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Episode 252 - 4/8/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:18
  Hello, and welcome to episode 252 of the All Systems Go Sports
• 0:25
  Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 0:28
  I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
• 0:36
  Happy Tuesday. Another day here in the arena
• 0:40
  guys, and we have a big slate of MLB action for you today. 15
• 0:44
  games overall, not a ton of day sweats.
• 0:47
  I'm actually going to focus on a 5 pack of plays for you today.
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  I'm locked and loaded. I probably could have had a
• 0:52
  couple more, but 5 bets overall. They're all going to be kind of
• 0:55
  later night games here, so put on a pot of coffee.
• 0:58
  We're staying up late if you're an E coaster like me, and we're
• 1:01
  going to be sweating some Major League Baseball today, including
• 1:04
  one of my favorite system matches, a pitcher that we've
• 1:07
  loved to fade in years past. Get ready.
• 1:09
  Want to give you the updated record of fading this pitcher,
• 1:12
  but he is back in Major League Baseball.
• 1:14
  I don't know if you ever left, but he is back.
• 1:15
  He is pitching today. We're going to fade.
• 1:17
  Maybe you know who. Also, there's a particular edge
• 1:21
  that we found totals when it comes to a specific team in a
• 1:24
  specific stadium. So I'm gonna be dipping my toe
• 1:27
  into the into the total betting system here for this particular
• 1:31
  team and stadium. So we do have overall 4 money
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  lines and one total. And of course, guys, and we have
• 1:37
  a 5 pack. The goal, of course, always is
• 1:40
  to eke out a winning day by going three and two or better.
• 1:42
  So that's what I'm looking forward to.
• 1:44
  Now looking back to our last night, bit of a frustrating
• 1:47
  night. 2 and 3 -, 1.36 units. We got to start with the
• 1:51
  championship game because that's the final game obviously of
• 1:54
  March Madness. And wouldn't you know it, it was
• 1:56
  a chalky tournament. Favorites absolutely crushed it
• 1:59
  going what was it, 51 and 14 like 80% win rate.
• 2:03
  And of course, Florida, they found a way to come back again.
• 2:06
  They've been down in several games, clawed their way back,
• 2:09
  chomp their way back. So Congrats to anyone who do
• 2:11
  that, Florida in their bracket or their futures.
• 2:14
  That was obviously not great news for me and those of you who
• 2:17
  played Houston plus 1 1/2. On the one hand, boy did we beat
• 2:20
  the closing line. It closed at one.
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  It was juiced up like it may even go to pick em.
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  We had Ken Palm with the sound, the alarm.
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  We had a lot of rhythm edges basically saying it's a half
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  point or one point game. Unfortunately, Houston LED much
• 2:32
  of the game and then coughed it up there late.
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  Very frustrating and maybe apropos because Emmanuel Sharp,
• 2:38
  his last name Sharp, he killed our sharp play on Houston
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  turning it over and then not even getting a shot off 3
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  pointer there, which which would have won the game.
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  Although I must say we got the under 140 1/2, which was nice.
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  Remember they we had the three rhythm system matches and I was
• 2:53
  kind of fretting the fact that hey, at least give me the under
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  because if Houston found a way to tie that game up and then it
• 2:59
  went to overtime, it probably would have killed our under.
• 3:01
  So I would have loved to go on 2 and O Unfortunately, Houston
• 3:05
  couldn't come through. The frustrating part though, 2
• 3:07
  with Houston not just beating the closing line is that if you
• 3:09
  remember watching that game, there was a clear and obvious
• 3:12
  goal tend that they did not give two points to Houston for.
• 3:15
  So if they give them most 2 points, I know this is me, you
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  know, sour grapes as a as a Houston ticket holder, but they
• 3:21
  review everything nowadays. Why wouldn't you review and give
• 3:24
  Houston those two points for the goal 10?
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  Anyway, college basketball is done with.
• 3:29
  So split that championship game, got the under, couldn't get
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  Houston, and Major League Baseball got a nice hit there.
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  The Chicago Cubs with a good line move in their favor at
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  home. Frustrating though.
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  The Giants couldn't do anything offensively, beat the closing
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  line, got them like -150 they close like -165 but lost to
• 3:48
  nothing. Then the Dodgers, frustrating as
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  well. Feel like the Dodgers win every
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  game except for last night when we play them.
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  They just gave up a little little too, a few too many runs
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  and camp a little short with their comeback.
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  So one and two, MLB one and one with the championship game.
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  I do want to thank everyone for tuning into the live stream
• 4:06
  yesterday, the final college basketball Rhythm live stream of
• 4:09
  the season. But I do want to let you guys
• 4:12
  know that starting next Tuesday, it'll be rebranded as the Josh
• 4:16
  Appelbaum Rhythm Lab. So every Tuesday at 4:00, we're
• 4:19
  going to hit on mostly baseball, but pretty much touch on all the
• 4:22
  different sports. So those of you who have not yet
• 4:24
  downloaded Rhythm, do it now. Those of you who have it, good
• 4:27
  opportunity here to tune into those Tuesday live streams,
• 4:31
  which will be branded again the Rhythm Lab with Josh Applebaum
• 4:34
  starting next Tuesday. So without further ado, College
• 4:38
  Hoops is over with. That means we can focus almost
• 4:40
  entirely on Major League Baseball, which I love sweating
• 4:44
  on a daily basis. So without further ado, let's
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  get right to it. As I mentioned, I got a 5 pack.
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  All games are a little bit later here tonight.
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  Let's see if we can again go 2 and not two and one, three and
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  two. Meek out, a winning day.
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  So first one on the board for me.
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  Let's go to a 7:40 PM Eastern Time, first pitch, right back
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  where we played last night, right back to Wrigley Field
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  today, Texas Rangers, Chicago Cubs, 7:40 PM Eastern Time,
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  first pitch. Let's set the stage.
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  Talk line movement talk system matches.
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  And I will give you my play for this game.
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  So going into it, we have the Cubs 8:00 and 5:00 on the year.
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  Had a big win for us last night, 7, nothing cruising as -125 home
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  favorites and tonight's rematch. This is what I was alluding to.
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  The Rangers, who are 8 and three, are going to Dun Dun Dun
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  Patrick Corbin, who's making his 2025 debut.
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  Cubs, meanwhile, are going to go with Jameson Tion, who is 1 and
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  one with a 6.97 ERA this year. And as you remember Patrick
• 5:39
  Corbin last year with the Nationals 6 and 13 5.62 ERA.
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  And then I'm going to give you a stat here in a second why we
• 5:46
  love to fade Patrick Corbett and hopefully that continues here
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  today. So going into this game, we had
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  the Cubs listed as a -, 145 home favorite with on the flip side,
• 5:56
  Texas a + 130 Rd. dog. Now Sharp seem to be saying to
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  themselves, if it ain't broke, don't fix it because wise guys
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  played Chicago last night 'cause that steam in their favor.
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  We were able to get that winner there with the Cubbies and same
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  things happening here pretty much.
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  Cubs open -145 they've now been met up to around -155 some shops
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  even a little bit even higher around -160 so a clear steam
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  move starting with this line move $0.10 or more.
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  That's really how I would qualify steam.
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  Sudden change in line movement across the betting marketplace
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  for the entire market shifts. Not just one book, but the
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  entire market tells you a big wave of smart money came in to
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  'cause that big adjustment we got the $0.10 or more move here
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  to the Cubs. If you look at the bet splits at
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  DraftKings, around 2/3 of bets in dollars here on the money
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  line on the Cubs. So both the pro and Joe bet
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  split one way support in favor of Chicago.
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  Now the Cubs, they match quite a few betting systems here.
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  Home favorites, let's start there.
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  Very simple, very obvious, but 69 and 32 home favorites are
• 6:56
  this year, 68 percent, 14% ROI. Non division home favorites off
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  a win, getting steam $0.10 or more in their direction, 25 and
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  486%, 42% ROI. That system has been incredible
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  to start the year. Then we layer in home favorites
• 7:11
  off a win, playing an opponent off a loss. 35 and 1669% this
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  season, 14% ROI. Interleague Home favorites. 33
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  and 1273% this year, 24% ROI and interleague favorites off a win
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  28 and six this year, 82 percent, 39% ROI.
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  So a ton of systems here lighting up on Chicago,
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  basically a, you know, home favorite interleague favorite
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  interleague favorite off a win line move all matching here with
• 7:38
  Chicago. Now the cherry on top fading
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  Patrick Corbin. This has been a wise guy system
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  for years. You know, if you sweat some
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  games with me last year on the all systems GOPOD or inaugural
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  year, then you remember we picked faded Corbin every chance
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  we got. I've been doing it for many
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  years at this point, but fading Corbin since 2020, since the
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  pandemic. Year 89 and 47 record 65%, nine
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  percent ROI. It also doesn't hurt that the
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  Cubbies are hitting 248 against lefties this year.
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  Doesn't sound amazing, but that is 12th best in Major League
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  Baseball overall. The Cubs going to bank on their
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  offense hopefully getting to Corbin.
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  They have a big edge at the plate.
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  They're hitting 25184 runs scored.
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  Texas only hitting $1.84 with 33 runs scored.
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  There is an 8% sharp mush edge on Chicago in the Juice Reel
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  app, so I'll take that. You do have the correlative
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  bedding favorite, low total total.
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  This one is around 8 with a favorite here around upwards of
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  -155 -, 160. And then lastly, it's going to
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  be another cold night, 35° at Wrigley Field, which again, I'll
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  put that as an advantage for the Cubs because they're used to the
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  the cold weather in Chicago outdoors, whereas Texas again
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  plays indoors in a in a very hot state there in the South.
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  So for the Cubs have that as an intrinsic advantage in this
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  matchup. The Long story short, Cubs came
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  through last night, got another sharp move here, a fade Patrick
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  Corbin opportunity. Give me the cubbies.
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  I got Chicago at -155 at ESPN bet Next one for you, 8:40 PM
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  Eastern Time, first pitch, the Brew Crew traveling to face the
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  Colorado Rockies. Now going to this one.
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  We got the Brewers 5:00 and 5:00 on the year.
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  Just took three out of four against the Reds, though they
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  won Sunday's series finale 8 to 2 as a -, 145 home favorite.
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  Meanwhile, the Rockies 2:00 and 7:00 to start the season just
• 9:27
  dropped two or three against the A's did avoid the sweep, though.
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  They won Sunday's series finale 12 to 5 as a -, 120 home
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  favorite. So what have we seen across the
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  market here? Well, first let's start with the
• 9:38
  pitching match up. We got the Brewers going with
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  ready Freddie Peralta. He's on one, but a good ERA 2
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  point O 8 on the season. Rockies going to go with Kyle
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  Freeland, also Owen one also good ERA to start the year,
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  2.13. So market movement, little bit
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  sneaky toward the Milwaukee Brewers.
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  Brewers open this game around -145 -, 150.
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  We've now seen the Brew Crew get steamed up to around -155 -,
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  160. So not a massive move, but about
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  $0.10 in favor of Milwaukee. Milwaukee has a great bet split.
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  I can tell where I'm going with this one.
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  I'm going Brew Crew at circa Milwaukee, 67% of money line
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  bets, but a whopping 94% of money line dollars.
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  So rate low bets higher dollar split telling us the bigger
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  sharper wagers on Milwaukee out in the desert.
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  We do have the non division favorite system match again,
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  lack of familiarity benefiting the quote UN quote better team.
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  But then I was digging into I remember I had a system based on
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  days off and I remember I was looking at this game earlier
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  today. I said, OK, lines going to
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  Milwaukee. What systems do I have that
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  match on the Brewers? A lot of non division systems,
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  but then I, I looked at their schedule and I said, oh, they're
• 10:47
  both off yesterday. So when both teams had a day
• 10:49
  off, how does that typically affect the line or how you know
• 10:53
  is, is there an advantage one team or the other?
• 10:55
  Well, guess what, both had the day off, take the favorite.
• 10:58
  You might remember the system from last year as well, but when
• 11:01
  both teams had the day off the previous day, take the favorite.
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  Get ready for this. Those favorites are 17 and one
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  this year, 94%, nearly 60% ROI If you just isolate both had the
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  day off. Take the road favorite five and
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  one this year. That's also 221 and one 4061
• 11:18
  percent, 5% ROI since 2020. So a lot of matches there with
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  with Milwaukee and again, the non division favorite, lack of
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  familiarity also lighting up with the brew crew.
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  So Milwaukee coming in when I when I saw they match that both
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  had the day off, take the favorite system.
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  I said, hey, it's a play here to make some beer tonight.
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  So I'm brewing some beer. You are welcome to join me or
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  not totally up to you, but I'm going Milwaukee.
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  I got him on the money line -158 at FanDuel.
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  Next one, Houston, Seattle, little match up here in the AL
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  West. Let's set the stage for this
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  one. Talk some line movement and
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  system matches. So there's a late night game,
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  9:40 PM Eastern Time. We have Houston coming in four
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  and six. They just lost last night, the
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  opener to Seattle. Seattle won four to three.
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  Seattle on the years four and seven overall.
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  So both teams, same division, but again, below 500 to start
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  the season. So pitching match up, we have
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  Framber Valdez, the lefty going for Houston.
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  He's one in one 3.75 ERA. He'll be opposed by the ready
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  Luis Castillo, One in one ERA of three.
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  Now, what are we seeing across the market?
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  Well, I'm kicking myself because I didn't play this one earlier.
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  I was leaning and I was kind of waiting on it and I waited a
• 12:30
  little bit long and I got a great sign that Seattle is
• 12:33
  getting steam pretty hard. But I'm annoyed because I should
• 12:36
  have bet it a little bit earlier today.
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  So this game opened kind of a dog to fave sharp line move.
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  A lot of openers were around Houston, a very short -110 Rd.
• 12:45
  favorite with the Seattle Mariners, you know, basically
• 12:48
  plus one O 5 or plus 100. So very short Houston favorite
• 12:51
  opener. And we've completely now flipped
• 12:54
  to Seattle all the way up to around -130 even -135 S Seattle
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  went from literally a short dog to a pretty decent sized
• 13:03
  favorite here. Still a short number.
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  I got Seattle at -134 at FanDuel, but again, I was
• 13:09
  writing my sharp report for visen.com.
• 13:11
  You can always check it out when I tweeted out at Josh under
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  score insights. But I think they're on -120 and
• 13:17
  I'm like, oh, should I play Seattle here?
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  I kind of like them, but I wanted to make sure the line
• 13:21
  didn't fall back down toward toward a pick.
• 13:23
  Well, sometimes you, you know, you make a, you know, make a
• 13:27
  position like that and sometimes you regret it because the line
• 13:30
  only went further towards Seattle there.
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  But either way, guys, I like this line move in particular dog
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  to fave, but also in terms of the bet splits.
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  Like if you look at DraftKings right now, it's 5050.
• 13:40
  Public doesn't know what to do. They kind of like Seattle at
• 13:43
  home, but then also Houston's a good team getting plus money.
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  And what do we always talk about 5050 bet split line really
• 13:50
  shouldn't move at all because theoretically in a vacuum, odds
• 13:53
  makers have balanced action, no need to adjust the spread.
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  But that's not what happened here 5050 and yet we saw big
• 13:58
  steam towards Seattle tells me Seattle has taken in quite a bit
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  of sharp action. Seattle now matches home
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  favorites 69 and 32 this year, 68 percent 14% ROI and they
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  match home favorite off a win versus opponent off a loss 35
• 14:14
  and 16 this year, 69 percent 14% ROI.
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  Going to give a slight offensive advantage here to Seattle during
• 14:21
  two two O 8 on the year on base 312 slugging 347.
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  They scored 36 runs. Houston's only hitting 2O2 on
• 14:30
  base 283 slugging 296, only thirty runs.
• 14:34
  So again, slight advantage here, hopefully for Seattle with the
• 14:37
  bats getting to Framber Valdez, fingers crossed.
• 14:40
  But then also we have a favorite low total total.
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  This one is 7. It's just a little bit to the
• 14:44
  under hopefully low scoring game benefits that quote UN quote
• 14:47
  better team based upon the whoever's got the minus number,
• 14:50
  the favorite designation, which in this case would be Seattle,
• 14:54
  but a big move. You might have noticed this one
• 14:55
  too, but I can't. I can't argue with the smart
• 14:58
  money. I'm going with Seattle here
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  guys. Shop around.
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  I got the Mariners -134 at FanDuel.
• 15:05
  Next one for you, 9 forty, 9:45 PM Eastern Time.
• 15:09
  Let's call this the revenge game.
• 15:10
  Let's hope that the Giants bats can show up tonight again.
• 15:13
  Can't believe we got such CLV last night.
• 15:16
  And yet San Fran could not do anything offensively, especially
• 15:19
  when Logan Webb was pitch in the gym anyway going into it.
• 15:22
  We have the Reds 4:00 and 7:00 again.
• 15:24
  They won the opener last night. 2 nothing as a + 145 Rd. dog
• 15:28
  rematch. Tonight we got the Reds handing
• 15:30
  the ball to the lefty Nick Low Dolo one and one 1.42 ERA.
• 15:34
  He'll be opposed by the Giants righty Landon Roop, who's O&O
• 15:38
  6.75 ERA. By the way, the Giants are 8 and
• 15:41
  two this year. What do we see across the
• 15:43
  market? Will this game open?
• 15:45
  Kind of a short favorite for San Fran around -115 -. 120 We've
• 15:49
  now seen the Giants teamed up to -130 so good 10-15 cents team
• 15:54
  move in favor of the G men. They have pretty good bet splits
• 15:57
  at DraftKings. The Giants are getting 70% of
• 15:59
  money line bets, 73% of money line dollars at circa 44% money
• 16:04
  line bets, 56% money line dollars.
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  So both books are showing a nice low bets higher dollars sharp
• 16:11
  split in favor of San Fran. Now system matches for the
• 16:14
  Giants. We have home favorites 69 and 32
• 16:17
  this year, 68 percent, 14% ROI. Home favorites off a loss.
• 16:21
  So that bounce back spot 22 and 11 this year, 67 percent, 13%
• 16:27
  ROI. And we also have another system
• 16:29
  short non division favorites -135 or less 35 and 2657% this
• 16:36
  season. But it's a huge sample.
• 16:38
  If you go back to 2019, it's 1684 and 1336.
• 16:45
  That's a 56% win rate, 3% ROI, you know, 56% win rate in a
• 16:50
  money line sport, 3% ROI. That's not amazing, but I like
• 16:53
  it. That the fact that it's just a
• 16:55
  huge sample size and it tends to be kind of a grinder system, You
• 16:58
  kind of stick with it and you, you know, hopefully turn a
• 17:01
  profit. Sanfred would have that
• 17:03
  correlative betting favorite low total again, favorite -130 total
• 17:07
  7F juiced under looks like could be lowest lower scoring game
• 17:10
  under seven F - 115. The G men also have the better
• 17:14
  bats. Didn't have the better bats last
• 17:16
  night. Where were you when I needed to
• 17:18
  hit? But they are hitting two 2849
• 17:21
  run scored. You look at the Reds hitting two
• 17:23
  O 741 run scored. They have the better team ER a
• 17:26
  2.77 versus 3 point O 9 and better bullpen 2.13 versus 3.82.
• 17:32
  So the Giants let us down last night.
• 17:34
  Let's see if they can bounce back.
• 17:36
  Give us a win here tonight. I'm going with the G men right
• 17:39
  back at it. I got them at -130 last bit of
• 17:43
  the night I told you there was a total.
• 17:46
  Let's go to a AAA stadium that's now a Major League stadium.
• 17:49
  San Diego Padres and the not the Oakland Athletics, the
• 17:53
  Sacramento Athletics as they await their their move there to
• 17:57
  to Las Vegas. Now going in with we have San
• 18:01
  Diego 9 and two. Athletics are four and seven.
• 18:04
  Last night we saw the Padres hang on five to four to get the
• 18:07
  win in the inter league match up opener pitching match up here
• 18:10
  for tonight, we got Dylan Cease on the bump for the Padres 1 and
• 18:14
  O 3.38 ERA. He'll be opposed by Jeffrey
• 18:16
  Springs one and one with an ERA of four.
• 18:20
  So what are we seeing across the market here?
• 18:23
  Well, in terms of the side which I'm not playing, but I must
• 18:25
  admit line dipped a little bit here toward the athletics.
• 18:28
  You had the San Diego Padres open around -140 -, 150.
• 18:33
  Even at some shops, They are now down to around -135 -, 130.
• 18:38
  So it looks like there is some movement toward the A's at home,
• 18:40
  quote, UN quote at home. But I'm really focused on the
• 18:43
  total here. And one thing that I've picked
• 18:45
  up on, and you may have too, is that overs at this Sacramento
• 18:49
  A's, AAA stadium have been ridiculous.
• 18:52
  Overs are four and O at this ballpark.
• 18:55
  It's a little bandbox. It's tiny.
• 18:57
  You're also in a warm spot here, 71° with wind blowing out five
• 19:02
  mph. But it's kind of the feel of a
• 19:04
  smaller stadium and we've seen these overs do very, very well.
• 19:08
  Now, I'm not going to call this total a sharp over, but I am
• 19:12
  going to call it a value play over.
• 19:13
  And why won't I call it a sharp over?
• 19:15
  Because you are seeing the total juiced up to the under.
• 19:17
  You know, basically you opened 8 1/2 across the board.
• 19:21
  It was 8 1/2 like under -110 -, 115.
• 19:24
  Now it's 8 1/2 under -120. So it's actually holding out to
• 19:28
  buy loan go over 8. But it really wasn't available
• 19:30
  at many shops. So I did pick off a / 8 1/2 at
• 19:34
  even money over 8 1/2 +100 that is available at ESPN Benton
• 19:39
  Caesars right now. But my angle for the over is a
• 19:41
  couple things. One, the bet split looks pretty
• 19:43
  good on the over. If you look right now at circa
• 19:46
  93% that's 98% money is on the over and a draftking 69% that's
• 19:52
  83% dollars are on the over. Both teams are top 12 and run
• 19:57
  scored. We do have the A's pen the 4th
• 20:00
  worst in baseball 6 point O 8 ERA.
• 20:03
  So hope we don't have to, you know, bank on.
• 20:05
  A couple runs late to cash's. Wouldn't it be nice if you know,
• 20:08
  it started off, I don't know, 5 to 4 game in the 5th inning?
• 20:12
  That would be great. But whatever it takes.
• 20:14
  Of course, betting is never easy.
• 20:16
  But also like the fact that we have a home dog here.
• 20:18
  So theoretically San Diego favorite on the road that more
• 20:22
  than likely not guarantees, but more than likely you're going to
• 20:25
  get the A's batting in the bottom of the ninth.
• 20:27
  So sometimes when you play unders you like a a home
• 20:30
  favorite. That way they don't have to bat
• 20:32
  in the bottom of the ninth because theoretically they're
• 20:33
  the better team. They'll they'll probably have a
• 20:35
  lead going into the 9th. But anyway, guys, we've seen
• 20:38
  these overs do very well. Again, not a sharp over because
• 20:42
  it looks like it is. It is juiced under, but I'm
• 20:44
  going to buy logo over 8 1/2 at even money plus 100.
• 20:48
  Good bet split four and O over stadium here.
• 20:51
  Hot, not hot. I guess it's top for me in New
• 20:53
  England. It's like 50° here, but 71° wind
• 20:55
  blowing out, bad bullpen, 2 really good offenses.
• 20:59
  Let's see if we can get another over here at Sacramento A's
• 21:01
  Stadium. I am on the A's over 8 1/2 at
• 21:05
  plus 100. So A's over 8 1/2, G men,
• 21:09
  Seattle Mariners, Brewers and Cubs.
• 21:12
  Those, those are the five plays for me tonight.
• 21:14
  Hopefully we can scratch and claw and get three or more.
• 21:17
  So that about does it for episode 252 of the All Systems
• 21:20
  Go Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 21:23
  Of course. This is the part of the pod
• 21:24
  where we wrap things up and I start first by saying thank you.
• 21:27
  Thank you for taking the time out of your day, out of your
• 21:29
  busy lives to pull up a chair to the virtual bar and sweat sharp
• 21:33
  games with me each day means a ton to me that win, lose or draw
• 21:36
  you guys TuneIn and we sweat these games together.
• 21:39
  But if that is the case and you enjoy the pod, please could you
• 21:42
  do me a solid give it a five star review If you're listening
• 21:44
  on Spotify or iTunes would go a long way to helping us to
• 21:47
  continue to grow the pod. If you also want to click the
• 21:50
  follow button, that way you get alerted as soon as it drops each
• 21:52
  day, that'll be a quick way to get it immediately and hopefully
• 21:57
  listen and beat some closing lines.
• 21:59
  If you also want to recommend the pod to a friend, that will
• 22:01
  be great as well. Next, if you enjoy this style of
• 22:04
  betting breakdown, data-driven sharp contrarian betting,
• 22:07
  reading the market, picking up on the context clues, trying to
• 22:10
  locate and find and follow that sharp money, taking a contrarian
• 22:14
  approach, leaning on betting systems, flat betting, not
• 22:16
  parlaying. If this style of betting has
• 22:18
  appealed to you and you want to learn more about data-driven
• 22:21
  betting, guess what? I would recommend buying a book
• 22:24
  or two. Go to Amazon.com, type in the
• 22:26
  Everything Guide to sports betting.
• 22:28
  You can pick up a copy for you or a friend or that buddy or
• 22:32
  colleague or family member of yours who loves betting but
• 22:35
  pretty much loses a lot and needs to have a strategy, a
• 22:37
  blueprint and North star. Turn them on to the everything
• 22:40
  guide to sports betting buy copy.
• 22:42
  It's got everything I've learned in the industry.
• 22:44
  How lines are set, how and why they move, how to read line
• 22:46
  movement, how to locate sharp action, how to place a bet in
• 22:49
  person or online, how to shop for the best line, how to set up
• 22:52
  a bankroll management plan, all included in the everything guide
• 22:55
  to sports betting. I would also love if you guys
• 22:58
  would be interested in kind enough to pre-order a copy of my
• 23:02
  new book. It's called the NFL Sharp
• 23:03
  Betting playbook. Again, go to Amazon.com, type in
• 23:06
  the NFL sharp betting playbook, pre-order a copy.
• 23:09
  It's 24 bucks. It'll get dropped off to your
• 23:12
  front porch August 12th when it comes out.
• 23:15
  Those of you who have already pre-ordered a copy, thank you so
• 23:18
  much. I really, really appreciate it.
• 23:20
  Next, if you haven't done it yet, go download Rhythm and
• 23:23
  Juice Reel, my two favorite sports betting apps Rhythm, of
• 23:26
  course, great for their AI backed models and predictions
• 23:28
  for game bets and player props helped us cash that under last
• 23:31
  night in the championship game. But then also Juice Reel where
• 23:36
  you can follow the all systems go best bet picks for $4.99 a
• 23:40
  week. Again, I make the joke, but tip
• 23:42
  your bartender, tip your server, tip your podcast, those this pod
• 23:45
  is free. Hopefully you value the insights
• 23:48
  and you know one way to let me know you value them again is to
• 23:51
  sign up for those best bets $4.99 a week, which hopefully I
• 23:55
  you feel like I give you 5 bucks worth of insights a week.
• 23:58
  But anyway, you can also get the robo Jackson best bet picks, the
• 24:01
  sharp mush indicators, the arbitrage plays.
• 24:03
  Shop for the best line futures all available to you when you
• 24:07
  download Juice reel. So download rhythm, download
• 24:09
  juice reel, give them a five star review in the App Store and
• 24:12
  it'll be off and running making sharp bets.
• 24:14
  Lastly, if you bet on sports, regardless of the sport,
• 24:18
  regardless of the bet type, you need a live odds page.
• 24:21
  Live odds page is so critical to identifying you know all the
• 24:25
  games available to you. Just start there.
• 24:27
  What are the games today? You need all the lines.
• 24:29
  You need the opening numbers, the current numbers.
• 24:31
  You got to shop for the best line.
• 24:33
  One of the best live odds pages around.
• 24:35
  To me and my my personal opinion, my humble opinion is
• 24:38
  Odds Logic. I would love for you guys to
• 24:40
  give Odds Logic a shot. You can do a 7 day free trial
• 24:43
  50% off your first month just by going to oddslogic.com/josh 123.
• 24:50
  Make sure you add you add the slash
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  josh.123@theendoddslogic.com/josh 123 and again 70 free trial 50%
• 24:58
  off your first month. If you like it after the half
• 25:01
  off first month it'll just be 99 bucks a month again.
• 25:04
  Sounds like a lot, but I keep trying to tell you guys there
• 25:07
  are odds pages out there. I know a few in particular that
• 25:09
  are 300 bucks a month. 600 bucks a month.
• 25:12
  This one makes it a little bit easier for grinders like us to
• 25:15
  make data-driven sharp bets. So that about does it for
• 25:19
  episode 252 of the ASG Pod on a big Tuesday.
• 25:22
  As always, guys, I'm leave you with a couple things.
• 25:24
  One, whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin
• 25:28
  River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire,
• 25:30
  Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun, down in Connecticut, at the Encore in
• 25:33
  Boston or Plain Rich Park Casino or MGM Springfield.
• 25:36
  In my neck of the woods in Massachusetts or out in the
• 25:38
  desert where the true grinders get down, where Billy Walters
• 25:41
  sends his number runners, where the lowest juice possible is
• 25:43
  found at the South Point or sweat and sharp contrarian plays
• 25:46
  jumping in the stadium swimming pool.
• 25:48
  When you cash a big ticket at Circo, you're going to walk up
• 25:51
  to me. You're going to show me a
• 25:52
  Houston under 140 1/2. Don't show me the plus 1 1/2
• 25:57
  though. How annoying is that?
• 25:58
  Plus 1 1/2? You lose by two.
• 26:01
  Or show me a Cubbies ticket, getting it done at home.
• 26:04
  But you know what? Giants, Dodgers, Houston, 1 1/2,
• 26:08
  RIP them up. Make sure recycle, don't throw
• 26:10
  them away. Recycle those tickets and we'll
• 26:12
  see if we can bounce back tonight and have a winning
• 26:14
  night, which is always the goal. So win, lose or draw, two and
• 26:17
  three, three and two, you know, four and one, one and four, five
• 26:20
  and OO and five. The previous night never should
• 26:23
  influence, even though we're human and it can't help it.
• 26:26
  Previous night doesn't influence what we do today.
• 26:28
  We stick to the model, stick to the blueprint, read the market
• 26:32
  and make sharp bets with our head and not our heart, in which
• 26:34
  we can simultaneously be against the public with the house, with
• 26:37
  the pros, flat bet, avoid parlays, get that closing line
• 26:40
  value. If we can do that long term,
• 26:41
  guys, I'm pretty confident we're going to be successful sports
• 26:44
  bettors. So have a great Tuesday.
• 26:46
  Let's see if we can have a nice night on the diamond.
• 26:48
  And then after that, we'll be right back at it tomorrow for a
• 26:51
  big Wednesday edition. That'll be episode 253 of the
• 26:55
  All Systems Go sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 26:58
  Good luck everybody and enjoy the sweats.