Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 439 - 1/23/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 439 - 1/23/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:01
  54321 All systems Go with Josh Applebaum starts now.
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  Hello and. Welcome to Episode 4. 39 of the
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  all systems go sports betting podcast.
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  Powered by. Rhythm, I am your.
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  Host Josh. Applebaum, what's going on,
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  everyone? Happy Friday, our work.
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  Week has come to an. End.
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  And guys, it is. Literally the calm before the.
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  Storm and I'm not talking. Just figuratively, but literally
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  because. We have an epic weekend.
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  Ahead, of course, we're down to the Final Four in the NFL.
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  We've already talked about official best bets that.
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  I'll be sweating. Coming up on Sunday.
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  But I'll give you. An updated set of numbers.
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  Updated. Line moves, updated splits,
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  updated rhythm and juice real system matches.
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  So we will go over once again. Final best bets for AFC and NFC
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  Championship games. We're also going to talk some.
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  College basketball today. Decent slate.
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  Like 25 games overall. I got 3 plays for you.
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  I got a favorite. I got a couple.
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  Dogs. So let's see if we can get two
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  out of three, which is always the goal.
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  But when I meant. Literally.
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  The call before the storm. I don't know where.
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  You guys are listening from hopefully you're somewhere I.
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  Don't know, Somewhere warm, somewhere sunny.
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  I'm coming to you from the outskirts of Boston, actually
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  kind of closer to the New Hampshire border.
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  And we are about. To get absolutely pummeled.
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  With one of the biggest. Snowstorms and again, you know.
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  Sometimes the weatherman and weather weather ladies, they
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  hype up stuff and it doesn't. Always live up to it.
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  Sometimes they get it right, sometimes they get it.
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  Wrong. More often than not they get it
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  right. I think you just kind of
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  remember the times they get it. Wrong.
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  But unless you've been living under a Rock, You know that we
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  are about. To get hit with a massive
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  snowstorm, not just for me in New England.
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  But for a large portion. Of the Mid-Atlantic and even
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  kind of the southern region across the country in America.
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  So latest forecast for me is about. 2 feet of snow.
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  So dear God. Please, I hope no.
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  Power lines go down or as I'm trying to watch the Patriots
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  game or the OR the Rams in Seattle game.
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  I hope we don't lose any power here, but.
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  I just want to wish everyone and make sure that.
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  You're safe, you know, make. Sure, you you're locked and.
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  Loaded ready to go because. Me and the wife, we're going to
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  head to Costco tonight. Stock up.
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  It's always. Funny, there's, you know, a
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  bunch of different grocery stores around here.
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  But. Every time there's a snowstorm.
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  Like if you're in New England like me, the shelves.
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  Just. Everything flies off the shelves
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  and people get it's like the apocalypse.
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  You know they're going to load up.
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  On a couple things. One.
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  They get a ton of milk #2. They get a lot of.
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  Bread and #3 the. Joke that I always make.
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  Is hard salami. So load up.
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  Get ready. Get your shovels ready to go.
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  And be safe. And and stay stay safe.
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  And stay warm out there cuz. I know New England, you know,
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  we're used to this. Although they're they're saying
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  this is going to be the biggest snowstorm in like 5 to 10 years.
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  Again, 2 feet of snow is nothing to joke at.
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  We already have about a foot of snow.
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  So we're going to be buried here.
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  But hopefully we can stay warm and watch these NFL games and
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  catch a couple of bets this weekend.
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  But I just want to say to everyone, like, who's down?
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  South like I'm seeing like. You know Kentucky like.
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  You know some. Of these states that.
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  You know, I think the other one that is going to get hit is, I
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  want to say like Tennessee. But there's going to be a
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  portion of the country that's going to get hit really hard.
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  So if. You're down there, you know.
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  Be careful, be safe. You got relatives.
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  Check on them and just tell them.
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  Don't leave the house. Get a bunch of.
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  Stock up on your snacks. And do and just.
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  Prepare not to leave the house for about 24 hours because I
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  think it's going to start Sunday morning and go into Monday
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  afternoon. I believe so.
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  Literally the calm before. The storm for the championship
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  games and the biggest snowstorm in quite a while.
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  I do want. To mention real quick, thank you
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  to everyone who tuned into the rhythm.
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  Rundown last night. As always, myself, my buddy.
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  Kate Harper. We host that live.
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  Twitter Twitter Stream for. For the rhythm rundown, every.
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  Thursday. 6:00 to 7:00 PM So. We went over a lot of prop.
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  Bets last night. Talked about both games side
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  total. So if you are new to rhythm.
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  Or you hear me talk. About all the time, you know,
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  basically telling you how great they are to power.
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  This pod and all the system matches and predictions that we
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  go over each day. Well, if you want to try rhythm
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  all. You got to do is download the
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  app It's RIT. HMM.
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  And you can plug in. Start 25 to get 25.
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  Percent off. With that being said guys,
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  before we dive in. Posted another winning night
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  last night. 2 and 1 + 0. .47 units.
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  Had a great hit with. Georgia State.
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  Getting it done got a little. Dicey at the end, but.
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  Kid hit a huge 3. To give us.
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  A win there, and also. Portland State late night.
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  They were kind of up. Big and it got close and they
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  pulled away as. Well, only loser was Elon.
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  So we'll take a. 2:00 and 1:00. Plus 0.47.
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  Unit night any. Day of the week.
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  And of course, reinvest. It into today so.
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  We're going to start with college basketball.
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  I got 3 plays for you including an early game as well as an
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  update. Here for the NFLA.
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  FC and NFC Championship game best bets.
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  So let's waste no more time. Talk some college.
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  Hoops. 1st but on the board for me that want to hit on is one of
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  the most heavily bet. Games of the Night 6.
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  PM Eastern Time a little bit early.
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  So don't wait too. Long and then hopefully see our
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  team may be leading in this one. That will be nice.
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  But we have. Indiana and Rutgers.
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  So let's set the stage. Talk splits line move.
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  System matches and I'll. Give you my play here.
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  Now Indiana comes in 12 and seven on the year.
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  However, they have lost four. Straight just lost to Michigan.
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  86 to 72 did. Cover though as a. 15 1/2.
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  Point Rd. Dog, you know Rutgers. 9 and 10
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  on the year. But they have dropped.
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  Three of their last four. Just came up short against.
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  Iowa, 6862. But they did.
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  Cover as a 17 1/2 point Rd. dog so.
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  What have you seen across the board?
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  For this very heavily back. Game.
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  On Fox Sports 1 so you'll be able.
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  To sweat it if you, if you're interested, well.
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  This game open with Indiana listed around a 7 1/2 point Rd.
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  favorite and the public is expecting Indiana to get back on
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  track. They view this as a.
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  Get right game. Yeah, Rutgers is at home.
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  But they have a losing record. Indiana's a good team.
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  They're in a funk. They'll get right tonight.
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  They'll they'll cruise and win by double digits.
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  However, even though 60. 8% of spread bets at DraftKings are
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  laying it with the Hoosiers. Hoosiers have not gone up from
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  -7 1/2 to -8 -, 9. It's gone the other way.
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  Despite the public hammering Indiana, we've seen this line.
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  Fall toward Rutgers. So Rutgers.
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  Only getting about 1/3 of tickets, yet they went from plus
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  7 1/2 down to plus 6 1/2. So always take a step.
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  Back, ask yourself, OK. If Publix hammering the
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  Hoosiers. Then why is the line dropping
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  toward? Rutgers Why are the oddsmakers
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  moving this number down? To make it even easier.
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  For the public to cover when they're already.
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  Playing Indiana to begin with. Tells me we have a.
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  Classic reverse line move, that is.
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  When the betting line. Moves away from the.
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  From the popular side toward the unpopular side.
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  Again. Public Indiana, but line going
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  to to Rutgers. You also look at.
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  Just a straight up. Contrarian play Rutgers only
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  getting a third of tickets and one of the most heavily bet
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  games of the night nationally. Televised game, Fox Sports 1.
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  So even if you take. Away that really sharp RLM
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  toward the Scarlet Knights. You're still just in a great.
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  Fade the public spot here. Also, we look in the spot if
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  you're a conference home dog, in which the line moves at least
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  1/2 point in your favor. So that would match with Rutgers
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  tonight. Those teams are 53 and 39
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  against the spread this season. That is a. 58% Cover 8.
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  With a 10%. ROI when I was looking at the.
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  The stats for both these. Teams.
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  One thing I noticed big advantage here in the offensive.
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  Rebound department, hopefully that can lead to some some put
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  back some extra possessions. But Rutgers ranks 82nd in the
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  country. Indiana ranks. 222nd.
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  We have seen Rutgers. Play pretty well at home. 8:00
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  and 3:00. So far this year.
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  Indiana is just. One and four on the road.
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  Lastly, our friends at Rhythm. They have Rutgers +6. .1.
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  So again, you missed the seven and a half seven.
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  Those are not available anymore. It's down to 6.
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  And a half, but maybe. You'll you'll still have 1/2
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  point edge here with rhythm. Predicting closer to a six.
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  Point game. And then, oh little.
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  Cherry on on. On top here by the way.
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  I popped open the juice. Reel app and noticed.
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  A robo. Jackson best bet pick.
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  So one of the two picks official best bets.
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  That the AI model sends out every day at noon if you have
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  downloaded. Juice Reel, which if you
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  haven't, you should do it now. One of the two best bets for.
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  Tonight is Rutgers plus the. Points so heavily back.
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  Game public hammering Hoosiers lines going to Rutgers.
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  Give me. Rutgers +6.
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  And a half and do it for Mr. Tony Soprano.
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  Who was a big Rutgers guy? Next, let's take a look.
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  At a low. Bet obscure sharp line move.
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  This is game. 306-5933 O 65947 o'clock tip off between.
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  Chicago State and Saint Francis. Now, right off the bat.
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  Can anyone name to me? The mascots.
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  For these two teams. Again, what I.
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  Always talked about is if you. Cannot name the mascots like if
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  we know. You know Kentucky's playing.
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  Duke automatically OK the Wildcats versus the Blue Devils.
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  Michigan, Ohio State. OK, Wolverines.
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  Buckeyes anytime you cannot name.
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  The the mascots. For the team, that's typically.
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  A game that the public. Isn't interested in, doesn't.
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  Care about? Doesn't want to participate in.
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  So, oh, by the way, Chicago State are the Cougars.
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  Saint. Francis are the red flash added.
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  Obscure sharp line, low back. Game Public can't find this one
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  on their app, but we're seeing a clear.
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  Sharp, sharp position here so. Going into it, we have.
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  Chicago State 2 and. 17 on the year.
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  Poor Chicago State they've dropped.
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  Eight in a row just came up short against New Haven. 6256.
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  Lost outright as a. 1 1/2 point home favorite, On the other
• 9:51
  hand, Saint Francis. 5 and 14 slightly.
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  Better record, but they have. Played pretty well.
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  They've won three. Of their last five.
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  Just edge Stonehill. 6361. One outright as a 1 1/2 point
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  home. Dog.
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  So what are we seeing across the board here?
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  Well, this game opens Saint Francis.
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  Listed as a very. Short 1 1/2 point home.
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  Favorite and again, public doesn't care about this.
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  Matchup it's extremely low. Bet it's the added.
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  Game extra game so. Recreational batters can't even
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  find on their app. Where to where?
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  To place this. Bet on this game.
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  But here's the thing. Even though.
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  Public doesn't care about this. Matchup.
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  We can tell that sharps have taken a position because the
• 10:27
  line is moved towards Saint Francis.
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  St. Francis went from -1 1/2 up to
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  -2 1/2. A lot of the.
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  Two and a halfs are. Juiced up towards.
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  Saint Francis -115. Looking like it may creep up
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  here on game. Day up to -3.
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  You look at the splits. At DraftKings St.
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  Francis, 74% of spread bets but 87% of spread.
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  Dollars circa 42. Percent of spread bets, 71% of
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  spread dollars. So again, you might say, wow,
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  that's a public play like 70. 4% of tickets, however.
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  Remember, even though 74% is technically a majority.
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  If it's coming from a. Pooling from a bunch of.
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  Tickets and a. Very low back game then it's
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  probably more likely. That those are pro bets.
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  Who have targeted? Saint Francis and and trigger
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  that line moves. That's what I'm thinking.
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  I'm going Saint Francis with this obscure.
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  Sharp line move, but I did. Money line Saint Francis I would
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  hate. To see them win by one or two
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  and you lose a 2 1/2. So I did.
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  Get Saint Francis -150 on the money line.
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  Definitely shop around I. Believe that was maybe Caesar's.
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  Couple other. Books are -155 -, 160 but.
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  Again, I want to protect. Myself.
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  On the off chance that. They that they just, you know,
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  win the game and don't cover St. Francis has a couple advantages
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  that jumped out to me. One better effective field goal
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  percentage, 330th, might sound terrible.
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  But. Chicago State is 300.
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  And 60th and better three-point shooting.
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  Two O 5th, 2:00. 105th versus 200 and 96th St.
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  Francis is four and four at home.
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  Chicago State. One in 12 on the road.
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  We do have. A rhythm recommendation here.
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  Saint Francis saying Saint Francis should be around -2.8 or
• 12:05
  -3. And oh, by the way.
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  Pop open Juice Reel. 42. Percent sharp mush edge on the
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  Saint Francis money line. So a big majority.
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  Of wise guys or wise? Gals who have downloaded.
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  Juice Reel sync up their books. They're also money lining.
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  Saint Francis. So I'm going.
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  With the red flash. On the money line -150.
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  Let's go, Saint Francis. Last Bat of the night, 7:30 PM
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  Eastern Time. Let's go to the American.
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  Athletic. Conference we have Tulane
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  visiting Charlotte now Tulane. Comes in 12 and seven on the
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  year. However, they have dropped three
• 12:39
  straight. Just came up short against FAU
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  7970. 4 But they did cover. As a 10 1/2 point Rd. dog.
• 12:47
  Meanwhile, Charlotte 10:00 and 9:00 on the year they've won.
• 12:49
  Four of their last five. Playing pretty well.
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  Just held off east. Carolina 73 to 71 outright as a
• 12:55
  1 1/2 point. Road dog so.
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  What have you seen across the market?
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  Here, well, this game open. Charlotte listed around a 4 1/2
• 13:02
  point home favorite. And the public.
• 13:04
  Doesn't know what to do. You know Charlotte.
• 13:06
  Is hot and they're at. Home.
• 13:08
  It's a short number, but also Tulane is getting points and
• 13:11
  they have the better record. So public has has no.
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  Idea Should I take the? Points.
• 13:14
  Should I lay the points? They're split right down the
• 13:16
  middle. But what do we always talk about
• 13:19
  anytime you have a 5050 ticket count, OK.
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  Throw away contrarian value, there's no public bias.
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  You know. Lopsided in One Direction, so.
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  There's no, There's no. Contrarian opportunity.
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  There. But here's the thing. 5050
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  theoretically. In a vacuum if the tickets are
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  split. You really shouldn't see the
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  line move at. All because you would assume.
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  If the actions. Equal the odds.
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  Makers have no reason to adjust the.
• 13:40
  Number up or down, however. If the tickets are 5050 yet you
• 13:44
  see a line move. That gets me excited.
• 13:47
  Because that tells me that even though the public.
• 13:49
  May not know which direction to go.
• 13:51
  Wise guys have taken a. Position and it looks pretty
• 13:53
  clear here they're taking. Two lane in the points because
• 13:56
  even though it's 5050 at. DraftKings in terms of the.
• 13:58
  Tickets again this. 5050 line. Moves are always based on
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  tickets. Not money, the raw ticket.
• 14:04
  Count but. Even though it's 5050.
• 14:06
  This line is moved toward 2 lane plus 4 1/2 down to plus 3 1/2.
• 14:11
  Also if you look at the juice. A lot of the juice is on the two
• 14:14
  lane. Side +3 and half -115 like it
• 14:16
  may get down to three. DraftKings only 51.
• 14:20
  Percent spread bets technically or.
• 14:22
  To be exact, but 60. Percent of spread dollars are on
• 14:25
  Tulane at circa 67% of spread bets, but 99% of spread dollars
• 14:31
  on Tulane so. Especially out in Vegas, those
• 14:33
  wise guys in the desert, Big Sharp split there toward.
• 14:36
  The Green Wave I. Noticed some advantages for
• 14:39
  Tulane? Better free throw shooting. 33rd
• 14:41
  in the country versus 200 and 13th.
• 14:44
  For Charlotte, better. Defensive efficiency 215th.
• 14:47
  Versus 270, first they forced more turnovers when they're on
• 14:51
  defense, 123rd versus 200 and 97th.
• 14:55
  And they take better care of the ball.
• 14:56
  They ranked sixty. 5th in turnover percentage committed.
• 14:59
  Versus 234th for Charlotte lastly.
• 15:03
  When you look at two teams in the American.
• 15:05
  Conference. Facing off in conference.
• 15:06
  Play. The road dog this year.
• 15:08
  Has gone 15 and 10 against the spread. 60% fourteen percent
• 15:12
  ROI. So public doesn't know what to
• 15:14
  do. 5050. But the line's dropping.
• 15:17
  Toward Tulane. So I took.
• 15:19
  Tulane Plus 3 1/2. I did notice a green.
• 15:22
  Star Rhythm recommended play where looks like Tulane should
• 15:25
  just be plus 2 1/2. So a little.
• 15:27
  You know, one point edge. There, which is nice, then also
• 15:30
  our friends at. Juice Reel. 14% sharp mush.
• 15:33
  Edge so that is. That is great to see.
• 15:36
  So, Long story short. Taking the points.
• 15:38
  How about you win the damn game outright, Tulane?
• 15:40
  Wouldn't that be nice? Or at least by.
• 15:42
  Or at least lose by. Three or less so Rutgers.
• 15:44
  Plus the points Saint Francis money line 2 lane plus.
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  The points let's. See if we can get.
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  Two out of. Three as we steam into.
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  A very snowy and big snowstorm weekend now.
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  You know my plays. Probably if you're a daily.
• 15:58
  Listen to listener to the. ASG pod or if you.
• 16:01
  Signed up to get the all systems go.
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  Best Bets? From the Juice Reel tab under
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  the Under the pics page. But let's reiterate because
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  there's been a little. Bit of movement we've seen.
• 16:12
  Some little bit of an adjustment here.
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  In a couple of these. Games as we go into the weekend.
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  I want to make sure you know exactly where I stand for two of
• 16:19
  the biggest games. Of the year.
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  And then? We got two weeks and it'll be
• 16:22
  the Super Bowl. So First off.
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  Patriots, Broncos, now this. Line has been all over.
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  The place, but really, what's? Very clear to me right now.
• 16:32
  Is that this line is. Dropping back toward the
• 16:34
  Broncos. Remember before Bonex got hurt?
• 16:39
  And we thought it would. Be, you know, Knicks.
• 16:41
  Denver hosting the Patriots. A lot of look.
• 16:43
  Headlines are like Denver -3 -. 3 1/2 once.
• 16:47
  Bonex was out in Stidham. Was announced the starter.
• 16:49
  We saw this line completely flipped to like Patriots. -6.
• 16:54
  As high as. -6 - 5. And 1/2 So I talked about this
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  with my buddy Patrick Maher last night on Visa Live tonight on.
• 17:01
  SiriusXM but that is just a massive adjustment and.
• 17:05
  Shout out to my buddy Ben Fox who used to used to.
• 17:07
  Work with me. We used to work together at
• 17:09
  Visa. But he talked to some bookmakers
• 17:12
  and prior to the. Season.
• 17:14
  There is, of course. A number ascribed to all the
• 17:17
  quarterbacks. So the difference between.
• 17:19
  Bonex and Stidham was like. 3.85 points.
• 17:23
  We've seen an adjustment. Here -3. 3 1/2 to.
• 17:26
  Like plus six of like. 8 or 9 points.
• 17:29
  So public saying Drake may. All day Denver I want to bet
• 17:33
  against. Stidham.
• 17:34
  Again, it kind of a. Complete unknown.
• 17:36
  He hasn't played in like. Three years, but that's an.
• 17:39
  Over adjustment and how do I know that?
• 17:41
  Because. Once it got to Pats. -6 down to
• 17:44
  5 1/2. Then we've now seen it get down
• 17:47
  to. 4 1/2. And if we?
• 17:49
  Look at the juice on some of these books.
• 17:51
  They're juicing up. At least a couple.
• 17:53
  Plus 4 1/2. Denver. -115 so who?
• 17:57
  Knows, maybe even gets. Down to 4 here.
• 17:59
  Now the other angle. Is that the Patriots?
• 18:02
  Are a huge popular play, so I want to go.
• 18:04
  Against that popularity. And take Denver.
• 18:06
  As just a straight up contrarian play.
• 18:09
  We also have those playoff. Home dogs since 2017.
• 18:13
  There are three and one. ATS this year 12 and 3 ATS
• 18:16
  since. 2017 we also have. A playoff dog with a line.
• 18:21
  Move as this is down to 4 1/2. Those.
• 18:23
  Teams are 66% ATS since 2017. We also have a dog.
• 18:29
  Low total. Low total of 42 1/2 although.
• 18:31
  It did tick up a. Little bit. 41 to 40. 2 1/2.
• 18:34
  Which which was interesting because you would think Knicks
• 18:36
  to sit and it would. It would, you know, be.
• 18:38
  Less offense, so that's. Kind of maybe a sneaky.
• 18:40
  Little over move there. But also just the fact.
• 18:43
  Of you know. This is the Drake May's first
• 18:45
  ever. Game in Colorado in the.
• 18:47
  Altitude. And.
• 18:49
  Denver's got a good. Defense and home field advantage
• 18:51
  so. If you want to tease.
• 18:52
  Denver up four and half to 10 1/2.
• 18:54
  That is a pretty good. Wong teaser going.
• 18:56
  Through 7 and 10. But hopefully you guys listen to
• 18:59
  the pod. Earlier this week or saw the
• 19:01
  best bet on Juice Real because I got the Broncos.
• 19:04
  Plus 5 1/2 and I am loving that this line is down to 4 1/2.
• 19:07
  If you. Want to play it now?
• 19:09
  Yeah, 4 1/2. Is your best number.
• 19:11
  I did notice rhythm. Has three recommended?
• 19:14
  Plays including one green *. On Denver saying they should be
• 19:18
  plus 3.5. +3. Or plus 3.8.
• 19:22
  So like a point or? Point in half edge off of the
• 19:25
  the betting market. And also a 15% sharp mush edge
• 19:29
  in. Favor of the Broncos from our
• 19:30
  friends at Juice. Rail.
• 19:31
  So everyone's playing Patriots, but maybe an over adjustment,
• 19:35
  the lines coming back down to Denver even though everyone's
• 19:37
  pounding New England. Guys, I'm a Pats fan hopefully.
• 19:40
  Proved it to you. We played them.
• 19:41
  Last week minus. Three against against the
• 19:44
  Texans. I'm going to bet against them
• 19:45
  this week and take Denver in the points.
• 19:47
  Now I'm going to get greedy and cross my fingers can my
• 19:50
  patriots. Win, but win by 4.
• 19:52
  Or less a three-point. Pats win would be just a perfect
• 19:56
  outcome. For a Patriots fan.
• 19:57
  Who's betting against the? Patriots this weekend.
• 19:59
  But love Broncos plus 5 1/2, now down to 4 1/2.
• 20:04
  Second game mentioned it yesterday.
• 20:07
  Very lopsided Once again, 80% of spread bets on.
• 20:10
  Seattle, but Seattle was. Opening basically -2 1/2 and
• 20:15
  they're still. -2 1/2. So why aren't?
• 20:17
  The Seahawks up to -3 if everyone and their mother.
• 20:20
  Is betting Seattle and 80. Percent.
• 20:22
  That is a very lopsided. Postseason game.
• 20:25
  I was holding out. For a three.
• 20:27
  But as I'm looking at the juice, it's not -2 1/2.
• 20:32
  Seattle like it's going. Up to three like -2 1/2 -, 115.
• 20:36
  A lot of books. Are juicing up the Rams.
• 20:38
  Side Plus 2 1/2 - 1. 15 So maybe we even close at 2:00.
• 20:43
  So automatically I want to go. Against.
• 20:45
  The public love for the. Seahawks and take the Rams.
• 20:47
  Only getting 20%. Of tickets.
• 20:49
  I love that. Sean McVeigh in the spot. 58%
• 20:53
  ATS. As a dog.
• 20:54
  Six and two ATS in the postseason.
• 20:56
  As a dog, you'd also be a short playoff dog, three or less.
• 20:59
  You'd also be a four. O'clock.
• 21:02
  Later late window playoff game. Dog Which?
• 21:05
  Are 60% ATS since. When was it?
• 21:09
  Since 2017. But I was saying to myself.
• 21:12
  OK, I want the three. But I don't think it's coming.
• 21:15
  So I did buy this up to three. I got a book that.
• 21:18
  I still see one. Book that is actually juice
• 21:21
  toward. Juice pretty down in favor of in
• 21:26
  favor of the the. Rams yesterday it was.
• 21:30
  Plus 2 1/2 + 100. And I bought it up to plus.
• 21:33
  Three at -120. 5 looks like your lowest.
• 21:36
  Juice Now is now Bet MGM Plus 2 1/2 -, 1 O 5.
• 21:40
  I don't really want to go. Much further than -125 -, 130
• 21:44
  OK. But again, I think it's super
• 21:47
  important. Like, think of it this way.
• 21:49
  If everyone's playing Seattle, why aren't the oddsmakers
• 21:51
  giving? Out a + 3 that.
• 21:52
  Tells me it's very very. Important, so that's why I want
• 21:55
  to get the +3. So I would recommend buying it
• 21:57
  up. Again -130 or less.
• 22:00
  That's about as high as I want to.
• 22:01
  Go. But this will make you even
• 22:03
  more. Excited to sweat the Rams?
• 22:05
  Aside from being a divisional. Dog, which we like.
• 22:07
  Rhythm has Rams plus one -0.1 and -0.3 so.
• 22:15
  You're literally getting, you know?
• 22:17
  2 1/2 or 3. When rhythm says maybe.
• 22:19
  The RAM should actually be favored in this spot.
• 22:22
  And then lastly there is. A 10% sharp mush edge from our
• 22:24
  friends at Juice Reel on the Rams.
• 22:27
  So I bought. The Rams up to three.
• 22:29
  And I got Broncos 5 1/2. 4 1/2 is now your best price.
• 22:32
  Let's try to get. One at least one of these and we
• 22:34
  could get both. Man, that'll be that'll be a
• 22:37
  pretty awesome Sunday Sunday snowstorm.
• 22:41
  So that about does it wrapping up the final pod of the week.
• 22:44
  Episode 430. Nine of the ASG sports betting
• 22:47
  podcast powered by Rhythm. This is the part of the pod
• 22:49
  where we. Again, leave you the final
• 22:51
  thoughts and and leave you with a couple ideas so.
• 22:55
  The first one is always. A thank you.
• 22:56
  Thank you for. Listening.
• 22:58
  Thank you for tuning. In thank you for grinding.
• 23:00
  In the arena with me. Every single.
• 23:01
  Day through the UPS and the downs, the good.
• 23:04
  Days the bad, days the. Hot streaks.
• 23:05
  The cold streaks. When everything's going.
• 23:07
  Our way or nothing's going our way, we.
• 23:09
  Wake up every morning. With a positive outlook.
• 23:12
  And trying to make sharp bets with our head and not our heart.
• 23:15
  So thank you for listening and supporting the pod.
• 23:17
  If you wouldn't. Mind, could you please give?
• 23:19
  This podcast, a five star review on Spotify or iTunes.
• 23:23
  All you got. To do is click.
• 23:23
  The five stars, it goes a long. Way it was well as.
• 23:27
  If you're so inclined. Leave a nice comment.
• 23:29
  Under the Review section, click. The follow button.
• 23:32
  Or maybe you could. Retweet the pod when I tweeted
• 23:34
  out every afternoon. That would be great.
• 23:36
  And you can also recommend the pod to a friend as a word of
• 23:39
  mouth. Always, you know.
• 23:40
  Means a little. Bit more if you hear it from
• 23:41
  someone that you. Respect next.
• 23:45
  Have have you enjoyed the data-driven insights as the
• 23:48
  data-driven model helped you? Hopefully to provide a
• 23:50
  blueprint. How to attack the betting market
• 23:53
  well, if you. Enjoy the data-driven insights
• 23:55
  you want to learn more? About data-driven bedding.
• 23:57
  Or you have someone in your life who could.
• 23:58
  Use some data-driven tips. Or wants to.
• 24:00
  Get into bedding and really. Doesn't know how, if any.
• 24:02
  Of that is the case. I would love for.
• 24:04
  You to go to Amazon.com. Type in the NFL.
• 24:07
  Sharp betting. Playbook and I'll just I'll.
• 24:09
  Let you guys know it's a good time to buy it cuz I got
• 24:11
  championship game systems. And I got a ton.
• 24:14
  Like a. Almost a full chapter.
• 24:15
  On how to bet the Super Bowl and prop bets.
• 24:17
  So it might be a good time to grab it.
• 24:19
  And get yourself. Ready to study up?
• 24:21
  For the Super Bowl, which is only a couple weeks.
• 24:23
  Away I. Also wrote a book called.
• 24:25
  The everything guide to sports betting.
• 24:26
  So if you wanted to grab that. On Amazon.
• 24:29
  I'd also appreciate that leave a five star review, leave a nice
• 24:32
  comment if you if you wish, and also bring those.
• 24:35
  Books to the sports. Book.
• 24:36
  I'll sign them for you. I'll buy a.
• 24:37
  Beer or ginger ale? We'll sweat some some
• 24:39
  championship. Games together this.
• 24:41
  Weekend Next Have you downloaded?
• 24:43
  Rhythm and juice. Reel yet my 2.
• 24:44
  Favorite sports betting apps they help me win they're.
• 24:47
  Going to help you win. So Rhythm for their awesome AI
• 24:49
  backed models. And predictions for game bets.
• 24:51
  And player props. As well as Juice Reel.
• 24:54
  Where you can sign up to throw a $5.00 bill in the tip jar and
• 24:58
  get the all. Systems go official best bets.
• 25:01
  From Juice Reel and that. Cost $4.99 a week.
• 25:05
  Again, I consider it a tip jar. This podcast is free.
• 25:08
  Hopefully I've helped you cash a few tickets.
• 25:11
  You know, scratch my back. I'll scratch.
• 25:12
  Yours go sign up to. Get those best bet picks but
• 25:15
  also. Not only are you supporting the.
• 25:16
  Pod tip in your podcast host but.
• 25:18
  You're getting the plays earlier.
• 25:20
  In the day and hopefully beating some closing lines.
• 25:23
  You also need the. Robo Jackson Best bet picks.
• 25:25
  The sharp mush indicators. The arbitrage plays the shop for
• 25:28
  the. Best line features?
• 25:29
  All when you download. Juice Reel.
• 25:31
  So download Rhythm download. Juice Reel give them a.
• 25:34
  Five star review in the App Store.
• 25:36
  Next, you have a live odds. Page.
• 25:38
  Well, if you don't. Have one, you need one.
• 25:40
  And you don't know you need it unless you don't have.
• 25:42
  It and then you get 1 and you're like.
• 25:43
  Wow, how did? I ever bet on sports without it.
• 25:45
  You got to be able to. Track the market in real.
• 25:47
  Time. If you buy like stocks.
• 25:49
  You know you need an E*Trade. Account to track all the all the
• 25:52
  the stocks. Well you know what if your
• 25:54
  sports better, you got to be able to track the betting
• 25:56
  market. Gives you all the games to bet
• 25:58
  on that day. Live scoring, live in game
• 26:00
  wagering odds. Gives you the.
• 26:02
  Opening column that never changes along with all the
• 26:04
  current odds to the right. You can.
• 26:05
  Shop around, see which direction.
• 26:07
  The line is moved get. The best price Identify Steam.
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  Pull up the line. History all available when?
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  You give a shot to. Odds Logic.
• 26:15
  Odds Logic is the best live odds page around.
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  I'm a very. Proud Odds Logic affiliate.
• 26:20
  So if you. Want to use this link?
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  Just go to. Oddslogic.com.
• 26:24
  Slash Josh 123 and. That'll give you a 7.
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  Day free trial and 50. Percent off your first month.
• 26:30
  Next novig, do you? Know what novig is you.
• 26:33
  Might have heard me say before it's a.
• 26:34
  Betting exchange, not a sports. Book SO.
• 26:36
  You're going to get. Way better juice.
• 26:37
  Prices because you're betting. Peer-to-peer.
• 26:39
  Against other betters. And not the house so.
• 26:42
  Instead of laying -115 -, 120. You're laying far better prices.
• 26:46
  -1 O 5. Plus one O 2 -, 1 O 6.
• 26:50
  That means you. Can win at the same.
• 26:51
  Rate. Exact same win rate but make
• 26:53
  more money. On an exchange versus sportsman
• 26:55
  because you're risking. Less juice, which means when
• 26:58
  you. Bet to risk versus.
• 26:58
  Win you're going to get. More on the back end.
• 27:01
  So for example, I'm looking at Patriots, Broncos, you can get
• 27:04
  Patriots minus. 4 1/2 at plus one O 9.
• 27:07
  Or Broncos +4. And 1/2 at minus. 113 Rams.
• 27:11
  Plus 2 1/2 - 1 O 4 Seattle -2 1/2. -1 O 3.
• 27:16
  So far better juice prices. You look at the totals.
• 27:20
  Pat's Broncos over 42 1/2. -110 under. 42 and a.
• 27:24
  Half plus one O 5. Ram.
• 27:25
  Seattle total over 46. And 1/2 -, 1 O. 4 under 46 and.
• 27:30
  1/2 + 100. You're going to get better
• 27:32
  prices. With Novig.
• 27:33
  So download novig give. Him a give.
• 27:36
  Him a five star review in the App Store.
• 27:37
  But when you. Download Novig and fund your.
• 27:40
  Account. There's a little promo code.
• 27:42
  Put in Josh 123, it'll tack on an extra. 25 bucks for you.
• 27:46
  So that about does it for episode 439 of the all systems.
• 27:50
  Go sports betting pod powered by rhythm.
• 27:52
  As always guys 2. Final thoughts, One whether I
• 27:54
  see you at the Borgata. In Atlantic City Twin.
• 27:57
  River in Rhode Island. The Brooklyn, New Hampshire,
• 27:59
  Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut at the encore in
• 28:02
  Boston Plain Ridge park casino. MGM Springfield.
• 28:06
  The Nash in my neck of the. Woods on the border of.
• 28:08
  Massachusetts and New Hampshire, or out in the desert where the
• 28:11
  true grinders get down, where Billy Walter sends his number
• 28:14
  runners. Where the lowest juice possible.
• 28:16
  Is found at the South Point, worst sweat and sharp
• 28:18
  contrarian. Plays jumping in the stadium.
• 28:20
  Swimming pool. When you cash a big ticket at
• 28:22
  Circa, whatever it may be. You're going to walk up to me?
• 28:25
  Show me a Georgia State ticket and a Portland State ticket.
• 28:29
  First one. 'S on me, next one's on you.
• 28:30
  We'll post about the book. And so it's some college hoops.
• 28:34
  And so it's some NFL on Sunday. So as always, guys coming.
• 28:37
  Off a two and one. Or A1 and 2A3 and O.
• 28:40
  Or an O and three. A2 day winning streak.
• 28:42
  A2 day losing streak. Whether we're hot or cold.
• 28:45
  We just got to stick to the system.
• 28:47
  That's why I called this. I was trying to figure out.
• 28:50
  When I when I kind of went solo and launched this podcast, I'm
• 28:53
  like. What's going to be the name of
• 28:54
  the pod? Will all systems go?
• 28:56
  Kind of as a cool ring to it, because this is system.
• 28:58
  Based betting looking. For matches respecting the
• 29:01
  market. So if you.
• 29:06
  Again, I almost lost my. Train of thought there.
• 29:09
  But again, oh what I want to say.
• 29:10
  Was we just got to stick to that system?
• 29:12
  Find games that fit our model against.
• 29:14
  The public with the house with the pros.
• 29:16
  Flat bet, avoid parlays and get that.
• 29:18
  COV, if we can do that. We're going to be successful
• 29:20
  betters. So.
• 29:22
  Everyone has a great Friday night.
• 29:23
  Have an even better weekend. Stay safe out there.
• 29:26
  The snowstorm is no joke. And the biggest thing you can
• 29:28
  do? And when snowstorms?
• 29:29
  Hit is just just stay at home. It's it's.
• 29:32
  Super important that you know. It's it's hard for these plow.
• 29:36
  Guys and. Everyone to keep the roads.
• 29:38
  Clear, they don't need your idiot ass.
• 29:40
  Pardon my French, you know. Getting stuck and having to bail
• 29:43
  you out. Just stay home, get some food.
• 29:45
  You know, binge some Netflix and and and stay.
• 29:48
  Off the roads and hopefully. We can cash some tickets while
• 29:51
  we're at it. I will mention to No Pod over
• 29:53
  the weekend. But I will have sharp.
• 29:55
  Reports over this weekend. So I know college basketball.
• 29:58
  It's a huge Saturday tomorrow, so look out for. 3 College
• 30:01
  basketball plays for tomorrow. But either way, guys have a
• 30:04
  fantastic. Friday.
• 30:06
  Even better. Weekend stay safe out there.
• 30:08
  And I will see you back on Monday, as I'll be.
• 30:11
  Shoveling 24/7. Looking forward to that.
• 30:14
  I guess it's some decent exercise, hope.
• 30:17
  Everyone has a great weekend. And I'll see you back on Monday
• 30:19
  for episode. 4:40. Of the all systems.
• 30:22
  Go sports betting podcast. Powered by rhythm.
• 30:25
  Good luck. Everybody and have a great
• 30:27
  weekend.