Latest / The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show / Daily Review with Clay and Buck - Oct 21 2026
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Welcome, everybody.
- 0:00Speaker 2: Wednesday edition.
- 0:02Speaker 1: Clay and Buck.
- 0:03Speaker 2: Although you'll note just Buck talking today. Clay is taking
- 0:07Speaker 2: a day for travel. We've got a lot to discuss.
- 0:11Speaker 2: Of course, the midterms in full swing as early voting
- 0:15Speaker 2: is happening in a whole bunch of places, including Texas.
- 0:20Speaker 2: So I will leave the haranguing on this one to Clay.
- 0:23Speaker 2: But for those of you who can vote who have
- 0:24Speaker 2: not early voted, perhaps... worth considering i'm trying to find
- 0:29Speaker 2: a time to go i want to go with carrie
- 0:31Speaker 2: with my wife together i feel like that will be
- 0:33Speaker 2: kind of a fun activity we'll take a nice little
- 0:34Speaker 2: stroll down to uh city hall here in miami beach or.
- 0:38Speaker 1: I guess it's the convention center i forget where.
- 0:40Speaker 2: The voting uh what they call the voting place but
- 0:43Speaker 2: uh we're gonna go get that early vote done because
- 0:46Speaker 2: well of course our civic duty the beautiful thing the
- 0:49Speaker 2: voting that is such a big part of what it
- 0:52Speaker 2: means to be an american and So we're going to
- 0:54Speaker 2: get that done, but we're also going to look closely
- 0:56Speaker 2: here at where all.
- 0:58Speaker 1: These races currently stand. We have.
- 1:02Speaker 2: Some— I think we're at the point where we can say
- 1:04Speaker 2: some suppression polls coming in. Big hammering from the New
- 1:10Speaker 2: York Times on this New York Times-Siena poll. They're saying
- 1:12Speaker 2: Trump sits 36 percent approval, 59 percent disapproved. They're saying lowest—
- 1:18Speaker 2: that's the lowest that they've ever polled Trump, and that
- 1:21Speaker 2: Democrat voters have an 11-point favorability. Look, that's a lot
- 1:25Speaker 2: of noise at the national level. First of all, Trump's
- 1:27Speaker 2: not actually on the ballot. I know he's out there.
- 1:30Speaker 2: He was in North Carolina yesterday. We'll get to some
- 1:32Speaker 2: of that in a moment. But this is about the
- 1:34Speaker 2: individual members of Congress. This is about House reps, senators, governors,
- 1:41Speaker 2: and some other positions out there that are very important,
- 1:46Speaker 2: especially if you live, well... important for you if you
- 1:49Speaker 2: live in one of the states affected, but also important
- 1:51Speaker 2: for control of Congress and the next two years of
- 1:54Speaker 2: the Trump administration. So I will tell you, I think
- 1:58Speaker 2: it's going to be very tight. I'm not expecting some,
- 2:01Speaker 2: certainly not expecting a red wave. No one's expecting that.
- 2:04Speaker 2: But I believe that you can see some last minute
- 2:08Speaker 2: surge here in some of these close races that'll deliver
- 2:10Speaker 2: some nice wins to Republicans in some critical places. That's
- 2:14Speaker 2: my My sense right now, a lot of money going
- 2:18Speaker 2: into this, of course, still. And we have not even
- 2:20Speaker 2: hit Election Day. Trump was in North Carolina yesterday. Let
- 2:25Speaker 2: me let me start with this. I'm going to work
- 2:27Speaker 2: a little bit through the you know what? I was
- 2:29Speaker 2: going to say good news, bad news.
- 2:30Speaker 1: But who knows?
- 2:32Speaker 2: North Carolina turn out big time and defeat this Roy
- 2:35Speaker 2: Cooper guy and give Michael Watley the big job. That
- 2:41Speaker 2: would be a much, much better move. But let's see
- 2:44Speaker 2: where we are. With things Trump was there yesterday and he,
- 2:49Speaker 2: you know, he's kind of doing a highlight reel. It's
- 2:51Speaker 2: really the Trump highlight reel out there on display for everybody.
- 2:54Speaker 2: This is cut for play it.
- 2:56Speaker 3: The choice in this election is very simple. You can
- 3:00Speaker 3: vote for the radical left Democrat communist to loot your wealth,
- 3:04Speaker 3: raise your taxes by five trillion dollars. Annihilate your borders,
- 3:09Speaker 3: decimate North Carolina industries. I mean, look at me, I'm
- 3:13Speaker 3: up here for just a little while and I'm announcing
- 3:16Speaker 3: two companies and the military are gonna be spending, right?
- 3:22Speaker 3: They're gonna mutilate your children, the utilization of your transgender utilization.
- 3:28Speaker 3: Can you imagine that? Give 25 million illegal aliens amnesty,
- 3:35Speaker 3: They're going to have they're still fighting.
- 3:37Speaker 1: For men playing in women's sports.
- 3:39Speaker 4: Right.
- 3:40Speaker 3: Or or you can defeat the Democrat communist and vote
- 3:44Speaker 3: for more money in your pockets, bigger paychecks for your families,
- 3:49Speaker 3: lower taxes, less crime, a booming North Carolina economy. No
- 3:55Speaker 3: amnesty for illegal aliens. But to do that, you must
- 4:00Speaker 3: vote Republican.
- 4:02Speaker 1: It's all true.
- 4:03Speaker 2: And those are areas of high voter concern right now.
- 4:08Speaker 2: The highest, of course, the economy, but also on the
- 4:10Speaker 2: borders and crime economy borders crime. We talk about it
- 4:13Speaker 2: a lot here on the show. I would say the
- 4:18Speaker 2: first of all, Trump is in a place where if
- 4:20Speaker 2: he wants to say mutilization, I think he's probably able
- 4:26Speaker 2: to coin the term. Maybe that will become a word
- 4:29Speaker 2: on its own. I believe he means mutilation, but he
- 4:31Speaker 2: keeps saying mutilization. But because he's Trump, I think it
- 4:34Speaker 2: might sort of catch on. I actually didn't know, in fairness,
- 4:39Speaker 2: that bigly was a word until Trump used it. So
- 4:42Speaker 2: Trump taught me a word, which is not a very
- 4:44Speaker 2: common thing. So I give him a lot of credit.
- 4:46Speaker 2: And maybe mutilization will find its way into the Merriam-Webster dictionary.
- 4:51Speaker 2: Point being, Trump is doing what he does best out there,
- 4:55Speaker 2: making the case to the American people on the campaign
- 4:57Speaker 2: trail that these Democrats are nuts. And that there's absolutely
- 5:01Speaker 2: no way they're going to be able to improve the
- 5:04Speaker 2: lives of the people who.
- 5:07Speaker 1: Are currently frustrated.
- 5:08Speaker 2: That's really the saddest thing of all, when you look
- 5:10Speaker 2: at where Democrats stand on these issues and what we've
- 5:13Speaker 2: seen play out, not just under the Trump second term,
- 5:17Speaker 2: but just in general in American politics, let's just say
- 5:20Speaker 2: in the 21st century to tie it all together. Democrats
- 5:25Speaker 2: are wrong on all of the key issues. and yet
- 5:27Speaker 2: they're able to generate, of course they have tremendous allegiance
- 5:32Speaker 2: from some people, who don't care about the wrongness of
- 5:35Speaker 2: their beliefs. This is what you get with people in
- 5:39Speaker 2: cities where the needles are everywhere, the druggies are everywhere,
- 5:43Speaker 2: there's too much crime, there's blight in the downtown, and
- 5:47Speaker 2: it's only Democrats in charge and people keep voting Democrat.
- 5:51Speaker 2: They just haven't suffered enough. And they think that they're
- 5:54Speaker 2: suffering through bad policy, somehow makes them a better person.
- 5:59Speaker 2: The suffering doesn't maybe affect them. There's that not in
- 6:02Speaker 2: my backyard phenomenon. It really comes down to whether Democrats
- 6:06Speaker 2: think that the vote that they cast as a statement
- 6:09Speaker 2: of personal superiority, I'm a good person, is more important
- 6:15Speaker 2: and affects them more than the reality of the politicians
- 6:19Speaker 2: and the policies that come into play when you put
- 6:22Speaker 2: a party in power that lacks a self-correction mechanism. They
- 6:29Speaker 2: just keep doubling down on crazy all the time. They
- 6:31Speaker 2: have changed nothing since 2024. I think that's worth pointing out.
- 6:36Speaker 2: Donald Trump led a red wave and the Democrats got
- 6:40Speaker 2: thoroughly trounced. And yet, whether it's the transgender sports issue
- 6:44Speaker 2: or it's the Democrats being an open borders party and
- 6:49Speaker 2: all these, the Democrats being the party of more crime,
- 6:52Speaker 2: less safety, all these things remain true. But because there
- 6:57Speaker 2: is economic frustration out there right now, they.
- 7:00Speaker 1: See an opening.
- 7:02Speaker 2: They see the ability to connect with people on an
- 7:06Speaker 2: emotional level that will override the rational, override the experience
- 7:13Speaker 2: of what it has been for them to be an
- 7:15Speaker 2: American in this country for the last few years and
- 7:17Speaker 2: really for all time and say, you know what? This
- 7:21Speaker 2: time around, I will vote Democrat or this time around,
- 7:25Speaker 2: I'll actually show up.
- 7:26Speaker 1: Maybe I wasn't going to show up.
- 7:28Speaker 2: Now, you get into party switching or independence swing voters.
- 7:31Speaker 2: You also get into enthusiasm, base turnout. All these things
- 7:35Speaker 2: come together and the votes will be tallied and we'll
- 7:39Speaker 2: see how it shakes out. But I do feel like
- 7:43Speaker 2: there is some good momentum now behind the Republicans. It
- 7:46Speaker 2: felt a little too quiet and I was a little
- 7:47Speaker 2: frustrated with it. in particularly August into the first half
- 7:52Speaker 2: of September. That seems to have been the strategy, and
- 7:55Speaker 2: we'll see if the strategy pays off for them. Something
- 7:58Speaker 2: else that we'll spend more time talking about today, Trump here,
- 8:02Speaker 2: here he is talking about the Ilhan Omar phenomenon.
- 8:07Speaker 1: Guys, you bleeped this, right? I think we needed a bleep.
- 8:10Speaker 2: Just making sure, because I'm looking at the transcript. I'm like,
- 8:12Speaker 2: we had to bleep Trump, the president. Here he is,
- 8:16Speaker 2: Trump on Ilhan Omar, play cut nine.
- 8:18Speaker 4: You know, they keep talking about deportation.
- 8:20Speaker 3: Now, she could go to jail.
- 8:21Speaker 4: This is just my opinion. I think she's a sick,
- 8:24Speaker 4: very dishonest person who hates our country. She comes from
- 8:28Speaker 4: a country that is essentially not even a country, Somalia.
- 8:32Speaker 4: It's a real sh * * house, okay? It's got
- 8:35Speaker 4: no government. It's got no police protect. All they do
- 8:38Speaker 4: is have people running around shooting each other. Then she
- 8:40Speaker 4: comes over here and she wants to tell us how
- 8:43Speaker 4: to run America. She wants to tell us how to
- 8:45Speaker 4: run the United States of America. And she'll say, I
- 8:47Speaker 4: have constitutional rights. And she never heard the word constitutional.
- 8:52Speaker 4: She never saw that before. See that? She never saw
- 8:54Speaker 4: that before. But she says she has rights. she's a
- 8:57Speaker 4: disgrace to our country and it's amazing that she can
- 9:00Speaker 4: get elected but somalians vote for her you know somalians
- 9:03Speaker 4: vote for her and most of them shouldn't be.
- 9:05Speaker 2: Here so there's something much bigger at work with the
- 9:12Speaker 2: investigation into ilhan omar as well there are some very
- 9:16Speaker 2: uh weighty issues that come into play first of all
- 9:19Speaker 2: if in fact the charges against her are proven and
- 9:23Speaker 2: she has found she has found guilty she has not
- 9:25Speaker 2: even been charged yet so this is all just investigation
- 9:28Speaker 2: and allegation if in fact that's the case she would
- 9:30Speaker 2: be the first person possibly in well she would be
- 9:33Speaker 2: the first person if she uh was found guilty to
- 9:36Speaker 2: have been in congress and face deportation from the country
- 9:40Speaker 2: and being stripped of citizenship that is a possibility right
- 9:44Speaker 2: now with a sitting member of congress a democrat Beyond that, though,
- 9:49Speaker 2: and this is why I understand, first of all, Trump
- 9:52Speaker 2: talking about how Somalia is not a nice place. Leftists,
- 9:57Speaker 2: the Democrat corporate media, they're going to say he's just behind.
- 10:00Speaker 2: mean or he's being racist or he's being whatever it
- 10:02Speaker 2: is no there's an important lesson from this yes of
- 10:07Speaker 2: course we've taken in far too many people from the
- 10:10Speaker 2: third world legally and illegally in my lifetime into this
- 10:15Speaker 2: country and that needs to be that needs to stop
- 10:19Speaker 2: We also have to have a massive increase in deportations,
- 10:21Speaker 2: which they're increasing it. And we can look at the
- 10:24Speaker 2: latest numbers from DHS. But that is an important, a
- 10:27Speaker 2: critical mission, I would say, for the future of the country. However,
- 10:32Speaker 2: when you look at Ilhan Omar, you also get a
- 10:34Speaker 2: real sense of how Democrats are just emotionally and psychologically
- 10:41Speaker 2: predisposed to resent a country that they should be so
- 10:46Speaker 2: grateful to. Instead of saying I'm proud to be an American,
- 10:51Speaker 2: Democrats say I'm proud to be better than America. Put
- 10:56Speaker 2: me in charge and I'll make it what it should be.
- 10:58Speaker 2: But right now, it's really not so great. It's kind
- 11:01Speaker 2: of racist, kind of bad, a lot of things about it. Now,
- 11:04Speaker 2: you can push this issue more, say, well, if it's
- 11:08Speaker 2: so bad, why do people from all over the world,
- 11:09Speaker 2: why do so many people from name a poor country?
- 11:14Speaker 2: Why do they all want to come here? And they'll say, oh,
- 11:16Speaker 2: it's because we're wealthy.
- 11:17Speaker 1: Well, guess what? There's a lot of.
- 11:18Speaker 2: Countries, actually, that are well off. And now they go
- 11:21Speaker 2: to some of those countries, too. But they all want
- 11:24Speaker 2: to come here, despite the fact that they have tremendous
- 11:27Speaker 2: criticisms and a lot of resentment for this place. And
- 11:31Speaker 2: Ilhan Omar, somebody who left a failed dysfunctional state and
- 11:37Speaker 2: was taken in now, allegedly illegally, but taken in. by
- 11:41Speaker 2: the warm embrace of this incredible place known as America,
- 11:45Speaker 2: and then has proceeded, yes, she's a member of Congress,
- 11:48Speaker 2: but she constantly denigrates American foreign policy, denigrates American culture,
- 11:54Speaker 2: denigrates the Constitution, all of these things, things that don't
- 11:58Speaker 2: even exist in the home country that she fled. You
- 12:01Speaker 2: would think there would be nothing but a constant gratitude.
- 12:04Speaker 2: How many of you have seen a video? How many
- 12:06Speaker 2: of you have seen Ilhan Omar with a smile on
- 12:09Speaker 2: her face just talking about what a beautiful, incredible place
- 12:13Speaker 2: America is, how wonderful this country is, how she's lucky
- 12:17Speaker 2: to be here, never mind be a member of Congress,
- 12:21Speaker 2: how it took in her family, and it took in
- 12:23Speaker 2: so many other Somalis from the hellhole that had been
- 12:27Speaker 2: ruined by Somalis. There's no sense of gratitude. There's no
- 12:32Speaker 2: sense of accountability. And that is something that Ilhan Omar
- 12:36Speaker 2: unfortunately shares with all of these uh dsa socialists with
- 12:41Speaker 2: all of these leftists with all these maniacs even running
- 12:45Speaker 2: around in paris with palestinian flags that they're flying while
- 12:49Speaker 2: they burn down stores and they loot and they pillage
- 12:53Speaker 2: they don't appreciate how wonderful the place is that they
- 12:56Speaker 2: happen to be lucky enough to either have been born
- 12:58Speaker 2: into or perhaps snuck into no gratitude No sense of
- 13:05Speaker 2: wanting to give back and be thankful in a meaningful way. No,
- 13:09Speaker 2: they're here. They're inside. They're a fifth column and they
- 13:13Speaker 2: want to tear it down. They think they know better.
- 13:15Speaker 2: They want to make it something else. just get enough
- 13:18Speaker 2: resentful people together and give them enough power, and they'll
- 13:21Speaker 2: transform this place known as America into something so much better,
- 13:25Speaker 2: even though the place they come from is so much worse.
- 13:28Speaker 2: Why would they know more than we know here about
- 13:32Speaker 2: how to have a great country? That is what Trump
- 13:36Speaker 2: is getting at. That is what Americans need to be
- 13:38Speaker 2: reminded of as we look at who to vote for
- 13:40Speaker 2: in this election cycle, which is the party that appreciates, loves, cherishes,
- 13:44Speaker 2: and protects America. which is the party that constantly undermines, denigrates,
- 13:48Speaker 2: and wants to transform this place because it's just not
- 13:51Speaker 2: good enough. Ilhan Omar is just one example of countless
- 13:56Speaker 2: examples of Democrats who take that approach. Whether you're in
- 13:59Speaker 2: Michigan or Pennsylvania or Texas or North Carolina or take
- 14:03Speaker 2: your pick, they are always in the blame America first party.
- 14:08Speaker 2: And that's something that I hope every voter takes into account.
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- 15:04Speaker 2: Or call 844-824-SAFE, 844-824-SAFE.
- 15:10Speaker 1: It's 12 p.m. Eastern.
- 15:12Speaker 5: Do you know where your lib kids are?
- 15:14Speaker 2: Hook them on, Clay and Buck, the gateway drug to sanity.
- 15:19Speaker 2: Welcome back in to Clay and Buck. Before we get
- 15:21Speaker 2: to our guests, just some breaking news the team has
- 15:23Speaker 2: flagged for me here. Meta, which people mostly think of
- 15:27Speaker 2: as Facebook, but it also owns Instagram and has other things,
- 15:30Speaker 2: ordered to pay $ 25 billion to.
- 15:34Speaker 2: For deceiving users on privacy by a court. This is
- 15:40Speaker 2: a lawsuit by New Mexico. Wow, $ 25 billion.
- 15:45Speaker 1: $ 25 billion.
- 15:45Speaker 2: $ 25 million is a joke to Meta. $ 25 billion is
- 15:49Speaker 2: real money. That's something to think about. Shabbos Kestenbaum of
- 15:54Speaker 2: PragerU joins us now. He's an American Jewish activist. After
- 15:57Speaker 2: the October 7th attacks on Israel, he filed a lawsuit.
- 16:00Speaker 2: against Harvard University, alleging the university failed to protect Jewish
- 16:03Speaker 2: and Israeli students from harassment and discrimination.
- 16:06Speaker 1: And he was.
- 16:07Speaker 2: Previously a Democrat. So Shabbos, welcome to the light, sir.
- 16:12Speaker 2: The light of wisdom, truth, and the American way.
- 16:15Speaker 6: Don't hold it against me, all right? No one's perfect.
- 16:17Speaker 6: I've repented, and I'm officially a conservative. Conservative enough that, Prager,
- 16:21Speaker 6: you hired me.
- 16:22Speaker 7: At least.
- 16:23Speaker 2: There we go. Tell me about, we've got a few
- 16:25Speaker 2: things we could talk about. First of all, actually, I
- 16:28Speaker 2: wanted your take on this. Why is it that the
- 16:33Speaker 2: maniacs running on the streets of not just Paris, a
- 16:36Speaker 2: bunch of French cities, but a number of French cities,
- 16:39Speaker 2: you'll notice they have the masked up faces, of course.
- 16:43Speaker 2: They're breaking stuff. They're stealing stuff. They're lighting things on
- 16:45Speaker 2: fire and waving Palestinian flags. Walk us through this. What's
- 16:51Speaker 2: going on there?
- 16:52Speaker 6: Yeah, I figured you'd ask that. I was at Boise
- 16:54Speaker 6: State last night and a student asked me the exact
- 16:56Speaker 6: same thing. It's because of the Omni cause. Palestine has
- 16:59Speaker 6: become the great connector of all these disjointed movements. It's
- 17:03Speaker 6: the only thing that really connects Anna Kasparian with Candace Owens,
- 17:06Speaker 6: the thing that connects the far left with the Islamists.
- 17:09Speaker 6: So you have Greta Thunberg, who when I was a liberal,
- 17:11Speaker 6: I remember skipping school to protest with her outside of
- 17:14Speaker 6: the United Nations for climate change, and we were burning
- 17:16Speaker 6: too many fossil fuels. But now, of course, Palestine is
- 17:19Speaker 6: a climate issue. And Palestine is an abortion women's rights issue.
- 17:23Speaker 6: And Palestine is a gay issue. So whatever issue you
- 17:25Speaker 6: just want to project onto other things, Palestine has just
- 17:28Speaker 6: become that thing, which is why you don't even have
- 17:31Speaker 6: to articulate or explain the nuances of one of the
- 17:33Speaker 6: most complex geopolitical issues in the world. Just say free Palestine.
- 17:38Speaker 6: Just say river to the sea. Just put a Palestine
- 17:40Speaker 6: flag in your Instagram bio. And that's enough. That's enough
- 17:43Speaker 6: to virtue signal. And that's what these attacks represent. And
- 17:46Speaker 6: that's why someone like Congressman Ro Khanna can sympathize with
- 17:49Speaker 6: it so much because he no longer has to defend
- 17:51Speaker 6: the looting, the burning, and the vandalism. He can just say, well,
- 17:55Speaker 6: they're angry about Gaza and they have a right to
- 17:57Speaker 6: be heard. It's just silly, and I would hope the
- 17:59Speaker 6: American people see through this.
- 18:01Speaker 2: The election that's coming up here, you have this Abdul
- 18:06Speaker 2: Al-Sayed character who is a very realistic, has a very
- 18:10Speaker 2: realistic shot of winning a Michigan Senate seat. He has
- 18:14Speaker 2: been viewed by many as.
- 18:17Speaker 2: Is viewed by many as anti-Semitic. I think he just
- 18:19Speaker 2: recently said that Israel is not an ally of the
- 18:23Speaker 2: United States. Is he, not only as a candidate, but
- 18:28Speaker 2: just is he symbolic of a broader trend in America?
- 18:32Speaker 2: And how do you think, particularly, you're a young guy.
- 18:36Speaker 2: I don't know how much of a whippersnapper you are,
- 18:39Speaker 2: but I can tell you're younger than me. How much
- 18:41Speaker 2: of the young Jewish American community would you say is
- 18:45Speaker 2: is either waking up to, if they haven't already woken
- 18:48Speaker 2: up to, an America in which outright hostility toward Israel
- 18:53Speaker 2: and toward the Jews is seeming to be more normalized,
- 18:56Speaker 2: especially by candidates for higher office.
- 18:59Speaker 6: Yeah, well, first of all, don't sell yourself short. You're
- 19:01Speaker 6: pretty young too, all right? We're in this together. I
- 19:03Speaker 6: would say a couple of things. First of all, this
- 19:06Speaker 6: race in Michigan is the most important race this November,
- 19:08Speaker 6: hands down, because we as conservatives have been making the
- 19:11Speaker 6: argument that for basically years now, that the DSA can
- 19:14Speaker 6: essentially only win in places like New York City, places
- 19:17Speaker 6: like Los Angeles, these big blue cities. Now, it's true,
- 19:20Speaker 6: El-Sayed is not officially part of the DSA, but he's
- 19:22Speaker 6: adopted most of their policies. And if a guy like
- 19:25Speaker 6: Abdul El-Sayed, someone whose mom was working for an organization
- 19:28Speaker 6: that was shut down by the Department of Treasury for
- 19:30Speaker 6: literally supporting Osama bin Laden, someone whose sister says that,
- 19:33Speaker 6: you know, our family's part of the Muslim Brotherhood, someone
- 19:35Speaker 6: who defended an Islamic jihadi attack against a Michigan preschool
- 19:38Speaker 6: by saying, hurt people, hurt people. If that, you know,
- 19:40Speaker 6: Muslim radical can win in a swing state, a state
- 19:43Speaker 6: that Trump carried two out of three, then what that
- 19:45Speaker 6: signifies to the DSA is let's run these candidates everywhere.
- 19:48Speaker 6: We are nationally competitive. And our argument as conservatives of
- 19:51Speaker 6: the DSA doesn't really represent the mainstream Democratic Party, or
- 19:54Speaker 6: at least the DSA isn't competitive. It's just not true anymore.
- 19:57Speaker 6: And as a conservative, that makes me happy because that
- 19:59Speaker 6: means we can really show that the Democratic Party functioning
- 20:01Speaker 6: no longer exists. But as an American, that concerns me
- 20:03Speaker 6: because they're so radical, they're so extreme, and they're so
- 20:06Speaker 6: far to the left. And the message I always say
- 20:08Speaker 6: to the American Jewish community of is if you want
- 20:10Speaker 6: to be taken seriously, stop being taken for granted. The
- 20:13Speaker 6: Democratic Party will continue to nominate people like Abdul El-Sayed
- 20:16Speaker 6: and people like Zohra Mamdani because they think to themselves, wow,
- 20:20Speaker 6: you stupid Jews, 60% of you are still going to
- 20:22Speaker 6: vote for Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan. So we have no
- 20:25Speaker 6: political incentive to nominate moderates. We have no political incentive
- 20:28Speaker 6: to nominate people in the middle because you're just going
- 20:30Speaker 6: to vote for our extreme anti-Semitic, anti-Jewish, anti-American, anti-Western candidates.
- 20:35Speaker 6: So why would we ever not nominate people like Abdul El-Sayed?
- 20:38Speaker 6: So it's imperative. that moderates and, of course, conservatives and
- 20:41Speaker 6: Republicans come together for this election and defeat Abdul El-Sayed.
- 20:45Speaker 6: He represents a significant threat, not just to the Jewish
- 20:47Speaker 6: community of Michigan and not just to the people of Michigan,
- 20:49Speaker 6: but to really our body politic. We have to make
- 20:51Speaker 6: it clear that we do not like candidates and we
- 20:54Speaker 6: do not support candidates who fundamentally hate the United States
- 20:57Speaker 6: of America. And that's what Abdul El-Sayed does and represents.
- 20:59Speaker 2: We're speaking to Shabbos Kestenbaum of PragerU. He's a host
- 21:03Speaker 2: of PragerU and Shabbos, You touched on something there I
- 21:06Speaker 2: wanted to see if you could just expand your thinking
- 21:08Speaker 2: on a little bit for everyone, because it's come up
- 21:09Speaker 2: before on the show, and that is the Jewish community
- 21:13Speaker 2: specifically in Michigan. My esteemed co-host Clay, who has a
- 21:17Speaker 2: day off today, he and I have been going back
- 21:20Speaker 2: and forth on whether there will be a clear, meaning
- 21:26Speaker 2: at least a double-digit shift in the Jewish vote in
- 21:30Speaker 2: Michigan because Abdul El-Sayed is the candidate. I always say
- 21:34Speaker 2: to him, that Bernie Sanders Jews will vote. I mean,
- 21:37Speaker 2: they would vote for the head of the Muslim Brotherhood
- 21:40Speaker 2: as long as the rest of the sort of left-wing
- 21:42Speaker 2: Jewish political program was attached to it, that they'll put
- 21:47Speaker 2: those things aside. Clay is not as, you know, he
- 21:51Speaker 2: thinks they wouldn't just vote for bin Laden or they
- 21:54Speaker 2: wouldn't vote for some radical Islamist, and he thinks they
- 21:57Speaker 2: won't vote for al-Sayed.
- 21:59Speaker 1: What do you make of that?
- 22:01Speaker 6: Yeah, the short answer is like kind of. So I'll
- 22:04Speaker 6: go to New York just for a second. Kathy Hochul
- 22:06Speaker 6: had won the Jewish vote by significant numbers in 2022
- 22:09Speaker 6: when she ran against Lee Zeldin. It was a favorability
- 22:12Speaker 6: upwards of 30 percent. Now that she's running against Bruce Blakeman.
- 22:15Speaker 6: And full disclosure, I support Bruce Blakeman. I've done some
- 22:18Speaker 6: campaign events with him, but I'm fairly positive Kathy Ogle
- 22:21Speaker 6: will win regardless. But the Jewish vote has markedly swung
- 22:25Speaker 6: away from her and her approval rating amongst Jews. It's
- 22:28Speaker 6: only upwards of 3% as opposed to Bruce Blakeman. So
- 22:32Speaker 6: what we're seeing in Michigan is something kind of interesting.
- 22:34Speaker 6: People like Rabbi Asher Lopatin, who's a respected Orthodox rabbi
- 22:37Speaker 6: who actually know personally, he's a liberal by all imaginations.
- 22:40Speaker 6: He's come out in favor of Mike Rogers. He's endorsed
- 22:42Speaker 6: him publicly. You do have a lot of the mainstream
- 22:45Speaker 6: Jewish establishment, like the Federation, that while they may not
- 22:47Speaker 6: endorse a candidate explicitly, are very clearly against Abdul El-Sayed
- 22:51Speaker 6: and the radicalism that he represents. So I do actually
- 22:53Speaker 6: think you'll see a shift away, and that includes Jewish Democrats.
- 22:57Speaker 6: If they won't vote for Mike Rogers because they just
- 22:59Speaker 6: cannot vote for a Republican because that's one of the
- 23:01Speaker 6: cardinal sins, at the very least, they're going to leave
- 23:03Speaker 6: that slate blank. And if and when Mike Rogers wins,
- 23:06Speaker 6: I do think a large part of that will be
- 23:08Speaker 6: because of Jews, and in particular, Jewish Democrats. And Mike
- 23:11Speaker 6: Rogers is very smart. His campaign has been run pretty well.
- 23:14Speaker 6: He's made the case too. You don't have to support me.
- 23:17Speaker 6: I get it. I get you don't want to support Republicans.
- 23:19Speaker 6: But at the very least, leave that slant, slap lake,
- 23:23Speaker 6: you know, don't vote for Abdul El-Sayed, because that is
- 23:25Speaker 6: a vote for Mike Rogers, if you leave him blank.
- 23:27Speaker 6: And that's actually an effective argument.
- 23:30Speaker 2: My team is telling me, by the way, I didn't
- 23:31Speaker 2: know this, that Deborah Messing, the very left wing actress
- 23:33Speaker 2: is actually backing Blakeman, she is Jewish and outspoken on
- 23:38Speaker 2: some of those issues. Are there others from the Jewish
- 23:41Speaker 2: community who are becoming, are they switching from Bernie Sanders
- 23:47Speaker 2: Jews to Carol Markowitz Jews, for example, one of our
- 23:50Speaker 2: podcast hosts here, who's maybe as right-wing as I am?
- 23:54Speaker 2: Is that happening with some of these more prominent names
- 23:57Speaker 2: in the community, or is it really just a one-time
- 23:59Speaker 2: We have to send a message here by not allowing
- 24:02Speaker 2: Abdul El-Sayed as a candidate to get through.
- 24:06Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 24:07Speaker 6: So again, yes and no. And Deborah and I were
- 24:08Speaker 6: actually at the same event with Bruce Blakeman. And you
- 24:10Speaker 6: also see it on the Upper East Side in Congressional
- 24:13Speaker 6: District 12, where a lot of prominent American Jews are.
- 24:16Speaker 1: That's where I grew up, by the way.
- 24:18Speaker 2: That was my congressional district for like 30 something years.
- 24:21Speaker 1: So there you go.
- 24:22Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 24:22Speaker 7: Well, I'm.
- 24:23Speaker 6: Sorry to hear you were represented by Jerry Nadler. But
- 24:25Speaker 6: point being, it's a great area. But Caroline Schenkel, who's
- 24:27Speaker 6: the Republican nominee, she's been making a really solid push
- 24:30Speaker 6: to the Jewish community, most of whom are registered Democrats,
- 24:33Speaker 6: and she's actually succeeding. Now, will that be enough to
- 24:35Speaker 6: pull her over? We'll see. But she is making a
- 24:38Speaker 6: concerted effort. And you do have prominent American lifelong Jewish
- 24:41Speaker 6: Democrats who are willing to make the switch. And I'll
- 24:44Speaker 6: make another sort of analogous scenario here. Donald Trump did
- 24:48Speaker 6: not win the majority of the American Jewish vote, but
- 24:50Speaker 6: he did win the largest percentage of the Jewish vote
- 24:53Speaker 6: of any Republican nominee since Ronald Reagan. The Republican Jewish
- 24:56Speaker 6: coalition put in an historic amount of funding for advertisements
- 25:00Speaker 6: and for getting out the vote campaigns, and it kind
- 25:02Speaker 6: of did work. So we are seeing, and there was
- 25:04Speaker 6: an article about this in the Wall Street Journal just
- 25:05Speaker 6: two or three days ago, that the cracks have emerged
- 25:08Speaker 6: in the Democratic Party. And outside of African-Americans, Jews used
- 25:11Speaker 6: to be the most loyal constituents to the Democratic Party.
- 25:14Speaker 6: And what we have seen with people like Zohra Mamdani
- 25:16Speaker 6: or Abdul El-Sayed, or yes, Jerry Nadler, I mentioned early,
- 25:19Speaker 6: if you're not going to support our constituency, then I
- 25:23Speaker 6: hate to say it, but like American politics are exclusively transactional.
- 25:26Speaker 6: We have this, you know, fictitious version of democracy that
- 25:28Speaker 6: we all sing Kumbaya and get along with each other.
- 25:31Speaker 6: And that's not really true. And if you don't want
- 25:32Speaker 6: to make concessions to the American Jewish community, that's your prerogative,
- 25:35Speaker 6: but then we're not really going to support you. And
- 25:37Speaker 6: as I said earlier, my message to Jewish Democrats, if
- 25:39Speaker 6: you want to be taken seriously, stop being taken for granted.
- 25:42Speaker 6: You know, hold your nose, vote for Mike Rogers just
- 25:44Speaker 6: this one time, if only to send the message to
- 25:46Speaker 6: the Democratic Party, stop nominating these crazies.
- 25:50Speaker 2: So we're speaking to Shabbos Kestenbaum from PragerU. And so
- 25:56Speaker 2: you are Gen Z. So I can– not to get
- 25:59Speaker 2: into the whole whippersnapper discussion again. I appreciate it. I'm
- 26:01Speaker 2: just going to hide the gray patch on my beard here.
- 26:04Speaker 2: But you're Gen Z. This guy– this ties in the
- 26:08Speaker 2: Al-Sayed thing. This guy, Hasan Piker, we haven't talked about
- 26:11Speaker 2: him a little bit on the show. He was getting
- 26:13Speaker 2: so much attention for a while. Look, a lot of
- 26:16Speaker 2: the stuff he says, most of the stuff that he
- 26:18Speaker 2: says is both loathsome and stupid. And we deal with
- 26:22Speaker 2: the arguments here. But I'm wondering if you can speak
- 26:25Speaker 2: to this.
- 26:26Speaker 1: Why?
- 26:26Speaker 2: Why is someone like that popular among the young? And
- 26:32Speaker 2: there are young men that it seems are. And I
- 26:35Speaker 2: think he was like a streaming guy from the video games. Like,
- 26:37Speaker 2: where does the popularity of somebody who dresses, who cosplays
- 26:41Speaker 2: as Mao Zedong in public?
- 26:44Speaker 1: And he truly does.
- 26:45Speaker 2: What about that whole get up and thing? Yeah, I
- 26:48Speaker 2: think there are a couple.
- 26:48Speaker 6: Of ways of answering this question. Firstly, I would say,
- 26:51Speaker 6: I know you didn't ask it specifically, but I think
- 26:52Speaker 6: it's important to address it. You know, Charlie always taught
- 26:55Speaker 6: me that you combat bad ideas with better ideas. So
- 26:58Speaker 6: even though I detest what Assan Piker stands for, ultimately,
- 27:00Speaker 6: I don't think the response should be cancellation. So that's
- 27:02Speaker 6: number one. In terms of the specifics of your question
- 27:05Speaker 6: of like, why did Gen Z like this guy? I
- 27:07Speaker 6: do think in general, there's been a very successful demoralization
- 27:10Speaker 6: campaign targeting young people in America. We're seeing it on
- 27:13Speaker 6: both the far left and on the far right. And
- 27:16Speaker 6: so Gen Z, who do not remember 9-11, they don't
- 27:18Speaker 6: have that as a significant memory in their psyche, they're
- 27:22Speaker 6: more likely to believe a guy who says America deserved
- 27:24Speaker 6: 9-11 because they don't really remember the horrors of that day.
- 27:26Speaker 6: And they're sympathetic to those who want to blow up
- 27:28Speaker 6: the political establishment because the problems that someone like Nick
- 27:31Speaker 6: Fuentes on the right or Hasan Piker on the left diagnosed,
- 27:34Speaker 6: for the most part, are kind of accurate. They'll talk
- 27:36Speaker 6: about affordability, which is true. They'll talk about the epidemic
- 27:39Speaker 6: of male loneliness, which is kind of true. they won't
- 27:41Speaker 6: offer any practical antidotes they won't after offer any practical
- 27:44Speaker 6: policies or pieces of legislation that will help them they'll
- 27:46Speaker 6: just get them really really angry and and it's working
- 27:49Speaker 6: we also see at the same time as someone who
- 27:51Speaker 6: came from as you said institutions of higher learning in
- 27:54Speaker 6: particular at harvard we are seeing that our institutions of
- 27:56Speaker 6: higher learning are indoctrinating students not uh professors who care
- 28:00Speaker 6: about how you should think but what you should think
- 28:03Speaker 6: and that is a major major problem it's ruining the
- 28:05Speaker 6: psyche of young people in america I wish we had.
- 28:08Speaker 2: Time for more of a long form here. Unfortunately, we've
- 28:10Speaker 2: got radio breaks and things I've got to get to.
- 28:11Speaker 2: But give me a quick one-minute version. How did you
- 28:15Speaker 2: step into the light? What made you break with being
- 28:17Speaker 2: a Democrat?
- 28:18Speaker 6: Well, ironically, Ben Shapiro once said we have to fund
- 28:21Speaker 6: Harvard University. And I said, what are you talking about?
- 28:22Speaker 6: We have to defund them. And he said, no, Chavez,
- 28:24Speaker 6: you entered Harvard as a socialist and you left as
- 28:26Speaker 6: a conservative. So whatever they did, it's working. And that's
- 28:28Speaker 6: basically what happened. I started to meet leftists for the
- 28:31Speaker 6: first time in my life. I didn't know other leftists
- 28:33Speaker 6: because as an Orthodox Jew, you don't know any other
- 28:35Speaker 6: Orthodox Jews who voted for Bernie Sanders. And once I
- 28:37Speaker 6: started meeting real leftists in real life and having conversations
- 28:39Speaker 6: with them on Harvard's campus, I quickly realized that we
- 28:42Speaker 6: have so many ideological flaws. And then the final nail
- 28:45Speaker 6: in the coffin was October 7th, because not only do
- 28:47Speaker 6: we have ideological flaws, not only can we not back
- 28:49Speaker 6: up our assertions politically, but also you support terrorists. Also,
- 28:53Speaker 6: you support the eradication of Western civilization. And that's when
- 28:55Speaker 6: I said, I'm done. And to your point, I turned
- 28:57Speaker 6: to the dark side. And I'm very happy I did,
- 28:59Speaker 6: because it's a lot more fun and more cool being
- 29:01Speaker 6: a conservative. And we make a lot more sense.
- 29:04Speaker 2: Well, welcome to the team. Quick, quick, quick one here.
- 29:07Speaker 2: Words per minute contest. You and the great Ben Shapiro.
- 29:11Speaker 2: Who gets more words a minute?
- 29:13Speaker 6: You know, Ben, Ben told me I talk too fast,
- 29:16Speaker 6: which I think is a little odd coming from Ben.
- 29:17Speaker 6: I don't think I talk fast. I think people comprehend slowly,
- 29:20Speaker 6: but that's an argument for another time.
- 29:22Speaker 1: Fair enough.
- 29:23Speaker 2: Chavez Kestenbaum. Good to talk to you, my friend. Good
- 29:26Speaker 2: work at PragerU. Thanks for being here.
- 29:28Speaker 6: Appreciate it, man.
- 29:29Speaker 4: Thanks.
- 29:32Speaker 2: I'm on the record with this. We'll hold on to
- 29:33Speaker 2: the Senate in the midterms, I think. Holding the House majority,
- 29:36Speaker 2: that's going to be a tougher call. Everybody knows that.
- 29:38Speaker 2: In a few weeks, we're going to see. And hopefully,
- 29:40Speaker 2: we're getting some good surprises on the House side of things.
- 29:44Speaker 2: But here's the problem. What won't change is the spending
- 29:46Speaker 2: and the debt. We're going to keep spending too much.
- 29:48Speaker 2: The debt's going to keep getting bigger.
- 29:50Speaker 1: You know it. I know it. Washington doesn't have this money.
- 29:53Speaker 1: So what happens?
- 29:54Speaker 2: It prints money. What does that do? Makes your dollars
- 29:57Speaker 2: become worth less. It's very straightforward. It's a problem.
- 30:01Speaker 1: But you can do something about it.
- 30:02Speaker 7: Gold.
- 30:04Speaker 2: So think about this. How can you diversify? How can
- 30:08Speaker 2: you hedge given that inflation is going to continue to
- 30:11Speaker 2: eat away at the dollars that you are being paid
- 30:13Speaker 2: in and saving? That's where gold comes in. And Lear
- 30:16Speaker 2: Capital is who I trust for gold. Right now, Lear
- 30:19Speaker 2: Capital will send you a free precious metals investor kit
- 30:22Speaker 2: explaining how gold and silver can fit into a diversified
- 30:24Speaker 2: retirement strategy. Don't wait until after the election. Don't wait
- 30:28Speaker 2: for the next spending bill. And don't wait for another
- 30:30Speaker 2: round of money printing to wonder what happened to your
- 30:32Speaker 2: purchasing power. Here's how you connect with Lear Capital. Text
- 30:36Speaker 2: my name, Buck, to 43343. That's 43343. Type my name, B-U-C-K,
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- 30:46Speaker 1: That's 800-957-GOLD.
- 30:51Speaker 2: The clay and buck show smart fun sane just the
- 30:57Speaker 2: way you'd expect it focusing back in on the election
- 31:00Speaker 2: my friends welcome to clay and buck hour two with
- 31:05Speaker 2: our friend doug shown longtime democratic strategist pollster and political
- 31:09Speaker 2: analyst more than 40 years of experience as a pollster
- 31:13Speaker 2: and political consultant. He served as an advisor to Bill
- 31:16Speaker 2: Clinton and to the presidential campaign of Michael Bloomberg.
- 31:19Speaker 1: He knows this game. He knows these numbers.
- 31:22Speaker 2: Doug, I want to hand you, we covered some of
- 31:24Speaker 2: the early numbers, but I want your take on it.
- 31:26Speaker 2: How's it looking? Who's up?
- 31:28Speaker 1: Who's down? Where's it going?
- 31:30Speaker 7: Well, I think the Democrats have a clear lead in
- 31:33Speaker 7: the House, and I'd be very surprised if they don't
- 31:36Speaker 7: win a narrow majority there. In the Senate, Most of
- 31:43Speaker 7: the key races are within the margin of error. Races
- 31:48Speaker 7: like Texas, Ohio, even Kansas have shown either a tie
- 31:57Speaker 7: or a slight Democratic lead consistently, but by no means
- 32:02Speaker 7: enough that those races can be called. I should add
- 32:07Speaker 7: Maine and probably Minnesota to that list. as well. The
- 32:13Speaker 7: problem my party, the Democrats, have is while people are
- 32:19Speaker 7: upset with Trump and the Trump administration, they don't necessarily
- 32:24Speaker 7: see the Democrats buck as much better. And in a
- 32:28Speaker 7: lot of states where the Democrats are doing pretty well,
- 32:31Speaker 7: the Democratic image is less good than the Republican image.
- 32:35Speaker 7: So we are really in a dynamic, competitive situation today.
- 32:40Speaker 2: Do you see any place any race in particular where
- 32:45Speaker 2: the such as it is the polling conventional wisdom or
- 32:50Speaker 2: the aggregate of polls that's out there you're just not
- 32:53Speaker 2: buying it i mean the example that we always talk
- 32:55Speaker 2: about is when uh seltzer came out with her iowa
- 32:58Speaker 2: poll in 24 yeah i said it at the time
- 33:01Speaker 2: and we said no way okay there's just no way
- 33:04Speaker 2: com was up 11 and as we all know where
- 33:06Speaker 2: that one ended you go ahead.
- 33:08Speaker 5: Yeah, I'm sorry.
- 33:09Speaker 7: I apologize for interrupting. But what I was going to
- 33:12Speaker 7: say is I've worked in Kansas before. I've worked for
- 33:16Speaker 7: Democrats there who thought they were competitive or independents who
- 33:21Speaker 7: thought they were competitive. The Republican base is pretty strong there. Obviously,
- 33:27Speaker 7: Roger Marshall has problems, both politically and personally. But if
- 33:32Speaker 7: I had to bet he'll pull out a narrow victory,
- 33:36Speaker 7: my sense is The polls are exaggerating ever so slightly
- 33:42Speaker 7: Adam Hamilton's support. But again, that remains within the margin
- 33:47Speaker 7: of error. But I bet on the Republicans there. Lesser extent, Texas. Texas, again,
- 33:55Speaker 7: has a solid Republican lean to it. My hesitancy is
- 34:02Speaker 7: Tallarico has run a very good campaign and Paxton hasn't.
- 34:07Speaker 7: has until recently, with the infusion of resources, run a
- 34:12Speaker 7: more problematic effort that until, again, Elon Musk and the
- 34:17Speaker 7: National Party came in, was very much underfunded. So, again,
- 34:22Speaker 7: I guess if I had to bet, I would bet
- 34:25Speaker 7: on Paxton, but I'm a little more sure for the
- 34:29Speaker 7: Republicans of Kansas than Texas.
- 34:32Speaker 1: Wow.
- 34:32Speaker 2: So far, I was pulling up those Texas numbers you're talking.
- 34:35Speaker 2: That was the next thing I was going to ask
- 34:36Speaker 2: you about. So you read my mind, Doug. We're speaking
- 34:39Speaker 2: to Doug Schoen, by the way, everybody who's been in
- 34:41Speaker 2: the polling and political strategy game for 40 years. And
- 34:44Speaker 2: and we have early Texas voting off to, I think,
- 34:48Speaker 2: a record start statewide. Day one in-person turnout was roughly
- 34:52Speaker 2: seven hundred and eighty thousand.
- 34:54Speaker 1: I'm seeing here and.
- 34:57Speaker 2: Seven hundred trackers show roughly seven hundred to eight hundred
- 35:00Speaker 2: thousand total ballots statewide. record 19 million registered voters. So
- 35:06Speaker 2: it's early days there. Are we able to get any
- 35:09Speaker 2: sense of how this compares to other cycles with the
- 35:14Speaker 2: early voting in Texas? Or is it honestly just too
- 35:16Speaker 2: much of a snapshot to really know?
- 35:17Speaker 1: It's too much.
- 35:18Speaker 6: Of a snapshot. It's too early.
- 35:20Speaker 7: I think we'll have a sense next week as to
- 35:24Speaker 7: where we stand, who's voting, where the votes are coming from.
- 35:27Speaker 7: But on day one, you really you can't draw any
- 35:32Speaker 7: meaningful conclusions.
- 35:34Speaker 2: And talk to me about Maine and New Hampshire, because
- 35:37Speaker 2: I feel like those are two of the not sleepers
- 35:40Speaker 2: in this. Obviously, there are Senate seats, very important races,
- 35:43Speaker 2: but they're not getting the national headlines that particularly Michigan
- 35:47Speaker 2: and Texas have just been front and center in the
- 35:50Speaker 2: news cycle for a couple of months now. Talk to
- 35:53Speaker 2: me about Maine and New Hampshire, what you're seeing there,
- 35:55Speaker 2: what we can extrapolate based on what we know so far.
- 35:59Speaker 7: Let me start with New Hampshire, because I think that's
- 36:02Speaker 7: more straightforward. I think Pappas is four to six points ahead.
- 36:07Speaker 7: I know people have been saying Sununu is going to
- 36:10Speaker 7: pull an upset. I tend to doubt it. I think
- 36:14Speaker 7: the Democrats will hold New Hampshire. Maine is a little
- 36:19Speaker 7: bit more complicated. Jackson has had anywhere from a one
- 36:24Speaker 7: to two point lead, which is statistically meaningless. Susan Collins
- 36:30Speaker 7: is a very good closer. Jackson is a very far
- 36:34Speaker 7: left candidate. I think if there's going to be something
- 36:38Speaker 7: that defies the conventional wisdom, it would be much, much
- 36:42Speaker 7: more likely Maine than New Hampshire.
- 36:45Speaker 1: I would agree.
- 36:46Speaker 2: I agree with you on that, by the way. I
- 36:47Speaker 2: feel like Susan Collins will get it done. Sununu, even
- 36:50Speaker 2: though he's a really well-known name in the state for
- 36:53Speaker 2: obvious reasons and I think has run a very smart
- 36:55Speaker 2: campaign and that it's a New Hampshire first campaign, he's
- 36:58Speaker 2: really focused in on just a little bit hard there
- 37:01Speaker 2: given this cycle. One that Clay would want me to
- 37:04Speaker 2: ask you about, by the way, Michelle Tafoya in Minnesota–
- 37:10Speaker 2: people just assume minnesota it's so blue it's so blue
- 37:13Speaker 2: how could anybody uh i've been seeing numbers that indicate
- 37:17Speaker 2: it's it's definitely a race i mean maybe it's a
- 37:20Speaker 2: point or two apart but it's a race what can
- 37:22Speaker 2: you tell us.
- 37:23Speaker 7: It's a three-point race from what i can tell uh
- 37:26Speaker 7: tofoya is outpolling republicans i think the massive fraud uh
- 37:33Speaker 7: from the somalis is having its impact there locally um And,
- 37:40Speaker 7: you know, Peggy Flanagan is a far left socialist aligned
- 37:44Speaker 7: candidate in a state that, while has a Democratic base,
- 37:49Speaker 7: doesn't have a history of far left progressivism in the
- 37:54Speaker 7: way that perhaps a New York City or New York
- 37:58Speaker 7: state might have.
- 38:00Speaker 2: Trump won Ohio in 24 by almost 12 points. I
- 38:05Speaker 2: am seeing some from a Republican perspective. I'm just asking
- 38:10Speaker 2: for your objective view, right? But from a Republican perspective,
- 38:14Speaker 2: troubling signs in Ohio. Is that overstated? It just feels
- 38:18Speaker 2: like if Trump won it by over 10 points, how
- 38:21Speaker 2: could we even have a competitive governor's race or Senate seat?
- 38:24Speaker 2: But it seems like they're certainly both up in contention.
- 38:28Speaker 7: Yeah, both are very contentious and very competitive. Again, I'd
- 38:35Speaker 7: give Sherrod Brown a clear advantage. I think Ramaswamy is
- 38:41Speaker 7: in a neck and neck race. I can't really predict
- 38:45Speaker 7: the governor's race, but I think most likely we'll have
- 38:49Speaker 7: a return of Sherrod Brown to the U.S. Senate.
- 38:54Speaker 1: Wow. Return of Sherrod Brown to the U.S. Senate.
- 38:57Speaker 2: Do you have any do you have any early opinion,
- 38:59Speaker 2: by the way, on this one? This is crazy. We're
- 39:02Speaker 2: speaking to Doug Schoen. Everybody's been pollster and strategist for
- 39:05Speaker 2: 40 years on this. the kamala as a as a
- 39:10Speaker 2: candidate and kamala as a nominee there are these stories
- 39:14Speaker 2: that come out that say oh it's you know um
- 39:20Speaker 2: maybe uh doug her husband not you doug doesn't want
- 39:24Speaker 2: to run and maybe it doesn't she doesn't have the
- 39:26Speaker 2: fire in the belly but she has the name recognition
- 39:29Speaker 2: it's you were sitting down with the Democrat Five Families,
- 39:33Speaker 2: if you will, to figure out who the nominee should be,
- 39:36Speaker 2: what do you think the view of Kamala is from
- 39:38Speaker 2: the power brokers in the party?
- 39:41Speaker 7: Well, I'm not quite sure who the Five Families are,
- 39:44Speaker 7: but I could probably guess. But here's what I would
- 39:47Speaker 7: say to them if they asked.
- 39:49Speaker 5: I'd say, look, in the trial heats now, she's not
- 39:53Speaker 5: getting more than one in four, one in five votes, 25, 26,
- 39:58Speaker 5: maybe occasionally a little bit more.
- 40:01Speaker 7: But she's a weak candidate. She was a bad primary
- 40:04Speaker 7: candidate in the past. She was not a good general
- 40:11Speaker 7: election candidate in her 107 days. It isn't clear to
- 40:17Speaker 7: me on the national stage whether her campaigning for herself
- 40:21Speaker 7: in either the primary or the general election, whether she's
- 40:25Speaker 7: won herself any votes or any friends or any support.
- 40:29Speaker 7: So I would tell her to be very skeptical of
- 40:34Speaker 7: a future candidacy. The one break that I think she
- 40:37Speaker 7: did get is with South Carolina coming first. That gives
- 40:41Speaker 7: her a likely but not certain win in the first contest.
- 40:47Speaker 1: Doug Schoen.
- 40:48Speaker 2: Appreciate you sharing your insights, sir. And we'll see how
- 40:52Speaker 2: it all shakes out in this election. Thanks for being
- 40:54Speaker 2: here with us.
- 40:54Speaker 7: Buck, it's always a pleasure. I look forward to talking soon.
- 40:58Speaker 1: Thank you.
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- 42:10Speaker 6: Laugh learn hang with the guys right there when you
- 42:13Speaker 6: need them most clay and buck just preset them on
- 42:17Speaker 6: the iheart app hour.
- 42:18Speaker 2: Three clay and buck kicks off now thank you for
- 42:20Speaker 2: being here everybody and uh we have some news today
- 42:25Speaker 2: to get to um a very encouraging uh very good
- 42:32Speaker 2: news story from the perspective of well of course trump
- 42:35Speaker 2: the united states.
- 42:37Speaker 1: Uh the um.
- 42:40Speaker 2: Return of Stephen James Hubbard is underway. He's a 74-year-old
- 42:47Speaker 2: American retired English teacher. He was a veteran also from
- 42:53Speaker 2: Big Rapids, Michigan, detained by Russian forces in Ukraine in
- 42:58Speaker 2: April 2022.
- 43:00Speaker 1: And he was convicted as.
- 43:01Speaker 2: A mercenary in a closed Moscow trial in October 24.
- 43:06Speaker 2: And he has been today released. after a direct request
- 43:11Speaker 2: from President Trump to Vladimir Putin. So just a little
- 43:18Speaker 2: bit of background on this. Russian forces captured him, captured
- 43:21Speaker 2: rather the city of Izium in April of 2022. Hubbard
- 43:25Speaker 2: was detained then, and Russian authorities allege he had joined
- 43:29Speaker 2: a Ukrainian territorial defense unit and received training and was
- 43:33Speaker 2: going to be paid for this. They charged him under
- 43:38Speaker 2: Russian criminal code. His family and his U.S.-based lawyers have
- 43:42Speaker 2: completely rejected this. They said the claims were absurd given
- 43:46Speaker 2: his age and his reportedly pro-Russian views. His lawyers stated
- 43:52Speaker 2: that Hubbard said Russian soldiers simply grabbed him from his house.
- 43:56Speaker 2: He was not in any combat unit. And so he
- 43:59Speaker 2: was just seized, essentially. Sentenced to six years, by the way,
- 44:03Speaker 2: and ten months in a penal colony. I am sure
- 44:06Speaker 2: a Russian penal colony is an extremely unpleasant place. But
- 44:11Speaker 2: point here is Trump got him released, an American coming
- 44:15Speaker 2: home with his family, something here to be grateful for.
- 44:20Speaker 2: Nice work by the president. And this is the president.
- 44:23Speaker 2: This is cut 20. Here he is talking about this
- 44:26Speaker 2: prisoner release.
- 44:27Speaker 1: Play 20. The U.S.
- 44:29Speaker 7: Is on the verge of a deal to free the
- 44:31Speaker 7: American teacher, Stephen Hubbard, from Russia.
- 44:37Speaker 4: Just stick with me. Nobody else was able to do it.
- 44:41Speaker 4: Just stick with me. I don't want to talk about it,
- 44:44Speaker 4: but everybody's been after Hubbard for a long time, long
- 44:48Speaker 4: before I got here. And just to remember that question
- 44:54Speaker 4: for a couple of days from now, okay? Because I
- 44:58Speaker 4: do things that nobody else can do. I hate to
- 45:01Speaker 4: say it. So watch what happens. We have been focused
- 45:05Speaker 4: on Hubbard. And we don't give six billion dollars like Biden.
- 45:09Speaker 4: We don't give the number one in history, the number
- 45:13Speaker 4: one arms dealer ever in history and get a basketball
- 45:17Speaker 4: player back and give six billion on top of it.
- 45:20Speaker 4: I've been talking to President Putin about Mr.
- 45:22Speaker 7: Hubbard.
- 45:23Speaker 4: I've been talking to him at length. I've asked him
- 45:27Speaker 4: to release him. Let's see what happens.
- 45:31Speaker 1: Well, he got released. Well done.
- 45:34Speaker 2: President Trump, he is, I believe, Hubbard is on the
- 45:37Speaker 2: way home to his family. This is something that, you know,
- 45:40Speaker 2: I've actually talked to friends about many times over the years,
- 45:42Speaker 2: and they say, you know, as somebody who used to
- 45:45Speaker 2: be and is publicly known now because of my profile
- 45:49Speaker 2: in the media and stuff, and I was always, I
- 45:51Speaker 2: was an overt employee at the agency, so my affiliation
- 45:55Speaker 2: is something that's been out there for a long time
- 45:57Speaker 2: at the CIA. There are just countries I won't go to,
- 46:01Speaker 2: even if I have, the permission of the country to
- 46:04Speaker 2: be there. I just won't go because of something like this.
- 46:08Speaker 2: They can very easily say, well, we think, you know,
- 46:11Speaker 2: you were formerly a spy. That's the language they would
- 46:13Speaker 2: use to describe somebody like me. And they would say,
- 46:15Speaker 2: we're just going.
- 46:16Speaker 1: To grab you.
- 46:17Speaker 2: And by the way, not that I'm some important chess
- 46:20Speaker 2: piece or something. They grabbed Stephen Hubbard. Nobody ever heard
- 46:23Speaker 2: of this guy before, but they can grab you And
- 46:26Speaker 2: then use you as leverage for other things that they want. And,
- 46:30Speaker 2: you know, Russia is a country that is at the
- 46:32Speaker 2: very top of the list of doing this. Depending on
- 46:35Speaker 2: who you are, I could imagine China would be concerning
- 46:38Speaker 2: as well. China could definitely do something like this. I
- 46:42Speaker 2: really make it a habit not to go. Now, obviously,
- 46:45Speaker 2: Hubbard was picked up in Ukraine as part of the
- 46:47Speaker 2: when the invasion invasion was happening. Russia was invading sovereign
- 46:51Speaker 2: territory of another nation. But I make it a practice.
- 46:55Speaker 2: I'm not going anywhere where I could get picked up, one,
- 46:59Speaker 2: for political reasons like that, and two, where the call
- 47:03Speaker 2: from the embassy means almost nothing. The call from the
- 47:07Speaker 2: embassy in Moscow to the Russian authorities, it's not like
- 47:15Speaker 2: some Caribbean country we have warm relations with where they're like,
- 47:18Speaker 2: all right, You know, no harm, no foul.
- 47:21Speaker 1: It's not a big deal.
- 47:22Speaker 2: Remember, we did this with the– well, although they went
- 47:25Speaker 2: initially and arrested the guy who had, I think, like
- 47:28Speaker 2: a couple of 9-millimeter bullets in his bag by accident
- 47:32Speaker 2: because he had gone shooting. It was truly just a
- 47:35Speaker 2: couple of rounds. And I think Turks and Caicos arrested him,
- 47:38Speaker 2: and he was facing some mandatory prison sentence there. You know,
- 47:41Speaker 2: we can– Get Turks and Caicos to play ball pretty easily.
- 47:45Speaker 2: I think America, we can usually get them to play
- 47:47Speaker 2: ball with a reasonable. This is a reasonable thing, right?
- 47:49Speaker 2: It's not, oh, he murdered somebody.
- 47:50Speaker 1: Let him go. No harm, no foul is an accident.
- 47:54Speaker 2: And in Russia, you don't even have to have a
- 47:57Speaker 2: situation like that. They picked up Brittany Griner. The Brittany
- 48:01Speaker 2: Griner thing was different. Trump referenced that. That's where we
- 48:04Speaker 2: picked up or we traded, I should say, Victor Bout.
- 48:09Speaker 2: who is the real-life international arms dealer that the movie
- 48:12Speaker 2: Lord of War, starring Nicolas Cage, was based on. And, yeah,
- 48:17Speaker 2: we traded the really number one FBI-wanted arms dealer guy
- 48:23Speaker 2: for Brittany Griner, who plays in the WNBA. And a
- 48:27Speaker 2: lot of people thought that that was a, to borrow
- 48:30Speaker 2: from sports, a lopsided trade. not really the kind of
- 48:35Speaker 2: trade that we should have been making at that time.
- 48:37Speaker 2: And Brittany Griner, it was my understanding, she did have
- 48:41Speaker 2: marijuana residue on a pipe or something when she went through,
- 48:45Speaker 2: and that's a violation. So they didn't just pick her
- 48:47Speaker 2: up completely at random. She actually broke Russian law, which was,
- 48:50Speaker 2: I understand, similar somewhat to the situation in Turks and
- 48:53Speaker 2: Caicos with.
- 48:54Speaker 1: The guy with the bullets in his bag.
- 48:56Speaker 2: But I'm just telling you, you really, when you're in
- 49:00Speaker 2: a foreign country, one thing that You should always have
- 49:04Speaker 2: in your mind is, does this place actually have a
- 49:08Speaker 2: good relationship with America or not? Because that can affect
- 49:11Speaker 2: a lot of things. It can affect your safety out
- 49:13Speaker 2: in the street. It can also affect your ability to
- 49:16Speaker 2: freely move around without being detained, picked up.
- 49:20Speaker 1: Harassed. And unless you have a very important professional reason.
- 49:23Speaker 2: To go somewhere that there can be real problems, I would,
- 49:28Speaker 2: I would personally avoid it. And this is why people
- 49:30Speaker 2: ask me, why haven't I been to Russia? I'm not
- 49:32Speaker 2: going to Russia because I don't trust the Russians.
- 49:35Speaker 1: I just don't, you know, I don't, I don't find
- 49:37Speaker 1: any need or desire to go there.
- 49:39Speaker 2: And, um i i should say it would be a
- 49:42Speaker 2: i actually think it'd be an interesting country i would
- 49:44Speaker 2: like i wish i could go to russia without worrying
- 49:47Speaker 2: about what vladimir putin and the regime would do because
- 49:50Speaker 2: i do think it's an amazing country and there's a
- 49:52Speaker 2: lot of history and it's a lot of very beautiful
- 49:54Speaker 2: things about it and the russian people are great people
- 49:57Speaker 2: in many ways but this current you know the same
- 50:00Speaker 2: thing like china is an amazing country been around in
- 50:03Speaker 2: different capacities or in different uh iterations it's not really
- 50:07Speaker 2: just kind of one china but China's been around for millennia.
- 50:12Speaker 2: So there's a lot of great stuff about China, amazing
- 50:14Speaker 2: things to see, but you got a thug government of
- 50:17Speaker 2: a thousand communists who run the whole place and can
- 50:20Speaker 2: do whatever they want. I had a friend who told me,
- 50:23Speaker 2: it wasn't long ago, we're actually out on a boat together,
- 50:27Speaker 2: and he's a wealthy Chinese guy. And he told me
- 50:32Speaker 2: that even now, if you're wealthy, I mean, he's very wealthy.
- 50:36Speaker 2: If you're a very wealthy Chinese guy, you.
- 50:42Speaker 1: May well find yourself.
- 50:43Speaker 2: In a situation where, well, first of all, you're going
- 50:45Speaker 2: to have to pay off the Chinese Communist Party, right?
- 50:48Speaker 2: You're going to have to stay in their good graces.
- 50:50Speaker 2: But even though, and I'm not saying he paid off
- 50:52Speaker 2: anybody or not, I don't know. But, you know, you're
- 50:54Speaker 2: going to have to play the game there, okay? It's
- 50:56Speaker 2: a very, very corrupt place. And if you're a big target,
- 50:59Speaker 2: if you're a big bank, if you will, to be
- 51:03Speaker 2: siphoned from, that will happen. He just told me that
- 51:06Speaker 2: some local communist boss in a province he was visiting
- 51:10Speaker 2: there just locked him up for like 14 days in
- 51:12Speaker 2: a cell with just basically water and and they didn't
- 51:16Speaker 2: even tell him why or anything at the end of
- 51:18Speaker 2: the day some guy came to sell was like you
- 51:20Speaker 2: know you got to wire x millions of dollars to
- 51:23Speaker 2: the following bank account we'll let you out that and
- 51:26Speaker 2: he's chinese that stuff happens there you know these things
- 51:29Speaker 2: happen in these other countries so i bring it up
- 51:32Speaker 2: also because You know, I understand this place is imperfect.
- 51:36Speaker 2: I understand that America has its challenges, just like everything
- 51:38Speaker 2: is imperfect, right? America has its challenges, but we are
- 51:42Speaker 2: still so far ahead of these other places. And, you know,
- 51:49Speaker 2: there are these very frustrating moments that can happen in
- 51:52Speaker 2: our system. The treatment of some of the J6 prisoners,
- 51:55Speaker 2: for example, comes to mind where they were just locked up,
- 51:59Speaker 2: solitary confinement, treated like they were terrorists. They weren't terrorists.
- 52:03Speaker 2: Many of them were entirely nonviolent, but we're America, and
- 52:06Speaker 2: so guess what? They were pardoned, and Trump did win,
- 52:09Speaker 2: and they are free, and 2024 happened. In other countries,
- 52:13Speaker 2: that sort of thing, what you saw happen to the J6,
- 52:16Speaker 2: that's daily life. You get on the wrong side of
- 52:18Speaker 2: the regime, locked you in a cell, beat you, nothing
- 52:22Speaker 2: to be done about it. That's just the way it is.
- 52:24Speaker 2: Your family just gets to weep in quiet. They can't
- 52:27Speaker 2: even do it publicly.
- 52:28Speaker 7: Yeah.
- 52:29Speaker 2: Remember what a great country this is. And something else
- 52:32Speaker 2: that comes to mind with the release of this individual Hubbard,
- 52:36Speaker 2: Donald Trump gets results, especially on foreign policy stuff, that
- 52:41Speaker 2: a lot of other presidents, a lot of other leadership
- 52:43Speaker 2: just can't get. This notion, and this is very much within,
- 52:47Speaker 2: I think, what you'd call the Trump doctrine or the
- 52:50Speaker 2: Trump approach, this notion of it's about individual relationships at
- 52:57Speaker 2: the top level and understanding power dynamics. That's not a
- 53:01Speaker 2: crazy notion at all. It's shown itself to work, I think,
- 53:05Speaker 2: in many instances for the president. And it has been
- 53:10Speaker 2: one of the things that he has done that is
- 53:12Speaker 2: absolutely in the face of the so-called experts and the
- 53:18Speaker 2: expert class. And he's shown that you don't actually have
- 53:21Speaker 2: to have a Ph.D. in Near Eastern Studies and speak
- 53:25Speaker 2: Aramaic for example, to be able to negotiate effectively with
- 53:32Speaker 2: Middle Eastern partners. Now, the Russia-Ukraine war hasn't been brought
- 53:36Speaker 2: to an end. Trump has been trying, and I know
- 53:38Speaker 2: that there's been some advancements here with Zelensky now saying
- 53:42Speaker 2: that maybe they're willing.
- 53:43Speaker 1: To freeze the borders where they are.
- 53:45Speaker 2: That's a very difficult conflict to bring to an end
- 53:48Speaker 2: because as long as the Russians think that it's in
- 53:52Speaker 2: their interest to keep going, they're going to keep going.
- 53:54Speaker 2: You can't get them to stop that. So if their
- 53:56Speaker 2: military calculation is we'll get more from more fighting, they're
- 54:00Speaker 2: going to keep fighting. And it's a very hard thing
- 54:02Speaker 2: to shut off. In the meantime, the Ukrainians have gotten
- 54:07Speaker 2: much better at defense over time. Their military has gotten
- 54:11Speaker 2: really armed up and trained up. Now, a lot of
- 54:14Speaker 2: the stuff that's funding them now, their weapons and everything,
- 54:17Speaker 2: is coming from Europe. By the way, that's Trump. He
- 54:20Speaker 2: wanted to have the Europeans pick up more of the tab,
- 54:22Speaker 2: which is totally fair.
- 54:24Speaker 1: Makes sense.
- 54:25Speaker 2: And we're hoping that this war could be brought to
- 54:29Speaker 2: an end as well. But that one is very tough
- 54:32Speaker 2: because the desire of the Russians and, well, first of all,
- 54:37Speaker 2: the Ukrainians were doing it for their sovereignty and their
- 54:40Speaker 2: sense of themselves as a people. So they're fighting very hard.
- 54:43Speaker 2: And to their credit, they are fighting very hard and
- 54:46Speaker 2: long against the Russian war machine. But the Russians, man,
- 54:50Speaker 2: the Russian capacity for suffering and the Russian capacity to
- 54:54Speaker 2: just keep on sacrificing for the perceived or the uh
- 54:59Speaker 2: the dictated national interest is a uh impressive and tragic
- 55:05Speaker 2: thing at the same time so i know trump wants
- 55:07Speaker 2: to bring that to a conclusion but we have an
- 55:09Speaker 2: american home that's a good thing good to see that
- 55:13Speaker 2: happen and uh another another uh high five going to
- 55:17Speaker 2: this trump administration for getting it done okay we're big
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