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Latest / Macro Pulse

Between Optimism and Uncertainty

The global backdrop remains unsettled, reflected in rising gold prices amid geopolitical tensions. At the same time, however, many major equity indices remain at or close to all-time highs, buoyed by optimism around AI and reinforced by a run of relatively benign US inflation readings. In our charts this week we focus on:

The Blue Chip growth consensus

Central bank policy rate expectations

UK data surprises and the BoE

The impact of Artificial Intelligence

US business formation and productvity growth

China's export growth

The skinny

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