Latest / The Chuck ToddCast / Bonus Friday Episode - Indiana GOP REBUKES Trump: Is The Trump Era Finally Ending?
Transcript
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- 1:38Speaker 1: you've got a growing family. Hello there, Chuck Todd. Here
- 1:44Speaker 1: it is Friday, December twelfth. I thought I would jump
- 1:47Speaker 1: in with just a quick little update on what was
- 1:52Speaker 1: I think a pretty monumental day that when we look
- 1:57Speaker 1: back on what happened on Thursday, December eleven in the
- 2:01Speaker 1: era of Trump, that this will be one could be
- 2:04Speaker 1: one of those plot points. And I know we've been
- 2:07Speaker 1: done this road before. It could be is this the
- 2:09Speaker 1: sign that it's coming to an end? Etcetera, etcetera. But
- 2:12Speaker 1: let's talk about two important things that happen and in
- 2:15Speaker 1: two ways, where something President Trump demanded, where he tried
- 2:19Speaker 1: to bend the will of the law, bend the will
- 2:23Speaker 1: of politics, bend the will of individuals his way, and
- 2:27Speaker 1: he hasn't been able to do it. Obviously, the big
- 2:31Speaker 1: news is what happened in Indiana, with essentially Indiana Republicans
- 2:34Speaker 1: feeling comfortable saying no to Donald Trump. But earlier in
- 2:38Speaker 1: the day we had a grand jury who you know,
- 2:41Speaker 1: the famous joke is you can get a grand jury
- 2:43Speaker 1: to indict a ham sandwich. Perhaps the Trump administration should
- 2:47Speaker 1: have tried indicting a ham sandwich named Letitia James. Rather
- 2:50Speaker 1: than trying to indict Leticia James a second time on
- 2:55Speaker 1: this idea that she committed mortgage fraud. Grand jury said no.
- 3:00Speaker 1: And it is you're starting to see a pattern here
- 3:06Speaker 1: where there is more comfort in pushing back, and when
- 3:12Speaker 1: you do, you're not seeing the consequences that are threatened.
- 3:17Speaker 1: But let's start with the political consequences or lack thereof,
- 3:20Speaker 1: with what happened in Indiana. This is Republicans saying no.
- 3:24Speaker 1: This is not the first time, right, we have seen right,
- 3:27Speaker 1: There has been sort of this. I wrote about in
- 3:29Speaker 1: a sub stack about a month ago that I said,
- 3:31Speaker 1: the cracks and the coalition are starting to appear focusing
- 3:35Speaker 1: then on the Marjorie Taylor Green situation Thomas Massey, and
- 3:39Speaker 1: it's like, slowly, but surely, you've had people push back
- 3:44Speaker 1: and there have been no consequences. Look and Trump one
- 3:47Speaker 1: point zero. And even in the four yer exile period
- 3:50Speaker 1: where he was still sort of hovering over our politics,
- 3:52Speaker 1: even if he didn't have actual power, his words mattered,
- 3:57Speaker 1: his threats mattered, and he did instill sometimes fear in
- 4:02Speaker 1: the minds of some Republicans to go his way, because
- 4:06Speaker 1: at the end of the day, the voters were with him.
- 4:10Speaker 1: But that's the issue here. It's like, why did Indiana
- 4:12Speaker 1: Republicans feel comfortable pushing back? Why does Marjorie Taylor Green
- 4:15Speaker 1: feel comfortable pushing back? Why is Thomas Massey felt comfortable
- 4:18Speaker 1: pushing back? Why do you see a growing you know,
- 4:22Speaker 1: ever so slowly, a growing number of House Republicans and
- 4:24Speaker 1: Senate Republicans essentially looking for ways to go in a
- 4:29Speaker 1: different direction than what the Trump administration is demanding. And
- 4:33Speaker 1: that is because this economy is not good and voters
- 4:38Speaker 1: don't like this economy, and ultimately, if they don't like
- 4:42Speaker 1: the economy, everything else starts to bother them. And who
- 4:49Speaker 1: knows this better than lawmakers that are closer to the
- 4:52Speaker 1: voters than the president is. He has had a hard
- 4:56Speaker 1: time making Thomas Massey pay for what he has done,
- 4:59Speaker 1: and he's essentially pushing back on him. In particular on
- 5:02Speaker 1: the Epstein files. Marjorie Taylor Green seemed to indicate that
- 5:06Speaker 1: she just didn't want to go through the idea of
- 5:10Speaker 1: having to fight Trump in a primary, and so she
- 5:15Speaker 1: chose resignation rather than going down that road. So perhaps
- 5:20Speaker 1: you could make the argument, if you really wanted to,
- 5:22Speaker 1: to say, well, Trump did intimidate or intimidator out of Congress.
- 5:26Speaker 1: She's also now serving as an incredible rhetorical weapon against
- 5:30Speaker 1: him from the point of view of MAGA. But this
- 5:34Speaker 1: is a significant moment because what is he going to
- 5:39Speaker 1: be able to do. It wasn't just one or two
- 5:40Speaker 1: Indiana Republicans that stepped up against him. You ended up
- 5:43Speaker 1: having a fairly large coalition. You had the former governor
- 5:46Speaker 1: Mitch Daniels, whether he was just giving advice to lawmakers
- 5:51Speaker 1: or actively trying to thwart him, because Mitch Daniels is
- 5:55Speaker 1: a conservative, is a Republican who does not believe any Essentially,
- 6:00Speaker 1: Trump's vision for the Republican Party. It is hard to
- 6:04Speaker 1: call Trump a conservative anymore by any definition of conservatism
- 6:09Speaker 1: that most of us have grown up with over the
- 6:11Speaker 1: last fifty years. He's not for limited government. If anything,
- 6:14Speaker 1: he is aggressively trying to be strong government, trying to
- 6:20Speaker 1: use the power of government to get business to do
- 6:23Speaker 1: its well, use the power of government to get other
- 6:26Speaker 1: countries to bend do as will. That is not a
- 6:28Speaker 1: limited government philosophy. He is also not. The debt is
- 6:33Speaker 1: not an animating issue to him. Balanced budgets are not
- 6:36Speaker 1: an animated issue to him, never was for him personally
- 6:38Speaker 1: as a businessman. And he has certainly taken that philosophy
- 6:42Speaker 1: into government with him. And you have somebody like a
- 6:47Speaker 1: Mitch Daniels who think, hey, government shouldn't be a part
- 6:49Speaker 1: of this. And then there's the whole state's rights issue,
- 6:51Speaker 1: which has been arguably among the most important planks to
- 6:57Speaker 1: the conservative movement the last seventy years. Right, it was
- 7:02Speaker 1: under the umbrella of states rights that conservatives wanted to
- 7:06Speaker 1: fight back on the Civil Rights Act. It was under
- 7:08Speaker 1: the umbrella of states rights that conservative social conservatives pushed
- 7:11Speaker 1: back on abortion laws. And here he is essentially trying
- 7:15Speaker 1: to thwart the state's rights, whether it's the threats that
- 7:19Speaker 1: were made by Heritage Action. And by the way, I
- 7:22Speaker 1: don't know what's happened to the Heritage Well we know
- 7:23Speaker 1: what's happened to the Heritage Foundation. They just followed the
- 7:25Speaker 1: money donors that wanted to support Donald Trump became very
- 7:30Speaker 1: important to Heritage. So they've changed their philosophy completely. You know,
- 7:35Speaker 1: there were two major think tanks in this town on
- 7:37Speaker 1: the conservative side of the aisle, the American Enterprise Institute
- 7:41Speaker 1: and Heritage. American Enterprise Institute is still a small c
- 7:45Speaker 1: conservative think tank that certainly has plenty of ideas that
- 7:50Speaker 1: sort of in the Venn diagram overlap with some of
- 7:52Speaker 1: the goals of the Trump administration. But at their core
- 7:56Speaker 1: these are still sort of this is a Reagan This
- 7:59Speaker 1: is a think tank that it thinks of conservatism through
- 8:02Speaker 1: the definition of Ronald Reagan strong, you know, international foreign policy,
- 8:11Speaker 1: interventionists when necessary, but sort of a little bit of
- 8:15Speaker 1: a moral code to our foreign policy. There is no
- 8:18Speaker 1: more moral code to our foreign policy anymore, inn Trump.
- 8:21Speaker 1: And then of course what he's doing with tariffs and
- 8:23Speaker 1: the economy that is not sort of that. And so
- 8:26Speaker 1: the Heritage Foundation used to be sort of in that
- 8:31Speaker 1: sort of shared in some ways. Heritage and AI simply
- 8:35Speaker 1: fought over individuals to work at their institutions because philosophically
- 8:40Speaker 1: they were mostly on the same page. But Heritage decided
- 8:43Speaker 1: to sell out financially. And now that they came out
- 8:47Speaker 1: with and said that somehow federal funds would be taken
- 8:51Speaker 1: away from Indiana, any projects that Indiana thought they were
- 8:55Speaker 1: going to get would be taken away. It It is
- 8:58Speaker 1: just anti antithetical to what conservatism has been for the
- 9:02Speaker 1: last fifty years. Again, apparently not caring about federalism, not
- 9:06Speaker 1: caring about states rights. You so, and I actually think
- 9:10Speaker 1: that you're going to see a lot of Republicans push
- 9:15Speaker 1: back on this executive order that Donald Trump signed last
- 9:18Speaker 1: night trying to prevent states from doing their own regulation
- 9:23Speaker 1: and artificial intelligence. That is going to be an interesting
- 9:28Speaker 1: It's going to be some interesting I don't think what
- 9:30Speaker 1: he signed is constitutional. I don't think he can do that.
- 9:34Speaker 1: It appears that only Congress can overwrite state laws. That
- 9:37Speaker 1: they would have to do it. He didn't have the
- 9:39Speaker 1: votes in Congress to include this. This was yet another
- 9:42Speaker 1: sign right they tried to bully that moratorium on state
- 9:46Speaker 1: regulations into the last couple of bills, either tried to
- 9:49Speaker 1: put it to the must pass Defense Bill or try
- 9:51Speaker 1: to get it into opening the government bill, and they
- 9:53Speaker 1: couldn't get it there because there were so many Republicans
- 9:55Speaker 1: that were against this. And guess who else is against this?
- 9:58Speaker 1: The public. The public is very skeptical right now of AI,
- 10:02Speaker 1: very nervous about AI. And so this is politically, I
- 10:05Speaker 1: actually think, really damaging to Republicans in twenty twenty six. Right,
- 10:09Speaker 1: Donald Trump doesn't want you know, doesn't want to prevent
- 10:14Speaker 1: you could just see the ads now, right, Donald Trump
- 10:15Speaker 1: doesn't want to prevent these tech companies from abusing our kids'
- 10:19Speaker 1: mental health. Donald Trump doesn't want to prevent these tech
- 10:21Speaker 1: companies from abusing your pocketbook by doing surveillance, pricing and
- 10:27Speaker 1: all this stuff. That is going to be you know,
- 10:33Speaker 1: that is they're going to see a lot of Republicans,
- 10:35Speaker 1: probably starting with Ronda Santis, who has been among the
- 10:38Speaker 1: most vocal conservative Republicans in the States against this federal moratorium,
- 10:44Speaker 1: against a regulation. So Donald Trump's inviting another fight, and
- 10:49Speaker 1: he's going to be inviting yet more proof that perhaps
- 10:52Speaker 1: the Emperor's you know, and I'm not going to sit
- 10:54Speaker 1: here and say the Emperor has no clothes. But we're
- 10:57Speaker 1: starting to see a striptease here. And it feels like,
- 11:02Speaker 1: now this is the third straight month where there's been
- 11:04Speaker 1: something where parts of his coalition have begun to fray. Right,
- 11:09Speaker 1: First it was over Epstein, Right, you've seen it that.
- 11:13Speaker 1: Now you've seen it over healthcare and the state of
- 11:15Speaker 1: the economy. We've seen it on tariffs, which also are
- 11:20Speaker 1: linked to the state of the economy. And I'm telling you,
- 11:22Speaker 1: and now we've got it on artificial intelligence and sort
- 11:24Speaker 1: of getting into bed with big tech, who's just as
- 11:27Speaker 1: unpopular on the conservative right as they are on the
- 11:31Speaker 1: progressive left. Like I said Thursday, December eleventh, is I
- 11:37Speaker 1: think is going to be seen as one of the
- 11:39Speaker 1: more significant days when we start to plot when is
- 11:44Speaker 1: this the beginning of the end? Right? Was it Election
- 11:47Speaker 1: Day twenty twenty five? Was it the break on the
- 11:50Speaker 1: Epstein files with the discharge petition? Was it? You know,
- 11:53Speaker 1: what we're seeing is a consistent Is it the Indiana
- 11:56Speaker 1: Republicans saying no one redistricting? The bottom line is there's
- 12:01Speaker 1: fewer Republicans who are afraid of Donald Trump. There are
- 12:04Speaker 1: more base conservatives who don't like this economy, who aren't
- 12:07Speaker 1: going to punish local lawmakers who decide to defy Donald
- 12:11Speaker 1: Trump if it is grounded in something the public themselves
- 12:16Speaker 1: is concerned about. So look, a lot of people have
- 12:21Speaker 1: lost money trying to predict the end of the Trump era.
- 12:25Speaker 1: But as I've said before, we're in year ten. It
- 12:29Speaker 1: is no political movement lasts that long. And we're starting
- 12:32Speaker 1: to see Trump's grip loosening all the time. Pick your metaphor.
- 12:38Speaker 1: Emperor is doesn't have no clothes, but he's looking you know,
- 12:43Speaker 1: he's never looked more naked than he looks now on
- 12:48Speaker 1: twelve on December twelfth, twenty twenty five. Now, when he's
- 12:51Speaker 1: in these moments, I do you know, he's going to
- 12:55Speaker 1: want to prove he still has strength. He's going to
- 12:58Speaker 1: want to prove he still has influence. He's going to
- 12:59Speaker 1: want to prove he can still sort of bend people
- 13:03Speaker 1: towards his will. So I wouldn't be surprised. You know,
- 13:06Speaker 1: nobody's going to let go of power easily. So he's
- 13:10Speaker 1: being challenged a lot. Probably should be prepared for a
- 13:14Speaker 1: lot of rants, a lot of public threats, But the
- 13:18Speaker 1: bottom line is a lot more of those folks on
- 13:21Speaker 1: the receiving end are going to be are viewing those
- 13:23Speaker 1: threats as empty, and they're now realizing Donald Trump's never
- 13:27Speaker 1: going to be on a ballot again, and Donald Trump's
- 13:30Speaker 1: influence gets weaker and weaker every day he's in office. So,
- 13:36Speaker 1: as the old saying goes, if it walks like a
- 13:38Speaker 1: lame duck, if it quacks like a lame duck, I
- 13:41Speaker 1: think it's slightly we have a lame duck. I'll see
- 13:44Speaker 1: him Monday