna look
• 56:43
  Speaker 1: at the situation as well. In a minute, Hawaii just
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: play a little bit fast at one hundred and tenth
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: in tempo, so they do try to speed it up.
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: But Riverside might be able to counter that a little
• 56:55
  Speaker 1: bit because they do play a mid tempo style a
• 56:57
  Speaker 1: little bit slower, So maybe rivers I'll be able to
• 57:00
  Speaker 1: slow this thing down a little bit. And yeah, I
• 57:02
  Speaker 1: know Riverside is high in the Luck Index, in the
• 57:04
  Speaker 1: top one hundred. I don't love that, But they're also
• 57:07
  Speaker 1: seventy fourth and straight in the schedule, so Riverside is
• 57:10
  Speaker 1: the more battle tested team. They're not going to be
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: intimidated facing Hawaii, which they play every year. And yes,
• 57:16
  Speaker 1: I know Riverside also is horrible on the defensive side,
• 57:19
  Speaker 1: so we're looking at the much worse defense on the
• 57:22
  Speaker 1: Riverside side. But again with Hawaii, with their offense being
• 57:27
  Speaker 1: so bad, their offense is actually worse than riversides. Again,
• 57:31
  Speaker 1: that's not really a profile where you want to lay
• 57:33
  Speaker 1: points on the road with a team like that. And
• 57:35
  Speaker 1: then we gotta look at the schedule and you want
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: to talk about rust. You want to know when the
• 57:38
  Speaker 1: last time Hawaii played a game was December thirteenth, so
• 57:44
  Speaker 1: they've been off for almost a month. I think they've
• 57:46
  Speaker 1: been off for longer than every other team, So I
• 57:48
  Speaker 1: think you could see a lot of rust here that
• 57:50
  Speaker 1: Hawaii has to shake, and a lot of times that
• 57:52
  Speaker 1: does affect the offensive side of things. You're looking at
• 57:55
  Speaker 1: an offense that's already not good. Now they're traveling in
• 57:59
  Speaker 1: the mainland, which is also not great. They although they
• 58:03
  Speaker 1: have a lot of time off, so that might help
• 58:05
  Speaker 1: their travel a little bit that they have more time
• 58:07
  Speaker 1: to do it, but having this time off is gonna
• 58:09
  Speaker 1: disrupt their momentum in my opinion as well, because they've
• 58:12
  Speaker 1: won six games in a row, even though their last
• 58:14
  Speaker 1: game was a pretty unimpressive home win against UTEP where
• 58:18
  Speaker 1: they probably should have won by more. Hawaii was probably
• 58:21
  Speaker 1: favored by more than five in that game. But even so,
• 58:24
  Speaker 1: having six games in a row, six wins in a
• 58:27
  Speaker 1: row going into a break, that's not good. Now they're
• 58:29
  Speaker 1: coming to the mainland and they have two games in
• 58:32
  Speaker 1: three days. One is against uc A Riverside and one
• 58:35
  Speaker 1: is against you See San Diego, who's still probably the
• 58:38
  Speaker 1: best team in this conference and won the conference last year.
• 58:40
  Speaker 1: So which one of these teams do you think Hawaii
• 58:43
  Speaker 1: is gonna have more focus on if they focus on
• 58:45
  Speaker 1: one of the games. I think we know the answer
• 58:48
  Speaker 1: to that. I think it's gonna be you See San Diego.
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: So I think this is a look ahead. I think
• 58:52
  Speaker 1: you would argue it's a sandwich spot just because of
• 58:54
  Speaker 1: the long layoff here, if you want to call it that.
• 58:57
  Speaker 1: It is a weird spot for Hawaii. And they come
• 59:00
  Speaker 1: back home after that, and they get uc Irvine as well,
• 59:02
  Speaker 1: who's been a staple in this conference for a long
• 59:05
  Speaker 1: time as well. So I do not like the spot
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: here for Hawaii. You see Riverside. I think they can compete, man.
• 59:13
  Speaker 1: And they actually have not played since before Christmas. Well,
• 59:16
  Speaker 1: the last time they played was December twenty third, so
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: they're on kind of a more regular schedule where they
• 59:23
  Speaker 1: played at least eight whatever what is that nine days ago,
• 59:27
  Speaker 1: whatever that is, So that's okay. And they played UCLA.
• 59:31
  Speaker 1: I know that was a big game for you see Riverside,
• 59:33
  Speaker 1: but they were not close. They lost by thirty two points.
• 59:36
  Speaker 1: So coming off a thirty plus point loss to anybody,
• 59:39
  Speaker 1: I think you're gonna be focused. And this is the
• 59:41
  Speaker 1: only thing Riverside has to focus on. So they have
• 59:44
  Speaker 1: some rest here, which I think is actually good because
• 59:46
  Speaker 1: it'll disrupt They're losing momentum. They lost two games in
• 59:50
  Speaker 1: a row coming into the break here, so I think
• 59:53
  Speaker 1: that's helpful. And they don't play again until next Thursday,
• 59:56
  Speaker 1: and it's against Cal State Bakersfield, so it's not really
• 59:59
  Speaker 1: a look ahead. All they have right here is to
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 1: focus on Hawaii, who's off to a ten and two
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 1: overall start. So I see Riverside getting up for this game. Riverside,
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 1: as I said, they face some more difficult schedule. They
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 1: have losses at New Mexico, at Cal Baptists. They're not
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 1: a bad team either. At UC Irvine, Irvine's pretty good
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: in this conference, at BYU, at UCLA, at the Tommy's
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 1: Saint Thomas they're not bad either. So Riverside is clearly
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 1: they face some more difficult schedule. They're clearly the we're
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 1: battle tested teams, So we're gonna take riverside in that
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 1: one plus the points. Yeah, that's a one of the
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 1: longest races that you'll see in college basketball. And it
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 1: probably has to do with just the fact that Hawaii
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 1: is all the way out dur in the middle of
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 1: the Pacific Ocean. They probably get more of a break
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 1: there just because it's a benefit to them, or so
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 1: they think. But I think in this case is actually
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 1: a negative because I think it's a momentum stopper. Okay,
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 1: as the rest of these games are concerned, I do
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 1: have one more play. Yeah, let's get to it, and
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 1: then we'll get to the rest of the sports. Here
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 1: an hour on just college basketball. Oh at least there's
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 1: not a lot of the rest of the sports today.
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 1: We'll get this done in less than an hour, I think. Now.
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 1: The other best bet is another favorite. We got Montana
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: State minus two and a half against Northern Colorado, our
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 1: friends Northern Colorado. They've been very friendly to me this year,
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 1: but we're gonna fade them in this spot. I think
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 1: we did fade them before, right with Denver. So we've
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 1: gone against them before, we've been on them before. They
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 1: covered for us against Texas Tech. So they've been good
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 1: to us Northern Colorado and hopefully that continues. By them
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 1: not playing well in this game against Montana State, you
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 1: might have to lay three here. It's somewhere between two
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 1: and a half and three. Of the money looks like
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 1: it agrees with me on this one, at fifty five
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Montana State sixty seven percent
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 1: of tickets on Northern Colorado. Now, I'm not gonna disagree
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 1: that Northern Colorado is the best team in this conference
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 1: in the Big Sky. I think they are, but I
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 1: think Montana State's not that much worse. And the oddsmakers
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 1: are telling you that it's pretty close, with Montana State
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 1: being close to getting more than a home court advantage here.
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 1: I think probably they get about three for home court.
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 1: So the oddsmakers are almost telling you these teams are
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 1: almost even. And I like the spot man Northern Colorado.
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 1: As I said, we've we've been able to handicap them
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 1: pretty well on the show here where we had them
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 1: covering against Texas Tech. They caught Texas Tech in what
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 1: was a bad spot for Texas Tech. They covered that game.
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 1: It was a good game for Northern Colorado losing only
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 1: by eleven. Then they had a bad game in the
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 1: next game because it was a letdown spot after being
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 1: pretty close with Texas Tech. They lost outright to in
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 1: state little brother Denver. So so we got that one right
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 1: as well. Those are both plays I gave out on
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 1: the show. Now after that, I did not play Northern
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 1: Colorado in the bounce back although they were in a
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 1: bounce back spot after that against in state big brother Colorado.
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 1: So you know they were gonna get up for this
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 1: game against Colorado which was on Sunday, And maybe I
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 1: should have given that out as a play because they
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: were coming out of the break. The break probably helped
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 1: end their losing momentum there. They were coming off that
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 1: bad loss going into the break, very explainable loss. So
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 1: Colorado must have been in a bad spot or something
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 1: as well for me to not have played Northern Colorado
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 1: in that game. But what did Northern Colorado do? Yeah,
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 1: they pulled off the upset against Colorado on the road. Now,
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 1: Colorado is not that good this year, but there's still
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 1: the University of Colorado man and there's still a big
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 1: twelve team, so or they're a big twelve team again.
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 1: I should say, huge win for Northern Colorado there, man,
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 1: And now coming off of that, I just don't know
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 1: what focus they're gonna have here, even though Montana State
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 1: did have a nice run in the Big Twelve where
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 1: I think they won the Big Twelve two or three
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 1: years in a row, not that long ago, but it's
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 1: kind of been Montana more recently. Montana I think is
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 1: one of a couple of years in a row. Montana
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 1: it last year. So Northern Colorado might actually even look
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 1: ahead to Montana here just because Montana is the defending
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 1: conference champs here. So I think Northern Colorado's gonna letdown spot.
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 1: They're having to go on the road again here, and
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 1: I think they might overlook a six and seven Montana
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 1: State team. But Montana State, I think is better than
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 1: what they look like. The public might come in and
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 1: look at this game. If they see it, they're gonna see,
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 1: oh Montana, Montana State lost at Colorado. That was actually
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 1: a pretty good performance from Montana State, only losing by six,
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 1: But people might see that, oh Montana State lost at Colorado.
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 1: Northern Colorado beat them, and now you're giving me three
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 1: with Northern Colorado. It almost looks too easy right to
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 1: play Northern Colorado, Like, why is a ten and three
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 1: team getting points from a six and seven team? Well, again,
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 1: there are reasons for it. On Montana State has face
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 1: a fairly difficult schedule. They have losses to Stanford on
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 1: the road, Boise on the road, Utah State on the road.
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 1: And by the way, every one of those game games
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 1: was a single digit loss, So Montana State was in
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 1: every one of those games even though those games are difficult. Yes,
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 1: they also lost at home to Denver. It by the way,
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 1: both of these teams did, so they might have been
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 1: looking ahead to Stanford. I don't know what that was really,
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 1: And then yet Montana State has a couple other losses
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 1: on the road. They lost to Oregon State Oral Roberts,
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 1: who's not that great or Oregon State. I mean there's
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 1: still a big name, so whatever. In Montana State, they
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: have a pretty strong resume, let's just put it that way.
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 1: They're battle tested and they really haven't looked bad this year.
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 1: And I think the spot sets up a lot better
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 1: for them too, because they're coming off an easy tune
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 1: up win coming out of the break. Or actually no,
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 1: they haven't played since the break. My mistake. They beat Northwest,
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 1: not Northwest or Northwest, who I think is actually in
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 1: the northwest of the United States as opposed to Northwestern,
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 1: who's in where the Northwest Territory used to be or
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 1: whatever in the Chicago area. Butyna State actually hasn't played
• 1:06:01
  Speaker 1: since the break. So yeah, you could argue that their
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 1: momentum is gonna be stopped here by the fact that
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 1: they went to the break on two straight wins, but
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna make that argument here. I think they're
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 1: absolutely gonna show up for their conference opener against the
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 1: best team in the conference at home. They're gonna show
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 1: up for this game, and I think it's a major
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 1: letdown for Northern Colorado and maybe even debatably a sandwich.
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 1: So we're going with Montana State in this one. Man,
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 1: we're laying the small price there. If it dips below
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 1: two and a half, I would say you could look
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 1: towards the money line. I mean you could anyway, but
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 1: you probably have to lay about minus one fifty on
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 1: the money line right now, so it's a little bit steep,
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 1: but I don't really I don't disagree with the money
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 1: line either, obviously. All right, let's go to hockey hockey.
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 1: I mean there's a decent board. Hey, my Boston Bruins
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 1: crushed Edmonton yesterday. Finally a win for the Bruins. Break
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 1: that losing momentum. Baby, We have a couple afternoon hockey
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 1: games city. The first game up is Washington at Ottawa. Now,
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 1: this is I think one of the stronger opinions of
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 1: mine of the hockey slate here, even though I don't
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 1: love it, but I think Washington's kind of in a
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 1: bad spot here. Man. They're playing game back to back
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 1: with travel because they were at home yesterday and they
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 1: decisively beat the Rangers six to three, and now they're
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 1: traveling up to Ottawa on a back to back. Not
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 1: only that, but they're playing a third game in four
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 1: days and a fourth game in six days, all in
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 1: different cities. And the travel was kind of bizarre. Where
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 1: they played in New Jersey into overtime, they went down
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 1: to Florida, then they came back up to Washington, and
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 1: now they're going up to Ottawa. I don't love it, man,
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 1: It's just a lot of travel in quick succession, a
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 1: lot of games in quick succession. In Ottawa, the spot
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 1: I think sets up much better for them because they
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 1: haven't played since Monday and they're on a three game
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 1: losing street, culminating and losing horribly to Columbus four to
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 1: one at home. So staying at home here, I think
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 1: you're definitely gonna get a focus at Ottawa team here. Now.
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 1: I don't know what's going on with Ohmark because he's
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 1: missed the last two games. He is obviously their best goaltender,
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 1: so he had a leave of absence for personal reasons,
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 1: so I don't know. It might have been bereavement or
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 1: something like that. So I expect he's probably gonna be
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 1: back in this game because they've had a pretty long
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 1: layoff here, which I also think is gonna disrupt their
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 1: losing momentum. So obviously I like Ottawa in this game.
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 1: I think it's one of the stronger hockey opinions of
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 1: the day here. It's not on my card, but I
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 1: would play Autawa if I was gonna play this throughout
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 1: for minus one thirty five to minus one forty two
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 1: on the money line, fifty five percent of the tickets
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 1: and seventy seven percent of the cash on them. You
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 1: like the stars again, I probably agree, but it's it's dicey, Man,
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 1: I like Ottawa better than maybe all the rest of
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 1: this board. Man, I like Ottawa quite a bit here.
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 1: I think if I was gonna play any hockey game,
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 1: that's what it would be. Outawa on the money line
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 1: or they have to lay a little bit of a
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 1: price for it. But anything below one fifty minus one
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 1: fifty I think is all right. Otherwise you could split
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 1: the bet puck line money line if you want to.
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 1: Utah is at New York Islander the New York Islanders here,
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 1: I think Utah is in a positive spot. They haven't
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 1: played since Monday either. They're on a two game losing streak.
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 1: They lost at home to Nashville in their last game,
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 1: but it was a weird spot. Utah had played Colorado
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 1: going into the break pretty close. Then they just had
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 1: a single home game before going out on the road.
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 1: I don't know, bad game, but when a team has
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 1: a bad game like that at home, they have time
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 1: off and they're starting a road trip, I think it's
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 1: a very positive situation because you get to try to
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 1: bust out of that losing momentum, stop that momentum by
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 1: having rest focus on hockey, and usually teams are going
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 1: to be focused to start a road trip, so I
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 1: like this. This is another afternoon game, by the way,
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 1: three pm, so obviously I like Utah in this game,
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 1: although I guess that wasn't too obviously if the Islanders
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 1: are also in a positive spot, but I don't think
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 1: they really are. They were turning over from a road
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 1: trip where they it was only a two game road trip,
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 1: though they lost to Columbus and then beat Chicago in
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 1: a shootout, which I know it's not that impressed of.
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 1: But now they're back home to face Utah. I know
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 1: it's only a two game road trip or term which
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 1: usually I like to fade teams and they've been on
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 1: the road for a long time because they can get
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 1: distracted back at home. But in this case, I just
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 1: don't know how much focus they're gonna have against a
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 1: middling Utah team. And the Islanders play Eastern Conference foes
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 1: the next two games, Toronto and New Jersey, so I
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 1: don't know. I just don't know what their focus is
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 1: gonna be. I think you're definitely gonna get focused from Utah,
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 1: so that's the way I would lean. The money agrees
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 1: with that as well. Islanders are down for minus one
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 1: twenty to minus one oh seven, fifty six percent of
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 1: the tickets and eighty seven percent of the cash on
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 1: the Mammoth. So yeah, I lean to Utah there. Samcos
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 1: did get the number six hundred. Good for him, man,
• 1:10:51
  Speaker 1: I still think that even though he did get it,
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 1: I still think playing that prop, you weren't like getting
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 1: great value on it. Winnipeg at Toronto this is a game, man,
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 1: I mean, both these teams probably should be better than
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 1: what their records look like right now. Of course, with Winnipeg,
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 1: day were without Hello Buck for a while, but they've
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 1: lost a lot of games since he's come back. Man,
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 1: he's played every one of those games since he came back.
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 1: At some point they're gonna give him rest, though, and
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 1: it's probably gonna be today because they're on a back
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 1: to back with travel though it's just from Detroit to Toronto,
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 1: not a huge travel spot. But they're playing a third
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 1: game in four days now, all in different cities. Fourth
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 1: game in six days, with the first two being at home.
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 1: Close game yesterday against Detroit. I don't love the spot
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 1: for Winnipeg, man, even though they've lost all these games.
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 1: I mean, these have been kind of difficult games Toronto,
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 1: They're coming into this game with one day off, although
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 1: they did smoke New Jersey four to nothing in their
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 1: last game, so they might be feeling a little bit
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 1: high on themselves. They also lost to Detroit the game
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 1: before that, so both teams have a similar loss at
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 1: Detroit over the last couple of games. So nothing to
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 1: really see there with the common opponent. You could argue
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 1: Toronto's gonna let down spot though, coming off beating New
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 1: Jersey handily, Ford and Nothing, they might be feeling high
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 1: off of themselves. And then they get New York the Islanders,
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 1: excuse me, and then Florida and then Philadelphia. I think
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 1: all of those are bigger games for them than Winnipeg is,
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 1: so I don't love the spot for them. I would
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 1: say that you're probably gonna get more focus out of
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 1: Winnipeg in this game. The problem is they've just played
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 1: a lot of games in quick succession, so the rest
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 1: factor is really what the detriment is to Winnipeg here.
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 1: The money is agreeing with Winnipeg on this one though,
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 1: or or the money is siding with Winnipeg. Toronto's Denver
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 1: might just won forty five, so I just won thirty
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 1: three fifty seven percent of tickets on Toronto, eighty eight
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Winnipeg. I'll agree with Winnipeg
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 1: in it, even though they're on the back to back,
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 1: you're gonna get I'm assuming they're gonna play comery in
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 1: this one, so you'll get the rested goaltender. I mean,
• 1:12:56
  Speaker 1: having Hellibook in there hasn't really helped, so it hasn't
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 1: really help abucked them. But yes, even though yeah, you
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 1: have Winnipeg in an if the rest spot Toronto, I mean,
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 1: they really could just completely overlook this game and they're
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 1: the favorite in this one, so that's what I worry about. Yeah,
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 1: I mean I'll agree with the market in that one
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 1: with Winnipeg the Royals. What's up, Zach Jeffrey, You like Toronto? Yeah,
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I disagree with it. The market seems
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 1: to be speaking pretty loudly on that game as well.
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 1: For what that's worth, which I think that is worth
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 1: something when it's a huge division where the kicking percentage
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 1: and cash percentage are completely on opposite sides. Although again
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 1: it is early in the day on a hockey board, though,
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 1: so you do have to take that into account. Detroit
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 1: at Pittsburgh. Everybody's kind of staying Pittsburgh is back all
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 1: of a sudden, man, and I might want to fade
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 1: that sentiment. The public is talking about Pittsburgh right now. Detroit,
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 1: they're actually playing pretty well right now, the win five
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 1: of six. I think they're kind of under the radar,
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 1: but they are in a back to back right now.
• 1:13:59
  Speaker 1: They did beat Winnipeg yesterday. They're having to travel for
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 1: this single game to Pittsburgh, which is a little bit weird,
• 1:14:05
  Speaker 1: although Detroit to Pittsburgh is not a huge travel leg here,
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 1: maybe they will show up. They'll probably have Talbot back
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 1: in net for this, which I think is fine. I mean,
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 1: they alternate between him and Gibson, and there's not really
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 1: a huge drop off I don't think between their two goalies.
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 1: Now for Pittsburgh, I think they're definitely in a letdown spot,
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 1: although they do have a little bit of rest because
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 1: they didn't play yesterday. But they just beat Carolina five
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 1: to one off of beating Chicago seven to three, which
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 1: that's less impressive. That was a play for us on
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 1: the show. By the way, against Chicago, we played Pittsburgh
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 1: in that one. Chicago is in an awful spot off
• 1:14:39
  Speaker 1: the upset of Dallas Pittsburgh. So that means over their
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 1: last two games they've won by a combined twelve to
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 1: four score. Four score and two days ago when they
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 1: played that game against Carolina. Dude, I mean, I don't
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 1: see how this couldn't be a letdown spot after smashing
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 1: Carolina five to one. Now they get Detroit. You know,
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 1: I know it is Detroit. They've been okay this year.
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 1: They're actually playing a home and home against Detroit because
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 1: they play in Detroit on Saturday. But even though Detroit's
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 1: on the back to back, I think I have to
• 1:15:14
  Speaker 1: lean that way. I just think this is a massive
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 1: letdown spot for Pittsburgh. Although the money's disagreeing on that one.
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 1: Money is on Pittsburgh. They're down for minus one thirty
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 1: mince one twenty eight. But again, everybody's talking about Pittsburgh
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 1: right now and saying, oh, hey, Pittsburgh is actually really good.
• 1:15:29
  Speaker 1: I still am not sure about that. I think they
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 1: caught Carolina in a decent spot to catch them as well.
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 1: I think we leaned to Pittsburgh in that game on
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 1: the show. Wasn't a strong opinion for me, though Detroit
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 1: sixty percent of the tickets on Detroit, sixty one percent
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Pittsburgh. Again, Yeah, just throwing all
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 1: the information out there. The La Kings, you mean, m Yeah,
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 1: I mean I kind of avoid the Kings at home usually,
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 1: but I'm gonna look at that game, and I mean
• 1:15:58
  Speaker 1: I've already looked at it, but I already forget what
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 1: I thought about it. Montreal at Carolina is one of
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 1: the better games on the slate today as far as
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 1: if you're a hockey fan, you'll probably like this game. Montreal,
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 1: they're coming up a pretty big game as well. Man.
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 1: They beat Florida in overtime, and that means that over
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 1: the last couple of days since Sunday, they've played two
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 1: overtime games, losing at Tampa Bay and winning in Florida,
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 1: So that could take a lot out of them. Man.
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 1: I expect they will show up for a game against Carolina,
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 1: but there might not be much left in the tank
• 1:16:32
  Speaker 1: for Montreal here, man, And that's kind of the problem.
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 1: They might just run out of gas. Whereas you're getting
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 1: a really good Carolina team and I think you're gonna
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 1: be getting them in an angry mood after that. Just
• 1:16:43
  Speaker 1: really weird loss to Pittsburgh. Anderson was in net for
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 1: that one. He really hasn't been good recently. I don't
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 1: know what's going on. Man, he looks old. They've lost
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 1: the last three games he's been in net. They've lost
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 1: all of them. Actually, they've lost a lot. They've lost
• 1:16:58
  Speaker 1: eight games in a row that he's been in net. Man,
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 1: in the last three they've lost, they've had They've allowed
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 1: five goals in the last three of them. Anderson is
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 1: just not cutting it anymore. So. The fact that he's
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 1: probably not gonna be a net year and it's probably
• 1:17:11
  Speaker 1: gonna be bussy. I would guess maybe could check God.
• 1:17:15
  Speaker 1: But they've both been better than Anderson, So I think
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 1: if you're gonna play this game, it has to be Carolina.
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 1: Coming up that horrific loss to Pittsburgh. Carolina is still
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 1: one of the best teams in hockey. The money disagrees
• 1:17:26
  Speaker 1: on this one, too, but I don't see it. I
• 1:17:29
  Speaker 1: think it's Carolina or a pass in this one, although
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 1: you gotta lay a little bit of a price for it.
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 1: They're down for mins one ninety one to eighty five,
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 1: sixty percent of tickets on them sixty nine percent of
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 1: the cash on Montreal. Yeah, I don't know what else
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 1: to say about that game, but I would probably do
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 1: a split puck line bet on that one with Carolina.
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 1: I was gonna play it Tampa Bay at the La Kings.
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 1: Jeffrey kind of likes the Kings in this one. I
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 1: think Tampa Bay they're coming off two straight overtime games
• 1:17:59
  Speaker 1: against Andreal. They won both to at home against Montreal
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 1: and then yesterday against Anaheim, so they're on a back
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 1: to back, although they had a couple of days off
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 1: before yesterday. I don't know that they're really gonna overlook
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 1: the Kings. The Kings did just beat them at home
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 1: on Thursday, December eighteenth, And I talk about how you
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 1: I don't think you should over rate revenge, but when
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 1: it's a game that just happened not that long ago,
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 1: and it's kind of a quick road reversal angle like this,
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 1: where the team that lost has the chance to not
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 1: only avenge that, but really it's about making adjustments off
• 1:18:31
  Speaker 1: of that. I'm not quite sure that I want to
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 1: fade Tampa here, though. You're not gonna have Vasilevski in
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 1: net here, most likely because he played yesterday, so it's
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 1: probably gonna be Johanson, although he's been okay, not as
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 1: good as Vassilevski though, And Tampa Bay is coming off
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 1: that big win of r Anaheim yesterday and they're on
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 1: the back to back, so I worry a little bit
• 1:18:51
  Speaker 1: about that. LA hasn't played since Monday, December twenty ninth,
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 1: and they lost at Colorado, big game, but they lost decisively.
• 1:18:59
  Speaker 1: They have more rest and they're back at home here,
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 1: so I do think the spot does still set up
• 1:19:04
  Speaker 1: better for the Kings here. I'll slightly agree with the
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 1: Kings here, but the money is disagreeing with it. I
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 1: don't have a strong opinion on it. The Kings are
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 1: also bad at home, as I keep pointing out, so
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 1: that's a little bit worrisome. Although the spot to me
• 1:19:18
  Speaker 1: does set up better for them. But there were five
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 1: eight and four at home, which is horrendous, and Tampa
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 1: Bay is excellent on the road twelve four and three
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 1: on the road, so the home road splits in this
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 1: game don't look good for the Kings at all. Six
• 1:19:33
  Speaker 1: tickets eighty four percent of the cash on the King
• 1:19:35
  Speaker 1: on the Tampa Bay side. Excuse me. On the lightning,
• 1:19:38
  Speaker 1: I still agree with the Kings slightly in that one,
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 1: but I don't love it by any means. So that's
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 1: my opinion on that one. You dropped the bomb on
• 1:19:50
  Speaker 1: a high point? Did did they win? I don't know
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 1: you Israel high point yesterday? Did you have Dave Draymond
• 1:19:59
  Speaker 1: from Derbed signed the bomb for you? Go check out
• 1:20:03
  Speaker 1: my ukulele cover of down with the Sickness, by the way,
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 1: which I made fun of Dave in and it was
• 1:20:08
  Speaker 1: in honor of Dave blocking me on Twitter for calling
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 1: out his Zionism. All right, we have the Dallas Stars
• 1:20:15
  Speaker 1: at the Chicago Blackhawks. The Stars are on a back
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 1: to back, but they were horrible yesterday against Buffalo, losing
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 1: four to one, and of course the game before that,
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 1: we all know they lost to Chicago. But I think
• 1:20:27
  Speaker 1: the back to back is a little bit mitigated here
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 1: because Dallas hadn't played prior to that since Saturday, since
• 1:20:33
  Speaker 1: that bad home lost to Chicago. So I think Dallas
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 1: is gonna make the adjustments here. Man, they're the better team.
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 1: They're gonna be a favorite on the road, though you're
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 1: gonna have to lay a price, but I think they
• 1:20:43
  Speaker 1: are gonna be focused on this game. Because it just happened,
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 1: and they used the Smith in the game yesterday. He's
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 1: their second string goalie, so Atinger is gonna be in
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 1: the in net here today and he's their better goaliese
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 1: So that tells me they are kind of focusing on
• 1:20:56
  Speaker 1: this game more than yesterday's game for Chicago. I go
• 1:21:00
  Speaker 1: Chicago played on Tuesday and they lost it a shootout
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 1: to the Islanders. Sure they're gonna show up for a
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 1: game against Dallas at home, that's always big. They're not
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 1: gonna overlook Dallas. They do have Washington in Vegas coming
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 1: up after this, which are also big games. But Chicago,
• 1:21:14
  Speaker 1: I believe there's still a West Conference team right so
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 1: this game probably means more than the Washington game. Overall.
• 1:21:22
  Speaker 1: I think the lean is Dallas in this one, but
• 1:21:25
  Speaker 1: it's not strong for me. Dallas is a public side
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 1: though they're down from minus one eighty five to minus
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 1: one to eighty on the money line if you play them,
• 1:21:33
  Speaker 1: I think it's a split bat scenario in my opinion,
• 1:21:36
  Speaker 1: to make your own minus one puck line on this
• 1:21:39
  Speaker 1: and just hope that they win the game and at
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 1: least push it for you, though hoping for a push
• 1:21:43
  Speaker 1: is not great. You want to win the game, so
• 1:21:45
  Speaker 1: you want to do that in a game where you
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 1: think the team has a decent shot to win by
• 1:21:49
  Speaker 1: multiple goals. But asking for a multiple goal winning hockey
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 1: is a little bit of an ask, especially on the road.
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 1: Seventy nine percent of tickets and cash on Dallas they're public.
• 1:21:59
  Speaker 1: Dallas also plays low scoring games. Believe it or not.
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 1: That hasn't really been the case recently, but they tend
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 1: to play more lower scoring games than not, so a
• 1:22:09
  Speaker 1: little bit more of an ask there to ask them
• 1:22:11
  Speaker 1: to win like that. But we'll see what happens. And
• 1:22:14
  Speaker 1: then Nashville at Seattle. Nashville's in a pretty bad spot
• 1:22:17
  Speaker 1: here in my opinion. They just beat Vegas yesterday, so
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 1: they're on a back to back with no time off.
• 1:22:23
  Speaker 1: They're playing a third game in four days, fourth game
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 1: in six days, all in different cities, which is pretty ugly,
• 1:22:29
  Speaker 1: pretty difficult to do. They beat Utah in elevation and
• 1:22:33
  Speaker 1: they beat Vegas. I think they might have a game
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 1: where they just run out of steam here. Man, they
• 1:22:38
  Speaker 1: only play Calgary next, so it's not really a sandwich spot.
• 1:22:41
  Speaker 1: But this is a pretty bad spot for Nashville. Seattle's
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 1: coming into this game, I believe, also on a back
• 1:22:47
  Speaker 1: to back. No, they're not. Wait a minute, my mistake.
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 1: Seattle actually lost a win streak losing to Vancouver, which
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 1: I think we might have had Vancouver in that game.
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 1: If I'm not mistaken, maybe I am mistaken, and maybe
• 1:22:59
  Speaker 1: I'm wrong about that. Don't know. We had a game
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 1: with Vancouver recently, though. I think whatever it was, Seattle
• 1:23:04
  Speaker 1: lost that game in a shootout that busted up their
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 1: winning streak. A lot of times when a team loses
• 1:23:09
  Speaker 1: the winning streak, though have a hangover to the next game,
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 1: But in this game, I don't know, man. They do
• 1:23:15
  Speaker 1: face Vancouver tomorrow, though, which worries me a little bit
• 1:23:18
  Speaker 1: that there's a little bit of a quick revenge look ahead. Hear,
• 1:23:21
  Speaker 1: maybe for Seattle, but I think the fact that they
• 1:23:23
  Speaker 1: had multiple days off and haven't played since Monday, I
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 1: think it kind of helped them refocus on hockey. And
• 1:23:29
  Speaker 1: maybe I don't know, man, because again, they weren't on
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 1: a losing streak though, so I worry because when you're
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 1: on a losing streak, the rest really helps bust that
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 1: thing up. When you had your win streak dashed in
• 1:23:41
  Speaker 1: the last game. I worry about that a little bit
• 1:23:44
  Speaker 1: more so. I like Seattle in the game generally, but
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna play the game. Nashville's up for minus
• 1:23:49
  Speaker 1: one ten to minus one eleven. The money is actually
• 1:23:51
  Speaker 1: on Nashville. But I like Seattle in this game. You're
• 1:23:55
  Speaker 1: fading the public if you like Seattle as well. There's
• 1:23:57
  Speaker 1: no way that you can play Nashville as a road
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 1: after beating Vegas. No fuck that. Nashville seventy six percent
• 1:24:05
  Speaker 1: of tickets, ninety five percent of the cash on them.
• 1:24:07
  Speaker 1: I would not do it, Jeffrey. You're you're falling into
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 1: recency bias here. Man. Nashville is not as good as
• 1:24:15
  Speaker 1: they look recently. Even if maybe they're not as bad
• 1:24:17
  Speaker 1: as they looked earlier in the season, they're not this
• 1:24:19
  Speaker 1: good either. So yeah, the oddsmakers are telling you they're
• 1:24:22
  Speaker 1: better than Seattle. Fine, Seattle is ass, But I would
• 1:24:26
  Speaker 1: not play Nashville as a road favorite in that spot,
• 1:24:29
  Speaker 1: no way, especially when they've been hot and people are
• 1:24:32
  Speaker 1: kind of onto it now. I don't know, Zach. You
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 1: can go check out covered in Yuke on YouTube. It's
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 1: up there. It's on my Twitter as well. Dude, I've
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 1: done some weird stuff of them Metallica, uh saying anger
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 1: not one of the Metallica songs that you would think
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 1: would translate better, like until It Sleeps or Nothing Else
• 1:24:52
  Speaker 1: Matters or something like that. I could probably do those,
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 1: and I don't know. Until it Sleeps has some weird
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 1: chords in it though, And then yeah, down with the
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 1: sickness I've done. I've done break stuff Limp Biscuit, but
• 1:25:05
  Speaker 1: I did Kflas cover of it, which is more it
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 1: was easier to translate to ukulelea. Let's put it that way.
• 1:25:12
  Speaker 1: It's a softer break stuff. And then I've done what else.
• 1:25:17
  Speaker 1: I've done some slip knot, although I did Vermillion Part two,
• 1:25:20
  Speaker 1: which is a song that obviously translates to you because
• 1:25:24
  Speaker 1: it's a it's an acoustic song that doesn't sound like Slipknot,
• 1:25:27
  Speaker 1: sounds more like Stone Sour, which I've done Stone Sour
• 1:25:32
  Speaker 1: before as well. Bother works out pretty well, and then
• 1:25:36
  Speaker 1: I don't know, there's one other. There are a couple
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 1: of just oh well I did of course, I fairly
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 1: famously did Freak on a Leash, so that one is
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 1: out there somewhere as well. Corn I've done that, and
• 1:25:48
  Speaker 1: I did corn Thoughtless as well. Freak on a Leash
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 1: is the more famous song, though, so people tend to
• 1:25:54
  Speaker 1: be into that one more that I tried to do
• 1:25:56
  Speaker 1: the John of the Davis vocal breakdown. Leave me alone,
• 1:26:01
  Speaker 1: all right. We have NBA, We have a little bit
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 1: of NBA. I don't love this NBA board at all.
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 1: And again, if I was gonna play a hockey game,
• 1:26:08
  Speaker 1: I think Outaw was the best hockey side of the day.
• 1:26:11
  Speaker 1: But I'm leaving it alone. I'm leaving NBA alone as well.
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 1: NBA is all evening games. One early ish evening game
• 1:26:17
  Speaker 1: at six PM between Houston and Brooklyn. Great game here.
• 1:26:22
  Speaker 1: Houston is coming into this game off of beating Indiana
• 1:26:25
  Speaker 1: by seven. It was kind of an iffy spot for
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 1: Houston coming up beating the Lakers and then Cleveland. But
• 1:26:32
  Speaker 1: now they're playing Brooklyn. I mean, I don't really see
• 1:26:34
  Speaker 1: them putting much focus into this game. Houston does play
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 1: Dallas next, which is at least a Texas rivalry, so
• 1:26:41
  Speaker 1: debatably that's a look ahead, just because this Brooklyn game
• 1:26:43
  Speaker 1: is probably totally meaningless. Brooklyn is staying at home and
• 1:26:47
  Speaker 1: they haven't played since Monday. They took a loss of
• 1:26:50
  Speaker 1: Golden State on Monday. I don't know where SOB is.
• 1:26:54
  Speaker 1: I mean, I could whisper this game if you want,
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 1: but if you want to try to play every Nets game,
• 1:26:59
  Speaker 1: you're probably gonna wind up in the poorhouse. Though again,
• 1:27:02
  Speaker 1: like I try to pick the spots, like, it doesn't
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 1: matter what team it is. I'm looking at the spots here, man,
• 1:27:07
  Speaker 1: But I would expect Brooklyn to play better than they
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 1: did in that last game. And I think it's a
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 1: spot where I don't really see why Houston would really
• 1:27:14
  Speaker 1: show up with a lot of focus in this game.
• 1:27:16
  Speaker 1: Brooklyn coming off that ugly loss, is staying at home
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 1: with extra time off to break that losing momentum, whatever,
• 1:27:23
  Speaker 1: you gotta probably take the points with the Nets or
• 1:27:25
  Speaker 1: leave the game alone. It's a pretty low total by
• 1:27:28
  Speaker 1: NBA standards as well, to eighteen and a half, so
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 1: makes it a little bit more tempting to take points.
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 1: Double digit spread here, Rockets are up to eleven and
• 1:27:36
  Speaker 1: a half maybe twelve, sixty four percent of the tickets
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 1: on the Rockets fifty two percent of the cash on
• 1:27:42
  Speaker 1: the Nets. So there is that ticket versus cash dichotomy
• 1:27:47
  Speaker 1: In that game, the cash split is indicating on the nets.
• 1:27:50
  Speaker 1: I don't disagree with that. Jeffrey likes Thank you Hindi
• 1:27:54
  Speaker 1: and what's up man? Thanks for checking out the show.
• 1:27:56
  Speaker 1: Even dude, even though you're you're a Hindu Indian, you
• 1:27:59
  Speaker 1: still like me? What Jeffrey likes? The Kings and the Jazz?
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 1: All right, I'm not man, I don't know. I'm not
• 1:28:09
  Speaker 1: so sure Kings. Yeah, I probably agree with the Kings,
• 1:28:14
  Speaker 1: but I don't love it. Miami at the Pistons here, Miami,
• 1:28:19
  Speaker 1: they're coming off smashing Denver. And that was the game
• 1:28:21
  Speaker 1: where Yokic got hurt. Of course, so I'm thinking, oh,
• 1:28:24
  Speaker 1: by the way, what did Denver do yesterday? I want
• 1:28:26
  Speaker 1: to see how Oh yeah, so I was right, Yeah,
• 1:28:29
  Speaker 1: Denver they won in the injured player theory. Spot Man,
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 1: that's a strong angle. Didn't give it out as a play,
• 1:28:35
  Speaker 1: but I was corrected that lean yesterday, Denver outright win Toronto.
• 1:28:39
  Speaker 1: They're not very good at home, man, Denver's good on
• 1:28:41
  Speaker 1: the road. But anyway, Miami huge win over Denver. Dude,
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 1: Denver's been a team that's kind of had Miami's number
• 1:28:48
  Speaker 1: over the recent years too. Miami slaughtered them one hundred
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 1: and forty seven to one hundred and twenty three, so
• 1:28:53
  Speaker 1: you got to think they're feeling high on themselves. It's
• 1:28:56
  Speaker 1: a weird travel spot, a single road, single game roads
• 1:29:00
  Speaker 1: to Detroit. But the problem is are they really going
• 1:29:02
  Speaker 1: to overlook Detroit? Probably not. And they've been off since Monday,
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 1: although I think that's kind of a negative that can
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 1: kind of hurt their momentum because they've won three games
• 1:29:10
  Speaker 1: in a row. So there are definitely some negatives to
• 1:29:13
  Speaker 1: the spot for Miami here, which is why I don't
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 1: love this, because when you first look at this, you
• 1:29:18
  Speaker 1: think that this has to be a fade of the
• 1:29:20
  Speaker 1: Pistons here because they were turning over from a road
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 1: trip and it's not as long as it looked like though,
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 1: because of course the Christmas break came in in the
• 1:29:28
  Speaker 1: middle of these road games here, so they actually were
• 1:29:30
  Speaker 1: only returning from a three game road trip where they
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 1: went to Utah and then two games in LA so
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 1: it's not as much of a road trip return spot. Still,
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 1: they've been off since last Friday, so they've been off
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 1: for almost a week. They're still returning over from a
• 1:29:43
  Speaker 1: road trip, which could still be a bit of a
• 1:29:45
  Speaker 1: distracted spot, and they finished the road trip by beating
• 1:29:48
  Speaker 1: the Lakers, which is a huge win. I talked about
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 1: that game on Tuesday. I got it correct. I lean
• 1:29:53
  Speaker 1: Pistons in that game, we got it right. I mean
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 1: they were coming up a hideous loss to the Clippers
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 1: in the game before that. I think Detroit just had
• 1:30:01
  Speaker 1: all their focus on LA. Man, but we know LA
• 1:30:04
  Speaker 1: is also short on the Lakers. Excuse me, I gotta
• 1:30:08
  Speaker 1: keep dude. I gotta stop calling every LA team just
• 1:30:11
  Speaker 1: LA when there's more than one. And I think it's
• 1:30:14
  Speaker 1: hilarious by the way that on ESPN here they have
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 1: the Clippers listed as just LA and they have the
• 1:30:21
  Speaker 1: Lakers listed as Los Angeles whatever. But that was a
• 1:30:25
  Speaker 1: huge win for Detroit, man, and I think they had
• 1:30:27
  Speaker 1: all their focus on the Lakers. We know the Lakers
• 1:30:29
  Speaker 1: are without Reeves, and I think Hochi mora right now. Though.
• 1:30:33
  Speaker 1: Huge win for the Pistons though, which I believe was also.
• 1:30:37
  Speaker 1: I think that was on Lebron's forty first birthday too,
• 1:30:40
  Speaker 1: so kind of an interesting series, like I don't know,
• 1:30:44
  Speaker 1: an interesting event how it lined up there, But Detroit
• 1:30:48
  Speaker 1: won the game. They could be in a letdown spot
• 1:30:50
  Speaker 1: here and they do play Cleveland next, and it's possible
• 1:30:52
  Speaker 1: they put more stock into that game, and then they
• 1:30:55
  Speaker 1: play the Knicks the day after that, so they might
• 1:30:57
  Speaker 1: consider both of those games to be bigger than this
• 1:30:59
  Speaker 1: Myami game because Miami has been kind of a middling team.
• 1:31:04
  Speaker 1: So I actually think Miami is actually the lead in
• 1:31:06
  Speaker 1: this game, believe it or not, even though they're coming
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 1: off that huge win over Denver. I think the Piston
• 1:31:12
  Speaker 1: spot is actually worse. The money actually agrees with it.
• 1:31:15
  Speaker 1: The Piston is down from six to five year, fifty
• 1:31:17
  Speaker 1: nine percent of the tickets on Detroit, but sixty four
• 1:31:19
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the Heat, So the money
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 1: is saying the Heat. I don't disagree, but it's a
• 1:31:25
  Speaker 1: it's a tough it's it's a tough one to make
• 1:31:28
  Speaker 1: a call on memory. The Heat are also kind of
• 1:31:30
  Speaker 1: in a bad spot, so I don't love it. Thank you, sir, Hindy,
• 1:31:35
  Speaker 1: and I appreciate it. Man, I'm trying to see what
• 1:31:37
  Speaker 1: you're uh what is your avatar? Then?
• 1:31:39
  Speaker 2: Man?
• 1:31:40
  Speaker 1: Does that say Kings of Comedy? What is that? I
• 1:31:42
  Speaker 1: don't know. I'll have to look at your profile after
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 1: this on Twitter. Man, thanks for checking out the show.
• 1:31:48
  Speaker 1: All right, we got Philadelphia Jefferies team there the seventy
• 1:31:53
  Speaker 1: seventy six ers at Dallas. Here this is also kind
• 1:31:57
  Speaker 1: of a quick rematch scenario. Philadelphia beat Dallas in Philly
• 1:32:01
  Speaker 1: back on December twentieth. For what it's worth, I don't
• 1:32:04
  Speaker 1: know how much that's really worth, but it could mean
• 1:32:06
  Speaker 1: that maybe Dallas will make some adjustments here. Now. The
• 1:32:09
  Speaker 1: spot for Philly isn't really great as they're playing a
• 1:32:13
  Speaker 1: third second game in three days, excuse me, and they
• 1:32:16
  Speaker 1: just won in overtime at Memphis, so they pulled off
• 1:32:18
  Speaker 1: a mild upset there, I believe on the road against Memphis.
• 1:32:23
  Speaker 1: I think Zachias was zach Giedi still out in that game.
• 1:32:26
  Speaker 1: I'm not sure because Embiid kind of had his way
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 1: in that game and had a double double in that game.
• 1:32:31
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia got the win, it was an overtime upset win.
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 1: Don't really know if they're gonna put a whole lot
• 1:32:36
  Speaker 1: of stock into this Dallas game, who they already beat,
• 1:32:39
  Speaker 1: as I said, not that long ago. So another reason
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 1: why that zigzag angle kind of works is that the
• 1:32:45
  Speaker 1: team that won might just overlook the team the next time,
• 1:32:47
  Speaker 1: and that might be the case here because Philly does
• 1:32:50
  Speaker 1: play the Knicks next in a couple of days. That's
• 1:32:52
  Speaker 1: a huge game, and then Denver after that, which I
• 1:32:55
  Speaker 1: know it's gonna be Denver without Jokic now, but the
• 1:32:57
  Speaker 1: Knicks are a huge game, even though they did beat
• 1:32:59
  Speaker 1: the Knick recently as well, but that is just a
• 1:33:02
  Speaker 1: much bigger game. It's an Eastern Conference game, so I
• 1:33:04
  Speaker 1: could see Philly overlooking Dallas here. Now for Dallas, I
• 1:33:09
  Speaker 1: think the spot does set up a little bit better
• 1:33:10
  Speaker 1: for them. But they're returning over from a road trip,
• 1:33:13
  Speaker 1: and you know, I warn against playing on teams that
• 1:33:16
  Speaker 1: return on from road trips very rarely that I'm gonna
• 1:33:19
  Speaker 1: be on a team like actually on my card that
• 1:33:21
  Speaker 1: returns on from a road trip. Their road trip also
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 1: started on Christmas, so kind of a weird scenario where
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 1: it's like, well, when did they celebrate Christmas? Was it
• 1:33:30
  Speaker 1: before the road trip or after? I don't know, because
• 1:33:32
  Speaker 1: before the road trip they were also away, and they
• 1:33:34
  Speaker 1: were only home on the twenty third, and they had
• 1:33:37
  Speaker 1: to play against Denver and they actually sawhow won that game,
• 1:33:40
  Speaker 1: even though it lukekek was gonna be a distracted spot
• 1:33:42
  Speaker 1: and they went back out on the road. They lost
• 1:33:44
  Speaker 1: all three games on the road, had that big game
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 1: on Christmas that they lost, and then I think they
• 1:33:48
  Speaker 1: were kind of just hung over in the next game
• 1:33:50
  Speaker 1: against Sacramento, and then I actually gave out Dallas as
• 1:33:53
  Speaker 1: a play in the next game against Portland and they
• 1:33:55
  Speaker 1: pushed on the plus three. They weren't exactly great in
• 1:33:59
  Speaker 1: the game against Portland, So I mean, it kind of
• 1:34:02
  Speaker 1: looks like maybe they would bounce back in a spot
• 1:34:05
  Speaker 1: like this, But again, you gotta worry about it a
• 1:34:07
  Speaker 1: little bit. When it's a team returning over from a
• 1:34:09
  Speaker 1: road trip, they've been away for a week. They have
• 1:34:11
  Speaker 1: to get back to home life. They might actually use
• 1:34:13
  Speaker 1: this time to celebrate Christmas, because I'm guessing they probably
• 1:34:17
  Speaker 1: didn't do it before they went out for the break,
• 1:34:19
  Speaker 1: and they were probably doing it here because they've been
• 1:34:22
  Speaker 1: off since Monday. Now, the fact that they've been off
• 1:34:24
  Speaker 1: since Monday might help as well because it'll break their
• 1:34:27
  Speaker 1: losing momentum. But they also have Houston next, which could
• 1:34:30
  Speaker 1: be a bit of a look ahead spot. But then again,
• 1:34:33
  Speaker 1: they also might make adjustments to the fact that they
• 1:34:35
  Speaker 1: lost in Philly, and maybe they'll show up with a
• 1:34:38
  Speaker 1: better effort this time against Philly. And with some things
• 1:34:41
  Speaker 1: that Philly doesn't expect, really really difficult read in this game. Now,
• 1:34:45
  Speaker 1: for some reason, Philly flipped from a one point dog
• 1:34:47
  Speaker 1: to to and a half point favorite. I'm guessing it
• 1:34:50
  Speaker 1: was probably because it's probably an embiid or something like
• 1:34:53
  Speaker 1: that was probably initially not gonna play and now he is,
• 1:34:56
  Speaker 1: or something like that, because I really don't see a
• 1:34:58
  Speaker 1: whole lot going on in the injury report in this
• 1:35:00
  Speaker 1: game that we don't already know about. But the money
• 1:35:03
  Speaker 1: is agreeing with the MAVs here sixty six percent of
• 1:35:06
  Speaker 1: the tickets on the seventy six ers and fifty eight
• 1:35:09
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the MAVs. I'm not gonna
• 1:35:13
  Speaker 1: disagree with the MAVs in this one, but it's a
• 1:35:15
  Speaker 1: it's really difficult to actually come in and grab the
• 1:35:18
  Speaker 1: MAVs in that one in the spot that they're in,
• 1:35:20
  Speaker 1: so I can't play the game. But the money is
• 1:35:22
  Speaker 1: agreeing on the MAVs for now, for what it's worth.
• 1:35:25
  Speaker 1: My Boston Celtics are at Sacramento. You know, I don't
• 1:35:31
  Speaker 1: know about the Sacramento side in this one. The Celtics, Yeah,
• 1:35:33
  Speaker 1: they beat Utah in the last game, but I wasn't
• 1:35:36
  Speaker 1: like totally on point with that one. I know the
• 1:35:38
  Speaker 1: Celtics covered in the end. I got the game right,
• 1:35:41
  Speaker 1: but the Celtics fell into a hole early in that game,
• 1:35:43
  Speaker 1: and they really never had a huge margin there. I
• 1:35:46
  Speaker 1: think they were winning by at most like eleven or
• 1:35:48
  Speaker 1: twelve in the game that won by ten. They never
• 1:35:51
  Speaker 1: actually had a huge margin, even though they did cover,
• 1:35:53
  Speaker 1: and they were hovering right around that number the whole game.
• 1:35:56
  Speaker 1: So it was a the game was really close to
• 1:35:58
  Speaker 1: the line the whole time. But the Celtics did get
• 1:36:01
  Speaker 1: the win against Utah. Now they have a day off,
• 1:36:03
  Speaker 1: they're going out to the west coast of Sacramento. Now,
• 1:36:07
  Speaker 1: Sacramento they're an easy team to overlook. I know that,
• 1:36:10
  Speaker 1: like their top two players are still out some Bonus
• 1:36:12
  Speaker 1: and Levine they're not playing here. Definitely an easy team
• 1:36:15
  Speaker 1: to overlook. But Sacramento is also a thin roster and
• 1:36:19
  Speaker 1: they're just not that good, which I know that's being
• 1:36:22
  Speaker 1: factored into the line. But Celtics also don't have really
• 1:36:25
  Speaker 1: a look ahead here. I wouldn't say the Celtics they
• 1:36:29
  Speaker 1: want to win on the road trip at the very least,
• 1:36:31
  Speaker 1: and if they win this, they'll clinch the road trip,
• 1:36:33
  Speaker 1: and they are probably not looking ahead to the Clippers,
• 1:36:35
  Speaker 1: to be honest, because I mean it's the Clippers. I mean,
• 1:36:38
  Speaker 1: come on. The Celtics did have a close call against
• 1:36:41
  Speaker 1: the Clippers at home though, beating them only by three,
• 1:36:44
  Speaker 1: but that was a while ago, so I don't know
• 1:36:45
  Speaker 1: if they're really gonna put that much weight into that
• 1:36:48
  Speaker 1: now for Sacramento, Yeah, they just got smoked by the
• 1:36:51
  Speaker 1: Clippers a couple of days ago. They were returning from
• 1:36:53
  Speaker 1: a road trip technically, but they're staying in California, but
• 1:36:57
  Speaker 1: they're going from southern California back to northern California here.
• 1:37:00
  Speaker 1: They they only went to La though it wasn't a
• 1:37:03
  Speaker 1: long road trip, so it's not really one of those
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 1: full road trip or turn spots. Although it's one of
• 1:37:08
  Speaker 1: these weird situations where they only are at home for
• 1:37:10
  Speaker 1: one day basically two days, and they have to get
• 1:37:13
  Speaker 1: stuff done at home. Whatever they have to get done
• 1:37:15
  Speaker 1: at home has to get done, and they go back
• 1:37:17
  Speaker 1: out on the road to face Phoenix next. Kind of weird.
• 1:37:20
  Speaker 1: They're not gonna overlook the Celtics. I don't know. I mean,
• 1:37:24
  Speaker 1: it's a difficult read, and yes, I guess I would
• 1:37:26
  Speaker 1: say that because Sacramento got drilled by the Clippers in
• 1:37:30
  Speaker 1: their last game, it should be a spot where they
• 1:37:32
  Speaker 1: show up with more focus. Nobody wants to lose by
• 1:37:34
  Speaker 1: forty one points, so they should show up with focus. Here.
• 1:37:39
  Speaker 1: The money is somewhat coming in on the Celtics, even
• 1:37:42
  Speaker 1: though they're public. They're up from eight to nine and
• 1:37:44
  Speaker 1: a half here, eighty one percent of the tickets on them,
• 1:37:46
  Speaker 1: eighty eight percent of the cash on the Celtics. Money
• 1:37:50
  Speaker 1: is somewhat on the side of the Celtics right now.
• 1:37:51
  Speaker 1: I slightly disagree. I slightly lean to the Kings in
• 1:37:55
  Speaker 1: this one, but it's not a strong opinion for me
• 1:37:58
  Speaker 1: about I just don't really see the Celtics being in
• 1:38:00
  Speaker 1: that bad of a spot. The Celtics, I mean, they're
• 1:38:03
  Speaker 1: coming off kind of an ugly effort against the Jazz
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 1: in the last game. Kings, I know they're coming off
• 1:38:08
  Speaker 1: a much uglier effort, that's true. But if both teams
• 1:38:12
  Speaker 1: are gonna kind of show some focus in this game,
• 1:38:15
  Speaker 1: it'll be difficult for the Kings to actually be able
• 1:38:17
  Speaker 1: to do it against a far better team. It all
• 1:38:20
  Speaker 1: depends on the motivation I think in this one, man
• 1:38:23
  Speaker 1: it comes down to will the Celtics show up, Like
• 1:38:25
  Speaker 1: I think the Kings will show up. But if the
• 1:38:28
  Speaker 1: Celtics do show up, the Kings are gonna, I think
• 1:38:30
  Speaker 1: gonna have a little bit of difficulty. So we will say, yes,
• 1:38:34
  Speaker 1: they have to beat up the Maid, which is probably
• 1:38:38
  Speaker 1: I don't know, racist in some way as well, because
• 1:38:40
  Speaker 1: you know, the maid is a Latina woman like in family. No. No,
• 1:38:48
  Speaker 1: like in family. No. All right, Utah Jazz are at
• 1:38:53
  Speaker 1: the Clippers. You know, I don't really think I like
• 1:38:56
  Speaker 1: the jazz in this spot. I think I actually really
• 1:38:59
  Speaker 1: kind of like the jazz here. I like the music.
• 1:39:02
  Speaker 1: I don't like the jazz in this spot. I mean
• 1:39:05
  Speaker 1: they really I would say they didn't really suffer a
• 1:39:08
  Speaker 1: letdown off of that game against San Antonio, even though
• 1:39:10
  Speaker 1: you cannot possibly play the jazz off of that San
• 1:39:13
  Speaker 1: Antonio game. And yes, the Celtics did cover, but the
• 1:39:16
  Speaker 1: Jazz played pretty tough in the game against the Celtics.
• 1:39:19
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna lie. Now. They're going back out on
• 1:39:22
  Speaker 1: the road, and usually I talk about how a road
• 1:39:23
  Speaker 1: trip start is usually a focused spot, but I'm really
• 1:39:27
  Speaker 1: gonna be focused on the Clippers. I know they're on
• 1:39:29
  Speaker 1: a hot streak right now, but the record is still
• 1:39:31
  Speaker 1: atrocious and you tastill as Golden State next, who still
• 1:39:35
  Speaker 1: gets all this name recognition, and coming off that big
• 1:39:38
  Speaker 1: game against Boston. I could see an argument that this
• 1:39:41
  Speaker 1: is actually a sandwich spot. Clippers are coming up that
• 1:39:44
  Speaker 1: really easy win over the Kings. But I don't know, man,
• 1:39:49
  Speaker 1: I mean, do you really get like that high on
• 1:39:51
  Speaker 1: yourselves after crushing the Kings? Maybe because you won by
• 1:39:54
  Speaker 1: forty one, But I think the Clippers, you could argue
• 1:39:58
  Speaker 1: they are gonna be looking ahead to the Celtics, Golden
• 1:40:01
  Speaker 1: State and New York. I mean that's the main argument
• 1:40:03
  Speaker 1: that I see against the Clippers in this game is
• 1:40:05
  Speaker 1: that it's a look at spot. But I think the
• 1:40:07
  Speaker 1: look ahead is weak, a weaker argument than who did
• 1:40:10
  Speaker 1: you just play? It's tough, man. The money is agreeing
• 1:40:16
  Speaker 1: with Jeffrey on the Jazz here. I kind of disagree
• 1:40:20
  Speaker 1: the Clippers. They're twelve and a half point favorite here,
• 1:40:24
  Speaker 1: which just looks bizarre, like the public is gonna look
• 1:40:27
  Speaker 1: at this game and think, how could you possibly lay
• 1:40:30
  Speaker 1: twelve and a half with an eleven and twenty one
• 1:40:32
  Speaker 1: team against a twelve and twenty team? You know, the
• 1:40:35
  Speaker 1: line just looks crazy, like there's something really weird about
• 1:40:38
  Speaker 1: this line. It looks almost impossible to lay the points here,
• 1:40:42
  Speaker 1: so I will throw that out there. The Jazz are
• 1:40:45
  Speaker 1: also significantly worse on the road than they are at
• 1:40:48
  Speaker 1: home four and nine on the road. The Clippers is
• 1:40:50
  Speaker 1: still alright at home at seven and eight. They're actually
• 1:40:53
  Speaker 1: still better at home than on the road. I know
• 1:40:55
  Speaker 1: the Clippers have looked better than they actually are probably recently,
• 1:40:58
  Speaker 1: although to start the season they look worse than they
• 1:41:02
  Speaker 1: actually are. So but right now they have momentum. And
• 1:41:05
  Speaker 1: I will point out that in the first half of
• 1:41:07
  Speaker 1: the NBA season, when you have a team on a
• 1:41:09
  Speaker 1: three plus game win streak and they're a favorite, they
• 1:41:13
  Speaker 1: actually tend to do pretty well. I believe is a
• 1:41:16
  Speaker 1: trend in the NBA. I have to look at up
• 1:41:17
  Speaker 1: that trend again. I think it applies more to smaller favorites, though,
• 1:41:21
  Speaker 1: But I think I disagree with the market in that,
• 1:41:23
  Speaker 1: And I think I would probably lay the points to
• 1:41:25
  Speaker 1: the Clippers if I was gonna play it, but I
• 1:41:27
  Speaker 1: do not want to. And now we have what everybody wants.
• 1:41:30
  Speaker 1: We have the college Bowl games here. The first game
• 1:41:33
  Speaker 1: is coming up in less than an hour, so you know,
• 1:41:35
  Speaker 1: I have to get this out here, and of course
• 1:41:39
  Speaker 1: pregame is not behaving for me here, so I have
• 1:41:43
  Speaker 1: to refresh this thing. I hate when that happens. I think,
• 1:41:46
  Speaker 1: I don't know, something just messes up on the page.
• 1:41:48
  Speaker 1: Here is the money being kind of square? Maybe? I mean,
• 1:41:57
  Speaker 1: I don't know, I mean professional money. I'm not gonna
• 1:41:59
  Speaker 1: say square money. But it's like, I don't know, like
• 1:42:03
  Speaker 1: can professionals be square? I don't know, Like how do
• 1:42:05
  Speaker 1: you define squarely? I usually kind of just use it
• 1:42:08
  Speaker 1: to me and the recreational bets. I don't think the
• 1:42:10
  Speaker 1: recreational betters are really playing that game to a large extent,
• 1:42:14
  Speaker 1: So I don't know. It's a little bit difficult. Man.
• 1:42:19
  Speaker 1: Let's get into this. We're gonna have a best bet
• 1:42:21
  Speaker 1: here in this one. I'm actually getting a better number
• 1:42:23
  Speaker 1: on it now, which I like, So let's get to
• 1:42:26
  Speaker 1: the best bets. I thought it might continue to go up, man,
• 1:42:28
  Speaker 1: but there's a I'm gonna tell you there's a difference
• 1:42:30
  Speaker 1: of opinion in this game. Because we're gonna be on
• 1:42:34
  Speaker 1: on the Oregon side in this one, and hopefully I
• 1:42:37
  Speaker 1: can repeat what I did last year when I gave
• 1:42:40
  Speaker 1: you guys or Ohio State last year was my first
• 1:42:43
  Speaker 1: football play of the New year. We had a good
• 1:42:46
  Speaker 1: New Year's Day, I think, especially because it was capped
• 1:42:49
  Speaker 1: by that Ohio State blowout win over Oregon in the
• 1:42:53
  Speaker 1: Rose Bawl. We had that win. Public was really in
• 1:42:56
  Speaker 1: love with Oregon last year and this year they're not,
• 1:42:58
  Speaker 1: by the way, and Ohio State was just the better team, man,
• 1:43:02
  Speaker 1: and they smoked Oregon in that game. So that was
• 1:43:05
  Speaker 1: a very satisfying win that I gave out on the
• 1:43:08
  Speaker 1: show with that one. One of the last actual bets
• 1:43:11
  Speaker 1: that I made. Actually it was a few months before
• 1:43:14
  Speaker 1: I got canned. But yes, Oregon, they're a one point
• 1:43:18
  Speaker 1: favorite here, and we've seen interesting live movement in the game.
• 1:43:21
  Speaker 1: Where they opened as a one point favorite, they actually
• 1:43:24
  Speaker 1: got as high as three. I think it hit three
• 1:43:26
  Speaker 1: very very briefly this morning. It was teetering on the
• 1:43:29
  Speaker 1: edge and it went to three, and as soon as
• 1:43:31
  Speaker 1: it hit three, the threes got all gobbled up and
• 1:43:35
  Speaker 1: it went all the way back to one. But you
• 1:43:37
  Speaker 1: still see the cash on the Oregon side. So the
• 1:43:40
  Speaker 1: market has been weird in this game. Fifty four percent
• 1:43:42
  Speaker 1: of tickets on Texas Tech fifty five percent of the
• 1:43:45
  Speaker 1: cash on Oregon. Now, I don't like the fact that
• 1:43:47
  Speaker 1: all the professionals that I listened to all seem to
• 1:43:50
  Speaker 1: like Texas Tech in this game, and I don't understand
• 1:43:53
  Speaker 1: it really, even because I do situational handicap and I've
• 1:43:56
  Speaker 1: learned from the best. Marco D'Angelo over at wager Talk,
• 1:44:01
  Speaker 1: he's a situational capra. But I saw him analyze this
• 1:44:04
  Speaker 1: game and he gave out the same situational analysis that
• 1:44:07
  Speaker 1: I have for this game. But then it's like, my
• 1:44:10
  Speaker 1: power ratings must be different than these guys or something,
• 1:44:12
  Speaker 1: because he then said, but I still like Texas Tech
• 1:44:15
  Speaker 1: because I think you're getting value on them, and I
• 1:44:17
  Speaker 1: think they're actually the better team. I'm gonna push back
• 1:44:20
  Speaker 1: on that. I'm gonna say Oregon is the better team
• 1:44:22
  Speaker 1: here and they should be a slight favorite in this game,
• 1:44:25
  Speaker 1: which I'm gonna talk about in a second. Some of
• 1:44:27
  Speaker 1: it has to do with experience and strength of schedule
• 1:44:30
  Speaker 1: as well, which I think is very heavily in favor
• 1:44:32
  Speaker 1: of Oregon here, and I don't think he would disagree
• 1:44:35
  Speaker 1: with that. But I also saw some of the other
• 1:44:37
  Speaker 1: guys over there. I saw nobody actually give an opinion
• 1:44:39
  Speaker 1: on Oregon in this game out of the professionals that
• 1:44:42
  Speaker 1: I listened to, I mean, which worries me a little bit.
• 1:44:44
  Speaker 1: But I'm going with what I've done for a long,
• 1:44:48
  Speaker 1: long time, man, And this is the situation that we
• 1:44:51
  Speaker 1: have here now after Ohio State lost yesterday. By the way,
• 1:44:55
  Speaker 1: the team's coming into this quarterfinal round in college football
• 1:44:59
  Speaker 1: in the playoffs since they've changed over to the playoffs
• 1:45:02
  Speaker 1: their own five straight up now, But you do have
• 1:45:05
  Speaker 1: to take that with a little bit of grain of salt,
• 1:45:07
  Speaker 1: because last year, two of the teams that had buys
• 1:45:10
  Speaker 1: last year shouldn't have. Two of them were the were
• 1:45:14
  Speaker 1: Arizona State because they got an auto by just because
• 1:45:17
  Speaker 1: they won the Big Twelve championship. It was a very
• 1:45:19
  Speaker 1: weak conference. And I know they made that huge comeback
• 1:45:22
  Speaker 1: and gave Texas a massive scare, but Texas was about
• 1:45:25
  Speaker 1: to put that game away and scatabooza skit scatabooed all
• 1:45:30
  Speaker 1: over the place and a bunch of crazy stuff happened.
• 1:45:32
  Speaker 1: Should have been an easier win for Texas, And then
• 1:45:34
  Speaker 1: of course Boise State was massively outmatched by Penn State.
• 1:45:38
  Speaker 1: I believe last year but college football change the playoff
• 1:45:44
  Speaker 1: structure again, So those teams got auto bids just because
• 1:45:47
  Speaker 1: they won the Mountain West and the Big Twelve last year,
• 1:45:50
  Speaker 1: so this year they didn't do that. So those teams
• 1:45:53
  Speaker 1: this year got the last seeds in and of course
• 1:45:55
  Speaker 1: they still got blown out, but of course that changes
• 1:45:58
  Speaker 1: that trend a little bit, like that's part of the
• 1:46:00
  Speaker 1: reason why the teams that got buys are zero and five,
• 1:46:03
  Speaker 1: Like these are neutral site games, and of course both
• 1:46:07
  Speaker 1: Arizona State and Boise State were both double digit dogs
• 1:46:11
  Speaker 1: in those games, like they were not expected to win obviously,
• 1:46:14
  Speaker 1: but the other games that were kind of toss up
• 1:46:17
  Speaker 1: games all went towards the teams that already had a
• 1:46:20
  Speaker 1: game under their belt as well. And yesterday we saw
• 1:46:22
  Speaker 1: now the biggest upset that we've seen in this college
• 1:46:25
  Speaker 1: playoff structure easily so far, with what I think is
• 1:46:28
  Speaker 1: legitimately the number one power rated team, Ohio State went
• 1:46:31
  Speaker 1: down against Miami, which is potentially gonna set up an
• 1:46:36
  Speaker 1: interesting scenario with Carson Beck facing his former team, And
• 1:46:40
  Speaker 1: maybe I'll talk about that when I talk about the
• 1:46:43
  Speaker 1: Georgia game, as far as it might be a little
• 1:46:44
  Speaker 1: bit rigged now in this game. I like Oregon, and
• 1:46:49
  Speaker 1: what I was alluding to is Oregon just played like
• 1:46:52
  Speaker 1: a week and a half or less than a week
• 1:46:54
  Speaker 1: and a half ago, And I think that's good because
• 1:46:56
  Speaker 1: you do not want to be a team coming into
• 1:46:57
  Speaker 1: a game like this with a massive layoff. So one
• 1:47:01
  Speaker 1: huge positive already for Oregon is they already played a
• 1:47:03
  Speaker 1: game and that gives you a momentum. And even though
• 1:47:06
  Speaker 1: they scored a ton of points, I think that the
• 1:47:08
  Speaker 1: public is gonna think they looked kind of bad because
• 1:47:11
  Speaker 1: Oregon didn't cover the spread. But I think Oregon just
• 1:47:14
  Speaker 1: eased up on the gas pedal at the end. You know,
• 1:47:17
  Speaker 1: they knew it was one of those games where they
• 1:47:18
  Speaker 1: knew they could get in, get out with a win
• 1:47:21
  Speaker 1: and not have to really focus really intensely on defense
• 1:47:24
  Speaker 1: in that game. I know Oregon is better offensively than defensively,
• 1:47:27
  Speaker 1: and usually I don't like teams that profile that way,
• 1:47:30
  Speaker 1: And but there's still kind of a balanced team. They're
• 1:47:32
  Speaker 1: still good on both sides of the football. So is
• 1:47:35
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech. But I think Oregon is actually just better
• 1:47:38
  Speaker 1: on both offense and defense. And I'll show you the
• 1:47:41
  Speaker 1: strength of schedule in a minute, which I think really
• 1:47:43
  Speaker 1: puts Oregon over the top a bit in this game.
• 1:47:46
  Speaker 1: And I think the power ratings guys that I look
• 1:47:47
  Speaker 1: at and the oddsmakers obviously all have Oregon as a
• 1:47:51
  Speaker 1: slight favorite over Texas Tech on a neutral here as
• 1:47:53
  Speaker 1: you can see. And I actually think the line might
• 1:47:56
  Speaker 1: not be high enough because the public is actually on
• 1:47:58
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech because they just liked Texas tex Record a
• 1:48:02
  Speaker 1: little bit more. And again I think they don't like
• 1:48:05
  Speaker 1: the fact that Oregon gave up thirty five points to
• 1:48:07
  Speaker 1: James Madison. But if you watch that game, James Madison
• 1:48:11
  Speaker 1: had a garbage time score to cover the number at
• 1:48:13
  Speaker 1: the end of the game. I think Oregon just started
• 1:48:16
  Speaker 1: looking ahead to this game already, like they just were like, whatever,
• 1:48:19
  Speaker 1: we won the game, we don't care anymore. And James
• 1:48:21
  Speaker 1: Madison puts some numbers up in garbage time in that game. Yes,
• 1:48:25
  Speaker 1: Oregon gave up a ton of yardage, I know, but
• 1:48:28
  Speaker 1: remember Oregon was coming into that game off a huge
• 1:48:31
  Speaker 1: layoff in that situation, so and a longer layoff than
• 1:48:35
  Speaker 1: James Madison had because James Madison played in the Sun
• 1:48:38
  Speaker 1: Belt Championship game while Oregon had been off for that woe.
• 1:48:41
  Speaker 1: Because Oregon was not in the Big Ten Championship. So
• 1:48:44
  Speaker 1: remember Oregon was coming into that game off a long layoff.
• 1:48:47
  Speaker 1: Now Oregon is not coming into this game off a
• 1:48:49
  Speaker 1: long layoff. They played, and I think they kind of
• 1:48:52
  Speaker 1: just treated that as kind of a tune up. Game
• 1:48:54
  Speaker 1: didn't look that great. So I think you're gonna see
• 1:48:56
  Speaker 1: a much better effort this time from Oregon coming into this.
• 1:48:59
  Speaker 1: And for Texas Tech, they have not played since the
• 1:49:02
  Speaker 1: Big twelve title game where they smoked BYU. They've been
• 1:49:06
  Speaker 1: off for almost a month. I think that's gonna be
• 1:49:08
  Speaker 1: really difficult. When this is a one loss team that's
• 1:49:11
  Speaker 1: won six games in a row and their loss came
• 1:49:13
  Speaker 1: in mid October and they have not suffered really any
• 1:49:16
  Speaker 1: adversity since then. It's gonna be difficult for Texas Tech. Man.
• 1:49:21
  Speaker 1: I think this could really really kind of stall their
• 1:49:23
  Speaker 1: momentum a bit. And I know Texas Tech has a
• 1:49:25
  Speaker 1: balanced offense. I know they have the ability to run
• 1:49:28
  Speaker 1: the football. They're not all finesse this year or anything
• 1:49:31
  Speaker 1: like that. I know, but that long layoff I think
• 1:49:34
  Speaker 1: is gonna hurt them. And then also they have a
• 1:49:36
  Speaker 1: week schedule. Like I said, their best wins all year.
• 1:49:39
  Speaker 1: Are at Utah was a really good win, although Utah
• 1:49:42
  Speaker 1: had a lot of turnovers in the game, and then
• 1:49:44
  Speaker 1: they beat BYU twice. But I think just Texas Tech
• 1:49:47
  Speaker 1: just matched up well against them. BYU. Yeah, they just
• 1:49:50
  Speaker 1: won the Pop Tarts Bowl. Whatever. BYU is not that
• 1:49:53
  Speaker 1: great of a team, even though I do like that
• 1:49:55
  Speaker 1: they have physicality. But whatever, Texas Tech was able to
• 1:49:59
  Speaker 1: beat YU a couple of times, and again those are
• 1:50:01
  Speaker 1: their best games on the entire schedule. Remember, they did
• 1:50:04
  Speaker 1: also take a loss to Arizona State, although granted Texas
• 1:50:08
  Speaker 1: Tech was without their quarterback in that game, Morton, So yes,
• 1:50:11
  Speaker 1: they're actually undefeated with Morton playing quarterback. But then again,
• 1:50:15
  Speaker 1: there's a lot of inexperience here, man, this Texas Tech team,
• 1:50:19
  Speaker 1: especially with Morton at the helm, they're not used to
• 1:50:22
  Speaker 1: having any adversity. Man. Like, they've had such easy wins.
• 1:50:26
  Speaker 1: I don't like that. Like, since they lost that game
• 1:50:28
  Speaker 1: in mid October their closest game, like, what was their
• 1:50:33
  Speaker 1: smallest margin of victory since then, it was by twenty
• 1:50:37
  Speaker 1: two against BYU. That was the smallest margin of victory,
• 1:50:40
  Speaker 1: So they've had no close games. I don't like that
• 1:50:43
  Speaker 1: because I think this is likely to be a close game.
• 1:50:46
  Speaker 1: I would have to imagine if Oregon State's not winning,
• 1:50:50
  Speaker 1: you know by I mean, I'm hoping that I'm right
• 1:50:52
  Speaker 1: about this, and that if one team is gonna be
• 1:50:54
  Speaker 1: running away with the game a little bit, it's gonna
• 1:50:56
  Speaker 1: be the Oregon side of things here. I'm hoping that's
• 1:50:58
  Speaker 1: gonna be the case. But I don't like a team
• 1:51:00
  Speaker 1: that's had basically no adversity, you know what I mean,
• 1:51:03
  Speaker 1: Like they're just not even used to playing in close games.
• 1:51:05
  Speaker 1: Then what happens when you get to a playoff and
• 1:51:07
  Speaker 1: you playoffs and you finally have to play a close
• 1:51:10
  Speaker 1: game and you're not used to it. I think that's bad.
• 1:51:13
  Speaker 1: So Oregon is the way more battle tested team here, Oregon,
• 1:51:18
  Speaker 1: and the public's gonna like that Texas Tech's higher ranked
• 1:51:20
  Speaker 1: than them, I'm not buying it. And Oregon actually is
• 1:51:23
  Speaker 1: only a one loss team as well. But look at
• 1:51:25
  Speaker 1: who they played. They played Penn State back when Penn
• 1:51:27
  Speaker 1: State was still looking to have playoff aspirations or whatever.
• 1:51:31
  Speaker 1: And I know Penn State fell apart and had a
• 1:51:33
  Speaker 1: bad season, but they bounced back a bit at the
• 1:51:35
  Speaker 1: end of the season. Penn State still is a super
• 1:51:38
  Speaker 1: talented team and Oregon going into Happy Valley and beating them.
• 1:51:42
  Speaker 1: That was still a really good win for Oregon in
• 1:51:45
  Speaker 1: that game. And yes, Oregon played a similarly week out
• 1:51:47
  Speaker 1: of conference schedule to Texas Tech. I know Texas Tech
• 1:51:50
  Speaker 1: was even weaker than Oregon's I think, well, I don't know.
• 1:51:55
  Speaker 1: I mean, Oregon played some weak ass teams as well,
• 1:51:58
  Speaker 1: because Northwestern was a conference. It was just weirdly early
• 1:52:01
  Speaker 1: in the season, so whatever. Both teams started off with
• 1:52:05
  Speaker 1: pretty easy games, but then Oregon played a lot of
• 1:52:07
  Speaker 1: teams that battle tested them. Man, they lost it home
• 1:52:10
  Speaker 1: to Indiana. We see how good Indiana is. Indiana is
• 1:52:13
  Speaker 1: a legit top two team in the country. Man, Oregon
• 1:52:16
  Speaker 1: lost to them at home. No shame in that. Oregon
• 1:52:19
  Speaker 1: beat Iowa on the road at Iowa, and they had
• 1:52:21
  Speaker 1: a really close game. We saw Iowa is quite good.
• 1:52:25
  Speaker 1: Nice game from them yesterday. I know you don't want
• 1:52:26
  Speaker 1: to put much weight into a bowl game where motivation
• 1:52:29
  Speaker 1: might be in question, but that Iowa team, we saw
• 1:52:31
  Speaker 1: them play really well against Indiana as well. Iowa absolutely legit,
• 1:52:36
  Speaker 1: especially on defense. Oregon, that was a nice win for
• 1:52:39
  Speaker 1: them on the road at Iowa. A tough tough environment
• 1:52:42
  Speaker 1: to go into there, and then Oregon did beat USC decisively,
• 1:52:47
  Speaker 1: nice win there. Winning on the road at Washington actually
• 1:52:50
  Speaker 1: was pretty solid as well. Washington pretty good team under
• 1:52:53
  Speaker 1: the radar, so Oregon they are much much more ballot tests.
• 1:52:56
  Speaker 1: And then of course Oregon was here last year, man,
• 1:53:00
  Speaker 1: and so we all remember it. Oregon not in this
• 1:53:03
  Speaker 1: I wish they were in the Rose Bowl here because
• 1:53:04
  Speaker 1: I would love it even more if they were in
• 1:53:06
  Speaker 1: the Rose Bowl and they returned to the actual scene
• 1:53:09
  Speaker 1: of the crime. That's not the case. They're playing in Miami.
• 1:53:11
  Speaker 1: This game is at the Orange Bowl, so the location
• 1:53:14
  Speaker 1: isn't really an edge for either team. I wouldn't say,
• 1:53:17
  Speaker 1: but for Oregon even though yes, they have to travel
• 1:53:20
  Speaker 1: from Oregon to Miami here, but they have since December
• 1:53:23
  Speaker 1: twentieth to do it, so they're fine anyway. Oregon in
• 1:53:27
  Speaker 1: the Rose Bowl last year, we know, they got absolutely
• 1:53:30
  Speaker 1: embarrassed by Ohio State in that game. So I think
• 1:53:32
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be out for redemption in this game. And
• 1:53:35
  Speaker 1: you know, Oregon must have a number of players that
• 1:53:37
  Speaker 1: were in that game last year. You know, I think
• 1:53:39
  Speaker 1: they have the same coach, they have a different quarterback.
• 1:53:42
  Speaker 1: I know because last year was Dylan Gabriel. This year
• 1:53:44
  Speaker 1: they have More, so I know More also isn't very
• 1:53:47
  Speaker 1: experienced as far as being in a game like this.
• 1:53:49
  Speaker 1: Both quarterbacks are not experienced in games like this. But
• 1:53:53
  Speaker 1: Oregon's players the program was in this exact spot last
• 1:53:57
  Speaker 1: year man and got embarrassed, so they have the experience.
• 1:54:00
  Speaker 1: It's Texas Tech this again, this is a Texas Tech team.
• 1:54:04
  Speaker 1: We don't even know. I really don't think we know
• 1:54:07
  Speaker 1: exactly what they are because they're just not that battle
• 1:54:09
  Speaker 1: test and they have not been a situation in a
• 1:54:11
  Speaker 1: situation like this before. They just basically fed the program
• 1:54:15
  Speaker 1: with all this oil money coming into this game, and
• 1:54:17
  Speaker 1: we're gonna see what happens. This game's on ESPN, by
• 1:54:20
  Speaker 1: the way, sponsored by Capitol I they're gonna have those
• 1:54:25
  Speaker 1: stupid credit card commercials running throughout the game here. But yeah,
• 1:54:29
  Speaker 1: I just like it for Oregon. Man. The fact that
• 1:54:31
  Speaker 1: they played more recently, I think that's a huge edge
• 1:54:34
  Speaker 1: for them, having that game out of the way. The
• 1:54:36
  Speaker 1: fact that they didn't look that great in the game,
• 1:54:38
  Speaker 1: I think is all right as well. I think they're
• 1:54:40
  Speaker 1: actually better than they looked in that game, and Texas
• 1:54:43
  Speaker 1: Tech and think could be a bit of a fish
• 1:54:45
  Speaker 1: out of water here, man. So experience matters in the
• 1:54:47
  Speaker 1: fact again that Oregon was here last year, and last year,
• 1:54:50
  Speaker 1: you remember, Oregon was the team of the public liked
• 1:54:53
  Speaker 1: last year in that game against Ohio State, and Oregon
• 1:54:55
  Speaker 1: was in the situation where they came in having all
• 1:54:59
  Speaker 1: that time off, they hadn't played since they had won
• 1:55:01
  Speaker 1: the Big Ten championship and hadn't played since then. Everybody
• 1:55:04
  Speaker 1: loved them at that point, and they were just flat.
• 1:55:07
  Speaker 1: They came in cold. This time. They're the team that's
• 1:55:10
  Speaker 1: on the opposite side of things this time, you know.
• 1:55:12
  Speaker 1: So it's almost flip flops. So last year the public
• 1:55:15
  Speaker 1: loved them and they were the team that had way
• 1:55:17
  Speaker 1: too much rest. They had rust this team, Texas Tech
• 1:55:20
  Speaker 1: is that side and Oregon State is on the opposite
• 1:55:22
  Speaker 1: side of things. So this really reminds me of that
• 1:55:25
  Speaker 1: game in a lot of ways. It's just that Oregon
• 1:55:27
  Speaker 1: is on the right side of it this time. So
• 1:55:29
  Speaker 1: that's what we're gonna go with. The under is getting
• 1:55:32
  Speaker 1: played in this game as well. Texas Tech. The total,
• 1:55:35
  Speaker 1: I mean, it's down from fifty two to fifty and
• 1:55:37
  Speaker 1: a half fifty one is a key number though, So
• 1:55:39
  Speaker 1: if you like the under, I mean, I think you
• 1:55:41
  Speaker 1: have to try to get the fifty one. I don't
• 1:55:42
  Speaker 1: know if it'll be out there anymore though, seventy percent,
• 1:55:45
  Speaker 1: I mean it might if the public starts getting involved
• 1:55:47
  Speaker 1: very late. Here seventy percent of tickets on the over,
• 1:55:50
  Speaker 1: fifty two percent of the cash on the under. But yes,
• 1:55:53
  Speaker 1: Oregon will be my play for the playoff slate today here.
• 1:55:57
  Speaker 1: Hopefully we can get it done. Man, that's the one
• 1:55:59
  Speaker 1: that I have my eye on. I like it. It
• 1:56:01
  Speaker 1: was one of those games where when I filled out
• 1:56:02
  Speaker 1: my bracket, that was one of those like leverage spots
• 1:56:06
  Speaker 1: where it's like the public's gonna be on Texas Tech
• 1:56:07
  Speaker 1: and Oregon is probably actually gonna be favored here and
• 1:56:10
  Speaker 1: be in the better situational spots. So it makes sense.
• 1:56:13
  Speaker 1: So I took Oregon in my bracket. There, we'll see
• 1:56:16
  Speaker 1: what my bracket's still alive ish technically because I took
• 1:56:20
  Speaker 1: Indiana to win the whole thing. But we'll see over
• 1:56:23
  Speaker 1: Ohio State though, so I'm not gonna be winning anything
• 1:56:26
  Speaker 1: with that. Let's see. SOB is in here now, Sab,
• 1:56:32
  Speaker 1: what's up man? Yeah? Correct? You like my down with
• 1:56:36
  Speaker 1: the sickness than you, Sir Sab with his nets wind streak,
• 1:56:44
  Speaker 1: I'd agree. I completely disagree with Sab on that one.
• 1:56:47
  Speaker 1: So who do you trust more? I think it's either
• 1:56:50
  Speaker 1: you take the nets or you or you just leave
• 1:56:52
  Speaker 1: it alone. In my opinion, I don't like it at all.
• 1:56:58
  Speaker 1: So yeah, the Warriors, Yeah, the Warriors. The nets got
• 1:57:01
  Speaker 1: blown out in that game. Man. Yeah. I disagree with
• 1:57:04
  Speaker 1: SOB on that one, and the money in the market
• 1:57:07
  Speaker 1: seems to agree with me on that one. For what
• 1:57:08
  Speaker 1: it's worth. You like Washington, and then SOB is looking
• 1:57:14
  Speaker 1: too far ahead. I think he's trying to play some
• 1:57:16
  Speaker 1: five D chess here. I don't even know what he's
• 1:57:18
  Speaker 1: talking about here, but I haven't looked at any of
• 1:57:20
  Speaker 1: those games yet. Washington Brooklyn something about the Bucks. I
• 1:57:24
  Speaker 1: don't know. You guys can read that. I guess it's
• 1:57:28
  Speaker 1: a fade spot for the Wizards. I'll see it when
• 1:57:30
  Speaker 1: I see it. I disagree. Houston is of course gonna
• 1:57:36
  Speaker 1: be a big favorite like that because it's against the
• 1:57:39
  Speaker 1: Nets and they're Houston. I don't agree. I think I
• 1:57:42
  Speaker 1: think Houston has no reason to pay attention to the
• 1:57:44
  Speaker 1: nets at all. You can go back and see my
• 1:57:46
  Speaker 1: analysis on that. I think Houston is gonna have a
• 1:57:48
  Speaker 1: look ahead to Dallas in their next game, because that's
• 1:57:52
  Speaker 1: a Texas. I'm believing in the nets magic. By believing
• 1:57:59
  Speaker 1: that the Nets will that number in the games that
• 1:58:01
  Speaker 1: I and the market is speaking to me in that
• 1:58:06
  Speaker 1: game as well. All right, let me go back here.
• 1:58:07
  Speaker 1: What did I just do? Oh crap, I think I
• 1:58:10
  Speaker 1: got rid of I got rid of the board here. No, well,
• 1:58:13
  Speaker 1: we can just look at the scores here. I guess
• 1:58:15
  Speaker 1: that'll be easier. All right. We have the Rose Bowl
• 1:58:19
  Speaker 1: presented by Prudential, which is always the mid afternoon game.
• 1:58:22
  Speaker 1: ESPN number nine, Alabama number one Indiana. Now, of course,
• 1:58:26
  Speaker 1: Alabama is in that spot that Oregon is in in
• 1:58:29
  Speaker 1: which Alabama already has a game under their belt and
• 1:58:32
  Speaker 1: people did not believe in Alabama, though I did. I
• 1:58:35
  Speaker 1: gave you Alabama as a play on the show. We
• 1:58:37
  Speaker 1: got the win with Alabama. Now, Indiana is of course
• 1:58:41
  Speaker 1: a different animal. Oklahoma is obviously a lot weaker than
• 1:58:44
  Speaker 1: in Indiana. Alabama got the job done. They surprised everyone.
• 1:58:48
  Speaker 1: Now the question is is the public now buying Alabama
• 1:58:52
  Speaker 1: a little bit more than they were otherwise? Maybe, but
• 1:58:56
  Speaker 1: Alabama does have momentum. And in Indiana, the last time
• 1:58:59
  Speaker 1: we saw Indiana, they won the Big Ten championship over
• 1:59:02
  Speaker 1: Ohio State, so you know, Indiana could not possibly have
• 1:59:06
  Speaker 1: looked better. Though now people might not love that win
• 1:59:09
  Speaker 1: as much as Ohio State lost yesterday, but Indiana beat
• 1:59:12
  Speaker 1: Ohio State in their last game that we saw. Man Now,
• 1:59:14
  Speaker 1: Indiana is the team with the long layoff coming off
• 1:59:17
  Speaker 1: a monster win against Ohio State, and Alabama is the
• 1:59:20
  Speaker 1: team and I think might actually even still be under
• 1:59:23
  Speaker 1: the radar. I just don't know if people are gonna
• 1:59:25
  Speaker 1: give them a lot of credit for beating Oklahoma, even
• 1:59:28
  Speaker 1: though public loves scoring and Alabama scored in that game.
• 1:59:31
  Speaker 1: But I think if you're gonna play this game, you
• 1:59:34
  Speaker 1: gotta play the team that has the momentum under their belt,
• 1:59:37
  Speaker 1: which is Alabama. And I think Alabama. I actually think
• 1:59:41
  Speaker 1: they're a legitimate, like top five team or so in
• 1:59:44
  Speaker 1: college football, believe it or not. I think Alabama's just
• 1:59:47
  Speaker 1: been very under the raidar. Now, of course, they do
• 1:59:50
  Speaker 1: have an inexperienced quarterback with Simpson, so you do have
• 1:59:53
  Speaker 1: to worry about that, and their offense is one dimensional.
• 1:59:56
  Speaker 1: So Indiana, they do have a really good defense this
• 1:59:58
  Speaker 1: year in Indiana might be able to to stop Alabama's
• 2:00:02
  Speaker 1: offense because Alabama has to throw the ball pretty much.
• 2:00:05
  Speaker 1: But that does mean that Alabama might be able to
• 2:00:07
  Speaker 1: come back and get in the back door in this
• 2:00:10
  Speaker 1: game or something, because they are just gonna be throwing
• 2:00:12
  Speaker 1: the ball. Like Alabama doesn't run the ball well, which
• 2:00:15
  Speaker 1: you know, I don't love that style of offense generally, but
• 2:00:18
  Speaker 1: Alabama does play good defense. Indiana also does. Yeah, Indiana
• 2:00:22
  Speaker 1: probably does have the better offense here. They're actually probably
• 2:00:25
  Speaker 1: better on both sides of the ball, though I think
• 2:00:27
  Speaker 1: the deepfenses are closer to each other. I think, yeah,
• 2:00:32
  Speaker 1: Indiana is the more balanced team here. There's a reason
• 2:00:34
  Speaker 1: why Indiana's favored. Obviously, they're up from six to seven here.
• 2:00:37
  Speaker 1: The money actually looks like it's coming in on Indiana
• 2:00:39
  Speaker 1: a little bit. Fifty four percent of the tickets, fifty
• 2:00:42
  Speaker 1: eight percent of the cash on Indiana. Take that for
• 2:00:46
  Speaker 1: what it's worth here. I think the under is worth
• 2:00:50
  Speaker 1: a look in this game too, because Alabama just played
• 2:00:52
  Speaker 1: a really high scoring game, so I think the public
• 2:00:55
  Speaker 1: might kind of be swayed in that direction. You're still
• 2:00:57
  Speaker 1: getting under when I think is somewhat high. Now, number
• 2:01:00
  Speaker 1: of forty seven and a half, you're looking at two
• 2:01:02
  Speaker 1: teams that definitely have good deep fenses. Forty seven and
• 2:01:05
  Speaker 1: a half seems high to me. Man and it's a
• 2:01:07
  Speaker 1: key number as well. Forty seven sixty seven percent of
• 2:01:10
  Speaker 1: tickets on the over, sixty four percent of the cash
• 2:01:12
  Speaker 1: on the over, I think under is definitely worth the
• 2:01:14
  Speaker 1: look here. I lean Alabama plus the seven or seven
• 2:01:18
  Speaker 1: and a half as well for those momentum reasons. Again,
• 2:01:22
  Speaker 1: and that's about it. I mean, Indiana does have the
• 2:01:25
  Speaker 1: QB advantage. Well, do you think Will Mendoz would be
• 2:01:28
  Speaker 1: a little bit too hyped because he got the heisman?
• 2:01:30
  Speaker 1: I don't think so. I mean, this is the playoffs.
• 2:01:32
  Speaker 1: You're not gonna be in a letdown over when you're
• 2:01:35
  Speaker 1: in the playoffs and you're trying to win a national championship.
• 2:01:37
  Speaker 1: And now Ohio State is out of the way. But
• 2:01:41
  Speaker 1: if Indiana wins this game, if Oregon wins, I think
• 2:01:44
  Speaker 1: Indiana is gonna have a big test against Oregon. If
• 2:01:47
  Speaker 1: that happens, I think Indiana will only be a small
• 2:01:50
  Speaker 1: ish favorite in that game, probably have a few points.
• 2:01:52
  Speaker 1: So we'll see. And then we have the Sugar Bowl,
• 2:01:55
  Speaker 1: which is in New Orleans. Of course, the Rosewalls in Pasadena.
• 2:01:58
  Speaker 1: I'm sure everybody knows that in California. So neither of
• 2:02:01
  Speaker 1: those teams have a site advantage. Now in this game
• 2:02:05
  Speaker 1: Sugar Bowl in Louisiana, New Orleans. You might say, well,
• 2:02:08
  Speaker 1: Mississippi is closer to New Orleans. Yes they are, but
• 2:02:13
  Speaker 1: I actually think the site advantages actually Georgia's because Georgia
• 2:02:19
  Speaker 1: played in this game last year and Georgia lost the game,
• 2:02:22
  Speaker 1: and they have the same quarterback. And if you remember,
• 2:02:25
  Speaker 1: it was a situation where Gunner Stockton kind of got
• 2:02:28
  Speaker 1: thrown to the Wolves in that game, and it was
• 2:02:31
  Speaker 1: a weird game where if you remember, the car the
• 2:02:34
  Speaker 1: vehicular homicide situation happened and they had to delay the
• 2:02:37
  Speaker 1: game by a day. If you remember that, Georgia wound
• 2:02:40
  Speaker 1: up losing a Notre dame. Gunner Stockton got thrown to
• 2:02:44
  Speaker 1: the Wolves in that game. Man as a very inexperienced quarterback.
• 2:02:47
  Speaker 1: Now Gunner Stockton has not only experienced now playing for
• 2:02:51
  Speaker 1: an entire year here and started to come into his
• 2:02:53
  Speaker 1: own and looked pretty good. But he literally played in
• 2:02:56
  Speaker 1: this game last year and lost the game to Notre Dam.
• 2:03:00
  Speaker 1: By the way, this ole Miss defense is not as
• 2:03:02
  Speaker 1: good as that Notre Dame defense was last year. So
• 2:03:04
  Speaker 1: Stockton and this Georgia offense should be able to put
• 2:03:08
  Speaker 1: up points against ole Miss in this game. And so
• 2:03:10
  Speaker 1: I like the experience. I like the fact that Georgia
• 2:03:13
  Speaker 1: literally lost this same game last year. They're used to
• 2:03:17
  Speaker 1: it now, they were here last year. They're gonna want
• 2:03:19
  Speaker 1: trying number two. I think they're gonna win the game. Man.
• 2:03:23
  Speaker 1: And I know we have another data point here where
• 2:03:25
  Speaker 1: ole Miss did play at Georgia earlier this year, and
• 2:03:28
  Speaker 1: I liked Georgia to cover in that game, and they did,
• 2:03:30
  Speaker 1: but ole Miss blew a seventeen point lead I think
• 2:03:33
  Speaker 1: in the fourth quarter of that game something like that,
• 2:03:36
  Speaker 1: and Georgia somehow wound up covering the number and winning
• 2:03:39
  Speaker 1: by eight and I think covering the seven point spread
• 2:03:41
  Speaker 1: or whatever. So then you have to ask yourself which
• 2:03:45
  Speaker 1: team is gonna be the team to make adjustments, right, Because, yeah,
• 2:03:48
  Speaker 1: Georgia won the game, so ole Miss might make adjustments.
• 2:03:51
  Speaker 1: But also ole Miss was winning the game for the
• 2:03:55
  Speaker 1: majority of the game against Georgia, so Georgia has adjustments
• 2:03:58
  Speaker 1: to make as well. So I don't really think there's
• 2:04:00
  Speaker 1: that much of a zigzag component in this game. I think,
• 2:04:03
  Speaker 1: if anything, Georgia didn't play that well. Now, yes, because
• 2:04:06
  Speaker 1: I did just say Georgia, I think they were seven
• 2:04:08
  Speaker 1: or an eight point favorite in that game. Yes, the
• 2:04:10
  Speaker 1: line value is kind of not there on Georgia here,
• 2:04:13
  Speaker 1: because if they were an eight point favorite on neutral
• 2:04:16
  Speaker 1: whatever against ole Miss or SUSI at home, I mean
• 2:04:19
  Speaker 1: against ole Miss on a neutral, they should probably be
• 2:04:21
  Speaker 1: about a five point favorite, and we're seeing six and
• 2:04:24
  Speaker 1: a half. But those are also dead numbers. So I
• 2:04:28
  Speaker 1: still think if it's Georgia at below seven, I still
• 2:04:31
  Speaker 1: think that's the way I have to lean in this
• 2:04:32
  Speaker 1: game at below a touchdown, because the line value, I
• 2:04:36
  Speaker 1: think is it's just not as important when you're dealing
• 2:04:40
  Speaker 1: with like dead numbers. The six is not totally a
• 2:04:43
  Speaker 1: dead number. But you know, seventy five percent of tickets,
• 2:04:46
  Speaker 1: only seventy one percent of the cash on Georgia, so
• 2:04:49
  Speaker 1: they look like the public side, which I am worried
• 2:04:51
  Speaker 1: about a little bit. The public does like Georgia looks
• 2:04:54
  Speaker 1: like the money is a little bit in disagreement with that,
• 2:04:58
  Speaker 1: so I worry about that. I'm not gonna play the game,
• 2:05:00
  Speaker 1: but I like the experience factor here. We have the
• 2:05:02
  Speaker 1: same team, same QB that lost this game last year.
• 2:05:05
  Speaker 1: They're gonna be out to redeem themselves from that. Ole Miss.
• 2:05:09
  Speaker 1: We don't know exactly how they're gonna continue to respond
• 2:05:12
  Speaker 1: to Lane Kiffin being out of there. Although Ole Miss
• 2:05:14
  Speaker 1: had no problems against Tulane, it was an easy win
• 2:05:17
  Speaker 1: for ole Miss against Tulane. Maybe they look too good
• 2:05:20
  Speaker 1: in that game. I don't know. It was an easy
• 2:05:22
  Speaker 1: win miss. Ole Miss had done that before this year
• 2:05:24
  Speaker 1: as well, beating Tulane at home as well. I just
• 2:05:27
  Speaker 1: don't think there's really anything you can draw from that
• 2:05:30
  Speaker 1: game other than yes, ole Miss does have the momentum here,
• 2:05:33
  Speaker 1: So that's the one thing. Georgia is one of these
• 2:05:36
  Speaker 1: dreaded teams that as a bye coming into this and
• 2:05:39
  Speaker 1: they have not playdins. They looked really good in the
• 2:05:41
  Speaker 1: SEC Championship game and clobbering Alabama in the SEC Championship.
• 2:05:46
  Speaker 1: That's the last time we saw Georgia. So that's another
• 2:05:48
  Speaker 1: reason why I can't really get there with Georgia in
• 2:05:51
  Speaker 1: this one, because they have a long layoff after one
• 2:05:54
  Speaker 1: of their best wins of the season. And that was
• 2:05:56
  Speaker 1: actually even bigger because Alabama's really had Georgia's number recently.
• 2:06:00
  Speaker 1: So that worries me about Georgia and the fact that
• 2:06:03
  Speaker 1: Ole Miss has momentum now after what really was kind
• 2:06:06
  Speaker 1: of a tune up against Tulane now coming into this.
• 2:06:09
  Speaker 1: So I do worry about that. You know. It's it's
• 2:06:12
  Speaker 1: a tough, tough game to handicap here, so that almost
• 2:06:15
  Speaker 1: that almost counters the experience I think in this game
• 2:06:18
  Speaker 1: because in a way, Georgia, the setup for them is
• 2:06:21
  Speaker 1: almost similar to Indiana's. It's just that at least Georgia
• 2:06:24
  Speaker 1: has experienced literally playing in this exact Bowl game. So
• 2:06:29
  Speaker 1: we'll see what happens. It looks like some money's coming back,
• 2:06:31
  Speaker 1: you know on Oregon now, it kind of they look
• 2:06:34
  Speaker 1: like they might be an anti public favorite. Man up
• 2:06:36
  Speaker 1: until game time, hopefully we'll see. But that's gonna do it. Man,
• 2:06:40
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna probably have to watch the market though and
• 2:06:42
  Speaker 1: see because I really don't have a strong conviction on
• 2:06:45
  Speaker 1: that Georgia one. I think the way that I would
• 2:06:48
  Speaker 1: rank these is obviously Oregon being my play is my
• 2:06:51
  Speaker 1: favorite of the three. Alabama plus the points. If you're
• 2:06:54
  Speaker 1: getting seven to seven and it half is the next best,
• 2:06:56
  Speaker 1: and then Georgia minus the points is the weakest. Although
• 2:06:59
  Speaker 1: if it hits and I think you might really have
• 2:07:01
  Speaker 1: to start considering ole Miss in that one. And that's
• 2:07:05
  Speaker 1: gonna do it. So once again, my plays, they are
• 2:07:07
  Speaker 1: a bunch of college basketball. You see Davis minus a
• 2:07:10
  Speaker 1: three and a half, you see Riverside plus seven and
• 2:07:13
  Speaker 1: a half or whatever. The best you can get is
• 2:07:15
  Speaker 1: in Montana State minus two and a half or minus three,
• 2:07:18
  Speaker 1: and then of course Oregon minus one. Or if you
• 2:07:21
  Speaker 1: see a money line that's really good in Oregon, that
• 2:07:24
  Speaker 1: also might be a decent way to look. I can
• 2:07:25
  Speaker 1: actually try to look at it right now. Let's see
• 2:07:27
  Speaker 1: if Action Network can help me out here. Let's see
• 2:07:30
  Speaker 1: what have we got here on the money line for
• 2:07:33
  Speaker 1: Oregon here? Oh god, they have Oregon listed twice because
• 2:07:39
  Speaker 1: they put all the balls at once. Here. Let me see.
• 2:07:43
  Speaker 1: You can get minus one ooh, you can get minus
• 2:07:47
  Speaker 1: one twelve on the money line for Oregon. You know
• 2:07:53
  Speaker 1: you can get that. Or you can lay minus one
• 2:07:55
  Speaker 1: at minus at minus one of no minus one and
• 2:07:58
  Speaker 1: a half at minus one o five. You know what,
• 2:08:00
  Speaker 1: but I think the money line is better in this case,
• 2:08:02
  Speaker 1: we'll do moneyline Oregon minus one twelve. That'll that'll be
• 2:08:06
  Speaker 1: how I do it. But if you want to lay one,
• 2:08:08
  Speaker 1: I think that's fine as well. To me, it looks
• 2:08:09
  Speaker 1: like the number is gonna go up a little bit
• 2:08:11
  Speaker 1: as well. But I'll put it in the show notes.
• 2:08:13
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it. I gotta get my Instagram video
• 2:08:16
  Speaker 1: out and I gotta get this up on the audio.
• 2:08:17
  Speaker 1: The audio is always probably too late for be able
• 2:08:20
  Speaker 1: to listen to it. They might not to skip ahead
• 2:08:22
  Speaker 1: to college football. Maybe I should have done it before
• 2:08:24
  Speaker 1: I did NBA because NB. I should do it chronologically
• 2:08:27
  Speaker 1: because NBA is the later sport today. But you know whatever,
• 2:08:32
  Speaker 1: people like football, lass that's gonna do it. Learn it
• 2:08:35
  Speaker 1: tone on Instagram, Learn it tone on Twitter. I got
• 2:08:37
  Speaker 1: subscriptions there now you can check it out, like subscribe here,
• 2:08:40
  Speaker 1: give me good reviews, et cetera. Let's get it done, man,
• 2:08:46
  Speaker 1: learn it. I mean, excuse Total Sports is on audio
• 2:08:49
  Speaker 1: as well. Give me good reviews over there. I'll give
• 2:08:52
  Speaker 1: me good replies on YouTube, I should have said, but
• 2:08:54
  Speaker 1: give me good reviews on the audio on Spotify and Apple.
• 2:08:58
  Speaker 1: That helps me out as well. Listening helps me out
• 2:09:00
  Speaker 1: over there as well, covered in Yuke is my Yuke channel.
• 2:09:03
  Speaker 1: You can go find that disturbed cover. I'm probably gonna
• 2:09:06
  Speaker 1: start putting some behind the Twitter subscription pay well. Now
• 2:09:09
  Speaker 1: that's that. It's a new year. We will see. So
• 2:09:13
  Speaker 1: there was that. We got the Loser Cast. You can
• 2:09:17
  Speaker 1: check that out out. We did a new episode this
• 2:09:18
  Speaker 1: week as well. You can go vote for one of
• 2:09:21
  Speaker 1: my two losers. I forget who I even picked. Oh,
• 2:09:24
  Speaker 1: I had the bear guy Ken Johnson who has a
• 2:09:28
  Speaker 1: bear living in his house, and I did who was
• 2:09:32
  Speaker 1: my Oh, Stefan Diggs was my other guy. You should
• 2:09:34
  Speaker 1: appreciate that he was one of my losers. You can
• 2:09:37
  Speaker 1: get checked loser cast out. And I did a an
• 2:09:39
  Speaker 1: impromptu late night New Year's stream on the Tower Gang
• 2:09:43
  Speaker 1: channel with Clint last night, which I got a delete
• 2:09:46
  Speaker 1: from the YouTube, but you can still find it on Rumble.
• 2:09:48
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna leave it up there and on I think
• 2:09:51
  Speaker 1: it was on his Twitter and it's on the Tower
• 2:09:53
  Speaker 1: Gang Twitter. We classified at as Tower Gang. It was me, Clint,
• 2:09:56
  Speaker 1: and then Tyler joined. We were all over the place, man,
• 2:10:00
  Speaker 1: some serious talk, some Tower Gang esque stuff. I don't know.
• 2:10:05
  Speaker 1: Clint wanted to do it. We had some fun with it.
• 2:10:07
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it. You guys can go check that out.
• 2:10:10
  Speaker 1: You agree with my plays, all right? Thank you. Yes,
• 2:10:13
  Speaker 1: I don't have a play on that, but yeah, I'm
• 2:10:15
  Speaker 1: gonna agree. I'm gonna lean to the nets in that one.
• 2:10:18
  Speaker 1: Thank you, Jeffrey, Thanks everybody for hanging out. I believe
• 2:10:23
  Speaker 1: in my handicapping, man. That's that's what I believe in.
• 2:10:26
  Speaker 1: Thank you. Thanks everybody, Thanks for hanging out. Peace,