Latest / The SPY Trader / Beyond the Magnificent Seven: A New Market Playbook
Transcript
- 0:00Good morning , market movers and early risers !
- 0:03Welcome to another episode of Spy Trader .
- 0:06I am your host , Barnaby Bullseye , coming to you live at 6 am on Friday , March 13th , 2026 , here on the Pacific coast .
- 0:16It is a beautiful morning to talk money , and we have a lot to unpack as we navigate this mature phase of the AI expansion that we have been riding since 2023 .
- 0:25Let us start with the big picture .
- 0:28We are seeing what I like to call a Kshaped recovery this quarter .
- 0:32The S&P 500 , which you can track through the SPY or VOO , is hovering right near alltime highs because diversified growth is picking up the slack as the Magnificent Seven momentum cools down a bit .
- 0:46Over on the techheavy Nasdaq100 , represented by the QQQ , we are seeing a slight dip of 0.4 percent today .
- 0:56This is mostly because investors are rotating out of those highvaluation semiconductor stocks .
- 1:01Meanwhile , the little guys are having a great day .
- 1:04The smallcap component of the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF , or VTI , is outperforming with a 1.2 percent jump .
- 1:13Why ?
- 1:13Because the Federal Reserve is keeping things stable .
- 1:17They held interest rates steady at 3.75 percent last week , shifting their focus from fighting inflation to sticking that soft landing .
- 1:26Speaking of inflation , yesterday’s CPI report was music to the ears , coming in at 2.2 percent .
- 1:33That is right near the target , making the market feel a lot more comfortable .
- 1:38In the bond world , the iShares Core U.S.
- 1:40Aggregate Bond ETF , or AGG , is seeing steady inflows , while the 10year Treasury yield is sitting at 3.9 percent , keeping the longterm bond ETF , TLT , relatively flat .
- 1:53Now , let us dive into the sectors .
- 1:56In technology , we are moving from the era of AI potential to AI revenue .
- 2:02Microsoft recently announced they are fully integrating Copilot 3.0 across Windows , which is a huge deal for software monetization .
- 2:10On the flip side , NVIDIA is down 3 percent this week .
- 2:14It turns out AWS and Google are using more of their own inhouse chips to reduce their reliance on NVIDIA’s Blackwell2 architecture .
- 2:22Over in healthcare , the XLV fund is a top performer .
- 2:27Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk are hitting new highs thanks to a Lancet study showing longterm benefits for their weightloss pills .
- 2:35Also , keep an eye on real estate and financials .
- 2:38Large regional banks are reporting betterthanexpected margins , which is boosting the XLF , and the Vanguard Real Estate ETF , VNQ , is finally gaining traction as property values bottom out .
- 2:51So , what should you be doing with your portfolio ?
- 2:54First , look for quality growth .
- 2:57Stick with the cash flow kings like Alphabet , which is trading at a lower valuation than its peers .
- 3:04I recommend a core position in the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF , or VOO , to navigate this interest rate environment .
- 3:12Second , play a little defense .
- 3:14I suggest allocating about 15 percent to the Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund , XLV , and maybe 5 percent to SPDR Gold Shares , or GLD , as a hedge against global tensions .
- 3:28Third , do not forget to look abroad .
- 3:31The US market is getting a bit pricey , so consider the Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF , known as VEA .
- 3:38It gives you exposure to undervalued European gems like LVMH or Siemens .
- 3:43To wrap it up , for broad exposure , stick with VTI .
- 3:47If you want growth , look at the QQQ for that software revolution .
- 3:51For income , the Vanguard Total Bond ETF , BND , is offering secure 4 percent yields .
- 3:59We are cautiously bullish right now , focusing on earnings quality .
- 4:03Keep your eyes peeled for the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index tomorrow to see how everyone is feeling .
- 4:09That is it for this morning's Spy Trader .
- 4:12Stay smart , stay relatable , and I will see you at the next opening bell !