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Construcción Plural - Programa 1131 · Construcción Plural - Radio Trend Topic

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Plural construction, the renowned journalistic program of political analysis and current in its twentieth
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season, with the leadership of Fernando Mauri and a team of prestigious analysts listen
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to it on radio train topic. For example. You know how much it
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' s worth a kilo of meat. Today I do your shopping, you
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don' t drink. You know how much a minimum ticket is. You
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don' t know how much minimum retirement is. No, and you'
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re supposed to know that. I' m not telling you to see.
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I' m not going you know why you' re in the big lines
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or why not, because I look at the numbers added. Yeah, so,
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as they got out of clear numbers I, then I look in aggregate
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terms. So I don' t look at the particular small numbers, that
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is, because that hia is where to have the sensitivity of people, also
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sensitivity. Well, sensitivity. How about, my friends, very but very
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good afternoon that we are closing the week in plural construction, two DAs,
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two DAs fast titos or three before greeting our first guest of the afternoon,
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dollar stays stable thousand in works a bit of this that was seen to be
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the low rate. Indeed, with slowing down, even if it is this
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month of marble last March, tomorrow give the data, the index the top
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wax at four o' clock in the afternoon of the cost of living of
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March. But from that acceleration, in principle, at last the central low
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the reference interest rate, ten points to seventy percent more. So far,
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the government made another safe nation manager after this ct irregularities with the Brockers,
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which great alberto in our great four glasses President, who loved to be honest,
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because Cristina relame no. The government is meeting with the collective chambers and
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the union to lift the unemployment. We know that there are very few collectives
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going through the street, which is a theme for the laurante, for all
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of us. So, well, let us hope that a solution can be
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reached by the CGET after I met with part of the government yesterday, they
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discuss the completion of another strike. I see it warm. There was still
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talk of the 8th of May. Nine we will see and a mobilization in
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the first of May, despite the open dialogue with the Government, either we
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will close in the second part with Camilo Ucornea to talk about economy, but
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now we have it online. Already Daniel Kip' s friend, but the
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friend River Plateense who awaits us today plays River for the Cup. I don
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' t know when Boca plays for the Liberators. But, well, I
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' m uninformed about sports. Daniel, good afternoon, how are you doing?
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Good afternoon, Fernando, how are you? I listen to you when
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I play, listen to me downstairs to see me wait for you better.
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A little, Juan, the audio is listening to me better now, a
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little better. Yeah, well, I don' t know when Boca plays
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for the Liberators. You are much more into sports issues, when you play
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Boquito for our cousins for the Copa Libertadores. I don' t know next
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year or next year, but how is he? But, Daniel, Daniel,
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we' re in two thousand twenty- four. No, it doesn
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' t give me these things to continue this year. I don' t
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know about the papers, I don' t know about them. See if
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Juan can give me a hand. Then there to see if you' ve
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helped me to South American or agree. Sorry, sorry. We' re
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misinformed. It' s not a bad intention. I read around, Daniel,
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obviously Felix, I mean, not your chance, obviously. Obviously,
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obviously, let' s not make it clear that you' re dark in
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River there are elections just by the end of next year. Or they make
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some new authorities. No, and he read the rumor. I want you
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to locate me a little bit of some return of Rodolfo or not cold,
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of some return of a Marcelo Gallardo, but no longer as tea some species
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that circulate around but as a candidate. I don' t know if you
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' re president or on a list with Donofrio, you' re a man
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who' s always there near the institution. What can this be said,
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because I have been asked by several fans of river What is true about this
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there that are rumors that are missing a lot and so on. Obviously,
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as you just pointed out, there is a long time to go, but
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there is an official internality that basically manifests itself on two sides. In division,
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those who want Michelle' s names to go wrong as cliques and those
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who want her to call Marcelo Gallardo as a click In this official intern names
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appearing are circulating and some to spend just like football driving. They are doubly
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in the angry audience wearing out the image of Planter' s current technique,
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because, regardless of whether we like his handles or not, I think they
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have reasonable answers so far. And, on the other hand, there are
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those who want Martelo Gallardo to call in suggestion as a predito and use an
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idol football as Marcelo Gallardo to run and insert his name as possible candidates for
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presidents. Obviously, the use of a football idol is due to the lacks
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of flat specílitito de tiente wants popular that obviously refers to a person who is
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using the name Gallardo, who is far away and at this moment and hardly
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integrates from this type of journalistic news. But Mardelo Gallardo has at no time
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ruled on his decision to take over the political and administrative leadership of the club
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of a Pilba Commission as vice presidents f to be played. And, in
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addition, let us remember that the experiences of football are also not satisfactory for
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the life of the clubs. We have the case of Daniel Pajarera in Rio
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and cases in other German entities that have also had football idols in different ways
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and cannot be managed by these successes. In the case of our cousins,
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the figure of rich has managed to impose them in the last elections. It
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was because his opponent expressed a model of societies to the quino sports of the
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Association sport in what we repudiate, that we generally reject the lovers of football
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and football clubs from their history of focal in their projects of fields for the
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social encounter, for the practice of sport, for the training and education of
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the jo. It is the same that football clubs offer in front of the
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air conditioning model that Maurizo Martin expressed, and he does want to impose on
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us also the current national government, with the dictates of the Po Seventy mud
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Vente. We' re already going to go the decree on the prepared side,
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but I consult and not to close the issue how much is as far
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as you know. There' s not much rumor, and that' s
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why I' m saying Gallardo' s interest. You used and repeated.
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I think everyone dares the word use or some want to use it, and
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those some who are Rodolfo Onofre, for example, close to people are not
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cold, they are also using the name of us the candidate, the supposed
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candidate, because they have not yet officialized it they have launched campaign in the
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gouna. Yes, to transcended journalistic keys. He says it' s going
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to be popular as a bread of two presidents, despite not having a specific
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weight where we can put ros or not. Yes, yes, it is
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not that thing to indicate that it is the current one that the club is
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broken up and that it is part of an internal that there is in the
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officialism, that there are other men who also want popular. Let us remember
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that the Jorgivorito cannot know the success, but they are subjects of officialism that
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must live the way they want. But the monkeys are of all the representatives,
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which is the case of Marfino Gagas, Not he does not belong to
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everything and Marcelo Gallardo would like to assume another type of position that are linked
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to us that so much of the conduct of the military of the football.
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He would be the one in charge of expressing that they are Twitter. He
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is going to be busy to let the public know until the Stefano di Carlo,
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who is the treasurer, who is the son of Carlos I, leader
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of the river Lc of that no- thing Carlos is the son of Yayo
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pose and of one of the daughters of Dedicarlo, the one who was the
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leader of reality. Ah one of the OK tracks of OK deals. I
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understand well, as you pass, you mention that of ne one. There
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' s the thing about the prepadas. It seems that that of ne one
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would have existed, it would not have enabled all these excessive adjustments on the
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part of the prepared ones, because it jumped caputo some focus group, some
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pressures from companies that pay their employees, the prepared ones and it is more
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and more expensive that postdomous labor or salary. I mean, it seems like
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we would have known that it was the one who just made it possible for
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the preparations to do whatever they wanted. He made mistakes. We have commented
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on it a good time ago in some column or your participation here against,
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but of course they were particular cases, not against that decree. How you
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see in this situation. He believes that the government is indeed going to be
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something he did for a legal statement and I know and then he' s
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not going to make much progress. The Government has already done something with the
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promulgation of Decree seventy goes to twenty- three, which was to leave the
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book albelderón of medicine, prepares the value of the thing, without any control
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from the State, without tools so that users, we can defend ourselves from
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these abusive increases that have occurred in this last time and, fortunately, in
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Argentina they exist for the courage enough to leave channelling measures in freelance of the
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rights affected by so many people. We are talking in general about value people,
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retired people, people with a certain disability who are goods, they are
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paid for many years quota of medicine spreads and that today they cannot change companies,
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they are tied because no one presents in offerina. They' re clients
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and captives, so to speak. They are being severely affected by these increases
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that exceed 150 20% in some cases the values I can give as an
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example in medical sui. I know who forgives December of hundreds thousand pesos for
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two people. Today he must face things of more than six hundred thousand pesos.
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That is to say, they are very important and very relevant increases.
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And well and there are autradades measures of justice from the province of Buenos Aires,
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the forces or Santan Martín, the justice of entering river also and there
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is still no decision in the judges of the captain of Buenos Aires, the
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capital general, have not resolved either in favor or against the matter linked to
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launching or provisional. They have the opera, obviously, the council, that
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the rights that are not defended, that they lose then that it would have
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affected them, that consult with their lawyer in confidence, that initiates the precautionary
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measure. And we should remember what happened in the year two thousand one.
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Two principles of torting with the corralito. It was the pressure of people starting
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actions. The amparo what twisted the bond is a judicial power that five hours
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would have admitted the expropriation of the estate for people or a judge who was
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brave the doctor what the recom recently was the end well was the one that
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changed the history of the country that transmitted that the one who initiated legal process
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to recover pudding. The Government now says that some administrative body, some competition
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body, act precisely to already stop the judiciary or these judges who are acting
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as mandala the and the Constitution in such important rights as the right to good
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health. The Court has said that the 1970s I say as always left to
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politicians. And there, if the politicians don' t take care of it,
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or if I wait for Congress and then they can, in any case,
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intervene Corta and the Court has so far said nothing. No, but
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well said Rosa has some conference. I' m not saying failure level.
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Judgment is the interpretation in journalism in general of the silence of the Court.
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Not obviously, I said it the rosant a lecture is not the official voice
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is through your sentence. Or the judges express themselves through their sentence. There
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may be press conferences, there may be talks, there may be other types
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of communications, but they are personal opinions. The Court is a collegial body
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and expresses itself when to agree upon the present one. You are still not
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surprised that the Court still does not say or say this water I let you
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run. Let us say good the Court to the extent that it can promote
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solutions that, outside the judicial sphere, the Court will try to do so.
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I would, of course, like the political power to reject that of
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neu and the House of Deputies is missing. If the Chamber of Deputies,
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obviously not valuable, I have to fire. Obviously, he believes that the
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Court must act and that this nature of the Court is incorrect. This court
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game is wrong. I' m not saying it' s right. Thus,
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outside members would make an entirely different decision. But I don' t
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mean sorry, Daniel, you don' t understand. I mean, you
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think it' s wrong, you don' t act, you don'
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t take the Court' s business, in my opinion, you should take
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urgent precautionary measures to protect citizens here. We are talking about the right not
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to try in some cases, such as the right to health. How are
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the rights How are the rights here? Not a plate of food in two
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plates of life could in each citizen if there is right sense joined to the
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Court should enter Benedict. Part of the new principles incorporated in the Civilisco Marciano
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episode has been precisely to prevent ros años. What more damage there may be
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than this one being done. Let us think that political figures allied in principle
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to the long- term government, which is quite critical, such as Elisa
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Cardio, are talking about the cruelty of this government together with this type of
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measure a big hug. But here' s the short one A little good,
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a hug. The hugs will give you a hug. Daniel, construction
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team, fast gear rail to the economy. With Camilo exorne directors, economic
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sectors, he directs you against him tomorrow afternoon four of the index. What
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was the index, like from that transmit one, transmit and some public statement
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of the great caputo torro that will be near the day of inflation, one
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closer to the eleven twelve. There are rumors of some noise in the framework
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government relationship in the band that you remember an art the indect that comes from
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him more Don Camilo, typorn is good enemy tsars. How' s it
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going? Say it if you' re mutated to see? There it is
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there, it' s, it' s perfect, so it' s
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ripped off, mutated and I think it was all good, what in the
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way it' s done. Well we how you currently spread the consultancy in
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six measures twelve seven of the monthly season in March for the capital region and
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geba this by the incidence of regulated prices. It is very likely that it
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will be higher than in the rest of the country, so I imagine that
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in inflation or national inflation it would have to be below that. If it
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gets ten percent, I think it' s hard. I' m not
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making it impossible. I think that perhaps the Minister is speaking of this value,
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he may also be referring to inflation, which is of course the most
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important one at the moment, which is the one that brings out those things.
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That' s right. I think it could be quiet about ten percent
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in March. All right, and I was talking about it here, the
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marcher won' t look for a assembler that Fernando told me you' re
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going to the supermarket. You have several products that went down in price.
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Let' s talk about stagen capoto. In an interview I think he went
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to Johnny Via about inflation. My law ate you like you didn' t
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eat the boat, this fake sorting juice and they talked about plastion. Let
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' s see, let' s put the force another point. Just one
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thing is bigger, less than this one of you a little bit, but
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the rhythm of that federation. Another thing that will lower some products, from
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some or parts. And another thing seems to me to talk about our aon
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already and we' re going to have a ten- to- one dowry.
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How can we be talking about casting a. It' s not an
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exaggeration, let' s say, and deflation would be here I am.
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It would not be deflation if one saw, as happened in the late nineties,
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that he had months where the CPI fell, that is, the whole
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of the prey that there was some loose price going down. It does not
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seem to me compa to classify it as a declamation that even a category,
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as we see in fact we are seeing what we repeat, that there are
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categories of products where suddenly in average I enter myself forgiveness, I am cut
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off no other fi to see jun I am not seen. I lose it
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to me I lost it to him, but he lost it. We missed
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out on my Way, which is fine. Not to see there this ho
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to me you' re there now you' re mutated, but hello,
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hello, but they cut me short. It was your great mine. I
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don' t think I know what looks good here I' m going to
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turn what I greet you. I think there may be some category. They
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lend the categories we relieve. We look for several representative prices suddenly you find
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that some prices are going down and that makes the category may suddenly have some
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decrease. It seems to me that this is a bit of a result of
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this challenge that the Minister gave them. Let' s say to companies when
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they say they don' t do any other kind of promotion that somehow can
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be taken for indect. I think some of that might be that we'
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re living, but it has beyond what' s called formal. The Minister
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' s challenge has some substance because, of course, companies have put very
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high prices for what demand can validate. Then somehow there are price drops because
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companies can' t sell. I don' t see it as a widespread
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thing, but some of that information. To continue the date of yesterday'
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s meeting, which seems to advance a little bit of levels of government through
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the three talks because it is now and until the last moments that there is
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a new lighthouse. It will be, for example, on the 9th of
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May, that I will be the first finalist three grains and the week you
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listen play new you will give a national stoppage. The second of the sixty
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- four radio whistles. I' m asking you to fly by for minutes,
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light some singles. I heard you cut too thin. Here I say
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that on May 9, the PC with mouths your second general strike that are
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against yesterday with the I can ask you an opinion about this. I wanted
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to change my mind. Okay. Come on, yeah, yeah, yeah,
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okay. Obviously, I believe there is a complex fund, because indeed,
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purchasing power is far too late. It is logical that trade unions should
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try to go to demand peace, which is within the possible obvious n that
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trade unions are in the chest. No, and there' s a very
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strong political game. The real wage has also fallen for many years with the
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government ofÁlvaro Fernández and they did not have the same reaction as there is
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now. There is a political game is in negotiation of a labor reform through
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the famous. This basic law, that is, there are many things for
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there to be political play. So I don' t find anything surprising that
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yes, I hear very little, I won' t put, but also
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everything to mark some. Genaro Lopez mur Back I occupy one definitely. I
23:00
think the delay in changing me is a problem. I think that at some
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point the government is going to have to change the policy and it seems to
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me that one cannot continue with an official dollar moving at two percent and inflation
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at least lower this environment at ten nine eight. I don' t think
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there' s that much room. The changing mattress ran out in some change.
23:25
I think short to a modification at the moment is going to have to
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happen now to watch the government of events, the anchor change no longer wants
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to value in order not to attiate a little bit or to not attack and
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to resurface the feet, the accelerations, principle of illustration. Not everything.
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Totally. Yeah. That' s the one that' s the great tension
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that' s always in Argentina. Not now I' m thinking a little
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more in the medium term, let' s call it. Nor do I
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believe that Argentina is a country that one can believe that I will steadily see
24:00
going with a very despised currency, that is, a country that will be
24:03
steadily overly cheap in dollars. If you can think that today Argentina may be
24:07
a little expensive in dollars, perhaps, but let' s not think that
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the solutions that I come here to evaluate and that we will steadily imagine outside
24:15
the dollar to two thousand and that, in the dollar cost situation that remains
24:18
with that hour to two thousand initially will persist indefinitely. It is already seen
24:22
that in Argentina, when there are large devaluations, there are large inflations,
24:27
also except for very particular situations, as was the case of the two thousand
24:30
one two thousand two, which had almost twenty percent unemployment. In two thousand
24:33
two you had 27 percent of that job and you had a government that specified
24:37
the economy that had frozen all kinds of contract. So, in that context,
24:41
if you did, you had a brutal assessment that you didn' t
24:45
miss all the inflation, but then much of the implants end up in inflation.
24:49
Then it' s a little bit, I mean thinking later. I
24:52
don' t think Argentina' s fate is that of an overly cheap country
24:56
in dollars anymore, because on top of that. If the economy gets a
25:00
little organized, you have many sectors that can bring you dollars in addition to
25:03
the grove, such as mining and energy. So the famous idea of external
25:07
restraint in Argentina, I think I would have lost weight in myself. I
25:12
' m talking ferrets I thought in time. But in time, maintaining both
25:18
super tax habits is going to be complicated. He believes that he can keep
25:22
the primary, the state of the pau quite interesting, but not be able
25:27
to be what they will be called or he can keep the fine episode not
25:33
even by both. Yes, there, I think it seems to me that
25:40
the government has a very strong conviction in targeting the financial SUPERII and it seems
25:47
to me that there is more conviction, but they have not satiate, they
25:52
have not kicked a lot of things. Well, she' s getting her
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teas, she' s not getting paid, et cetera, et cetera,
25:57
et cetera. There are things you can' t indefine me that you'
26:00
re seeing. Okay, I get it, but I think we need to
26:04
think about it, too. Let' s think about it as we say
26:10
an approach. Let' s call the matter sequential. Evidently, the government
26:14
started and there were a lot of fiscal measures that can take us immediately For
26:19
instance, they are still discussing whether simply willing to profit, tariff increases could
26:25
not be implemented from day zero either, because it was known, for example,
26:29
that public hearings were needed. So, of course, if the Government
26:33
wants to give a strong signal that there is going to be a fiscal adjustment,
26:37
it could not rest exclusively on that. Then I think you' ve
26:40
turned a lot of things you would say. He' s got short legs,
26:42
not paying for the shirt, of course, he' s got short
26:45
legs. He doesn' t adjust retirements, of course he has short legs.
26:48
But what they are doing as they now raise tariffs, and that will
26:52
allow you to permanently reduce subsidies to public services. It does come to prove
27:00
the basic law, negotiating with the governors you will manage to recover this income
27:03
from the income tax. You enter the second quarter and have the collection of
27:08
withholdings to the contributions. Then it seems to me that there is something sequential
27:12
and I think the government knows that there are things that it saved that do
27:17
not erase indefinitely, but they give it time to other measures that can give
27:21
it more savings. If this is to be consolidated over time, it will
27:22
depend very much on the political progress that can be made in Congress with this
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famous Law Balle Japans and these measures that have been described. But I think
27:30
there' s a chance of going to a much stronger tax station soon than
27:34
there is to the previous government. If he' s super financial or financial
27:40
balance or maybe a little financial deficit, I don' t know, but
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I don' t think he' d change much either. But odinarily.
27:48
Yes, yes, the primary and what is inevitable, that is definitely,
27:52
but good to see. I believe that if one went to the people together
27:55
for change, which generated much expectation last year in those of these people together
28:00
with change, aimed to achieve financial balance this year, this government is pointing
28:04
out forgiveness. I write primary together because of the change, this government is
28:08
aiming and vibrio financial, so it is much more ambitious, and it seems
28:14
to me that the results are beginning to be seen when you see the evolution,
28:18
for example, of the country risk, when you also see that they
28:21
lower the interest rate as they have just dropped and the effects are more limited.
28:22
In other words, it seems to me that there are quite a few
28:26
interesting things that emerge from this more aggressive government policy at a level that obviously
28:32
has costs, which we have already discussed, at a social level and everything,
28:34
but from a macroeconomic point of view, it seems to me that it
28:37
makes a very important contribution. Well, try to get people ready for two
28:40
quickies, and I guess you' re talking about being generally respentable wardrobe.
28:48
You don' t care as much about a 20th- century fall to the
28:56
relationship, as there has been. The fall in collection is inevitable to a
29:03
degree that there was a reduction and it is very likely that with an adjustment
29:06
the prosecutor, initially you will have a fall in collection. The argument that
29:11
I can' t make the tax adjustment because it goes here the collection seems
29:15
to me to be quite childishly. Obviously, if the Government approves to sustain
29:18
over time. A task of renewal. It' s not that the fall
29:23
of activity isn' t going to be infinite either or it' s good,
29:29
the rections are asking if it' s double, but when few images
29:33
all the recessions early end, all the reviews are going to be finished sooner
29:38
or later than putting the lyrics seems to me rather childish. These things are
29:41
fine, but it has one thing that ends in June, another in March,
29:45
that well, no. I don' t think the thing like that
29:48
is coming. It seems to me that if you look at some indicators a
29:52
little bit, I fell life is loosening. We can discuss speed after recovery,
29:56
but there is no recession that lasts endlessly over all. If the government,
30:00
at some point, as I believe, are going to have to specialise
30:03
a little bit the part of the policy would change and, in any case,
30:06
correct a little bit. The issue of backwardness. I think that that
30:08
should be valued, and above all, if, for example, the interest
30:11
rate goes down, that is, we come to the interest rate more than
30:15
100 percent and now you' re at a monetary policy rate that went down
30:18
to 70 percent. Banks are borrowing because, as the government does not need
30:22
so much money, they have to go out to lend to the private sector
30:26
and they are lowering loan rates. Then there are factors that allow you to
30:32
think that the recession is not going to be infinite either. Then at some
30:33
point the collection goes to you, too. It' s gonna pick you
30:37
up by activity. But it' s a tariff increase, it' s
30:41
going to give you more revenue to go to the government. You' re
30:45
entering the second quarter, which is where you get the withholdings to the exports
30:47
and you have the refund of the profit tax. Then it' s not
30:52
that the collection is going to fall indefinitely. And in the case of March,
30:55
it should be borne in mind that there were many fewer working days than
30:59
in March last year, because you fell Easter this year in March and because
31:03
there were also a lot of rainy days than a new one last year.
31:06
So it seems to me that there are several things that tell you yes,
31:10
activity falls, but it' s not going to be infinite either. Thank
31:12
you very much, greetings, great three economic advisors. So, in rural
31:19
construction, we shut down the humans, we faked ourselves on Tuesday. Thank
31:22
you, John, for the third possible day for all of us. Plural
31:34
construction led by Fernando Mauri by Radio Trentopic