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Nate's NFL football Wager and Cousin Vinny's Lock of the Week 0908 · Nate's Daily Wager

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Welcome to Nate's daily wager. I ain't picking winners, but I
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am making wagers. Time to put my money where my
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mouth is. This.
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Is Nate's daily wager for September 8th, 2024.
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And man, what a day yesterday, college football, bunch of teams
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that went that were supposed to win, didn't win.
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Notre Dame, Maryland, I'm looking at you and you know,
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just a fun day all around. And most importantly, the game
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that we were on, Nebraska, Colorado, Nebraska went in there
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or well, I guess they stayed home and took care of business
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more than took care of business. They basically curb stop
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Colorado not to coop there, so that's great.
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Take that money. But you know what we got today?
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Oh baby, week one NFL football. Just glorious.
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Sitting on the couch 12 straight hours drinking beers, sucking
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down chips and wings and nachos. Just fantastic.
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That's great. All right, so Week 10 plus
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Cousin Vinny's back. You'll get a little taste of him
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next. So I'm looking at the road
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favorites, which means the home dogs.
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Really, I'm looking at the home dogs because historically Week 1
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home dogs are hit at over a 75% rate.
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That's insane. That's crazy.
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If you do 75%, you're winning, winning, winning.
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Money, money, money. All right, so today we have two
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of those that I can see. We got the Giants and the Colts.
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I don't trust the Giants. They're the Giants.
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They got rid of one of their best weapons, Saquon, who showed
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why he was with under their best weapons Friday night.
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So anyways, I digest tonight, today, this afternoon, I'm going
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with the Colts. I think the Colts are better
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than they were last year and they're playing the Texans.
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They're hosting the Texans at home, their three-point dogs.
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I like getting those points. I'm not super impressed with
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Houston yet. We'll see if they can maintain
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it, and I'm just going to roll the dice there.
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So I'm going Colts +3 at home against the Houston Texans in
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today's NFL football action. So anything better than that,
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pound it. That's my pick and I'm sticking
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to it. Cousin.
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Give them what you got. Let them know.
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You, Colson, Benny. We're back for the 2024 NFL
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season. Hope you come along for the ride
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this year. For those of you who came along
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for the ride last year, you'll remember that Cousin Vinny had a
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win rate at approximately 60%. All right, that's great.
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That's where you want to be. Exceeding a 60% win rate
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consistently is very rare, even for professionals, as it
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requires exception, skill, discipline and knowledge, all of
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which Cousin Vinny has. So keep going back week to week.
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We're your winners. Speaking of winners, let's get
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to talk about week one. Week 1's difficult to handicap.
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Not a lot of data out there. New rookies, new players in new
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uniforms, new coaches, injury unknowns, overreaction,
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offseason hype, you name it. Really hard to handicap, but but
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we can go with known quantities. This week we're going to go with
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a known quantity and that is two things, the Dallas Cowboys
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offense and the Dallas Cowboys in general to open up the
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season. Dallas is running it back with
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DAC and CD on offense. If you remember last year, they
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opened up with a 40 to nothing victory against the Giants.
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Dallas actually historically has a ton of success on opening
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games. They're batting 6600, all right.
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Now, while that's not super relevant in Week 1, you know,
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they're playing the Browns, which historically do not have a
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great opening day record. Since 1998, our opening week
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record is 321 and one. Now, while that previous
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season's records might not matter, let's not part too much
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on that. Maybe we don't want to do that,
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right? Let's just talk about this year.
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Well, the Cleveland Browns are running it back with Shawn
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Watson, who really has not lived up to his contract, really has
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not shown to be the same quarterback as he was in
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Houston. Also there without Nick Chubb,
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their star running back, or at least four to six weeks, maybe
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longer. But for this game they don't
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have Nick Chubb. So what's the line in this game,
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you ask? If you were to ask me, without
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seeing the lines, guess the lines.
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Cousin Vinnie would have probably handicapped the Cowboys
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at being, I don't know, a 2 1/2 point favorite even on the road,
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and it turns out they're a 2 1/2 point dog.
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So that being said, Carlton Vinny loves the Cowboys going in
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to Cleveland Week 1, being the road dogs and taking out the
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dogs. So I'm going to take the money
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line here. I'm not going to take the 2 1/2
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points. I'm going to take the Cowboys
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money line which is sitting around plus 1/15 and as much as
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Cousin Vinnie hates the Cowboys and hates taking the Cowboys
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Week 1, you have to separate family and business and I am in
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the business of picking winners. So take the Cowboys money line
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to the bank and lock it up until next week Cousin Vinnie with
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your lock of the week. Don't forget to rate, review,
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subscribe, follow on Spotify, iTunes, or your favorite podcast
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application, and check out the show notes for some other great
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podcasts. Whether you're looking for
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general sports discussion, something team specific, or good
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old wrestling, you're sure to find something you'll love.
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Check them out and I'll see you tomorrow with another wager.