Latest / The Chuck ToddCast / Chuck’s Commentary - Jeff Bezos Gutting The Washington Post Is A Dark Day For Journalism + The One Loophole For A Third Trump Term
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- 1:52Speaker 1: Happy Thursday, Happy super Bowl Thursday. Right are We are
- 1:55Speaker 1: now in the ninety six hour window of Super Bowl,
- 2:01Speaker 1: of the sort of the Super Bowl extravaganza. And I'm
- 2:08Speaker 1: tempted to say that the Super Bowl hype feels lessish.
- 2:13Speaker 1: And I don't know if I'm saying that because I'm
- 2:16Speaker 1: buying into the premise that they're you know, we don't
- 2:18Speaker 1: have the traditional stars in the Super Bowl right now.
- 2:21Speaker 1: There's no Patrick Mahomes and there's no Tom Brady, and
- 2:23Speaker 1: there's no Josh Allen. There's no Lamar Jackson, no Aaron Rodgers.
- 2:26Speaker 1: So I hate to like pile on on that, but
- 2:29Speaker 1: there does feel this feels less hyped or am I
- 2:36Speaker 1: just accepting you know, am I putting my own bias
- 2:40Speaker 1: on it?
- 2:41Speaker 2: I will.
- 2:41Speaker 1: I will accept the premise that I might be because
- 2:44Speaker 1: the Super Bowl doesn't overly excite me, and I think
- 2:48Speaker 1: out of you know, my great fears that it won't be competitive,
- 2:51Speaker 1: But I certainly hope we will have a competitive more
- 2:53Speaker 1: to say about the super Bowl, as I always promise,
- 2:56Speaker 1: I want to keep the sports to the end. I've
- 3:01Speaker 1: made a few references and had a few rants about
- 3:04Speaker 1: the Washington Post, but we now know what happened, and
- 3:07Speaker 1: I guess you could say, I'm this is my official
- 3:10Speaker 1: obituary for the Washington Post because my frustration on this.
- 3:17Speaker 1: This is not and I think different people go about
- 3:19Speaker 1: this a different way. I do not believe Jeff Bezos's
- 3:22Speaker 1: job was to be a to treat the Washington Post
- 3:27Speaker 1: as a charity case. So I'm not you know, I'm
- 3:31Speaker 1: not asking him to lose money to keep the Washington
- 3:33Speaker 1: Post up and running. I'm asking him to be honest
- 3:37Speaker 1: about what he's up to. I'm asking him to be
- 3:40Speaker 1: more straightforward about his motivation, and I'm asking him to
- 3:45Speaker 1: acknowledge that he The question is did he hire the
- 3:50Speaker 1: wrong people or did he actually make a business decision
- 3:55Speaker 1: that has nothing to do with the business of media
- 3:58Speaker 1: and everything to do.
- 3:59Speaker 2: With the business of space.
- 4:01Speaker 1: Before I get to it, but I want to start
- 4:02Speaker 1: off with associating myself with something Jeff Bezos said in
- 4:10Speaker 1: twenty thirteen. Thanks to my friend Don van Ada, one
- 4:13Speaker 1: of the great sports reporters out there, does a lot
- 4:16Speaker 1: of great work over at ESPN, and it's been everywhere
- 4:18Speaker 1: times you name it, he re upped this. It's an
- 4:23Speaker 1: important quote, and I want to quote.
- 4:25Speaker 2: From Jeff Bezos.
- 4:26Speaker 1: So, when Jeff Bezos bought the Washington Post two hundred
- 4:29Speaker 1: and fifty million dollars in twenty thirteen, he did a
- 4:32Speaker 1: Q and A in the newsroom with legendary Washington Post
- 4:35Speaker 1: reporter Bob Woodward. And Woodward asked Bezos in front of
- 4:41Speaker 1: all of his Jeff Bezos new employees at the Washington Post,
- 4:44Speaker 1: a simple question, Why'd you do it?
- 4:47Speaker 2: Let me read you Jeff Bezos's answer.
- 4:48Speaker 1: In twenty thirteen, I finally concluded that I could provide
- 4:53Speaker 1: runway financial runway because I don't think you can keep
- 4:56Speaker 1: shrinking the business. You could be profitable and shrinking, and
- 5:01Speaker 1: that's a survival strategy, but it ultimately leads to irrelevance
- 5:06Speaker 1: at best, and at worst, it leads to extinction. In
- 5:12Speaker 1: some ways, I almost want to drop the mic and
- 5:15Speaker 1: leave right like, there you go, what's about to happen
- 5:19Speaker 1: to the Washington Post? Exactly what Jeff Bezos said he
- 5:24Speaker 1: wasn't going to do. So I wanted to start off
- 5:28Speaker 1: with the Jeff Bezos quote so that as I read you,
- 5:31Speaker 1: Matt Murray, and I want to say this about Matt
- 5:33Speaker 1: Murray's the executive editor of the Washington Post. Matt Murray's
- 5:38Speaker 1: had to be the face of all of this. It
- 5:44Speaker 1: sucks that anybody has to be the face of this.
- 5:47Speaker 1: But what really sucks is he didn't make these decisions.
- 5:51Speaker 1: He has to execute a strategy and execute decisions that
- 5:56Speaker 1: were made by two people who did not face the
- 6:00Speaker 1: public or their employees. So you know, look, I do
- 6:07Speaker 1: not I feel poor Matt Murray's been hung out to dry.
- 6:12Speaker 1: And you could say, well, he could have resigned well,
- 6:14Speaker 1: and look, everybody's got pay bills, so be very careful.
- 6:17Speaker 1: It's always easy to say when you don't have that job,
- 6:21Speaker 1: to say you could quit, you could do this well,
- 6:23Speaker 1: you know your circumstance is your circumstance. If you have
- 6:30Speaker 1: the luxury to do it, great, and you think you
- 6:33Speaker 1: can make a statement, kudos, But not everybody does.
- 6:38Speaker 2: Matt Murray is a.
- 6:39Speaker 1: Great, capable editor, managing editor, editor of a newsroom, runs
- 6:44Speaker 1: a newsroom. He is not in charge of the business strategy.
- 6:48Speaker 1: He executes the strategy. So I say this because I
- 6:53Speaker 1: don't I don't want to see Matt Murray demonized. You
- 6:56Speaker 1: want to be angry, be angry at Jeff Bezos for
- 6:58Speaker 1: hiring Will Lewis, and you don't even have to be
- 7:01Speaker 1: angry at him hiring Will Lewis. What you should be
- 7:03Speaker 1: angry at is that Will Lewis isn't being shoved out
- 7:05Speaker 1: the door along with all these employees. Because Will Lewis's
- 7:08Speaker 1: strategy has been a disaster. Every move he's made has
- 7:11Speaker 1: cost the Post money, cost the Post readers, cost the
- 7:15Speaker 1: Post relevance. So the idea that Lewis's job is safe,
- 7:22Speaker 1: but three hundred Washington Post staffers are being shown the
- 7:25Speaker 1: door because hey, this is you know, oh you know,
- 7:28Speaker 1: we just no. The media business is hard. But this
- 7:33Speaker 1: was a choice. But anyway, Jeff Bezos in twenty thirteen said,
- 7:39Speaker 1: you do this, and you know you may go to
- 7:41Speaker 1: extinct irrelevance. So let me read you today's memo that
- 7:46Speaker 1: I'm sure was approved by Will Lewis and Jeff Bezos.
- 7:51Speaker 1: And I'm not going to read the whole thing, but
- 7:54Speaker 1: I'm going to read a few paragraphs, so this one.
- 7:56Speaker 1: These moves include substantial newsroom reductions, impacting nearly all news departments.
- 8:01Speaker 1: For the immediate future, we will concentrate on areas that
- 8:04Speaker 1: demonstrate authority, distinctiveness, and impact and that resonate with readers. Politics,
- 8:09Speaker 1: national affairs, people power and trends, national security in DC
- 8:15Speaker 1: and abroad. Forces shaping the future, including science, health, medicine, technology,
- 8:20Speaker 1: climate in business, journalism that empowers people to take action,
- 8:23Speaker 1: from advice to wellness, revelatory investigations, and what's capturing attention
- 8:28Speaker 1: in culture, online and daily life. So that's the that's
- 8:32Speaker 1: the mission. Apparently let me continue, but we take these
- 8:37Speaker 1: actions with clarity of purpose. The need has never been
- 8:40Speaker 1: more urgent to reposition the post. A more flexible, sustainable
- 8:43Speaker 1: model will help us better navigate unprecedented volatility, competition, technological change,
- 8:50Speaker 1: news consumption habits, and cost pressure. As you know, we
- 8:54Speaker 1: have grappled with financial challenges for some time. They have
- 8:56Speaker 1: affected us multiple in multiple rounds of cost cuts and buyouts,
- 8:59Speaker 1: along with peer periotic constraints on other kinds of spending.
- 9:04Speaker 1: We have concluded that the company structure is to root
- 9:06Speaker 1: it in a different era when we were a dominant
- 9:09Speaker 1: local print product. This restructure will help to secure our
- 9:13Speaker 1: future in service of our journalistic mission and provide us
- 9:16Speaker 1: stability moving forward. Then he keeps going we are far
- 9:19Speaker 1: from alone and reevaluate our model and rethinking how we operate.
- 9:22Speaker 1: The ecosystem of news and information on and off platform
- 9:25Speaker 1: is changing radically. News consumers enjoy more variety, voices, of
- 9:28Speaker 1: platforms and options than ever before. In just the last
- 9:30Speaker 1: five years, multiple startups, even individuals have created meaningful products
- 9:34Speaker 1: that draw at tension and generate impact at low cost.
- 9:38Speaker 1: And it goes on to blame search and blame all
- 9:41Speaker 1: these other structural issues that were issues in twenty thirteen,
- 9:47Speaker 1: that were issues when Marty Barron took over. So the
- 9:51Speaker 1: point being there, of course there have been issues. These
- 9:54Speaker 1: are issues that the New York Times confronted, and as
- 9:57Speaker 1: Nate Silver, you should check out his substance he did.
- 10:00Speaker 1: He noted that both you know, essentially this gets it
- 10:04Speaker 1: to the real business decision that Jeff Bezos made. But
- 10:08Speaker 1: he did a terrific sort of showing of that. There
- 10:11Speaker 1: was this study of sort of like impact, sort of
- 10:14Speaker 1: judging how much how much impact your news stories had,
- 10:17Speaker 1: and the Times in the Post were essentially neck and neck,
- 10:19Speaker 1: neck and neck. It's sort of you know, whether it
- 10:22Speaker 1: was attention impact, how often their articles were however you
- 10:26Speaker 1: wanted to measure. But there was a pretty good measurement
- 10:28Speaker 1: that he was using to do this, and I wasn't
- 10:31Speaker 1: familiar with the specific metric he was using, but it
- 10:35Speaker 1: made the larger point that both the Times in the
- 10:37Speaker 1: Post were sort of essentially in the same place late
- 10:41Speaker 1: twenty eighteen, twenty nineteen, even into twenty twenty, twenty twenty one,
- 10:46Speaker 1: you know, the Times like the Post experienced you know,
- 10:49Speaker 1: this this sort of softening of interest in Washington news
- 10:53Speaker 1: with the incoming Biden administration, right, and Joe Biden being
- 10:56Speaker 1: sort of catatonic for most of his term. Obviously meant
- 11:01Speaker 1: that the attention economy when it came to Washington politics
- 11:05Speaker 1: was less interested. The Times diversified, right, the Times has
- 11:11Speaker 1: all had, you know, decided to use the opportunity when
- 11:15Speaker 1: there was attention, and they they went big, right. Yeah,
- 11:19Speaker 1: they cut their sports department, but only after they bought
- 11:22Speaker 1: the Athletic Okay, the leading national sports news organization in
- 11:28Speaker 1: the country. So they actually went bigger on sports, not smaller, right.
- 11:33Speaker 1: And they went with a brand, and they took a brand,
- 11:36Speaker 1: and they doubled down on a brand, you know. And
- 11:38Speaker 1: they've done this with Wirecutter, and they've done this with
- 11:41Speaker 1: their recipes, and they've done this with games. The Washington
- 11:45Speaker 1: Post was perfectly positioned to potentially do something similar on
- 11:50Speaker 1: a variety of fronts. This is among the wealthiest metropolitan
- 11:56Speaker 1: areas in the country. You have some of the most
- 12:00Speaker 1: well read people. People pay for news. Not every community
- 12:05Speaker 1: is got to, is my god. They charge you for
- 12:08Speaker 1: everything around here, right, people are buying newsletters from punch
- 12:11Speaker 1: Bowl and buying pro political pro subscriptions and national journal
- 12:15Speaker 1: and hotline passes and all sorts of things. So this
- 12:19Speaker 1: is a market that is very comfortable paying for information.
- 12:29Speaker 1: But Jeff Bezos had a problem. His number one competitor
- 12:34Speaker 1: for space contracts is Elon Musk. Elon Musk had had
- 12:41Speaker 1: all sorts of ties to the two front runners for
- 12:45Speaker 1: president in twenty twenty three and twenty twenty four, Ron
- 12:48Speaker 1: DeSantis and Donald Trump, and Elon Musk was leveraging those
- 12:57Speaker 1: relationships in any way possible. And when he realized Disantas
- 13:00Speaker 1: was going nowhere, right, He's eventually.
- 13:03Speaker 2: Sidled right up to Trump.
- 13:08Speaker 1: If there is a competitor in the private space race,
- 13:12Speaker 1: to Elon Musk, it's Jeff Bezos with Blue Origin. The
- 13:20Speaker 1: only way to build a private space company is to
- 13:24Speaker 1: have access to the government's resources NASA and all sorts
- 13:29Speaker 1: of infrastructure. All right, we may be in the privatizing
- 13:35Speaker 1: era of space, but the structure is still sort of government.
- 13:39Speaker 1: You're very dependent upon government, and you need access to government.
- 13:44Speaker 1: And if Donald Trump just shut the door on Jeff Bezos,
- 13:47Speaker 1: Blue Origin would be just sort of stuck here, maybe
- 13:50Speaker 1: have to work with another country if they wanted to
- 13:53Speaker 1: get up and stuff like that. So he looked at
- 13:56Speaker 1: the look I think his initial decision to purchase. Now,
- 13:59Speaker 1: when you sort of everything looks obvious now in hindsight.
- 14:03Speaker 1: So why did twenty thirteen Jeff Basos.
- 14:05Speaker 2: By the Washington Post.
- 14:06Speaker 1: We know what he said. I told you up top
- 14:08Speaker 1: what he said, but he still like, why did he
- 14:14Speaker 1: think it was a good idea? Well, if you recall
- 14:15Speaker 1: at the time, right, I believe Amazon had just made
- 14:21Speaker 1: the decision to create a basically open a second headquarters,
- 14:25Speaker 1: and they made the decision to open it in Crystal
- 14:28Speaker 1: City of Virginia.
- 14:30Speaker 2: Why did they do that?
- 14:31Speaker 1: Because the most important government contracts to AWS right, the
- 14:38Speaker 1: arguably the more profitable arm of Amazon, rather than the
- 14:43Speaker 1: product most of us interact with on a daily or
- 14:47Speaker 1: some of you on an hourly basis, are Pentagon contracts.
- 14:52Speaker 1: So Amazon made the decision it needed to be close
- 14:56Speaker 1: to Washington. Look, I'll be honest, as a political anthropologists,
- 15:01Speaker 1: the way I looked at it, I was I was rooting.
- 15:03Speaker 1: I remember remember there was this whole campaign who was
- 15:06Speaker 1: going to get the second headquarters in? Amazon did a
- 15:09Speaker 1: very public, almost American Idol style RFPs right request for
- 15:18Speaker 1: proposals from various cities, and they had certain things they needed.
- 15:23Speaker 1: They needed easy access to public transportation, among you, affordable housing,
- 15:28Speaker 1: all sorts of it, but it was public transporation was
- 15:30Speaker 1: a big thing, There's no doubt. I remember I was
- 15:35Speaker 1: hoping he'd picked Saint Louis. And you've probably heard me
- 15:39Speaker 1: a few times. I'm obsessed with Saint Louis for a
- 15:41Speaker 1: variety of reasons.
- 15:42Speaker 2: You know, Saint Louis was I ate.
- 15:45Speaker 1: The America all sort of chipped in to figure out, hey,
- 15:53Speaker 1: we can't let Detroit spiral, and we got investment in Detroit,
- 15:59Speaker 1: and we got Wall Street interested in Detroit, and Detroit
- 16:02Speaker 1: is in better shape today than it's been in a while.
- 16:07Speaker 1: We've not had that same you know, there was a time,
- 16:09Speaker 1: right Saint Louis hosted an Olympics nineteen oh four. I
- 16:12Speaker 1: believe it was because it was the gateway to the West, Right,
- 16:16Speaker 1: Saint Louis was the most important, Say, before there was
- 16:19Speaker 1: LA in San Francisco, there were Saint Louis. Right, it
- 16:22Speaker 1: was the western frontier and it was an extraordinarily important city.
- 16:27Speaker 1: And even when I was growing up, right, you know,
- 16:29Speaker 1: it was a hub and had lots of corporate headquarters there, right,
- 16:34Speaker 1: and isaer Bush being the most iconic, but TWA Transworld
- 16:39Speaker 1: Airlines that was a huge airline that was not a
- 16:42Speaker 1: small airline, it was a big airline. And it is withered,
- 16:47Speaker 1: and there's a we can There's a variety of reasons.
- 16:49Speaker 1: Saint Louis is one of those. When you if you
- 16:51Speaker 1: ever wanted to understand how the interstate highway system really
- 16:56Speaker 1: did segregate communities and destroy urban communities, go traveling downtown
- 17:01Speaker 1: Saint Louis when you go, and I believe it's fifty five.
- 17:05Speaker 1: If I have it wrong, I hope my friends and
- 17:09Speaker 1: Saint Louis will will correct me.
- 17:10Speaker 2: I've got some.
- 17:13Speaker 1: I've got off and on ties to Saint Louis, and
- 17:15Speaker 1: I'll leave it at that.
- 17:16Speaker 2: Some of you will know what I'm referring to.
- 17:20Speaker 1: But it's one of those that it's just ugly. It's terrible,
- 17:23Speaker 1: like you know that. You know, there was a lot
- 17:24Speaker 1: of urban planners in the twenties, thirties, forties, and fifties
- 17:32Speaker 1: who essentially used African American communities, you know, just almost
- 17:38Speaker 1: either bulldozed them, divided them in half. But it was
- 17:43Speaker 1: you know, if you were in a if you were
- 17:47Speaker 1: fighting a not in my backyard mindset, you know, the
- 17:51Speaker 1: black communities lost every one of them. And this was
- 17:54Speaker 1: all over. You can read the Powerbroker about Robert Moses
- 17:58Speaker 1: and what he did New York and how this was done.
- 18:02Speaker 1: You can just see how the interstate system was built
- 18:06Speaker 1: in Saint Louis. You can see remnants of this in
- 18:08Speaker 1: New Orleans and some other of these cities that this
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- 19:33Speaker 1: toodcast for thirty percent off. So I was really but
- 19:40Speaker 1: there was a lot of reasons. So Saint Louis, I
- 19:42Speaker 1: think needed a shot in the arm. But I also
- 19:46Speaker 1: thought it was a Hey, this is a it still
- 19:49Speaker 1: has some wealth to it. It still is a highly
- 19:51Speaker 1: educated community, and more importantly, it's it's a more politically
- 19:56Speaker 1: diverse community. And I would thought the tech industry needed
- 20:00Speaker 1: more buy in from Red America. So, hey, don't you
- 20:04Speaker 1: know you're going from Seattle? All right, why don't you
- 20:06Speaker 1: you know, I thought Saint Louis so for a variety
- 20:09Speaker 1: of reasons, right, I thought Saint Louis was gonna be
- 20:12Speaker 1: a good spot. So but the point was they picked
- 20:14Speaker 1: I remember the last thing I expected was DC. So
- 20:18Speaker 1: Bezos made a business and so what did he do?
- 20:20Speaker 2: Then?
- 20:20Speaker 1: He buys the Washington Post. And I think he saw
- 20:25Speaker 1: the Washington Post as an investment in being able to
- 20:29Speaker 1: curry favor in Washington for Amazon. And it made a
- 20:34Speaker 1: ton of sense. Right, you're the owner of the Washington Post.
- 20:38Speaker 1: You're going to get more meetings with the lawmakers that
- 20:40Speaker 1: you need to have meetings with. And you know, you
- 20:42Speaker 1: could say, okay, Jeff Bezos, well we'll give him that too,
- 20:46Speaker 1: But it only adds. It's only additive, right, It gives
- 20:51Speaker 1: you outsized potential influence and all of it, you know,
- 20:56Speaker 1: and so but but in order in order for that
- 21:01Speaker 1: to stay, the Post had to be.
- 21:04Speaker 2: Robust.
- 21:06Speaker 1: So he did endorse a robust version of the Washington Post.
- 21:09Speaker 1: I think he saw it as a trophy. He did
- 21:12Speaker 1: not see it as a business in and of itself, which.
- 21:16Speaker 2: Has always been my frustration. He saw it.
- 21:20Speaker 1: As a trophy that could help him with his other businesses.
- 21:25Speaker 1: So initially that's because he had all these government contracts
- 21:29Speaker 1: with AWS moves, the second Amazon headquarters, which is all
- 21:33Speaker 1: about those Pentagon contracts, and then of course there's his
- 21:36Speaker 1: hobby with space all of it. Having, you know, having
- 21:42Speaker 1: that kind of influence in Washington was going to be
- 21:46Speaker 1: helpful all of those businesses. Well, in comes Donald Trump
- 21:52Speaker 1: and the polarization of media in general and the weaponization
- 21:57Speaker 1: by the right to attack any journalists, any journalistic organization
- 22:02Speaker 1: that dared try to report accountability stories about anybody left
- 22:12Speaker 1: or right. But you know, everything got and Donald Trump
- 22:17Speaker 1: personalized everything in that first turn, and the question was
- 22:21Speaker 1: how was it going to impact Bezos? And look, the
- 22:28Speaker 1: conventional with the rest of official Washington was just as
- 22:32Speaker 1: alarmed about Donald Trump as the Washington Post was, So
- 22:35Speaker 1: in some ways, I think Bezos felt comforted that he
- 22:37Speaker 1: was still on the side. Yes, he was did lose
- 22:41Speaker 1: a government contract because Donald Trump essentially punished Amazon, punished
- 22:47Speaker 1: Bezos because he didn't like the coverage he was getting
- 22:50Speaker 1: out of the Washington Post. Passed forward to twenty twenty three.
- 22:57Speaker 2: Right when.
- 23:00Speaker 1: Jeff Bezos decides to radically remodel the Washington Post. Yes,
- 23:06Speaker 1: there was a moment that the Post was having.
- 23:08Speaker 2: They couldn't.
- 23:08Speaker 1: They were losing some traffic, losing and it had to
- 23:12Speaker 1: have less to do with it, you know. They just
- 23:14Speaker 1: they didn't do anything right with the upside that they
- 23:20Speaker 1: were experiencing in twenty eighteen and twenty nineteen and investing
- 23:23Speaker 1: in sort of cementing some of the growth that they have. Right,
- 23:27Speaker 1: you get growth, you should want to cement it.
- 23:29Speaker 2: They didn't.
- 23:29Speaker 1: The New York Times did right, just the Salzburger's just
- 23:33Speaker 1: but there they own the Times. For the Times to
- 23:37Speaker 1: be a successful business, Jeff Bezos bought The Washington Post
- 23:42Speaker 1: for the success of his other businesses. He never was
- 23:46Speaker 1: that interested in the success of the business of news
- 23:49Speaker 1: and information itself, because if he had been, he would
- 23:54Speaker 1: have made a lot more different decisions. You don't hire
- 23:57Speaker 1: somebody who's just a tabloid editor from the UK who
- 24:02Speaker 1: just is a clickbait, attention economy type of journalists. It's
- 24:09Speaker 1: a great way to make money if you're an individual.
- 24:13Speaker 1: It's not a long term sustaining business. Just go see
- 24:17Speaker 1: the UK news market if you need more proof of that.
- 24:23Speaker 1: And never mind that like will Lewis's journalistic credentials were
- 24:26Speaker 1: pretty much shit for his connection with the with the
- 24:31Speaker 1: Murdock scandals that did cost him a bit of his
- 24:36Speaker 1: reputation in the UK.
- 24:40Speaker 2: But Bezos makes this hire anyway.
- 24:43Speaker 1: You don't hire will Lewis because you think there is
- 24:48Speaker 1: more money to be made in a transformational business to
- 24:52Speaker 1: be created that somehow others Fred Ryan and Marty Beron
- 24:58Speaker 1: didn't figure out. You hire will Lewis because you want
- 25:02Speaker 1: to change the tenor and reputation of the Washington Post itself.
- 25:09Speaker 1: So again, it's twenty twenty three, Donald Trump's front runner
- 25:15Speaker 1: for President Donald Trump. Jeff Bezos is watching the entire
- 25:19Speaker 1: tech community just side and the crypto community are sort
- 25:22Speaker 1: of both one and the same as decided they've given
- 25:24Speaker 1: up on Biden, Harris and the Democrats and they're going
- 25:27Speaker 1: all in with Trump. They know that any policy proposal,
- 25:33Speaker 1: if you give enough money, is a policy they can
- 25:36Speaker 1: get enacted. One of those pokes is Elon Musk, who's
- 25:40Speaker 1: got SpaceX. So Bezos had a choice to make. Now
- 25:47Speaker 1: he could have sold the Washington Post. But why wouldn't
- 25:49Speaker 1: he sell the Washington Post Because whoever he sold the
- 25:53Speaker 1: Washington Post to would likely have kept it a robust
- 25:58Speaker 1: journalistic organization more like Marty Baron's Washington Post than the
- 26:03Speaker 1: one whatever version we're going to see over the next
- 26:06Speaker 1: six months. And it probably would have been heavy on
- 26:10Speaker 1: accountability of this administration. Some crazy shit's happening every hour
- 26:15Speaker 1: of every day, and the Washington Post this is who
- 26:19Speaker 1: they are. In my entire lifetime, right, the Washington Post's
- 26:24Speaker 1: been a major news look. Essentially, Watergate took the Washington
- 26:28Speaker 1: Post from being one of two major papers in Washington.
- 26:31Speaker 1: You had the Washington Star in the Washington Post to
- 26:33Speaker 1: suddenly being, oh well, there's the New York Times in
- 26:35Speaker 1: the Washington Post. They went from really good local paper
- 26:41Speaker 1: to very important national paper. So just about anybody running
- 26:48Speaker 1: the Post is going to have that as the North Star.
- 26:56Speaker 1: But if he had sold it, Trump would have blamed
- 27:01Speaker 1: Bezos still probably still punished him. Made it a little
- 27:09Speaker 1: bit harder to get those space access to the space
- 27:12Speaker 1: resources that the government controls lose out in just about
- 27:16Speaker 1: every competitive bid with SpaceX.
- 27:22Speaker 2: But if he keeps it, and he makes a few.
- 27:32Speaker 1: Performative changes, again, it doesn't matter to him whether the
- 27:39Speaker 1: Post succeeds or fails. We have all established, right Peter
- 27:43Speaker 1: Baker did a terrific tweet. He's a former Washington poster,
- 27:46Speaker 1: works at the New York Times, where he noted, And actually,
- 27:49Speaker 1: Jeff Bezos' wealth has been increasing right this, you know,
- 27:52Speaker 1: the one hundred million dollars is literally a rounding error
- 27:56Speaker 1: for Jeff Bezos' network worth. And remember it's networth. This
- 27:59Speaker 1: is he had to give half of his work to
- 28:01Speaker 1: his first wife and he still.
- 28:03Speaker 2: Has this kind of network.
- 28:05Speaker 1: So it doesn't matter if the Post succeeds or fails.
- 28:08Speaker 1: What matters is does Blue Origin have access to the
- 28:14Speaker 1: government space resources? Is ABS going to get all of
- 28:17Speaker 1: its government contractsnewed by the Pentagon? So yes, Jeff Bezos
- 28:24Speaker 1: made a business decision, but it was not about the
- 28:28Speaker 1: business of The Washington Post. The Washington Post is a
- 28:32Speaker 1: pawn in his gallery that is used to make sure
- 28:41Speaker 1: the other businesses aren't punished by a very pugilistic president
- 28:49Speaker 1: who doesn't believe that there should be a free press
- 28:55Speaker 1: that's there to be critical of him as much as
- 28:59Speaker 1: is a free press there that can be praiseworthy of
- 29:02Speaker 1: him if that organization deems it worthy. So I do
- 29:10Speaker 1: think it's important that I accept the premise that this
- 29:13Speaker 1: was a business decision. But don't you tell me it's
- 29:15Speaker 1: about the business of news and information, because if he
- 29:18Speaker 1: was making that kind of business decision, number one he
- 29:21Speaker 1: would have sold it, or number two, he would have
- 29:24Speaker 1: created the Everything information store. Right now, as somebody else
- 29:29Speaker 1: said to me, you know, it's possible that, you know,
- 29:34Speaker 1: Jeff Beson is just not that bright, meaning he's really
- 29:38Speaker 1: good at one thing, building Amazon. There's no evidence at
- 29:45Speaker 1: Blue Origins any good as a private space company. Yet
- 29:50Speaker 1: you know he is not you know, look whatever, Elon
- 29:54Speaker 1: Musk has a lot of character flaws as a human being.
- 29:58Speaker 1: But the guy's a genius. We know that, all right.
- 30:01Speaker 2: He is.
- 30:01Speaker 1: You know, if you're going to tell me, who do
- 30:03Speaker 1: you want in charge of building a tunnel from LA
- 30:05Speaker 1: to San Francisco. Yeah, I trust his math before I
- 30:10Speaker 1: trust anybody else's math. I just don't want Elon Musk
- 30:15Speaker 1: worrying about culture and society because I think he's a weirdo.
- 30:20Speaker 1: But even weirdos are geniuses. In fact, a lot of
- 30:23Speaker 1: geniuses are weirdos. So it's just possible he you know,
- 30:27Speaker 1: he's just you know, net worth does not a high
- 30:31Speaker 1: net worth does not always mean high IQ. Donald Trump
- 30:35Speaker 1: wants to believe that, right. He wants to believe only
- 30:38Speaker 1: dumb people are poor and all rich people are smart
- 30:42Speaker 1: because he's rich and he knows he's not very smart,
- 30:44Speaker 1: but he wants people to think he's smart. So this
- 30:48Speaker 1: is sort of the paint by numbers perception that way
- 30:52Speaker 1: too many people in government are practicing these days. And
- 30:55Speaker 1: I watch it a lot. The deference that gets paid
- 30:58Speaker 1: to wealthy people in general, but particularly by politicians and
- 31:03Speaker 1: others is kind of gross when you know they were
- 31:07Speaker 1: an expert at one thing either they you know a
- 31:09Speaker 1: lot of times right, I would say about the super
- 31:13Speaker 1: rich people I've ever been around, about half inherited their
- 31:16Speaker 1: money and about half, you know, did it because they
- 31:21Speaker 1: were a part of building a business. But it didn't
- 31:27Speaker 1: mean they were an expert at that business. It didn't
- 31:29Speaker 1: automatically mean they were any good at anything else.
- 31:33Speaker 2: So that is a possibility.
- 31:36Speaker 1: Because if you were to look at the what the
- 31:37Speaker 1: Washington Post is deciding to do, it is about the
- 31:41Speaker 1: dumbest business decision you can do. So let's go back
- 31:44Speaker 1: to my Matt Murray emails. You could say, I've got
- 31:48Speaker 1: a lot of strong opinions on this. For the immediate future.
- 31:55Speaker 1: We're going to concentrate on areas that demonstrate authority, distinctiveness,
- 31:58Speaker 1: and impact and that resonate with readers. Politics, national affairs, people,
- 32:01Speaker 1: power and trends, National security of DC and abroad. Forces
- 32:03Speaker 1: shaping the future, including science, health, medicine, technology, climate, and business.
- 32:08Speaker 1: You know who else has that same north star? Every
- 32:11Speaker 1: other news organization that cover is in Washington or covers Washington.
- 32:15Speaker 1: That's Politico's north star. I could argue that's you know,
- 32:18Speaker 1: punch Bowl probably covers eighty percent of that National journal
- 32:22Speaker 1: or the Hotline would have said something like that, The
- 32:25Speaker 1: New York Times coverage of Washington.
- 32:27Speaker 2: Has that as a north star.
- 32:29Speaker 1: So what the Washington Post had that none of these
- 32:32Speaker 1: other news organizations had is they also were the regional
- 32:36Speaker 1: and local authority, So they had a distinct You know,
- 32:42Speaker 1: last time I checked, do you want to stand out
- 32:48Speaker 1: from your competitors or do you want to look very
- 32:50Speaker 1: similar to your competitors? The Washington Post has made a
- 32:53Speaker 1: decision to go small and to become more like Politico,
- 32:58Speaker 1: and the irony is it right? The founders of Political
- 33:01Speaker 1: Jim Benheid and John Harris left the Post and said, hey,
- 33:05Speaker 1: they basically say there needs to be you know, the Post,
- 33:07Speaker 1: and you know, the Post should be focusing more on
- 33:10Speaker 1: these areas and they could own this area now. Jim
- 33:14Speaker 1: Benheid John Harris weren't advocating getting rid of sports and
- 33:18Speaker 1: culture and all of that. What they were arguing is
- 33:20Speaker 1: that the Post should be more robust, be smarter about
- 33:23Speaker 1: some of its core authoritative topics, including politics in the
- 33:27Speaker 1: coverage of Washington. And I've always said that the Washington
- 33:30Speaker 1: Post for my adult lifetime used to what I used
- 33:34Speaker 1: to say when I worked at the National Journal in
- 33:35Speaker 1: the Hotline. He said, boy, the Washington Post lets a
- 33:38Speaker 1: bunch of us live right, roll call, Politico, National Journal,
- 33:43Speaker 1: punch Bowl. If the Washington Post chose to get involved
- 33:48Speaker 1: in any of those areas and become you know, hourly
- 33:52Speaker 1: authorities on what's happening on Capitol Hill like punch Bowl,
- 33:55Speaker 1: you know, or daily authorities about what's happening on campaign
- 33:58Speaker 1: trail like Hotline, or daily and hourly newsletters about all
- 34:03Speaker 1: sorts of industries in Washington like Politico, they could do it,
- 34:10Speaker 1: but it would put these others out of business, you know.
- 34:16Speaker 1: So now the Post wants to retreat and essentially become
- 34:21Speaker 1: a Washington trade publication that covers the business.
- 34:26Speaker 2: Of Washington.
- 34:28Speaker 1: That's Politico, that's Role Call, that's National Journal, that's Bloomberg.
- 34:33Speaker 1: That's how the New York Times covered all. You get
- 34:37Speaker 1: my point. So, if this were a business decision about
- 34:41Speaker 1: positioning The Washington Post in a place to be a
- 34:44Speaker 1: successful standalone business on its own, this is not what
- 34:48Speaker 1: you would do. So again, it's a business decision, but
- 34:54Speaker 1: it had nothing to do with the business of the
- 34:56Speaker 1: Washington Post. Now I'm going to close on this before
- 34:59Speaker 1: we get to my conversation with Danny fun about mobile
- 35:02Speaker 1: gaming and whether this is a if we suddenly put
- 35:09Speaker 1: a carton of cigarettes, the proverbial cartner cigarettes in the
- 35:14Speaker 1: hands of every eighteen year old boy in America, I guess,
- 35:18Speaker 1: twenty one year old boy in America, young man in America.
- 35:26Speaker 1: I'm going to confess something I am. I am enthusiastic
- 35:31Speaker 1: about the future of news and information. I'm enthusiastic about
- 35:36Speaker 1: independent media because look, I think the I think Jeff
- 35:42Speaker 1: Bezos here behaved like an evil rich guy stereotype, right,
- 35:46Speaker 1: couldn't faith when he bought the Washington Post, he couldn't
- 35:48Speaker 1: wait to be in the newsroom when he absolutely destroys
- 35:52Speaker 1: the Washington Post. He's meeting with peg Pete Hegseth at
- 35:57Speaker 1: Blue Origin and his wife hanging out at a Paris
- 36:01Speaker 1: fashion show. Right, it is a classic, Like, I mean,
- 36:04Speaker 1: you couldn't script it better, right if you wanted to.
- 36:08Speaker 1: It is gilded age. Let them eat cake. You can
- 36:11Speaker 1: pick your metaphor. And I'll tell you I do think
- 36:17Speaker 1: the pitchforks are out. Bernie Sanders said something interesting, and
- 36:21Speaker 1: you know, Bernie has a way of taking any issue
- 36:23Speaker 1: and saying it's about the millionaires and the billionaires. But
- 36:26Speaker 1: he made an interesting observation about the Epstein files, and
- 36:28Speaker 1: he says, you know, one of the reasons he thinks
- 36:30Speaker 1: that there's so much interest in the Epstein files beyond
- 36:32Speaker 1: the conspiracy theorists. Right, conspiracy theorists love the Epstein files
- 36:35Speaker 1: for a variety of other reasons. But there's sort of
- 36:38Speaker 1: there's a next level of interest. Right, there's just a
- 36:41Speaker 1: it just garneled it, and that is, these fucking rich
- 36:44Speaker 1: people play by their own set of rules, and look
- 36:47Speaker 1: at the shit they get away with. And so here's
- 36:52Speaker 1: Jeff Bezos behaving by a whole other set of rules.
- 36:54Speaker 1: And I you know, look, I blame myself for assuming
- 36:58Speaker 1: Jeff Bezos what's more worn than Elon Musk? Right, you know,
- 37:02Speaker 1: Warren Buffett bought the Omaha World Herald of years ago
- 37:04Speaker 1: because he wanted a good newspaper to read as he
- 37:06Speaker 1: stayed in Omaha. And I think I know what I thought.
- 37:10Speaker 1: I thought, Jeff Bezos sort of raised middle class kid,
- 37:13Speaker 1: you know, sort of raised in a way that a
- 37:16Speaker 1: lot of Americans go through, you know, single parent for
- 37:19Speaker 1: a while, stepfather all, you know, moved around a couple
- 37:22Speaker 1: of times, sort of lived, had a lived, had a lived,
- 37:27Speaker 1: working class, middle class ferry experience that maybe may have
- 37:31Speaker 1: ground him differently than it grounds a guy like Elon Musk,
- 37:35Speaker 1: who was you know, raised by a weirdo father. And
- 37:39Speaker 1: you know, or some of these tech guys who are
- 37:42Speaker 1: all you know, a lot of them are, you know,
- 37:45Speaker 1: like Bill Gates was you know, his dad had you know,
- 37:50Speaker 1: he wasn't. I think he was born in second base,
- 37:51Speaker 1: not third base.
- 37:52Speaker 2: But you get the drift, right, you get my drift.
- 37:58Speaker 1: And so I think, you know, I was even impressed
- 38:02Speaker 1: with how he handled his divorce. Right, he didn't fight
- 38:05Speaker 1: it half and half, except that the premise that he
- 38:09Speaker 1: couldn't have built his built Amazon without a spouse. You know,
- 38:14Speaker 1: perhaps he was the guilty party and he felt like
- 38:17Speaker 1: he had to just.
- 38:19Speaker 2: Do it that way. I don't know, but it's interesting.
- 38:28Speaker 1: It feels like there was one Jeff Bezos that we
- 38:33Speaker 1: all thought we knew, and then there's the guy who's
- 38:36Speaker 1: more interested in being in Hollywood, more interested in having
- 38:40Speaker 1: these you know, weddings in Italy and Europe and having
- 38:44Speaker 1: all sort of being flashy with his money. Right, it's
- 38:52Speaker 1: his prerogative, enjoy it, Sure, go ahead, But I don't
- 39:02Speaker 1: know if you know it is the amount of white
- 39:07Speaker 1: collar anger that's going to be now coupled with blue
- 39:10Speaker 1: collar anger. Right if blue collar Americans didn't like Mett
- 39:15Speaker 1: Romney because he looked like the boss that was going
- 39:17Speaker 1: to lay them off, and that's why some of these
- 39:19Speaker 1: guys who may not have liked the skin color of
- 39:21Speaker 1: Barack Obama but voted for him in twenty twelve, because
- 39:26Speaker 1: Mett Romney looked like the guy that was going to
- 39:27Speaker 1: lay him off. Well, now blue collar and white collar
- 39:32Speaker 1: America are going to be pretty angry at the boss.
- 39:36Speaker 1: And you know it's it is actions like this that
- 39:40Speaker 1: I this this sort of moment that's coming, and I think, again,
- 39:49Speaker 1: I blame myself. I thought I'd bet I've been in
- 39:53Speaker 1: a few dinners with Jeff bezos side, you know, clearly
- 39:57Speaker 1: not enough to truly get the measure of the man.
- 40:00Speaker 1: But he seemed like a pretty smart, well read, sort
- 40:03Speaker 1: of pragmatic individual. Meaning I thought he could read a room,
- 40:12Speaker 1: and I don't think any of these tech guys can
- 40:14Speaker 1: read a room right now. And you know, whether we
- 40:17Speaker 1: call him a tech guy, he's kind of more of
- 40:20Speaker 1: an old retail brick and mortar guy that used sort
- 40:22Speaker 1: of technology to sort of take over the retail market.
- 40:29Speaker 1: But you know, I don't think this is good politics.
- 40:33Speaker 1: And the party that associates the most with the wealthiest
- 40:36Speaker 1: people right now is on the right. You know, it's funny,
- 40:39Speaker 1: for a period of time, all the rich people, the
- 40:42Speaker 1: richest people in America seemed to be Obama supporters, right
- 40:45Speaker 1: They loved Obama, the celebrity of Obama.
- 40:48Speaker 2: And now they are.
- 40:52Speaker 1: Whether they don't, maybe they don't like hanging with Trump,
- 40:54Speaker 1: but they're all paying the price to hang with them.
- 41:00Speaker 1: But like I said, the good news is the public
- 41:03Speaker 1: is not going to trust corporate owned media or billionaire
- 41:06Speaker 1: owned media. They're only going to trust independent media. And
- 41:09Speaker 1: the good news is there is whether we call it
- 41:13Speaker 1: DMV today, DMV now, But the appetite, I mean, the
- 41:18Speaker 1: Anthony Davis trade for the Washington Wizards has not been
- 41:21Speaker 1: covered by the Washington Post. It broke about three hours
- 41:24Speaker 1: after the Matt Murray announced the end of the sports department,
- 41:30Speaker 1: and so I was curious if they'd even like note like,
- 41:32Speaker 1: this is the biggest trade in Washington Wizards for the
- 41:36Speaker 1: Washington Wizards, at least since getting rid of Black Bradley Beal,
- 41:39Speaker 1: and I think bigger than that, maybe not since Chris
- 41:43Speaker 1: the acquiring Chris Weber. And there's no Washington Sports section
- 41:50Speaker 1: to cover it. I went over to see if they
- 41:52Speaker 1: had any updates, maybe just carry a wire story. So
- 41:56Speaker 1: now in order to call it, you know, I'm going
- 41:58Speaker 1: to check out. I keep, for no offense to my
- 42:02Speaker 1: friends at the Washington Times. I keep forgetting that they're
- 42:04Speaker 1: still doing some sports coverage there, and good for them.
- 42:07Speaker 1: So I'll check that out, and I'll be checking it
- 42:09Speaker 1: out more for obvious reasons. I love my local sports teams,
- 42:13Speaker 1: not all of them, but if you will. But the
- 42:15Speaker 1: point about sports is This is sports is the community
- 42:18Speaker 1: glue that builds the trust that gets people to believe
- 42:23Speaker 1: the hard news that's being reported. So don't tell me
- 42:27Speaker 1: sports is not worth the investment. What that tells me
- 42:32Speaker 1: is you have a bunch of newsroom leaders, particularly somebody
- 42:34Speaker 1: that you're importing in where they don't have you know,
- 42:38Speaker 1: they they their news organizations. You know, they've never covered
- 42:43Speaker 1: sports the way our news organizations have. So it is
- 42:46Speaker 1: a cultural disconnect. And I think will Lewis doesn't fully
- 42:49Speaker 1: appreciate what he has just done or what he thinks
- 42:53Speaker 1: he's recommended. But here's what I will say. I don't
- 43:01Speaker 1: think the Post will recover from this. They may exist,
- 43:05Speaker 1: just like Newsweek exists, but his newsweek, the newsweek of
- 43:10Speaker 1: Howard Feinman, of Evan Thomas, we all know it's not.
- 43:17Speaker 1: It's kind of newsweek in name only. Now, look, there's
- 43:21Speaker 1: still some good reporters left. The congressional team at the
- 43:24Speaker 1: Post was fairly untouched. But what's it going to look
- 43:33Speaker 1: like in a year. And let me just tell you,
- 43:37Speaker 1: it is going to be fascinating to see what the
- 43:40Speaker 1: subscriber base looks like.
- 43:43Speaker 2: In six months.
- 43:46Speaker 1: They thought they lost a whole bunch of subscribers after
- 43:48Speaker 1: the bizarre editorial page shakedown, another business decision that it
- 43:53Speaker 1: was all about space and nothing about the business of
- 43:56Speaker 1: the Post. They ain't say nothing yet, So rest in peace,
- 44:04Speaker 1: Washington Post. Maybe the brand will come back, maybe somebody
- 44:09Speaker 1: else buys it, or maybe we just build something new.
- 44:13Speaker 2: It's okay. The New York Herald Tribune is no longer here.
- 44:16Speaker 1: Than the world's okay. The Washington Star is no longer here.
- 44:22Speaker 1: There's some great journalists looking for work. I am many
- 44:26Speaker 1: of you know what I'm up to. I've been quiet
- 44:29Speaker 1: lately about what I'm up to, but I'm I'm getting
- 44:33Speaker 1: closer to being in a position that hopefully I can
- 44:35Speaker 1: help contribute to solving this problem in the Washington market
- 44:38Speaker 1: in particular. So in that sense, thank you Jeff Bezos
- 44:43Speaker 1: for giving an entrepreneur like myself and a few others
- 44:47Speaker 1: the opportunity to show that you can do your civic
- 44:51Speaker 1: duty for your community and also make a dollar or
- 44:56Speaker 1: two while you're at it. Having good life insurance is
- 45:04Speaker 1: incredibly important. I know from personal experience. I was sixteen
- 45:08Speaker 1: when my father passed away. We didn't have any money.
- 45:10Speaker 1: He didn't leave us in the best shape. My mother,
- 45:13Speaker 1: single mother, now widow, myself sixteen, trying.
- 45:17Speaker 2: To figure out how am I going to pay for college?
- 45:19Speaker 1: And lo and behold, my dad had one life insurance
- 45:22Speaker 1: policy that we found wasn't a lot, but it was
- 45:25Speaker 1: important at the time, and it's why I was able
- 45:28Speaker 1: to go to college. Little did he know how important
- 45:31Speaker 1: that would be in that moment.
- 45:34Speaker 2: Well, guess what.
- 45:35Speaker 1: That's why I am here to tell you about Etho's life.
- 45:38Speaker 1: They can provide you with peace of mind knowing your
- 45:40Speaker 1: family is protected even if the worst comes to pass.
- 45:44Speaker 1: Ethos is an online platform that makes getting life insurance
- 45:47Speaker 1: fast and easy, all designed to protect your family's future
- 45:50Speaker 1: in minutes, not months. There's no complicated process, and it's
- 45:54Speaker 1: one hundred percent online. There's no medical exam require you
- 45:58Speaker 1: just answer a few health questions online. You can get
- 46:01Speaker 1: a quote in as little as ten minutes, and you
- 46:03Speaker 1: can get same day coverage without ever leaving your home.
- 46:07Speaker 1: You can get up to three million dollars in coverage,
- 46:09Speaker 1: and some policies start as low as two dollars a
- 46:11Speaker 1: day that would be billed monthly. As of March twenty
- 46:14Speaker 1: twenty five, Business Insider named Ethos the number one no
- 46:17Speaker 1: medical exam instant life insurance provider. So protect your family
- 46:22Speaker 1: with life insurance from Ethos. Get your free quot at
- 46:25Speaker 1: ethos dot com slash chuck. So again that's Ethos dot
- 46:29Speaker 1: com slash chuck. Application times may vary and the rates
- 46:34Speaker 1: themselves may vary as well, but trust me, life insurance
- 46:37Speaker 1: is something you should really think about it, especially if
- 46:40Speaker 1: you've got a growing family. All right with that, let
- 46:48Speaker 1: me give you a few thoughts on the on the
- 46:50Speaker 1: Super Bowl, Eric, I have my fear is that it's
- 46:55Speaker 1: a blowout that we're having eighties nineties Super Bowl right
- 47:00Speaker 1: where the NFC is so much more dominant than the AFC.
- 47:03Speaker 1: And you know, it was like, you know, whatever AFC
- 47:07Speaker 1: team sort of hacked their way to the Super Bowl.
- 47:11Speaker 1: Remember when the San Diego Chargers with Nate Tron means business,
- 47:15Speaker 1: you know, and they got there and they got kind
- 47:19Speaker 1: of pummeled by Steve Young's forty nine ers. Right, all
- 47:22Speaker 1: those Buffalo bill blowouts from the Jim Kelly era. I mean,
- 47:26Speaker 1: the only team NFC team that didn't they would win
- 47:30Speaker 1: super Bowls without blowing out the AFC were the Giants, Right.
- 47:33Speaker 1: You had the Scott Norwood field goal. And then even
- 47:35Speaker 1: the game against the Broncos. I think that the Giants
- 47:38Speaker 1: trailed at halftime and then they ended up they ended
- 47:40Speaker 1: up beating the Broncos for the first Super Bowl for Parcels.
- 47:44Speaker 1: So I fear we're gonna have one of those games.
- 47:47Speaker 2: I hope not.
- 47:48Speaker 1: Right the borings there was, there was nothing that I
- 47:54Speaker 1: don't know whether super Bowl parties right now, That's that's
- 47:57Speaker 1: the That's the other question, is a super Bowl party.
- 48:00Speaker 1: Is it better to be at a super Bowl party
- 48:02Speaker 1: if the games will blowout? And is it better to
- 48:05Speaker 1: be at home if the game is close? Right? So
- 48:08Speaker 1: that's the one upside might be if this is a blowout,
- 48:12Speaker 1: it makes for socializing at the super Bowl party a
- 48:14Speaker 1: little bit easier. But there's nothing I hate, you know.
- 48:17Speaker 1: I love me a good super Bowl party. I've got
- 48:19Speaker 1: a great We've got some great friends that love to host.
- 48:22Speaker 1: And but my only small peeve about it is if
- 48:27Speaker 1: it's a really competitive game, It's like, I don't want
- 48:30Speaker 1: to be at a party while I'm watching anyway, So
- 48:32Speaker 1: my fear is that, right. I love the Sam Donald story.
- 48:37Speaker 1: I still remember Freshman, the freshman at USC who was unbelievable,
- 48:43Speaker 1: and I have I've not seen him be that good
- 48:45Speaker 1: until he was a Viking.
- 48:46Speaker 2: Right.
- 48:48Speaker 1: By the way, what an indictment on the Jets, right
- 48:51Speaker 1: the Sam Donald redemption Tour. Basically once he left the
- 48:54Speaker 1: Jets and could get anywhere else, it seemed to over
- 48:58Speaker 1: time write his mental state memo to young quarterbacks, pray
- 49:03Speaker 1: you don't get drafted by the New York Jets. My
- 49:09Speaker 1: gut is also low scoring game because the dirty little
- 49:12Speaker 1: secret about watching the Seahawks is they don't seem to
- 49:15Speaker 1: want to put the game in Darnald's hands one hundred right,
- 49:21Speaker 1: They've had they had a great one two punch, they
- 49:22Speaker 1: only have one running back obviously that they're they one
- 49:25Speaker 1: of their two stars there.
- 49:27Speaker 2: But I mean, he's been a.
- 49:29Speaker 1: Machine walker the way I mean, I know, I know
- 49:35Speaker 1: this facing him in fantasy right, and that defense is outstanding.
- 49:42Speaker 1: Here's what I think about the Patriots. A Mike Vrabel
- 49:45Speaker 1: Patriots team is not going to get blown out. So
- 49:47Speaker 1: I do believe that they will muck this game up
- 49:49Speaker 1: a little bit. So I am I am smelling very
- 49:55Speaker 1: low scoring. You know, I could see twenty to three,
- 49:59Speaker 1: I could see sixteen to seven. I could see, you
- 50:02Speaker 1: know that it could be Seattle's always in control, but
- 50:07Speaker 1: right they don't seem to pull away.
- 50:10Speaker 2: Maybe a few more.
- 50:11Speaker 1: Field goals than touchdowns. The May injury concerns me a
- 50:15Speaker 1: little bit, you know, nothing like having a shoulder issue there,
- 50:18Speaker 1: because his great strength is to throw the ball down
- 50:21Speaker 1: the field a little bit, so you have to ask
- 50:23Speaker 1: yourself about that. So needless to say, you know, I'm
- 50:28Speaker 1: If you're going to make me put money, I'm I
- 50:30Speaker 1: would I'd feel the most comfortable with, particularly a first
- 50:34Speaker 1: half under and probably the overall as well. And I'd
- 50:39Speaker 1: be And I think it's Seahawks or nobody for me.
- 50:44Speaker 1: And like I told you, I I you know, there's
- 50:47Speaker 1: there's plenty of player props out there, but in some
- 50:51Speaker 1: ways I do think player props are sort of a
- 50:55Speaker 1: bigger problem.
- 50:57Speaker 2: Right.
- 50:57Speaker 1: It's sort of my own more my own small little
- 51:01Speaker 1: moral line in the sand that I'm drawing on that.
- 51:04Speaker 2: So enjoy the Super Bowl.
- 51:10Speaker 1: And you know, I have to say, I'm as you know,
- 51:14Speaker 1: I'm a huge football fan. It's going to be a
- 51:17Speaker 1: long five months until the start until the Hurricanes first game,
- 51:22Speaker 1: which by the way, is Labor Day Friday.
- 51:24Speaker 2: Get ready so.
- 51:25Speaker 1: I will not be talking about college football perhaps until
- 51:30Speaker 1: at least September second or third. The one thing I'm
- 51:39Speaker 1: going to watch for the advertisements is I am very
- 51:42Speaker 1: curious what the AI messaging is. Not how many ads
- 51:48Speaker 1: use AI, but how AI is messaged. Right, remember a
- 51:52Speaker 1: couple of years ago the Super Bowl is where we
- 51:55Speaker 1: found out how Crypto is going to market itself. I
- 51:58Speaker 1: have a feeling right this captive eyeballs we're going to
- 52:01Speaker 1: I'm very you know, to watch all the different ways
- 52:04Speaker 1: the AI lean in AI companies are going to communicate.
- 52:09Speaker 1: I know that's something that I'm intrigued about, curious about,
- 52:13Speaker 1: and we'll be making a note up. So with that,
- 52:16Speaker 1: let's do a little last check and then we'll get
- 52:18Speaker 1: out of here. As Chuck, all right, I got six
- 52:22Speaker 1: on the screen. I'm going to hit six. That's my goal.
- 52:25Speaker 1: I'm sticking to it, all right. This question comes from James.
- 52:29Speaker 1: He says, thanks again for the podcast. Listening from France
- 52:32Speaker 1: right on helps me think differently about US politics and
- 52:34Speaker 1: gives me hope. As an institutionalist, I am the king
- 52:38Speaker 1: of the institutionalists in independent media. You've said Congress has
- 52:42Speaker 1: lost its incentives to act as a check on presidential power.
- 52:45Speaker 1: And I wonder if that's partly due to nationalized parties
- 52:47Speaker 1: expecting members to fall in line behind the president. But
- 52:49Speaker 1: states still defend their authority across party lines. What incentives
- 52:53Speaker 1: allow that? And could something similar help Congress reclaim its power. Well,
- 52:58Speaker 1: so this is where I believe that the fact, you know,
- 53:03Speaker 1: this is where the power of the primary coupled with
- 53:10Speaker 1: the power of gerrymandering, coupled with the power of too
- 53:14Speaker 1: big of congressional districts. Right, So I'm on my hobby
- 53:17Speaker 1: horse and about that the actual size of the US
- 53:20Speaker 1: House is way too small and the shrinking, the fact
- 53:24Speaker 1: that the that the representative democracy is further away from
- 53:29Speaker 1: the average person. Right, we have one member of Congress
- 53:33Speaker 1: now per eight hundred thousand people, when in nineteen thirty
- 53:36Speaker 1: we were one member of Congress per three hundred and
- 53:39Speaker 1: fifty thousand people. Eight hundred thousands is the size of
- 53:44Speaker 1: a major city in this country. And you can't tell
- 53:47Speaker 1: me that is a single community of interest, right. New
- 53:49Speaker 1: York City is not a single community of interests. Austin,
- 53:52Speaker 1: Texas is not a single community of interests. Detroit, Michigan
- 53:55Speaker 1: is not a single community of interests. There are multiple
- 53:57Speaker 1: communities of interests within said metro area. So this is
- 54:03Speaker 1: where it's like if you were to ask me, what's
- 54:05Speaker 1: one reform that could do this, Well, it's getting rid
- 54:09Speaker 1: of partisan primaries, right if you could empower all voters
- 54:14Speaker 1: in every congressional district to have more of a say
- 54:16Speaker 1: on who the representative is. So either you're drawing districts
- 54:21Speaker 1: to be competitive, which is why I'm always careful not
- 54:24Speaker 1: to just trash all jerrymandering because in the way we've
- 54:27Speaker 1: all self sorted as a country, we may need a
- 54:29Speaker 1: gerrymander to create competition. But you know, you could mandate competition.
- 54:36Speaker 1: You could mandate the size of the districts. Maybe no
- 54:38Speaker 1: district can be bigger than point zero three percent of
- 54:40Speaker 1: the population, which would put it in about one perform
- 54:42Speaker 1: in two thousand at the moment. And if you did that,
- 54:46Speaker 1: I think it would do. If we did that, and
- 54:49Speaker 1: then the gerrymandering doesn't is an impactful. Partisanship gets diluted,
- 54:56Speaker 1: and I think incentives become more regional and geographic rather
- 55:00Speaker 1: than partisan. Right now, when you have jerrymandering and partisan primaries,
- 55:07Speaker 1: it means the head of the party has all sorts
- 55:10Speaker 1: of outsized influence on the individual member of Congress.
- 55:15Speaker 2: But if you.
- 55:17Speaker 1: Have if your power comes from because you're you know,
- 55:21Speaker 1: the whole of your electorate, well, then the electorate itself
- 55:24Speaker 1: has more influence on you than the party leader, because
- 55:26Speaker 1: the party leader can only help you with one part
- 55:28Speaker 1: of your of your constituency, versus having to answer to everybody.
- 55:35Speaker 1: So you know, I think we need all three things right.
- 55:39Speaker 1: Doubling the side of the house right now, it would
- 55:42Speaker 1: I would want it should just be one perform a
- 55:45Speaker 1: thousand right now. That would mean doubling the sides of
- 55:47Speaker 1: the House. That in turn minimizes the impact of jerrymandering.
- 55:51Speaker 1: And on top of that, I get rid of partisan
- 55:53Speaker 1: primaries and essentially all party you know, everybody votes, and
- 55:57Speaker 1: you know, uh for for everybody, the top two whatever
- 56:00Speaker 1: it is, you do it that way. Doesn't mean parties
- 56:03Speaker 1: can't endorse, doesn't mean parties won't have preferences of who
- 56:07Speaker 1: the officially endorsed candidate is, and then they can give
- 56:10Speaker 1: those resources in a larger in an all voter primary.
- 56:15Speaker 1: But this is how we elect our mayors, and our
- 56:17Speaker 1: mayors are the least partisan office holders in America and
- 56:20Speaker 1: if we're tired of partisanship, that's the path to go.
- 56:26Speaker 2: Thank you, James.
- 56:29Speaker 1: Next question boy, another year, European question from another question
- 56:33Speaker 1: from Europe. It's a sextuary insight insightful analysis that really
- 56:36Speaker 1: helps me understand you as politics more clearly from a
- 56:38Speaker 1: European perspective.
- 56:39Speaker 2: I have two questions.
- 56:40Speaker 1: How likely is it that the divide between MAGA and
- 56:41Speaker 1: Liberal America becomes unbridgable and turns violent and our Americans
- 56:45Speaker 1: even able to protest effectively given how comparatively limited their
- 56:48Speaker 1: demonstrations seem compared to European protest kind regards Bernard from MEU.
- 56:52Speaker 1: You know, Fuddy Bernard, I've heard this from some of
- 56:54Speaker 1: my other European friends, going, how come more people aren't
- 56:57Speaker 1: in the streets right? My counter on that is, we did,
- 57:02Speaker 1: we did the streets stuff, and you know, the public
- 57:05Speaker 1: was in the streets a lot in twenty seventeen. In
- 57:07Speaker 1: twenty eighteen, I think now it's a bit more concentrated.
- 57:12Speaker 1: But one one could argue that, you know, those No
- 57:17Speaker 1: Kings protests keep growing, and we're about to have another one,
- 57:21Speaker 1: I think, and that's only going to keep growing. So
- 57:25Speaker 1: and we've seen the demonstrations in Minneapolis have been huge.
- 57:30Speaker 1: But I understand, I get what you're saying. I think
- 57:34Speaker 1: what you're saying is it feels like European protests have
- 57:36Speaker 1: been bigger than about Trump in America than the American.
- 57:40Speaker 2: Protests about Trump in America. As for the issue of.
- 57:50Speaker 1: That unbridgeable divide, I am. I'm mostly common this won't
- 58:00Speaker 1: end with violence, that this era that here's what I
- 58:06Speaker 1: and I say this, and I don't say it for
- 58:09Speaker 1: dramatic purposes, but look, we're going to get through this.
- 58:13Speaker 1: We've been through these periods before.
- 58:16Speaker 2: Now.
- 58:17Speaker 1: A lot of people had to die before we got
- 58:19Speaker 1: through it with the Civil War, a lot of people
- 58:22Speaker 1: died with our horrible labor laws in the nineteen hundreds
- 58:27Speaker 1: and the nineteen tens. A lot of people die during
- 58:30Speaker 1: the Civil rights movement. So the question is how many
- 58:34Speaker 1: people have to die before we sort of turn the corner.
- 58:38Speaker 1: How violent it's already violent. We've already had violence right
- 58:43Speaker 1: January six was pretty violent. We've had two assassination attempts
- 58:47Speaker 1: on Donald Trump. We've had those assassinations in Minneapolis, first
- 58:53Speaker 1: of the lawmakers, then.
- 58:59Speaker 2: The two.
- 59:02Speaker 1: The two killings by by Ice agents. The question is, so, look,
- 59:09Speaker 1: we'll get through this? How how much blood has to
- 59:13Speaker 1: be spilled? Can we get through this without a full
- 59:19Speaker 1: fledged civil war? And you heard Tim Wilson. Now, I
- 59:23Speaker 1: I think we don't want to be there, but it
- 59:26Speaker 1: only takes you know, we are on it. We're in
- 59:28Speaker 1: a tinder box.
- 59:32Speaker 2: You know.
- 59:34Speaker 1: I'll tell you a scenario that I've been very nervous about.
- 59:37Speaker 1: If things had kept escalating in Minneapolis. Now, Donald Trump
- 59:42Speaker 1: chose the escalation, so did Tom Holman, right by sending
- 59:47Speaker 1: Tom omen there. And they're making and some of the
- 59:49Speaker 1: moves are real, and some of them might be the
- 59:52Speaker 1: UH for show. But it all is in an attempt
- 59:56Speaker 1: to de escalate, not escalate. And what it but things escalate?
- 1:00:01Speaker 1: It does Tim Walls call in the National Guard? And
- 1:00:04Speaker 1: if Tim Walls calls in the National Guard? Does Trump
- 1:00:09Speaker 1: then try to federalize that National Guard?
- 1:00:11Speaker 2: And who does is?
- 1:00:12Speaker 1: Do we see the National Guard and Minneapolis PD shooting
- 1:00:20Speaker 1: or being shot at by Ice and vice versa?
- 1:00:22Speaker 2: Right?
- 1:00:23Speaker 1: So I almost am uncomfortable even articulating that scenario, But
- 1:00:34Speaker 1: we have to be honest, right, it's all it's crossed,
- 1:00:36Speaker 1: clearly crossed your mind and it's crossed my mind. But
- 1:00:41Speaker 1: I don't think these divides are unbridgable. But I do think,
- 1:00:43Speaker 1: and I go back to something I've said, and I
- 1:00:47Speaker 1: think I've said it here a few times, and I
- 1:00:48Speaker 1: certainly say to my speeches, which is, you know what,
- 1:00:54Speaker 1: I think the biggest reason why particularly you guys, you
- 1:01:00Speaker 1: guys in Europe are struggling. You can't figure out what
- 1:01:04Speaker 1: you're seeing here. This looks so un American. Is the
- 1:01:06Speaker 1: American the America you're used to was Cold War America. Well,
- 1:01:13Speaker 1: Cold War America was an outlier in America. Cold War
- 1:01:17Speaker 1: America was the most pragmatic version of America that we had.
- 1:01:24Speaker 2: The rest.
- 1:01:26Speaker 1: American politics up until nineteen forty, you know, seventeen eighty
- 1:01:32Speaker 1: nine right for the Constitution in nineteen forty and American politics,
- 1:01:38Speaker 1: you know, from I'm going to go ahead and say
- 1:01:44Speaker 1: two thousand and five, two thousand and four to today
- 1:01:51Speaker 1: has been very familiar. Our natural state is polarization. We
- 1:01:58Speaker 1: make fifty two forty eight, fifty one forty nine decisions.
- 1:02:02Speaker 1: We don't make seventy thirty decisions. So there's a lot
- 1:02:05Speaker 1: of people that are always going to be in the
- 1:02:07Speaker 1: minority when we make decisions as a country. It's not
- 1:02:14Speaker 1: lost on me that we had our biggest growth as
- 1:02:18Speaker 1: an economic and security power in the Cold War, when
- 1:02:24Speaker 1: we were the most pragmatic, when we both parties kept
- 1:02:27Speaker 1: their extremes at bay, and you know, we focused on
- 1:02:33Speaker 1: the existential threat that was the Soviets and the fear
- 1:02:38Speaker 1: of nuclear holocaust, and that kept us sober politically. Then
- 1:02:44Speaker 1: that fear went away. So it so, I don't so,
- 1:02:51Speaker 1: I guess what I'm saying is the divides have always
- 1:02:53Speaker 1: been unbridgable. But it but they but they've been tolerated. Right,
- 1:03:01Speaker 1: We tolerate our divides. We accept that we disagree on
- 1:03:06Speaker 1: what those divides are, and we kind of muddle through.
- 1:03:11Speaker 1: So we'll get there.
- 1:03:14Speaker 2: But we've done a ton of damage. And you know,
- 1:03:18Speaker 2: I it's going to.
- 1:03:20Speaker 1: Take decades to restore the faith of global allies to
- 1:03:25Speaker 1: stick by the United States again. We're probably going to
- 1:03:29Speaker 1: have to We're probably going to have to go seventy
- 1:03:33Speaker 1: percent of the way when all of these relationships for
- 1:03:35Speaker 1: a while, when for a long time we only had
- 1:03:37Speaker 1: to go thirty percent of the way. And we're going
- 1:03:42Speaker 1: to have to have leaders, people that run for president
- 1:03:48Speaker 1: that accept the premise of what America is supposed to be.
- 1:03:51Speaker 1: And you know, look, this is the first un American
- 1:03:54Speaker 1: president we've ever had. He does not believe in the
- 1:03:56Speaker 1: story of America. He does not believe that America an idea.
- 1:04:02Speaker 1: You know, he doesn't.
- 1:04:03Speaker 2: I don't.
- 1:04:04Speaker 1: And here's the thing with Trump. It's not that he
- 1:04:06Speaker 1: doesn't believe it. I don't think he's really thought about it.
- 1:04:12Speaker 1: You know, I think about it all the time. I
- 1:04:14Speaker 1: think of every president as a chapter in the story
- 1:04:16Speaker 1: of America. He doesn't most of our not most every
- 1:04:23Speaker 1: president in my lifetime, and every president for the most
- 1:04:27Speaker 1: part that I've read about, believed that a baton was
- 1:04:30Speaker 1: passed to them and they were going to be passing
- 1:04:33Speaker 1: a baton, and that they were all writing another chapter
- 1:04:38Speaker 1: in the story of America. Donald Trump doesn't want a chapter.
- 1:04:41Speaker 1: He wants to throw away that book and only have
- 1:04:44Speaker 1: a book, the Book of Trump. But he does not
- 1:04:47Speaker 1: believe in the You know, I don't think he knows
- 1:04:51Speaker 1: what a Federalist paper is. And I promise you he
- 1:04:53Speaker 1: hasn't read it all. If he's read one, he didn't
- 1:04:55Speaker 1: done it since grade school. Next question comes from got
- 1:05:07Speaker 1: somebody from Chicago it's Mike, he said. Some presdident I
- 1:05:11Speaker 1: were debating wild scenarios where Trump could serve a third term.
- 1:05:14Speaker 1: One theory floated was that if Trump became Speaker of
- 1:05:16Speaker 1: the House and the newly elected president and VP resigned,
- 1:05:19Speaker 1: he could ascend to the presidency again. I know the
- 1:05:21Speaker 1: Constitution bars him from being elected president again, but could
- 1:05:24Speaker 1: he legally return via the line of succession. So it's funny.
- 1:05:30Speaker 1: The Speaker of the House loophole has always been the
- 1:05:32Speaker 1: one I've thought about too. I interviewed Steve Bannon about
- 1:05:38Speaker 1: ten months ago and we went through this sould Trump
- 1:05:41Speaker 1: twenty eight and he's like, oh, he's going to be
- 1:05:43Speaker 1: unbalot And I said, I said, I know you want to.
- 1:05:47Speaker 1: I said, constitution bars it. And he says, well, you
- 1:05:51Speaker 1: just wait, We've got a path. It's the only one
- 1:05:55Speaker 1: I can think of, is that one. I think that's
- 1:06:00Speaker 1: the only one. I think it's the you know, it
- 1:06:04Speaker 1: fits the description that my friend likes to say, which is,
- 1:06:08Speaker 1: you know, our biggest problem with Trump is failure of imagination.
- 1:06:12Speaker 1: You know, Donald Trump doesn't spend a lot of time
- 1:06:15Speaker 1: thinking about what's the best way to tame the Iranians,
- 1:06:17Speaker 1: but he does think a lot of time about all
- 1:06:19Speaker 1: the different loopholes that he can exploit.
- 1:06:21Speaker 2: In the Constitution.
- 1:06:23Speaker 1: When you look at the language of the twenty second Amendment,
- 1:06:26Speaker 1: it keeps using the word elected. Right, So that's loophole
- 1:06:30Speaker 1: that you've found very well, and I think that that's
- 1:06:34Speaker 1: a fair loophole. But the twelfth Amendment is fascinating because
- 1:06:39Speaker 1: the wording doesn't have elected in there. It just simply says,
- 1:06:43Speaker 1: no person constitutionally ineligible to the office of President shall
- 1:06:47Speaker 1: be eligible to that a vice president of the United States,
- 1:06:51Speaker 1: and you're ineligible, no person. Let's read the word, no
- 1:06:54Speaker 1: person shall be elected to the office of president more
- 1:06:57Speaker 1: than twice. And no person who has held the office
- 1:07:00Speaker 1: of president or acted as president for more than two
- 1:07:03Speaker 1: years of a term to which some other person was
- 1:07:05Speaker 1: elected president shall be elected to the office of the
- 1:07:08Speaker 1: president more than once.
- 1:07:12Speaker 2: Right.
- 1:07:12Speaker 1: That's if a vice president takes over and serves less
- 1:07:15Speaker 1: than two years of the previous president's term, they can
- 1:07:18Speaker 1: still run for two full terms of their own, potentially
- 1:07:20Speaker 1: serving ten years. So you know, the word elected matters
- 1:07:27Speaker 1: a lot there. Right. You have to assume that Republicans
- 1:07:32Speaker 1: win a House majority for this to happen. You have
- 1:07:35Speaker 1: to assume that Donald Trump can get all the votes
- 1:07:39Speaker 1: he needs to be speaker, so he would still have
- 1:07:44Speaker 1: to go through a process right to become speaker. And
- 1:07:49Speaker 1: I just, you know, so I think you've identified the
- 1:07:53Speaker 1: one loophole where you could claim a fig leaf of
- 1:08:00Speaker 1: constitutional legitimacy. But in some ways it reminds me of
- 1:08:06Speaker 1: Putin and Medvedev. So Putin decided to become prime minister
- 1:08:12Speaker 1: to abide by what was a two term limit in Russia,
- 1:08:17Speaker 1: right for president.
- 1:08:18Speaker 2: So what does he do?
- 1:08:20Speaker 1: He makes the prime minister slot of the more powerful slot.
- 1:08:27Speaker 1: He slides in and becomes prime minister. Medvedev becomes the president. Right,
- 1:08:31Speaker 1: he's the head of state. But that's really it. It's
- 1:08:33Speaker 1: kind of like he weakened the presidency for that period
- 1:08:36Speaker 1: of time to sort of how Israel's presidency works. Right,
- 1:08:41Speaker 1: the prime minister has all the power, the presidency is
- 1:08:45Speaker 1: head of state, a little more ceremonial, a few pieces
- 1:08:49Speaker 1: of power, but not a ton. That's what this would
- 1:08:53Speaker 1: feel like, right, And I you know, I think you've
- 1:08:57Speaker 1: identified the loophole, and I all so believe that attempting
- 1:09:01Speaker 1: it it would be impossible. I still think if there's
- 1:09:06Speaker 1: going to be a Trump on the ballot, and that's
- 1:09:12Speaker 1: the thing, right, Like Republicans would rather have a Trump
- 1:09:14Speaker 1: on a ballot than Trumps president, right because they it's
- 1:09:18Speaker 1: Trump's voters that they need to get their majorities in Congress,
- 1:09:22Speaker 1: and they don't necessarily want to actually work with Trump
- 1:09:25Speaker 1: the situation you're outlining, you know, and do they just
- 1:09:28Speaker 1: campaign that Trump's going to run for speaker and then
- 1:09:32Speaker 1: you make it a referendum on that? Right? But I
- 1:09:35Speaker 1: do think you've found the loophole that it in theory
- 1:09:41Speaker 1: could be it. I will just say I just don't
- 1:09:47Speaker 1: think it could. I don't think he could pull it off.
- 1:09:49Speaker 1: And then you know, the actuary tables are going to
- 1:09:52Speaker 1: catch up to Donald Trump sooner.
- 1:09:54Speaker 2: Than you think.
- 1:09:55Speaker 1: Next question comes from Branden and Charlotte. Hey, I really
- 1:09:58Speaker 1: enjoy the podcast. Appreciate how you keep us in FUM
- 1:10:00Speaker 1: without leaning into full doom and gloom. What are your
- 1:10:02Speaker 1: thoughts on the DJ Collecting voter roles and seizing ballot
- 1:10:05Speaker 1: boxes in Fulton County, Georgia feels like voter suppression or worse,
- 1:10:07Speaker 1: a way to track and target people who didn't vote
- 1:10:09Speaker 1: for Trump. Why isn't this getting more attention and how concerned.
- 1:10:12Speaker 2: Should we be?
- 1:10:14Speaker 1: Well, I think it's getting a decent amount of tension.
- 1:10:17Speaker 1: What I don't understand is what they want to do
- 1:10:19Speaker 1: with all these voter roles. I think some of this
- 1:10:21Speaker 1: has to do with just simply purging roles voter roles,
- 1:10:25Speaker 1: and just trying to make it harder. You know, people
- 1:10:28Speaker 1: are going to have to reregister.
- 1:10:30Speaker 2: I know what I would do.
- 1:10:31Speaker 1: If you're concerned that they're messing with your voter registration,
- 1:10:35Speaker 1: just go register to vote again. You know it cancels
- 1:10:38Speaker 1: out the old registration and just do it again. That
- 1:10:43Speaker 1: would be the number one way I'd protect myself on
- 1:10:45Speaker 1: this if if I had, if I were a registered
- 1:10:48Speaker 1: voter in a state that has agreed to letting the
- 1:10:52Speaker 1: Department of Justice have the voter roles. You know, there's
- 1:10:59Speaker 1: a part of me that says, call their bluff and say,
- 1:11:04Speaker 1: you know, yes, let's let's let's do an audit of
- 1:11:06Speaker 1: all the voter roles. Let's set up a special committee,
- 1:11:10Speaker 1: and let's explain how it works and explain how each
- 1:11:12Speaker 1: state does it. Ultimately, what I think Trump's up to
- 1:11:21Speaker 1: is that he just he just wants to keep feeding
- 1:11:26Speaker 1: the conspiracy that he's somehow won in twenty twenty, and
- 1:11:32Speaker 1: it's he is just so committed to it. I mean,
- 1:11:38Speaker 1: I guess it's amazing that he's committed to the bit
- 1:11:41Speaker 1: this long, right, but it is sort of I find
- 1:11:45Speaker 1: it laughable, except it's so serious, right, what he's trying
- 1:11:48Speaker 1: to do in the manipulation of it all. Yeah, I
- 1:11:53Speaker 1: think what you're I think the realistic fear we should
- 1:11:57Speaker 1: have is is a form of voter suppression, which is
- 1:12:00Speaker 1: just purging of voter rolls or using it to you know,
- 1:12:07Speaker 1: perhaps the information is given to some nefarious political direct
- 1:12:12Speaker 1: mail company to scare those voters from voting. But there
- 1:12:17Speaker 1: are other ways to get those voter roles too. But
- 1:12:20Speaker 1: that's what that's why, you know. I think the fail
- 1:12:24Speaker 1: safe is if you're in one of these states that
- 1:12:27Speaker 1: is decided to not care about their Tenth Amendment rights.
- 1:12:32Speaker 1: I'm very curious to see what happens with this lawsuit
- 1:12:34Speaker 1: from Fulton County with it and see if they get
- 1:12:36Speaker 1: their ballots back. If federalism is still in existence, they'll
- 1:12:41Speaker 1: get their ballots back.
- 1:12:45Speaker 2: But I would.
- 1:12:47Speaker 1: I would advocate for, you know, just go run story again,
- 1:12:53Speaker 1: give them more voter roles to go through. Next question
- 1:12:58Speaker 1: comes from Brian. Hey, I've been a fan works since
- 1:13:00Speaker 1: twenty oh seven. All right, thanks for everything you do.
- 1:13:02Speaker 1: Maybe I need a refreshment. Our politics usually works what
- 1:13:06Speaker 1: as usual anymore? But anyway, but isn't it unusual for
- 1:13:11Speaker 1: the out party to get a bill through? How much
- 1:13:13Speaker 1: influence should we expect in a situation like this? Best bride?
- 1:13:16Speaker 1: One hundred percent? Now, I'll say this. Traditionally, when a
- 1:13:22Speaker 1: president gets shellacked in a midterm George W. Bush oh six,
- 1:13:29Speaker 1: Barack Obama twenty ten and twenty fourteen, Bill Clinton nineteen
- 1:13:33Speaker 1: ninety four, they've wanted to prove that, particularly Obama twenty
- 1:13:40Speaker 1: ten and Clinton ninety four, because they had their own
- 1:13:44Speaker 1: real storry about that. Hey, all right, we can go
- 1:13:48Speaker 1: I can govern with the other side. Let me show
- 1:13:50Speaker 1: you how I can govern with the other side.
- 1:13:51Speaker 2: And there's you.
- 1:13:52Speaker 1: And by the way, the new majority. Usually it's in
- 1:13:54Speaker 1: their interest to prove because a lot of them won
- 1:13:57Speaker 1: by saying, look, I'll work with Trump where I can,
- 1:13:59Speaker 1: or you know, I'll work with Obama where I can,
- 1:14:00Speaker 1: et cetera, et cetera. So so bad, there might be
- 1:14:08Speaker 1: a few a few things here or there. Maybe it's
- 1:14:10Speaker 1: on healthcare subsidies. I mean, Trump's such a political chameleon, right,
- 1:14:14Speaker 1: he has no ideology, and if you know, it all
- 1:14:18Speaker 1: depends on how much the Democrats want to want to
- 1:14:25Speaker 1: allow Trump to come along for the ride, you know,
- 1:14:30Speaker 1: or do they want instead to prepare for twenty twenty
- 1:14:33Speaker 1: eight in twenty twenty nine, right, and you and you
- 1:14:38Speaker 1: actually pass bills that are designed to be vetoed.
- 1:14:41Speaker 2: So I think there are two ways.
- 1:14:43Speaker 1: If Democrats get control of Congress, of what you know,
- 1:14:46Speaker 1: you find a few things you can work on, particularly affordability,
- 1:14:49Speaker 1: maybe something on electricity. You know, there's going to be
- 1:14:52Speaker 1: things that you should You got your budgets and things
- 1:14:55Speaker 1: like that. But I might argue that if you're if
- 1:14:58Speaker 1: you're trying, you know that you pass some bills and
- 1:15:03Speaker 1: you dare him to veto it. Now, the question is
- 1:15:06Speaker 1: what if he doesn't. And this is Trump, you never know.
- 1:15:10Speaker 1: How much do you attempt to work with him? I
- 1:15:15Speaker 1: think it depends on how you got elected. I think
- 1:15:17Speaker 1: some people got elected to say we've got to eradicate
- 1:15:21Speaker 1: Trump from politics, and some people will get elected by
- 1:15:24Speaker 1: promising those swing voters, look, they're you know, I'm not
- 1:15:27Speaker 1: going to throw out every idea just because Trump came
- 1:15:29Speaker 1: up with it. But I do think when you look
- 1:15:37Speaker 1: at you know, there was some affordability bills, that some
- 1:15:44Speaker 1: economic stimulus that the Democrats passed in O seven that
- 1:15:48Speaker 1: George W. Bush signed. There was certainly welfare reform that
- 1:15:54Speaker 1: Republicans passed that bill Clinton signed. So and we like,
- 1:15:59Speaker 1: I go back to there's no greater political chameleon than
- 1:16:03Speaker 1: Donald Trump. And you know, there's always this one instinct
- 1:16:08Speaker 1: of his like, look at what he did, was how
- 1:16:11Speaker 1: he was with mom Donnie. Oh, Mom Donnie won by you.
- 1:16:14Speaker 1: You know, he likes to be associated with winners, and
- 1:16:17Speaker 1: he may deem especially if it's a blowout. He may
- 1:16:21Speaker 1: want to show that there are some things he's because
- 1:16:23Speaker 1: that means some of his voters voted for the Democrats.
- 1:16:27Speaker 1: So I wouldn't don't I wouldn't assume. I wouldn't assume
- 1:16:33Speaker 1: it's that it's going to be nothing but messaging bills
- 1:16:36Speaker 1: if Democrats win full control of Congress in working with Trump.
- 1:16:41Speaker 1: All right, I'm going to have two more questions here
- 1:16:43Speaker 1: and this will be I will empty my my cue
- 1:16:47Speaker 1: four this week, Hey, Chuck, Anthony from La here, long time,
- 1:16:50Speaker 1: first time quick question. If the Senate ends up split,
- 1:16:52Speaker 1: say forty eight Republicans, forty eight Democrats and four independents,
- 1:16:56Speaker 1: who are the independence By the way, how is majority
- 1:16:58Speaker 1: controlled determined? Do Independence have to declare caucus and can
- 1:17:01Speaker 1: they switch at any time? Could that lead to the
- 1:17:02Speaker 1: majority leadership changing hands? Thanks for turning me into a
- 1:17:05Speaker 1: college football fan last year, Anthony right on. Perhaps the
- 1:17:11Speaker 1: the conferences ESPN or Fox can give me a kickback
- 1:17:14Speaker 1: for for bringing bringing another fan into the full well.
- 1:17:20Speaker 1: The independents also vote on who which who which party
- 1:17:24Speaker 1: should organize. Now some of that stuff's usually negotiated, you know,
- 1:17:30Speaker 1: behind the scenes. Now, who are your four independents? Right?
- 1:17:33Speaker 1: I think Lisa Murkowski is up for grabs?
- 1:17:37Speaker 2: Right?
- 1:17:37Speaker 1: I think Lisa Murkowski if if if her vote is
- 1:17:42Speaker 1: the difference between the Democrats having full control of Congress
- 1:17:46Speaker 1: and organizing with them, right, if they are a seat short,
- 1:17:51Speaker 1: does Murkowski become you know, and do Democrats offer her,
- 1:18:00Speaker 1: say energy and natural resources in exchange for coming over?
- 1:18:05Speaker 1: So the Independence in theory have some leverage here if
- 1:18:09Speaker 1: they choose to use it. Right, you know, I've always
- 1:18:11Speaker 1: had this dream that the four to six of them
- 1:18:13Speaker 1: in there would be independence and they would always vote
- 1:18:16Speaker 1: in a block right each time and maybe maybe they
- 1:18:20Speaker 1: would agree, okay, for calendar year twenty twenty seven, Democrats
- 1:18:25Speaker 1: are in charge for calendar year twenty twenty eight, Republicans.
- 1:18:28Speaker 2: Or whatever it is.
- 1:18:30Speaker 1: But ultimately it's it's you know, if it's one of
- 1:18:35Speaker 1: those where you know, we had it when we had
- 1:18:39Speaker 1: a fifty to fifty Senate with Dick Cheney as the tiebreaker,
- 1:18:42Speaker 1: when George W. Bush came into office, and then Jim
- 1:18:45Speaker 1: Jefferts decided to leave the Republican Party become an independent
- 1:18:48Speaker 1: and caucus with the Democrats, and the minute he did that,
- 1:18:51Speaker 1: it went from a fifty to fifty Senate to a
- 1:18:53Speaker 1: fifty one to forty nine Senate and the Democrats had control.
- 1:18:57Speaker 1: So that's how works, right, And yes, it can be
- 1:19:03Speaker 1: that fickle.
- 1:19:04Speaker 2: You know.
- 1:19:04Speaker 1: Jefferts just said, ask screw it, I'm out now. I
- 1:19:07Speaker 1: think there was a lobbying campaign by Dashel that Harry
- 1:19:10Speaker 1: Reid and all of that stuff that was taking place.
- 1:19:13Speaker 1: You know, Jeffers was the most liberal Republican in the
- 1:19:15Speaker 1: Senate at the time, right, Barack Obama got on inspector
- 1:19:19Speaker 1: to flip to become the sixtieth Democrat for a small
- 1:19:22Speaker 1: period of time until the Scott Brown election. So yeah,
- 1:19:29Speaker 1: in theory, majority can change hands mid term. Wheat, Like
- 1:19:33Speaker 1: I said, it happened in my lifetime in twenty oh
- 1:19:35Speaker 1: one with Vermont Senator Jim Jeffers. Last question comes from
- 1:19:43Speaker 1: Nelson H and New Orleans, Louisiana. I love the podcast.
- 1:19:47Speaker 1: I'm calling my shot. If James Talerico wins the Democratic
- 1:19:50Speaker 1: primary upsets John Cornyn, I'm getting the vibe that his
- 1:19:53Speaker 1: timing could be perfect to catch fire, just like Barack
- 1:19:55Speaker 1: Obama did in twenty eight. Sure it probably won't happen,
- 1:19:57Speaker 1: but think about it. As we all say, history doesn't
- 1:19:59Speaker 1: repeat itself, but it sure does. Rhyme all the best
- 1:20:01Speaker 1: and ghost saints spelled of course with the French do.
- 1:20:06Speaker 1: I am a believer of the following that the most
- 1:20:11Speaker 1: likely Democratic nominee in twenty eight is somebody we're not
- 1:20:14Speaker 1: talking about today. I have floated Tall Rico as that idea.
- 1:20:19Speaker 1: Now I will say this, I think he's This was
- 1:20:22Speaker 1: a bad week for tall Rico's politics, right this story
- 1:20:28Speaker 1: about how he referred according to an influencer, Tall Rico
- 1:20:34Speaker 1: referred to Colin Allred as a mediocre black man versus
- 1:20:39Speaker 1: Jasmine Crockett, a talented black woman, and that phrase really
- 1:20:45Speaker 1: took off on social media. Colin Allred certainly took offense
- 1:20:48Speaker 1: to it, understandably, So now there was no recording, it
- 1:20:52Speaker 1: wasn't clear what was what I found interesting to pick
- 1:20:58Speaker 1: a word was tall. Rico never did I'd saying it
- 1:21:01Speaker 1: and basically confessed to saying something like it. And then
- 1:21:05Speaker 1: because when you're doing the that isn't what I meant
- 1:21:08Speaker 1: to say, that's code for.
- 1:21:12Speaker 2: Yeah, I probably was a little loose.
- 1:21:15Speaker 1: Now you've thought he was off the record, but hey,
- 1:21:18Speaker 1: if you're not assuming, you know I do. The only
- 1:21:24Speaker 1: time I assume I'm not being quoted is when I'm
- 1:21:26Speaker 1: in a private home with my close friends or in
- 1:21:30Speaker 1: my house. I am very careful in public. I assume
- 1:21:35Speaker 1: when people say anything to me that it's very possible
- 1:21:38Speaker 1: they're recording that they could be used, you know, in
- 1:21:41Speaker 1: social media, for better or for worse. Right, So I
- 1:21:46Speaker 1: am a big milk toaster. When you come and see
- 1:21:49Speaker 1: me in public. It's sort of in sort of you know,
- 1:21:53Speaker 1: unofficial venues. So so I think it's he's I think
- 1:22:01Speaker 1: it's done some damage. And you know, I'm not one
- 1:22:05Speaker 1: hundred percent convinced. Colin all Redwood have Endorseddasman Crockett, but
- 1:22:08Speaker 1: he is now and he's all in now. So but
- 1:22:17Speaker 1: where your head is at is where my head's at.
- 1:22:21Speaker 1: So another name I throw out there, Molly McMorrow, Right,
- 1:22:24Speaker 1: I think she's somebody who are already went viral once
- 1:22:27Speaker 1: when she was a state legislator. She's now decided to
- 1:22:30Speaker 1: run for US Senate. She's I think she's going to
- 1:22:34Speaker 1: be the goldilocks candidate that Democratic primary, right, Hanley Stevens
- 1:22:38Speaker 1: is going to seem to establishment Abdul say it, it
- 1:22:40Speaker 1: might seem too progressive. She's going to be the one
- 1:22:42Speaker 1: that seems to bridge. That's certainly the race she's trying
- 1:22:44Speaker 1: to run. And it's probably going to work just because
- 1:22:48Speaker 1: of how defined I think Stevens and I'll say it
- 1:22:52Speaker 1: are becoming maybe Rob saying getting elected governor of Iowa
- 1:23:03Speaker 1: if some Democrat pulls a statewide upset in the Deep South,
- 1:23:07Speaker 1: in any race. Right, the point is is that I
- 1:23:10Speaker 1: think it's just as likely. I'm with you, remember better
- 1:23:14Speaker 1: O'Rourke was considered a major presidential candidate. He didn't even
- 1:23:18Speaker 1: win in twenty eighteen, and within six months of losing,
- 1:23:22Speaker 1: he's considered one of the front runners for the nomination
- 1:23:26Speaker 1: because of how close he came to defeating Ted Cruz
- 1:23:29Speaker 1: in twenty eighteen. So the Democratic Party's history is they're
- 1:23:33Speaker 1: likely more likely to go with the new, freshest face
- 1:23:37Speaker 1: they can find Pete Bootage. Look, without the intervention of
- 1:23:41Speaker 1: Jim Clyburn and COVID, I will go to my grave,
- 1:23:45Speaker 1: believe in bodhajj and Sanders have a fight to the convention,
- 1:23:48Speaker 1: and I think Pete wins the convention fight, but it's close.
- 1:23:52Speaker 2: But you know, and that's a.
- 1:23:54Speaker 1: World without COVID essentially, and in a world that Iowa
- 1:24:00Speaker 1: the Caucuses correctly and gave Pete his correct victory there
- 1:24:03Speaker 1: in Iowa. But either way, the point was this former
- 1:24:07Speaker 1: mayor of South Bend, who lost a race for d
- 1:24:09Speaker 1: n C chair suddenly is one of the front runners
- 1:24:12Speaker 1: for the Democratic nomination. Right the Democratic Party, an unknown
- 1:24:17Speaker 1: governor from Georgia ends up the Democratic nominee. A lesser
- 1:24:20Speaker 1: known governor of Arkansas ends up the Democratic A guy
- 1:24:23Speaker 1: who was state senator in six years before he ever
- 1:24:28Speaker 1: ran for president ends up the nominee in Barack Obama.
- 1:24:32Speaker 1: The history of the Democratic Party is when they and
- 1:24:35Speaker 1: here's another fact in this recent era, when they go
- 1:24:39Speaker 1: with first time candidates, the new candidate, they're more likely
- 1:24:43Speaker 1: to win. When they go with people that have been
- 1:24:45Speaker 1: around a while, they're more likely to lose. Al Gore,
- 1:24:50Speaker 1: John Kerry, Joe Hillary Clinton, sitting Vice President, Kamala Harris.
- 1:24:58Speaker 2: Right, Biden was an.
- 1:24:59Speaker 1: Outline, an unusual you know, in a normal primary process,
- 1:25:03Speaker 1: Joe Biden never wins that primary. Right, it was a
- 1:25:07Speaker 1: he was an accidental primary winner because of the circumstances
- 1:25:13Speaker 1: of of Covid and Clyburn, and that nomination was looking
- 1:25:21Speaker 1: a lot more like seventy six with beat Boodaget's Jimmy
- 1:25:24Speaker 1: Carter parallels, or even a bit ninety two with Bill Clinton,
- 1:25:32Speaker 1: you know, having to go all the way to the
- 1:25:33Speaker 1: convention and keep beating back Jerry Brown. So I don't
- 1:25:41Speaker 1: think you're off kilter here. I like I said, let's
- 1:25:47Speaker 1: see how taal Rico manages this first crisis of his
- 1:25:50Speaker 1: political career. And I'll tell you this. I you know,
- 1:25:54Speaker 1: I was I was more pro tol Rico as a
- 1:25:58Speaker 1: potential dark horse if he'd run for governor then running
- 1:26:02Speaker 1: for Senate.
- 1:26:03Speaker 2: I do think that.
- 1:26:06Speaker 1: He's going to I think he'd have made it more
- 1:26:09Speaker 1: because I think he could have run and lost for
- 1:26:11Speaker 1: governor but kept it close and still preserved sort of
- 1:26:13Speaker 1: a future. I think this Senate seat right, especially if
- 1:26:17Speaker 1: Kakeet past the primary. But I just think it's the
- 1:26:20Speaker 1: wrong position. I think he had a serving in Austin
- 1:26:23Speaker 1: in the Texas State legislature. I just thought his issues
- 1:26:27Speaker 1: that he was that Abbott would have been a better
- 1:26:29Speaker 1: foil for him, and it would have been a It
- 1:26:34Speaker 1: would have been better for the party, better for the
- 1:26:36Speaker 1: future of Texas Democrats. But he's trying to take a
- 1:26:39Speaker 1: short cut. He has too many consultants, I think whispering
- 1:26:43Speaker 1: sweet presidential nothing's in his ear and saying, hey, senate's
- 1:26:46Speaker 1: an easier road.
- 1:26:48Speaker 2: Okay, good luck with that.
- 1:26:54Speaker 1: But I like your thinking, Nelson, because history backs up
- 1:26:58Speaker 1: your prediction whether it's him. The point is, if you're
- 1:27:01Speaker 1: going to close this off into gambling terms, go find
- 1:27:05Speaker 1: the twelve to fifteen to twenty to one shot. Right
- 1:27:08Speaker 1: now in the Democratic primary, they're more likely to be
- 1:27:11Speaker 1: the nominee than one somebody who's run before, and two
- 1:27:20Speaker 1: somebody who had national name recognition ten years earlier.
- 1:27:29Speaker 2: How are that? Enjoy your weekend.
- 1:27:32Speaker 1: I hope nothing crazy happens that I see you before Monday,
- 1:27:38Speaker 1: but if not, hey, that's the beauty of being in
- 1:27:42Speaker 1: this world.
- 1:27:43Speaker 2: We can pop in and quickly jump on something. But
- 1:27:46Speaker 2: if not, for that, I'll see it Monday. Joy the
- 1:27:49Speaker 2: super Bowl