Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 67 - 7/1/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 67 - 7/1/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:19
Hello and welcome to episode 67 of the All Systems Go sports
0:25
Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
0:28
I'm your host Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
0:35
Happy Monday. More importantly, happy 1st day
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of July. That's right, we're flipping the
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page. Summers flying by.
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June is over, July is here. 4th of July only a few days away.
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I'm excited because on Wednesday me and the wife are going cross
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country to spend 4th of July with her family in San Diego.
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Can see some fireworks at Coronado and also go to a Padres
0:56
game. So very much looking forward to
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that now. Pretty good weekend over the
1:01
weekend, guys, I spent the weekend with the fam out in
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Western Mass going to the Solid Sound Festival.
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Any Wilco fans out there? What a great time that was.
1:09
We're back at it. Most importantly over the
1:11
weekend, though, guys, we continued our biting UFC hot
1:15
streak because we had our guy Ian Gary come through for the
1:19
team. A little bit of a streak here,
1:21
guys, a little bit of a streak. Keep it, keep it, keep it on the
1:24
DL, you know, stay quiet here. But I believe we now won six
1:27
straight UFC bets, which is nice to see.
1:29
And really the fact that our model is coming through for us.
1:32
Remember we are a data-driven sports betting podcast where we
1:35
apply data to everything we do because we want to make smart
1:39
bets with our head and not our heart.
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And our model for UFC is basically looking at bet splits,
1:44
low bets, higher dollars, line movement and then looking at
1:47
younger, taller, longer reach. So we had Ian Gary come through.
1:50
He only got half the tickets, 50% bets, but 84% of the money.
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Remember he had that big steam -115 to -150 and he had the big
1:59
youth advantage, 26 years old verse 37 years old also had a
2:03
big significant strikes per minute advantage there as he put
2:07
out what was it around six strikes per minute versus only
2:09
around three for his opponent. So it was great to see our guy
2:12
Ian, Gary Cash Bigley over the weekend now also mention this I
2:17
am looking at I'm turning the page here.
2:19
Obviously, we're going to get right back to MLB as well as
2:22
WNBA because I do it with three pack for you.
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I was disappointed I woke up today looking for I know Mondays
2:26
are a little bit slower than usual in baseball.
2:29
Only three Major League Baseball games.
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Who's who's the commissioner? It's not Selig anymore, it's Rob
2:34
Manfred. But who created the schedule?
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You only give me 3 games on a Monday anyway, Only three games.
2:40
I did find 2 bets in Major League Baseball, including a
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very short number as well as a total which our friends at Juice
2:47
Reel have a very good sharp mush advantage on.
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And then going to look toward the WNBA one bet tonight here
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looking at a very short money line favorite in which we have a
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good rhythm system match as well as a rest first tired system
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match. SO3 bets here for tonight, aided
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by our friends here at both Juice Reel and rhythm.
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Shout out to rhythm. They just redesigned their app.
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A fantastic job, much more colorful, more insights, more
3:09
info. So of course, with both rhythm
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and Juice reel, make sure you get those seven day free trials.
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Give them both a shot. Hopefully they can help you to
3:17
cash some bets. But I do want to say before we
3:19
Devin our sweats, they a three pack two MLB one WBA that I'm
3:23
still looking at the Nathan's hot dog eating contest because
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I'm one of those weird crazy people that it's a rite of
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passage. 4th of July, you know, cookout red, white and blue hot
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dogs, hamburgers, some cold beers.
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And then of course, you got a bet on the Nathan's hot dog
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eating contest. The crazy thing this year, you
3:40
may have heard me mention it before on the pod, is that the
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GOAT? Nope, not Tom Brady, not Wayne
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Gretzky, you know, not not Michael Jordan.
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But no, the GOAT of competitive eating, Joey Chestnut actually
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was banned from the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating contest because he
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did the cardinal sin, committed the cardinal sin by signing an
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endorsement deal with Beyond Meats, which is the plant based
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hot dogs and hamburgers, which Nathan's hot dogs, they're not
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happy about that. So no Joey Chestnut, he won it.
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I don't even know, 15 years in a row or 16, the last 18,
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something crazy like that. So I just looked at the updated
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odds for the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating contest.
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I know you're laughing, rolling your eyes, but if you know, you
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know 'cause we've had some good success over the years betting
4:23
on the hot dog contest. Because again, this pod is all
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about data, no matter what it is betting Little League, World
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Series, betting you know the Olympics, Nathan's hot dog
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contest, it doesn't matter. Betting a betting a draft.
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Obviously last week I had the NBA draft.
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But if we can really look at numbers, how they move and
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identify, you know, where the line is trending, we can make
4:43
money no matter what it is. So I'll just throw this at you
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now. I bookmarked the odds at
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DraftKings for the hot dog contest.
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Guess who the favorite is now that Joey Chestnut is gone?
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It's Jeffrey Esper, who I believe if I remember correctly,
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he wore Red Sox hat. He's actually from
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Massachusetts. He's a very short favorite -120
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James Webb plus 200. Nick Weary plus 550.
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Let's keep an eye between Esper and Webb.
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This is a very short price. I'm maybe leaning Esper here,
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but I want to see which direction this line moves.
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Like, for example, Esper on July 1st is -120 does he move up to
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-150 By tomorrow, does he get up to -170?
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We want to see that movement in favor of Esper or which
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direction it's going to go. But as of now, Esper is the
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favorite. We'll see which way that that
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moves. And then also over underdogs.
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That's right. If you're looking at over under
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number of hot dogs, I'll give you a perfect example here
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looking at juice and why it's important like James Webb, who
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is the second best odds here for winning the contest at +200.
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James Webb hot dogs 48 1/2 think you can eat 48 1/2 dogs.
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I think it's, is it 10 minutes, 15 minutes.
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I got to double check the rules. But James Webb is 48 1/2 / -,
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140 under plus 110. So let's also look at how the
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juice moves on these dogs 'cause we can take advantage of over
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unders. And then we do have some match
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ups as well head to head. So we actually have head to head
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winter or spread. Like Mickey Sudo is actually the
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favorite to win for the the women, but she's -1600 she's
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basically the GOAT for the female competition.
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Too high to bet. But look at this one.
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We have a head to head hot dogs eaten by Jeffrey Esper versus
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Miki Sudo esper -9 1/2 is -120 Sudo plus 9 1/2 is -110 So
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basically, you know you can we can bet on these matchups as
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well as having matchups with spreads.
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So I know you're like Josh, you are insane.
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What are you doing talking about hot dog eating contests and
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getting so in depth? We'll just hopefully I'll prove
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it to you. If you haven't proven it to yet,
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we're going to make some money on the hot dog contest.
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So I always mention this bookmark the odds.
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Let's see how they move. We got a couple days until 4th
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of July. This is just your getting back
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in the swing of things on a Monday, you know, getting ready
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for an big upcoming betting event.
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Yes, it is a hot dog contest, but if you haven't bet it yet,
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we're going to make some money off it.
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So bookmark the odds. We'll see how they move and I'm
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excited to get down, eat some dogs myself.
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I would put my own, my, my, my personal.
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I'll be in Coronado here. So my my 4th of July San Diego
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family cookout with the in laws, I'll put it at maybe I was going
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to say 6 1/2. That seems like a lot.
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I don't want to look like a slob in front of the in laws.
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I'll say 4 1/2. You better take that over
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though. Anyway, let's get to our sweats
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here for today, guys. After hitting on some hot dog
7:30
contest talk, let's go right to Major League Baseball because we
7:35
have again, a very weird slate today.
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Only three games overall. I didn't want to force anything.
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I also didn't want to pass up anything and I found two bets
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that caught my eye. So let's talk first, a money
7:45
line bet. I'm going to go to the middle
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game here tonight, 6:45 PM Eastern Time.
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New York Mets playing the Washington Nationals now coming
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to this one, that's the first game of a four-game series.
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The Mets are 40 and 41. Just dropped two or three
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against the Stroh's. They lost on Sunday, 4:50 in
8:01
extra innings as a -, 125 home favorite.
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Meanwhile, the Nationals 39 and 44.
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They also just lost two or three against the Rays.
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They lost five to nothing yesterday as a + 165 road dog.
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So for tonight's series opener, we have the Mets going with
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lefty Drew Peterson. He's three and O with a 3.67
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ERA. He'll be opposed by the lefty
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Mackenzie Gore for the Nationals. 6 and seven, 3.6
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OERA. Now, what are we seeing across
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the market here? Well, pretty much all movement
8:29
liability on the Metropolitan. So I'm going Mets here, guys.
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I got the Mets at -115 What do I like about the Mets?
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Basically the movement in their favor.
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This came open at pretty much a pick em.
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It was around -1 O 5 both sides, some shops even open Nationals,
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a very slight favorite like Nats -110 -, 115.
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And really, regardless of the opener, whether it was a slight
8:49
favorite for the Nats or a pick em game, all movements been
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toward my the Mets. Mets have now been met up to
8:55
-115 I'm seeing a couple shops, maybe even approach -120 So it's
9:00
always good to see a line move further in favor of the side
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you're trying to bet on because it tells you you kind of
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anticipated the market correctly.
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Hopefully you get some closing line value Anyway, the Mets are
9:10
getting 75% of bets and dollars, so both the pro and Joe bet
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split. But really to me it's that line
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move that's really important here.
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Also, we have some system matches on the Mets.
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A sweet spot, Short Rd. favorite -130 or less.
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Those teams are 124 and one O 3 this season.
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That is a 55% win rate. But because it's a short number
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you're laying -130 or less, it's a 2% ROI.
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And then nothing crazy. But when two bad teams play each
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other, both below 500, which is the case here, take the
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favorite. Very simple, but it's 174 and
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one 1959% with a 1% ROI. Also, some other factors here to
9:45
lean on. The Mets, I'm going to bank on
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their offense hopefully showing up.
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They're hitting 250 on the year with 100 and two home runs and
9:51
393 runs scored. The Nets are hitting 235 with
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only 68 homers and 300 and 4041 runs scored.
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Mets, by the way, digging into these pictures a little bit, are
10:03
four and O. And Peterson's four June starts,
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all four starts they won, he has a 2.84 ERA on the road versus
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4.4 O at home. So he's been better on the road
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than at home. He's on the road here tonight.
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Mackenzie Gore, by the way, not great in June.
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I want to bet against him. He's got a 5.13 ERA in five June
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starts. He gave up fifteen earned runs
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and 26.1 innings pitched. The Nats went two and three in
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those games. And then also, I mentioned this,
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you know, it was one of the games last week we talked about,
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but anytime you see two lefties facing off head to head, just do
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yourself a favor. Just Google the splits.
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How do each team, how does each team offensively perform against
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left-handed pitching 'cause you can see a big discrepancy.
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Lefty righty and the Mets are much better against lefties.
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They're hitting 265 against southpaws.
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That's the 6th best in baseball. Nets are hitting 230 against
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southpaws. That's 25th.
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New York, by the way, has had Washington's number the three
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and O so far this season against the Nats.
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Let's hope that continues here tonight.
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And looking at just recent performance, Mets 6:00 and 4:00
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last 10. They're hitting 269 with a 470
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ERA. Washington is three and seven
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over the last 10, only hitting 244 with a 5.28 ERA.
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Then a little bit of home Rd. You know, Mets here are 19 and
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16 on the road. They're actually a winning team
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on the road. Nationals are losing team at
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home 17 and 19. Also we have seen a little under
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money show up here. Total open 8 1/2.
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It's down to 8. That's important because nearly
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75% of bets are going over. Yet the total fell tells us we
11:31
got some smart money leaning under forecast here at Nationals
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Park. High seventies, 8 to 10 mile per
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hour winds blowing in from center and when the wind blows
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in five mph or more. The under is 56% this season
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with a 7% ROI. The only thing holding me off
11:46
from the under excuse me, is that I missed the 8 1/2.
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So again, 5 three-game, you want to win that under.
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You don't want to push that under 5, three, you know, six to
11:57
two, whatever the case may be. So if you got the 8 1/2 and you
12:00
got the under, you're looking great, right?
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Right now, obviously I lean under nothing, but I feel like
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my edge is stronger here having missed the hook on the 8 1/2 to
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just go with the side here. So I'm going New York Mets
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again, pick em game short, favorite opener Washington.
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Now it's flipped all the way to Mets -115 even approaching -120
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I'm going with the Mets here. Hopefully get a win for the
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team. Give me New York Metropolitans
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at -115 keep on cruising. Second back here for Major
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League Baseball. Again, short slate, only two,
12:29
only three games overall, but found a play here on a total.
12:33
So let's go to Coors Field, Milwaukee and Colorado Brewers
12:37
in the Rockies, 8:40 PM Eastern Time.
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First pitch here for tonight. Now we do have Milwaukee decent
12:43
size favorite around -150 but I don't focus on the total here.
12:47
I'm going to go over over 11 now.
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The important thing here right off the bat is that a lot of
12:53
these elevens are juiced up 11 / -, 115 -, 120.
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Some shops are even at 11 1/2. So you got to make sure you find
13:00
that 11/8 to three games, six to five game.
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You want to push that versus lose if you have over 11 1/2.
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So again, just make sure you're able to shop around and find
13:09
that eight, it is pretty widely available.
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You should still be able to get it.
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I see a lot of eights across the market at 8 / -, 120.
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But a couple reasons to kind of lean over here.
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Number one, the juice is screaming over the fact that
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it's again -120 to the over juiced up some books, even going
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to 11 1/2. So tells us we got a little
13:29
smart money over here. Pretty good bet split to the
13:31
over. What's interesting to me with
13:32
with Coors Field is you know, a lot of betters, no, or
13:37
recreational betters. They, they know that Coors is
13:39
all about the offense, the rarefied air, the ball travels
13:41
further. You get a lot of high scoring
13:43
games, but they also get scared by high totals.
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Like when a public better sees an 11, they automatically say,
13:48
hey, that's kind of high. So what I noticed about this
13:51
over is that it's not getting 90% of bets.
13:54
Only 56% of bets are taking this over, but it's taking in into
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account 66% of dollars. So basically you have, you know,
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slight betting over publicly over but pretty much 5050 but
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2/3 of money and the juice is leaning over.
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So again, we're piercing together the puzzle here of some
14:11
over liability. Now the weather looks good for
14:14
the for the over. Obviously, of course, feel it's
14:16
all about the rarefied air, the altitude, but should be around
14:19
80° tonight, 7 to 10 mile per hour winds blowing out to center
14:23
or even center right. So always take the wind blowing
14:25
out if you want to bend it over because the ball will travel
14:28
further. Hopefully a warning track fly
14:30
ball gets pushed to a first row home run.
14:32
But also looking at the pitching match up here, the the Brewers
14:37
are going with a guy I've never heard of, Rob Zastraniski.
14:41
He's going to be an opener. He's a journeyman.
14:43
They're like he's 32 year old left-handed pitcher.
14:45
He'll be opposed by Austin Gomber, who's one in five with a
14:48
4.63 ERA this year. But Gomber has been getting lit
14:52
up. In the month of June, he made
14:53
five starts. He had an ERA of 9.39.
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He gave up twenty four runs in 23 innings.
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The Rockies went O and five in those starts.
15:02
Dig a little deeper. These are two of the better over
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teams in baseball. Milwaukee is 45 and 34 to the
15:07
over 57 percent, third best over team in baseball.
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Colorado is 43 and 38 to the over 53%. 8th best over team in
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baseball. The over by the way at Coors
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Field this year is 20 and 1754%. Colorado is dead last in
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pitching. Again, not a great staff but
15:25
also it's never fun to be a pitcher at Coors.
15:28
Coors overs this year 20 and 17 or Sorry I already mentioned
15:33
that. What I want to mention is the
15:34
Colorado team ERA 5.6 O that is the worst team ERA in baseball.
15:39
Milwaukee, by the way, is number 7 and run scored and then little
15:43
cherry on top. Shout out to our friends at
15:45
Juice Reel. Help us power this pod Juice
15:48
Reel. I looked at their sharp mush
15:50
calculator today, which is really cool.
15:52
It basically just looks at the top proverse Joe bets of the day
15:55
where the way that they describe it at Juice Reel is sharp mush
15:59
measures the difference between what our best and worst betters
16:02
are betting on. A higher percentage indicates a
16:04
straight a stronger difference between the two classes of
16:07
betters. They also classify it like this
16:10
best, first, worst betters use this insight to tail the top
16:13
performing betters while simultaneously taking the
16:16
opposite or fading the poor performers.
16:18
So you're asking like, who are these betters?
16:21
Everyone who has an app at Juice Reel.
16:23
So everyone has an app at Juice Reel, which again, you should go
16:25
download by clicking the custom link at the bio description of
16:28
this podcast. But basically Juice Reel knows
16:32
everyone who has an account. They track their performance.
16:34
You don't, if you want to stay private, you can stay private.
16:37
But Juice Rail will take that information and say, oh, these
16:41
people who are winning at a good rate, they're on team A.
16:44
These people who lose a lot are on team B.
16:46
Therefore sharp mush says, hey, there's an edge on team A.
16:49
But anyway, the sharp mush indicator today from Juice Rail
16:52
was this Milwaukee, Colorado over.
16:54
It says take the over 11. There's a 53% sharp mush edge.
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Why? What does that mean?
17:00
Basically, if you look at the best betters in the app, 88% of
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them are going over. If you look at the worst betters
17:06
in the app, 65% of them are going under or flip it the other
17:10
way, only 35% are on the over. So 88% of good betters on the
17:14
over, only 35% of bad betters on the over.
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Therefore, we want to go with the sharp betters, fade the bad
17:21
betters. That's a 53% edge to take the
17:23
over here also, you can even see, you know the amount of
17:26
money that's been wagered in the app on this total at Juice Reel
17:30
and it winds up pretty well here.
17:32
The bet splits with DraftKings 52% bets, 68% money for total
17:37
betters on this total. So that's just a great indicator
17:40
of one of the great up, you know, kind of tools that Juice
17:43
Reel can provide to you. It also has the arbitrage bets,
17:46
the Robo Jackson recommended best bets each day.
17:49
But I want to try to continue to highlight these great ways that
17:52
Juice Reel can help you win. So the market lined up with this
17:55
over 11. Juice Reel is saying, hey, sharp
17:57
mush indicator says go over 11. So let's root for an over
18:00
tonight. I'm going Milwaukee, Colorado
18:03
again. There's some hoax out there.
18:05
You got to get the just the regular 11 / 11 at -120 I'm on
18:09
the over over 11, Milwaukee and Colorado.
18:12
So we got Mets money line Milwaukee, Colorado over 11.
18:16
Now to finish up the pod here for tonight, let's go over to
18:19
some WNBA because they're only two games tonight.
18:23
But the late game, the sun and the mercury, this one caught my
18:25
eye for a couple different reasons.
18:27
First off, if you look at just the way this line is moved,
18:32
we've seen some good movement in favor of the Connecticut Sun.
18:36
So little background here because again, WNBAI know a lot
18:39
of guys and gals may not bet it, but when the dog days of the
18:42
summer, this is another market that we can take advantage of as
18:45
a data-driven better. So Sun are coming in 14 and
18:48
four. They're one of the best teams in
18:49
the WNBA. The Mercury are 9:00 and 9:00,
18:52
but we've seen here is a good chart move to the Sun.
18:54
So the Sun open this game as a very short one point or 1 1/2
18:59
point Rd. favorite. We've now seen the Sun get bet
19:01
up to -2 1/2 or -3. So first thing I noticed looking
19:05
at the WNBA games today is boom, Connecticut Sun are taking in
19:08
some steam again, one 1 1/2 up to 2 1/2 or three.
19:12
So good sharp movement in favor of the Sun tells me we got smart
19:15
money on the Sun. Now the Sun from a bet split
19:17
perspective, they're getting around 70% of bets in dollars.
19:20
So not a huge indicator there. But I'm going to give you some
19:23
other reasons to like the Sun tonight.
19:25
First, let's look at kind of the style of play.
19:27
The Sun have one of the best defenses in the WNBA.
19:30
They're only giving up 73 points a game versus 85 a game for the
19:34
Mercury. The Sun take better care of the
19:36
ball. They ranked third in turnovers
19:38
versus 9th for the Mercury. Plus minus Sun or plus 6.7
19:42
Mercury or -2.4 on the year. Also little bit of a buy low
19:46
sell high because the Connecticut Sun are coming off a
19:49
loss and they've actually lost three of four versus Mercury
19:52
having won three of four. So I want to buy low on the Sun.
19:55
I want to bet against or sell high on the Mercury.
19:59
And then in particular two other big things why I like.
20:02
They're basically three main factors.
20:04
The first factor with the sun tonight is the line move.
20:07
Second factor is this is a big rest.
20:09
First tired bet because last night the Mercury played Caitlin
20:13
Clark. They played the Fever, ended up
20:15
losing actually, you know, Caitlin Clark and the Fever,
20:17
they're the fever. They're doing something.
20:19
They're now, are they close to 500?
20:22
Anyway, Mercury lost last night at home.
20:24
Now they got to turn around and play again tonight.
20:26
So you have the Mercury on the second leg of a back-to-back
20:30
versus the Sun who are well rested.
20:31
The Sun haven't played since I believe Friday the 28th.
20:35
So that is a really good rest first tired advantage.
20:37
I want to bet against the Mercury on the second leg of a
20:40
back-to-back. I want to bet on Connecticut
20:42
with the line move as well as a rest first tired advantage and
20:45
hopefully being hungry. A good team was lost three or
20:47
four also favorites in the WNBA straight up.
20:51
So I'm going money line here. I'm going Sun on the money line
20:53
at -150 I'm not going to mess around with having them win by
20:57
one or two or three. And I, a loser, pushed my bet.
21:00
But favorites I noticed in WNBA, talk about chalk here.
21:03
Favorite straight up just favorites winning 80 and 29 this
21:06
year, 73%. These teams actually just
21:09
matched up late in May, May 28th and the sun 170 to 47.
21:15
And here's the little, little cherry on top, the coup de
21:17
grace. I popped open my Rhythm app and
21:20
I want to give a shout out to James Santor and Megan and Brian
21:23
and the whole crew at Rhythm who are just continuing to make this
21:27
app better and better. But Rhythm completely redesigned
21:29
their app. New layout, really intuitive
21:34
user experience, lot more colorful, lot more fun, but just
21:38
getting great data that continues to get refining,
21:41
continues to get better. So I went to my WNBA page for
21:46
for Rhythm and I went to this game, the Sun game, and I found
21:49
two system matches on the Sun. One is a rhythm AI model that I
21:54
copied that rhythm gave me, and one is the model that I created,
21:57
but both show an edge on the Sun to win this game.
22:01
Basically the rhythm model is projecting a 82 to 74.3 win by
22:07
the rhythm, by the by the rhythm slip of the tongue by the sun.
22:11
And then also the community feature, which I know you guys
22:13
are clamoring for and don't worry, it's coming soon.
22:16
But the community feature which basically pulls all the models
22:19
in the community. Everyone has a rhythm model. 96%
22:22
of bettors are going with the sun money line.
22:24
So again, you might say Josh 96% red flag bet against that, that
22:29
big public number. But remember, this is quote UN
22:31
quote public, but not really. These are sharp people who have
22:35
a rhythm map and the public isn't betting based on AI backed
22:38
models. You know, it's wise guys, wise
22:40
gals who are betting it. So Long story short, rhythm is
22:43
saying to take the sun on the money line and I'm seeing a
22:46
sharp move on the sun on the money line with a good rest for
22:48
his tired event. So I'm going sun money line.
22:51
Let's win this damn game. Stay up late with me. 10:00
22:54
start. I am on the Connecticut sun to
22:56
win the game on the money line at -150 that about does it for
23:01
today's episode of the all systems go sports betting pod
23:04
presented by rhythm episode 67. Now in the books, guys, First
23:08
off, thank you as always for tuning in for listening, for
23:11
sweating UFC biting with me on the weekends and cashing Ian
23:14
Gary. But seriously, thank you for
23:17
taking the time out of your day to be a part of the community.
23:19
And also I'm going to ask something of you.
23:22
I feel like I give a good amount of information each day.
23:25
Well, can you do something for me in return?
23:26
Can you please go give this podcast a 5 star review?
23:31
That's right. If you're on Spotify or iTunes
23:33
or any other platform you listen to the pod on, give it a 5 star
23:36
review. It really helps us to rise up
23:37
the rankings, gain credibility, gain some more eyeballs.
23:41
Then also, if you want to refer the pod to a friend, that will
23:43
be very helpful if you want to follow it as well.
23:45
If you have an option to follow, which basically you get an alert
23:48
when it, when it, when it pops up with the new episode, that
23:51
would also be very helpful. So thank you so much for that.
23:54
Secondly, if you are interested in becoming a even sharper,
23:58
data-driven, sharp contrarian, better approaching the betting
24:01
market, like Wall Street approaches the stock market.
24:04
Well, guess what? There's a book you can go by.
24:06
It's called the everything guide to sports betting.
24:08
I wrote it, I'm the author. Just go to Amazon.com, type in
24:12
the everything guide to sports betting support the team, learn
24:15
more to be a data-driven better, how lines are set, how and why
24:18
they move, how to read line movement, how to locate sharp
24:20
action, how to place a bet in person or how to shop for the
24:23
best line all included, as well as all the chapters on all the
24:26
major sports. Once you get the the all the
24:29
everything guide to sports wedding and when you buy it,
24:31
I'll meet you at the the sports book and I'll sign my book and
24:34
I'll buy you a beer or I'll buy you a hot dog or I'll I'll get
24:37
you a ginger ale if you don't drink.
24:38
But seriously, guys, thank you. If you want to pick one up, it
24:41
would really, really mean a lot to me.
24:42
Now that about does it for today's podcast.
24:45
So whether I see you at the Encore in Boston or Plainbridge
24:48
Park Casino or MGM Springfield or the brook in in New Hampshire
24:52
or the Borgata down in New Jersey or Mohegan Sun in
24:55
Connecticut or out in the desert where the true grinders get
24:58
down. Where Billy Walters sends his
24:59
number runners, where the lowest juice possible is found at the
25:02
South Point. Or sweating, sharp contrarian
25:03
plays, jumping in the stadium swim pool.
25:05
When you cash a big ticket, wherever it may be, you're going
25:08
to walk up to me and you're going to flash me and Ian Gary
25:11
biting ticket. Everything we talked about data,
25:15
half the tickets, 84% money, sharp line move, youth
25:18
advantage, significant strike advantage all came through with
25:21
Gary as a big winner. So flash me a Gary ticket.
25:24
First one's on me, next one's on you.
25:26
We're going to post about the book.
25:27
Sweat sharp can train plays all night long.
25:30
So wish you the best of luck. Everyone have a fantastic
25:33
Monday. Of course, if you haven't done
25:34
it yet, go sign up for Rhythm and Juice Reel who can help you
25:37
win with AI back picks as well as increased tools for your
25:40
sports betting experience. And then we'll be back at it
25:43
tomorrow for episode 68 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting
25:47
pod. I'll leave you with this as I
25:48
always do, my little, my words of advice, my parting words.
25:51
This will be on my tombstone. Hopefully.
25:53
I live a very long life, but this is what it's going to say.
25:55
Stay sharp, stay contrarian, bet against the public, place
25:58
yourself on the side of the house, always be with the smart
26:01
money, never against it. Will smart money win every time?
26:03
Of course not. Anything can happen.
26:05
Betting's hard, crazy things can happen, but smart money will win
26:09
a majority of the time long term.
26:11
So always remember marathon, not a Sprint.
26:13
Forest amongst the trees if we can find that sweet spot, games
26:16
that fit our model against the public with the house, with the
26:18
pros, flat bet, avoid parlays, get that CLV.
26:21
If we can do that, we're going to be successful sports bettors.
26:24
So again, have a great Monday everyone, hope you had a great
26:27
weekend. 4th of July is upcoming here.
26:29
Let's see if we can make some money and start our week off
26:31
right. I'll see you guys tomorrow for
26:33
episode 68 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast powered
26:37
by Rhythm. Have a great day everybody, Good
26:40
luck.