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NCAAB + NHL + NBA + NCAAF Playoff Semifinals Best Bets Friday 1/9/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep.
• 0:01
  Speaker 2: Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN seven
• 0:06
  Speaker 2: run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: It was just complete bullshit.
• 0:10
  Speaker 2: So that's that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible
• 0:13
  Speaker 2: Sunday one and five.
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: I just don't want to do this anymore. I have
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: never seen anything like this.
• 0:21
  Speaker 2: Man with the slump continuing, two straight losses, not a
• 0:26
  Speaker 2: good day at all.
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: Own four, I have not had a good season.
• 0:31
  Speaker 2: Man with Wickens, the slump that I'm on, and the
• 0:35
  Speaker 2: slump continues.
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: I've reached into pink.
• 0:38
  Speaker 2: Actually, I'm going to burn my browins hack Man, I
• 0:42
  Speaker 2: don't know what is going on with the Bruins.
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: March eight? Is that what it is? I don't even
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: know it's it's March ninth. I think who even knows? Man,
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: I don't know what data is anymore. But I don't
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: even know what data is anymore.
• 0:54
  Speaker 2: Man's back with you after the worst day that I
• 0:58
  Speaker 2: could possibly have, Back with you as I always am.
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: Until I die, at least oh and two. Yesterday and
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: yesterday it did not go well for me. Own five.
• 1:09
  Speaker 2: The worst month that I've ever had in my eighteen
• 1:12
  Speaker 2: years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: The slump praise, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 3: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
• 1:25
  Speaker 3: other than potentially end it all.
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: What's up, everybody? My mic was muted. What's up everybody?
• 1:40
  Speaker 2: It towed back with you with totsal sports. It is Friday,
• 1:43
  Speaker 2: I believe January ninth. Was it past interference or wasn't
• 1:49
  Speaker 2: it past interference last night? I'm kind of mad that
• 1:52
  Speaker 2: I did not give out a play on the over.
• 1:55
  Speaker 2: I should start doing more totals, man, the over happened
• 1:58
  Speaker 2: in that game. We did see Ole Miss get held
• 2:02
  Speaker 2: to a lot of field goals in the game, so
• 2:04
  Speaker 2: the game probably should have been higher scoring than that.
• 2:06
  Speaker 2: But Miami also, like both teams, probably could have scored
• 2:10
  Speaker 2: more because Miami had that drive where they could have
• 2:13
  Speaker 2: opened it up big time.
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: They could have taken a double digit lead.
• 2:16
  Speaker 2: In the fourth quarter, they were close to scoring, and
• 2:19
  Speaker 2: they threw an interception deep in Ole Miss territory. I
• 2:22
  Speaker 2: think the only turnover of the game that was wild
• 2:25
  Speaker 2: as well. But I want to be correct about Miami.
• 2:28
  Speaker 2: Maybe it was experience, maybe it was coaching. I think
• 2:32
  Speaker 2: they won the coaching battle, dude. And Miami's way better
• 2:34
  Speaker 2: in the trenches as well. And their defense was pretty good,
• 2:39
  Speaker 2: good enough. They usually have a good pass rush, which
• 2:42
  Speaker 2: was not the case last night, but they were still
• 2:44
  Speaker 2: dominating the line of scrimmage, especially offensively, and that's how
• 2:48
  Speaker 2: Miami won the game. If you saw the time of
• 2:50
  Speaker 2: possession battle was crazy, Like Miami had more than forty
• 2:54
  Speaker 2: minutes of possession time in the game, and I think
• 2:57
  Speaker 2: Ole Miss was like under twenty was total. It was
• 3:01
  Speaker 2: like Jim Harbaugh like total domination of possession. Mario Chris Ball,
• 3:05
  Speaker 2: maybe people need to stop making fun of him, man,
• 3:07
  Speaker 2: because I know he had those.
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: Judgmental lapses for lack.
• 3:12
  Speaker 2: Of a better term, back in the day, notably that
• 3:15
  Speaker 2: fumble where they blew the game against Georgia, tack and whatever,
• 3:19
  Speaker 2: which it had to do with his game, his play
• 3:23
  Speaker 2: calling late in the game. It wasn't just as players
• 3:26
  Speaker 2: fucking up, but also I mean those kind of fuck
• 3:29
  Speaker 2: ups go to discipline anyway. But last night his game
• 3:32
  Speaker 2: plan was excellent. His whole game plan was, we know
• 3:35
  Speaker 2: that we have the way better offensive line. Let's have
• 3:38
  Speaker 2: long sustained drives here and keep Ole Missus offense off
• 3:42
  Speaker 2: the field, because that's how they're gonna beat us is
• 3:45
  Speaker 2: through their offense, obviously, And when their offense was on
• 3:48
  Speaker 2: the field, they looked pretty good. But Miami's defense was
• 3:52
  Speaker 2: really good when it mattered, like in the red zone
• 3:55
  Speaker 2: and whatever. They again, they held the Old Miss to
• 3:58
  Speaker 2: a lot of field goals. Yeah, Ole Miss, I mean
• 4:01
  Speaker 2: their office a good.
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: Chamblers is good.
• 4:04
  Speaker 2: He's gonna be in the NFL. Man Beck probably will
• 4:07
  Speaker 2: be as well. Beck not as talented of a quarterback,
• 4:11
  Speaker 2: but was able to get the win.
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: He used his legs to.
• 4:13
  Speaker 2: Get that final touchdown, which maybe they scored too quickly,
• 4:17
  Speaker 2: gave Ole miss a little bit too much time there,
• 4:20
  Speaker 2: because you know Ole miss is gonna just chuck it,
• 4:23
  Speaker 2: just air it out with not that much time left,
• 4:25
  Speaker 2: and they did what they needed to do. They got
• 4:27
  Speaker 2: like forty yards on the first play probably, and then
• 4:30
  Speaker 2: that set them up for a chance to attack the
• 4:34
  Speaker 2: end zone basically from thirty five yards out or whatever.
• 4:37
  Speaker 2: Now people are complaining that it was a pass interference.
• 4:40
  Speaker 2: I don't think so it was. I mean, the play
• 4:43
  Speaker 2: was well defended. I mean, there was a lot of
• 4:45
  Speaker 2: traffic in the end zone there. But if you saw
• 4:47
  Speaker 2: the the angle that you saw on TV, if you
• 4:50
  Speaker 2: watch that replay, the wide receiver was pushing off. First
• 4:53
  Speaker 2: he pushed off on the defender and it kind of
• 4:56
  Speaker 2: shoved him in the face mask, and then the defender
• 4:58
  Speaker 2: kind of like also grabbed him.
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: After that.
• 5:01
  Speaker 2: It was like it was jocking on both sides. Man,
• 5:04
  Speaker 2: you don't want to decide a game on that. I
• 5:05
  Speaker 2: think it was a correct no call in that one.
• 5:09
  Speaker 2: Everybody kind of freaking out about it, But then on
• 5:12
  Speaker 2: the other side of it, you have all these SEC
• 5:14
  Speaker 2: haters loving the result, and I'm like, dude, like the
• 5:17
  Speaker 2: SEC is still the most balanced conference between best team
• 5:23
  Speaker 2: and worst team.
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: There's not like a huge gap.
• 5:25
  Speaker 2: They're like, they don't have any real bottom dwellers, and
• 5:28
  Speaker 2: they're probably the only conference that is really better than
• 5:31
  Speaker 2: them is.
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: The Big Ten.
• 5:31
  Speaker 2: And that's because the top teams in the Big Ten
• 5:34
  Speaker 2: are all better than the top teams in the SEC,
• 5:37
  Speaker 2: but the bottom SEC teams are better than the bottom
• 5:40
  Speaker 2: Big Ten teams.
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: So I don't know, everybody just hates.
• 5:43
  Speaker 2: The SEC because they always get that recognition, but they're
• 5:46
  Speaker 2: still the second best conference right now. I don't think
• 5:48
  Speaker 2: there's any debate about that.
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: Oh, the ACC is.
• 5:51
  Speaker 2: Better just because Miami is the one legitimate team in
• 5:54
  Speaker 2: the ACC.
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: Okay, yeah, I would not say that. The ACC is.
• 6:00
  Speaker 2: Pretty much trash, and so is the Big Twelve. So Kyle,
• 6:04
  Speaker 2: what's up man? Thanks were hanging out?
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: No, no, no, no.
• 6:07
  Speaker 2: It was three and two yesterday, Tyson, what's up man?
• 6:10
  Speaker 2: I started out three and oh, so it was looking
• 6:13
  Speaker 2: like a really nice bounce back. We were correct with Campbell.
• 6:15
  Speaker 2: They won by margin there. The numbers didn't really get
• 6:19
  Speaker 2: that out of control either. They moved a bit in
• 6:21
  Speaker 2: the morning and then they kind of stabilized U team Martin.
• 6:24
  Speaker 2: If you laid the points or if you played the
• 6:26
  Speaker 2: money line, you got to win on that. They won
• 6:28
  Speaker 2: by several in that game, so that worked out as well.
• 6:32
  Speaker 2: I think they were losing the game maybe halfway through
• 6:35
  Speaker 2: the game, but they, I believe, had a good second half.
• 6:38
  Speaker 2: And then we won outright with Little Rock as well,
• 6:40
  Speaker 2: so that was another winner. Then it got worse after
• 6:43
  Speaker 2: that as the Dallas Mavericks did not come through them.
• 6:47
  Speaker 2: But for some reason, I don't even know what the
• 6:48
  Speaker 2: reasoning was, Dallas went off like a four or five
• 6:52
  Speaker 2: point favorite.
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: I think it was five.
• 6:53
  Speaker 2: They went off like a four and a half or
• 6:55
  Speaker 2: five point favorite instead of a seven, so you could
• 6:57
  Speaker 2: have gotten the better number on it. But they lost outright,
• 7:00
  Speaker 2: and they were really never in position to cover that,
• 7:02
  Speaker 2: so I thought it was a horrible spot for the Jazz,
• 7:05
  Speaker 2: Like I'm pretty surprised that Dallas wasn't winning a lot
• 7:10
  Speaker 2: of the game and wasn't in a position to do it.
• 7:12
  Speaker 2: I don't know why the line dropped though, Like the
• 7:15
  Speaker 2: only injury like status that was really in question there
• 7:20
  Speaker 2: was Washington, Like we already knew he wasn't gonna play though,
• 7:23
  Speaker 2: so I don't really understand what happened with that line,
• 7:26
  Speaker 2: but it is what it is. And the Pacific that
• 7:29
  Speaker 2: was more of a bullshit result. I think Portland they
• 7:33
  Speaker 2: hit like sixty percent of their threes in the first half,
• 7:36
  Speaker 2: and then all of a sudden, you're like kind of
• 7:37
  Speaker 2: screwed already because Portland's like plus five from three point
• 7:41
  Speaker 2: range in the first half. That's not what you want.
• 7:43
  Speaker 2: And they shot a ridiculous amount from the fields, Like
• 7:47
  Speaker 2: their percentage was crazy from the field, So you're years
• 7:51
  Speaker 2: off to a bad start, and the Pacific still had
• 7:53
  Speaker 2: a chance to maybe do it. They were losing like
• 7:56
  Speaker 2: all game, although they never were losing by a ton.
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: They were just hanging around.
• 8:00
  Speaker 2: Than to win as a favorite obviously in this case,
• 8:02
  Speaker 2: or at least win out right if you play them
• 8:04
  Speaker 2: on the money line, and the money line was like
• 8:06
  Speaker 2: in the minus one fifties.
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: But they were able to stay in the game.
• 8:09
  Speaker 2: Then they send it into overtime, and then at that
• 8:11
  Speaker 2: point it's like, okay, well, maybe the better team we'll
• 8:14
  Speaker 2: be able to do this, you know, just get the lead,
• 8:17
  Speaker 2: have the lead at the end, and then get intentionally
• 8:19
  Speaker 2: fouled and get over this number.
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 8:21
  Speaker 2: But that was not what happened. I think they lost
• 8:23
  Speaker 2: the game by a couple of points. I'm not happy
• 8:25
  Speaker 2: about it, but we're gonna move on today. I'm gonna
• 8:27
  Speaker 2: give four plays out on the show today. I'm gonna
• 8:30
  Speaker 2: give out two college basketball and two NBA and skipping
• 8:35
  Speaker 2: the very light NHL board, and I will not have
• 8:39
  Speaker 2: a play in the other college football playoff semi final playoffs.
• 8:45
  Speaker 2: I'm satisfied I did well in the bowl season plus playoffs.
• 8:49
  Speaker 2: I was two and zero in the playoffs, and then
• 8:52
  Speaker 2: gotta be selective still man. And then our only Bowl
• 8:55
  Speaker 2: loss was the New Mexico one, and I probably should
• 8:58
  Speaker 2: have lost the San Diego State one, but probably should
• 9:00
  Speaker 2: won the New Mexico one, so it balances out the
• 9:04
  Speaker 2: Bulls plus playoffs, I think I went six and one,
• 9:07
  Speaker 2: so I'm pretty satisfied with that.
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: Don't know if I'm going to wind up with a play on.
• 9:10
  Speaker 2: The championship game or not, but we will find out
• 9:13
  Speaker 2: when it happens.
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: Uh. Yeah, the two losses are I don't know.
• 9:19
  Speaker 2: I mean, Dallas lost outright, so they weren't really that close.
• 9:22
  Speaker 2: I don't think Dallas was ever covering in that game.
• 9:25
  Speaker 2: Pacific maybe wasn't either. I think Pacific had a two
• 9:28
  Speaker 2: point lead in overtime and that might have been.
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: Their biggest leads. So I don't know.
• 9:32
  Speaker 2: But the Pacific one, like I said, it was completely
• 9:35
  Speaker 2: thrown off, almost right out of the gate, because Portland
• 9:38
  Speaker 2: was not missing any shots, and they were hitting a
• 9:41
  Speaker 2: like a ridiculous amount of three pointers early, and there's
• 9:44
  Speaker 2: just nothing you could do about that. When you run
• 9:46
  Speaker 2: into a hot shooting team, everything gets thrown out the window.
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: All right, let's go to today. College basketball is up first.
• 9:54
  Speaker 2: We have what I'm used to seeing from a Friday
• 9:57
  Speaker 2: college basketball card. We got a lot of matt Ack
• 10:00
  Speaker 2: games here and I do have one play there, and
• 10:02
  Speaker 2: then we do have a couple of large conference games.
• 10:04
  Speaker 2: We got some Mac action as well, Maction, and there's
• 10:08
  Speaker 2: a lot of Horizon League play going on, and then
• 10:11
  Speaker 2: one Mountain West game actually at night as well. Uh yeah,
• 10:15
  Speaker 2: I'll talk about some of these games. And then we
• 10:17
  Speaker 2: do have Yeah, there's a Big ten I think two
• 10:20
  Speaker 2: Big ten games if I'm not mistaken, right or no,
• 10:23
  Speaker 2: only one, I guess, but I do have a play
• 10:25
  Speaker 2: in that game as well. All right, there's an early
• 10:29
  Speaker 2: ish game at six pm on CBS Sports which is
• 10:32
  Speaker 2: an interesting one, Miami Ohio and Toledo at Toledo. This
• 10:36
  Speaker 2: Miami Ohio team man in the MAC sixteen and zero,
• 10:40
  Speaker 2: and I still just don't buy it. I don't even
• 10:45
  Speaker 2: though they beat Bowling Green on the road as an underdog,
• 10:47
  Speaker 2: they won at home and gets Akron as an underdog.
• 10:50
  Speaker 2: I mean, I'm not gonna argue that Miami Ohou is
• 10:52
  Speaker 2: not one of the better teams in the MAC. Obviously
• 10:54
  Speaker 2: they are, but are they this good? I would say no.
• 10:57
  Speaker 2: They had a really weak out of conference schedule again.
• 11:00
  Speaker 2: At some point this is all going to collapse. And
• 11:03
  Speaker 2: again we're looking at a number here where they might
• 11:05
  Speaker 2: not cover.
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: I believe they did not cover in their last.
• 11:08
  Speaker 2: Game against Western Michigan, by the way, that was kind
• 11:11
  Speaker 2: of a letdown spot from Miami off of bowling. Green
• 11:14
  Speaker 2: and an Ack are a huge game there. So Miami
• 11:16
  Speaker 2: Ohio won and didn't cover last game against a pretty
• 11:19
  Speaker 2: weak Western Michigan team. I don't really want to fade
• 11:23
  Speaker 2: Miami here just because this game is not really surrounded
• 11:26
  Speaker 2: by anything big Central Michigan next, so I can't really
• 11:31
  Speaker 2: do it, although I might still need to Toledo here.
• 11:33
  Speaker 2: Toledo's coming off of an easy win as well on the
• 11:35
  Speaker 2: road against Northern Illinois. They're coming back home where they
• 11:39
  Speaker 2: actually kind of struggled last time at home, only getting
• 11:42
  Speaker 2: by Western Michigan by five. Now Toledo's not really as like,
• 11:48
  Speaker 2: so the gap between these two teams is not as
• 11:51
  Speaker 2: much as it looks like. Let's put it that way,
• 11:54
  Speaker 2: which the oddsmakers are telling you, because Toledo has actually
• 11:57
  Speaker 2: flipped from a two point dog to a pick them
• 11:59
  Speaker 2: maybe a slight favor here now, I think the money
• 12:02
  Speaker 2: is coming into Toledo. If the public sees this game
• 12:05
  Speaker 2: and they want early action, you know exactly what they're doing.
• 12:08
  Speaker 2: If they want maction, you know they're gonna take the
• 12:10
  Speaker 2: sixteen and oero team here like, oh my god, it's
• 12:14
  Speaker 2: picked the winner. Or I'm like getting a point, a
• 12:16
  Speaker 2: point and a half almost here.
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: It looks so easy to take Miami Ohio.
• 12:20
  Speaker 2: And I still think that they're one of the most
• 12:23
  Speaker 2: overrated teams in college basketball. They faced one of the
• 12:25
  Speaker 2: weakest schedules in college basketball. Ken Bond probably has them
• 12:29
  Speaker 2: way up high in the Luck Index. Still where are
• 12:32
  Speaker 2: they at. He's got them fifty sixth in luck and
• 12:34
  Speaker 2: he has them as the whatever that is like the
• 12:36
  Speaker 2: twelfth weekest schedule in all of D one basketball, So again.
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: That's not good.
• 12:43
  Speaker 2: He has them outside of the top one hundred, and
• 12:46
  Speaker 2: he probably does not have Toledo that far behind.
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: He's got Toledo one sixty. Not horrible.
• 12:51
  Speaker 2: I'd lead to Toledo in the game, but I'm not
• 12:54
  Speaker 2: gonna try to step in front of Miami Ohio unless
• 12:56
  Speaker 2: is a really good situation to do so. And I
• 12:58
  Speaker 2: thought the situation might have been or in the previous
• 13:00
  Speaker 2: two games to fade them, and that didn't happen, so
• 13:04
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna stay off of it.
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: But that would be my opinion in that one. We
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: do have what other games they even want to talk about? Here?
• 13:12
  Speaker 2: Man, I'm trying to remember what my thoughts were this
• 13:15
  Speaker 2: morning on some of these games here. I mean, some
• 13:19
  Speaker 2: of these matt Ac games are interesting. Yeah, I'll just
• 13:22
  Speaker 2: give out my play If you want me to talk
• 13:23
  Speaker 2: about any of these other games, I can, but let's
• 13:27
  Speaker 2: go to the best bets here. I don't think there's
• 13:29
  Speaker 2: that much interesting to talk about in some of these
• 13:32
  Speaker 2: other games here. I'm gonna give you, guys another one
• 13:34
  Speaker 2: where it looks ridiculous and maybe looks kind of too
• 13:38
  Speaker 2: easy to take the other side, but I am going
• 13:40
  Speaker 2: to fade that sentiment. I'm gonna give out Mount Saint
• 13:43
  Speaker 2: Mary's at a Pickham price.
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: Here.
• 13:45
  Speaker 2: This line is kind of all over the place, Like
• 13:47
  Speaker 2: I see plus one plus one and a half mostly,
• 13:50
  Speaker 2: but it's like plus one and a half minus one twenty.
• 13:52
  Speaker 2: So I'm like, I don't want to pay the minus
• 13:54
  Speaker 2: one twenty to get the plus one. I don't know,
• 13:56
  Speaker 2: I mean, it seems a little bit steep for the
• 13:58
  Speaker 2: plus one and a half of the one point does
• 14:01
  Speaker 2: kind of matter, because of course, if a team's trying
• 14:03
  Speaker 2: to win, they'll be satisfied by winning by one. But
• 14:07
  Speaker 2: the pick them was the best price that I found,
• 14:09
  Speaker 2: I think because it's literally just a Pickham price that
• 14:11
  Speaker 2: I've found. You can look at the money line market,
• 14:14
  Speaker 2: because the money line market is a little bit different
• 14:16
  Speaker 2: from the spread market. I found this one in the
• 14:18
  Speaker 2: spread market, but the money line market, you can The
• 14:21
  Speaker 2: best I saw was minus one fifteen, but you might
• 14:23
  Speaker 2: be able to find something there. But anyway, we're gonna
• 14:25
  Speaker 2: face Saint Peter's here the Peacocks, and first of all,
• 14:29
  Speaker 2: nobody's gonna want to do this, like you have a
• 14:31
  Speaker 2: seven and five Peacocks team, which people might remember Saint
• 14:34
  Speaker 2: Peter's doing some damage in the tournament a few years back.
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: They pulled off multiple upsets.
• 14:41
  Speaker 2: In that one tournament and ran all the way to
• 14:43
  Speaker 2: the Elite eight or something like that, where I think
• 14:45
  Speaker 2: they ran into Garrett's the North Carolina tar Heels, if
• 14:49
  Speaker 2: I remember correctly, after Saint Peter's upset Kentucky and Purdue
• 14:54
  Speaker 2: and maybe somebody else too.
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure North.
• 14:57
  Speaker 2: Carolina was the team that ended them and I think
• 14:59
  Speaker 2: I on a play on it too.
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: I think that was a bet that I had.
• 15:02
  Speaker 2: Well, basically, I just kept betting until Saint Peter's lost,
• 15:05
  Speaker 2: So I think I lost money betting Saint Peter's. I
• 15:08
  Speaker 2: think I went one and two until they finally went down.
• 15:11
  Speaker 2: That was the North Carolina matched up against Duke in
• 15:14
  Speaker 2: the Final four. I believe that year from that was
• 15:18
  Speaker 2: the year that North Carolina made that run as the
• 15:20
  Speaker 2: eighth seed. I don't know if I remember correct, and
• 15:23
  Speaker 2: my my bracket autism might be off a little bit,
• 15:26
  Speaker 2: but anyway, people might remember that from Saint Peter's. But
• 15:29
  Speaker 2: people are gonna look at this and it's gonna be
• 15:31
  Speaker 2: obvious if the public plays this game, what are they
• 15:33
  Speaker 2: gonna do when they have a seven and five team
• 15:36
  Speaker 2: against a five and eleven team, You're basically gonna pick the.
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: Winner range here.
• 15:40
  Speaker 2: Yeah, they're gonna play Saint Peter's here, and I'm gonna
• 15:42
  Speaker 2: say no, I'm gonna say, do the opposite. I gotta
• 15:46
  Speaker 2: get that up, man, do the opposite. Fade the public,
• 15:49
  Speaker 2: George the opposite. If if every instinct you have is wrong,
• 15:54
  Speaker 2: then the opposite would have to be correct. Saint Peter's
• 15:58
  Speaker 2: is coming off a big win Man, which I believe.
• 16:00
  Speaker 2: I told you that I liked Saint Peter's in this game.
• 16:03
  Speaker 2: It wasn't a play for me, but they beat Maris
• 16:05
  Speaker 2: by ten at Saint Peter's. Marius, I believe was in
• 16:08
  Speaker 2: a bad spot. Marist one of the better teams in
• 16:11
  Speaker 2: this conference right now, So a pretty nice underdog win
• 16:14
  Speaker 2: for Saint Peter's. Marius was coming off a close game
• 16:18
  Speaker 2: against quinnep Piac and they had Iona on deck, so
• 16:22
  Speaker 2: situation where it was a sandwich spot basically for Maris
• 16:26
  Speaker 2: in that one. So that kind of explains why Marius
• 16:29
  Speaker 2: lost that game. Now Saint Peter's is coming off of that,
• 16:31
  Speaker 2: and now it's Saint Peter's that I think is in
• 16:33
  Speaker 2: a sandwich spot. Nice win over Maris there. Now they
• 16:36
  Speaker 2: play Mount Saint Mary's. Who are they really going to
• 16:38
  Speaker 2: pay attention to? Mount Saint Mary's has got one conference win,
• 16:41
  Speaker 2: near the bottom of the conference.
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: Probably not.
• 16:45
  Speaker 2: And up next Saint Peter's has Merrimack in two days
• 16:48
  Speaker 2: and Merrimack is five and zero in the conference. My
• 16:51
  Speaker 2: Massachusetts boys Merrimack, and then right after that, in three
• 16:54
  Speaker 2: days after that, they have Quinnipiac, who is four and
• 16:57
  Speaker 2: one in the conference. So those are the two main
• 17:00
  Speaker 2: competition in the conference right now for Saint Peter's, so
• 17:04
  Speaker 2: I think this is a sandwich spot. It's sandwiched in
• 17:06
  Speaker 2: between some of the top teams in the conference.
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: For Mount Saint Mary's, they're back at home here.
• 17:12
  Speaker 2: They're coming off two road losses if I remember correctly, Yeah,
• 17:16
  Speaker 2: they lost by double digits at Merrimack and at Quinnipiac.
• 17:19
  Speaker 2: But remember again, those are two of the better teams
• 17:22
  Speaker 2: in the conference right now, and back at home. Mount
• 17:24
  Speaker 2: Saint Mary's beat Iona last time they were at home,
• 17:27
  Speaker 2: so that's not a bad thing.
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: And their other loss was at Marist.
• 17:30
  Speaker 2: So Mount Saint Mary's really they're only bad loss in
• 17:34
  Speaker 2: conference with this home loss of Sacred Heart and.
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: The opener, which I don't know what that was.
• 17:38
  Speaker 2: But their other losses are all pretty much against Yeah,
• 17:41
  Speaker 2: all the other three losses in conference are against like
• 17:43
  Speaker 2: the top teams in the conference. So Mount Saint Mary's
• 17:47
  Speaker 2: probably more of a middle of the pack type of
• 17:49
  Speaker 2: team in this conference.
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna expect them to be competitive. You're against Saint Peter's.
• 17:54
  Speaker 2: Looks like the money's coming into Saint Peter's and I
• 17:56
  Speaker 2: do not agree with it. Saint Peter's is flipped from
• 17:59
  Speaker 2: a two point dog to a pick them, So, all right,
• 18:01
  Speaker 2: we're getting more value. You might get Mount Saint Mary's
• 18:04
  Speaker 2: as an underdog. Like I said, fifty percent of the
• 18:06
  Speaker 2: tickets and ninety seven percent of the cash on Mount sat.
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: On Saint Peter's.
• 18:10
  Speaker 2: Excuse me, we're fading it though, we're gonna fade the
• 18:12
  Speaker 2: market reading this one.
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: I'm surprised that.
• 18:15
  Speaker 2: The market looks like this because this read for me,
• 18:18
  Speaker 2: is all a fade of Saint Peter's.
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: That's what we're gonna do here.
• 18:22
  Speaker 2: As far as I'm looking at ken Bum's numbers on this,
• 18:24
  Speaker 2: because I show these when I give out a place
• 18:27
  Speaker 2: Saint Peter's, his face is a really weak schedule, three
• 18:29
  Speaker 2: hundred and thirty ninth in the country. They're high in
• 18:31
  Speaker 2: his luck Index too. That is not a good combination
• 18:34
  Speaker 2: when they haven't faced good competition and they're already and
• 18:37
  Speaker 2: they're actually overperforming thirty fifth.
• 18:39
  Speaker 1: And ken Bum's luck Index. That's not good.
• 18:42
  Speaker 2: And Saint Peter's is outside of the top three hundred
• 18:47
  Speaker 2: on offense, so they are not a good scoring team.
• 18:50
  Speaker 1: At all. They're fine defensively at one seventy nine.
• 18:53
  Speaker 2: So yes, Saint Peter's is the better defense here, but
• 18:57
  Speaker 2: I don't think it's that significant.
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: Really, We're still gonna do this, man.
• 19:00
  Speaker 2: Mount Saint Mary's is the better scoring well, actually, I
• 19:03
  Speaker 2: don't think.
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: No, they're not the better scoring team. My mistake.
• 19:05
  Speaker 2: Both teams are actually bad on offense and defense. Mount
• 19:08
  Speaker 2: Saint Mary's unfortunately, is actually worse on both sides of
• 19:11
  Speaker 2: the ball. But they actually play faster, so Saint Peter's
• 19:15
  Speaker 2: might be thrown off by having to play at a
• 19:17
  Speaker 2: faster pace. Because Saint Peter's plays slower, they're in the
• 19:21
  Speaker 2: bottom third of tempo, Mount Saint Mary's in the top third.
• 19:24
  Speaker 2: And Mount Saint Mary's has faced a somewhat less week
• 19:28
  Speaker 2: schedule at two forty one, and they're not as high
• 19:30
  Speaker 2: in Kim Bum's luck in next at one to seventy seven.
• 19:33
  Speaker 2: So we are we are, at least according to kem Bump,
• 19:36
  Speaker 2: fading and over performing Saint Peter's team that's in a
• 19:39
  Speaker 2: bad spot. So Mount Saint Mary's is the first play
• 19:42
  Speaker 2: there UNLV. What's up man, Thanks for checking it out,
• 19:45
  Speaker 2: Thanks for hanging out man, All right, Niagara and Iona
• 19:52
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna talk about because Iona, look at what they
• 19:55
  Speaker 2: just did in their last game.
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: Man they played at Maris. I mean, I know.
• 19:58
  Speaker 2: Maris is a solid team in this conference. Iona is
• 20:01
  Speaker 2: usually one of the better teams in this conference. Iona
• 20:03
  Speaker 2: lost that game eighty three to thirty eight, a palindrome.
• 20:08
  Speaker 2: I mean, you can't really have a worse loss than that,
• 20:10
  Speaker 2: even though that is to a decent team in the conference.
• 20:13
  Speaker 2: But I expect Iona is gonna be really really angry
• 20:17
  Speaker 2: about that. I think they're gonna come out with a
• 20:18
  Speaker 2: lot of focus after that. Nobody wants to lose like that.
• 20:21
  Speaker 2: They don't have big games after this rule. I know
• 20:23
  Speaker 2: they're facing a very pitiful Niagara team here, but Iona,
• 20:27
  Speaker 2: I expect them to show up and win this game
• 20:30
  Speaker 2: fairly easily. Niagara coming off a somewhat more competitive game
• 20:34
  Speaker 2: against Fairfield. Fairfield not the greatest team in this conference, though,
• 20:38
  Speaker 2: so I don't know what to really take away from that.
• 20:40
  Speaker 2: I think they're probably better than Niagara, though I'd have
• 20:42
  Speaker 2: to check the.
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: Power ratings there.
• 20:44
  Speaker 2: But for me, if you actually have if you actually
• 20:47
  Speaker 2: want to play this game and actually have to play it,
• 20:49
  Speaker 2: I would actually probably lay it with Iona, but the
• 20:53
  Speaker 2: it seems like the market disagrees with me again on
• 20:55
  Speaker 2: that seventy five percent of the tickets is seventy percent
• 20:57
  Speaker 2: of the cash on them, and they've already dropped from
• 20:59
  Speaker 2: thirteen and a half to ten. I know it's a
• 21:02
  Speaker 2: low total one forty two, so that might be a
• 21:05
  Speaker 2: concern if you want to lay points there. But I
• 21:07
  Speaker 2: just don't see how Iona doesn't come out with some
• 21:09
  Speaker 2: fire after that, and they should be able to beat
• 21:12
  Speaker 2: a team that's definitely inferior to them. So even though yeah,
• 21:15
  Speaker 2: niag Or should show up for a game against Iona
• 21:18
  Speaker 2: as well, but when the better team is like supremely focused,
• 21:22
  Speaker 2: I tend to want to look that way. And then
• 21:24
  Speaker 2: on the other side of it, you do have Marius,
• 21:26
  Speaker 2: that Sacred Heart. Maris coming up that huge win against Iona.
• 21:30
  Speaker 2: Now they're going out on the road to face Sacred Heart. Now,
• 21:33
  Speaker 2: if they had a bigger game up next rather than
• 21:35
  Speaker 2: facing the dormat of the conference, Rider Ryder is unbelievably bad,
• 21:41
  Speaker 2: absolute garbage, the worst team in the conference, one of
• 21:44
  Speaker 2: the worst teams in all of D one. So that's
• 21:46
  Speaker 2: unfortunate because if Maris had really anybody else up next.
• 21:50
  Speaker 2: I might be looking to maybe say you should fade
• 21:52
  Speaker 2: them here. I think if you're gonna play the game,
• 21:54
  Speaker 2: you probably still should because again, huge win over Iona
• 21:57
  Speaker 2: eighty three to thirty eight makes.
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: Maris looked probably too good.
• 22:02
  Speaker 2: Sacred Heart is, I don't know, kind of a middle
• 22:05
  Speaker 2: of the back team sort of in this conference.
• 22:07
  Speaker 4: Here.
• 22:08
  Speaker 2: They just lost at Niagara and at Canesius. Not really
• 22:11
  Speaker 2: good results there for them. I'm expecting them to want
• 22:13
  Speaker 2: to bounce back at home here. They lost their other
• 22:16
  Speaker 2: home game against Merrimac, although Merrimack is pretty good in
• 22:19
  Speaker 2: the conference. But when a team like Sacred Heart, when
• 22:22
  Speaker 2: they were coming back from a couple of road games
• 22:25
  Speaker 2: and the last time they were at home they lost
• 22:27
  Speaker 2: in college basketball, that is a decent spot to look
• 22:29
  Speaker 2: for the home team. So I would take the points
• 22:32
  Speaker 2: with Sacred Heart.
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: In this one.
• 22:33
  Speaker 2: I was gonna play it. It's a six and a
• 22:36
  Speaker 2: half point line in that one. Pretty low total in
• 22:38
  Speaker 2: the one forties. I know a lot A lot of
• 22:40
  Speaker 2: these games are just crazy ugly. And then Northern Kentucky
• 22:44
  Speaker 2: and Milwaukee kind of made me do a double take
• 22:47
  Speaker 2: because this is one of these games where the line
• 22:49
  Speaker 2: is like what like what's going on here.
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: Northern Kentucky twelve and.
• 22:53
  Speaker 2: Five overall four and two in the horizon, and then
• 22:57
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee's seven to nine overall three and two in the horizon.
• 23:00
  Speaker 2: And yeah, Milwaukee is a favorite of about three here.
• 23:03
  Speaker 2: And you know, if the public sees this, they're gonna think,
• 23:06
  Speaker 2: oh my god, that's a lot of value getting Northern
• 23:08
  Speaker 2: Kentucky the team with the better record as an underdog here.
• 23:11
  Speaker 2: And even I think that Northern Kentucky is one of
• 23:13
  Speaker 2: the better teams in this conference, but the odsbakers are
• 23:16
  Speaker 2: telling you that there really isn't that much of a
• 23:19
  Speaker 2: gap between these two teams, and maybe Northern Kentucky is
• 23:22
  Speaker 2: the slightly better team here, and I always take notice
• 23:26
  Speaker 2: of that, and I would probably lean to the favorite
• 23:27
  Speaker 2: here because it's almost like playing an unranked favorite against
• 23:30
  Speaker 2: a ranked opponent, you know, where it's like the line
• 23:34
  Speaker 2: the odds makers just disagree with in this case, what
• 23:37
  Speaker 2: the records look like. So there's some disparity there. Milwaukee's
• 23:42
  Speaker 2: up from two to three here. If you look at
• 23:43
  Speaker 2: ken Bomb, though, I'm like almost positive as I bring
• 23:47
  Speaker 2: up a new window here, I'm almost positive that he
• 23:50
  Speaker 2: has Northern Kentucky is the better team, though he's got
• 23:53
  Speaker 2: them one ninety three, although he hasn't facing a really
• 23:55
  Speaker 2: weak schedule at three fortieth very weak and fortieth in
• 23:59
  Speaker 2: Lockso Northern Kentucky kind of that Saint Peter's type of
• 24:03
  Speaker 2: profile there, except Northern Kentucky plays way faster and they're
• 24:07
  Speaker 2: better than Saint Peter's, but he has them. Ken Bom
• 24:09
  Speaker 2: has them, is very overperformant and against a weak schedule,
• 24:13
  Speaker 2: whereas for Milwaukee, he does have Milwaukee is the worst
• 24:17
  Speaker 2: of the two teams by whatever that is probably about
• 24:20
  Speaker 2: forty ranking spots, but he does have Milwaukee's having faced
• 24:23
  Speaker 2: the one hundred and seventeenth strongest schedule, so much stronger
• 24:26
  Speaker 2: straight the schedule has them in the middle of the
• 24:28
  Speaker 2: pack and lock and has them actually the better offense,
• 24:31
  Speaker 2: I believe, but the worst deepense, So a.
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: Lot to keep in mind there.
• 24:35
  Speaker 2: It is true that Northern Kentucky, I believe, based on
• 24:37
  Speaker 2: what I just looked at, is the better defense getting
• 24:40
  Speaker 2: points though, so a lot of times I do want
• 24:43
  Speaker 2: to look towards the better deepfense getting.
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: Points, don't want to play the game.
• 24:46
  Speaker 2: I would still probably lean towards Milwaukee, though, because again
• 24:49
  Speaker 2: it's that misleading line. Milwaukee is the more battle tested team.
• 24:53
  Speaker 2: Ken Bom is saying that Northern Kentucky's overperformed, so I
• 24:57
  Speaker 2: won't disagree with that. When we have CBS Sports getting
• 25:01
  Speaker 2: the MAC today after they have the Miami Ohio game,
• 25:04
  Speaker 2: they have Akron playing as well against Bowling Green. Actually
• 25:07
  Speaker 2: two pretty interesting MAC games here on CBS Sports.
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: Akron.
• 25:12
  Speaker 2: I still think it's probably the best team in the MAC,
• 25:14
  Speaker 2: even though they're two and one in conference right now
• 25:17
  Speaker 2: because they lost to Miami Ohio. Akron just beat Central
• 25:21
  Speaker 2: Michigan after that decent bounce back.
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: I don't know if Akron covered that number. Probably not.
• 25:27
  Speaker 2: They probably weren't a thirteen point road favorite, but whatever,
• 25:32
  Speaker 2: all I mean, probably they did. Excuse they probably Akron
• 25:35
  Speaker 2: did cover that number. Now they're going on the road
• 25:38
  Speaker 2: to Bowling Green. Bowling Green is a good defense, like
• 25:40
  Speaker 2: one of the better defenses in the MAC. Bowling Green,
• 25:44
  Speaker 2: though they're coming off some really difficult games, man, and
• 25:48
  Speaker 2: I know they're gonna want to step it up for Akron,
• 25:50
  Speaker 2: but this run of games they lost at home as
• 25:53
  Speaker 2: a favorite against Miami Ohio. Then I guess debatably they
• 25:57
  Speaker 2: bounce back from that winning against you in what I
• 26:01
  Speaker 2: believe was an overtime game where both teams scored over
• 26:03
  Speaker 2: one hundred. Yeah, crazy game against U mass. They came
• 26:07
  Speaker 2: out of that, and they played Kent State both of
• 26:09
  Speaker 2: these games on the road. Kent State still one of
• 26:11
  Speaker 2: the better teams than the MAC as well, undefeated in
• 26:13
  Speaker 2: the conference right now. Bowling Green only lost to them
• 26:16
  Speaker 2: by three on the road, so another really good performance.
• 26:20
  Speaker 2: So the question is how much do they have left
• 26:22
  Speaker 2: in the tank, Because obviously Bowling Green will show up
• 26:25
  Speaker 2: and try to win this game, but I worry about
• 26:26
  Speaker 2: the situation being kind of difficult here where they've just
• 26:30
  Speaker 2: played a ton of big games in a row man
• 26:32
  Speaker 2: so that that could definitely fatigue you and take a
• 26:35
  Speaker 2: lot out of you.
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: So that is kind of the worry here.
• 26:37
  Speaker 2: I think if Bowling Green is gonna fail at some
• 26:40
  Speaker 2: point in this game, it's gonna be when they tire
• 26:42
  Speaker 2: out later in the game, especially because they're a team
• 26:44
  Speaker 2: that plays intense defense. Akrons down from a three and
• 26:47
  Speaker 2: a half point favorite to a three point favorite, so
• 26:49
  Speaker 2: the money is somewhat coming in on the Bowling Green
• 26:52
  Speaker 2: side Situationally, I don't totally agree with it, though, even
• 26:57
  Speaker 2: though based on the line, the line kind of short
• 27:01
  Speaker 2: and in that case, maybe you'd want to look to
• 27:03
  Speaker 2: Bowling Green.
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: Of course you're looking.
• 27:04
  Speaker 2: At I believe Bowling Green being the better deepfense at
• 27:07
  Speaker 2: home getting points as well, which is tempting as a
• 27:11
  Speaker 2: better But again, I don't like the spot that they're in.
• 27:13
  Speaker 2: I would not be surprised if Akron was able to
• 27:16
  Speaker 2: get past them and win that game and cover. But
• 27:19
  Speaker 2: and that might even be the way that I would
• 27:21
  Speaker 2: lean in that game. But I really don't have a
• 27:23
  Speaker 2: strong opinion on that. USC at Minnesota is my other play.
• 27:27
  Speaker 2: We're gonna have a play on this, and we're gonna
• 27:28
  Speaker 2: take USC plus the points plus four. I think at
• 27:31
  Speaker 2: this point the value has gotta be there, man. I mean,
• 27:35
  Speaker 2: I think USC is dealing with injuries, so that's part
• 27:38
  Speaker 2: of the reason why the line is where it is.
• 27:40
  Speaker 2: But still, ken bum As USC is the forty seventh
• 27:44
  Speaker 2: ranked team and he has Minnesota in the eighties eighty five,
• 27:47
  Speaker 2: So like, how could Minnesota be laying more than home court? Basically, heroough,
• 27:51
  Speaker 2: Minnesota is a decent home court advantage, but I'm not
• 27:54
  Speaker 2: gonna buy it though. Even though ken bum As USC
• 27:57
  Speaker 2: is the seventh luckiest team in the country, which obviously
• 28:00
  Speaker 2: I don't love.
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: They face a really difficult.
• 28:03
  Speaker 2: Schedule as well, the thirty fourth most difficult schedule, and yes,
• 28:06
  Speaker 2: USC likes to speed it up, so Minnesota is gonna
• 28:09
  Speaker 2: try to slow this thing to a crawl. But USC
• 28:13
  Speaker 2: is much better offensively than Minnesota. USC is the more
• 28:17
  Speaker 2: balanced team. Minnesota is the slightly better defensive team, but
• 28:20
  Speaker 2: USC has a there's a wide gap in how good
• 28:23
  Speaker 2: the offenses are. In USC is the better offense. I
• 28:26
  Speaker 2: know USC has overperformed. They were ranked to start the season.
• 28:29
  Speaker 2: They shouldn't be ranked. Ken Bum's numbers have adjusted to
• 28:34
  Speaker 2: they're now forty seventh, but still, even with Minnesota looking
• 28:37
  Speaker 2: decent in the conference so far, there's still ken Bum
• 28:41
  Speaker 2: is still not buying it, and I'm also gonna agree
• 28:43
  Speaker 2: with that. Plus I'm gonna show you the situation in
• 28:45
  Speaker 2: a second where I think it's a situation of fade Minnesota.
• 28:49
  Speaker 2: Ken Bum does have Minnesota on the luckier side of
• 28:52
  Speaker 2: his ranks as well. One hundred and twenty first, he's
• 28:55
  Speaker 2: got them facing the one hundred and seventy second strength
• 28:58
  Speaker 2: of schedule, so I'm kind of a middle mediocre moderately
• 29:01
  Speaker 2: strength schedules the word I'm looking for, and he has
• 29:04
  Speaker 2: them outside of the top one hundred. Offensively, like I said,
• 29:07
  Speaker 2: and that's maybe not a good recipe for laying points
• 29:11
  Speaker 2: is a favorite.
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 29:11
  Speaker 2: Minnesota offensively challenged and they're very slow in temple, like
• 29:16
  Speaker 2: bottom twenty five in tempo. Not exactly what you want
• 29:20
  Speaker 2: in laying points. But it gets worse for Minnesota. This
• 29:23
  Speaker 2: is on the Big Ten Network, by the way. At
• 29:24
  Speaker 2: eight thirty PM, Eastern Minnesota is coming off beating Iowa
• 29:30
  Speaker 2: at home, a ranked Iowa team. That was a big
• 29:33
  Speaker 2: win for Minnesota. Man a win against a ranked team
• 29:35
  Speaker 2: as a dog, huge win. Minnesota had a double digit
• 29:38
  Speaker 2: lead in the second half of that game, blew the
• 29:41
  Speaker 2: whole lead in Iowa actually took the lead late. Iowa
• 29:44
  Speaker 2: not going away in that game, and Minnesota was able
• 29:46
  Speaker 2: to still get out of that thing with a win.
• 29:49
  Speaker 2: I think it's gonna be a letdown spot, man. I mean,
• 29:51
  Speaker 2: I know it's USC, but it's kind of like, I
• 29:54
  Speaker 2: don't know. USC is still this newcomer to the conference,
• 29:56
  Speaker 2: and Minnesota has one of their rivals up next in Wisconsin.
• 29:59
  Speaker 2: Even though I know Wisconsin is down a bit this year,
• 30:02
  Speaker 2: there's still ahead of USC in the conference standings. It's
• 30:05
  Speaker 2: definitely possible in Minnesota does not bring their a game
• 30:08
  Speaker 2: in this one, and they do have Illinois, Ohio State,
• 30:10
  Speaker 2: and Nebraska and then Wisconsin again all after USC. So
• 30:14
  Speaker 2: I think this is kind of a flat spot in
• 30:16
  Speaker 2: Minnesota schedule members. For USC, I expect them to show up.
• 30:21
  Speaker 2: They've been struggling a conference play, There's no doubt about it.
• 30:23
  Speaker 2: Their worst conference loss was at home against Washington. Washington
• 30:28
  Speaker 2: not a great team, It's not a great loss every USC.
• 30:31
  Speaker 2: But then USC has been on the road for the
• 30:34
  Speaker 2: last three games, and I know three road games in
• 30:36
  Speaker 2: a row is difficult, but they lost both games by
• 30:39
  Speaker 2: thirty points basically, and they were against the two Michigans,
• 30:42
  Speaker 2: Michigan and Michigan State.
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: Did you expect USC to win either of those games.
• 30:47
  Speaker 2: I don't think so, although I expected them to maybe
• 30:49
  Speaker 2: be more competitive, especially against the Michigan State team. It
• 30:53
  Speaker 2: doesn't score a ton, but USC was able to do
• 30:57
  Speaker 2: nothing against Michigan State's defense.
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: Man. But I think USC is gonna show up.
• 31:01
  Speaker 2: You don't want to lose by thirty twenty nine points
• 31:03
  Speaker 2: to anybody, man, So I think they show up. They're
• 31:06
  Speaker 2: gonna try to salvage the last game of the road
• 31:08
  Speaker 2: trip here.
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: I know USC.
• 31:10
  Speaker 2: It's one of the it's a weird venue to go
• 31:13
  Speaker 2: to for USC and whatever because they haven't been in
• 31:14
  Speaker 2: the Big Ten that long, so I know the venue
• 31:17
  Speaker 2: unfamiliarity is there. But at least for them, they're already
• 31:21
  Speaker 2: in this in whatever it is the central time zone here.
• 31:25
  Speaker 2: They've been in this in this time zone for the
• 31:26
  Speaker 2: last two games, so it's not like you're having to
• 31:28
  Speaker 2: come out here from the Pacific Coast or anything like that.
• 31:31
  Speaker 2: So I think they should be okay. They're adjusted here.
• 31:35
  Speaker 2: I expect them to show up, and I'm questioning whether
• 31:37
  Speaker 2: Minnesota will. And again I think we're getting too much
• 31:39
  Speaker 2: line value here too, even though I'm pretty sure USC
• 31:42
  Speaker 2: one of their best players is injured.
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: Still, but does that warrant the line being like this being.
• 31:48
  Speaker 2: At four when USC is the better team and I
• 31:51
  Speaker 2: think ken Bom has ken Bum might even have USC
• 31:53
  Speaker 2: being the winner of this game at his projections, so
• 31:57
  Speaker 2: that would be with their best player. But still, you're
• 31:59
  Speaker 2: telling me that you're gonna shift the line like maybe
• 32:02
  Speaker 2: four points from where it should be, or so I.
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: Think it's a little bit too far, even with the injury.
• 32:08
  Speaker 2: Again, I think it should probably be at least a
• 32:11
  Speaker 2: couple points off from where it is here. Sixty seven
• 32:13
  Speaker 2: percent of the tickets around Minnesota, so Minnesota is the
• 32:16
  Speaker 2: public side at this point.
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: Who would have ever thought Minnesota would.
• 32:20
  Speaker 2: Be a public side against USC where the season started
• 32:24
  Speaker 2: sixty four percent of the cash too, so the money
• 32:26
  Speaker 2: looks like it is less so on Minnesota. See, I
• 32:28
  Speaker 2: will grab USC where I think there's value and it's
• 32:31
  Speaker 2: a good spot to actually make that playing. And then
• 32:34
  Speaker 2: we do have CBS Sports as the Mountain West game
• 32:37
  Speaker 2: late tonight, which is UNLV at Colorado State. It's not
• 32:40
  Speaker 2: the best Mountain West matchup here, it's I mean, it's
• 32:45
  Speaker 2: a mediocre matchup. I guess USC is coming off getting
• 32:49
  Speaker 2: crushed by Wyoming on the road by thirty two, So
• 32:52
  Speaker 2: I'm kind of expecting a bounce back from UNLV after that.
• 32:55
  Speaker 2: They do a boise up next, but I don't think
• 32:57
  Speaker 2: they're gonna overlook Colorado State, who won the conference last year,
• 33:01
  Speaker 2: and they might have been one of the team they
• 33:02
  Speaker 2: might have knocked out in UNLV from the tournament. Actually,
• 33:05
  Speaker 2: uh no, they did not. Utah State did my mistake,
• 33:09
  Speaker 2: so that is not really a factor. But yeah, for UNLV,
• 33:15
  Speaker 2: I forget what I was gonna say, because I was
• 33:16
  Speaker 2: thinking I had something in my mind. There was a
• 33:18
  Speaker 2: revenge aspect to some game that I totally forgot about yesterday,
• 33:21
  Speaker 2: but I can't remember what it was. I think it
• 33:23
  Speaker 2: was one of the plays that I had already given out,
• 33:25
  Speaker 2: but I forget. Anyway, I think UNLV will show up then.
• 33:29
  Speaker 2: I mean, we know, Colorado State won the conference last year,
• 33:31
  Speaker 2: so won the conference tournament, so teams are gonna be
• 33:34
  Speaker 2: gunning for them a little bit.
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: For that reason.
• 33:37
  Speaker 2: Even though yeah, UNLV has Boise State up next, which
• 33:40
  Speaker 2: is also a big game. Colorado State's coming off somewhat
• 33:43
  Speaker 2: of a bigger game. They actually lost at home though,
• 33:46
  Speaker 2: to New Mexico, and I think Colorado State was probably
• 33:48
  Speaker 2: a small favorite in that game, and they're staying at home,
• 33:51
  Speaker 2: so I could see the argument that they'll bounce back
• 33:53
  Speaker 2: as well, even though that was a more difficult game.
• 33:55
  Speaker 2: They only a Fresno next, so they're probably not gonna
• 33:59
  Speaker 2: be looking ahead to that.
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: Colorado State's a six and a half point favorite.
• 34:03
  Speaker 2: There was juice on it, which I oh, no, it's
• 34:05
  Speaker 2: gone up excusually from six with juice to six and
• 34:07
  Speaker 2: a half.
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: My mistake. Not really much of a move there really,
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: though total did drop to one forty eight and a half.
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I'm probably leaning slightly towards UNLV plus
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: the points there, but again, really no strong opinion there.
• 34:21
  Speaker 2: Let's go to NHL. I got my Bruins hat on.
• 34:24
  Speaker 2: I was wrong about them yesterday, but I'm glad to
• 34:26
  Speaker 2: be wrong that they won the game even with Corposalo,
• 34:29
  Speaker 2: and that in somewhat of a bad spot in a
• 34:31
  Speaker 2: return home spot, they still won, So I'm happy with that.
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: I was wrong about the other games. So yeah, my apologies.
• 34:38
  Speaker 2: Your jersey looked like it was the sharp side against Pittsburgh.
• 34:41
  Speaker 2: Don't know what happened in that one, so I suck obviously.
• 34:46
  Speaker 2: And then yeah, I think I was wrong about a
• 34:48
  Speaker 2: few of the other games as well. Today we only
• 34:51
  Speaker 2: have three hockey games. Washington at Chicago is the first one.
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: This game.
• 34:57
  Speaker 2: Washington is coming into this, I think in a part spot.
• 35:00
  Speaker 2: They did just play Dallas, but they lost four to
• 35:03
  Speaker 2: one at home, and now they're going out on the
• 35:05
  Speaker 2: road after a day off. I expect Washington to be
• 35:08
  Speaker 2: focused here a lot of times. Again, when you're losing
• 35:11
  Speaker 2: at home, it's good to just get out of there
• 35:13
  Speaker 2: going on the road. I know Dallas was a big opponent,
• 35:15
  Speaker 2: but you lose four to one at home, I think
• 35:17
  Speaker 2: you're gonna show up in the next game. Plus two
• 35:19
  Speaker 2: games before that, they actually lost to Chicago at home
• 35:23
  Speaker 2: in a shootout, so it's a quick kind of zig
• 35:26
  Speaker 2: zag spot. Ever, Washington to make some adjustments off of
• 35:29
  Speaker 2: that loss. That game was close against Chicago, it probably
• 35:32
  Speaker 2: shouldn't have been close.
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: Washington is the better team. They'll be the favorite here
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: on the road.
• 35:38
  Speaker 2: Chicago, on the other hand, I mean, they're not exactly
• 35:40
  Speaker 2: in a horrible spot here, but they've been I think
• 35:43
  Speaker 2: overperforming again is that they've now won four games in
• 35:46
  Speaker 2: a row, and yes, they overperformed in the last game
• 35:48
  Speaker 2: with an over against Saint Louis seven to three, ridiculous,
• 35:54
  Speaker 2: And that was after beating Dallas and then Washington in Vegas,
• 35:57
  Speaker 2: both in overtime and shootouts. So possibly this is the
• 36:01
  Speaker 2: spot where maybe Chicago has some sort of flat spot
• 36:04
  Speaker 2: here and the wheels come off a little bit. They
• 36:06
  Speaker 2: shouldn't overlook Washington, but I think Washington sets up better
• 36:09
  Speaker 2: in this game. It's a little bit of a focused
• 36:12
  Speaker 2: spot for Washington and a spot where they can zigzag
• 36:16
  Speaker 2: and readjust here. The money is all on the Washington
• 36:19
  Speaker 2: side here as well, so the market indicators strong on Washington.
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: I do agree with it.
• 36:24
  Speaker 2: Washington up for minus one forty five to minus one
• 36:26
  Speaker 2: forty seven on the money line, sixty six percent of
• 36:29
  Speaker 2: the money on them and eighty two percent of the.
• 36:31
  Speaker 1: Cash ONO in Chicago.
• 36:32
  Speaker 2: It looks like a pros versus Joe's type of market,
• 36:35
  Speaker 2: at least for now where the Joe's are taking Chicago.
• 36:38
  Speaker 2: I guess because oh, Chicago can beat them in Washington,
• 36:41
  Speaker 2: then of course we can grab tho as an underdog
• 36:43
  Speaker 2: at home. Right.
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: That seems stupid Washington.
• 36:46
  Speaker 2: I mean it's still the team with the better record too,
• 36:49
  Speaker 2: so the I mean the records.
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: The only reason the records are misleading is because Chicago's
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: not as good as the record looks.
• 36:55
  Speaker 2: So yeah, I like Washington in that one, although the
• 36:59
  Speaker 2: spot it's not bad enough for me to really do
• 37:01
  Speaker 2: it for Chicago. But again, Washington, after having that loss
• 37:05
  Speaker 2: at home against Chicago, I think there is room for
• 37:07
  Speaker 2: them to make some adjustments there.
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: If you look at what happened in that game.
• 37:11
  Speaker 2: Washington was the way more physical team in the game,
• 37:14
  Speaker 2: but Chicago was kind of the better offense, so it
• 37:17
  Speaker 2: kind of balanced out a little bit. We'll see what
• 37:21
  Speaker 2: happens in that game. Garrett, what's going on, man? Thanks
• 37:25
  Speaker 2: for hanging out. Thanks for hanging out last night. By
• 37:28
  Speaker 2: the way, for my episode of new episode of Bald
• 37:31
  Speaker 2: with Clint Russell, a Liberty Lockdown. He came back on
• 37:34
  Speaker 2: the show to give his NFL predictions and whatever. He
• 37:38
  Speaker 2: basically wound up with, Well, you can go watch the show.
• 37:41
  Speaker 2: Maybe I won't give it away. Go watch the show
• 37:42
  Speaker 2: and you can see what he wound up with is
• 37:43
  Speaker 2: his super Bowl matchup, which is significantly different from mine.
• 37:48
  Speaker 1: We had a lot of different different opinions in that game.
• 37:51
  Speaker 2: Let's say in that in the NFL playoffs, I mean,
• 37:55
  Speaker 2: I should say in all those games playoffs.
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: What so, yeah, go check that out.
• 38:00
  Speaker 2: Garrett was in the chat last night, Thanks guys for
• 38:02
  Speaker 2: hanging out. Clinch was like, who is this, Garrett, dumb
• 38:06
  Speaker 2: ass like saying, the Panthers are gonna win everything. You
• 38:10
  Speaker 2: took Miami last night? Yeah, they I mean they won.
• 38:14
  Speaker 2: They covered the minus three, They won. If you went
• 38:16
  Speaker 2: money line, they won. Obviously, it was a close call.
• 38:19
  Speaker 2: The over was the easier cash on in that game.
• 38:23
  Speaker 2: But yeah, I liked it because I had Miami and
• 38:26
  Speaker 2: my like Bowl pick'ems and whatever. But yeah, I enjoyed
• 38:29
  Speaker 2: it and I liked being right Alexander, what's up, man?
• 38:32
  Speaker 2: You want me to go back to all right, I'll
• 38:34
  Speaker 2: go back to college basketball. Hang on, Cianna, I almost
• 38:38
  Speaker 2: talked about that game. I don't really have much of
• 38:40
  Speaker 2: an opinion on it, though. I don't want to mislead people.
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: That's the thing.
• 38:44
  Speaker 2: Like, you guys want my opinion on it, I'll break
• 38:46
  Speaker 2: it down, but I just don't know if I have
• 38:48
  Speaker 2: much of a strong opinion. It is Merrimack at Sienna.
• 38:50
  Speaker 2: It's actually a good game. Merrimack five and zero conference
• 38:54
  Speaker 2: versus Sianna three and one. Of the Sienna is the
• 38:56
  Speaker 2: better overall record. Merrimack probably facing the more out of
• 39:00
  Speaker 2: conference schedule than they did. I would imagine they faced
• 39:02
  Speaker 2: Auburn and Florida in here so and some pretty good
• 39:06
  Speaker 2: mid majors like hofstra U, South Dakota State. I almost said,
• 39:10
  Speaker 2: I almost keep saying San Diego State. Merrimack has been
• 39:13
  Speaker 2: good since the conference start and men, but they've been
• 39:15
  Speaker 2: beating up on the weaklings in the conference. They beat
• 39:18
  Speaker 2: Ryder at home, Fairfield at home, Mount Saint Mary's at home,
• 39:22
  Speaker 2: in Manhattan at home. Those are all sort of the
• 39:25
  Speaker 2: bottom half into the middle of the conference. So they
• 39:27
  Speaker 2: haven't faced any of the better teams in.
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: The conference so far.
• 39:30
  Speaker 2: And oh no, they won one game on the road
• 39:32
  Speaker 2: as well, my mistake against Sacred Hired, I believe.
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: So yeah.
• 39:36
  Speaker 2: So they have five conference wins, but they're all against
• 39:38
  Speaker 2: weak teams in the conference, and only one of them
• 39:40
  Speaker 2: is on the road, so they're having a step up
• 39:43
  Speaker 2: in class for this game against Sianna. This is gonna
• 39:46
  Speaker 2: be the most difficult conference.
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: Game they've had so far. And for Sianna.
• 39:50
  Speaker 2: They do have one conference loss, but it was at
• 39:52
  Speaker 2: Iona by three.
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: That is not a bad loss. Iona is fine.
• 39:56
  Speaker 2: Other than that, they did face weaklings, though they faced
• 39:58
  Speaker 2: Canesius Niagara at home, and then what was the other win?
• 40:02
  Speaker 1: I don't even see it in here.
• 40:03
  Speaker 2: So they play some earlier conference games, which makes it.
• 40:07
  Speaker 2: Oh they beat Rider on the road, who cares. That
• 40:09
  Speaker 2: was their most recent win, though it was the nice
• 40:11
  Speaker 2: bounce back at least off of the Iona loss, where
• 40:14
  Speaker 2: you would have expected.
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: Maybe Sianna was hung over a little bit. They probably
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: covered the number against Ryder, although not Tyler sure.
• 40:20
  Speaker 2: But now Sianna is a favorite at home here against Merrimac,
• 40:24
  Speaker 2: probably favored for a reason. Being back at home might
• 40:28
  Speaker 2: be good for them after they've been on the road
• 40:30
  Speaker 2: for a while, which is again different from the professional
• 40:33
  Speaker 2: sports because there's no family life to get back to here.
• 40:36
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna lean to Sianna in this game if Sianna's
• 40:40
  Speaker 2: done for five and a half to five here. But
• 40:41
  Speaker 2: the money looks like it is coming in on that side.
• 40:43
  Speaker 2: Eighty eight percent of the cash on them, fifty percent
• 40:46
  Speaker 2: of the tickets on each side.
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: It's a low total, though, so I worry about laying
• 40:50
  Speaker 1: the points.
• 40:51
  Speaker 2: With a total in the one thirties like that, points
• 40:54
  Speaker 2: are going to be harder to come by. Merrimack likes
• 40:56
  Speaker 2: to play really slow, and I think Cianna might as well.
• 40:59
  Speaker 2: And I'm used to that si and a team that
• 41:00
  Speaker 2: like ran the court like crazy with rosset or and whatever.
• 41:04
  Speaker 1: Yeah, this Sienna team plays slow.
• 41:06
  Speaker 2: Sianna has faced a very weak overall schedule, though one
• 41:09
  Speaker 2: of the weakest in all of college basketball, which might
• 41:11
  Speaker 2: be a little bit of a concern, but ken Bum
• 41:14
  Speaker 2: Ascienna is the better team as the Osmakers will also
• 41:17
  Speaker 2: do fairly significantly so, which is why Sianna's favored here.
• 41:21
  Speaker 2: Ken bum As Merrimack fourth in his luck index, and
• 41:24
  Speaker 2: they're straight. The schedule has not been that much stronger either,
• 41:27
  Speaker 2: and they play slow as well, so slow paced game.
• 41:30
  Speaker 2: I usually want to look to take the points, but
• 41:32
  Speaker 2: in this case, I think I would probably lay it again.
• 41:34
  Speaker 2: Merrimack's having a step up in class here. Sianna has
• 41:37
  Speaker 2: faced at least one difficult conference opponent so far. Sianna
• 41:41
  Speaker 2: is kind of sneakily the better team right now if
• 41:43
  Speaker 2: people are only gonna look at conference records or whatever,
• 41:46
  Speaker 2: so hopefully, hopefully that's helpful for that one. It's it's
• 41:49
  Speaker 2: almost making me want to play Sienna. I guess I
• 41:52
  Speaker 2: have somewhat of an opinion on it. Maybe I didn't
• 41:56
  Speaker 2: break it down well enough when I first looked at
• 41:58
  Speaker 2: the game, but I don't think it was gonna make
• 41:59
  Speaker 2: my car either way, but Sianna would be my lean
• 42:02
  Speaker 2: in that game all right. Back to NHL, we have
• 42:05
  Speaker 2: the Kings at the Jets, what swore does this King's
• 42:09
  Speaker 2: Jets LA at Winnipeg. Here the Kings are coming off
• 42:14
  Speaker 2: a home loss to San Jose and now going out
• 42:16
  Speaker 2: on the road here decent focus spot for the Kings
• 42:19
  Speaker 2: in my opinion. It was an overtime game, but you
• 42:21
  Speaker 2: don't want to lose at home to San Jose. And
• 42:23
  Speaker 2: the Kings had beaten Minnesota twice in a row before that,
• 42:26
  Speaker 2: so could have been a bit of a letdown spot.
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: Now they're going out on the road. Usually first game
• 42:31
  Speaker 1: out of the road, you're gonna be focused.
• 42:33
  Speaker 2: You want to kind of break that losing momentum there
• 42:36
  Speaker 2: if you lost the last game at home as well.
• 42:39
  Speaker 2: But they do have Edmonton tomorrow and then Dallas, Vegas, Anaheim.
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: So that's my issue with it.
• 42:46
  Speaker 2: How focused are they really going to be on Winnipeg
• 42:48
  Speaker 2: when Winnipeg's been a really struggling team and they have
• 42:51
  Speaker 2: bigger games all on deck. So that's my concern that
• 42:54
  Speaker 2: it might be a bit of a look ahead, because
• 42:56
  Speaker 2: otherwise I kind of like LA in this game Winnipeg.
• 43:00
  Speaker 2: They're coming off a couple of difficult games, man, including
• 43:03
  Speaker 2: yesterday playing Edmonton to within one goal, and Winnipeg could
• 43:07
  Speaker 2: have potentially won that game, big game for Winnipeg, man,
• 43:10
  Speaker 2: and they fell just short after on Tuesday, taking Vegas
• 43:13
  Speaker 2: into overtime. So Winnipeg's coming off two big games, playing
• 43:17
  Speaker 2: a third game in four days, although all at home.
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: But it's a difficult spot for them. Memory. I think
• 43:22
  Speaker 1: they might be a little bit fatigued here.
• 43:24
  Speaker 2: I'm not gonna say they're necessarily gonna overlook the Kings,
• 43:26
  Speaker 2: but I don't know what they're gonna have in the
• 43:28
  Speaker 2: tank for this one.
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 43:30
  Speaker 2: The Kings are good on the road eleven to five
• 43:32
  Speaker 2: and five, so they have a winning record even including
• 43:35
  Speaker 2: the overtime losses at home. Very competitive road team, actually
• 43:38
  Speaker 2: better on the road than at home. As I've pointed
• 43:41
  Speaker 2: out throughout the year, Winnipeg is not great either way
• 43:45
  Speaker 2: if they have a losing record at home as well,
• 43:47
  Speaker 2: even without the ot losses. So I think my opinion
• 43:50
  Speaker 2: is the Kings in this game, but not a strong opinion,
• 43:52
  Speaker 2: and the market disagrees with me. They're minus won twenty five,
• 43:56
  Speaker 2: sixty eight percent of the tickets and sixty four percent
• 43:58
  Speaker 2: of the cash on the Kings.
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: So that's the information on that one.
• 44:06
  Speaker 2: My grandmother's Sharks, what do you mean by that, you
• 44:10
  Speaker 2: mean they're not or they are. I have no idea
• 44:12
  Speaker 2: what we mean here. They're dangerous team. Yeah, Celebrini, he's
• 44:15
  Speaker 2: really good. I'm still not convinced by the Shark, you know, Like,
• 44:20
  Speaker 2: I don't know, man, I'm not convinced. The Sharks have
• 44:22
  Speaker 2: some issues on the defensive side and whatever they're I
• 44:26
  Speaker 2: think they're an okay team maybe, but the oddsmakers kind
• 44:30
  Speaker 2: of tell you what you need to know to not
• 44:33
  Speaker 2: let your eyes deceive you. The oddsmakers still have the
• 44:35
  Speaker 2: Sharks as probably like a bottom several team I would
• 44:40
  Speaker 2: guess in the NHL. And then the last game is
• 44:43
  Speaker 2: Saint Louis talking about bottom teams in the NHL. Sorry
• 44:46
  Speaker 2: to the Blues fans singing the Blues they're at Utah. Here,
• 44:50
  Speaker 2: Utah is up for minus one sixty minus one seventy five.
• 44:54
  Speaker 2: Money is coming in on the Utah side, fifty eight
• 44:56
  Speaker 2: percent of the tickets, eighty five percent of the cash
• 44:58
  Speaker 2: on them. Saint Louis is coming up an ugly loss
• 45:01
  Speaker 2: though to Chicago. So I don't know, do we really
• 45:04
  Speaker 2: want to fade Saint Louis in a spot like this?
• 45:06
  Speaker 2: I'm not sure about that. They are having to travel
• 45:08
  Speaker 2: into elevation though, and they played Vegas tomorrow. They did
• 45:12
  Speaker 2: beat Vegas back at home on January second, a week ago,
• 45:16
  Speaker 2: which is interesting, but coming off a seven to three
• 45:18
  Speaker 2: loss at Chicago, I kind of expect them to have
• 45:21
  Speaker 2: some more focus in this one.
• 45:23
  Speaker 1: For Utah.
• 45:25
  Speaker 2: Utah is coming into this one on a decent role here.
• 45:28
  Speaker 2: They've won three of their last four, winning the last
• 45:30
  Speaker 2: two at home, including a return home spot win. Coming
• 45:34
  Speaker 2: back from the East Coast. They beat Ottawa at home,
• 45:36
  Speaker 2: so a decent win there. They only have Columbus up next,
• 45:39
  Speaker 2: so I'm not really sure they're gonna overlook Saint Louis.
• 45:41
  Speaker 2: It's not really a sandwich spot or anything like that,
• 45:44
  Speaker 2: but I think I somewhat disagree with the market honestly
• 45:46
  Speaker 2: in this one. I think maybe there's a little bit
• 45:50
  Speaker 2: of value in Saint Louis in that spot, but it's
• 45:54
  Speaker 2: certainly not something I'm really interested in.
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: All Right, let's get to the NBA here.
• 45:59
  Speaker 2: I feel like I need to do the typical sinus
• 46:02
  Speaker 2: clearing though, Yeah, give me a second, I'm gonna have
• 46:05
  Speaker 2: two plays in the NBA.
• 46:06
  Speaker 4: Though.
• 46:07
  Speaker 2: If SOB is in here, you can probably guess what
• 46:08
  Speaker 2: they are one of them I absolutely love, and the
• 46:11
  Speaker 2: other one I think is also good enough. Yep, inside
• 46:23
  Speaker 2: I want to kill myself. We're on OWN seven run
• 46:28
  Speaker 2: over the last two days after tonight.
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: It was just complete bullshit.
• 46:31
  Speaker 2: So that's that's how I'm gonna start off this show.
• 46:34
  Speaker 2: Horrible Sunday one and five.
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: I just don't want to do this anymore. I have
• 46:40
  Speaker 1: never seen anything like this.
• 46:43
  Speaker 2: Man with the slump continuing, two straight losses, not a
• 46:47
  Speaker 2: good day at all.
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: OWN four that I have not had a good season.
• 46:52
  Speaker 2: Man with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the
• 46:56
  Speaker 2: slump continues.
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: I've reached a new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: my browins hat Man. I don't know what is going
• 47:04
  Speaker 1: on with the Bruins. March ee? Is that what it is?
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: I don't even know it's it's March ninth, I think
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: who even knows?
• 47:11
  Speaker 2: Man, I don't know what day is anymore. I don't
• 47:14
  Speaker 2: even know what data is anymore. Man, back with you
• 47:17
  Speaker 2: after the worst day that I could possibly have, Back
• 47:20
  Speaker 2: with you as I always am.
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: Until I die, at least oh and two. Yesterday and
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: yesterday it did not go well for me.
• 47:29
  Speaker 2: Own five, the worst month that I've ever had in
• 47:32
  Speaker 2: my eighteen years doing this.
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 47:37
  Speaker 3: Slump, the slump, discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 47:44
  Speaker 3: I don't even know what I should do at this
• 47:46
  Speaker 3: point other than potentially end it all.
• 47:54
  Speaker 2: I need intermission music, man, I need some different music here,
• 47:58
  Speaker 2: all right, NBA, let's go, man, Yeah, two of these
• 48:03
  Speaker 2: games I do like. Let's see, first game up in
• 48:07
  Speaker 2: the NBA is my Boston Celtics against Toronto. Toronto's coming
• 48:12
  Speaker 2: into this after letting me down by only beating Charlotte
• 48:15
  Speaker 2: by one and not covering the one and a half
• 48:17
  Speaker 2: when Charlotte was coming off that just monumental blowout upset
• 48:22
  Speaker 2: at the thunder. I don't know how we didn't get
• 48:24
  Speaker 2: this one in Toronto. The market disagreed with Toronto two,
• 48:27
  Speaker 2: which made absolutely zero sense to me. Toronto did not
• 48:31
  Speaker 2: get it done though. Now they're going to Boston after
• 48:34
  Speaker 2: kind of a weak performance against Charlotte, so you got
• 48:37
  Speaker 2: to expect Toronto will show up with the Celtics have
• 48:40
  Speaker 2: kind of had their number.
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: The Celtics beat them at home.
• 48:42
  Speaker 2: Both Celtics beat them in Toronto, I should say both
• 48:45
  Speaker 2: times so far, but the last one was a pretty
• 48:48
  Speaker 2: ugly loss for Toronto one twelve to ninety six, so
• 48:51
  Speaker 2: Toronto might have some adjustments they'll make. Here.
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: It's a little bit of a road.
• 48:56
  Speaker 2: Revenge type of angle here, where again, revenge, you don't
• 49:00
  Speaker 2: really want to call it revenge because revenge always gets overstated.
• 49:03
  Speaker 2: It's not like the team is like, we're really angry
• 49:05
  Speaker 2: at this team because they beat us. It's more that
• 49:08
  Speaker 2: the team that won those games might get a little
• 49:10
  Speaker 2: bit complacent playing that team again, and the team that
• 49:14
  Speaker 2: lost or whatever, especially if it was an outlier, will
• 49:16
  Speaker 2: be the team that knows like they'll have the adjustments
• 49:20
  Speaker 2: to make, whereas the team that won also won't be
• 49:22
  Speaker 2: able to make adjustments. So it's kind of like it's
• 49:24
  Speaker 2: the zig zag theory basically, where I'm gonna have a
• 49:28
  Speaker 2: zigzag game today. By the way, so you probably know
• 49:30
  Speaker 2: where what it is. I don't do too many of them,
• 49:32
  Speaker 2: but I do like this one. I'll explain that when
• 49:35
  Speaker 2: I get to it. But the Celtics, they're coming up
• 49:37
  Speaker 2: kind of blowing the game against Denver Man it was
• 49:39
  Speaker 2: a close game pretty much the whole way, but the
• 49:41
  Speaker 2: Celtics led for more of the game. The Celtics had
• 49:44
  Speaker 2: like a nine point lead fairly late in the game.
• 49:46
  Speaker 2: They blew it against a jokichless Denver, although Denver did
• 49:50
  Speaker 2: have Aaron Gordon and what's his name?
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: Murray? I forget which Murray's which Murray?
• 49:56
  Speaker 2: And Murray and Gordon both played in the game, and
• 50:00
  Speaker 2: they've both been dealing with injuries, and I expect they'll
• 50:02
  Speaker 2: both play again today for Denver when we get to it.
• 50:05
  Speaker 2: But Celtics, that was a tough game and it ended
• 50:08
  Speaker 2: a four game win streak for them, So I could
• 50:13
  Speaker 2: see the Celtics maybe being in a bit of a
• 50:14
  Speaker 2: hangover spot here. And they do play San Antonio tomorrow
• 50:18
  Speaker 2: which might draw more of their focus, even though it's
• 50:20
  Speaker 2: an out of conference game. So I think I would
• 50:23
  Speaker 2: probably have to leave Toronto in this game. Don't really
• 50:25
  Speaker 2: have a strong opinion, though the money is disagreeing. The
• 50:29
  Speaker 2: money is coming in all on the Celtics at least
• 50:32
  Speaker 2: right now. Hopefully they win because I'm a fan of.
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: The Celtics, sofully for my rooting purposes, hopefully they at
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: least win. I don't care about the cover though. Celtics
• 50:41
  Speaker 1: up for.
• 50:42
  Speaker 2: Eight and a half to nine here, ninety seven percent
• 50:44
  Speaker 2: of the cash on them tickets are evenly split.
• 50:47
  Speaker 1: We'll see what happens in that game.
• 50:49
  Speaker 2: I could see the argument that the Celtics could bounce
• 50:51
  Speaker 2: back though from losing to Denver, because the Celtics were
• 50:54
  Speaker 2: a favorite at home by like six or seven points
• 50:57
  Speaker 2: in that game Denver without Jokic, So the Celtic could
• 51:01
  Speaker 2: debatably be in a bounced back spot here, I guess,
• 51:03
  Speaker 2: although I don't quite see it that way because I
• 51:05
  Speaker 2: think mentally you're still thinking that was a big game.
• 51:07
  Speaker 2: It was Denver, Philadelphia at Orlando. I think we have
• 51:11
  Speaker 2: about ten NBA games today. NBA has usually got a
• 51:15
  Speaker 2: good Friday board here. Philadelphia just beat Washington in a
• 51:19
  Speaker 2: blowout at home. Now they're I think gonna carry that
• 51:22
  Speaker 2: momentum out on the road. So I think it's a
• 51:24
  Speaker 2: fine spot for Philadelphia here for Orlando, Orlando is coming
• 51:30
  Speaker 2: off I believe a bad performance as well. Yeah, they
• 51:32
  Speaker 2: barely got by Brooklyn on the road in overtime. They
• 51:36
  Speaker 2: got by Brooklyn after losing to Washington. So two really
• 51:40
  Speaker 2: bad performances from Orlando now they're back at home. It
• 51:44
  Speaker 2: was a quick road trip though, only Tuesday Wednesday, so
• 51:47
  Speaker 2: I don't think it's really that full road trip return
• 51:50
  Speaker 2: spot where you know, you get distracted by having to
• 51:53
  Speaker 2: get back to home life and whatever. So I don't
• 51:55
  Speaker 2: really think they fall into that category. They've played a
• 51:58
  Speaker 2: lot of games recently, playing a third game in four
• 52:01
  Speaker 2: day's all different cities, fourth and sixth, and fifth and eight.
• 52:05
  Speaker 2: It goes all the way back towards Christmas too. They
• 52:07
  Speaker 2: played a lot of games. This is gonna be their
• 52:12
  Speaker 2: ninth games. It is December twenty sixth, I believe, is
• 52:14
  Speaker 2: what that is.
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: That's yeah, it's a lot of games.
• 52:17
  Speaker 2: So the rest spot is not exactly great for the
• 52:20
  Speaker 2: magic here.
• 52:21
  Speaker 1: The money is coming in on the Magic though.
• 52:23
  Speaker 2: The Sixers are up to a three point favorite, fifty
• 52:25
  Speaker 2: nine percent of the tickets around them, fifty eight percent
• 52:27
  Speaker 2: of the cash back on the Magic.
• 52:30
  Speaker 1: So the market read right now, is saying the magic.
• 52:33
  Speaker 2: I don't really have a strong opinion on it, so
• 52:35
  Speaker 2: when I don't usually i'll just kind of look at
• 52:37
  Speaker 2: the market and try to read the market and see
• 52:39
  Speaker 2: what's going on there. So I guess I'll agree with
• 52:42
  Speaker 2: taking the points of the Magic, although I don't necessarily
• 52:45
  Speaker 2: really like it. You gotta look at what's going on
• 52:47
  Speaker 2: with the injury situation as well. Where for the Magic,
• 52:51
  Speaker 2: what looks like Wagner. It's Franz Wagner, who's the one
• 52:54
  Speaker 2: we want to look at here and Suggs.
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: They're both still out it looks like so they're not
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: gonna be back in this game. So there's no.
• 52:59
  Speaker 2: Reverse injured player situation going on here. For the Sixers,
• 53:04
  Speaker 2: embiid is just a game time decision in literally every game,
• 53:07
  Speaker 2: So we'll see if he plays or not. Joel m Need,
• 53:13
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: He has a bad knee. The Pelicans at Washington.
• 53:18
  Speaker 2: This is hilarious because the Pelicans might I think they
• 53:21
  Speaker 2: have the worst record in the NBA right at eight
• 53:24
  Speaker 2: and thirty one, two and fourteen on the road. Washington's
• 53:27
  Speaker 2: ten to twenty six, which is not as bad, and
• 53:30
  Speaker 2: six and twelve at home. Yet the Pelicans are a
• 53:33
  Speaker 2: favorite in this game. So the odds viggers are actually
• 53:35
  Speaker 2: telling you Washington is worse than the Pelicans, which is insane.
• 53:39
  Speaker 2: It looks like a misleading line. I mean, I don't
• 53:42
  Speaker 2: think the public is gonna want this game at all.
• 53:44
  Speaker 2: But the line looks so misleading. It almost looks like
• 53:47
  Speaker 2: the public would have to take the Wizard's year as
• 53:50
  Speaker 2: the underdog because I don't think they want to lay
• 53:52
  Speaker 2: points with this Pelicans team. But the money looks like
• 53:55
  Speaker 2: it is on the Wizards after the Pelicans went up
• 53:57
  Speaker 2: to a three point favorite. Sixty two percent of ticket
• 54:00
  Speaker 2: ninety four percent of the cash on the Wizards. I
• 54:03
  Speaker 2: don't know, man, I don't know about that. Now, multiple
• 54:07
  Speaker 2: things to consider in this game. Of course, we got
• 54:09
  Speaker 2: to look at the situation. The Pelicans have lost a
• 54:12
  Speaker 2: bunch of games in a row. I can't even count
• 54:13
  Speaker 2: that many at this point. I think it's nine or ten.
• 54:16
  Speaker 2: They just lost at Atlanta by double digits. They should
• 54:19
  Speaker 2: be focused because no team wants to lose like this.
• 54:23
  Speaker 2: For Washington, I think Washington is coming off a bad
• 54:26
  Speaker 2: I mean they're coming off a bad game as well.
• 54:28
  Speaker 2: They lost to Philadelphia by twenty one points. So both
• 54:32
  Speaker 2: teams should be focused here. Now there is the added
• 54:35
  Speaker 2: question because there is the Tray Young trade that just happened.
• 54:40
  Speaker 2: I believe the night of the seventh, I think Wednesday
• 54:43
  Speaker 2: night had happened, so Trey Young for some reason wanted
• 54:47
  Speaker 2: to go to the Wizards. I mean, he must have
• 54:49
  Speaker 2: really wanted out of Atlanta if he wants to go
• 54:51
  Speaker 2: to the Wizards.
• 54:53
  Speaker 1: I don't know what is up with that. But he
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: got traded to the Wizards.
• 54:56
  Speaker 2: I don't believe he's gonna play tonight, but he he's
• 55:00
  Speaker 2: traded to the Wizards.
• 55:01
  Speaker 1: So how is that gonna affect the Wizards?
• 55:03
  Speaker 2: I honestly have no clue, Like, are they gonna be
• 55:06
  Speaker 2: pumped because hey, we're getting Tray Young here, We're getting
• 55:09
  Speaker 2: a star player. Are they gonna be confused? Like is
• 55:13
  Speaker 2: it gonna be a positive and negative? And then if
• 55:16
  Speaker 2: he plays, I actually think it's a negative in the
• 55:18
  Speaker 2: first game because the team has you know, they haven't
• 55:21
  Speaker 2: played with him, so they haven't developed any chemistry with him,
• 55:23
  Speaker 2: and he hasn't played for a long time either, and
• 55:25
  Speaker 2: he's been kind of a chemistry issue ahead case. So
• 55:28
  Speaker 2: first time Trey Young plays for Washington, I think you
• 55:31
  Speaker 2: actually want to look to fade them now.
• 55:33
  Speaker 1: I don't think it's.
• 55:34
  Speaker 2: Gonna be in this game, but I guess we have
• 55:36
  Speaker 2: to see if we can figure that out. There are
• 55:39
  Speaker 2: a lot of guys on the injury report here on
• 55:41
  Speaker 2: this side. Trey Young is listening on the injury report
• 55:44
  Speaker 2: for Washington. A lot of guys on New Orleans listed
• 55:46
  Speaker 2: on the injury report, but I don't think it's totally
• 55:49
  Speaker 2: significant though.
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: Now Trey Young is he gonna play? Let's see, he hasn't.
• 55:55
  Speaker 2: Played since December twenty seventh, and then he actually got
• 56:01
  Speaker 2: traded vs.
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: CJ. McCollum.
• 56:02
  Speaker 2: And I don't know who kiss burt is, But honestly,
• 56:06
  Speaker 2: I kind of like McCollum.
• 56:07
  Speaker 1: I think he's an under the radar. He's a good player.
• 56:09
  Speaker 2: I think he's he might be older than Young, though
• 56:11
  Speaker 2: he probably is. But I don't know, man, I don't
• 56:14
  Speaker 2: think that trade is bad for Atlanta, to be honest.
• 56:17
  Speaker 2: I mean I think even just in Atlanta, getting really
• 56:20
  Speaker 2: young I think is additioned by subtraction. Really, So I
• 56:24
  Speaker 2: don't know. I don't know what's gonna happen. If Young
• 56:26
  Speaker 2: is gonna play tonight, then I would be more tempted
• 56:30
  Speaker 2: to fade the Wizards in this game. So I don't know.
• 56:33
  Speaker 2: You have to pay attention to it. I guess to
• 56:34
  Speaker 2: see if he is gonna play, because again, I think
• 56:37
  Speaker 2: I want to fade that when you have that new
• 56:38
  Speaker 2: star there again. It's a jarring thing for the team's
• 56:41
  Speaker 2: chemistry because it's like, well, is he gonna try to
• 56:44
  Speaker 2: take over the team when these other guys already have
• 56:46
  Speaker 2: their roles and there's already gonna be some guy who's
• 56:49
  Speaker 2: kind of the leader.
• 56:49
  Speaker 1: Of the team. It's gonna be a weird situation. Man.
• 56:53
  Speaker 1: All Right, we have Clippers at Brooklyn. Let's see the Clippers.
• 57:02
  Speaker 2: And by the way, I think I probably still lean
• 57:04
  Speaker 2: to the Pelicans in that game. By the way, just
• 57:08
  Speaker 2: I don't know. I'm kind of going against the market percentages.
• 57:11
  Speaker 1: There or I am.
• 57:12
  Speaker 2: I guess for now at least Clippers just got I
• 57:15
  Speaker 2: don't want to say destroyed. But they lost by twelve
• 57:18
  Speaker 2: at the Knicks. I mean, that's not a horrible loss. Really,
• 57:20
  Speaker 2: Knicks are just the better team. Clippers staying in New
• 57:23
  Speaker 2: York going to Brooklyn, so it's an easy travel spot
• 57:26
  Speaker 2: for the Clippers here. They do have Detroit tomorrow, though,
• 57:29
  Speaker 2: so that might be a concern. It's a little bit
• 57:31
  Speaker 2: of a look ahead to Detroit. Brooklyn coming off taking
• 57:36
  Speaker 2: Orlando to overtime after beating Denver the game before that,
• 57:40
  Speaker 2: which was a win for us on the Show against Denver,
• 57:42
  Speaker 2: I think that was the second game or third game,
• 57:44
  Speaker 2: maybe without Jokic, so we took Brooklyn in that one.
• 57:47
  Speaker 2: It was a bad spot for Denver. Now, I think
• 57:50
  Speaker 2: it's got to be a bad spot for Brooklyn now.
• 57:52
  Speaker 2: Though off for those two big games, I think they
• 57:54
  Speaker 2: might come up a little bit flat in this game.
• 57:56
  Speaker 2: I think it's better for the Clippers staying in New York.
• 58:00
  Speaker 2: The only issue is are you gonna consider a sandwich
• 58:02
  Speaker 2: spot because they played the Knicks last and they have
• 58:04
  Speaker 2: Detroit next.
• 58:06
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 58:07
  Speaker 2: Like I like to fade teams when they really put
• 58:10
  Speaker 2: in a tough effort, but when they lost by double digits,
• 58:12
  Speaker 2: I don't know. But actually looking at the game flow here,
• 58:15
  Speaker 2: the Clippers were winning this game in the third quarter,
• 58:18
  Speaker 2: they fell apart in the fourth quarter, and when they
• 58:20
  Speaker 2: were down double digits late in the game, So it
• 58:22
  Speaker 2: wasn't really a game that went to the wire. So
• 58:25
  Speaker 2: all of that taking taking in, taking all of that
• 58:28
  Speaker 2: into consideration, I would probably lean to the Clippers in
• 58:31
  Speaker 2: this one. Throw up from three to four and a
• 58:33
  Speaker 2: half here, seventy seven percent of tickets ninety five percent
• 58:35
  Speaker 2: of the cash on the Clippers in that one, So
• 58:39
  Speaker 2: the money is coming in on the Clippers in agreement
• 58:42
  Speaker 2: with me.
• 58:43
  Speaker 1: Okac is at Memphis.
• 58:44
  Speaker 2: Okac just had another lackluster performance after they had that
• 58:49
  Speaker 2: atrocious blowout loss to the Hornets. I thought the Thunder
• 58:52
  Speaker 2: were gonna come out with they were gonna bring the Thunder.
• 58:55
  Speaker 1: That's what I thought. And they almost lost.
• 58:57
  Speaker 2: Again to Utah. You know, overtime, they won at home.
• 59:01
  Speaker 2: Maybe going out on the road for a game will
• 59:03
  Speaker 2: be good for them. They're going out to Memphis. I
• 59:05
  Speaker 2: don't know if they're gonna overlook Memphis. Of the Memphis,
• 59:08
  Speaker 2: I guess is still looking for playoff revenge here technically
• 59:10
  Speaker 2: because okay See knock them out of the playoffs in
• 59:13
  Speaker 2: the first round last year. Memphis has not beaten them
• 59:16
  Speaker 2: in two tries this year.
• 59:17
  Speaker 1: Although okay See.
• 59:18
  Speaker 2: Obviously is just the better team, there's no question about that. Now,
• 59:23
  Speaker 2: Memphis is coming into this game of a blowout loss
• 59:26
  Speaker 2: of Phoenix at home, so they should be focused as well.
• 59:30
  Speaker 2: Focus spot kind of for both teams. I kind of
• 59:34
  Speaker 2: like the Thunder here, but I don't know. They're up
• 59:36
  Speaker 2: from four and a half to five. Ninety percent of
• 59:38
  Speaker 2: the tickets one hundred percent of the cash on them
• 59:40
  Speaker 2: that's not accurate, obviously, but they're gonna be a public
• 59:43
  Speaker 2: side though the thunder will be. But when it's a
• 59:46
  Speaker 2: situation like this, and I expect both teams are gonna
• 59:48
  Speaker 2: kind of show up with some focus, I kind of
• 59:50
  Speaker 2: lean towards the better team, although I know that's being
• 59:52
  Speaker 2: factored into the line as well, so I don't love
• 59:54
  Speaker 2: it though, definitely a stay away. Mister Pinsley, what's up man?
• 59:58
  Speaker 2: Thanks ranging out? Yeah, sir, Alexander, mister sixty six, Hell yeah,
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 2: all right. Next up is one of my plays, and
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 2: hopefully we're gonna get this one, man.
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 1: Because I like the spot. Here, we're gonna talk about
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 1: the other side of this trade.
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 2: Here, we're gonna take the Atlanta Hawks plus one and
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 2: a half against Denver. I think the public is only
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 2: gonna be one of Denver in this game. And it
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 2: looks way too easy like a pick the winner price here.
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 2: I would, yeah, try to grab the Hawks as an
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 2: underdog here. Seventy six percent of the tickets, only sixty
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on the Nuggets, and the line
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 2: is already moving against them Denver one and a half
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 2: to one, So jokicch being out has really tanked the
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 2: oddsmakers' numbers on the Nuggets here. The Nuggets again, they
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 2: still are dealing with like Aaron Gordon questionable, Murray's questionable.
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 2: I forget which one, but whichever one is the more
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 2: significant Murray.
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 1: But all that being.
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 2: Said, I think both of those guys probably playing this game.
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 2: But I still like the Hawks here, man. I mean again,
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 2: first of all, way too easy to take the Nuggets,
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 2: even without without Jokic. The public just saw the Nuggets
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 2: win at Boston. They're not gonna have anything to do
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 2: with an eighteen and twenty one Hawk team Nuggets twenty
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 2: five and twelve. But the Nuggets have not exactly been
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 2: a force at home. They're ten and five at home,
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 2: which is fine. They've gotten a little bit better at
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 2: home recently, but they haven't been great at home. The
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 2: Hawks have actually been better on the road than at home.
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 2: Eleven and ten on the road for.
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 1: The Hawks, so a positive road record not bad for
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 1: the Hawks. Now.
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 2: One thing I also like for the Hawks is that
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 2: trade that I just mentioned, getting Tray Young out of there.
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 2: I think kind of gets like that burden off their back,
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 2: you know what I mean, because I think they've been
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 2: playing with that question mark like over the heads the
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 2: whole time, like what's gonna happen with Tray Young now
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 2: that they know he's gone. I think that's a positive
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 2: now because now it's like we know, like who we are.
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 1: For the rest of the year. We're not gonna have
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 1: Tray Young. We know this.
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 2: And yes, Addam McCollum is gonna maybe throw a wrench
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 2: into some things. We don't know how he's gonna fit in.
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 2: He's a game time decision tonight. I don't know if
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 2: he's gonna play man because the trade happened Wednesday night.
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 1: I guess we'll see.
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 2: I'm hoping that if he plays, it'll be like a
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 2: kind of in a limited capacity, because the only thing
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 2: I'm worried about is what I said just said about
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 2: Trey Young as well, where a newcomer to the team
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 2: that's like a big player might affect the chemistry negatively immediately,
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 2: like until they get the chemistry, then they'll be better,
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 2: you know what I mean.
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 1: Like, I think this is gonna benefit.
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 2: The Hawks a bit generally, this trade, and I still
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 2: think it's a good thing because again, it gets that
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 2: question mark out of the way of what.
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 1: We're gonna do with Tray Young, so I'm fine with it.
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 2: Like if McCollum plays, I still like this play because
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 2: I don't think he's gonna play in a huge capacity
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 2: at the very least. But look at the spot that
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 2: Denver is in. Man, this is kind of the whole.
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 2: This is the whole handicap, really is it? But I
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 2: do I think it is even better because my Atlanta
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 2: has that again that like onus lifted off of them
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 2: with the whole confusion with the Tray Young thing.
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 1: But the spot is awful for Denver.
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 2: They've been on the road since December twenty seventh, like
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 2: almost a two week road trip for Denver, absolutely insane.
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 2: And now they're finally coming back home from the East
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 2: Coast and they beat Boston in a comeback upset win
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 2: without Jokic against the Celtics, big win.
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 1: They're coming back home. I just don't know if.
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 2: They're gonna really have a whole lot of focus on
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 2: the Hawks man and out of conference below five hundred team.
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 2: The Nuggets have Milwaukee next, could maybe be a look
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 2: ahead just because Giannis is back, So maybe Milwaukee does
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 2: attract more of your attention than Atlanta does. Milwaukee they've
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 2: been a playoff team last couple of years. Atlanta kind
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 2: of has, but not not as good as Milwaukee. They
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 2: haven't been as good as Milwaukee, So I hate the
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 2: spot for Denver though, just in general, whether it's a
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 2: look ahead to Milwaukee or not, it's at the very
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 2: least a major distraction spot. I think coming back home
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 2: from that long road trip. Again, when you return over
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 2: from a road trip, you can get distracted. There's a
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 2: lot of stuff you might have to do back in home.
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 1: These guys have families, whatever.
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I think it's a really bad spot for Denver,
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 2: plus maybe a letdown spot off of beating the Celtics.
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 1: They're also playing well.
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 2: They're playing a third game in five days, so it's
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 2: not exactly that jammed of a schedule, but it is
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 2: a fourth in six days because they had a back
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 2: to back on Sunday and Monday, and it is a
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 2: fifth game in eight days and a six game in
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 2: ten days as well, so they are still playing a
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 2: pretty pack schedule here. So that's not great for Denver either.
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 2: They're still without jokicch of course, Atlanta coming into this one.
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 2: I think it's a better spot for Atlanta. They just
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 2: broke a two game loss stright with a win over
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 2: New Orleans. They're not gonna be overconfident after a win
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 2: against New Orleans that was at home in a weird
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 2: single game Homestand now they're actually starting a road trip.
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 2: And I talk about teams usually are focused to start
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 2: the road trip.
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 1: Man, And they're coming off a win.
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 2: That's not gonna make them over confident, but it'll just
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 2: give them a little bit of confidence. All Right, we
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 2: won a game against the Pelicans. Bring that out on
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 2: the road. The Trey Young thing again is gone. They
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 2: don't have to think about it anymore. So I think
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 2: that's good. I think they're gonna be focused. Everything for
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 2: me pretty much lines up for me. Yeah, Like everything
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 2: for me lines up on the Hawks in this one.
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 2: So that's the first NBA play that I have here,
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 2: plus one and a half on the spread. If the
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 2: odds aren't terrible, what's the line? What's the one and
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 2: a half? Like, what's the juice on it? I mean, obviously,
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 2: first of all, I recommend being at as many books
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 2: as possible in your state or whatever, like having an
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 2: account at all the books so you can line shop.
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 2: But like if you're talking about having a lay like
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 2: minus one twenty to get the plus one and a half,
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 2: I would probably start looking money lined and that one
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 2: and just played them to win the game.
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 1: So that's that would probably be my that would be
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 1: the way that I would do it.
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 2: Let me see, like I found it just at a
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 2: straight up plus one and a half at minus one
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 2: ten though, So that's the play that I'm recommending here.
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 2: Let me see what the odds look like right now. Actually, yeah,
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 2: I still see that like pretty abundant out there. I
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 2: see a lot of books in Massachusetts at least with
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 2: plus one and a half minus one ten. Plus one
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 2: minus one ten seems pretty abundant to me. But DraftKings
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 2: is really screwing you on the plus one and a half.
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 2: They're minus one twenty two. DraftKings are being assholes with
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 2: this line. But most of the rest of the books
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 2: are treating you fairly well here. So but if you
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 2: don't find a good number there, money line I think
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 2: makes sense. Like the money line prices all look pretty good,
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 2: like even even money at DraftKings. Even so, if you
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 2: want to screw DraftKings, if that's what you're talking about,
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 2: don't take the plus one and a half at minus
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 2: one twenty two. Just grab the money line at plus
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 2: one hundred, which is what I see at DraftKings right now,
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 2: so that's probably what I would do. And then I
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 2: see all their money lines minus one ten, minus one
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 2: oh five, minus one oh two at FanDuel. Not horrible
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 2: numbers there either, So hopefully that answer makes sense.
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 1: All right.
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 2: We have the Nick at the Suns, pretty in dressing matchup.
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 2: It's a good matchup. The Knicks coming off beating the
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 2: Clippers and starting a road trip. That's a good sign.
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 1: I think for the Knicks.
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 2: They had a four game losing streak. They broke that
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 2: losing momentum with a win. That's not gonna make them
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 2: over confident. Now they get to carry that momentum out
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 2: on the road, the new momentum after breaking the losing momentum.
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 2: It's a positive spot to me for the Knicks. They
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 2: don't have a bigger game up next. I think they're
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 2: gonna be focused on the Suns. The Suns are actually
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 2: the team that has the best record out of all
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 2: the teams are facing on the road trip. For the Suns,
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 2: they're not exactly in a bad spot either. If I
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 2: remember correctly they were returning home from a road trip,
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 2: but it was only Monday Wednesday.
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 1: They went to Houston. They did play a good game
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 1: and barely lost.
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 2: We took a loss in that game was Houston in
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 2: cover and what I thought was a good spot for Houston.
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 2: Phoenix got the win there. Phoenix then won at Memphis
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 2: in pretty much a blowout by nineteen points or whatever
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 2: that is. Now they are coming back home from that,
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 2: but again, I don't think it's gonna be a huge
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 2: distraction spot or anything like that because it was a
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 2: short road trip. Stuff doesn't really pile up to have
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 2: to get done at home. And they're not gonna overlook
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 2: the Knicks, I wouldn't think. But all that being said,
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 2: I think Phoenix their last couple of performances were more
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 2: impressive than the Knicks performances were.
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 4: Of the.
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 2: The Knicks are road favorite for a reason here, man,
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 2: I kind of like the Knicks in this one, but
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 2: the money is disagreeing. Like I thought, the Sons actually
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 2: might wind up being a public home underdog in this game,
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 2: which is really not what you wanted. Though they have
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 2: seventy one percent of the tickets, ninety three percent of
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 2: the cash on them right now, and the Knicks have
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 2: dropped from a two point favorite to a one point favorite.
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 2: I don't know if both teams are healthy enough and whatever,
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 2: and I think they're both in pretty good spots.
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 1: I kind of like the Knicks here. The Knicks, the.
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 2: Injury report is pretty clean except Josh Hart is still
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 2: out for the Suns. Jalen Green is going to miss
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 2: another game here. I think he's been out for a while.
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 2: I'm pretty sure, but he's the more important player out
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 2: of those two. A. Sacramento at Golden State is just
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 2: crazy ugly. I mean, mostly because Sacramento is ugly, but
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 2: Golden State's just an aging team. It's not very good anymore.
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 2: Sacramento has just been bad recently. They played a pretty
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 2: competitive game against Dallas in their last game.
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 1: Now they have a single road trip.
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 2: They got a couple of days off, which might help
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 2: because they've lost six games in a row, so having
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 2: time off.
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 1: Can help break that losing momentum.
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 2: They're only taking a trip over to the Bay Area
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 2: a quick trip to Golden State, so I don't think
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 2: it's really a negative spot for Sacramento here.
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 1: Golden State just beat Milwaukee decent win.
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 2: I'm assuming Giannis was playing in that game, so a
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 2: decent win for Golden State.
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 1: They're staying at home.
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 2: They don't really have anything up after this though, so
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 2: I don't think it's a terrible spot for Golden State
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 2: here either. But you don't have to lay a ton
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 2: of points with Golden State here fourteen point favorite. The
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 2: money is actually coming in on them. They moved up
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 2: from a twelve point favorite. Sixty two percent takes ninety
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 2: four percent of the cash on the Warriors.
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 1: You know, this kid's team.
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 2: I mean, they have just been I think they've been
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 2: burning a lot of money for better as recently. They're
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 2: not really covering numbers. They've covered a couple of times
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 2: for me this season, but it was taking them in
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 2: really good spots and this is not exactly one of them.
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 2: I mean, my gut is to still kind of lead
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 2: towards taking the points of the Kings, but they're just
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 2: been getting their ass handed to them so much. I
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 2: just can't do it, even though I know it's factoring
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 2: into the line. The line looks too high to me,
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 2: like I think the even though the money is coming
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 2: in a Golden State I think the line value might
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 2: be on the Kings, but I just can't do it.
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 2: The Kings are just such an injured team. They can't
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 2: really do anything without Sabonis and Levine and whatever. Houston
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 2: at Portland. This is my other play, by the way,
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 2: this is the zigzag play. And I know it's not
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 2: very often that I lay road favorites, so I think
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 2: I'm probably gonna do it more often in the NBA.
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 2: The most other sports, well, sometimes I'll lay like a
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 2: small road favorite Hawk obviously a lot like no problem there,
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 2: but like a larger favorite. It's not gonna happen very
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 2: often other than NBA, where I think NBA is the.
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 1: Sport that gives you the most opportunities to do it.
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 2: In NBA, so many points get scored when you're laying
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 2: like a six and a half point favorite here, which
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 2: is what I'm gonna do here, Houston.
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 1: Minus six and a half.
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 2: It's not like laying a touchdown in football, where points
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 2: are more to premium in football by far than they
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 2: are in the NBA. Obviously, we're gonna lay it with Houston.
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 2: Seven is somewhat of a key number. Teams stop intentionally
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 2: fouling when they're down three possessions. But I think this
• 1:11:35
  Speaker 2: is a zigzag spot. I know we did lose with
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 2: the favorite last night on the road Dallas. Houston's a
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 2: better team in Dallas, and I think the spot sets
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 2: up well for Houston. This is a back to back
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 2: Houston at Portland, same matchup as Wednesday, and in that game,
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 2: I think Houston was about a seven point favorite. So
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 2: I think you might be getting a little bit of
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 2: value on the number two because Portland won that game.
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 2: So I consider that to be an outlier type of game.
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 2: And when you dig into the box score, I think
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 2: there are definitely reasons to see that as an outliner.
• 1:12:05
  Speaker 2: That's where you really want to come in and play
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 2: the zig zag. You want to look at the box
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 2: score and say, why did the score happen? And if
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 2: it was something crazy like oh, there was just this
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 2: huge overperformance by Portland or something like that's some outlier
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 2: that can easily be corrected, then you want a zig
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 2: zag it. And that's what we're doing here. Or if
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 2: like a sizeable underdog one it makes sense to kind
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 2: of want a zigzag, like I think it makes sense
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 2: to zig zag it.
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 1: That was the case here. The better team is gonna
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 1: be the team that has the adjustments to make.
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 2: I like being on a spot like that, Like the
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 2: zigzag is all about the team that way underperformed can
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 2: make adjustments and fix things going into the next game,
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 2: whereas the team that overperformed it played better. They don't
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 2: have adjustments to make because they already did well.
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 1: So I like all that.
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 2: I like it, maybe even better if it's the better
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 2: team in the zigzaggle though. I know we're having a
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 2: late points here, but that is what we're doing here.
• 1:12:56
  Speaker 2: And then I forget what was the other thing I
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 2: was gonna say about that Now I don't know. I
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 2: lost my train of thought. Now I don't remember what
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 2: it was.
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 1: I think that's basically about it. It's about the adjustments.
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 2: And then if you look and see that this was
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 2: an outlier situation as well, But the two situations are
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 2: really when when a sizeable underdog won the first game
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 2: outright something like that, or when the game was just
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 2: a complete blowout, like if the favorite even blows the
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 2: team out by ridiculous margin, then maybe you want to
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 2: zig zagg it as well, and we'll get the underdog
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 2: to play a little bit better.
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 1: In the next game.
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 2: In the favorite might just totally overlook them whatever, but
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 2: I think this is the preferable spot. Actually in the NBA,
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 2: you're going with the better team after they lost. Houston
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 2: lost by one point here. Now, what happened in this
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 2: game is the question. Houston was a favorite, Like I said,
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 2: they're probably about a seven point favorite. They were leading
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 2: most of the way early on in the game, and
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 2: then mount of failing later in the game. They want
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 2: to falling behind and they couldn't catch up and they
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 2: lost the game later in the game.
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 1: So that's what happened here. I wanted to look at
• 1:13:59
  Speaker 1: the game flow real quick.
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 4: Here.
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 1: Yeah, it was actually.
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 2: Houston never really had a huge margin here. Actually, my mistake,
• 1:14:05
  Speaker 2: Portland was winning at halftime.
• 1:14:07
  Speaker 1: My mistake. Yeah, Portland was actually winning most of the games.
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 1: That's my mistake. I was reading this wrong. I thought
• 1:14:13
  Speaker 1: Houston was the red line.
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 2: Screw ESPN, man, Why is Houston black and Portland red
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 2: on this It should be the opposite.
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 1: But yeah, Portland had a good game and they were
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 1: winning most of the game.
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 2: But look at what happened in this game, man, Houston
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 2: dominated the rebounds, and we know Houston has a huge
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 2: size advantage.
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 1: Houston's the tallest lineup in the NBA.
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 2: They had nineteen more rebounds than the Blazers did in
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 2: the game, and usually when you dominate the rebounds like that,
• 1:14:39
  Speaker 2: you're gonna win the game. Houston also had ninety nine
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 2: field goal attempts to Portland's eighty three, so Houston had
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 2: way more possessions. They were cleaning it up on the glass.
• 1:14:50
  Speaker 2: How did Houston lose this game? Well, one thing is
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 2: Houston shot horribly in the game. They shot thirty seven
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 2: percent from the field, which is not usually what you're
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 2: gonna see from them, especially when they're when they have
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 2: big men that are dominating on the inside. Usually they're
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 2: gonna be just putting up a lot of like they're
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 2: gonna be putting it in like from close to the
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 2: basket a lot.
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 1: So I don't know what happened in that game.
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 2: And then Houston also was really bad from three point range,
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 2: though they're not exactly a three point shooting team, but
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 2: there were minus four and three pointers and they only
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 2: shot twenty two percent, so that wasn't good. And Houston
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 2: was bad from the free throw line sixty nine percent,
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 2: so that hurt them as well slightly. They actually still
• 1:15:29
  Speaker 2: made one more free throw because they went to the
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 2: line more. But still there are some major outliers in
• 1:15:35
  Speaker 2: this game. And I know Houston might not be the
• 1:15:37
  Speaker 2: best free throw shooting team because they're like all big men,
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 2: but major outliers. As far as Houston is not gonna
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 2: shoot thirty seven percent again, there's gonna be a huge
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 2: positive regression there. And then again, like the the other
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 2: aspects of the game looked like Houston should have won
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 2: the game. They just had way more possessions, way more rebounds.
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 2: And if they do that again and they're able to
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 2: dominate like that again, they should be able to win
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 2: this game by margin. So we'll lay it with Houston
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 2: in this one. The money is all disagreeing with me
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 2: on this one.
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 1: Man. It wasn't before I did the show, the money
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 1: was on Houston. Now it's not.
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 2: But I don't know what's going on. Fifty nine percent
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 2: of the tickets on Houston, eighty four percent of the
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 2: cash on the Blazers. Obviously, I do not agree.
• 1:16:17
  Speaker 1: The total is low though, at two twenty one, I
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 1: mean it's low for an NBA game, So laying the
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 1: points a little bit less. It's a little bit more
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 1: questionable I should say when that's the case. But I
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 1: like it, man.
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 2: I think this is a classic zigzag spot here. And
• 1:16:32
  Speaker 2: I'm not gonna say Houston's excuse. I'm not gonna say
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 2: Portland's gonna overlook Houston. But they did just beat Houston
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 2: and they do have the Knicks next, so I don't know. Man,
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 2: to me, it looks like a spot where Houston's gonna
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 2: show up and get the job done. So we're gonna
• 1:16:47
  Speaker 2: lay it with Houston, and then we do have the
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 2: final game here is Milwaukee at the Lakers, which I
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 2: believe is still the Lakers without Austin Reeves.
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 1: Lakers struggling a bit here.
• 1:16:58
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee just lost at Golden State, so they're already on
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 2: the Pacific coast at the very least.
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 1: You know they're not gonna.
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 2: Overlook the Lakers, and it's a big game whenever you
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 2: play the Lakers. Giannie is back, so you do have
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 2: that going for you with Milwaukee. I used been back
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 2: for a while. Lakers, they're coming out of a bigger game.
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 2: Then against San Antonio, though got to be kind of
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 2: a frustrating loss.
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 1: It was close for a while They.
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 2: Wound up losing by sixteen though, so they had just
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 2: the Lakers just I think ran out of steam later
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 2: in the game there. I could see the argument that
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 2: maybe it's a hangover spot for the Lakers after that,
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 2: but I think they lost by too much. Like if
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 2: the game went to the wire, I would be more
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 2: inclined to say it's a hangover spot.
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 1: They are returning over from a road trip.
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 2: But it was only a quick Tuesday Wednesday road trip
• 1:17:44
  Speaker 2: New Orleans, San Antonio, so I don't think it's one
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 2: of those road trip returns where they're not gonna be
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 2: focused and whatever. Third game in four days, not great,
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 2: all in different cities. You know, this is one we're
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 2: I'm probably gonna just default to the market read here.
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 2: The Lakers are getting the the money, eighty percent of tickets,
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 2: ninety nine percent of the cash on them.
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 1: You know, I guess I don't know. The argument is well,
• 1:18:06
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 2: I mean, actually I kind of want to disagree with it, man,
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 2: I mean, the Lakers are still coming off I think
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 2: a bigger game, a game against a better opponent, and
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 2: with the slight road trip return, I kind of still
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 2: actually disagree with that, and lean towards the Bucks, but
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 2: I don't want anything to do with that game, all right.
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 2: And then finally we have college football, of course, which
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 2: I think is why everybody's here.
• 1:18:31
  Speaker 1: That's why I save it for last.
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 2: We have the other semi final game in the college
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 2: football Playoffs Playoffs, which is Oregon in Indiana, and I
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 2: think these are the two best teams left. I think
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 2: these are two of the top three teams in college football,
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 2: in fact, with Ohio State being the other one. This
• 1:18:48
  Speaker 2: is the peach Ball, so it's gonna be in Atlanta,
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 2: so the location not really a benefit to one team
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 2: or the other. Indiana's gone down from a four and
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 2: a half point favorite for three and a half point favorite.
• 1:18:59
  Speaker 2: They're kind the public side seventy one percent of the tickets,
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 2: but they seem to be getting some of the professional
• 1:19:04
  Speaker 2: money as well. It's seventy seven percent of the cash.
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 2: And you know, i'd lean to Indiana here as well.
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 2: I mean, it's it's a game where both teams are
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 2: gonna show up. I know Indiana looked really really good,
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 2: just crushing Alabama, but Alabama it's like, I don't know,
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 2: everybody's just kind of saying, yeah, the SEC. They're not
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 2: that great. Alabama didn't really belong here. Even after Alabama
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 2: beat Oklahoma. I think people won't put that much weight
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 2: into that at this point and they're just gonna look
• 1:19:30
  Speaker 2: at what happened last game. Yeah, Indiana just it was
• 1:19:33
  Speaker 2: a blowout win for Indiana, but I was impressed by it,
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 2: man the fact that Indiana was able to dominate that much.
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 2: I think Alabama is not a bad team at all.
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 2: Like I think they were a top probably seventeam in
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 2: college football, and Indiana had that buy the dreaded playoff
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 2: by so that really showed me something where they're the
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 2: only team since college football started doing this again. I
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 2: pointed this out last night too. The last two years
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 2: the college football has been doing this every by team lost.
• 1:20:00
  Speaker 2: Although I know last year two of the bye teams
• 1:20:03
  Speaker 2: were those automatic conference winner bids and probably they shouldn't
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 2: have been the buys. This year they fixed that so
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 2: it was better teams at the buys. But Indiana was
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 2: the only team that was able to overcome that layoff,
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 2: and they did it also coming off the huge Big
• 1:20:16
  Speaker 2: Ten championship win against Ohio State, So I was very
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 2: impressed in Indiana was able to do that in a
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 2: horrible spot. They totally dominated the game. Man, I know
• 1:20:27
  Speaker 2: Oregon is better than Alabama, not gonna deny that, but
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 2: Indiana is the more balanced team.
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 1: Still.
• 1:20:32
  Speaker 2: They're really good on both sides of the ball, offense
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 2: and defense. They're excellent in the trenches, which mattered last night.
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 2: Miami was the better team in the trenches last night.
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 2: That definitely matters when it comes down to these huge
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 2: games here, these playoff games. Oregon, they could tend to
• 1:20:49
  Speaker 2: have lapses have been.
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 1: On defense at times.
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 2: Their offense can kind of get a little bit more
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 2: one dimensional at times as well. The win I know
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 2: we had Oregon, Oregon was one of my plays again
• 1:21:00
  Speaker 2: Texas Tech. I just was not sold on Texas Tech
• 1:21:02
  Speaker 2: at all. That was more about Oregon was the way
• 1:21:04
  Speaker 2: more battle tested, team experienced team. Oregon got the job done,
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 2: but they weren't exactly impressive and doing so. It looks
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 2: pretty good that they won twenty three to nothing. But
• 1:21:14
  Speaker 2: if you dive into the box score of that game,
• 1:21:17
  Speaker 2: I believe they were Oh, I can bring it up
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 2: right now.
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 1: I believe there were some turnovers.
• 1:21:20
  Speaker 2: In the game and whatever, I'll let me see like
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 2: it wasn't exactly what it looked like. Even though I
• 1:21:25
  Speaker 2: want to say that my handicap was great in that game,
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 2: I think it was fine. I mean, we still got
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 2: the win twenty three to nothing, so it's not like
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 2: a game where I totally miss handicapped it or anything.
• 1:21:36
  Speaker 2: Indiana absolutely dominated Alabama and there's nothing misleading about that game. Oregon,
• 1:21:42
  Speaker 2: their defense did really handle Texas Tech. Though Oregon their
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 2: defense showed up in this game. They outgained Texas Tech
• 1:21:49
  Speaker 2: by almost one hundred yards, Texas Tech was held a
• 1:21:51
  Speaker 2: very few yards. Oregon did win the game, but it
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 2: was exacerbated by Texas Tech four turnovers, including I think
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 2: at least one where they were about to score.
• 1:22:02
  Speaker 1: When they were down.
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 2: I think Texas Tech was down like I want to say,
• 1:22:06
  Speaker 2: sixteen to seven or something, and they were about to
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 2: score a touchdown and they threw an interception.
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 1: At that point.
• 1:22:11
  Speaker 2: So the game was a little bit misleading. Although the
• 1:22:15
  Speaker 2: Oregon dominated the possession in the game or whatever. Yeah,
• 1:22:17
  Speaker 2: Oregon's a good team. They were the better team in
• 1:22:19
  Speaker 2: the game, no doubt about that. But I just think
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 2: Oregon's gonna struggle a little bit more in this game.
• 1:22:24
  Speaker 2: Man against Indiana. And yes, I know we do have
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 2: a data point here where Indiana beat Oregon in Oregon
• 1:22:31
  Speaker 2: earlier this season, which was Oregon's one loss, So I
• 1:22:34
  Speaker 2: know it's gonna be you know, Oregon's gonna focus. Of course,
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 2: it's one of those games where Oregon's gonna have the
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 2: game circle because you know who that one team that
• 1:22:41
  Speaker 2: beat you was.
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 1: But I don't think that matter. I mean, this is
• 1:22:44
  Speaker 1: the playoff semi final.
• 1:22:46
  Speaker 2: Man, It's not like either team is lacking in motivation here,
• 1:22:49
  Speaker 2: So I don't think that's a big factor.
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 1: Now.
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 2: As far as Oregon might be able to make adjustments, yeah,
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 2: I mean that's definitely an argument because they lost.
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 1: By ten at home to Indiana.
• 1:22:58
  Speaker 2: Oregon was actually a set seven point favorite when this
• 1:23:01
  Speaker 2: game happened, and the line has definitely moved quite a
• 1:23:04
  Speaker 2: bit from that, because if Oregon was a seven point
• 1:23:06
  Speaker 2: favorite there, that probably means this should be about a
• 1:23:08
  Speaker 2: three point favorite on a neutral.
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 1: But that was earlier in the season, man.
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 2: And now the odds of adjustice is such an Indiana
• 1:23:14
  Speaker 2: as the three and a half point favorite on a neutral,
• 1:23:18
  Speaker 2: I would probably agree there's not a ton of line
• 1:23:21
  Speaker 2: value left in Indiana.
• 1:23:22
  Speaker 1: I think you had to adjust the power ratings to
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 1: some extent on these teams. Indiana is the better team.
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 2: But I think the line probably should be two to
• 1:23:30
  Speaker 2: two and a half here, So I think it has
• 1:23:32
  Speaker 2: been over just a little bit. I still would probably
• 1:23:34
  Speaker 2: only lean to Indiana here, but it's not gonna make
• 1:23:37
  Speaker 2: my card or anything like that. If you look at
• 1:23:39
  Speaker 2: what happened in this game between Indiana and Oregon, Indiana
• 1:23:42
  Speaker 2: did win. I mean it wasn't very misleading. Indiana did
• 1:23:45
  Speaker 2: have a plus one turnover margin, but look at the
• 1:23:47
  Speaker 2: stats here. Indiana outgained them three twenty six to two,
• 1:23:50
  Speaker 2: sixty seven, twenty three to fourteen, and first downs. They
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 2: won the time of possession battle by over six minutes,
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 2: So there wasn't really anything misleading about Indiana's winning that game.
• 1:24:02
  Speaker 2: So yeah, I think Indiana is still the better team.
• 1:24:07
  Speaker 2: That's the way I would lean in the game if
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 2: I was gonna play it. But it is also a
• 1:24:10
  Speaker 2: low total, so laying the points is a little bit
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 2: less advantageous to you if you do it in a
• 1:24:15
  Speaker 2: low total game like the Thread's not very high. Total
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 2: went up from forty seven and a half to forty
• 1:24:20
  Speaker 2: nine seventy one percent of tickets on the over, eighty
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 2: one percent of the cash on the over money coming
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 2: in on the over for now.
• 1:24:27
  Speaker 1: But you know, I don't know, because what.
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 2: Is the public gonna think because they both saw him.
• 1:24:33
  Speaker 2: They saw Oregon put up twenty three, which isn't that impressive.
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 1: In the last game.
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 2: They saw Indiana put up whatever it was, thirty eight
• 1:24:39
  Speaker 2: maybe or whatever against Alabama, whatever it was, So Indiana's
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 2: offense looked really good. Usually the public is gonna go
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 2: with the offense rather than what that team did defensively.
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 2: Both teams had pretty decent defenses though, so I'm kind
• 1:24:53
  Speaker 2: of thinking and the cash is coming in more in
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 2: Indiana for now, by the way, that we'll see what
• 1:24:56
  Speaker 2: happens later in the day. I don't I'm kind of
• 1:24:59
  Speaker 2: thinking un during this game, though. I mean, it's a
• 1:25:02
  Speaker 2: playoff game that type of atmosphere. I know, I like
• 1:25:05
  Speaker 2: the over last night, but when you have two teams
• 1:25:06
  Speaker 2: that are actually pretty solid defensively, I think the defense
• 1:25:11
  Speaker 2: has actually win out. So I could see this being
• 1:25:13
  Speaker 2: kind of a slugfest and big bodies banging and kind
• 1:25:17
  Speaker 2: of more of a defensive minded game here.
• 1:25:20
  Speaker 1: So I wouldn't really disagree with an ounder in this one.
• 1:25:23
  Speaker 2: In the previous game, like we said, it got to
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 2: fifty points, so the public might see that and go, oh,
• 1:25:29
  Speaker 2: then I'll go over forty nine.
• 1:25:30
  Speaker 1: But that might not be the approach here. But again,
• 1:25:35
  Speaker 1: no play for me in this game. And yes, where's
• 1:25:37
  Speaker 1: the bit here.
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 4: True blood and chosen, that's a very physic goal. I
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 4: love watching plays like that. I know you like all
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 4: those bubble screens and three hundred. That's right. I love
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 4: to see big bodies bang.
• 1:25:56
  Speaker 1: Love to see big bodies bang. There you go.
• 1:26:01
  Speaker 2: But yeah, I think that's that's pretty much my breakdown
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 2: on this. I think Indiana wins out just because they
• 1:26:05
  Speaker 2: have more balance. I think they're actually probably the slightly
• 1:26:08
  Speaker 2: better team on both sides of the ball. And though
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 2: both teams are good, I think there is a wider
• 1:26:11
  Speaker 2: margin in the gap between the two defenses. Even the
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 2: Oregons Z fence look good in the last game, and again,
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 2: the trenches does matter, and people tend to overlook that
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 2: Indiana has very good lines on both sides as well.
• 1:26:25
  Speaker 1: So yeah, man, and.
• 1:26:27
  Speaker 2: They just look like they're on a mission at this
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 2: point too. I mean, Kurt Signetti is not letting up.
• 1:26:31
  Speaker 2: He's serious the whole time. So he's got this team focused.
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 1: Man. Even when they're blowing out Alabama.
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 2: He just looks pissed on the sidelines and his team,
• 1:26:40
  Speaker 2: if you saw them on the sidelines, the team wasn't
• 1:26:42
  Speaker 2: celebrating like it was just we have a job to do, man.
• 1:26:46
  Speaker 2: So yeah, to me, it looks like that's the case
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 2: with Indiana. This is also interesting because of the quarterback matchup.
• 1:26:52
  Speaker 2: The quarterbacks are expected to go one and two in
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 2: the NFL Draft, which is of course Mendoza for Indiana
• 1:26:58
  Speaker 2: and more for Oregon, and Mendoza has a little bit
• 1:27:01
  Speaker 2: more experienced, although neither team has experienced in a college
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 2: college football semi final, of course either quarterback does, but
• 1:27:08
  Speaker 2: Mendoza has been in college football.
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 1: For longer than more.
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 2: I believe at least I knew his Maybe it's just
• 1:27:14
  Speaker 2: because I knew his name years ago, whereas I didn't
• 1:27:18
  Speaker 2: know Moore's name. I don't know, but whatever the case,
• 1:27:22
  Speaker 2: that's my breakdown in the game. Slight leads towards Indiana
• 1:27:25
  Speaker 2: minus the points and under but not Yeah, I'm not
• 1:27:29
  Speaker 2: jumping out of my seat to play this game, man.
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 2: I don't want to force anything. I know it's a
• 1:27:33
  Speaker 2: huge game. It's gonna be a highly televised game. You know,
• 1:27:36
  Speaker 2: if you want to do it for like pizza, money whatever,
• 1:27:39
  Speaker 2: put a little bit of money on it.
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 1: I mean, that would be kind of the way that
• 1:27:41
  Speaker 1: I would do it. But that's that's gonna do it. Man.
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 1: I appreciate everybody, thanks for hanging out with me as usual.
• 1:27:49
  Speaker 2: The actual plays day that we have or in the
• 1:27:51
  Speaker 2: in college basketball, we have Mount Saint Mary's pick them.
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 2: We got a usc plus the points. NBA we have
• 1:27:59
  Speaker 2: the Hawks plus the points or money line. I like it,
• 1:28:02
  Speaker 2: and then Houston minus the points.
• 1:28:04
  Speaker 1: The Rockets, which it looks like the Margarita is going
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 1: against the margat Reed doesn't like these these favorites.
• 1:28:09
  Speaker 2: Man, what's going on? I think it's a good spot.
• 1:28:11
  Speaker 2: It's a zigzag, so that's what we're gonna do.
• 1:28:14
  Speaker 1: I think that's probably my least favorite of the plays,
• 1:28:16
  Speaker 1: but maybe maybe that means it's gonna win. I appreciate
• 1:28:19
  Speaker 1: it everybody, hopefully. Jeffreys all right. I don't think I
• 1:28:21
  Speaker 1: saw him this morning. I don't know where he is
• 1:28:23
  Speaker 1: right now. He might have run out of money again.
• 1:28:25
  Speaker 2: He needs to go make more money to com bet
• 1:28:27
  Speaker 2: more go and go to Buffalo Wild Wings. He needs
• 1:28:31
  Speaker 2: some more money for wings and beer. All right, that's
• 1:28:34
  Speaker 2: gonna do it. I'll learn it to on Instagram, learn
• 1:28:36
  Speaker 2: it tone on Twitter. Go check that out of course,
• 1:28:39
  Speaker 2: like subscribe to the channel here, give me a good
• 1:28:41
  Speaker 2: comment here. Go check out bald that I did with
• 1:28:44
  Speaker 2: Clint last night on the channel here breaking down the
• 1:28:47
  Speaker 2: college football playoff. We did an hour last night. So
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 2: thanks to Clint for coming on again. Uh, listen on
• 1:28:54
  Speaker 2: audio as well. I gotta put that one up on
• 1:28:56
  Speaker 2: audio as well. I haven't done that yet. I put
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 2: up the bracket one on audio already, though it's more
• 1:29:00
  Speaker 2: of a visual thing. My solo bracket one, I mean,
• 1:29:03
  Speaker 2: is already up there. And of course the playoffs start tomorrow. Man,
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 2: there's a lot going on here playoffs. But yes, go
• 1:29:10
  Speaker 2: check that out. Go check this show out on an
• 1:29:12
  Speaker 2: audio Apple Spotify. Good reviews helped me. Listening helps me.
• 1:29:15
  Speaker 2: My numbers finally did not increase from week to week.
• 1:29:18
  Speaker 2: After increasing every week week to week. Now now I'm
• 1:29:22
  Speaker 2: decreasing from the between the last couple of weeks. Maybe
• 1:29:26
  Speaker 2: it'll it'll bump it back, bump it back up again
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 2: during the NFL playoffs man, and the college football playoffs
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 2: going on.
• 1:29:33
  Speaker 1: It's got to do it. We gotta get it. Then.
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 2: I do have my covered in ukulele channel here on
• 1:29:39
  Speaker 2: YouTube as well. I know I haven't been doing as
• 1:29:40
  Speaker 2: much ukulele stuff. I gotta get more of it done.
• 1:29:43
  Speaker 2: I know I have requests sitting in the back log,
• 1:29:45
  Speaker 2: and I gotta do at least I gotta do at
• 1:29:48
  Speaker 2: least probably one more of Charles's. And then I got
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 2: at least I gotta do one of that other guy that.
• 1:29:53
  Speaker 1: Gave me requests, got to do it. Then we got
• 1:29:57
  Speaker 1: patreon dot com learn to toad if you want to
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 1: just throw me some you know, it does help me
• 1:30:01
  Speaker 1: out because I don't have any other income right now
• 1:30:04
  Speaker 1: besides all this, so I've got to free up my well,
• 1:30:07
  Speaker 1: i gotta free up my money so that I can
• 1:30:09
  Speaker 1: actually bet again and have liquid money, and then maybe
• 1:30:11
  Speaker 1: I can actually become an actual professional, because I've only
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 1: been semi professional the whole time, doing it as like
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 1: a side hustle. And since I got fired, as I've.
• 1:30:21
  Speaker 2: Pointed out on the show multiple times, I'm giving you
• 1:30:23
  Speaker 2: all these picks, and I'm glad that it's been really
• 1:30:25
  Speaker 2: good because then otherwise people would call me a fraud
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 2: or some bullshit. But I've not been betting since then
• 1:30:31
  Speaker 2: because I have not had liquid money to do it,
• 1:30:33
  Speaker 2: which I pointed out as soon as it happened. I've
• 1:30:35
  Speaker 2: been saying that since then, but that is the case.
• 1:30:37
  Speaker 2: So whether you want to listen to me or not,
• 1:30:39
  Speaker 2: I don't know. I'm just being honest. I give out
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 2: every single one of my plays as if I were
• 1:30:43
  Speaker 2: betting them anyway. So that's that's how we're doing it.
• 1:30:47
  Speaker 4: And then.
• 1:30:48
  Speaker 2: Loser casting you to check that out as well. I
• 1:30:50
  Speaker 2: don't know if there was an episode last night or not.
• 1:30:52
  Speaker 2: If there was, I wasn't on it. But that's the
• 1:30:54
  Speaker 2: new comedy panel podcast that I'm on, and I think
• 1:30:57
  Speaker 2: that's it. I'll be back tonight. I assume is I
• 1:31:00
  Speaker 2: gotta do the Saturday College Basketball show, which I'm gonna
• 1:31:02
  Speaker 2: do Friday night. It is a major grind man trying
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 2: to get through like over one hundred games or so,
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 2: trying to handicap, and I do like some pretty quick handicapping,
• 1:31:12
  Speaker 2: Like I'm looking at situations and I'll just like it's
• 1:31:15
  Speaker 2: like being quick to fold in poker, like when you
• 1:31:18
  Speaker 2: get dealt the Duke seven whatever, don't even care, throw
• 1:31:21
  Speaker 2: it away. I do a lot of that in the
• 1:31:23
  Speaker 2: handicapping do like I'll eye a game and I'm just like, nop,
• 1:31:25
  Speaker 2: there's no angle here, and just toss it, you know.
• 1:31:28
  Speaker 2: So then I'm trying to identify the games. So I
• 1:31:30
  Speaker 2: do have the angles, which helps me get through it
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 2: all and be selective. I mean, you gotta have some
• 1:31:34
  Speaker 2: sort of methodology to it because you can't do a
• 1:31:37
  Speaker 2: deep dive into every game, you know.
• 1:31:39
  Speaker 1: So that's how I do it. It has worked for me,
• 1:31:42
  Speaker 1: so whatever.
• 1:31:43
  Speaker 2: So college basketball, that'll be tonight, and then tomorrow morning
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 2: we're gonna start talking in the NFL playoffs because we'll
• 1:31:50
  Speaker 2: have NFL playoff games tomorrow. I think two games tomorrow,
• 1:31:54
  Speaker 2: is it, and then three on Sunday. I believe that's right,
• 1:31:57
  Speaker 2: and then one on Monday. I think that's how they
• 1:31:58
  Speaker 2: do it. I forget back then to talk about it.
• 1:32:01
  Speaker 2: I don't know what my players are gonna be at,
• 1:32:03
  Speaker 2: and I have some idea of what I'm going to
• 1:32:05
  Speaker 2: do with the NFL, but we'll see. It's I'm not
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 2: gonna be that heavy with the NFL bets. I mean
• 1:32:10
  Speaker 2: if you follow me last year, I wasn't that heavy
• 1:32:12
  Speaker 2: with them either, but.
• 1:32:14
  Speaker 1: I had like kind of I think I had basically
• 1:32:16
  Speaker 1: like one in each round pretty much.
• 1:32:18
  Speaker 2: It's kind of the standard. And then super Bowl. I
• 1:32:21
  Speaker 2: just had props last year, but every single one of
• 1:32:23
  Speaker 2: them won. So I didn't have a great feel for
• 1:32:25
  Speaker 2: the side or total in the super Bowl last year,
• 1:32:27
  Speaker 2: but the props were nice.
• 1:32:29
  Speaker 1: So that's gonna do it for now.
• 1:32:31
  Speaker 2: I appreciate it, guys. I'll be back tonight. College basketball
• 1:32:34
  Speaker 2: show Peace,