Latest / Early Edition with Ryan Bridge / Ryan Bridge: A debate on interest rates
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: I was having a good old debate with a mate
- 0:01Speaker 1: at the weekend about interest rates, because we're both at
- 0:03Speaker 1: the age where mortgages are unfortunately a thing in Auckland,
- 0:07Speaker 1: quite a big and annoying thing. Now, this made of
- 0:10Speaker 1: mine knows a bit more about the stuff than I do.
- 0:12Speaker 1: Watches the markets very closely for his job, and he's
- 0:15Speaker 1: worried about the middle of the year. Potentially this recovery,
- 0:19Speaker 1: that's what we're going to officially call it, yet coming
- 0:22Speaker 1: to a bit of a standstill or an abrupt holt.
- 0:24Speaker 1: We've spoken before about elections putting the kai bosh on
- 0:28Speaker 1: growth a bit, people hold back weak to see what happens.
- 0:30Speaker 1: We've spoken about Bill English's comments about our recovery unlike
- 0:34Speaker 1: across the Ditch coming in spite of a rebound in
- 0:38Speaker 1: house prices. In Australia, everything's hot, the weather, house prices, inflation, growth, employment,
- 0:45Speaker 1: everything's just hot, hot, hot. It's lightly on a different
- 0:48Speaker 1: hemisphere to us. There was a good podcast talking about
- 0:52Speaker 1: some of this of interest it's called with the Westpac Economists. Now,
- 0:55Speaker 1: the RBA's rate is now three point eight five percent
- 0:58Speaker 1: ours two point twenty five. It's been about fifteen years
- 1:02Speaker 1: since there has been such a massive gap between the
- 1:06Speaker 1: two of them. We usually cycle closer together most of
- 1:09Speaker 1: the time, but we've drifted apart to the point where
- 1:11Speaker 1: one is so far over the hill we actually can't
- 1:14Speaker 1: see each other anymore. This is all by design, of course.
- 1:18Speaker 1: We have been way more aggressive engineered the recession to
- 1:21Speaker 1: crash inflation. They went a lot softer to take into
- 1:24Speaker 1: account employment. They have a dual mandate. The Coalition got
- 1:28Speaker 1: rid of ours. The Aussies are now upping rates again
- 1:32Speaker 1: because their inflation is taking off again. Ours has a
- 1:35Speaker 1: mild case of fever, but nothing like their is sitting
- 1:38Speaker 1: at nearly four percent now. The question anyone thinking about
- 1:42Speaker 1: this stuff with a mortgage is asking themselves is this,
- 1:47Speaker 1: would you swallow a bit of inflation to have an
- 1:49Speaker 1: economy that's actually firing? In other words, in future, would
- 1:54Speaker 1: you rather this was handled the Aussie way or the
- 1:57Speaker 1: Kiwi way? And crucially, can our economy kick back? Intogear
- 2:02Speaker 1: without its usual rocket fuel runaway house prices. For more
- 2:07Speaker 1: from early edition with Ryan Bridge. Listen live to News
- 2:11Speaker 1: Talks at b from five am weekdays, or follow the
- 2:14Speaker 1: podcast on iHeartRadio.