Latest / Revisionist History / Saigon, 1965
Transcript
- 0:15Speaker 1: Pushkin.
- 0:18Speaker 2: After we got married, we got an apartment on Hibachung,
- 0:22Speaker 2: near the Tending Market. It's not the best part of town,
- 0:25Speaker 2: but not the worst either. Very lively, bustling, noisy area.
- 0:31Speaker 3: That's my Elliot. She lives outside of Los Angeles now,
- 0:34Speaker 3: a graceful, elegant, middle aged woman. She's talking about her
- 0:38Speaker 3: life in Saigon in the early nineteen sixties, the first
- 0:41Speaker 3: days of the Vietnam War.
- 0:42Speaker 2: I had an apartment of my own. You know, life
- 0:46Speaker 2: couldn't have been better, I thought.
- 1:00Speaker 3: My name is Malcolm Glaubla. Welcome to Revisionist History, where
- 1:05Speaker 3: every week we go back and look at something misunderstood
- 1:07Speaker 3: or overlooked. This week's episode is about a secret Pentagon
- 1:17Speaker 3: study that a Vietnamese woman named May Elliott and two
- 1:20Speaker 3: others became tangled up in and what happened when it ended,
- 1:25Speaker 3: because there's a lot we can learn from them today.
- 1:38Speaker 3: The project was run by the Rand Corporation, a think
- 1:41Speaker 3: tank based in Santa Monica, California, home to an extraordinary
- 1:45Speaker 3: collection of intellectuals and thinkers and policy wonks. RAND is
- 1:49Speaker 3: the kind of place where everyone speaks in complete paragraphs,
- 1:52Speaker 3: and if you close your eyes as you listen. You
- 1:55Speaker 3: can almost see the footnotes at the end of each
- 1:56Speaker 3: one of those perfect paragraphs. The Defense Department were alatting
- 2:00Speaker 3: them heavily in those years. Still does tell me about
- 2:04Speaker 3: how you come to work for RAND.
- 2:06Speaker 2: Dave knew somebody McVie who was an officer, a graduate student.
- 2:14Speaker 3: Dave is Ma's husband, an American academic. McVie stands for
- 2:18Speaker 3: a military Assistants Command of Vietnam Headquarters for the Vietnam War.
- 2:23Speaker 2: So anyway, Dave knew this guy who was also a
- 2:26Speaker 2: graduate student doing his military stint, and his wife, an American,
- 2:32Speaker 2: was working at RAND.
- 2:33Speaker 3: My Elliott is Vietnamese and she ends up working at
- 2:36Speaker 3: Randon Saigon for a man named Leon Garray, one of
- 2:39Speaker 3: Rand's most brilliant academics. He ran the Secret Study and
- 2:43Speaker 3: he's a big part of this story. Here's an interview
- 2:46Speaker 3: Rand recorded with Garray just before he died in two
- 2:48Speaker 3: thousand and seven.
- 2:50Speaker 2: And how did you end up getting into Vietnam?
- 2:54Speaker 4: I got drafted. Well, I was semi volunteered, but I
- 2:58Speaker 4: got drafted. The Chief of Air Force Intelligence asked me
- 3:01Speaker 4: to go.
- 3:05Speaker 3: Garray set up shop in an old French style villain
- 3:08Speaker 3: near the Presidential Palace in downtown Saigon, one seventy six
- 3:12Speaker 3: Rue Pasteur. The house is still there, flame trees and
- 3:15Speaker 3: tamarin line, the street quiet, discreet. This was in nineteen
- 3:20Speaker 3: sixty four, just when Saigon was beginning to fall apart. Still,
- 3:24Speaker 3: if you were a Westerner, you might go to the
- 3:26Speaker 3: exclusive Cerx sportif on the humid afternoons, to sit by
- 3:30Speaker 3: the pool or by tennis, or have a cocktail in
- 3:32Speaker 3: the veranda of the Continental Hotel. Maybe you'd hear a
- 3:35Speaker 3: bomb or two oft in the distance. Later, of course,
- 3:38Speaker 3: things would get far worse.
- 3:40Speaker 4: The house we lived in in Saigon was directly under
- 3:44Speaker 4: the trajectory of the rockets that they yet congo firing
- 3:47Speaker 4: at the palace, so we had a greative experience of
- 3:50Speaker 4: ducking under the dining room table.
- 3:54Speaker 3: Gray had been working in the Santa Monica office of
- 3:56Speaker 3: RAND when he was summoned to Vietnam. It was a
- 3:59Speaker 3: job no one really wanted. Who would leave southern California
- 4:02Speaker 3: for Saigon. The Pentagon wanted him to run a project
- 4:05Speaker 3: interviewing Vietcong prisoners and defectors. Jumped at the chance.
- 4:10Speaker 4: I had to organize my own team of Vietnamese we
- 4:13Speaker 4: were producing interview reports or interrogation reports for the US,
- 4:20Speaker 4: for Rand and for the Chief of the Intelligence of
- 4:23Speaker 4: the Vietnamese ARA Forces. They all got copies.
- 4:27Speaker 3: Later, Leongerrey got into trouble, or at least into an argument,
- 4:31Speaker 3: and Rand brought in a third person to fix things,
- 4:34Speaker 3: Conrad Kellen.
- 4:36Speaker 5: I was supposed to be in Doctor Nathan by Leon Golray.
- 4:39Speaker 5: He was supposed to tell me about Vietnam. But I
- 4:42Speaker 5: got very quickly the feeling that he was extremely partisan,
- 4:47Speaker 5: you know, for the for the South, which of course
- 4:49Speaker 5: was part of the show.
- 4:52Speaker 3: That woman's voice, you hear, that's my Elliott again. She
- 4:55Speaker 3: interviewed Kellen in Santa Monica after he retired from RAND
- 4:59Speaker 3: for a history she wrote called Rand in Southeast Asia,
- 5:02Speaker 3: a History of the Vietnam War, A brilliant book.
- 5:04Speaker 5: By the way, he was sort of mister Vietnam at Rand,
- 5:08Speaker 5: you know, and missed the saus Vietnam, and I sort
- 5:12Speaker 5: of became his sort of successor in a way.
- 5:24Speaker 3: The story that follows is about these three people, May
- 5:27Speaker 3: Elliott leungar Ray Conrad Kellen, and how their lives intersected
- 5:33Speaker 3: over a minor and forgotten episode in the Vietnam War
- 5:36Speaker 3: called the Vietcong Motivation and Morale Project. I say minor
- 5:41Speaker 3: because what happened in that French villa on one seven
- 5:43Speaker 3: six Rue Pastor didn't swing the war one way or another.
- 5:47Speaker 3: Nobody who was part of the study ever fired a
- 5:49Speaker 3: gun or dropped a bomb. But the story of the
- 5:53Speaker 3: Morale Project says a lot about something that has obsessed
- 5:55Speaker 3: us ever since intelligence failure. Why is it so hard
- 6:00Speaker 3: to tell what your enemy is thinking? That question came
- 6:05Speaker 3: up after nine to eleven during the Two Gulf Wars,
- 6:07Speaker 3: It came up again in Afghanistan in It comes up
- 6:10Speaker 3: today with ISIS. And every time we get it wrong,
- 6:13Speaker 3: every time our enemies take us by surprise, we always say,
- 6:17Speaker 3: if only we knew more about them, If only we
- 6:20Speaker 3: had more information about our adversaries, more spies in the ground,
- 6:24Speaker 3: more satellite images, more intercepted communications, more of everything. Do
- 6:31Speaker 3: you know how many federal government organizations there are just
- 6:35Speaker 3: devoted to counterterrorism? Twelve hundred and seventy one and another
- 6:39Speaker 3: nineteen hundred and thirty one private companies. Do you know
- 6:43Speaker 3: how many Americans hold top secret security clearances? Eight hundred
- 6:47Speaker 3: and fifty four thousand. Those numbers all come from an
- 6:51Speaker 3: extraordinary washed and post investigation from six years ago. And
- 6:55Speaker 3: here's the most incredible statistic of all. Just since nine
- 6:59Speaker 3: to eleven, just to Howe's top secret intelligence work, and
- 7:03Speaker 3: just in the Washington, DC area, seventeen million square feet
- 7:07Speaker 3: of new office space has been built to house intelligence operations.
- 7:12Speaker 3: Seventeen million. We want to know everything about our enemies.
- 7:18Speaker 3: But what the viet Cong Motivation and Morale Project tells
- 7:21Speaker 3: us is this, you can know everything there is to
- 7:24Speaker 3: know about your enemy, everything, and that still won't solve
- 7:28Speaker 3: your problem. Vietnam was a French colony from eighteen eighty
- 7:37Speaker 3: seven until nineteen fifty four. Then the French lost control
- 7:41Speaker 3: of the country. It was split in half. Communists took
- 7:44Speaker 3: over the north, an American backed regime came into power
- 7:48Speaker 3: in the south. Over the next decade, conditions inside South
- 7:51Speaker 3: Vietnam slowly deteriorated. The government was unpopular, they were protests
- 7:56Speaker 3: in the streets, a military coup, and the North Vietnamese
- 8:00Speaker 3: started setting guerrillas known as the Viet Coong over the
- 8:03Speaker 3: border to try and recruit South Vietnamese to their cause.
- 8:06Speaker 3: That's why the Vietnam War at least the US and
- 8:09Speaker 3: there starts in the nearly nineteen sixties because the United
- 8:12Speaker 3: States feels compelled to help the South turn back the.
- 8:15Speaker 1: Via con.
- 8:17Speaker 3: Wars are usually about territory. A country X invades country
- 8:21Speaker 3: Y country why fights back? But this is a weird
- 8:24Speaker 3: kind of war. The US and the South Vietnamese have
- 8:27Speaker 3: no intention of invading the North. They decide instead that
- 8:31Speaker 3: they'll just bomb the North Vietnamese until they give up,
- 8:34Speaker 3: until they realize that exporting gorillas over the border isn't
- 8:38Speaker 3: worth it. The Vietnam War is a war of persuasion,
- 8:42Speaker 3: a crude kind of persuasion. The goal is to break
- 8:45Speaker 3: the other side's will.
- 8:46Speaker 2: The new theory is that revolutionary development may look good
- 8:50Speaker 2: on paper, but.
- 8:51Speaker 6: Nothing pacifies quite like old fashioned military might.
- 8:55Speaker 4: And alive horse of more than eight thousand men.
- 8:57Speaker 2: Today Titans hold on a Batangan peninsula on South Vietnam
- 9:01Speaker 2: central coast.
- 9:03Speaker 3: But if your goal is to break someone's will, how
- 9:06Speaker 3: do you know if his strategy is working? In the
- 9:08Speaker 3: earth early nineteen sixties, when the US first starts sending
- 9:12Speaker 3: troops to fight the Viatkong, there was a problem. No
- 9:15Speaker 3: one knew anything about the Viat Coong. Almost known of
- 9:18Speaker 3: the Pentagon or the State Department even spoke Vietnamese. The
- 9:22Speaker 3: special advisor to the American General in South Vietnam at
- 9:25Speaker 3: the time was an Australian called Colonel Sarong. And you
- 9:28Speaker 3: know what he said. I'll quote him directly. These people
- 9:32Speaker 3: are simply what we call in many countries juvenile delinquents.
- 9:37Speaker 3: That's the best he could offer in terms of intelligence
- 9:39Speaker 3: about the Viet Kong. So what do you do if
- 9:42Speaker 3: you're bombing someone you know nothing about and you want
- 9:45Speaker 3: to know how this unknown person feels. You call in
- 9:49Speaker 3: the Rand Corporation. So Rand rents Sevilla on Ruepasteur and
- 9:54Speaker 3: brings in Leon Garray to run the show. Gray was
- 10:00Speaker 3: Russian by birth. His family history was remarkable. His parents
- 10:04Speaker 3: were Mensheviks. The Mensheviks were the socialist moderates who split
- 10:08Speaker 3: off from Lenin during the Bloshebic Revolution.
- 10:10Speaker 6: They were in Russia during the revolution.
- 10:12Speaker 3: This is Leon Garrey's son, Daniel. He's a national security
- 10:16Speaker 3: and policy expert with the Lexington Institute in Arlington, Virginia.
- 10:20Speaker 6: They participated in the revolution. In fact, my grandparents met
- 10:22Speaker 6: in prison. My grandmother used to smoke unfiltered cigarettes and
- 10:27Speaker 6: a little holder and cut them in half.
- 10:29Speaker 3: They were living in Moscow.
- 10:30Speaker 6: Are at Moscow, Yeah, are at Moscow, and they were,
- 10:33Speaker 6: you know, fighting the system. He my grandfather ran an
- 10:37Speaker 6: I legal printing press and the whole thing.
- 10:40Speaker 3: In nineteen twenty two, just after Leon is born, the
- 10:43Speaker 3: Garrays are kicked out of the country.
- 10:45Speaker 6: They ended up next in Berlin, and in nineteen thirty
- 10:49Speaker 6: three they shut the doors, locked the building up and left,
- 10:54Speaker 6: just walked away and went to Paris. And then they
- 10:58Speaker 6: got out of Paris on the same train that Humphrey
- 11:02Speaker 6: Bogart did in Castle Blanca, heading south and meandered south,
- 11:07Speaker 6: went through Spain to Portugal and then got to the
- 11:10Speaker 6: US after that. So they stayed on one step ahead
- 11:14Speaker 6: of the tide of evil for about almost twenty years. Wow.
- 11:19Speaker 3: Yeah, which of the bolsheviksty He must have known some
- 11:22Speaker 3: of the in person.
- 11:23Speaker 6: Oh, he knew Albin person if they knew Trotsky, they
- 11:25Speaker 6: knew Lenin, they knew Stalin, they knew the whole, the
- 11:29Speaker 6: whole crowd. Man, Your left is royalty, Yeah right.
- 11:33Speaker 3: The Grays end up in New York City, ninety sixth
- 11:36Speaker 3: and Broadway, deep in the world of Eastern European emigreys.
- 11:40Speaker 3: Leon serves in the army, fights in the Battle of
- 11:42Speaker 3: the Bulge, and ends up in counterintelligence. How do you
- 11:45Speaker 3: think the refugee experience shaped your father?
- 11:49Speaker 6: Number of ways. I think the overriding one was we've
- 11:55Speaker 6: retreated this far and no farther. So it was it
- 11:59Speaker 6: was a view of sort of America, not just as
- 12:02Speaker 6: city on the hill, not just but you know, there's
- 12:05Speaker 6: nowhere left to retreat to. The country needs to be
- 12:09Speaker 6: truly defended. He got a home, he got a country,
- 12:13Speaker 6: he got acceptance. All that was terribly, terribly important.
- 12:18Speaker 3: So this is who Ran puts in charge of the
- 12:20Speaker 3: Vietnam operation. Leon Garay a patriot in the way that
- 12:24Speaker 3: only an immigrant can be a patriot.
- 12:27Speaker 2: He was suave, he was very charming. He had a
- 12:32Speaker 2: great sense of humor, very articulate, energetic, enthusiastic. So personally
- 12:40Speaker 2: I liked him. The only thing I didn't like about
- 12:42Speaker 2: him was the fact that he was a great ladies man,
- 12:44Speaker 2: and there were a lot of rumors about that. But
- 12:49Speaker 2: as a person I liked him.
- 12:52Speaker 3: Gray spoke, German, Russian, French, all fluently, big thick head
- 12:56Speaker 3: of black hair, that amazing accent. He was the embodiment
- 13:00Speaker 3: of the European intellectual.
- 13:01Speaker 6: He had an amazing kind of research all of his life,
- 13:04Speaker 6: where there would be stacks of documents in Russian innings
- 13:08Speaker 6: on his desk and he literally re talking to you
- 13:10Speaker 6: and it would sort of be, well, you know, there
- 13:12Speaker 6: was this recent thing, and it's an idetic memory. But
- 13:15Speaker 6: he was certainly kind of librarian encyclopedic in that kind
- 13:17Speaker 6: of set.
- 13:19Speaker 3: Gray meets Robert McNamara, President Johnson's Secretary of Defense and
- 13:23Speaker 3: tells him what he thinks needs to be done. That
- 13:25Speaker 3: is to really answer the question of how the bombing
- 13:28Speaker 3: is affecting the Viet Cong.
- 13:30Speaker 4: That's the question I remembered very clearly.
- 13:32Speaker 3: Again, this is from the interview Garray did with the
- 13:34Speaker 3: Rand Archives a decade ago at the end of his life.
- 13:37Speaker 4: And he said, what is your funding? I told him
- 13:39Speaker 4: he had one hundred thousand dollars. He said, what would
- 13:42Speaker 4: you do with a million? That was his question. I said,
- 13:46Speaker 4: that's a new moral of this stuff, and I have
- 13:47Speaker 4: more people doing the interviewing, says, you have it.
- 13:54Speaker 3: A million dollars in Saigon in the mid sixties was
- 13:57Speaker 3: a king's ransom. So Gray hires a team of locals
- 14:00Speaker 3: to fan out across the South Vietnamese countryside to interview
- 14:04Speaker 3: defectors from North Vietnam and captured via Cong guerrillas. That's
- 14:08Speaker 3: where my elliot comes. She was one of Garay's interviewers,
- 14:11Speaker 3: and her story is every bit as fascinating as Leon Garays.
- 14:15Speaker 2: My father was appointed to Haifhog. He became mayor of Haiphong.
- 14:21Speaker 3: She grew up in the north before the country was divided.
- 14:25Speaker 3: Her father was part of the French colonial administration, and.
- 14:28Speaker 2: As mayor he had a lot of authority. He was
- 14:30Speaker 2: almost like the king of that little town. And we
- 14:34Speaker 2: live in an enormous house with an enormous garden front
- 14:40Speaker 2: and back, with a staff of servants and even a
- 14:44Speaker 2: platoono guards, you know, who stood guard outside our gate.
- 14:48Speaker 2: So that was really the best time of my life.
- 14:53Speaker 3: Then the French get defeated in the north by the communists.
- 14:57Speaker 3: Vietnam is divided in two.
- 14:59Speaker 2: It happened, so suddenly we just packed up and left
- 15:03Speaker 2: everything and we lost everything. So when it happened, we
- 15:08Speaker 2: were in a panic, didn't know what to do. My
- 15:10Speaker 2: father had, of course collaborated with the French. I didn't know,
- 15:14Speaker 2: you know, I didn't understand a thing, but my father
- 15:16Speaker 2: was a fait that the communists would come in and
- 15:18Speaker 2: kill him.
- 15:26Speaker 3: My Elliott didn't come to the RAND project as a
- 15:28Speaker 3: blank slate. She came with a history. She had to
- 15:32Speaker 3: flee for her life from the communists in the north.
- 15:34Speaker 3: Now she's been hired by RAND to figure out the communists,
- 15:38Speaker 3: the same people who chased her family away. The interviewers
- 15:42Speaker 3: would go out in teams of three or four. Sometimes
- 15:45Speaker 3: the groups would stay in Saigon and go to the
- 15:48Speaker 3: prison where captured Via Kong were held. Other times they
- 15:51Speaker 3: would head out into the countryside, hitching a ride on
- 15:54Speaker 3: military planes to the Mekong Delta. The interviews were taped,
- 15:59Speaker 3: did offer their subjects cigarettes. Sometimes they'd sit outside under
- 16:02Speaker 3: the trees. It was friendly, not confrontational. The interviewers made
- 16:07Speaker 3: it clear that they were only doing a research project.
- 16:10Speaker 3: If the subject was uninteresting or reluctant, the sessions would
- 16:14Speaker 3: be short. Other times they might last for days. Then
- 16:18Speaker 3: it was back to the villa on Route Pasteur, where
- 16:21Speaker 3: the interviews would be transcribed, translated, and edited. That's my
- 16:32Speaker 3: Elliott in the Central Mekong Delta into being a former
- 16:36Speaker 3: company commander for the two hundred and sixty first Battalion
- 16:39Speaker 3: of the North Vietnamese Army.
- 16:40Speaker 2: There was a lot of questions about bombing, What weapons
- 16:44Speaker 2: do you feel the most, what had the most effect
- 16:47Speaker 2: on your unit and your operations? And with the North
- 16:51Speaker 2: Vietnamese who infiltrated into the South, tell us about conditions
- 16:55Speaker 2: you march from the North to the South with the
- 16:58Speaker 2: bombings you know along the way. Things like that.
- 17:07Speaker 3: The Morale Project would eventually put sixty two thousand pages
- 17:11Speaker 3: of transcripts interviews with captured via Kong and others sixty
- 17:16Speaker 3: two thousand pages. This isn't some focus group conducted by
- 17:21Speaker 3: a PR firm where a few dozen people are interviewed
- 17:24Speaker 3: for an hour. This is one of the most extraordinary
- 17:27Speaker 3: encyclopedic detailed portraits of an enemy ever created. Remember, no
- 17:33Speaker 3: one in Washington really knew anything about Vietnam in the
- 17:36Speaker 3: early nineteen sixties. Now there was a million dollar operation
- 17:39Speaker 3: on the Rue pasteur painting a living, breathing portrait of.
- 17:43Speaker 1: The other side.
- 17:44Speaker 3: The stuff was gold. Gray takes the results and makes
- 17:50Speaker 3: the rounds. His favorite statistic was this. When Rand started
- 17:55Speaker 3: as study, sixty five percent of defectors and prisoners believed
- 17:59Speaker 3: the Via Kong could win. After a year of heavy
- 18:02Speaker 3: US bombing, that number was down to twenty percent. The
- 18:06Speaker 3: enemy was on the ropes. He's the Air Force Army
- 18:11Speaker 3: US Embassy, then off to Honolulu, to the headquarters of
- 18:14Speaker 3: the Army of the Pacific RAND in Santa Monica, Washington,
- 18:18Speaker 3: d C. To the Pentagon, and to the White House.
- 18:20Speaker 3: Helicopters would pick him up in Saigon and whisk him
- 18:23Speaker 3: to aircraft carriers at the Villa and Rupasteur. He holds
- 18:27Speaker 3: cocktail parties for everyone who is anyone in South Vietnam,
- 18:31Speaker 3: Henry Kissinger, Walter Mondale, the US Senator later to become
- 18:35Speaker 3: Jimmy Carter's Vice president. Gray meets with visiting journalists, CIA officers.
- 18:40Speaker 3: His stuff goes right to the top.
- 18:42Speaker 4: Well, we've had an interesting report from a man named
- 18:46Speaker 4: Goray who works for the Rand Corporation, and wemired.
- 18:50Speaker 3: That's Robert McNamara, Johnson's Defense secretary. From tapes made of
- 18:55Speaker 3: White House conversations in nineteen sixty five and sixty six,
- 18:59Speaker 3: President Lyndon Johnson decides to pull the United States deeper
- 19:02Speaker 3: and deeper into Vietnam, and the story was that LBJ
- 19:06Speaker 3: used to walk around with a summary of Grey's fine
- 19:09Speaker 3: in his back pocket. Wars require public justification. If you're
- 19:15Speaker 3: going to put thousands of lives at risk, you need
- 19:18Speaker 3: to explain to your citizens just what you're doing. And
- 19:21Speaker 3: that's what Leon Garret offered in the crucial early years
- 19:24Speaker 3: of the Vietnam War. He offered justification. Enter Conrad Kellen,
- 19:34Speaker 3: the third person in our story.
- 19:38Speaker 5: When did I come to rand Oh? Well, I lived
- 19:41Speaker 5: in New York at sixty four. I think it was.
- 19:46Speaker 3: Kellen was a battered veteran of World War Two and
- 19:50Speaker 3: a little bit of a legend. I once spent two
- 19:52Speaker 3: weeks in Los Angeles just going from one person's house
- 19:55Speaker 3: to the next, asking for their memories of Kellen. Everybody
- 19:59Speaker 3: remembers Conrad Keillen. If you took the absolute best of
- 20:02Speaker 3: nineteenth century Central Europe and put it in a time
- 20:05Speaker 3: machine that opened its doors in nineteen sixties southern California,
- 20:09Speaker 3: that would be Kellen.
- 20:11Speaker 5: I read the paper said some people in Washington, some
- 20:14Speaker 5: smart boys, had showered the North with millions of leaflets
- 20:21Speaker 5: in which they had told the Vietnamese they should lay
- 20:24Speaker 5: down their arms because we were good people and their
- 20:30Speaker 5: leaders were bad people. You know the ordinary nonsense, and
- 20:33Speaker 5: they should stop fighting the war.
- 20:37Speaker 3: Kellen served in US Army intelligence in the Second World War,
- 20:40Speaker 3: specializing in psychological warfare. So later when he reads how
- 20:44Speaker 3: the US was using leaflets in Vietnam, he gets angry,
- 20:48Speaker 3: We're doing it all wrong.
- 20:49Speaker 5: And so I wrote a letter to the New York
- 20:51Speaker 5: Times and said it was obvious nonsense to shower large
- 20:57Speaker 5: numbers of soldiers with a leaflet saying stop that war.
- 21:00Speaker 5: Soldiers don't stop wars, so this would begin wars. And
- 21:03Speaker 5: soldiers don't stop wars. So if you want to stop
- 21:07Speaker 5: a war, you have to do it differently. So I
- 21:09Speaker 5: got a call from them here, from the RAM people,
- 21:12Speaker 5: and they wanted me to come and be part of
- 21:16Speaker 5: the system, and that I said, okay, So came to
- 21:19Speaker 5: Los Angeles.
- 21:22Speaker 3: Kellen grew up in Berlin, wealthy cultured. His father owned
- 21:26Speaker 3: a big brewery. His full name was Katzen ellen Bogan,
- 21:29Speaker 3: and the Cats and ellen Boguns were one of the
- 21:31Speaker 3: great Jewish families of Europe. But when Hitler came to power,
- 21:35Speaker 3: Kellen packed his bags. He said later that he knew
- 21:39Speaker 3: on some instinctive level that things would not end well
- 21:42Speaker 3: for the Jews.
- 21:42Speaker 1: In Germany.
- 21:43Speaker 3: He goes to Paris becomes friends with the French writer
- 21:46Speaker 3: Jean Cocteau. His life is full of moments like this.
- 21:50Speaker 3: He gets on a boat to America and meets the
- 21:52Speaker 3: mobster Dutch Schultz, who offers him a job. He arrives
- 21:55Speaker 3: in New York and works for the legendary investor Benjamin Graham,
- 21:59Speaker 3: who was the mentor of Warren Buffett. He goes to
- 22:02Speaker 3: California and is the private secretary of the Nobel Prize
- 22:04Speaker 3: winning novelist Thomas Mann. Kellen was impossibly handsome, dashing over
- 22:12Speaker 3: six feet tall. He was an expert in golf, handwriting analysis,
- 22:15Speaker 3: and ferraris. Both his sisters earned PhDs from Berkeley, one
- 22:20Speaker 3: in chemistry, the other in biology. His brother escapes from
- 22:23Speaker 3: Nazi Germany lands in New York, and if you go
- 22:26Speaker 3: online and look up the assets of his personal foundation,
- 22:29Speaker 3: it's six hundred and sixty five million dollars. His stepmother
- 22:34Speaker 3: was painted by Renoirs, a family friend. He was cousins
- 22:37Speaker 3: with Einstein. I mean, after a bit, it gets ridiculous.
- 22:45Speaker 3: The craziest story about Kellen is when he was in
- 22:48Speaker 3: Paris in nineteen forty five. The war has just ended,
- 22:51Speaker 3: and he's sitting in the Cafe Select near the chan
- 22:53Speaker 3: Zilise when a young woman approaches him. She says, are
- 22:57Speaker 3: you an American gi He says yes. She says you
- 23:00Speaker 3: going back to the States. He says yes. She says,
- 23:04Speaker 3: you have to do me a favor. My father's an artist.
- 23:07Speaker 3: I have to get his work safely to America, because,
- 23:10Speaker 3: of course Europe was in chaos. And Kellen says, by
- 23:13Speaker 3: all means. But then she goes away and comes back
- 23:16Speaker 3: with this massive stack of canvasses and he says, there's
- 23:19Speaker 3: no way I can take that, and she says, you
- 23:21Speaker 3: have to. Whereupon Callen embarks on this epic month long
- 23:25Speaker 3: struggle to get these paintings safely across the ocean, which
- 23:29Speaker 3: includes being trapped in the back of an open truck
- 23:31Speaker 3: during a rain storm and throwing his coat over the
- 23:34Speaker 3: pile of paintings to keep them from being ruined, and
- 23:37Speaker 3: staying up all night, night after night because he's terrified
- 23:40Speaker 3: someone will steal them. Who's the painter, Mark Chagal, I
- 23:45Speaker 3: should say Mark Chagal, of course, because only Conrad Kellen
- 23:50Speaker 3: would end up transporting the collected works of one of
- 23:52Speaker 3: the most famous artists of the twentieth century to America
- 23:56Speaker 3: in a rainstorm on the back of a truck. The
- 24:00Speaker 3: deal Chagall's daughter made with him was that he could
- 24:03Speaker 3: take one picture and keep it for himself. So he
- 24:06Speaker 3: takes one, a famous one. Then he tells it in
- 24:09Speaker 3: the nineteen fifties for what seemed like a lot of
- 24:12Speaker 3: money at the time, But of course it's a Chagall,
- 24:16Speaker 3: a famous Chagall. And every now and again over the
- 24:19Speaker 3: years he'd spot his old painting in an auction catalog
- 24:22Speaker 3: worth more and more and more, and it'd bury his
- 24:26Speaker 3: head in his hands and say oh. By late nineteen
- 24:37Speaker 3: sixty six, when Conrad Kellen gets to Rand, the place
- 24:41Speaker 3: is in turmoil. The Vietnam War has split its ranks
- 24:44Speaker 3: down the middle. This is the think tank that the
- 24:46Speaker 3: Pentagon has been relying on to make sense of the war.
- 24:49Speaker 3: But there's a group inside RAND that believes the war
- 24:52Speaker 3: is a terrible mistake. I don't know if you remember
- 24:55Speaker 3: the story of the Pentagon Papers. This was the secret
- 24:58Speaker 3: forty seven volume study of US political and military involvement
- 25:01Speaker 3: in the Vietnam War. It was commissioned by the Pentagon.
- 25:05Speaker 3: The Pentagon Papers showed that the White House had been
- 25:07Speaker 3: misleading Congress and the American people for years about how
- 25:10Speaker 3: well the war was going. A copy of the Pentagon
- 25:13Speaker 3: Papers was famously leaked to the New York Times in
- 25:16Speaker 3: nineteen seventy one by Daniel Ellsberg. Ellsberg's leak was really
- 25:20Speaker 3: the beginning of the end of public support for the war.
- 25:23Speaker 3: And who was Elsburg? An employee of Rand? And where
- 25:27Speaker 3: did he get his copy of the Pentagon Papers? He
- 25:29Speaker 3: took it from the safe at Rand and guests who
- 25:32Speaker 3: was one of Ellsburg's best friends and confidants at Rand,
- 25:36Speaker 3: Conrad Kellen, of course, as always in the thick of things.
- 25:43Speaker 3: But the moment we're talking about is well before the
- 25:45Speaker 3: Pentagon Paper's controversy. It's at the beginning of the divisions
- 25:49Speaker 3: within Rand nineteen sixty five sixty six. Rand is a
- 25:54Speaker 3: place that prides itself on objectivity and rigor. Everything is
- 25:58Speaker 3: checked and double checked and fact checked and reviewed in
- 26:01Speaker 3: house before it's released. But the Rand brass is beginning
- 26:04Speaker 3: to worry that when Leon Garray gets whisked by helicopter
- 26:07Speaker 3: to aircraft carriers or huddles with generals at his cocktail
- 26:11Speaker 3: parties at the Villa and Rupestur he's bypassing all that.
- 26:15Speaker 3: They worry that he's gone rogue, so they bring in
- 26:18Speaker 3: Conrad Kellen to be a second set of eyes. Kellen
- 26:22Speaker 3: comes in and reads a thousand of the Via Kong interviews.
- 26:26Speaker 3: Remember many of these interviews ran to fifteen or twenty
- 26:29Speaker 3: single space type pages. It's a huge amount of work.
- 26:33Speaker 3: And Kellen decides Gray has it all wrong. The Via
- 26:37Speaker 3: Kong are not crumbling. On the contrary, here's Kellen again
- 26:41Speaker 3: from his interview with my Elliott.
- 26:44Speaker 5: I could see from the interviews that we were not
- 26:49Speaker 5: going to win this role. That was Michael Koos. I
- 26:53Speaker 5: was one of the very few people that ran who
- 26:55Speaker 5: had that idea, and most of from Bergang Ho they
- 26:59Speaker 5: were going and they couldn't understand. To this day, they
- 27:02Speaker 5: don't understand how a nation was two million million soldiers
- 27:09Speaker 5: out of ships airplanes cannot win over Vietnam.
- 27:13Speaker 3: So here we have two men, two sophisticated European intellectuals
- 27:18Speaker 3: with access to the richest trove of intelligence in the
- 27:21Speaker 3: entire war. Grey goes first and says we're winning. Kellen
- 27:26Speaker 3: comes along, looks at exactly the same evidence and says
- 27:30Speaker 3: we're never going to win. Then there's my Elliot. If
- 27:34Speaker 3: Gray is at the villa on Rue Pasteur and Kellen
- 27:37Speaker 3: is back in Santa Monica, Elliott is actually in the field,
- 27:41Speaker 3: in the jungles and villages, talking to actual defectors and
- 27:45Speaker 3: via cong guerrillas. And what does she think will happen?
- 27:49Speaker 3: She doesn't know. She's confused.
- 27:52Speaker 2: I walked into this sale and I didn't know what
- 27:55Speaker 2: to expect. And then in walked this man, middle aged,
- 28:01Speaker 2: very briskly and he looked, you know, like a man,
- 28:10Speaker 2: and he stopped dead in his tracks.
- 28:13Speaker 3: Elliott is talking about an early interview she did that
- 28:16Speaker 3: had a huge impact on her that she never forgot.
- 28:20Speaker 2: You have to remember what I looked like at the time.
- 28:22Speaker 2: I was young. I was dressed in western clothes and
- 28:26Speaker 2: I didn't look like the military interrogators he had seen.
- 28:31Speaker 2: So he was surprised to see me, and he was
- 28:33Speaker 2: kind of guarded, suspicious. He didn't know what to expect,
- 28:37Speaker 2: and I was afraid. I didn't know what was going
- 28:41Speaker 2: to happen because I had grown up believing that the
- 28:45Speaker 2: Communists were blood thirsty.
- 28:47Speaker 3: They started to talk, and gradually he relaxed and she relaxed.
- 28:52Speaker 2: You know, I had never met a Communist before face
- 28:56Speaker 2: to face. So I just my curiosity just took over,
- 29:00Speaker 2: and I just asked him a lot of questions about
- 29:03Speaker 2: him and his family and his background and his beliefs.
- 29:07Speaker 2: And he had devoted his whole life to fighting the
- 29:09Speaker 2: French and now he was fighting the Americans, and he
- 29:13Speaker 2: seemed to have a lot of integrity.
- 29:16Speaker 3: And what effect did listening to him have on you?
- 29:19Speaker 2: Well, it really confused me because I had believed that
- 29:25Speaker 2: the Communists were sort of like tugs. We call them
- 29:29Speaker 2: cho mutu, meaning tugs, and.
- 29:33Speaker 3: It's a literal translation of.
- 29:34Speaker 2: That cho mingu the head of a buffalo and the
- 29:39Speaker 2: body of a horse. So somebody who's not quite human
- 29:45Speaker 2: a thug.
- 29:49Speaker 3: What the captured Via Kong officer said was straightforward, The
- 29:53Speaker 3: intelligence was straightforward. But my Elliot's reaction was anything but straightforward.
- 29:59Speaker 2: And so I left with more questions and answers, and
- 30:02Speaker 2: I began to see that the picture was not black
- 30:05Speaker 2: and white like I had believed at the beginning.
- 30:10Speaker 3: But then Elliott says something crucial. She says, it didn't
- 30:13Speaker 3: change her mind. She saw the evidence with her own eyes.
- 30:17Speaker 3: She did the interview with the general, but it wasn't enough,
- 30:22Speaker 3: remember her circumstances. She comes from a family of privilege,
- 30:26Speaker 3: and the rise of the Communists in the north takes
- 30:28Speaker 3: all that away. They end up living in a little
- 30:31Speaker 3: hot and Saigon. The Vietcong is not some abstract force.
- 30:35Speaker 3: They were a personal threat to her family.
- 30:38Speaker 2: I think for people whose the blacks were against the
- 30:42Speaker 2: wall and who thought that the survival depended on the
- 30:49Speaker 2: Communists not winning, then seeing the evidence doesn't mean that
- 30:54Speaker 2: you change your mind.
- 30:56Speaker 3: Seeing the evidence doesn't mean that you change your mind.
- 31:00Speaker 2: Seeing the evidence just increases your fear. Because you fear
- 31:05Speaker 2: that you know that the Communists would win and it
- 31:09Speaker 2: would be the end of you and your family, and
- 31:13Speaker 2: you don't want to face it. You know, you don't
- 31:16Speaker 2: want to think about it.
- 31:27Speaker 3: Leon Garay might well have read the transcript of that
- 31:30Speaker 3: same interview that my Elliott did with the Via Kong officer,
- 31:33Speaker 3: and his interpretation would be that guy's going to give up.
- 31:37Speaker 3: If we just bomb people like him some more, we'll
- 31:39Speaker 3: destroy their will in retrospect, completely wrong. But think about
- 31:45Speaker 3: this from Gray's perspective.
- 31:47Speaker 4: Well, look, if you want to understand that I am
- 31:52Speaker 4: a professional refugee, I win a refugee from Russia to Germany,
- 31:56Speaker 4: from Germany to France, and from France to the United States.
- 32:00Speaker 4: So three times. So as far as I was concerned,
- 32:04Speaker 4: this was going to be my country, and what the
- 32:07Speaker 4: way it was to defend interest of the United States,
- 32:10Speaker 4: it was sufficient reason to pursue this thing.
- 32:15Speaker 3: By this thing, he means fighting communism, the enemy that
- 32:18Speaker 3: forced Gray out of his home in Russia, and in
- 32:21Speaker 3: the nineteen sixties, this thing, Communism is still out there.
- 32:26Speaker 3: It spread to Vietnam. Think how much Gray had to
- 32:30Speaker 3: believe that America was winning the war. Leon Garray felt
- 32:33Speaker 3: there was nowhere left to retreat to.
- 32:37Speaker 4: You don't pick and choose your wars. Your countries are
- 32:42Speaker 4: wars at war period. You don't pick and choose whether
- 32:45Speaker 4: you approval of it or not. That's nonsense, that's chaos.
- 32:55Speaker 3: There's a moment in my Elliott's interview with Conrad Kellen
- 32:58Speaker 3: where he talks about Gray about what it means to
- 33:01Speaker 3: be a refugee.
- 33:03Speaker 5: I think, like many, it eventually became great opportunists. What
- 33:09Speaker 5: else could they do. I mean, if you were an opportunitists,
- 33:13Speaker 5: at least you had the American establishment on your side.
- 33:17Speaker 3: You know, the refugee is an opportunist because he is
- 33:22Speaker 3: at the mercy of whatever country will take him. And
- 33:25Speaker 3: I can't help but think that Kellen is also talking
- 33:28Speaker 3: about himself here. He's acknowledging the biases that he brought
- 33:32Speaker 3: to the interviews because he's a refugee too. He escaped
- 33:43Speaker 3: from the Nazis. He witnessed the destruction of everything he
- 33:47Speaker 3: once knew, his home, his community, his family, his privilege.
- 33:51Speaker 3: How can that not scar you? At one point, Kellen
- 33:55Speaker 3: explains to Elliott why he never actually traveled to Vietnam,
- 33:58Speaker 3: even though he was working on a project about Vietnam.
- 34:02Speaker 5: I was not going to Vietnam because one war was
- 34:05Speaker 5: enough for me. I don't what I have to was.
- 34:09Speaker 3: Was enough for me? I imagine Kellen read that same interview
- 34:13Speaker 3: Elliott did, the one with the Vietcong officer. Kellen sees
- 34:17Speaker 3: the man's determination, and when he thinks about that resolve
- 34:20Speaker 3: through the prism of his own experience, he realizes, I
- 34:24Speaker 3: can't match that, not anymore. One war was enough for me.
- 34:32Speaker 3: Over and again in his interview with my Elliott, Kellen
- 34:35Speaker 3: comes back to this war wasn't some conceptual abstraction for him.
- 34:40Speaker 3: It wasn't an intellectual question like it was for so many.
- 34:43Speaker 3: At Rand it was real, he lived through it.
- 34:47Speaker 5: There were an awful lot of civilians around in this
- 34:51Speaker 5: whole thing, in this whole Vietnam thing, who talked about casualties, characters.
- 34:59Speaker 5: They didn't give a damn about anything. If somebody came
- 35:03Speaker 5: back and said, you know, we took and took such
- 35:05Speaker 5: and such a place which I don't know sixty well,
- 35:11Speaker 5: a casualty is not a dead person. A casualty is
- 35:14Speaker 5: something theoretical for these people.
- 35:16Speaker 3: One interview with the Vietcong officer, one fantastic bit of intelligence,
- 35:21Speaker 3: an insight into the enemy's mind, and yet everyone was
- 35:25Speaker 3: in disagreement on what it meant because everyone was looking
- 35:29Speaker 3: at it through a different set of eyes. That's why
- 35:32Speaker 3: intelligence failures happened. It's not because someone screws up or
- 35:36Speaker 3: is stupid or lazy. It's because the people who make
- 35:40Speaker 3: sense of intelligence are human beings with their own histories
- 35:44Speaker 3: and biases. So what happens to the three people in
- 35:48Speaker 3: our story? Gray gets recalled from Vietnam in April of
- 35:52Speaker 3: nineteen sixty seven.
- 35:54Speaker 4: Clearly Rand asked me to stop going there.
- 35:57Speaker 3: To stop going to Vietnam, to return to Santa Monica.
- 36:01Speaker 4: I went back, and then I was told that my
- 36:03Speaker 4: presence was an embarrassment. I don't know why you suggest.
- 36:07Speaker 4: You was very clear that there should love for something else.
- 36:11Speaker 6: How'd you feel about that?
- 36:12Speaker 2: Were you disappointed?
- 36:13Speaker 4: Of course?
- 36:15Speaker 3: I like grand he was hung out to dry. His son,
- 36:18Speaker 3: Daniel is a lot more blunt.
- 36:20Speaker 6: My sense of it was they wanted, you know, to
- 36:24Speaker 6: cut loose from anything having to do with Vietnam, and
- 36:29Speaker 6: the way to cut loose from this project and from
- 36:33Speaker 6: him was to try and discredit the analysis and sort
- 36:36Speaker 6: of then you know, Okay, you're now no longer a
- 36:39Speaker 6: legitimate analyst, Well you really do need to go, yeah,
- 36:42Speaker 6: kind of thing.
- 36:42Speaker 3: And how can you describe your father in those years?
- 36:46Speaker 6: So I think he was feeling quite beaten down. Frankly,
- 36:50Speaker 6: I suspect there was a degree of just physical exhaustion.
- 36:53Speaker 6: It may have been not that different than you know,
- 36:56Speaker 6: when he and his family kept getting driven out of
- 37:00Speaker 6: you know, cities in Europe and had to restart the
- 37:03Speaker 6: whole process and restart the fight. I think there was
- 37:05Speaker 6: a certain degree of that.
- 37:06Speaker 3: Gray eventually moves to Florida take opposed to the University
- 37:10Speaker 3: of Miami, fights the Cold War from Coral Gables. As
- 37:14Speaker 3: for my Elliott, she eventually moves to America, lives in Ithaca,
- 37:19Speaker 3: and it's only then, from the safety of upstate New York,
- 37:22Speaker 3: that she finally accepts what the Vie Kong officer was
- 37:24Speaker 3: telling her.
- 37:25Speaker 2: I wish it would had been easier for me to
- 37:29Speaker 2: come to that conclusion earlier, because it was just the
- 37:33Speaker 2: use of agonizing and being ambiguous.
- 37:37Speaker 3: She finally admits it to herself. The North Vietnamese were
- 37:40Speaker 3: determined the war was wrong and unwinnable.
- 37:44Speaker 2: I think that it's easier to be objective when you
- 37:49Speaker 2: will not you don't have a personal stake in a situation,
- 37:55Speaker 2: and you can see the evidence and say, oh, yeah,
- 37:58Speaker 2: the war's not working less ended. But when you have
- 38:02Speaker 2: a very deep, strong personal stake, it's a lot harder,
- 38:09Speaker 2: because you're talking about survival of your family realities.
- 38:15Speaker 3: Mi Elliott finally faced the difficult truth. As for Kellen,
- 38:20Speaker 3: Kellen sounds the alarm almost in the beginning of his
- 38:22Speaker 3: time at RAND. He says, the intelligence tells us the
- 38:26Speaker 3: war cannot be won. But of course, if you know
- 38:29Speaker 3: even the slightest bit about the Vietnam War, you know
- 38:32Speaker 3: that no one listened to him, at least until it
- 38:34Speaker 3: was too late. He suffered, like all of them did.
- 38:38Speaker 5: I can only say that the people that I knew
- 38:40Speaker 5: talked a lot about scientific scientific Listen that we're the
- 38:45Speaker 5: most unscientific people you can imagine. They just picked somebody,
- 38:50Speaker 5: and then if they agreed with him, or he agreed
- 38:52Speaker 5: with them, then he was an expert, and if he
- 38:54Speaker 5: didn't agree with him, he was not an expert. And
- 38:56Speaker 5: then they wrote it.
- 38:57Speaker 3: Out the most unscientific people you can imagine. I'm not
- 39:02Speaker 3: sure it's any different today, is it.
- 39:04Speaker 5: And everybody reports for everybody else, and it was almost
- 39:11Speaker 5: like a comedy. You know, he was so stupid. I
- 39:14Speaker 5: got very angry about that.
- 39:24Speaker 3: Kellen died in two thousand and seven, and not long
- 39:27Speaker 3: ago I went to see his wife in that same
- 39:29Speaker 3: house up in the hills. His daughters were there as well.
- 39:33Speaker 3: They talked about how the Second War War never left him.
- 39:37Speaker 3: He had terrible memories, and at the very end of
- 39:39Speaker 3: his life, all those memories came back with a vengeance.
- 39:43Speaker 3: Kellen would lie in his bed in sunny, beautiful Santa Monica,
- 39:48Speaker 3: and he would dream that the Nazis were coming up
- 39:50Speaker 3: the hill.
- 39:50Speaker 1: To take him away.
- 40:19Speaker 3: You've been listening to Revisionist History. If you like what
- 40:23Speaker 3: you've heard, do us a favor and rate us on iTunes.
- 40:26Speaker 1: It helps.
- 40:28Speaker 3: You can get more information about this and other episodes
- 40:31Speaker 3: at revisionististory dot com or on your favorite podcast app.
- 40:36Speaker 3: Our show is produced by mea LaBelle, Roxanne Scott and
- 40:40Speaker 3: Jacob Smith. Our editor is Julia Barton. Music is composed
- 40:45Speaker 3: by Luis Kira and Taka Yasuzawa. Flon Williams is our
- 40:49Speaker 3: engineer and our fact checker is Michelle Sarraka. Penalty management
- 40:55Speaker 3: team Laura Mayer, Andy Bauers and Jacob Weisberg. I'm Malcolm
- 41:01Speaker 3: gladwell
- 41:10Speaker 2: S.