Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / Chad and Blackjack Make 5 Thanksgiving + Week 12 NFL Picks

Transcript

Chad and Blackjack Make 5 Thanksgiving + Week 12 NFL Picks · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: M H. Welcome to the Favorites the super Contests addition,
• 0:16
  Speaker 1: and I am Chad Norman from the Action Network. People
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: are getting a treat, a real treat, because they're getting
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: the favorites in their preferred podcast feed a little bit early,
• 0:31
  Speaker 1: Isn't that right? My friend black Jack? How are you? Buddy?
• 0:35
  Speaker 1: The sure our Chad And this just goes to show
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: you how dedicated we are to the millions and millions
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: of favorite listeners. I am recording this podcast right now
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: from America's basement, the swamp land of America, Florida. Wow. See,
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: I did not know where you were. Um, I of
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: course I'm in Connecticut. You were in Florida. I thought
• 1:01
  Speaker 1: you were gonna like do it from some whatever bar
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: you live in when you leave the office. But you're
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: in Florida. That's fantastic. I know how much you hate Florida.
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: I know how much it pains you to go there.
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: I know that you are living the American dream. And
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: you left Florida year ago with nothing in your pocket,
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: just a large degree and a legal job that you quit.
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: You left behind. You move north to New York. You
• 1:29
  Speaker 1: became a bar stool sports intern because you wanted to
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: be in the cavern business. You want to make your
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: living as an analyst, and now you're doing it for
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: the actual network. That is a reason to give thanks.
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: I love everything about this. You are bringing fire today.
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: I love it. Well. This is an unusual week. As
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: you know, you're on the phone. I don't get to
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: see you, hold your hand, smell your vape. This is
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: gonna go out late Wednesday night because we're recording this
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: right after the lines dropped, so we can all get
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: to the Thanksgiving games and we can all get to
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: our families and our friends. But a couple of things
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: need to be different this week. Uh, Georgina not with us.
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: This week is her bye week. Matt Ford are brilliant, talented,
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: hipster producer. We'll be reading the lines. We are also
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: going to say, hey, keep reviewing this show on iTunes
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: and Georgina will read her favorites next week. I truly
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: love how much you guys ripped me every single week.
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: It's a joy to know that I'm going to get
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: a read of a review from Georgina in which the
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: punch line is going to be something something something, Oh
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: and Chad to yep. Okay, so they always go. That's
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: the template. Seems to be a pattern. Speaking of patterns,
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: black jack, last week two and three, the week before one,
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: three and one. Our record so far twenty three and four,
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: which I gotta say is pretty impressive. It's not good enough, Chad,
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: plain and simple. It's not good enough. All right, we
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: were doing well. We we got a little overconfident, we
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: got cocky, and now the last two weeks have come
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: up and bitten up square in the ass. It's time
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: to get back, get right and start making some good picks.
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: You know what we should do. Bet good teams. They
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: seem to win games, and they generally seem to cover.
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: That's a good things true. But you know, somehow we're
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: gonna wind up with three of the five worst teams
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: in the NFL. So well, I look forward to that
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: journey with you, Matt Forward. You are Georgina, do not
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: let us down. I'll try, Chad, Chicago at Detroit bears
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: By three. That sucked. Try again, Chicago at Detroit bears
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: By three. It's better. It's a little more in my
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: flat check like that. Genuinely, he genuinely laughed at that.
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: I laughed at it because I spoke to Matt before this,
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: and that's like, I'm just gonna play this right down
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: the middle. I'm not gonna try to be Georgina. And
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: as soon as he does that, he gets that sucked.
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: I didn't even know I was gonna say that until
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: he started reading, and I'm like, oh, it'll be funny
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: if I say this. Wow. Alright, So Bears Lions, Um
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: Chase Daniels, Chase Daniel game um without Jeff Schwartz protecting
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: him because Jeff Schwartz has been there for thirty of
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: his touchdown passes. Jeff Schwartz. Jef Schwartz has protected him
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: for twenty of his thirty eight career passes. So, um,
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: you know this game stinks. Chat. I want no part
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: of this game. I hate it. I hate everything about it.
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: I hate that I have to watch it. It is
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a bummer. Um. I was lined
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: up for, like, you know, these Bears, they're um bestilling
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: my heart by winning every week in ways that I
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: was not expecting. Troubisky just seems to be getting better
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: and better. They're putting the ball in his hands to
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: win games now, which I thought they should have been
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: doing earlier in the year. I'm sad that he's out.
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: I'm sad to not watch him. Uh. I agree, though
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: I'm not loving many of these things, giving day games,
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: to be honest, So let's skip over this one and
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: move on to the next. Washington at Dallas Cowboys by seven.
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: I love it. What do you love about this? Which
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: side the Redskins? Give me the red Skins and the
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: point McCoy in this spot. Coulte McCoy never lost to
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: the Cowboys. All right, people, listen, Coulte McCoy is one
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: of the highest paid backup to the NFL for a reason.
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: He is a decent quarterback. And you you We've seen
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: this happen over and over this season. Right the backup
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: comes in and the first game he's in, they play
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: really well. Afterwards, it could be a disaster, But on
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: a short week, with Dallas not having a ton of
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: time to prep for him, I think Cope McCoy can
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: get the job done here. I like the Redskins a
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: lot in this game, and you're throwing seven on the
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: board with the Dallas Cowboys. I don't know the Dallas
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: should be laying seven anybody right now, certainly not a
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: divisional opponent on a short week. Love the Redskins. And
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: you know the one thing the Redskins defense as real, well,
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: they stopped the run. They stopped the run. And if
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: you fource Dallas to become a passing offense, it ain't good.
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: The thing is, I don't disagree with you. I really don't. Right,
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: we got Skins. I think we do. I really think
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: we do. I'm a huge Colton McCoy fan, huge Colton
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: McCoy fan, um, and I think that what I've read
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: is how much the players are excited for Colton McCoy
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: and how sort of internally even the players have been
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: asking like, why isn't Colton McCoy just playing more? And
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: you saw the way they rallied around him. Um, you know,
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: I think he's ready to go back home to Texas
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: and uh and play this game tight. I agreed, love it.
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: Matthew Atlanta at New Orleans Saints by look look, look,
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: I hate to say it. The Falcons are the right
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: side in this game. Bookmaker Scooch. Bookmaker Scooch in the
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: Wednesday episode of The Favorites, which came out, you know,
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: twelve hours ago, UM basically said the line on this
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: game is ten but they are so inflating the Saints, begging,
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: begging for people to take the Falcons in this game.
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: This game opened at fourteen and a half, it got
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: back down to thirteen. On the podcast with Scooch, he
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: raised the point spread from thirteen to thirteen and a half.
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: He moved the line from thirteen to thirteen and a
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: half only to get more money to come in on
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: the Falcons. And he did, and he still didn't move
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: it back down to the problem. And this game is
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: gonna be a shooter. The problem. I hate the Falcons.
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: You need to talk me into this game. Well, I mean, listen.
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: The way to talk you into it is is by
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: using your own logic. Here, Okay, the Saints are off
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: of three games in a row where they have exceeded expectations.
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: They beat the undefeated Rams, they go on the road
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: to Cincinnati, put fifty on the board there. Then the
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: Eagles come to town with their season on the line,
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: and they throttle the Eagles seven. So when you talked
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: two weeks ago about the Saints being overvalued, I disagreed
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: with you. Last week I thought they were overvalued. This week,
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: I sure as hell think they're overvalued because You've got
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: the Saints coming off of just dominant wins. The Falcons
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: come off the game where they look like they forgot
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: how to score, which is not that team's m O.
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: That's not their personality. Their personality is a lousy defense.
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: But they can put points up. It's a short week,
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: divisional game and thirteen on the board. I bet this
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: line as soon as I saw it. I love the Saints.
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: You and I both have futures on them. Everyone knows that.
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: But you can't lay thirteen in a divisional game with
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: an offense as dangerous as the Falcons. I like the Falcons. Okay,
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: I will do it. Yeah. I needed you to pull
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: me back into rational thought. That's what I am. That's
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: a terrifying thing when you want me to pull you
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: into rational thought. I know, right, But I'm a rational
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: thinker and sometimes I need people to remind me of that.
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: And when I get irrational, when I start to get auntsie,
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: when I start to think, wait, am I betting the
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: team I've seen? Or am I betting the number? I
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: need someone to come back and give me ballast, give
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: me something to hold on to the handrail on the
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: roller coaster. That is our lives as betters. You are
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: my handrail, black Jack. All right, we got to it's
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: gonna be a very anxious Thanksgiving, and not just because
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: we're separated by thousands of miles from each other and
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: you're in Florida. True story. What do we got next, Mattie,
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: New York Giants at Philly Eagles by six, No, thank you,
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: I agree with you. Pass jack's Ville at Buffalo Jack's
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: by three Jacksonville all day long. Mm hmm. These are
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: still the Buffalo Bills, Chad. Don't forget because they've been
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: gone for a week on a bye. These are still
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: the Buffalo Bills. Jacksonville played a strong game against Pittsburgh.
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: They choked it up late. But if Jacksonville does the
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: same thing they did to the Steelers to the Bills,
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: they win this game by twenty. I want to come
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: back to it. I don't disagree with you, but let's
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: make it a maybe. I worry about this team. I
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: worry about this team just sort of having lost their
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: ambition and their motivation and not knowing what they're playing
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: for anymore. I'm not sure you know that was There
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: were plenty of plenty of times against the Steelers where
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: they had ridiculously bad broken coverages. It was the second
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: week in a row, which this this, uh, this defense
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: kind of gave a game away. But the is that
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: the Steelers have James Conner and Juju Smith Schuster and
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: Antonio Brown, and the Buffalo Bills have a few guys
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: that they found, you know, down at Duff's eating chicken wings.
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: So um, they could really try to give it away
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: and still win the game. I mean, those are good points. Smile.
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: Florida Air must agree with you. Maybe it's the humidity,
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: because does not agree with me. Nothing about this this
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: state agrees with me. Certainly not. The humidity. Eighty degrees
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: on Thanksgiving is unnatural. It's subhuman. Why are you there?
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: I have family here, Channel, I want a choice. You
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: know what, black Jack, you're a superstar. Now you've got
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: a podcast, you're on television. You've got a cowboy hat,
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: you've got sequence shoes, you got a job. People should
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: come to you. That's right, that's right, Chad. This should
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: be happening. We should be enjoying the spread overlooking the
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: Santa and the mountains somewhere out in California, in a
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: place befitting of my stature in life instead of jump.
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: But here we are. Let me ask you a question.
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: Do you think I go to people? No, the people
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: come to me. That's a difference. That is the difference.
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: That is how you know I don't live on a
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: mansion and a mansion in Greenwich, Connecticut like you do.
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: That three is how you know I am the straw
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: that stirs the drink. All right, you're you're a straw
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: in terms of that's your body type. I don't really
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: how comment for that. Maddie. What's next? Thank god? You
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: asked Seattle at Carolina Panthers by three and a half,
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: and I it Oakland at Baltimore Ravens by ten and
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: a half. Next, yep. Next San Francisco at Tampa Bucks
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: by three and a half miners. Oh tell me why
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: I don't need it. Part of me just wanted to
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: say that because I felt like we couldn't say next
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: every single time. And there's a lot of crap games
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: on this board. But uh ay, the wise guys are
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: betting the Niners, and they moved this guy. They moved
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: this line down. If I were to look in, uh
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: the Action network gap, which is what Blackchap free, you say,
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: did you say it's free, don't have the by now.
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: If you don't have this out by now, you're an idiot. Yeah,
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: I think I agree with you completely. Um the line
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: open at three. It got that up to three and
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: a half. What's interesting is that of the tickets are
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: on the Bucks, but cent of the month, no percent
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: of the money is on San Francisco. So what that's
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: telling me is that the wise guys are on San
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: Francisco at um. A pretty nice clip at three and
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: a half. That's a huge discrepancy. All Right, I'll ribe
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: at San Francisco. Screw it, let's do it. Well, let's
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: put them maybe there Niners. Maybe little premature on the
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: ching ching um, but let's put them maybe there because
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: I don't know that we're gonna find that many games.
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: It's kind of a crappy week. All right. We've got
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: two maybes right now, just to remind people, we've got
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: two games on Thanksgiving that we're in. We're all in
• 15:59
  Speaker 1: on the Alkins plus thirteen, We're all in on the
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: Skins plus seven. We gotta maybe on the Jags, uh
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: minus three, and then maybe on the the Niners plus
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: three and a half. Wow, we are really living up
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: to our rep just taking bad teams. Alright, Chad. Before
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: we get to our next pick, I've got to stop
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: and talk for a second about an app that I've
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: downloaded here that everybody needs to know about. It's called
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: robin Hood. It's an investing app that lets you buy
• 16:30
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• 16:35
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• 16:40
  Speaker 1: not just the super wealthy like you, Chad. It's a
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: non intimidating way for stock market newcomers like myself to
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: invest for the first time and have confidence that you
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: know what you're doing. It's a simple, intuitive, clear design,
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: and they present the data in an easy to digest
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: way that even people like me can understand. I am
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: super wealthy, black Jack, and i have a ton of
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: experience in the stock market, and I'm telling you right
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: now I downloaded the robin Hood app and it is
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: so easy to use. It is so intuitive. It makes
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: investing easier. Also, I love I'm not getting charged commissions.
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: I'm not getting charged fees. Other brokerages they're charging me
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: up to ten dollars for every trade, but robin Hood
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: it's not charging me anything. I'm keeping all of my profits.
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: I'm discovering new stocks, I'm tracking favorite my favorite companies
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: with personalized news feeds. I'm getting notifications so I never
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: miss the right moment to invest. All Right, I need
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: everybody to pay attention now, because even if you haven't
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: heard anything else we've said, you need to listen to
• 17:46
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• 17:50
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• 17:55
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• 17:58
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• 18:00
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• 18:02
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• 18:06
  Speaker 1: up at favorites dot robin hood dot com, Dot's favorite
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: dot robin hood dot com. Alright, what do we got?
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: Maddie Cleveland at Chad's Bengals Bengals by three. Listen, this
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: is the huge Jackson Bowl, right, Listen to this. Listen,
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: listen to me. Hugh Jackson, Okay is on the sideline
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: whispering sweet nothings in Marvin Lewis's ear about the team
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: that he built, the players he coached. There's nobody in
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: the NFL who knows the Cleveland Browns as intimately as
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: Hugh Jackson. Please tell me you're joking. The fact you've
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: got it. You have to be joking, right, The fact
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: there's a punch one coming right. The fact that Hugh
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: Jackson is gonna be on the sideline for the Cincinnati
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: Bengals and then he knows as much about this team
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: as anybody. It is shocking to me. It is shocking
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: to me. It is shocking to me that the Browns
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: are not favored by a touchdown in this game. All right,
• 19:24
  Speaker 1: there it is Jesus fine, thank you God. I thought
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: you were really going to try to say Hugh Jackson
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: was an advantage. By the way, are there two people
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: in the NFL that deserve each other more than Marvin
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: Lewis and Hugh Jackson? Because I can't think of it.
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: Those two are destined to be together. It's pretty stunning. Cleveland.
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: I like Cleveland. Oh, we're not going to bet this game?
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: I mean, I guess I bet this game before I
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: bet the Niners. But the Jacks lay like Cleveland? Why not?
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: Why not? For once in our lives? Can we just
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: and we just bet on a good team? Can we
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: not sweat two games five years. I'll give you the
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: chance to bet a good team, Maddie. What's next? New England,
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: New York Jets, Patriots? By there it is. You want
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: to bet a good team New England? Lay it done.
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: That's not the good team that I was thinking about, Chad.
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: They're off of bye week playing the Jets. The last
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: time we saw the Jets, they got their doors blown
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: off by Matt Berkeley and the Buffalo Bills. Now you
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: get bratty off of by don't overthink this, don't be stupid,
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: pass pass by a million. I mean the Jets are
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: really the right side here? No they are not, Chad, No,
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: they are not. The New York Jets are not the
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: right side. No. They're a bad football team, very very bad.
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: They not be able to score points. The Patriots are
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: off of a bye week playing the Jets. Why why
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: do I have to say anything else? Aren't the Jets
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: off of a bye week? Yeah? And I don't think
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: it helps them. I think I feel better about this
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: game than the Niners. You think you just gave me
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: a lecture about how you want to bet good teams.
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: Here's a good team playing a lousy team. Lay the points.
• 21:32
  Speaker 1: Don't worry about it. I think the Patriots are overrated.
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: I think you're out of your mind. We do this
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: every year and somehow you can still write them in
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: inc to be in the a f C title game.
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: We do this every year, and yet this is the
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: first year we're doing the podcast. To me that it's
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: the royal we Chad, it's the royal. We are right here,
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: very we're in a very comfortable marriage. And eight weeks
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: we've been doing this feels like eight years. Maybe you
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: should learn to count weeks, ten weeks, ten weeks, eleven weeks.
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: Patriots Chat, Patriots Gone, it's the Patriots, all right? To
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: bring this one up, Matt, Patriots. Patriots are third team
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: in Matt, Do you need a fucking queue? Read the
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: read the score, Read the line. Arizona at Los Angeles Chargers,
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: Chargers by twelve and a half. That's not how you
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: say Los Angeles. Say it right, Arizona at Los Angeles
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: Chargers charges by twelve and a half. Next, you can't
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: talk to the staff that way. Shut up. You can't
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: do it all right, You're not a dictator. We live
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: in a world, do you guys hear my family yelling downstairs.
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: You could be overthrown by a strong gust of wind.
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: All right, you can't be talking to people that way.
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: I'm really sorry, Matt. It's okay, Chad, thanks black Jack.
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: Ready for the next game? Yes, Pittsburgh at Denver, Steelers
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: by three? I hate this? Oh my god, are you
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: kidding me? What do you? What do you like here?
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: Because I know what I think, but I don't want
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: to say it. Do you think the Broncos kind of
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: the Steelers are not a great road team? In Denver
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: is one of the toughest places to play. They just
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: flew to Jacksonville. Now they're flying the other way out
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: to Denver. I don't oh, man, I don't like it.
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: I don't like it. At some point the Steelers team
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: is gonna stub their toe. They do it every year,
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: and this just feels like a game where they could
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: have some problems. I don't know, I don't like it.
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: All right. Look, I actually love the Steelers in this spot,
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: and I hate betting road favorites. Um, but we're already
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: throwing caution to the win and betting a nearly double
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: digit road favorite in the Patriots, And like, I think
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: the Steelers have already stubbed their toe. I think they
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: stubbed their toe against the Browns early in the season.
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: I think they stubbed their toe when they were trying
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: to rectify the relationship between Antonio Brown and Ben Roethlisberger.
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: I think they stubbed their toe when they lost early
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: in the season. I think this team is through it.
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: I think this defense is getting better and better. The
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: fact they kept the Jaguars to the few number of
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: points that they did and then they were able to
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: come together and win that game on the road against
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: the best passing defense in the NFL. That and gives
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: me encouragement. They also are one of the ten teams
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: that I had to win the Super Bowl. But something
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: about them like I like it. All right, I'll do it.
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: I'll do it for Chris Raybon because he hates Vans
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: Joseph so much. I'll do it for him. Also, you
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: know what we gotta do. We gotta we gotta flip
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: the script. We gotta get aggressive. We've we've won games,
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: We've got a winning record, and that's that's valiant. That's
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: good in this contest. But we gotta make some moves.
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: We gotta start game theoryizing here, and uh, I like
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: going with road favorites when we need to start racking
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: up some wins, when people are going to be doing that.
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: Put it on the board. That's four Miami at Indianapolis
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: Colts by seven and a half. No, m mm hmm. No,
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: I don't like it. I don't like anything about it.
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: Tannehill's back because Tannahill's back, and you know, the Dolphins
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: did look all right with him. Seven and a half.
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: That number makes me queasy. Oh, I guess I'm just
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: not sure I believe that the Cults are ready to
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: be seven and a half point favorite. I'm not either.
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: But I also am not ready to buy into the
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: Dolphins being able to hang around. Like I don't know.
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: They're they're one of those teams that they either surprise
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: you and win the game or they just get blown
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: the hell out. Like I don't know. I don't like it.
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: I got no no feel for this. You operate on field, baby,
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: you damn mine? I do that, I know, all right?
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: All right, So what are our babies? We got one
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: more to film? Well, we got two more games still.
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: Oh all right, well let's do those. Green Bay at
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: Minnesota Vikings by three and a half. I don't like
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: to hook. Nope, I don't either. What's the last one, Maddie,
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: Tennessee at Houston, Houston by six and a half. Do
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: we know what Mariota's deal is? Is he? Is he
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: right for this game or not? I don't think we
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: know yet. Yeah, that's the problem, right, because if Mariota
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: was playing, I would be inclined to take the point, really,
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: but yeah I would. Tennessee's defense has impressed me enough
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: that I think they can hang in a divisional game
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: within a touchdown. But if we're talking Blaine Gabbart, no way, no,
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: how not happened? So I think we have to leave
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: this off. All right, let me ask you this. Marcus Mariota,
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: He's uh, practice time was limited today. His playing status
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: is unclear. If Marcus Mariotta is playing, which you know,
• 28:08
  Speaker 1: he's got four days to to get better, I think
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: he can. Let's let's assume that he's going to play.
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: Do we like for our last pick, Tennessee plus six
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: and a half over Niners plus three and a half
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: over Jags minus three. We can stop this now. It's Jacksonville.
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: It's Jacksonville, clearly, the best play. Yeah. I like when
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: we do that part because that is like really a
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: clarifying moment. Yeah, there's no way you can justify taking
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: either one of those other teams over Jacksonville at Buffalo.
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: You gotta go Jacksonville. Well guess what then we're done?
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: We got five? Is this the mail at in pod?
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: Is that? What this is? Is that what we just did?
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: Listen to one of the Jags in this spot. One
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: of these two teams, Chad is going to get to
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: four wins on Sunday. Think about that. They played in
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: a think you want you want your mind to be blown.
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: These two teams played the playoff game last year and
• 29:19
  Speaker 1: now they're coming into a game, both of them at
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: three and seven. Jacksonville is the vastly superior team to
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: what Buffalo is trotting out weekend and week out. It's
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: not I mean, it's not close. All right, Here's what
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: we got. Washington Redskins plus seven against the Dallas Cowboys,
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: Atlanta Falcons plus thirteen against the New Orleans Saints. Jacksonville
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: Jaguars minus three at Buffalo. That's three so far. New
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: England Patriots minus nine and a half after New York
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: Jets the Pittsburgh Steelers minus three at the Denver Broncos.
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: We are breaking custom, black Jack. We have three road
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: favorites on our list. This is how you get off
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: the schnide. Though, Chad, we've been getting our ass beat
• 30:18
  Speaker 1: the last two weeks. You gotta change it up and
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: pull a one eighty and just go and do something different.
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: So that's what we're doing, black Jack. You know what what,
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: I'm thankful for you as I am for you. You're
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: my beautiful boy. You are my beautiful boy. I want
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: you to have a wonderful Thanksgiving in Florida. I wanted
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: to be full of joy and happiness and no anxiety. Also,
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: black Jack, you know what I am. I'm thankful for
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: that forward as you should be for filling in today,
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: happy to do it. Thankful for you guys. I'm thankful
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: for Georgina for being better than Matt. So all right,
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: you see, that was the unnecessary point. It was unnecessary,
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: no argument here. I could not I could not resist that.
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: We also she's better at this, but you know there
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: was no need to say it. I'm also thankful for
• 31:15
  Speaker 1: our listeners. Thank you for listening to the favorites we
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: have shows every Monday, Wednesday, and Friday. Subscribe to this
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: show on Apple podcast radio dot com wherever you get
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: your shows. Blackjack, you are my brother. As always, I
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: want you to have that great Thanksgiving. See Monday morning,
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: I'll be with Jeff Schwartz and Paula Duca recapping the
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: week and looking ahead to the next. Until then, Happy
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: Thanksgiving everybody, All right, Chad. Before we get to our
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: next pick, I've got to stop and talk for a
• 32:03
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• 32:06
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• 32:32
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• 32:38
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• 32:44
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• 33:01
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• 33:06
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