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What are the BEST Picks for College Football Week Three? · Targeting Winners: A College Football Betting Podcast

• 0:03
  Hello everybody, Welcome to Targeting Winners Week 3 Edition
• 0:07
  as we move forward through the college football season.
• 0:12
  Tim here alone with Pete. How you doing this morning,
• 0:14
  Pete? Not too bad, Tim, not too bad.
• 0:16
  Excited to be here, excited to talk about week #3.
• 0:19
  Yes, Darren is on vacation this week.
• 0:23
  I believe he's in Disney World, no doubt shopping for Christmas
• 0:27
  presents and new Christmas trees to put up in his house.
• 0:30
  I'm sure he's going to come back with like four or five of.
• 0:32
  Course. So, but well, what have we
• 0:37
  learned from Week 2? What have you learned, Pete?
• 0:41
  What did I? Learn after I ranted through the
• 0:43
  entire Michigan game. Yeah, what I learned is that I'm
• 0:46
  concerned about the offensive coordinator.
• 0:49
  I'm concerned with the play calling with a young
• 0:51
  quarterback. You know, true freshman, second
• 0:55
  game ever in a hostile environment, a tough place to
• 0:58
  play against a good team. Everybody knew that going in.
• 1:01
  I am not so upset that they lost the game.
• 1:03
  I've kind of expected they would lose that game.
• 1:05
  That doesn't upset me. What upsets me about that game
• 1:08
  is the way they handled their quarterback, right?
• 1:11
  You've got this guy, they're going to get the guy killed back
• 1:13
  there. Like they're not doing anything
• 1:16
  to to, to to slow down the defense, right?
• 1:19
  I mean, they were just running downhill the entire game at them
• 1:23
  and they did nothing to stop it. They didn't, I don't think they
• 1:26
  threw a single slant, a slick single dig route.
• 1:30
  I don't even remember a screen. Did they try one screen?
• 1:32
  Maybe like just basic, you know, offensive coordination
• 1:36
  one-on-one when you know, when they're running downhill at you,
• 1:40
  you need to get over the top of them a little bit.
• 1:43
  And they just, and it's not like he doesn't have an arm.
• 1:45
  It's not like he's not accurate. I don't put the blame on him.
• 1:48
  I thought he played well. I think I think they're not
• 1:52
  doing him a very good service by the way, they're calling that
• 1:55
  game it it you know, they I think the defense played well.
• 1:58
  They were on the field too much. So they were getting worn down.
• 2:01
  But the defense did play quite well.
• 2:04
  And it's not like the players did.
• 2:05
  I mean, you know, at the end of the day, I, I was very, very
• 2:09
  disappointed in the offensive game plan.
• 2:11
  And I didn't even do my rant about the week before and the
• 2:14
  way Texas handled Arch because to me it was the same thing that
• 2:18
  Sark has done many times over was his put his team and his
• 2:21
  quarterback in a very bad position and don't call a good
• 2:24
  game. While that was the same thing
• 2:25
  that I saw last week in Michigan.
• 2:27
  So, you know, on the positive side, you know, they competed,
• 2:31
  they were in that game. So they're a good team.
• 2:35
  I am very optimistic about about the quarterback and all of that,
• 2:38
  but we need to see some improvement on the play calling
• 2:40
  side. So that's what I learned from
• 2:42
  week two other than the fact that I redeemed myself and went
• 2:45
  three and O last week, which is a big positive.
• 2:47
  So I hope to carry that forward this year, which is the this
• 2:50
  week, which is the most important thing for this right,
• 2:53
  because that's what we're here for.
• 2:54
  We're here to win and I hope to do some more of that.
• 2:56
  Yes, once again you did the heavy, heavy lifting last week
• 2:59
  we had a five and four weeks. Three of those were you my take
• 3:04
  away from the week is I officially I I'm putting Lane
• 3:07
  Kiffin into the lousy coaches conference.
• 3:10
  He's joining the Eastern Division with Crystal Ball and
• 3:15
  Franklin. I guess in the West we got Matt
• 3:18
  Rule. I guess the Bowling Green guy
• 3:20
  went somewhere else. He's no longer head coach at
• 3:22
  Bowling Green. But yeah, the LCC, we'll call it
• 3:25
  They're Yeah. So I believe I text.
• 3:30
  I know if I texted you, I I definitely texted Darren.
• 3:32
  I said I if I ever want to bet on Ole Miss again, just slam my
• 3:36
  nuts into a car door. You, you did say that and I'll
• 3:39
  be happy to do that because you should, you know, you're going
• 3:41
  to go back to. That and of what Snucks is and
• 3:44
  like I look at the line for this week and I look oh hey, that
• 3:46
  line looks oh, it's Ole Miss in Arkansas.
• 3:48
  Never mind. Nope, not touching it.
• 3:49
  That was one of the things I was like, oh, look at that line that
• 3:52
  looks Nope, Nope, not going it. Caitlin the Boer is probably the
• 3:57
  happiest coach in America right now because Billy Napier is now
• 4:01
  the We should get Mark back in here now because I wonder where
• 4:05
  Napier is. Yeah, I didn't, I didn't even
• 4:08
  comment on that because, you know, I really truly thought he
• 4:11
  had that team and that program turned around.
• 4:14
  I did not expect that, that that surprised me a bunch.
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  I just, I don't know what they were doing.
• 4:20
  If they were looking past the game, which they could not
• 4:23
  afford to do. They got too many hard games
• 4:24
  coming up. They had to win that game and
• 4:26
  they had to play well and they didn't either of those things.
• 4:28
  So shame on him. His team was not ready.
• 4:31
  They did not come out and play. That's on him.
• 4:34
  So I, I and he had. Enough spitting, You know the
• 4:37
  guy spit on the guy. Exactly that too.
• 4:39
  Couldn't you just throw his shoe like normal teams?
• 4:41
  Right? And he my goodness.
• 4:44
  Well, I mean, old habits die hard because I remember like in
• 4:46
  the second quarter, I started rooting for USF.
• 4:48
  Like, I bet on Florida, but I'm rooting for US.
• 4:50
  I'm like, wait, I can't, I need Florida to cover here.
• 4:54
  So I guess Florida's another team I can't bet on, I can bet
• 4:56
  against, I can't bet on Miami. So I'll never root for Miami.
• 5:00
  So that's off the table. And yeah, like midway through
• 5:03
  the second quarter, I found myself rooting for USF.
• 5:06
  You and I had money on on Florida.
• 5:07
  So just old habits, muscle memory at this point.
• 5:12
  I had to remind myself I had a unit on Florida for that game.
• 5:16
  So it's not going to cover for me.
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  And at least they can do is lose.
• 5:18
  So that's get some enjoyment out of it.
• 5:21
  So well, we don't have Darren's point of view from the weekend.
• 5:27
  He's like I said, he's in Orlando.
• 5:30
  So let's jump into our picture a week.
• 5:32
  Let's just jump right into it. And great.
• 5:35
  Now we got a very good slate of games this week.
• 5:38
  If I could just pull up our I believe there it is.
• 5:44
  All right, we have our first game.
• 5:47
  We got Auburn is one of mine taking on South Alabama Jaguars,
• 5:52
  my favorite team from last year. I believe the line is -24 I
• 5:58
  believe I forget what I put my bet down on that one.
• 6:02
  So yeah, I think Jackson Arnold is making all the difference in
• 6:07
  the world when they get the quarterback play.
• 6:09
  I do like the Davenport kid on South Alabama and the Bullet
• 6:13
  kid. The running back is is pretty
• 6:16
  impressive too. He was behind Fluff last year.
• 6:21
  Again, they've had they've had two home games now they're going
• 6:24
  to Auburn, I believe. And I think it's just going to
• 6:28
  be a tall order. They seem this this could be
• 6:31
  like Auburn's just kind of a springboard.
• 6:34
  I don't think they're going to challenge really for the SEC
• 6:36
  title, obviously, but they're going to be worlds better than
• 6:39
  they were last year. And I like Auburn big covering
• 6:43
  the 24 over South Alabama. Do you have any thoughts on that
• 6:46
  one? Oh, I agree.
• 6:47
  I mean, I was looking at the over under at 54 1/2 and yeah, I
• 6:52
  mean, I think could Auburn score that many points themselves?
• 6:55
  I don't know. But they're going to control
• 6:56
  this game. You know, I think there's such a
• 6:58
  deficit, you know, in in the trenches, you know, in favour of
• 7:01
  Auburn, that South Alabama is going to have a really difficult
• 7:04
  time. So I did consider the under in
• 7:07
  that 54 1/2 because I think Auburn's defense is going to
• 7:09
  completely control South Alabama.
• 7:11
  But the, you know, the wild card is how many points is is Alabama
• 7:15
  going to score? And I have no idea.
• 7:16
  So I meant Auburn going to score and I don't, I don't know, but
• 7:19
  it could be a lot. So I stayed away from it.
• 7:21
  But yeah, from from the perspective of laying those
• 7:23
  points, I I think that makes a lot of sense.
• 7:26
  All right, all right, P, We got one of yours here, Minnesota and
• 7:30
  Cal. Yeah, so I talked about
• 7:33
  Minnesota before. I've played Minnesota before and
• 7:37
  I like to play them when I like the over under number, which is
• 7:41
  42 1/2. Obviously Minnesota is a old
• 7:45
  school Big 10 team. Run the ball, play defense.
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  That's what they do. That's what I expect they will
• 7:50
  do. They run a rather slow offense.
• 7:53
  It is the slowest offense in the Big 10.
• 7:55
  So you know, they're going to eat clock even if they're going
• 7:57
  to score, I don't know, say I'm not going to say a bunch, but
• 8:00
  there's they're going to score. If they score 20 points, it's
• 8:03
  going to take them a while, right, to score 20 points.
• 8:06
  Kell's defenses is is is disciplined.
• 8:08
  You know, I think at home it'll help keep them sort of in the
• 8:12
  game. But I really am not positive on
• 8:14
  Cal. We talked about that before in
• 8:17
  the conference preview and all that.
• 8:18
  I don't think Cal's all that good.
• 8:20
  So I think Minnesota's a better team.
• 8:22
  I think Minnesota will win this game, I think.
• 8:25
  But probably something like, I don't know, 20 to 13, you know,
• 8:29
  23 to 17, something like that. So I really do like this under.
• 8:34
  So I did play 1 unit on the under at 42 1/2.
• 8:41
  Yeah, I like that. I think, you know, this is one
• 8:43
  of those two time zone games I believe.
• 8:45
  I don't think Minnesota, this would be interesting to watch.
• 8:48
  Ever since they they pointed that out last year, it's been
• 8:50
  freaking me out every time I see a teams travel two time zones or
• 8:55
  more. If for some reason I'm like all
• 8:57
  freaked out about it, I don't think Cal's very good.
• 9:00
  So yeah, I could totally see your your bet coming through
• 9:05
  there. I'm not sure how much.
• 9:10
  What was the line again? What was the over under on?
• 9:12
  That it was 42 1/2. You know, I think, I think the
• 9:16
  two time zone thing actually supports the under because
• 9:18
  that's likely to impact the offense and the timing of the
• 9:20
  offense. So if anything else, it's going
• 9:23
  to be a slower game and it's going to be a more.
• 9:25
  Defensive, yeah, I'm not sure. I don't think Kyle's going to
• 9:28
  score that much. I think the Under's not a bad
• 9:30
  play there. So.
• 9:33
  All right, now we're going to go to a very interesting game,
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  especially for me, this was 1. You know, if anyone to listen to
• 9:40
  our preview shows, you can go back and listen to them on
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  YouTube. By the way, I bet pretty big on
• 9:46
  Texas A and MI have them to win a national championship at
• 9:49
  +3000. I think they can may have a shot
• 9:52
  at the SEC at plus 1500, but my interesting bet is I have Marcel
• 9:56
  Reed to win the Heisman plus 4001.
• 10:00
  Of the reasons I bet that is this game here so far he's
• 10:04
  keeping up. He's got 8 touchdowns, no
• 10:06
  turnovers so far this year, 300 yards a game about.
• 10:09
  He's running a lot. I figured this is obviously a
• 10:13
  national Tel, nationally televised game.
• 10:15
  It's probably televised all over the world because it's Notre
• 10:17
  Dame and this is the first bookend game.
• 10:21
  They got the Texas game at the end of the year.
• 10:23
  I am looking for a big output from Marcel Reed for this game.
• 10:29
  I did not touch the line. I did bet the over 48 1/2.
• 10:37
  Again, this is this is a big game.
• 10:38
  This is a hopefully at the end of this game, win or lose,
• 10:42
  they're talking about Marcel Reed and he has me.
• 10:45
  I'm expecting a high scoring game like 3830130834 and
• 10:50
  hopefully he's got, you know, 4 touchdowns, doesn't turn the
• 10:52
  ball over. So even if they lose or talk
• 10:54
  about how impressive he was on national TV and this puts them
• 10:57
  into the at least gets them into the conversation.
• 10:59
  But if they were to win this game with the big game from
• 11:02
  Marcel, it's I think this really puts them square up there with
• 11:06
  because I don't think Archamani's been impressive at
• 11:08
  all so far this year, to say the least, or nuts.
• 11:12
  Meyer hasn't really, you know, blown the doors off.
• 11:15
  So this could be the one. I don't have any thoughts that
• 11:18
  you have. Yeah, I toyed with this one.
• 11:21
  I, I, you know, so 49 1/2 is the number I looked.
• 11:24
  I mean, so I looked, I was leaning under.
• 11:27
  But I really Notre Dame's defense that first week
• 11:32
  concerned me, right? That, that, you know, I, I, you
• 11:35
  know, I expect this team to be a defense forward team that runs
• 11:38
  the ball, right? Kind of like Minnesota, just
• 11:40
  better than that, right? That's what I expected from
• 11:42
  Notre Dame. We did not see that in in Miami.
• 11:46
  That did not go well. That made me a little nervous,
• 11:48
  right? And so, you know, if if that
• 11:51
  game had not have occurred or have it played out differently,
• 11:55
  I would have likely played the under in this game, 'cause I
• 11:57
  expect that there will be, you know, a strong defense on both
• 12:00
  sides, shrinking possessions, running the ball.
• 12:04
  I would expect that. So this would scream under to
• 12:06
  me. But Notre Dame's defense
• 12:09
  concerns me right now. So I just couldn't touch it.
• 12:11
  So I am leaning under but I did not play anything.
• 12:15
  OK well we'll see now I'm now I'm not so confident on my
• 12:19
  overpick. So you you start 3 and O so go
• 12:23
  on this one. USF in Miami one of yours.
• 12:28
  Pete let her RIP. Yeah, this is interesting after,
• 12:32
  after what we've seen both of these teams do, right?
• 12:34
  I mean, so over under, I think I played the number at 57 1/2.
• 12:38
  I think it might have moved a little bit toward 56 1/2 in the
• 12:41
  moment, but 57 1/2's the number that I've got over under.
• 12:45
  Yeah. I mean, I for, for me, as I, as
• 12:48
  I look at how this game is going to play out, I mean, UFSUSF has
• 12:54
  one of the fastest tempos in the country, right?
• 12:56
  They're they're going to have a lot of snaps.
• 12:57
  They're going to be moving and pushing the ball, which is what
• 13:00
  I would expect. I would also expect that Miami
• 13:03
  is going to be pushing the ball as well, creating some extra
• 13:06
  possessions. And I think there's there's a
• 13:07
  lot of more balance on the Miami side than the USF side.
• 13:11
  My biggest concern, right? So I did so just to be clear, I
• 13:15
  did play the over 57 1/2 one unit.
• 13:19
  My only concern with that bet and I'm just rolling the dice
• 13:22
  here is the weather, right? If, if it does rain, which is
• 13:25
  possible that could slow this down, that could, that could
• 13:30
  make that could play some danger on this bet.
• 13:32
  I am just leaning into that. It'll be fine, but this is a you
• 13:36
  know, if if you know, if I'm if I was going to play this like
• 13:39
  normally without, you know, this show, I would probably wait
• 13:42
  until before you know, before kick just to be sure.
• 13:44
  The weather is going to be good. But as long as the weather is
• 13:47
  fine, I think this is going to be a high scoring game.
• 13:49
  If it's not, then you can roll the dice a little bit.
• 13:51
  I'm not exactly sure where it's going to go, but I'm leaning
• 13:53
  into even a little bit of rain is fine.
• 13:56
  It'll be it'll be OK. So one unit over 57 1/2 all.
• 14:00
  Right. Go Bulls Mario crystal ball,
• 14:03
  this is the game. Do your thing buddy. 3rd and 14
• 14:07
  run that screen pass or something.
• 14:11
  I wish Michigan want to run a screen pass.
• 14:13
  Sneak up the middle third and 14.
• 14:15
  Do your thing, man. All right, This is a game we
• 14:20
  both have a bet on here on this one.
• 14:22
  This will be our one of our last ones for the game.
• 14:26
  I don't know if you want to go with your pick first.
• 14:29
  A lot more. You want me to go ahead because
• 14:30
  you were just, you were just running your mouth.
• 14:33
  You want me to run my mouth a little bit?
• 14:35
  Yeah, go. Ahead, run yours.
• 14:36
  I'm going to run my mouth here. I like Alabama.
• 14:39
  They're favored by 20. 1/2 is the line I got.
• 14:44
  You know, first you start with the quarterback.
• 14:47
  I believe. I haven't checked Wisconsin
• 14:50
  Twitter yet or any of the Twitters this morning.
• 14:54
  We're recording a lot earlier than we usually do.
• 14:57
  I think the backup is actually going to play for Wisconsin.
• 15:00
  It's I don't. I think if the starter plays,
• 15:03
  they'll be in a backup role or whatever.
• 15:05
  So as everyone likes to talk about the Florida State game
• 15:11
  against Alabama, the quarterback didn't look bad.
• 15:14
  I think you learn more about players when they lose and when
• 15:17
  they win. He looked tough, but for a huge
• 15:20
  hit by the linebacker there on that 4th and 10, he showed some
• 15:25
  toughness. So obviously the quarterback is
• 15:27
  in Alabama's favor. It is at home.
• 15:32
  I'm also thinking they they don't they don't want to win
• 15:34
  this game 17 to 10 because they'll still talk about Devore
• 15:39
  and getting fired. I'm sure you know, it's not the
• 15:42
  only motivating factor, but it's one of the things is like, I got
• 15:45
  to shut these people up for another week.
• 15:48
  I wouldn't be surprised if it's, you know, 42 to 6, you know, 42
• 15:51
  to 10 even. I just expect that they they
• 15:55
  still have a lot of talent on that team.
• 15:57
  OK, They didn't look good. I mean, they know they didn't
• 15:59
  look good. I'm sure they watched the film a
• 16:01
  bunch of times. They got that one highlight
• 16:03
  where that kid just jogging down the sideline chasing Dansby on
• 16:07
  that touchdown run. I'm sure he's that's not going
• 16:11
  to happen again. You know, in the back of my
• 16:13
  head, I'm like, Gee, what if these guys make the playoffs
• 16:16
  again and somehow Florida State makes the playoffs and they play
• 16:18
  each other again? We're going to get crushed.
• 16:22
  Like that's not going to happen again.
• 16:23
  OK, That's, you know, but yeah, I can see Alabama, just I love
• 16:30
  Wisconsin. If if I wasn't an FSU fan, I'd
• 16:32
  probably root for a Bucky Badger and all that.
• 16:35
  But yeah, I like Alabama covering the 20 1/2.
• 16:38
  What do you got? Yeah, I don't, I don't dislike
• 16:41
  that bet at all. I mean that Wisconsin's going to
• 16:44
  get trucked. The question is how badly are
• 16:46
  they going to get trucked, right?
• 16:47
  That's that's what it comes down to.
• 16:49
  Over under 46 1/2. And I spent a lot of time
• 16:53
  looking at this thing. I mean, certainly, you know, the
• 16:56
  Bama defense is going to create all kinds of issues for
• 16:58
  Wisconsin. They're going to try to run the
• 17:00
  ball anyway and try to control the ball, which I don't think
• 17:03
  it's going to work, but it's still going to eat some clock.
• 17:05
  Yes. Bama is going to want to show
• 17:07
  that they can score. And so I have little doubt of in
• 17:10
  that. So I don't expect, yeah, 20 to
• 17:12
  10 or 20 to 7 or something like that, you know?
• 17:16
  You know, can I see Bama scoring in the 30s for sure?
• 17:20
  You know, if they get up by three touchdowns, are they gonna
• 17:22
  kind of just slow it down a little bit?
• 17:24
  Are they gonna do the old SEC thing where they just try to
• 17:26
  light up the scoreboard? That's the big question here,
• 17:29
  right? So I am playing one unit on the
• 17:32
  under at 46 1/2 just 'cause I think Wisconsin's gonna do next
• 17:35
  to nothing, right? I think they're just gonna have
• 17:37
  a real problem scoring. So it's just, you know, kind of
• 17:40
  like the rain thing with the last game.
• 17:43
  It just kind of how is Bama going to deal with being up and
• 17:47
  are they going to try to just really lay it on and make
• 17:50
  themselves look better or are they just going to kind of sit
• 17:54
  back, they know they have the win, protect their players, stay
• 17:57
  healthy, wait for an SEC, you know, conference games and not
• 18:01
  do anything stupid. I'm hoping that's what they're
• 18:04
  going to do. I'm hoping they'll get up by
• 18:06
  three touchdowns, 4 touchdowns and just take their foot off the
• 18:08
  gas and just protect their players and ride it in.
• 18:12
  In that case, the under looks really good to.
• 18:15
  Me and please avoid the backdoor cover if they're going to do
• 18:17
  that I do not need any more of those I already had one of those
• 18:20
  in Week 2 I believe or no week one.
• 18:24
  Who was that? A&M and the Road Runners, Oh
• 18:28
  God, those suck. They're great when they go in
• 18:31
  your favor, but when they. It's so frustrating when you
• 18:34
  when you feel it happening and you're watching, it's like here
• 18:37
  we go. I saw it a mile away.
• 18:39
  I was like, oh. This is fun.
• 18:40
  I'm going to grab a beer. My mouth you're stopping the
• 18:43
  clock. I was like, what are you guys
• 18:44
  doing? I was.
• 18:46
  Like, please don't do that. You're just doing everything I
• 18:48
  don't want you to do. There we go.
• 18:51
  All right. Well, Darren did send some pics
• 18:52
  in. We will get to those right after
• 18:55
  our RPO segment. All right, first we got NC State
• 18:59
  at Wake Forest. No bet for me, but I would run
• 19:02
  and take NC State minus the seven at Wake Forest.
• 19:06
  How about you? Over unders 52 1/2 I did look at
• 19:09
  this. I did consider this game.
• 19:10
  I'm I'm relatively confident the unders and play here.
• 19:13
  I did not play it, but if you're looking for another bet, that's
• 19:16
  not a bad one to look at. Is the under at 52 1/2?
• 19:19
  Here right? Kansas State -1 1/2 at Arizona.
• 19:23
  What you thinking? Yeah, over under 54 1/2.
• 19:26
  You know, I think it's going to be a slow game, methodical.
• 19:28
  So it would kind of lean toward the under.
• 19:30
  I'm not that confident in it, but I do think the defenses are
• 19:34
  really, they're structured to, you know, kind of slow it down,
• 19:36
  prevent explosive plays. I think you're going to see
• 19:38
  that. So the under is interesting
• 19:40
  here. I I just didn't play it all.
• 19:41
  Right, I'm passing this one as well.
• 19:43
  Clemson -3 At Georgia Tech for this line, I would run to
• 19:50
  Clemson, but if it goes up to 3 1/2 or 4, I might swing it back
• 19:54
  to Georgia Tech. So if you can get three, run
• 19:58
  back. Clemson -3 at Georgia Tech, you.
• 20:01
  Over under 53 1/2. I'm relatively confident on the
• 20:04
  under here. Once again, I didn't play it,
• 20:06
  but I expect, you know, Clemson's defense to own the
• 20:08
  trenches throughout the game. So they're going to slow it
• 20:10
  down. Georgia Tech's going to have
• 20:12
  issues moving the ball. You know, Clemson's offense is
• 20:14
  efficient, but it's not like super fast, you know?
• 20:17
  So I think it does lean toward the under here.
• 20:19
  So once again didn't play it, but I don't hate the under here.
• 20:22
  Pittsburgh -7 At West Virginia, the Backyard Brawl.
• 20:25
  What do you think in here, Pete? Rivalry game, right?
• 20:28
  So anytime you have a rivalry game, you know, I like to go
• 20:31
  under because the defenses usually step up in these games.
• 20:34
  That 58 1/2 number is a big number.
• 20:37
  So, you know, I really considered this, but then again,
• 20:41
  I considered West Virginia and what they're probably going to
• 20:43
  want to do, so I stayed away from it.
• 20:45
  But honestly the under in rivalry games, unless the number
• 20:48
  is just too low generally is usually a pretty good place to
• 20:51
  go. I believe the over under for
• 20:54
  couches set on fire is 3 1/2. If West Virginia wins, take the
• 20:58
  over on that. They will definitely be setting
• 21:00
  a lot of couches on fire for that one.
• 21:02
  Georgia -3 1/2 at Tennessee pass Smart pass on this one.
• 21:08
  Just because it's at Tennessee. Hard pass.
• 21:11
  No thank you. Not touching it.
• 21:13
  There's easier games to bet on. Yes, there are.
• 21:16
  I mean, even the over under is 49 1/2.
• 21:19
  I, I really wanted to bet this game and do something with it.
• 21:21
  I, I logic tells me the under is certainly in play right there.
• 21:26
  George is going to control, control the ball.
• 21:29
  I would expect to see that happen.
• 21:31
  Lean on the ground game. It's going to burn the clock.
• 21:33
  I mean, it screams under, but it's at Tennessee.
• 21:37
  I don't know what the heck they could go off.
• 21:39
  Who knows what's going to happen.
• 21:41
  So it's going to be a lot of fun to watch this game.
• 21:43
  But it could turn into either way.
• 21:45
  It could be a defensive, you know, kind of, you know, mud
• 21:48
  fest or it it could be a shootout.
• 21:50
  Who the heck knows? Arkansas +7 at Ole Miss.
• 21:54
  I hate Lane Kiffin. Pass, Pete, what you got.
• 21:57
  I don't bet on anything regarding Wayne Kip anymore,
• 22:00
  just like you, because he's he's he's he should be out of there
• 22:02
  anyway, which he will be soon enough.
• 22:04
  So yeah, not to not touching. All right, we got Florida plus 7
• 22:09
  1/2 at LSU. Goat Tigers.
• 22:12
  I like LSU to cover this. If it was at Florida, maybe
• 22:17
  something maybe or maybe it might be good for Florida to get
• 22:19
  out of town. Who knows?
• 22:20
  They're they're not enjoying life in Gainesville right now.
• 22:23
  What do you got? I think that's it.
• 22:25
  I think they're happy to get out of town right now.
• 22:26
  Not that you want to go out there to that pit, but over
• 22:29
  under 48 1/2. You know, I think Florida
• 22:33
  obviously is going to try to rebound.
• 22:35
  I think they're going to come out firing.
• 22:37
  LSU can certainly score. They have one of obviously we
• 22:40
  talked about in a quarterback and and one of my favorites, you
• 22:43
  know, so I am leaning over on this.
• 22:45
  I I really wanted to play it. I just once again, what's
• 22:48
  happening with Billy Napier here?
• 22:50
  I had confidence in him before. Now I have none again.
• 22:53
  I don't know what it's like Lane Kiffin for you.
• 22:55
  I I don't let me bet in Florida again this year until we see
• 22:58
  something that resembles consistency.
• 23:00
  So until then, I'm out. Right.
• 23:02
  Yeah, Vanderbilt plus 4 1/2 at South Carolina.
• 23:06
  I would run to South Carolina. This, this Vanderbilt team.
• 23:10
  This could be my worst future bet.
• 23:11
  I had under 4 1/2 wins. They're two and O, they're
• 23:14
  ranked. They need to start losing pretty
• 23:17
  soon, so yeah, so I I would at least be cheering for South
• 23:21
  Carolina. I like South Carolina to cover
• 23:23
  this. Anyway, I would run to the
• 23:25
  betting window and bet South Carolina you.
• 23:28
  Yeah, it's at home in South Carolina over under 48 1/2 S
• 23:32
  Carolina's identity is their defense, right?
• 23:34
  They are. They're going to slow.
• 23:36
  They're slow or completely stop. Then Vandy, who the heck knows
• 23:39
  what's going to happen with that.
• 23:41
  I don't expect you're going to see a shootout.
• 23:42
  You know, Vandy's offense is better than it has been.
• 23:45
  So, but still, I think I think it's going to be a problem with
• 23:47
  them moving the ball. We're just going to slow down
• 23:49
  the game, which is going to keep the score suppressed.
• 23:51
  So 48 1/2 under said I didn't play it.
• 23:54
  I'm moderately confident on in that.
• 23:56
  Play and the last game for the RPO segment, we have Duke -1 1/2
• 24:01
  at Tulane. For me, this is another hard
• 24:03
  pass. I have not seen nearly enough of
• 24:06
  Duke this season to I mean, I don't think I've seen any to
• 24:09
  tell you the truth. Maybe in a glancing, maybe one
• 24:12
  or two drives, but but without any any sights on Duke, I'm
• 24:19
  going to pass on this one. Yeah, Tulane was rather
• 24:21
  interesting. I mean, the two lane angle here
• 24:23
  is interesting. I don't know a lot about Duke.
• 24:25
  I haven't seen much of them. I mean, 54 1/2 is the over
• 24:28
  under. I would, I would lean toward the
• 24:29
  over because I think Tulane is going to be efficient, push the
• 24:32
  ball and score. Question is, can Duke do that
• 24:35
  along with them? And I, I don't know if they can.
• 24:37
  So I I'd say it's a hard pass for me.
• 24:39
  OK, let's wrap up this show Week 3.
• 24:45
  Pete, take us out. All right, so week #3 Minnesota
• 24:49
  Cal under 42 1/2. And as I noted, you know, I have
• 24:52
  0 confidence in Cal, and Minnesota's going to run the
• 24:54
  ball and play defense, which plays into this number.
• 24:56
  Even though it's low, I think it will remain low.
• 24:59
  South Florida and Miami over 57 1/2.
• 25:03
  I said weather could be a factor here.
• 25:05
  Hopefully not. And if it's not a factor, I
• 25:07
  expect to see some scoring on both sides of the ball.
• 25:10
  And Wisconsin, Bama, kind of the opposite, right?
• 25:12
  Under 46 1/2. I don't expect Wisconsin to do
• 25:14
  much of anything. I do expect Alabama will be able
• 25:16
  to move the ball and score. I don't think they're gonna
• 25:19
  score 50 or anything, but we'll see how it plays out.
• 25:22
  OK, and I've got Auburn -24 1/2 over South Alabama, Texas A&M,
• 25:27
  Notre Dame. I've got the over 48 1/2 and
• 25:31
  I've got Alabama covering the 20 1/2 over Wisconsin.
• 25:34
  Darren did send in a couple bets for this week.
• 25:37
  He has a 2 unit play. He likes Houston over Colorado.
• 25:42
  That is tomorrow night they're giving 4 1/2.
• 25:46
  N Texas -6 over Washington State is his other play and in his
• 25:53
  last one he has USC -20 1/2 over Purdue.
• 25:57
  Any thoughts on any of those plays?
• 26:00
  Yeah, Can USC go go in there and lose to Purdue?
• 26:02
  That'd be very entertaining. Yeah, I like that Houston bet.
• 26:05
  I liked it a lot. I think Colorado looks anemic.
• 26:08
  You know, I don't think they're playing that offense doesn't
• 26:10
  look good over under 44 1/2 on that.
• 26:13
  Actually thought about the under on that game.
• 26:15
  So I I like that bet quite a bit.
• 26:18
  All right, well, that's going to wrap up our show.
• 26:20
  We had a abbreviated show this week.
• 26:22
  Is Darren on vacation? With all of his insights?
• 26:24
  He's no doubt going around Epcot Center trunk by now.
• 26:28
  He's got to be. So anyway, we thank you all for
• 26:31
  listening and watching on YouTube.
• 26:33
  Please don't forget to like and subscribe, leave a comment,
• 26:38
  leave a review of five stars. We will really appreciate it.
• 26:41
  And you can also catch us on Spotify and Apple.
• 26:44
  And that's our show for Week 3 and we will see you next time.