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NBA + NHL + NCAAF + NFL Best Bets Thursday 10/23/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: Own seven run over the last two days after tonight
• 0:09
  Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you about that. I
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all all in
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: four I have not had a good season. Man with
• 0:32
  Speaker 1: wookends the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues.
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: I've reached into pink. Actually, I'm going to burn my
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: browins hack, Man, I don't know what is going on
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: with the bruins arch haape? Is that what it is?
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: I don't even know it's It's March ninth, I think
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: who even knows? Man, I don't know what day it
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: is anymore. But I don't even know what day it
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: is anymore. Man, back with you after the worst day
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: that I could possibly have, Back with you as I
• 1:01
  Speaker 1: always am until I die, at least oh and two.
• 1:05
  Speaker 1: Yesterday and yesterday it did not go well for me.
• 1:08
  Speaker 1: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: my eighteen years doing this. I don't know what to
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: even tell you about this anymore. To the slumps, the
• 1:17
  Speaker 1: slump discontinues, the slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
• 1:26
  Speaker 1: other than potentially end it all. What's up, everybody, It's
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: towed back with you for better off Dead Thursday, October
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: twenty third, winning Dawn on the show again. Yesterday two
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: and zero. Probably got a little bit lucky on the
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: NBA game. My NBA analysis was all right yesterday. Early season,
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: not totally easy. The Celtics. I'm pissed because they lost
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: the game. They probably should have won the game. I
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: mean they had They had a double digit lead in
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: the fourth quarter, so I think we got a little
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: bit lucky on that one. The money went against my play.
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: It was up to like four and a half I
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: think by tip off, and somehow the Celtics imploded and
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: blew that game. They shot really poorly from three point range.
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: The game was close statistically otherwise, but I mean, you
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: got a double digit lead like that at the end,
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: you probably should put it away, and they didn't. Although
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: part of the handicap was the kind of experience factor
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: being on the side of Philly. But Joelle Embiid did
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: not look good like he looks like his knee is
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: fucked up, like he can't jump, so I don't know
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: how well he could jump before. But there's something still
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: wrong with that guy. So we got lucky on that one,
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: and we did get the Buffalo Sabers correct for a
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: four to two win. That game was closer earlier in
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: the game. No empty net goals in that one, though
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: I don't think Buffalo played a decent game, won the game.
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: I'll take that for sure. That was less misleading I
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: think than the Celtics one or the Sixers. I guess, Jeffrey,
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: what's up man? Thanks for hanging out today. I'm gonna
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: have a bunch of stuff today. I'm gonna give out
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: an NBA play, two NHL plays, and I'm gonna have
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: a play on the NFL game. And I'm one of
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: my seven to zero in the in the NFL Thursday
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: night games with the spread leans right now only give
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: out one play in Week one, which was a winner
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: as well obviously on Dallas plus the points. Watch this
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: one be the first loser man, but I have to
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: go where the handicap leads me. I think it's strong enough.
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: I like a side, hopefully you can get the best
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: number on it. The number, well, I'll talk about it
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: when I get to it, but the number. The market
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: situation is a little bit weird on that NFL game,
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: where like a lot of the books are not offering
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: the kind of the best number, probably because there are
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: reasons for that. They're probably trying to screw you, which
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: is also kind of an indicator that the side that
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: I like is actually the correct side. We can talk about. Well,
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: let's go to the breakdown. I guess should we do
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: NHL first, because I have it up right now, we
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: could do that, I guess. I don't know. I think
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: yesterday I started with NHL two. I mean, there's a
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: big NHL board here. I'm not gonna hit every one
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: of these games, but I'm gonna talk about some of
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: the more interesting ones. I'll get to the two bets
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: at the end, which one of them is in Anaheim,
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: Boston and the other is in Philadelphia, Ottawa. Both seven
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: PM games Pittsburgh and Florida may not be as interesting
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: right now because Pittsburgh is not that good, although Jeffrey,
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: I know you don't think Florida is that good. I
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: think Florida's alright. Florida kind of a weird situation where
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: Florida played a couple of days ago in Boston, weird
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: win where the Bruins lost the game on an own
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: goal at the end of the game in a huge
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: I think is a huge game for the Bruins. So
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: you kind of know what I'm gonna say about the
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: Bruins and Ducks game here. Florida got that win. It's
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: still I think a big win when you beat the Bruins.
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: I mean, there's just kind of that rivalry there. Recently,
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: they got the win emotional game for Brad Marshawn. If
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: you didn't see that, the Bruins did some tribute to him,
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: even though he's obviously he's already returned to Boston since
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: he was on Florida. But I don't know, they did
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: something in like the I believe in the second period
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: maybe from Marshawn and he was getting emotional on the
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: bench there. I don't know. I don't know exactly what
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: the reasoning was behind it, but that happened in that
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: game Florida's now returning on from a road trip as well,
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: off of what was somewhat of an emotional game. So
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: you know, I talk about this, I kind of think
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: that's a bad spot. Returning on from a road trip.
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: You can get a bit distracted. You have to get
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: back to family life. They've actually been away from home
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: for ten days. They just went on a five game
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: road trip, culminating and beating Boston. They come home, they
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: got to face Pittsburgh and up next to got Vegas
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: in two days, which is a bigger opponent, even though
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: it isn't out of conference opponent. Vegas usually going to
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: draw your attention because they're a good team. Pittsburgh isn't really,
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: although I don't know, I mean, is the name Pittsburgh
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: gonna be enough to draw your focus? Maybe the fact
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: that Pittsburgh's five and two will draw your focus because
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: they're actually playing better than I thought they would. They
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: face is somewhat weak schedule so far, but Pittsburgh is overperforming,
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: I think. But this looks like a spot where the
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: spot is worse for Florida Pittsburgh. They're coming in off
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: a really nice win themselves, though they beat Vancouver five
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: to one. Now they have this one single game road
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: trip down to Florida. Single game road trips can kind
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: of go either way. You can either be like really
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: focused or you might just not show up, depending on
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: what the situation is. I think this is a spot
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: where Pittsburgh does show up. They're gonna carry momentum into
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: it big game for them to face Florida. But because
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh has been playing well because of the name Pittsburgh,
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: maybe Florida won't overlook them. So that is my sort
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: of hesitation that I would have with Pittsburgh. This is
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: close to a play though, Like this is the first
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: one that I left off my card in NHL. I
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: have two plays that I think are better than this one.
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: But if I was going to add a third play
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: would be Pittsburgh. The money is agreeing with it. Florida
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: down for minus two twenty to minus one, ninety eighty
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: three percent of the tickets, sixty nine percent of the cash,
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: So the money is fading Florida on some reverse line
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: movement there. With the money line dropping a bit on Florida,
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: you could look to take Pittsburgh on the puck line
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: maybe and get a decent price on that or start
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: doing like a split bet partially on the puck line
• 7:31
  Speaker 1: and partially on the money line, which I use this
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: run run line calculator here for Johnny Mo. It's developed
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: for baseball, but you can do the same. It's the
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: same thing with hockey basically, where it'll tell you, like
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: if you want to win three hundred bucks out of
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: your bed, it'll tell you how to split the bet
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: across the puck line or in this yeah, I mean
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: in his case the run line, but in our case
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: the puck line in this case, and the money line,
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: and tell you how much to risk on each part
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: of the bet, so that the amount that you win
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: on the smaller part of the bet is equal to
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: the amount that you risk on the larger part of
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: the bet, if that makes sense. So you're gonna be
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: putting more money on the favorite part of the bet,
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: which is the the puck line in this case on
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: the plus one and a half, and then a little
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: bit less on the money line, and then if they
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: win by exactly one, the bet will be a push.
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: Basically in this case, you could set it up in
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: a different way where you do the split a little
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: bit differently, like I talk about sometimes almost like a
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: half and half type of thing, but sometimes you wind
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: up putting more money at risk that way. But you
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: can do that and then sometimes if they lose by
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: exactly one, you'll come out with a slight win. But
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: whichever way you want to do it, I mean, I
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: would recommend doing something like that with Pittsburgh, or if
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: you want to do the whole thing, puck line, or
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: even do the whole thing just on a huge money
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: line price and just take the shot on the money line.
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: You could do that too, juicy odds. That is correct, Yeah,
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: I mean you're getting Pittsburgh is a big underdog. Part
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: of my hesitation though, is that there's a reason why
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh is that big of an underdog, Like the osmakers
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: are still telling you, despite what these records look like
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: right now, Florida is still the better team. But it
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: would be a spot play if you play Pittsburgh pit.
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: I think Florida is in a bad spot. Detroit they're
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: in a back to back. I think they're the only
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: team playing today that's in a back to back, although
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: I might be wrong about that, but they lost yesterday.
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: They hadn't lost since their opener against Montreal. They had
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: won five games in a row, finally lost a game
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: to Buffalo yesterday. We had that right on the show.
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: Now they got to travel to New York, Well to
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: the Islanders who play in I believe they're playing Queens now.
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: I think I got that wrong. I was wondering if
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: they were playing in Brooklyn now. They used to play
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: at the Nasau County Coliseum. I think they have a
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: new stadium now. I believe it's in Queens. So they're
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: actually in one of the New York City borrows now,
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: even though the Islanders are supposed to be that team
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: that kind of catered to the rich Long Islanders. But whatever,
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: Detroit maybe a little bit of a bad spot because
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: when you lose a wind streak like that sometimes it
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: will hang you over a little bit. Again, they don't
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: have a day off here, so I don't know what
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: they're gonna do with their goaltending situation. Was Gibson again yesterday.
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: Talbot may even be hurt right now. I don't know
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: what's going on with Detroit's goaltending, to be honest and
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: looking at I mean, I have the starting goalies up here,
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: by the way, I don't know if it like it
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: looks like Pittsburgh is gonna go with Silovs potentially in
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: their game against Pebrovski for Florida, So it would be
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: a second string goalie for Pittsburgh in that case, although
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: I don't think either Pittsburgh goalie is good at all.
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: I don't know what other g Did I talk about
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: another game already or was that it? And I think
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: I talked about one of the No, I think that
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: was the only game I talked about so far. I'm
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: all messed up this morning, as I usually am because
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: I never sleep. Uh yeah, So in this game, by
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: the way, the Islanders look like they're actually uh they
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: already confirmed that Ridditch, their second string goalie, is playing here,
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: So somebody keep in mind it looks like Talbot is
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: slated for Detroit. Ridditch has already confirmed for the Islanders here.
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: Islanders coming in. Well, they're staying at home off of
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: a win against San Jose. And win against Jose. They
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: beat that guy, my former co host on Tower Gang.
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: The Islanders have won three in a row. I told
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: you they were not as bad as their own three
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: record would tell you. They've had a somewhat difficult schedule
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: so far. They're coming off a win over San Jose.
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: Nobody really cares about that. San Jose the only remaining
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: winless team in hockey, of course, so the spot does
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: set up better for the Islanders here. I think they
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: will be focused with the Red Wings coming into their
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: place here. Lean to the Islanders in this one. The
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: money is agreeing with it. Detroit seventy one percent of
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: the tickets on them, Islanders seventy three percent of the cash.
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: The money line dropped a little bit for minus one
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: forty to minus one thirty five some. I mean, some
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: of the reason the money is on the Islanders is
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: because of the back to back situation, but it's definitely
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: not to be overlooked. I agree with the money in
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: that one. I would if I was gonna play it,
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: I would play Islander's money line in that one. J C.
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: What's up man? Thanks for hanging out high to everybody.
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: How far will the Spurs go this year? That depends
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: on Wimba remaining healthy because he had that ridiculous health
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: scare last year. He was awesome last night. He had
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: I think he had forty points and sixteen rebounds last
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: night or something like that. He's one of the best
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: players in the league. Dude, he's so good. And I
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: got that one right with my lean. San Antonio absolutely
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: embarrassed Dallas last night. I'm not mad about that because
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: I do not like Dallas's ownership at all. Cooper Flag
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: had no points in the first half, although I think
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: he wound up with a double double. But yeah, I mean,
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: Dallas they're gonna be good though still san Antonio still not,
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: probably not as good as Dallas. But san Antonio, they're
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: sneaky right now because they haven't they haven't been at
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: that level for a long time now, so they're gonna
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: sneak up on some people for a while. Maybe after
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: last night, though, the league is kind of unnoticed and
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: you might start You're gonna it's gonna reach a point
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: where you're not gonna get as much value on san
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: Antonio anymore. Last night I thought there was maybe I
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: should have made it a play big ESPN game last
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: night too. Dallas. Yeah, Dallas doesn't have a point guard
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: because yeah, they don't have Kyrie anymore. Right, so I
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: don't where is Kyrie. I don't even know where he went. Yeah,
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: I mean they were using Flag as a point guard.
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: Flag is a flag is a forward, but they were,
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: but they were using him as a point guard. I
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: don't know, man, it doesn't make a whole lot of sense.
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: They don't have ball distribution there and ps stored on
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: the balls, of course, and they were they had no
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: they had no piss. The piss was taken out of
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: them last night by San Antonio. Utah Saint Louis is
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: an interesting game as well. Here Kyrie is back. He's
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: not even listed on their depth chart right now, though.
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: I don't think it seems like he should at least
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: be listed on the depth chart but out. But I
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: guess if he's inactive, maybe you don't just show up
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: on the depth chart. I don't know. Utah Saint Louis.
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: Utah is pretty clearly in a letdown spot. They're off
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: to a really nice start at five and two, maybe
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: just feeling good playing with the new nickname the MAMF
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: although they faced a pretty easy schedule so far, so
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're as good as the five and
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: two record when indicate, but the market has been lining
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: in them as a heavy favor in a lot of
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: these games, although again partially because they're playing bad teams.
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: They just beat Colorado, though they got revenge against Colorado,
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: which is one of their two losses on the season.
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: Huge overtime when that was two days ago could be
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: a letdown spot. They have to go out on the
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: road face Saint Louis, although Saint Louis is another pretty
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: solid team, so maybe they won't totally overlook Saint Louis.
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: They do have Minnesota up next to I feel like
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: Minnesota to like kind of attracts more attention than Saint
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: Louis does, although Minnesota doesn't have a very good record
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: right now, and then after that they have Winnipeg Edmonton.
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: This is a difficult road trip, so because of the
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: difficulty of it, I almost want to say that maybe
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: Utah will actually try to be focused for this game.
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: I just have some reservations about it. But my leaning
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: this one would still be to fade Utah though, just
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: because that was a crazy win man overtime win over Colorado,
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: a quick in season revenge. Colorado one of the best
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: teams in hockey. I believe Colorado still does not even
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: have a regulation loss. That was a big win for Utah.
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: Man Saint Louis, though they're coming off a pretty tough
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: game themselves, they lost in overtime to the Kings, but
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: they are staying at home. Seems like a better setup
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: for Saint Louis. So that is the way that I
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: will lean in this game though, even though they're again
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: they're coming off a couple of big games as well themselves.
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I mean Utah, you gotta think that they
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: are indeed in a letdown spot here. Just I think
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: that was a pretty monumental win for then the money
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: seems to be disagreeing and coming in someone on the
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: Utah side, even though Utah is public as well, because
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: they've started off so hot eighty five percent of tickets,
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: ninety four percent of the cash on Utah, Saint Louis
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: just sitting in a minus one twenty favorite. But the
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: other thing about this is that line alone kind of
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: tells you something because the fact that Utah's five and
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: two in Saint Louis is only three two and one, Well,
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: why would Saint Louis be a favorite? Right? I mean, yeah,
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: they're at home, But the odds makers are telling you
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: they're like basically even with Utah because the minus one
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: twenty is basically like the default like just for home ice.
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: So the odds makers are telling you something with that
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: line that these teams are evenly matched pretty much. So yeah,
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: I will lean to Saint Louis in that game. It
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: would be a public fade if you do agree with
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: that one. I don't know. I don't know if I
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: want to talk about too many of these other games.
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: LA and Dallas is a big one. I mean, you
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: could shout out in another game if you want my
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: opinion on one of these other games. Otherwise I'll skip it.
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: I'll talk about all the big games. AMMI actual bets. Though.
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: Dallas started out three to zero and now they've lost
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: three games in a row, and I think they're gonna
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: be pissed. I mean, losing five to one to Columbus
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: at home, I mean that's just that's an embarrassing loss. Man,
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: So you've got to think Dallas is gonna show up
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: with a lot of focus here in this one. I
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: know they have Krol lineup next to just a big game,
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: but that's an out of conference game. You lose five
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: to one at home, you're gonna show up with some anger.
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: And that was with Oting during net too. Sometimes he
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: does have some lapses man. So I don't know if
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: I looked at the statue on that game of Dallas
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: got outplayed by Columbus. And now when Columbus one of
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: those teams, man that could beat anybody in the league
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: basically on any given game, although that's kind of the
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: nature of hockey, but Columbus they kind of seem to
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: be giant killers over the last couple of years. They
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: just have these really good games against good teams. LA
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: probably is gonna have to go with Forsburg and Net though,
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: because they use Kemper in their last game, although LA
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: has been kind of alternating between the two, even though
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: Kemper I'm pretty sure is there the top goaltender that
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: they have not Kempa. They have Kemper in NET and
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: then one of their best players is also Kempa or Kempy.
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: It's so ridiculous, man. But LA is coming off that
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: overtime win at Saint Louis. LA probably better than their
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: two three and two record would indicate they've had some
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: close calls against some good teams. They had a pretty
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: difficult schedule so far. A second straight road game here
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: though with one day off off an overtime game you
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: know they're gonna be focused though for Dallas, so I
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: think both teams are gonna show up focus. So then
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: it kind of comes down to which team is the
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: better team, which I would say is Dallas. Dallas down
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: for minus what sixty two to minus one forty five
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: on the money line. I don't know what prompted that move,
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: because it looks like Dallas is public and getting professional
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: action as well. Eighty three percent that tickets, ninety eight
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on them. I would agree with
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: the Dallas side in this one, just because when it
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: comes down to two teams where you think they're both
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: going to be focused, I kind of lean to which
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: team is the better team, which is Dallas. And if
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: you do like that side, you're getting a bit of
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: a cheaper price on them. Now. That would be my
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: lean in that one. It's not strong, but that's an
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: opinion there. Sharks getting their first win against the Rangers.
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: Let me look at that game. I looked at it
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: earlier San Jose. I mean, they're in the middle of
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: a road trip. They did just almost beat the New
• 19:24
  Speaker 1: York Islanders. It'll be Na Dalkovich back in net for
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: San Jose. Although I don't know if that really matters.
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: Askarov has been worse though, basically than Nadlkovich, so he
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: I mean, Dalkovic is the better of their two goalies
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: at least, I don't know, man. I mean, they're winless teams, though,
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: you know that you're probably gonna get effort out of
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: them every single game. It's just a matter of how
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: tired are they gonna be on any given game. Rangers
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: are coming off an ugly home loss though, which was
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: in a return home spot, and they've had multiple days off,
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: so probably you'll get Shastark in the net again. He
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: had the day off on Saturday, so he's only played
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: one game in the last like week basically, so I
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: think he's probably gonna play again here. Uh So their
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: better goalie will be a net for the Rangers, better
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: rest spot for the Rangers. I don't think they're gonna
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: overlook San Jose right now because they don't have huge
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: games coming up. I know they start a road trip,
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: but they got a few days off. Calgary is their
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: first opponent on the road trip. One of the worst
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: teams in hockey, even though San Jose is the absolute worst,
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: I would say I think the Rangers win this game
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: coming off an ugly loss like that. Rangers are a
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: big favorite. Although the money has kind of come in
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: against them. That looks like a little bit. They drop
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: from minus two to eighty to minus two fifty eight,
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: but eighty three percent of the tickets ninety nine percent
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: of the cash. I don't think that cash percent percentage
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: is accurate. Rangers are obviously a public side. I don't
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: think the Rangers lose that game, though, I mean, obviously
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: it's possible in hockey. I mean, the you never have
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: like a massive favorite in hockey. Really, the biggest favorite
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: today is bigger than that though, just Tampa Bay against Chicago.
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: Big mismatch now in Tampa Bay better than the record
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: indicates money coming in on Tampa Bay, by the way,
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: for what it's worth, even though they're a massive favorite. Yeah,
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: I mean, I think the Rangers are in the spot
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: where they will actually show up and play. So yeah,
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: I mean, I think the Rangers probably do win Carolina
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: at Colorado. Big game here, man. I mean, these maybe
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: are the two best teams in hockey right now. I
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: know I said Dallas is one of them. I still
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: think Dallas is, but Dallas not a great record. Carolina
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: finally took their first loss at Vegas last time on
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: a Monday. Sometimes, again, when a team takes their first loss,
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: it hangs them over a little bit into the next game.
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: Carolina's had a somewhat easy schedule so far too, although
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: I still think they're really good. But now off of
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: that Vegas loss could be hung over a little bit.
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: I know they have two days off, but have to
• 21:53
  Speaker 1: travel into elevation. Seems like a little bit of a
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: difficult spot for Carolina. They'll probably have Anderson back in
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: net again, who they're better goaltender over Bussy. So Anderson,
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: with a couple of days off, probably will be back
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: in net again for this one, especially because it's a
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: big game. Colorado I believe the only team remaining that
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: doesn't have a regulation loss yet. But they took an
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: overtime loss to Utah two days ago, Like I said,
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: a one game trip to Utah, and now they're coming
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: back home. I expect Colorado to be focused here. They
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: just lost a win streak as well, but they did
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: already have one other loss this year. Crazy that Wedgewood
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: has played every game in net for Colorado. I think
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: they might be the only team that's had the same
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: goaltender in every single game this season so far. He's
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: a grinder, I guess, man, So I think the spot
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: does set up a little bit better for Colorado. And
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: that one, I think the Carolina taking their first loss,
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: I think might be might set up a little bit
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: more of a hangover. I know Colorado has one fewer
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: day off and they're traveling back, but it's only from Utah.
• 22:58
  Speaker 1: Colorado's minus one thirty. Faith they're taking some of the
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: money seventy eight percent of tickets, ninety percent of the cash.
• 23:04
  Speaker 1: I won't disagree with it. I'll slightly lean to Colorado
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: in that one. Also, you know, the better team at
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: home sometimes the way you want to look Montreal at
• 23:13
  Speaker 1: Edmonton the big Canadian matchup here. Edmonton not off to
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: a great start at three three and one. They did
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: just finally break a three game loss Streek with an
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: overtime win at Ottawa. However, they're returning home from a
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: road trip, and they are playing a fourth game in
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: six days, all in different cities. This is a jammed
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: schedule for them, man. They're also playing a fifth game
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: in eight days and a six game in ten days.
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: All in different cities, so they have a really tightly
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: backed schedule right now. I don't think it's a good
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: spot for Edmonton, man, even though you might get up
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: for a game against the name Montreal, a return home
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: from a long road trip like that, I always talk
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: about it. It's difficult. You have to get back to
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: home life, you have stuff to do. It can be
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: a bit of a distraction. I know the game up
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: next actually probably means less than this game does, but
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: they actually have to go back out on the road
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: to face Seattle on Saturday, so they don't even have
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: that much time at home to get stuff done that
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: they have to get at home. So I think they
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: could be distracted here. It might be a spot where
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: they're rushed at home. So I prefer Montreal and this
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: one of the Montreals off to a good start six
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: and two. They're on the rise right now. They might
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: draw Edmonton's focus for that reason. Montreal's not had the
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: most difficult schedule so far. They faced some pretty bad
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: teams for the most parts, so they're probably not quite
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: as good as this record would indicate. They're pretty good, though.
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: They'll have Montembo back in net here because DoBeS played
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: the last two games in net for them, so they're better.
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: Goalie should be back in net for this one, but
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: they played yesterday, so that is I forgot. They're also
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: on a back to back going from Calgary to Edmonton,
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: so difficult spot for both teams. Montreal had to play
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: an overtime yesterday, but they had to go into overtime
• 24:55
  Speaker 1: to beat a bad Calgary team, So I kind of
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: think Montreal may have been more focused on this Edmonton
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: game here, even though I think I kind of said
• 25:03
  Speaker 1: I somewhat lead to Montreal in that game. Yeah, started
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: with Montreal. If you look at the stats in that game,
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: Calgary outplayed them. It was a spot where it looks
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: like Montreal didn't show up and they still somehow escaped
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: with a win in that one. I kind of expect
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: a better performance out of Montreal here, even though they
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: aren't a back to back. They' at least have a
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: arrested goalie. I'll slightly lead to Montreal in this game.
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: Edmonton huge favorite, though, which is kind of telling you
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: something of a three to three team or whatever is
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: a huge favorite against a five to two team. The
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: osbrekers telling you Edmonton is the way better team here.
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: So that is something you have to take notice of
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: when the osbregers are telling you something different than what
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: the records say right now, seventy three percent to take
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: it's ninety eight percent of the cash on Edmonton, but
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: they did drop from minus two forty to minus two eighteen,
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: so I have some There are some factors that kind
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: of point you in both directions here, although I think
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: the return home spot for Edmonton is the worst part
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: of it, Like that's the most significant factor. So I
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: would lean to maybe grabbing a puck line with Montreal
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: if you want to do that. That's just an opinion.
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: They'll lean in that game. Let's go to the best bets.
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: It'll already be best bets. We got to talk about
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: two NBA games and college football game that sucks in
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: an NFL game. Best bets here. One of them is
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: gonna be the Anaheim Ducks, which I think you already knew.
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: We're gonna go right back to the well with the
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: Ducks again. I think this is gonna be the third
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: time that I've given out a play in the Ducks
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: and they're one and one so far. We got to
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: get all our Ducks in a row here, man, But
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: I don't like the spot for the Bruins at all.
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: The Bruins, I mean, I've been saying they're maybe not
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: as bad as people projected them to be this year.
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: They started out three and zero and they haven't won since.
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: They're not very good. I mean, the oddsbeakers are telling
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: you that the Bruins are actually worse than Anaheim. With
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: the Bruins not even getting a full home ice advantage
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: on the line here, they're down for minus one fifteen,
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: up for minus one fifteen of minus one nineteen on
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: the money line. Excuse me, so you can get a
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: pretty decent underdog money line price. You can get Anaheim
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: as an underdog in this one still fifty ticket sixty
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: two percent of the cash on Anaheim. So the money
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: looks like it is somewhat on the Anaheim side. And
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: obviously I agree with it. I mean, you know what
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: I'm about to say pretty much because I already mentioned it.
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: The Bruins. They're coming off that really really contested game
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: against Florida. Bruins put in a lot of effort in
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: that game, man. They overcame a two to off the
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: Depticon in the third period, tied. The game wound up
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: being three to three late and the Bruins basically were
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: about to send the game into overtime at the very least,
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: and they lost on an own goal at the end
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: of the game, which is something you almost never see
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: in hockey. I mean, it's bad enough in soccer, but
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: it's ridiculous. Man. It was a situation where Florida took
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: a shot on net, Swayman made the save, it ricocheted out,
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: and then it bounced off of somebody on the Bruins peak.
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: I think or Peaky, I get him confused with geeky.
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: I think it was him though, went off his stick
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: and back into the net, and Swayman was not expecting it,
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: not ready for it. Bruins scored the game winner for Florida.
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: Absolutely ridiculous. I don't know how you pick yourself back
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: up off the mat after a game like that, man,
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: I mean, that was the game the Bruins wanted. Always
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: huge when they play Florida. I mean Florida again, the
• 28:17
  Speaker 1: team that's eliminated them two of the last three years
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: from the playoffs. Huge game, and now they have Anaheim
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: comeing in. I mean, are they're really gonna get up
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: for Anaheim. I know, when you've lost five games in
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: a row, you do want to get up for a
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: game and try to end that loss streak. But I
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: think it's gonna be difficult after that game against Florida,
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: and yeah, I know it was a return home spot,
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: which is kind of a bad spot. And I do
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: a lot of times say that when a team returns
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: home from a road trip and they play bad in
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: that first game, they actually refocus and play better in
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: the next game. But I don't think that's the case
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: here because I think they were focused in that game
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: against Florida. I mean, it's Florida, so you're gonna show
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: up and try to win that game. They did, I
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: mean they showed up. I mean the way the loss
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: was absolutely brutal. They have this Anaheim team that just
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: really I don't think matters that much, and they got
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: Colorado coming to town Saturday, which is a bigger game
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: as well. I mean, at this point, I think you're
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: probably gonna get more focused out of the Bruins on
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: their better I mean, usually that is the case. You're
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: gonna get more focused out of a team where they're
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: playing a better team. I think they might overlook Anaheim
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: here man. I mean, even though Anaheim has a winning record,
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: people don't consider them to be a good team, which
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: they're not. It is probably gonna be a swayming and
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: net again though for the Bruins. Let me see what
• 29:29
  Speaker 1: do we have list? He's projected to be the goalie
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: right now and Dostele is projected to be or Doostal
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: is projected to be the goalie for Anaheim. Again, he
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: is their better goalie, although he's not that good, but
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: he's played all but one game so far for them.
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: Possible they rest him here, but I don't know. Man.
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: Anaheim's coming in with a little bit of momentum. They're
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: in the middle of a road trip. They've had some
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: easy opponents on the road trip so far. They beat Nashville,
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: which that was a win for US as well. Two
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: days ago. Gave out Anaheim in that one. I gave
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: out Anaheim in their last two games and they went
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: one in one. Like I said, I think it's an
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: alright spot for them. I mean they're continuing the road trip.
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: I mean Boston because they're an original six team. I
• 30:08
  Speaker 1: think you do get up when you go on the
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: road to play Boston. They have a little bit of momentum,
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: newfound momentum after beating Nashville to break a two game
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: loss Streek that they had. It sets up better for Anaheim.
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: It's mostly just a really bad spot for the Bruins
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: in my opinion, basically a sandwich spot. I think it's
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: a hangover spot. Anaheim will be the play there, and
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: then the other play is going to be a split
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: bet on the Philadelphia Flyers, partially on the plus one
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: and a half puck line at minus one seventy five,
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: which I think is the best you can find underdog
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: money line as well at plus one forty for the
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: other part of it. The split is almost like two
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: thirds on the pocket line and one third on the
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: money line. It's close to that. But I showed you
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: the odds calculator on it. If you want to get
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: it exact, so you can get an exact minus one
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: or plus one in this case of puck line on it.
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: That's the way that I've done it here. So if
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia loses, my one will get a push on this one.
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: This is against Ottawa. If you want to just go
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: money line, you can do that too. I mean, you
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: can play them with the plus one to forty money
• 31:07
  Speaker 1: line for the entire bet and put less money at
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: stake on the game, but doing it the way that
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: I've done it here, it's basically you're putting the same
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: amount that you put on like a normal spread bet
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: or whatever, onto this actually still slightly less. So I'm
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: fine with doing it this way either way. I think
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: it's fine if you want to just go money line
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: sometimes I will recommend that too. You can do that too.
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: You'll need them to win to win the bet, though,
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: obviously on the road, but I think the spot is
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: pretty bad for Ottawa on this one, although I think
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: it is gonna be a Omark again in net for them.
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: He is their better goalief. Ladar looks like he's at
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: least projected to be the Flyers goalie here. He's their
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: better goalie. They got him over from Calgary. I believe
• 31:48
  Speaker 1: Omark's played three games in a row, though, and he
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: played two days ago in a big game against Edmonton
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: that went into overtime, So it is possible that Olmark
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: does actually get get the seat in this game because
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: he played three games in a row to start the
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: season and then they use Meri lane in one game,
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: which was Ottawa's worst game of the season. They lost
• 32:06
  Speaker 1: eight to four to a bad Buffalo team. So maybe
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: the trend is that they're gonna use Meri lane and
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: in this one, and if they do, he might not
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: be that good man, but I think it's a bad
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: spot for Ottawa either way. So I actually I'm gonna
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: recommend this play regardless of who their goalie is. But
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: if they pull all Mark, I mean, if they start
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: Merrill Lane, and I mean, I think you're gonna see
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: the money line move a little bit towards Philadelphia, although
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: not too much. And I think it's better for this
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: play if that happens still, and it might happen, so
• 32:35
  Speaker 1: I would still get on it now maybe and you'll
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: get a better number on it. And then if they
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: do that, it's just kind of a bonus that you
• 32:41
  Speaker 1: get to face their backup goalie. Even if Olmark does start,
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: he might be a little bit fatigued that. I mean,
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: they're coming up of a big overtime game against Edmonton.
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: Man's it's a big game whenever you play Edmonton, especially
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: for Canadian team like Outaw, And now they have this
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: pretty bad Philadelphia team coming in and up next, they
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: got to go on this one game road trip to
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: Washington on Saturday. Big game man Washington. They were the
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: top team in the Eastern Conference last year. That's a
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: game that I think is gonna draw more focus as well.
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: So I think it's basically a sandwich spot for Ottawa here.
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia coming in with some momentum. I know they've been
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: winning record, though I don't think they're still gonna be
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: considered by opponents to be that good. But they have
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: two days off, which hopefully won't hurt their momentum. I
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: think they're gonna show up for it. It's a single
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: game trip that they're taking to Ottawa here, but because
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: it is Ottawa and Autawa is a pretty decent team,
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: I think Philadelphia will show up for it. They got momentum.
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: They won the last two games. One was a win
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: for US as well against Seattle. Was a bad spot
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: for Seattle on Monday, So Philadelphia is gonna be the
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: more rested team coming into this one. To some extent,
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: I think they will travel and show up for this
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: one with a little bit of momentum right now. I
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: think it's a much better spot for them. It's a
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: bad spot for Ottawa. Yeah, I mean that's the play Philadelphia.
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: Ottawa has seventy four percent of ticket, it's only fifty
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: two of the cash, so the money is agreeing with
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: the Philadelphia side in this one, even though Ottawa did
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: move up a little bit for minus one fifty five
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: to minus win fifty seven. Uh they're not a huge
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: money line favorite here. Uh So in a way, it's
• 34:14
  Speaker 1: like it almost looks too easy to play auto in
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: some fashion here. But bad spot for them. I think
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia is the right side. That's where we're going with
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: that one. Hopefully that makes sense. A Flyers hater, yeah,
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: I mean I'm not a huge fan of the Flyers still.
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: I mean I didn't like their you know, the just
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: the the old school Flyers or they're I mean, I
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: like teams that like beat beat other people up, but
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: the Flyers were like going out with like intent to injure,
• 34:45
  Speaker 1: wasn't a fan of any of that shit back in
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: like the seventies and whatever. I mean, I wasn't alive yet.
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: But I mean I'm not a fan of Philly sports
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: in general. But yeah, I mean part of the reason
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: why I don't like them is because the Bruins blue
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: with three nothing series lead in a playoff series against
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: the Flyers at one point too, and the Flyers had
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: what was his name one of the Flyers players intentionally injured. God,
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: I can't remember any names anymore, intentionally injured. Who was
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: that player on the Bruins. He was one of their
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: better players, Mark Savard, Right, I'm pretty sure it was savarred.
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: The Flyers intentionally injured him, could cust him, and they
• 35:25
  Speaker 1: ended his career basically like in the middle of the playoffs.
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: Just some total bullshit fuck the Flyers. But yeah, we're
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: going with them in this game for sure. Sob what's up? Man?
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: You have Rangers puck line? What are we talking about?
• 35:40
  Speaker 1: You have three different lines there on that one. You
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: played three different puck lines on the Rangers. You think
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: it's a buzz saw Rangers angry team. I agree with
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: the Rangers in that one to some degree. I mean,
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: however you want to set it up. Man, I don't
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: think they're gonna win by three and a half goals necessarily.
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: I mean, I think they'll win the game. I mean,
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: the minus one and a half puck line makes sense
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: to me. I mean, if I was gonna play, that
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: game would probably be just that. I don't know, man,
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: but you're getting probably an underdog price on those other
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: games there. Let's go to the NBA. We have two
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: games in the NBA. I'm gonna skip thunder Pacers for
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: the moment because that's my play. Nuggets and Warriors is
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: the night game. The Nuggets have not played yet the
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: Warriors have, so sometimes I talk about this were when
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: a team has already played once in the regular season
• 36:31
  Speaker 1: that could give them a little bit of momentum, like
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: if they got the win, which of course the Warriors did,
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: but it was a big win. It was a win
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: at LA. Man, it was a highly publicized season opener,
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: it was on ESPN. It was an isolated game. They
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: went in, they beat LA. I know it was La
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: without Lebron, but that's still a big game when you
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: go in and you beat the Lakers on the road.
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: I thought the Lakers were the right side in that game,
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: and that didn't happen. So yeah, the Warriors do have
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: a game under their belt, which sometimes can give you
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: a momentum and it can kind of take that pressure
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: off of you a little bit. But they're coming on
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: a big game, and yes, this is also gonna be
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: a big game against Denver. Denver it's their a season
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: opener though, so you know they're gonna show up as well,
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: and it'll help with their travel situation because it's the
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: season opener, so they don't have to worry about traveling
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: between multiple games. Warriors have flipped from a one and
• 37:20
  Speaker 1: a half point dog to a two point favorite in
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: this one. Money coming in on Denver though. Sixty five
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: percent of the ticket seventy five percent of the cash
• 37:27
  Speaker 1: on Denver, so the money is kind of coming in
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: on the Denver side. I don't know what we have
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: for like injury issues here, like as far as like
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: why would why would the line of flipped like that
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: to the Warriors being a two point favorite. I don't
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: see any huge injury issues here with Denver. It looks
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: like they're pretty much intact. They got a lot of
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: their guys from last year still there. Of course they
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: have Jokic, Gordon Murray, those guys are all still there.
• 37:51
  Speaker 1: Still a solid Denver team, man. I mean, Denver should
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: be another It should be another year where Denver is
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: in the mix for potentially winning the conference. Golden State
• 37:59
  Speaker 1: also pretty good team. They're gonna be without Moody and
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: Melton in this one. Moody I think missed the first
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: game too. I don't think it really mattered that much.
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: So they basically are almost fully intact for Golden State there,
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: but could be a little bit of a letdown for
• 38:16
  Speaker 1: Golden State, although it is also their home opener because
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: they played on the road, so Golden State might still
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: get up for this game. They're only traveling in the
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: Pacific times, and it's a tough game to read. Man,
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: the money is saying the Nuggets, and maybe I slightly
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: agree with that, just because I don't know why the
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: line flipped and moved the Warriors to a two point
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: favorite like this, and the Warriors are coming off a
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: big game, and yes, this is also a big game too,
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: so that's kind of my hesitation with giving out like
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: any sort of play on this, I'll slightly agree with
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: the market and lean to the Nuggets in this one,
• 38:47
  Speaker 1: but it's not strong Jazz blowout win. Yeah, I mean,
• 38:53
  Speaker 1: you're probably gonna want to look to fade the Jazz
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: in their next game. They're not actually good, although I
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: like Ace Bailey, but he barely played in the game.
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: I don't know who. I don't even remember who they beat,
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: to be honest, but it's I think it's probably just
• 39:07
  Speaker 1: a weird outlier. The Jazz are not actually good. Karl
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: Anthony Towns did play. Yeah, I was wrong about that game.
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: I wasn't. I mean I thought that he was still
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: gonna play because he was day to day. But I
• 39:20
  Speaker 1: thought the Cavs would come out and win that game,
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: and that they did not, although the game was fairly close.
• 39:25
  Speaker 1: I think you know what I'm gonna do here, man,
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: The play is gonna be on the Pacers plus seven
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: and a half. I think we're getting some value on
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: this one, Oklahoma City. I mean, first of all, obviously
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: this is a revenge game, and this is the type
• 39:38
  Speaker 1: of revenge that matters. I mean, not only were the
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: Thunder the team that ended the Pacer season, but I
• 39:45
  Speaker 1: mean the Pacers. I mean, this is the last team
• 39:48
  Speaker 1: the Pacers played in a game that meant anything, the
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: last time the Pacers played in any game, because they
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: haven't played yet this year. They were losing to the
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: Thunder in Game seven, I believe in losing the series.
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: So this is a huge game for the Pacers. You
• 40:02
  Speaker 1: know they're gonna show up. They're gonna want revenge here,
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: and we don't need them to win. We only need
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: them to cover this number. Yes, the Pacers were without Haliburton,
• 40:09
  Speaker 1: which is part of the reason why this line is
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: so big. Yeah, they're without their best player, but I
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: mean they played without him at the end of the
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: postseason last year, they played without him before. I know
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: it's a blow to them, but of course it's being
• 40:21
  Speaker 1: factored into the line. I think they're gonna show up
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: with a lot of motivation here anyway. Man, They're gonna
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: want to try to exact a little bit of revenge
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: here Thunder after beating them in the I know the
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: Pacers took them to seven, and the Pacers looked a
• 40:37
  Speaker 1: lot better than we expected in that final series. I
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: think it went to seven games, right, it did. I
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: believe it did, because I think I want some money
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: on I had Thunder. I took them at a good
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: price to win the series when they were losing the series.
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: I played them on the money line to still win
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: the series as a smaller favorite, and then I believe
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: I had the Thunder in Game two. In that series,
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: they lost Game one inexplicably, and then I had them
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: in one of the other games, I think, or maybe
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: I actually didn't have them in the last game. Maybe
• 41:07
  Speaker 1: I just left it alone with the money line play.
• 41:11
  Speaker 1: I can't remember. Those are the only games I actually
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: bet since I stopped betting, though, But the Thunder, if
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: you remember, in that series, I think they were about
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: like a somewhere around like a four and a half
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: point favorite against the Pacers in the road games in
• 41:24
  Speaker 1: that series for the most part. Now there's seven and
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: a half. Obviously, part of it is because of Haliburton
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: not being there, but I still think there might be
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: some value on the Pacers here. I think they're gonna
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: show up. You're gonna get a full effort out of them.
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: They haven't played yet in the regular season. Meanwhile, Oklahoma
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: City's coming off of grueling double overtime game. I know
• 41:44
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma City was a huge favorite here, but that was
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: their home opener, their season opener, double overtime against Houston.
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: Houston is a pretty physical team. They're a big team.
• 41:54
  Speaker 1: They played defense. Coming off a game like that that
• 41:58
  Speaker 1: lasted multiple overtimes and was fit, I think it's a
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: bad spot man. And now, Okay, see has to travel.
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: I mean, I know you do want to get the
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: road trip off on the right foot. But that was
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: a big game in their opener, man, I think that
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: game maybe meant more to Oklahoma City than this game does.
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: And uh, this game is going to mean a lot
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: to Indiana. I mean, obviously Indiana has this circled. They
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: get a chance of revenge right away to start the season,
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: even though yeah, Oklahoma City does have a win under
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: their belt. Yes, they almost lost as a favorite. So
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: sometimes I want to look to me on a team
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: that had a close call as a favorite and a
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: team that already played a game because they get that
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: out of the way. But in this case, I am
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: not going to do that. Yeah, I mean, I just
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: think because of the game was just so grueling and
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: the spot is going to be like a huge motivational
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: spot for Indiana. I will take the points with Indiana here.
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: Fifty three percent of tickets, fifty one percent of the
• 42:50
  Speaker 1: cash on Oklahoma City, so they're the public ish side
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: and more of the money looks like it is coming
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: in on the plus seven and a half. That's gonna
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: be the NBA play there, Pacers. Plus the points, you're
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: thinking Pacers. Yeah, I agree with that. I mean, it
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: doesn't really have to do with Oklahoma City not looking
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: that impressive, because when a team doesn't look impressive, I
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: want I tend to want to be on that team
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: if I know that they're actually good. Oklahoma City is
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: still like the best team in the league. Like, they're
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: the same team as last year, so they're certainly not unimpressive.
• 43:21
  Speaker 1: So I'm not gonna like put much weight into the
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: fact that they they didn't look good against Houston. Houston's
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: a pretty good team too. It was a season opener
• 43:30
  Speaker 1: coming off of winning the championship. I mean, I'm not
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: gonna put that much weight into it, but I just
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: think this spot it totally makes sense for the Pacers here.
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: Oh yeah, it was against the Clippers. The Clippers just
• 43:40
  Speaker 1: have weird outlier games. Man. They'll be really good in
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: one game and just absolutely horrendous in another game. Clippers
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: are a very hard hard team to handicap, maybe the
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: hardest team to handicap. Bailey is sick. I want them
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: to get better, man. I like Bailey. I I'm on
• 43:56
  Speaker 1: record basically saying that Bailey was the best, the best
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: player in this year's draft. I want to see him
• 44:02
  Speaker 1: get out there and play Hall Halliburn's now McConnell, TJ McConnell.
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: I believe his name is out as well Harden's. You
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: think Harden's sign and holmegridg should dominate because Pacer has
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: done at big. I mean, they have Seakam, but it's
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: a spot play man. I don't put as much weight
• 44:21
  Speaker 1: until like the what the matchup looks like. I think,
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: I mean, you're gonna have these the Thunder bigs whenever.
• 44:26
  Speaker 1: They're still gonna be tired coming in. The Bigs especially
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: are gonna be tired because the game was all Bigs
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: against Houston, Like you have to use your bigs against Houston.
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: Houston is the tallest team in the league. So yeah,
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: I mean, I think the Bigs are gonna be tired.
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: I don't care. I think the Pacers are the right
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: side here. Both teams are seem unprepared. I don't agree
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: with that. I think I don't know what happened in camp.
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: I don't really care. I mean, the Thunder just got
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: a big win. Pacers, like, I think they're just absolutely
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: gonna show up for this game. They're gonna be motivated.
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: They know how the Thunder play because they just had
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: a seven game series against them not that long ago,
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: so they're very familiar with them. So yeah, I mean,
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: preparation for both teams is actually gonna be easier in
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: this one because these teams just saw a ton of
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: each other not that long ago. But Oklahoma City is
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: the team that just played a grueling game already, and
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: Indiana is the team it's gonna want revenge. So but yeah,
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: I mean, you guys can disagree with that. I mean
• 45:23
  Speaker 1: that's fine. Well Jeffrey doesn't disagree with that, SOB does.
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: But I think it's the right side. I don't think
• 45:28
  Speaker 1: it's my strongest play out of the ones today, it
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: might be my weakest. Let's go to college football. This
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: game is pretty horrendous in the Sun Belt here South
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: Alabama and Georgia State. But it's somewhat interesting because we
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: look at what's going on with this We look at
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: the team's records. Both these teams are bad. They both
• 45:48
  Speaker 1: have one win, they're both one and six, they're both
• 45:50
  Speaker 1: winless in the Sun Belt. But the line is South
• 45:53
  Speaker 1: Alabama six and a half, So that kind of tells
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: you something like the oddsmakers are telling you South Alabama
• 45:59
  Speaker 1: is actually the same magnificantly better team here. Georgia State
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: is one of the worst teams in FBS. They're like
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: legitimately a one in six team. They suck, They suck bad.
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: Their only win was against Murray State, an FCS team.
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: They're coming out of a rivalry game too against Georgia Southern,
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: although I'll talk about that in a minute. But South Alabama, Yeah,
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: I mean they only have a win against an FCS
• 46:23
  Speaker 1: team as well against Morgan State, but they faced some
• 46:25
  Speaker 1: more difficult schedule. They faced Twulane, Auburn, North Texas. Those
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: are difficult teams. Troy actually isn't that bad either. South Alabama.
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: They've lost three games as a favorite. They lost to
• 46:37
  Speaker 1: US Coastal Carolina, Troy, and Arkansas State. I think they
• 46:40
  Speaker 1: were a favorite in every one of those games and
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: they lost them all. So South Alabama probably should be
• 46:45
  Speaker 1: better than this one and six record. They're not good,
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: but I think they're better than the record indicates. And
• 46:50
  Speaker 1: I talked about that Coastal Carolina game back when it happened.
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: It was a bad spot because South Alabama, you knew
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: they got up for a Auburn like an in state
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: big brother situation there. Huge game for South Alabama. They
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: played pretty competitively against Auburn, and they had North Texas
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: up next, so I think they just completely overlooked Coastal Carolina.
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: I think they were a double digit favorite in that game.
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: They lost the game outright, but it was a bad spot.
• 47:15
  Speaker 1: South Alabama on this losing streak here, but I believe
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: they're now, but they don't. They didn't have a buye
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: but they kind of have extra time off because they
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: haven't played since last Tuesday and last we saw them.
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: They looked awful again in primetime and they lost as
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: a favorite again against Arkansas State, who was not a
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: good team. Arkansas State's three and four, but they were
• 47:36
  Speaker 1: an eight and a half point underdog against South Alabama.
• 47:38
  Speaker 1: So the OSRIG are still telling you South Alabama actually
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: the better team out of these two. South Alabama they
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: did get outgained in the game, so it wasn't really
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: that misleading. But it was a bad game for South
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: Alabama and they have a little bit of extra rest
• 47:51
  Speaker 1: here because they played on Tuesday. So South Alabama coming
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: off a bad game as a favorite more rest than
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: what Georgia State has here. That's a decent spot for
• 48:01
  Speaker 1: South Alabama to actually show up and play a good
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: game here, and they're sneakily the significantly better team here.
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: Georgia State, they're pretty much as bad as they look,
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: and they're coming off of a rivalry game against Georgia
• 48:12
  Speaker 1: Southern and they played that on Saturday, so Georgia State
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: actually has a short turnaround time here. They've only been
• 48:19
  Speaker 1: off since Saturday, so they have a short week going
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: from Saturday to Thursday, which is pretty rare in college football.
• 48:25
  Speaker 1: Happens in the NFL obviously, but not in college football.
• 48:28
  Speaker 1: So the rest spot is pretty bad for Georgia State here,
• 48:31
  Speaker 1: and coming off of a rivalry game like that. I
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: know they're hosting this game on ESPN two. It's the
• 48:36
  Speaker 1: only college football game of the night, so they're probably
• 48:38
  Speaker 1: going to be pumped for it and get up for
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: it because they don't usually get an isolated game like
• 48:43
  Speaker 1: this and they get to host at home, so they
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: should be up for it for that reason. But South
• 48:48
  Speaker 1: Alabama's got a rest edge here. They're the better team,
• 48:51
  Speaker 1: they're coming off a game where they got embarrassed as
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: a favorite, so I think the spot lines up better
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: for South Alabama here for all all those reasons, even
• 49:00
  Speaker 1: though I hesitate a little bit because you're still looking
• 49:03
  Speaker 1: at a pretty bad South Alabama team laying points on
• 49:06
  Speaker 1: the road and Georgia State getting to host a primetime game,
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: which usually a team does get up for that, but
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: with the rest edge coming off an embarrassing losses of favorite,
• 49:16
  Speaker 1: I think South Alabama is probably the right side here.
• 49:19
  Speaker 1: Georgia State has seventy six percent of the tickets seventy
• 49:22
  Speaker 1: nine percent of the cash right now, but if I
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: was gonna play it, I would lay the points to
• 49:26
  Speaker 1: South Alabama. But another one of the problems with that
• 49:29
  Speaker 1: is that these teams are both really bad offensively. Their
• 49:32
  Speaker 1: offense has been terrible. Their offenses are offensive, uh, So
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: I think the under maybe worth a look here as well.
• 49:39
  Speaker 1: The money is uh indicating on the under pretty significantly,
• 49:43
  Speaker 1: fifty five percent of tickets on the over, eighty seven
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the under. The total did
• 49:47
  Speaker 1: go up from fifty four and a half to fifty five.
• 49:50
  Speaker 1: Kind of a high total because these teams defenses are
• 49:52
  Speaker 1: also pretty bad. But these are bad offenses, man, so
• 49:56
  Speaker 1: I don't know which one is gonna like win out
• 49:59
  Speaker 1: basically is the question. And like, these offenses are pretty inept,
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: so I don't know, man, I mean, are the offense
• 50:04
  Speaker 1: is gonna be able to get something going against bad defenses? Maybe?
• 50:08
  Speaker 1: And that's kind of the contrast that you have to
• 50:10
  Speaker 1: gauge here. But the money seems to be kind of
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: banking on the fact that both the offenses are putrid,
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: So maybe that will be the way this goes and
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: it will be just a horrendously ugly game. And of
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: course if it's a lower scoring game, it makes it
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: more difficult for road favorite like South Alabama to actually
• 50:27
  Speaker 1: cover that number. I'm not gonna touch this game. I
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: was right about Missouri State last night, by the way.
• 50:32
  Speaker 1: They were winning most of the game, although they blew
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: a ten point lead late and they wound up having
• 50:36
  Speaker 1: to win an overtime and escape. I'm not like sad
• 50:40
  Speaker 1: that I didn't give out Missouri State as a play.
• 50:42
  Speaker 1: They did win though, so I was right about it.
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: But it was close, although closer than probably it actually
• 50:49
  Speaker 1: was than the game. Actually the scoreboard made it look
• 50:52
  Speaker 1: closer than it actually was, I should say, But yeah,
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: lean to South Alabama and the under in this one.
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: But I don't want to do anything with it. NFL,
• 50:59
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna have a play. I actually like this game,
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: and it's gonna be on the Chargers minus three. It
• 51:06
  Speaker 1: looks like the minus three is mostly with juice. I
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: saw some weird numbers here with the books, Like, at
• 51:13
  Speaker 1: least in the Massachusetts books, you might have to go
• 51:15
  Speaker 1: offshore maybe to actually find a minus three with a
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: good number. I mean, I would probably go up to
• 51:20
  Speaker 1: about minus three minus one twenty on this rather than
• 51:23
  Speaker 1: having to lay the hook with a three and a half,
• 51:25
  Speaker 1: because three is of course a key number. I don't
• 51:28
  Speaker 1: know if you're gonna get like the straight three anymore. Here.
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: You might be able to find three at a decent price,
• 51:33
  Speaker 1: at least, though I saw some three and a halfs
• 51:36
  Speaker 1: at plus money. Though, so some of the books here
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: they're not willing to give up that key number and
• 51:40
  Speaker 1: go back to the three, and instead they're like, here,
• 51:43
  Speaker 1: lay three and a half at plus one oh five.
• 51:47
  Speaker 1: I mean, whatever, if you want to do that, if
• 51:48
  Speaker 1: you want to lay three and a half, I mean
• 51:50
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna say not to do it. Because I
• 51:53
  Speaker 1: like the Chargers in this game. I think this is
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: kind of misleading here. I think the Chargers are a
• 51:58
  Speaker 1: lot better than what than what they appear here to
• 52:00
  Speaker 1: be the last couple of weeks. They're a little bit
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: public seventy two percent of tickets with seventy nine percent
• 52:05
  Speaker 1: of the cash also coming in on the Chargers. So
• 52:08
  Speaker 1: it looks like the money's agreeing with the Chargers here.
• 52:11
  Speaker 1: Some of the money's coming on the over too, which
• 52:13
  Speaker 1: I think is actually helpful because if you want to
• 52:16
  Speaker 1: cover as a favorite, you kind of want some offense.
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: So hopefully that winds up being the case here, and
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: that means that Minnesota's defense might be not playing as
• 52:25
  Speaker 1: well in this game, because of course Minnesota, I mean,
• 52:29
  Speaker 1: they're better on the defensive side of the ball. We
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: know this, Uh they yeah, I mean they tend to
• 52:34
  Speaker 1: blitz quite a bit. They're good defense. Their offense is
• 52:37
  Speaker 1: definitely struggling, which is part of the handicap here is
• 52:40
  Speaker 1: I think Carson Wentz is gonna play again. And I
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: know there's that graphic out there Carson Wentz is seven
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: to zero in Thursday night games, I believe, or whatever
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: it was something like that, Is that right? Has he
• 52:51
  Speaker 1: played that many Thursday night games? I don't know, that
• 52:54
  Speaker 1: might be right, Something like that. Yeah, Carson Wentz like
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: does really well in like in that spot. I mean
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: that can only give you so much of the information,
• 53:03
  Speaker 1: Like this is a Thursday night game that's on the road,
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: and it's in a difficult spot for the Vikings, so
• 53:09
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna put that much weight into it. Yes,
• 53:11
  Speaker 1: I would probably rather fade the Vikings if JJ McCarthy
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: was back. I think this would be an even stronger
• 53:16
  Speaker 1: play if McCarthy was gonna play here, because I don't
• 53:20
  Speaker 1: think he's ready. I think he's the worst of the
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: two quarterbacks and it would be like that reverse injured
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: player spot where he's coming back and there has to
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: be that chemistry shift. So I would like this even
• 53:29
  Speaker 1: more if McCarthy was playing. But I'm still fine with
• 53:32
  Speaker 1: fading Wentz and this one Wentz is still not that good,
• 53:35
  Speaker 1: so we're gonna go against this Minnesota offense. Minnesota also
• 53:38
  Speaker 1: has not been able to run the football very well,
• 53:41
  Speaker 1: even though usually that they kind of were able to
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: do that. They're able to run the football, get some
• 53:45
  Speaker 1: short passes out to their receivers and whatever, but their
• 53:49
  Speaker 1: rushing attack has been pretty bad so far this year.
• 53:51
  Speaker 1: I believe they lost they're starting. Running back has been
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: out I think since the beginning, which is ig Yeah,
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: what's his name? He used to be on Green Bay.
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: I think they still have him, Aaron. I can't remember
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: anybody's name anymore. Man, whatever the hell is name is,
• 54:08
  Speaker 1: I think they still have him, and he's just been
• 54:10
  Speaker 1: out this whole time. So they're using Jordan Mason, who's
• 54:13
  Speaker 1: pretty good for the Niners last year, but he just
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: has not gotten it going. Aaron Jones is what I'm
• 54:17
  Speaker 1: thinking of, Aaron Jones. But yeah, so the Vikings have
• 54:20
  Speaker 1: kind of turned into a one dimensional offense and Wentz
• 54:22
  Speaker 1: hasn't even really been that good, although he did put
• 54:24
  Speaker 1: up a lot of passing against Philadelphia last week, but
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: I think part of it is because they were behind.
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: And yes, their passing attack will be a little bit
• 54:31
  Speaker 1: better with Addison, who I have on my fantasy team
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: back from suspension, but he's been back for a few
• 54:36
  Speaker 1: games now. Sure they have good wide receivers Addison Jefferson,
• 54:40
  Speaker 1: but I don't know if that's quite enough here. Man,
• 54:43
  Speaker 1: Minnesota's coming off a big game against Philadelphia on Sunday,
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: so I mean, you're always gonna get up when you
• 54:49
  Speaker 1: have the returning Super Bowl champs coming into your place,
• 54:52
  Speaker 1: and this is a pretty hard fought game. It was
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: a close game. Minnesota was within two early in the
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: fourth quarter, They're within one score for most of the game.
• 55:00
  Speaker 1: They wound up losing by one score in the end.
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: Tough game, well played by Minnesota. Minnesota actually outgained Philadelphia
• 55:07
  Speaker 1: but lost the turnover battle. They had way more first
• 55:10
  Speaker 1: down so Minnesota actually played better than what it looks
• 55:13
  Speaker 1: like on the scoreboard. But that's a huge game against Philadelphia.
• 55:16
  Speaker 1: Now they have to go on the road to face
• 55:17
  Speaker 1: an out of conference opponent, and I talk about this,
• 55:20
  Speaker 1: the road out of conference game is the game that
• 55:22
  Speaker 1: means the least on your schedule because it has the
• 55:24
  Speaker 1: least effect on the tie breakers at the end of
• 55:27
  Speaker 1: the season. So coming off huge game against Philly, they
• 55:30
  Speaker 1: have to go out on the road to LA. I
• 55:31
  Speaker 1: know it's an isolated primetime game, but that can only
• 55:35
  Speaker 1: give you so much motivation in a spot like this.
• 55:38
  Speaker 1: It's a late game. So you have Minnesota, who's a
• 55:40
  Speaker 1: central time zone team, having to go out west, which
• 55:43
  Speaker 1: is also a pretty difficult spot. And I faded Minnesota
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: when they played at the LA Rams last year. If
• 55:48
  Speaker 1: you remember on a Thursday night it was I think
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: it was this exact same week of the year. It
• 55:52
  Speaker 1: was right around this time of year. Minnesota had to
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: go out to the Rams. The public was all over
• 55:57
  Speaker 1: the Vikings and that when the Vikings looked really good
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: and they I mean they didn't totally lay an egg,
• 56:03
  Speaker 1: but they lost to the Rams in that game outright
• 56:05
  Speaker 1: as a favorite, So that was a win for me.
• 56:09
  Speaker 1: This feels like a similar game to that. Man, Minnesota's
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: gotta go out to the Pacific Coast. They gotta play
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: a game. It's gonna be late for their biological clock.
• 56:17
  Speaker 1: It's not that easy. And who do they have after this? Oh? Yeah,
• 56:21
  Speaker 1: they got to play Detroit after this. That's another huge game, man.
• 56:24
  Speaker 1: So this game out of conference road game is sandwiched
• 56:27
  Speaker 1: in between two like the game sandwiched in between games
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: against who might be the two best teams in the
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: NFC still though, I think Green Bay might have something
• 56:36
  Speaker 1: to say about that and whatever. But Filly in Detroit.
• 56:39
  Speaker 1: Huge games. So this is a sandwich spot from Minnesota.
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: I don't like it. The Chargers. I like the Chargers
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: in this one, man. The Chargers started out three and
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: oh they looked really good to start the season. I
• 56:50
  Speaker 1: do think that they're on their way up. With Horriba
• 56:53
  Speaker 1: his second season here. They've had some games that they
• 56:56
  Speaker 1: probably shouldn't have lost, man, I mean their first loss
• 56:59
  Speaker 1: was a game where I was on the Giants. I
• 57:00
  Speaker 1: gave that out as a play. It was a bad
• 57:02
  Speaker 1: spot having to go to the Eastern time zone off
• 57:04
  Speaker 1: of winning three straight divisional games. I don't think they
• 57:08
  Speaker 1: knew what they were gonna have to defend against with
• 57:11
  Speaker 1: Dart getting his first start there, so bad spot for
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: the Chargers. But then they flew all the way back home.
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: And this Washington game is a bit misleading because the
• 57:20
  Speaker 1: Chargers were about to go up seventeen nothing in that
• 57:23
  Speaker 1: game and they turned it over and then never scored again,
• 57:26
  Speaker 1: and that turnover just completely changed the momentum of the game.
• 57:29
  Speaker 1: Very bizarre. They probably should have won that, but then
• 57:31
  Speaker 1: they had to go back out to the East Coast.
• 57:34
  Speaker 1: They escaped with a win against Miami and was not
• 57:37
  Speaker 1: the best game for the Chargers in that one, And
• 57:39
  Speaker 1: then the Chargers had to come back home against They
• 57:42
  Speaker 1: zigzagged all across the country. Man, they went with no
• 57:47
  Speaker 1: buys either, so they went from Pacific Coast to East Coast,
• 57:50
  Speaker 1: to Pacific Coast, to East Coast to the Pacific Coast.
• 57:53
  Speaker 1: They were zigzagging across the country. So even though I
• 57:55
  Speaker 1: leaned to the Chargers last week, all that travel I
• 57:58
  Speaker 1: think kind of caught up to them. But now I
• 58:00
  Speaker 1: think this is a lot better of a spot for
• 58:02
  Speaker 1: them because they don't have to travel. They're staying at home.
• 58:05
  Speaker 1: They lost to the Colts. I know Herbert played really
• 58:08
  Speaker 1: well in the game. I know the Chargers rushing attack
• 58:10
  Speaker 1: is a concern because Hampton got hurt. I don't know
• 58:12
  Speaker 1: if he's back. Let me see. No, he's on an
• 58:17
  Speaker 1: injured reserve, so he's out for the season. So I
• 58:19
  Speaker 1: don't know what they're gonna do with their rushing attack
• 58:21
  Speaker 1: here right now. It hasn't been up to speed. Herbert's
• 58:24
  Speaker 1: been playing well though, and this game wasn't really what
• 58:28
  Speaker 1: it looked like on the scoreboard. If you dig into
• 58:30
  Speaker 1: this box score here, the Chargers actually outgained the Colts
• 58:33
  Speaker 1: in the game by forty four yards and they had
• 58:37
  Speaker 1: minus two in turnovers. So part of the reason they
• 58:39
  Speaker 1: lost the game was the turnovers. They dominated time of possession. Actually,
• 58:43
  Speaker 1: they outpossessed Indye by like nine minutes in the game,
• 58:47
  Speaker 1: so the game was not really what it appeared on
• 58:49
  Speaker 1: the scoreboard. Now, it's a quick turnaround time, but the
• 58:52
  Speaker 1: quick turnaround time is very beneficial to the home team
• 58:55
  Speaker 1: on these Thursday night games. It's very much a negative
• 58:59
  Speaker 1: for the road team on the short week if the
• 59:00
  Speaker 1: road team isn't familiar with with that like travel spot.
• 59:04
  Speaker 1: And I know I said Minnesota did this last year.
• 59:06
  Speaker 1: I believe you can correct me if I'm wrong, but
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: I believe the Chargers in the Rams share a stadium,
• 59:11
  Speaker 1: so I mean that makes it even weirder that Minnesota
• 59:14
  Speaker 1: like did It's like deja vu almost, But still Minnesota
• 59:18
  Speaker 1: is not used to this. They did this once last year.
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: They had one of the worst games of the season
• 59:22
  Speaker 1: when they did it last year. It's a tough spot
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: man for the road team to have to travel time
• 59:27
  Speaker 1: zones on a short week and go to a place
• 59:29
  Speaker 1: that they're not that familiar with play a team that
• 59:31
  Speaker 1: they're not that familiar with. It's gonna be way easier
• 59:33
  Speaker 1: for the home team to just stay at home and
• 59:36
  Speaker 1: prepare for this because they don't have to spend that
• 59:38
  Speaker 1: time traveling. It sets up a lot better. I think
• 59:41
  Speaker 1: it's a sandwich spot. Plus it's a bad short week
• 59:44
  Speaker 1: spot for Minnesota here. Chargers, I think are gonna be
• 59:47
  Speaker 1: pretty pissed about these losses here. They've lost two straight
• 59:50
  Speaker 1: games at home. They've only actually won one game in
• 59:53
  Speaker 1: this stadium, and they barely want it. So I know
• 59:55
  Speaker 1: you could argue they haven't been good at home. I
• 59:57
  Speaker 1: know they don't get much of a home field advantage here.
• 59:59
  Speaker 1: I get it. But you could have said the same
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 1: for the Rams in the spot last year to LA.
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 1: They just don't get a lot of home advantage. But Minnesota,
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know. I mean, do they have
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 1: like the craziest traveling fan base. Not really. We're gonna
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 1: go with the Rams and excuse the Chargers in this
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 1: one minus the three or you probably have to lay
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 1: a little bit of juice on that. But yeah, I
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 1: would do that, and then you could find maybe the
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 1: three and a half if you really want that. But uh,
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 1: fan duel three and a half minus one o two.
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 1: I might still do it. I don't know what do
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 1: they have for the money line? No, I would not
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 1: lay minus one fifty on the two and a half.
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: I would I would lay them. Do they have a
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 1: minus three minus twenty seven? Have absolutely not. Do not
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 1: do that, even though it looks like the money is
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 1: kind of coming in on the over in that one
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 1: as well. I would lay the three and a half
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 1: minus one o two or do you have access to
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 1: other books? You gotta shop around, man, for this reason,
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 1: you gotta try to find the best number. I would
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 1: find a book that's allowing you to do minus three,
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 1: like minus one twenty or something. That's probably the way
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 1: that I would do it. I think it's worth it
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 1: on that key number on that hook. Yeah, FanDuel, dude,
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 1: I mean they're gay if they don't allow the the
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 1: even numbers like that. I can look right now, I
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 1: can see what what these different books have. Let me see.
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 1: I mean, it seems like a lot of these books
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 1: just aren't offering it, though you could go to one
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 1: of the offshores. FanDuel's number is actually better than DraftKings,
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 1: at least in Massachusetts. DraftKings is at three and a
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 1: half minus one oh five rather than minus one oh two.
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 1: I'm looking real quick to see if they have alternate
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: lines here. Just before I get out here, let me
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 1: see where they must have the alternate Where are they?
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 1: Where are the alternate lines now? Because it used to
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 1: be under I think the more bets hold on? What No,
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: I don't want to place the bet here hold on.
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 1: Let me see. Yeah, I thought that they used to
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 1: put it under more bets. It seems like they change.
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 1: Oh no, they're just alt lines. There's an ALLT line
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 1: section now. Yep. Draft Kings is doing the same thing.
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 1: They're only on the halves. You can get minus two
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 1: and a half of minus one forty four though at
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 1: DraftKings here. I mean, given these options, I would probably
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 1: still do the minus three and a half on on
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 1: fan duel at the minus one oh two, But I
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 1: don't know with a real bookie no, I mean define
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 1: real bookie. No. Uh. I started doing this in like
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 1: two thousand and eight or whatever when the poker when
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 1: online poker got shut down by the government. I switched
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 1: to sports betting, and I was already into like trying
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 1: to like figure out like a better way to like handicap,
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 1: like we're not really handicapped, but like figure out like
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 1: like predict sports basically because I was trying to win
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 1: like NFL pick them leagues and stuff, so I needed
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 1: to like I started researching, like, well, what do the
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 1: handicappers do? Poker got shut down. I played poker online
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 1: in college, won some money doing that, shifted over, and
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 1: I played some in person to shifted, which you still
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 1: can do. Never should have shut down the online poker though,
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: absolutely ridiculous, and it's still that way. I switched over
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 1: to the online, but then it was all offshore because
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 1: you couldn't do it within your state. So it was
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 1: like Bookmaker five dimes was really good. They gave you
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 1: a lot of reduced juice back then. Bovada, some of
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 1: these sites are still up to just bet and bet us.
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 1: I think I had accounts that every single one of
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 1: those sites. That's what I was doing for most of
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 1: the time. So I wasn't betting like in person with
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 1: a book yet I didn't have like a bookie that
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 1: was gonna break my legs. That's way more dangerous. Man.
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 1: With these sites, they're not gonna break your legs because
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 1: you have to pay them the money up front and
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 1: their legit site, so you know you're gonna get the
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 1: money paid out. It's just that if you're winning too much,
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 1: some of these sites will limit or ban you. That's
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: how they do it, like they'll give you the money
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 1: for the bets that you win, they'll just no longer
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 1: let you bet basically in some cases. But I was
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 1: just small time and a lot of those online ones
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 1: catered to the professionals. No, that's the worst part betting
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 1: on credit because then you owe them. That's that's the
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: most dangerous part. No, no, no, you do not want
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 1: to do that. That means you're betting more than what
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 1: you can afford. You do not want that. You don't
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 1: want that at all. No, it's not worse. That is
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 1: not worse than have your legs broken. Absolutely not. Because
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 1: you just have other options. You can just go to
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 1: other you go to other books and whatever. Force the
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 1: books to compete with compete with each other. I mean
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 1: I listened to the professional betters talk about this. You
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 1: do not want to be owing some of these. You
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 1: do not want to owe black market bookies money. Man,
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 1: you do not. It's like you're going up against the mob.
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 1: That is not what you want at all, And it
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 1: means again that you're betting more than you can afford.
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 1: Don't do it. That's gonna do it for the show.
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 1: The bets today, the plays today, are the Indiana Pacers
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 1: plus the points hockey. We got Anaheim Ducks money line.
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 1: We gotta split bet with the Flyers basically two thirds
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: one third or something like that. If you want to
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 1: do half and half something like that on the plus
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 1: one and that puck line for part of it, money
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 1: line for part of it. If you want to go
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 1: straight money line, you could do that too. Chargers minus
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 1: three or three and a half, I would still do it.
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 1: I think the spot is as good for the Chargers.
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 1: So minus three and a half at reduced juice is okay.
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: Minus three. I would try to find that at some book.
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 1: I mean, see what books you have available in your
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 1: state or whatever, or if you can get on some
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 1: of the offshores to do it. Or I think the
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 1: three and a half at minus one oh two is
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 1: not that bad either. I would do something like that.
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it. Learn a tone on Twitter, learn
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 1: a tone on Instagram, like subscribe to the show here, man,
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 1: let's boost this channel up. Even though I'm a dick
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 1: to everybody, you know, I try not to be. I'm stubborn, man,
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 1: that's the problem. I'm stubborn. I hold my opinions strongly
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 1: so I apologize. Yeah, I'm on the audio as well.
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 1: Spotify iTunes. Give me a good review on there that
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 1: helps me out, and listening to the show over there
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 1: helps me out as well. Uh. Covered in Yuke is
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 1: my Yuke channel on YouTube. I did Charles's requested cover
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 1: of Monster Mashes up there. Now I gotta get it
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 1: on the Spotify feed as well, because I have a
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 1: Spotify Yuke feed that you can get through the patreot
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 1: on patreon dot com slash learn. It's towed. Got to
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 1: get some more Patreon stuff up there to give value
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 1: to the supporters. Got to get that going, man. But
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 1: right now it's to Spotify, Yuke feed and yuke request
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 1: to get prioritized. That's gonna do it. SOB talked you
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 1: off of the Pacers, maybe I'll just actually bet it
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 1: just to uh, just to be as stubborn as possible.
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 1: I like the spot for the Pacers. The money seems
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 1: to agree with it. That's my opinion on that one.
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 1: I think it's my least favorite of all the plays
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 1: today though. But that's gonna do him in NBA. You
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 1: don't really want to fade me in the NBA though.
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 1: I know I'm gonna get some wrong for sure, but
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 1: the NBA has been by far my best sport for
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 1: the whole basically, for the whole time that I've been
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 1: doing this, I've just absolutely destroyed the NBA. Even though
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 1: the books kind of took away the zig zag phenomenon
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 1: a bit in the playoffs, which was really in my
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 1: bread and butter like a decade or so ago, and
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 1: they were a little bit more than that they started
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 1: taking it away, but basically because I crushed it so
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 1: hard in twenty fourteen, they had I think it was
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 1: twenty fourteen. I was insane. In May of twenty fourteen.
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 1: There were like some sites that tracked handicappers, and I
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 1: was like the top handicapper in May of twenty fourteen
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 1: on one of those sites, they for some reason were
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 1: tracking me and they gave me like an award for that.
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 1: They gave out a monthly award. So it wasn't like
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 1: a big deal or anything, but they but I won
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: it for that month because I went on like a
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 1: twenty three and two run in baseball or something like
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 1: that at the same time as NBA playoffs are going
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: on NBA Playoffs, I was just a destroying as well.
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 1: So May usually a good month for me. Let's get
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 1: it going, man, Right now, I'm pretty much right at
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 1: the break even again for this year, which I know
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 1: is bad because we're almost at the end of the year,
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 1: but given how bad March was and how crushed I
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 1: got into college basketball this past season, I'm happy with
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 1: the way this has turned out. We've been running well
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 1: for the last month plus now, so I'm good with that.
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 1: College basketball is about to start again though, so hopefully
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 1: it's going to be better. I was really good with
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 1: it the last couple of years before last year, so
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 1: take that, you know, take from that what you will.
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 1: But NBA has been for whatever reason, NBA is just
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 1: by far my best. I just I see the NBA correctly.
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 1: I don't know what it is exactly, but that's the
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 1: way that it is, thank you, sir. I got lucky
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 1: on the seventy six ers, though, like the Celtics should
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 1: have put it away. They had a double digit leadal
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 1: though part of the handicap was that the Celtics, you know,
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 1: we're not gonna just be like a tight team yet,
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 1: so there was the potential of them blowing it, which
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 1: they tend to do at home. They blow leads at
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 1: home the Boston Celtics. Unfortunately, that's what they do, so
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 1: thank you, sir. I think I was maybe a little
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 1: bit wrong in that handicap. The stats kind of bared
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 1: it out that it was a close game though, and
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 1: the Celtics just sucked from three point range. And they're
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 1: actually taking fewer threes now too, So the Celtics are
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 1: not this like let you up from three point team anymore,
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 1: and they're running. They're trying to like get out and
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 1: transition and get a lot of two pointers now, like
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 1: playing fast tempo. So I don't know, we'll see, but yes,
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 1: thank you guys, thanks for hanging out. Jeffrey JC SOB.
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 1: Good to see all you guys again. Before you guys
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 1: run away from me because I'm too much of an ass.
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 1: All right, man, let's get some wins. Let's have another
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 1: winning day here. We've had mostly winning days over the
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 1: past like four weeks at this point or so, so
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 1: it's been good. Let's keep it going. Peace for now,