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NFL Week 11 Leverage Lane | DraftKings & FanDuel DFS Strategy · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:03
  Speaker 1: All system's going clear to the left. Up, what's up everyone?
• 0:35
  Speaker 1: Tyler Tamberline here aka Totag and Tambo back for another
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: edition of Leverage Lane. Here on the ship at Nation
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: YouTube Station. Got my guy Alex Blickle here with me
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: as always, gonna break down all things week eleven in
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: the NFL from a single entry GPP perspective. Three segments.
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: How it works. It's not narrative street, it's leverage Lane.
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: We're gonna go down the lane till we get to
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: the end. The first segment will be focused on ownership,
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: hopefully in a way you've never heard before, but we
• 1:01
  Speaker 1: are going to look at who's popular, why they're popular,
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: good chock, bad chalk, compare some of that stuff. That
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: will lead us to part two where we get into
• 1:08
  Speaker 1: the second segment of how to leverage to come and
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: build with all that information that we have, and then
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: the last segment we will get into our leverage lane,
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: which is how we're attacking single entries this week. So
• 1:18
  Speaker 1: be sure to stick around to the end, make sure
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: to hit that thumbs up subscribe to the channel in
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: the end when you're I know some are watching this
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: live right now, but after if you're watching this on
• 1:26
  Speaker 1: replay or playing it back, or when you get to
• 1:28
  Speaker 1: the end, please leave your leverage lane for the week.
• 1:31
  Speaker 1: In the comments, we'll check out some of those. Alex,
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: what's going on, my man? The season's moving too quickly.
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: It feels like yesterday we started this show had a
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: ton of support and success. We appreciate everyone that's been
• 1:40
  Speaker 1: calling this out and giving us props there. We love
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: doing this. But how are you doing, my man? What's
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: going on?
• 1:44
  Speaker 2: Yeah? Doing well. It's crazy how fast the season goes.
• 1:46
  Speaker 2: And it's also something like it's it's always worth keeping
• 1:49
  Speaker 2: in mind where we're in week eleven, so we've had
• 1:51
  Speaker 2: we've had ten main slates so far. Ten main slates
• 1:55
  Speaker 2: for NBA DFS MLBDFS is less than two weeks worth
• 1:59
  Speaker 2: of slates. So you know, even though we're more than
• 2:01
  Speaker 2: halfway through the season, we still have like a tiny
• 2:04
  Speaker 2: sample size in terms of the actual number of main slates.
• 2:07
  Speaker 2: Things that we can learn from, And it also means like,
• 2:10
  Speaker 2: if you haven't had a great season so far, don't
• 2:12
  Speaker 2: worry about it. It's literally been ten main slates, Like
• 2:15
  Speaker 2: you're you're not supposed to hit in once in every
• 2:18
  Speaker 2: ten main slate, So it's it's totally fine if you haven't,
• 2:22
  Speaker 2: but I think we're we're doing a pretty good job
• 2:24
  Speaker 2: of you know, setting people up and hopefully helping people
• 2:28
  Speaker 2: think about dfs in a different way.
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: For sure. I think that's the common you know, sentiment
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: that I'm getting from people. And I will just say,
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: like again last week, it's we do a recap every week.
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: It's not a victory lap. There's been bad weeks too,
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: but just to note it, like last week, I thought
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: two really good conversations we had, and I think today
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: we'll get a bunch with eleven games and all the
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: different weather stuff and things that we can attack backup quarterbacks,
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: chalk these one big game that we're definitely gonna spend
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: a lot of time on with that perfect matchup and
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: perfect storm. I'll get into that too, But just noting it.
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: Last week, the the A Chan versus James Cook, you
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: had that one pegged per and I know people say, oh,
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: it was only one percent, but original projection, said James Cook,
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: like thirteen and a Chan twenty four twenty five in
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: the end in the twenty dollars million maker, it ended
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: up being twenty five for a Chan but twenty six
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: it doubled on James Cook and he did outdo by
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: one percent on what Achan was looking at there from
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: that percentage, So just noting that and then you know,
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: I loved my thought last week. It didn't fully work
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: out for me. But if you weren't playing CMC, we
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: talked a lot about this. Even the chat was like,
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: how does that even correlate? It's if you're not on
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: CMC and you go to the mac jonestack, you might
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: want to put a ceiling opportunity that can take out
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: CMC in jamieer Gibbs in a big game, in a
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: big spot and a bounce back after he'd failed the
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: week before, and he most certainly did not fail last week.
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: So shut out to you, shut up to the chat.
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: We've got a great chat here on YouTube, but people
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: hopping in giving their ideas. But just want to give
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: you props on that stuff. I thought it was all
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: really good calls last week.
• 3:49
  Speaker 2: I appreciate that I got to say though A chan
• 3:52
  Speaker 2: was a miss for me ownership wise, at least in
• 3:55
  Speaker 2: single entries, because I thought that like it was a
• 3:59
  Speaker 2: major hit in Cook being higher than the rest of
• 4:03
  Speaker 2: the industry. Expected, but I was also lower than the
• 4:06
  Speaker 2: rest of the industry expected on a Chan, and he
• 4:08
  Speaker 2: did come in at like thirty five percent in seeing leuntries,
• 4:10
  Speaker 2: so that part was a miss. But that was the
• 4:12
  Speaker 2: kind of miss that I'm okay with because I never
• 4:15
  Speaker 2: in a million years was going to play a Chan
• 4:17
  Speaker 2: at thirty five percent. I didn't even consider playing him
• 4:20
  Speaker 2: when I thought he was going to be ten percentage
• 4:21
  Speaker 2: points below what the industry expected. So that's one of
• 4:24
  Speaker 2: those situations where you know, every week there are like one, two,
• 4:28
  Speaker 2: three things where I look at and I say, you
• 4:30
  Speaker 2: know what, if that's the thing that buries me, I'm
• 4:32
  Speaker 2: going to be totally fine with it. A Chan, unfortunately,
• 4:34
  Speaker 2: is one of those things. And then he completely buried me.
• 4:38
  Speaker 2: But before the you know, before the four o'clock games
• 4:40
  Speaker 2: even started, so sometimes weeks ago like that. But that's
• 4:44
  Speaker 2: uh stefest for us.
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: Yeah, listen to Darren, appreciate you. Darren out there always
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: supported criminally underrated show here. I like that that might
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: be the new testimonial, this show is criminally underrated. That's
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: that's a good one. And then my man knew he
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: brings it up and I speak on this openly all
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: the time. I can't look at change it until next season.
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: But we still a lot of this season left. I'm
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: happy that, you know, had a pretty good season so far,
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: so just noting it. You know, Alex had a hit
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: right out of the gates almost a million bucks, and
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: then you know, you get some hits here and there.
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: But then I had hits after week seven, like usual
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: for me. But it only takes one one or two
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: good weeks for most people in NFL, and really one
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: week can change it all, So keep that in mind.
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: Hopefully it's week eleven for you if it hasn't been
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: that way already, if you're if you're already a ship
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: a nation member. I just want to bring this up quickly.
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: One thing, the one and done's for golf are starting
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: to drop on Splash Sports. The there's gonna be March
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: Madness contests that we have within the community. There's already
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: quick picks, and I know when you you know, if
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: you're not in Alex's discord yet, definitely a place you
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: want to get into. He'll bring it up more later.
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: But you can use a lot of his prop coverage
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: and things like that to apply to the quick Picks,
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: And the reason we bring this up is because we
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: never really bring stuff up when it comes to these sponsorships.
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: But Splash has never put up the bonuses either until now.
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: You get fifty dollars deposit match, so up to fifty
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: bucks one hundred percent payout boost on your first quick
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: Picks entry, and you can use the twenty dollars max
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: two picks to qualify. So there's a lot of other
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: free bonuses in there that's giving away. But Alex, I
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: know everything you do with your discord, there's a ton
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: of prop stuff you can use to your advantage across
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: all these sites. You should always be looking for free
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: money as far as I know, at least I think
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: that's the idea, right.
• 6:17
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I just hit a nice one on Thursday head
• 6:21
  Speaker 2: Hunter Henry over thirty three and a half receiving yards,
• 6:23
  Speaker 2: got there on the second drive. Like I was playing
• 6:25
  Speaker 2: basketball Thursday nights. So I finished basketball, looked at my
• 6:28
  Speaker 2: phones like, oh nice that already hit. Yeah, I've been
• 6:30
  Speaker 2: to watch the second half of the game. So yeah,
• 6:33
  Speaker 2: it's been a it's been a good season. NBA has
• 6:35
  Speaker 2: been awesome on the pick them side and in the
• 6:37
  Speaker 2: prop side. So if if you if you like NBA
• 6:40
  Speaker 2: and you want to watch that, and especially like once
• 6:42
  Speaker 2: the NFL season is over, NBA's kind of all we
• 6:44
  Speaker 2: got until PGA starts, and yeah, the pick them stuff
• 6:48
  Speaker 2: there has just been phenomenal so far this year.
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: All right, so let's get into it. Let's do this
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: like we usually do. We're gonna go through and sort
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: of look at the positions and some of that. And
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: I think the biggest thing is right at the gate.
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: I wouldn't even call it an elephant in the room.
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: It's a herd of them. It's that there's a Cardinals
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: forty nine ers game. And I spoke about this on
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: The Male Show yesterday, but I'll bring it up he
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: because I think it's going to be super important for
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: when we get to how these builds look. Because Jacoby
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: Brissett is popular, Trey McBride popping off the page at
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: tight end, because people can even go double tight end.
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: It's like there's you know, huge ownership on him and
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: single entries. You've got CMC on the other side, you've
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: got Purdy Piercell back for those forty nine ers. That
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: makes you know, exciting for going back and forth. But
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: it's almost the perfect storm. Right, We've got the forty
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: nine ers versus the Cardinals. Both these teams have shown
• 7:31
  Speaker 1: the ability to go off in these spots, teams against
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: them the previous week. McBride coming off a big week.
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: Now know, Marv Harrison, it's like, all this makes sense
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: on paper, but we do have eleven games on the slate.
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: And then I know that some people are crossing some
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: off because of weather and all that, and we'll get
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: to it. But how are you seeing things out of
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: the gate here? Where do you want to start when
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: it comes to the ownership segment in talking about what
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: we're seeing across the board right now?
• 7:55
  Speaker 2: Hey, you know what, let's actually I want to ask
• 7:58
  Speaker 2: you something about tight ends here because I think this
• 8:02
  Speaker 2: is a little bit of a story, like the way
• 8:05
  Speaker 2: that tight end pricing has worked this year. Most weeks
• 8:09
  Speaker 2: we have seen tight end pricing like really really condensed,
• 8:13
  Speaker 2: where in the past, you know, the top end would
• 8:15
  Speaker 2: be seven thousand, and now it's fifty five, or the
• 8:17
  Speaker 2: top would be sixty five hundred and now it's fifty three.
• 8:20
  Speaker 2: And so then you have guys who were like consistently
• 8:23
  Speaker 2: in the mid fives, like George Kittle, for example, now
• 8:27
  Speaker 2: last week was what forty five hundred, and so tight
• 8:29
  Speaker 2: end pricing has been a story all season and now
• 8:32
  Speaker 2: we're kind of getting this year's tight end pricing on
• 8:35
  Speaker 2: everyone except McBride, who isn't quite where he would have
• 8:39
  Speaker 2: been in past seasons, but he's still all the way
• 8:40
  Speaker 2: up to sixty three hundred, but this time he's going
• 8:44
  Speaker 2: to be the chalk at the position. So I kind
• 8:47
  Speaker 2: of think a nice place to start is just structurally,
• 8:50
  Speaker 2: how do you want to approach that where like, if
• 8:53
  Speaker 2: you're using McBride, maybe that's maybe that's the easiest answer
• 8:58
  Speaker 2: is just use him, And you know, obviously it is
• 9:00
  Speaker 2: a really good matchup. We've talked in the past few
• 9:02
  Speaker 2: weeks about how a week San Francisco has been over
• 9:04
  Speaker 2: the middle of the field since Fred Warner went down,
• 9:07
  Speaker 2: So obviously the matchup is really good for him. But
• 9:09
  Speaker 2: then also like, if you are fading him, what are
• 9:12
  Speaker 2: you looking for from the tight end spot? Do you
• 9:14
  Speaker 2: feel like you need more ceiling now? Or are you
• 9:17
  Speaker 2: using someone else and just hoping, well, what if McBride
• 9:20
  Speaker 2: doesn't do well? What if McBride only has twelve? So
• 9:22
  Speaker 2: I want to find a cheap tight end that can
• 9:24
  Speaker 2: give me twelve or are you feeling like, you know
• 9:26
  Speaker 2: what if I'm not using McBride, I've got to find
• 9:28
  Speaker 2: the guy. He ad me twenty five?
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: Yeah, good, good point and something to bring up certainly,
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: and I'll talk to it. I mean, last week, here's
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: the thing. Last week Trey was the bride. I'm hoping
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: this week he's the McBride's maid because I don't want
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: to leave this late on that because I thought that ownership.
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: It makes a ton of sense. It's the perfect storm.
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: Everything lines up. But if you think about it, it's
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: more of a conversation. I think around like the point
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: per dollar, because if we just go to okay, McBride,
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: what are we thinking? I love like you said that
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: that's important. What are we actually thinking happens here? And
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: if it doesn't then what does that mean? How does
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: his lunch get eaten? Where does that look like? How
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: do we play him differently when we are playing him?
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: So a couple things for me is like if you
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: get the six sixty and one type game, then you
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: just have to know what that looks like for the
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: alternate options when you go there. Once he gets to
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: the eight for one, ten and two game. I mean,
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: it's all over anyway, so then you missed if you
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: went against him, So you have to think of it
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: from that perspective. But there's a couple different things. One,
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: if you're thinking of them more of like the six
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: for sixty or seventy yards and one touchdown, you just
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: have to figure out where you're getting that point per
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: dollar value from the alternate replacements that you're using. And
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: then it's also not who you play, it's how you
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: play them. I think the thought process to me next
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: Alex goes to you know, when I'm using another cheaper
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: tight end, it's probably in a quarterback stack to a
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: make work to to get more points to my quarterback
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: from that spot which maybe helps me in other places,
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: and then using the money to hopefully pick up more ceiling.
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: If I'm hoping he has more of that sort of
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: median type game, I don't see his position this week,
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: just me maybe, but I don't see a position this
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: week where he completely fails, And again people take that
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: the wrong way. Him not ending up on the winner
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: or the optimal most would say is a fail. I'm
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: just saying I definitely see where he could get you
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: fifteen and then I see how that can get crushed,
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: but it's I don't I don't see him getting like
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: eight points or something, and that's just not something I'm
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: seeing in the realm of possibility. And the last thing
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: I'll add I brought this up yesterday as well. I
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: want to know see your thoughts when we get there later.
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: I think there's a you know, an interesting game stack
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: build that includes neither of Dorsch or Wilson, but goes
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: to the double tight end in that game with both
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: Kittle and McBride, because I think even when people do
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: go to the double tight end in that game, not
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: like that will be super sneaky, but I think it
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: will include someone like McBride or Wilson or game stack
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: to go with it. And I'm looking at alternate routes
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: to building that out. So I'll kick it back to
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: you on all that and see what you think.
• 11:45
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I think to me, the biggest thing is at
• 11:48
  Speaker 2: sixty three hundred for McBride. I think the thing that
• 11:52
  Speaker 2: you're hoping he doesn't do is score a touchdown, right,
• 11:54
  Speaker 2: so we know that targets are going to be there,
• 11:57
  Speaker 2: the yards should be there in a decent way, but
• 12:00
  Speaker 2: it is worth noting, Like you go back prior to
• 12:03
  Speaker 2: that Seattle game, it was seventy two yards on eleven targets,
• 12:07
  Speaker 2: seventy four yards on thirteen targets, fifty five yards on
• 12:10
  Speaker 2: nine targets. It's not like he's been this incredibly efficient
• 12:13
  Speaker 2: guy with all the volume with Priset. And I think
• 12:16
  Speaker 2: to that point, all of his production, like almost literally
• 12:21
  Speaker 2: all of it came once they were already down twenty
• 12:23
  Speaker 2: eight points or something like that last week. So that
• 12:27
  Speaker 2: nine for one to twenty seven and a score line
• 12:29
  Speaker 2: that he put up against Seahawks, I think it comes
• 12:32
  Speaker 2: with an asterisk, and I think people are overrating just
• 12:35
  Speaker 2: how efficient he and Brissett have been together. Look, maybe
• 12:40
  Speaker 2: he does the same thing this week. Maybe they they're down,
• 12:43
  Speaker 2: you know, two to three scores early and they come
• 12:45
  Speaker 2: back and make it a contest game or something like that.
• 12:48
  Speaker 2: So by all means like that's possible. But I think
• 12:51
  Speaker 2: it's worth noting that he's been more touchdown dependent than
• 12:56
  Speaker 2: I think a lot of people realize with Brisset, and
• 12:59
  Speaker 2: that one yard of spike comes with a bit of
• 13:02
  Speaker 2: an astress. So my lean is definitely fade, but I
• 13:04
  Speaker 2: do think I very much agree with you that, like
• 13:07
  Speaker 2: it's it's unlikely he gets eight where I'm fading him
• 13:10
  Speaker 2: hoping it's no more than sixteen, no more than eighteen.
• 13:13
  Speaker 2: And then to that point, like I want somebody who
• 13:18
  Speaker 2: if I'm using the tight end, if I'm using a
• 13:20
  Speaker 2: different tight end, I want that guy who can also
• 13:22
  Speaker 2: get to the one hundred yard bonus. I want the
• 13:24
  Speaker 2: guy who can also get me one or two touchdowns.
• 13:26
  Speaker 2: It is like a feature part of the offense and
• 13:28
  Speaker 2: not someone that I'm hoping, you know, it just catches
• 13:31
  Speaker 2: two red zone touchdown passes and otherwise is not involved
• 13:34
  Speaker 2: in them actually moving the ball. So I do think
• 13:36
  Speaker 2: it's a week where we want to give tight end
• 13:38
  Speaker 2: thought a little bit. We want to put a little
• 13:41
  Speaker 2: bit more thought into the tight end position than maybe
• 13:43
  Speaker 2: we usually do. But I also think you know that
• 13:46
  Speaker 2: that big part of that is try to stack, try
• 13:48
  Speaker 2: to correlate, and use that tight end to open something up.
• 13:51
  Speaker 2: Because I think the final point there is like people
• 13:54
  Speaker 2: are largely drawn to this Arizona offense because of Brissette's
• 13:58
  Speaker 2: price tag, But if you so with Brissette McBride, you
• 14:02
  Speaker 2: can get some really nice quarterback tight end parents that
• 14:05
  Speaker 2: are actually cheaper, but doesn't registers like this really affordable
• 14:09
  Speaker 2: stacking people's minds because they're not quit thinking about how
• 14:12
  Speaker 2: EXPENSI McBride is. They're just thinking about, oh, I can
• 14:15
  Speaker 2: use a really really cheap quarterback, and that kind of
• 14:18
  Speaker 2: opens everything up. And of course McBride is then one
• 14:20
  Speaker 2: of those spend ups. But for example, like Herbert Gadsden
• 14:24
  Speaker 2: is cheaper than Brissette McBride, But I don't think people
• 14:28
  Speaker 2: are gonna look at Herbert as, oh, this is a
• 14:30
  Speaker 2: way I can save money in the same way they'll
• 14:32
  Speaker 2: do with Brissette.
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: Good point on that for sure. Caston Reid brings up
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: a good point as double tight end makes sense. So
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: this is like for those that don't follow it heavily
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: enough or fully, you know, get after It's like, this
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: is the kind of setup where he's just he's a
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: wide receiver one he already kind of was. It's not
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: like a Marv Harrison's having a standout season. He's he's
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: great and he's shown some signs in the past. But
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: this is definitely a spot to think about it, and
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: that's why people are going there. But to Alex's point,
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: when you flip builds and we'll get to that stuff later.
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: And when you're moving things around, it's also a product
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: of slate dynamics. So to Alex and my both our
• 15:02
  Speaker 1: points of saying that we don't think it's going to
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: be an EID. It's like, if it's a fifteen or
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: a sixteen point day for him, well, when you move
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: a cheaper tight end there, that could get there with
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: their quarterback or something along those lines. However, you decide
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: to do it differently, and that's why it's good to
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: have this tight end conversation right away. To me, it's
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: not the same as when like Puka Nakua is seventy
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: three hundred earlier in the season. It's like, okay, build
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: with him now, we'll figure out the rest. The wide
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: receivers if those price points typically get there more often
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: when they're you know, as there are chat is saying
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: today criminally underpriced and you see that type of stuff.
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: But if you look here, when you go up, there's
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: a lot of options in the five K you know,
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: upper five K to lower seven K or upper six
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: and that's where these kind of moves get you in
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: your build. So there's a lot of ceiling you can
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: go and find if you don't land on it. I'm
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: sure there's people that feel their lineup looks good when
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: they have mcbrideen there and say, I still have that
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: ceiling to each their own. That's why it's called leverage
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: Lane's why you pick your lane and run with it.
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: But just noting it, I think that was definitely a
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: good place to start. What are you seeing specifically, Maybe
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: you said already and I just missed it, But for
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: for McBride AND's single.
• 16:04
  Speaker 2: Entry, Yeah, I think that you want to end up
• 16:08
  Speaker 2: being higher, Like I think there's a better chance that
• 16:11
  Speaker 2: it gets to forty than it drops under twenty five percent.
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: Yeah, definitely think that could go up as we get there,
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: up to you know, interestingly enough after him. It's because
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: I kind of see it spread out a little bit.
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: I see some George Kittle of course, in that same game.
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: I think that's going to be a common one. I'm
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: seeing some thought process of people going to the Pittsburgh
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: spot just to fill it out, because if they even
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: go to that spot, it's like it's Friarmouth, it's John
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: Ohus Smith. That's where people land. I don't think they'll
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: fully get to Darnell Washington, but they're all cheap enough
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: to land there. THEO Johnson, even with a little bit
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: of a price boost from what we've seen, I think
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: is just a spot that people are thinking about with
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: no slateon if they want to go to Jamis, why
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: not just put Jamis and THEO Johnson. I get it,
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: like I could see that, and then you mentioned Gadson.
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: Maybe he fits into the mix sum as well. Anything
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: you want to talk about there further or what position
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: do you want to go to next?
• 16:59
  Speaker 2: No, we can. We can just kind of talk about
• 17:02
  Speaker 2: ownership as a whole. Now.
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: Well, one quick question too in the chap brought up
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: multiple times. I will land there is any thoughts on
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: Dawson Knox with the Kinkaid stuff for yesterday? Do you
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: think that gets some late steam here because he wasn't
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: really popular, but now at thirty three hundred, do we think.
• 17:17
  Speaker 2: No, we've seen him a few times now without Kinkaid.
• 17:20
  Speaker 2: He's he's It's not like he's going in and running
• 17:23
  Speaker 2: Kincaid's routes. He's still running Dawson Knox routes and is
• 17:27
  Speaker 2: mostly just going to find something either in the red
• 17:29
  Speaker 2: zone or when the play breaks down and Alan soon
• 17:32
  Speaker 2: to scramble thing like maybe Knox just becomes open. Other
• 17:36
  Speaker 2: than that, he doesn't get guitarget a whole lot, so
• 17:38
  Speaker 2: he kind of fits in that in that mold of like, Look,
• 17:41
  Speaker 2: if this was a really really bad tight end slate,
• 17:43
  Speaker 2: if we were looking into tight endboard and say, man,
• 17:45
  Speaker 2: there are no good vipes, there are no good plays,
• 17:47
  Speaker 2: then Knox would be fine. I think there are too
• 17:49
  Speaker 2: many good tight end plays this week to really consider Knox.
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree, all right. Obviously, you know when we
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: get to the common build later, we're gonna be you'll
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: be tying in. That's why it was good to start
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: with McBride. I like how you reached shaped us there
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: because that makes a ton of sense, and that leads
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: to the Brissette ownership at quarterback. No surprise, you've already
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: hit on that piece anything there, because you know, people
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: love starting. One thing I know for a fact, you
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: know just from doing the mastermind stuff in Mentorships and
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: then going in the Ship Nation discord. And I'm sure
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: you're the same in your findings is everybody starts with
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: the quarterback, right And what I'm realizing is there is
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: some people that are better and even yourself actually on
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: some of your leverage lanes at the end of the
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: show where you're like, I'm actually not on a stack
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: this week to start with, I'm on this and then
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: I'll let it come to me. Some people are better
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: at building the interior before they get to the ex gyar,
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: and I call it the exteriar. The outside of your
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: lineup is the top, is that piece there with the
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: quarterback and building down. But I do think many people
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: start with quarterback stacks and then start filling in the
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: pieces instead of sometimes thinking of what are the pieces
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: that I feel in the middle that I have to
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: make decisions on who are they that I do like
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: and sometimes let it shape that. I had a guy
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: yesterday I was talking to who loved Diggs and Henry
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: last week and a both didn't work out, but it
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: was interestingly enough, he was playing twenty max and he
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: didn't have any He had actually had one May lineup
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: in all of it, but he had Digs and Henry
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: pretty much everywhere. And I was like, if that's the
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: interior of your lineups and you see that shaping up,
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: the thought process should be to let me sort of
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: manipulate the portfolio, because what if both of those guys
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: go off, wouldn't that be a good day for Drake
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: May And that's you know again they both didn't, but
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: just noting it. Sometimes shaping the inside can help frame
• 19:24
  Speaker 1: the outside. So what are you seeing after Brissett? Any
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: standouts or anything that doesn't look right to you? What
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: are you seeing at the quarterback?
• 19:31
  Speaker 2: So I think this is like a really cool conversation
• 19:33
  Speaker 2: because it also helps explain like a little bit of
• 19:39
  Speaker 2: my process and how I do ownership projections. I think
• 19:42
  Speaker 2: one of the key things to look at is who
• 19:44
  Speaker 2: are people going to prioritize, like as as their one
• 19:48
  Speaker 2: off plays or as they're big spence things of the nature.
• 19:50
  Speaker 2: It's like this week, we've got we've got McCaffrey up there,
• 19:53
  Speaker 2: We've got Jamark Chase, We've got you know, Jacobs and
• 19:57
  Speaker 2: Smith and Jaca and Huku Nakua. There are enough p people,
• 20:00
  Speaker 2: There're enough guys that that the field is really going
• 20:03
  Speaker 2: to want to prioritize and go jam into their lineups
• 20:06
  Speaker 2: that it's affecting the possible you know, stack ownerships because
• 20:11
  Speaker 2: you it kind of takes away some of the expensive
• 20:13
  Speaker 2: stacks unless the expensive stack is the way you use
• 20:16
  Speaker 2: that stud. So, like flack own ownership can largely be
• 20:19
  Speaker 2: driven by Jamar Chase, for example, But we don't have
• 20:22
  Speaker 2: as much this week, where like you know sometimes you know,
• 20:26
  Speaker 2: I actually this week we have Jalen Warren as the
• 20:28
  Speaker 2: most popular guy thirty five percent, sixty one hundred dollars.
• 20:32
  Speaker 2: If he was like the only guy that people were
• 20:34
  Speaker 2: clearly trying to build around and force into the lineups,
• 20:37
  Speaker 2: then we could say, you know what, Warren's only sixty
• 20:40
  Speaker 2: one hundred dollars. He can fit into literally any kind
• 20:43
  Speaker 2: of stack, any kind of lineup, So he's not affecting
• 20:47
  Speaker 2: stack ownership at all. But because we have so many
• 20:50
  Speaker 2: studs that people want to force him this week, it
• 20:52
  Speaker 2: is affecting stack ownership. So when we go look at
• 20:55
  Speaker 2: stack ownership, the theme kind of for the I don't know,
• 20:58
  Speaker 2: fifth six straight weeks up like that is people want
• 21:01
  Speaker 2: to pay down a little bit, at least at quarterbacks.
• 21:03
  Speaker 2: We've got percent up there, We've got Flacca, we've got
• 21:05
  Speaker 2: JJ McCarthy. Herbert's probably the most expensive guy who's getting
• 21:10
  Speaker 2: you know, real love. But then brock Purty fifty eight
• 21:12
  Speaker 2: hundred dollars, Aaron Rodgers fifty four hundred dollars. So it's
• 21:15
  Speaker 2: a sea of guys under six thousand. And the theme
• 21:19
  Speaker 2: there is they are basically like two types of lineups
• 21:23
  Speaker 2: being built this week. The first is I want a
• 21:25
  Speaker 2: cheap enough stack that I can go hand pick my favorite,
• 21:28
  Speaker 2: you know, expensive guys just and throw them into the
• 21:30
  Speaker 2: lineup in an uncorrelated way. Or it's I want to
• 21:35
  Speaker 2: play the stack that gets me my favorite spend up.
• 21:39
  Speaker 2: So if I love Jamar Chase, I might as well
• 21:41
  Speaker 2: play Joe Flacco, If I love Justin Jefferson, I might
• 21:43
  Speaker 2: as well play JJ McCarthy. So we're really seeing only
• 21:46
  Speaker 2: two types of bills in that way. From a stacking perspective.
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I want to stay over two seconds because and
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: again everyone always wants to. Here's the thing about DFS content. Specifically,
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: you did something the week before DFS play, something worked
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: the week before they're on at the next slate. That's
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: why we've seen double defenses in Showdown. That's why I've
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: seen double tight ends on Classic slate. If it works,
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: oh it must you know last week double tight end
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: You and have had this conversation was outrageous after the
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: previous week was the Loveland with McBride or whatever it
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: was that ended up going off, So you saw people
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: just jump on board. But one thing about DFS content
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: is you set something the week before that worked, and
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: then you want to they want to replicate it. And
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: so I'm not saying this is the case, but is
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: there something you're seeing at running Back? You made me
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: think of something that I want to segue to with
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: Jalen Warren versus Chase Brown on who actually gets it
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: versus kind of like the Cook verse a Chan thing
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: last week. I don't know, I'm having repeat thoughts here,
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: but anything with that that you're actually seeing right now,
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: because I think it's interesting that sticking with this and
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: the quarterback spot is I don't know, out of like
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: Rogers because it's only Metcalf and then they kind of
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: pick Friarmouth or John hu and for Bengals even that side,
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: well Higgins and guys like that can be involved. People
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: sometimes don't want to go with that full on. We've
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: seen plenty of times where Chase is super popular Jamar
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: Chase that is, and then they don't go full stack.
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: So how are you seeing this Warren versus Chase Brown situation.
• 23:09
  Speaker 2: I don't think we'll see a flip like we saw
• 23:11
  Speaker 2: with Cook last week. I think Warren is very comfortably
• 23:13
  Speaker 2: ahead of Chase Brown. And the main reason for that
• 23:15
  Speaker 2: is when you think about these two teams, if you
• 23:18
  Speaker 2: really like the Cincinnati side, you've got Jamar Chase, You've
• 23:22
  Speaker 2: got t Hailes. If you really like the Pittsburgh side,
• 23:25
  Speaker 2: you've got Jalen Warren. Right Like, who's really excited about
• 23:30
  Speaker 2: playing dk Metcalf when he has the only bad matchup
• 23:34
  Speaker 2: possible against Cincinnati when running backs and tight ends just
• 23:38
  Speaker 2: absolutely destroy them week after week after week. Who's really
• 23:41
  Speaker 2: excited about playing Brier Youth or John new Smith when
• 23:45
  Speaker 2: there are literally three other tight ends when you include
• 23:48
  Speaker 2: Hayward as well, who might end up catching the touchdown
• 23:51
  Speaker 2: instead of your guy. It's just really uncomfortable. The only
• 23:54
  Speaker 2: comfortable click on Pittsburgh is Jalen Warren, whereas we have
• 23:58
  Speaker 2: two really exciting comfortable clicks on Cincinnati ahead of Chase Brown.
• 24:03
  Speaker 2: Or I think I shouldn't say they're both ahead of
• 24:06
  Speaker 2: Chase Brown. It's probably gonna be Jamar Chase, Chase Brown,
• 24:08
  Speaker 2: then T Higgins in ownership. But but yeah, so I
• 24:12
  Speaker 2: like when I look at this, so we have we
• 24:14
  Speaker 2: have Warren at thirty five percent, Chase Brown and twenty
• 24:16
  Speaker 2: seven percent. It wouldn't surprise me if it ends up
• 24:20
  Speaker 2: Warren is fifty percent in some you know, higher stake
• 24:23
  Speaker 2: single entries, and Chase Brown actually fell to seventeen percent,
• 24:26
  Speaker 2: eighteen percent something like that, just because I these guys
• 24:29
  Speaker 2: are both both warren'n and Chase Brown, like they have
• 24:32
  Speaker 2: enough of a receiving role where I think the field
• 24:34
  Speaker 2: could break the typical rule of you know, the field
• 24:38
  Speaker 2: usually does not like to play running backs against each
• 24:41
  Speaker 2: other because they view it as, oh, well, if this
• 24:42
  Speaker 2: running back does well, it's because he's in a great
• 24:45
  Speaker 2: game script for himself, which means the other guy's in
• 24:48
  Speaker 2: a bad game script for his run game, So I
• 24:50
  Speaker 2: don't want to play them both. These guys are both
• 24:53
  Speaker 2: involved enough in the passing game where we could very
• 24:56
  Speaker 2: much see that that rule broken by a lot of people.
• 24:59
  Speaker 2: But I I think it's still going to be true
• 25:02
  Speaker 2: enough to enough of an extent that keeps Chase Brown
• 25:04
  Speaker 2: from steaming to to anywhere near where it wants.
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: That's why this is so important, and I always go
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: on my tambo tangents if you will, they're like rants,
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: but just mini ones. And it's this is so important
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: to me because it's something I care a lot about,
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: is helping people get better at DFS, the process, the
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: actual game that we play. And it's like, that's the
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: whole point the nope when people are like, oh, I
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: know ball, it is good. If you know ball, that'd
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: be great. I mean, but if you actually took people's
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: takes on the year and ran it out. Unless they're
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: really good sports betters who actually show their shit and
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: their receipts and put her on the line to say
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: it is what it is and their money's going where
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: their mouth is, you often don't see it. But we
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: can know DFS, we can know how people will react
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: and think. And I think you just nailed it there
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: with that one. The Steelers at home, the Steelers favorites
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: the matchups on paper. If you fully focus on that,
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: it does technically show that the Steelers have a better matchup.
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: It's not as comfortable to click into Rogers Metcalf and
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: a pass catcher. Beyond that and then get Jamar Chase.
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: Jamar Chase is going to be super popular, which means
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: when people have that, they don't necessarily want it with
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: Chase Brown, so they're kind of picking. So I just
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: don't see a world where you know, it doesn't matter
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: who actually is better. We don't know until the games
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: play out. A chan ended up in signal urgy like
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: still getting to a number. To our previous point from
• 26:17
  Speaker 1: last week we called you know, you called the James
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: Cook moving above him and the other stuff, and that
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: is huge. He doubled in ownership. But knowing DFS is
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: knowing all the things we just said and then thinking
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: it through. If that happens, you could definitely see where
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: Warren really steams and Chase Brown stays in check or
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: goes backwards. And that's where that could be a possibility
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: of him coming through. And he can still leverage a
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: lot on this slate. And there's another spot like that.
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: I think when we get to it here in a
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: little bit, maybe we'll get into it when we talk
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: about how to leverage the Common Bill, but that would
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: be almost the starting point of it real quick. I
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: just want to go through wide receiver and running back quickly.
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: So we talked about Warren and Brown. Let's stay there.
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: It looks like CMC the most popular expensive running back
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: casting again with a comments that is Jacob's going to
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: be eighty obviously fully exaggerating that no one is going
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: to be eighty percent, especially not an almost eighty seventy
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: eight hundred dollars Josh Jacobs. But I think Jacobs will
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: be up there a little bit. People definitely want to
• 27:15
  Speaker 1: play the Packers defense versus Jamis, which is another quick
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: interesting thing in a minute, anything else that running back
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: though you're seeing like Woody Marx or RJ. Harvey, some
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: of the coach speak stuff, anything like that.
• 27:26
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I got McCaffrey at twenty seven, Jacob's at twenty one,
• 27:30
  Speaker 2: Dowbtell eighteen. I think Dawdell's going to get some ownership
• 27:32
  Speaker 2: this week. I think Harvey will get some. I think
• 27:36
  Speaker 2: Aaron Jones will get some. And I do have Woody
• 27:38
  Speaker 2: marks pretty heavily above industry expectations. The moment I've got
• 27:41
  Speaker 2: him at fourteen percent, wouldn't be surprised if I gets
• 27:43
  Speaker 2: to twenty. I would have a lot of hesitation in
• 27:48
  Speaker 2: using Woody Marx and the Houston defense because I think
• 27:52
  Speaker 2: both of those plays are going to be only a
• 27:56
  Speaker 2: little bit concrac or only a little bit popular individually,
• 28:00
  Speaker 2: but I think that combination is going to be extremely popular,
• 28:03
  Speaker 2: and think like there is some correlation there, but I
• 28:06
  Speaker 2: don't think it's a crazy correlation because like the most
• 28:12
  Speaker 2: correlated instances of running back and defense is when the
• 28:17
  Speaker 2: outcome and the game script is uncertain, but both would
• 28:20
  Speaker 2: really benefit if you get one possible run out of
• 28:23
  Speaker 2: the game. This game script is not uncertain. It's entirely
• 28:27
  Speaker 2: likely that the game script is heavily in Houston's favor,
• 28:31
  Speaker 2: So you're not really getting the correlation of like how
• 28:36
  Speaker 2: the game runs out. You're literally only getting correlation in
• 28:39
  Speaker 2: the sense of like maybe Houston, you know, gets an interception,
• 28:42
  Speaker 2: they will turn it to the five, and then Woody
• 28:44
  Speaker 2: Marks gets the touchdown. But outside of that, there's not
• 28:47
  Speaker 2: a whole lot of correlation available. So I think given
• 28:50
  Speaker 2: how popular accombination is going to be, it's one that
• 28:52
  Speaker 2: I would avoid.
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: Agreed, And we saw it last week actually with quin
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: Jahn Judkins and the Browns d We had that specific
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: conversation as well. And then when we get to the
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: Sunday show with final thoughts with Hoop, myself and title,
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: Whop had the good thought of what if you just play,
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: how is it really that bad to flip it to
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: bres Hall and the Jets. It's still Dylan Gabriel on
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: the road. It's like there's all this ownership baked into
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: those other guys. And again thinking about it from DFS,
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: do we really know?
• 29:17
  Speaker 2: No?
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: But thinking about from a DFS ALEX, we went back
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: on the takedown breakdown. There was ten five hundred lineups
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: in the twenty dollars million maker, so one hundred and
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: sixty five thousand, give or take total entries over ten
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: thousand played Judkins and the Browns d together. There was
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: less than five hundred, so ten thousand less lineups that
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: played bress Hall and the Jets defense together. It was
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: almost the same price. It was literally almost the same situation.
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: It's a one point spread on that game. They were
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: the home team against Dylan Gabriel. And people will always
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: say like, oh yeah, it must be nice to get
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: the nut runouts of a kick return touchdown and then
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: a punt return. That's the cherry on top. That's the
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: cherry on top. Again, playing the game though ten thousand
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: less people you're competing with and get to fully leverage
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: when you go to the other side, hence the name
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: of the show. So when we talk about how to
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: leverage the common build, that's definitely an opportunity. I'm not
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: saying that ty J Spears and the Titans D would
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: be the way to do that this week, or or
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: if you want to play your boy Tony Pollard, whoever's
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: boy that is out there. I don't know that's something,
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: but I'll just say I like that you brought up
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: the Woody Marks Texans D thing, because the two most
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: popular defenses I'm seeing this week are the Titans, well three,
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: I'll put them all on the bucket, the Titans, the Texans,
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: and the Packers, and it's the same game, just flipping
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: the sides, with the Titans being super cheap going against
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: Davis Mills. By the way, interesting note there, because we're
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: about to get to how to leverage the common build.
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: The quarterback that was just fine with Nico and has
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: consistently been just fine with Nico, and almost one that
• 30:50
  Speaker 1: always winning people tournaments last week. You know, all these
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: different factors. So interestingly enough, on that one the Texans,
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: we talked about it pairing it with Woody will be
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: specifically popular in which which is why I do think
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: you called it again. I think we'll see what do
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: you go? What does the industry have them at right now?
• 31:05
  Speaker 2: I think like just below ten percent.
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm seeing different places, but I've seen Woody as
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: high as sixteen. But that's again not accounting for what
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: it's actually going to be in single entry, and I
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: think it seems way up. So you nailed that in advance,
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: I believe. So we'll see how it actually shapes out.
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: And then interestingly enough, where do you see like the
• 31:22
  Speaker 1: Packers fall in. I know not a lot of people
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: spend time on this, but people are starting to learn
• 31:26
  Speaker 1: that again because we don't know anything because it is
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: so high variance, how can we use this to our advantage?
• 31:32
  Speaker 1: And we'll talk on that in the second segment.
• 31:33
  Speaker 2: Here in just a few moments, I've got Packers defense
• 31:37
  Speaker 2: at nine percent, where the Tennessee Houston game is getting
• 31:41
  Speaker 2: a lot of ownership on both sides twenty two percent
• 31:44
  Speaker 2: for the Titans and sixteen percent for the Texans. The
• 31:47
  Speaker 2: Titans ownership like it. It does make sense. Essentially, you're
• 31:52
  Speaker 2: basically if you're using the Titans, you're saying, hey, they're
• 31:54
  Speaker 2: playing a backup quarterback. Maybe he throws a pick or two,
• 31:57
  Speaker 2: maybe they get a few sacks, and you're then just
• 32:01
  Speaker 2: hoping that no defense really separates you, at least no
• 32:03
  Speaker 2: Chalky defense really separates, and you're just hoping that all
• 32:06
  Speaker 2: the guys that you can therefore fit and work out.
• 32:08
  Speaker 2: So I don't think I don't think the concept of
• 32:12
  Speaker 2: playing the Titans defense is bad this week, but I
• 32:14
  Speaker 2: do think playing them at twenty percent is a very
• 32:17
  Speaker 2: bad decision.
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: Yeah. Interestingly enough, that line has gone from seven and
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: a half to five and a half now, so for
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: you know, whatever reason that may be. I guess the
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: Stroud news was probably part of it, but I thought
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: it was like that was like day one of the week,
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: so anteresting. I mean, obviously Stroud is part of it. Yes,
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: I'm just saying it was, you know, to me, I
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: didn't never think it was going to be the case anyway,
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: So we'll have to wait and see if was just
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: checking that from this week. But yeah, I think that's
• 32:41
  Speaker 1: another interesting spot. And then the last thing, anything quickly
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: you want to mention that wide receiver and then we'll
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: get to sort of the common build. But it segues
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: us in because I'm seeing Michael Wilson specifically very popular
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: at thirty eight hundred, and he still fits. This is
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: one where we're definitely gonna just segue into the second segment,
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: probably because all super sneaky play this week or way
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: to go, I should say, let's play CMC with Michael
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: Wilson and just call it a secondary stack. Alex will
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: we all set for the week. Right, that's how it works,
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: So go ahead, I'll let you take this one over.
• 33:12
  Speaker 2: Oh yeah, not only that, but also like, let's go
• 33:14
  Speaker 2: back to the Bressett point. Right, people are using Brissette
• 33:17
  Speaker 2: because they like using a cheap quarterback. Okay, if you
• 33:22
  Speaker 2: go Brissett Michael Wilson, that's really super super cheap. Trey McBride,
• 33:27
  Speaker 2: make it a double stack, and then McCaffrey is the
• 33:30
  Speaker 2: bringback that is not a cheap stack in any way,
• 33:33
  Speaker 2: shape or form. It does still help you, you know,
• 33:37
  Speaker 2: fit two studs. If you call McBride a stud as well,
• 33:40
  Speaker 2: which I think you should. McBride McCaffrey, Like, it's it's
• 33:45
  Speaker 2: not that different than playing Flacco Chase. It's the same concept,
• 33:49
  Speaker 2: right or McCarthy Jefferson, You're using the stack to access
• 33:53
  Speaker 2: your favorite expensive guys. So in other words, like, the
• 33:56
  Speaker 2: only way that you should be playing that is if
• 33:59
  Speaker 2: you think McBride and McCaffrey are the best spend ups
• 34:03
  Speaker 2: on the slate. You shouldn't be playing them if you think, Okay, well,
• 34:06
  Speaker 2: I'm going to go to this quote unquote affordable stack
• 34:10
  Speaker 2: so that I can fit whatever studs I want, and
• 34:12
  Speaker 2: then you just end up landing on those two. The
• 34:14
  Speaker 2: only way you should be playing the stack is if
• 34:16
  Speaker 2: you really really think McBride and McCaffrey are the best
• 34:19
  Speaker 2: way that you can possibly use that much salady.
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: Yeah, that's where it's gonna get interesting because it's all
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: dependent on how people look at it. Like, there's obviously
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: ways to flip that build too, but just yeah, I
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: said the CMC Michael Wilson secondary stack. We've talked to
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: a ton in the past about this, but the rehash
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: it quickly. I'm like, obviously, you can do whatever you want,
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: but that's not really I mean, that's all baked in already.
• 34:40
  Speaker 1: That's why they have the projections, they do the values,
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: it's why the ownership already exists on them. All of
• 34:45
  Speaker 1: those factors. Kittle will get some steam because he double
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: Whammy's it right. When we talk about how to leverage
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: the common build, if McBride's in there, some will say, Okay,
• 34:53
  Speaker 1: I'll go to Kittle instead. They'll run Brisett with Wilson
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: with something else and then or they'll leave it at
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: that then put in or they'll go double tight end
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: and use Kittle in it. So yeah, they'll they'll get
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: steamed up as well in those spots.
• 35:05
  Speaker 2: But I'm actually I'm not sure that Kittle's gonna steam
• 35:10
  Speaker 2: as long as Pierzel actually does return, because I think
• 35:13
  Speaker 2: there are a lot of people who are concerned that,
• 35:15
  Speaker 2: you know, once once San Francisco's at full health, it'll
• 35:19
  Speaker 2: becomes an extra right tackle or an extra left tackle
• 35:21
  Speaker 2: too often. So I don't know that he'll steam. We've
• 35:25
  Speaker 2: got him at eleven percent. I think that's probably in
• 35:28
  Speaker 2: the right ballpark for him. It's hard, right, It's it's
• 35:33
  Speaker 2: it's a lot harder to use him when you're no
• 35:35
  Speaker 2: longer confident that he's out there running a route every
• 35:37
  Speaker 2: play like he even even without Piercell being back. The
• 35:41
  Speaker 2: theme that we've kind of seen from since from San
• 35:44
  Speaker 2: Francisco since Kittle's return is they need a negative game
• 35:46
  Speaker 2: script for him to be out there running route at
• 35:49
  Speaker 2: the route like a traditional tight end or like a
• 35:50
  Speaker 2: slot receiver, whereas when they have the lead, it's everything
• 35:54
  Speaker 2: is so revolved around their run game where he's used
• 35:57
  Speaker 2: as a runner as a blocker for the run game,
• 36:00
  Speaker 2: but then also when they go play action off of
• 36:02
  Speaker 2: that run game, they still largely use him as a
• 36:05
  Speaker 2: blocker to help sell the run action first and then
• 36:09
  Speaker 2: the past. You know, maybe then he releases, but if
• 36:12
  Speaker 2: he's releasing after a blocking first, you're not getting the
• 36:14
  Speaker 2: really valuable downfield route that he can sometimes get in
• 36:17
  Speaker 2: a negative game shrift like we saw from them last week.
• 36:20
  Speaker 2: So it's a tough thing to try and predict the
• 36:23
  Speaker 2: kittle spikes. I think you need a very specific game script,
• 36:26
  Speaker 2: and then you also need the good touchdown variants and
• 36:29
  Speaker 2: all this stuff. And it just becomes that much harder
• 36:32
  Speaker 2: when Piersoll is also back, So I don't think the
• 36:34
  Speaker 2: field is going to go there quite as aggressively as
• 36:36
  Speaker 2: they otherwise would have.
• 36:38
  Speaker 1: Let me reframe because I think you made a good
• 36:40
  Speaker 1: point there and I want to go back to it,
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: and this is actually your point from past shows that
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: I'm rebringing up is when Kittle is used. How often
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: is it within those game stacks and even with McBride's
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: and with stuff. So when we go back and look
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: at that, that's where even if he does only get
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: to like eleven percent and my man shout out the
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: stat always bringing the good stuff. I mean, this is
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: a good version of like Dorsch instead of Will getting
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: Kiddle in with the double tight end. But there still
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: is a lot of popularity throughout and go collect right away,
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: says looking at one of my main limps, not just yours,
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: my friend. A lot of people that are watching this like,
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: oh shoot, that's my lineup, and you guys will say, oh,
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: not quite, not every piece, not doors, because we'll we
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: get it. You're different. But I'm saying it's not that different,
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: so different to me? And I guess are you good
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: to segue where we're going into how to leverage the
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: common build because we can start with this one just
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: on a two second quick one Purdy, Jennings Kittle and
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: use that side of the build completely and then use
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: a Dorsch or a Wilson to make everything else fit.
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: And it's like the trust in Kittle and Jennings with
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: Piercel back going to Purdy at fifty eight hundred for
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: almost one thousand bucks more than the obvious Brisette spot.
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: Like all of those are in the same game. But Purdy,
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: Jennings and even if Kittle's kept in check and then
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: not using McBride and using Dorsch over Wilson like those
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: four that's gonna piss everybody off if that happens, because
• 37:59
  Speaker 1: they're gonna say, oh, I have all these I got
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: six pieces from that game, and I'm getting a five
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: pointer over here, an eight pointer over here. You know,
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: McBride's busting on me, Like what is going on? Like
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: all this and to your point, if Kittle has that
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: specific type game and this is not my leverage, Landam's
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: giving a quick example out of the gates. I got
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: a few more good ones that aren't specific, but just
• 38:17
  Speaker 1: to note that, like this would be the way that
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: Kittle's specific game would work, because if he gets two
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: touchdowns and it's really something or a touchdown in the
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: you know, nine for one to ten and a touchdown,
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: that's hurting him and mcgraide could still both be getting there,
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: but that would hurting that onesie position that's still pretty
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: valuable to Brock Purdy, and then what else is happening?
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: And what if Jennings doesn't get kicked out of the
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: mix or Piercell gets a little bit more weaned back in.
• 38:41
  Speaker 1: That makes for more Kittle routes, but still leaves Jennings
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: open because now there's more spots and he has been
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: showing up for them. He requires a touchdown too, kind
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: of to get there. So in those get their lineups.
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: What does that look like? If it's dead, it's dead anyway,
• 38:53
  Speaker 1: But if it gets there and Kittle has the touchdown
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: and Jennings has the touchdown, they're likely attached to Purdy,
• 38:59
  Speaker 1: which now maybe it's just something else on the other side.
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: So I don't know how you think about that type
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: of stuff, but I mean these overstacks obviously outdo the
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: secondary stacks. When people are thinking, you know, Wilson would
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: CMC and I'm good. Well, if the overstack gets here,
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: you're not good at all. You're screwed because everyone has
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: five pieces on top of you or three more pieces
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: on top of you, five total something like that. What's
• 39:19
  Speaker 1: your thoughts on the perty side of things, and just
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: different ways to handle the spot.
• 39:23
  Speaker 2: So yeah, I mean the first thing I'll say, is
• 39:25
  Speaker 2: I very much agree like this is this is probably
• 39:28
  Speaker 2: the game to avoid mini stacks from so like I
• 39:31
  Speaker 2: wouldn't play CMC and McBride as the only pieces in
• 39:34
  Speaker 2: the game. I wouldn't play CMC and Wilson Like that's
• 39:36
  Speaker 2: probably even worse, honestly. But the other thought that I
• 39:40
  Speaker 2: have in this game is if you rewind like three
• 39:42
  Speaker 2: years or something like that, the kind of pivot of
• 39:45
  Speaker 2: you know what, I'm gonna use percent McBride, McCaffrey, but
• 39:49
  Speaker 2: then instead of using Wilson, I'm gonna use doors three
• 39:51
  Speaker 2: years ago, that would have been a really really sharp
• 39:53
  Speaker 2: way to build. It would have been super contrarian. It
• 39:55
  Speaker 2: would have given you that the possible separation that you're
• 39:59
  Speaker 2: looking for today, that's no longer the case. People are
• 40:03
  Speaker 2: too sharp, they are like too many people have that thought.
• 40:06
  Speaker 2: And then also so many people are using sims which
• 40:10
  Speaker 2: are basically like pointing you exactly to that one move
• 40:14
  Speaker 2: that it's just not going to be contrarian enough. So
• 40:17
  Speaker 2: I really like this idea that you have here of well, okay,
• 40:19
  Speaker 2: well what if we just flip it to the San
• 40:21
  Speaker 2: Francisco side and we say, pretty kittle pearsall and then
• 40:25
  Speaker 2: instead of using one of those Arizona pass catchers, like,
• 40:29
  Speaker 2: what if you use de Marcato as the bring back
• 40:31
  Speaker 2: forty five hundred dollars, there's a decent chance that there's
• 40:34
  Speaker 2: going to be no Bam Knight this week. De Mercado
• 40:37
  Speaker 2: has actually been like the only effective both runner and
• 40:41
  Speaker 2: pass catcher out of the backfield for this Arizona team
• 40:43
  Speaker 2: since Connor and Benson both went down, So like, de
• 40:45
  Speaker 2: Marcato could actually have a pretty good role. Maybe you
• 40:49
  Speaker 2: get lucky and he scores a touchdown, but even if
• 40:51
  Speaker 2: even if he doesn't, like maybe he gets sixty rushing
• 40:53
  Speaker 2: arts and catches four balls for fifty yards something like that, Right,
• 40:57
  Speaker 2: so there are a lot of pass to him being
• 40:59
  Speaker 2: successful in The really important part of this is if
• 41:01
  Speaker 2: you're right about the San Francisco passing stack and it's
• 41:04
  Speaker 2: through the air to your pass catchers, and you're right
• 41:07
  Speaker 2: about de Mercado soaking up a decent amount of production,
• 41:10
  Speaker 2: that also means McAffer is more likely to fail, McBride
• 41:14
  Speaker 2: is more likely to fail. And you just actually turned
• 41:17
  Speaker 2: this game stack into something that really is affordable. So
• 41:20
  Speaker 2: now you can use this game stack and then go
• 41:22
  Speaker 2: spend up on Jamar, Chase, Josh Jacobs, whatever you want
• 41:25
  Speaker 2: to do outside of that. So I think this is
• 41:26
  Speaker 2: a really really well thought out type of lineup here,
• 41:30
  Speaker 2: if you go to the San Francisco side and really
• 41:32
  Speaker 2: try to avoid those spends.
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm trying to find something for the people real quick.
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: Because a good point was brought up too, And this
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: is what I said earlier. It's not just an elephant
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: in the room. It's the literal herd of them. Is
• 41:44
  Speaker 1: everybody's building with this game to start the slate, which
• 41:47
  Speaker 1: I get, but it's like you could be dead on arrival,
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: Like what, you can't play that game if you have
• 41:52
  Speaker 1: people that bust in the more if you have all
• 41:54
  Speaker 1: the running backs in the morning that bust out on you.
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: Because most of these lineups will have some combination of
• 42:00
  Speaker 1: Josh Jacobs, Woody Marx where else some people go in
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: the morning if they go to Bijon or a Tan
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: Junior or something in that Minnesota game, Jalen Moore and
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: Chase Brown. If all that shit didn't hit, you got
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: to move. And so somebody asks, I'm doing a quick
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: two second version of it. You should always dig into
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: this stuff. In advance, and for those that don't, I
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: think you're definitely behind, especially in single entry stuff where
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: you kind of want to have a plan, to have
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: a plan and just looking at it. If you look
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: at Brissett, Wilson, McBride and CMC for twenty four thousand dollars,
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: you can swap it to Stafford nikoua Higbee with RJ.
• 42:37
  Speaker 1: Harvey quick example, it's way less owned. If you're dead,
• 42:40
  Speaker 1: you're dead. You better try and get a min catch.
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: I'm not saying that's the one. I just get looked
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: it up in two seconds, but that's the kind of
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: money you're talking about, And nobody's doing that on any
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: content that I know of out there where they're actually
• 42:50
  Speaker 1: finding you the scenario let alone, if this was the case,
• 42:54
  Speaker 1: what could you do so I'll kick it back to
• 42:56
  Speaker 1: you on that, Alex Like that's sort of a big
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: factor late swap and that game being part of it,
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: because you're overstacked that you're just competing with the same
• 43:03
  Speaker 1: people on If you're already dead from the morning, you're
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: not picking up much on the afternoon leverage that way.
• 43:08
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I think if I were to go to that game,
• 43:11
  Speaker 2: I think because that game is going to get enough
• 43:13
  Speaker 2: ownership as it is the way that I would like
• 43:15
  Speaker 2: to play it is either DeVante Adams on the Los
• 43:18
  Speaker 2: Angeles side and just hope he catches three touchdowns, or
• 43:22
  Speaker 2: you go the Seattle route Donald Smith and Jake book
• 43:26
  Speaker 2: Shaheed and now you have the one like really contrarian
• 43:29
  Speaker 2: high upside piece if he catches two bomb touchdowns, and
• 43:32
  Speaker 2: then maybe you bring it back with either Adams or
• 43:34
  Speaker 2: Kyrin Williams. I think it would probably have to be
• 43:37
  Speaker 2: It might even have to be like Higbe, might have
• 43:39
  Speaker 2: to be someone cheaper to match the money. But I
• 43:42
  Speaker 2: think the better answer might just be you go to
• 43:45
  Speaker 2: Lamar Jackson stack instead, because we know there's for sure.
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: Yeah. I like the js n's thought as well, because
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: he's interesting. We didn't spend time on it earlier, but
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: now that he's got the big boy price tag of
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: almost nine k, trust me, it's warranted. The guys had
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: an incredible season thus far, but that's definitely scaring some
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: people away to that spot. So you know, things like
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: that where people can't get to like our guys. Stat
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: just found it. Shout out the stat against as Darnald
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: JSN Higbee William. Yeah, that's fine as well. Again find
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: your own, find your version of it, but definitely think
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: like that's the call. Just thinking about that in advance
• 44:21
  Speaker 1: is so far ahead of what others are doing. Even
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: though some people out there will tell you that I'm
• 44:26
  Speaker 1: crazy and that's not the case. Everyone's doing this, like
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: nobody's late swapping trust me. It's like still such a
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: clear thing that not many people are doing it, and
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: in single entry it's the it's a make or break difference.
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: It's like you just die on your afternoon because you're
• 44:40
  Speaker 1: pissed off about the morning didn't go for you the
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: right way. You're like, well, better hope that game goes
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: off then, or you just say now I got to
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: move off that and make it happen for a place
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: that I can go find. I told you guys earlier
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: this season, you know the cam Ward I a manner
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: DK with Jonathan Taylor versus starting out with whatever it was,
• 44:59
  Speaker 1: the the phenomenal stack that I did have. It's like,
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: does it feel good to swap off that? No, but
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: it's a chance to make a real difference and almost
• 45:06
  Speaker 1: won me one hundred K. That's you know, it can
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: make a big difference in some cases. But if you're dead,
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: you're dead. You've got to move on. You got to
• 45:12
  Speaker 1: find that spot. So I think it's a good way
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: to look at it from that perspective. What else do
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: we know here, Alex? What else are we looking at
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: when it comes to leverage the common build some of
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: these game stacks. I think you already talked about the
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: combinatorial ownership on some of those other spots, but one
• 45:25
  Speaker 1: I wanted to go back to my at least for me,
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: and then you can, you know, you can do whatever
• 45:29
  Speaker 1: you want and go to it yourself. But I did
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: think it was interesting that nobody's playing Mills, Nico Schultz,
• 45:36
  Speaker 1: any of those guys. But they're playing. But we have
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: so many it's like a triple on toendro We've got
• 45:40
  Speaker 1: people are playing Woody Marx. That leverage is that people
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: are playing the Tennessee d the Davis Mill stacks. Leverage
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: that you don't have to overstack Ego Mills, Collins, shut
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: it down, don't have to run it back like that
• 45:51
  Speaker 1: could be a great starting point where you could put
• 45:53
  Speaker 1: Mills with Marx has still been getting three to five target,
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: three to seven, three to five type targets, so you
• 45:58
  Speaker 1: can go there as well. Is there anything on that game?
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: And then is there some other spots you want to
• 46:02
  Speaker 1: talk about here?
• 46:04
  Speaker 2: Yeah? Well so I think you know, you mentioned that
• 46:07
  Speaker 2: that Houston game. Nico is an example to me of
• 46:11
  Speaker 2: a larger theme that could could potentially be used to
• 46:14
  Speaker 2: really leverage the comment bill, which is think think of
• 46:17
  Speaker 2: all of the really expensive names that we've already listed
• 46:20
  Speaker 2: as guys that people are gonna want to jam into
• 46:22
  Speaker 2: their lives. You've got Jacobs, You've got McCaffrey, you've got
• 46:25
  Speaker 2: Chase Kuka Smith and Jigbo. When you have a lot
• 46:29
  Speaker 2: of lineups that are studs and duds like that, it's
• 46:32
  Speaker 2: very natural that you're going to get like this really
• 46:35
  Speaker 2: kind of low level of ownership through the mid tier
• 46:38
  Speaker 2: and Mecca, Buca, T Higgins, Roma, duns A, Nico Collins.
• 46:44
  Speaker 2: You know, the list goes on, Jordan Addison, Ted McMillan,
• 46:47
  Speaker 2: like a lot of those types of players, they have
• 46:50
  Speaker 2: a very very real ceiling. We've seen a lot of
• 46:52
  Speaker 2: these guys already go for thirty plus. This here, we
• 46:54
  Speaker 2: just saw a massive, massive game from T Higgins, and
• 46:58
  Speaker 2: you're saving a lot of money and and You're potentially
• 47:01
  Speaker 2: preventing yourself from having to then pay down for the
• 47:03
  Speaker 2: Michael Wilson's or the Greg Dorches of the slate that
• 47:07
  Speaker 2: you know, if they only get six DraftKings points, none
• 47:10
  Speaker 2: of us are going to be even remotely surprised. So that,
• 47:13
  Speaker 2: to me is probably the number one thought I have
• 47:16
  Speaker 2: this week of how can I leverage the common bill? Well,
• 47:18
  Speaker 2: what if I just play through the high upside mid
• 47:20
  Speaker 2: tier guys instead, don't pay down and hope that you know,
• 47:23
  Speaker 2: the high score on the slate is T Higgins or
• 47:27
  Speaker 2: the high score on the slatest romadoonsday. And I'm just
• 47:29
  Speaker 2: playing into things in a way where I'm accessing a
• 47:33
  Speaker 2: lot of the same ceiling and I don't have to
• 47:35
  Speaker 2: go anywhere near the floor of the cheapest guys that
• 47:39
  Speaker 2: are required to fit those studs.
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: Yeah, that's That's really the kicker here is if you
• 47:43
  Speaker 1: do something like that, that can be what changes it up.
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: And another thing too, It was brought up in the
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: chat here. I want to bring this one quickly, but
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: Gabriel said, the Seahawks Rams end up being a trap game.
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: You could trap. It would have worked if you didn't
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: add the last line because fantasy wise, no one's playing
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: anybody in this game. Even if JSN gets some Steam
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: or Pooka one of the two, it's that's it on
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: this game. Like no one's playing Stafford, no one's playing Williams,
• 48:05
  Speaker 1: no one's DeVante was. I believe he's even still questionable
• 48:08
  Speaker 1: but expected to play right, So it's like that no
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: one's on him right now. I like your call of
• 48:12
  Speaker 1: him on late swap. Something like putting him instead of
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: Pooka in the version I gave could be the difference
• 48:17
  Speaker 1: of whatever you really want it to be. But like
• 48:19
  Speaker 1: that could be R. J. Harvey up to Derrick Henry
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: or something like it as another way to get completely
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: different with looking for a ceiling but just noting it.
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: Like no one's on Darnold. JSN is eighty nine hundred now,
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: so one of him or Puoka has to be at
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: least somewhat kept in check. Even if one of them
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: does get Steam and then Shaheed, no one is on
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: the Higbees the Barners, like, no one's on that game
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: until maybe they have to and go late swap. But
• 48:42
  Speaker 1: right now, I don't I don't see that being something
• 48:46
  Speaker 1: that's it can't I'm just saying it can't really be
• 48:47
  Speaker 1: a trap. If it's not. If you think it's an
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: under for betting, you could bet it because it's got
• 48:51
  Speaker 1: a bigger team total on it. I could agree from
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: that standpoint. If you were looking at it that way,
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: but don't see it eight differently, go ahead.
• 48:57
  Speaker 2: And if you are looking at it that way, if
• 49:00
  Speaker 2: you know, we can talk about that the different terminology.
• 49:02
  Speaker 2: But if you're just looking at it from a point
• 49:04
  Speaker 2: of view of, hey, I think that this game could
• 49:06
  Speaker 2: really actually be kind of ugly from a fantas sphere perspective.
• 49:09
  Speaker 2: Even these offenses have been great. I think there is
• 49:12
  Speaker 2: like a clear way that that's true. But this is
• 49:15
  Speaker 2: also it's a really really difficult game to project because
• 49:18
  Speaker 2: you have two offenses who really like to run the
• 49:21
  Speaker 2: ball and whose passing games are kind of predicated around
• 49:25
  Speaker 2: their run game, Like a lot of it is just
• 49:26
  Speaker 2: using the same actions and then play action off of that.
• 49:30
  Speaker 2: So it's it's hard in that way because both of
• 49:33
  Speaker 2: these defenses are pass funnels in the way that they
• 49:37
  Speaker 2: are really really good against the run. So a lot
• 49:39
  Speaker 2: of teams want to just say, Okay, we're not going
• 49:41
  Speaker 2: to be able to run the ball that well against them,
• 49:43
  Speaker 2: and then they get into you know, negative gamescripts against
• 49:46
  Speaker 2: them and they end up throwing a lot. But you
• 49:48
  Speaker 2: can't really project that for these teams because both of
• 49:51
  Speaker 2: these offenses are so stubborn with their you know, just
• 49:55
  Speaker 2: determination to at least try to run the ball because
• 49:58
  Speaker 2: they feel like it's it's important to everything they do
• 50:01
  Speaker 2: in the passing game. They don't want to just become
• 50:02
  Speaker 2: a traditional drop back offense. So I think that this
• 50:05
  Speaker 2: game could be slow. I do think I very much
• 50:09
  Speaker 2: lean to the under our model. Over Decktan is really
• 50:11
  Speaker 2: really low on these passing sacks of the play where
• 50:13
  Speaker 2: I was looking at like, I feel like I have
• 50:15
  Speaker 2: to edit these projections to some degree. But you know,
• 50:18
  Speaker 2: we're a part of the season where I really want
• 50:19
  Speaker 2: to just trust on model. I know how good it is.
• 50:21
  Speaker 2: So yeah, it's a it's a really hard game to
• 50:24
  Speaker 2: think through that way. The potential fireworks are there, right, Like,
• 50:28
  Speaker 2: both of these offenses have been so efficient, especially downfield.
• 50:31
  Speaker 2: Both of these defenses do encourage enough downfield passing that
• 50:36
  Speaker 2: if they end up hitting and if we do see
• 50:38
  Speaker 2: some really efficient downfield passing, is there for fantasy points
• 50:43
  Speaker 2: and for a game script where like both teams are
• 50:45
  Speaker 2: really pushing the other offense, but man, I think the
• 50:49
  Speaker 2: far more likely run out is it is a little
• 50:50
  Speaker 2: bit disappointing from a fantasy perspective.
• 50:53
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I shut it to our man beg little Neck
• 50:55
  Speaker 1: earlier says you have to learn to be more attached
• 50:57
  Speaker 1: to your bank roll than to your favorite plays. Strange
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: that that is a difficult concept, but it's some weird
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: part of human nature and ego. It is. It is
• 51:05
  Speaker 1: definitely that go ahead.
• 51:06
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I think an easier way to think about that,
• 51:08
  Speaker 2: and I very much agree with it. But instead of
• 51:11
  Speaker 2: saying I'm attached to my bank roll, just find the
• 51:13
  Speaker 2: joy in recognizing that. Like there's a real edge in
• 51:17
  Speaker 2: just building smarter lineups and trying to outbuild your competition
• 51:21
  Speaker 2: rather than help pick the individual plays. And if you
• 51:23
  Speaker 2: because if you find joy in that, then it's it's
• 51:25
  Speaker 2: you know, there's there's no discipline required, right, Like that's
• 51:28
  Speaker 2: part of the fun, just knowing. Yeah, you know, I
• 51:31
  Speaker 2: feel really strongly about let's say Pooka this week, but
• 51:34
  Speaker 2: the better lineup doesn't happen. The better lineup is is
• 51:36
  Speaker 2: a is a balanced lineup. So I'm just gonna help
• 51:38
  Speaker 2: build the competition, and I'm gonna have fun doing it.
• 51:41
  Speaker 1: Yeah, go Collects says JSN is a direct pivot to
• 51:44
  Speaker 1: CMC salary wise and flex That's why I said earlier,
• 51:47
  Speaker 1: like if you know, if he gets steamed, it wouldn't
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: surprise me. But I think some of it and a
• 51:52
  Speaker 1: chunk of it is going to come from from Lake Swap.
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: Go build one hundred lineups by hand right now, and
• 51:59
  Speaker 1: see how many you actually on JSN. Not very many.
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: You know that. That's just the way people are thinking
• 52:04
  Speaker 1: because almost eighty nine hundred and stat and I always
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: go back and forth on stuff like again people that
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: consider and I know you don't because you know what
• 52:11
  Speaker 1: you're talking about. But like ownership is all subjective. Twenty
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: percent JSN to me is not high owned at all.
• 52:16
  Speaker 1: Like it's fine if he gets to it, there's gonna
• 52:18
  Speaker 1: be tons of thirty percenters. There's then there's like running
• 52:21
  Speaker 1: back plays that fit in with him, that get put
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: in at forty percent, like the Warrens of the World
• 52:25
  Speaker 1: and things like that that can happen where it's like
• 52:26
  Speaker 1: you find a different way to play him. You actually
• 52:28
  Speaker 1: think he's getting steam that much. Good for you? But
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: what's Sam Darnald two percent? How does he actually get
• 52:34
  Speaker 1: there and have this eighty nine hundred dollars price tag payoff?
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: What's Devonte Adams on the other side of that game?
• 52:38
  Speaker 1: What's aj Barner? Like, you can play all these guys,
• 52:41
  Speaker 1: it doesn't matter. And if there's one hundred people in
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: a room, eighty of them are walking around walking out
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: when you say JSN and they don't have them. So
• 52:48
  Speaker 1: there's twenty people that you're competing with. Now put Darnald
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: in with that, and there's like three people left over
• 52:55
  Speaker 1: in the room probably or four people left over in
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: the room. So you can shrink it. Two quick moves done.
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: That's all it is. You got to look at the
• 53:01
  Speaker 1: whole slate. Gotta remember it's nine pieces. You have to
• 53:04
  Speaker 1: fill out. So many people and not USETA, but so
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: many people sit there and bask in this. Well, he's
• 53:09
  Speaker 1: gonna be twenty one percent. If he was sixteen, I'd
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: get in on him, like what are you doing? Play
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: the game. Stop worrying about that focus on the total lineup.
• 53:17
  Speaker 1: It frustrates me, Like it's just so sad to see
• 53:20
  Speaker 1: that that's how people focus on it. You've got to
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: get thinking about the whole big picture, stop focusing in
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: on one play, and then figure out the slate any
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: other spot.
• 53:29
  Speaker 2: But that's one of the reasons why I love the
• 53:31
  Speaker 2: GPP scores that we have over at FTN, because it
• 53:34
  Speaker 2: they like they kind of make that point for us,
• 53:36
  Speaker 2: right Like, if there's a receiver at twenty one percent
• 53:38
  Speaker 2: verse sixteen percent, his GPP score is not going to
• 53:41
  Speaker 2: change a lot. When you get to twenty six percent
• 53:43
  Speaker 2: verse eight percent, it's going to change a lot. So
• 53:46
  Speaker 2: you know, the GPP scores kind of show us just
• 53:49
  Speaker 2: very instinctually how important that difference is. And then the
• 53:54
  Speaker 2: second point that you made that I absolutely love is,
• 53:56
  Speaker 2: you know, just throw Donold in there. I do think
• 54:00
  Speaker 2: two percent JASN like that is meaningful if you're pivoting
• 54:02
  Speaker 2: from McCaffrey to JSN because you think, oh, I'm dead
• 54:05
  Speaker 2: if I use McCaffrey, but JSN super conturing can really
• 54:09
  Speaker 2: help me, you know, recover. I don't think he can
• 54:12
  Speaker 2: do that. He's too popular for that on his own.
• 54:14
  Speaker 2: If you can get to the Donald JSN combination. And
• 54:18
  Speaker 2: now when JSN has that forty point explosion, it's coming
• 54:21
  Speaker 2: with a Donald thirty point performance. Instead of you know,
• 54:24
  Speaker 2: the chalk yar quarterback like maybe Perset gets fifteen. That
• 54:28
  Speaker 2: is massively important. So I think that's a really really
• 54:32
  Speaker 2: great point that you made there of just tie JSN
• 54:36
  Speaker 2: and that ceiling performance to his quarterback. Because at this price,
• 54:39
  Speaker 2: right at nine thousand dollars, how does JSN possibly smash
• 54:43
  Speaker 2: without Donald doing really well for his price?
• 54:45
  Speaker 1: So that's my thing. Yeah, And I use this room
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: example all the time because I know people can see
• 54:49
  Speaker 1: it better and they say, like Layman's terms help and
• 54:51
  Speaker 1: sort of thinking it from this perspective, there's one hundred
• 54:53
  Speaker 1: people in the room. It's harder to do with the
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: running back. That's why I always have this conversation. I
• 54:58
  Speaker 1: focus it around wide receiver a lot because with running
• 55:00
  Speaker 1: back it's like, okay, CMC, one hundred people in a room,
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: they say, CMC people stay in the room. Let's say
• 55:06
  Speaker 1: thirty five people stay in the room. Okay, there's not
• 55:09
  Speaker 1: often ways. Sometimes it's like a receiver. You could say, okay,
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: now who's playing the defense with them? And that could
• 55:13
  Speaker 1: solve it, yes, But oftentimes it's like, okay, what's the
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: way to leverage this? Oh, it's gonna be with Purdy,
• 55:18
  Speaker 1: Jennings and Kittle. Well wait a sec, hey, everybody out
• 55:21
  Speaker 1: in the hallway, come back in. If you're playing, if
• 55:23
  Speaker 1: you're not playing CMC, they all come back in. Now,
• 55:25
  Speaker 1: who's playing Kittle? Now? Who's playing Purty? Now? Who's you
• 55:28
  Speaker 1: got to go through all the run around with a
• 55:30
  Speaker 1: wide receiver? It's who's playing JSN twenty to thirty people
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: stick around all right? Now, which of you guys are
• 55:37
  Speaker 1: playing Darnold? And then everyone starts walking out and the
• 55:40
  Speaker 1: other three are like, oh shit, that's pretty solid. There's
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: only three or four of us. Look at how far
• 55:44
  Speaker 1: ahead you are, and now you don't need to get
• 55:46
  Speaker 1: as different as you as you think on the rest
• 55:48
  Speaker 1: of the slate. And that could be big boys scores
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: that you pick up from those guys. So just little
• 55:52
  Speaker 1: things like that that we talk about. That's important to
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: take away. A couple more notes for me about how
• 55:58
  Speaker 1: to leverage the common build. I'm not seeing as many
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: people get to maybe maybe you are, but like Bjeon Robinson,
• 56:05
  Speaker 1: some of these other you know, running backs where it's
• 56:08
  Speaker 1: similar to last week at least somewhat not overall, but
• 56:11
  Speaker 1: like if the CMC stuff is popular, like even Jacobs,
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: who we mentioned earlier. Does he stick at twenty? Like,
• 56:17
  Speaker 1: where's the number actually get to for him? Bijon some
• 56:21
  Speaker 1: of these guys, and if Jacobs goes up, I think
• 56:23
  Speaker 1: when you have CMC and Jacobs up, you have to
• 56:26
  Speaker 1: bring Bijon back down again. And this could definitely be
• 56:29
  Speaker 1: a good Bjon spot. He failed miserably by the way
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: in round one of this matchup, but you all wanted him,
• 56:35
  Speaker 1: and Gibbs was the guy that failed miserably the week
• 56:37
  Speaker 1: before last week that you all wanted and didn't get there.
• 56:40
  Speaker 1: So I have some interest in Bijon as well. Maybe
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: more on that later, but give me thoughts on Bijon,
• 56:45
  Speaker 1: James Cook, Josh Jacobs. There is some ceiling opportunity here
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: with how the running back position is shaping up and
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: also McBride down to whoever to get money to get ceiling.
• 56:56
  Speaker 1: Some of these guys got to fit that bill you take.
• 56:58
  Speaker 2: Can we also take a moment to realize that Like
• 57:00
  Speaker 2: through I don't know Week seven, all we heard was
• 57:03
  Speaker 2: how the running back chalk is smashing every single week.
• 57:06
  Speaker 2: Like remember when I think it was like Dab will
• 57:08
  Speaker 2: have his two back to back thirty something plus perform
• 57:12
  Speaker 2: point performances, and the like the talk of the chat was,
• 57:16
  Speaker 2: we we just have to use like all the running
• 57:18
  Speaker 2: back chalk. Then we get Bijeon fails, then we get
• 57:22
  Speaker 2: you know, McCaffrey Underwhelm's ball, Jamier Gibbs at eleven percent
• 57:24
  Speaker 2: has the forty point smash. It's just it's crazy how
• 57:28
  Speaker 2: this happens every single season. Early in the year, a
• 57:32
  Speaker 2: type of chalk does really really well for the first
• 57:34
  Speaker 2: six seven weeks, and now everyone just thinks, like, okay,
• 57:37
  Speaker 2: that chalk is suddenly automatic. Now remember we're talking about
• 57:40
  Speaker 2: a really really really small sample at this point in
• 57:43
  Speaker 2: the NFL season, especially for just main slates, And now
• 57:48
  Speaker 2: now we kind of seem like the almost the result
• 57:52
  Speaker 2: of the recent chalk failures because now we've only had
• 57:56
  Speaker 2: Jacobs at twenty one percent, we only had McAffrey at
• 57:58
  Speaker 2: twenty seven percent. I think bjon is going to be
• 58:01
  Speaker 2: really low and I only have him at eight percent
• 58:03
  Speaker 2: in single entry right now. So so yeah, I think
• 58:06
  Speaker 2: you can kind of play your favorite running backs does
• 58:09
  Speaker 2: but like personally, I think Dawbell and Jacob's are in
• 58:12
  Speaker 2: really good spots. And then I also think that you
• 58:14
  Speaker 2: can just go them into your route, Warren Chase Brown.
• 58:18
  Speaker 2: I think those guys are a very strong places this week.
• 58:20
  Speaker 2: I like ETN quite a bit. I like Woody Marx.
• 58:23
  Speaker 2: So yeah, there are a lot of options this week
• 58:25
  Speaker 2: at running back, and I think you can either be
• 58:28
  Speaker 2: contrarian or chuckey kind of do whatever you want this
• 58:30
  Speaker 2: week because we're not getting We're not getting like the
• 58:32
  Speaker 2: congregation of ownership on someone at sixty percent or seventy percent,
• 58:36
  Speaker 2: like Bijeon that week against Miami, he did a sixty
• 58:41
  Speaker 2: seven percent in a lot of single entries like the
• 58:44
  Speaker 2: two hundred dollars single. So we're just not going to
• 58:47
  Speaker 2: get anything like that this week.
• 58:49
  Speaker 1: Yeah, agreed, one last thing I want to bring up
• 58:51
  Speaker 1: for sure, and then if you have others we can
• 58:52
  Speaker 1: kick it. Like everyone's having a good time. I think
• 58:54
  Speaker 1: it's a lot of people watching to do as a favorite.
• 58:55
  Speaker 1: Make sure to hit that thumbs up and subscribe to
• 58:58
  Speaker 1: the channel. I know we're watching it live right now,
• 59:00
  Speaker 1: but if you're watching this on replay, playback, whatever you
• 59:02
  Speaker 1: want to call it, make sure to leave your leverage
• 59:04
  Speaker 1: lane in the comments, any thoughts, feedback you want to
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: make fun of the voices, I make things like that
• 59:09
  Speaker 1: I'm fine with it as well. We're all just having
• 59:11
  Speaker 1: a good time here. We love what we do and
• 59:12
  Speaker 1: this is our passion. So it's kind of like a
• 59:14
  Speaker 1: way we look at the slate going into it and
• 59:16
  Speaker 1: just bring it out to everybody. But the Jamis Winston
• 59:19
  Speaker 1: situations you would give any like at the start of
• 59:21
  Speaker 1: the week, everyone's like, oh, Jamis Chalk and all this.
• 59:23
  Speaker 1: I don't know if it's a product of people just
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: wanted to be able to say they were playing Jamis
• 59:27
  Speaker 1: and Slayton or my man Pat Mayo saying he wants
• 59:29
  Speaker 1: to play Jamis with the Packers D. But not really
• 59:32
  Speaker 1: anybody's playing any of this. I mean, I think Jacob's
• 59:35
  Speaker 1: for sure a product of the Jacobs lane ups with
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: the Packers D. But not many people want to try
• 59:39
  Speaker 1: and figure out is it must grave time now with
• 59:42
  Speaker 1: you know, you know, not really doing much last time,
• 59:44
  Speaker 1: is it gonna be any which of these wide receivers
• 59:46
  Speaker 1: is it going to be? And all of this stuff
• 59:48
  Speaker 1: and then Slaton being out on the other side. So
• 59:50
  Speaker 1: any thoughts on this giant spot that you want to
• 59:53
  Speaker 1: bring up quickly before we go to final thoughts.
• 59:56
  Speaker 2: I really don't have any interest in any Giants. I
• 59:59
  Speaker 2: think lane out hurts this offense immensely. I think it's
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 2: bad for Wandelle. It might be okay for THEO Johnson.
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 2: So if you made me play a Giant, it would
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 2: definitely be THEO Johnson. But I'm not interested in them.
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 2: I am quite interested in the green Bay side of things.
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 2: I think the defense is good. I think Jacobs is
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 2: really good. I think if Golden is out, I'm gonna
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 2: really really really like Christian Watson. But I think Dobbs
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 2: is good regardless, and honestly, Wicks might be fine too.
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 2: Like Wicks has been really good against man covers. The
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 2: Giants play a lot of man coverage. But all three
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 2: of these guys, Dobbs, Watson, and Wicks, they're all better
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 2: against man. They're all better against single high. Both of
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 2: those are really favored by this Giants stefense. So I
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 2: think all three of those guys could be good. And
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 2: I'm not gonna stretch that and say I want Jordan
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 2: Love because I don't want this. I don't think this
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 2: game goes off. It's just way too likely that Green
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 2: Bay is in a script where they don't have to
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 2: push themselves at all. But any of those three I
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 2: think are good one offs at the wide receiver position,
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 2: and then you can even use any of them with
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 2: Jacobs and hope that they score you know, thirty four
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 2: offensive points something like that, and Jacobs is two on
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 2: the ground and then you get one through the air
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 2: and you get one hundred yard bonuses from both guys
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 2: something like that. So that's definitely a way that I
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 2: would play this game, but I'm not interested in that.
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 1: Well. One last interesting note is this one also tightening up.
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 1: It's now a six and a half point spread. It's
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: going the other way than what everyone's telling me is
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 1: gonna happen. So what maybe they've got a little more
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 1: faith than Jamis or something this week. But interestingly enough,
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: just to see that with all the injuries, I think
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 1: they're without defensive players even on the Giants as well,
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 1: or like I forget who's out this week, couple different
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 1: people beyond the normal. But yeah, that's just crazy for
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 1: that to see it. The Packers have struggled a little.
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 1: They lost to the Panthers, but they put up a
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 1: really good fight. That was a not the game you
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 1: love to see, but I thought it was fine. Of
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 1: that stretch of bad primetime games. You're a big Eagles fan.
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 1: I felt like the coaching was horrible at the end
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: of that game from both sides. But either way, at
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 1: least you know, an exciting back and forth until the
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 1: type game. So you know, it's just been a bit
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 1: of a struggle for Green Bay to put on offense recently,
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 1: that's all.
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 2: Yeah. I think it could also just be due to
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 2: the forecast of some decent wins that do hurt the
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 2: potential for long passes, but that like we saw this
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 2: last week with the Giants and Bears game that everyone
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 2: was off of. I ended up playing that game in
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 2: the early slate and I had Dark, Slayton Theo and
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 2: Swift and Odeon Sak on the bringback. I think I
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 2: would have won absolutely everything on the early only slate
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 2: if not for the Dark injury that shut everything down.
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 2: Like Slaton was definitely in to get to the hundred
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 2: dar bonus, Steel might have as well. Dart was going
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 2: to get to probably thirty. Virus out draftings points. Wind matters,
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 2: but it also affects the way the defenses play. So
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 2: because of the wind, because the coaches on the field know, hey,
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 2: it's hard to throw the deep ball. Guess what, the
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 2: Giants are going to be more willing to give single
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 2: high looks to these packers that allow opportunities for depasses.
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 2: So it all kind of evens out until you get
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 2: to the kind of weather that makes it like legitimately
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 2: impossible to really throw the ball downfield. So I think
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 2: that's something that you know, I've really kind of learned
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 2: over the last few years is I've just watched these games,
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 2: realized I was off this because of because of the weather.
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 2: But they're still throwing the ball downfield. Why is that?
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 2: It's because the weather also affects the way the defense
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 2: caused the game. They actually give opportunity to the offense
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 2: that they otherwise wouldn't. So that's something to keep in
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 2: mind whenever we have these weather games. So definitely was
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 2: a big takeaway of mine last week.
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I guess last thing on weather because that's a
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 1: good one too, just to make sure we're on it.
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 1: There's still you know, people here, maybe they want to
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 1: know anything you're really adjusting for there, Like the biggest
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 1: one was the the Tampa Bay I think at Bill's game. Obviously,
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 1: Baltimore Cleveland is being talked about as well, but from
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 1: a DFS perspective where people might have actually went and
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 1: thought about going. Nobody's really excited about the Baltimore Cleveland
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 1: game right now anyway, But there is some buffalo stuff
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 1: with knocks and with kinkabing. We already covered that earlier,
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 1: but just noting that that game total has dropped quite
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 1: a bit. So it's actually again still up there forty
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 1: six and a half, but opening somewhere around fifty. The
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 1: weather has affected that game total. We haven't. You don't
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 1: see that very often. When you do, you kind of
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 1: got to keep tabs.
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 2: Yeah, this was initially one of my leans for like
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 2: potential game stack. I'm not going to do that anymore
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 2: because I definitely think that the game environment overall is hurt.
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 2: At the moment, Abuka is actually our highest GPP score
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 2: on the slate. But I do think I need to
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 2: go in change some baseline rates, like pass rates, things
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 2: of that nature for these teams. Let the game resimulate
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 2: and then see what the GPP scorps say after that.
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 2: But if Abuka is still being viewed in our model
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 2: as a really good one off GPP play, there's a
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 2: good chance that I'm gonna use him because yeah, like
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 2: we're getting a lot of wind, we might get some snow,
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 2: But like what I just said, right like, there's a
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 2: chance that he still catches a sixty yard touchdown, and
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 2: the opportunity for that single coverage deep down the field
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 2: is higher because of the weather than an otherwise would be.
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 2: Against a Buffalo team that loves to play too high cover,
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 2: they're good too high, but when they play single high,
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 2: they're really really bad at it. They have allowed the
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 2: highest explosive pass rate in single eye this year. They
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 2: have allowed the thirteenth most explosive passing yards in single
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 2: high this year, even though they play single high at
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 2: like the thirtieth lowest or at the thirtieth at the
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 2: thirtieth highest rate. So when the opportunities are there when
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 2: they're playing single high, which again in this type of
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 2: weather is probably more often than usual, so they can
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 2: get that extra guy in the box help against the
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 2: run and the short boundary passes, those opportunities downfield are
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 2: going to be there. So even though I'm not going
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 2: to have interest in the game as a whole, the
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 2: chance that Abuka goes five for one, sixty and two
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 2: touchdowns is still going to be enough there that I
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 2: could end up using him as a one off. So
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 2: somebody to think about again, just when we think about
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 2: the weather, like how does it affect the game environment
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 2: as a whole, but then also how does it affect
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 2: the individual upsides for each player? I think the individual
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 2: upside is still there for Abouke, even though the game
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 2: environment is.
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 1: Obviously not going to be Yeah, love it man, Anything
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 1: else that you think we missed or that you want
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 1: to cover before we get to our leverage lane? No,
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 1: all good, give you the honors. And if you steal mine,
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 1: I don't know what I'm going to do, but I'll
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 1: let you have it. I think I have a backup option,
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 1: but I've I've got to a conclusion here from the
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 1: show and it sort of framed it up even further
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 1: for me. So I'll let you.
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 2: Really, why don't you go first? Thing? Because I'm really
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 2: kind of stuck on two, so I wouldn't have any
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 2: issa perfect.
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 1: I'm going to do different than I have before. I
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 1: know this is a you know, a thought process of
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 1: the show where I was trying to learn from each
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 1: other and get better and do different things. And I
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 1: talked earlier about how just talking to other people and
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 1: doing the mentorships and go through masterminds ship in Nation
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 1: all this. Some people, a lot of people are starting
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 1: at quarterback. I usually do this week, I'm going different.
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 1: I mentioned it, I hinted at it earlier. I think
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 1: some of you know this is coming Bijon in the
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 1: spot that he was super chocked just earlier in the
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 1: and someone just brought this up, so I popped it
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 1: on the screen. I think this is always really interesting
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 1: as the season goes on. Didn't realize how many Division
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 1: games there are this week could be in. This is
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 1: interesting because we see somebody like Pittsburgh Cincy went off
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 1: the time. What if it does this time? What do
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 1: they make adjustments from that? What if all that matters
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 1: and it becomes a little bit different, or what if
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 1: it does again? And because of a DFS perspective, it's
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 1: truly interesting because it's not Warren or Chase Brown. It
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 1: ends up being all the pass catchers just good luck
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 1: figuring out that Pittsburgh side. So that's part of it.
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 1: So just noting it, I'm gonna go to flip the
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 1: built if it's gonna be you know, a lot of
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 1: people on Woody Marx and you know Jalen Warren and
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 1: Chase Brown and you etn Junior and who else do
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 1: you want to throw in there. I'm putting Bijon in
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 1: and he'll still have some ownership, that's fine. But I'm
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 1: gonna put Bijeon in, and I'm actually gonna go to
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 1: James Cook as my second option. I think you said
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 1: something perfectly about this game that just you know, came
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 1: to mind, and he's the guy I'm gonna commit to
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 1: here in the double combo pack of pay up at
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 1: running back. Is they still are slated to score a
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: bunch of points at home. I think about last week
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 1: to Henderson against them, and yes, he got some you know,
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 1: one big fluke run at the end. People will say,
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 1: fluke run. You gotta have talent to have that stuff.
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 1: Gotta be good to be lucky, is I like to
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 1: put it? So in that case, I'm gonna go to
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 1: both of them here, Alex, and I'm gonna say that
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 1: my leverage lane is Bijon and James Cook together, both
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 1: at home, both in really good spots, both very capable
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 1: for explosive type runs, break the slate type ceilings, and
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 1: they're not CMC and Jacobs, and they're not Woody Marx
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 1: and Jalen Moren and Chase Brown and all these other factors,
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 1: and there's potential there too. I will note back to
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 1: that thing I just mentioned of this all, if you're
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 1: not gonna go to Chase Brodn Warren, what are you
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 1: gonna do? It doesn't necessarily mean I'm gonna go to
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 1: that game stack, because I think there's a chance that
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 1: with a classic AFC North battle where we already saw
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 1: it go off in round one, there could be a
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 1: situation in round two where it either doesn't fully go off,
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 1: it's not from the running backs that it goes off
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 1: and it's really hard to get those receivers right, or
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 1: it could just beat the defenses show up in a
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 1: classic AFC North style battle round two where that could
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 1: be the case as well. So I definitely am very
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 1: comfortable with that. Gonna go with Bijon Robinson and James
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 1: Cooked together as my leverage lane for the week. What
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 1: do you got?
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 2: I like that. James Cook also is one of the
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 2: highest VV scores for US over at FTN, and this
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 2: Tampa team like they're very good against the run, and
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 2: teams do not like to run against them, but they
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 2: have allowed some explosive runs. We saw Gibbs go nuts
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 2: against them, we saw Trevion Henderson go nuts against them.
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 2: It's like the only way to beat them on the
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 2: ground is with the explosive plays. Well, guess what, James
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 2: Cook pretty good at breaking off those explosive runs as well,
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 2: and still on the ground does help with the explosive runs,
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 2: right because the offensive guy running knows where he wants
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 2: to cut to, the defense is trying to react, so
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 2: they're a little bit more likely to slip than the
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 2: running back. That's definitely something that's backed up by data
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 2: as well. My leverage lane is going to be the
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 2: Los Angeles passing game the Chargers, though not the Rams
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 2: going up against Jacksonville. There's a lot I like about
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 2: this matchup. The first is Jacksonville plays. Jacksonville allows a
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 2: lot of single coverage down the field, whether they're in
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 2: man or zone because of the way that they priority
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 2: ties stopping the run. And they've done this kind of
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 2: in every matchup, so even when they're going up against
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 2: teams that don't run the ball super well wellthough, the
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 2: Chargers have run it well enough. And like even if
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 2: Jackson ball is reactive like they might so prioritize it
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 2: against them. Vidal has done well enough. So but when
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 2: you look at these charges receivers, whether it's Gadsden, McConkie,
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 2: Quinn Johnston, and I actually do want to stop at
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 2: those three. They are significantly better when they get these
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 2: single high looks. They get these when they get man
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 2: to man coverage. And then you look at our DVO
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 2: ad just at Fantasy Points against data for Jacksonville, they're
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 2: the number one matchup by far for opposing wide receiver ones.
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 2: And I think that extends a little bit beyond just
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 2: like who's actually, you know, lining up on the outside
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 2: and playing the role of wide receiver one, And it's
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 2: a little bit more of what does the offense want
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 2: to do? Where does the offense want to get the ball.
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 2: So another guy who absolutely decimated the Jacksonville defense was
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 2: brought ballocks, Well, guess what, he's the number one option,
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 2: even though he's very clear not the quote wide receiver one.
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 2: So to me, that means this is a phenomenal spot
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 2: for Lady McConkey. It's a great spot for Quinn Johnson.
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 2: Like all of Quint Johnson severe splits in terms of
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 2: the type of cover che faces, whether it's single coverage
• 1:11:14
  Speaker 2: or or not a lot of single coverage, all of
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 2: it is really really really good for this matchup. And
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 2: then Gadson also in a very good spot. Jacksonville has
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 2: struggled with tight ends as well, so I think this
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 2: passing offense could really go off for Los Angeles in
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 2: this one. Beyond just the matchups. Like Jacksonville, prioritizing the
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 2: run also makes them a pass funnel, and the Chargers
• 1:11:35
  Speaker 2: are not afraid to just let Herbert sling it all games.
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 2: So I really love this Los Angeles passing offense. I
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 2: don't know how I'm gonna do the bring back yet,
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 2: and whether it's Brian Thomas Junior, whether it's Etn, I'm
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 2: not sure about that. Again, I'm not sure exactly what
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 2: my sack is going to look like, but I think
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 2: I know with certain team going to have a piece
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 2: of this Los Angeles passing sack at the very least,
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 2: and I'm probably gonna be stacking.
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 1: Yeah. I like that call quite a bit. If you
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 1: talk about just Maconkey, Johnston and Gadson, the three, are
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 1: you ranking them with Gadson up there based on everything,
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 1: or do you have like a way to put those
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 1: three if you had to.
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 2: I think Ladd is going to be my top priority,
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 2: and then I think Gadson probably is the second priority,
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 2: just because I remember, like the very first conversation we
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 2: had on the show was, well, what do we do
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 2: with the with thirty some percent? Trey McBride, Well, I
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 2: want to still give myself a good chance of actually
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 2: like winning the tight end position. So I want somebody
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 2: who's capable of having that really good explosive game. Gadsden
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 2: fits that, I think better than any other tight end
• 1:12:35
  Speaker 2: on the slate. So it just makes sense to go
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 2: like Herbert Ladd Johnston as the stack, or sorry, Herbert
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 2: Ladd Gadston as the stack. I really don't mind making
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 2: it a triple with Johnston as well, though it's cheap enough,
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 2: and we already talked about, like I think the merits
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 2: of just an overall balance build this week, so like
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 2: maybe maybe you go Lad, Johnston and T Higgins those
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 2: are your wide receivers this instead of you know where
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 2: other people are gonna spend way up and then spend
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 2: way down. That's three really solidmit to your guys right there,
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 2: so yeah, that's my my leverage ling this week through
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 2: through the passing.
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I like that too. What's the Brian Thomas Junior
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 1: price and status? I was just trying to look it
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 1: up now actual practice. Everything's good to go on track
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 1: for this. What's his price right now?
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 2: Sixty one?
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 1: Because he fits that balance as well. Like I always
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 1: like this. I talk about this a ton, but like
• 1:13:28
  Speaker 1: the build of two wide receivers from one side and
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 1: then one from the other, the quarterback with the two
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 1: and then you kind of use up all your wide
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 1: receiver positions. Then you usually end up balance, not always
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 1: if you have like a You could sometimes have a
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 1: cheaper quarterback like a Flacco Chase Higgins and then something
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 1: from the other DK Metcalf. Like that's another example of
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 1: that where it'd be a little bit different, but you're
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 1: still using up all your spots and then leaving for
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 1: a more balance build across the board.
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 2: On our Mastermind episode that we did together, we talked
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 2: a lot about like how to use sim's Like, to me,
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 2: this is a phenomenal spot where you want you want
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 2: to use contest sims where like traves ETN is definitely
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 2: a higher probability play than Brian Thomas Junior in this game,
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 2: But what does each guy do for the game environment
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 2: as a whole? If ETN succeeding, that means like maybe
• 1:14:13
  Speaker 2: they're doing well on the ground the clock is draining,
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 2: Whereas when Brian Thomas Junior succeeds, it's probably because he
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 2: had a couple explosive plays through the air that get
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 2: the ball right back to your passing stack. So this
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 2: is very much one where I know that Thomas is
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 2: much better. Correlated, I know that ETN has a better
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 2: outlook in the game. Which is the more valuable piece
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 2: in this stack? What do the contest sims tell me
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 2: is the better option? So I'm really going to rely
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 2: on those to kind of help me choose the stack
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 2: within this game.
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I think there's a couple more comments we're chatting about,
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 1: like stuff like this. That's why you pick your own lane.
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 1: But I think like Cook is you know, if Cook
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 1: can smash them, so can Bejeon. Like you know, that's
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 1: the whole point. And also sometimes a lot of this
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 1: stuff is to do with who people have actually faced against,
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 1: and that's where it gets overcooked, is when people are
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 1: saying like, oh, oh, this team's so good against the run,
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 1: you go back and look who they actually played, or
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 1: this team is so good against tight ends, how could
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 1: you play brock Bowers. He's like, well they played these
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 1: tight ends, Like oh, that makes where people don't dig
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 1: in to the actual stuff. And then also, by the way.
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 2: Also, i mean when Bjon smashed, so much of it
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 2: is through the air and Carolina hasn't faced much of
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 2: you know, Bijeon types in terms of their role in
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 2: the passing game, how dynamic they are in the passing game,
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 2: So it could be anything.
• 1:15:25
  Speaker 1: That's definitely another added factor. But it's also like the
• 1:15:28
  Speaker 1: same thing last week. Everyone told me it's David Montgomery
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 1: and not Gibbs. Gibbs sucked the week before, So I'm
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 1: just gonna save the money and play Montgomery at five
• 1:15:35
  Speaker 1: K instead of pay way up for Gibbs. And then
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 1: also Carolina is just on a roller coaster this season
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 1: of everything that's been going on. We'll see how this
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 1: one shakes out. But it's like they've smashed Buffalo, They've
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 1: beat Green Bay. They you know they lost or they
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 1: got beat by Buffalo. Sorry it was they beat Atlanta?
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 2: Was it?
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 1: Atlanta beat them thirty what was the run around on that?
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 1: Like Carolina lost. Man, Now I'm gonna forget and mess
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 1: this all up, Carolina. It's just the NFL for you.
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 1: We just went through this a couple of weeks ago.
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 1: But it was like, what was the thirty to nothing game?
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 1: Was it Atlanta over Carolina?
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 2: It was Carolina over Atlanta.
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 1: Yeah, Carolina over Atlanta thirty nothing. Then it was like
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 1: two weeks later when Carolina played or like three weeks
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 1: maybe Carolina played Buffalo, when or Atlanta played Buffalo was
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 1: what it was. And anyway, the line looked off and
• 1:16:24
  Speaker 1: it was like Atlanta sucks and da da da dah,
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 1: and then Atlanta goes and beats Buffalo, and then Buffalo
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 1: goes and smashes Carolina. That's what it was. It's like,
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 1: eventually you get to it. The run around is just crazy.
• 1:16:32
  Speaker 1: The NFL's nuts. Green Bay then lost to Carolina their back.
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 1: It's like it's really hard to tell, but that's another
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 1: division game where in the first round everyone loved Bijon
• 1:16:41
  Speaker 1: did not get there. The same spot can be said
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 1: here again. So I like that, and I like just
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 1: this setup of at all. So hopefully this is good.
• 1:16:48
  Speaker 1: It's football as our man Gabriel says, it doesn't really
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 1: mean anything. Anything could happen, so that's true. But hopefully
• 1:16:53
  Speaker 1: this was helpful. Leave you guys comments below let us
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 1: know if you like it. Make sure to smash the
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 1: thumbs up button. Make sure to subscribe to the channel Alex.
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 1: Let the people know where they can find you before
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 1: we get out of here.
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 2: At Alex booka one on Twitter. You can find all
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 2: the FTN stuff and all my discord stuff through there.
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 1: Yeah, for sure. Again, go check out splash if you
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 1: guys want to get on that. The promo for ship
• 1:17:11
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• 1:17:13
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• 1:17:22
  Speaker 1: College football today, You've got all the NBA stuff, everything
• 1:17:26
  Speaker 1: else that's going on, NHL, et cetera, et cetera. So
• 1:17:29
  Speaker 1: hopefully this is good. If you guys have any feedback,
• 1:17:31
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• 1:17:33
  Speaker 1: self to tag and tambo led ship It