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NFL Week 12 Gambling Picks, Sunday Scaries, Prophecy Panthers · Three For The Money

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  3 for the Money is brought to you by the Trend Center app. This is the best tool for sports
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  Okay, okay, okay, we're here, we're back. It's 3 for the Money, new episodes
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  every Thursday. Brought to you by the Trend Center app, the greatest tool on the planet for sports
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  betters. Check it out, link in the bio, uses math, science, history in order to make informed picks
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  on your betting woes. What was that? I don't know. Anyway, check out the Trend Center app,
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  link in the bio, 15% off a premium membership and use it to trend upwards with your bets.
• 1:29
  Honestly, I need to hit up the Trend Center app and I have this week for the picks for this coming
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  week here. I went 3 and 6 last week and I'm tired of this. I'm not happy, I'm not having a good time
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  and I want it to stop. So I pretty much just kept it to the trends this week.
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  For my picks, which maybe I should have been doing that in the past, but you know what,
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  it'll take me 11 weeks to figure that one out and hopefully it will do a lot better.
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  I kind of hate the board this week, but also the board never shows me a good week anyway
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  with how my season is going. But I'm going to stop complaining now and I'm going to throw it to Chris.
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  How did you do last week? I mean, we're kind of in the same boat. I went 4 and 5,
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  not good, but silver lining is I started 1 and 4. So it looked like it was going to be a
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  total disaster and it just ended up being just normal, not good. So it's whatever. I mean,
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  I also kind of get it. I'm tired of this. I'm just slightly below 500. It's not bad enough to
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  I need to like, okay, I got to change something, but it's not good enough to be good. So it's like,
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  I keep thinking like, okay, I'm going to hit it at some point and then it just
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  never happens. I just keep being 4 and 5, 4 and 6, something like that's where it's like,
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  well, hey, you know, maybe next week. So I either needed a really good week to have fun doing this
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  or really bad week to actually change things up, maybe go to stance it. We'll see. But yeah, 4 and
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  5. So I guess we'll keep on trucking until we hit pay dirt. Sean, anything, any good news?
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  I did really well on Monday night. It saved my ass. I was, let's see, I was 5 and 7
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  going into Monday night, but I hit 3 of the 4 of my bets on Monday night.
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  You could have found those on the Twitter. Joe Mixon first touchdown plus 2, 25 was clutch.
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  So Monday night pretty much brought my whole weekend back up. I ended 8 and 8, dead even.
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  And after that noon slate, I'll take it like, man, yeah, Sunday was not particularly fun.
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  But yeah, let's just, let's see what we 12 has for us because I'm kind of tired of this as well.
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  I'm sorry.
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  Oh, yes.
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  Yes. Sure. I could bear it. We could barely hear you.
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  All right. Well, Chris figures that out. I'm going to go ahead and begin the
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  slate here. First game we're going to talk about is the Vikings at the Bears and NFC North
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  Divisional matchup. The Bears are home dogs by three and a half. They're cursed. It seems like
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  they can never beat the Packers, but also this is not the Packers. I'm kind of tired of the Packers
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  winning games, but not covering. It's really upsetting. It's awful. But that's that game.
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  This is this game Vikings at the Bears Vikings. I it's they're a weird team. I don't know.
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  I don't I can't get like a real good read on them. Honestly, the Bears are a dumpster fire,
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  but their their defense is serviceable, I guess you could say. And I think you could say, you know,
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  the Vikings defense is pretty good as well. Sam Darnold, he's kind of coming down to earth a
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  little bit. The the last week when the Vikings played the Titans, like, I don't it's not like,
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  you know, the Titans shot themselves in the foot. But there were some some iffy calls.
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  And I think that, well, I just put it lightly. I'm just putting it lightly. But, you know,
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  they we weren't going to win that game anyway, the Vikings were going to win. But I mean, if we
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  didn't if we didn't have like those fucked up penalties, then probably would have been a lot
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  closer still would have lost, but would have been a lot closer. And so I'm taking the under
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  is a divisional matchup. It's an under under's individual matchups are known to be pretty good.
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  I got that from the Trent Center app to I completely forgot to write it down. But it's under 39. And
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  yeah, that's that I'm, I'm trying to keep to the trends this week. So I can trend upward.
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  Chris, did you figure out your mic situation? No, yes, yes, no, you got it. You got it.
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  It goes in and out. But yeah. Okay. Yeah, okay, just keep talking. Yeah, keep going.
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  Okay. I'll first of all, I'll say if he calls is putting it very lightly, I would say 85% of
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  those calls that the Titans got last Sunday were horseshit. The one that just in the end zone, I
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  forget that with a Brownlee that got the unnecessary roughness in the end zone that
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  to get the Vikings a touchdown. I don't think it was Brownlee. I think it was like
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  the backup linebacker because Gibbons went out last week. Yeah, that was brutal too. But
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  either way, yeah, the Vikings were handed that game on a silver platter. And it was still a one
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  possession game in the fourth quarter. I don't think the Vikings are very good.
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  The Bears are not good, but offense showed some life for the first time with their
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  intro most C they scored a touchdown for the first time and was it 20 something drives?
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  Like it was yeah, it was like, it was really bad. But it was 20 23 drives. So yeah, it's like,
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  are they kind of back their offensive line is healthy now. Braxton Jones, Darnell, right? Healthy.
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  I am I crazy to think the Bears could win this game? No, I mean, they're they're a dumpster fire,
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  but it's also a divisional matchup and they're underdogs and it's I mean, I didn't want to do it,
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  but you can. I'm not I'm not taking money line because Ibra Flues is a bozo and he'll probably
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  do something to ruin it. But I will take plus three and a half. I think three and a hook divisional
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  game Bears are at home. I believe yes, I think I think yeah, it takes three and a half and
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  yeah, like I just think the Bears are trending up
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  kind slightly after last week and the Vikings I feel like I've been training down for the last
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  few weeks. So yeah, give me the Bears home dog divisional game. Sean, what are your thoughts?
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  Well, I was when I was making this pick, I was made I was really leaning towards the Bears
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  plus three and a half. And then I was like, Ibra Flues is such a dumbass that I just can't do it,
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  but I respect your pick. But I'm going to keep it simple and side with will on under 39 and a
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  half here. These two teams have pretty good defenses. I think Minnesota should be able to
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  shut down Chicago's offense. I mean, they're tied for third in the NFL with 35 sacks this season.
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  Pretty wild. The Bears are built around a strong defense divisional matchup. It's also one of the
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  top trends on trend centers. So a stinky pick, but I got to go under under 39.
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  Oh, yeah. Oh, yeah, let's fucking go. Okay, another divisional matchup. Cowboys at the Manders.
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  Cowboys look like complete dog shit. And Manders, you never know what you're going to get with them.
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  Manders are favored by 10 and a half in this divisional matchup.
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  Sean, what do you think about this game first?
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  Well, I have vowed to never bet on the Cowboys points for the rest of the season.
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  So Manders minus 10 and a half it is for me. But this isn't just a fade bet.
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  Manders are coming off a little extra rest playing on Thursday night. Cowboys coming off a Monday
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  night. They're a disaster. Jerry World's falling apart literally and figurates of Lily.
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  They're just a disaster right now. And I think the extra rest that the Manders get and the Cowboys
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  don't get, I could see them covering this 10 and a half easy. And this may be a blowout
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  beyond proportions. Like this may be actually embarrassing for the Cowboys.
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  I mean, losing to the commanders by, I don't want to put a number on it, but 20 is kind of
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  sneaking into my mind. I don't know what the odds are on that. I won't bet it, but I will bet minus
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  10 and a half. Chris, what do you got? I concur. It's Manders minus 10 and a half all day. The Cowboys
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  are done. Like they're done. Like they have given up on this season. Cooper Rush is atrocious.
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  The running game is abysmal. Believe it or not, like just not addressing the run game whatsoever
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  in the off season has come back to bite them a little bit. Shocker. Everybody on the defense has
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  heard this team just blows. Manders need to get right game. I think Dan Quinn gets it here,
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  gets his former team. This has a blowout right now all over it. I just something about laying 10
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  and a half, Manders kind of makes me a little nervous just because it's the Washington commanders.
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  But they're different. They're different. And like, what am I like? What am I going to say? I got
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  a gut feeling. My gut's been terrible all year. So it's Manders minus 10 and a half. They're going
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  to beat the shit out of this team. You know, you saying that, you know, betting Manders minus 10
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  and a half. If you if we would have gone back to when we started the show, like three seasons ago,
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  and we were like, Hey, I bet on the Lions to cover minus 13 and a half last week. And it won.
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  It's a different it's a different it's a different era boys. So get with it. It is Manders minus 10
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  and a half. Let's see what will have to think. I have a trend center stat. I forgot to say if
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  I can just get that in real quick. Since 2021, when Dallas is an underdog and the total is more
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  than 44, the favorite in that game, so not Dallas is 12 and 0 against the Sprint. I did I did see
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  that as well. Wow. Lay it. Take it out to dinner, then lay it. Okay. Yes. Well, what do you think?
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  The lay in the 10 and a half is it feels a little bit weird to me. So I'm running it back
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  from my first pick. I'm taking the under this is a divisional matchup.
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  Dan Quinn, he's a defensive coach. Their defense hasn't been great this year, admittedly,
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  but the Cowboys on offense is a complete disaster. And they need they need a good showing here. They
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  need a good showing here. And you know, I hope the the Manders kill them by 20. I just hope it's 20 to
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  nothing. So divisional matchup. I'm I'm keep I'm trying to keep it simple. I'm not trying to be
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  cute, not trying to be smart. Just trying to ride the ride the trends here. But yes. And then the
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  next game 49ers at the Packers Packers, it seems they're allergic to covering a spread.
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  Same thing can be said for the 49ers. They haven't covered in the last two games, I think.
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  Excuse me. But she thanks. And the something's wrong with the Niners, something's wrong with
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  the Niners right now. They have too many guys McCaffrey's back, but it doesn't really matter.
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  It's it's tough to get a pin on the on the Niners right now. They're
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  they're they're they're imperfectly perfect. They probably have like the most stacked roster
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  of dudes in the in the NFL, but
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  they got nothing to show for it.
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  Chris, how about you take this one first? The Packers are favored by two at home.
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  I will take this first. I will be boots on the ground for this one in Lambo on Sunday. Me and
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  the box. What? Do I not tell you all this? No, me. Yeah. But I forgot about it. Yeah. Me and my dad
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  my dad just texted me a couple of months ago. He said, Hey, you want to go to Lambo this season?
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  I said, Sure. Is it okay? They're playing the 49ers. You want to go to that one? I said,
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  Yeah, that sounds awesome. So we're going. Well, hell yeah. That's sick. Yeah, I'm pretty excited.
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  It's going to be pretty cool. So naturally I got a double dip and when you're going to a game,
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  you take home team and the over Packers, my two and a half over 47 and a half.
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  Yeah, this something's wrong with the San Francisco team. They have dudes. All their dudes are hurt.
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  Bosa looks like he's going to miss time. Trent Williams, Kittle, Purdy now all banged up. I just
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  they just look not like this isn't the same team for like that we've seen the last four or five
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  years, four years, maybe losing two Super Bowls in four years kind of does that to you. It just kind
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  of takes the wind out of your sales. Yeah, I think the Packers can cover a field goal.
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  It does make me nervous. The Packers have just been not covered. They've been winning,
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  but not covering spreads like you said, but I feel like two and a half. That's just
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  just you got it. If you win, you obviously there's a way you don't cover that, but if you win,
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  you should cover two and a half and over 47 just because I'm there, I want to see a good time.
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  Also, Packer defense is not really that good. So I think four and a half will be able to score
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  just not enough to win and cover two and a half. So yeah, double dip for boots on the ground in
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  playing bow field. Will, what do you take? I am also on the Packers and I do have a trend center
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  stat to back this up. This was one of the top trends on the on the docket for this week.
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  It's titled Weeks 11 through 14.
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  Home favorites are 49 and nine against the spread.
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  Yep. That's that's the title of it. There's a bunch of different parameters on it.
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  But that was the title of it. I was not going to write all of them down because it would have been
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  a a travesty of a sentence to try to put together and sound coherent. But it's Packers minus two.
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  I think the Packers are the better team right now. They're playing good football and the Niners are
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  not like it's it's just it's just simple, you know. But yes, taking the Packers minus two
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  from what I saw. What is it, Chris? Did you see it? Yeah, I'm looking at it right now. And yeah, it's
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  it's a lot. There's a lot of parameters there, which I mean, if it's incredible that incredibly
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  specific, I feel like this is a winner. I mean, it's 49 and nine for a reason. Like yeah, like
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  let's go Packers minus two. Sean.
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  Yeah, I mean, Packers have gone on a little bit of a run recently. Six and one in their last seven.
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  Like you said, they can't cover a spread to save their lives. Niners really need this one, though.
• 19:37
  I mean, this is a must win for them to stay in the playoff race. And for that reason,
• 19:43
  I am going 49ers money line. Both teams played last week that came down to the wire.
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  And I really like the Niners. They I think they do have a bit of an edge here. I think they are
• 19:58
  a little bit of the better team. Packers had the home field advantage balances out a little bit.
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  But yeah, I got to take the Niners in the must win game here. Niners money line.
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  Sorry, boys. Okay, it's okay. One of us is going to win. So yeah, well, not
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  not really. If you're both taking spreads, then I have the over there. So it's as long as one of
• 20:26
  those hits, I'll take it. There you go. Okay. But I would prefer I would prefer to.
• 20:32
  So someone might win something. I'll just all not win anything.
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  20 or 2322. Yeah, don't do that. Doomsday scenario.
• 20:50
  Okay, next game cardinals at the Seahawks. The book I got it at was Seahawks plus one.
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  It might turn into a pick them by the time it's Sunday.
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  And let's see. I guess I guess I'll go first again, because I do have a stat.
• 21:15
  It's the Seahawks. It's the Seahawks plus one or money line or whatever, whatever it is on Sunday.
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  I'm taking it. And I found a trend on the trend center app. Shocker. Kyler Murray is five and
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  12 against the spread versus the NFC West. Not very good in a divisional matchup.
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  In a divisional matchup. Although he has been playing pretty well. Even though the call to call
• 21:46
  a duty game has has come out here. But I I like the Seahawks here. They're
• 21:54
  I do think they're better, but they're more of a complete team. But yeah, just keeping it simple,
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  keeping it with the trends. Chris, you go first, you go next.
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  All right. I could not pick a side in this game. I initially wanted to bet the Cardinals because
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  they're really like they are red hot right now. I think they won four in a row. But then I saw a
• 22:21
  stat that said Kyler Murray is one and four straight up coming off of a bi-weekendness career.
• 22:26
  Didn't like that. And I was like, well, let's just bet the Seahawks. Well, I don't really think the
• 22:31
  Seahawks are that good. Plus they're coming off a huge win against the 49ers, maybe a little letdown.
• 22:36
  So I'm going to take a divisional under under 47 and a half. Yeah, let's just run with it.
• 22:42
  I did find some stats about Kyler Murray. Yes, Kyler Murray rode unders in his career.
• 22:49
  Have been money 23 12 and one. The under is when Kyler Murray is playing a road football game in
• 22:58
  his career. There are also three trends on trend center with a score of 90 or above for the under
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  above for the under. So yeah, give me under 47 and a half late season divisional divisional game.
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  I think it's going to be tight. Very going to be low scoring. So 47 and a half under.
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  Sean, what are you taking? I concur. As you just said under 47 and a half going to be another
• 23:25
  tough dimensional matchup. Seahawks don't know who or what they are right now.
• 23:32
  I know they're coming off a tough victory against the 49ers, but you know, victories like that,
• 23:39
  you don't come away unscathed like you're a little beat up. You're still a little tired.
• 23:45
  Meanwhile, Cardinals coming off the bye week. I didn't know that stat about Kyler Murray coming
• 23:51
  off the bye week. But hey, that's even better. Seahawks do have a little bit of better offense,
• 24:00
  I would say. But I did find a little stat that this season when the Cardinals have to travel
• 24:08
  significantly north, they are 0 and 2 on the road. So Seahawks have lost four straight at home.
• 24:18
  I think this is going to be a rock fight. Like this is just going to be a straight
• 24:22
  to neurodivergent people fighting, if you will. Under 47 and a half all day.
• 24:38
  Beautifully said. Thank you. Good job. All right. Next game, Sunday night football.
• 24:50
  Eagles at the Rams. Rams have a bit of a hole to dig their self out of. And
• 24:56
  Eagles have been playing pretty good football. Not going to lie. At the beginning of the season,
• 25:01
  there was a little bit of turmoil and the entire city of Philadelphia wanted their coach on the,
• 25:12
  his head on the on a stick. But they've been playing pretty well. The spread is two and a
• 25:19
  half Rams at home, home dogs. Sean, what do you think about this game right now?
• 25:29
  Right in the hot hand. Eagles minus two and a half. They won six in a row. They outscored
• 25:35
  their last two opponents 60 to 24. They're also in a really good road winning.
• 25:43
  What's it called streak right now? They're going, they're four and one on the road this season.
• 25:53
  They're getting some much needed rest from playing Thursday night. As we all know,
• 25:58
  they've had some issues with their wide receivers and linemen being hurt.
• 26:03
  So hopefully they're feeling refreshed and ready to play their full strength.
• 26:07
  I think this is Eagles minus two and a half all day. Well, what's your go?
• 26:13
  So I'm, I'm going back to the well and you're going to poo poo me, Sean,
• 26:20
  but I'm going back to prime time unders. I, okay. Is this a prime time under bet?
• 26:27
  Or is this a, do you have other reasons behind it? Because I can get behind other reasons behind
• 26:34
  it, but I can't get behind it just being a solo prime time under bet.
• 26:41
  It's, it's just a solo prime time under bet. Okay. Yeah. So, so, okay. Well, I'm putting it down.
• 26:50
  So it is. So I wrote down, I wrote down the stat, the exact stat
• 26:58
  that titled prime time under since 2018. And there's a couple more parameters on this
• 27:05
  that make it a little more specific. In the last 10, it's six, three and one.
• 27:10
  Not too bad. And then since 2018, it's 59, 24 and three. And then there have been 16 games
• 27:17
  for this specific trend with the, you know, a little more parameters there. And that is nine,
• 27:24
  six and one on the, on the under there. So I am taking the under. I'm done fucking around.
• 27:33
  And I was putting my brain in a pretzel. The Rams have been playing very good football as well.
• 27:38
  Since they've gotten their, their, their, their dudes back from injury, except for that,
• 27:43
  that dolphins game. They really fucked that one up. But, but yes, under 49.
• 27:50
  So the Patriots, the, it was like the one last week.
• 27:57
  Kua came back. Yeah. That was like Monday night.
• 28:01
  A couple of weeks ago. Yeah. Two weeks. Yeah. So they fucked that one up. But that game also went
• 28:08
  under. But yeah, going under 49. Chris, what do you think? Again, I agree with Sean.
• 28:16
  He goes minus two and a half. He pretty much took the words right out of my mouth.
• 28:20
  They are white hot right now. They're often just humming. I don't trust the Rams to keep up.
• 28:25
  Honestly, woohoo. You scored 28 points against the Patriots. Patriots suck.
• 28:30
  You didn't score a touchdown at home on Monday night football against the dolphins.
• 28:34
  The dolphins are not, they're fine defense. They're nothing special. To not score a touchdown
• 28:40
  is insane. I don't think they keep up. I think the Eagles have a strong defense.
• 28:45
  I really have a hard time seeing the Rams scoring a whole lot of points in this one.
• 28:49
  I think Saquon just keeps it rolling. I think this guy, I think he runs all up and I might take
• 28:54
  some Saquon props as well. I think he runs all over this team. Eagles win pretty convincingly.
• 29:00
  Eagles minus two and a half. Okay. All right. Yes. Okay. Next game, Monday night football.
• 29:09
  This is the Harbaugh Bowl. The Harbaugh Bowl, if you will. Same spread as Sunday night.
• 29:19
  Two and a half Chargers home dogs in LA. Ravens put up a stinker last week against the Steelers.
• 29:30
  That game went under. What was that? 18 to 10? That was brutal. 18-16. That was brutal.
• 29:39
  Should have just wrote the trends there. But yes, it's Monday night football,
• 29:46
  Harbaugh versus Harbaugh who will come out on top. Chris, you take this one first.
• 29:53
  I don't know who's going to come out on top. So I'm going to take the over
• 29:57
  in the Harbaugh Bowl. Monday night football has seen a lot of points this season. Overs are 10
• 30:04
  and four on Monday night football in 2024. And I think the Ravens are going to score.
• 30:11
  Last time they lost a game. I forget who they lost to. But I remember that week after that,
• 30:19
  they hung 41 up on the Broncos and the Broncos have a good defense. So I think the Ravens are
• 30:25
  just going to be pissed off. I think they're going to score a lot of points. Chargers offense also
• 30:31
  good. Ravens pass defense. Not very good. We've seen them get lit up a couple times this season.
• 30:38
  So I think the Chargers will score enough to get this over the high, total 51.
• 30:44
  Yeah, let's have another wild. I feel like we've had a lot of wild Monday night aside from the
• 30:48
  shit the Rams laid a few weeks ago, a couple weeks ago, had a lot of fun Monday night games.
• 30:55
  So let's keep it rolling over 51. Sean, what do you take? Monday night overs, baby, over 51.
• 31:04
  I think this line opened at 49. So I'd get on it as soon as you can. As we all know,
• 31:15
  Ravens are offensive juggernaut scoring at least 30 points per game in six of their last seven.
• 31:22
  And you know, the Chargers, they're not fucking around either. They're scoring at least 26 in
• 31:27
  their last four. So yeah, give me that over all day long. I low key didn't think about the Harbaugh
• 31:37
  Bowl, didn't even cross my mind. But on the lowest of keys, I think this could be one of the best
• 31:45
  games of the year. Like sneakily, like a shootout like Rams Chiefs 2019, 18. Really? Sneakily,
• 32:00
  like it could be one of the best games in the year. Once in a lifetime game. Not really, but
• 32:08
  no, I think it will be. I think it will be a very good game. The NFL wants to be a good game.
• 32:13
  Monat football or the Harbaugh Bowl. I like that. Harbaugh Bowl.
• 32:19
  Yeah, sounds like a foul. Harbaugh. NFL wants to be a good game. It'll probably be a really good game. High scored.
• 32:31
  Yeah, I love that. I love the over. I'll probably take it up. If I get to it and it's like 53 and a
• 32:37
  half, I'll still take it. I'm taking the over no matter what. Will, did you go? Oh, oh, thank you
• 32:52
  for throwing it to me. Sorry. Yeah, I'm on the over too. Overs are pretty hot right now. I think
• 33:00
  part of me thinks that this is just going to be a, how do I put this? Kind of like a
• 33:15
  brain battle between these two coaches. I don't know who's going to come out on top,
• 33:20
  but one of them is going to outsmart the other because they're brothers. They want to
• 33:27
  fucking murder each other because it's football. It's competitive. Sorry, I thought you were done.
• 33:35
  It's going to be a, you know, fuck. I forgot my train of thought there. Damn, sorry.
• 33:42
  What do you want, Chris? It's going to be an awkward Thanksgiving dinner.
• 33:49
  It's probably been awkward since one of them beat the other one in the Super Bowl.
• 33:55
  Probably, but it's also going to be four days after they played, or three days after they played
• 34:00
  each other or coached against each other. Yeah, maybe they'll fight each other. They'll be fine.
• 34:06
  I know. I'll just kind of have some fun. Maybe they'll, maybe they'll fight, but I mean,
• 34:16
  Jim is a psychopath. John probably is a little bit too, so they could. Yeah, I don't know which
• 34:22
  one's older, but I don't know. I think. Yeah, no, well, but yeah, like over 51, I guess.
• 34:40
  Monday night over is pretty hot right now, but so I'm riding the hot hand there.
• 34:46
  I just looked up the Super Bowl and it was the final score was 34, 31. So over, over, over.
• 34:57
  I'm not sure that's the last time that they played, but I mean, probably had to be.
• 35:04
  I don't, there was a, Jim was at the league. I don't remember how, when he went back or went
• 35:11
  to Michigan, but it was very shortly after that. John is on it, by the way, looked it up.
• 35:18
  The Ravens coach. Yeah. Okay. He's shorter, isn't he? He's the shorter one.
• 35:25
  He looks shorter. I haven't seen him stand like side by side in a while, but
• 35:30
  okay, he appears shorter in stature. Jim's taller.
• 35:36
  All right. I got nothing else to add to that. Moving on. Now that the slate is over,
• 35:47
  we're going to go into our surefire picks of the week, the double unit guarantee not to lose.
• 35:54
  We've been losing these and it's time to get back in the wind column because it really hurts
• 36:00
  when it loses. It's double hurt. It's double hurt when they lose. And I am going to pick
• 36:09
  Sean to go first. Actually, he said he needs to figure his out. Well, I got it. Oh, you got,
• 36:15
  okay. Then you go. All right. You guys might hate me and I know I'm sporting the gear.
• 36:23
  Okay, Chris. Look, all I'm going to say is I could have made a lot of money this season
• 36:37
  if I would have faded the Titans in every single game. They are one and nine against the spread.
• 36:44
  They have yet to cover a spread except for the Dolphins game when I actually bet on them to win.
• 36:53
  For that, for that reason, and that reason alone,
• 36:58
  I am taking the Texans minus eight and a half. And look, I'm going to watch this game and I'm,
• 37:09
  I can't watch this game and not have any joy come out of this anymore. This is just more
• 37:18
  like a hedging joy bet, I guess. But if they're going to suck, I'm going to at least make some
• 37:27
  money off of it. You got to respect that at least. No, I get it. I mean, I, yeah, I mean,
• 37:35
  they're one and nine against the spread. They're, yeah, they are the worst team against spreading
• 37:41
  football. So I get it. I hate it. I hate that. I hate that it's come to this, but I got to get
• 37:47
  back on track. I've lost two in a row. I used to be the hottest surefire better on this show.
• 37:54
  And I've lost two in a row and I just can't have it anymore. So I got to go to something that is a
• 38:00
  guaranteed winner that the Titans will not cover a spread against like their rival, their first
• 38:10
  place rival right now. So sorry, but sorry Titans, be better, I guess. I mean, I get it.
• 38:28
  If there is another team, like if any other team in football was one and nine against the spread,
• 38:34
  we would be loading up on whoever they were playing every single week. Yeah. So I get it.
• 38:45
  Sorry. But yeah, it is, it, I hate that it's come to this, but it is what it is.
• 38:51
  And yeah, well, what is your surefire double unit guaranteed to win play of the week?
• 39:01
  So it's very uncharacteristic of me, but I'm taking it over. I'm going over 50 and a half
• 39:09
  lions colts, the lions butt fucked the Jags kind of didn't see it coming. I mean, Sean did, but
• 39:23
  not probably not that much. Right? I mean, no, not that much. But if it was pretty much, it was
• 39:31
  pretty much the dick laying on the table that they did for the Titans. So except it was away.
• 39:41
  What did up in the final 52 to three or something like that? It was like 52. Yeah,
• 39:46
  52 to six. Yeah, I think that's six. Jags were up in that game at one point, three to nothing.
• 39:55
  But moving on, it's the lions colts, the lions. They're the hottest team in the NFL right now.
• 40:06
  And they refuse to hit the break at all. They will pound anyone into submission,
• 40:15
  no matter how close the game is. And this is this is kind of where where this comes in, you
• 40:20
  know, Colts are their second in the division. They're still kind of in the race like the Texans,
• 40:26
  you know, they're they're a good team. And they're the best in the division. But
• 40:31
  there's a chance the Colts can catch them. And so the Colts, you're going to need to score some
• 40:36
  points here. And the Colts defense is not very good. It's the lions and the Colts over 50 and a
• 40:42
  half. I think there's going to be a ton of points here. And that's what I'm going with. Just like
• 40:52
  going back to lions dovers. We're going back back two seasons, I think. But yeah, that's it.
• 41:00
  Moving on, Chris, what is your shoe for? Alright, well, much like the rest of us.
• 41:07
  I got to win one of these damn things. I've lost three in a row. So I will be fading. In my opinion,
• 41:14
  the worst team in football, I'm taking the Broncos minus five and a half for my double unit
• 41:20
  share fire guaranteed not to lose play of the week. The Las Vegas Raiders are just a bism.
• 41:28
  They can't run. They can't pass. They can't play defense. They can't do anything right. I mean,
• 41:35
  the Broncos are good. They have the third best scoring defense in the NFL. Bo Nix keeps proving
• 41:43
  me wrong week after week. He is trending into being like a legitimate starting quarterback in the
• 41:50
  NFL. I at this point am very, very wrong about him. So let's hop on the train. It's Broncos minus
• 41:59
  five and a half. They will shit pump this team. The Raiders are so bad. I hate to do it. Antonio
• 42:06
  Piers Lassiz was my guy. After when he took over, I was riding the Raiders and now I mean,
• 42:13
  God, they suck. So it's Broncos minus five and a half. They win and they cover easily.
• 42:21
  Are you a bow lever?
• 42:22
  Oh, shit. I guess I this week. I am this week. And honestly, if it wins, I might just have
• 42:32
  to be the rest of the season for getting me out of this just God awful streak I've been on.
• 42:39
  Okay. All right. That's the share fire picks. Moving on to our extra plays of the week.
• 42:46
  Chris, do you have your extra plays ready? Yes, I do. I've only got two this week, but let's get
• 42:53
  into it. First one Tommy DeVito's back, baby. Bye bye, Daniel Jones. Tommy DeVito's here. It's
• 43:06
  his show now. New York is his town. Giants plus five and a half Tampa based defense is not good.
• 43:14
  It just isn't Tommy DeVito in his short, but albeit amazing NFL career is forward to against
• 43:23
  the spread. All four of those covers are coming against defenses with work or yet with worse
• 43:29
  scoring defenses than the New York Giants. Tampa Bay 27th rate scoring defense Nina fell
• 43:36
  New York Giants 18th. Simple math. The Giants covered this football game plus five and a half.
• 43:42
  Last one. Dolphins minus seven and a half against the Patriots.
• 43:52
  Oh, you don't even know. Yes. I didn't write it. I didn't write it. They're playing the Patriots. Okay.
• 43:59
  Two. I just have this one step and down to his career as a favorite of six or more points
• 44:05
  in a game that's not being played in prime time. It's 11 and two against the spread.
• 44:10
  The Dolphins beat the hell out of bad teams when nobody's watching.
• 44:17
  So it's it's dolphins minus seven and a half. I mean the Patriots. So Dolphins love to flex.
• 44:24
  They'll flex on just a bad team and yeah, only two extra plays. Couldn't really find any stinky
• 44:32
  unders this week. Kind of the only bets I've been somewhat good at this season, but none really stood
• 44:39
  out. It was kind of a shame. But yeah, that's the card. Will, what's the rest of your card?
• 44:47
  So I also have the Giants plus six here. I was low key wanting to be the one to be like
• 44:53
  Tommy DeVito is back. But but that's okay. Him coming off the bench. Everybody is excited.
• 45:02
  Daniel Jones is now the fourth quarterback on that death chart because he stinks. He's not good
• 45:07
  at all. That's I mean, it was pretty much the Tommy DeVito stat. I didn't have the the defense
• 45:15
  stat that you had, Chris, but it's a it's Tommy DeVito. It's he's electric. He's coming off the
• 45:21
  bench. He's he's ready. And then I have one that I've low key wanted wanted to bet on this team
• 45:30
  the entire season to find a time to bet on this team. And this might not work out. I know you're
• 45:38
  going. I'm just trying to have some fun here. Do it. Do it. It's the Panthers. Yes.
• 45:44
  Yes. Plus 11. I it's just like the Chiefs. They're it's it's so weird like it's so weird
• 46:03
  like you can't you can't just see the Chiefs like this season beating the shit out of anyone
• 46:07
  because they haven't they've just won. They haven't beat the shit out of anyone but
• 46:13
  they've just won. And 11 is a lot of points. These guys get paid to play to even though it
• 46:20
  might be dog shit. Even though everyone on that team is dog shit. They've won two in a row.
• 46:28
  Dude, we're you know who hasn't won two in a row. The Kansas City Chiefs. That's right. And so we're
• 46:35
  taking the Panthers plus 11. Okay. Yeah. We're we're trying to we're trying to have we're trying
• 46:44
  to just have fun with this pick. This is a fun pick. This is a me pick. This one's for me.
• 46:55
  That would be I would love it. I'd love it.
• 46:58
  Never never. Hey, this is the NFL. Any given Sunday.
• 47:06
  Sean, what is for your card? Okay, so
• 47:11
  I was only going to put a half unit on this and it was the Panthers plus 10 and a half.
• 47:18
  I swear to God. But now I think I'm going to put a full unit on it just because I mean,
• 47:25
  I have no rhyme or reason to bet this. It's just a feeling. This one's calling to me.
• 47:31
  The Chief slump is coming. It is here. They it it's just for the this one is just for
• 47:40
  like you said, it's just for me to feel good. It's fun. And
• 47:48
  if it loses, it'll be okay. I loved that you had this on your card as well. I mean, you can you
• 47:54
  can take a look at my notes. I had this on my card. But yes, Panthers plus 10 and a half.
• 48:02
  That one was just screaming to me. I don't know what it was, but I was like, I got to take this.
• 48:08
  But I might put half a unit on the money line just to have even more fun. I was going to say
• 48:16
  half unit plus four seven.
• 48:18
  I'm not doing it. Oh, that's four seven plus four seventy half unit.
• 48:26
  I feel like we got like half unit.
• 48:29
  Half unit. Because if we don't in the Panthers win, I wouldn't even be happy about that.
• 48:34
  I would I would I would beat myself.
• 48:38
  I'm doing it. I'm doing half unit money line. You know, you know, you would beat yourself if you
• 48:43
  didn't. Yeah, that's what I'd celebrate. I don't even think I did. It would be fun. Obviously,
• 48:52
  if the Panthers beat the Chiefs, that would be hilarious. But I wouldn't be able to enjoy it
• 48:56
  nearly as much if having the now that we've had this conversation. Yeah. Yeah. If I didn't do it,
• 49:04
  I bet. Well, what that like, why didn't I do that? So yes, I it's half unit plus four seventy.
• 49:11
  I'm locking it in right now. No, I'm I'm 100% on Chris's side. I will lock that in half unit.
• 49:19
  I get two other plays.
• 49:23
  I'm glad that we have this connection with the Panthers, but I got to go against you with the
• 49:28
  Bucks Bucks minus six. This one comes from the good people at Trent Center, and it's called Bucks
• 49:35
  Baker on the road daygames, which is nine and two. It seems that Baker Mayfield is money on the road
• 49:46
  before seven p.m. So give me that, please. Yeah. And then last pick. It's the best team in the NFL.
• 49:57
  Lions minus seven and a half very easily see them covering this one by Tenor more. I love the lines
• 50:04
  in this spot. Detroit has won five of their last seven games by ten. Colts defense and offense both
• 50:12
  rank outside of the top 20. So and obviously, Lions are nine and one. They're obviously the best team
• 50:21
  in the NFL. Same record as the Chiefs. We'll see them in the Super Bowl. Give me the Lions minus
• 50:28
  seven and a half all day long. Thank you. And that's my card. Okay. You're welcome.
• 50:39
  Okay. That's the full slate picks. What else has been going on? I mean, like Tommy DeVito,
• 50:50
  I mean, that's probably the biggest story, honestly, coming out from this week. Well,
• 50:55
  I want to I want to like rewind a little bit and talk about how we all took the Chiefs last week.
• 51:04
  And we were like, you know, if this loses, I won't go to bed unhappy. I went to bed pretty
• 51:13
  unhappy. I'm not going to lie to y'all because I had a pretty awful day like up into already. So
• 51:20
  like I did not go to bed unhappy. I did not go to bed happy. Happy. You didn't go to bed happy.
• 51:33
  Yeah, whatever. But that I mean, I went to bed not very happy either. But it wasn't like if that
• 51:46
  game had won, I would have been one game under 500 instead of two. So that wasn't like a big swing
• 51:54
  game for me. So I it was already like a not great day. And it was fun like just watching
• 52:02
  Buffalo fans just going batshit crazy was very fun. I would have liked for
• 52:10
  for Kansas City to maybe snuck in the back door cover that two and a half at the very end there.
• 52:14
  That would have been perfect. But even like when they were marching on the or not marching when
• 52:19
  they got the ball back, I knew that wasn't gonna happen. So I would I had already accepted it.
• 52:25
  And yeah, I it stung a little bit more than I thought but it was it was still like
• 52:31
  Chiefs lost. That's why especially the bills. They're bad. No, wait, no, they're not bad.
• 52:38
  I was thinking of I was thinking of the Panthers winning against the Chiefs.
• 52:47
  Oh, yes, when the Panthers win against the Chiefs. Yeah, they're a bad team. That's
• 52:52
  when that's what I was thinking. Yeah, that was not fun. But you know,
• 52:59
  I was already a fucking loser that that day. So and I lost Sunday Night Football, whatever that was.
• 53:08
  So no, wait, I won that one. I actually won the game. Yeah, no, I won that one. So that game,
• 53:14
  I went I went to bed about halfway. And then I woke up and I was like, Oh, this was a little bit
• 53:21
  of a sweat if I would have watched it. Oh, yeah, they were losing.
• 53:26
  They were losing it. Or is it time? I think it was tied. So but but yeah, that's okay. That's
• 53:36
  we're fine. We're fine. We're all good. Tommy DeVito, he is back. I am a Swedish plumber.
• 53:45
  Yeah, that's the jets are just clear in house.
• 53:50
  Yeah, I mean, they're they're a dumpster fire too. I mean, they're on buy, they're gonna lose this
• 53:57
  week to the buy week. They fired their GM, they lost to the buy. Yeah, not good.
• 54:06
  Seeing reports coming out that Woody Johnson went to Bench here and Rogers after they lost the Broncos.
• 54:13
  Yeah, yeah, I just see that. Yeah, that was like, that was like the end of September too.
• 54:21
  Like, I mean, granted, it is where it all went wrong. If they had won that game, probably been a
• 54:26
  different season. But still, that's that's so funny. Yeah, they're just they're the jets.
• 54:35
  No, like nobody's playing well. Like, Devontae's out there. I mean, he's on my fantasy team. He's
• 54:41
  just out there running cardio. No, team sucks. I mean, man, Rogers is done. He he's gone next year too.
• 54:50
  Yeah. I don't know what they're gonna do. I mean, they have good players, but just
• 54:59
  sauce Gardner has just been a shell. He's been bad. Yeah. But yeah, I mean, that team is like
• 55:07
  overall good. She's thinking like a bridge quarterback they could get after this season. Maybe someone like
• 55:15
  Joe Flacco. Oh, I was thinking of another former jet, Sam Darn.
• 55:23
  The part of the sun returns. I don't know how it would work. That'd be like if that'd be like if
• 55:31
  Marcus came back to the Titans. Good. I mean, at this point, no. It'd be like if Marcus started
• 55:39
  this season and was playing well and then came back. It'd be like, okay, okay, yeah, we're gonna
• 55:45
  suck anyway. So might as well have like a heartwarming story. Hi, Marcus. Oh, also, before I forget,
• 55:55
  NWI, any time touchdown for next week. I mean, I can't not I haven't bet this like the last two
• 56:04
  weeks and it's been kicking me in the ass. I have to remember to bet this. I forget. I've forgotten
• 56:10
  last two, two, maybe even three weeks. It's free money. He has more touchdowns and like
• 56:16
  a lot of very, very good wide receivers. Did you guys see that what I put in the group me?
• 56:23
  Was that what I add? Yeah, that's what I was. Yeah, I was like, yo, NWI has a real case to make
• 56:30
  the Pro Bowl like he won't. Yeah, but I mean, I bet I mean, he okay. He has more.
• 56:44
  He has more touchdowns than CD lamb, Tyree kill, AJ Brown, Cooper cup, Devonte Smith,
• 56:50
  DK Metcalf, Zay flowers, DJ Moore, George Pickens, Calvin Ridley, Mari Cooper, Michael Pittman,
• 56:57
  Devonte Adams. Yeah, I mean, I can. Most of those guys are going to make the Pro Bowl.
• 57:06
  Yeah, I mean, those guys are going to be we're going to go jacket at the end of their career.
• 57:12
  Yeah. Yeah. But we're just talking about this season. I know, I know, but it's not all time.
• 57:19
  But yeah, like still, yeah, he has he has a case. I think it is a case. I mean, like in the division,
• 57:29
  like he's like step on digs, he's out for the season. Nico Collins, you know, he's good.
• 57:36
  But the resume speaks for itself. I mean,
• 57:41
  he's got to lead the league and like division and touchdown receptions.
• 57:46
  Yeah, I mean, like, I mean, come on, like, I don't know, like, I can't name a better one in the division.
• 57:56
  I mean, I don't know about better overall receiver, but he does. Yeah, he finds the end zone in a
• 58:02
  theme of the day. That is the most important thing. He also has the longest touchdown of the season
• 58:08
  and probably will be the longest touchdown of the season. And so does will levis.
• 58:13
  Right. Okay. I want to have a legitimate conversation here.
• 58:20
  Okay, he's gonna be the he's gonna be the starter next year. I mean, he's got to be having he is
• 58:26
  playing well enough now to where it's like we got to give him a shot, maybe draft someone else as well.
• 58:32
  But we got at least give him a shot. I think not with not not draft someone with the third pick or
• 58:39
  whatever we end up getting. But we'll probably it wouldn't surprise me if we take a quarterback in
• 58:45
  like the third ish round. I mean, we're probably going to draft Shador Sanders. He will not play
• 58:52
  here. Yeah, it'll be a waste of draft pick then. Yes. And that is the most tightest thing that
• 59:01
  could happen. If we draft like no, no, I'll be out on ran. I'll be out on everyone because
• 59:09
  if my dumb ass knows that sure ain't playing here, then they definitely should know that.
• 59:16
  I Travis Hunter, he's a better football player.
• 59:23
  Well, I'm sure will not like
• 59:28
  Dion will not let Shador play here. I won't name names of the Instagram account that I follow.
• 59:36
  But they posted a picture of a photo obviously Photoshop picture of Shador Sanders in the two
• 59:43
  tone blue and the caption was you can't say that Shador doesn't look good in two tone blue. And I
• 59:53
  was like, if you went to the comments. Oh my God, dude. It was just hell city. It was like, do not
• 1:00:03
  bring this man here. Like if they get I'm going to need to see like a like a signed form from Dion
• 1:00:16
  Sanders saying yes, Shador Sanders will play for your photo ball team before I even like would
• 1:00:24
  consider the Titans draft. Okay, let's say that you have that and it's notarized and you know,
• 1:00:30
  it's gone through the government and whatever other means that it needs to go through a lawyer.
• 1:00:37
  Do you want him here? Yeah, yes, why not? I think he is worse. That's a great attitude.
• 1:00:45
  Just why not? What else am I supposed to think this team cannot develop a quarterback?
• 1:00:52
  They cannot ever since Steve McNair we have not been able to develop a quarterback.
• 1:00:57
  Ryan Tendall is the second best Titans quarterback of all time. Titans quarterback. That is a fact.
• 1:01:05
  Yeah, yeah, it is a fact. And it's like, who's third? That one year events young?
• 1:01:12
  No, Kerry Collins.
• 1:01:16
  Honestly, yeah, overall, honestly, in terms of like, he had like two decent seasons.
• 1:01:24
  That raging alcoholic just going out on the field just slinging it amazing.
• 1:01:30
  I love that guy. Yeah, that guy's awesome. But it's just like it's starting to be like,
• 1:01:37
  I don't really care what they do because I don't have faith in them developing a quarterback.
• 1:01:44
  I think Shador would be fine. If we draft him, I'll be like, okay, yeah, that's good. I think he's a
• 1:01:48
  good player. Let's see what he's got. He's used to playing behind God awful offensive lines.
• 1:01:53
  So he's got that already. I wouldn't be upset, but I just it's just hard for me to be excited
• 1:02:02
  about a draft pick from this team. Just in general, not even just quarterback. I know I said that,
• 1:02:07
  but just in general. Yeah, I mean, I think that I think we're better off not taking a quarterback,
• 1:02:18
  taking a quarterback like any quarterback behind this this line. I mean,
• 1:02:26
  you might as well draft another lineman because right tackle is a fucking turnstile.
• 1:02:33
  The worst like idiots and nincompoops of people who just can't even line up.
• 1:02:41
  It can't line up. Prince was that the guy we signed off some practice squad that got like
• 1:02:47
  five illegal formation calls and he was just not even close to the line. He's a professional
• 1:02:55
  football player. Like I know he's coming off a P squad probably just didn't have his mental solve,
• 1:03:00
  but just line up. Like you get like 10 whole thing calls like whatever. At least you're trying.
• 1:03:06
  If you ain't cheating, you ain't trying. Yeah, that was yeah, our offensive line is
• 1:03:14
  it's it's gotten a little better than what two years ago, but it's just awful.
• 1:03:25
  I mean, left tackles pretty good. Like JC Latham is, you know, he's very unnoticeable,
• 1:03:31
  which you know, is good. So it's it's just kind of like, but you just get a tackle and then
• 1:03:40
  then maybe a linebacker or something. After that, I mean, sure, up the defense. Because like,
• 1:03:46
  I mean, our defense is like kind of old, honestly, except for like Brownlee. Like
• 1:03:51
  Brownlee is like the only starting rookie, I think. Yeah, he's a fifth rounder. So
• 1:04:01
  yeah, I think they go, I mean, I don't know the draft board off the top of my head.
• 1:04:05
  Have guys come out by yeah, I'd say go online with whatever pick we end up getting or trade it.
• 1:04:13
  Yeah, or trade it. Maybe the Patriots end up winning a couple of games.
• 1:04:20
  Well, the Jags have number one right now. Oh, they're the worst team in the league?
• 1:04:25
  Yeah. And us? Yeah. They've only won one. I mean, obviously we've only won two. Well,
• 1:04:32
  we haven't played the Jags yet, guys. So yes, I know.
• 1:04:39
  I know there's gonna be a lot of Titans fans out there and maybe honestly, justifiably so,
• 1:04:45
  if we beat if we even sweep the Jags being pissed because we'll have a worse draft position,
• 1:04:50
  I don't give a shit. I hate the Jacksonville Jaguars. I do hate the Jacksonville Jaguars.
• 1:04:58
  The fiber of my page. So they are the carbon copy of the Titans, but worse. Yes. I don't care
• 1:05:10
  what it does. Drafts capital. I don't care. Beat the shit out of this team.
• 1:05:17
  Yeah, that's a you want to you want to see a couple of wins in a season. You don't want to
• 1:05:23
  you want to lose everything. But we got a couple. Yeah. One of my favorite memories of being a
• 1:05:29
  Titans fan in the last few years was Urban Meyers last game with the Jags going out to shake
• 1:05:36
  Frable's hand after getting stomped. And it was just the saddest thing. Like he just walked out
• 1:05:42
  there with his hands in his pockets and he was like, Oh, yeah, good game. So yeah. And it was
• 1:05:48
  all he knew is done. That was great. Best. I love that. And that's all I really have. It's a
• 1:05:56
  Titans fan. Yeah. Well, like it was like last season, you know, we weren't going to make the
• 1:06:03
  playoffs, but the Jags had a chance to make the playoffs if they beat us. And at home,
• 1:06:12
  or the Titans at home, Jags come in, Titans just whooped them. And I was like, All right. Yes.
• 1:06:22
  Thank you. Nature's healing. That was my Super Bowl.
• 1:06:28
  Two years ago when they cost us getting into the playoffs. Yeah. When our
• 1:06:38
  Donnie, our alopecia king, we're not talking about it. But when they prevented us from getting in
• 1:06:46
  and then we went on a God awful losing streak. So, so they and it's just yeah, no, it's what
• 1:06:53
  Sean said. They are a carpet like the last two seasons of both teams are
• 1:06:59
  or two or three seasons are pretty much identical. Well, not even just that, but their stadium is a
• 1:07:10
  exact replica of our stadium. I don't know if you know that, but yeah. Okay. Whatever. Who cares?
• 1:07:18
  So it's better. It's fucking Florida. Everything has a pool. But it's the exact same stadium.
• 1:07:25
  Oh, yeah. Just copy and paste just in Jacksonville.
• 1:07:32
  Yeah. I'm just going to say something. Fuck. And it's not important, I guess.
• 1:07:41
  But any other thoughts on the NFL right now? You should wrap this up in a sec.
• 1:07:47
  Yeah. Yeah. Rant over. Okay. We always end on Titans rants just because they piss us off so bad
• 1:07:59
  because we have nothing to be happy about. Anyway, okay, moving on. Thank you so much for
• 1:08:07
  listening and watching. We really, really appreciate it. Like, comment, subscribe, any
• 1:08:12
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• 1:08:43
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• 1:08:53
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• 1:09:00
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