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10/26/26 Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles Pick NFL Week 7 Pick Prediction

Cowboys at Eagles: Model Score, Odds & Week 7 Matchup by Tony T.

Hurts is on injured reserve and expected to miss the rest of the season, so the Philadelphia baseline must be recalculated around McKee. The model applies a -4.0-point offensive adjustment for the starter-to-backup change, using McKee’s current-season EPA/dropback and CPOE as a cautious guide rather than treating one start as a stable true talent estimate. An additional -1.0 point is assigned for losing DeVonta Smith and Dontayvion Wicks, with -0.5 point for Barkley’s uncertain availability/workload.

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