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Did AI Trading Agents Actually Work?

Did AI Trading Agents Actually Work?

Today we're diving into AI trading agents, the rise of DeFAI, and whether autonomous trading bots are actually generating alpha.

We discuss:

AI trading agents and the DeFAI hype cycle

Eliza, Virtuals, and agentic trading products

Onchain tracking vs qualitative research

Whether agents actually made money

Early wins, later losses, and extractive markets

Alpha Arena and AI model trading competitions

Why sample size matters for agent experiments

Agent reliability, harnesses, and model variability

AI workflows, Dune MCP, and product building

ChatGPT, Claude…

The skinny

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