Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / Scooch and Chad Handicap NFL Wild Card Round

Transcript

Scooch and Chad Handicap NFL Wild Card Round · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:08
  Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites. Listen. Before I even get into
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: the introduction, I know I've got black Jack Fletcher sitting
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: next to me. He's not gonna be on this podcast,
• 0:22
  Speaker 1: but we recorded a different one for tomorrow and Matt
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: for the producer. Whenever I do the intro, they look
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: at each other they start laughing. So now you're interrupting
• 0:32
  Speaker 1: my flow and disrespecting Bob Scucci who's on the phone.
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: And he represents the Orleans and all the boy gaming
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: books throughout the country, and one day he's gonna be
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: bookmaker of the world and he's gonna be like, who
• 0:48
  Speaker 1: are these Yahoo's laughing When Chad is trying to do
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: the introduction. Well, we're just coming back for vacation and
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: we're trying to make this the year of kindness. Okay, Yeah,
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: Happy new Heater Scooch, Happy New Year, Chad. I missed
• 1:17
  Speaker 1: your buddy. It's been a long couple of weeks. It
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: has been a long couple of weeks. Um, how does
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: a bookmaker of stature such as yourself celebrating New Year's Uh, Well,
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: my wife and I went on a went on a
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: yacht and we were out on the lake and We
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: had these what's the fireworks from a pretty pretty good
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: show from both sides of the lake, had some drinks,
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: some food or derves with friends and uh welcomed in
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: the New Year. Yeah, kind of a private event, but
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: it's a pretty big yacht though. I don't know what
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: kind of life you're living. It was cold out there.
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: That had to be the coldest New Year's when the
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: yacht was moving, it was about thirty eight thirty seven
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: degrees with that water wind in your in your face,
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: you know out here in Las Vegas, I'm not used
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: to that. It was cold. Did you wear like your
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: fur coat or what did you do? I was bundled up,
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: I had layers, I had gloves, hats, scarf, the whole thing.
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: But it was still pretty cold. You knew it was
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: going to be cold when you were accepting the invitation
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: to this event. Absolutely, yeah, but still as much as
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: you prepare for it when you're out there and you're
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: I mean a lot of the night was below deck,
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: but when we went out on deck it was cold.
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: I'll bet it was below deck. How about yourself? What
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: did you do? Oh? We had a very exciting evening.
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: Scooch Uh, Stacy and I went out with another couple. Uh.
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: They have a three year old daughter. They didn't have
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: babysitting for the night, so they brought the out or
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: with them to dinner. And the daughter could not be cute,
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: like really adorable. Um. And the dinner lasted like four hours.
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: It was about a quarter to twelve when we were
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: finally finishing, and she was going strong. Wow. Yeah, I
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: could only imagine she was really really funny. Um, I
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: can't say like I raged. I got home and my
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: younger son decided to sleep out, so I had to
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: bring him like a bunch of crap to wherever he
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: was sleeping. So literally, at midnight, I was in my
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: car driving back home and my older son had friends
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: over uh and they were all still there when Stacy
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: and I got home, and they were all up long
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: after I went to bed. Couldn't you hear him that
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: they keep you awake? They were loud as fun at
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: some point. At some point I said to stay at
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: I'm like, you gotta go tell them to close that
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: fucking door. And I got like ornery, and you know,
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: I was being like the grumpy old guy, cremudgedly old man. Oh,
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: that's great, scooch. Listen, I've been killing it lately. You
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: know why I got back to basics, Yeah, which is
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: what I You know, I played the big dogs, I
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: played the home dogs. Um, I bet with the percentages.
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: I faded the public. I like, you know, I followed
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: my UM followed my principles. You know, I do this
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: every year with my best friend in the world. We
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: do this pick skin pick up contest right head to head,
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: and every year it's against the spread every game, and
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: the loser gets sent trophies, any trophy, second place trophy
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: we want to sense. So like one year he just
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: sent me thirteen second place trophies. Right, one year, I
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: sent him um a trophy that was like four ft
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: tall that he had to put together with his family.
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: Like I wanted the shame and embarrassment to extend. So
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: this year, in the middle of the year, like remember
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: I had that run, We're like the public was just
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: covering everything and the favorites were covering everything, and I
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: like started to lose my way a little bit, so
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: he caught up to me. I had a big lead
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: and he caught up to me. Was like a game
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: or two with the most bag if we weren't tied.
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: And he's doing it right for himself, and UH made
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: a fair amount of money this year, and so he's like,
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: I am going to take all this money and I
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: am gonna I'm gonna buy the biggest second place trophy
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: I can buy, and it is gonna be shame for generations.
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: And from that moment I went on to annihilate him,
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: annihilate him, destroy him. I ended winning by twenty one games.
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: I was up so much in the last week of
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: the season. He didn't even make any picks. Get out. Yeah,
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: he's like, it's over. There's nothing I can do. That's
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: pretty strong. All I have to say. All I have
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: to say, he's getting trophies. I can promise you that, Chad.
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: Getting back to basics, Getting back to basics. The last
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: few weeks of the year, I did really, really well,
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: really pleasing myself. We had some good weeks in the book.
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: Week seventeen UH wasn't a good one. We didn't get killed,
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: but we didn't make any money either. UM Week sevent
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: team was a little rough New England covering easy. UM
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: the Rams that was a bad one. A lot of
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: the lot of the favorites of the Eagles. I think
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: the Seahawks not covering against the Cardinals was really the
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: only game that kind of even our day. But you know,
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: Week seventeen is always a crapshoot with us, and uh,
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: but there's only a couple of games that kind of
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: bailed us out. So well, the game the game that
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: killed me, you know, Unfortunately, I bet the Titans at
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: plus three and a half before the Mariota news because
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: I was sticking to my principles. I'm like, that's kind
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: of a big number for you know, I felt like
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: the Cults were overvalued in that situation. Um, that one
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: killed me. That yeah, that took us. That was the
• 7:31
  Speaker 1: late game, and that pretty much whatever we were up
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: for the day by that time, which wasn't much. We
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: lost it all on that game because we needed the
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: Titans big. Also, the Broncos disappointed me. I was in
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: the Broncos at plus six. Yeah that yeah, that was
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: another one that they were never they were never in it.
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: Um that the Raiders were never in it against the Chiefs,
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: that was another bad one that just destroyed us. We
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: needed some of these dogs to to just kind of
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: stay close. And uh, the Browns was kind of a
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: bailout game for that against the Ravens. Uh. We had
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: some great two way action on that UM at minus
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: six minus six and a half, and the Browns losing
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: by two helped us out quite a bit in that one.
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: I had the Browns. Yeah you're a Brownies fan. Yeah,
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: I bet the Browns and the Bears. Those are my winners,
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: and the Broncos and the Titans were my losers. Okay, well,
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: I'm glad that Week seventeens in the books we can
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: get into the playoffs. It's hard. Week seventeen is hard, right, Like,
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: if you look back on the year, what was the team?
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: We did? This great thing, we did this great graphic
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: and the Action Network app. I work at the Action Network. UM,
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: we have a three app, the Action Network app. We logged,
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: meaning like our users can input the bets that they make.
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: You can't make the bets on our app, but you
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: can track all the bets you make. So we logged
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: to nine point five million bets. This year's scooch mine
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: point five million UM the most bet teams in each
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: sport Alabama, Vegas Golden Knights, Golden State Warriors, New England Patriots,
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: Boston Red Sox. No surprises there, right, No, well a
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: little surprise with Vegas Golden Knights. Are you talking about
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: starting last year? Yeah? Okay, yeah, alright, I got you.
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: I thought you meant starting this hockey season. No, scar
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: the year, the whole year is the end of the years,
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: the end of the year extras, because you know it
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: was the end of the year. Okay, Sorry, I don't
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: mean to be sarcastic. I got it, I got it.
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: I'm being kind this year. I forgot. I told Stay
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: this year. I told Stacy this morning. I think I'm
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: gonna try to be nicer to people this year. We'll
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: see how that. See how long that last? Um? Yeah? That?
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: But also the most bet game was the Chiefs Rams
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: and most bet side was the Chiefs in that game. Okay,
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: with that coincide with your stats? I didn't. I didn't
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: look at those stats. But that sounds about right. Um,
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: But you've done all the research before this podcast, Like
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: why didn't you didn't give it? Heads up? What I
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: am sifting through so much analysis right now for our
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: end of year stuff. It's ridiculous. So yeah, I missed.
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: I missed that one. For for the action that is
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: boring stuff. You're talking about like spreadsheets and you know,
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: win loss profit, you know that kind of stuff. How
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: we did it each property? Are you gonna have to
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: have one of those explanations where you're like, listen, getting
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: worse if I wasn't booking as well as I was. No,
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: you know it was. It was a funny year because
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: some of our properties, um didn't have as good of
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: a year as some of the other properties, probably just
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: because of some geographic locations, uh that around around Las Vegas.
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: Of our properties we're under construction or the streets under construction,
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: that sort of thing. But overall, the profits were up,
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: which is the main thing, and our whole percentage was
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: up over last year, which is pretty strong. Excited for you.
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: It means that you were a good bookmaker. That's what
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: I like to think. It means, well, you don't get
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: divided on yachts if you're not a good bookmaker. If
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: you're a bad bookmaker, they put you underneath the yacht. Yeah,
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: you're on the dock, you're on the bow. You you
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: ever see Donnie Brasco, You go to the bow, you
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: stay in the bow. Yeah, we're you trying to do
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: like an Italian accent. That was how the how Pacino
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: said it when he was in the movie The Bow. Yeah,
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: I can't do an Italian accent. Should we talk about
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: some games? Eight games this weekend? I'm super excited, so
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: many interesting games. Houston is a one point favorite. This
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: lines got some pace behind it. Man. People are piling
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: on on the colts, and I think that's a bad idea. Yeah,
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: we opened two and a half. We opened Houston minus
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: two and a half, and we we realized that the
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: cults have just been attracting a ton of money lately. Uh,
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: Houston not so much, even though that just a few
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: weeks ago everyone was just praising how great they are
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: after starting slow at oh and three. But uh, the
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: teams played twice already, they know each other. Both games
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: were I believe, decided by three points. One of them
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: went to overtime. So you know what you get with
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: these Uh, with these two teams, it should be a
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: real close game. Uh, probably a lot of points being
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: scored again. Uh and uh, I was a little surprised
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: that the sharp guys run uh India as well as
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: the public in this one. So uh we're down to
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: one and a half. Still getting some money on the
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: Colts at plus one and a half. So you know,
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: I could probably see it going down a lot, but
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: we're not going to see that key number three at
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: on either team. I am surprised that the show of
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: guys are on the Colts as well. Why do you
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: think that is? Oh, they're running hot. I mean lately
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: it's uh uh, you're you're betting on your betting on
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: Andrew Luck He's got the experience. H h. You're getting
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: a couple of points. It's not much. And you know,
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: I don't really think that the points are really the
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: determining factor here, but they're probably just a hotter team. Yeah,
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: but wise guys who aren't betting the hot team? Oh
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: not the wise guys, no, No, So why are the
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: wise guys on the Colts? That you got me on
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: that one? Because I that was that surprised. That surprised
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: me a little bit. I mean, this is the type
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: of play that a short home favorite that you would
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: think that they would be on, that they would be
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: on Houston and this one and there there's not a
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: lot of value in the point spread, like I said,
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: So it does shock me a little bit. I know
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: the public that being on the Colts doesn't surprise me.
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: But the sharp guys on the Colts does public or suckers,
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: They don't know anything. They just know Andrew Luck keeps
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: winning and he just won on you know, Sunday night
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: and got into the playoffs, and is you know, throwing
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: multiple touchdown passes every game. I like the Texans in
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: this game. Yeah, I kind of. I kind of favor
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: them in this game as well. I don't mind taking
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: too much on the Colts. But like I said, it's
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: it's it's a coin toss. They're very evenly matched up.
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: Dallas Cowboys similarly one point favorites over the Seattle Seahawks.
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: Another game, Slions moving, Slions, got some some heat behind it,
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: a tail kind of rocket. Yeah, no, it really does.
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: And this again is the sharp money on on Seattle
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: that's driving this uh number. We've got probably more money
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: on Seattle than we do on any of the four
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: teams right now, so uh and it's all it's all
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: sharp money. The public's divide it pretty much evenly on
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: this one. We've got a lot of Dallas support the
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: last few weeks, and going around a lot of our
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: sports books, there's more crowd noise for Dallas scoring than
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: any other team. So Dallas always draws a big fan
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: based contingency, but it seems like it's getting it's getting
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: more raucous these last few weeks, and a lot of
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: a lot of support for the Cowboys here in town.
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: Isn't it interesting though, because maybe there was a point
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: during the middle of the season where the Cowboys were
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: one of the least popular teams to bet. Absolutely gone.
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: It has done a one on going from the America's team,
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: a purely public team, to nobody wanted to pay attention
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: to them. Yeah, there's been a few of these teams
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: that are in the playoffs now that have gone through
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a peak and valley and a
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: little bit of a cycle where the fans the betters
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: just jumped off of them completely. Um, and the Cowboys
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: are one of them. And these two teams matched up
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: earlier in the year as well. Um, and it was
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: in Seattle, So this is a little rematch of a
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: game from earlier this year and Seattle just dominated that game.
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: So there may be some things in that game that
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: some of the betters are looking into. I have been
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: thinking about Seattle the whole time, even on the money line.
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: And today I've had a bunch of conversations with people
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: that have made me rethink that and decide with Dallas,
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: what made you change? I think that part of my
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: issue this year has been I've been too my instincts
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: have been wrong when I've sort of just looked at
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: it game without any research behind it. And uh, I
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: feel like I might have a bias first for Seattle
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: because I love them against Kansas City on the money line,
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: took them in that spot, and emotionally might be connected
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: to that team. But it's a different game when Russell
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: Wilson's not at home. Yeah, yeah, I mean here's here again.
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: Are two very similar teams, just like in the Colts
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: Texans game. Both Seattle and Dallas just kind of relying
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: on that that run game. Uh. Both have very mobile quarterbacks,
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: very similar styles. If you have to give the nod
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: a little bit to the experience with Seattle on defense
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: with their linebacker crew, uh, probably a lot more seasoned
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: than than the young guys on on Dallas. But uh again,
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: I think whoever makes the least amount of mistakes in
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: this one gets to win. Alright, So almost bet Seattle
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: on the money line today, and I didn't. I'm glad
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: I didn't. I ever, I favored Seattle in this one
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: if I had to pick. I mean, it's not a
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: it's not a strong it's not not a strong opinion.
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: But I favorite Seattle. I like the defense a lot better.
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: I think they have just a better shot of of
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: Slow and Dallas down and I and I and I
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: give a little bit of a nod to Russell Wilson
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: on the experience side. I'm gonna have to think about
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: that one. Uh. The Los Angeles Chargers are one and
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: a half point underdogs at Baltimore. Fascinating game. Fascinating game.
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: These two teams played a couple of weeks ago. I
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: don't know what to make Lamar Jackson yet. Obviously an
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: amazing defense in Baltimore, but a much more well rounded
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: team in Los Angeles. Who's bet and what here? Scooch
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: a lot more money on Baltimore than than the Charges.
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: As good as the Chargers have been all year, there
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: is they haven't drawn a lot of public money. Um,
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: you know, take this the sharp professional handicappers out of
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: the mix for a minute. I'm just talking about the
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: recreational betters. They really haven't supported the Chargers for a
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: team that's won as many games as they have, So
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: in this one, they're they're on Baltimore, and I see
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: I could see the number going up to three by
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: game time. So if you're are interested in betting the Charges,
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: I'd probably wait till later in the week and you
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: can get the plus three. But who's the hotter team lately?
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: I think it seems like it's Baltimore. Uh, they probably
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: haven't played as good of a competition, but they did
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: play the Chargers a couple of weeks ago and pretty
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: much dominated that game. So um, I think there's just
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: gonna be a lot more support for Baltimore and this one,
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: and I understand it, and I'd probably favor Baltimore myself. God,
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: that number, guess the three. I mean, have a hard
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: time not betting the Chargers. Yeah, I mean it's hard,
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: too hard to beat the same team twice in such
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: a short amount of time. You know, you have you
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: have different game plans. Uh, you see completely different Uh,
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: you know a game plan the second time around in
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: a short amount of time. So uh that that works
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: in the Chargers favor in this one, How have you
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: changed your rating on the Ravens with Lamar Jackson versus
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: Joe Flacco. Um, the first couple of games, it wasn't
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: wasn't that much, but after probably the third. By the
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: third game, uh, they're actually a couple of points better
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: with him in the lineup than Flacco. Wow. Yeah, Joe
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: Flacco self proclaimed one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL,
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: a winner of a Super Bowl, a better pastor than
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson. But because teams have not been able to
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: figure out how to start Lamar Jackson on the ground,
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: you have made the Ravens a much better team with
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson than Joe Flacco. Not a much better, but yeah,
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: two points better a lot. Yeah. So what's Lamar Jackson like?
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: Five points right now? Yeah? Yeah? I mean, if you
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: think about it, if if something happened to Lamar Jackson
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: where he wasn't gonna be playing, and you and you
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: did say that Flacco was going to be coming in
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: the line would not go to three, If anything, it
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: would go down. M hm. Lamar Jackson five points? Five
• 21:19
  Speaker 1: points is an quarterback? How much is Baker Mayfield worth? Oh,
• 21:24
  Speaker 1: that's pretty strong. He's he's right up there with with
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: probably the top five quarterbacks, probably six and a half. Wow.
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: I mean you have to look at the drop off too.
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: You know, how much is Josh Allen worth two? How
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: much is Mitch Trobinsky worth? He's up there about six
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: and a half seven. How much is Nick folesworth? That's
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: an interesting one because right now we have him rated high,
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: higher than Wentz and I think we even talked about
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: it a couple of weeks ago, where the Eagles team
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: is a better team with Falls in there. I mean,
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: there's just no question and we've actually, uh, well, the
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: Eagles are also another team that have the biggest drop
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: from the preseason ratings to to mid season and then
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: have climbed back up again, so that there's been a
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: lot of changes with with the Eagles in general, but
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: a lot of it has to do with Falls and Wentz.
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: How much is Fran Tarkington worth? I love Fran. It's
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: hard to go back that many years, so it's a
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: completely different game. If he stepped on the field right now.
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: How many points is he worth? Who's worth? Fran Tarkington's
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: worth three points? But you gotta understand he's seventy five
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: years old. So Fran Tarkinson is worth more points than
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: John Downy. Yeah, I give the experience three points. You
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: can run. Yeah, remember show, Remember the show That's incredible. Yes,
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: Fran Tarkington hosted that show. He was a host. Yeah,
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: a lot of people didn't know he played football. Whatever
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: happened to France Tarkington after that? Do you think he
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: wanted a career in TV and like flamed out? He's
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: he got into uh promotional speaking like a Tony A
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: matter of fact, I think he even did some work
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: with Tony Robbins and uh started doing kind of that
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: same positive thinking stuff. Well, you gotta be positive when
• 23:30
  Speaker 1: you lose four Super Bowls, That's is true. Last game
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: is the Bears and the Eagles. Speaking of Nick Foles,
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: the Bears are now five and a half point favorites.
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: Tricky game, Tricky, tricky game. It's tricky because of what
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: I said. How the ratings on the Eagles have have
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: continued to slide down throughout most of the year until
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: recent weeks, and with Foals in there, they're starting to
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: climb back up. But I think you're gonna get quite
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: a bit of value with the Eagles in this one.
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: We did go down to five and a half, but
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: there are quite a few sixes around in other places still.
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: And um, it surprises me a little bit that the
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: public is on Chicago in this one at the rate
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: that they're they're on. I thought for sure that the
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: public would be on uh Philly a little bit more
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: in this one because they've been on the Eagles, you know,
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: five of the last six weeks. Um, they've seen a
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: little bit of the resurgence. And you figure with them
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: getting six points, the sharp guys I know saw the
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: value with the six points and they jumped on it
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: right away, drove the line down to five and a half.
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: But the public is still at about almost on the
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: Bears in this one. And that seems like a lot
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: of points for the Bears to be laying against against
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: this Eagles team. It does feel like a lot, a
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: real lot. Why do you think the Bears wouldn't cover? Well?
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: I think the Eagles defense is uh has really been
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: stepping up, So I think it's gonna be a lower
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: scoring game. So and and the total reflects that. I mean,
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: we have the total at forty one, so we were
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: not expecting a lot of points. We're expecting some good defense.
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: So you're saying they're gonna win by a touchdown, It
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: just seems like it's a lot of points against the
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: defending Super Bowl champs. Five and a half feels like
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: a dead number. Yeah, I mean it's a touchdown. I'd
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: probably lean towards the Bears. Wow. Wow. I'm I've tried
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: to be on the low side on this one. Like
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: I said, there's some sixes out there, but we're gonna
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: try and stay low, try to try to attract some
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: Bears money. Well, you'll get mine. Go a little bit
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: lower and you'll get mine. Scooch, I'm favoring the Eagles
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: in this one. I you know, I I'm a false fan. Now.
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: Oh gods, I don't think it's gonna end well for him, Okay, Scooch, Yeah,
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: I guess what. It's time to play little roulette. Let's
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: do it, all right? Who do you got, buddy? I
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: like Seattle. Seattle is my team? Wow? Wow, Seattle is
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: gonna be your team? Yeah? All right, then I'm gonna
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: go with the Houston Texans. Wow. Yeah, Well we need them. Well,
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: I'll be rooting for you. We need them. I'm I'm
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: gonna I'm gonna root for you too. You know why
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: little root for each other because you're gonna be it's
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: a nicer you. You're gonna be nicer this year. That's
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: why I want to be nice to people. Okay, Uh, listen, folks,
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: I need you to know that we are doing a
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: live podcast on January at Follies in Manhattan at six
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: pm on thirty third and fifth, And you got to
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: sign up at Action network dot com slash Favorites. You
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: got r s v P people. Uh, we've had more
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: than a hundred people sign up for this already. It
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: fits more folies does It's a fine establishment. We're excited
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: to be there. But you still got rs VP. We
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: want to pack the freaking house, so go sign up.
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: Scooch is gonna make an appearance. He's going to write
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: a song. We've got a lot of things planned for him. Um. Also,
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: by the way, Scooch, we decided that is going to
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: be where we reveal the winner of the get Your
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: Prop Up in Vegas contest that we do every year.
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: I was going to ask you about that. I wasn't
• 27:49
  Speaker 1: sure if you're doing that again. We are doing it again. Okay,
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: we are doing it. Team effort. Go to Action Network
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: dot com slash Fair. It's sign up for our live, live,
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: live podcast January twenty eight me black Jack Fletcher, Scooch,
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: Jeff Schwartz, Paula Duca, the whole gang is gonna be there.
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: This has been the Favorites podcast from the Action Network.
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: I am Chad Milman. This has been Bob Scucci. Join
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: us every Monday, Wednesday and Friday. Our next episode is
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: Friday with black Jack Fletcher. Subscribe on Apple Podcasts, Radio
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: dot com, slash the Action Networks. The New Year, people
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: got to get it right until next time.