Latest / The SME Stream / Sam Dickie: Fisher Funds expert on the growing market interest in humanoids
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Here the duplessy Ellen Right, Well, there's been an increasing
- 0:03Speaker 1: amount of chatter in the market about humanoids, and absolutely
- 0:06Speaker 1: I can hear you asking what on earth are humanoids
- 0:08Speaker 1: because I've been asking about that's the very same question
- 0:11Speaker 1: myself and Sam Dicky from Fisher Funds fortunately does know.
- 0:14Speaker 1: Hey Sam, everyone, then what is a humanoid?
- 0:18Speaker 2: Yes, very jets and I don't know if you remember
- 0:21Speaker 2: that program, but think of the human looking robots on
- 0:24Speaker 2: that So their robot looks similar to a human, has
- 0:27Speaker 2: human characteristics, for example, the ability to walk upright to
- 0:31Speaker 2: grasp things with its fingers, and the humanoid is designed
- 0:35Speaker 2: to kind of copy human actions and even human reasoning.
- 0:39Speaker 1: Why do we need these things.
- 0:42Speaker 2: As well? I guess what's the background here? The first
- 0:44Speaker 2: real worldlots are invented in the nineteen fifties and they
- 0:47Speaker 2: were more mechanical than intelligent and money for the repetitive
- 0:50Speaker 2: tasks and factories. And over the last seventy years these
- 0:53Speaker 2: things have evolved pretty quickly. And just give you a
- 0:55Speaker 2: factory where we're up to now, you might have heard
- 0:58Speaker 2: of their humanoids. So for year and twenty seventeen, a
- 1:02Speaker 2: very very human looking humanoid that was granted citizenship by
- 1:05Speaker 2: Saudi Arabia in twenty seventeen. Oh bit of a publicity
- 1:09Speaker 2: stunt point, as though robots have come a very very
- 1:11Speaker 2: long way, and most for most of the last seven years,
- 1:16Speaker 2: they learn very gradually, but in the generative AI world,
- 1:20Speaker 2: they can now learn by understanding every day language, copy
- 1:22Speaker 2: what they see and looing curves and performed accuracy is
- 1:27Speaker 2: paying to jump or path perform the accuracy starting to
- 1:30Speaker 2: jump faster than ever before. So pretty exciting times. And
- 1:34Speaker 2: the reason they take a human shape because because most
- 1:38Speaker 2: of the four million robots and operations today don't look
- 1:40Speaker 2: anything like you or I is because the world is
- 1:44Speaker 2: created for humans, So I think of buttons, levers, controllers
- 1:47Speaker 2: designed to be operated by humans. So human dexterity in
- 1:50Speaker 2: human hands and fingers are required to operate efficiently in
- 1:53Speaker 2: this world of ours.
- 1:55Speaker 1: Right, So what if the robot is in the shape
- 1:57Speaker 1: of a human, therefore they will be able to use
- 1:59Speaker 1: the world as well? Is that the thinking?
- 2:01Speaker 2: That's the thinking? Yet? Right?
- 2:02Speaker 1: Okay? Why all of a sudden have they popped up
- 2:05Speaker 1: as being something that we're interested in?
- 2:07Speaker 2: Yeah, while we talking about them right now. As always
- 2:10Speaker 2: with these things, it's the confluence of simple things coming
- 2:13Speaker 2: together at once. So if humanoids, the first thing is
- 2:16Speaker 2: improvements in the parts that make the move called actuators,
- 2:19Speaker 2: which turn energy into movement. They've made leaps and bounds.
- 2:22Speaker 2: Improvements in the gears that help them move smoothing, not clunkily.
- 2:26Speaker 2: That's come a long way. Improvements and prosthetics or artificial
- 2:30Speaker 2: limbs have come a long way. And of course the
- 2:32Speaker 2: huge leaps in compute power that you and I have
- 2:34Speaker 2: talked a lot about have created a platform for more
- 2:36Speaker 2: explosive growth. So that's the first thing. The second thing
- 2:38Speaker 2: is the competition to build these things is ramping up
- 2:42Speaker 2: through so a lot more companies are putting a lot
- 2:44Speaker 2: more money into it. So he's like Toyota Hands and Robotics,
- 2:47Speaker 2: Boss Dynamics are in the race, but of course Tesla's
- 2:51Speaker 2: in there as well. And Elon Musk thinks there will
- 2:54Speaker 2: be one billion of these things by twenty forty.
- 2:57Speaker 1: Wow, Okay, if we do have many, Even if we
- 3:01Speaker 1: don't have that many, what impact are they going to
- 3:02Speaker 1: have on society and economies and labor.
- 3:07Speaker 2: Quite a bat, I think. So there's only four million
- 3:09Speaker 2: operation today, but they're kind of mechanic alarms, operating, operating
- 3:12Speaker 2: in factories. But the thing is, the need for humanoids
- 3:16Speaker 2: is becoming more acute. So the working age population and
- 3:19Speaker 2: just China and the OECD or the Western world for example,
- 3:23Speaker 2: is shrinking. So it's around one point eight billion today
- 3:25Speaker 2: and by twenty fifty that will be three hundred million
- 3:29Speaker 2: people smaller. And not only will it shrink, but mainly
- 3:32Speaker 2: one point five billion people were much older. So we
- 3:36Speaker 2: do need these things. And of course it's unsettling to
- 3:38Speaker 2: think about these things taking over so many jobs, but
- 3:42Speaker 2: the reality is the shift is going to take decades,
- 3:44Speaker 2: not years, and it's better to be prepared and better
- 3:47Speaker 2: informed rather than hopeing it doesn't happen again.
- 3:52Speaker 1: So is it a case of investors just kind of
- 3:54Speaker 1: getting ahead of it before it actually takes off completely.
- 3:57Speaker 2: Well, I mean maybe not so much, because it's very
- 4:01Speaker 2: bleeding edge. It's a very early stage investment thematic, so
- 4:04Speaker 2: it should be treated with caution. However, it's one to
- 4:07Speaker 2: definitely keep on the radar and keep an eye out
- 4:09Speaker 2: for so over the next year or so, there's a
- 4:11Speaker 2: few big things that are going to happen, so we're
- 4:13Speaker 2: going to have the unvoting of tess Optimus Generation three humanoid,
- 4:17Speaker 2: which will operate more outside of the factory, even in
- 4:19Speaker 2: the home, and more details on Figure AIS humanoid figure
- 4:23Speaker 2: out two which has just been released, but it is
- 4:26Speaker 2: early days. These things costs. These things cost fifty two,
- 4:29Speaker 2: one hundred and fifty thousand dollars that they are a
- 4:31Speaker 2: long way away from commercial scale, but I think it's
- 4:33Speaker 2: a kind of bleeding edge thematic to keep an eye on.
- 4:36Speaker 1: Yeah, how fascinating, Sam, Thank you very much, really appreciate that.
- 4:38Speaker 1: As Sam de Key forsher funds humanoids, who knew