Latest / Bloomberg Intelligence / House Has Strong Argument for Impeachment: Prof. Briffault
Transcript
- 0:01Speaker 1: Welcome to the Bloomberg Markets Podcast. I'm Paul Sweeney, along
- 0:04Speaker 1: with my co host of Bonnie Quinn. Every business day
- 0:06Speaker 1: we bring you interviews from CEOs, market pros, and Bloomberg experts,
- 0:10Speaker 1: along with essential market moving news. Kind the Bloomberg Markets
- 0:13Speaker 1: Podcast on Apple podcast or wherever you listen to podcasts,
- 0:17Speaker 1: and on Bloomberg dot com. Let's get straight to our
- 0:20Speaker 1: next guest. Richard Bufo, is professor of litigation at Columbia
- 0:24Speaker 1: Law School. We have a lot to speak to you about, Professor,
- 0:28Speaker 1: not least the fact that the House has just introduced
- 0:30Speaker 1: an article of impeachment against the president, the second impeachment
- 0:35Speaker 1: for the first time ever of a president potentially. But
- 0:39Speaker 1: that said, what is your base case scenario for how
- 0:43Speaker 1: rebuke of President Trump proceeds? Well? At this point, it
- 0:47Speaker 1: looks like the House is planning to go ahead with
- 0:50Speaker 1: an impeachment proceeding unless, which I guess beginning to see
- 0:53Speaker 1: monlikely Vice President pens and the Cabinet moved to remove
- 0:58Speaker 1: the president under the amendment. So it does seem as
- 1:01Speaker 1: though the House is quite serious about beginning impeachment proceedings,
- 1:05Speaker 1: possibly as early as tomorrow or Wednesday. So Professor, Let's
- 1:11Speaker 1: assume that the House does move forward. How do you
- 1:15Speaker 1: think the timing will play out in terms of the Senate. Well,
- 1:19Speaker 1: that's a good question, and I think right now they're
- 1:21Speaker 1: making some Uh there's the initial comments. Are they want
- 1:24Speaker 1: to get the House wants to take care of the impeachment.
- 1:26Speaker 1: Remember the impeachments the equival of an indictment, you could, well,
- 1:31Speaker 1: the impeachment means is the House has called for a
- 1:33Speaker 1: trial in the Senate. Um. The actual any um conviction
- 1:38Speaker 1: would require action by the Senate, as we saw last year,
- 1:41Speaker 1: and like the impeachment that grew out of the Ukraine
- 1:44Speaker 1: phone call um, so the House could could do this
- 1:48Speaker 1: rather quickly. What about the Senate, that's a good question,
- 1:51Speaker 1: sent I think is out of session right now. Uh.
- 1:53Speaker 1: Leuda McConnell is talking about not bringing them back until
- 1:56Speaker 1: nineteen UM. The House um majority whip UH Congressman Clyburne
- 2:02Speaker 1: is talking about even not even sending over the impeachment
- 2:06Speaker 1: decision the impeachment resolution to the Senate until some time
- 2:10Speaker 1: after the start of the Biden administration. So it's not
- 2:12Speaker 1: to get him away with the fur The opening days
- 2:15Speaker 1: and weeks of the new administration, So it's a little
- 2:18Speaker 1: hard to tell when it does seem though it's quite
- 2:22Speaker 1: possible that an impeachment could be voted soon, but it's
- 2:24Speaker 1: hard to tell at what point it will move from
- 2:26Speaker 1: the House to the Senate exactly. This talk of you know,
- 2:29Speaker 1: a hundred days, even allowing Biden half his hundred days.
- 2:33Speaker 1: What about the idea that it's a sole article of
- 2:35Speaker 1: impeachment it is regarding inciting the insurrection at the capital
- 2:40Speaker 1: on January six, in your professional and legal opinion, was
- 2:44Speaker 1: that the right charge and it is the president guilty
- 2:46Speaker 1: of it? Well, I noticed they actually combine that with
- 2:50Speaker 1: the president's phone call to Rappensburg in the Secretary of
- 2:53Speaker 1: State of Georgia pressuring him to find new votes in
- 2:57Speaker 1: an effective change the outcome of the election. So it
- 3:00Speaker 1: is primarily, of course about the uh the attack on
- 3:03Speaker 1: the Capitol, but I think there are other other statements
- 3:06Speaker 1: in it that he followed prior to subvert and obstruct
- 3:10Speaker 1: the certification of the electors. I think they weave it
- 3:12Speaker 1: together in that sense, is that the president, both by
- 3:15Speaker 1: his phone call to the Secretary State of Georgia and
- 3:18Speaker 1: by his inciting speech at the Ellipse was trying to
- 3:21Speaker 1: block Congress from doing its constitutional duty. I think it's
- 3:25Speaker 1: a good argument. I mean, I think obviously you need
- 3:27Speaker 1: to figure out maybe to part the exact language of
- 3:29Speaker 1: his speech and everything. But the more of this looks
- 3:33Speaker 1: like this was a clear cut effort by the part
- 3:35Speaker 1: of many members of that mob to literally block the
- 3:39Speaker 1: certification of the vote. That is an aspect of an attacking,
- 3:42Speaker 1: attacking the operation of the government, which fits within the
- 3:45Speaker 1: model of physition and insurrection. Professor talked to us about
- 3:50Speaker 1: the amendment, uh, in what's kind of the calculus behind
- 3:54Speaker 1: it doesn't have to be initiated by the vice president? Yes,
- 3:58Speaker 1: I think it does. UM. I mean I think that
- 4:01Speaker 1: UM the twenty and even really emerged in the nineteen
- 4:03Speaker 1: sixties as a way of dealing with presidential disability. Disability
- 4:08Speaker 1: short of outright death, president might have a stroke or
- 4:10Speaker 1: heart attack for some other reason to be incapable of
- 4:13Speaker 1: fulfilling the duties of his office. And it comes up
- 4:15Speaker 1: with the process where the vice president, with the concurrence
- 4:19Speaker 1: of the cabinet, can take over, notifies the Congress. UM
- 4:23Speaker 1: the president is potentially could challenge it. Uh, And there's
- 4:26Speaker 1: a process for back and forth for congressional resolution, but
- 4:30Speaker 1: the first step does require action by the Vice president.
- 4:33Speaker 1: And um, I mean candidly, it really wasn't meant for
- 4:37Speaker 1: this kind of situation, But of course I'm not sure
- 4:38Speaker 1: anything really meant for this kind of situation. Yeah, I mean,
- 4:44Speaker 1: Nancy Plosi clearly has several plans at our fingertips. And
- 4:48Speaker 1: there's also a plan D that's getting talked about. The
- 4:51Speaker 1: fourteen Amendment Section three. This may apply to the president
- 4:55Speaker 1: and or also to those who wanted to, you know,
- 4:59Speaker 1: not recognize the certification. What do you imagine as a
- 5:02Speaker 1: path forward with that? Will it get used? So? Fourteen
- 5:06Speaker 1: and fourteen member Section three is a provision that was
- 5:08Speaker 1: added after the Civil War as a way basically of
- 5:11Speaker 1: saying that members of people who have officers of the Confederacy,
- 5:16Speaker 1: who had been in part of the US government, people
- 5:18Speaker 1: who had taken an oath of allegiance in the United
- 5:20Speaker 1: States before the Civil War and then in effect broke
- 5:23Speaker 1: that oath and joined up with the Confederacy, as as
- 5:26Speaker 1: government leaders are as top generals there would be denied,
- 5:30Speaker 1: it would be thereafter denied any ability to hold the
- 5:33Speaker 1: US government office. Again, that's the that's the background, and
- 5:36Speaker 1: again it uses that, but it uses the language of
- 5:38Speaker 1: participation in insurrection. And so the idea there would be again,
- 5:42Speaker 1: if you could show that somebody participated in somebody who
- 5:45Speaker 1: had sworn an oath, an oath of office like the
- 5:48Speaker 1: president or a member of Congress, or particiating an insurrection,
- 5:51Speaker 1: that would be a basis for denying them the right
- 5:54Speaker 1: to hold uh public office in the United States. Um,
- 5:58Speaker 1: it's not clearly self executing some it would have to
- 6:00Speaker 1: determine that that's what they did, so uh, and of
- 6:04Speaker 1: course he would have to determine that what they did
- 6:06Speaker 1: constituted insurrection. UM. The President's case, there's a good argument
- 6:11Speaker 1: not all of the members of Congress who you know,
- 6:14Speaker 1: voted to oppose UM the electoral certification would fall into
- 6:18Speaker 1: that category. I think people are thinking about it mostly
- 6:21Speaker 1: in terms of Senator Hawley, maybe Senator Cruise, particularly people
- 6:25Speaker 1: who gave more inflammation, made inflammatory statements, I think, particularly
- 6:28Speaker 1: Senator Hawley, and maybe from the members of the House. So, Professor,
- 6:33Speaker 1: if the House is able to deliver the articles of
- 6:36Speaker 1: impeachment to the Senate perhaps sometime this week, what is
- 6:40Speaker 1: incumbent upon the Senate to do in terms of timeliness
- 6:43Speaker 1: in terms of acting. They are supposed to take it
- 6:46Speaker 1: up right away. I mean, that is the procedure that's
- 6:48Speaker 1: been set up. It's supposed to become a first order
- 6:50Speaker 1: of business, and they are supposed to take it up
- 6:52Speaker 1: right away. So I think the House is I mean,
- 6:54Speaker 1: I think in some ways, this this impeachment thing has
- 6:57Speaker 1: really three things driving in. One is just the sense
- 7:00Speaker 1: that something has to be done, that this was maybe
- 7:04Speaker 1: the most outrageous thing in American president has ever done,
- 7:07Speaker 1: so something has to be done. Second is to get
- 7:10Speaker 1: him out right away. He's still there at this point.
- 7:12Speaker 1: People accounting the hours, it's ten more days. He's in
- 7:16Speaker 1: charge of the unforces, is in charge of the nuclear codes,
- 7:18Speaker 1: and there's a I think a concerned that maybe he
- 7:20Speaker 1: will do something improper again. And then third is to
- 7:25Speaker 1: in effect block him from being able to run again. Uh.
- 7:28Speaker 1: And that's one of the things that the impeachment itself
- 7:30Speaker 1: doesn't automatically disqualify for future holding office, but it's something
- 7:34Speaker 1: that the Senate has the power to do if it
- 7:37Speaker 1: should convict, is to disqualify. And at this point, I'm
- 7:40Speaker 1: not sure which all three of these things may be
- 7:42Speaker 1: at play. The longer they delay any action, the more
- 7:46Speaker 1: it's really about the first and the third. Richard Brice brief.
- 7:50Speaker 1: Thank you so much for joining us with a brief.
- 7:53Speaker 1: Joseph P. Chamberlain, Professor of Legislation at Columbia Law School,
- 7:56Speaker 1: helping us break down UH the impeachment process, which looks
- 8:01Speaker 1: like it's about to begin as the House UH introduced
- 8:04Speaker 1: its articles Impeachment. Well, of course, it is a great
- 8:10Speaker 1: pleasure to speak to our next guest. Susan DeVore is
- 8:13Speaker 1: chief executive officer of the Premiere, which is the health
- 8:17Speaker 1: services company that's listed on the NASDACK under p I
- 8:20Speaker 1: n C, and she joins us from Charlotte, North Carolina. Susan,
- 8:23Speaker 1: thanks for joining. Scott Stringer, the New York City Controller,
- 8:26Speaker 1: coming out today and explaining that, you know, the forms
- 8:29Speaker 1: online and the process for getting put in line for
- 8:33Speaker 1: vaccination is an absolute mess. Talk to us about how
- 8:36Speaker 1: better the vaccine can be ruled out. Thank you so
- 8:40Speaker 1: much for having me. While the truth is we've got
- 8:42Speaker 1: to get from two fifty thousand vaccinations a day to
- 8:45Speaker 1: two million a day, and so this is you know,
- 8:48Speaker 1: the biggest supply chain challenge probably UH in history for healthcare.
- 8:54Speaker 1: There are several systemic issues. First, we've got a hesitancy problem.
- 8:58Speaker 1: We've got people who are not willing to take the vaccine.
- 9:00Speaker 1: We've got to do a lot more education. We've got
- 9:02Speaker 1: to get people willing to take it. Secondly, our health
- 9:06Speaker 1: care systems, the premier hospitals would say staffing is one
- 9:10Speaker 1: of the very largest challenges they have. You know, their
- 9:13Speaker 1: nurses are taking care of all the COVID patients and
- 9:17Speaker 1: now they're also doubling up on providing vaccination, so we
- 9:20Speaker 1: need help with staffing. The distribution challenges, you know, are
- 9:25Speaker 1: talked about a lot. There are sixty four different state
- 9:27Speaker 1: and territorial plans, and so the lack of centralization and
- 9:31Speaker 1: even the lack of standard processes across states huge issue.
- 9:36Speaker 1: And then there are supply shortages and all kinds of
- 9:40Speaker 1: communication gaps. So we're early in the process, but but
- 9:44Speaker 1: there are lots of improvements that need to be made.
- 9:47Speaker 1: So so it's one of the questions is you know,
- 9:50Speaker 1: are one of the areas of frustration I guess for
- 9:52Speaker 1: some people is yes, we we are in the early
- 9:54Speaker 1: stage of this process, and there will be bumps in
- 9:56Speaker 1: the roads, certainly, But when you get uh. You know,
- 9:59Speaker 1: let's say a ten thousand doses delivered to a vaccination point,
- 10:06Speaker 1: yet only two or three or four thousand have actually
- 10:09Speaker 1: put in people's arms. The question then becomes, what are
- 10:12Speaker 1: we waiting for if you don't if someone doesn't want
- 10:15Speaker 1: to take a go to the next person. So I
- 10:17Speaker 1: guess there's a question of sticking with the Phase one
- 10:20Speaker 1: ABC protocols versus just getting as many shots in as
- 10:25Speaker 1: many arms as quickly as possible. How do you think
- 10:27Speaker 1: that's going to play out? You know, there's a lot
- 10:30Speaker 1: of inconsistency state to state. So part of the problem
- 10:33Speaker 1: is hospitals, premier hospitals don't even know if they're going
- 10:35Speaker 1: to get it, how much they're going to get, when
- 10:38Speaker 1: they're going to get it. They're worrying about having enough
- 10:41Speaker 1: for the second dose. And so I think people are
- 10:44Speaker 1: being cautious in terms of going too fast down the
- 10:48Speaker 1: prioritization list because the worst that they think could happen
- 10:52Speaker 1: would be to give them one dose and you don't
- 10:54Speaker 1: have that second dose. Having said that, I think we
- 10:57Speaker 1: are being overly cautious as a country, and we ought
- 11:02Speaker 1: to be using technology to identify all the people out
- 11:05Speaker 1: there who want to get a vaccine, uh and are
- 11:08Speaker 1: willing to get a vaccine. And then we ought to
- 11:10Speaker 1: set up more um sites for vaccination National Guard in
- 11:15Speaker 1: some places, maybe the retail CBS, Walgreens boxes, so that
- 11:20Speaker 1: we actually have a way to accelerate this. You know,
- 11:23Speaker 1: with a normal flu it takes three months to get
- 11:26Speaker 1: people vaccinated, and this is much more urgent, and we
- 11:29Speaker 1: have to change our processes in order to get people vaccinating.
- 11:34Speaker 1: How does Premiere work with the various states. It seems
- 11:37Speaker 1: like because it's a state by state issue, it's obviously
- 11:41Speaker 1: slightly different for every state. And you know, a company
- 11:45Speaker 1: like you or is is it difficult to to manage
- 11:48Speaker 1: all that? So Premier has hospitals and hundreds of thousands
- 11:54Speaker 1: of providers across the country. We work through the inside,
- 11:58Speaker 1: We work through the healthcare system them and all of
- 12:01Speaker 1: the things that they're trying to respond to. At state level,
- 12:05Speaker 1: we have a big supply chain organization. And one of
- 12:07Speaker 1: the things folks don't talk a lot about is, you know,
- 12:11Speaker 1: these these vials are overfilled, so you can get six
- 12:14Speaker 1: doses instead of five, while the kit only includes five needles,
- 12:18Speaker 1: So you've gotta go get needles and surringes, which are
- 12:21Speaker 1: on shortage. The kids did not include any gloves um
- 12:25Speaker 1: and most clinicians want to wear gloves when they're vaccinating folks,
- 12:29Speaker 1: and so we've got a shortage of gloves. So what
- 12:32Speaker 1: Premier is trying to do is make sure we've got syringes,
- 12:35Speaker 1: make sure we've got needles, make sure we've got gloves,
- 12:37Speaker 1: make sure we're helping health care systems share their best
- 12:41Speaker 1: practices and compare notes about how they're dealing with the
- 12:45Speaker 1: various state programs and those, you know, states that are
- 12:50Speaker 1: doing a better job of accelerating the vaccination are sharing
- 12:54Speaker 1: how they're going about that with other other states. So
- 12:57Speaker 1: Premier is kind of a critical piece right in the
- 13:00Speaker 1: middle of all of the activity at the various state levels.
- 13:04Speaker 1: Susan should there be federal guidance, federal coordination of a
- 13:08Speaker 1: vaccination into so how you know, we believe a premiere
- 13:13Speaker 1: There should be federal guidance. There should be a standard
- 13:17Speaker 1: reporting process, maybe there could even be a universal scheduling process.
- 13:22Speaker 1: You know, the CDC today is reporting the doses, but
- 13:25Speaker 1: you don't know how many of those are first doses
- 13:28Speaker 1: or second doses. And it's not a problem yet because
- 13:31Speaker 1: not enough time has passed, but it will be a
- 13:33Speaker 1: problem in the future. So we need federal guidelines, We
- 13:37Speaker 1: need federal standards of reporting, We need federal you know,
- 13:40Speaker 1: technology support. We can use federal and state resources like
- 13:44Speaker 1: National Guard and others to accelerate this process. So yeah,
- 13:48Speaker 1: we believe you need a lot more federal guidance and
- 13:51Speaker 1: then you need state level execution of the broader vaccination plan. Susan,
- 13:58Speaker 1: thank you so much for joining us once again, we
- 14:00Speaker 1: would appreciate your perspective. Susan DeVore, chief executive officer of
- 14:05Speaker 1: healthcare services company Premier based in Charlotte, North Carolina. Just
- 14:10Speaker 1: getting an update on the logistics of getting these vaccines
- 14:15Speaker 1: out there, into the marketplace and into patients as quickly,
- 14:18Speaker 1: UH and asficially and as safely as possible. That's been
- 14:22Speaker 1: a challenged uh so far, but hopefully things will improve well.
- 14:27Speaker 1: One of the many fallouts to come from the um
- 14:32Speaker 1: what happened at the Capitol last week has been the
- 14:35Speaker 1: role of social media platforms. What role did they play,
- 14:38Speaker 1: uh and what roles should they played going forward. We
- 14:41Speaker 1: saw many of these social media platforms drop President Trump's account, band,
- 14:46Speaker 1: President Trump's account that's razing some question questions about free
- 14:51Speaker 1: speech versus accountability. To dig into that, we welcome Mark Douglas.
- 14:54Speaker 1: He's a CEO of marketing firm Steelhouse based in Los Angeles. Uh. Mark,
- 15:00Speaker 1: thanks so much for joining us here. So we had Twitter,
- 15:02Speaker 1: we've had Facebook banned the account of President Trump. How
- 15:07Speaker 1: do you think those social media platforms and Amazon as
- 15:11Speaker 1: related to Parlor? How do you think they came to
- 15:13Speaker 1: those decisions? Okay, well, obviously I think, um, what happened
- 15:19Speaker 1: last week at the Capitol plus four years of history,
- 15:23Speaker 1: you know, kind of um, the cumulative effected at um
- 15:27Speaker 1: led to that decision. I think that the Twitter and
- 15:30Speaker 1: Facebook banning his accounts is was somewhat expected. What's unexpected
- 15:36Speaker 1: I think is um Apple and Aws and the actions
- 15:41Speaker 1: you know they've taken that go beyond Trump. And so
- 15:44Speaker 1: you know, there's just a climate right now of of
- 15:47Speaker 1: making these kinds of decisions. And I don't I think
- 15:49Speaker 1: there's still a lot more to come in terms of
- 15:52Speaker 1: where we settle in in terms of what's allowed and
- 15:55Speaker 1: what's not allowed. Yeah, that was really fascinating. Parlor is
- 15:59Speaker 1: funded by, among others, Rebecca Mercer, and it builds itself
- 16:01Speaker 1: as a platform really for all that protects the First
- 16:04Speaker 1: Amendment rights of Americans. But honestly, it did seem like
- 16:10Speaker 1: perhaps some of what happened on Wednesday, if not organized
- 16:14Speaker 1: on Parlor, was at least chatted about on Parlor. And
- 16:17Speaker 1: you know, it didn't hurt that people were sort of
- 16:20Speaker 1: suggesting things to each other. And then Apple came out
- 16:24Speaker 1: and said it was going to take it off its
- 16:26Speaker 1: app store, and Amazon Web Services said it wouldn't host
- 16:29Speaker 1: it anymore. What is the future for parlor? Who CEO
- 16:34Speaker 1: insists that nothing illegal is not dealt with, that they
- 16:38Speaker 1: take down illegal things and anything else is completely legal. Yeah,
- 16:43Speaker 1: So I think there's two issues there. One is Parlor.
- 16:46Speaker 1: It's although the lot of what people do as right
- 16:51Speaker 1: wing discussion is occurring on Parlor. Parler themselves just view
- 16:56Speaker 1: themselves as champions of free speech, that's what they say,
- 16:59Speaker 1: and don't think free speech is a Republican right wing issue.
- 17:03Speaker 1: So I'm not sure there's as much support for, you know,
- 17:07Speaker 1: kind of taking apps down and out of the App store.
- 17:10Speaker 1: I think a lot of companies, ironically, including Facebook, think
- 17:14Speaker 1: that Apple has a heavy hand when it comes to
- 17:17Speaker 1: the app store, and and you know, Facebook and December
- 17:21Speaker 1: did full page ads in the Wall Street Journal, in
- 17:23Speaker 1: New York Times and other publications essentially railing against Apple's
- 17:28Speaker 1: decisions that it relates to to the the app store,
- 17:32Speaker 1: and there are other companies that are suing Apples. So
- 17:35Speaker 1: now Parlor, for a different reason, is now in that
- 17:38Speaker 1: bucket ironically aligned somewhat with Facebook and that Apple is
- 17:42Speaker 1: exerting too much control. And so I think, you know,
- 17:45Speaker 1: that's the first party issue. The second part is coming
- 17:48Speaker 1: out of the app store. I think Parlor will relaunch
- 17:50Speaker 1: as a mobile app and um and and I think
- 17:54Speaker 1: can do so relatively quickly. And so again that's the way,
- 17:58Speaker 1: you know, they just used the opening in net um
- 18:00Speaker 1: to put apps out there or to put websites out there,
- 18:03Speaker 1: rabbit and relying solely on Apple, who who's been somewhat
- 18:07Speaker 1: quite frankly hypocritical on the topic. So Mark, you expect this,
- 18:12Speaker 1: this discussion again, this whole First Amendment issue, accountability, free
- 18:16Speaker 1: speech too. I guess, you know, retrain the lens of Washington,
- 18:22Speaker 1: d C. Congress regulators on the Internet as it relates
- 18:26Speaker 1: to kind of these free speech issues. Um, I think
- 18:31Speaker 1: obviously it's a hot topic, but I think actually the
- 18:34Speaker 1: users of these platforms um are ultimately going to somewhat
- 18:39Speaker 1: retrain the lens. So keep in mind only ten percent
- 18:42Speaker 1: of Facebook's users in the United States, but of their
- 18:46Speaker 1: revenue is in the United States. So if you have
- 18:50Speaker 1: you know, a lot of US users of Facebook and Twitter,
- 18:54Speaker 1: because they're similar type numbers, but Twitter, if you have
- 18:56Speaker 1: a lot of users for um of Facebook and Twitter,
- 19:01Speaker 1: essentially you know, feel that these platforms are being unfairs
- 19:05Speaker 1: in particular around free speech. UM it doesn't. It takes
- 19:09Speaker 1: a lot of people, but as a percentage of the
- 19:12Speaker 1: total number of Facebook users, it doesn't take a lot
- 19:15Speaker 1: to have a very big effect on their revenue, which
- 19:17Speaker 1: is going to have a huge effect on advertising and
- 19:21Speaker 1: have a huge effect that they go on Wall Street,
- 19:23Speaker 1: which you already thing Wall Street somewhat respond to. I
- 19:26Speaker 1: think some of the drop in Twitter and and UM
- 19:30Speaker 1: today is not just about Trump. It's about the savvy
- 19:33Speaker 1: investors realizing that you that Twitter cannot afford to lose
- 19:38Speaker 1: you know, a third or quarter you know up there
- 19:41Speaker 1: their US user base, that that that would have a
- 19:44Speaker 1: devastating impact on their financials because they're so dependent on
- 19:48Speaker 1: the United States for for revenue. So fascinating to see
- 19:52Speaker 1: what happens next. And you have to wonder if these
- 19:54Speaker 1: companies aren't concerned about legal liability as well, if it
- 19:57Speaker 1: can be proven that there was organization for some of
- 20:00Speaker 1: the events on their platforms. Our thanks to you very
- 20:03Speaker 1: much for joining us today. Mark Douglas is CEO of
- 20:06Speaker 1: steel House marketing firm with a lot of experience in
- 20:10Speaker 1: a social media marketing and so on. Interestingly, Paul Bloomberg
- 20:15Speaker 1: Intelligence suggests that Twitter's advertising base will actually grow in
- 20:19Speaker 1: spite of its ban on President Donald Trump right now,
- 20:22Speaker 1: and we'll have to see if that's the case. Well
- 20:27Speaker 1: at this time for Bloomberg Opinion, so let's welcome Bloomberg
- 20:29Speaker 1: Opinion columnist Brooke Sutherland, who is a great opinion out
- 20:33Speaker 1: about corporate America and how it responded to last Wednesday's events.
- 20:39Speaker 1: You know, it's really interesting. Only one major business group,
- 20:42Speaker 1: and that's the National Association of Manufacturers signaled the president
- 20:47Speaker 1: out when they were denouncing what happened on Wednesday. Many
- 20:50Speaker 1: many big companies from JP Morgan to Goldman Sachs dennounced
- 20:53Speaker 1: the violence, but only this one group actually mentioned President
- 20:58Speaker 1: Trump by name. Brook, You write about this because it's
- 21:01Speaker 1: fascinating that it's it's a pretty conservative group that actually
- 21:04Speaker 1: ended up doing this what led to the decision? Sure,
- 21:07Speaker 1: and you know, I think we should say too that
- 21:09Speaker 1: they didn't just call him out by name. They called
- 21:12Speaker 1: for the Vice president and the cabinet to seriously consider
- 21:15Speaker 1: removing President Trump from office with the twenty five Amendment.
- 21:19Speaker 1: So this was a pretty incredible statement, um, for many
- 21:22Speaker 1: business group, like you said, but especially from the National
- 21:25Speaker 1: Association of Manufacturers, which has historically, you know, really aligned
- 21:28Speaker 1: itself with conservative priorities. They advocated very aggressively for the
- 21:33Speaker 1: Trump tax cuts in twenties seventeen, for example. But um,
- 21:37Speaker 1: you know, I think for this group in particular, that
- 21:39Speaker 1: the frustration level with the antics of the Trump administration
- 21:43Speaker 1: has been rising for months now. Um. You know, the
- 21:46Speaker 1: head of this organization, uh labeled the protests over you know,
- 21:51Speaker 1: the economic protection measures that were taken in the wake
- 21:55Speaker 1: of the coronavirus m as idiots, saying that, you know,
- 21:58Speaker 1: if we try to rush reopening the economy, that's going
- 22:00Speaker 1: to be the detriment of everybody. Um. Also, you know,
- 22:03Speaker 1: came up very strongly against the efforts by some Republicans
- 22:07Speaker 1: in Congress to uh, you know, argue against the certification
- 22:11Speaker 1: of the election results. And I think where this frustration
- 22:14Speaker 1: stems from is that, you know, the reason why the
- 22:17Speaker 1: National Association of Manufacturers has been aligned with Republicans is
- 22:21Speaker 1: that they have tended to be the pro business party,
- 22:23Speaker 1: that they've advocated policies that are good for businesses. And
- 22:27Speaker 1: that has not necessarily been the case, um this past year.
- 22:31Speaker 1: I mean, if you look at the handling of the
- 22:33Speaker 1: coronavirus pandemic, and you know the fact that stimulus became
- 22:37Speaker 1: such a political football, the fact that any kind of
- 22:40Speaker 1: you know, aggressive progress on stimulus measures was sort of
- 22:43Speaker 1: turned into a side show with this election narrative. I mean,
- 22:46Speaker 1: that is not good for business. That is not what
- 22:49Speaker 1: manufacturers were certainly hoping to see from a Republican party.
- 22:54Speaker 1: And in Manufacturers Brooke, I mean, as you've written about before,
- 22:57Speaker 1: they've actually, i mean they've really stepped up during this pandemic,
- 23:01Speaker 1: whether it's you know, Ford or General Motors, you know,
- 23:05Speaker 1: making ventilators, or Boeing you know, making face shields. So
- 23:09Speaker 1: they've really stepped up and and and and try to
- 23:13Speaker 1: be part of the solution here. They really have I mean,
- 23:16Speaker 1: it's been incredible. I know, you know, corporate America takes
- 23:18Speaker 1: a lot of flack, and some of it is obviously
- 23:20Speaker 1: very well deserved. But in this moment of need, we've
- 23:23Speaker 1: seen manufacturers across the spectrum really step up. And that was,
- 23:27Speaker 1: you know, in the crunch time of March and aprilogy
- 23:30Speaker 1: reference these companies that you know, I've never made face shield,
- 23:33Speaker 1: face masks, ventilators before stepping in and saying, okay, we
- 23:36Speaker 1: have machinery that we're not using, how can we help.
- 23:39Speaker 1: But then also you know, on the vaccine distributions front,
- 23:42Speaker 1: you can't make vaccines without equipment from manufacturers. You can't
- 23:47Speaker 1: distribute the vaccines without the logistics companies s FedEx and
- 23:50Speaker 1: ups and so these companies have been working very, very
- 23:53Speaker 1: hard to do whatever they can to try to get
- 23:56Speaker 1: the economy back on track, to get steer us through
- 23:59Speaker 1: this very unprecedented situation. And I don't know if those
- 24:03Speaker 1: efforts have been fully appreciated by the federal government, which
- 24:07Speaker 1: at times just seemed to be sort of floundering in
- 24:09Speaker 1: its response effort um And like I said, you know
- 24:12Speaker 1: that response effort has increasingly become sort of a sideshow
- 24:15Speaker 1: to some of these more political considerations, and that's not
- 24:19Speaker 1: good for business. Some companies have said that they will
- 24:23Speaker 1: not donate any more to members of Congress who did
- 24:25Speaker 1: try to overturn the election. Some have suggested that they
- 24:29Speaker 1: won't donate to any political party, Goldman Sex in particular,
- 24:33Speaker 1: saying that for the first gevil future, there will be
- 24:35Speaker 1: no political donations. Are these bold moves on the part
- 24:38Speaker 1: of our corporate titans? Brook? Uh? You know, I can't
- 24:43Speaker 1: speak to the banks specifically, as they don't cover them
- 24:46Speaker 1: as closely. I mean, I think time will tell how
- 24:49Speaker 1: firmly they stick to these initiatives that are coming out now.
- 24:53Speaker 1: I mean, obviously this is a moment where it's easier
- 24:56Speaker 1: to do something. Um Now, whether you know these that
- 25:00Speaker 1: meantest daying power, I think is a question for a
- 25:02Speaker 1: different day. It's my understanding this is a pretty light
- 25:05Speaker 1: kime of year for political donations anyway. But you know,
- 25:07Speaker 1: I think that obviously this is something that people care about,
- 25:11Speaker 1: and I think that we're living in a moment where
- 25:13Speaker 1: people are looking to corporate America to be more of
- 25:16Speaker 1: a leader. Is that, you know, it's not an option
- 25:18Speaker 1: anymore for these companies to stay silent when questions about,
- 25:23Speaker 1: you know, the fundamental nature of our democracy are being raised,
- 25:26Speaker 1: and so, you know, I think there has been some
- 25:28Speaker 1: question about when we did get into the Biden administration,
- 25:31Speaker 1: whether corporate America could sort of fade back into the
- 25:33Speaker 1: background and if there wouldn't be quite as much pressure
- 25:35Speaker 1: on these leaders to come out and make statements in
- 25:38Speaker 1: the wake of events. And I think what we're seeing
- 25:40Speaker 1: is evidence that that pressure is not going away, and
- 25:42Speaker 1: that employees are going to want to work at places
- 25:45Speaker 1: where their companies do take a stand um and so,
- 25:48Speaker 1: you know, I think that's pressure for accountability is going
- 25:50Speaker 1: to persist. Now, whether that actually translates into you know,
- 25:54Speaker 1: where companies put their money, I think we have to
- 25:55Speaker 1: wait and see. So, Brooke, you covered the industrial America
- 26:00Speaker 1: manufacturing sector for a long time here. What do you
- 26:02Speaker 1: think or how how are some of these industrial companies
- 26:06Speaker 1: and trade organizations how are they viewing the incoming Biden administration. So,
- 26:13Speaker 1: you know, I think there was this narrative out there
- 26:15Speaker 1: that the Biden administration is going to be bad for
- 26:17Speaker 1: corporate American. I don't know if that's really true. I
- 26:20Speaker 1: think when you sort of drill deeper down into the
- 26:23Speaker 1: outcome of the election. Now that we do have, you know,
- 26:26Speaker 1: a decision made on those two Georgia Senate seats, I
- 26:29Speaker 1: think this could actually be a pretty good outcome for manufacturers.
- 26:32Speaker 1: I mean, the big question mark is what happens on
- 26:34Speaker 1: tax policy. And certainly, you know, there's a lot of
- 26:37Speaker 1: US manufacturing companies that are heavily geared towards the domestic
- 26:40Speaker 1: market and would you know, face repercussions from tax policy changes.
- 26:44Speaker 1: But on the other hand, you know, an infrastructure bill
- 26:47Speaker 1: is obviously a boon to the manufacturing industry. And this
- 26:49Speaker 1: is something that companies had hoped to see under a
- 26:52Speaker 1: Trump administration and that did not happen in large part
- 26:55Speaker 1: because Congressional Republicans were something of an obstacle to that.
- 26:58Speaker 1: And so I think, you know, if you do as
- 27:00Speaker 1: a unified government on the Democrats, that does pave the
- 27:03Speaker 1: way for some sort of infrastructure spending down the road,
- 27:06Speaker 1: which I think would be a real benefit to these companies.
- 27:09Speaker 1: And you know, even in the shorter term, talking about
- 27:11Speaker 1: coronavirus stimulus, that does seem to be a priority for
- 27:14Speaker 1: this administration. That could be particularly helpful for the aerostates
- 27:17Speaker 1: and defense industry, which of course is still struggling from
- 27:20Speaker 1: the fallout of the pandemic. And you know, there was
- 27:23Speaker 1: some additional stimulus that went to the airlines under the
- 27:26Speaker 1: most recent build that was passed. But you know, some
- 27:28Speaker 1: questions about getting the aerostas manufacturing industry in a place
- 27:31Speaker 1: where it's stabler and stronger to be able to be
- 27:35Speaker 1: in a position to respond to that demand when it
- 27:37Speaker 1: does come back, would certainly be beneficial. Hey, brook thank
- 27:40Speaker 1: you so much for joining us. We appreciate chatting with
- 27:43Speaker 1: you as always about all things coming out of Industrial America.
- 27:46Speaker 1: Brooks Sutherland deals and industrials columns for Bloomberg Opinion. You
- 27:49Speaker 1: can read Brooks work and all of the good work
- 27:52Speaker 1: from our Bloomberg Opinion columns at Bloomberg dot com, Slash
- 27:56Speaker 1: Opinion or O P I n Go on the Bloomberg terminal.
- 28:00Speaker 1: It's eating to see um industrial America. We've seen a
- 28:03Speaker 1: manufacturing data bonnie pretty solid over the last four or
- 28:06Speaker 1: five months, so the industrial part of the economy is
- 28:08Speaker 1: doing pretty well, gearing up for what it expects to
- 28:10Speaker 1: be a stronger back half of Thanks for listening to
- 28:16Speaker 1: Bloomberg Markets Podcast. You can subscribe and listen to interviews
- 28:20Speaker 1: at Apple Podcasts or whatever a podcast platform you prefer.
- 28:24Speaker 1: I'm Bonnie Quinn, I'm on Twitter at Bonnie Quinn. And
- 28:27Speaker 1: I'm Paul Sweeney. I'm on Twitter at pt Sweeney. Before
- 28:29Speaker 1: the podcast, you can always catch us worldwide at Bloomberg
- 28:32Speaker 1: Radio