Latest / Uncomfortable Conversations with Josh Szeps / "Being Courageous in a Conformist World" with Sarah Wilson
Transcript
- 0:00Get a humans. Welcome to the safe space for dangerous ideas. Here's a dangerous idea for you.
- 0:08We're all getting soft. We're all getting too soft to be able to have real vigorous debates anymore.
- 0:14Some cultures can do it. The French, for example, still seem capable of figuring out how to
- 0:20disagree as an art form, how to actually cultivate the craft of disagreement and
- 0:26argumentation in a civil environment. But that we in the Anglo-Sphere have lost that
- 0:32knack. We just squabble in predictable ways. It was that sense, that sense of a kind of
- 0:39civilizational decline, that sense of being on a treadmill to nowhere that caused today's
- 0:45guest Sarah Wilson to pack it all in. She had it all. She was the editor of Cosmopolitan magazine
- 0:50in Australia. She was a host of MasterChef, the television show. She was a wellness columnist and
- 0:57had millions of readers. And then she sold everything and she traveled the world. She's now a
- 1:04nomad. She doesn't have a house. She is based in Paris because that is the place where people
- 1:09can still argue. And this is an example of an argument in itself. Sarah and I disagree on a lot.
- 1:17We have a kind of a mutual respect, a longstanding relationship, but kind of an intellectual friction,
- 1:22I suppose. And we're both on Substack. So this week we jumped on Substack Live and we live streamed
- 1:28to her fans and mine. This is a slightly unusual episode in a sense that it's not as buttoned up.
- 1:33It's not pre-recorded like the normal podcast is. It's a taste, really, for you to see what it's
- 1:38like and the kinds of stuff that we're experimenting with over on Substack if you haven't already
- 1:43joined us there. We talk about everything from how population collapse could cause
- 1:48civilizational decline to how much to blame the woke left or the trumpists for the decline of
- 1:53conversation. I love Sarah. I love this conversation. I hope you enjoy as much as I did. The one
- 1:58the only Sarah Wilson. Such a shame we didn't get to catch up in Europe. I was just in Amsterdam.
- 2:08And I hit up older Sarah and I was like, come up to Amsterdam for the weekend and get dinner.
- 2:14It's a little far. I get it. It's a little far.
- 2:18We have a bit hectic. You have these ideas in a stragging that you can just come on a train,
- 2:24you know? Sure. And then again, the bureaucracy, oh come on, that's not that hard.
- 2:31Buying a train ticket from Paris to Amsterdam. I can do that on my phone in three seconds.
- 2:36Yeah, it's not. I'm sad to have missed the opportunity as well because it's always
- 2:41wrapped by a conversation between you and I, between you and anyone really. That's true and
- 2:46between you and anyone. Yeah, probably. So tell us about this turret or tower that you were in,
- 2:55I mean, when you say that you're in a tower in Paris, it brings up kind of like gollest,
- 3:00or medieval ideas about where you might be.
- 3:05Well, the being suggested such. I'm on the seventh floor and anyone who's been to Paris before,
- 3:10you would know that a lot of apartments don't have a lift and ass-on-set. So I walk up.
- 3:16And the final floor is like a spiral staircase. And it's kind of storage. It's where the
- 3:21maids used to live. And then under the tin roof, where if it is 30 degrees outside, it's 40 degrees
- 3:28inside. So I've been sweating it out in here and it's just a temporary place because as you know,
- 3:35Josh, I live, as I'm going to say on the run, she's on the land. I live nomatically. So I
- 3:43just float around, but I'm actually trying to find somewhere more permanently, but I'll do it
- 3:47after the summer. You want to repeat summer nights. There's no point doing anything between now
- 3:51and the end of August. So I'm going to be flying out hiking, speaking out a few festivals in the UK,
- 3:57that kind of thing. And this is just the temporary thing that I've rented off some academic.
- 4:02There's a website where they use the, you know, if they're in Japan on a sabbatical,
- 4:07you can take over their place. So that's what I'm doing.
- 4:12And sleep anywhere. I can live in absolute grungy circumstances as long as it's quiet,
- 4:17and I'm away from all the humans. I'm up here. I'm literally, there's no common walls.
- 4:21I've got a view of the hall. It turns around, but it'll cause chaos so that you could see outside,
- 4:26but you can see that I shall tower not to die on the whole thing. So it's pretty amazing.
- 4:31You're, you're essentially a pigeon up there. You could to look down on everything and feel safe
- 4:35because you're purchasing all like my cat who gets up on her little perch on one of those little
- 4:40things and likes to be able to look down on everybody else. Make sure that there's no danger coming
- 4:43from above. You essentially need to make sure that the only things that could be attacking you
- 4:47are bald eagles, but nothing from the ground. I understand that instinct.
- 4:51Yeah, and also it's kind of that the princess in the ivory tower. Everybody's got to climb up
- 4:57to meet me. And thankfully, most of them don't make it. So I'm left alone. I can descend down and
- 5:02have a coffee every now and then, but yeah. It's great. It's quite likely. Nicely.
- 5:07The thing I admire about your lifestyle, many things Sarah, but one in particular is, what do you do
- 5:11all your shit? Have you got rid of all your shit? What's your where's your shit? I haven't
- 5:15owned shit in years, Josh. When about 35, I was in a cosmo and I quit and I took off
- 5:23sold off all of my stuff at what I could pack into a car and I went up to the, as you do, to the
- 5:30forest in the northern, up in northern New South Wales and lived up there and gradually just wore
- 5:36everything out. So I'm still wearing stuff from when I was 18. I'm now 51 and I just sort of
- 5:41rotate my clothes. So I've got one suitcase with me now and one backpack and that's what I live out
- 5:46of. I love it. It's so glamorous. It's so hanging away. It's so like on the road. It's so
- 5:52carolac, I should say. It's very easy. Yeah. So I can just pack things up and I'm taking a suitcase
- 5:57over to a friend's house, but the rest I'll just take with me for the summer. It'll have my
- 6:00tent. It'll have my little tent stove. It'll have a couple of changes of clothes so that I can do
- 6:05presentations, go hiking. But yeah, I've been like, I've been living like this for so long.
- 6:10I'm daily male likes to pick up on the fact that, and let's put it out there again in case I
- 6:14pick up on it again. But I have about three years of underpants at a time. So I'm a big fan of
- 6:23that. I'm a big fan of that as well. I mean, I'm the kind of person who you're like, you know,
- 6:27you know, so I'm happy to be married to the kind of person who, when going on a weekend away,
- 6:33will take like almost comically large quantities of luggage. Like, you know, it's like almost white
- 6:40lotus levels of like dragging gigantic pink suitcases full of like, and you know, what could you,
- 6:46I don't even know what I would, even if you asked me to fill those things, I wouldn't even know
- 6:49what to put it in. But what am I putting? Sausbons, what are we carrying pets, live iguanas?
- 6:55And so, but I, so I, there has never become a matter of pride to me that I am the member of the
- 7:01household who will go on a four week trip to North America in the middle of winter and only take a
- 7:08carry on, you know, carry on luggage. But the idea of actually going as far as you have
- 7:12and turning my entire life into that is still like, it's almost like, to me, it's
- 7:18imagine going fully vegan raw food for me. You know, it's like something I would love to believe
- 7:26that I am capable of doing. And yet, I'm too much of a fool and human being,
- 7:30homo sapien, to pull off. Yeah, I mean, I guess the difference is is, I don't,
- 7:38yeah, I don't bang on about it. Actually, I probably do. People are fascinated by it. I was going to say,
- 7:41I don't know. Well, it is interesting. It is interesting. But you get a pass, you get a banging on
- 7:46pass when people are asking you all the time about it. I think if people are asking you,
- 7:50then you have a get out of jail free card. If people are just joining us, Sarah Wilson's internet
- 7:56connection is a little unstable today. As indeed as Sarah Wilson, all the time, wouldn't you say,
- 8:01Sarah? I'll just banter for one moment while you're internet connection covers. I see that people
- 8:10are already commenting and asking questions. Sarah Peggy says, Josh, you wrote an article in the age
- 8:16about Israel a week ago. And it was quite offensive and very uninformed. I would like to debate
- 8:22this with you. Thank you, Peggy. I appreciate the offer. You'll be delighted to hear that I've just
- 8:28recorded an editorial about the article and its, and the reaction to the article and the strikes on
- 8:36Iran, which will come out overnight, Australian time. So within 24 hours, you'll be able to hear
- 8:42me a pine for an entire hour, which I'm sure answer all of your questions. Very controversial,
- 8:48Sarah, apparently, to argue that diaspora Jews should perhaps think independently instead of being
- 8:54perfectly synonymous with the IDF. I was one controversial. I was wondering how much,
- 8:59yeah, flaky cocked from that. Yeah, that's a big one. And I applaud you for putting that
- 9:05idea out there because it's being in the back of my mind, but I obviously can't write a piece
- 9:11like that. I'm not Jewish. I probably, I had to imagine what happened if I post you
- 9:18later that idea outside of my own private friendship circles. But yeah, bravo, Josh, I think
- 9:26whether people agree with it or disagree with it, I think it's a perspective that needs to be
- 9:29put out there because it's, it's been dangling. There's an elephant in the room and it's been
- 9:35big one. Yeah, I mean, it's really difficult for me to sort of speak about it to an Australian audience
- 9:40because over here, these kinds of things can be spoken about. You can actually have these debates
- 9:46in the street at cafes, in public, and the intellectual side of it is debated,
- 9:53rather than sort of, you know, personal history on X and stuff like that. So, but in Australia,
- 9:58I'm very, very aware. It's just, it's extreme, it's extremely difficult territory to even venturing
- 10:05to, especially her, you know, a white middle age woman who's not Jewish. Yeah, yes, but do you
- 10:11find that in France, the conversation is genuinely open-minded or is it close-minded in another way,
- 10:18which is that to be reflexively anti-Israel is the acceptable position and to have a nuanced
- 10:25position about, well, maybe I believe in Zionism, but I don't believe in the settlements or, you know,
- 10:30maybe I believe, like in the occupation, as long as the Palestinians are willing to acknowledge
- 10:35Israel, is it, like, is there grey, or is it just like, well, I mean, it's a shitty little Zionist
- 10:40state? I would say that, obviously, like rest of the world, it's, it's changed over the last two
- 10:47years, you know what I mean? Like, I think there was a lot more grey happening 18 months, two years
- 10:52ago, and progressively that's, that's shifted as, as the war has progressed. But I would say that
- 10:58the French, you know, they say here that if you get invited to a party, bring a good bottle of
- 11:02wine and a good argument, and really they're in it for the argument, they really do. I'd say that
- 11:08as the first point, but then I would also say that what's happening in Israel and Palestine, it's
- 11:14huge here at the moment, there's protests on all the time that are about, you know, free Palestine,
- 11:20but I would say that the French cover a whole range of issues, and the French are able to accept
- 11:27that the world is in a, is a complicated and complex place. And so they're able to actually
- 11:33hold nuance, they're able to actually discuss different world politics without getting really,
- 11:39really worked up. So even if they've got an entrenched point of view, they don't go absolutely
- 11:44mental, and you know, I was watching something with two toddlers, and it was, somebody was
- 11:52analysing these two French toddlers having an argument, and they could barely speak French,
- 11:56that was doing made up French, you know, and I was saying here is a cut example of two people
- 12:00having a French argument, and the way that it works is that people don't shout over the top of each
- 12:06other, so he's commentating, going observe, they don't shout over the top of each other,
- 12:09they listen to this point, it robustly engage, it doesn't matter what they're talking about,
- 12:14you know, it's fiery and worked up, but it's, it doesn't get personal, it doesn't get, you know,
- 12:19over a certain threshold. So I'd say that's the difference, is they can maintain these ideas
- 12:24because they're used to debating complex ideas. Yeah, I completely get that, and I do,
- 12:31do you think it's gotten worse over the past five or 10 years in countries like Australia?
- 12:35I mean, I don't know if I'm just wistful towards a past that never actually existed, and things
- 12:40were equally tribal, and the time in which my parents were in their middle age, but I do have a
- 12:47sense that in my sort of theory of the case is that it's become harder and harder for us to
- 12:54figure out what's going on in the world because of the breakdown of legacy media and the rise
- 12:58of social media and the splintering of all of our information ecosystems. There have been a bunch
- 13:06of taboos on both the right and the left, the right has its obvious taboos, Israel being one of them,
- 13:12you know, but the left has its taboos in terms of social justice and cancel culture and
- 13:17kind of woke ideas and things that you're not supposed to say, and therefore we've lost the
- 13:22knack of respectfully wrestling with ideas because the penalties are too high if you accidentally
- 13:29trigger the tripwire or trip over the taboo, so we're all training on eggshells and we no longer
- 13:37really know how to hear an idea that we hate without it feeling like a personal affront and like
- 13:43the person who's articulating it must be not just wrong or misguided, but evil and worthy of being
- 13:49shut down or dismissed. I'd say there's three factors because I've thought about this a fair
- 13:55bit because you do the whole comparison between Australia and Europe. The first thing is that
- 14:01Murdoch media obviously dominates and so you do have tribalized media in Australia more so
- 14:07more so than probably over here, obviously it exists around the world. The second thing is
- 14:12the absolute opulence. I think opulence basically necessitates quite lazy, flustered thinking,
- 14:19also a lack of ability to actually hear other points of use. So you know, it's been almost,
- 14:26well, it's been just a little over three decades of uninterrupted economic growth in Australia and
- 14:31sure there's being slight lips and there's a cost of living crisis I understand going on in Australia
- 14:36at the moment and it's legit for those who are actually experiencing it, but the middle class is
- 14:41always being far more comfortable and very much protected from say the GFC, this kind of thing,
- 14:48even COVID didn't actually have a huge economic. That's the financial crisis. That's right,
- 14:53the global financial crisis for American viewers because I know you're still using your Aussie
- 15:00Lingo, yeah. Exactly. The GFC, the global financial crisis. Yeah, that's it, we've got a short
- 15:06and everything, but that kind of opulism that comes, you know, binding boom, et cetera,
- 15:12means that there's just not a need to actually question things and go down deeper. And I think,
- 15:18you know, coupled with an anti-intellectualism that has always existed. So I think it has always
- 15:23existed. I know in the 70s, you know, of course, you know, lots of intellectuals left and, you know,
- 15:29and for similar reasons to the what we're talking about now. And then I think, you know,
- 15:33the third reason is that the schooling system and the whole way that, you know, the system has
- 15:39operated as a result of 30 years of opulence means that debating and ideas are just not treasured.
- 15:46The schooling system here in France is like, from what I understand from my friends who've got kids
- 15:51in it, is like the 1970s. You know, like it's strict, you must have firm ideas on things, you
- 15:58must be able to debate it. So kids grow up, actually, you know, debating ideas. And I see parents on
- 16:05those bikes, because everyone rides a bike here, or be a whole family and a bike, and they're having
- 16:08a big old debate going down the street. And I can only catch bits of what they're talking about,
- 16:13but they're really reasoned arguments. It'll be a three year old going, oh, but the parents will
- 16:18go, oh, you know, and it's, that is the culture and the schooling system operates this way. So I
- 16:24think that everything's being kind of homogenized out. Everyone gets, you know, awards for just turning
- 16:28up. And this idea of robustly engaging stuff is just not part of our culture now. And I think,
- 16:34but the main reason is that opulence. Yeah, I think you and I have disagreed on this before,
- 16:40because I find it a bit materialistically sort of simplistic to blame opulence. Like there's
- 16:46certainly a kind of a comfortable conformism. And I don't know if it's caused by opulence,
- 16:54or if it's just caused by the sort of ethos of, she'll be right. And maybe you need both of those
- 16:58ingredients in order for it to take place. You know, but I certainly know a lot of places where there's
- 17:05hardship, material hardship, but not broad-minded or deep thinking. And you can certainly think of
- 17:12places that are prosperous, but you know, but have boisterous levels of intellectual disagreement,
- 17:18like the northeast of the United States, or I don't know Scandinavia or something.
- 17:22There's something about a, like Aussies are just very concerned with maintaining an even keel
- 17:29and not rocking the boat and keeping things nice. You know, you don't want to be, you don't want to
- 17:35upset anybody. You don't want to rock the boat too much. You want to make sure that you're in
- 17:40with the right crowd. And I just think that in addition to schooling, the French in particular
- 17:46have a home life that is much more animated by the art of overboisterous conflict and, you know,
- 17:54almost socratic challenging of each other. And it's something that I'm very comfortable with,
- 17:58because my dad was a European refugee who grew up in Paris and had that whole ethos of sitting
- 18:06around the dining room table and debating the nature of the cosmos and, you know, the existence
- 18:12of God and whatever. It's also quite a Jewish thing, I got to say, like this sort of the training
- 18:17of this kind of Talmudic aggressive engagement with ideas. And Aussies are just not on this.
- 18:25I mean, it may be it's an Anglo thing. I mean, it may be, but then like the Irish have it as well,
- 18:30but maybe the Brit stung it and maybe the, maybe it's the British strain of Australianism that
- 18:35lacks it. I think it is a perfect storm, but you're, I think you're actually taking things in
- 18:41isolation rather than the whole sort of system. Australia as a system is an opulent place,
- 18:47right? And so the levers of intellectual thinking, the things that actually dictate what determines
- 18:54intellectualism have become flaccid, basically from too much ease. That's the way I see it.
- 19:00Now, of course, you can take little pockets out and go, yes, there's working class sections in,
- 19:04you know, Paramata where they're really having great debates, sure, but as a culture, that is not
- 19:09the vibe. And I think that, you know, there's lots of studies that have been done to show the
- 19:15connection between wealth, you know, a wealthy country and a lack of curiosity. And I think that's
- 19:21gone a bit to do it with it as well. When I was going up in the 90s, I actually do think Australia
- 19:26was a lot more curious because sort of media exposed us to what was happening in the rest of the world,
- 19:31but we were isolated. So we always wanted to know what was going on out there. We were the largest
- 19:36consumers of media, you know, when I was the editor of Cosmopolitan, Australians were reading more
- 19:43magazines than anyone per capita in the world. And we're the biggest uptakers of new technology,
- 19:49because we were always reaching outwards. So I think technologies had a part to play in this,
- 19:53because we're not as curious, because everything comes to us, you know, sort of, you know,
- 19:58like this as a as a tumbling sort of vomiting of information as it does in the rest of the world.
- 20:04So we just don't have that that yearning to go out there and learn about the rest of the world.
- 20:10Yes. I mean, I think the other the other technological factor here is the fact that social media
- 20:16and the internet has led Australia to an overconsumption of American based content,
- 20:22because we're in the Anglo sphere. So we're we're inheriting or wrestling with a lot of our own
- 20:28issues through the prism of American culture. And in particular, I think the last 10 years
- 20:34has that's been damaging because America has become so hot. And during certainly the social
- 20:40justice reckoning, which I think also then gave rise to Trump. And like these are extremely
- 20:48toxic cultural movements. And for Australians to be sort of pushing all of their own ideas about
- 20:55big issues like climate change or Gaza or whatever it might be through the prism of American social
- 21:01justice or American make America great again is not helpful. And does it cause a tribal
- 21:08tribalism and a group think where Aussies have more up their first instinct when they talk to you
- 21:14or when they read a piece like my piece in the Harold and the age is to think what tribe are you
- 21:19in what side are you on instead of what is it that you're saying? How can I critique it? What do I
- 21:25agree with or disagree? Like where is the nuance? Where's the where's the space for agreement? Like
- 21:29how exactly do we differ? Let's you know, let's basically use repartee and discourse and dialogue
- 21:36as a way to communally reach some sort of higher conclusion rather than you've said something that
- 21:42is dissenting and you're a heretic and so you're out. Well, so you picked up on something there
- 21:47that I think really comes down to it was really I think really hones all of this so it's individualism.
- 21:52I think Australia has adopted the individualism that has you know just gone through the roof in America
- 21:59and we're really brought into all of that again as a result of opulence because you know that
- 22:04accumulative mindset works you know when there's money floating around but Vivek Murphy who's
- 22:11the surgeon general he wrote a book called Together it was sort of shortly after COVID I think
- 22:17but he was writing about how tribal kind of thinking when we're in a crisis what happens is
- 22:23we actually have to create another and so we really lock down into us versus them thinking
- 22:30and we have to create a other out there if there isn't on already and that's what's happening
- 22:35in Trump's America there's this no ability to be able to go we can actually be here and there can
- 22:41be actually cooperation with the other we've got actually create them into the enemy and that's
- 22:45where the scapegoating comes in with migrants with Jewish people or with Arabs as well there's always
- 22:52a scapegoating in those kinds of cultures which of course means that you can't actually have healthy
- 22:57robust community building conversations that is another factor and again it's the central thing
- 23:03here is individualism you know what do you mean by individualism there because I associate as
- 23:09something of an individualism myself and sort of a you know civilly libertarian minded person
- 23:14I associate a lot of the rise of group think and tribalism with a decline of the brave courageous
- 23:21individual and the rise of people conforming into subgroups where for me Trumpism is a populist
- 23:29nativist blood and soil group think about who gets to be in the group of the legitimate American
- 23:35versus who is in the out group of the illegitimate American and similarly the arrangement of the
- 23:39left over the past decade has been about micro managing the groups of historically disadvantaged
- 23:46marginalized communities to squabble over a finite pie for which hierarchy of privilege versus
- 23:52under privilege or oppressors oppressed or colonizer versus colonized gets to enjoy a certain
- 24:00ranking in a hierarchy of groups and for me it would be liberating if everyone was just a little
- 24:05bit more individualistic in the way that I understand the term but that's not how you're using a
- 24:09issue no I do use it in that term I disagree with you I actually do think that I do think that
- 24:18individualism has produced that Trumpian type of thinking which is all about individual rights
- 24:26it's all about me me me and that's all about certain people getting ahead of everybody else
- 24:31it's not about bringing everybody up together that's certainly not what they're thinking about
- 24:36and that individualist thinking has then observed what the work left have been doing
- 24:42and see that as tribal and you know really I will pay back workism and I really hate the way that
- 24:50it's been appropriated misappropriated inverted and so on over the last couple of years but at this
- 24:55core it's really meant to be about being alive to making sure that everybody gets a fair go at life
- 25:01and so that's a collectivist way of looking at things when you're an individualist you see that
- 25:08as another ring you see that as a form of tribalism and it's like well no it's about bringing
- 25:14everyone along together so I actually do think that hyper hyper individualism has fragmented
- 25:21even collectivist thinking and turned workism into a tribal kind of you know groupthink movement
- 25:30now of course what's then happened is that the work left has then obviously got tribal
- 25:36to actually you know sort of combat what's been happening so it's been a two-and-fro
- 25:41I'm not saying um workism doesn't have its faults it certainly has become highly problematic
- 25:48but we've got to remember where it all started from um so that's what I would say has been going on
- 25:53I think I mean I'm certainly with you I think we would certainly agree that like the whole
- 25:59concept of workness has now become an abused notion that the rights just uses to beat up on
- 26:06anything that they don't like um but the would you say for example that the French far right is
- 26:12individualist that the French far right is what is individualist look I think it's it's not quite
- 26:22as individualist as um what's happening in the US but no um because I see the far right and
- 26:30trumpism as as groupy collectivist are populist ideas of reframe you're right that they they are
- 26:41individualist to the extent that they are not universalist right they're not universalist in a
- 26:45traditional old school left wing sense of like all humans are created equal and we should lift
- 26:52everybody up and care for the lowliest among us and you know give the shirt off our own back in
- 26:57order to help the corporate and all that sort of stuff they're not universalist or progressive
- 27:02in that sense but they're not focused on the sanctity of the individual either there are all
- 27:10about drawing borders between groups of people and in that sense they're collectivist there are
- 27:15who's in and who's out who belongs here and who doesn't who has the right to be here and who
- 27:19doesn't who fits in and who doesn't who has an alien religion like Islam who has you know weird
- 27:26habits like the Haitians who are eating cats and dogs like who you know it's all about
- 27:31tried it's all about enforcing borders of a tried because they regard the world as having as being
- 27:37this globalist cosmopolitan melage of nonsense that you know is going to spin out of control unless
- 27:44they reassert groups but what I would say is that individualism actually created the realm the world
- 27:53where somebody like Trump can rise to power what he's doing now is creating a cult like our tribal as
- 28:00you say mindset to to win now I don't think it's about bringing up everybody together it's really
- 28:07about the elites it's about you know ironically given that that's what he he criticizes it's really
- 28:13about bringing his oligarchal mates along for the ride so it is individualism that created it
- 28:19and back to that diva mercy point is when you get to a crisis point then everybody has to survive
- 28:26by going tribal so that's what we're seeing in the US is this tribalism that's that's that's in
- 28:33place now before all of this was happening and things were karma you had the collectivists and
- 28:38you had the individualists right and in a individual unit as a you know a family member Josh you have
- 28:45two sort of forces going at play you have your individualism and this is how we operate as humans
- 28:51where we're going to look after ourselves and our our offspring and our immediate circle
- 28:57because that's actually in our interest however we don't have fangs we don't run fast we don't
- 29:03have poison in our tail the only thing we've ever been able to do to survive as a species and
- 29:08reach the top of the food chain is to cooperate so we've essentially lived in this tension between
- 29:14individualism and collectivism all throughout our existence and we have community leaders to
- 29:20ensure that one doesn't two out of control because when it's in balance with survivors of species
- 29:26and what happened since the 1970s as sort of neo liberalism started to come in is that we got rid
- 29:33of all of those those leaders and those sort of boundary makers I call them the the umpires on
- 29:39the foodie field of life so we got rid of the unions we got rid of we can even say religious
- 29:47leaders moral thinkers the various sort of stop gaps that would actually ensure our individualism
- 29:55didn't take over and stop the collective thinking preserving us so what's happened now we've
- 30:00arrived in 2025 without any of these umpires actually keeping the game fair it's like plate
- 30:07out and umpire without rules it is no longer fun it's helpful letter it goes Roman Empire you know
- 30:14kind of arena style um kind of battle and then you and then then what happens is you've got to go
- 30:21tribal that's where that's okay so that's what the um that's what sort of neo liberalism got rid
- 30:29of he's all those checks and balances and i mean two yeah i think there are there are two things
- 30:37happening happening there that you're pointing to one is the decline of the group and the rise
- 30:41of the individual but then i think it's actually a separate move to remove the umpires because the
- 30:47first thing is not just about removing umpires it's about i remember there was this book i don't
- 30:51if you remember around the turn of the millennium there was a book that was briefly viral called
- 30:56millennium and it was a big hard cover coffee table book and it was about the it was sort of like
- 31:00that if you imagine the Yuval Noah Harari of the time right uh and it was i remember one line in
- 31:08it which was they were the author was comparing the enlightenment uh to uh the discovery of nuclear
- 31:17power and saying that the enlightenment and individualism and individual rights um for the first time
- 31:25splits the social atom and unleashed the ferocious power of the individual in the same way that
- 31:30nuclear energy and you know split the physical atom and unleashed all that power and that i think
- 31:36was a welcome thing i mean i think that is a lot of the dissenting heterodox ideas that gave rise
- 31:45to human rights and the franchise for women and a whole bunch of other things and then enter racism
- 31:52but more recently i see what you're saying about the decline of fair umpires and an increasingly
- 31:58rigged system that has given rise that always that has left a space in which cynical people like
- 32:05the Donald Trumps of the world can step into it criticizing oligarchs while he himself is an
- 32:11oligarch criticizing plutocrats while he himself is a plutocrat criticizing the rigged system while
- 32:17he himself is the biggest rigor of any system criticizing you know the elites who don't listen to
- 32:23the little man while he enriches himself and his family at the expense of the little man but the
- 32:28only reason he can plausibly make the case is because he is pointing to a real thing that has
- 32:34happened since probably the 80s which is that the working poor have been disempowered and you know
- 32:41regional towns have had their hearts ripped out and the church has declined and there is destabilization
- 32:47and globalization has had impacts and we just haven't dealt with any of that as well as we might
- 32:52have and now we're suffering the consequences. So I mean it's going around in all kinds of
- 32:57circles but this is exactly how complex systems go and that's as you know what my latest book is
- 33:03about which I wrote on a sub-stark as a serialization has now been picked up by Penguin in the US
- 33:08um to be published next year but um I explain all of these complex systems so I mean if we take
- 33:14a linear moment in time sure we can have this argument that you know individualism we need to
- 33:20return to it because it's the thing that stops these tribal ways of going about things but it's
- 33:25a complex system and we've arrived precisely at this point as as other complex civilisations
- 33:32before us so I don't know if you know about this I've been rattling on about it for ages we probably
- 33:36covered at some point at one of our dinners or something but um every complex civilisation throughout
- 33:43history has collapsed and we are in the process of collapse we're in the sixth stage there's
- 33:49generally sort of six stages that have been mapped out by historians and we're in the sixth stage
- 33:54and this is what it looks like and it's precise it happens the same way around into rampant
- 34:00individualism leads to an anti-intellectualism that then leads to a essentially this uh era of
- 34:08frivolity, narcissism um you know fake news literally um this has happened in the Roman Empire the
- 34:14Mayan Empire and so on so there's a whole range of factors that uh play out after these other things
- 34:20have played out and it's a pattern that we the most boring predictable kind of species on the
- 34:25planet we we do it over and over again and we have not learned our lessons and um we're we're
- 34:31you know it's played out exactly as it has before and as the historians warned us it would
- 34:37and it is individualism that will kick it off um there's a range of different factors the thing
- 34:42that will actually tip is a is usually a climate crisis or and um oh what's his name Peter
- 34:50Peter the polyamath you wrote a book my god it's too early in the morning for me to remember the
- 34:54Russian polymath um he wrote a book about how collapse the thing that triggers it is um
- 35:02inequality inequality is the thing that will tip a civilization it's the ultimate kind of
- 35:06trigger point there'll be all these other things going on but it's the thing that will tip the
- 35:10civilization off the edge Peter church and Peter church and thank you very much that's exactly
- 35:15well that was one of our substakers uh Karola thank you Karola thank you Karola oh Karola
- 35:20yeah Karola is one of my followers and she has probably heard me quite Peter church and many times
- 35:25over um but yeah he works out of the Austrian Institute of Systems complex systems um and his book
- 35:34was a big best seller a couple of years ago but um this is how it goes and it's sort of interesting
- 35:40just sort of seeing how um the heterodox movement um which you know I'm I'm being a big fan of but
- 35:47they've gone down this whole uh I think spiral of thinking because they've got trapped in this
- 35:53us versus them thinking which is precisely what will tip a civilization and it's exactly what we
- 35:58shouldn't be doing at the moment um so I get disappointed where my my former left thinking
- 36:05brethren has become so anti-woad and I just don't think that's the issue I actually think it's the
- 36:11the upshot of what has been happening for quite a number of years now so we need to pull back and see
- 36:17it as a broad systemic issue rather than taking a little linear chunks and focusing on on those
- 36:23uh because that's exactly what got us into the into trouble in the first place um and it's also
- 36:29what's going to prevent us from getting out of the trouble I like that uh you're going back to the
- 36:34fake news in the Mayan Empire I want to hear what the Mayan fake news was what the
- 36:40and what you know what this information and the people who roll um you know the the the passing
- 36:47on of information and it's the idea of a bullshit not lying but bullshit um and you know that sort
- 36:54of that writer who wrote the book in the 80s on bullshit you know what he's on about like
- 36:59being that we were heading in this direction um where lying isn't even the problem anymore it's like
- 37:04an absolute disrespect for truth which of course Trump has lies like yeah he's lying there's
- 37:11still a connection to to the truth you kind of know that you're going against the truth uh and you
- 37:17trying to get away with it with bullshitting you've stuck two fingers up to the whole concept of
- 37:22telling anything resembling truth um and that's where we're at today yeah that's that
- 37:27things that is a six-stage collapse concept Daniel says on uh sub-stake that the Mayan's fake news
- 37:35was that the world will land in 2012 uh so apparently there you go it wasn't true it was 2012 right
- 37:40when was it when wasn't everyone running around with their hair on fire saying that the
- 37:43Mayans had predicted the end of civilization in the 90s or something yeah I mean there's been so
- 37:48many of these things and it did a party since it was just throw back at me um oh but it hasn't
- 37:54there've always been something like you saying the world's going to come to an end and I'm like
- 37:59yes I suppose the difference is today in 2025 we have modeling that has been done for many many years
- 38:06done by huge um you know think tags and institutes um showing that this is how it goes this is
- 38:14you know the systems are already in play I mean population collapse is probably the best example to
- 38:18show that there's no reversing it now you know um we are going to go through massive population
- 38:24declining a couple of decades and of course that's going to have a ripple on effect for the economy
- 38:28um for stability democracy all of that are you talking about the declining birth rates in the west
- 38:35the declining birth rates around the entire world um the actual population most environmentalists
- 38:42say that that's welcome and it should happen quicker I mean they're still having babies in Africa
- 38:46and Latin America um but uh the rate of increase is declining but we're still creating a lot of people
- 38:53yeah well why the global the global numbers about to the replacement rate um globally is well
- 39:00below the 2.1 required I think sorry I should say we're at 2.4 or globally it's about 2.4
- 39:07but it's going to actually be going down but what's important here is that some of the huge the
- 39:13biggest uh players in our global civilization are actually below replacement rates so South Korea is
- 39:21currently at 0.7 most of Europe's 1.4 and 1.6 and once you go below replacement you can't come back
- 39:29up again so Africa's replacement rate is going down so it's currently at four point something there
- 39:37are some nations that are going up ironically it is a result of malnutrition and increasing
- 39:42famine and poverty people tend to have more children in those times but it's a small blip that
- 39:49will probably them you know go back down the other way but India's only just above replacement China's
- 39:55below replacement so massive swaths of the pop of the world Sarah you now you're now sounding like
- 40:00the Christian conservatives who say that we should all have lots of babies because uh we're in an
- 40:05inexorable uh civilizational decline uh and I'm in forced into the position of the progressive small
- 40:12liberal who says well we'll we'll just import well I believe in immigration and we'll figure out
- 40:18where around it but I don't think it's an invalid concern but it's definitely you've got some
- 40:22strange bedfellows there yeah no totally but um just you're a man you can handle a hell of a lot of
- 40:27nuance it's not a this is no longer left versus right you can't work out the camps anymore I was
- 40:35you know grew up with this idea and the the population explosion poor adult Rick you know we're
- 40:39all doing because we're all just gonna you know eat up all the resources so people say to me
- 40:43isn't this great to the environment that the population's going to decline in a couple of decades
- 40:47well the problem is it's not going to happen soon enough to make a difference to that you know
- 40:511.5 degrees above pre-industrial temperature threshold that we're meant to be uh not surpassing
- 40:57although we're now in our second year of it um so it's not going to make a difference it's not
- 41:01going to make a difference to the things to to this deadline that we're on so everybody you know
- 41:06if you if you sort of take it again as a linear chunk in the whole argument sure less people
- 41:13but the point is we're not actually going to see a tangible decrease in population and we're
- 41:18going to hit a peak of 9 to 10 billion people in about 2050 and then it'll cut back down the
- 41:23other side radically fast so by 2050 we'll have gone over that threshold of climate warming so
- 41:30no it's not going to make a big a big difference yeah also I would just add to that to bolster your
- 41:36case somewhat the the reason why the population crisis is more dire than the climate crisis is
- 41:42because there are conceivable technological solutions to the climate crisis we're not acting
- 41:46on them fast enough and you know a lot of going to go around there but you can imagine a universe
- 41:52you can imagine you can easily imagine a universe in which technology gets us uh saves us from the worst
- 41:57of climate chaos you can't really imagine how technology saves us from the worst of just not having
- 42:03enough people like elderly and to fix the bridges and the infrastructure and the crumbling
- 42:10cities and especially now I mean and this is why the conservatives the Elon Musk's and the Trump's
- 42:16and so on are bringing out these you know bridesmaid's tail type subtility policies which is what
- 42:23they do made style yeah yeah but I mean but what's wrong with that isn't that consistent with your
- 42:30worldview one oh because firstly firstly what I would say is in hungry they did it and it made
- 42:35absolutely no dint on fertility um or in population replacement rates you cannot do it in time
- 42:41if the damage is done you cannot get back up to um replacement levels and that's being shown
- 42:46through all the modeling um then the second thing is that um trying to solve uh problem like
- 42:55draconian or wellian measures aren't going to cut it just just isn't it's not addressing the
- 43:01reasons why people aren't having children at the main reason why the fertility is going down
- 43:07is because of chemicals and uh and and sort of popular pollution problem um you know the sperm
- 43:17count of men has halved since the 1970s and there's projections saying yeah but that's not it
- 43:22Sarah that's not it it's not because people are trying desperately to have children and they
- 43:26said it's a combination it's because people are choosing not to have babies they're choosing
- 43:33not to have babies as people get richer they don't want babies as much there is that um that's
- 43:38an absolutely valid thing I would dig deeper and I would say they're choosing not to have babies
- 43:42because they're also not partnering there's a big big pushback from women going I don't want to have
- 43:47kids and and and we go back to the fragmentation that's happening at the moment and the fragmentation
- 43:52between men and women is real it's another layer tool of this um and you know this is something
- 43:58that I've been writing about on my sub stack is the the male violence that's going to be coming
- 44:03about again we're bringing in another issue here but this is this is how complex systems works
- 44:08AI uh is coming in and taking now you know increasingly white collar jobs and taking jobs from
- 44:16for men in their middle ages who have been quite comfortable and are not at all used to having um
- 44:23you know a change in the status quo and male violence is going to be it become a huge thing and
- 44:29disenfranchisement and men feeling redundant and we're seeing this play out you know in TikTok and
- 44:35everything young women are absolutely sort of uh fed up with men um and it's a real problem it's a real
- 44:43problem but look there's all factors at play here and they're all converging on a bit absolutely
- 44:48plastic. No I mean I but I think we've also we've we've also collectively failed to be honest about
- 44:55the the gender imbalance in the sense that we've made great inroads in redressing the uh you
- 45:01know the ways in which women were held back in the past and it has marked you as some kind of a
- 45:06crazed lunatic anti-theminist if you raised the fact that women are now outperforming men of
- 45:12so many different metrics they're graduating university and higher rates they're not dropping
- 45:16out of high school at the same rate they don't have to inflict the same self harm on themselves they
- 45:20there is a dysfunction in masculinity that is at least in part caused by the crisis of you know
- 45:26gender roles and to simply say well they had it coming because they ruled the roost for a thousand
- 45:31years doesn't save you when civilization collapses because you have a whole generation of useless
- 45:37young men who are infuriated and then raped. Yeah but I think you know I you can go around
- 45:43circles with this and I sort of debate these different things and in my audience on substack
- 45:47I'll get a lot of men some of whom I've seen their names here so they can they can put their
- 45:52hand up as they like saying well what should we do and I'm like well the thing is and this is
- 45:57what I drill it down to and I wrote about it in response to the adolescence movie as well
- 46:01was Netflix series I should say um we can drill it down drill it down drill it down but eventually
- 46:07we've got to get to a point where we're going to have to do something we're going to have to do
- 46:09something fast because young boys are suffering I totally agree with you the problem is is that
- 46:16women are often the ones who actually try to make these kinds of sociological changes and men
- 46:21are turning to me to women like me and go well what should we do what should we do and notoriously
- 46:26young boys especially ones who are suffering do not listen to women they just don't especially
- 46:31you know older women we need men men of your generation Josh to actually take charge now
- 46:38and so whether that's going to look like a feminist movement for men where they're actually
- 46:42going to go we've got to redress these ballots we're going to have to get you know institutional
- 46:46change happening we're going to have to get cultural perceptions changed it does need to come
- 46:51for men what I would say is that every woman I know if we see men rising up trying to actually
- 46:57help young boys and having these kinds of conversations will be their cheering and supporting
- 47:03I guarantee that's not true that's not true no that's not true you will because you'll understand
- 47:08the new ones and you'll understand that it's not an attack on you but coming back to what we
- 47:12were saying earlier about tribalism and groupthink and the you're either with us or against us
- 47:16mentality at the moment if men do try to step when men do try to step I mean it's changing a little
- 47:22bit but but like when men do try to step up and say there is a crisis in masculinity I mean it's
- 47:27happened to me a million times on the air in you know at writers festivals if I mentioned a panel
- 47:34or something like that the moderator or some woman takes an easy shot and says oh boohoo I think
- 47:39you'll be okay pet yeah let's all cry some tears for white men shall we and they get a
- 47:45huge round of applause that is just the way that it goes I think we're in a time of transition
- 47:50and this is what's going to have to happen this is what happens we're in a time where these ideas
- 47:55where it's sort of switching over where we're going to have to we're going to have to change gears
- 48:00and realize we're going to have to use different methodologies different approaches for young boys
- 48:05and of course there's going to be this moment of conflict where somebody on the
- 48:08writer's festival panel is going to go at someone like you for sure and then there's going to be
- 48:12women like me that going hang on no we need to be discussing this and what we need to do is
- 48:16bring in different perspectives and so this is this is inevitable it's a massive seismic shift
- 48:23this is what happens is where the ideas get juicy and interesting what I'm saying is we need to
- 48:28see more men like you like don't give up like women in the 1920s didn't give up on us they're
- 48:33out there fighting fighting fighting they gave up their lives literally so that women like me could
- 48:40be sitting here talking to you you know so it's we've got to remember that these things take
- 48:46hard work dedication and really really tricky times so this is what I said get out there start
- 48:53doing this now no I get it I get it and listen let me make the point clearer one of our sub-status
- 48:59subscribers knowledge has said Josh doesn't seem to know many good women or hasn't looked hard
- 49:04the point isn't the point here is the hecklers veto or the terrorists veto it's not about
- 49:10most women and it's not about most men it's about a dynamic that we have created in which the
- 49:15there are certain taboos which leave you extremely vulnerable to an attack which put which marks you
- 49:22as being on the other side or on the side of hate speech or something so the moment you articulate
- 49:27this we have a context for the bully woman the heckler woman to throw up it only takes one
- 49:35person out of a hundred to shoot you down and the consensus is that they're on the right side and
- 49:40you're on the wrong side because you represent you know making excuses for traditionally privileged
- 49:47guys like dumb pale-style males and they're fighting the good fight on behalf of
- 49:52traditionally marginalized communities like women so yeah so it's a it's a group thing thing
- 49:57it's not about I don't know enough great women I know I know heaps of great women the problem is
- 50:01that they are also afraid to speak up because they know the taboos that are associated with
- 50:06social justice dogmas once you go and say that the great thing thing thing and the sort of these
- 50:13labels and this is you know not a direct attack here I'm catching my terms a little bit but
- 50:18um I find that just a way that actually I think when we sort of put labels onto these scenarios
- 50:25these complex scenarios it actually limits the debate I actually think you know I think that
- 50:30people are scared and they're trying to work out these things and sure there's a dump on this is
- 50:35what humans do they do a dump on until somebody in the public lie like you all me or whoever can say
- 50:42calmly and rather than kind of getting reactive can actually say calmly I totally see your
- 50:48point I feel for you and and we need to probably progress this debate in a different direction
- 50:57and boys are suffering and we need to suck la la la la so part of what we're being challenged
- 51:02with at this juncturing history is also talking differently communing differently and not
- 51:08planning to the very things that landed us in this problem in the first place which is that
- 51:12adversarial us versus their tribal thinking so I'm really careful about using words like group
- 51:18thinking work and all this kind of thing partly because they've been misappropriated but also because
- 51:23it it's not helpful I think those those women you know who sort of speak up like that they're coming
- 51:29from a place of pain and hurt and fed up this like because like the other side of all of this when
- 51:36boys are not in a great place it's shit for everyone right I mean Donald Trump is a little boy
- 51:43tucking his toys out of the cot right and we're all having to suffer and so this is something
- 51:50that we've got a very mind you know women have a tough time and they go off and take drugs in
- 51:55you know in the suburbs and basically you know live these miserable lives man goes through a tough
- 52:02time and women get raped and there's violence and there's you know freaking world war three
- 52:08so that's we've got a band war was in mind um yes certainly certainly no I mean I take that point um
- 52:15you know I would also add that when when men are at a rough time they don't just rape and kill women
- 52:20they kill themselves that triple the rape that they kill anyone else um but the and I take a point
- 52:25about what's that a lot it's still destruction yes totally I mean the of course I have faith in
- 52:33our capacity to say I hear what you're saying and I disagree respectfully in this respect because
- 52:39I have a show called uncomfortable conversations that seeks to do precisely that um and I don't
- 52:44mean to elevate or empower the concept of group think or tribalism more than at warrants I think
- 52:50that when I talk about it I only talk about those phenomena in order to be able to pinpoint
- 52:56a part of the conversational problem that we have or the challenge that we have in order to empower
- 53:01people to push back against it or notice when it's happening which is that we've inherited a bunch
- 53:07of taboos that the taboos are being enforced by bullies who posture as uh disenfranchised uh you
- 53:18know seekers of justice and that it that is the that is the source of their bullying which is
- 53:25not necessarily an overt ability to exclude people from the public square but the ability to shame
- 53:31people into not believing they have it right to speak up with their own opinion and to call out
- 53:37what they see as being their truth because it contravenes or contradicts a set of norms whether
- 53:44that we're talking about on the left those will be social justice norms those might be beliefs
- 53:47about biological sex they might be beliefs about the ability of certain migrant communities to
- 53:52integrate they might be beliefs about the LGBTQIA plus community they might be whatever any of these
- 53:58you know indigenous Australians any of these things that are really difficult to talk about without
- 54:03falling into one preset camp or another and on the right they're going to they have their
- 54:09their whole set of taboos in many ways they're more sensory yes and much more you know the right
- 54:14invented cancel culture it was it was pulling off McCarthyism and you know the crusades and
- 54:20banning violent video games in the 80s and trying to have the life of Brian uh you know cancelled
- 54:26from movie theaters long before wokeness or cancel culture was even a thing so this is definitely
- 54:30not one side or the other but I'm I'm joining you in calling for um for greater courage in standing
- 54:38up to and calling out people who misuse their platforms in order to try to curtail the things
- 54:43that we can talk about even when they seem to be doing so for good reasons I would argue I
- 54:48totally I totally understand the role of that and I have championed it and supported and being
- 54:54and being fascinated by that the heterodox you know kind of way of thinking about things but I
- 54:59would say is we're now at a point where we're going to have to move on as in we need to actually
- 55:03find better ways because this way is not working and we've gone into an antagonistic adversarial
- 55:09way of thinking and you know in my book I write about the idea of molek with the aim theory
- 55:14concept it comes from the Hebrew Bible the the god that um would uh if you sacrificed your child
- 55:21he the god this you know god of molek would give you a win on the battlefield right which is
- 55:27the ultimate irony you actually want the wins on the battlefields to save your children and yet
- 55:31you're sacrificing your children anyway this is molek right this kind of ultimate catch 22
- 55:36situation where a small sacrifice right basically uh to get a small win as a sacrifice that you make
- 55:43to get a small win ends up fucking us all over and look the the ultimate example of that that I
- 55:48use to explain it it's not the ultimate example it's a simple example is you're at a concert
- 55:53and uh the first somebody in the second row stands up to get a better view and then everybody
- 55:58behind them's got to stand up and then the whole by the you know the end of the concert everyone
- 56:02standing up and everyone loses because they've got you know they didn't get to sit and be comfortable
- 56:07for the concert and that's what's been playing out with the AI race with the nuclear race um with
- 56:13pretty much everything that's happening in the world today one person got up and and made a sacrifice
- 56:20you know and ended up seeing us all losing and so you know this is where we're at with the
- 56:26nuclear race at the moment everybody's got to invest in nuclear bond we're all stuffed
- 56:36and this is what's happening with with kinds of conversations around the place now one person
- 56:41started talking um antagonistic adversarial us versus them kind of words and then everybody
- 56:49had to join in at that level and that's where we're at we're at this point where we're all just
- 56:53crippling and squabbling backwards and forwards in a really immature unproductive way and what I
- 57:00feel that people like you and I should be doing our responsibility is to shift that we need to
- 57:08yes and way of going about things rather than uh yes but way of going about yes and yes and
- 57:18yes and yes and and but yeah so I finished the thought no I just I I feel that we really this is
- 57:26the only way forward otherwise we're going to be stuck in this semantic shit this mollic kind of cycle
- 57:33and and nothing's going to shift and we no I look I completely I agree with you that I think what
- 57:38you're what I'm picking up on and correct me if I'm wrong is a sense of frustration with um
- 57:44small ill liberals constantly banging on about how stupid lefties are for going on about work
- 57:48social justice nonsense like criticizing that right and like um yeah we get it like putting
- 57:55phone down big corporations forcing employees to put their gender pronouns in their email signatures
- 58:02is a little bit extra but like we don't need to keep focusing on that when there's a legitimate
- 58:07threat to democracy and global civilization right here's my my only response to that as someone
- 58:13who has been guilty in his day of um trying very very hard to call out the left on focusing on
- 58:19bread and butter issues my own response to that would be to the extent that we didn't focus on that
- 58:24enough we ended up with the make America great again movement and Donald Trump um like I worry
- 58:31about the left losing its sense of universalism and its commitment to economic justice
- 58:38and its fixation on identity politics not because I think it's the biggest problem in the world
- 58:43it's not even close but if it allows a space in which the center and the center right feel that
- 58:50there is no left for them to vote for and end up fleeing into the arms of autocrats because they
- 58:55don't think that the left is making sense on a bunch of common sense issues about biology and
- 59:01immigration or whatever then it's a big fucking deal whether or not you put your gender pronouns
- 59:06in your email signature right like that for me is what's at stake what's at stake is we are losing
- 59:12elections we should not be losing there is absolutely no reason why Donald Trump should have won
- 59:17the last election in the United States and I'm not monocausal about this I understand there was
- 59:22inflation there was a lot you know there was Biden there was all this but at the end of the day
- 59:26it shouldn't be that hard to create a center left party that can articulate to its
- 59:30traditional base of the working class a message of economic empowerment without tying itself up
- 59:36in knots about whether or not transgender prisoners are going to get free health care
- 59:42I would say at this point in a complex civilisations decline yes it is that hard
- 59:48and I also get upset when people just go at the Democrats or at you know sort of various
- 59:53left leaning parties around the world going you've done us all over what they're in the same
- 59:58position as the rest of us we're all in this weird race to the bottom battle right that we
- 1:00:04none of us want to be in and I think rather than again pointing the finger and trying to find
- 1:00:10someone to blame we need to set there's no one to blame and yet we're all to blame and that kind
- 1:00:15of level of complexity is is a mind fuck but we need to actually accept that to be able to move on
- 1:00:22so so that's the only thing I would say there I feel the same I do feel the same way I scratch my
- 1:00:29head going more than scratch my head I you know bang my head it gets a wall going what now how
- 1:00:36yet we also observe Josh people getting people like AOC a hard time Bernie Sanders a hard time
- 1:00:42anyone who does come out and get radical and meet the times with a actual stance which is
- 1:00:51appropriately outraged and and revolutionaries shut down so this is where we're at we are in
- 1:00:58state of flux where we're going to have to accept all of these things are going on I issue the
- 1:01:03challenge to everybody listening out there is to not get caught up in the biification because that
- 1:01:08is going to be worse and worse and worse we need to have more softness more empathy more understanding
- 1:01:14and more hardcore progressive thinking like truly progressive thinking and actually get out
- 1:01:20there and collectivise again I'm not talking socialism like if somebody hits me if that I'll be
- 1:01:25like bloody be pissed off but it's about we've just got we've got to communicate we've got to get
- 1:01:29out of this prisoner's dilemma that we're in where we're all going down because we're not
- 1:01:34collectivising that is the only thing that kicks the human species going forward so until we can
- 1:01:41actually get those skills honed again in the absence of the church the scouts movement all those
- 1:01:46umpires on the food food field of life we're going to have to do it without the philosophers without
- 1:01:51the intellectuals that should be people like you and I it's going to be people like who are listening
- 1:01:55and she we are the philosophers and the intellectuals don't talk yourself down Sarah we are the
- 1:01:59modern day sages for fuck's sake well where's the process the process as our society's going to get
- 1:02:07look I mean one thing that and that's the tool of the people who are just joining in the middle
- 1:02:12of the throws at this fabulous conversation you're meeting Sarah Wilson if you're coming from my
- 1:02:17side of defense you should subscribe to her because she's someone who is actually up for having
- 1:02:21these conversations and for trying to interrogate what it means to live in the 21st century um so do
- 1:02:27that and if you're coming from her side of things uh and you like this then obviously subscribe to
- 1:02:31uncomfortable conversations uh this is my whole meta having conversations with interesting people
- 1:02:36about some of the most provocative ideas uh fearlessly and hopefully not tribally um you're
- 1:02:41your mate Karola um says uh I wish more people could have conversations like this listening to
- 1:02:46the other person's point of view and trying to find common ground and respectfully disagree great
- 1:02:50so go subscribe to both of us you'll get a double dose um Daniel says is pot oh that's a question
- 1:02:56on population collapse I'm gonna come back to that before before we wrap um but I wanted to talk
- 1:03:01about that's something you said earlier Sarah on bullshit because I think this is important to
- 1:03:08really underline the whole dictator's playbook like the Putin script is you don't
- 1:03:18require people to necessarily believe that the lies you tell them are true but you so muddy the
- 1:03:24notion of truth you pointed it this early as I'm just reiterating what you said but I just wanted
- 1:03:27to clarify it that you're so muddy the whole idea of there being such a thing as true truth
- 1:03:34or truth truth or falsehood that people kind of just abandon their fidelity to even thinking that
- 1:03:40it tears that they should care about that question and I think once you do that then people are
- 1:03:46totally malleable and one of the things that I really worry about both politically and also
- 1:03:51culturally is not just the bad actors the obvious bad actors like the Putin's and the Trump's who
- 1:03:58clearly are full of shit but the ways in which we are encouraged socially and culturally and
- 1:04:05politically to pretend that we believe things that we don't really believe or that we may be sort
- 1:04:11of believe or that we believe to the extent that we believe that we ought to profess our belief in
- 1:04:16them but like be brave grow up here like stand up and assert your truth and like you were saying
- 1:04:26about the French three-year-old on the back of a bicycle engage in some back and forth and train
- 1:04:31ourselves to disagree and to throw ideas around in a free space where we know that we're not going
- 1:04:36to be demonized for making a mistake I think that's critically important. Yep Hannah Arendt if
- 1:04:41anybody is listening and wants to kind of read some good philosophy out there that's very relevant
- 1:04:45for the times Hannah Arendt wrote about this and she was obviously she was Jewish and she escaped
- 1:04:53Nazi Germany went to Paris then she had to escape Paris or France when the Nazis arrived and she
- 1:05:00went to the US and she eventually came back of course and wrote what's his name Ickman Ickman's
- 1:05:09Ickman in Paris right? Yeah so she went to the trial of this of this Nazi general and it's
- 1:05:19where the banality of evil phrase comes from because he was such as every day guy who was saying I
- 1:05:25just follow orders blah blah blah blah anyway she writes a lot about what was happening back then and
- 1:05:31it's very you know pertinent to what's happening today but one of the things she said is that
- 1:05:37bullshit the absolute evasion like undermining of truth is is basically what brings a society down
- 1:05:45when you can no longer no there's no stable stakes in the ground that you can hang on to as a culture
- 1:05:52as a society and so and and then it becomes just you know a molecule kind of all you know no
- 1:05:59holds barred kind of thing situation you know it's that you know it's like the sporting game with no
- 1:06:06rules it just becomes very very unfun and dangerous yeah yeah I think it's a really fundamental
- 1:06:15thing that you're picking up on there Josh that when we don't no longer care about truth we're fat
- 1:06:22where we're here and you know what it actually doesn't take a huge amount of courage it's one of
- 1:06:28those things where what do they say about courage I sometimes say this to my kids so I should
- 1:06:33probably get it right that courage is not not feeling fear it's feeling the fear and doing it
- 1:06:38anyway and that you the fear actually is greater before you've done the thing and then once you're
- 1:06:44doing it and you're you're learning and you're you know in the aftermath even if you fall flat on
- 1:06:49your face it's never as terrifying as before you do it I think we'd all be a lot better if we were
- 1:06:53just a little bit braver conversationally I should not try to give to people to actually go to
- 1:06:59that point is I describe it as like when you're climbing a tree as a kid you know it's always good
- 1:07:03to put into kidnanologies but you know you climb the tree and you can stay close to the trunk right
- 1:07:09and and it's all cozy and the groups group thinking and everybody is kind of a bit foggy headed
- 1:07:15because it's a bit suffocating and and everybody's trying to play it safe right you only really start
- 1:07:21to come online as a human when you go out on the branch and you go out to the furthest limbs and
- 1:07:26you're out there amongst the foliage and it's only there that you can look out and see that
- 1:07:31you're standing in one tree amongst many and you can see that there's a world out there and there's
- 1:07:35a whole range of complex like interconnected systems going on and you can actually feel the breeze
- 1:07:42and then you've also got to fend you've got to use all of your primal muscles and and cognitive
- 1:07:50abilities to stay stable on this sort of you know wobbly wobbly platform out there you know in
- 1:07:57the breeze and that is how I see going about a life you can hang out at the trunk and just get swamped
- 1:08:05and fed these boring suffocating ideas or you can go out on the limb so to speak and you can actually
- 1:08:11you know a bunch of different philosophers and thinkers call it going to the edge you know
- 1:08:17Pima Chodra and the wonderful Buddhist nun she says the edge is where you're meant to be right at
- 1:08:23that point we're meant to be at that point fighting for things leaving things being agile fending I call
- 1:08:30it fending in my last book we're meant to be drawing on those very human skills to feel fully alive
- 1:08:37and as you know an artist you know I sort of very much know I need to go to that edge to really come
- 1:08:43up with ideas they're going to connect with humanity you and as a provocateur you know you need to go
- 1:08:48to that edge we all need to go there and that's actually where we need to be at the moment to fight
- 1:08:54the things but also to most importantly and this is the most important fight we need to be doing at
- 1:08:59the moment is the fight for our humanity because that is what has been eroded here the bullshit the
- 1:09:05fake news but equally AI AI is really and this is the gift of AI actually it's actually getting us
- 1:09:13to think about what makes us human all right so if it's not our work if it's not on the ability
- 1:09:19to seduce somebody you know online if it's not this if it's not this what is it that makes us
- 1:09:25human we're having to ask that now because we have been stripped of everything else you know it's
- 1:09:30happening now not because we're not fighting for it so it's a really interesting time to be alive
- 1:09:38and I'm with you Josh like find your courage because this movement is going to we happen to be
- 1:09:44the adults born into this time in history it is a difficult time in history it's like game on
- 1:09:50we've got to get out there we are the adults in the room we're not the children we're not the children
- 1:09:55no one's going to come and save us this is our moment I love it I love that that analogy about
- 1:10:00the tree as well and about the edges are on on substax zero right in permaculture you always work
- 1:10:08from the edges because that's the most fertile areas that's a nice analogy serena says try doing
- 1:10:14a masters in Australia nobody wants to debate a thing or to disagree which is a sad indictment
- 1:10:20perhaps a vacuuming you know in Australia and Shelley says Australian opulence and individualism
- 1:10:26like what you were talking about before Sarah is explored wonderfully in the social research
- 1:10:30a humacized book the way we are lessons from a lifetime of listening yeah he's a really interesting
- 1:10:35writer and I mentioned I said that I would oh also shout out to Gary who is in Minneapolis and
- 1:10:42our hearts got out to everyone there after this assassination Gary says here in Minneapolis a
- 1:10:48person just killed a leading politician and her husband also severely worded another politician
- 1:10:52and his wife in their homes in the latter case their little daughter managed to call for help
- 1:10:57we've entered into necropolitics and brutalism we have plenty of guns and bullets but too little
- 1:11:03deep connection and conversation here here Gary and lastly I said I get back to Daniel who says
- 1:11:10is population collapse coming back to your point Sarah a problem for civilization or just for
- 1:11:14growth economics yeah do you see a future in which there's a like a stabilization at a lower
- 1:11:23zero zero growth rate well it's not even a matter of whether we're heading there whether we like
- 1:11:30it or not like that's the thing and most modeling shows that will probably stabilize around
- 1:11:37about three to four billion it'll take a couple of hundred years some
- 1:11:44we go Sarah man we did well oh so I just lost you halfway through that brilliant speech I don't
- 1:11:50know how much the viewers got so just assume they got it but maybe just reiterate the five
- 1:11:54hundred things that you were saying so yes population decline is going to be a huge impact on the
- 1:11:59economy so yes that is the system that'll be mostly impacted which is why the bros and
- 1:12:05and everyone are really worried about it they need people buying their their items you know they
- 1:12:12need our attention they need more attention are going into their products but it's going to have
- 1:12:17a ripple on effect for absolutely everything else you know if we don't have tax payers then who's
- 1:12:24going and we don't have young people coming through the system who's going to look after us when
- 1:12:28we're older we're going to have a hold of sick people who's going to actually look after the hospital's
- 1:12:33infrastructure you know it's going to have a huge I mean the main thing I worry about and this is
- 1:12:38what I talk about in my book the mass civil unrest element in all of this is the thing that we need
- 1:12:43to be keeping an eye on so we as humans are very resilient we have handled all kinds of disasters
- 1:12:50throughout history all kinds of declines and so on but the problem is we it's it's about how we
- 1:12:57handle things and because we've lost all of our collectivist infrastructure we are actually we're
- 1:13:04like an open wound without an ability to form a scam we're we're basically so exposed to what's
- 1:13:10about to hit us we've got no skills we've got no ability to go and meet our neighbors and cooperate
- 1:13:16and collaborate because that's what we're going to need so to answer Daniel's question yes it's an
- 1:13:22economic issue but it's a civilizational issue very shortly after and that's what let me let me let
- 1:13:29me let me let me end by saying can you do away with the word collectivist because it comes with
- 1:13:35so much baggage I know that you mean it well but it also means communism and socialism and a whole
- 1:13:41bunch of other stuff that you don't intend it to mean communal collective maybe okay I'll do that if
- 1:13:49you couldn't drop the group thing to deal it's a deal what's a better word for it because I will
- 1:13:56don't mean to necessarily come into our into our conversations maybe that's a good yes yes what's
- 1:14:02what is a good synonym for a group thing I choose last missed that last bit sorry oh my brother
- 1:14:12I was just asking what is a good alternative word for group thing
- 1:14:27I think I think we're losing each other aren't we which doesn't matter all right okay I love
- 1:14:32you Sarah next time we'll be in person and we will actually be able to entertain each other in
- 1:14:37the flesh thank you to everyone for for watching yeah we'll wrap it up subscribe to Sarah
- 1:14:44Sarah's substacks subscribe to my substack do it now before you forget just subscribe to
- 1:14:51the free versions and then you can always keep us in your pocket thank you Sarah thanks thanks to all
- 1:14:56lots of love Sarah so sorry about the internet that's okay