Latest / The Crazy Sheet - CFB Handicapping / Episode 23: CFP Quarterfinals Betting Preview

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Episode 23: CFP Quarterfinals Betting Preview · The Crazy Sheet - CFB Handicapping

• 0:02
  Speaker 1: Ladies and gentlemen. Boys and girls, it's your favorite time
• 0:04
  Speaker 1: of week. You download the crazy sheet, you get ready
• 0:07
  Speaker 1: for New Year's Eve, you get ready for some college
• 0:09
  Speaker 1: football playoff situation.
• 0:11
  Speaker 2: I'm Mark, I'm here in the podcasting studio.
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: My man, Scottie's out on the road, brother, How the
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: hell are you?
• 0:16
  Speaker 3: Man? I'm good in the mountains, a little skiing with
• 0:18
  Speaker 3: the family, so having a little fun, getting ready to
• 0:22
  Speaker 3: watch some games. Tomorrow starts early in the morning, so
• 0:24
  Speaker 3: it'll be good, or I guess. I guess games start
• 0:27
  Speaker 3: will be pick here shortly on ball games, but you
• 0:31
  Speaker 3: know it's gonna be a gonna be a fun New
• 0:34
  Speaker 3: Year's Eve and New Year's Day.
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't like the I mean, I like that
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: we've got New Year's Day as a college thing. In
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: New Year's Eve should be a college thing. But I
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: don't like the timing of how these games are all
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: spaced out. I like the rhythm of moving through week
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: to week to week until we get there because that's
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: how it's supposed to be.
• 0:52
  Speaker 2: And I don't know, man, So that's my only thing.
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: It is better than back in the day when we
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: would finish the conference championship and then we would wait
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: like sixty eight for the BCS and you're like, by
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: then you were like, oh, football is still on great,
• 1:05
  Speaker 1: you know.
• 1:06
  Speaker 3: Yeah, terms that's got no continuity, oh you know.
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: And I can't even imagine trying to have done it
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: a couple of years ago when you had the portal open,
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: coaches moving.
• 1:16
  Speaker 2: I mean, it's just crazy.
• 1:17
  Speaker 1: But here we are. We've got four games. Obviously there's
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: a bunch of Bowl games in there. I've got a
• 1:22
  Speaker 1: couple that I kind of like that we can toss
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: in it. Have it done great in bullseason? The one
• 1:26
  Speaker 1: thing that has done me right is the old bet
• 1:29
  Speaker 1: the first half under and if it hits, just let
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: it go, take your unit, move on, and if it
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: doesn't hit, then come back and bet the second half under.
• 1:37
  Speaker 2: About ten minutes.
• 1:38
  Speaker 3: So far, I gotta admit, I am I have lost
• 1:41
  Speaker 3: total interest in ball season with all the opt outs,
• 1:44
  Speaker 3: and the small games are more interesting than the than
• 1:49
  Speaker 3: the big games. You know. It's I mean, you've got
• 1:52
  Speaker 3: major players just bailing on teams. It's hard to keep
• 1:56
  Speaker 3: up with who cares who's going to show up. It's
• 2:00
  Speaker 3: you know, it's one of those things that it's it
• 2:02
  Speaker 3: is and there's so much going on around the holiday season.
• 2:05
  Speaker 3: You're like, I think I just am going to enjoy
• 2:08
  Speaker 3: watching NFL and watching college football and take step back.
• 2:12
  Speaker 3: So I've not been very involved in the in the
• 2:14
  Speaker 3: bowl season, but the playoffs are different.
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: I agree, Man, you don't think it's exciting to travel
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: from Myrtle Beach, South Carolina to Shreveport to spend your
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: New Year's because who doesn't want to do that?
• 2:26
  Speaker 3: Doesn't want to Who don't want to do that? And
• 2:28
  Speaker 3: then kick off at one pm? I mean, who doesn't
• 2:30
  Speaker 3: want to do that? And oh and Illinois coming into
• 2:35
  Speaker 3: nash Vegas. I mean, what do you do you think
• 2:37
  Speaker 3: those folks from Champagne are doing on Broadway?
• 2:39
  Speaker 2: Oh Man, having a big old time Tennessee. Just had
• 2:42
  Speaker 2: to drive across the state.
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: I mean, you know, Bert, I bet Birt's down their
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: partying right there.
• 2:49
  Speaker 3: Burt may have been shirtless last night.
• 2:51
  Speaker 2: Bert.
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: If we if a picture comes out of Bert at
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: the Kid Rock Club right there on Upper Broadway, I
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: mean I wouldn't be surprised at all.
• 3:00
  Speaker 2: That guy, he's still crushing ass. I'm sure.
• 3:02
  Speaker 4: Uh.
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: Big coaching news Scott University of Michigan goes from having
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: their coach arrested on felony charges having to fire him.
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: Literally everybody in the country thinking, oh my god, what
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: a mess.
• 3:16
  Speaker 2: What are they going to do? And they maybe land
• 3:20
  Speaker 2: the best.
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: Hire you could have possibly gotten with Kyle Whittingham coming
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: over from Utah.
• 3:25
  Speaker 2: Unbelievable job for them.
• 3:27
  Speaker 3: Oh, unbelievable job. And how bad does Utah look forcing
• 3:30
  Speaker 3: that guy out? I mean, what are you expecting? Do
• 3:33
  Speaker 3: you not know who you are? I mean that could
• 3:35
  Speaker 3: be the greatest identity crisis ever, like, not really truly
• 3:40
  Speaker 3: not knowing who you are as a program. I mean,
• 3:43
  Speaker 3: that guy did a phenomenal job after urban Meyer left
• 3:47
  Speaker 3: beat Alabama in the Sugar Bowl. Oh that was a
• 3:50
  Speaker 3: decade ago. That was fifteen years ago. I don't care
• 3:53
  Speaker 3: that he had them. What were they three spots out
• 3:56
  Speaker 3: of the playoffs this year? I mean they play in
• 4:00
  Speaker 3: an average league where you don't get tons of opportunities
• 4:03
  Speaker 3: to make to impress voters, basically, and they run this
• 4:09
  Speaker 3: guy off because they want to hire one of his assistants. Man,
• 4:13
  Speaker 3: I don't get it. I think, and look, I think
• 4:15
  Speaker 3: his mentality is exactly what Michigan needs right now to
• 4:20
  Speaker 3: clean this has been a dirty program for a while.
• 4:24
  Speaker 3: And look, I like grball and I like what he did,
• 4:27
  Speaker 3: But at the end of the day, they were cheating.
• 4:29
  Speaker 3: That's just about the money, and we can romanticize it
• 4:33
  Speaker 3: all we want. Does everybody do some of what they're doing, Probably,
• 4:37
  Speaker 3: But at the end of the day, they were cheating,
• 4:38
  Speaker 3: and that was a dirty program all the way across
• 4:40
  Speaker 3: the board. Makes you wonder where good people really in charge?
• 4:43
  Speaker 3: What's going on. But at the end of the day,
• 4:45
  Speaker 3: Winningham's a great hire. He is the exact mentality they need,
• 4:50
  Speaker 3: and that is a program that's going to be at
• 4:53
  Speaker 3: its best when they are great on defense. That's how
• 4:55
  Speaker 3: they won the national championship. And that's exactly what Whittingham's
• 4:59
  Speaker 3: going to do.
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree, Man, I'm excited. I mean I really am.
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: I mean, I've never been a disc you know now,
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: I'm not a Michigan hater. I've always enjoyed the brand
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: and what they you know, what they are. I love
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: the school college football stack.
• 5:12
  Speaker 3: I love it. I love it.
• 5:13
  Speaker 2: Winningham coming in is the hard school.
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: I mean, I can't even imagine how excited he must
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: be thinking, Man, getting some five star talent. I mean,
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: I got some real five star talent. It's like anybody
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: in the country will take my phone call, and I've
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: got I got the money coming behind me, I've got
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: everything else. I mean, I hope they figure it out,
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: and I hope it's a monster because I have all
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: four I'm all for having a lot of great teams
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: in these conferences and creating the parody and stuff like that,
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: and me too. When you've got an engine like that
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: and you get a leader, God damn.
• 5:51
  Speaker 2: I hope they make the best of it.
• 5:52
  Speaker 3: But anyway, it's the same thing. Look, college football is
• 5:55
  Speaker 3: not at its best. If I'm in Michigan, Ohio, State, Alabama,
• 5:58
  Speaker 3: those schools aren't at their best. That's the truth. If
• 6:02
  Speaker 3: it's going to be at its best, they need to
• 6:03
  Speaker 3: be great. We need USC to be back good, you know,
• 6:07
  Speaker 3: for it to truly be at its best, for people,
• 6:09
  Speaker 3: for the whole country to be involved in watching what's
• 6:13
  Speaker 3: going on. So I absolutely hope this works, and I
• 6:16
  Speaker 3: think it's the best case scenario because you're thinking the
• 6:19
  Speaker 3: whole time. I mean, they just stumbled into this hire.
• 6:23
  Speaker 3: They knew it was going on, and they were waiting
• 6:25
  Speaker 3: to see is he gonna beat over the state and
• 6:26
  Speaker 3: maybe getting the playoff because that we're gonna brush it
• 6:28
  Speaker 3: under the rug. If you did that, I truly believe that.
• 6:32
  Speaker 3: And and and yet he gets fired. It all comes out.
• 6:37
  Speaker 3: They have let all of this go by. They look
• 6:40
  Speaker 3: like complete idiots for letting this whole coaching circle go on.
• 6:44
  Speaker 3: And then they land this guy at the at the
• 6:47
  Speaker 3: at the ninth hour, You're like, holy smokes out of you, stiff.
• 6:50
  Speaker 3: I mean, where is the rabbit's foot in ward Manual's pocket?
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: That guy is the worst.
• 7:00
  Speaker 2: I mean I would have fired him already. But that's good. Lord. Anyway,
• 7:04
  Speaker 2: I don't know college football, baby, it.
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: Is literally a soap opera that never.
• 7:09
  Speaker 4: Ceases to amaze. Excuse me, trying to be a little
• 7:13
  Speaker 4: call here. All right, Scotty, let's dig in here. We
• 7:17
  Speaker 4: are a college football playoff. We've got four games left.
• 7:20
  Speaker 4: First one is going to be Christmas, our New Year's Eve,
• 7:23
  Speaker 4: kicking off in Dallas, Texas.
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: There in Jerry world, you've got Ohio State in Miami.
• 7:28
  Speaker 2: Miami obviously, the one that snuck.
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: In the playoffs, just got done beating Texas A and M.
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: And what was quite possibly one of the worst football
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: games I've watched since I watched the Auburn Mississippi State
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: three to two game years and years ago. But Miami
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: took care of business man. They had a couple of
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: different opportunities. They boxed in that they absolutely shut down
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: Texas a and in his rushing attack and and Marcel Reid.
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: If it wasn't for some of the broken play runs
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: that he had, they would have had very little offense
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: at all in that game. Of course, the wind was
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: blowing thirty forty miles an hour. It made field goal
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: kicking almost impossible, as there were so many that were missed,
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: But that Miami defensive front stepped up and it caused
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: a problem for A and M all day long. A
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: and M looked exactly.
• 8:10
  Speaker 2: Like what we thought they were.
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: They were leaking oil on the way home, and that's
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: kind of how they ended their season. But you look
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: at this Miami team now that turns around. They're going
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: to come in they play Ohiose State. A lot of
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: people think this is the number one team in the country,
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: even though they just lost to Indiana in the Big Championship.
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: They're getting ten points in this one. You've got an
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: Ohio State team who just won it last year. Quietly
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: coming along. Are they going to be able to do
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: it again? When you look at this game, walk me
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: through what your thoughts are and how you're going to
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: play it.
• 8:39
  Speaker 3: If you play it well. First off, this game's going
• 8:44
  Speaker 3: to go as Carson Back goes period, end of story.
• 8:48
  Speaker 3: If this defensive line gets to him and they frustrate
• 8:50
  Speaker 3: him early and they pound on him early, I don't
• 8:53
  Speaker 3: know how this offense is going to move to football.
• 8:55
  Speaker 3: I really don't now. If they can somewhat get back
• 9:00
  Speaker 3: on track and hit a few plays, then this is
• 9:04
  Speaker 3: going to be a great football game. Do I think
• 9:06
  Speaker 3: that Back is going to get on track? Probably not,
• 9:09
  Speaker 3: because there's just been so many teams that have gotten
• 9:11
  Speaker 3: him off. I don't see how in the world this
• 9:14
  Speaker 3: great defense isn't going to do it.
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: Uh.
• 9:16
  Speaker 3: But I do expect it to be low scoring because
• 9:18
  Speaker 3: I do think this Miami defense is playing is playing
• 9:21
  Speaker 3: good football, even though it's not playing as well as
• 9:24
  Speaker 3: Texas saying them made them look last week. But I
• 9:28
  Speaker 3: do think this is going to be low scoring. I
• 9:29
  Speaker 3: think the best value is probably the under. That's probably
• 9:36
  Speaker 3: the best, probably the best way to play it. But
• 9:40
  Speaker 3: could I see Ohio State covering this if back doesn't
• 9:43
  Speaker 3: get on track. Yeah. So, but this is a whole
• 9:47
  Speaker 3: lot of points against two really good teams. Ten seems
• 9:50
  Speaker 3: like a big number. So you think, well, I'm sure
• 9:53
  Speaker 3: most of the square money is going to be on
• 9:56
  Speaker 3: on Miami because it looks too big. So but I
• 9:58
  Speaker 3: could easily see how just dominating this football game. But
• 10:02
  Speaker 3: who do we get from Ohio State? Do we get
• 10:04
  Speaker 3: conservative Ohio State that doesn't take advantage of Manda Man
• 10:07
  Speaker 3: matchups with their wide receivers and decides they want to
• 10:10
  Speaker 3: run the football, you know, against light boxes or you know,
• 10:14
  Speaker 3: things like that. We just gotta we got to see,
• 10:17
  Speaker 3: you know. And there have been multiple times this year
• 10:19
  Speaker 3: the Ohio State has been in mana mana happened against
• 10:22
  Speaker 3: uh Indiana where they had one of those two stud
• 10:25
  Speaker 3: receivers in a Manda Man situation and they an throwing
• 10:29
  Speaker 3: the football. And I don't know how those are both
• 10:32
  Speaker 3: top ten guys. You have to it should be a rule.
• 10:37
  Speaker 3: Jeremih Smith's and Manda Man coverage. He's going to deep
• 10:39
  Speaker 3: throwing the ball to him, you should It shouldn't be
• 10:41
  Speaker 3: a question. But look, the other kid is just as good.
• 10:44
  Speaker 3: I always want to call him Blake bus Time, Yeah,
• 10:47
  Speaker 3: Carnell Tate, but the but he's he's the same way.
• 10:51
  Speaker 3: I mean, that kid is a complete stud. If either
• 10:55
  Speaker 3: one of those guys is in Manda, man, you gotta
• 10:56
  Speaker 3: throw them the football. The bottom line, So who do we
• 10:59
  Speaker 3: get that we at the Ohio State offense that took
• 11:02
  Speaker 3: the you know, they took the chains off last playoff
• 11:06
  Speaker 3: season in the playoffs, or do we get the team
• 11:08
  Speaker 3: that played the Big Ten championship? We do tenth too many.
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm gonna go under here over unders. Round forty
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: forty one is where you're at a couple of things, man.
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: I dug into this game, spent a lot of time,
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: went back and watch, looked at some PFF A couple
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: of things. If you keep the pocket clean. Carson Beck
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: is ranked fifty eighth in the country as far as
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: being completions goes based on PFF ratings. They're there. When
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: he's pressured or blitzed, it drops off dramatically. I mean,
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: so he's had trouble with that. He's not the most mobile.
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: You've got basically Malachai, Toni and Fletcher that kind of
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: run the offense through which both of them are studs,
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: by the way, and then you've got that stud defensive
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: front from Miami. The other thing too, I don't like
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: about where this is going is Ryan Day's called the place.
• 11:54
  Speaker 2: Ryan Day has it called.
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: The offense in over two years now, and so you're
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: bringing that back into the which is something we haven't seen.
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: I'm kind of curious how conservative he'll go because I
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: think he tends to lean to be more conservative then
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: let it rip.
• 12:09
  Speaker 2: And so even though we've seen Julians.
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: Saying completely developed past his red shirt freshman status with
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: those wide receivers that he's got, I mean, you've talked
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: about it all year. When you've got the dudes that
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: he has, you got to let it go. But I
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: kind of think this could be a lot more conservative game.
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: I think Matt Patricia and that Ohio State defense is
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: going to dial up some issues.
• 12:29
  Speaker 2: I think Miami is going to be able to move
• 12:31
  Speaker 2: the ball, but I don't know.
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: How effective they're going to be trying to get the
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: ball in and have some big chunk plays. That's where
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: with Caleb Bownds back there, I think they are able
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: to do so many different things that a lot of
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: defenses can't do. I think they'll be able to mirror
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: where Malachai Tony is in that defense and so they can.
• 12:48
  Speaker 2: Follow him around.
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: I saw him do this last year with downs, used
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: him a lot of different ways confuse the quarterback play.
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: I think he'll get a lot of that same thing. Here,
• 12:58
  Speaker 1: give me under is where I'm going to go in
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: this one one. You did on the under in this one, Scotty.
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: Next game we've got, let's travel to the Orange Bowl.
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech be traveling out to Miami to match up
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: with the Oregon Ducks. When you get into this game,
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: this game has seen some line movement already. A game
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: opened up around one. Now we're starting to see this
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech getting two and a half. Fifty one and
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: a half is the total both of these teams coming
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: in twelve and one. Oregon absolutely demolished James Madison in
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: their game a couple of weeks ago, which we kind
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: of thought they would. But when you start to dig
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: into this game, it's really interesting. You've got one of
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: the best offenses in Dante Moore in the country. The
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: guy's done a fantastic job getting rid of the ball,
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: getting it out to playmakers. In about two and a
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: half seconds are faster, which is absolutely going to be required.
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: He's going to get this going against the defense in
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech that is one of the best in the country,
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: and a lot of people are starting to wonder, is
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: that one.
• 13:52
  Speaker 2: Of the best defenses they've seen in the last ten
• 13:53
  Speaker 2: years or so, And.
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: That could be true, But then you start looking at
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: who they've played in the Big Twelve and how good
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: are these offense is that they've been matched up against.
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: So when I started digging into this one, I think
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: this game is a complete coin flip for me. I
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: lean on the Texas Tech side because I think Texas
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: Tech I don't think people understand how good that defensive
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: line is. The reason Jacob Rodriguez is a household name
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: in college football this year is because he's been able
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: to play linebacker and not had to come through in
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: blitz because they don't blitz very often. Texas Tech is
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: one of the lowest blitz percentage teams in the country.
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: Because that defensive front's been able to get home for
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: them and they've been able to play fantastic rush defense
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: as well, and so I think that's probably going to
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: be something that's going to cause some issues for Oregon
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: because when they played two other defenses give this caliber
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: Iowa and when they played Indiana, both of those defenses
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: gave those guys problems. But both of those defense are
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: also high blitz packages, and so there are going to
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: open up some routes when you're having to pull linebackers out.
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: Why Tech defense has been so good all year is
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: because you're still having it when you're dropping back. You're
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: having to throw into a seven man back. It's not
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: like they're, you know, rushing three drop in eight. They're
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: rushing four dropping seven, but they're in there, you know,
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: whatever coverage they want to be in, and most teams
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: can't do that, and that's been a big difference maker
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: because it's hard to emulate that in practice because you
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: can't put you four guys down that can create that
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: much pressure that you have to get rid of it
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: in two and a half seconds, and then you've got
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: a full defense that you're trying to figure out what.
• 15:24
  Speaker 2: You're gonna sort yourself through.
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: So coin flip game, I'm gonna go with my heart, baby,
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: give me the Texas Tech Red Raiders plus two and
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: a half.
• 15:31
  Speaker 2: I'm hoping to find.
• 15:32
  Speaker 3: A three Joe warre offensive line versus a great defensive
• 15:36
  Speaker 3: line where I think you're gonna find out pretty early
• 15:39
  Speaker 3: in this game how it's gonna work. Is Tech able
• 15:43
  Speaker 3: to do what they've done all year against what is
• 15:46
  Speaker 3: arguably the best offensive line in the country, And if
• 15:49
  Speaker 3: they can, Tech's gonna win this game, or they're certainly
• 15:53
  Speaker 3: going to be right there in it. The real question
• 15:55
  Speaker 3: for Tech here is quarterback play. What kind of quarterback
• 15:59
  Speaker 3: play do we get that? You know, if he is efficient,
• 16:04
  Speaker 3: I don't even need him to be good. I need
• 16:05
  Speaker 3: him to be efficient and not turn the football over.
• 16:09
  Speaker 3: Then I think Texas legitimately got a chance to win
• 16:11
  Speaker 3: this game. I lean to defense always in these kinds
• 16:15
  Speaker 3: of games, especially great defensive line play. Look you show
• 16:19
  Speaker 3: me a great linebacker, I'll show you great defensive lines.
• 16:22
  Speaker 3: I can illustrate the great years for Ray Lewis when
• 16:27
  Speaker 3: he was with the Ravens, where Tony Sarah goes and
• 16:30
  Speaker 3: Hello Dinada in front of him, and when those one
• 16:32
  Speaker 3: of those guys were hurt, or the years that they
• 16:34
  Speaker 3: didn't have either one of those guys. He struggled. He
• 16:37
  Speaker 3: was just an average linebacker. You know, it's still a
• 16:39
  Speaker 3: great player. But man, when you got people at your
• 16:41
  Speaker 3: feet NonStop and getting to you at the second level,
• 16:45
  Speaker 3: it's hard to play. Linebackers. Show me a great linebacker.
• 16:47
  Speaker 3: Players show you great defensive line play. That's generally the case,
• 16:50
  Speaker 3: and I think that's exactly what's going on this year.
• 16:53
  Speaker 3: But when you've got linebackers that can run free, man,
• 16:56
  Speaker 3: it makes it hard to do things in the run game.
• 16:59
  Speaker 3: It doesn't matter who you're playing. And so I think
• 17:01
  Speaker 3: as long as this defensive line does what I believe
• 17:04
  Speaker 3: it can do and what they paid it to do
• 17:05
  Speaker 3: in the portal. They spent seven million dollars up front
• 17:08
  Speaker 3: in the transfer portal, and it's paid off handsomely. I
• 17:12
  Speaker 3: mean here they are exactly where they wanted to be.
• 17:15
  Speaker 3: I like tecking the points. I think this number is tight.
• 17:18
  Speaker 3: Two and a half. Got chances for it to get
• 17:19
  Speaker 3: to three at kickoff, because I don't think it's going
• 17:22
  Speaker 3: to go down. I think you got a chance for
• 17:24
  Speaker 3: it to get to three to three and a half
• 17:26
  Speaker 3: by kickoff. Give me the three points because I think
• 17:28
  Speaker 3: it's going to be a close ball game. I'd like
• 17:30
  Speaker 3: Tech all year. I'm going to continue to like them
• 17:33
  Speaker 3: until they lose the other thing too.
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: You got to keep in mind. And I know they've
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: been out there a couple of days, but still, this
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: game's kicking off at nine am Oregon time. Yep, we're
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: talking about travel across the country. We talked about the
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: other game with James Madison going the other direction. We
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: have not seen college teams be able to overcome this
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: massive travel. Now, granted, I know this is a couple
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: of days earlier. This is a little different, but again,
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: Oregon has it played on a stage this big, and
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: so the name Ran may be bigger than what we've
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: seen from them, what Texas Tech is. But at the
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: same time, you don't have a lot of guys that
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: have experience playing in games this big at this level.
• 18:10
  Speaker 2: So I think it's gonna be.
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: A great game. I'm looking forward to seeing how TeX's
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: defensive scheme up against Oregon's offense and Dante more Allen
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: He's again, is gonna be played really fast, really physical,
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: and I'm looking forward to every second of it.
• 18:21
  Speaker 3: So Tech doesn't, Tech doesn't turn the ball over. I
• 18:25
  Speaker 3: think they're gonna win this game.
• 18:27
  Speaker 2: I like it, Scott.
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: I like it all right, Scotty. Let's move on to
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: the next one. Two former Nick Saban disciples. Baby, I
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: think they were on the same staff. At one point
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: Kaitlyn de Boor and uh Kurt Sidneatty played each other
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: and did Kaitlyn de Boor coach for I didn't make
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: that up?
• 18:44
  Speaker 2: Right, he did coach under Nick Saban to that I didn't.
• 18:46
  Speaker 3: Think he did. If he did, I'm not aware of it.
• 18:48
  Speaker 3: Let me let me google it wired.
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: I just made that up then I thought for some
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: reason I thought he did. But anyway, moving on Alabama
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: getting seven points. Alabama is the team nobody thoughts should
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: be here. Last week against Oklahoma, they come out at
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: the end of the first quarter down seventeen points. Goodness gracious,
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: only to watch mate meltdown and that Bama team step
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: up and get tied up at halftime. Then they hit
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: some fifty cent coming out playing many men coming out
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: of the locker room, and oh, you just can't do
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: jack shit the rest of the game, and this Alabama
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: team maybe starts.
• 19:23
  Speaker 2: To look like what we thought they could have looked
• 19:24
  Speaker 2: like before the season started. You're seeing them getting.
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: A little bit of swagger and who they are. It's
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: been real quiet out of this Indiana camp. Indiana did
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: lose a big name player in the Big Ten Championship
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: in Stephen Day. That's NFL caliber defensive end for them.
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: I think that is going to cause an issue for him.
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: Bama's getting seven over unders forty seven and a half
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: in this one out in the Rose Bowl. Scottie, you
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: gotta play here.
• 19:50
  Speaker 3: I do have a play here. I like the points
• 19:52
  Speaker 3: in Bama. I think this number is too big seven
• 19:54
  Speaker 3: and a half. I think give me Bama here. I'm
• 19:58
  Speaker 3: still not sold on Indiana. I'm sold on Hurt Signetti,
• 20:01
  Speaker 3: but I think the losing the defensive lineman is going
• 20:04
  Speaker 3: to be a big, big deal here. It's going to
• 20:06
  Speaker 3: hurt their ability to get to the quarterback and tackles
• 20:09
  Speaker 3: for a loss. Look, this this Bama team hasn't run
• 20:12
  Speaker 3: the football well, but Simpson for the most part has
• 20:14
  Speaker 3: been It could have been a good quarterback for the
• 20:16
  Speaker 3: bulk of the year. Look, he had a chance to
• 20:18
  Speaker 3: win the Heisman, but way through the year, and I
• 20:22
  Speaker 3: think it was just a couple of games that cost him,
• 20:24
  Speaker 3: one being that Oklahoma game and in Tuscaloosa, and then
• 20:28
  Speaker 3: then he struggled against against Auburn. But that's a huge
• 20:31
  Speaker 3: rivalry game on the road, so two tough environments. I
• 20:34
  Speaker 3: think the guy is a really, really good quarterback, but
• 20:38
  Speaker 3: I just think this is too many points, I really do.
• 20:41
  Speaker 3: I think I think Indiana's good. I think they're talented,
• 20:45
  Speaker 3: but I don't think this is a great football team.
• 20:47
  Speaker 3: What they are is a well coached football team. I
• 20:50
  Speaker 3: think Signetti is the best coach in the country, so
• 20:54
  Speaker 3: I think that is the I think that's the deal
• 20:56
  Speaker 3: for me. Too many points here. I think this game
• 20:59
  Speaker 3: is going to be much like the Ohio State game was,
• 21:02
  Speaker 3: much like the penn State game was. I mean, you
• 21:05
  Speaker 3: start looking at them and yeah, they've won these games,
• 21:10
  Speaker 3: but man, they've been in They've been in some close games.
• 21:13
  Speaker 3: I just don't know that they're going to be able
• 21:14
  Speaker 3: to separate by seven and a half in this game.
• 21:16
  Speaker 3: That just seems like too.
• 21:17
  Speaker 2: Many roll tide rolled.
• 21:21
  Speaker 3: The Bower did not coach at Bama, but he is
• 21:23
  Speaker 3: the former Indiana offensive coordinator.
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: That's what my connection was. I couldn't remember. I forgot
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: where it was because that's where he pulled Michael Pennix
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: from when he went over and coached at U Doe.
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: That hec he was the OC in twenty twenty when
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: Pennis had a big year in the I knew that
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: was right.
• 21:39
  Speaker 2: I couldn't figure that. I can remember up top of
• 21:40
  Speaker 2: my head.
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: Had some cocktails through the holiday season, Scotty have a
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: little blur on some spots.
• 21:46
  Speaker 3: Next game in twenty nineteen. But yes, to your point,
• 21:48
  Speaker 3: that was his first year.
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: Let's move on, Caesar super Doll right there in New Orleans.
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: Old Miss Georgia matching up here in this SEC game
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: and this old Sugar Bowl lay in six and a half?
• 22:02
  Speaker 2: Is Georgia Old Miss.
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: Coming in here after that big win that they got
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: against Tulane Obrunners fifty five and a half. Both of
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: these teams are twelve and one against them straight up,
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: both of these teams have played again. If I went
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: back and watched this game from earlier in the season,
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: you know Old Miss was up in this game and
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: it was handling their business pretty well. And then about
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: midway through the third quarter, Georgia.
• 22:24
  Speaker 2: Turned and Old Miss had no answer for the rest
• 22:27
  Speaker 2: of the game. They couldn't run the ball.
• 22:29
  Speaker 1: They really shut them down that standpoint, and Georgia started,
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: you know, tracking. And so I've gone back and looked
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: at Old Miss last couple of games and this Georgia team.
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: Let me brow you what I think. I think this
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: Georgia team is peaking at the right time. Defensively, they
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: have stepped up. If you go back and look at
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: their last four games, they've done a hell of a
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: job in those games causing problems for teams, shut them
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: down offensively, really shut down the rushing attack up from here.
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: And I think you're.
• 22:54
  Speaker 2: Gonna get the same thing in this Old Miss spot here.
• 22:57
  Speaker 2: And I know Old Miss got to win. It's a
• 22:59
  Speaker 2: great story.
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: Lane's gone, you know, the distractions whatever. Haven't heard a
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: whole lot about.
• 23:05
  Speaker 2: Old Miss since beating too Lane and two Lane was awful.
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: Didn't deserve to be really in that game, and it
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: showed when they had to go up to Oxford and
• 23:13
  Speaker 1: play here. This Georgia team, to me, I think is
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: going to cause all kinds.
• 23:17
  Speaker 2: Of problems offensively for all this.
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: I think the two tight ends that George is gonna
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: roll with Branch the wide receiver, I think they're running
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: the ball now this game.
• 23:27
  Speaker 2: To me, his name, youn me be close. I think
• 23:28
  Speaker 2: George is gonna smoke these dudes.
• 23:30
  Speaker 1: I'm laying six and a half easy. George is still
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: my pick to win the national championship.
• 23:35
  Speaker 3: You know an underrate is that when you go through
• 23:37
  Speaker 3: and look at the head lines. One of the things
• 23:40
  Speaker 3: I love to do is look at team totals versus
• 23:43
  Speaker 3: where they think the over under is going to go.
• 23:46
  Speaker 3: And when you look at this, they're basically saying this
• 23:49
  Speaker 3: game is going to be a thirty to twenty four
• 23:53
  Speaker 3: to twenty five game. Right. That means they don't have
• 23:57
  Speaker 3: Old miscovering based on what they think the point totals
• 24:00
  Speaker 3: are right. And at the end of the day, I
• 24:03
  Speaker 3: think Vegas knows Georgia's right now the best team in
• 24:07
  Speaker 3: the country. They're playing as well as anybody in the country.
• 24:11
  Speaker 3: I think this is one of those situations where Ole
• 24:14
  Speaker 3: Miss gave them their best shot. It's generally very, very
• 24:17
  Speaker 3: hard to be the good team twice. The bottom mine
• 24:21
  Speaker 3: is Ole Miss let that game get away from them
• 24:23
  Speaker 3: after leading it for two and a half quarters, almost
• 24:26
  Speaker 3: three quarters before before Georgia took back over. And now
• 24:31
  Speaker 3: I think you're going to see four quarters of Georgia
• 24:33
  Speaker 3: really dominate the football game. I don't. I think Old
• 24:35
  Speaker 3: Miss is a really really good football team. They're better
• 24:38
  Speaker 3: than I thought they were. But I don't think they're
• 24:41
  Speaker 3: good enough to get it to get it done. I
• 24:44
  Speaker 3: think there was a lot of momentum on their side.
• 24:46
  Speaker 3: People were really fired up. Look, there's gonna be a
• 24:48
  Speaker 3: lot of most people in the Sugar Bowl this weekend.
• 24:51
  Speaker 3: It's gonna be a really, really good crowd for those guys.
• 24:54
  Speaker 3: There's so many people that can just drive to this
• 24:56
  Speaker 3: game so that they're going to have a great crowd
• 24:58
  Speaker 3: on hand. Super excited about where they are, so obviously
• 25:02
  Speaker 3: this is a huge moment for them. But George is
• 25:04
  Speaker 3: just business and Kirby smart I've been saying it all
• 25:09
  Speaker 3: year long, loves the situation he's and nobody's talking about it.
• 25:13
  Speaker 3: His comments about I'm announcing, I'm going in the portal,
• 25:16
  Speaker 3: I'm announcing I'm staying with my team. I haven't announced.
• 25:19
  Speaker 3: And you're gonna practice and you're gonna work harder, but
• 25:21
  Speaker 3: you're gonna improve as a player. You're gonna identify what's
• 25:23
  Speaker 3: weak in your game and you're gonna improve it in
• 25:25
  Speaker 3: the off season. We're gonna go to work. That's kind
• 25:27
  Speaker 3: of players we're looking for at Georgia. This feels like
• 25:30
  Speaker 3: a workman's type team, and I think that pays off
• 25:34
  Speaker 3: while everybody else is chasing dollars and chasing money. I
• 25:37
  Speaker 3: don't know how he's done it, and it's old school,
• 25:39
  Speaker 3: and I hope it keeps paying off for him. But
• 25:42
  Speaker 3: it just feels like this team just fits that mantraup.
• 25:46
  Speaker 3: It's been under the radar all year, nobody's given nobody's
• 25:49
  Speaker 3: given their quarterback play any respect all year, and he's
• 25:53
  Speaker 3: just gotten better and better and better and better. Owen
• 25:56
  Speaker 3: Gunner Stocking's got another year. So I mean, this is
• 25:59
  Speaker 3: just I think, just peaking. I think they're gonna win.
• 26:02
  Speaker 3: I think old missus in Major Trumboyer.
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: So looking at the four games that we've got, what
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: would you say is your top play those four?
• 26:11
  Speaker 3: I really like Thebama plus the plus the points. But
• 26:14
  Speaker 3: Georgia's second. It's a very very close, very close second, and.
• 26:18
  Speaker 2: I'm a Georgia lay in the points.
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: And then I like the under in this Miami Ohio
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: State game because I think Ryan Day is going to
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: be really conservative, and I think Matt Patricia is going
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: balls out and again trusted Mario Cristobaul to dial up
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: an offense.
• 26:32
  Speaker 2: Or a full game that you can stand behind is tough.
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: But I am looking forward to watching Mike Irvin and
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: all the Miami.
• 26:41
  Speaker 2: Hurricanes on the sideline in Jerry World.
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: I mean when he went full belt to ass in
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: A and m I don't know that the core knew
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: what to.
• 26:50
  Speaker 2: Do with They couldn't figure out what's going on down there.
• 26:52
  Speaker 2: It's like, man, is that a cocaine?
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: Oh cool?
• 26:57
  Speaker 2: Cocaine's cool again? You know, likes doing it. Let's all
• 27:00
  Speaker 2: get on some coke. I mean, come for it, you know,
• 27:03
  Speaker 2: why not? It's good stuff.
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: Looking at the eight teams that we've got left, based
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: on how you think these four games are gonna go,
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: who is your pick to win the national championship right now?
• 27:12
  Speaker 3: Georgia. I think two best teams in the country are
• 27:14
  Speaker 3: of out of state and Georgia, And unfortunately they're gonna
• 27:17
  Speaker 3: play in the semis.
• 27:18
  Speaker 2: Ooh doggy, Doggie bad.
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: My pocketbook would love to see a Georgia Texas Tech
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: National Championship game. Miami wouldn't hurt my feelings either, but
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna be able to get through
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: High State.
• 27:29
  Speaker 2: So man, Scott, I'm excited.
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: Folks hit us up on Twitter. We always enjoy getting
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: some notes from folks. We try to keep up best
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: we can family time holidays, but we're gonna be dialed
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: in for these four games. Hit us up on the downloads.
• 27:43
  Speaker 2: We appreciate everything, y'all.
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: Be safe through your New Year's Scotty will be back
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: at you midweek next week, getting ready for the semi
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: final games.
• 27:51
  Speaker 2: As we're getting so close to wrapping this thing up.
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: With that being said, we love you all of them.
• 27:55
  Speaker 2: We'll talk to y'all next week