Latest / Felix Nikolas Prehn's Podcast / Felix Prehn - Top 5 Stocks I’m Buying (Even Over Palantir Stock) + Stock Market News 18 February 2025

Transcript

Felix Prehn - Top 5 Stocks I’m Buying (Even Over Palantir Stock) + Stock Market News 18 February 2025 · Felix Nikolas Prehn's Podcast

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Felix here and welcome to this pre-market live stream.
• 0:03
  Speaker 1: It's so good that the market's back, isn't it?
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: I want to walk you through and you might have just seen my very special T-Cosy Look at this guy and I want to walk you through what really matters today, what I'm buying, what we're doing, the seven sectors that are actually outperforming the market right now, and explain why pretty much anything except for tech is going up at the moment, and then really understand why, because that really really matters.
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: It'll drive everything in your full understanding of the market.
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: And then I want to give you the four stocks that I'm buying and I'll explain to you why and how and that sort of thing, and if this is going to be useful for you.
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: You know, do you think this is going to be useful?
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: Perhaps, run through these four things.
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: Let me know in the chat.
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: Right, right, useful, or a smiley, or you know, a heart or something of that sort, even just a one.
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: If you're a Spartan and I've also asked you in the poll here when will you sit down and learn to become a great investor?
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: And, to my enormous delight, 68% of you wrote today and I love you for that, and I kind of knew that that's what the room would be here, because the people who said next week, someday, not sure, which is basically all someday, right, it's all the same answer, just phrased slightly differently.
• 1:30
  Speaker 1: If you, once you realize that the people who are amazing investors kind of the same as you, they have the same background, they have the same schooling as you, they come from the same places Once that sinks in, and that they're not these super whiz kids, what's actually preventing you from becoming that amazing investor?
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: Well, it's up here.
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: It's a lack of skills, right, it's a lack of knowledge, and I want to give you a lot of that here today, because what's the worst time to implement something?
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: Next week, someday, or, if you're not sure, the one day thing, the someday thing, basically, is the worst time.
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: Um, someday I'll go to the gym.
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: Some people say they're usually in a wait.
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: Maybe you're thinking I'm a bit busy right now, and that's literally the path to absolutely nowhere.
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: And I know that isn't the vast majority of the room here, which is what I love you for, but why do those people actually do that?
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: I think about that quite a lot and the answer to that, in my humble opinion, is that we're afraid of change.
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: What's on the other side of that fear?
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: What's on the other side of that change?
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: And you ever done something like jumped off somewhere and it was really scary at first and you did it?
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: And you ever done something like jumped off somewhere and it was really scary at first and you did it, and you landed in the water and you were like that was amazing, let's do it again, right, because it was that easy.
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: And once you say, once you say like what?
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: 16 of you have said not sure, or 15 of you have said next week once you say that that this outcome that you want becoming an amazing investor making your money work for you so you don't have to go to work and you can wake up whenever you want it no longer becomes real.
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: So when's the best time to do it?
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: That 68% of you said now, because it's not a question of when, but it's then a question of how.
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: That's a huge mindset shift of am I going to do this?
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: Or, you know, is this actually something I can definitely do?
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: It is a question of how do I figure this out?
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: And let me say this again Successful traders and investors are not smarter than you.
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: I met a lot of bankers in my day and they are not that smart.
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: They just decided that enough is enough and they got stuck in, and it's the same for every retail investor out there.
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: So, long story short, I want to give you the opportunity to make it now and to learn now and to understand why I'm buying those four stocks that I'm going to buy today, and for that I'm running a live masterclass two hours of unadulterated teaching, and you can join me on Thursday morning right after this live stream.
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: So literally in two days, 10 am.
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: And how do you get there?
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: You go to phoenixtransitorg slash webinar.
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: Link is down below.
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: Link is also down below in the description, and here it is.
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: I will also run you through what I think is the best trade in the world and how that really works, and we might actually set one up together on the live stream.
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: I was very, very happy to do that and it's the one trade that I've opened.
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: Every week, every month, every part of the year, I have that trade open and it makes us money all the freaking time.
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: So best time to try to plant a fruit tree is 25 years ago.
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: Second best time is today, says Garden Therapy.
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: You're precisely right, like I'm.
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: Literally, I just bought a property and the first thing I'm thinking about is when are we going to plant the avocado trees, because it takes a bloody long time for them to fruit.
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: So precisely my thought.
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: If you want the outcome you want, if you want to have the freedom you want, you got to take action now.
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: So who's going to come and join me on Thursday?
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: Join probably about 1,000 to 2,000 people at felixfrensorg slash webinar?
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: Let me know in the chat, just say put now in there, and I know that you're going to be joining me at felixfrensorg slash webinar and I'll break down exactly what we do and how we do it, as well as what I think is the best trade in the world by far.
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: So best time to buy.
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: Alpha says I'll try and join Now.
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: The word try is banned in my household, completely banned.
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: Alpha Charlie is joining me.
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: Nicholas is joining me, jj is joining me, michael is joining me, jim is joining.
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: Jinx is joining Brilliant Nowish.
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: Alpha Charlie is also never, by the way.
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: Rufus, kyra, ninja, you're all joining Brilliant, peaceful, bradley, amazing.
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: Okay, I'll see you guys all there, we're going to have a blast.
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: Now some people are going to scare you and try and scare you out of the position that you are in by showing you this S&P Shiller Cape Ratio, basically saying that stocks are insanely overvalued and therefore everything must collapse and you should panic and, you know, dig a hole in the garden sort of type thing.
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: It's basically saying that, yeah, stocks are trading slightly below the dot.
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: What was that?
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: 2001.com bubble valuation?
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: Pay no attention.
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: That's what I say.
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: This stuff doesn't matter, honestly doesn't matter.
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: It doesn't take into account a lot of the good stuff that I'm going to show you in a second, because Brent says there's no try Either do it or do not.
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: We're going to get on, you and me, brent.
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: Andre is also joining us, jason's joining us Amazing, keep putting that in there.
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: And let me show you a couple of things here.
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: So there are seven sectors that have beaten the S&P performance so far this year.
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: What are those seven sectors?
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: Can you see it?
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: Can you see it?
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: Can you hear it?
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: It's not tech, no, it's communications, it's materials, it's energy, it's utilities, it's industrials One, two, three, four, five, financials and healthcare.
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: And who's actually done the best?
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: Comms and financials, they've done the best.
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: What hasn't beaten the index is technology.
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: So why the heck are tech stocks not going up?
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: Isn't that the one thing that we love and adore?
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: Brent?
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: I appreciate you too, my friend.
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: Well, let me show you a couple of reasons why we're bullish and why we don't care much for the doomers and gloomers out there who give you cheap headlines.
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: The percentage of stocks with positive earnings per share growth, which is ultimately what matters, is the company making more money per share.
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: That is at a pretty freaking high level, if you draw a line across here, right, extraordinarily high, and that's a very good thing, and that's why prices are up and that's why the Shiller nonsense doesn't matter.
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: Now, since last summer, middle of last summer, july 10th what's done really, really well?
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: Tech is down.
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: Tech's done nothing.
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: Look at Nvidia.
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: Look at the big tech stocks.
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: They've done absolutely bugger.
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: All right.
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: What's done really really well?
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: Financials I remember mentioning it to you.
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: It was the tail end of last year that I was opening financial stock positions and stuff like FOA, for example, which is up like 180% or something like that.
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: Well, so what do we do about that?
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: What do we do about this kind of and why is this happening?
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: Why are tech stocks not doing what we want them to do?
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: Well, let me show you why this is really important to understand this, and feel free to take screenshots or write notes, not because you want to read those notes, but just because it makes it sink in more.
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: You'll actually remember it.
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: The Magnificent Seven, so the biggest top tech stocks and well, they normally outperform.
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: They normally do better than what we expect them to do.
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: What have they done in the last quarter?
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: They did not outperform.
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: They did exactly as expected, which isn't terrible.
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: It isn't horrible.
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: It isn't the end of the world.
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: It isn't enough to climb on that ledge and jump off it of the world.
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: It isn't enough to climb on that ledge and jump off it.
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: But it's also not the gloriousness that we've had from 2013 to the end of 2024, sorry, 2023 and 2024.
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: So, does that make some sense to you?
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: If that makes some sense to you, put a one in the chat.
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: If it makes some sense, just write the number one.
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: If it makes some sense.
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: If it makes no sense, put a two in there, right?
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: No, if it makes some sense, I can see that you're listening and it's helpful.
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: Maros Vits, you're also joining me.
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: Brilliant, I'll see you on Thursday, my friend.
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: But here is a bit more.
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: The earnings growth.
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: Okay, I'm seeing a lot of ones coming through.
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: They're amazing.
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: Thank you guys.
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: The Magnificent Seven which are in blue here, these are the Mag Seven, and then in gray down there we have the S&P 493, the other, the rest right, the riffraff, and for the last two years, the Mag Sevens have massively outperformed in terms of profit generation everything else out there.
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: Now, in 2025, we expect that gap to narrow, right?
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: You see how big the gap was here in the in 2023 and then here in 2024.
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: Now this year, we're expecting it to be only this little sort of box there, only a seven percent gap seven percent and then in26, we expect it to be only a 4% gap.
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: Why?
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: Well, the MAC-7 are not growing quite as quickly and the rest of the market is catching up and therefore there is a broadening of this rally, which is not a bad thing.
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: It's just what happens Like something leads, everything catches up.
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: So if we just keep our money in the max seven for the next two years, we're not likely to see the same beautiful results we've seen for the last two years.
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: Does that make some sense to you?
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: It does keep the ones coming.
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: So I know that it is Mark Smith.
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: I like your comment there.
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: Lots of ones there from Drew Brilliant, so useful, right and again.
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: You might want to take a screenshot of that because that's a really, really important piece of data that's going to underpin everything that's going to happen here in the next few months.
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: So what else is mainstream media then telling you to run out and buy?
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: They're telling you to buy the German stocks.
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: I am German, german born, 100%.
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: I can't deny it.
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: I try to wash it off, it doesn't.
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: And the German stock index, the DAX, has actually done tremendously well, despite a rubbish economy and the worst people in the world to run the country, and a lot of that has been well.
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: Companies do quite well in war times.
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: That's usually how it works, which is perhaps where we have it, but that's another conversation.
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: So should you buy that up here?
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: Should you now buy the german stock index, the dax?
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: Um, I would argue not, because I would argue that it's probably overboard, which is what the RSI thing here says to me.
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: Last time we were this overboard was here in March 2024.
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: And we came down and we sort of went sideways and then, yes, we went up some more.
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: It's true that I'm not a huge fan, to be honest with you.
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: Then you have KWEB, which is up 30% since January, which is pretty impressive, but it's also pretty overboard and who knows if that's going to go up some more.
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: Maybe, maybe short squeeze up a little bit more, but again, it isn't what I'm buying.