Latest / The Crazy Sheet - CFB Handicapping / Episode 31: Week 0 Betting Preview

Transcript

Episode 31: Week 0 Betting Preview · The Crazy Sheet - CFB Handicapping

0:02
Ladies and gentlemen, boys and girls, fans of all ages, it's your
0:08
favorite time of the week. You might need to brace yourself and grab a
0:13
cold beverage. Mark and Scott are ready to drop from college football betting knowledge
0:19
on your gass. The boys are back and ready to help you find some
0:26
angles to beat your book, impress your friends, and get you ready to
0:31
enjoy the greatest sport on the planet. So sit back and enjoy because we're
0:37
damn happy to have you. Welcome to the Crazy Sheet. Ladies and gentlemen,
0:48
boys and girls, it's your favorite title week. We're a little bit
0:51
late, but week Zeros here Scotty, how the hell are you, brother?
0:55
I'm excited, man, I'm good. We've had a lot going on.
0:58
We haven't been able to get together a couple of weeks, and you
1:00
know, had some had some funerals to at the end, had all kinds
1:06
of stuff we've had to do, so it's been kind of hot mess.
1:08
We apologize for not being out there, but man, we're ready to roll.
1:12
Gambling season. Baby. The rest is talking season now. It's gambling
1:15
season. I was telling somebody the other day, they were like, what
1:19
do you think about realignment, and I was like, well, I don't
1:21
really care because the season's gonna start in about three days and no one's gonna
1:25
talk about realignment again until probably February. And I said, so, you
1:29
don't have to worry about how the twelve team playoffs gonna look anything else like
1:34
that. Nobody's gonna talk about that once we start getting teams playing, and
1:38
we kick off Saturday morning or Saturday afternoon actually, but with Navy and Notre
1:42
Dame in Dublin, Ireland, and we roll all the way through the late
1:46
game. And let's not think that the PAC twelve can't fuck things up any
1:49
worse. Usc the marquee team in the conference opens up on television week zero.
1:56
Why not get some eyeballs on that game. Oh, by the way,
1:59
it's on the PAC twelve network, and no one still knows how to
2:01
watch that channel. I can't watch that channel, and I have I think
2:07
I have purchased sports Can. I think I can get it through Roku.
2:12
I think I think that's the only one. I mean, I have so
2:15
many different streaming options, man, I still have cable to get stuck.
2:21
I mean, it is insane how hard it is to get the pac twelve
2:25
network. But I think Roku is gonna let me actually be able to watch
2:30
this game. I saw a great staff this week, Mark that you and
2:36
I have not tests. So for everybody listening, Mark and I have not
2:38
told him to stat yet. So from two thousand and five to two thousand
2:43
and twenty two, this is in millions, all right. Booster donated money,
2:52
all right, not money coming from you know, trust funds, all
2:58
the donations to the academic ins tuition which they funnel some of that enterest to
3:00
academics, which one reason Stanford makes so much money. Listened to this,
3:07
so it's amazing. There are two schools listed in the top six and they
3:12
are going to stun you. And they are all driven mostly by one guy.
3:16
Oregon is number one, nine hundred and sixty nine million. How much
3:23
of that is still nine? I mean that is Jack Gainfew that told me
3:29
that. And here's the picture. They're one hundred and twenty million above second
3:32
place, eight hundred and forty nine million to Texas A and M seven to
3:38
sixty fix to Texas seven fifty three to Florida seven sixteen to Georgia and then
3:45
Oklahoma State is next. Do you believe that. I mean that is that
3:51
is an unbelievable number. Oklahoma states at six seventy. Then it's LSU six
3:54
to eighteen, Oklahoma five ninety seven, Auburn five to eighty four, To
4:00
State five forty, Ohio state five thirty six. Who to thump that?
4:06
Alabama five twenty eight, Virginia five sixteen, Tennessee five hundred, Michigan four
4:14
ninety three. Then you drop down this is this is an interesting stat twenty
4:17
one to thirty. These are interesting numbers. Michigan state four thirty nine,
4:21
Washington for twenty I mean four h two, Texas Tech three ninety six,
4:29
Wisconsin three eighty nine, Penn State three eighty six, Illinois three seventy three,
4:33
West Virginia three fifty four, Indiana three fifty one, Arizona three forty
4:40
six, North Carolina three forty four, and then thirty one through forty.
4:46
Missoo's at three forty four, Arkansas at three twenty four. I'd never guess
4:50
Miszoo's getting more donations from boosters than Arkansas. KSE State three twenty four,
4:58
Virginia Tech three nineteen, Ole, miss three ten, Kentucky three zero two,
5:02
per Due two eighty nine, Cow two eighty three, Mississippi State two
5:06
seventy three. What does that tell you? Look at how many rich Boo
5:11
Street dos CAW have and they are ten million dollars ahead of where Mississippi State
5:15
is. That's embarrassing. You want to know why they're getting left out.
5:18
That's why they're getting left out. They don't care. I mean, listen,
5:23
they don't have a lot of rinch alumnis just up. Why so Anyway,
5:26
I thought it was fascinating. UCLA is way down forty one to fifty
5:30
two hundred and thirty three million, Nebraska two thirty six at forty three.
5:36
That's unbelievable. I mean those numbers are just but get this this to me
5:42
is I mentioned State and Ole miss very close together. You start looking at
5:46
spreads Alabama, Auburn, they're close h not in Oregon two hundred and one
5:50
million Forregon state. That is over seven hundred million in twenty years that have
5:59
been donated. Different that the yell stand. I mean, you think that
6:02
that was a fascinating list, I'll ready posted on Twitter for everybody that follows
6:08
them. But that is a really really cool statistic. I feel like,
6:13
uh, that is pretty crazy. But I mean it's an arms race at
6:15
this point. And I think the only reason teams like Mississippi State can compete
6:21
is because where they're located, right, I mean, otherwise, you know,
6:27
you and I've had this conference. Why the fuck we talked about Mississippi
6:30
State on this podcast every week is beyond me. But it doesn't matter.
6:32
But there's there's no way Mississippi State could compete if they were in Missouri or
6:39
Kansas. It couldn't happen. But because because I mean, look at the
6:43
sun look at the shift in the Sun Belt as far as being by far
6:47
the best group of five conference at this point, and it's because you know,
6:51
you've got the coaching's better. Used to ten fifteen years ago we started,
6:55
it was the MAC by far, when the MAC was the best,
6:58
and now you roll into the sun Belt was a joke. Well, now
7:00
you look at the Sun Belt and they've got superior athletes. There's good coaching
7:04
in the MAC excuse me, in the Sun Belt, and you know it's
7:09
kind of becoming. I wouldn't say it's a feeder system to guys wanting to
7:12
move up, but it's a much better quality of product that they're putting on
7:16
the field. I like what they did about jumping in and starting taking weekday
7:20
games because they get where they stand and the priority measures there. So I'm
7:25
I'm all for it. I get the money comes in. You gotta make
7:28
it however you can. But it's crazy that some of those schools have had
7:30
that much donation and that they still really are irrelevant on a national scale.
7:36
It was. It's wild to me when you when you start looking at those
7:41
numbers where some teams are and where they rank, and you know, you
7:46
look at you start looking at GDP's per state and boosters and number of living
7:51
boosters and things like that. Man, there's you realize there's just a few
7:57
people running the boat. And I known this for years, and I know
8:01
the number, know how many people states got in the Bulldog Club things like
8:05
that, and you realize how what the small percentage is giving athletically to the
8:09
universe. Book Boy, they give big money when they do. The bottom
8:13
line is the people that love it love it, and the people that don't
8:18
just kind of nah. And in California, in places like that, a
8:20
lot more people that just don't care. And if you want to know why,
8:22
the factor wells falling apart. You got that number. You got that
8:26
number right there. To me, that illustrates why it's falling apart and doing
8:31
what it's doing. And that cal is the type of football program it is
8:37
drawing in that kind of money and in that kind of location, with that
8:39
kind of academic reputation, tells you a lot if you ask me so.
8:45
Anyway, that's that is. And you can't have disparities in state of over
8:50
seven hundred million dollars in donations and expect those teams to compete. I'd agree,
8:54
I'd agree. All right, Scotty. We've talked a lot about these
8:58
things. We've done our Power five conference previews. We finally have games to
9:03
talk about this Saturday. You ready, I'm ready, baby. I I
9:07
actually like this early board a little bit. I mean it's obviously a small
9:11
board. I think there's some betting value in here. I won't disagree with
9:15
you, and I'm hoping we're gonna pull some nuggets out. Let's get started.
9:18
Dublin Ireland one thirty Navy Notre Dame. That's game two ninety nine,
9:22
three hundred on your rotation schedule. This is an interesting game opened up around
9:28
twenty one, twenty one and a half. It got bet down. It's
9:31
now settled around twenty and a half is where you can get that. Obviously,
9:33
a lot of folks are taking that money because they think, you know,
9:37
you're getting a ton of points with Navy. They're gonna run, run,
9:39
run. And here's where I like this game. I'm going over the
9:43
total here total in this one. Let me pull it up for you real
9:46
quick. I think it's what's sixty? Is that right? Okay? This
9:52
game went over forty nine and a half last year in the first half,
9:56
and that was with Drew Pine playing quarterback for Notre Dame. I think this
10:01
Notre Dame team is going to be really explosive. I like what Marcus Freeman's
10:05
done. I think he got better as a coach last year as the season
10:09
went on. So I'm excited to see what they got. And also I
10:13
think a lot of people are shading Notre Dame this season. The quarterback play.
10:16
For me, they moved Tyree from the running back position out to the
10:20
slot, which I think is gonna make them even more explosive in there.
10:24
Audrekisteine's coming back from the running back position, and I think they're going to
10:28
a Navy does not have the athletes to stick with this team, not the
10:33
explosion they've got. But look at this game last year. I think it
10:35
was like forty five forty two and it came down to the end. Because
10:39
I think Navy will get their own. I also think Notre Dame may not
10:43
know what Navy is gonna put on the field. You gotta remember they've changed
10:46
coaches and mixing things up. They've also changed rules in a sense that the
10:50
clock will not stop when you get a new first down. But they've also
10:54
changed blocking rules, and I think that's gonna be a big difference that these
10:58
wishbone teams only the Service Conferences are gonna have to deal with, because they've
11:01
always been able to exploit from that standpoint, and they changed that this year.
11:05
So I like Notre Dame to have a lot of points in this game.
11:09
I won't be surprised if they don't hang up a forty two number themselves.
11:13
And then just because Navy's offense is going to be so difficult to defend
11:16
against, and I don't know how much time Notre Dame is actually gonna put
11:18
in to try to shut down, you know, the triple option in this
11:22
one, and again what kind of tape they're going to have on it.
11:24
So I like the over at forty nine and a half in that spot.
11:28
Yeah, I like the over. I mean, I get why this number
11:31
is low. I will be honest, I think this number is going over
11:35
because I think this Notre Dame offense is gonna be better than people expect.
11:41
I mean, they're gonna have significantly improved quarterback play. I expect the Notre
11:46
Dame defense to be good. I think people are expecting the Notre Dame the
11:50
Navy defense to be better as well. I'm fascinated to watch Cobias Maryweather.
11:54
He was a guy last year who just didn't performance. A huge kid,
12:00
he's it seems like he's had a really good camp. Fascinated to watch what
12:03
he does this He's a big kid of me, six four over two hundred
12:07
pounds, big kid. Gonna be interested to see what he does this year.
12:09
I think the bottom line is for me. I think year two,
12:15
Freeman's figuring things out. It is the exact same thing we have been saying
12:18
about Zach Garnett all all season. They're they're not gonna win as many games
12:22
as that team is capable of doing because first year head coach has learned on
12:24
the job. I mean, it is what it is. This isn't year
12:28
two. Marks Freeman is a smart, talented guy. I think he's gonna
12:31
do a tremendous job at Notre Dame. Recruiting has already been improved since he's
12:37
been there. I think that's going to continue. I like this football team.
12:41
I think Carton is a difference maker. I think they're able to score
12:45
points, and I think this ball game goes over the forty nine and a
12:48
half, although Week one a lot of times the scores are lower than people
12:54
think. So I like this number. I just think I think Notre Dame
12:58
is probably going to cover this number two. But I like over more.
13:01
I think they distanced themselves pretty quickly. Like we're on the same page in
13:05
this one. So that's my first play that I've got, Scotty, looking
13:09
at your first play that you've got there, I'm guessing I know where we're
13:13
gonna go. We're gonna end up with this Mountain West matchup Ohio against San
13:18
Diego State. It's game three oh seven, three h eight. If you've
13:22
been listening to us all summer. We've been talking about this game over unders
13:26
at forty eight and a half, san Diego State laying two and a half
13:30
points. The news from Ohio came out this week that Rourke, the Canadian
13:35
missile, is gonna play for Ohio. There was a lot of question whether
13:37
or not he was gonna come back from last year's injury. You saw the
13:41
line move. It's this line was as high as five and a half earlier
13:43
this summer floated around three and a half four most of the summer that you
13:48
could have gotten it. Now you're looking at San Diego State minus two and
13:50
a half over unders forty eight and a half. Scotty, how are we
13:54
gonna go make Game of the week? Love me some Ohio in this I
13:58
will tell you I am on the money line was when it was four and
14:01
a half, it lowered with the number to roar down to two and a
14:05
half. It's bounced back to three. I think Ohio is going to win
14:09
this game straight up. Unless you just love it, I would encourage you
14:11
to take the three points. San Diego State is opening a new stadium.
14:16
There's some buzz around that. I just I like this Ohio football team.
14:20
The bottom line is and looking at statistics for this, the Mountain West and
14:24
the MAC are the exact same league Bowl games. They're five hundred. MAC
14:30
is one game under five hundred, and these are straight up numbers, one
14:33
game under five hundred playing these teams. These are the exact same football teams.
14:37
That's the bottom line. Ohio played San Diego State in the Frisco Bowl.
14:43
I attended a couple of years ago and just absolutely got boat raced.
14:46
Ohio is certainly capable of winning this game from a talent standpoint. I think
14:50
that is truly the only reason San Diego State is favored is they look like
14:56
a better team on paper, and I think the number would be being bet
15:01
crazy if Ohio had come out the other way. Made no mistake, The
15:05
big money is on Ohio. The volume bets are on San Diego State.
15:11
Looking at the betting numbers, I like Ohio to win this ball game.
15:15
I think they may win this game comfortable. Yeah. Ohio is getting seventy
15:18
three percent of the action the handle on this one. So that's seventy three
15:22
percent of the money but only thirty seven percent of the bets. That's a
15:24
huge discrepancy, especially from early on this season. I like Ohio a lot.
15:28
I think Ohio has got a great chance to win the MAC. I
15:31
took them to win the MAC. I took them to win in at like
15:35
three and a half to one. I took them to win the MAC East
15:37
at plus one twenty. So I'm pretty confident in this team. Scotty and
15:43
I've been lucky enough that we've been around him. We've got some folks that
15:46
actually are up there that worked for Ohio, so we get a little bit
15:48
of information from them, and they're excited about this roster. So I am
15:54
too, frankly in Santego State, I'm not a Brady Hope guy, and
15:58
I just I can't quite get there with it. And so lay, I'm
16:00
getting three points, two and a half, three points, I'm gonna take
16:03
that. I will sprinkle on the money line at plus one twenty and get
16:07
me a little of that as well. Uh, Scotty, that is what
16:10
we got with the Matt Game of the week. Next one I want to
16:11
go to. Let's go to the PAC twelve game. We're talking about USC
16:17
at home against San Jose State. This one will be in the coliseum line
16:22
sitting about thirty and a half now is what you're looking at. Obviously,
16:25
USC's favorite over under here is at sixty seven. USC last year came out
16:30
Week one and nobody was sure what you were gonna get with Lincoln Riley,
16:36
with Caleb Whim's coming in there, all the transfers that came in. You
16:40
know what's funny about this. I thought about this the other day. Dion
16:44
caught and I know the numbers aren't quite the same. Dion has caught so
16:48
much flag for like totally turning that roster over and bringing everybody in, and
16:52
he was very vocal about the whole thing. Lincoln Riley last year when he
16:56
showed up at USC, I mean he didn't like kick people off the team
17:02
or anything, but I mean he completely rebooted that USC roster and and you
17:07
know, I mean recruiting. Jordan Addison had a pit all kinds of things,
17:11
and he caught no flat for it. And so it's interesting to me,
17:15
but we're not like this one again. I'm going over the total at
17:17
sixty seven. USC came out week one last year and absolutely blew the doors
17:22
off of it. Hung sixty someone points up by themselves, I think you're
17:26
gonna see that same level of explosion, and this offense doesn't really it's I
17:30
mean, I know it's becoming cliche. All gas, no breaks, but
17:33
that's all Lincoln Riley knows. And I'm still not sure that the defense at
17:37
USC their issues have been fixed. And this San Jose State team, I
17:41
think is going to be an over team all season long in the Mountain West
17:45
Cadero. The quarterback that transferred in from transferred from Hawaii is a big upgrade.
17:51
But defensively, I don't think they've got the horses. I think we're
17:53
gonna find value in San Jose State overs a lot these next to I mean
17:57
these a couple of years, this whole season, and both of these teams
18:00
are gonna air it out, and so you're gonna see big play, big
18:03
chunk plays from USC, and I think San Jose State will probably sneak one
18:07
in and get on the back door. I'm going over sixty seven. That's
18:11
getting sixty seven seventy six percent of the butts right now. But I would
18:15
excuse me the money, but I like the over in this one. I
18:17
think it's gonna be pretty explosive, but very one sided. I think you
18:21
could easily see this game being a fifty six fourteen and we go over the
18:23
number. I would love to know how much USC spent in nil money last
18:29
year. On the defensive line, they have transfers from Texas, A and
18:33
M Georgia into Arizona, all coming in this year, likely gonna play.
18:41
They also have a They've also got a linebacker coming in. I mean it
18:45
is they have this from Oklahoma State. They have littered this roster with other
18:52
Power five transfers. Yeah, and I don't mean schools that are put I
18:56
mean, let's face at, A and M and Georgia have talent. I
19:00
mean they're bringing in talented guys, the kids transferring from A and M coming
19:03
out of schools, the number eight player at his position. I mean,
19:07
they are literally bringing in talent. But I agree with you the difference from
19:11
me on this SC defense. This year they created a gazillion turnovers. Man,
19:18
I mean, it has been my experience in gambling that that doesn't happen
19:22
two years in a row. It's like injuries. When you see a team
19:26
that only loses ten percent of their starts to injury, fifteen percent of their
19:32
starting they're going to lose fifty percent of their starts. The next year.
19:37
It's just the way the ball bounces. I mean, it is just you
19:40
never see a team, Oh nobody got hurt two years in a row.
19:44
It never works that way. And I think you're going to see the exact
19:48
same thing in the turnovers. I think, weren't they like plus thirty and
19:52
something something bananas last year where they were where they were up in turnovers and
19:57
look, you look at that Ucla game. That was a difference in the
20:00
ball game. They created two huge turnovers, one of them at the end
20:03
of the game to win the ball game. That was a difference in the
20:06
Ucla game. Was there two turnovers They created one in the first half which
20:10
kept them up seven basically the whole game. And then that season, I
20:14
mean Ucla driving, win the ball game, boot and they create another turnover.
20:18
I just don't see that happening again. So again, I think that
20:19
create that pads to exactly what we're seeing a lot of point. I just
20:29
think they're going to crush these guys overall. I think Riley's going to come
20:33
up Pastchach to repeat. We've only had one in Northie Griffin, the only
20:37
one that's ever repeated in the Heisman and so I think it's I think he's
20:42
got He obviously has a legitimate shot to do that. I think to do
20:45
that, they're gonna have to make the playoff book. I don't care what
20:48
his fats make. They got to win football games to do that. They
20:52
missed the playoff, and I think I don't think he wins it. They'll
20:56
find somebody else to get it to, basically a second year, because that's
21:00
essentially what happened to Tim Tebow. They kept finding somebody else to get it
21:03
to, even though statistically he was the better He was a better player and
21:07
probably should have won Multipleismans. So I think he'd say, and candidly,
21:15
you could say a lot of the same thing about Peyton Manning. He might
21:17
have should have won it as a junior, and it was like, ah,
21:18
well he'll be He'll win it as a senior, and then boom,
21:22
Woodson pops up. So anyway, I think it's gonna be tough for him
21:25
to win two in a row. But I think this offense is going to
21:26
click. I think you're gonna see a lot what happened last year. They
21:30
likely score they may get close to this number on their own and score sixty
21:37
six. Yeah, I would not be surprised. Then, I think they're
21:38
gonna go like I said, all gas, no breaks. I won't be
21:41
surprised. This is gonna this game to me, and I think with USC
21:45
this season, it's gonna be a lot like the Alabama team with Tua and
21:52
even the Mac Jones team, where I think they're gonna come out hot and
21:55
fast in every single game, and they've got this is gonna be one of
21:59
the most explosive offenses in the country. I anticipate And the way I've got
22:03
this team graded out is they're gonna average about forty six points a game this
22:07
season and so and I think they're gonna have to in a lot of ways.
22:10
So I'm with you. I'm on the over. I like this where
22:12
I'm going Scotty, who got a couple more games on the board. Those
22:15
are the three plays that I've got in pocket. The next one I want
22:18
to look at here is one that I know people are craving to get down
22:22
on. How about you get you some utep Jacksonville State. Jacksonville State coming
22:27
up from the FCS level our Division one, Division one, Double A.
22:32
I don't even know what they call it. Anymore and UTEP going on the
22:36
road to Jacksonville State. I would bet you bucks there are a lot of
22:40
people listening to this that don't know where Jacksonville State is located, and they're
22:44
probably thinking this game is gonna be played in North Florida. It's not.
22:47
It's in the state of Alabama. Jacksonville State, Scotty, who's their coach's
22:52
Rod? Baby? And I bet there aren't five people listening to another Rich
22:56
Rods coaching at Jacksonville State and lecturing them into Division one this year. So
23:02
it should be or excuse me that whatever we do the FBS, I mean,
23:07
don't we have a playoff? Wouldn't we be a championship Subdivision two?
23:10
Let's go back to Division one? Baby, We're going to old school on
23:12
the crazy sheet. So I think it's hilarious that Rich rides there. Uh,
23:18
look that roster got tons of guys back. But traditionally teams I would
23:22
probably end up playing this game, even though I know I shouldn't. But
23:26
I do think UTEP is going to be a decent football team. But man,
23:30
Jacksonville State at home, moving up them, coming into UTEP, coming
23:36
in, going on the road. Uh, there are one point. Favorite
23:41
actually liked them in this ball game because traditionally, when teams make the step
23:45
up, they get pounded. And you know this, while this is a
23:49
pretty good SCS, this is not the James Madison's coming up who playing for
23:55
three straight Natties. You know, it's not It's not that kind of jump.
23:59
So I think this is gonna be a little bit more of a of
24:03
a challenge. But UTEP obviously is not a huge Power of five football team,
24:07
But I do think they're gonna be a better team and has a chance
24:11
to get back to a ball game. Yeah, it's a you know,
24:15
UTEP was a team that's been down for a long time, and Demo's done
24:18
a pretty good job out there. And so Cole winning Ago on five weeks
24:23
last year. Yeah, well, running the bird and getting back again.
24:27
So you rolling with the pickaxes and the minors, and this team's not bad.
24:30
I remember that what's the wide receiver's name, that Tayland Walls that they
24:33
can't remember, but he transferred to A and M and came back, came
24:37
back, you know, And so this team's got some talent. I like
24:42
what you're gonna see. I don't have anything in this game. I might
24:45
get involved in games, but I don't have it yet, but I gotta
24:48
feel him. Come Saturday, I'll be itching. So it's so no,
24:52
not an official play, but yes, I will be. I will probably
24:56
get involved in the utech game. You mass New Mexico State. What do
25:00
you think all these Yankees are gonna do when they roll into New Mexico State.
25:04
How hot's it gonna be at this game? By the way, I
25:07
don't gotta be. It's gotta be a hundred and five, doesn't I'll look
25:11
at a minute and see. But you masked New Mexico State. I've got
25:15
nothing here in this one. These are gonna be two of the worst teams
25:18
in the country. So I got no player. You got anything on this
25:22
I got I got no play. Although they did covered this number and meaning
25:27
New Mexico State on the road last year. Jerry Kill, the football coach
25:32
at former Minnesota coach is at New Mexico State. So I feel like,
25:38
if anybody's got any interest and it's just a full degenerate, go ahead and
25:42
take you New Mexico State, because I think they're gonna I think they'll cover
25:45
this number. I kind of do too. U two games left, Vandy
25:49
Hawaii. Vandy's gonna be at home. Vandy's not playing at home, right,
25:52
They're playing like a high school stadium, weren't they Well, no,
25:56
they're well yet basically, but no, it isn't home. The I think
26:00
they are playing in that stadium even though they're remodeling it. But I mean
26:06
it's just I mean, it's two sides of the stadium bleachers only. It's
26:10
kind of a hot mess. Like there's some stuff going around in the SEC
26:12
about high embarrassing that Vandy is and you know that they're letting them, you
26:18
know that they've done such a poor job and executing the expansion and when they
26:22
started it and stuff like that that they're not farther along. So because you
26:26
know, State went through a full rebuilding an end zone and it certainly didn't
26:30
look like that. Vandy Stadium looks awful. I mean, it does look
26:33
bad. I mean, let's get some pilines up, Let's get a little
26:37
concrete, you know, so that at least looks like you're making progress.
26:41
I mean, it just looks like it just looks like, honestly, a
26:44
Texas high school statement just a bunch of other bleachers on the e side.
26:47
Here's what we got here. We got a Vandy team laying seventeen and a
26:49
half. Their quarterback that was really dynamic last year now plays four Mississippi State.
26:59
Anyway, White comes in here getting seventeen and a half over under numbers
27:03
at fifty six. Vandy's a little banged up on the D line as well.
27:07
I like the Vandy coaching staff. I like what chuck Le's done out
27:11
at, clark Ley's done out there. I like what Timmy Chang did.
27:14
This Hawaii team got better last year. They started the season and they were
27:18
awful, but they did get better. They lose Cadero. Is it saying
27:21
as they stay? We already mentioned that, so that'll be new. But
27:23
I you know, and I think Hawaii may come with a little bit of
27:26
fight here, man, just like you got what's going on in Maui.
27:30
Those guys gotta becoming proud. I won't be surprised if they don't have a
27:33
little bit more fight than people are anticipating. Seventeen and a half is a
27:37
lot for a Vandy team to cover. I'm gonna pass on this one,
27:41
but I am on my quest of four, so I need Vandy to win
27:45
this game, which I do think they will interested to watch from these two
27:48
teams because I love me some Hawaii, But I'm gonna pass on this line.
27:52
At seventeen and a half over hundred fifty six, I got no feel
27:55
on it either way. I think I think Vandy's gonna I think Vandy's gonna
28:00
cover. This is a long way to travel, you know. I have
28:07
mixed feelings on the you know, the win one, you know, win
28:11
one for the gipper kind of field with the fires and all of those things.
28:15
You know, at the end of the day, Man, it is
28:18
hot in the Southeast, I mean hot, and I don't know how well
28:25
they're gonna how well they're gonna weather this heat. I'm about to check that
28:29
we were talking about Los Crucis is supposed to be ninety six and Los Cruises
28:34
on Saturday and and in on Nashville, Like right now, they're under a
28:38
heat advisory. Saturday, they're supposed to be at ninety six. But there
28:42
is a chance of rain on in Saturday and Nashville, so it could be
28:48
a little bit could be a little bit different game. But it is going
28:52
to be hot, humid for those guys. I think it wears them down.
28:56
I think the Fandy needs to win this game and needs to win it
28:59
big like they did last year. Uh Lee had a lot of you know,
29:03
had a lot of momentum at the end of the season. He needs
29:07
to keep that, keep that excitement level. I'm hoping that Bandy wins it,
29:11
but I will play games. Hey, last game of the docket,
29:15
Scotty FIU L Tech Conference USA matchup in this one over under, Here's fifty
29:22
eight and a half line law Tech minus eleven and a half. I am
29:27
completely confused by this law Tech coming in sunny cumbe new coach in that spot
29:34
that's there. I like him a lot. I think this team, I
29:37
actually think law Tech is gonna be probably better. I think their defense is
29:41
hot garbage. FIU's got Mac and Tyre in there first time. You know,
29:47
this would be his first game coaching Mac and Tyre. You know,
29:49
he coached to San Jose State, he coached at Colorado. Frankly, they
29:53
probably should have not fired him at Colorado. He does a really good job
29:57
of getting the best out of his talent that he's got there. I think
30:02
he really does a good job overachieving. But look at these rosters. There's
30:06
not that big of a difference between these two teams. Eleven that points a
30:10
lot, and FIU won this game last year pretty handily too. Yeah,
30:15
no, no question. The quarterback for Live Tech is the is the bachmired
30:19
kid from Boise. I think that's why they're getting so much love in this
30:23
one, because you've got him matched up with Cumby and they're gonna fling the
30:26
rock. But I think this game could go over the total. But I
30:30
don't have a play on it yet. Yeah, I don't. I don't.
30:33
I don't have a play. Man. I think that I think that
30:38
defense may be kind of maybe high garbage for Louisiana Tech. And that's what
30:45
makes me think the number is too big. You know, I'm interested to
30:48
see what McEntyre rolls o because they were bad. They want a very good
30:51
football team, even though they beat these guys, even though they beat these
30:55
guys last year, So you know, as an overtime win, double time
31:00
win for FIU. But still, eleven just seems like a big number this
31:04
early in the season. But you know, everybody seems pretty high on Comby.
31:11
I thought they were I thought they were not very well coached. Last
31:15
year to be ended with you. So I think eleven seems like a big
31:21
number here. If you're playing this, I think you've got to take the
31:23
points too. These early games. I like point I typically you know me,
31:29
I'm an under guy, so it's weird that I'm kind of leaning through
31:32
some overs in these spots. But that's the board Scotty Ohio plus the points
31:37
in the money line. Note tre Dame going over the total there usc going
31:41
over. Maybe sprinkle a little bit on them to cover the thirty and a
31:45
half as well, and then you like utep correct. I do like utup,
31:48
but I won't call that an official play. I just call that kind
31:52
of a lean. If you're looking for something to get involved in later in
31:56
the day, I think that games five o'clock that'll give you. That would
32:00
give you something to get get involved in later in the day. Tell me
32:02
how excited you are about next Thursday night. We got really good games in
32:07
NC State, great lineup. Everybody's talking about how bad the lineup is.
32:12
That's the best Thursday Night intro we've had in for every Yeah, well,
32:15
totally agree with you. This is probably the best Thursday we've had since the
32:20
Kenny the trill Hill South Carolina A and M matchup years ago. You remember
32:25
that. I would agree with that. Yeah, I mean there are some
32:29
There are actually some pretty good football games on Thursday night. I mean,
32:31
I think NC State, Connecticut's fascinating. Connecticut coming off a bowl win.
32:36
They went on the road Connecticut did last year and played really well against Utah
32:43
State, and I think that opened some eyes for those guys early in the
32:45
season. And now you've got NC State traveling to Connecticut. Which group of
32:52
five teams at home in week zero, Week one, when they're hosting Power
32:55
five teams have done pretty well. Ats it's when they go on the road
33:00
they've gotten trucked, done pretty well. But I love the transfer quarterback coming
33:04
in at NC State, you know, mixing back up with his offensive coordinator
33:08
at Virginia. He had huge Brendan arm from us tremendous his junior year at
33:15
I guess that would have been sophomore year for him since he's still playing.
33:17
But the but just a I mean had a tremendous year matched up with that
33:22
offensive coordinator. He got a Nebraska Notre Dame on Nebraska Minnesota. I mean,
33:29
look, you've got row the boat who've been up there forever. I
33:31
think everybody's excited to see what Nebraska is gonna do. That line's you're getting
33:37
an extra hood and that feels like it feels like no Nebraska can't wait to
33:42
dig into that game. Florida Utah. I mean, maybe we got all
33:45
kinds of stuff going on next week. I mean, I think it's fun
33:49
looking in Friday. We get we get the Miami's going at it. Absolutely
33:53
we do. Yeah, I mean, so it early lean next week,
34:00
and you also keep in my two Friday, You've got Hawaii playing on a
34:05
short week and gets Stanford back Friday night on the island, And so that's
34:10
an interesting spot because you've got to travel all the way back and they've got
34:15
to host Stanford. And I think Stanford is going to be the worst team
34:17
in the Pac twelve. That one could be interesting. Hawaii plus seven at
34:22
home. The one I would tall to lean on now if you're taking for
34:24
an early pick, especially if you can find it with under fourteen or under
34:29
fourteen and a half, is Michigan State. I think this Central Michigan defense
34:34
is going to be awful, and I think Michigan State is gonna bullyball these
34:37
guys, and kind of they need to get off to a good start after
34:40
last season, especially with an in state team that's here. I think this
34:45
team kind of comes out and puts it into him. But I am completely
34:47
on the wrong side of this. As far as the money's got, Central
34:50
Michigan's got seventy two percent of the cheese already bet on this one. So
34:53
I'll have to dig a little bit more in. But yeah, I'm really
34:57
excited. I can't. I don't think Cam Rising is one hundred percent for
35:00
Utah, and I don't I won't be surprised if he suited out, but
35:06
he didn't play. And so because because if when you look at this game
35:08
for Utah versus Florida, to me, if you're Wittenham and you're like,
35:13
okay, can we get Cam back week three? Well now it's like,
35:15
let's let's go win the conference, right And does the Florida game even matter
35:21
at that point? And the answer is no. But I think this is
35:23
gonna be a great game. I think Thursday night and don't overlook Kent State
35:28
about to do something literally maybe no one has done since the Marshall team that
35:34
you know, they had the plane crash incident. They are starting. I
35:37
think they have one starter back in there, twenty two on this team that
35:43
they're gonna be played for this year. I mean, it could be really
35:45
bad for Kent State. Oh this could they could be the worst team in
35:50
college football that that is not gonna be a good football team, you know,
35:55
looking at talking about Michigan State, I agree with you. They need
36:00
to play bullyball on these guys. Let me say it like that. You
36:04
know they had last year. They've dominated the two mac teams they played one
36:07
by twenty two and fifty two. So and playing Western and Akron, I
36:13
don't think this Central Michigan team is any different than last year's Western Michigan team
36:16
really as as a whole. So I think I think you're looking at morey
36:22
twenty cop point win. Melt Tucker doesn't cover this number, I see,
36:28
and you're gonna hold that, dude? What seven more years at nine bill
36:31
plus a lot of teas from Michigan State to come up with that was a
36:37
I e. Everybody knows how I feel about the ads and colleague football,
36:45
But that's that's gonna that's a colossal blunder. Oh goodness, folks. That's
36:50
what we got for this week. We'll be back on schedule next week.
36:52
We'll be dropping our regular podcast on. I guess we'll drop Wednesday evening next
36:59
week, and then we'll probably get back to our Thursday shows. As we
37:01
get into a little bit further into September October, we'll probably start trying to
37:06
do two shows a week so we can get the early week games, because
37:09
I think what you get to October right around October one, there's games starting
37:14
Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday. So we'll have to figure out some timing on
37:16
that. Put this outball starting first week of October. Yeah, big guy,
37:22
there you go. It is longer November. It is seventh. Thank
37:24
you to the That is the fun Belt playing or is that Cousa play both?
37:29
It's both. Yeah, playing good week, so it's gonna be fabulous.
37:32
We now have match in November and Cousa Fun Belt October. It's gonna
37:37
be great. Oh goodness, Folks. Hit us up on Twitter. He's
37:42
at Scott Dinson one. I'm at it Mark Shaff's reviews. Give us the
37:45
feedback. We'd love to hear from you. It's been a rough couple of
37:50
weeks for us trying to get all these things together, but we're excited college
37:52
football is here. Scott, do we have a junior high game this week
37:55
that you give me a handicap of a dude? We buy my I'm gonna
38:00
set the I'm gonna set the over under win total forest going into the season.
38:05
We're setting at Ford for how many games do you play? Really could
38:08
say, okay, we're pulling for a hard five hundred years. Then right,
38:13
yeah, we all the school got cut in a half. Okay,
38:15
so you know, lost lost a few, lost a few linemens, so
38:19
expecting, uh, expecting a little bit of some struggles up front, but
38:22
athletically they're pretty good. I think that's some pretty good athletes. With all
38:24
that being said, folks look forward to being with y'all season long. Let's
38:28
go make a couple of bugs. Let's get off on the right foot and
38:30
pull a three and a week to get this started. We'll talk to you
38:34
next week.