Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NASCAR DFS - South Point 400, 2025 | DraftKings Drivers, Dominators & Place Differential

Transcript

NASCAR DFS - South Point 400, 2025 | DraftKings Drivers, Dominators & Place Differential · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:08
  Speaker 1: All system's gone clear for lifting. Hello, welcome to this
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: weekend's NASCAR quick hit. Here at ship a Nation, I
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: am Eric, also known as the Game on Discord, and
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: tonight we will be discussing the South Point Hotel and
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: Casino four hundred taking place in Sin City, Las Vegas
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: Motor Speedway. But of course, before we go ahead and
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: break down that south Wind Casino four hundred taking place
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: at the Las Vegas Motor Speedway, they let me, of
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: course mention us here at ship at nation dot com.
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: You're one stop shop for all things DFS, slave plans, projections, ownerships,
• 1:21
  Speaker 1: core report, the Stone, which I'll be showing here shortly,
• 1:26
  Speaker 1: an amazing Discord community. Not to mention, partnered with the
• 1:30
  Speaker 1: best optimizer in the game today, which is Sabersim. You
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: owe it to yourself if you have not already given
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: ship at nation dot com, but try ship at Nation
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: dot com five days for nineteen dollars using code ship nineteen.
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: So if you haven't used, were given us a shot already.
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: Now it's the perfect time. Ship at Nation dot com
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: five days for nineteen dollars code ship. All right, let
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: me go ahead and get this tab shared. Look at
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: me go. It's like I'm an expert at this. Oh,
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: where's my notes here? If I was an expert, I
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: would have my notes up quickly. All right. We are
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: on the last legs of the NASCAR season and this
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: is the last intermediate track of the year. Las Vegas
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: is a one point five mile intermediate track, and this
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: weekend we have roughly one hundred and eighty six point
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: nine dominated points up for grabs, and we will want
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: to target those points. I am planning on using between
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: one and two dominators per lineup, with probably a heavy
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: focus on two because we have almost all of our
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: potential dominators starting within the top ten. But first and foremost,
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: let me go grab for my water, which is not here.
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: All right. Let's go ahead then and discuss practice. Group
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: one saw Ross Chastain being the fastest in Group one,
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: which made him the eighth fastest overall. Chastain did indeed
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: scrub the wall late in practice. However, I am not
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: anticipating that causing Ross any issues, as he did manage
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: a qualifying run any good one at that He qualified
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: what fifteenth, So I don't anticipate any issues coming up
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: from Ross from that little scrub of the Wall. Carson
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: host of Art was also fast in Group one and
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: he was very happy with how his car felt. Zane
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: Smith also showed good long run speed in Group one.
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: In fact, his ten lap average was the fourth best
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: in Group one. So if you're looking for some Group
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: one potential sleepers, Saint Smith also a sleeper, while I'm
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: a little bit sleepy would be Noah Gregson. Noah has
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: been dogwater quite literally all season. However, he does appear
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: to have good long run speed. He is first off,
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: one of the few Group eight cars to actually run
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: thirty laps in practice, and he was the fastest in
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: Group one for thirty lap averages and he was the
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: fifth fastest overall. So you are looking for long run
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: speed at Las Vegas, and it appears that Noah Gregson
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: has it. Another potential Group one sleeper Noah Gregson and
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: Dane Smith could be could be the cheapest you need.
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: On Sunday, Group two, which is where all the killers
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: are saw William Byron set an absolute blazing pace and
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: he had the best five ten, fifteen, twenty, twenty five
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: and thirty lap averages. Willie b was on a fire
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: in practice. I didn't get that great of a qualifying
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: run I mean fifth, but for being that fast in
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: every aspect of practice, well, Willie Bee and team just
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: might be the team to be on Sunday. Joe Gibbs
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: Racing as a whole looked fantastic in practice. Danny, Chase,
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: and Christopher Bell all had fantastic practices, with Christopher Bell
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: and Chase Bisco being the second and third best in
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: the thirty lap averages, and Ty Gibbs no slouch either.
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: He was not as fast as his teammates, but he
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: was still fairly fast for his price tag. So love
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: all of Joe Gibbs Racing on Sunday. Kyle Larson was
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: loose in practice and came in fairly early for some adjustments.
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: Larson did not run a twenty, twenty five or thirty
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: consecutive laps in practice. That doesn't really scare me off
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: of him. It's Larsen. We know how he is at
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: mile and a half, it's crunch time, it's the end
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: of the season. He hasn't been as dominant as years before,
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: but we all know he can do it at any
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: given Sunday. And last, but not least, the twenty three
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: to eleven duo of Tyler Reddick in Bubble Wallace both
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: fast in practice. Uh, they're both always fast on mile
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: and a half intermediates, and they did not show any
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: off speed during practice. In fact, they both even qualified
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: seventh and eighth. So for the most part, if we
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: don't really have any surprises up front, ruthfully, the biggest
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: surprise upfront so to speak, might be SVGI in thirteenth.
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: Other than that, it's pretty much the usual, the usual suspects.
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: So we know who's fast at these mile and a
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: half prackte we've been or how many races into the
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: season thirty So yeah, right now, it's the usual suspects
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: and can really rely on the power ranking data. Now
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: let's go ahead and do a very quick run through
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: of the starting lineup, because I feel like I pretty
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: much touched on everything I wanted to touch on discussing practice,
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: and like I said, the power rankings as the season progresses.
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: The power rankings are fantastic truly all season long, but
• 7:31
  Speaker 1: as they really progress throughout the season, you really can
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: use them to see what drivers are good at, what
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: tracks and what track type ranks. And as you could tell,
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: most of our heavy hitters are up front, Denny Hamlin
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: on the pole, Chase Briscoe starting second. Chase Briscoe has
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: a track rank of f That's not surprising as he
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: was in the majority of his career in doll crap cars.
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: That is no longer he has surprised. He has in
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: a surprise all season. He is in the playoffs and
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: he is a championship threat. So I'm sure if you're
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: watching this video, you probably wouldn't sleep on Chase Briscoe anyway,
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: but I'm going to reiterate it again, don't sleep on
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: Chase Briscoe. He is super cheap compared to Denny and
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: Chris Bell, and we know he can dominate, So don't
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: sleep on Chris On, Chase Briscoe, Christopher Bell, He's awesome
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: at every single mile and a half racetrack. Chase Elliott
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: is kind of a surprise to me, including his plus
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: twelve hundred and his d track rank, but he's in
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: the playoffs, so all all hands on deck. Willie b
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: as mentioned, was so faster in practice. Larson was loose,
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: but he still managed to put down a heater of
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: a lap, so but not surprised me to see him
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: lead and dominate on Sunday, the twenty three to eleven
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: duo of Bubba and Tyler starting seventh and eighth. Our
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: first Ford starting a ninth is Jobey Logano, who is
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: in the playoffs, and truthfully, in my opinion, Ford has
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: been the weakest manufacturer on my and a halfs this season.
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: I would need to go back and look at the
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: actual stats and win losses and stuff like that. What
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: I was kind of surprised is he him managed to
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: put up such a fast lap when he wasn't that
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: fast in practice. So he should be in your playerpool
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: because he is in the playoffs, and we know what
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: kind of tricks the big team Penske team can do.
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: I really don't expect him to dominate, though. On Sunday
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: ty Gibbs I touched on already. Christopher Busher, He's always
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: a threat. He's fairly priced friendly at eighty five hundred,
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: nothing really crazy to write home about as far as
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: him goes Alex Bowman, he's great here as far as
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: power rankings go, but he's boom or bust. He's starting twelfth,
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: so I'll probably take a chance on him, but I
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: kind of wouldn't be surprised if it blew up SVG
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: starting at thirteenth. I'll take a chance on SVG. Everybody
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: is going to be playing the usual suspects, and this
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: will be the second time SVG is seeing Vegas, and
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: he did perform well a few weeks ago on an
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: oval track I forget where he did very well that
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: he surprised a bunch of people. So I'll take a
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: shot on SVG. Do I think he's gonna win, Absolutely not.
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: Do I think he'll lee lapse? Probably not. Could he
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: potentially stay in between the thirteenth and twentieth all day
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: and get you some decent points at crazy low ownerships.
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: Absolutely Ryan Blaney, I have no problem taking a shot
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: on him all day. Though he was not that great
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: in practice, and I really don't love forwards of all
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: and a halfs ros Chastain. He was great in practice,
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: as mentioned. I just wish he had a championship he
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: was fighting for. But but maybe now it's will be
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: real balls to the ball because he doesn't have to
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: points race. I don't know Ryan Priesce. I love Ryan
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: Priest all season long, no different today, So cheap sixty
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: nine hundred probably will not lose a lap in the
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: stage one, so love me some. Ryan Priesce Suarez, It's
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: probably a no for me. Dog, Michael McDowell, Probably a
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: no for me, dog. Eric Jones. I'll take a shot
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: on Legacy Motor Club. I've think, in my opinion, has
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: been doing quite well for them recently, and I think
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: my new model for them as if they qualify up
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: towards the front half of the field, to take a
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: shot Eric Jones did, so, I will take that shot.
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: The Dinger, Probably no for me. Cole Custer, Yeah, it's
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: definitely a no for me. Carson josevar yep, Zane Smith yep,
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: Ricky Stenhouse Nope, Austin Dillon Nope, John Hunter nima check.
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: I will take a shot on John Hunter because I'm
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: taking a shot on Eric Jones. I wish John Hunter
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: was up qualified up near Eric Jones, but I'll take
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: the shot with a twenty sixth place John Hunter. Justin Haley, No,
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: I kind of don't think he's going to be in
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: that ride next year. Noah Grenkson, as mentioned earlier, will
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: take a shot on him. Josh Berry. He won here
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: right is this where he won earlier in the season.
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: Let me hold on gosh Berry two thousand and twenty
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: five Cup victory. Yes, hey look wait, no, Josh Barry
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: scores first Grow Cup in at Las Vegas. Look at me?
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: Go h. It's been a long week, long week, folks.
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: Barry won this race back in what March, Yeah, March
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: sixteenth on Austin three to sixteen day. That feels like
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: forever ago. Should you take a chance because he's already
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: proven he can do it? Sure? Do I think he's
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: gonna do it again, especially in playoff time. No, Todd Gilliland.
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: I'm normally a card carry member of the Gilly Gang.
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: Not this weekend. He seems slew Austin Sindrick. I'll take
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: a shot. During practice it seemed like the Sindric team
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: and the Logano team were working hand in hand to
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: try to improve both cars. So I will take a
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: shot on Sindric. I wish he was cheaper, but I'll
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: take a shot. Kyle Busch, I'm gonna tell you right
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: now he is projecting well. I am in no way
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: taking a shot on him. He has good track history here,
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: but his season is the no good, bad, terrible, dreadful
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: awful season. And I'm not riding that bus anymore. And
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: now watch he wins tomorrow. Riley Herbs. He's trash. No
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: Brad Kay, He's gonna get a ton of ownership, probably
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: a cash lock, so to speak, because he's probably the
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: one that's starting the deepest, who's the safest. But I
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: don't know. I don't know if I'm personally going to
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: be playing him, just because he hasn't really busted for
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: us much this season, right, So I don't think I'm
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: gonna be on brad Ty Dylon. No, he would probably be.
• 15:02
  Speaker 1: If you don't want to play Brad and you want
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: to play someone starting super deep, hy Dylan would probably
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: be the last one I would consider. But it's still
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: hard for me to pull the trigger. And then Cody
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: wear JJ Ailey and Catherine Legg round out the field,
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: and those all three are nose for me dog. So
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: that's it. That's the starting lineup, Rundown. That's the practice, Rundown.
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: I have projections already finished, they're just not on the sheet.
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: I will do ownership in the morning when the odds
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: are fully updated. Right now you're not seeing fully updated odds,
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: and then I will color coat the stone and finish
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: the sleep plan and stuff like that. I'm gonna have
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: a very hard time picking out the top dominator plays
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: because really, I was going to talk this, talk this
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: out right loud, out loud, with the with the group,
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: and who's watching here, anybody in the top eight. But yeah, yeah,
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: top eight could dominate. Danny could dominate, Chase Briscoe could dominate,
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: Sebell could dominate Chase Elliott, he could do I think
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: you will know what he could. Willie b could, Larson could,
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: Bubba could, and Reddick could. You literally have eight potential
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: dominators starting in the top eight spots. Yeah, that's gonna
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: be fun ranking those plays. So all right, I'm gonna
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: be done talking to myself here and watch the end
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: of the sprint car race that's coming up, and then
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: get back to work on this. So as always, thanks
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: for listening and watching, and as always, if there's any
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: drivers that go to the rear, I'll make sure to
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: learn discord.
• 17:11
  Speaker 2: And as always, let's ship it.
• 18:00
  Speaker 3: Bathered many mounts, stopped, wasted, and monthered, and Mons held
• 18:11
  Speaker 3: them stop ed and then sasted and then sized at
• 18:21
  Speaker 3: the side