Latest / Upper Hand Fantasy / 2026 Week 7 Trades: 6 Buys, 3 Sells, and the Role Behind Every Box Score

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2026 Week 7 Trades: 6 Buys, 3 Sells, and the Role Behind Every Box Score · Upper Hand Fantasy

• 0:00
  SPEAKER_00: One of my sales this week is a receiver who just put together his best back-to-back games in two years, and I think the clock is already ticking on him.
• 0:06
  SPEAKER_00: Six weeks in, we've got a big enough sample now that one quiet box score shouldn't scare you off a great roll, and one big box score shouldn't fool you into keeping a bad one.
• 0:14
  SPEAKER_00: And this past week was full of both.
• 0:16
  SPEAKER_00: I went through the target share, rap participation, snap share, expected fantasy points, all of it.
• 0:20
  SPEAKER_00: So I've got buys, I've got some sells for you.
• 0:22
  SPEAKER_00: So that's what we're doing today.
• 0:23
  SPEAKER_00: Buys and sells.
• 0:24
  SPEAKER_00: Let's get right into it.
• 0:25
  SPEAKER_00: The first buy is Zay Flowers.
• 0:27
  SPEAKER_00: He's had a 30% or higher target share in four straight games.
• 0:30
  SPEAKER_00: He's averaged just 13 points per game these last two weeks with Tyler Huntley under center.
• 0:35
  SPEAKER_00: Just a massive role that we just haven't seen the full extent in terms of production.
• 0:39
  SPEAKER_00: Flowers is getting it done regardless.
• 0:41
  SPEAKER_00: He's first in the league in yards per route run at 3.86, second in targets per route run at 34%, third and first downs per route run, second in fantasy points per route run.
• 0:50
  SPEAKER_00: But the guy who was gonna really unlock him, Lamar Jackson, is on his way back.
• 0:53
  SPEAKER_00: Jesse Minter said that he could potentially practice this week.
• 0:56
  SPEAKER_00: In three games with Lamar this year, the numbers are kind of bonkers.
• 0:58
  SPEAKER_00: Flowers has a 40% target rate, a ridiculous 6.64 yards per route run.
• 1:03
  SPEAKER_00: He's averaging 22.4 fantasy points per game, and you compare that to just 13.6 without him.
• 1:08
  SPEAKER_00: And here's the crazy part, man.
• 1:10
  SPEAKER_00: Two of those three games, Flowers was banged up and only ran around on 37% and 64% of dropbacks.
• 1:16
  SPEAKER_00: So get out in front of Lamar's return.
• 1:18
  SPEAKER_00: Once he's back, Flowers is an every week wide receiver one again, and you won't be able to buy him at this price.
• 1:23
  SPEAKER_00: The next buy is AJ Brown.
• 1:25
  SPEAKER_00: Whoever has Brown is probably tired of waiting for him to be the player that they drafted, especially after the stinker that he just put up.
• 1:31
  SPEAKER_00: And that's exactly why I'm buying right now because the usage is exactly what you want.
• 1:34
  SPEAKER_00: Okay, he was at a 31% target share in week one before he got hurt.
• 1:38
  SPEAKER_00: And in week six, his first full game as a Patriot, where he ran a route on all but one of Drake May's dropbacks, he put up a 34% target share.
• 1:45
  SPEAKER_00: And because he underproduced in this game, he had the largest gap of any receiver in week six between actual and expected fantasy points, 5.7 points where the usage should have got him 22.
• 1:55
  SPEAKER_00: And a big reason why is because he dropped four passes.
• 1:58
  SPEAKER_00: For context, he only had six drops the entire 2025 season.
• 2:01
  SPEAKER_00: So I don't think he's washed yet.
• 2:02
  SPEAKER_00: He's separating the balls, were in his hands, drops aren't sticky.
• 2:06
  SPEAKER_00: This is a lot of naughty talk right now.
• 2:07
  SPEAKER_00: But top 12 upside, still in his range of outcomes with this kind of usage, and the floor is really high with that volume, too.
• 2:14
  SPEAKER_00: He's getting used like a top 10 receiver, so you know the production just has to catch up at this point.
• 2:19
  SPEAKER_00: If you're looking for a running back, I am trying to buy Jalen Warren right now.
• 2:22
  SPEAKER_00: His workload did take a hit with Rico Doddle coming back, and I think that's what everyone's gonna see and focus on.
• 2:28
  SPEAKER_00: But you look at the actual usage 74% of the snaps still, 63% of the carries.
• 2:33
  SPEAKER_00: He ran a route on 46% of the dropbacks.
• 2:35
  SPEAKER_00: He took all the third downs, more of the two-minute snaps than Doddle, and he got Pittsburgh's first goal line carry of the season.
• 2:41
  SPEAKER_00: So now you compare that to week one when Doddle played more snaps, ran more routes, he had most of the third down and two-minute work.
• 2:47
  SPEAKER_00: It's a complete flip now.
• 2:48
  SPEAKER_00: And some people might think that you know the backfield is gonna continue to maybe move towards a 50-50 split.
• 2:53
  SPEAKER_00: I just don't think that's gonna happen.
• 2:55
  SPEAKER_00: Warren proved he deserves more touches than Doddle, and Mike McCarthy gave them to him.
• 2:59
  SPEAKER_00: The production just didn't match the role this week.
• 3:01
  SPEAKER_00: So I'm gonna buy him while his managers are still kind of freaking out that oh, Doddle came in and now Warren immediately had a quiet game.
• 3:07
  SPEAKER_00: Another running back that I'm buying right now is Bucky Irving.
• 3:09
  SPEAKER_00: His usage this past week was literally the best of his career, and that includes his rookie year.
• 3:13
  SPEAKER_00: Career highs in snap share at 85%, a carry share at 90%, route participation at 62%.
• 3:20
  SPEAKER_00: Now, Sean Tucker was out, but he wasn't getting that many snaps anyway.
• 3:23
  SPEAKER_00: He was just a goal-line guy, so I get it.
• 3:25
  SPEAKER_00: But Bucky's taking receiving work, we didn't really think he'd have because of Kenneth Gainwell, who doesn't really have a big role right now.
• 3:31
  SPEAKER_00: Uh, he's been active and healthy all season.
• 3:34
  SPEAKER_00: But you know, the output from Bucky this week was quiet, right?
• 3:37
  SPEAKER_00: Steelers have a tough run defense, six fantasy points that came short of the 12 that he was expected to score.
• 3:43
  SPEAKER_00: That was the fifth largest gap among qualifying running backs in week six.
• 3:46
  SPEAKER_00: And Baker Mayfield should be back soon.
• 3:48
  SPEAKER_00: So if this offense gets better, I think a rising tide lifts all boats.
• 3:51
  SPEAKER_00: And with this role, I think Bucky gets lifted in a big way.
• 3:54
  SPEAKER_00: So you know you gotta buy the roll here, not what you saw coming out of the game.
• 3:58
  SPEAKER_00: Now, if you're looking for a cheap running back to buy, I don't think there's much cheaper than Cam Scattaboo right now.
• 4:05
  SPEAKER_00: He's like a penny stock, right?
• 4:06
  SPEAKER_00: He was in the doghouse last week, didn't get any touches.
• 4:09
  SPEAKER_00: Whoever has them just wants to get rid of him.
• 4:11
  SPEAKER_00: You know, he probably had the one of the best matchups you'll see all year against the you know Saints defense, which is brutal that he couldn't play in that game, just rock bottom.
• 4:18
  SPEAKER_00: But I can't project a benching like that to stick, right?
• 4:22
  SPEAKER_00: The Giants also just released Najee Harris, so there's one less body in the backfield.
• 4:25
  SPEAKER_00: So now going into week six, Scatterboo was scoring 10.4 fantasy points per game when his usage said that he should have been closer to 13.8.
• 4:32
  SPEAKER_00: That's the fifth largest gap among qualifying running backs.
• 4:35
  SPEAKER_00: And to be fair, some of that is on him, right?
• 4:37
  SPEAKER_00: He hasn't been playing great, but you're not paying for what he's done, you're paying next to nothing for the chance that he gets back to his regular role.
• 4:44
  SPEAKER_00: Maybe 60% of the snaps, you know, get some receiving work because he's a good receiver, get the goal line work mixed in as well.
• 4:49
  SPEAKER_00: So if he does, you know, he's gonna be in that low-end RB2 range, even like a flu, you know, a flex consideration.
• 4:55
  SPEAKER_00: So that's the bet, and it's a cheap one.
• 4:57
  SPEAKER_00: I'm looking to see if I can buy Parker Washington on his bye week.
• 5:00
  SPEAKER_00: Now, this isn't really a buy low, right?
• 5:02
  SPEAKER_00: He had one quiet game, doesn't really make him cheap, but I'm not convinced people are treating him like this reliable every week, potential wide receiver one, you know, after like Travis Hunter, Jacoby Myers both outscored in this past week.
• 5:12
  SPEAKER_00: And you know, obviously he's on a buy now, so those marriages might need a player to play this week.
• 5:17
  SPEAKER_00: So his marriages looking at a guy who can't help him this week on an offense with maybe what looks like a lot of mouths to feed.
• 5:23
  SPEAKER_00: But Washington led the Jaguars in targets again this past week.
• 5:26
  SPEAKER_00: 11 targets.
• 5:27
  SPEAKER_00: That was good for a 27% target share.
• 5:29
  SPEAKER_00: And on the season, it's not even close.
• 5:31
  SPEAKER_00: 26% target share for him.
• 5:33
  SPEAKER_00: The next closest Jaguars, Brenton Strange at 19%.
• 5:36
  SPEAKER_00: Part of the reason the box score looked quiet, baseball Tutin, right?
• 5:39
  SPEAKER_00: Who we've been buying for weeks, caught two touchdowns from Trevor Lawrence.
• 5:42
  SPEAKER_00: Love that for Tootin, but that's not happening every week.
• 5:45
  SPEAKER_00: Washington's 10 fantasy points fell 11 short of the 21 that his usage should have got him against the Texans.
• 5:51
  SPEAKER_00: It was the third largest gap in the league this week.
• 5:53
  SPEAKER_00: That's wide receiver one usage.
• 5:55
  SPEAKER_00: If you can sell Blake Coram, I would just, you know, he had two of his best, you know, box scores of the year back to back.
• 6:02
  SPEAKER_00: Um, and they're just covering up a role that isn't really sustainable.
• 6:04
  SPEAKER_00: He's averaging 15 points per game over these last two weeks, but only in a 28% snap share and 33% carry share.
• 6:10
  SPEAKER_00: And the touchdown came on a reception when he ran a route on just 14% of dropbacks and earned two targets.
• 6:16
  SPEAKER_00: So that's not a repeatable source of production right there.
• 6:18
  SPEAKER_00: Meanwhile, Kyron Williams' role is as good as it's ever been since Quorum showed up.
• 6:23
  SPEAKER_00: And this was as weird a game script as we've seen from the Rams in a while.
• 6:26
  SPEAKER_00: And before anyone asks, no, I don't think Devontae Adams getting hurt changes this.
• 6:31
  SPEAKER_00: You know, we saw what happened when Puka was out, and Quorum's role didn't really take off, right?
• 6:34
  SPEAKER_00: So if someone in your league thinks they're getting a startable option, sell it to them and go get yourself an actual RB2.
• 6:40
  SPEAKER_00: I'm looking at Xavier Worthy on my roster.
• 6:42
  SPEAKER_00: I'm like, okay, how do I get rid of this dude?
• 6:44
  SPEAKER_00: Right?
• 6:44
  SPEAKER_00: I'm looking to sell him if I can.
• 6:46
  SPEAKER_00: Seven catches this past week.
• 6:47
  SPEAKER_00: That was the most he's had in a game since his rookie season.
• 6:50
  SPEAKER_00: It's the first time he's had 70 plus yards in back-to-back weeks since his rookie year as well.
• 6:54
  SPEAKER_00: But you know, you look at the situation here, right?
• 6:56
  SPEAKER_00: Rashi Rice was inactive against the Chargers.
• 6:58
  SPEAKER_00: Uh, Worthy scored 14 points.
• 7:00
  SPEAKER_00: Rice played just six snaps in week four, and Worthy scored 11 points.
• 7:04
  SPEAKER_00: In games with Rashi this year, Worthy's averaging just seven points a game and 15% target share.
• 7:09
  SPEAKER_00: Without him, 13 points per game on a 23% target share.
• 7:12
  SPEAKER_00: Rice is gonna come back soon.
• 7:13
  SPEAKER_00: The Chiefs throw at the ninth lowest rate in the league.
• 7:16
  SPEAKER_00: This offense runs through Kenneth Walker.
• 7:18
  SPEAKER_00: Worthy just hasn't done anything this year to make me think that production holds up even when Rice is back.
• 7:23
  SPEAKER_00: So I'm selling now while these last two box scores are fresh in people's minds.
• 7:27
  SPEAKER_00: Now, similar situation with Keon Coleman.
• 7:29
  SPEAKER_00: I'm looking to sell him.
• 7:30
  SPEAKER_00: Now, DJ Moore's status literally makes or breaks Keon Coleman, right?
• 7:33
  SPEAKER_00: When Moore plays a majority of the snaps, Coleman averages 2.8 fantasy points per game.
• 7:37
  SPEAKER_00: When Moore misses a majority of the snaps, Coleman averages 15.
• 7:40
  SPEAKER_00: His target share goes from 18% without Moore to just 5% with him.
• 7:44
  SPEAKER_00: And his route rate goes from 71% to 50%.
• 7:47
  SPEAKER_00: That's a pretty big drop-off.
• 7:48
  SPEAKER_00: And because Coleman has produced in games where Moore was technically active, like the six catch, 63-yard line in week two, a lot of people don't realize how much more actually being on the field mattered when it came to that production.
• 7:59
  SPEAKER_00: Coleman scored in three straight games now.
• 8:01
  SPEAKER_00: Uh, he's on bye this week, and more is coming back after the bye.
• 8:04
  SPEAKER_00: Once he does, Coleman could turn into a pumpkin.
• 8:06
  SPEAKER_00: And so I would package him up if I can as like a nice add on while he's hot here and you know, use him to upgrade at a position of need for the rest of the season.
• 8:14
  SPEAKER_00: That's gonna do it for this episode.
• 8:16
  SPEAKER_00: If this helped you, make sure to subscribe to the channel or the podcast wherever you're listening.
• 8:20
  SPEAKER_00: It helps a ton and it's the best way to catch these every week.
• 8:23
  SPEAKER_00: I'll see you in the next episode this week.
• 8:25
  SPEAKER_00: Starts and sits for week seven.