Latest / Winning Cures Everything | College Football / Week 4 Recap: Florida crushes Ole Miss, Big Ten Upsets, Injuries and a Best Bets recap!
Transcript
- 0:01Speaker 1: Well, my friends, Saturday was a Saturday. That's right. That's right.
- 0:07Speaker 1: I have checked my bet slip three different times just
- 0:09Speaker 1: to make sure it's real. Things went really well for us.
- 0:12Speaker 1: Nine and three on the best bets that you can
- 0:15Speaker 1: get over at buymeacoffee.com slash winningcures. Last week went six
- 0:19Speaker 1: and two. That is 15 and five over the last
- 0:23Speaker 1: two weeks. Not too shabby. We're not doing so bad
- 0:28Speaker 1: right now. 29 and 10. against the spread on the season. Now,
- 0:32Speaker 1: it's not going to stay like that. Obviously, books will adjust, etc.
- 0:37Speaker 1: But we got some things figured out. Now, we're still
- 0:41Speaker 1: figuring out other things. But my goodness, Iowa, the most
- 0:47Speaker 1: punt-happy program in America, went in the big house on
- 0:52Speaker 1: the last snap of the game. We had Wisconsin. It
- 0:55Speaker 1: was down 17 in Happy Valley. They walked out with
- 0:57Speaker 1: a win. We had Minnesota go all the way out
- 1:00Speaker 1: to Seattle late night, 10 p.m. Central. And they took
- 1:05Speaker 1: one away from Washington. Florida hung 52 on the fourth-ranked
- 1:09Speaker 1: team in the country. And my goodness, my goodness, again,
- 1:16Speaker 1: what an incredible betting weekend. Can you believe it? It's football.
- 1:22Speaker 1: I've been watching it for 40 years. Are you kidding me?
- 1:26Speaker 1: You're listening to Winning Cures Everything. Game day, baby. Wake
- 1:30Speaker 1: up or get out. Here's your host. A confident young man.
- 1:34Speaker 1: A superb athlete. Gary Segers. Welcome in. Winning Cures Everything.
- 1:44Speaker 1: This is a college football podcast. I'm your host, Gary Segers,
- 1:47Speaker 1: at GaryWCE on all the different socials. Follow us, of course,
- 1:51Speaker 1: on YouTube. Follow us right here or subscribe to us
- 1:55Speaker 1: right here on the podcast, if you would so kindly.
- 1:57Speaker 1: And leave a nice five-star written review. Apple, Spotify, whatever
- 2:02Speaker 1: your favorite podcast app might be. That would certainly help
- 2:06Speaker 1: things out as far as algorithms go. And, yeah. Boy,
- 2:11Speaker 1: that was a week four, wasn't it? That was pretty good. And, like...
- 2:17Speaker 1: This is such a good season so far. And it's
- 2:19Speaker 1: not just because of the betting. It's just, overall, the
- 2:23Speaker 1: sport as a whole is kind of crazy. Things are
- 2:27Speaker 1: a little bit wild. Let's talk big picture first. I
- 2:30Speaker 1: tracked the ten biggest games on the board. The Dogs
- 2:32Speaker 1: and the Favorites split it right down the middle. Five
- 2:34Speaker 1: and five. Three of those Dogs didn't just cover. They
- 2:37Speaker 1: won outright. That was Iowa, Wisconsin, and Minnesota, who I
- 2:39Speaker 1: mentioned earlier. Totals leaned over. Six to four. Two of
- 2:42Speaker 1: them were decided by half a point. Iowa, Michigan went
- 2:46Speaker 1: Over 38.5 by exactly half a point. It happened on
- 2:48Speaker 1: the final snap of the game. Penn State, Wisconsin stayed
- 2:51Speaker 1: under 44.5 by that same half point. Let's talk about
- 2:55Speaker 1: the market. Indiana opened a 22.5 point favorite at home
- 3:01Speaker 1: against Northwestern. Number came down to about 20.5. Money on
- 3:05Speaker 1: the Wildcats there. And the Wildcats didn't just cover. I mean,
- 3:08Speaker 1: that was a game right down to the wire. Down
- 3:10Speaker 1: in Gainesville, Action Network had 85% of the early tickets
- 3:15Speaker 1: on Ole Miss. 85? I mean, I felt like people
- 3:18Speaker 1: were smarter than this. The numbers still never moved towards
- 3:22Speaker 1: the Rebels. When the public is all on one side
- 3:24Speaker 1: and the line won't budge, the books are telling you something.
- 3:26Speaker 1: Florida ended up winning that thing by 24. As far
- 3:29Speaker 1: as last place swings, I mean, bless your heart if
- 3:32Speaker 1: you were holding a Michigan ticket. We had a Hail
- 3:34Speaker 1: Mary knockdown in Knoxville, another one knocked down in Starkville,
- 3:37Speaker 1: one that sailed out of the back of the end
- 3:38Speaker 1: zone in State College. Like, college football did not care
- 3:42Speaker 1: about your blood pressure this weekend. All right, let's get
- 3:44Speaker 1: into the games. We're going to start off in Knoxville.
- 3:47Speaker 1: Number one, Texas at number 14, Tennessee. It was the
- 3:49Speaker 1: first time these two have ever played on a campus. 101,000
- 3:53Speaker 1: people in the building. The president of the United States
- 3:56Speaker 1: was in the house. And, I mean, this game looked
- 4:00Speaker 1: like two heavyweights who both forgot how to throw a punch.
- 4:03Speaker 1: Texas was laying five and a half. Tennessee covered. Total
- 4:08Speaker 1: was 57 and a half. They scored 37. I mean,
- 4:11Speaker 1: that under was never sweating at all. The story is
- 4:15Speaker 1: the line of scrimmage, right? I mean, it was ugly
- 4:18Speaker 1: for the Vols. Tennessee ran it 54 times for 70 yards.
- 4:23Speaker 1: Freshman quarterback Faison Brandon, he got sacked 10 times. And
- 4:27Speaker 1: five of those were Colin Simmons. I mean, he just,
- 4:31Speaker 1: Simmons was living in the backfield. Like, he should have
- 4:34Speaker 1: been paying rent back there. Now, to be fair, you know,
- 4:37Speaker 1: Tennessee's defense did show up. They held Texas to 61
- 4:41Speaker 1: yards rushing with six sacks. They had 10 tackles for loss.
- 4:45Speaker 1: I mean, good gracious. Brandon, he took a shot on
- 4:47Speaker 1: a designed run in the second quarter, went straight to
- 4:50Speaker 1: the medical tent, holding on to that shoulder. George McIntyre
- 4:53Speaker 1: ran one series, and then Brandon did come back. Heupel
- 4:56Speaker 1: said after the game he was cleared, he felt healthy
- 4:58Speaker 1: and ready to play. And, yeah, I mean, he looked
- 5:01Speaker 1: good on that last drive right before the onside kick, right?
- 5:06Speaker 1: Texas did finally put this thing away with a 60-yard drive.
- 5:08Speaker 1: They went up 20-10 with under six minutes left, and
- 5:11Speaker 1: the defense had problems. I mean, good gracious. Brandon found
- 5:17Speaker 1: Mike Matthews for a 30-yard touchdown with like a minute
- 5:19Speaker 1: 22 to go. They recovered the onside kick. That stadium
- 5:23Speaker 1: went absolutely bonkers. And then they couldn't figure out what
- 5:27Speaker 1: they were going to do on offense. They just could
- 5:30Speaker 1: not get it moving. It came down to a Hail Mary.
- 5:33Speaker 1: It fell incomplete. You know, my show pick was Tennessee
- 5:36Speaker 1: minus five and a half. Or sorry, Texas minus five
- 5:38Speaker 1: and a half. Obviously a loss. I feel like the
- 5:41Speaker 1: read was right on who was going to win the game. But,
- 5:45Speaker 1: of course, I didn't think that Texas was going to
- 5:47Speaker 1: continue their road woes. They are now 0-6 against the
- 5:49Speaker 1: spread in their last six on the road, which is
- 5:52Speaker 1: not good. Like, not good at all. Number was just
- 5:58Speaker 1: too big for a Texas offense that is winning ugly
- 6:01Speaker 1: right now. Going forward, Texas is 4-0. Nobody's afraid of
- 6:05Speaker 1: them yet. Like, Tennessee's got Auburn coming to town next week.
- 6:08Speaker 1: And even with Auburn, who is not great on defense,
- 6:13Speaker 1: I mean, they're They're okay, but they ain't great. Every
- 6:19Speaker 1: snap that Brandon takes behind that offensive line is going
- 6:21Speaker 1: to be an adventure until they get it fixed. Every
- 6:23Speaker 1: one of them. All right, next one up, y'all know
- 6:28Speaker 1: the Iowa brand. Punt, play defense, kick a field goal,
- 6:32Speaker 1: go home. You know, punting is almost a love language
- 6:37Speaker 1: in Iowa City. So when Kirk Ferentz, who is down
- 6:40Speaker 1: five with two and a half minutes left, sends out
- 6:42Speaker 1: his kicker for a 51-yarder on a fourth and six
- 6:45Speaker 1: I mean, that is the most Iowa decision since the
- 6:47Speaker 1: invention of corn. And, of course, it missed. Wide right.
- 6:52Speaker 1: Michigan ball. Like, you would think game is over at
- 6:55Speaker 1: that point, right? But, no, Michigan ended up punting it back.
- 6:59Speaker 1: Iowa gets the ball at their own nine with about
- 7:00Speaker 1: a minute 40 and one timeout. And on third and 12,
- 7:05Speaker 1: the pass falls incomplete. Michigan corner Zeke Berry gave a
- 7:08Speaker 1: late shove out of bounds. Unnecessary roughness, 15 yards. The
- 7:12Speaker 1: drive is still alive. Two plays later, Hank Brown hits
- 7:15Speaker 1: Addison Ostringa. That was the kid's name, for 29 yards.
- 7:20Speaker 1: Final snap, two seconds on the clock. Brown finds Reese
- 7:23Speaker 1: Vanderzee in the corner. And, you know, 16 yards out,
- 7:28Speaker 1: he keeps his feet inbounds. Like, Iowa 20, Michigan 19. And,
- 7:34Speaker 1: I mean, obviously, like, this is some kind of poetic justice, right?
- 7:38Speaker 1: Same stadium, like, Michigan beats Western Michigan on a Hail
- 7:41Speaker 1: Mary game. officials put an extra second on the clock
- 7:45Speaker 1: this time Michigan found like they found out how it
- 7:47Speaker 1: feels on the other side betting wise Michigan was minus
- 7:51Speaker 1: five and a half Iowa was already covering by half
- 7:53Speaker 1: a point before the touchdown so Iowa plus the points
- 7:58Speaker 1: holders were fine but if you got Iowa at four
- 8:00Speaker 1: and a half which there were some people that had
- 8:05Speaker 1: that in the 33 before the touchdown. Under 38.5. Like
- 8:18Speaker 1: 39 ends up hitting over by half a point. I mean,
- 8:20Speaker 1: just crazy. And the stat that's going to make Michigan
- 8:23Speaker 1: fans just absolutely sick. The Wolverines offense was good. They
- 8:28Speaker 1: outgained Iowa 429 to 285. But they were 2 for
- 8:32Speaker 1: 4 in the red zone. They had 8 penalties for
- 8:34Speaker 1: 75 yards. Braden Jackson took a kickoff back 99 yards
- 8:38Speaker 1: right after Michigan's opening touchdown. And You know, you had
- 8:43Speaker 1: the Bryce Underwood pick at the Iowa 2-yard line. It
- 8:47Speaker 1: was such an Iowa win. Michigan had won 47 straight
- 8:51Speaker 1: games when leading at halftime. That was the longest active
- 8:54Speaker 1: streak in the country, and that thing's over now. It
- 8:57Speaker 1: was Iowa's first win at Michigan Stadium since 2010. Now,
- 9:01Speaker 1: my show pick was Iowa plus 5.5. That's a win.
- 9:04Speaker 1: I'm going to take it however it comes. Next week,
- 9:08Speaker 1: Iowa hosts Ohio State. It opened Buckeyes minus 14. That
- 9:13Speaker 1: is now down to 13.5, but I'm curious about this
- 9:16Speaker 1: being potentially an emotional letdown spot. I mean, we'll talk
- 9:21Speaker 1: about it on the show on Tuesday, but I don't know.
- 9:25Speaker 1: I think once you get to this point of the season,
- 9:28Speaker 1: Ole Miss certainly had an emotional letdown. I don't know
- 9:31Speaker 1: that this was an emotional letdown spot for Iowa. They're
- 9:35Speaker 1: coming back home playing the power-rated number one team in
- 9:40Speaker 1: the country. I'm very curious. Very, very curious. All right,
- 9:45Speaker 1: late-night Big Ten. Let's talk about late-night Big Ten. Oregon 41,
- 9:50Speaker 1: USC 27. And we'll talk about the serious stuff first.
- 9:55Speaker 1: Let's go on and get that out of the way.
- 9:57Speaker 1: Oregon quarterback Dante Moore, he slipped. at the end of
- 10:00Speaker 1: an 11-yard run in the second quarter. USC linebacker Desmond Stevens,
- 10:07Speaker 1: or Desmond Stevens II, excuse me, he hit him high.
- 10:11Speaker 1: Moore was strapped to a stretcher in a neck brace.
- 10:13Speaker 1: He was taken by ambulance to L.A. General. And per
- 10:17Speaker 1: Dan Lanning, Moore had movement in all of his extremities.
- 10:20Speaker 1: After the game, Lanning said he's in recovery. He has
- 10:23Speaker 1: the ability to move. Lanning also said it was a
- 10:26Speaker 1: very disgusting play. And, you know, obviously, T's and P's
- 10:31Speaker 1: for Dante Moore. Stevens was flagged for targeting. He was
- 10:36Speaker 1: ejected from the game. He was back on the USC
- 10:38Speaker 1: sideline in the second half. Lincoln Riley's, you know, his
- 10:41Speaker 1: explanation was he's on our football team. And, you know,
- 10:46Speaker 1: they have suspended him for the next game. And I
- 10:51Speaker 1: go back and forth on this stuff because, like, if
- 10:53Speaker 1: a quarterback is going to run, like, I understand sliding
- 10:56Speaker 1: and whatnot. I don't think it's as dirty as people
- 10:59Speaker 1: make it out to be. Going back and watching the film,
- 11:02Speaker 1: I don't feel like the guy, Stevens, understood that he
- 11:09Speaker 1: had just taken out Moore. I don't think he was
- 11:12Speaker 1: celebrating that. Like, I just, I don't know. I'll go
- 11:19Speaker 1: back and forth on this. If you're going to run
- 11:20Speaker 1: your quarterback, like, this stuff happens. So you've got to
- 11:24Speaker 1: be careful with it. You've got to be careful with it. So,
- 11:30Speaker 1: as far as the football goes, Dylan Rayola came in cold.
- 11:32Speaker 1: He threw for, what, 289 and two touchdowns? I mean,
- 11:36Speaker 1: that was awesome. USC erased a 10-point deficit. They tied
- 11:39Speaker 1: it with 12 minutes left, 27-27. Rayola marched the Ducks
- 11:43Speaker 1: right back down the field. for a DeCorean Moore touchdown.
- 11:47Speaker 1: And that was helped by USC. Like, I mean, they
- 11:53Speaker 1: got a penalty called on them, roughing the passer, I
- 11:57Speaker 1: believe it was. Like, just dumb stuff. Really dumb stuff
- 12:03Speaker 1: by USC. You know, then Oregon's defense stops USC on
- 12:07Speaker 1: downs at midfield, three straight incompletions. Oregon was minus one
- 12:12Speaker 1: and a half on my sheet. They covered by 12.5.
- 12:16Speaker 1: The total was 62.5. It went over with 68 points.
- 12:22Speaker 1: The over made sense. My show pick was USC plus 1.5.
- 12:30Speaker 1: That's a loss. I'll own it. I thought the USC
- 12:32Speaker 1: run game was going to get them home. Instead, Lanning
- 12:36Speaker 1: is now 3-0 against Riley. USC's defense under its third
- 12:41Speaker 1: coordinator looks just as bad as it did back in 2022.
- 12:46Speaker 1: I did not understand the vitriol that Lanning has for USC. Like,
- 12:53Speaker 1: they get up for that game. Lanning, the stuff he
- 12:56Speaker 1: was talking after the game, and I don't think it
- 12:58Speaker 1: just had to do with the hit. I think it
- 13:00Speaker 1: was just overall, like, his thoughts on Lincoln Riley and
- 13:04Speaker 1: Riley running like a soft program and stuff. Him making
- 13:08Speaker 1: recruiting pitches and whatnot, I mean, it was crazy. Oregon
- 13:12Speaker 1: gets a bye next week. I mean, desperately needs one.
- 13:15Speaker 1: To get more evaluated. But I mean, that team played
- 13:18Speaker 1: better with Rayola. But Oregon gets UCLA next. And oh boy.
- 13:24Speaker 1: We're not really going to talk much about UCLA, but wow.
- 13:27Speaker 1: They look good against Maryland. For sure. USC, they get
- 13:30Speaker 1: Washington next week. And Washington was rough. Very rough. Last
- 13:38Speaker 1: tier one game was ranked on ranked matchup. We'll go
- 13:42Speaker 1: to Starkville for this one. And I can still hear
- 13:47Speaker 1: the cowbells. Mississippi State was minus 3.5. They won by 7.
- 13:52Speaker 1: It opened 3.5. It closed 6, I think. Maybe 5.5.
- 13:54Speaker 1: There was some late Missouri love. Total was 58.5. Finished
- 13:56Speaker 1: at 55. The pick went under. Total went under. There
- 13:58Speaker 1: we go. Show pick was state minus 3.5. That one cashed.
- 14:16Speaker 1: Camario Taylor is a problem. I mean, he is awesome.
- 14:20Speaker 1: 27 of 38, 363 touchdowns. That includes a 43-yarder to Magie,
- 14:27Speaker 1: or Magie, whatever. A fake draw jump pass to Fluff
- 14:30Speaker 1: Bothwell that looked like, you know, something off of a
- 14:33Speaker 1: backyard playground. And then the game winner, which was a
- 14:36Speaker 1: 24-yard touchdown to Magie with how much time was left? 357?
- 14:45Speaker 1: They were down by seven and then scored two touchdown
- 14:49Speaker 1: drives just like that. Just boom, boom. Very quick. And
- 14:54Speaker 1: they look good. Mississippi State looks like a real, real
- 14:59Speaker 1: football team. Bothwell had 122 on the ground. He got
- 15:03Speaker 1: six more balls. The State was up 14-0 after one quarter.
- 15:08Speaker 1: And then Missouri... It scored 24 of the next 31.
- 15:16Speaker 1: Caden Lee, who was a Mississippi kid, went for, let's see,
- 15:20Speaker 1: 156 yards and two touchdowns. Mizzou led 24-17 going into
- 15:25Speaker 1: the fourth. A lot of state teams in the past
- 15:27Speaker 1: would have folded right there. Like, this one closed on
- 15:31Speaker 1: a 14-0 run. A 14-play tying drive, a stop, and
- 15:35Speaker 1: then they had the dagger. State outgained Missouri 499-414. The
- 15:40Speaker 1: only turnover in the game was a state interception. And
- 15:43Speaker 1: in the end, Missouri got a Hail Mary from the 38.
- 15:48Speaker 1: And the corner, Kelly Jones knocked it down. Missouri, there
- 15:53Speaker 1: was no sense of urgency at all. The thing that
- 15:57Speaker 1: cracks me up about some of these quarterbacks are really,
- 15:59Speaker 1: really good. Their sense of awareness is non-existent. Austin Simmons,
- 16:05Speaker 1: he can throw every pass there is to throw. But man,
- 16:11Speaker 1: when you get into crunch time, it is... Just, you
- 16:15Speaker 1: don't know what planet these guys are on. It's really weird.
- 16:18Speaker 1: So State, 4-0, 2-0 in the SEC. And, of course,
- 16:23Speaker 1: Alabama coming to Starkville next week. Tide opened minus, let's see,
- 16:29Speaker 1: minus 3. Jumped up to 4.5. I think it's all
- 16:33Speaker 1: the way out at like 5.5 now. I mean, just wild.
- 16:36Speaker 1: So ring your cowbells, everybody. This is going to be
- 16:39Speaker 1: a fun, fun game kicking off at 11 a.m. Central.
- 16:43Speaker 1: on Saturday for week five. I'm excited about it. All right,
- 16:47Speaker 1: let's go over some of these tier two games. Wisconsin 24,
- 16:51Speaker 1: Penn State 20. Penn State was minus nine and a
- 16:53Speaker 1: half at home. Obviously, they lose outright. Wisconsin, it was,
- 16:57Speaker 1: they were down by 17 at one point in this game,
- 17:01Speaker 1: and it didn't look great. It wasn't good. Like Penn State,
- 17:09Speaker 1: the The way that they lost that game, that 72-yard
- 17:12Speaker 1: catch and run by the tight end, Jacob Harris, was insane. Like,
- 17:20Speaker 1: just every time I think about it, it cracks me up.
- 17:23Speaker 1: That is not going to cut it. Like, at all.
- 17:25Speaker 1: It's Wisconsin's first win in state college since 2003. My
- 17:29Speaker 1: show pick was Penn State. That's a loss. I should
- 17:31Speaker 1: have paid attention to the Matt Campbell trends. He does
- 17:33Speaker 1: not do well as a favorite. And now, next up,
- 17:37Speaker 1: Penn State has to go to Northwestern on Friday night.
- 17:39Speaker 1: for the opening of Northwestern's brand new stadium. And y'all,
- 17:46Speaker 1: I have seen pictures. Obviously, my boys in Westlaw Pirates. Yeah,
- 17:50Speaker 1: doing good things. I'm telling you, that place is going
- 17:54Speaker 1: to be wild. Absolutely wild. Speaking of wild, LSU 35,
- 17:59Speaker 1: A & M 6. LSU minus 7.5. They covered by 21.5.
- 18:00Speaker 1: Well under... The 53.5 total. Sam Levitt threw for 312.
- 18:10Speaker 1: Jackson Harris had 163 and 2 scores. Blake Baker's defense,
- 18:14Speaker 1: like Marcel Reed, never had a chance in here. 10
- 18:16Speaker 1: of 26 for 106. Lane Kevin's first SEC win at LSU.
- 18:22Speaker 1: It was a week after his old team beat him.
- 18:24Speaker 1: And so, show pick was LSU. Cashed on that one.
- 18:27Speaker 1: Florida 52, Ole Miss 28. This was my number one
- 18:30Speaker 1: best bet on the card. Also a show pick win.
- 18:34Speaker 1: 17-14 in the third quarter, Florida scored touchdowns on five
- 18:37Speaker 1: straight drives. Jaden Ball ran for 142 in three touchdowns.
- 18:41Speaker 1: He is the first Gator running back to reach 10
- 18:44Speaker 1: touchdowns through four games. Duke Clark also went for 100.
- 18:49Speaker 1: Not too shabby. Jaden Woods had a strip sack on
- 18:52Speaker 1: Trinidad Chambliss. Yeah, really good stuff. Really good stuff. Ole
- 19:00Speaker 1: Miss beat Lane Kiffin last week. And they swore it
- 19:05Speaker 1: was not their Super Bowl. But, man, it sure looked
- 19:08Speaker 1: like it because they just didn't look good in that
- 19:11Speaker 1: first half, 17-6. Came down, scored a touchdown, and Florida just,
- 19:17Speaker 1: I mean, opened a can on these guys. And speaking
- 19:21Speaker 1: of opening a can, Georgia 41, Oklahoma 13, Georgia minus 13.5,
- 19:23Speaker 1: covered easily. The total went over 54. Georgia led 28-0
- 19:25Speaker 1: at halftime. on 24 offensive plays. John Mateer turned it
- 19:36Speaker 1: over three times in the first half. Chris Cole took
- 19:39Speaker 1: one of those fumbles 85 yards to the house. But,
- 19:44Speaker 1: you know, your note to pay attention to, Georgia won
- 19:48Speaker 1: the battle, the offensive yardage battle, by only about 10 yards.
- 19:56Speaker 1: So that's something to pay attention to. Very, very interesting.
- 20:02Speaker 1: Stockton went 4 of 13 after halftime. Kirby wasn't happy
- 20:06Speaker 1: about the second half. I did pick Georgia on the show.
- 20:10Speaker 1: That one cashed, obviously. Oklahoma just has major offensive issues.
- 20:17Speaker 1: There's reports that they were talking about benching John Mateer
- 20:20Speaker 1: at the half. And, I mean, at some point you've
- 20:24Speaker 1: got to see what else you've got back there. I
- 20:26Speaker 1: know that they paid Mateer a lot of money, and
- 20:29Speaker 1: obviously he thought he was coming back healthy and whatnot.
- 20:35Speaker 1: He don't look anything like the guy that started off
- 20:37Speaker 1: last season. So that injury that he took last year,
- 20:43Speaker 1: I'm curious what it did to him mentally. That's what
- 20:46Speaker 1: I'm curious about. Friday night game, Indiana 29-23. Indiana was
- 20:51Speaker 1: minus 20.5. Northwestern covered easily. The over did hit in
- 20:55Speaker 1: this one. Northwestern had minus 5 rushing yards at halftime,
- 21:00Speaker 1: and Chip Kelly decided to turn Aiden Childs loose. He
- 21:03Speaker 1: went 22-29 for 293 plus a rushing touchdown. Indiana lost
- 21:08Speaker 1: their running back, Turbo Richard, to a lower leg injury.
- 21:10Speaker 1: It looked like it was a high ankle sprain, I'm
- 21:13Speaker 1: going to guess. And Lee Beebe Jr. picked up 293
- 21:17Speaker 1: yards in relief. The 20-game win streak lives on, barely.
- 21:23Speaker 1: My show pick was Indiana. I thought they would open
- 21:27Speaker 1: things up here. Obviously, that was a loss. Minnesota 27,
- 21:30Speaker 1: Washington 24. This was the late game, the 10 o'clock
- 21:35Speaker 1: game on Fox, and Washington was minus 10 in this one.
- 21:39Speaker 1: And Minnesota won outright. I did not expect that. Drake
- 21:41Speaker 1: Lindsey started 15 of 16 with three first-half touchdowns. Gophers
- 21:45Speaker 1: had seven sacks. I mean, seven sacks. Like, good gracious.
- 21:50Speaker 1: They held Washington to 40 yards rushing and one of
- 21:53Speaker 1: 10 on third down. They did it without their top
- 21:56Speaker 1: two centers. Like, that is ridiculous. And a note for
- 22:01Speaker 1: the undercrowd, at 27... to 17. That game was under 46.5.
- 22:07Speaker 1: Washington's late touchdown made it 51. Over. Like, good gracious.
- 22:12Speaker 1: My show pick was Washington. That's a loss. Like, is
- 22:16Speaker 1: what it is. So, let's do some rapid fire, some
- 22:19Speaker 1: quick hits. Ohio State 42, Illinois 19. Buckeyes minus 27.5.
- 22:24Speaker 1: Illinois covered, but Illinois has now fired their defensive coordinator,
- 22:27Speaker 1: Bobby Hawk, who used to be the Montana head coach.
- 22:32Speaker 1: And had never been a defensive coordinator before. So, yeah.
- 22:39Speaker 1: Four games in, and they go on and drop him.
- 22:41Speaker 1: His contract was, like, they guaranteed him $ 1. 5 million. Well,
- 22:46Speaker 1: his base salary at Montana was, like, $ 2. 65. So this
- 22:50Speaker 1: was kind of a retirement gig anyway. Still, like, I
- 22:56Speaker 1: don't feel like that game was ever in doubt. Never
- 22:59Speaker 1: in doubt. UCF beat TCU outright 21 to 13. My
- 23:02Speaker 1: show pig hit. Um, yes, their backup quarterback was playing. No,
- 23:08Speaker 1: it didn't matter. I don't trust TCU with nothing. Um,
- 23:13Speaker 1: Oklahoma state over West Virginia, 41 to 24. I was
- 23:17Speaker 1: so off on that. I mean, so off, uh, Oklahoma
- 23:21Speaker 1: state put up over 600 yards of offense, like just insane. I,
- 23:26Speaker 1: I thought West Virginia was going to be able to
- 23:27Speaker 1: run it on Oklahoma state. Uh, Very incorrect. Morgantown was
- 23:32Speaker 1: not a problem for Eric Morris and company. Notre Dame 49,
- 23:36Speaker 1: Purdue 10. Notre Dame covered the minus 27.5. Show pick
- 23:40Speaker 1: hit on that one. Clemson 24, Cal 10 on Friday.
- 23:45Speaker 1: That Cal coaching staff looks atrocious. I mean, so bad.
- 23:51Speaker 1: I think everybody kind of knew that Tosh LaBoy needed
- 23:55Speaker 1: to have strong defense coaches around him, like analytical, schematic
- 24:02Speaker 1: coaches around him. Because he can recruit. He can go
- 24:06Speaker 1: get your guys. The problem is that I don't know
- 24:12Speaker 1: that he's great on the board. Never has been. So,
- 24:18Speaker 1: you know, it is what it is. As far as
- 24:20Speaker 1: the late night block, Stanford 34, Georgia Tech 27. Georgia Tech,
- 24:27Speaker 1: I mean, it ain't good. Things ain't good down in Atlanta.
- 24:30Speaker 1: Just gracious. Air Force 36, Nevada 33. I know Coach
- 24:39Speaker 1: Biggs was big on Air Force and ended up having
- 24:43Speaker 1: to go to overtime. They were up 27-17. Nevada scores
- 24:46Speaker 1: two late scores to send it to overtime. Yeah. Just ridiculous.
- 24:52Speaker 1: Fresno 38, Rice 24. Arizona went late into Pullman and
- 24:58Speaker 1: They beat Wazoo 34-24. They were down not big, but
- 25:02Speaker 1: big enough early in that one and found a way
- 25:05Speaker 1: to come back and get the W. So Arizona looks
- 25:08Speaker 1: pretty good. As far as the best bets recap, let's
- 25:12Speaker 1: talk about this. The official card that was on Buy
- 25:14Speaker 1: Me a Coffee. Went 9-3, plus 5.48 units on 11.5 risk. 29-10. 29-10-1,
- 25:28Speaker 1: I think, is the official on straight bets. I graded
- 25:35Speaker 1: every bet on a 10-point scale. I'm going to start
- 25:37Speaker 1: doing this every week. Market value, pregame case, like how
- 25:40Speaker 1: the game actually played out, process, and then the result.
- 25:43Speaker 1: The result is only 1 point out of 10 on purpose.
- 25:46Speaker 1: The best bet was Florida minus 1.5. Like, that thing
- 25:50Speaker 1: scored a 9.5. Letdown spot was there before kickoff. The
- 25:54Speaker 1: public was on Ole Miss. Every number I found during
- 25:56Speaker 1: the week was worse than mine. And then Florida ran
- 25:59Speaker 1: for 300 yards. Alabama team total over 33.5. I scored
- 26:05Speaker 1: that one a 9.4. It was over by halftime. 35-3
- 26:09Speaker 1: in the second quarter. So that thing had already covered before.
- 26:14Speaker 1: I love rocking chair winners. I love that. Good gracious.
- 26:17Speaker 1: Notre Dame minus 27.5. I mean, 49-10. UCF plus 3.5 hit.
- 26:19Speaker 1: They won outright. Yeah. Just wild. FAU, minus 13.5 against
- 26:32Speaker 1: Louisiana Monroe. UMass team total. Georgia State, all comfortable winners.
- 26:37Speaker 1: I paid more on the Georgia State game, minus 126
- 26:41Speaker 1: on that one, to get the minus 9.5. I'm kind
- 26:43Speaker 1: of irritated at myself for that one, but I wanted
- 26:47Speaker 1: that half point. So, I mean, it is what it is. Kennesaw,
- 26:51Speaker 1: plus 6.5. That lost by 3, so they covered. Now, UConn,
- 26:56Speaker 1: plus 3.5, covered. I got plus 3.5 kind of early.
- 27:01Speaker 1: The market closed around 2.5, and UConn lost by 3.
- 27:07Speaker 1: So at 2.5, you lose. At 3.5, you win. That's
- 27:10Speaker 1: why closing line value matters. And it's why I bet
- 27:15Speaker 1: some of these games early, right? Now, if we're being honest,
- 27:19Speaker 1: UConn got outgained, Miami missed field goals, so the game
- 27:22Speaker 1: didn't exactly earn the cover. We got kind of lucky
- 27:26Speaker 1: in that one, but I mean, that's why you bet early, right?
- 27:30Speaker 1: I will take a win in some of those because
- 27:32Speaker 1: I've had some bad beats. For example, the bad beat
- 27:36Speaker 1: that I took, Oregon State team total over 34.5. They
- 27:40Speaker 1: had 452 yards. They settled for two first half field goals.
- 27:43Speaker 1: They had 11 penalties that didn't help things. They finished
- 27:46Speaker 1: with 33 points. They missed a two-point conversion. And, you know,
- 27:53Speaker 1: they just sat on it late. Like, I only bet
- 27:57Speaker 1: half a unit on that one because I'm worried that
- 27:59Speaker 1: might happen. But yeah, half a unit, one point short,
- 28:04Speaker 1: that's going to make you chew eyes a little bit. Gracious.
- 28:08Speaker 1: Good gracious. Here's where I got it just completely wrong.
- 28:11Speaker 1: Troy plus three and a half at minus 122. Utah
- 28:15Speaker 1: State was 0-3. The market still made them the home favorite.
- 28:20Speaker 1: I should have respected the market. Like three interceptions, two
- 28:24Speaker 1: missed field goals, zero second half points. It was just
- 28:27Speaker 1: a bad read. And I paid extra juice for it.
- 28:30Speaker 1: It was just dumb. West Virginia minus one and a
- 28:33Speaker 1: half was awful. Awful. Oklahoma State, again, put up over
- 28:37Speaker 1: 600 yards. There was nothing about this that was bad luck.
- 28:42Speaker 1: I just didn't take Oklahoma State's win over Oregon as
- 28:48Speaker 1: seriously as I should have, I guess. So either way,
- 28:52Speaker 1: if you want the full breakdown on every game, that
- 28:57Speaker 1: is up. BuyMeACoffee.com slash winningcures is $ 5 a month, $ 50
- 29:00Speaker 1: for the year. We have a good time over there.
- 29:03Speaker 1: All right, let's look at the injuries. Oregon quarterback Dante Moore,
- 29:06Speaker 1: he's the big one, but they've got to buy this
- 29:07Speaker 1: coming up week. And then they've got UCLA, so we've
- 29:10Speaker 1: got to pay attention to that one. Although, again, they
- 29:13Speaker 1: looked better with Dylan Rayola than they did with Dante Moore.
- 29:19Speaker 1: Tennessee's Faison Brandon has a shoulder injury. He played through it.
- 29:23Speaker 1: Auburn is coming up next. Curious about that one. Indiana
- 29:25Speaker 1: running back Turbo Richard. Ankle, maybe. They're already without Kobe Martin.
- 29:31Speaker 1: Indiana goes to Rutgers. I don't imagine that's going to
- 29:34Speaker 1: be a problem, but obviously we will see. Michigan running
- 29:37Speaker 1: back Jordan Marshall looked like he aggravated an injury. injury.
- 29:40Speaker 1: They are headed to Minnesota this next week. Georgia held
- 29:45Speaker 1: out Nate Frazier with injured ribs. Vandy is coming to Athens.
- 29:49Speaker 1: If he's still feeling kind of eh, I wouldn't expect
- 29:53Speaker 1: him to play in that one. I don't know that
- 29:54Speaker 1: it's going to matter. Because Georgia is in a little
- 29:58Speaker 1: bit of a A little bit of a look-ahead spot
- 30:01Speaker 1: because they've got Alabama in Week 6. So watch out
- 30:04Speaker 1: for that one. And then, not an injury, but USC
- 30:08Speaker 1: linebacker Desmond Stevens II. USC hosts Washington this week, so
- 30:13Speaker 1: pay attention to that. I'm already looking at some of
- 30:17Speaker 1: this stuff for Week 5. Obviously, I'm going to make
- 30:21Speaker 1: some plays. Not all of them. But I'm curious about
- 30:25Speaker 1: this Ohio State-Iowa game. I don't know if I'm going
- 30:27Speaker 1: to touch it, but... That thing still sits at 14
- 30:30Speaker 1: or moves towards Ohio State. A lot of my numbers
- 30:34Speaker 1: like Iowa there. I don't know what to make of it.
- 30:41Speaker 1: Ohio State is just so much more talented. Like so
- 30:44Speaker 1: much more. And they don't really have any real fatal flaws.
- 30:47Speaker 1: Their biggest flaw is their defense, I think. And I
- 30:51Speaker 1: still don't necessarily trust Iowa's offense. Alabama and Mississippi State,
- 30:58Speaker 1: short number there. Very curious. Very curious. But the sharp
- 31:03Speaker 1: bettors already own Alabama big time. Florida at Missouri. Mizzou
- 31:07Speaker 1: opened plus 138 on the money line. This is one
- 31:12Speaker 1: of those spots. We just saw Ole Miss with the
- 31:14Speaker 1: letdown spot. You know, does John Summerall, do they have
- 31:20Speaker 1: any kind of a letdown here? I'm not certain. Auburn, Tennessee,
- 31:26Speaker 1: you know, pay attention to Brandon's shoulder. We'll see what
- 31:29Speaker 1: happens there. Friday night, I am so interested in this
- 31:33Speaker 1: Penn State-Northwestern game. So curious. The opening of the new
- 31:40Speaker 1: Ryan Field. Penn State coming off of a collapse. How
- 31:44Speaker 1: do they respond here? Northwestern nearly beat the defending national
- 31:48Speaker 1: champions on the road last week. And they look night
- 31:52Speaker 1: and day different with Chip Kelly as their offensive coordinator.
- 31:57Speaker 1: Jerry Neuheisel. is their quarterbacks coach, Aiden Childs, who could
- 32:00Speaker 1: do nothing at Michigan State. Now all of a sudden
- 32:04Speaker 1: looks fantastic. Very curious. Very curious about this. So we
- 32:09Speaker 1: are going to keep an eye on things. And of course,
- 32:12Speaker 1: we will go over the 10 best games. But buy
- 32:14Speaker 1: me a coffee. As soon as I make bets, I
- 32:17Speaker 1: post them up. So I will let you guys know
- 32:19Speaker 1: once I do that. So by the time this thing
- 32:22Speaker 1: comes out, you might already have it. You might already
- 32:25Speaker 1: have it. All right, that is going to do it
- 32:27Speaker 1: for the week four recap. If the show helps at all,
- 32:30Speaker 1: if you like it, hit subscribe. Leave us a review
- 32:33Speaker 1: wherever you're listening. If you want the full graded bet
- 32:35Speaker 1: card with every number, of course, buymeacoffee.com slash winningcures. Take
- 32:38Speaker 1: care of yourself. Take care of each other. God bless
- 32:41Speaker 1: college football and hopefully all of your tickets cash this week.
- 32:45Speaker 1: Thanks for listening to Winning Cures Everything. Subscribe, leave a
- 32:48Speaker 1: review or comment. Follow at GaryWCE on X and check
- 32:53Speaker 1: out the web store.