Latest / Toadstool Sports / NCAAB + NBA + NHL + NCAAF Best Bets Saturday 11/29/25
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Yep.
- 0:01Speaker 2: Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on Own seven
- 0:06Speaker 2: run over the last two days after tonight.
- 0:07Speaker 1: It was just complete bullshit.
- 0:10Speaker 2: So that's that's what I'm gonna start off this show.
- 0:12Speaker 2: Horrible Sunday one and five. I don't even know what
- 0:15Speaker 2: to tell you about that. I just don't want to
- 0:17Speaker 2: do this anymore.
- 0:18Speaker 1: I have never seen anything like this. Man with the
- 0:22Speaker 1: slump continuing. Two straight losses, not a good day at all.
- 0:26Speaker 1: Oh in four that have not had a good season.
- 0:31Speaker 2: Man with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the
- 0:35Speaker 2: slump continues.
- 0:36Speaker 1: I've reached a new peak. Actually, I'm gonna burn my
- 0:40Speaker 1: bruins hat man. I don't know what is going on
- 0:43Speaker 1: with the Bruins. Arch eight? Is that what it is?
- 0:46Speaker 1: I don't even know it's March ninth? I think who
- 0:49Speaker 1: even knows? Man, I don't know what day is anymore.
- 0:52Speaker 1: I don't even know what data is anymore. Man, back
- 0:55Speaker 1: with you after the worst day that I could.
- 0:58Speaker 2: Possibly have, Back with you as I always am.
- 1:01Speaker 1: Until I die at least oh and two. Yesterday and
- 1:05Speaker 1: yesterday did not go well for me.
- 1:07Speaker 2: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
- 1:11Speaker 2: my eighteen years doing this.
- 1:12Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
- 1:15Speaker 2: The slump praise, the slump discontinuingus, the slump continues.
- 1:19Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
- 1:22Speaker 2: I don't even know what I should do at this
- 1:24Speaker 2: point other than potentially.
- 1:26Speaker 1: End it all.
- 1:32Speaker 2: What's up, everybody, It's towed back with you for Toadsool
- 1:35Speaker 2: Sports Saturday edition, November twenty ninth. Thanks to everybody who
- 1:41Speaker 2: hung out for the College Football Week fourteen edition last night.
- 1:47Speaker 2: Give out two more college football plays on that show,
- 1:50Speaker 2: so those are coming up today.
- 1:52Speaker 1: One is at noon.
- 1:52Speaker 2: I will reiterate those plays. I put the noon one
- 1:55Speaker 2: out on Instagram already as well, so you can see
- 1:58Speaker 2: that there as well if you.
- 1:59Speaker 1: Want just that isolated analysis on it.
- 2:04Speaker 2: Yesterday we were five and six, which I don't love obviously,
- 2:08Speaker 2: especially because one of the hockey favorites loss. So moneyline
- 2:11Speaker 2: favorite that east into your wallet a little bit. More
- 2:15Speaker 2: college basketball was I believe only two and three yesterday,
- 2:18Speaker 2: which was a great NJIT looked like they were on
- 2:21Speaker 2: their way to a cover and then they fell short
- 2:23Speaker 2: at the end. I don't know how much they want
- 2:25Speaker 2: up losing by I don't think they missed the cover
- 2:27Speaker 2: by that much, but they missed it. Charleston Southern was
- 2:31Speaker 2: a cover they I think they just had a wired
- 2:33Speaker 2: to wire cover. They didn't win outright, but they played
- 2:36Speaker 2: a pretty decent game and come they came within that number,
- 2:39Speaker 2: so that worked out. Wisconsint. I mean, I don't know
- 2:43Speaker 2: what else I have to say about this Wisconsin team,
- 2:45Speaker 2: Like how many times are they gonna just not show
- 2:49Speaker 2: up in a spot where I think they should show
- 2:51Speaker 2: up or a spot where I think they might be
- 2:53Speaker 2: get up against a team that might not be in
- 2:55Speaker 2: the greatest spot either. Wisconsin, I mean, they were nowhere close.
- 2:59Speaker 2: They lost the game outright. They were never in position
- 3:02Speaker 2: to even win that game. I don't know what that was.
- 3:05Speaker 2: Mississippi State was extremely frustrating in basketball. If you saw
- 3:09Speaker 2: that game, it was a close game, but they had
- 3:11Speaker 2: the lead throughout like the crucial stretch of the game,
- 3:13Speaker 2: and it looked like they were gonna get the win
- 3:15Speaker 2: and pulled it away, and then it wound up going
- 3:16Speaker 2: into overtime and they lost and did not cover either number.
- 3:21Speaker 2: I think you could have gotten one one and a
- 3:22Speaker 2: half on it or money line. I mean, any of
- 3:25Speaker 2: those didn't matter. I mean you're pretty much playing them
- 3:28Speaker 2: to win the game outright. I think debatably they should have.
- 3:31Speaker 2: I think it was a good spot to play them.
- 3:33Speaker 2: That was the one that I added late. I mean
- 3:37Speaker 2: that one could have given us a winning day, and
- 3:39Speaker 2: it looked like that was gonna be the case. I'm
- 3:41Speaker 2: not happy about it. I'm not too mad that I
- 3:44Speaker 2: added it, Like I just think that, yeah. I mean,
- 3:47Speaker 2: they had the game in hand and it just went
- 3:49Speaker 2: the wrong way at the end. I'm not happy about that.
- 3:52Speaker 2: And then we did get the outright and win with
- 3:54Speaker 2: Pittsburgh in basketball, and they actually won the game on
- 3:57Speaker 2: a buzzer beater, but they were covering most of the game.
- 4:01Speaker 2: They had the lead at various points. That was good
- 4:04Speaker 2: college football. We started off bad with Mississippi State not
- 4:08Speaker 2: getting there even though they teased towards the end. I
- 4:11Speaker 2: mean they were in the game early in the game,
- 4:13Speaker 2: like the game was tied. They were only down four
- 4:16Speaker 2: I think in the second quarter, like getting close towards halftime.
- 4:19Speaker 2: They were never really out of range of the cover really,
- 4:23Speaker 2: but like towards the end, they got they needed to
- 4:25Speaker 2: get two scores to get back within the spread. Towards
- 4:28Speaker 2: the end, and they got one and they were backed
- 4:30Speaker 2: down by like twelve, like, okay, get the ball back,
- 4:33Speaker 2: score one more time, let's do this. But no, they
- 4:36Speaker 2: gave up another touchdown and that was it and they
- 4:37Speaker 2: wound up I believe, losing by twelve or no, by
- 4:42Speaker 2: nineteen is that what it was?
- 4:43Speaker 1: Eighteen? Whatever it was. I'm not happy about that.
- 4:46Speaker 2: But then we did turn off of college football around
- 4:49Speaker 2: with two wins after that, with New Mexico getting the win.
- 4:52Speaker 2: New Mexico was out out of the gate ten nothing
- 4:55Speaker 2: lead and then they decided to fall behind fourteen its end,
- 4:59Speaker 2: but they reached the lead, had the lead late in
- 5:02Speaker 2: the game. It was tied again, but they never surrendered
- 5:04Speaker 2: the lead against and they never fell behind again, I
- 5:06Speaker 2: should say, and they did get the late touchdown I
- 5:09Speaker 2: believe to win the game. So we got the win
- 5:11Speaker 2: with New Mexico. Texas played a really good game, man,
- 5:15Speaker 2: and they bounce A and M from the from the
- 5:19Speaker 2: ranks of the undefeated. A huge win for Texas, huge
- 5:23Speaker 2: performance from them. That is pretty much what I thought, like,
- 5:26Speaker 2: I thought they were gonna win the game outright by
- 5:28Speaker 2: giving out that play.
- 5:31Speaker 1: I thought it would be maybe a little bit close.
- 5:33Speaker 2: I mean, it was a close game that won by ten,
- 5:35Speaker 2: but it was a closer game than that. But they
- 5:37Speaker 2: really came to play. They put they put a motivated
- 5:41Speaker 2: performance out there. Hockey just I'm not thrilled about hockey.
- 5:46Speaker 2: The New York Islanders they made it or yeah, the
- 5:48Speaker 2: Islanders made a nice comeback, they tied the game, and
- 5:51Speaker 2: then they wound up losing anyway in overtime or shootout
- 5:53Speaker 2: or whatever. Not happy about that at all. And then
- 5:57Speaker 2: Utah didn't get there either after out being out there
- 5:59Speaker 2: two to nothing lead. Don't even want to talk about
- 6:01Speaker 2: that anymore. But I think they were clearly the right
- 6:03Speaker 2: side at that underdog price. I mean, they had many
- 6:06Speaker 2: chances to win that game, and they wound up losing.
- 6:08Speaker 2: I think maybe also an overtime or shootouts. I think
- 6:11Speaker 2: we took both losses in overtime. And then my NBA
- 6:15Speaker 2: and my Piston whispering continues to be elite as the
- 6:19Speaker 2: Orlando Magic won the game outright against Detroit. So we
- 6:22Speaker 2: did get that one for the only play in the
- 6:26Speaker 2: NBA last night that was a winner.
- 6:29Speaker 1: Jeffrey, what's up man? Uh? Pinsey, what's up man? Thanks
- 6:33Speaker 1: for hanging out. NJT. Had a lot of turnovers.
- 6:36Speaker 2: Yeah, that pisses me off because that's something that can
- 6:39Speaker 2: be fixed for the most part, although the bett I mean,
- 6:42Speaker 2: the better team will turn you over to some extent.
- 6:44Speaker 2: But self floor, I don't even know what happened with
- 6:47Speaker 2: South Florida. I think I gave it a lean there,
- 6:50Speaker 2: but I don't know. Charles, what's up man? Thanks for
- 6:53Speaker 2: hanging out. Uh Lanny, what's up man?
- 6:56Speaker 1: What are you talking?
- 6:57Speaker 2: Michigan and Ohio State. Yeah, I'm I talked about the
- 7:00Speaker 2: game last night. Basically, I have conflicted opinions on that game,
- 7:04Speaker 2: so I don't really have a strong opinion on It's
- 7:06Speaker 2: not a play that I really want to make. I mean,
- 7:09Speaker 2: I think the under might be worth a look in
- 7:11Speaker 2: that game, although the total has gone down a little.
- 7:13Speaker 2: But I do expect a low scoring battle in that game,
- 7:17Speaker 2: which I also think is more conducive to Michigan covering.
- 7:20Speaker 2: I think Michigan might cover that because they're like a
- 7:23Speaker 2: ten point underdog.
- 7:25Speaker 1: Ohio State may.
- 7:26Speaker 2: Show up motivated though, because of the way that they
- 7:28Speaker 2: lost to Michigan last year and everybody who's just blasting
- 7:31Speaker 2: Ohio State. Oh my god, Ryan Day, he can't beat Michigan.
- 7:35Speaker 2: You know, he just has to come out with with
- 7:38Speaker 2: the you know, the nipples protruding, and Ohio State should
- 7:42Speaker 2: probably win that game. I think they'll win, but I
- 7:45Speaker 2: think Michigan might cover that. I think it would be
- 7:46Speaker 2: a low scoring, fairly close game, would be what I think.
- 7:50Speaker 2: But yeah, I mean Ohio State. There is reason for
- 7:53Speaker 2: them to be motivated just because this is a huge
- 7:56Speaker 2: game for both teams and Michigan keeps beating them, so
- 7:59Speaker 2: I think Ohio might want to redeem themselves from that.
- 8:03Speaker 2: But Michigan needs the game more, There's no doubt about that,
- 8:05Speaker 2: and you're giving them a ton of points at home.
- 8:07Speaker 2: Michigan still has an outside shot of making the Big
- 8:11Speaker 2: Ten title game. I think they would need to win
- 8:13Speaker 2: this game, and I think they need one other team
- 8:15Speaker 2: to I think they need a Oregon to lose or
- 8:17Speaker 2: something like that. But I like teams that are in
- 8:20Speaker 2: that spot where they don't control their own destiny.
- 8:22Speaker 1: You know, first Ohio State does, because.
- 8:24Speaker 2: All they need to do is win, and they're in
- 8:27Speaker 2: the conference championship against Indiana, So yeah, we'll see what happens.
- 8:33Speaker 2: And I think if those are basically my thoughts in
- 8:35Speaker 2: that game, but Ohio, Ohio State. I mean, even if
- 8:38Speaker 2: they lose this game, they're still gonna make the playoffs,
- 8:40Speaker 2: so their championship aspirations are still there. From Michigan, it's
- 8:44Speaker 2: a little bit more question. Like Michigan they're on I
- 8:47Speaker 2: think they're kind of on the outside looking in as
- 8:49Speaker 2: far as like can they make the playoffs? So in
- 8:51Speaker 2: that respect, Michigan needs the game.
- 8:53Speaker 1: More as well.
- 8:54Speaker 2: So I would probably take the points in Michigan, but
- 8:57Speaker 2: I don't really want it.
- 8:59Speaker 1: You faded the ed Wings. I'm gonna talk about that
- 9:01Speaker 1: game in a second.
- 9:02Speaker 2: I forget who even won that, but well, I'll talk
- 9:04Speaker 2: about it in the hockey dude, How are there so
- 9:06Speaker 2: many hockey games today? If there were so many games
- 9:09Speaker 2: yet like almost every team played yesterday and now like
- 9:12Speaker 2: they're all playing again today. I hate it, dude, Like
- 9:16Speaker 2: it makes way too much work for me. All right,
- 9:19Speaker 2: let's I'm gonna try to run through college basketball here
- 9:23Speaker 2: as quickly as I can.
- 9:24Speaker 1: I know, I always say it's gonna be quick, and
- 9:26Speaker 1: it isn't.
- 9:27Speaker 2: We do have a noontime game between Indiana and Bethune Cookman,
- 9:30Speaker 2: which is at Indiana. This is not gonna be one
- 9:33Speaker 2: of my plays, but generally I would probably lean towards.
- 9:36Speaker 1: Fading Indiana here.
- 9:37Speaker 2: They're coming off a pretty nice win over Kansas State,
- 9:40Speaker 2: who are a big twelve team, even though they're a
- 9:42Speaker 2: little bit down this year. But then after this game,
- 9:45Speaker 2: Indiana does start Big ten play against Minnesota, and then
- 9:48Speaker 2: they have Louisville up after that too, so these are
- 9:51Speaker 2: much bigger games. So this game against a SWACK team
- 9:54Speaker 2: sandwiched in here surrounded by bigger games. It is a
- 9:58Speaker 2: sandwich spot. I I don't know something about the vibe
- 10:02Speaker 2: of it. I don't really want to get there with
- 10:04Speaker 2: this one, but I do lean to taking the points
- 10:06Speaker 2: with Bethune Cookman. Bethune Cookman did just lose as a
- 10:09Speaker 2: favorite at home to a pretty bad Stony Brook team,
- 10:12Speaker 2: so Bethune Cookman maybe kind of bounce back mode here.
- 10:15Speaker 2: They may have even been looking ahead because that was
- 10:18Speaker 2: a bad game for the Man. That was a bad loss.
- 10:21Speaker 2: Bethune Cookman, they're probably they're one of the better teams
- 10:25Speaker 2: in the Swack at the very least, and they're pretty
- 10:26Speaker 2: battle tested so far this year, so not gonna be
- 10:29Speaker 2: intimidated by Indiana. I mean, this is a Bethune Cookman
- 10:33Speaker 2: team that took Auburn to overtime on the road, So
- 10:37Speaker 2: I would take the points with them if I was
- 10:38Speaker 2: gonna do it. Indiana is all the way up to
- 10:40Speaker 2: a twenty eight and a half point favor but the
- 10:42Speaker 2: money is coming back on the Bethune Cookman side, and.
- 10:45Speaker 1: It's a pretty low total of one hundred and forty nine.
- 10:47Speaker 2: So taking that many points maybe a little bit better
- 10:50Speaker 2: in that scenario, even though I thought Indiana like to.
- 10:52Speaker 1: Play fast and Bethune Cookman tends to like to play slow.
- 10:56Speaker 2: But that low total seems to indicate that the games
- 11:00Speaker 2: gonna be on the slower side.
- 11:01Speaker 1: And Indiana, I mean, they know they could just.
- 11:03Speaker 2: Show up and get the win pretty much, so I
- 11:06Speaker 2: think that might be what they might do here, Like
- 11:07Speaker 2: they don't really need to really expend a lot of energy,
- 11:11Speaker 2: like pushing the tempone this one to get this whim
- 11:13Speaker 2: sixty two percent of the tickets on Indiana, seventy three
- 11:16Speaker 2: percent of the cash on Bethune Cookman. I would take
- 11:19Speaker 2: the points in that one, but that one is not
- 11:21Speaker 2: on my card right now. It won't be, but that
- 11:23Speaker 2: one's close. I mean, if I was gonna add another
- 11:25Speaker 2: one or two. That one would probably make it best
- 11:30Speaker 2: bet segment is already here. Man, screw it. I know
- 11:37Speaker 2: I really reiterate it, reiterate.
- 11:39Speaker 1: Them at the end.
- 11:40Speaker 2: But for the for people to find the isolated analysis,
- 11:42Speaker 2: they're gonna have to dig into these episodes or they're
- 11:44Speaker 2: gonna have to just go to my Instagram. But we're
- 11:47Speaker 2: gonna lay the points with the Louisiana Tech. At eleven
- 11:50Speaker 2: and a half, I think it might already be rising.
- 11:53Speaker 2: Let me see what's the number on that right now?
- 11:55Speaker 2: Where are you, man, Louisiana Tech.
- 11:57Speaker 1: There they are.
- 11:58Speaker 2: They're twelve and a half right nowven and a half twelve,
- 12:00Speaker 2: not a huge difference there. I know this is a
- 12:03Speaker 2: very low total, two in one hundred and thirty six,
- 12:05Speaker 2: but we're kind of banking on Alcorn State being a
- 12:08Speaker 2: pathetic offense in this game, and I really think it's
- 12:12Speaker 2: a bad spot for Alcorn State. I know it looks
- 12:15Speaker 2: pretty easy to fade them because they're one and seven.
- 12:17Speaker 2: They're in the swack. They are battle tests, and I'll
- 12:19Speaker 2: give them that. They faced Florida State in Minnesota, Maryland, LSU,
- 12:24Speaker 2: Oklahoma all on the road. They're certainly battle tests, and
- 12:27Speaker 2: they did just get their first win of the season,
- 12:29Speaker 2: and a lot of times I will say that when
- 12:31Speaker 2: you get that first win, you get that monkey off
- 12:33Speaker 2: your back.
- 12:34Speaker 1: It'll propel you forward. But what was that win?
- 12:37Speaker 2: They beat Indiana State and there were twelve and a
- 12:40Speaker 2: half point underdogs in this game, and they won the game,
- 12:44Speaker 2: which was in terre hate as well, even though for
- 12:46Speaker 2: some reason, Indiana wasn't Indiana State wasn't listed as the
- 12:50Speaker 2: home team of this game because I think it was
- 12:51Speaker 2: like a tournament style thing hosted by Indiana State, and
- 12:55Speaker 2: I'm pretty sure that was on Indiana State's home floor.
- 12:58Speaker 1: So even more.
- 12:59Speaker 2: Ridiculous said Alcord State was able to somehow win that game.
- 13:02Speaker 2: If you look at what happened in the game, it
- 13:04Speaker 2: was pretty much an outlier, I would say. For the shooting,
- 13:07Speaker 2: at least, Indiana State had a bad shooting game thirty
- 13:10Speaker 2: eight percent Alcorn fifty one percent. Don't think that's repeatable.
- 13:14Speaker 2: Twenty one percent from three for Indiana State.
- 13:17Speaker 1: Very low. Although Alcord State did still win despite.
- 13:20Speaker 2: Losing the turnover battle because they did win the rebounding battle.
- 13:24Speaker 2: But I think they're gonna have a harder time winning
- 13:26Speaker 2: a rebound battle against Louisiana Tech.
- 13:28Speaker 1: Man.
- 13:29Speaker 2: And for Louisiana Tech, they're kind of under the radar
- 13:32Speaker 2: right now, and I know they're not battle tested yet,
- 13:34Speaker 2: but people are gonna look at the fact that they
- 13:36Speaker 2: played Indiana State twice and they didn't have a good
- 13:39Speaker 2: result really either time. They lost on the road to
- 13:43Speaker 2: them by nine. So in the same arena where Alcorred
- 13:46Speaker 2: State pulled off the ups and beat Indiana State, Louisiana
- 13:49Speaker 2: Tech lost the game. And then Louisiana Tech was only
- 13:52Speaker 2: able to beat Indiana State by two at home, so
- 13:54Speaker 2: the zig zag didn't even work and they actually didn't cover.
- 13:57Speaker 2: But alcoord State is literally the worst team here man,
- 14:01Speaker 2: I mean, there's nothing else to really say about that.
- 14:03Speaker 2: Even though I know they're battle tested, they're coming off
- 14:05Speaker 2: that huge upset. I think it's a letdown spot. I
- 14:08Speaker 2: think people if they look at the common opponents that
- 14:10Speaker 2: I just showed you, they gonna like they're gonna put
- 14:14Speaker 2: too much stock into that, and that can.
- 14:16Speaker 1: Mislead them as far as this game is concerned.
- 14:19Speaker 2: And Outward State is another big game up next against yeah,
- 14:23Speaker 2: Iowa State, so it's possible they don't have a full
- 14:26Speaker 2: effort here against Louisiana Tech. Man coming off playing another
- 14:31Speaker 2: double digit favorite.
- 14:32Speaker 1: Now they have to do that again. Looks difficult to me.
- 14:35Speaker 2: Man Louisiana Tech again, Louisiana Tach's just coming off kind
- 14:38Speaker 2: of a lackluster game against that same Indiana State team.
- 14:41Speaker 2: So that common opponent makes this game pretty weird, makes
- 14:46Speaker 2: it an interesting handicap, and it makes it a situation
- 14:49Speaker 2: that I do want to throw onto my card.
- 14:52Speaker 1: There. That's Louisiana Tech minus the points. All right, I
- 14:59Speaker 1: don't know.
- 14:59Speaker 2: I usually talk abo up my Boston teams, but I
- 15:01Speaker 2: don't know. I mean, be U at Northern Kentucky. There's
- 15:03Speaker 2: nothing to really say about that. Northern Kentucky is the
- 15:06Speaker 2: better team, they're the favorite. I don't there's not really
- 15:09Speaker 2: a situation to look at there. We do have a
- 15:11Speaker 2: situation here where I'm gonna lay the points with Texas State.
- 15:14Speaker 2: This is gonna be a play playing number two in
- 15:17Speaker 2: whatever tournament this is. It's one of these early season tournaments.
- 15:20Speaker 2: This is the consolation bracket in the Resorts World Classic.
- 15:25Speaker 2: So this is in Las Vegas, which I think is
- 15:29Speaker 2: actually a worse venue or a worse city to be
- 15:32Speaker 2: playing in for Lehigh because Texas State is at least
- 15:34Speaker 2: closer to Las Vegas, so I don't know, they might
- 15:37Speaker 2: have more fans showing up, but Lehigh is in a
- 15:39Speaker 2: bad spot here.
- 15:40Speaker 1: Dude.
- 15:41Speaker 2: Again, I know it looks almost too obvious to lay
- 15:43Speaker 2: the points with a six and three team against the
- 15:46Speaker 2: two and six team, but look at what Lehi just
- 15:48Speaker 2: did in the previous game. They were ten and a
- 15:50Speaker 2: half point underdogs and they almost pulled off the upset
- 15:52Speaker 2: against UC Santa Barbara, and that's how they got bounced
- 15:55Speaker 2: from this tournament. I mean, that was a huge game
- 15:58Speaker 2: for them.
- 15:59Speaker 1: They they were.
- 16:01Speaker 2: Winning the entire first half of this game pretty much.
- 16:03Speaker 2: They fell behind. They didn't let the game slip away
- 16:07Speaker 2: from them, and they hung in the game for the
- 16:09Speaker 2: entirety of the game and fell just short. And when
- 16:11Speaker 2: a team falls just short as a huge underdog like that,
- 16:15Speaker 2: I want to be against them in the next game.
- 16:17Speaker 1: Man.
- 16:17Speaker 2: They lost on free throws at the end of the
- 16:19Speaker 2: game pretty much. And if you look at what happened
- 16:21Speaker 2: in this game, Santa Barbara had they had a horrible
- 16:24Speaker 2: shooting game. They won the rebound battle, so that kind
- 16:27Speaker 2: of tells you that they outplayed Lehigh, which they did
- 16:29Speaker 2: get the win, but terrible shooting from them thirty eight
- 16:32Speaker 2: percent from the field, seventeen percent from three. That's a
- 16:36Speaker 2: major outlier forty one percent from three for Lehigh. I
- 16:39Speaker 2: don't really expect them to repeat that either.
- 16:41Speaker 1: So I think they're.
- 16:42Speaker 2: Gonna be up against it against this Texas State team
- 16:45Speaker 2: that I thought Texas State was gonna cover yesterday. And
- 16:48Speaker 2: I know they did lose the win streak, so sometimes
- 16:50Speaker 2: that will hang a team over. I know they got
- 16:52Speaker 2: to face an in state opponent next against Rice, but
- 16:57Speaker 2: I don't know that they're really gonna be looking a
- 16:59Speaker 2: head to Rice. I mean, I hasn't really been good
- 17:02Speaker 2: in basketball for I don't know long, a long long time.
- 17:06Speaker 2: Texas State. I think they their last result was a
- 17:10Speaker 2: little bit misleading.
- 17:10Speaker 1: Man.
- 17:11Speaker 2: I thought they were gonna cover this number against Seattle,
- 17:13Speaker 2: and Texas State had a couple of points in the
- 17:17Speaker 2: second half where they just didn't score again man, I
- 17:19Speaker 2: mean they were winning the game at halftime, and then
- 17:22Speaker 2: they had multiple like spans of multiple minutes.
- 17:25Speaker 1: Where they didn't score.
- 17:27Speaker 2: Texas State had won like four minute window where they
- 17:30Speaker 2: didn't score here between eighteen and fourteen minutes left in
- 17:33Speaker 2: the game, and then they had another one where they
- 17:35Speaker 2: did score between eleven minutes and seven minutes. They had
- 17:38Speaker 2: two four minute like time spans in the second half
- 17:42Speaker 2: where they didn't score at all, So they started having
- 17:47Speaker 2: like they're shooting just completely like dry it up in
- 17:49Speaker 2: the second half of this game. Man, it was a
- 17:51Speaker 2: game where I thought they were gonna cover and they
- 17:52Speaker 2: wound up not even doing that and falling way short
- 17:55Speaker 2: of this Seattle team that's not a very good offensive team.
- 17:58Speaker 2: Although Seattle was a seven and a half favorite, but
- 18:01Speaker 2: you look at what happened in this game. Texas State
- 18:02Speaker 2: shot thirty nine percent from the field eighteen percent from three,
- 18:06Speaker 2: so they had a horrendous shooting game, which I expect
- 18:09Speaker 2: there's gonna be some progression back to some sort of
- 18:12Speaker 2: mean here they're gonna shoot better. I would imagine Seattle
- 18:15Speaker 2: shot over fifty percent in the game. Texas State won
- 18:18Speaker 2: the rebounding battle, so that kind of tells you again
- 18:20Speaker 2: that more predictable stat Texas State was better on the
- 18:24Speaker 2: interior than Seattle, and they had the size there to
- 18:27Speaker 2: get that done. So I think Texas State will win
- 18:30Speaker 2: the rebounding battle in this game. I think they will
- 18:33Speaker 2: get the win and I think they will cover this time,
- 18:36Speaker 2: so we don't really see much as far as the
- 18:41Speaker 2: the market.
- 18:42Speaker 1: Read yet on this. They're laying six. It is a
- 18:44Speaker 1: low total.
- 18:44Speaker 2: I know that does warring me a little bit, very
- 18:46Speaker 2: low actually at one thirty three with the money coming
- 18:48Speaker 2: in on the under.
- 18:49Speaker 1: But I mean, six is not a huge.
- 18:52Speaker 2: Number to lay in basketball, so we'll still do it
- 18:55Speaker 2: in that one sometimes can't be afraid, even though I
- 18:59Speaker 2: do like taking points usually with the low totals. The mammoth,
- 19:07Speaker 2: the mammoth play that was one of my plays yesterday.
- 19:10Speaker 2: I'm still not happy about that. I think we both
- 19:14Speaker 2: had it yesterday. I don't know if I would really
- 19:18Speaker 2: go under him this necessarily. I mean, if I think
- 19:20Speaker 2: Texas State is going to cover the I mean, the
- 19:23Speaker 2: total might wind up going over and there's some value
- 19:26Speaker 2: lost there. But yeah, it looks pretty difficult to play
- 19:29Speaker 2: under a total that's that low. But also I wouldn't
- 19:33Speaker 2: do it because Texas State they had such a cold
- 19:35Speaker 2: shooting performance in the last game that made that game
- 19:38Speaker 2: look misleadingly low scoring.
- 19:40Speaker 1: So I don't think I would do that. All right,
- 19:45Speaker 1: What else was I looking at here? Oh? All right,
- 19:47Speaker 1: let's just continue.
- 19:48Speaker 2: Houston Christian at Georgia Southern. This is just one of
- 19:51Speaker 2: those games where it's a misleading record. Like Georgia Southern
- 19:55Speaker 2: at three and five, why are they six and a
- 19:57Speaker 2: half point favorite against Houston Christian four and two? And
- 20:00Speaker 2: I think you know the answer to that is that
- 20:01Speaker 2: Houston Christian they haven't really played strong opponents. I mean,
- 20:06Speaker 2: they have two wins against non Division one teams in
- 20:08Speaker 2: their Division one wins are against Uell Monroe and the Citadel,
- 20:12Speaker 2: and they have a pretty ugly loss to Bellerman in
- 20:15Speaker 2: there too, So Houston Christian the face of very weak schedule,
- 20:18Speaker 2: Georgia Southern is indeed the better team, and they're way
- 20:22Speaker 2: more battle tested. As they played Georgia Tech Florida State.
- 20:26Speaker 2: They played pretty close on the road against ECU as
- 20:29Speaker 2: well East Carolina. I mean, they're not great, but that
- 20:31Speaker 2: was a decent performance for Georgia Southern. And they played
- 20:35Speaker 2: in state big brother Georgia Detector within two points on
- 20:38Speaker 2: the road too, So Georgia Southern is definitely the better
- 20:41Speaker 2: team here. I don't have a whole lot else to
- 20:43Speaker 2: say about it. This isn't a play for me, but
- 20:45Speaker 2: I would lay the points in this one, although they're
- 20:47Speaker 2: down from eight to seven and a half. But I
- 20:50Speaker 2: guess a little bit more value there. But that's just
- 20:52Speaker 2: one of those early season matchups where the records can
- 20:55Speaker 2: mislead you. So USC Upstate North Carolina Upstate is at Nebraska.
- 21:02Speaker 2: I think Nebraska is in kind of a bad spot,
- 21:04Speaker 2: or excuse me, I think Nebraska is not necessarily in
- 21:07Speaker 2: a bad spoty because they came off that Kansas State
- 21:10Speaker 2: win and then they had kind of an explainable bad
- 21:13Speaker 2: performance because Nebraska just beaten Kansas State, which is a
- 21:16Speaker 2: huge win. I think Nebraska won that Kansas City tournament
- 21:20Speaker 2: or whatever, and then they had this lapse as fourteen
- 21:23Speaker 2: and a half point favorites against Winthrop, and Winthrop came
- 21:27Speaker 2: somewhat close to winning this game, man, Winthrop. I mean
- 21:30Speaker 2: Nebraska did get margin later in the game, but Winthrop
- 21:32Speaker 2: refused to go away, and they came back to within
- 21:35Speaker 2: three late in the game, so or five at least
- 21:38Speaker 2: maybe it was.
- 21:39Speaker 1: You know, it was three with one forty five left.
- 21:41Speaker 2: So Nebraska, they're coming off of an escape here, man.
- 21:46Speaker 2: So I would start looking maybe towards laying the points
- 21:48Speaker 2: with Nebraska. The problem is, well, they do have a break,
- 21:51Speaker 2: but their next game is going to be against one
- 21:52Speaker 2: of their biggest rivals, which is Creighton and in state rivals.
- 21:57Speaker 2: So I'm not really jumping out jumping out out of
- 22:00Speaker 2: my seat to lay the points with Nebraska, even though
- 22:02Speaker 2: they are off that lackluster performance. I know they have
- 22:05Speaker 2: a bunch of rests before that Creton game USC Upstate.
- 22:10Speaker 2: I mean, they're not in a terrible spot, and you
- 22:11Speaker 2: gotta think they will at least try to show up
- 22:14Speaker 2: for this game because this is one of the biggest
- 22:17Speaker 2: opponents they're gonna face all season in Nebraska, so probably
- 22:22Speaker 2: they will show up for it at the very least.
- 22:24Speaker 1: So I do have some concerns about it.
- 22:26Speaker 2: Nebraska's up to a twenty five and a half point favorite.
- 22:29Speaker 2: I mean, I would probably lay the points and that
- 22:31Speaker 2: one just because they are in that bounce back spot,
- 22:33Speaker 2: but I don't love it by any means. Yeah, they're
- 22:38Speaker 2: undefeated on Nebraska, but I mean looking at the fact
- 22:42Speaker 2: that a team is undefeated this early in the season
- 22:44Speaker 2: could be pretty misleading. I mean, you got to look
- 22:46Speaker 2: at their schedule. Though Nebraska did have a few good
- 22:49Speaker 2: wins in there against Oklahoma and New Mexico's I mean
- 22:53Speaker 2: New Mexico's probably down this year though, and then Kansas State,
- 22:56Speaker 2: but Kansas State's fairly down as well. So Nebraska, I
- 23:00Speaker 2: mean they've had I wouldn't say they've had the strongest schedule,
- 23:03Speaker 2: but it's it hasn't been a week schedule either. All Right,
- 23:09Speaker 2: next up, I'll give you one massive underdog here and
- 23:12Speaker 2: hopefully they get this done with Tennessee Tech plus the
- 23:15Speaker 2: thirty four and a half and I know we're fading Georgia.
- 23:18Speaker 1: Georgia likes to go really really.
- 23:20Speaker 2: Fast, but again, I think this is gonna be a
- 23:22Speaker 2: situation where they just don't have a reason to do that,
- 23:26Speaker 2: Like they don't want to exert all this energy in
- 23:28Speaker 2: this game, but they have bigger games around this one. Uh, Georgia,
- 23:32Speaker 2: they're coming off their first loss of the season, and
- 23:34Speaker 2: I talk about how that can hang you over into
- 23:36Speaker 2: the next game. It was also in a big game
- 23:38Speaker 2: against Clemson and it was an overtime game on Sunday.
- 23:42Speaker 2: I know they've had a munch of time to rest
- 23:44Speaker 2: from that, but I don't know if that's really gonna
- 23:46Speaker 2: help them.
- 23:46Speaker 1: Man.
- 23:46Speaker 2: I think that's still gonna have a hangover effect. And
- 23:48Speaker 2: then after they play this Tennessee Tech team that they
- 23:51Speaker 2: probably won't pay any attention to.
- 23:52Speaker 1: They do a Florida State after this, so.
- 23:55Speaker 2: That is a much bigger game as well, So it's
- 23:58Speaker 2: kind of a look ahead spot as well. I do
- 24:00Speaker 2: not love the spot for Georgia here at all, and
- 24:05Speaker 2: as far as Tennessee Tech, I mean, I think they'll
- 24:06Speaker 2: show up for the game at least. I mean, they're
- 24:08Speaker 2: not a good team at all, really, and they really
- 24:12Speaker 2: I mean, their wins are mostly against non Division one
- 24:15Speaker 2: teams too, which is pretty bad. They did get one
- 24:18Speaker 2: win against a Division one team in usc Upstate on
- 24:22Speaker 2: the road, which is an alright win. Then they had
- 24:26Speaker 2: a bad game against Kentucky. They got blown out, but
- 24:28Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, it's Kentucky. I mean, I know Kentucky's
- 24:31Speaker 2: kind of a similar style to Georgia and that they
- 24:33Speaker 2: both play fast. But that'll at least mean that Tennessee
- 24:37Speaker 2: Tech is kind of used to this now because they
- 24:39Speaker 2: did just do it once and they won't really be
- 24:41Speaker 2: intimidated by Georgia because Georgia is not quite as good
- 24:44Speaker 2: as Kentucky.
- 24:45Speaker 1: I don't think.
- 24:46Speaker 2: So we got Tennessee Tech here. I don't think Georgia
- 24:49Speaker 2: is really gonna have a reason to really try to
- 24:50Speaker 2: push the tempo to such a degree, Like they don't
- 24:53Speaker 2: need to cover this game. They just need to get
- 24:55Speaker 2: in and get out. So I just don't see them
- 24:56Speaker 2: being that focused on it. The line is up to
- 25:00Speaker 2: thirty five now, it looks like in this one it
- 25:02Speaker 2: is a high total. So yeah, I mean you do
- 25:04Speaker 2: kind of worry about that as far as taking the points.
- 25:06Speaker 2: But this is a lot of points, man, So I
- 25:11Speaker 2: think Tennessee Tech can come within this number. Again, I
- 25:14Speaker 2: just think it's a terrible spot for Georgia. So we're
- 25:17Speaker 2: gonna do that, all right. George Mason could be in
- 25:23Speaker 2: a little bit of a letdown because they did just
- 25:25Speaker 2: win one of these preseason tournaments. They won the Sunshine
- 25:29Speaker 2: Slam Beach Division, beating one of the Florida teams in
- 25:33Speaker 2: Florida Atlantic, and now they're coming off of that. Maybe
- 25:35Speaker 2: a little bit of a let down here. This is
- 25:37Speaker 2: a big game for both teams though. I mean, it's
- 25:39Speaker 2: a Virginia rivalry between between James Madison and George Mason.
- 25:44Speaker 1: It's it's the.
- 25:46Speaker 2: Historical fight between James Madison and George Mason.
- 25:51Speaker 1: It's a duel between the two men.
- 25:53Speaker 2: James Madison a decent team as well, but they've had
- 25:57Speaker 2: kind of a weak schedule though, so that's kind of
- 25:59Speaker 2: the issue with James Madison. George Mason is definitely the
- 26:02Speaker 2: better team, and they are undefeated and undefeated at home,
- 26:05Speaker 2: and James Madison has been pretty bad on the road
- 26:07Speaker 2: at one in three, although George Mason hasn't really faced
- 26:10Speaker 2: a difficult schedule yet either. But George Mason is definitely
- 26:14Speaker 2: gonna be a big favorite in this game. Yeah, they're
- 26:15Speaker 2: up to twelve and a half, eighty six percent of
- 26:17Speaker 2: the tickets, ninety five percent of the cash on them.
- 26:20Speaker 1: Low total at one forty two.
- 26:21Speaker 2: I would probably lean towards taking the points in this
- 26:24Speaker 2: one still, just because George Mason is coming back from
- 26:27Speaker 2: winning that tournament, So maybe a slight letdown a spot there,
- 26:32Speaker 2: but I don't want to do anything with it. Delaware
- 26:35Speaker 2: State and UNBC caught my eye, even though this isn't
- 26:39Speaker 2: a play for me because Delaware State just lost to
- 26:41Speaker 2: a non Division one team and they almost lost to
- 26:44Speaker 2: another one two games before that. But I think that
- 26:47Speaker 2: kind of just means Delaware State's just not good, which
- 26:49Speaker 2: we know they're not they're one of the weakest probably
- 26:53Speaker 2: fifteen or so teams in all Division one, but coming
- 26:56Speaker 2: off a Division two loss like that, which was against
- 26:59Speaker 2: Virginia State.
- 27:00Speaker 1: I think it's who that was.
- 27:01Speaker 2: Yeah, that's that's a pretty ugly loss there, man, So
- 27:04Speaker 2: maybe they will step it up and play better against UNBC.
- 27:08Speaker 2: Although UNBC has been pretty good at home, UNBC is
- 27:12Speaker 2: coming up an easy blowout win over some other non
- 27:15Speaker 2: Division one team. They do potentially have a look ahead
- 27:17Speaker 2: to a Georgetown because that's kind of a I mean,
- 27:20Speaker 2: that's a big East team and it's Georgetown.
- 27:22Speaker 1: They have a lot of history.
- 27:23Speaker 2: But also they're in the same area because that's that Baltimore,
- 27:26Speaker 2: DC area there. So I would probably in towards taking
- 27:31Speaker 2: the points with Delaware State. I don't really want to
- 27:34Speaker 2: do it. It is a very low total though, down
- 27:36Speaker 2: to one thirty six, and unbc's up to a thirteen
- 27:40Speaker 2: and a half point favorite here, so you're getting more
- 27:42Speaker 2: points with Delaware State. They're a real, real ugly team though, man.
- 27:45Speaker 2: But again with the lowts total and a double digit
- 27:48Speaker 2: spread like that, I know I laid one of the
- 27:50Speaker 2: double digit spreads a little while ago, but still I
- 27:54Speaker 2: would probably take the points in that situation, Lipscomb in
- 27:59Speaker 2: Southeast was Zuri State, Semo Lipskimb. I mean they have
- 28:03Speaker 2: a better record than Simo, but I think Semo is
- 28:06Speaker 2: actually I mean, I don't want to say that the
- 28:08Speaker 2: better team because they're not favored by that much at home,
- 28:11Speaker 2: but I mean, I am not really sure.
- 28:13Speaker 1: Man.
- 28:13Speaker 2: I think they're maybe getting short changed on the number
- 28:16Speaker 2: here because they're sitting at two and five. Lipscomb is
- 28:18Speaker 2: three and four, so Lipskumb looks like the better team.
- 28:21Speaker 2: But they're one and four on the road, and Lipscomb
- 28:25Speaker 2: is coming of a blowout win as a a excuse
- 28:28Speaker 2: me as a seven and a half point underdog at Marshall,
- 28:31Speaker 2: So Lipscomb could be in a letdown spot after that. Man,
- 28:34Speaker 2: that was a big win on the road at Marshall,
- 28:38Speaker 2: pulling off an upset like that, and Lipscomb shot crazy
- 28:41Speaker 2: in the game fifty three percent from the field, fifty
- 28:44Speaker 2: percent from three. They actually got out rebound and still
- 28:46Speaker 2: won the game basically because of outlier shooting and Marshall
- 28:50Speaker 2: had like the worst shooting performance they could have thirty
- 28:52Speaker 2: five percent from the field and twenty three percent from three.
- 28:55Speaker 1: So I think Lipscomb. It's kind of a misleading result.
- 28:59Speaker 2: I expect them to to regress in the next game.
- 29:02Speaker 1: Let's let's say so, I do like Cemo in this game.
- 29:07Speaker 2: Plus it looks too easy to take Lipscomb off of
- 29:10Speaker 2: that win like that, and the team with the better
- 29:11Speaker 2: records simo, I mean, they face a fairly difficult schedule.
- 29:14Speaker 1: Man, the face Missouri already, Iowa.
- 29:17Speaker 2: They played pretty competitively against Missouri, losing to Saint Louis
- 29:21Speaker 2: and Saint Thomas. Those are good teams as well. They
- 29:25Speaker 2: lost on the road at Northern Arizona last time out,
- 29:29Speaker 2: so they are kind of a bounced back mode here
- 29:31Speaker 2: coming back home. Last time they were at home, they
- 29:34Speaker 2: did win at least, so their wins have all come
- 29:36Speaker 2: on their home floor at the very least. So I
- 29:39Speaker 2: like Cemo in that one.
- 29:40Speaker 1: It's not a play for me, but.
- 29:43Speaker 2: The money seems to very much agree with that is
- 29:45Speaker 2: it's already flipped Semo from a one and a half
- 29:47Speaker 2: point dog to a three and a half point favorite,
- 29:49Speaker 2: which I think is actually more of a justifiable line
- 29:52Speaker 2: in that one. I actually think they're the slightly better team.
- 29:55Speaker 2: Ninety six percent of the cash on Semo sixty percent
- 29:57Speaker 2: of tickets on Lipscomb, So it looks like a kind
- 30:01Speaker 2: of a pros versus Joe's scenario shaping up there getting
- 30:05Speaker 2: Celthy's Missouri. It basically a Pickham price would have been
- 30:07Speaker 2: a lot better than having to lay three and a half, though,
- 30:09Speaker 2: So I hate how these lines moved so quickly. Man,
- 30:14Speaker 2: let me see about Southeast Missouri. Ken Bum has them
- 30:18Speaker 2: at two twenty three. What does he have Lipscomb at?
- 30:21Speaker 2: He actually has Lipscomb significantly higher, like sixty ranking spots higher.
- 30:25Speaker 1: But I don't know if I buy it, man, Yeah,
- 30:29Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 30:30Speaker 2: I mean I would say that line is a little
- 30:32Speaker 2: bit high though for my like and when you could
- 30:33Speaker 2: have gotten a much better number on that one. I
- 30:36Speaker 2: wasn't gonna give it out as a play. Wasn't gonna
- 30:38Speaker 2: make my card. But it's an interesting one for sure,
- 30:40Speaker 2: And I do still need to Seemo dirty sock.
- 30:43Speaker 1: What's up man? Thanks for hanging out all right? What
- 30:49Speaker 1: other games? I mean? This Drake, Georgia Tech game is interesting.
- 30:52Speaker 1: This is in Florida.
- 30:54Speaker 2: It's interesting because Georgia Tech is a very slight favorite
- 30:57Speaker 2: year only three and a half. The money looks like
- 31:00Speaker 2: it might be coming in that way. Fifty percent of
- 31:02Speaker 2: tickets eighty eight percent of the only three and a half,
- 31:04Speaker 2: fifty percent of tickets eighty eight percent of the cash
- 31:07Speaker 2: on Georgia Tech on the minus three and a half.
- 31:10Speaker 2: I don't know, man, I mean to me, it almost
- 31:11Speaker 2: looks too easy to lay the points, Like you have
- 31:13Speaker 2: an acc team against a Drake team that is probably
- 31:17Speaker 2: down this year because they lost both coaching staffs they
- 31:21Speaker 2: had each of the last two years. They've had a
- 31:23Speaker 2: different coaching staff every year for the last three years
- 31:25Speaker 2: now because they keep doing well and moving on to
- 31:27Speaker 2: bigger things. Drake coming off a pretty difficult loss to
- 31:32Speaker 2: LSU two. They played pretty well against LSU, only losing
- 31:35Speaker 2: by nine, so they're coming off of that too, so well.
- 31:40Speaker 2: I don't know, man, I mean again, it does look
- 31:42Speaker 2: too easy to lay the points with Georgia tack. But
- 31:44Speaker 2: maybe I would still agree with it because you're looking
- 31:47Speaker 2: at uh Drake needing to play tough two games in
- 31:50Speaker 2: a row against two superior opponents, which is difficult, and
- 31:53Speaker 2: Georgia TACH. I mean, they're coming off a Big East opponent.
- 31:56Speaker 2: Bit it was De Paul like the worst of the
- 31:58Speaker 2: Big East and Georgia Tech lost that game pretty ugly
- 32:00Speaker 2: by double digits, so debatably it is a bounce back
- 32:04Speaker 2: for them. Here South Carolina State and Winthrop. I was
- 32:08Speaker 2: close to adding this one to my card Winthrop, as
- 32:10Speaker 2: I just pointed out, I mean, they played really close
- 32:13Speaker 2: with Nebraska. That game was within three in the final
- 32:16Speaker 2: two minutes of the game, so Winthrop put in a
- 32:19Speaker 2: huge effort as a big underdog there.
- 32:21Speaker 1: Now they're gonna have to.
- 32:22Speaker 2: Turn around and play against a very weak South Carolina
- 32:25Speaker 2: State team after that.
- 32:27Speaker 1: Winthrop might be a little bit gassed after that.
- 32:29Speaker 2: I know, we got caught going against Winthrop in the
- 32:31Speaker 2: game after they took Arkansas to the wire, and they
- 32:34Speaker 2: still covered against Jackson State, although Jackson State was within
- 32:38Speaker 2: covering range for a lot of that game. I would
- 32:41Speaker 2: take the points with South Carolina State here, although I
- 32:44Speaker 2: know they're a horrible record here own seven. They face
- 32:47Speaker 2: a few pretty difficult opponents in here. They faced Louisville, Missouri.
- 32:50Speaker 2: I mean even the non Power Conference teams they faced,
- 32:53Speaker 2: a lot of them are pretty good. Samford, Charleston. I
- 32:56Speaker 2: don't think Chattanooga's that bad either. They're coming off a
- 32:59Speaker 2: blow assto Missouri. They're definitely road tests, as he played
- 33:03Speaker 2: a ton of road games here.
- 33:05Speaker 1: Yeah, I think they'll show up for this.
- 33:06Speaker 2: At least Winthrop is gonna try to push the pace
- 33:09Speaker 2: though I think Winthrop is gonna like to play fast
- 33:11Speaker 2: or South Carolina State does not, so maybe a little
- 33:16Speaker 2: bit of a concern there. Winthrop is close to being
- 33:18Speaker 2: in the top one hundred tempo wise. South Carolina State
- 33:21Speaker 2: ken Bomb as in the bottom they actually played fast too.
- 33:24Speaker 1: What am I saying? So? I thought they were a
- 33:26Speaker 1: slope ace team. They're not.
- 33:28Speaker 2: They're just they're just a terrible offense. Ken Bomb has
- 33:31Speaker 2: them in the bottom twenty overall, bottom ten in offense,
- 33:34Speaker 2: which is not great, although he has them unlucky as well.
- 33:38Speaker 2: I would take the points, but I mean I have
- 33:40Speaker 2: some hesitations with it. Winthrop is coming up that huge
- 33:44Speaker 2: game though it is a high total one hundred and
- 33:46Speaker 2: fifty nine. Winthrop is up to a twenty point favorite here. Yeah,
- 33:50Speaker 2: I mean I still think I could only lean one
- 33:53Speaker 2: way there and take the points of South Carolina State,
- 33:56Speaker 2: but it's not on my card. All right, win through
- 34:02Speaker 2: six and one and against the spread that that means
- 34:04Speaker 2: they're gonna regress because like, I mean, the oddsmakers have
- 34:10Speaker 2: to adjust and whatever to account for that. So, like,
- 34:13Speaker 2: teams are never gonna be like that crazy against the
- 34:15Speaker 2: spread for an entire season. Live in Missouri on Monday.
- 34:20Speaker 2: I thought it was already available there. But that's awesome, man,
- 34:22Speaker 2: there you go. You're you're gonna be able to get
- 34:24Speaker 2: to do it. Finally, Howard and Mount Saint Mary's. You
- 34:27Speaker 2: look at these teams records, Howard four and four, Mount
- 34:30Speaker 2: Saint Mary's, one and six Mount Saint Mary's, and it's
- 34:33Speaker 2: like a pickam line, like who's gonna want to take
- 34:35Speaker 2: Mount Saint Mary's here? Well, I'm saying that you should
- 34:39Speaker 2: because Howard. I mean, I know they faced a couple
- 34:42Speaker 2: of big opponents Missouri and Duke, but I'm just not
- 34:45Speaker 2: buying that there's that much of a disparity between these
- 34:47Speaker 2: two teams. The odds makers are telling you that as well.
- 34:51Speaker 2: Mount Saint Mary's, I mean, they face some pretty difficult
- 34:53Speaker 2: opponents as well. They face more Power Conference teams West Virginia, Cincinnati, Maryland,
- 34:58Speaker 2: Ohio State, and they're current of getting blown and out
- 35:00Speaker 2: by Ohio State. So I think they're gonna kind of
- 35:03Speaker 2: bounce back from that and they've only had one home
- 35:05Speaker 2: game all season. I know they took an ugly loss
- 35:07Speaker 2: to buck Nell. Suck Nell. Bucknell is terrible this year.
- 35:11Speaker 2: But Howard is not good either, man. I'm telling you that, Howard.
- 35:15Speaker 2: I mean their wins are against weak opponents. They have
- 35:17Speaker 2: two non Division one wins, a win over Alcorn State,
- 35:22Speaker 2: and their best win was over Niagara, which is not
- 35:25Speaker 2: very impressive. Yeah, this game is a home game, yeah,
- 35:30Speaker 2: for Mount Saint Mary's, I believe, yeah, so, which is
- 35:33Speaker 2: interesting because the Osbekers are still telling you Howard is
- 35:35Speaker 2: a slightly better team, But I would lean towards Mount
- 35:38Speaker 2: Saint Mary's and that one. They're definitely a three point
- 35:40Speaker 2: favorite to a two point favorite though, so the money
- 35:42Speaker 2: seems to be disagreeing with that one. And it's a
- 35:44Speaker 2: low total, but it's in like a pick the winner
- 35:46Speaker 2: price range. You see Santa Barbara and Seattle. I just
- 35:51Speaker 2: talked about this game. Of course, Texas State went just
- 35:54Speaker 2: completely silent from the field in that game, So that
- 35:57Speaker 2: game was a little bit of an outlier.
- 35:59Speaker 1: Like that game was.
- 35:59Speaker 2: Miss let's just say on the final score, and you
- 36:02Speaker 2: see Santa Barbara like they look too good for Seattle
- 36:04Speaker 2: is what I mean. So Seattle's not really as good
- 36:07Speaker 2: as what that looked, and you see Santa Barbara. They're
- 36:11Speaker 2: coming off almost losing as a favorite, so I would
- 36:13Speaker 2: have to lean do you see Santa Barbara in this game?
- 36:17Speaker 2: This one's not in my card either, but the money
- 36:19Speaker 2: is very much agreeing with that is. Seattle's already down
- 36:22Speaker 2: from a six point favorite to a three point favorite. Again,
- 36:25Speaker 2: these linees just get crazy, man. I saw it at
- 36:28Speaker 2: four not that long ago, but yeah, I would take
- 36:30Speaker 2: the points with you see Santa Barbara, but getting less
- 36:33Speaker 2: and less value there with that number.
- 36:36Speaker 1: Nancy, what's up? Thanks for hanging out all right?
- 36:41Speaker 2: I don't even know what other games I was gonna.
- 36:43Speaker 2: I think I have one more play in here somewhere.
- 36:46Speaker 2: We dove another big Buffalo matchup between the University of
- 36:50Speaker 2: Buffalo and Canesius. Canesia is coming off a terrible year
- 36:54Speaker 2: last year, but they look a little bit more competitive
- 36:56Speaker 2: this year, and I think they're gonna try to step
- 36:58Speaker 2: it up for their in city, bigger brother in Buffalo,
- 37:01Speaker 2: So I think canes just will show up in this game.
- 37:05Speaker 1: Buffalo.
- 37:07Speaker 2: Buffalo's not really in a terrible spot though, because they
- 37:10Speaker 2: just had a really ugly game against Bucknell where they probably.
- 37:13Speaker 1: Should have won by more.
- 37:14Speaker 2: That was down in Florida, and buck Nell is pretty bad.
- 37:17Speaker 2: Although Buffalo is not as good as their seven to
- 37:19Speaker 2: zero record looks either. They face Buffalo's facing easy schedule
- 37:23Speaker 2: so far, so I don't think Buffalo's really as good
- 37:26Speaker 2: as they look there. They're up to an eight point favorite.
- 37:29Speaker 2: I would take the points with Canes, just the total
- 37:31Speaker 2: is low as well.
- 37:32Speaker 1: Down to one pint forty.
- 37:33Speaker 2: I don't really want to do it because Buffalo is
- 37:35Speaker 2: coming up that real ugly game, but yeah, I mean,
- 37:39Speaker 2: I still think Canese just will be in the role
- 37:41Speaker 2: of the little brother there, so I think they may
- 37:43Speaker 2: step it up for it.
- 37:45Speaker 1: LSU and DePaul are playing in Florida.
- 37:47Speaker 2: Great Power Conference matchup between LSU and De Paul to
- 37:51Speaker 2: Paul just beat Georgia Tech, but I don't think they're
- 37:53Speaker 2: really not going to show up for a game against LSU.
- 37:57Speaker 2: LSU coming up beating Drake where debatably they should have
- 38:01Speaker 2: won by more. They didn't cover as double digit favorites there.
- 38:05Speaker 2: This is the Emerald Coast Class, like I think this
- 38:07Speaker 2: is actually the championship in this tournament, so I think
- 38:11Speaker 2: both teams will show up for that reason. Yeah, one
- 38:14Speaker 2: of these teams could get the meaningless championship in.
- 38:18Speaker 1: One of these dumb preseason tournaments. Here.
- 38:20Speaker 2: I think it comes down to which team is the
- 38:22Speaker 2: better team, although that is LSU, but the money is
- 38:24Speaker 2: coming in towards DePaul. LSU is a five point favorite,
- 38:28Speaker 2: down from six eighty two percent of tickets on them.
- 38:31Speaker 2: Of course, the public doesn't like DePaul. I mean they've
- 38:33Speaker 2: been really, really bad, like basically a dorm the dormat
- 38:37Speaker 2: of the Big East for a while, though LSU was
- 38:39Speaker 2: one of the dormats in the SEC last year, though
- 38:42Speaker 2: better conference. Seventy five percent of tickets are on to Paul,
- 38:45Speaker 2: so the money is saying to Paul. I mean, I
- 38:48Speaker 2: don't really have a reason to disagree with what the
- 38:51Speaker 2: money is doing in that one, so I will say that,
- 38:54Speaker 2: and then I think that is Oh no, I have
- 38:57Speaker 2: one more play, which is in okay back, We're gonna
- 39:01Speaker 2: go up to Canada for this last game, and we're
- 39:03Speaker 2: gonna lay the points with Fordham. Even though I know
- 39:05Speaker 2: this line looks like it might be a little bit
- 39:09Speaker 2: too high, but I do like the spot.
- 39:12Speaker 1: It's actually you can probably get.
- 39:13Speaker 2: Six now or maybe five and a half, so I might.
- 39:16Speaker 2: I'll update that in the description off that's the case.
- 39:18Speaker 2: I know, again we're laying points in a game with
- 39:20Speaker 2: the low total here, but the spot I think sets
- 39:22Speaker 2: up really nicely for this. Fordham is coming off barely
- 39:26Speaker 2: beating Franklin Pierce, who is some non Division one team.
- 39:31Speaker 1: Fordham I presume.
- 39:32Speaker 2: Was a substantial favorite in this game, or would have
- 39:35Speaker 2: been if it was lined. I don't know how they
- 39:37Speaker 2: came close to losing this game, really just weird things
- 39:41Speaker 2: happening up in Quebec, I guess, but I think coming
- 39:44Speaker 2: off such a lackluster performance, I think they're gonna be
- 39:47Speaker 2: focused on this next game, even though I guess you
- 39:50Speaker 2: could argue it's an in state big brother little brother situation,
- 39:53Speaker 2: but I don't know, because Albany is obviously in Albany,
- 39:56Speaker 2: Fordham is in New York City and the Bronx, so
- 39:59Speaker 2: I don't know. Does Albany really have that thing with Fordham?
- 40:02Speaker 2: I don't really know. I know it looks too easy
- 40:06Speaker 2: to lay the points again because Fordham has the better record,
- 40:09Speaker 2: but they are definitely the better team as well, And
- 40:11Speaker 2: this is about the spot man and Albany they're coming
- 40:14Speaker 2: up pushing Colgate to the brink. Man and Colgate were
- 40:17Speaker 2: seven and a half point favorites in this game and
- 40:19Speaker 2: all but he almost pulled off the upset. And that
- 40:21Speaker 2: was in the first round of this tournament. So Albany
- 40:24Speaker 2: could have had this pretty good win for their program,
- 40:26Speaker 2: and they were winning this game for a lot of
- 40:29Speaker 2: the game, right through the middle stretch of the game,
- 40:31Speaker 2: and they fell just short by the end of it.
- 40:36Speaker 1: Not really any shooting.
- 40:37Speaker 2: Percentage outliers to look at in this game, really, but
- 40:39Speaker 2: Albany did push Colgate to the limit there. Colgate is
- 40:42Speaker 2: a little bit down though, as far as like the
- 40:45Speaker 2: Patriot Patriot.
- 40:46Speaker 1: League is bad anyway.
- 40:47Speaker 2: Colgate had like dominated that conference for a while, but
- 40:50Speaker 2: they're not really as good now. I wouldn't say anythink Fordham.
- 40:56Speaker 1: I'm not convinced that.
- 40:57Speaker 2: I mean, I guess the Osburgers are telling you Colgate
- 40:59Speaker 2: is actually better than four, But I'm not convinced that
- 41:01Speaker 2: there's that much of a difference between those two teams
- 41:03Speaker 2: as far as which one is better than the other.
- 41:05Speaker 2: But yeah, we're gonna go with Fordham in this one.
- 41:07Speaker 1: Man.
- 41:08Speaker 2: Both teams do like to play slow, I believe, which
- 41:10Speaker 2: I don't love exactly. But Fordham plays exorbitantly slow, which
- 41:15Speaker 2: can frustrate teams that don't like to play as slow.
- 41:17Speaker 1: All but he plays slow, but not as slow as that.
- 41:20Speaker 2: Although I don't think they're gonna be completely thrown out
- 41:22Speaker 2: of what they want to do. But again, I think
- 41:24Speaker 2: Fordham can frustrate them. I think Fordham can get that
- 41:27Speaker 2: one done. Franklin Pierce was forgettable.
- 41:31Speaker 1: He was the most handsome president. Man, what are you
- 41:35Speaker 1: talking about? And I think he was the only one who.
- 41:37Speaker 2: Didn't marry because he was gay. Probably he was also
- 41:42Speaker 2: from New Hampshire. I think a bend to like some
- 41:46Speaker 2: of the Franklin Pierce.
- 41:49Speaker 1: Like whatever.
- 41:49Speaker 2: There are the Franklin Pierce House, whatever they have there.
- 41:52Speaker 2: Mark Lawrence likes Florida State and Arkansas State and college
- 41:56Speaker 2: I agree with Florida State and I don't. I think
- 41:57Speaker 2: I disagreed with Arkansas State. All right, Yeah, I think
- 42:04Speaker 2: that was it for college basketball. Let's go to hockey. Yeah,
- 42:10Speaker 2: maybe this won't be a two hour video. Hell yeah,
- 42:13Speaker 2: hockey again. We have so many games today, man, and
- 42:16Speaker 2: almost all of these games, every game except for Edmonton Seattle.
- 42:20Speaker 2: I believe involved teams that played yesterday, because I think
- 42:23Speaker 2: every team literally played yesterday except Edmonton and Seattle, which
- 42:27Speaker 2: is ridiculous.
- 42:28Speaker 1: Tampa Bay is at New York, of course, both teams.
- 42:32Speaker 2: I believe both teams are coming off wins yesterday, the
- 42:34Speaker 2: Rangers beating my Bruins, and now they're having to come
- 42:37Speaker 2: back home. It's only a trip from Boston and New York,
- 42:40Speaker 2: though not really a big deal. I think they will
- 42:42Speaker 2: show up for a game against Tampa although they did
- 42:45Speaker 2: just go into Tampa Bay and smack them seven to
- 42:47Speaker 2: three back on November twelfth, which I forget if that
- 42:50Speaker 2: was a win here on the show or not, because
- 42:52Speaker 2: I know I have played the Rangers a lot as
- 42:54Speaker 2: a road team. They're good on the road, but you
- 42:56Speaker 2: know what I say, they suck ass at home seven
- 43:00Speaker 2: and one at home, and Tampa Bay has been excellent
- 43:02Speaker 2: on the road seven to two and two on the road.
- 43:05Speaker 1: So yeah, I don't.
- 43:07Speaker 2: Know, man, even though I expect the Rangers will at
- 43:10Speaker 2: least show up here, but I don't know. I don't
- 43:13Speaker 2: want to play the Rangers at home, that's for sure,
- 43:16Speaker 2: until something changes. At least Tampa's on fire right now.
- 43:19Speaker 2: They won six games in a row, which might mean
- 43:21Speaker 2: you're not really getting value with them. And yeah, they're
- 43:23Speaker 2: having to travel a little bit more than the Rangers
- 43:25Speaker 2: are from Detroit to New York.
- 43:27Speaker 1: But yeah, I don't know.
- 43:29Speaker 2: I mean, I think Tampa might get up for this
- 43:31Speaker 2: because again, they got embarrassed at home by the Rangers
- 43:33Speaker 2: not that long ago, so there is kind of a
- 43:35Speaker 2: quick revenge.
- 43:36Speaker 1: Aspect to this. Money's coming in on the Rangers.
- 43:40Speaker 2: I might slightly disagree with that fifty six percent of
- 43:43Speaker 2: the tickets, seventy four percent of the cash on the Rangers,
- 43:47Speaker 2: there were minus one fifteen favorite here. I would probably
- 43:50Speaker 2: look towards Tampa Bay as the underdog, though again I
- 43:53Speaker 2: just I don't like the Rangers at home until they
- 43:56Speaker 2: show us that they can actually win at home, and
- 43:59Speaker 2: their wins at home right now are against Nashville and
- 44:03Speaker 2: Saint Louis, and I don't know, I'm still pissed about
- 44:06Speaker 2: that loss.
- 44:06Speaker 1: Saint Louis definitely could have won that game.
- 44:09Speaker 2: So not impressive, very very unimpressive at home. Yeah, I
- 44:14Speaker 2: don't know, man unders in Tampa, New York. I would
- 44:18Speaker 2: like never play an under in a Tampa Bay Lightning game.
- 44:22Speaker 2: I don't really trust their goaltending and they're a more
- 44:24Speaker 2: offensive oriented team. It's a high total at six and
- 44:28Speaker 2: a half, and I think it's high for a reason.
- 44:30Speaker 2: Even though the cash looks like it might be coming
- 44:32Speaker 2: in on the under, I would not play an under
- 44:34Speaker 2: in that game.
- 44:36Speaker 1: Montreal at Colorado.
- 44:38Speaker 2: One of you guys last night mentioned that you wanted
- 44:40Speaker 2: to fade Colorado off of losing along win streak, which
- 44:44Speaker 2: normally I would say that, Yeah, that is an angle
- 44:46Speaker 2: when you lose along win streak. Colorado hadn't lost for
- 44:49Speaker 2: like almost a month, so I get that it can
- 44:51Speaker 2: result in a hangover spot.
- 44:53Speaker 1: And yeah, they're traveling back home from Minnesota.
- 44:55Speaker 2: But I don't know, man, I think the spot is
- 44:59Speaker 2: is really bad from Montreal though, like I've seen, there's
- 45:03Speaker 2: no way that you can play Montreal in this game.
- 45:05Speaker 1: In my opinion. Montreal's flying into elevation from.
- 45:08Speaker 2: Vegas, and they just beat Vegas yesterday. They're playing a
- 45:11Speaker 2: third game in four d's now, all in different cities.
- 45:14Speaker 2: I don't see it, man. The road trip has already
- 45:16Speaker 2: been a success. Yeah, I mean, ideally they're gonna want
- 45:19Speaker 2: to show up and play against Colorado, but I don't know,
- 45:22Speaker 2: I think Colorado wins this one, and the money is
- 45:24Speaker 2: agreeing with it fifty percent to take a seventy seven
- 45:27Speaker 2: percent of the cash on them, They're all the way
- 45:29Speaker 2: up to minus two fifty favorite.
- 45:32Speaker 1: I mean, if you were gonna play the game.
- 45:34Speaker 2: I am not really that tempted to like lay a
- 45:36Speaker 2: puck line with Colorado though in that situation, although I
- 45:39Speaker 2: think Montreal is in a bad spot, maybe you could
- 45:41Speaker 2: look to like Colorado to go over their team total
- 45:44Speaker 2: might be the way to go in that one. But yeah,
- 45:47Speaker 2: I don't really see them losing that game. You're gonna
- 45:51Speaker 2: be at the AVS game, that's right, Yeah, have fun, man,
- 45:53Speaker 2: it should be a crazy environment. There should be good
- 45:58Speaker 2: you're gonna put money on it just the have interest
- 46:01Speaker 2: in the game. I've had some bets on games that
- 46:05Speaker 2: I've attended before as well, and it's I don't know,
- 46:07Speaker 2: it becomes nerve wracking because a lot of times, like
- 46:10Speaker 2: if I just have a bet on a game that
- 46:11Speaker 2: I'm not attending, I don't have to watch the game,
- 46:14Speaker 2: so you know, it reduces my anxiety by not watching it.
- 46:18Speaker 2: But then if I actually am at the game, I'm
- 46:20Speaker 2: watching the game. Edmonton at Seattle. Like I said, both
- 46:24Speaker 2: teams did not play yesterday, so they're like the only teams.
- 46:27Speaker 1: That have rest, but they both have rest now.
- 46:29Speaker 2: Seattle, they returned home in their last game against Dallas
- 46:32Speaker 2: and they took the loss. But I do talk about
- 46:34Speaker 2: how teams do tend to do better in the second
- 46:37Speaker 2: game back home if they take the loss in the
- 46:39Speaker 2: first game, because it's kind of a distraction spot. I
- 46:42Speaker 2: don't really think they were distracted. I mean, they played
- 46:44Speaker 2: fine against Dallas, lost three to two, but multiple days off.
- 46:48Speaker 2: Now they get whatever they need to do back done
- 46:50Speaker 2: at home, eat some turkeys, celebrate Thanksgiving. I expect Seattle
- 46:54Speaker 2: to show up against Edmonton here. For Edmonton, I know
- 46:59Speaker 2: they've looked not great so far man and they're only
- 47:01Speaker 2: sitting at five hundred minus the overtime losses. But they
- 47:05Speaker 2: also just faced Dallas and they looked way worse in
- 47:08Speaker 2: doing so, and that was a return home spot for Edmonton.
- 47:10Speaker 1: That was a win.
- 47:11Speaker 2: Here on the show, I talked about it how Edmonton
- 47:14Speaker 2: was gonna have to do that, and then I forgot
- 47:16Speaker 2: They're also just gonna have to be focused on Thanksgiving
- 47:19Speaker 2: while they were home as well. So that was a
- 47:20Speaker 2: really bad spot. A single game back home before they
- 47:24Speaker 2: have to go back out on the road, very bad spot.
- 47:26Speaker 1: And Edmonton took the loss.
- 47:27Speaker 2: But I think that's gonna tempt some people to take
- 47:30Speaker 2: Seattle in this game because Edmonton, I mean, they might
- 47:33Speaker 2: have lost a little bit of their luster with how
- 47:36Speaker 2: bad they've been playing recently. People are gonna see, oh,
- 47:38Speaker 2: Seattle only lost to Dallas by one. Edmonton got crushed
- 47:42Speaker 2: by Dallas, so and Seattle has the better record right now.
- 47:44Speaker 2: So I actually think the public is not really gonna
- 47:46Speaker 2: be on Edmonton in this game.
- 47:48Speaker 1: The money is coming in towards Seattle.
- 47:51Speaker 2: Though it looks like Edmonton down for minus one sixty
- 47:53Speaker 2: five to minus one fifty four, fifty eight percent of tickets,
- 47:56Speaker 2: only fifty one percent of the cash on Edmonton, so
- 47:59Speaker 2: the money is coming in against Edmonton.
- 48:01Speaker 1: I I kind of lean towards Edmonton here.
- 48:07Speaker 2: Edmonton did already lose at Seattle early this year too,
- 48:09Speaker 2: so if you take that into account, I don't know
- 48:11Speaker 2: how much weight to really put into that, but there
- 48:13Speaker 2: is maybe a little bit extra motivation for an in
- 48:16Speaker 2: season revenge angle from earlier in the season. Yeah, I mean,
- 48:20Speaker 2: I think the common opponent thing kind of leads me
- 48:22Speaker 2: towards Edmonton. And also the fact that you look at
- 48:24Speaker 2: the team's records, like, how could Edmonton be a road
- 48:28Speaker 2: favorite here when the records are so much different? Right,
- 48:30Speaker 2: Like Seattle looks like they're the way better team. The
- 48:32Speaker 2: osmakers are telling you they're not. So that's another reason
- 48:35Speaker 2: why I would kind of lean towards Edmonton there. I
- 48:37Speaker 2: don't love it by any means though. My Boston Bruins
- 48:41Speaker 2: get Detroit here. The good thing for the Bruins is
- 48:43Speaker 2: they're not traveling, so they're staying at home and they
- 48:46Speaker 2: did just take an ugly loss yesterday and that was
- 48:48Speaker 2: with Corps Salo and Net the corpse so swam and
- 48:52Speaker 2: we'll be.
- 48:53Speaker 1: Back in Net here, so that's good.
- 48:55Speaker 2: The Bruins will have their better goalie in net and
- 48:57Speaker 2: he'll be rested coming into this game.
- 48:59Speaker 1: So there are some advantages for the Bruins here.
- 49:02Speaker 2: Detroit is coming in from playing at home, so they're
- 49:05Speaker 2: having to come in from Detroit with no time off.
- 49:08Speaker 2: Although they lost ugly yesterday too, though they've had multiple
- 49:12Speaker 2: ugly losses in a row. I mean, the Nashville lost
- 49:14Speaker 2: six to three was even uglier than losing six to three.
- 49:17Speaker 2: It's Tampa because Tampa is legitimately good.
- 49:21Speaker 1: Overall, though I do see more advantages for the Bruins.
- 49:24Speaker 2: It looks like you will get Talbot back in net
- 49:26Speaker 2: for Detroit, though who I guess is there better goalie
- 49:29Speaker 2: at this point, I don't know the money's coming in
- 49:31Speaker 2: on Detroit. They are a road favorite at minus one thirty.
- 49:34Speaker 2: I agree that the better team, but I don't know.
- 49:36Speaker 2: To me, the fact that the Bruins aren't traveling. It
- 49:39Speaker 2: was just a gross loss at home and was swimming
- 49:42Speaker 2: back in net like kind of lean towards the Bruins
- 49:44Speaker 2: as the home underdog here, but seventy four percent of
- 49:47Speaker 2: tickets and only sixty percent of the cash, making it
- 49:49Speaker 2: look like a public home underdog. I don't want any
- 49:52Speaker 2: part of that. So, yeah, that's not going to be
- 49:55Speaker 2: a play for me at all. Who's playing Detroit on
- 50:01Speaker 2: Tuesday the Bruins. Yeah, the Bruins are playing Detroit twice,
- 50:04Speaker 2: so there might be like a zig zag component coming
- 50:07Speaker 2: into playing the second game, like which I look for.
- 50:09Speaker 2: If the first result is like a major outlier one
- 50:13Speaker 2: way or the other, it makes more sense to try
- 50:15Speaker 2: to zag in the next game. On the zig It's
- 50:19Speaker 2: better to zigzag with Gonzaga and then you can zag
- 50:22Speaker 2: with the Zags. Philadelphia and New Jersey. As I've mentioned,
- 50:26Speaker 2: both these teams don't like each other. I leaned against
- 50:29Speaker 2: both teams yesterday and they both won. Anyway, New Jersey
- 50:33Speaker 2: won five to nothing in Buffalo. I don't know how,
- 50:36Speaker 2: but whatever. I mean, maybe they looked a little bit
- 50:39Speaker 2: too good in that game. I haven't really looked at
- 50:40Speaker 2: the box score yet, which I probably should because this
- 50:43Speaker 2: involves the team that is involved in my other game.
- 50:46Speaker 2: Look at this game, Buffalo, like, I mean, they outshot
- 50:49Speaker 2: New Jersey forty two to twenty three in the game,
- 50:51Speaker 2: out hit them, and New Jersey didn't win the face
- 50:53Speaker 2: off battle, and yeah, I know, when you're losing by
- 50:55Speaker 2: this much, yeah you're gonna start flinging up desperation shots.
- 50:58Speaker 2: But they were only down two nothing into the third period,
- 51:01Speaker 2: so I don't know if that was really the case.
- 51:03Speaker 2: It looks like by some metrics Buffalo did outplay New
- 51:06Speaker 2: Jersey in this game, and I think it all a
- 51:09Speaker 2: lot of it probably came down to some of the
- 51:10Speaker 2: defense and the golt and he just lapsing for Buffalo there.
- 51:15Speaker 2: So New Jersey probably not as good as they looked
- 51:17Speaker 2: in that game. Now they're coming back home after playing
- 51:20Speaker 2: in Buffalo. Philadelphia. Yesterday was in New York and they
- 51:25Speaker 2: got the win. Unfortunately, because that was a play for
- 51:28Speaker 2: me on the Islanders yesterday. That was also with Erson
- 51:31Speaker 2: and that who has not been as good, let's just
- 51:33Speaker 2: say so, that made it even more of a situation
- 51:36Speaker 2: where the Islanders made sense and we still lost that game.
- 51:40Speaker 2: Now Philadelphia is coming off that winning in overtime on
- 51:42Speaker 2: the road. They're playing a third game in four days,
- 51:44Speaker 2: fourth game in six days, fifth game in eight days,
- 51:47Speaker 2: all in different cities, and they already beat New Jersey
- 51:49Speaker 2: six to three to start that run of games. So
- 51:54Speaker 2: I do think the spot sets up better for New Jersey, man.
- 51:56Speaker 2: I mean, the game yesterday required less f for them
- 52:00Speaker 2: to get buy Buffalo there, they haven't had as much travel,
- 52:04Speaker 2: Like basically, they had that one game on the road
- 52:06Speaker 2: in Buffalo and they've been back home otherwise.
- 52:08Speaker 1: The money is.
- 52:09Speaker 2: Completely coming in against New Jersey. But I just don't
- 52:11Speaker 2: really see the angle. Uh, sixty five percent of tickets,
- 52:14Speaker 2: fifty one percent of the cash on them, they're down
- 52:17Speaker 2: for minus wim fifty five to minus one thirty seven,
- 52:19Speaker 2: but I somewhat lean to New Jersey.
- 52:21Speaker 1: In that game.
- 52:22Speaker 2: Certainly not to play for me though, and I do
- 52:24Speaker 2: not like fading the market. But we'll see in those
- 52:27Speaker 2: games that I'm completely bucking the market.
- 52:29Speaker 1: We'll see how I do.
- 52:31Speaker 2: I mean, I did it in the NBA last night
- 52:33Speaker 2: and got the win with the magic, So there you go.
- 52:36Speaker 2: I win on every single game involving the Detroit Pistons.
- 52:39Speaker 2: So yeah, I agreed with Buffalo in that one. I
- 52:43Speaker 2: thought it was the right side, and that one I
- 52:44Speaker 2: didn't add it to my card, but I think they
- 52:48Speaker 2: they at least shouldn't have lost by as much as
- 52:50Speaker 2: they did. What's the left wing lock? New Jersey is
- 52:56Speaker 2: still without Jack Hughes. By the way, I'm pretty sure
- 52:59Speaker 2: Toronto and Pits. We had Toronto in one of their
- 53:02Speaker 2: games recently here on the show. They got us a
- 53:04Speaker 2: win in a close game that was against Columbus. Then
- 53:07Speaker 2: they had a loss to Washington yesterday, and now they're
- 53:10Speaker 2: playing a third game in four days, all in different cities.
- 53:13Speaker 1: Not exactly the easiest spot.
- 53:15Speaker 2: They do have Florida and Carolina in Montreal up next
- 53:18Speaker 2: to so do they overlook Pittsburgh. I don't know, maybe,
- 53:21Speaker 2: I mean, they beat Pittsburgh earlier this year. Pittsburgh starting
- 53:24Speaker 2: to fade a little bit, I think, I mean, I
- 53:27Speaker 2: don't think they're as good as their record looks at
- 53:29Speaker 2: the very least, although we did get that win with
- 53:31Speaker 2: Pittsburgh on the show against Buffalo. I believe Pittsburgh won
- 53:35Speaker 2: again yesterday in Columbus, and now they're coming back home.
- 53:38Speaker 2: The travel spot is better, I mean, having that one
- 53:41Speaker 2: road game, like that's the only time they've been on
- 53:43Speaker 2: the road since they came back from Sweden. So the
- 53:46Speaker 2: travel spot does actually set up better for Pittsburgh in
- 53:50Speaker 2: this one as well. Yeah, I'll lean slightly to Pittsburgh
- 53:53Speaker 2: in this one. Again, the money seems to not agree,
- 53:56Speaker 2: although these market percentages might shift by the time the
- 53:59Speaker 2: games have and sixty percent of tickets eighty seven percent
- 54:02Speaker 2: of the cash on Toronto, Pittsburgh has flipped to a
- 54:05Speaker 2: minus one oh seven favorite though, And I think if
- 54:07Speaker 2: you're looking at Pittsburgh, you are at least fading the
- 54:09Speaker 2: public there. But again, one of the problems that I
- 54:12Speaker 2: have with it is also that Pittsburgh, I mean, I
- 54:15Speaker 2: don't think it's that strong of a situation, but also Pittsburgh,
- 54:18Speaker 2: they're not as good as their record looks, and Toronto
- 54:20Speaker 2: is probably better than the record looks, and they do
- 54:24Speaker 2: have Matthews back now, so a lot of things kind
- 54:27Speaker 2: of going on in that game. No, the market does
- 54:31Speaker 2: not trump every other situation. There might be some things
- 54:34Speaker 2: that I see that the that the majority of betters
- 54:38Speaker 2: just are overlooking or something like that. No, like when
- 54:41Speaker 2: I when I fade the market read based on like
- 54:44Speaker 2: a strong situation, I think I win more often than
- 54:46Speaker 2: I lose, and the market read, I mean, you can't
- 54:50Speaker 2: put that much weight into it when you don't even
- 54:51Speaker 2: know like what these percentages mean. Yet, like, especially in
- 54:54Speaker 2: college basketball and hockey, these percentages could completely shift by
- 54:58Speaker 2: the time the game actually happen, and so you cannot
- 55:02Speaker 2: like put too much weight into that.
- 55:04Speaker 1: Although I try to use it to.
- 55:05Speaker 2: Gauge what I'm doing and like use it as a
- 55:08Speaker 2: like I try to read what's going on with the market,
- 55:11Speaker 2: but a lot of those like reads.
- 55:13Speaker 1: Are gonna shift.
- 55:13Speaker 2: And but like basically I'm looking later in the day
- 55:16Speaker 2: and hoping the market comes into agreement with me pretty much,
- 55:19Speaker 2: which seems to me the case more often than it's
- 55:21Speaker 2: not so I think that is because I am reliant
- 55:25Speaker 2: on the situation Winnipeg and Nashville.
- 55:28Speaker 1: Winnipeg, I mean.
- 55:29Speaker 2: They're really starting to tail off without Hello book Man.
- 55:31Speaker 2: I mean, he's the best goalie in hockey. Winnipeg. They've
- 55:34Speaker 2: only won one game since he went down. I think
- 55:37Speaker 2: they've been bad four game loss string, although granted they
- 55:40Speaker 2: did lose twice to Carolina, so I mean Carolina is
- 55:43Speaker 2: very good. Winnipeg did just take an ugly five to
- 55:46Speaker 2: one loss to that Carolina team yesterday, and now they're going
- 55:49Speaker 2: to Nashville.
- 55:50Speaker 1: Could be a bit of a bounceback spot for Winnipeg.
- 55:52Speaker 2: Here this Nashville team, you know, I keep saying their ass,
- 55:56Speaker 2: even though last year I kept saying they're not as
- 55:58Speaker 2: bad as their record looks, because that's what the odds
- 56:00Speaker 2: makers are telling you, and they just kept losing, and
- 56:02Speaker 2: I'm like, well, fuck these guys. Nashville is coming up
- 56:06Speaker 2: a game they won against Chicago yesterday, beat Detroit two
- 56:09Speaker 2: days prior to that. So third game of four days,
- 56:11Speaker 2: all in different cities. Big win over Detroit. And I
- 56:14Speaker 2: told you Nationville in Chicago they really don't like each other.
- 56:17Speaker 2: So that was a pretty big win for Nashville yesterday too,
- 56:20Speaker 2: coming back home. I know it was a short trip,
- 56:22Speaker 2: but I think I would have to lean to winn
- 56:25Speaker 2: a peg in this game. The money agrees with this
- 56:28Speaker 2: one pretty substantially. They're up for minus one twenty minus
- 56:30Speaker 2: one twenty four seventy two percent of the cash on them,
- 56:33Speaker 2: sixty four percent of the tickets on Nashville. So at
- 56:37Speaker 2: least as far as the market read right now, it
- 56:38Speaker 2: looks like it is in agreement with me. And that's
- 56:41Speaker 2: a market read that's very very like when you see
- 56:43Speaker 2: the percentages on complete opposite sides like that, I think
- 56:46Speaker 2: it's less likely that it's going to change like drastically
- 56:50Speaker 2: by the time the game happens. So I think the
- 56:52Speaker 2: money is probably going to agree wind up agreeing with
- 56:54Speaker 2: me on that one.
- 56:58Speaker 1: Money knows fixes in the inside.
- 56:59Speaker 2: And but yeah, I know, but the the percentages that
- 57:02Speaker 2: you see here aren't necessarily reflective of what's really going on.
- 57:07Speaker 2: So you have to like figure out, like how do
- 57:09Speaker 2: you read these Like what do these percentages mean? Is
- 57:12Speaker 2: like a huge deal because they could mean something that
- 57:14Speaker 2: they that like they could look one way but means
- 57:18Speaker 2: something completely different. And then like I said, like, I
- 57:21Speaker 2: look for strong situations, and I think that Trump's it
- 57:24Speaker 2: every single time. Like I ideally I want the market
- 57:27Speaker 2: to agree with me on my plays, but sometimes it
- 57:30Speaker 2: won't and that's just the way that it is. And
- 57:33Speaker 2: I think I win more of those than I lose.
- 57:36Speaker 2: Utah at Saint Louis.
- 57:40Speaker 1: Utah.
- 57:40Speaker 2: I mean, they played yesterday, took a difficult loss, and
- 57:43Speaker 2: we don't want to talk about it. Against Dallas, they
- 57:46Speaker 2: could have had that game. It was Vanachek and net
- 57:48Speaker 2: for them, which I thought it would be. I just
- 57:50Speaker 2: didn't care that much which goalie was gonna be in
- 57:52Speaker 2: net for Utah. Now they got to go to Saint
- 57:55Speaker 2: Louis off of that tough game against Dallas. Might be difficult,
- 57:59Speaker 2: difficult spot there. Saint Louis is staying at home and
- 58:02Speaker 2: it's their second game back home from a road trip.
- 58:04Speaker 2: They did win the first game back home, but that
- 58:07Speaker 2: doesn't necessarily mean the next game is going to be
- 58:09Speaker 2: a negative spot. I just think it's more of a
- 58:11Speaker 2: positive spot if they lost the first game at home
- 58:13Speaker 2: and then they get to bounce back from it. But
- 58:16Speaker 2: I still think they will show up and the spot
- 58:18Speaker 2: sets up better for them again because they're not having
- 58:20Speaker 2: to travel, and Utah had that difficult game yesterday, so
- 58:24Speaker 2: I leaned to Saint Louis in this one. Utah did
- 58:26Speaker 2: flip from plus one on one to minus one oh
- 58:28Speaker 2: nine sixty percent of the ticket seventy one percent of
- 58:31Speaker 2: the cash on the Blues. I'll agree with the cash
- 58:34Speaker 2: percentage that we see on that one right now. I'll
- 58:36Speaker 2: agree with the Blues in that one.
- 58:39Speaker 1: Hartford Whalers.
- 58:40Speaker 2: I never went to a Hartford Whalers game, unfortunately. The
- 58:46Speaker 2: I think the only the only NHL games I've ever
- 58:48Speaker 2: been to have been Bruins games.
- 58:51Speaker 1: Only been to the ones in Boston.
- 58:53Speaker 2: The only sport where I've been to where I've been
- 58:55Speaker 2: to row like multiple different stadiums is baseball.
- 58:58Speaker 1: I don't think I've done it in any of.
- 59:00Speaker 2: The other sports for whatever reason, although that is kind
- 59:04Speaker 2: of the thing, like because the baseball parks are more unique,
- 59:06Speaker 2: so you want to go visit some of those, although
- 59:08Speaker 2: I haven't done too many of those either. I've only
- 59:10Speaker 2: been to I think five of them.
- 59:12Speaker 1: I forget.
- 59:13Speaker 2: But yeah, all right, Daneen the captain.
- 59:21Speaker 1: I'm gonna be the captain. Now here's my one, my one.
- 59:25Speaker 2: Hockey play here is coming up here. You already know
- 59:28Speaker 2: what it is. I mean, I already alluded to it.
- 59:30Speaker 2: It is Buffalo on the money line. We're gonna do it.
- 59:33Speaker 2: We're gonna fade Minnesota. I mean, Minnesota is coming up
- 59:36Speaker 2: a huge win yesterday against Colorado in a shootout. They've
- 59:41Speaker 2: now played two games into overtime in a.
- 59:43Speaker 1: Row in the last couple of days.
- 59:45Speaker 2: They're playing a third game in four days. I know
- 59:47Speaker 2: they're staying at home here, but they just beat Colorado
- 59:49Speaker 2: in a shootout. Man, I mean, I think this is
- 59:53Speaker 2: this game looks like it has let down written all
- 59:55Speaker 2: over it. And they have to go out and play
- 59:56Speaker 2: Edmonton on Tuesday. So I think it's a sandwich spot.
- 1:00:00Speaker 2: It will be guss Offsen back in net here.
- 1:00:02Speaker 1: Most likely.
- 1:00:03Speaker 2: They've been alternating between him and Wallstead, so it's not
- 1:00:06Speaker 2: like one is like that much greater than the other.
- 1:00:09Speaker 2: And I do think Minnesota's reached a point just like
- 1:00:11Speaker 2: last year, where I think they're not quite as good
- 1:00:13Speaker 2: as their record looks. I mean, yeah, they've had some
- 1:00:16Speaker 2: good wins in this recent run, but I think this
- 1:00:18Speaker 2: is a spot where they get caught.
- 1:00:19Speaker 1: Man. Buffalo is having to travel I know, but for Buffalo.
- 1:00:26Speaker 2: They're starting a row. Well, they're not starting a road trip.
- 1:00:28Speaker 2: It's a single game road trip, and I know sometimes
- 1:00:30Speaker 2: that's a little bit tricky, but I think it's good
- 1:00:33Speaker 2: for them to just get out of home because they
- 1:00:35Speaker 2: just lost five to nothing at home in New Jersey yesterday,
- 1:00:38Speaker 2: so I think it might be good for them to
- 1:00:39Speaker 2: just forget about that and just leave and go play
- 1:00:42Speaker 2: somewhere else and just focus on the game. So I
- 1:00:44Speaker 2: think they will show up for this game. I mean,
- 1:00:47Speaker 2: teams in hockey when they get blown out, especially in
- 1:00:50Speaker 2: a shutout, they are a pretty good team to look
- 1:00:53Speaker 2: at to bounce back in the next game should be
- 1:00:55Speaker 2: Lucan and the net again here, which I don't know
- 1:00:57Speaker 2: if that matters that much. When it was lying in
- 1:00:59Speaker 2: net yesterday, he was awful, so uh and we saw
- 1:01:03Speaker 2: I already showed you the statistics in that game. Buffalo
- 1:01:06Speaker 2: almost doubled New Jersey shot count in the game. And
- 1:01:08Speaker 2: I don't think it was all just because they were
- 1:01:10Speaker 2: losing the game by a lot, because it was tune
- 1:01:12Speaker 2: to nothing.
- 1:01:13Speaker 1: Into the third period.
- 1:01:14Speaker 2: So Buffalo the game statistically wasn't as bad as it
- 1:01:17Speaker 2: looked yesterday. The Blues are the play here. It looks
- 1:01:21Speaker 2: like the market does agree with this as well. Minnesota
- 1:01:24Speaker 2: down for minus one sixty five to minus one forty one,
- 1:01:26Speaker 2: sixty five percent of tickets, fifty five percent of.
- 1:01:29Speaker 1: The cash on Minnesota. We're gonna do it.
- 1:01:31Speaker 2: We'll grab Buffalo as the underdog on the money line.
- 1:01:34Speaker 2: I like these money line underdogs, man, they're in this
- 1:01:37Speaker 2: price range. Get them at a decent price as a dog,
- 1:01:40Speaker 2: and I think they have a decent shot to win
- 1:01:42Speaker 2: the game. So that's what we're doing. Yeah, I'm Somali.
- 1:01:47Speaker 2: Im I'm fading Minnesota here, man, dude. Yeah, I'm I'm
- 1:01:52Speaker 2: rooting from Minnesota's demise at Minnesota here. So it's all
- 1:01:56Speaker 2: coming together being Somali and Wrigley best.
- 1:02:00Speaker 1: I've never been to.
- 1:02:00Speaker 2: A game at Wrigley Fenway, of course, I've been to
- 1:02:03Speaker 2: many many times.
- 1:02:05Speaker 1: I like Fenway. I kind of liked it the old way.
- 1:02:08Speaker 2: I don't really necessarily like all the renovations they've done
- 1:02:11Speaker 2: to it.
- 1:02:13Speaker 1: I just yeah, I don't know.
- 1:02:14Speaker 2: I'm an originalist, man, what can I say? But yeah, Fenway,
- 1:02:20Speaker 2: I mean yeah, it's a fun time like going there.
- 1:02:21Speaker 2: I mean, the atmosphere is usually good there, yeah. I mean,
- 1:02:25Speaker 2: I've been to the old Yankee Stadium, but not.
- 1:02:28Speaker 1: The new one.
- 1:02:29Speaker 2: I've been to Anaheim, Houston. Like the current stadiums that
- 1:02:34Speaker 2: those two teams have.
- 1:02:35Speaker 1: Those are fun. Maybe that's it. Maybe I've only been
- 1:02:39Speaker 1: to four then. I don't know. I might be missing one.
- 1:02:41Speaker 1: I forget I should know.
- 1:02:44Speaker 2: Minnesota. I mean, it's gonna be in whatever. What language
- 1:02:48Speaker 2: do they speak is it's just Somalian celebrating and kempe
- 1:02:55Speaker 2: partly both recording a point is plus one o eight.
- 1:02:58Speaker 2: That doesn't seem like you're getting good enough odds on that.
- 1:03:01Speaker 2: San Jose and Vegas. I don't know if I have
- 1:03:03Speaker 2: a whole lot to say about this game.
- 1:03:06Speaker 1: San Jose.
- 1:03:07Speaker 2: They beat Vancouver yesterday and now they gotta go back
- 1:03:10Speaker 2: out on the roads. They were in Colorado on Wednesday,
- 1:03:12Speaker 2: they got blown out, they came back home. I liked
- 1:03:14Speaker 2: San Jose yesterday, but I didn't make it a play. Unfortunately,
- 1:03:18Speaker 2: they got the win. Now they're back out on the
- 1:03:20Speaker 2: road to face Vegas, and I think they're gonna be
- 1:03:22Speaker 2: catching Vegas in a very angry mood because Vegas has
- 1:03:25Speaker 2: lost four games in a row, and I thought yesterday
- 1:03:28Speaker 2: was a bounced back spot because it was the second
- 1:03:30Speaker 2: game back home and they lost to Modreal. But if
- 1:03:32Speaker 2: you look at what happened in this game, Vegas dominated
- 1:03:35Speaker 2: this game, dude, thirty one to nineteen in shots. They
- 1:03:38Speaker 2: did get out hit somewhat, but they had almost sixty
- 1:03:40Speaker 2: percent of the face offs. One as well, this game
- 1:03:43Speaker 2: was not what it looked like on the scoreboard. There
- 1:03:45Speaker 2: was an empty net goal as well.
- 1:03:47Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 1:03:48Speaker 2: I think there were just some lapses for Vegas, maybe
- 1:03:51Speaker 2: gold ending wise. Defense wise, they should have won that
- 1:03:54Speaker 2: game in my opinion based on the statistics, so very
- 1:03:57Speaker 2: misleading result there, not just because I leaned to Vegas
- 1:04:00Speaker 2: in that game, but I just think the stats actually
- 1:04:02Speaker 2: bear that out.
- 1:04:04Speaker 1: I think Vegas is gonna show up in this game.
- 1:04:06Speaker 1: I expect them to win.
- 1:04:08Speaker 2: They're a huge favorite though, at minus three twenty sixty
- 1:04:11Speaker 2: two tickets eighty five percent of the cash on them. Again,
- 1:04:15Speaker 2: if you like Vegas here, probably want to go something
- 1:04:18Speaker 2: like Vegas over their team total.
- 1:04:20Speaker 1: I mean, San Jose is.
- 1:04:22Speaker 2: Known for allowing a lot of goals, so that might
- 1:04:25Speaker 2: be the way that I would go with this, although
- 1:04:28Speaker 2: recently they haven't as much. But yeah, I mean I
- 1:04:30Speaker 2: think probably the way to go with that is Vegas
- 1:04:32Speaker 2: over the team too. I mean, I guess you could
- 1:04:34Speaker 2: lay the puck line in that one. I would be
- 1:04:36Speaker 2: less hesitant to do it with them than with Colorado.
- 1:04:40Speaker 2: Old Yankee Stadium. I don't know, man, the bleacher creatures,
- 1:04:45Speaker 2: they're no fun. They burned my Red Sox hat. So yeah,
- 1:04:49Speaker 2: I don't know those people in New York. Yeah, not
- 1:04:53Speaker 2: a great crowd, although yes, we have our share of
- 1:04:57Speaker 2: you know, drunken assholes in Boston. Of course, Vancouver is
- 1:05:01Speaker 2: playing at LA to finish off this hockey slate here.
- 1:05:03Speaker 2: All these teams, by the way, again played yesterday except
- 1:05:06Speaker 2: for Edmonton in Seattle. Vancouver took that loss to San
- 1:05:11Speaker 2: Jose yesterday. Like I mentioned, now they're going to LA.
- 1:05:14Speaker 2: They do have Colorado next, but it's again, this is
- 1:05:18Speaker 2: weird because why would Vancouver be an Anaheim and then
- 1:05:20Speaker 2: have to go all the way up to San Jose
- 1:05:22Speaker 2: and then back down to LA after that with no
- 1:05:24Speaker 2: time off. And it's just Vancouver should have a beef
- 1:05:27Speaker 2: with the schedule makers for that. Man, I don't know
- 1:05:29Speaker 2: what they're doing. Anaem's coming up, excuse me, LA's coming up.
- 1:05:32Speaker 2: A tough loss in a shootout on the road at Anaheim,
- 1:05:36Speaker 2: and though and LA is a very good road team
- 1:05:38Speaker 2: and Anaheim's a very good home team, so something had
- 1:05:41Speaker 2: to give in that game, and it was Anaheim winning
- 1:05:43Speaker 2: in a shootout. So I think LA is in a
- 1:05:45Speaker 2: worse spot because that was yesterday, even though I know
- 1:05:47Speaker 2: they're only traveling back up the road, but could be
- 1:05:50Speaker 2: difficult to recollect themselves.
- 1:05:52Speaker 1: After that game.
- 1:05:52Speaker 2: And as I keep pointing out, the Kings are not
- 1:05:55Speaker 2: good at home, they're much better on the road.
- 1:05:57Speaker 1: They're only two four and three at home.
- 1:05:59Speaker 2: Vancouver actually not horrible on the road, seven six and one.
- 1:06:02Speaker 2: So I actually kind of like Vancouver in this one.
- 1:06:06Speaker 2: LA up to minus two hundred for minus one eighty five,
- 1:06:09Speaker 2: but fifty nine percent of the tickets on them, seventy
- 1:06:13Speaker 2: percent of the cash on Vancouver. So yeah, the money
- 1:06:16Speaker 2: is coming in on the Vancouver side. It looks like,
- 1:06:19Speaker 2: at least for now. I don't disagree. It's kind of
- 1:06:23Speaker 2: a tough one though, it's to really gauge, so I
- 1:06:26Speaker 2: don't I mean, I don't like it that much. Yeah,
- 1:06:30Speaker 2: New York City, I mean it is definitely a shit hole.
- 1:06:33Speaker 1: The last time I was there.
- 1:06:34Speaker 2: Was a few years ago. Not at Yankee Stadium that time,
- 1:06:37Speaker 2: but the last time I was in New York City.
- 1:06:39Speaker 2: All right, let's finish it off with NBA, my boss
- 1:06:42Speaker 2: and Celtics are at Minnesota. A lot of things going
- 1:06:45Speaker 2: on in this one, man. I think both teams are
- 1:06:48Speaker 2: in bad spots. Celtics just got a huge win over Detroit,
- 1:06:51Speaker 2: ending Detroit's huge win streak. Monster win for the Celtics.
- 1:06:55Speaker 2: Now they gotta go to Minnesota. Could be a letdown spot.
- 1:06:59Speaker 2: And I do say, you usually your focused on the
- 1:07:01Speaker 2: first game of the road trip, but after they played
- 1:07:03Speaker 2: Detroit and got that win, I don't think so. And
- 1:07:05Speaker 2: then they do have Cleveland up next tomorrow. That's a
- 1:07:08Speaker 2: bigger game because that's an Eastern Conference game. So I
- 1:07:11Speaker 2: don't like the spot for the Celtics. But do I
- 1:07:13Speaker 2: like the spot for Minnesota? No, I do not. Minnesota
- 1:07:18Speaker 2: is coming back over a road trip that they've been
- 1:07:20Speaker 2: on since Friday, November twenty first, even though they only
- 1:07:23Speaker 2: played three games, and yeah, they did lose every game
- 1:07:25Speaker 2: on the road trip. So I think the public is
- 1:07:27Speaker 2: gonna think, oh, well, the bounce back at home?
- 1:07:30Speaker 1: Will they though? I don't know.
- 1:07:32Speaker 2: I mean, they just came off a close game against
- 1:07:34Speaker 2: okase Man, as you guys pointed out, they were in
- 1:07:36Speaker 2: this game late in the game, is huge underdogs against
- 1:07:39Speaker 2: okay See double digit underdogs.
- 1:07:41Speaker 1: They had chances to maybe pull off the upset there.
- 1:07:44Speaker 2: So that's what they're coming off of, plus the return
- 1:07:46Speaker 2: home spot where they might be a little bit distracted.
- 1:07:49Speaker 2: They do have a Western Conference team next in San Antonio,
- 1:07:51Speaker 2: although I know it's without Wemba, but the Celtics are
- 1:07:54Speaker 2: without Tatum.
- 1:07:56Speaker 1: I don't like either side.
- 1:07:59Speaker 2: Can we and we somehow bet them both teams to
- 1:08:01Speaker 2: fail in this game, because that's that's what I would
- 1:08:05Speaker 2: do with this game. Minnesota, by the way, you're asking
- 1:08:08Speaker 2: him to cover this huge number as a favorite, and
- 1:08:11Speaker 2: as I keep pointing out, guess how many times Minnesota
- 1:08:13Speaker 2: has beaten a team with a.
- 1:08:14Speaker 1: Winning record this season. Zero?
- 1:08:19Speaker 2: Minnesota has not beaten a team with a winning record
- 1:08:21Speaker 2: this season. And you're not only asking him to win,
- 1:08:24Speaker 2: but cover a seven point number here.
- 1:08:27Speaker 1: Yeah, I.
- 1:08:30Speaker 2: Dude, I mean I actually think that if you, if
- 1:08:33Speaker 2: you have forced me to give you a side on this,
- 1:08:35Speaker 2: I think I would take the points of the Celtics. Obviously,
- 1:08:38Speaker 2: I don't want to do it because they're in a
- 1:08:39Speaker 2: terrible spot as well. But eighty nine percent of the tickets,
- 1:08:42Speaker 2: eighty six percent of the cash on Minnesota. I mean again, Minnesota.
- 1:08:46Speaker 2: They have not shown the ability to beat good teams
- 1:08:48Speaker 2: this year. So until we see that, you know, well,
- 1:08:53Speaker 2: I think we got to just leave them alone. I
- 1:08:55Speaker 2: know the Celtics are not the greatest team. They are
- 1:08:57Speaker 2: technically a winning record team.
- 1:08:59Speaker 1: But they're only ten eight.
- 1:09:01Speaker 2: The money seems to be coming in towards the under,
- 1:09:04Speaker 2: although I think it a spot like this where you
- 1:09:06Speaker 2: think both teams might not have total focus whatever, I
- 1:09:09Speaker 2: tend to think that the over is the way to go.
- 1:09:12Speaker 2: So I don't know, man, do with that information what
- 1:09:14Speaker 2: you want to I guess Toronto is a Charlotte. Charlotte
- 1:09:19Speaker 2: you know, has a really ugly record. Toronto has been
- 1:09:22Speaker 2: really hot, not having lost since November eighth. So Toronto,
- 1:09:26Speaker 2: I mean the one whatever, this is nine games in
- 1:09:28Speaker 2: a row. They barely got by Indiana in their last game,
- 1:09:32Speaker 2: very very ugly, low scoring game. Could argue that they're
- 1:09:35Speaker 2: gonna be in a bounce back spot. They get to leave,
- 1:09:37Speaker 2: go out on the road, refocus. I mean, they were
- 1:09:40Speaker 2: kind of a bad spot in that one, coming up
- 1:09:41Speaker 2: a big win over Cleveland. So yeah, Toronto, they didn't
- 1:09:45Speaker 2: have the great, greatest game at all. Maybe going on
- 1:09:48Speaker 2: on the road refocus them.
- 1:09:49Speaker 1: But they do have to face the Knicks tomorrow. They
- 1:09:52Speaker 1: already beat Charlotte at home.
- 1:09:53Speaker 2: Last time they played them, it was only by two points, though,
- 1:09:57Speaker 2: which I think that might have been. Was that one
- 1:09:59Speaker 2: of my plays at my I forget. But do I
- 1:10:01Speaker 2: want to come in and play give out a plan
- 1:10:03Speaker 2: Charlotte here? I don't really, although they're staying at home
- 1:10:09Speaker 2: and they got a win yesterday and it was a
- 1:10:11Speaker 2: big win over Chicago, but Chicago has been faltering recently,
- 1:10:15Speaker 2: and Charlotte just broke a long lost streak with that win,
- 1:10:18Speaker 2: so that's good. Sometimes when you break along law streak,
- 1:10:21Speaker 2: it will propel you with momentum into the next game.
- 1:10:24Speaker 2: So I do still need to Charlotte in this game,
- 1:10:27Speaker 2: despite the fact that, I mean my hesitation would be
- 1:10:30Speaker 2: the Toronto would kind of be in a bounce back
- 1:10:32Speaker 2: mode as well, because they look bad in the last game.
- 1:10:35Speaker 2: Toronto's up to a nine point favorite and they're anti public.
- 1:10:38Speaker 2: It looks like so I don't know, seventy four percent
- 1:10:40Speaker 2: of tickets only sixty one percent of the cash on
- 1:10:42Speaker 2: the Hornets. But like, how could the public really be
- 1:10:46Speaker 2: on the Hornets in this game, the team with the
- 1:10:48Speaker 2: way worse record against one of the hottest team, the
- 1:10:51Speaker 2: hottest team in basketball. I don't really see that actually
- 1:10:55Speaker 2: being the case.
- 1:10:55Speaker 1: I don't buy it. Why did that line move that
- 1:10:59Speaker 1: much though?
- 1:11:00Speaker 2: Is there an injury? I don't know, I mean, there
- 1:11:02Speaker 2: were always injuries. I look like LaMelo ball is a
- 1:11:05Speaker 2: game time decision, so maybe that's why.
- 1:11:11Speaker 1: Wait, what he's not listening?
- 1:11:13Speaker 2: That was two hours ago, but it says he's not
- 1:11:15Speaker 2: listening on the injury report against New York. What what's
- 1:11:20Speaker 2: happening here? I mean, yeah, that was that news. Is
- 1:11:23Speaker 2: not from two hours ago. That news was back on
- 1:11:27Speaker 2: this past Wednesdays when that was so he played, I
- 1:11:30Speaker 2: don't know.
- 1:11:31Speaker 1: So I don't know.
- 1:11:32Speaker 2: I don't know if this indicates that he's not playing
- 1:11:34Speaker 2: in this game and that's why Toronto has gone up
- 1:11:35Speaker 2: to a nine boy favorite. But I would probably lean
- 1:11:38Speaker 2: towards taking the points. I mean, I don't love the
- 1:11:40Speaker 2: fact that the Hornets looked like a public home underdog.
- 1:11:43Speaker 2: As unbelievable as that sounds, I don't want to do it.
- 1:11:47Speaker 2: Chicago is at Indiana. Chicago. They are coming off that
- 1:11:53Speaker 2: game against Charlotte where they lost. That's an ugly loss, Man,
- 1:11:55Speaker 2: and now they could be in a bounce back mode
- 1:11:59Speaker 2: after that, because that's not a good loss.
- 1:12:01Speaker 1: Indiana.
- 1:12:04Speaker 2: I was gonna say that they were probably going to
- 1:12:06Speaker 2: be in a difficult spot coming off that really close
- 1:12:08Speaker 2: game against Toronto. They took Detroit and Toronto both basically
- 1:12:12Speaker 2: to the limit. But coming off of that, they actually
- 1:12:15Speaker 2: won against Washington yesterday, and now that's what they're coming
- 1:12:18Speaker 2: off of, So I think that kind of eliminates maybe
- 1:12:21Speaker 2: that type of spot through though maybe they dooslove a little.
- 1:12:23Speaker 1: Bit of a let down here. I don't know.
- 1:12:26Speaker 2: I don't want to touch this game either. The money
- 1:12:28Speaker 2: is coming in towards the Pacers. The Bulls are up
- 1:12:30Speaker 2: to a three and a half point favorite. Does look
- 1:12:33Speaker 2: too easy to lay the points with the Bulls against
- 1:12:35Speaker 2: this Pacer team that has a horrendous record seventy nine
- 1:12:40Speaker 2: percent of tickets on the Bulls. Of the cash on
- 1:12:42Speaker 2: Indiana money coming in on Indiana. For now, I don't
- 1:12:46Speaker 2: have a strong opinion on this at all. I see
- 1:12:50Speaker 2: arguments for both. I mean I guess the default in
- 1:12:52Speaker 2: this in that case would be.
- 1:12:54Speaker 1: With the market. I don't love it at all though.
- 1:12:58Speaker 2: Indiana of course still dealing with some dresal, though really
- 1:13:00Speaker 2: it's still just mostly Halliburton, who's probably not coming back
- 1:13:04Speaker 2: this year. Detroit has now lost two in a row.
- 1:13:07Speaker 2: We got the win yesterday fading them with Orlando. That
- 1:13:11Speaker 2: was a return home spot for Detroit. Detroit had had
- 1:13:14Speaker 2: their long win streak busted, so I thought it was
- 1:13:16Speaker 2: a bad spot.
- 1:13:17Speaker 1: For multiple reasons.
- 1:13:19Speaker 2: Now they get to swing around to go out on
- 1:13:21Speaker 2: the road, but they have to travel from Detroit to
- 1:13:23Speaker 2: Miami for a single game here. But part of my
- 1:13:25Speaker 2: handicap yesterday was that they would be more focused.
- 1:13:28Speaker 1: On the Miami game.
- 1:13:29Speaker 2: So I think maybe it will be good for them
- 1:13:31Speaker 2: to just get out of home.
- 1:13:32Speaker 1: They had a bad game yesterday. Play but they're playing.
- 1:13:35Speaker 2: Three games of four days, four games in six days,
- 1:13:39Speaker 2: and five games in eight days, all in different cities.
- 1:13:41Speaker 2: That's not easy to do and traveling, you know, on
- 1:13:44Speaker 2: a back to back. Miami they're hot right now. They
- 1:13:47Speaker 2: got their lineup back heroes back. They've won six in
- 1:13:51Speaker 2: a row, coming off a close win against Milwaukee, and
- 1:13:54Speaker 2: that was I believe Giannis returned to the lineup in
- 1:13:57Speaker 2: that game, so that was the reverse injured player spot
- 1:14:01Speaker 2: from Miami, I believe, or no, wait, excuse from Milwaukee,
- 1:14:04Speaker 2: and I'm wrong.
- 1:14:05Speaker 1: Milwaukee played again after that. I'm wrong.
- 1:14:08Speaker 2: Yeah, the Giannis came back in the New York game,
- 1:14:10Speaker 2: and I think Milwaukee missed the cover by a half
- 1:14:13Speaker 2: point in that game, which that gave me hesitation because
- 1:14:16Speaker 2: I lean to Milwaukee in that game otherwise. But yeah,
- 1:14:20Speaker 2: so Miami's coming up barely beating Milwaukee without Giannis, so
- 1:14:24Speaker 2: Miami also staying at home, maybe they were looking ahead
- 1:14:27Speaker 2: to this game. I do think the spot does still
- 1:14:29Speaker 2: set up better for Miami in this one.
- 1:14:31Speaker 1: The money seems like it agrees with the heat up.
- 1:14:33Speaker 2: To a four point favorite, which I think also the
- 1:14:36Speaker 2: public's gonna look at that and think there's no way
- 1:14:39Speaker 2: Detroit loses three in a row, Like, how could you
- 1:14:41Speaker 2: not take Detroit getting points here? But I think Miami
- 1:14:44Speaker 2: might be the right side. Miami's nine and one.
- 1:14:47Speaker 1: At home, so they've been excellent at home.
- 1:14:48Speaker 2: I know Detroit's good on the road to seven and two,
- 1:14:51Speaker 2: But the money's saying, Miami, I know you're having to
- 1:14:53Speaker 2: lay a little bit more. If you do like them,
- 1:14:55Speaker 2: maybe money line, money line, parlay them with something else.
- 1:14:58Speaker 1: I don't know. Eighty eight percent think it's eighty nine
- 1:15:00Speaker 1: percent of the cash.
- 1:15:01Speaker 2: On the Miami side, we do a Brooklyn in Milwaukee
- 1:15:05Speaker 2: and Milwaukee. This is gonna be the second game with
- 1:15:09Speaker 2: the honest back. And I do talk about how second
- 1:15:12Speaker 2: game back with your star player back, you tend to
- 1:15:14Speaker 2: play better than you did the first game because first
- 1:15:16Speaker 2: game he's got to work his way back in. Now
- 1:15:18Speaker 2: the next game you're used to him being there again.
- 1:15:21Speaker 2: They're traveling with no time off, but it's only from
- 1:15:23Speaker 2: Manhattan to Brooklyn, so I mean they're still in New
- 1:15:25Speaker 2: York City, not much of a travel spot from Milwaukee,
- 1:15:28Speaker 2: so some positives. But they are still coming up a
- 1:15:31Speaker 2: game against the Knicks yesterday, so that's a tough game,
- 1:15:34Speaker 2: so could be a little bit of a hangover as well.
- 1:15:37Speaker 2: So I see mostly positives with some negatives from Milwaukee
- 1:15:41Speaker 2: here Brooklyn. They also played yesterday and they lost at Wait,
- 1:15:47Speaker 2: oh no, this is in Milwaukee.
- 1:15:48Speaker 1: What am I saying? My mistake? I'm sorry, this is
- 1:15:50Speaker 1: in Milwaukee.
- 1:15:51Speaker 2: So Milwaukee's actually returning home from New York's is that
- 1:15:54Speaker 2: is a lot worse, So never mind, not from a
- 1:15:57Speaker 2: long road trip, but that does make it worse, So
- 1:16:00Speaker 2: never mind. I don't I don't like Milwaukee anywhere near
- 1:16:02Speaker 2: as much given that Brooklyn. This was not going to
- 1:16:05Speaker 2: be a play anyway. Though Brooklyn played yesterday against Philly.
- 1:16:09Speaker 2: Now they're going out on the road.
- 1:16:10Speaker 1: They took the loss. Maybe for them it it'd be
- 1:16:12Speaker 1: good to just get out of home.
- 1:16:13Speaker 2: They didn't play for like three days prior to the
- 1:16:15Speaker 2: game against Philadelphia, so I think the spot does actually
- 1:16:19Speaker 2: set up better for the Nets. Looking at that game
- 1:16:21Speaker 2: as a whole, the Bucks are up to an eleven
- 1:16:22Speaker 2: and a half point favorite, very public, ninety three percent
- 1:16:25Speaker 2: of tickets, only fifty seven percent of the cash. Probably
- 1:16:28Speaker 2: would agree with that money and slightly lean with Brooklyn,
- 1:16:32Speaker 2: but I don't love it by any means.
- 1:16:35Speaker 1: New Orleans is that Golden State.
- 1:16:37Speaker 2: New Orleans hasn't played since the twenty six They lost
- 1:16:40Speaker 2: in overtime to Memphis, and now think gets to go
- 1:16:42Speaker 2: out on the road, which normally I will say it
- 1:16:46Speaker 2: is a focused spot when you go on on the road,
- 1:16:49Speaker 2: and I think it should be. And they're facing Golden
- 1:16:51Speaker 2: State in LA back to back here but the Lakers.
- 1:16:54Speaker 2: But they lost to both of those teams in November
- 1:16:57Speaker 2: earlier in November, so it's if the revenge spot matters.
- 1:17:00Speaker 2: It's a revenge spot in both games. So yeah, I
- 1:17:02Speaker 2: expect focus from New Orleans here, and I don't love
- 1:17:05Speaker 2: the spot for Golden State. Golden State staying at home.
- 1:17:08Speaker 2: But they played Houston very tough game. Houston got their
- 1:17:12Speaker 2: playoff revenge. That was a big game, and Golden State
- 1:17:14Speaker 2: is okay.
- 1:17:15Speaker 1: See next.
- 1:17:16Speaker 2: So Golden State is in a sandwich here between two
- 1:17:21Speaker 2: of the top three teams in the West. Major sandwich spot.
- 1:17:24Speaker 2: And they did, like I said, already go into New
- 1:17:26Speaker 2: Orleans and blast them by eighteen on the road. So
- 1:17:29Speaker 2: everything really is setting up nicely for New Orleans. However,
- 1:17:33Speaker 2: we have a problem Houston. We have a problem. Though
- 1:17:36Speaker 2: this is not involve Houston. I want to fade Houston
- 1:17:38Speaker 2: in their next game. It hasn't even happened yet. I
- 1:17:41Speaker 2: don't think the problem is Steph Curry is out and
- 1:17:46Speaker 2: he played the last game. So now Golden State falls
- 1:17:49Speaker 2: into an injured player theory spot. So the first game
- 1:17:52Speaker 2: with Curry out, they might actually step up their game
- 1:17:54Speaker 2: a little bit. So that is the one issue that
- 1:17:57Speaker 2: I really have with fade in Golden State. Otherwise I
- 1:17:59Speaker 2: like the Pelicans in this one, but the money is
- 1:18:02Speaker 2: saying Golden State, uh, seventy eight percent of tickets on
- 1:18:05Speaker 2: the Pelicans, eighty nine percent of the cash on the Warriors.
- 1:18:08Speaker 2: They're a nine point favorite. I would still take the
- 1:18:11Speaker 2: points of the Pelicans if I was gonna play this game,
- 1:18:13Speaker 2: but the injured player theory spot does worry.
- 1:18:16Speaker 1: Me a little bit.
- 1:18:18Speaker 2: My one play is in this next game here Pittsburgh
- 1:18:22Speaker 2: as the nastiest fans. I don't know about that. Philly
- 1:18:25Speaker 2: is very, very bad, Sorry Jeffrey, but they are.
- 1:18:30Speaker 1: Red Sox and Yankee. Yeah they will.
- 1:18:32Speaker 2: They definitely get into it at Yankee Stadium and at Fenway,
- 1:18:35Speaker 2: but more so at Yankee Stadium probably.
- 1:18:38Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know, I don't know.
- 1:18:41Speaker 2: I mean the Yankees fans are the ones that threw
- 1:18:43Speaker 2: all the uh the beer bottles in the trash onto
- 1:18:46Speaker 2: the field and at the players and stuff. During the
- 1:18:50Speaker 2: ALCS in two thousand and four, the Bloody Sock game.
- 1:18:53Speaker 1: After the after the a Rod Glove slap.
- 1:18:56Speaker 2: Call, which was the correct call, he absolutely slapped the
- 1:18:59Speaker 2: ball out of a Royal glove A Rod, very Bush
- 1:19:03Speaker 2: League player. He made multiple plays like that throughout his career.
- 1:19:06Speaker 2: Fuck a Rod. Final play of the day is the
- 1:19:09Speaker 2: NBA play here Denver minus three at Phoenix.
- 1:19:12Speaker 1: I like how this sets up for Denver.
- 1:19:15Speaker 2: Denver's coming up a pretty ugly home loss to San
- 1:19:18Speaker 2: Antonio with no wemby Denver, might be good for them
- 1:19:22Speaker 2: to just go away, get out on the road. Man.
- 1:19:24Speaker 2: I know they're having to travel with no time off,
- 1:19:26Speaker 2: but they lost as a big home favorite, and before
- 1:19:29Speaker 2: that they hadn't played since Monday, so they're not really
- 1:19:31Speaker 2: going to be that unrested.
- 1:19:32Speaker 1: I don't know think coming into this one. So I
- 1:19:34Speaker 1: like how this sets up.
- 1:19:35Speaker 2: Just get on a home for a day. You lost,
- 1:19:38Speaker 2: you know, leave leave, go on the road. Bounce back
- 1:19:42Speaker 2: for Phoenix. Yeah, they've been playing some better basketball, but
- 1:19:45Speaker 2: they just played Oklahoma City yesterday on the road and
- 1:19:49Speaker 2: only lost by four, So how do they bounce back
- 1:19:51Speaker 2: from that? So they're having to travel as well, but
- 1:19:53Speaker 2: they were fourteen and a half point underdogs and they
- 1:19:56Speaker 2: almost beat Oklahoma.
- 1:19:58Speaker 1: City last night on the road.
- 1:19:59Speaker 2: I mean this game, Oklahoma City was winning most of
- 1:20:01Speaker 2: the game, looking like they were running away with it.
- 1:20:04Speaker 2: Phoenix didn't go away, and they played and came all
- 1:20:06Speaker 2: the way back in the game and got to within
- 1:20:08Speaker 2: one point with a few minutes left, or maybe even
- 1:20:11Speaker 2: tied it with a few minutes left. So I just
- 1:20:13Speaker 2: don't know if Phoenix is gonna have left in the
- 1:20:14Speaker 2: tank after that. Man, And they're playing a third game
- 1:20:17Speaker 2: in four days, all in different cities, in a fourth
- 1:20:19Speaker 2: game in six days, and fifth game.
- 1:20:21Speaker 1: In seven days.
- 1:20:22Speaker 2: So their schedule has also been more packed than Denver's
- 1:20:25Speaker 2: has been. I like how it sets up for Denver
- 1:20:28Speaker 2: a lot more. Denver just lost is a big favorite.
- 1:20:31Speaker 2: Phoenix just almost won is a huge dog. I like
- 1:20:34Speaker 2: it for Denver.
- 1:20:35Speaker 1: Man.
- 1:20:36Speaker 2: Denver is also good on the road, and I know
- 1:20:37Speaker 2: Phoenix is good at home. They're eight and three, but
- 1:20:39Speaker 2: Denver has been really good on the road seven and two,
- 1:20:42Speaker 2: So Denver, they're definitely a team that you can rely
- 1:20:45Speaker 2: on on the road. Right now, Phoenix is just insanely public.
- 1:20:50Speaker 2: I don't really know why. Ninety percent of the tickets,
- 1:20:52Speaker 2: ninety six percent of the cash, and the number looks
- 1:20:54Speaker 2: like it's at three and a half. I mean, I
- 1:20:55Speaker 2: think that's probably fine as well open at five and
- 1:20:58Speaker 2: a half.
- 1:20:58Speaker 1: I don't know what happened because I don't really think
- 1:21:00Speaker 1: there's an injury.
- 1:21:01Speaker 2: Except Aaron Gordon is still out, but we already knew that,
- 1:21:04Speaker 2: so I don't think there's any real change in the
- 1:21:07Speaker 2: injury situation here that would cause that line to move.
- 1:21:11Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 1:21:11Speaker 2: I like the Denver Nuggets in this one man will
- 1:21:13Speaker 2: lay the points with him. Phoenix is maybe shaping up
- 1:21:17Speaker 2: to be one of those dreaded home public underdogs as well,
- 1:21:20Speaker 2: so another reason and maybe look towards the favorite.
- 1:21:23Speaker 1: We'll go with Denver.
- 1:21:26Speaker 2: Booing yes, yoh, yes, correct, Yeah, there'd be like pop
- 1:21:32Speaker 2: flies for a rod and he would he would yell
- 1:21:35Speaker 2: got it, like like he was pretending to be one
- 1:21:38Speaker 2: of the fielders calling for it, to try to make
- 1:21:41Speaker 2: the fielder not try to catch the ball, you know
- 1:21:43Speaker 2: what I mean, like making them think that one of
- 1:21:45Speaker 2: their teammates called it.
- 1:21:46Speaker 1: Yeah. Fuck that.
- 1:21:50Speaker 2: Philly was booing their own team. Well, I mean, uh,
- 1:21:52Speaker 2: the New England Patriots fans did that too, I will say,
- 1:21:56Speaker 2: And that was even more ridiculous because you were talking
- 1:21:58Speaker 2: about the Patriots after they are won like four or
- 1:22:01Speaker 2: five super Bowls whatever, and they're booing the Patriots whenever
- 1:22:04Speaker 2: they like, don't like whenever the Patriots have to punt,
- 1:22:07Speaker 2: they're booing them at home when they still had Tom
- 1:22:10Speaker 2: Brady and they were still winning tons and tons of games.
- 1:22:13Speaker 1: The fan base is so spoiled. That's another reason why I.
- 1:22:16Speaker 2: Was off the Patriot Like I was completely anti Patriots.
- 1:22:20Speaker 2: I'm like, look at this spoiled fan base booing when
- 1:22:23Speaker 2: when they have to punt. I mean, like like one
- 1:22:26Speaker 2: time in the game. I mean, come on, man, all right?
- 1:22:30Speaker 2: And then the final There is one final game in
- 1:22:32Speaker 2: the NBA between Dallas and La the Clippers in this case, God,
- 1:22:37Speaker 2: this is a pretty ugly one. I mean, these teams
- 1:22:38Speaker 2: have both been real ugly. Dallas did just play in
- 1:22:42Speaker 2: LA yesterday, so they're not traveling, but they did play
- 1:22:44Speaker 2: the Lakers.
- 1:22:45Speaker 1: That's a big game.
- 1:22:46Speaker 2: Uh, you know, the whole Luca trade situation. Those teams
- 1:22:51Speaker 2: probably don't like each other at this point. The Lakers
- 1:22:53Speaker 2: won by ten.
- 1:22:54Speaker 1: Dallas.
- 1:22:55Speaker 2: Now they gotta face this bad Clipper team, and they
- 1:22:57Speaker 2: do have Denver coming up on Monday. Probably not the
- 1:23:00Speaker 2: greatest spot for Dallas. Even though the game wasn't exactly
- 1:23:03Speaker 2: close against the Lakers. The Clippers are just staying at home,
- 1:23:06Speaker 2: coming off an ugly home loss in a really big
- 1:23:10Speaker 2: time return home spot. Man. I mean, I think just
- 1:23:12Speaker 2: Memphis was also in a bad spot, which is why
- 1:23:14Speaker 2: I didn't give that out as a play. But the
- 1:23:16Speaker 2: Clippers lost at home to Memphis coming home from a
- 1:23:19Speaker 2: long road trip, but they were gone for two weeks.
- 1:23:22Speaker 2: They came back home and took that loss. So even
- 1:23:24Speaker 2: though they're playing again now, so is Dallas. To me,
- 1:23:27Speaker 2: it looks like a bounce back spot for the Clippers,
- 1:23:29Speaker 2: even though I know the Clippers have been real bad
- 1:23:32Speaker 2: recently and the last time they won at home was
- 1:23:34Speaker 2: against New Orleans on Halloween, so I know that. You
- 1:23:40Speaker 2: know the Clippers being good at home like they were
- 1:23:42Speaker 2: last year when they got their new arena, that's completely
- 1:23:45Speaker 2: gone away.
- 1:23:45Speaker 1: But Dallas is awful on the road. They're one in
- 1:23:48Speaker 1: five on the road.
- 1:23:50Speaker 2: So the spot to me, sets up better for the
- 1:23:52Speaker 2: Clippers is more of a bounce back. But you're asking
- 1:23:54Speaker 2: them to lay seven points and their public ninety one
- 1:23:57Speaker 2: percent of the tickets, ninety percent of the cash. I
- 1:24:00Speaker 2: don't want anything to do with it, but I do
- 1:24:02Speaker 2: think the spot is better for them to bounce back again.
- 1:24:05Speaker 2: Second game back home. You do tend to bounce back.
- 1:24:08Speaker 2: Plus it's the last game in the home stand, so
- 1:24:10Speaker 2: they want to avoid going zero to two. But if
- 1:24:12Speaker 2: you want the Clippers, you're asking them to cover, and
- 1:24:14Speaker 2: with the team playing as ugly as that team has been,
- 1:24:17Speaker 2: that seems difficult.
- 1:24:20Speaker 1: Difficult ask and their public. So anyway, that's gonna do it.
- 1:24:26Speaker 2: Let's look at the college football market reads before I
- 1:24:28Speaker 2: get out of here.
- 1:24:29Speaker 1: On the two games that I did give out.
- 1:24:31Speaker 2: Baylor still looks like an anti public home favorite, so
- 1:24:35Speaker 2: that's looking good. Auburn pretty much looking like they're an
- 1:24:38Speaker 2: anti public home.
- 1:24:40Speaker 1: Dog as well. So those are the players that I
- 1:24:42Speaker 1: gave up. We're looking good there. That's gonna do it.
- 1:24:44Speaker 1: For today.
- 1:24:45Speaker 2: College football, we got Baylor minus two and a half,
- 1:24:48Speaker 2: Auburn plus five and a half. Basketball, we're laying up
- 1:24:51Speaker 2: with the Louisiana Tech minus eleven and a half, twelve whatever,
- 1:24:54Speaker 2: Texas State minus six, Tennessee Tech plus the points to
- 1:24:59Speaker 2: thirty four half, maybe even more, Fordham minus six and
- 1:25:02Speaker 2: a half. And then hockey we have Buffalo money line
- 1:25:06Speaker 2: and Denver Nuggets in NBA minus the points.
- 1:25:08Speaker 1: That's gonna do it. Thanks guys for hanging out.
- 1:25:10Speaker 2: Learn it tone on Twitter, Learn it tone on Instagram,
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- 1:25:19Speaker 2: Covered in you because my Yuke channel on YouTube, Patreon
- 1:25:24Speaker 2: dot com station learn to tone and you get Yuke
- 1:25:26Speaker 2: Spotify a Yuke Spotify feed which is not up to date.
- 1:25:29Speaker 2: As I always say, I know, I have to stop
- 1:25:31Speaker 2: saying that. I gotta get back to it again. And
- 1:25:35Speaker 2: I gotta treat the patreons better man because they're supporting me.
- 1:25:38Speaker 2: And then we got oh uh yeah, you got requests.
- 1:25:44Speaker 2: You requests at the highest level. It has been announced,
- 1:25:48Speaker 2: as you saw if you follow Late and from Outlawed
- 1:25:52Speaker 2: Thoughts or whatever. I've been on his show a couple
- 1:25:54Speaker 2: of times. He has announced that we are starting a
- 1:25:56Speaker 2: new podcast. It's gonna be me, him, Adam Nutter, and
- 1:25:59Speaker 2: two so I have no idea who they are five
- 1:26:03Speaker 2: co hosts.
- 1:26:03Speaker 1: I guess the show is gonna be called Loser Cast.
- 1:26:07Speaker 1: It is going to be a comedy panel show of sorts.
- 1:26:11Speaker 2: Kind of like a hangout I assume, and loosely structured
- 1:26:16Speaker 2: around us.
- 1:26:18Speaker 1: Determining who we feel is the biggest loser.
- 1:26:21Speaker 2: Of the week every week and debating that something along
- 1:26:26Speaker 2: those lines, so you can you can subscribe to that
- 1:26:29Speaker 2: on YouTube. Now there are multiple loser casts out there,
- 1:26:32Speaker 2: so hopefully you find the right one. It's like kind
- 1:26:33Speaker 2: of a glowing red l for a logo, so check
- 1:26:37Speaker 2: that out too. Yeah, magnets, how do they work? Thank
- 1:26:42Speaker 2: you guys, Thanks for hanging out. I feel like my
- 1:26:44Speaker 2: show is again too long winded. I am wrecking my voice.
- 1:26:48Speaker 2: I hate it and I'm an asshole all the time.
- 1:26:50Speaker 1: So homana.
- 1:26:51Speaker 2: So if you know Dennis Leary, the Boston the area comedian,
- 1:26:58Speaker 2: He's got a song about being an asshole called I'm
- 1:27:01Speaker 2: an Asshole. You can go check that out too, Yes, sir,
- 1:27:04Speaker 2: all right, that's gonna do it. Thanks guys for hanging out,
- 1:27:07Speaker 2: and I'll be back tonight for the NFL show.
- 1:27:11Speaker 1: Yeah, NFL we're.
- 1:27:13Speaker 2: Owing one to start the week, which is I mean,
- 1:27:15Speaker 2: that's I'm not yeah, I mean, I got really pissed
- 1:27:18Speaker 2: about it. I'm not happy about it, but it could
- 1:27:20Speaker 2: be worse. Given the fact that I've been wrong about
- 1:27:22Speaker 2: every game so far. We got to turn it around.
- 1:27:24Speaker 1: I'll probably have a couple of NFL plays that come
- 1:27:26Speaker 1: into the mix. We'll see. I don't love the board though,
- 1:27:29Speaker 1: so we'll see what I come up with.
- 1:27:31Speaker 2: I'll be there tonight for that, yeah, Dennis Leary, Yes, yes, sir,
- 1:27:36Speaker 2: that's gonna do it for now.
- 1:27:38Speaker 1: Peace, guys,