Latest / The Mark Belling Podcast / Mark Belling Podcast #118: Wisconsin has more public school staff than ever even as enrollment crashes. Texas goes all-in for MAGA as a longtime GOP establishment Senator loses a Republican primary, and the Packers may have to deal with the suspension of their star running back
Transcript
- 0:07Speaker 1: The Mark Beelling Podcast is presented by you Lin for
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- 0:24Speaker 2: I'm going to explain the whole problem. What problem? Well,
- 0:32Speaker 2: I think I can explain just about every problem that
- 0:34Speaker 2: we have, and I have ideas on solving all of them.
- 0:37Speaker 2: But this one's pretty simple. We have a property tax
- 0:42Speaker 2: problem in many parts of the country and in particular
- 0:45Speaker 2: here in Wisconsin, and we keep discussing ways to ease
- 0:49Speaker 2: the burden and so on, but all of it is
- 0:52Speaker 2: an attempt to manage the problem. I want to tell
- 0:57Speaker 2: you what the problem is because nobody wants to land
- 1:00Speaker 2: at that point, even though it's fairly obvious. So we'll
- 1:04Speaker 2: get to that in just a moment. Have you ever
- 1:06Speaker 2: been offered an add on option for premium or white
- 1:09Speaker 2: gloves service? You Line provides only one type of service,
- 1:12Speaker 2: the best from knowledgeable customer service available twenty four seven
- 1:16Speaker 2: three sixty five to keeping every product in stock ready
- 1:20Speaker 2: to ship the same day. When your business needs quality
- 1:23Speaker 2: shipping supplies, reliable warehouse equipment or office furniture, fast contact
- 1:28Speaker 2: you line and get the best service because you line
- 1:31Speaker 2: believes service is essential, not an option. This is going
- 1:41Speaker 2: to sound trite, and maybe it is trite, but it's true.
- 1:47Speaker 2: The reason that any type of tax is too high
- 1:51Speaker 2: is because we're spending too much money in Wisconsin. And
- 1:57Speaker 2: this is similar to other states for those of you
- 2:00Speaker 2: of Wisconsin, but in particular Wisconsin, property taxes are used
- 2:04Speaker 2: to fund really only two things. There's more than that,
- 2:07Speaker 2: but primarily two, your local government and the schools. The
- 2:13Speaker 2: state kicks in a big chunk of money to assist
- 2:16Speaker 2: in running the schools. But if you take a look
- 2:19Speaker 2: at the property tax billages about every community, you'll put
- 2:21Speaker 2: that thing in and they'll break it down for you.
- 2:24Speaker 2: An enormous percentage of your property tax dollar goes to
- 2:27Speaker 2: the schools. There's a report out today from a conservative
- 2:34Speaker 2: thing tank. It's called Institute for Reforming Government, and it
- 2:38Speaker 2: explains the problem. Here are the numbers right now in Wisconsin.
- 2:47Speaker 2: We have a total of seven hundred and ninety one thousand,
- 2:50Speaker 2: seven hundred and ninety four public school students. Those are
- 2:54Speaker 2: the numbers from last year twenty twenty five, So there's
- 2:58Speaker 2: seven hundred ninety one thousand, seven ninety four kids that
- 3:01Speaker 2: go to public schools. I don't know if they count
- 3:04Speaker 2: the four k the kids before kindergarten or not, but
- 3:07Speaker 2: that's the number. And then going obviously all the way
- 3:10Speaker 2: to seniors in high school, and we're only counting public schools.
- 3:15Speaker 2: That is the lowest number that we've had in decades.
- 3:21Speaker 2: So the number of kids that we have in the
- 3:24Speaker 2: schools keeps going down. There are two major reasons for
- 3:29Speaker 2: the decline. The first is the long term decline in
- 3:33Speaker 2: the birth rate. There is nothing out there that would
- 3:39Speaker 2: indicate this is going to reverse. The birth rate has
- 3:43Speaker 2: been declining significantly, in particular with the millennial group that
- 3:49Speaker 2: delayed marriage, and then when there was marriage, very very
- 3:53Speaker 2: small families lower than the generation above them, disease which
- 3:57Speaker 2: was lower than the millennials, and so on. The baby
- 4:00Speaker 2: boomers by definition created this huge group of people, and
- 4:05Speaker 2: then you had another wave that came in when their
- 4:08Speaker 2: kids were being raised. But that large group of their kids,
- 4:11Speaker 2: the millennials, had drastically lower birth rates. Even if the
- 4:17Speaker 2: Gen zs reverse that, there aren't as many of them
- 4:21Speaker 2: as there are millennials. So that's the first part. We
- 4:23Speaker 2: have fewer students because there's fewer people making kids. The
- 4:28Speaker 2: only thing that mitigates against that is the illegal immigration
- 4:33Speaker 2: situation has resulted in a lot of kids going to
- 4:36Speaker 2: schools of people that weren't born in the United States,
- 4:40Speaker 2: so that's mitigated against and created some number of students
- 4:43Speaker 2: to cut into this decline. The second factor that's going
- 4:46Speaker 2: on is the growth of private schools. More and more
- 4:54Speaker 2: parents are sending their kids to schools other than the
- 4:57Speaker 2: public schools in the the areas that have school choice.
- 5:03Speaker 2: There's a tremendous market for parents to send their kids
- 5:07Speaker 2: somewhere other than the public schools. So those two factors.
- 5:10Speaker 2: So that's the number that we have to put it
- 5:13Speaker 2: into context, seven hundred ninety one thousand. Our population in
- 5:16Speaker 2: Wisconsin's a little bit shy of six million. So that
- 5:19Speaker 2: number of people are kids between you know, senior in
- 5:22Speaker 2: high school and when they start school who go to
- 5:25Speaker 2: the public schools. Remember that number. Here's the other number.
- 5:31Speaker 2: The current employment by public schools in Wisconsin, this is
- 5:36Speaker 2: all of them combined, is one hundred thirteen thousand, one
- 5:40Speaker 2: hundred and seventy one. That is the highest number ever.
- 5:51Speaker 2: You begin to see the problem. We have more staff
- 5:58Speaker 2: than ever while the number of students is at a
- 6:04Speaker 2: decades long low, fewer students to teach, but more people
- 6:12Speaker 2: working for the schools. Now they break down the numbers,
- 6:16Speaker 2: the great growth in employment is not of people that
- 6:21Speaker 2: are certified as teachers. This is the thing that just
- 6:27Speaker 2: shocks people who haven't paid close attention, who maybe of
- 6:31Speaker 2: my generation or even younger than that. You would not
- 6:35Speaker 2: believe the number of people who work in the schools.
- 6:42Speaker 2: I struggle to figure out what it is that they
- 6:44Speaker 2: all do. Now we're going to dive into the number.
- 6:48Speaker 2: These are the IRG reporters using numbers from DPI. The
- 6:52Speaker 2: State Department of Public Instruction from twenty twenty to twenty
- 6:55Speaker 2: twenty six with spconsin public schools lost one hundred and
- 6:59Speaker 2: eighty seven licensed staff. Licensed staff are generally teachers they
- 7:05Speaker 2: require a license, but added one thousand, five hundred and
- 7:09Speaker 2: eighty one other staff. So while the headcount for the
- 7:15Speaker 2: teachers actually declined very small, about less than two hundred
- 7:19Speaker 2: over the six year period, the employment of non teachers,
- 7:27Speaker 2: and that would be all over the map. Custodians, hell's
- 7:32Speaker 2: workers specialists all that that increased by fifteen hundred and
- 7:39Speaker 2: eighty one during that same period of time, enrollment dropped
- 7:43Speaker 2: sixty three thousand. Now that's an enormous decline in six years. Remember,
- 7:47Speaker 2: and I know I'm giving you a lot of numbers. Here,
- 7:49Speaker 2: seven hundred and ninety thousand is the current number of
- 7:51Speaker 2: total students. It was eight hundred and fifty four thousand
- 7:55Speaker 2: just six years ago. So that's a very strong decline
- 7:59Speaker 2: off the top of my head, about six or seven
- 8:01Speaker 2: percent in just six years, and shows every indication of continuing.
- 8:06Speaker 2: So the number of students declining and declining and declining,
- 8:10Speaker 2: but the staff tone continues to go up. One of
- 8:14Speaker 2: the culprits here is COVID, and the iERG report goes
- 8:20Speaker 2: into that during COVID, the federal government gave schools a
- 8:26Speaker 2: ton of additional money and they use that money to
- 8:29Speaker 2: hire staff. Some of that money is now drying up.
- 8:37Speaker 2: The argument was, Okay, we have COVID, we have a
- 8:39Speaker 2: need for additional staff, we're doing remote learning. So on. Also,
- 8:45Speaker 2: Biden carpet bombed the country with massive amounts of money
- 8:50Speaker 2: with his American Recovery Act program, and they pumped in
- 8:55Speaker 2: all of this money that they said was transitional. They
- 8:57Speaker 2: helped the schools deal with this crisis that was upending things.
- 9:03Speaker 2: The problem in government is that you can never do
- 9:07Speaker 2: anything temporarily. So they got all of these staff they
- 9:10Speaker 2: didn't have them before, but now they claim they still
- 9:13Speaker 2: need them even though their enrollment is declining. The staffers
- 9:18Speaker 2: that were supposed to be temporary, they say that they
- 9:20Speaker 2: continue to need them, so they don't want to get
- 9:22Speaker 2: rid of them. So that means since they're not getting
- 9:25Speaker 2: the same federal COVID money to pay for them, they're
- 9:27Speaker 2: looking to the local taxpayer to carry this. A big
- 9:34Speaker 2: portion of the problem special needs diagnoses. Now we could
- 9:41Speaker 2: go through this forever. The number of kids that are
- 9:45Speaker 2: being diagnosed is having some sort of a disability. In
- 9:50Speaker 2: almost all cases, they're not physical disabilities, they're learning disabilities,
- 9:54Speaker 2: emotional disabilities, any kid that acts up. Part of it
- 9:58Speaker 2: is the on the parts of so many parents to
- 10:01Speaker 2: get their kids eligible for SSI, the federal program, well,
- 10:05Speaker 2: that means they have to be declared to have some
- 10:07Speaker 2: sort of a disability. So that means other public schools
- 10:09Speaker 2: they have to hire additional staff to deal with this
- 10:12Speaker 2: supposed disability. Also, the whole thing of kids being on
- 10:17Speaker 2: the so called spectrum, no one knows if there actually
- 10:22Speaker 2: is that much of an increase in autism. I had
- 10:29Speaker 2: never heard of autism when I was a kid. Now
- 10:31Speaker 2: you might say, yeah, well, you were a kid in
- 10:33Speaker 2: the Civil War. Jason's a little bit younger than me.
- 10:36Speaker 2: Do you remember any kids when you were in grade
- 10:38Speaker 2: school being autistic? None? And again, it may be that
- 10:46Speaker 2: this condition is increasing for all of the reasons that
- 10:52Speaker 2: RFK Junior and others have been focusing on. Or it
- 10:55Speaker 2: may be that kids who have different personality quirks are
- 11:01Speaker 2: now being classified as somewhere being on the spectrum. The
- 11:06Speaker 2: truth may be somewhere in between. It may well be
- 11:10Speaker 2: that a lot of the factors in our society are
- 11:12Speaker 2: contributing to children acting in a fashion that appears to
- 11:15Speaker 2: be autistic. Nonetheless, they're getting all of these diagnoses, and
- 11:19Speaker 2: since we know of all these kids diagnosed as this,
- 11:21Speaker 2: that or the other thing, we hire specialists to address this. Again,
- 11:27Speaker 2: these are not teachers, but you can see that the
- 11:32Speaker 2: schools themselves have a vested interest in classifying as many
- 11:36Speaker 2: kids as possible being this disability or that disability, because
- 11:40Speaker 2: it becomes a reason to hire more people. Remember, the
- 11:45Speaker 2: private schools are not a profit making organization. So profit
- 11:50Speaker 2: making organizations are constantly cutting staff, cutting staff, cutting staff,
- 11:53Speaker 2: cutting staff, trying to live within their means. The schools
- 11:57Speaker 2: don't have any incentive to do that. If you're a superintendent,
- 12:01Speaker 2: why do you want to cut staff? You just want
- 12:03Speaker 2: to have a larger and larger empire. There. In the
- 12:10Speaker 2: year twenty ten, now that's a little over fifteen years ago,
- 12:13Speaker 2: twelve percent of Wisconsin public school first graders received a
- 12:17Speaker 2: disability classification. That still strikes me as shockingly high, but
- 12:21Speaker 2: that was twenty ten. In twenty twenty, fifteen percent of
- 12:25Speaker 2: first graders did in twenty twenty six, nineteen percent of
- 12:29Speaker 2: first graders. Did you see what's happening? This is accelerating.
- 12:32Speaker 2: Between twenty ten and twenty we went to fifteen percent
- 12:36Speaker 2: to nineteen percent of first the greatest classified as having
- 12:39Speaker 2: a disability. But between twenty twenty and twenty twenty six,
- 12:42Speaker 2: only six years, we went from fifteen to nineteen. So
- 12:46Speaker 2: this thing is at this rate, and this is not
- 12:50Speaker 2: an exaggeration. By about twenty fifty five, they're gonna claim
- 12:52Speaker 2: half the kids have a disability. So again, when they
- 12:56Speaker 2: claim these things, it becomes a rationale to higher more
- 12:59Speaker 2: p people to address all of these alleged needs. Back
- 13:06Speaker 2: to the report, and as IRG demonstrated in its COVID
- 13:09Speaker 2: nineteen to aid report, some districts have passed referendum to
- 13:13Speaker 2: maintain staff, one supported by one time federal pandemic aid.
- 13:18Speaker 2: Districts that did so, like oh Claire and Wuahwatosa, now
- 13:21Speaker 2: you're talking here, two of the worst school districts in Wisconsin.
- 13:25Speaker 2: Both are cities that had a history of being rather conservative.
- 13:29Speaker 2: They're both middle sized cities and then fifty to sixty
- 13:31Speaker 2: thousand range. Roughly speaking, I think Wuauwatosa maybe a little
- 13:34Speaker 2: higher than that. Wuahwatosa and Oclaire have both become liberal
- 13:39Speaker 2: for a lot of reasons. The biggest is overwhelming number
- 13:42Speaker 2: of public employees who live there. Oclaire is a big
- 13:45Speaker 2: university town, has a lot of government workers there. And Wuahwatosa.
- 13:49Speaker 2: Now that Milwaukee got rid of the residency rule, the
- 13:51Speaker 2: Milwaukee public employees and a lot of the teachers they
- 13:54Speaker 2: moved in. So they got all of this aid to
- 13:59Speaker 2: hire more staff during COVID, But then when they didn't
- 14:03Speaker 2: have the money to pay for them anymore, they went
- 14:05Speaker 2: to the taxpirits for these massive referendums and they passed,
- 14:09Speaker 2: so they keep the massive number of employees even though
- 14:12Speaker 2: the outside EID isn't coming in and the enrollment is
- 14:14Speaker 2: going down. Districts that did so, like Oclara Wabatosa, now
- 14:20Speaker 2: face difficult cuts next year arts, physical education, elementary education
- 14:26Speaker 2: that still leave them with far more staff and fewer
- 14:28Speaker 2: students in twenty twenty. So you know, as I say,
- 14:31Speaker 2: this is explaining the entire problem. So they passed these referendums. Okay,
- 14:35Speaker 2: that gets some money for another couple of years to
- 14:37Speaker 2: keep paying all of these staffers that they didn't have before.
- 14:40Speaker 2: Now that money runs out, now they have to cut.
- 14:45Speaker 2: And where do they cut. Are they cutting all of
- 14:47Speaker 2: these additional staff positions that they created before. No, now
- 14:50Speaker 2: they're going into actual education. We're going to cut arts teachers,
- 14:54Speaker 2: and we're going to cut go through the list here,
- 14:59Speaker 2: fied teachers, elementary education teachers. So the public freaks out.
- 15:08Speaker 2: They're cutting all of these teachers. And as I said,
- 15:10Speaker 2: when I went through these numbers, our actual number of
- 15:13Speaker 2: teachers and the term is licensed, so that would mean
- 15:16Speaker 2: teachers in some of the administrators, those are who are
- 15:19Speaker 2: licensed licensed by DPI certification to teach. That number has
- 15:24Speaker 2: been flatlined, slightly lower than it was a few years ago.
- 15:27Speaker 2: But it's all these other staff specialists, building and grounds, this,
- 15:32Speaker 2: that and the other thing. The reason our property taxes
- 15:42Speaker 2: are so high is because, in particular with the schools,
- 15:48Speaker 2: local government spends too much money too, but schools spend
- 15:53Speaker 2: local government. We're seeing a population increase, so government does
- 15:56Speaker 2: have more people they have to tend to, but the
- 15:58Speaker 2: schools have fewer people to serve. The reason property taxes
- 16:08Speaker 2: are so high is because we spend so much damn
- 16:12Speaker 2: money on the schools. And who's responsible for spending so
- 16:16Speaker 2: much money on the schools the public. We put these
- 16:22Speaker 2: referendum questions on the ballot and most of them pass.
- 16:26Speaker 2: In this most recent election, a few of them went down.
- 16:29Speaker 2: A higher percentage went down than normal. That might be
- 16:31Speaker 2: because the way the economy is right now. It might
- 16:34Speaker 2: be because people are finally saying enough is enough. It
- 16:37Speaker 2: might be because fewer kids are going to the schools.
- 16:39Speaker 2: That means that there are fewer parents that are in
- 16:41Speaker 2: the voter block, and parents tend to vote for the referendums.
- 16:44Speaker 2: Don't know, but the schools keep crying poor as they
- 16:53Speaker 2: keep hiring additional staff as their enrollment continues to decline.
- 17:00Speaker 2: One thing I've noted there is no liberal versus conservative
- 17:06Speaker 2: trend on this very rare school districts that the voter
- 17:12Speaker 2: blaze is primarily conservative are just as likely to pass
- 17:15Speaker 2: referendums as when they're liberal. Now, you take these liberal
- 17:19Speaker 2: communities on the North Shua like Shorewood, they pass every
- 17:22Speaker 2: referendum they put on the ballot. But there are some
- 17:25Speaker 2: fairly conservative communities that are passing of right and left
- 17:28Speaker 2: as well. Again, you do get the sense that there
- 17:35Speaker 2: may be some resistance here, particularly when it comes to
- 17:38Speaker 2: these building referendums. The Arrowhead School District, huge district geographically
- 17:44Speaker 2: and population wise in Waukeshaw County. They tried to pass
- 17:49Speaker 2: a referendum. All they do is run the high school.
- 17:51Speaker 2: They don't eve run the elementary schools. They tried to
- 17:54Speaker 2: pass a referendum too, knocked down one of the schools.
- 17:58Speaker 2: Build the whole thing hundreds of hundreds of millions of
- 18:01Speaker 2: dollars that the expayer said no to, that it's utterly unneeded.
- 18:06Speaker 2: The Arrowhead schoolboy and administration is constantly crying that they're poor.
- 18:11Speaker 2: They're not poor. Their staffing levels are through the rough.
- 18:17Speaker 2: They'll claim that they have all of these needs, but
- 18:19Speaker 2: are they needs or are they self created needs? What's
- 18:26Speaker 2: that that's something that you say you have to do
- 18:30Speaker 2: and then turn around and say, now we need money
- 18:32Speaker 2: to do this thing that we decided that we had
- 18:34Speaker 2: to do. Keep classifying students as being this, that or
- 18:37Speaker 2: the other thing, and come up with excuses to hire money,
- 18:40Speaker 2: to pay money to hire people to provide those services.
- 18:44Speaker 2: I've made this point a few times. I'm going to
- 18:45Speaker 2: make it again. I wish I remember who told me this,
- 18:50Speaker 2: but it's probably multiple people. Somebody, somebody that's in business,
- 19:00Speaker 2: and I think it was construction, but I'm not sure.
- 19:03Speaker 2: It might have been computer systems, it systems. In fact,
- 19:07Speaker 2: I think that's what it was. This goes back years back,
- 19:08Speaker 2: and those of you that are long time listened as
- 19:10Speaker 2: to me have heard me tell the story a zillion times.
- 19:12Speaker 2: This is zillion and one. The guy said, when I
- 19:18Speaker 2: go into a business to make a proposal on a
- 19:21Speaker 2: system upgrade or whatever it is that we do, there's
- 19:25Speaker 2: usually one person in the meeting, and I have to
- 19:27Speaker 2: convince that person, and they're the project manager overseas and
- 19:30Speaker 2: the one that signs off on it. And usually what
- 19:32Speaker 2: happens is you presented that person and that person goes
- 19:34Speaker 2: to their boss and they either say yes or no.
- 19:37Speaker 2: Said when to go to the schools, there's always twelve
- 19:39Speaker 2: people in the meeting. You know. When I do a
- 19:44Speaker 2: public records request of something pertaining to the schools, you
- 19:48Speaker 2: always get like eleven copies of the same record. You
- 19:51Speaker 2: know why because that's how many people are c seed
- 19:54Speaker 2: on the record. In other words, somebody emails someone and
- 19:57Speaker 2: nine or ten or eleven other people get of that.
- 20:00Speaker 2: So when you knew the records request, you're getting the
- 20:02Speaker 2: copy that went to each of the persons because they
- 20:04Speaker 2: all deal with that subject. In other words, you have
- 20:07Speaker 2: lots everything's done by committees, and you have lots of
- 20:10Speaker 2: people doing the same thing. Un kill, there is pressure
- 20:18Speaker 2: to get rid of those people. You will not see.
- 20:23Speaker 2: I get quickly off the top of my head, and
- 20:25Speaker 2: it's really simple. Bathroom. It's amazing how the numbers work
- 20:28Speaker 2: out almost perfectly. It's one for seven, seven hundred ninety
- 20:32Speaker 2: one thousand, one hundred and thirteen thousand. I can do
- 20:35Speaker 2: that math pretty good in my head. Seven times one
- 20:37Speaker 2: hundred and thirteen is almost exactly seven ninety one, so
- 20:41Speaker 2: it's almost exactly one employee for every seven students. That's
- 20:49Speaker 2: crazy when you consider, depending on the school, the average
- 20:55Speaker 2: classroom is somewhere between eighteen and thirty four. They're all
- 20:57Speaker 2: over the map, but you're in the twenties. That means,
- 21:02Speaker 2: let's imagine that the average class side of Wisconsin is
- 21:06Speaker 2: when is twenty five. It may be lower than that,
- 21:08Speaker 2: but if it is, it's going to be in that ballberg.
- 21:11Speaker 2: That means you have two people for every teacher. Now,
- 21:18Speaker 2: you may not want to hear that that's the problem,
- 21:19Speaker 2: but that's the problem which brings us now. I always
- 21:23Speaker 2: like to use one example, and a listener has contacted
- 21:25Speaker 2: me complaining about this. There is a school district in
- 21:28Speaker 2: Milwaukee County, Greenfield, that happens to be the school district
- 21:31Speaker 2: that the iHeart Milwaukee headquarters, the community is based in.
- 21:36Speaker 2: They're kinstantly asking for referendums. I'm going to share a
- 21:41Speaker 2: portion of this person's letter because he's specific here to
- 21:46Speaker 2: the community of Greenfield and the specifics probably most of
- 21:50Speaker 2: you don't care about, but because every community has different specifics,
- 21:53Speaker 2: but they're all the same rationale that we need more money. Mark,
- 21:56Speaker 2: they're at it again. I live in Greenfield with my
- 21:58Speaker 2: wife and four school aged kids. Our taxes are insane.
- 22:02Speaker 2: We pay eighty four hundred dollars a year. Granted our
- 22:04Speaker 2: house is a market value of around five hundred thousand,
- 22:07Speaker 2: and we're on about an acre of land, but it's
- 22:09Speaker 2: still out of control of that. Two thousand, six hundred
- 22:14Speaker 2: and fifty goes to Greenfield schools. Last week, the district
- 22:18Speaker 2: sent out a feeler survey through the Donovan Group. See
- 22:21Speaker 2: they hire these companies. There used to be one that
- 22:24Speaker 2: did all of them. They survey in which they survey
- 22:27Speaker 2: the residents of the community. The surveys are never an
- 22:29Speaker 2: attempt this is me now, not the letter. They're never
- 22:32Speaker 2: an attempt to find out what people actually think about
- 22:34Speaker 2: whether or not the schools need more money. The surveys
- 22:36Speaker 2: are an attempt to start convincing people to pass the referendum.
- 22:41Speaker 2: Whenever government does this serve It's like Marty Brooks's study
- 22:44Speaker 2: over at the convention center. He hired a company, do
- 22:46Speaker 2: we need to build a do we need a convention
- 22:48Speaker 2: center hotel at Milwaukee. Of course they came back and said,
- 22:51Speaker 2: we need a convention center Hotel Brooks Is saying, Oh,
- 22:53Speaker 2: I didn't tell them. That's what they had to conclude.
- 22:55Speaker 2: They always conclude what it is that you want to
- 22:58Speaker 2: hear to the Donovan group to see if they can
- 23:03Speaker 2: ram through more school referendums. The phrasing from the consultant
- 23:07Speaker 2: is what ticks me off. They offer up about four
- 23:09Speaker 2: options for the taxpayer, saying option one doesn't increase our tax.
- 23:13Speaker 2: Options two, three, and four increase it modestly by five, fourteen,
- 23:16Speaker 2: and nineteen dollars per one hundred thousand dollars of market value, respectively.
- 23:20Speaker 2: They don't even mention how much our tax would decrease
- 23:23Speaker 2: by simply doing nothing. And then it goes on and
- 23:25Speaker 2: they talk about the number of things that they want
- 23:27Speaker 2: to do in that community. There is not a school
- 23:31Speaker 2: district in the state of Wisconsin that I'm aware of
- 23:35Speaker 2: that needs a tax increase. There may be a handful
- 23:41Speaker 2: in areas where they were once rural and they're being
- 23:45Speaker 2: subdivided like crazy, in which the enroman count is going up.
- 23:51Speaker 2: Very rare because even in those areas where there's lots
- 23:53Speaker 2: of subdivisions, you're also mitigated against by the rapidly declining
- 23:57Speaker 2: birth rate. You may be able to find in some
- 24:00Speaker 2: where they say, well, enrollment is going up, we need
- 24:02Speaker 2: more schools to handle all of this. In fact, in
- 24:04Speaker 2: most cases the school districts are so overbuilt that they
- 24:08Speaker 2: need to close schools. And that's what you could tax
- 24:11Speaker 2: parents off and crying. Who don't close the school that
- 24:13Speaker 2: my kid goes to? Why not kid goes to the
- 24:16Speaker 2: other school? Who gives a crap? I always like to
- 24:22Speaker 2: count on how many, count up how many kids schools
- 24:24Speaker 2: I went to before I graduated from high school. But
- 24:27Speaker 2: it's amazing I have to keep doing it manually. I
- 24:29Speaker 2: went to one school for kindergarten, another school for the
- 24:32Speaker 2: first grade, another school for grades two three in a
- 24:35Speaker 2: portion of four, then another school for grades four through eight.
- 24:38Speaker 2: We only moved once during this and then the same
- 24:40Speaker 2: school through high school. Was I traumatized that I didn't
- 24:45Speaker 2: move from kindergarten to first grade? They changed the geographic lines.
- 24:49Speaker 2: I went to one school for kindergarten at a different school
- 24:51Speaker 2: for the first grade, so what after first grade? I
- 24:56Speaker 2: went to the Catholic school. The Catholic school didn't offer
- 24:59Speaker 2: the first grade, went to that school for grades two
- 25:01Speaker 2: three in the portion of the four was I trauma
- 25:04Speaker 2: to no. In the fourth grade, they were building a
- 25:08Speaker 2: new school. This was the Baby Bool. I am a
- 25:10Speaker 2: manifestation of the baby booth. Kids are cranking out like crazy,
- 25:14Speaker 2: and this is when they needed more schools. They built
- 25:16Speaker 2: a new Catholic school in the community. It was in.
- 25:20Speaker 2: It got finished in the middle of the school year.
- 25:23Speaker 2: We went to school on a Friday and one school
- 25:25Speaker 2: and on the Monday, the kids of us that lived
- 25:27Speaker 2: in the south end of town went to the other school.
- 25:31Speaker 2: I mean, these people are talking out, Oh, you can't
- 25:33Speaker 2: close this school, and we so traumatic for my kids.
- 25:36Speaker 2: I went from one school to another over a weekend.
- 25:39Speaker 2: So what you see. My points though, until we are
- 25:46Speaker 2: willing to address the fact that we have a declining
- 25:51Speaker 2: number of uses of public schools but a rapid increase
- 25:54Speaker 2: in the amount of people that we are hiring to
- 25:56Speaker 2: run them, we will never address the property tax problem. Now,
- 26:01Speaker 2: there's two groups of people out there that complain about
- 26:03Speaker 2: property taxes. The people who know that we're spending too
- 26:06Speaker 2: much money and vote against all this stuff. And the
- 26:08Speaker 2: people complain about the property taxes but are in favor
- 26:11Speaker 2: of spending all the money and vote for all the referendums.
- 26:14Speaker 2: The second group of you, you're full of crap. You're
- 26:17Speaker 2: a bunch of phonies. If you're supporting all this money
- 26:21Speaker 2: going into the schools and then turn it around and
- 26:23Speaker 2: whinding about your property taxes, you're just a phony. Now if,
- 26:26Speaker 2: on the other hand, like me, you understand that we
- 26:28Speaker 2: are drastically overspending, especially for the schools, and that's the
- 26:31Speaker 2: reason the property taxes are so high, then we're on
- 26:39Speaker 2: the same page. This story is clearly related that deal
- 26:49Speaker 2: that Tony Ebers and the Republican legislative leaders struck to
- 26:55Speaker 2: significantly increase public school funding by the state at the
- 27:00Speaker 2: same time providing property tax relief and income tax relief.
- 27:05Speaker 2: There would be property tax relief, the state would, because
- 27:08Speaker 2: of the surplus, kick money into lower property taxes statewide,
- 27:11Speaker 2: and then also issued three hundred dollars rebate checks to
- 27:15Speaker 2: everyone who paid income taxes in the last year six
- 27:19Speaker 2: hundred couple, three hundred per person. They were able to
- 27:23Speaker 2: do this because the state surplus is huge. As you
- 27:28Speaker 2: probably recall, the deal failed in the legislature. It passed
- 27:35Speaker 2: the state Assembly. So let's focus on the Senate. Every
- 27:40Speaker 2: Democrat in the state Senate voted against it. All but
- 27:44Speaker 2: three of the Republicans voted for it. So all but
- 27:49Speaker 2: three Republicans voted yes. Every Democrat voted no. Evers, the
- 27:56Speaker 2: governor is a Democrat. He couldn't get a single day
- 28:00Speaker 2: Democrat in the state Senate to vote for the bill.
- 28:04Speaker 2: It failed by a vote? Was it one or two?
- 28:08Speaker 2: I'm getting a little fuzzy on that, Jason. Do you
- 28:10Speaker 2: have that off the top of your head. Yeah, Anyway,
- 28:13Speaker 2: it was either one or two votes. My point is
- 28:15Speaker 2: is that if Evers had gotten just a couple of
- 28:17Speaker 2: Democrats to vote for this, he doesn't even need all
- 28:21Speaker 2: of them, or most of them are even half or
- 28:22Speaker 2: even a third, it passes, but he couldn't get any
- 28:29Speaker 2: to do it. Now over on the Republican side, as
- 28:32Speaker 2: I said, three Republicans broke ranks from their leader and
- 28:35Speaker 2: voted no. So is this the republican's faults of the Democrats?
- 28:40Speaker 2: Fat Well, I think pretty simple. It's pretty simple when
- 28:43Speaker 2: you have a compromise deal. Evers is a Democrat, the
- 28:46Speaker 2: legislative leaders are Republicans. That means members of both parties
- 28:50Speaker 2: have to vote for the compromise because there are going
- 28:52Speaker 2: to be some in each party that don't like it.
- 28:54Speaker 2: Any compromise you do, there are going to be some
- 28:55Speaker 2: people that don't like it, and there are some Republicans
- 28:57Speaker 2: who thought, way too much of this goes to this schools,
- 29:01Speaker 2: and I want to I think way too much of
- 29:02Speaker 2: this goost As I just went through this whole thing,
- 29:04Speaker 2: the schools get too damn much money. Now. On the
- 29:10Speaker 2: other hand, Tony Evers, being the governor and a Democrat,
- 29:14Speaker 2: is not going to support any tax cuts. He's the
- 29:17Speaker 2: guy that used his veto pen to create an automatic
- 29:20Speaker 2: four hundred year increase in property taxes. So the only
- 29:25Speaker 2: chance the Republicans are going to get to cut taxes
- 29:28Speaker 2: is to cut a deal in which you can have
- 29:29Speaker 2: Evers give more money to the schools, and you turn
- 29:31Speaker 2: around to give this tax to taxpayers because you have
- 29:34Speaker 2: all this money laying around. Likewise, with regard to the Democrats,
- 29:39Speaker 2: the Democrats in the Senate voted against it because not
- 29:41Speaker 2: because they're opposed to the aid of the schools, they
- 29:45Speaker 2: were hacked off that there were any tax cuts in it.
- 29:49Speaker 2: They wanted to spend all of it. So okay, in
- 29:53Speaker 2: order to get this pass, that means Evers has to
- 29:55Speaker 2: get some Democrats to vote for it. The Republican leaders
- 29:57Speaker 2: get some of their people to get FORWARED, and you
- 29:59Speaker 2: get more than half. Not one Democrat on the Senate
- 30:02Speaker 2: voted for none. So it failed over the weekend, actually yesterday.
- 30:10Speaker 2: I'm doing this on a Wednesday. It came out on Tuesday.
- 30:13Speaker 2: Marquette University Law School poll. It's the most prominent statewide
- 30:17Speaker 2: polling operation. It's operated out of the Market University Law School.
- 30:21Speaker 2: It's run by Charles Franklin. They surveyed Wisconsonates on whether
- 30:25Speaker 2: or not they wanted the deal to pass. I don't
- 30:28Speaker 2: think I've ever seen a Marquete Law pool. This lapsided
- 30:32Speaker 2: on anything. Ever, eighty percent supported it. That means eighty
- 30:38Speaker 2: percent didn't get what they wanted. It was across the board.
- 30:44Speaker 2: The numbers were different by a percentage or two, but
- 30:48Speaker 2: more than eighty percent of Republicans support I don't have
- 30:51Speaker 2: the exact number of Friday, it was right around eighty percent,
- 30:53Speaker 2: both of Republicans, Democrats, and independents. First of all, every
- 31:00Speaker 2: especially in the economy right now with gas prices, one
- 31:02Speaker 2: of the rebate checks for the people who pat property taxes.
- 31:06Speaker 2: They're screaming for any kind of relief. And then the
- 31:08Speaker 2: people that support all this money for the schools, when
- 31:11Speaker 2: are they going to get the Republicans to commit hundreds
- 31:16Speaker 2: of millions more in school aid? Yet the deal failed.
- 31:22Speaker 2: This brings us to the question of who's going to
- 31:24Speaker 2: be harmed by the legislature not passing something that eighty
- 31:31Speaker 2: percent supported. Some believe the big losers are going to
- 31:40Speaker 2: be State Assembly Republicans. Why well, Assembly Republicans, they all
- 31:45Speaker 2: wanted it, and even some Assembly Democrats wanted it because
- 31:49Speaker 2: but while it passed their chamber didn't pass in the Senate.
- 31:52Speaker 2: Because it didn't pass, they can't run around as they
- 31:55Speaker 2: run for reelection, holding all these rebate checks and saying
- 31:57Speaker 2: I did this, I did this, I did this, even
- 32:01Speaker 2: though they wanted to do it, and they control the Assembly,
- 32:03Speaker 2: they now lose the ability to brag about this great
- 32:06Speaker 2: thing that they got done. Over in the state Senate,
- 32:12Speaker 2: half the members of the Senator are for election. We
- 32:14Speaker 2: have the redrawnb legislative districts that now favor the Democrats.
- 32:21Speaker 2: Will a Republican that voted for this benefit, will a
- 32:25Speaker 2: Democrat that voted against it suffer? Now again, many of
- 32:31Speaker 2: them live in residing districts that are not close, they're
- 32:34Speaker 2: either very Democratic or very Republican districts. But in the
- 32:36Speaker 2: swing districts there's probably going to be a ramification here.
- 32:40Speaker 2: Did the Democrats cost themselves a chance to take control
- 32:43Speaker 2: of the state Senate by some Democratic senators killing this deal? Maybe,
- 32:50Speaker 2: But now there's the Tiffany factor. Tom Tiffany, Republican candidate
- 32:55Speaker 2: for governor, is not, by the way, to I forget
- 32:58Speaker 2: which station it was. One of the TV station's website
- 33:02Speaker 2: said that Tiffany voted against this deal. Tiffany's not in
- 33:05Speaker 2: this legislature, he had no vote. He's in the Congress,
- 33:10Speaker 2: but he did oppose the deal. He urged Republicans to
- 33:15Speaker 2: vote against it. By the way, none of them listened
- 33:18Speaker 2: to him, as they said, there were only three Republicans
- 33:21Speaker 2: that opposed it, and I think all three of them
- 33:23Speaker 2: would have voted no regardless of what Tom Tiffany had
- 33:25Speaker 2: to say. Steve nass is two of the senators who
- 33:28Speaker 2: left our lame ducks are not running for reelection. Steve
- 33:32Speaker 2: nass is one of them. He isn't going to vote
- 33:33Speaker 2: for anything that spends more money on the schools. You
- 33:37Speaker 2: have Rob Hutton who's Wavatosa Brookfield. He's not running for reelection.
- 33:41Speaker 2: Neither of them are going to be impacted by anything
- 33:43Speaker 2: that Tiffany says. Chris Capping is the final one, very
- 33:45Speaker 2: conservative guy. I don't think Tiffany's position is the reason
- 33:50Speaker 2: he voted against it, but there are many and I'm
- 33:54Speaker 2: one of them. I think that this was a terrible
- 33:56Speaker 2: miscalculation by Tiffany, even though the Democrats primarily killed this bill.
- 34:02Speaker 2: I'm just I'm telling you right now, this is what's
- 34:04Speaker 2: going to happen. I'm never wrong, by the way, about
- 34:07Speaker 2: these things. Jason, you're a talk show host. You can
- 34:10Speaker 2: mark this down and steal my point and just claim
- 34:12Speaker 2: that you came up to you on your own steal it.
- 34:15Speaker 2: Like two months from now, when we get into the
- 34:17Speaker 2: general election, which will be after the August primary in
- 34:19Speaker 2: which got all these Democrats running, I guarantee you the
- 34:25Speaker 2: Democrats are going to run ads attacking Tom Tiffany running
- 34:28Speaker 2: for governors, saying Tom Tiffany is the reason you didn't
- 34:31Speaker 2: get a tax cut. Even though all the Democrats voted
- 34:35Speaker 2: against it, They're going to blame it on Tiffany because
- 34:38Speaker 2: he opposed it. I'm always concerned about who Republican candidates
- 34:44Speaker 2: hire as their advisors. The reason I'm concerned about this
- 34:48Speaker 2: is there's not a much dumber group of people in
- 34:51Speaker 2: America then the people who serve as consultants and advisors
- 34:55Speaker 2: for Republican candidates for public office. A few of them
- 34:58Speaker 2: are very good, most of them are bad, and some
- 35:03Speaker 2: of them stink. Tiffany actually could have gotten away with
- 35:13Speaker 2: saying nothing because he's not involved in this. He's not
- 35:15Speaker 2: in the Legislatureney's not the governor. But he shot off
- 35:19Speaker 2: his mouth and said vote against it. Now again, I
- 35:21Speaker 2: don't think he had anything to do with them killing it,
- 35:23Speaker 2: but this is what their ad is going to be
- 35:25Speaker 2: now that especially, they know that everybody wanted this thing passed.
- 35:38Speaker 2: So who the political blame goes to for not passing
- 35:41Speaker 2: something that apparently everybody wanted, well twenty percent wanted. Is
- 35:48Speaker 2: on its face, you would think that the blame would
- 35:50Speaker 2: go to the Democrats since they were the ones that
- 35:53Speaker 2: opposed it. But in the minds of the voter out there,
- 35:56Speaker 2: but at Tony Ebres is a Democrat and it was
- 35:58Speaker 2: his plan. It's complicated. I think Tom Tiffany's a spectacular candidate.
- 36:05Speaker 2: For governor for all of the reasons that I've gone to.
- 36:08Speaker 2: The Democrats are nominating a Marxist. But in Wisconsin, Republicans
- 36:13Speaker 2: cannot afford to make what I will call unforced errors.
- 36:20Speaker 2: Is that a tennis term? Unforced error? Yeah? I think
- 36:25Speaker 2: you know, if you like miss your serve or something,
- 36:27Speaker 2: or you've got to clean, it's not because the other
- 36:30Speaker 2: player met a great shop. Your volley just misses and
- 36:32Speaker 2: goes out of bounds. It's a unforced There, Tiffany didn't
- 36:38Speaker 2: need to get involved in something like this that if
- 36:40Speaker 2: he was, he should have. And again, this isn't rocket science.
- 36:45Speaker 2: Why wouldn't most people who are taxpayers. No, again, if
- 36:48Speaker 2: you're very ideologically driven like me, you can roll the
- 36:51Speaker 2: dice and say, maybe Tiffany's gonna win, we keep control
- 36:54Speaker 2: of the legislature, will take the whole surplus for tax
- 36:57Speaker 2: relief and stop giving any of it to the schools.
- 37:00Speaker 2: But this was one of those deals. And it happens
- 37:02Speaker 2: when you got a lot of money layer around me,
- 37:03Speaker 2: and we have a lot of money laying around because
- 37:05Speaker 2: we're taxing people too much. In which you can give
- 37:11Speaker 2: one side what they want and both sides that they
- 37:13Speaker 2: want and nobody paid anything. That's why people supported this.
- 37:17Speaker 2: If this was like lowering one tax and raising another
- 37:20Speaker 2: to pay for more money for the schools. But for
- 37:22Speaker 2: the people who are going to get the property tax relief,
- 37:24Speaker 2: do they wish that it was more. Yeah, but they're
- 37:26Speaker 2: not going to say I don't want this money and
- 37:27Speaker 2: I don't want the rebate check. And likewise, the people
- 37:29Speaker 2: support the schools theirs, I'll take all this money. So again,
- 37:39Speaker 2: if you're somebody, and again, Phillips, the Democrats that voted
- 37:42Speaker 2: against this, they think they're going to win the governorship,
- 37:44Speaker 2: they think they're going to take over the legislature. They're
- 37:46Speaker 2: full of themselves right now, and maybe they will. And
- 37:48Speaker 2: they thinking, Okay, we'll pass the whole thing and we'll
- 37:50Speaker 2: just spend all of it and give it all to
- 37:52Speaker 2: the schools. We want to do it, And that's where
- 37:54Speaker 2: they're coming from. That's why they all voted no. And
- 37:58Speaker 2: I think from the perspective of Tiffany, remember tiffany belief.
- 38:01Speaker 2: If Tiffany wins, he doesn't want this surplus all gone.
- 38:05Speaker 2: He wants to come in and use it for tax
- 38:07Speaker 2: relief when he's the governor. But he might not wed
- 38:12Speaker 2: and by opposing this now I think it's going to
- 38:15Speaker 2: be used against him, albeit unfairly, because as I say,
- 38:18Speaker 2: I don't think that Tom Tiffany had anything to do
- 38:20Speaker 2: with this thing faily, because only three Republicans voted against it,
- 38:23Speaker 2: and I don't think he was the reason that any
- 38:25Speaker 2: of them voted against it. Let me move to this story,
- 38:29Speaker 2: Ted Oswald cop killer. This is one of the most
- 38:34Speaker 2: famous murder cases in southeastern Wisconsin in the last fifty years.
- 38:43Speaker 2: I still remember the afternoon that I was doing the show.
- 38:45Speaker 2: Had happened in the morning in Walkeshaw. It was a
- 38:49Speaker 2: bank robbery that turned into a police pursuit of the
- 38:54Speaker 2: two suspects and then a shootout involving the police and
- 38:58Speaker 2: the suspects. A police officer was killed, captain from Waukeshaw,
- 39:04Speaker 2: City of Waukeshaw, Nott Waukershaw County, although multipleple jurisdictionary responding.
- 39:09Speaker 2: It was a Walkershaw police captain James Lutz, who was
- 39:11Speaker 2: shot and killed. The two robbers were our father and son,
- 39:15Speaker 2: James and Ted Oswald. Ted is the son. He's now fifty.
- 39:20Speaker 2: Tells you how long ago this happened was in ninety four, Yeah.
- 39:24Speaker 2: Nineteen ninety four, Ted Oswald is asking to have his
- 39:29Speaker 2: sentence commuted. He and his father were Wisconsin. For those
- 39:33Speaker 2: of the outside of Wisconsin does not have the death penalty,
- 39:36Speaker 2: so they are both sentenced to life in prison without parole.
- 39:42Speaker 2: Tony Evers signed an executive order a few weeks ago,
- 39:46Speaker 2: and an executive order it's the same thing Trump uses
- 39:48Speaker 2: all the time. An executive order has the effect of
- 39:53Speaker 2: law if there is no law on the books that
- 39:55Speaker 2: addresses the issue. So Evers signed an executive order giving
- 40:00Speaker 2: him the authority to commute sentences. What has commuter sent ended?
- 40:07Speaker 2: So while we got rid of arole in Wisconsin, Evers
- 40:11Speaker 2: is creating this other concept, commutation. It's like a pardon.
- 40:19Speaker 2: A commutation means I'm not pardoning you. I'm just letting
- 40:22Speaker 2: you out a pardon. And you know, public officials have
- 40:26Speaker 2: their philosophy on this. Obama had a zillion pardons, Clinton
- 40:31Speaker 2: had a zillion pardons. Trump is azillion pardons. Scott Walker,
- 40:35Speaker 2: when he was the governor, knew how many pardons he issued. None,
- 40:37Speaker 2: He didn't believe in him. He pardoned nobody. These are
- 40:42Speaker 2: not pardons, they're commutation. A commutation is exactly this. Let's
- 40:46Speaker 2: suppose you've served your sentence to life, You've served thirty
- 40:49Speaker 2: one years. You're commuted. Doesn't mean you're not guilty. It
- 40:51Speaker 2: means you just get to get out. Evers, with an
- 40:54Speaker 2: executive order signed himself the ability to do this. The
- 40:59Speaker 2: people that have these life without parole type sentences are
- 41:02Speaker 2: often not just regularly, certain murders just become more horrifying
- 41:07Speaker 2: than others. Daryl Brooks, for example, Well, a lot of
- 41:14Speaker 2: the cop killing sentences are along these lines. Ted Oswald
- 41:18Speaker 2: is claiming, I was under this way of my father.
- 41:20Speaker 2: I was just a kid, he was nineteen, et cetera.
- 41:25Speaker 2: Now I'm a different guy, and so on. So he's
- 41:29Speaker 2: asking Evers to commute his sentence. Now that Evers has
- 41:33Speaker 2: signed this thing giving himself this authority. Here's another thing
- 41:38Speaker 2: I'm just going to tell you right now, and I'm
- 41:40Speaker 2: going to guarantee it with my reputation. Do you know
- 41:46Speaker 2: when Evers is going to do these commutations? You all
- 41:50Speaker 2: ought to know this. But there's a reason why I'm
- 41:52Speaker 2: doing the podcasting. You're all just measley listeners to the podcast,
- 41:56Speaker 2: and that is because I know the answer. We're really
- 41:58Speaker 2: smart people. Back when I at the radio show, and
- 42:00Speaker 2: you could call it this is when the lines would
- 42:02Speaker 2: be lighting up, the people trying to claim that they
- 42:05Speaker 2: knew the answer. I would often pick on my former
- 42:07Speaker 2: producer Paul and say, do you know what he's going
- 42:09Speaker 2: to do? And Paul would not, of course know the answer.
- 42:11Speaker 2: But there's again a reason I'm in here and he
- 42:13Speaker 2: was in there, So here's the answer. After the November election,
- 42:18Speaker 2: Tony Evers is going to hand down commutations like crazy
- 42:23Speaker 2: because there's nothing anybody can do about it. Now. Evers
- 42:26Speaker 2: is a lame dock. He's not running for re election anyway.
- 42:29Speaker 2: But if he issued the commutations now, they could become
- 42:32Speaker 2: a campaign issue for whomever the Democrat is that's running.
- 42:36Speaker 2: They could become a campaign issue in which Republicans use
- 42:39Speaker 2: against Democrats running for the legislature. By Evers waiting until
- 42:44Speaker 2: that period, and again, it's just like the president, we
- 42:47Speaker 2: swear in the new governor of Wisconsin. The first business
- 42:50Speaker 2: day we know president is January twentieth. The governor Wisconsin
- 42:53Speaker 2: is the first business day after New Year's Day. That's
- 42:56Speaker 2: when the governor sworn in the election is the first
- 42:59Speaker 2: Tuesday in November. It gives you about eight weeks in
- 43:01Speaker 2: November and December. That's when Ebers is going to do
- 43:05Speaker 2: the commutations. So they're all anybody who's eligible is now
- 43:09Speaker 2: requesting Why wouldn't you You thought you were doomed, You
- 43:12Speaker 2: thought you were in the jug for the rest of
- 43:13Speaker 2: your life, and now Evers has given himself this power,
- 43:16Speaker 2: and why would he give himself that power unless he
- 43:18Speaker 2: intended to use it? Now I don't know if Oswald
- 43:24Speaker 2: specifically will be let out. It was one of the
- 43:28Speaker 2: most heenous cases imaginable. Kill the cop because you wanted
- 43:33Speaker 2: to get away with robbing a bank. I mean, they
- 43:35Speaker 2: robbed the bank, the cops came upon him. They weren't
- 43:37Speaker 2: going to get away with it. Rather than go to
- 43:39Speaker 2: jail for robbing the bank, which is a pretty significant sentence,
- 43:43Speaker 2: but it's not life. They got him the shootout with
- 43:47Speaker 2: the cop and killed the police officer just because they
- 43:50Speaker 2: weren't willing to do time for robbing the bank. It's
- 43:53Speaker 2: one of I'm not saying that murder ever has any justification,
- 43:56Speaker 2: but there's no mitigation here. This wasn't somebody in rage
- 44:00Speaker 2: with a spouse or a bad marriage, or this was
- 44:04Speaker 2: I don't want to go to prison for ten years,
- 44:06Speaker 2: so I'm gonna kill the cop which trying to apprehend me.
- 44:14Speaker 2: You are listening to the one an only Mark Belling podcast.
- 44:20Speaker 2: This is the Mark Belling Podcast. I want to revisit
- 44:24Speaker 2: a topic that we discussed. I remember when it was.
- 44:28Speaker 2: It wasn't yet this year. It was in season one.
- 44:33Speaker 2: There are different times in which this kind of copy
- 44:35Speaker 2: comes up, and I'm gonna use a specific example here.
- 44:39Speaker 2: Let's imagine you live in any community, any city that
- 44:42Speaker 2: you want to have. Just about every city borders another city.
- 44:47Speaker 2: Sometimes it borders a rural area, so it's one or
- 44:49Speaker 2: the other. You have to border something. When I lived
- 44:56Speaker 2: in Kakana, when the north side of town bordered Little Shoe,
- 45:01Speaker 2: the south side of town bordered Kimberly, and the east
- 45:06Speaker 2: side of town bordered farms that was undeveloped area. But
- 45:10Speaker 2: on the other side there were two other municipalities. Combined
- 45:16Speaker 2: Locks got itself in there as well. Believe it or not,
- 45:18Speaker 2: Combined Locks is a suburb of Kimberly. You wouldn't think
- 45:21Speaker 2: the Kimberley could have a suburb, but that's what Combined
- 45:23Speaker 2: Locks is. Anyway, let's imagine I'll just use the example
- 45:27Speaker 2: of the north side of Kakanae or on the Kaikana
- 45:29Speaker 2: Little Shoote line. Let's imagine Little shoot decides they want
- 45:33Speaker 2: to approve something right on their side of the line. Now,
- 45:38Speaker 2: let's go to Milwaukee and Waukeshaw County. One hundred and
- 45:42Speaker 2: twenty fourth Street is the dividing line between Milwaukee and
- 45:46Speaker 2: Waukeshaw Counties. On the west side of Milwaukee, east side
- 45:48Speaker 2: of Waukeshaw on a stretch of that, on the east
- 45:54Speaker 2: side of one hundred and twenty fourth Street, you know,
- 45:57Speaker 2: the east side of the street is Wabatosa. You cross the street,
- 46:01Speaker 2: you're at Brookfield. You go further up in their other communities.
- 46:05Speaker 2: Let's imagine Brookfield decides they want to do something on
- 46:07Speaker 2: the west side of the street. You live on the
- 46:10Speaker 2: east side of the street. What say do you have
- 46:12Speaker 2: in it? Nothing? Because you don't live there. This is
- 46:17Speaker 2: quite an interesting story. Now, what happens when you've got
- 46:20Speaker 2: two communities that are butting up against one another, and
- 46:24Speaker 2: one community green lights and goes ahead with something that
- 46:27Speaker 2: the other community really doesn't want. Should an adjacent community
- 46:34Speaker 2: have any input on something that goes on in the
- 46:37Speaker 2: other community. I've been contacted by, and the story is
- 46:42Speaker 2: being raised in news coverage. It's been covered quite extensively
- 46:47Speaker 2: in southeastern Wisconsin. It's the Brick complex. It's to be
- 46:51Speaker 2: located in big bed. We're talking here in the area
- 46:55Speaker 2: of southern Waukeshaw County. This is an area that years
- 46:58Speaker 2: ago was very rural, and not just farmland rural, off
- 47:03Speaker 2: in woods rural. But Waukashaw County is booming. The sprawl
- 47:08Speaker 2: that has occurred. There is this kind of story that's
- 47:10Speaker 2: happening all over the United States, and this portion in
- 47:14Speaker 2: Waukashaw County is going from almost entirely undeveloped to rapidly
- 47:20Speaker 2: becoming developed. There are a lot more people that live there,
- 47:23Speaker 2: but there are still some areas that are not developed.
- 47:27Speaker 2: But when you have people that are out there in
- 47:29Speaker 2: these areas, and we're now talking a pretty good chunk
- 47:32Speaker 2: away from the city of Milwaukee, they want to have
- 47:35Speaker 2: facilities and things to do, and often it means retail
- 47:38Speaker 2: comes in. The retail though usually occurs along a main
- 47:42Speaker 2: drag and people on the you know, like for example,
- 47:45Speaker 2: in Waukashaw County, lots of stuff just north and south
- 47:48Speaker 2: of Interstate ninety four. There isn't much residential right on
- 47:52Speaker 2: the interstate. But now let's talk about getting away from
- 47:55Speaker 2: it a bit. The proposal in Big bad And is
- 48:01Speaker 2: for an enormous sports complex. These things, there's already a
- 48:06Speaker 2: couple of them in our area, and they're popping up
- 48:09Speaker 2: all over the United States. Baseball complex stuff like that.
- 48:14Speaker 2: The complex could, theoretically, in the future contain more than
- 48:18Speaker 2: just sports. You could, and this isn't in the proposal,
- 48:20Speaker 2: have an entertainment portion of it and so on. This
- 48:24Speaker 2: is similar to, but not the same as, what's going
- 48:28Speaker 2: on in Franklin. Franklin has this big athletic and entertainment
- 48:33Speaker 2: complex called the Rock, and the people in Franklin love
- 48:37Speaker 2: the Rock, and a lot of people in southeast Wisconsin
- 48:38Speaker 2: love the Rock. It's a great facility. But the people
- 48:41Speaker 2: who live right near the Rock can't stand all the
- 48:43Speaker 2: noise in the traffic from the concerts and the events,
- 48:45Speaker 2: and they don't like it. But if you live two
- 48:48Speaker 2: miles away, it's great to have something this close. Well,
- 48:51Speaker 2: now let's go here in that community. All the people
- 48:54Speaker 2: involved there from Franklin. This proposal is to build this
- 48:58Speaker 2: sports complex in Big Bend right next. I would make
- 49:03Speaker 2: fun of the name Big Bend. But as I say,
- 49:05Speaker 2: I live four months of the year in Florida, and
- 49:07Speaker 2: the names of our communities down there are humiliatingly stupid.
- 49:11Speaker 2: I live in Sunny Isles Beach. You should look at
- 49:14Speaker 2: the ones that are around. Some of the ones that
- 49:16Speaker 2: are land to have okay names like Kassimi. That's a
- 49:18Speaker 2: good I'm assuming Native American name. But a lot of
- 49:21Speaker 2: these communities at Florida will have names that make it
- 49:23Speaker 2: sound like they're in Arizona. Arizona's the worst. They're like
- 49:26Speaker 2: Paradise Valley and Sun City. Anyway, Big Bed, you know
- 49:32Speaker 2: why they call it big Bed. Somewhere around there, some
- 49:34Speaker 2: river took a bed Big Bed. Next to Big Bend
- 49:39Speaker 2: is Vernon, rather rural, undeveloped, still rather quiet area, the
- 49:51Speaker 2: residence of Vernon and also the residence of the village
- 49:57Speaker 2: of Waka Shaw. Now this is not to be I
- 50:01Speaker 2: just I think we should pass along Wisconsin that you
- 50:03Speaker 2: can't have two communities with the same name. It gets confusing.
- 50:05Speaker 2: The city of Waukeshaw, they're not involved in this. Some
- 50:09Speaker 2: of the area to the outside of Waukeshaw is the
- 50:12Speaker 2: village of Waukeshaw used to be the town. They incorporated
- 50:15Speaker 2: a stop annexations, so the Village of Waukeshaw is largely
- 50:20Speaker 2: rural area. Outside of Waukeshaw, the other community is the
- 50:23Speaker 2: village of Vernon. People who live in that portion of
- 50:27Speaker 2: the Village of Waukeshaw on the Village of Vernon are
- 50:32Speaker 2: going nuts over this proposal in Big Bed. They don't
- 50:36Speaker 2: want it. But it's not in Vernon, it's not in
- 50:40Speaker 2: the Village of Waukeshaw. It's in Big Bed, and they
- 50:45Speaker 2: are appealing to someone, anyone to assist them in stopping this.
- 50:49Speaker 2: They're saying, this is way too big for this part
- 50:53Speaker 2: of the region. I'm going to share one listener's email
- 50:57Speaker 2: to me. I won't read his name. I don't like
- 50:58Speaker 2: to do that. Mark. I was a huge fan of
- 51:03Speaker 2: your radio show for many years and now on avid
- 51:05Speaker 2: podcast listener. It's very nice for him to say, could
- 51:07Speaker 2: be tactical. This is his way of trying to get
- 51:09Speaker 2: me on his side. It's nice to say. I wanted
- 51:12Speaker 2: to ask if you are aware, I am aware of
- 51:14Speaker 2: a very large sports complex plan for the village of
- 51:17Speaker 2: Big Bend. And a parcel of property bordering two other communities,
- 51:20Speaker 2: the village of Waukisha on the village of Verden. The
- 51:22Speaker 2: plan development is enormous. You know, some people exaggerate that
- 51:27Speaker 2: it's really it is really big. A quick online search
- 51:32Speaker 2: and he's right. This has been widely covered and you
- 51:35Speaker 2: can find all the details. What amazes me is how
- 51:37Speaker 2: a three person planning commission in a neighboring community can
- 51:41Speaker 2: approve a project which is going to impact so many
- 51:43Speaker 2: homeowners who live in neighboring communities, the vast majority of
- 51:47Speaker 2: which are not in favor of the development. Now, he
- 51:50Speaker 2: raises some points. In many of our smaller communities around here,
- 51:57Speaker 2: you don't have the same and it's a good thing.
- 51:59Speaker 2: You don't have the same infrastructure of government. For example,
- 52:02Speaker 2: City of Brookfield. I mean Brookfield's a city. There's a
- 52:07Speaker 2: full time mayor, think he's full time city council large members,
- 52:13Speaker 2: and they've got lots of city commissions. Brookfield being a
- 52:17Speaker 2: very developed community, They've got zoning, there's all sorts of
- 52:20Speaker 2: questions over mixed use, they got a city planning, they
- 52:22Speaker 2: have this set of the other thing. Some of the
- 52:24Speaker 2: smaller communities that we have obviously have smaller staffs, and
- 52:27Speaker 2: they have small boards. Apparently, the planning commission in Big
- 52:32Speaker 2: Bend is three people. They approve this, so you're giving
- 52:39Speaker 2: a lot of power to small planning boards and small
- 52:43Speaker 2: village boards. In this case, though, the thing that's frosting
- 52:47Speaker 2: the other people is they're not even in that community
- 52:50Speaker 2: and they see these three people over there in Big Bend,
- 52:52Speaker 2: and you could say, well, what's in it for Big
- 52:54Speaker 2: ben Well, here's the Senate for Big Bend. Everybody's got
- 52:57Speaker 2: high property taxes. You get all this development in here.
- 53:00Speaker 2: So maybe they believe that this development is going to
- 53:02Speaker 2: result in an increase in the property base. They can
- 53:04Speaker 2: therefore tax the individuals that are coming in and the
- 53:07Speaker 2: developments that will occur to lower their own taxes. But
- 53:11Speaker 2: it doesn't lower the taxes of the two adjacent communities
- 53:15Speaker 2: because the property taxes aren't paid to them, They're only
- 53:18Speaker 2: paid to Big Bed. What amazes me is how a
- 53:24Speaker 2: three person planning commission in a neighboring community can approve
- 53:27Speaker 2: a project which is going to impact so many homeowners
- 53:30Speaker 2: who live in neighboring communities, the vast majority which are
- 53:32Speaker 2: not in favor of the development. Residents in Waukashana. He
- 53:35Speaker 2: means the village of Waukesha and Vernon. Don't view this
- 53:38Speaker 2: as your typical not in my backyard opposition. The proposed
- 53:42Speaker 2: location of this development is a mostly a rural area.
- 53:46Speaker 2: It's not meant to improve the lives of local residents.
- 53:49Speaker 2: Possibly it creates future tax revenue for Big Bend, at
- 53:52Speaker 2: what cost to it and neighboring communities. It's been reported
- 53:56Speaker 2: that many studies traffic, noise, pollution, and others have been
- 53:59Speaker 2: by passed the fast track develement. I can't verify that,
- 54:03Speaker 2: but the entire proposal seems odd. I would love to
- 54:05Speaker 2: hear from you on this well. Various news reports and
- 54:10Speaker 2: I have a story here from TMJ four, Fox six
- 54:12Speaker 2: and so on. The residents a Big Band apparently are split.
- 54:16Speaker 2: Now again, this is according to reporting I've read that
- 54:18Speaker 2: I've not done any independent reporting of my own. So
- 54:21Speaker 2: Big Band is split, but the other two communities are
- 54:26Speaker 2: overwhelmingly opposed. I'm not proposing a position on this, but
- 54:30Speaker 2: I think it's an interesting thing to consider. Should residents
- 54:34Speaker 2: of adjacent communities have any say in these kinds of things? No, Normally,
- 54:39Speaker 2: I would say clearly not. Wahwatosa doesn't get to stop
- 54:44Speaker 2: Brookfield from doing what Brookfield wants to do because Wahwatosa
- 54:47Speaker 2: is at Brookfield. And let's imagine Elm Grove wants to
- 54:54Speaker 2: do something. Should Brookfield, which borders Elm Grove, be able
- 54:56Speaker 2: to stop that? If the United States wants to do something,
- 55:02Speaker 2: should Canada be able to stop us? It becomes however,
- 55:11Speaker 2: I mean, I think that principle is pretty unarguable. If
- 55:14Speaker 2: you live in a community, you should be able to
- 55:16Speaker 2: control what goes on in your community. But when something
- 55:18Speaker 2: happens right on a border, and that something is something
- 55:23Speaker 2: that's huge and radically alters the way of life of
- 55:28Speaker 2: the region, you know, the community line maybe in a
- 55:32Speaker 2: certain place, but you're talking about a way of life
- 55:34Speaker 2: and the kind of setting that you're in. The sports
- 55:39Speaker 2: complex is so large. It's not going to be for
- 55:41Speaker 2: the people of big men. They'll be part of those
- 55:43Speaker 2: that use it. But this is going to attract young
- 55:45Speaker 2: people and athletic groups and all of the people that
- 55:47Speaker 2: are going to use the sports complex from all over
- 55:49Speaker 2: Southeast and Wisconsin. Now, there's a tremendous desire for these things.
- 55:54Speaker 2: Anywhere you go in the country. You see these big
- 55:57Speaker 2: sports complexes way away from cities in metro areas. The
- 56:01Speaker 2: first thing that has to happen is they've got to
- 56:03Speaker 2: And you might say, well, why don't they do it
- 56:05Speaker 2: in a more developed area. Well, if you want to
- 56:07Speaker 2: do something this big, you have to take something that
- 56:10Speaker 2: currently isn't used for anything. You can't go into the
- 56:14Speaker 2: city of Waukeshaw and buy up a huge chunk of
- 56:16Speaker 2: land of stuff that's already being used. What's going to
- 56:18Speaker 2: be easier to develop is something that's currently only farmland
- 56:21Speaker 2: or woods, so it's going to be in an undeveloped area.
- 56:26Speaker 2: This is the same argument that occurs all the time
- 56:29Speaker 2: with sprawl. I mean, you go back forty and fifty
- 56:31Speaker 2: years people who first the first one is to move
- 56:33Speaker 2: to Brookfield. They were moving to farmfields. Brookfield is now
- 56:36Speaker 2: as urban as the city of Milwaukee is, and a
- 56:39Speaker 2: lot of people who move to an area that's relative.
- 56:41Speaker 2: You see the same argument out there in the Sussex
- 56:43Speaker 2: area West Benz, a sling of Richfield and so on,
- 56:46Speaker 2: the community south of West mend All of these debates
- 56:48Speaker 2: go on. People want to get away from all the
- 56:50Speaker 2: hustle bustle of the noise of the city, but once
- 56:53Speaker 2: they get there, they want to be the last one
- 56:55Speaker 2: who comes. And the next thing you know, you're sitting
- 56:58Speaker 2: at the stop and go light and slip for five
- 57:00Speaker 2: minutes rather than fifteen seconds because there's way more people there.
- 57:05Speaker 2: But at least in those instances, Slinger can decide what's
- 57:08Speaker 2: in Slinger, and monomine Falls can decide what's in Monominee Falls.
- 57:13Speaker 2: When something is right on the line and completely changes
- 57:18Speaker 2: the atmosphere of the area, it certainly can be true.
- 57:23Speaker 2: And I'm sure in Big Bend itself this is pitting
- 57:25Speaker 2: people against one another. Someone who live there wanted some don't.
- 57:28Speaker 2: And usually the way it works is if you live
- 57:30Speaker 2: a mile and a half away, you're completely in favorite.
- 57:32Speaker 2: If you live right next door, you totally don't want it.
- 57:35Speaker 2: But imagine the people who are griping here but have
- 57:39Speaker 2: no say at all. Should they have a say, It's
- 57:45Speaker 2: hard for me to figure out how we can properly
- 57:47Speaker 2: allow them to say. I mean, the borderline is the borderline.
- 57:54Speaker 2: On this side of the line is the other community,
- 57:57Speaker 2: and communities should be able to determine their fate. I
- 58:00Speaker 2: understand the difficulty for people who their own community doesn't
- 58:07Speaker 2: want to have any kind of development. They want to
- 58:09Speaker 2: keep things the way they are. But right next door
- 58:11Speaker 2: to them, somebody's trying to turn it into a metropolis.
- 58:15Speaker 2: Let's go to Texas. We have yet another case of
- 58:21Speaker 2: a Republican incumbent, in this case a United States Senator
- 58:25Speaker 2: thrown out of office, and once again it was the
- 58:29Speaker 2: Trump endorsed candidate who beat him. Now there's an asterisk
- 58:33Speaker 2: to this. I think Trump endorsed Bill Paxton the winner
- 58:39Speaker 2: when he figured out the paston was going to win anyway.
- 58:44Speaker 2: Cornyan John Cornyn is a longtime senator from Texas. Remember
- 58:48Speaker 2: senators serve six year terms. I won't say he's a rido,
- 58:52Speaker 2: but he's certainly not mega. He has voted with the president.
- 58:57Speaker 2: I would say it almost not everything, almost everything. There
- 59:01Speaker 2: are a couple of issues, though, in which he hasn't
- 59:04Speaker 2: And one of the things that's stuck in Trump's craw
- 59:08Speaker 2: was again you go back to January sixth of twenty twenty.
- 59:12Speaker 2: Coynan was not one of those who voted to convict
- 59:14Speaker 2: and remove Trump from office, but he did criticize Trump.
- 59:19Speaker 2: Trump is still furious over the false blame that he
- 59:23Speaker 2: got for January six. So, okay, now here's Paxton. He's
- 59:28Speaker 2: the Attorney General of Texas. He's more of a mega
- 59:32Speaker 2: type Republican than Cornon. You could even see it by
- 59:35Speaker 2: looking at him. Cornin looks like he walks straight out
- 59:37Speaker 2: of the country club. I mean, he can't help, but
- 59:39Speaker 2: that's how he looks. And Paxton looks like he walks
- 59:41Speaker 2: straight out of a Magarelly. Paxton has baggage. He's very
- 59:48Speaker 2: controversial in Texas, but he's really loved by the majority
- 59:52Speaker 2: of Conservatives. So Paxton decides, I'm gonna run against Cornon.
- 59:57Speaker 2: In Texas, they have the runoff system in their prime.
- 1:00:00Speaker 2: You have to get fifty percent of the vote in
- 1:00:02Speaker 2: order to win, so there were more than the two
- 1:00:04Speaker 2: of them running. There were some WULSA rans in there
- 1:00:06Speaker 2: as well, so they held the primary. Nobody got over
- 1:00:08Speaker 2: fifty percent of the vote, but corning Paxton, that's the challenge.
- 1:00:11Speaker 2: You got more than Cordon, so they have a runoff,
- 1:00:13Speaker 2: a head on head primary. The only two that are
- 1:00:16Speaker 2: on the ballot are Paxton and Courted. A couple of
- 1:00:19Speaker 2: weeks ago, Trump endorsed Paxton. Paxton was leading in the pools,
- 1:00:23Speaker 2: but it was close. I believe that Trump endorsed Paxton
- 1:00:28Speaker 2: because he thought Paxton was going to win. So let's
- 1:00:30Speaker 2: get Paxton on his side and take credit when Paxton
- 1:00:33Speaker 2: does win. They held the election despite what the polls said.
- 1:00:37Speaker 2: It wasn't close. Paxton destroyed Cordon. He beat him by
- 1:00:42Speaker 2: twenty six points. So Paxton is going to be the
- 1:00:45Speaker 2: Republican nominee for the United States Senate. Once again, Well,
- 1:00:51Speaker 2: I acknowledge. I don't think that Trump gets the credit
- 1:00:54Speaker 2: for Paxton winning. I think Paxton was going to win anyone.
- 1:00:57Speaker 2: I think Trump is responsible for the margin. The polls
- 1:01:02Speaker 2: were two, three, four, five points, it was twenty six.
- 1:01:06Speaker 2: So again, I think that for all of the arguments
- 1:01:09Speaker 2: that are coming from some on the right that Trump
- 1:01:11Speaker 2: has lost the MAGA base and the Republicans have turned
- 1:01:14Speaker 2: their backs on Trump, the Trump endorsement is still golden.
- 1:01:18Speaker 2: In Republican primaries. He keeps beating the people, mostly these
- 1:01:24Speaker 2: old bull establishment types that he doesn't like. A week earlier,
- 1:01:29Speaker 2: in Kentucky, the exact opposite type of Republican, Thomas Massey was,
- 1:01:34Speaker 2: if anything, true conservative for Trump. He was a purest
- 1:01:38Speaker 2: libertarian and didn't and thought that Trump was modeling you know,
- 1:01:41Speaker 2: moving too much in the middle and certain things didn't
- 1:01:44Speaker 2: support the war, et cetera, and Massey became one of these.
- 1:01:47Speaker 2: It was just always voting against Trump, claiming that Trump
- 1:01:50Speaker 2: was selling out Mega Trump supported the opponent to Massey.
- 1:01:55Speaker 2: Massey lost. If you're a Republican who bucks Trump, the
- 1:02:00Speaker 2: majority of Republican voters are going to throw you out.
- 1:02:05Speaker 2: Here's what's problematic. Texas isn't a swing state, but it's
- 1:02:10Speaker 2: getting there. What's happening in Texas is you have such
- 1:02:20Speaker 2: a migration inward from California and other places, and there
- 1:02:25Speaker 2: are so many major universities, government institutions, and so on.
- 1:02:32Speaker 2: Texas presents an outstanding way of life. The big cities
- 1:02:36Speaker 2: in Texas are democratic. Dallas and Houston in particular are
- 1:02:41Speaker 2: very democratic cities. San Antonio less so. But some of
- 1:02:45Speaker 2: these metro areas, in the suburbs of some of these
- 1:02:47Speaker 2: communities the same kind of suburbanites you say have on
- 1:02:50Speaker 2: our north shore here. Then you add in the large
- 1:02:52Speaker 2: immigrant population, including some illegals. It's not allowed legal for
- 1:02:57Speaker 2: them to vote, but they may be voting. Texas is
- 1:03:00Speaker 2: going from say a sixty to forty Republican state. Ted
- 1:03:03Speaker 2: Cruz ran for reelection in the most recent election. I
- 1:03:06Speaker 2: think you went by with seven or eight points when
- 1:03:07Speaker 2: Trump defeated Kamala. This is off the top of my head.
- 1:03:13Speaker 2: It was not close. I think it was like ten
- 1:03:16Speaker 2: or eleven points, But it wasn't like a thirty nine
- 1:03:19Speaker 2: or forty point kind of state. It's the type of
- 1:03:22Speaker 2: state where the Democrats have been getting closer and they
- 1:03:25Speaker 2: think that they could win. They believe that Paxton, who
- 1:03:29Speaker 2: has baggage and has made a number of statements that
- 1:03:33Speaker 2: are clearly more mega than say cornyin will alienate some
- 1:03:37Speaker 2: suburban voters. They're going to portray him as extreme. If
- 1:03:40Speaker 2: there are some who are concerned that Texas could go Democrat,
- 1:03:45Speaker 2: it's the same concern that occurred in Georgia. Georgia, another
- 1:03:50Speaker 2: state that had been solidly Republican, has been becoming Democratic
- 1:03:53Speaker 2: over the years. Both United States senators from Georgia Democrats.
- 1:04:01Speaker 2: You saw the whole disastrous election that occurred in twenty twenty.
- 1:04:04Speaker 2: They're the Trump lost. They had to have two runoffs.
- 1:04:06Speaker 2: They had two seats at the same time because there
- 1:04:08Speaker 2: was a vacancy, the Republican candidates were unpopular. They lost
- 1:04:12Speaker 2: both of the seats Republicans had a heart have had
- 1:04:16Speaker 2: a hard time putting up or candidate who can appeal
- 1:04:21Speaker 2: to the swing voters. If you have an overwhelmingly Republican state,
- 1:04:24Speaker 2: you don't need to worry about swing voters. But when
- 1:04:27Speaker 2: you have a state like Georgia, you need somebody Wisconsin
- 1:04:30Speaker 2: is the same thing. You need a Republican who has
- 1:04:32Speaker 2: the ability to get moderates to vote for you, and
- 1:04:34Speaker 2: the Democrats need the same thing. Democrat has to be
- 1:04:37Speaker 2: able to get moderates to vote for them. It's certainly
- 1:04:42Speaker 2: possible that by choosing Paxton, the Republicans could lose the seat.
- 1:04:47Speaker 2: On the other hand, if Paxton wins, you'll get someone
- 1:04:50Speaker 2: who is more solidly pro Trump in that seat than
- 1:04:56Speaker 2: they had with Cornin So, without regard to whose strategic
- 1:05:00Speaker 2: you should have voted for, the takeaway from it again
- 1:05:02Speaker 2: is obvious. If Trump is opposing you in a Republican primary,
- 1:05:10Speaker 2: you are probably going to lose. And again without regard
- 1:05:14Speaker 2: to what anybody thinks about the war anything else pertaining
- 1:05:16Speaker 2: to Trump, I'm just reporting what's happening here. Trump endorses someone,
- 1:05:21Speaker 2: the vast majority of Republicans are going to back the
- 1:05:24Speaker 2: candidate Trump endorses, even if it was someone that they
- 1:05:27Speaker 2: had voted for repeatedly in years past. All right, now
- 1:05:36Speaker 2: this the loose. Do you know what the loose is?
- 1:05:43Speaker 2: I asked, Jason. You're doing as badly on these questions
- 1:05:46Speaker 2: as Paul. But I'm part of it. Is I asked
- 1:05:48Speaker 2: the question, and I don't think that you're gonna know
- 1:05:49Speaker 2: the answer. You just still look to me like a
- 1:05:51Speaker 2: Ferrari guy. You're not a Ferrari guy, are you. If
- 1:05:54Speaker 2: you had the money, would you be a Ferrari guy.
- 1:05:57Speaker 2: You wouldn't be. See, Ferraris are like first of all,
- 1:06:02Speaker 2: not only cannot most people not afford them, they're also
- 1:06:05Speaker 2: a cult. If you see somebody who drives a Ferrari,
- 1:06:08Speaker 2: I'm just telling you the car before that was a Ferrari,
- 1:06:11Speaker 2: and the one before that was a Ferrari. Obviously there's
- 1:06:13Speaker 2: a first one, but some people who buy Ferraris almost
- 1:06:17Speaker 2: always stick with Ferraris forever. Part of it is Ferrari's
- 1:06:20Speaker 2: a brilliantly run company. They obviously they're not a mass marketer,
- 1:06:25Speaker 2: but they limit their production. They limit it enough that
- 1:06:30Speaker 2: they can make money. It's large enough that they can
- 1:06:32Speaker 2: make money, but they make the cars hard to get.
- 1:06:35Speaker 2: Often to buy a new Ferrari, you have to already
- 1:06:39Speaker 2: own a Ferrari to get on the allocation for the
- 1:06:41Speaker 2: next car. When they introduce a car, there's often a
- 1:06:44Speaker 2: waiting list of year to eighteen months for you to
- 1:06:46Speaker 2: get in line to get the car, and often you
- 1:06:48Speaker 2: have to be a Ferrari owner to get in line
- 1:06:50Speaker 2: for that vehicle. So they developed tremendous loyalty over the years,
- 1:06:57Speaker 2: and undeniably it's a great product. Like every other automobile maker,
- 1:07:04Speaker 2: and a lot of the exotic automobile makers are embracing
- 1:07:08Speaker 2: electric My own belief is that the electric vehicle thing,
- 1:07:14Speaker 2: which certainly had peaked a year and a half ago,
- 1:07:17Speaker 2: is going to have another boom. If gas prices are
- 1:07:20Speaker 2: this high by the end of the year and again,
- 1:07:22Speaker 2: I think they're going to go down. I think they
- 1:07:24Speaker 2: go down when the war is over. But I'm not
- 1:07:26Speaker 2: convinced that I could be wrong. If gas prices dropped
- 1:07:28Speaker 2: like say a bucket a quarter a gallon by the
- 1:07:31Speaker 2: end of the year, I don't think that this is
- 1:07:33Speaker 2: going to do anything for electric vehicles. If they stay
- 1:07:35Speaker 2: where they are, the EV thing is going to kick
- 1:07:38Speaker 2: in again, and you saw. You know, the big push
- 1:07:41Speaker 2: that occurred with Tesla occurred when when you had the
- 1:07:43Speaker 2: really really high of gasoline prices that were in place
- 1:07:46Speaker 2: under Biden. Then gas prices crashed and suddenly people didn't
- 1:07:50Speaker 2: think gasoline powered cars were all that bad after all.
- 1:07:53Speaker 2: Now gas prices have exploded again. But on the high
- 1:07:57Speaker 2: end of the market, all the automakers are including electric
- 1:08:01Speaker 2: vehicles in their line. Mercedes is a bunch of them,
- 1:08:04Speaker 2: Porsche has a bunch of them, and the reason for
- 1:08:05Speaker 2: them is these vehicles, I mean, style and power is
- 1:08:10Speaker 2: their whole thing. And EV technology is simply superior to
- 1:08:14Speaker 2: gasoline technology. The evs don't require a transmission that spurts
- 1:08:19Speaker 2: in this amount of power, and that amount of power
- 1:08:21Speaker 2: it can apply instantly. You don't have to have a
- 1:08:24Speaker 2: gasoline engine. The electric vehicle has almost infinite amounts of
- 1:08:28Speaker 2: battery power, and if they're trying to create these vehicles
- 1:08:33Speaker 2: that just go really, really fast, it's a better way
- 1:08:37Speaker 2: of doing it than the gasoline engines. On the other hand,
- 1:08:40Speaker 2: many people who drive cards like Ferrari and Porsches, they
- 1:08:44Speaker 2: like the gasoline powers vehicles just fine, so you have
- 1:08:47Speaker 2: to offer both. Ferrari has never had an ev until
- 1:08:52Speaker 2: now they're naming it the Loose. Now, you might say
- 1:08:57Speaker 2: that's a dumb name. See if you're an exotic car company, though,
- 1:09:00Speaker 2: every name they choose seems to be a dumb name
- 1:09:03Speaker 2: because they want to have a name that doesn't sound
- 1:09:05Speaker 2: like anything else. Some of the cars, some of the
- 1:09:08Speaker 2: exotic car companies, they just have letters for their names,
- 1:09:11Speaker 2: Like all the Mercedes cars are just letters. A lot
- 1:09:14Speaker 2: of them are letters. BMW's are numbers. Ferrari, though, always
- 1:09:19Speaker 2: has a name The Loose now one of the things
- 1:09:25Speaker 2: that has made Ferrari Ferrari. You know they're Italian. The
- 1:09:28Speaker 2: Italians are just great. It's stuff that looks good. I
- 1:09:33Speaker 2: mean they are. I mean, if you Italian food not
- 1:09:37Speaker 2: only tastes great, it looks good on the plate. Italian clothing,
- 1:09:41Speaker 2: the men's wear, the Italian arc, Italian Italian art, anything
- 1:09:45Speaker 2: that's visual. The Italians excelient and Ferraris are beautiful vehicles.
- 1:09:50Speaker 2: Here's the Loose now. I hate to be one of
- 1:09:54Speaker 2: those people that because everybody says something's ugly, I'm gonna
- 1:09:58Speaker 2: say it's ugly. A lot of people are like that.
- 1:10:00Speaker 2: They don't have any taste of their own so when
- 1:10:02Speaker 2: people say something is ugly, they just jump in and say, yeah,
- 1:10:04Speaker 2: it's ugly, or the opposite. When everybody says something is attractive,
- 1:10:09Speaker 2: they'll say that it's attractive because they don't know any better.
- 1:10:12Speaker 2: The loose is being ridiculed for its appearance. Now you're
- 1:10:16Speaker 2: gonna have to look this up online and you can
- 1:10:18Speaker 2: all do it. I'm just I am astonished by this.
- 1:10:22Speaker 2: This is you know, a lot of times when you
- 1:10:25Speaker 2: create a new look on something, it's just that it's jarring,
- 1:10:29Speaker 2: and a few years later every automaker has turned out
- 1:10:32Speaker 2: copying you. You know, BMW got a lot of heat
- 1:10:34Speaker 2: years ago for the Bengal butt on their vehicles, putting
- 1:10:36Speaker 2: this big inflated rear end on the cars, and Chris Bangle,
- 1:10:40Speaker 2: who was kind of went to school in Wisconsin. He
- 1:10:42Speaker 2: was the design chief for BMW and to put this
- 1:10:44Speaker 2: big rear ends kind of the softened curves and the
- 1:10:46Speaker 2: BMW's weren't boxy anymore. Then every luxury maker or die
- 1:10:50Speaker 2: Bengal got fired. But he turned out to be ahead
- 1:10:53Speaker 2: of his time because that type of look on the
- 1:10:55Speaker 2: cars continued forever. Same things happened with regard to the grills, that.
- 1:11:00Speaker 2: You know, Toyota and Lexus started to put in like
- 1:11:01Speaker 2: this mean looking grill, and people thought it was too
- 1:11:04Speaker 2: mean looking. And now every grill is aggressive, so you
- 1:11:07Speaker 2: can create a look on a vehicle that is just
- 1:11:11Speaker 2: too It's occurring before you're used to it, and five
- 1:11:14Speaker 2: years later you become accustomed to it because everybody's copied it.
- 1:11:17Speaker 2: I suppose that could happen here. I'm just telling you
- 1:11:20Speaker 2: this is one of the ugliest, now, the one the
- 1:11:24Speaker 2: Wall Street Journal has here. It's like a light. It's
- 1:11:27Speaker 2: a pros between pink and purple. So the color is
- 1:11:29Speaker 2: weird to begin with, but the grill on it is. Remember,
- 1:11:32Speaker 2: electric vehicles don't need an air intake, so if they
- 1:11:35Speaker 2: create a grill, it's just for looks. You know, Tesla
- 1:11:38Speaker 2: has no grill. Tesla just decided, you know Musks who
- 1:11:41Speaker 2: makes his vehicles to look all like one another, and
- 1:11:44Speaker 2: they're very utilitarian. Tessa's all look to me, just generic.
- 1:11:47Speaker 2: But that's the look that he's looking for. He's not
- 1:11:49Speaker 2: doing this for style, He's doing it for the purposes
- 1:11:51Speaker 2: of just making a superior audibobile. Well, Ferrari, part of
- 1:11:55Speaker 2: the whole thing is look, so it's not really a grill.
- 1:11:57Speaker 2: It's just like there's a fold it indentation in the
- 1:12:00Speaker 2: front of the car that creates an appearance of being
- 1:12:03Speaker 2: a grill. And then the front windshield goes almost all
- 1:12:07Speaker 2: the way covering where the hood is, so there's like
- 1:12:09Speaker 2: glass over the top of remember, because there's not an engine
- 1:12:12Speaker 2: in there, it's not covering anything. Then there's this side thing. Well,
- 1:12:22Speaker 2: the car is being mocked and ridiculed online. It's so
- 1:12:28Speaker 2: bad that yesterday and again I'm doing the podcast. On Wednesday,
- 1:12:31Speaker 2: Ferrari stock went down like five percent. For all of
- 1:12:36Speaker 2: these exotic car manufacturers, their growth is going to be
- 1:12:39Speaker 2: an evs. There's very little reason that anybody news is
- 1:12:43Speaker 2: going to come around and start driving Ferraris or Porsches
- 1:12:46Speaker 2: and so on. In order to get a newer market,
- 1:12:48Speaker 2: they've got to add something they don't currently have and
- 1:12:51Speaker 2: match what everybody else is doing and have an electric
- 1:12:53Speaker 2: vehicle as part of their offering. And it seems like
- 1:12:56Speaker 2: people on the very higher end are more into electric vehicles,
- 1:13:00Speaker 2: and on the lower end there are certainly, I think
- 1:13:03Speaker 2: way more people that spend one hundred thousand dollars on
- 1:13:06Speaker 2: a car interested in buying an ev than somebody spends
- 1:13:09Speaker 2: twenty seven thousand dollars in a car and Ferrari doesn't
- 1:13:12Speaker 2: have that many models. This one is apparently so ugly
- 1:13:17Speaker 2: that people think it's going to be the one Ferrari
- 1:13:20Speaker 2: that won't sell. We'll see whether or not it does
- 1:13:23Speaker 2: or it does it. There's a photo here of they
- 1:13:25Speaker 2: gifted one of them to Pope Leo. Where do they
- 1:13:30Speaker 2: give the Pope? What would you give the poper Ferrari? Well,
- 1:13:35Speaker 2: they are I'm just is so here you got Pope
- 1:13:38Speaker 2: Leo standing next to a CEO of Ferrari and then
- 1:13:41Speaker 2: the loose So you can look it up and decide
- 1:13:43Speaker 2: for yourself. But I agree with the critics. I think
- 1:13:46Speaker 2: it's pretty ugly. You're listening to the Mark Belling podcast.
- 1:13:51Speaker 2: This is the Mark Belling Podcast. We are in the
- 1:13:54Speaker 2: early stages of this story, so it's hard to see
- 1:13:58Speaker 2: how it's going to play out, but it is certainly
- 1:14:00Speaker 2: possible that the Green Bay Packers have lost one of
- 1:14:03Speaker 2: their best players. Josh Jacobs, the star running back one
- 1:14:07Speaker 2: of the best running backs in the National Football League,
- 1:14:10Speaker 2: was arrested and is now criminally charged over the weekend
- 1:14:13Speaker 2: in Green Bay with domestic abuse Jacobs, through his attorney,
- 1:14:20Speaker 2: is adamantly denying it. Now, it isn't a specific denial,
- 1:14:25Speaker 2: and we're not going to see that until the case
- 1:14:27Speaker 2: moves forward, if it moves forward, is he denying all
- 1:14:31Speaker 2: of it, some of it, or as he's saying, I
- 1:14:34Speaker 2: wasn't the aggressor don't know. The packers have OTAs this week.
- 1:14:38Speaker 2: That's it's not like training camp a couple of times
- 1:14:40Speaker 2: a year the players come and have like team workouts
- 1:14:43Speaker 2: and so on, and that's why they're all up in
- 1:14:45Speaker 2: Green Bay. According to the criminal complaint, or at least
- 1:14:50Speaker 2: the charging information that's been released so far, Jacobs is
- 1:14:53Speaker 2: accused of domestic abuse in connection with an incident that
- 1:14:56Speaker 2: occurred over the weekend. Among the charges that are against
- 1:14:59Speaker 2: him are strangulation, criminal damage to property, intimidating a victim, battery,
- 1:15:07Speaker 2: disorderly conduct, and then strangulation and suffocation. But there's no
- 1:15:12Speaker 2: specific on it yet in which it's specifically and again
- 1:15:15Speaker 2: I'm doing this podcast on Wednesday afternoon. There's nothing that
- 1:15:18Speaker 2: specifically describes how he supposedly suffocated and strangled. We don't
- 1:15:24Speaker 2: have a defense of him other than his attorney saying
- 1:15:27Speaker 2: he denies all of it. Is this going to be
- 1:15:33Speaker 2: a case of sexual contact in which there is discussion
- 1:15:37Speaker 2: over consensual or not? Is the suffocation strangulation? Is Jacob's
- 1:15:43Speaker 2: going to claim that this was like a sex game
- 1:15:44Speaker 2: kind of thing that people do, or is he going
- 1:15:49Speaker 2: to claim it never happened at all and the victim
- 1:15:51Speaker 2: is making it up. Now, we certainly know that there
- 1:15:55Speaker 2: are cases like this where athletes are accused of things
- 1:15:57Speaker 2: that they don't do. There are also cases like this
- 1:16:00Speaker 2: in which athletes do terrible things to women because they
- 1:16:03Speaker 2: think they can get away with anything. We don't know
- 1:16:05Speaker 2: which of the two it's going to be. If Jacobs
- 1:16:09Speaker 2: takes a conviction, as some other athletes have done, he's
- 1:16:11Speaker 2: facing the likelihood of a lengthy suspension from the NFL.
- 1:16:18Speaker 2: But these cases have been handled all over the map.
- 1:16:20Speaker 2: In many instances, the player and the victim reach an
- 1:16:26Speaker 2: accommodation out of court and the charges get dropped because
- 1:16:29Speaker 2: the victim no longer cooperates. If that happens, would it
- 1:16:34Speaker 2: impact any NFL action with regard to Jacobs? Again, none
- 1:16:39Speaker 2: of this we know. We also don't know if it
- 1:16:40Speaker 2: is indeed a true allegation. I don't know. There are
- 1:16:44Speaker 2: almost no specifics here at all, And again, there may
- 1:16:47Speaker 2: be by the time you hear this, but I haven't
- 1:16:49Speaker 2: seen a specific criminal complaint that describes exactly how any
- 1:16:53Speaker 2: of it occurred. But the allegations he faces are obviously
- 1:16:58Speaker 2: serious that some of these terms battery, that's a very
- 1:17:02Speaker 2: broad category. Is this beating the hell out of someone?
- 1:17:06Speaker 2: Or is it shoving them around? Again, don't know. Is
- 1:17:09Speaker 2: it a push or is it a smack, the strangulation
- 1:17:13Speaker 2: of suffocation, there are different degrees of that. We just
- 1:17:17Speaker 2: don't know the answer to that. I think Jacobs has
- 1:17:20Speaker 2: struck most people as being a pretty decent and a
- 1:17:22Speaker 2: good guy, but when you get involved in these situations,
- 1:17:27Speaker 2: we also don't know, at least I don't at this point.
- 1:17:30Speaker 2: Don't know if the victim is someone that he has
- 1:17:32Speaker 2: had a known long term relationship with or is it
- 1:17:36Speaker 2: somebody that he met that night. And again, the denial
- 1:17:39Speaker 2: that came from the lawyer a very very strong terms,
- 1:17:41Speaker 2: total denial, But there aren't any specifics about the incident
- 1:17:49Speaker 2: or a specific kind of explanation by Jacob's as to
- 1:17:52Speaker 2: what occurred. If the case does go forward, which means
- 1:17:55Speaker 2: that the victim has to continue to cooperate, and as
- 1:17:57Speaker 2: we all know, in many of these cases they sop
- 1:17:59Speaker 2: uh operating often because a settlement has been reached. Just
- 1:18:03Speaker 2: don't know how it's going to play itself out. Not
- 1:18:08Speaker 2: another story. The Milwaukee Brewers are playing very, very well.
- 1:18:13Speaker 2: The Brewers manager is everybody loves Pat Murphy. I think
- 1:18:19Speaker 2: in part because of this. The Brewers on Tuesday night
- 1:18:23Speaker 2: beat the Saint Louis Cardinals behind yet another strong pitching performance,
- 1:18:26Speaker 2: this one from Kyle Harrison, and I think it's possible
- 1:18:30Speaker 2: that trade is going to go down. It's the best
- 1:18:31Speaker 2: trade in the history of the Milwaukee Brewers. It's possible.
- 1:18:35Speaker 2: The Brewers got Kyle Harrison, Shane Grohan, who's also been
- 1:18:38Speaker 2: pitching very good, and David Hamilton at the moment is
- 1:18:41Speaker 2: the starting third baseman for a three bad third basemen.
- 1:18:45Speaker 2: The key man that they gave up was Caleb Durban,
- 1:18:47Speaker 2: who is just a disaster. Caleb appears to be a
- 1:18:53Speaker 2: one year wonder. He's hitting one sixty for Boston with
- 1:18:56Speaker 2: one home run, playing better as the other third basement
- 1:18:58Speaker 2: in the trade. Andrew Montis Stereo is now starting over
- 1:19:01Speaker 2: Durban in Boston. He's hitting around twoin fifty and they
- 1:19:05Speaker 2: threw in another third basement named Anthony Segler. So the
- 1:19:08Speaker 2: Brewers threw three cast off third basemen, and they got
- 1:19:11Speaker 2: one of the best pictures in baseball, and Kyle Harrison,
- 1:19:15Speaker 2: somebody who looks like he's going to be really good
- 1:19:17Speaker 2: in Shane Drohan, and at least a serviceable third basement
- 1:19:20Speaker 2: until they can get somebody better, and David Hamilton. Anyway,
- 1:19:23Speaker 2: Brewers won the game after your Rebay star Beef Fitcher
- 1:19:27Speaker 2: came in in the eighth intic. Now, apparently there was
- 1:19:30Speaker 2: some history to this which led to the incident. Urebae
- 1:19:35Speaker 2: allowed a couple of runners to get on base with
- 1:19:37Speaker 2: a couple of outs, and then he struck out the
- 1:19:39Speaker 2: final guy to retire the side. And after he struck
- 1:19:42Speaker 2: him out. For those of you who don't know your Rebay,
- 1:19:45Speaker 2: I've just sat in watching, I think he's nuts. I
- 1:19:47Speaker 2: just think he's nuts, but kind of nuts in a
- 1:19:48Speaker 2: good way. Some relievers are crazy, and your Rebay has this.
- 1:19:52Speaker 2: He's very flamboyant out there in the mound, the way
- 1:19:55Speaker 2: that he holds his glove in some of the histriotics
- 1:19:58Speaker 2: that he has, he's flamboyant. He also is one of
- 1:20:02Speaker 2: these guys that celebrates a lot after it. Oue, well,
- 1:20:04Speaker 2: in this instance he did. It's described as a WWE
- 1:20:10Speaker 2: like crotch what did they call it? A crotch a
- 1:20:16Speaker 2: crotch dagger, So I guess he like what he went to.
- 1:20:19Speaker 2: He's kind of moving toward his crotch, throwing and shoving
- 1:20:22Speaker 2: his hands towards his crotch, and it's one of those
- 1:20:26Speaker 2: things that you see some people do. The manager of
- 1:20:29Speaker 2: the Brewers, Pat Murphy, ripped him after the game, saying
- 1:20:32Speaker 2: he can't stand it. He said that Urebae embarrassed himself
- 1:20:36Speaker 2: and embarrassed the team. A few hours later, Urebe apologize
- 1:20:41Speaker 2: said he shouldn't have done it. The first of all,
- 1:20:44Speaker 2: there aren't many managers who will call out their player
- 1:20:46Speaker 2: for doing something like this after the player actually was successful.
- 1:20:50Speaker 2: But Murphy's really old school. He's one of these guys
- 1:20:53Speaker 2: who's willing to say that somebody made a jackass out
- 1:20:55Speaker 2: of himself, and he said that's what Uibe did. Uribe
- 1:20:59Speaker 2: did say, however, that there was some history to this,
- 1:21:01Speaker 2: and I just figured that there had to be because
- 1:21:03Speaker 2: I've never seen your rebay do this. He usually does
- 1:21:05Speaker 2: the fist pump and puts his hand into his glove
- 1:21:07Speaker 2: and so on. I've never seen him like jumping around,
- 1:21:09Speaker 2: grabbing the crotch or anything like that, Ureba said. Prior
- 1:21:13Speaker 2: to the game, the Cardinals manager Carlos marmald got it
- 1:21:17Speaker 2: into it with some Brewers and was gesturing for players
- 1:21:19Speaker 2: before the game, implying that he was going to throw
- 1:21:22Speaker 2: at their heads. The Brewer Cardinal rivalry is one that's
- 1:21:27Speaker 2: had a fair amount of history to it. Now, I
- 1:21:30Speaker 2: don't know if that's true or not. And Murphy said
- 1:21:33Speaker 2: he wasn't sure about it, but but your rebay said
- 1:21:35Speaker 2: it happened, and I'm going to take care of it
- 1:21:37Speaker 2: and defend my guys. There was also a situation where
- 1:21:41Speaker 2: somebody had a pitch thrown close to their head in baseball.
- 1:21:44Speaker 2: Now you're just and part of it is everybody throws
- 1:21:47Speaker 2: harder than they used to. But throwing at somebody's head
- 1:21:50Speaker 2: and brushing somebody back used to be part of the game,
- 1:21:53Speaker 2: and now people take incredible offense at it and so on.
- 1:21:56Speaker 2: But you learn a lot about Pat Murphy by the
- 1:21:59Speaker 2: fact that he's not going to tolerate guys doing something
- 1:22:01Speaker 2: like this. And Yurebe apologized as I do this program.
- 1:22:06Speaker 2: The Chicago Cubs have now lost ten games in a row.
- 1:22:11Speaker 2: The Cubs have played exactly one third of their season.
- 1:22:16Speaker 2: It is almost mathematically impossible for this to be true,
- 1:22:19Speaker 2: but it is. In one third of a season, the
- 1:22:22Speaker 2: Cubs have had two ten game winning streaks and one
- 1:22:28Speaker 2: ten game losing streak. First of all, it's just hard
- 1:22:31Speaker 2: to win or lose that many games in a row anyway. Secondly,
- 1:22:34Speaker 2: they're doing it over a universe of only fifty four games.
- 1:22:37Speaker 2: But third late, if you're good enough to win ten
- 1:22:40Speaker 2: in a row twice, you wouldn't think it's possible you
- 1:22:42Speaker 2: could be bad enough to lose ten in a row.
- 1:22:44Speaker 2: Only a few weeks later, they've gone from first place
- 1:22:48Speaker 2: to last place, and the losing streak now is. I
- 1:22:50Speaker 2: do this podcast and Wednesday afternoon stands at ten. I
- 1:22:54Speaker 2: have a suggestion, though, I believe if the Cubs lose
- 1:23:00Speaker 2: two more games, all their stupid fans have to come
- 1:23:03Speaker 2: to Wisconsin and buy us Hamburgers. I suppose they'll make
- 1:23:09Speaker 2: them white castles. We have our promotion that if the
- 1:23:11Speaker 2: Brewers ever win twelve in a row, we get free
- 1:23:13Speaker 2: Hamburgers from George Webb. So if the Cubs lose twelve
- 1:23:16Speaker 2: in a row, I think that they have to come
- 1:23:17Speaker 2: up here in give us Hamburgers. Having said that, that
- 1:23:20Speaker 2: probably means that the streak is going to end tonight,
- 1:23:22Speaker 2: and I put a reverse jinx of the Cubs in
- 1:23:26Speaker 2: they'll come around and win if they don't start winning.
- 1:23:29Speaker 2: I do wonder if Craig Council is in trouble down there.
- 1:23:33Speaker 2: There's a lot of complaining from their fans about Council,
- 1:23:37Speaker 2: who is the highest paid manager in Major League Baseball history,
- 1:23:40Speaker 2: infuriated Brewer fans when he left the Brewers to take
- 1:23:43Speaker 2: a forty million dollar contract over five years with the Cubs.
- 1:23:47Speaker 2: It turned out to be one of those things that
- 1:23:49Speaker 2: was a blessing in disguise. I mean, Brewer fans love Murphy.
- 1:23:52Speaker 2: The Brewers have been better since Council has go on.
- 1:23:55Speaker 2: I'm open to the possibility that the success that Craig
- 1:23:58Speaker 2: had at Milwaukee was because he was getting a lot
- 1:24:02Speaker 2: of input from Pat Murphy. When Council was hired, the
- 1:24:05Speaker 2: first thing that he did is he hired Murphy to
- 1:24:06Speaker 2: be a dugout coach. Council's gone, the Brewers are better.
- 1:24:11Speaker 2: He's gone to the Cubs and I'm not saying they've
- 1:24:13Speaker 2: been bad. They got off to a spectacular start this season.
- 1:24:16Speaker 2: They were a playoff caliber team last year. We played
- 1:24:19Speaker 2: him in the playoffs, played him in the postseason. They
- 1:24:21Speaker 2: haven't been bad, but there's a lot of grumbling out there,
- 1:24:24Speaker 2: and when a team hits these bad losing streaks, often
- 1:24:27Speaker 2: managers get fired. However, it would mean that the Cubs
- 1:24:31Speaker 2: would be on the hook. Unless there's a biote written
- 1:24:33Speaker 2: into Craig's contract, they'd be on the hook for twenty
- 1:24:36Speaker 2: million dollars. That's a lot to eat for a player,
- 1:24:39Speaker 2: but to eat for a manager. Now again, with the
- 1:24:43Speaker 2: buyot might mean that he doesn't get the full amount
- 1:24:45Speaker 2: of money, but he's got a forty million dollars five
- 1:24:49Speaker 2: year deal and he's one third of the way through
- 1:24:51Speaker 2: the third year, so he's made about eighteen of the
- 1:24:54Speaker 2: forty million so far. If they got rid of him,
- 1:24:56Speaker 2: does that mean that the Cubs he'd have to pay
- 1:24:57Speaker 2: twenty two million or is it simply that they would
- 1:25:01Speaker 2: never do that without regard to the dissatisfaction. It's also
- 1:25:04Speaker 2: possible to comes turn things around, but it's just weird.
- 1:25:08Speaker 2: They started the season twenty and three and they're now
- 1:25:11Speaker 2: twenty nine and twenty six. The Brewer is back in
- 1:25:15Speaker 2: the They had the year. What year was that we
- 1:25:18Speaker 2: called the team streak. It was the year that they
- 1:25:21Speaker 2: opened the season with twelve wins in a row. They
- 1:25:24Speaker 2: won that Easter Sunday game with the two home runs
- 1:25:26Speaker 2: and the ninth inning, then one another one. They actually
- 1:25:28Speaker 2: won thirteen games to start the season and they lost
- 1:25:32Speaker 2: twelve later on in the season. That was the same
- 1:25:35Speaker 2: year that Paul Mallader had this really long what was it,
- 1:25:37Speaker 2: thirty seven thirty nine games matter had a hitting streak
- 1:25:40Speaker 2: that was called team streaks, and the Brewers in one
- 1:25:42Speaker 2: year had a really long winning streak and a really
- 1:25:44Speaker 2: long losing streak. But the Cubs have had two long
- 1:25:47Speaker 2: winning streaks, one long losing streak, and we're only one
- 1:25:50Speaker 2: third of the way through the year. That's it for
- 1:25:53Speaker 2: today's podcast. Remember our schedule this Monday, Wednesday, and Thursday,
- 1:25:56Speaker 2: so I'm going to crank out another one, the weekend
- 1:25:58Speaker 2: big one at least sometime on Thursday. Talk to you soon.
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- 1:26:10Speaker 1: and engineering by Jason Gotch. The Markbelling Podcast is presented
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- 1:26:21Speaker 1: Listen to all of Mark's podcasts, always available on the
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