Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NBA Show | January 2, 2024 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process

Transcript

NBA Show | January 2, 2024 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

0:05
All systems going clear, the lift, what's going on? Everybody talking some
0:39
hoops, a lot of familiar faces already in chat. P G A pg
0:42
A, p G A Evan. We're coming over from the PGA show.
0:46
Listen to some hoops, shout out tambo and hoop. PGA starts this week.
0:51
Very excited for that. Make sure to check out that show if you
0:54
haven't already full content. They discussed the content, the pricing. There is
0:59
a actual golf package as well. A lot of people in here I already
1:03
know are members at chip in Nation. If you're a member, you do
1:06
get PGA, you get MMA, NFL, NBA, et cetera. But
1:10
there's people out there they're probably not listening to this show. That's why we're
1:12
not going to talk too much PGA. There is just PGA weekly, monthly,
1:18
full season memberships as well, So check out that show. Very excited
1:22
to get in the PGA streets. Rio just another sport, but there's a
1:26
lot of money to be made and the sweat is pretty fun. You can
1:27
be in the PGA streets at all. What's going on on this January second
1:33
afternoon. Yeah, PJ is definitely a super fun DFS sport. I really
1:38
enjoyed watching it. Was never a golf guy growing up, but you know,
1:42
obviously when you're gambling on something, it makes it a little bit more
1:44
interesting. But just aside from that, like watching watching PGA in the mornings
1:48
is really relaxing. It's a nice, nice way to start the day,
1:51
for sure. So I'm definitely excited for some PGA. Excited for an event
1:55
that we'll be going to in a month too, at a pg event,
1:57
so that'll be a lot of fun. But yeah, but basketball still here.
2:00
Excited about this six games slate. Nice that we don't get a big,
2:05
massive injury news type slate. So yeah, excited for this one for
2:09
sure. Oh come on, first MEW of the year. Come on,
2:15
man, that is tough scen So, like you said, there is six
2:17
games. The ten or so DraftKings and fandom. Lately, what they've been
2:23
doing is they haven't included the really late game. Today they are including it
2:28
finally, So six games on the slate and what is going on in the
2:31
association? Real? I pull out the injury report, I see like two
2:35
Q tags, hardly any news. Steve Kerrs gave us his lineup. Uh,
2:39
Golden State will be a pretty big talking point on this slate with the
2:43
lineup that they're expected to roll out for the foreseeable future. According to Steve
2:46
Kerr, but what is going on? Are we gonna get Is this gonna
2:50
be every day in the new year? Is this just a little little trick.
2:53
They're gonna trick us and make us feel good for a day, and
2:54
it's gonna be back to the whole laundry list of Q tags. Oh yeah,
2:59
I'm sure the injury shenanigans will definitely be piling on pretty soon. This
3:02
is about the time of the year where you start to well a little bit,
3:06
Like in the next month or two, you start to see some really
3:07
really weird stuff happening in the NBA, where you get some late scratches,
3:10
you get some weird situations. We have players you never heard of starting.
3:16
But yeah, we just got to got to enjoy this while let's hear right
3:20
now now have a ton of injury news to go through, which is nice.
3:23
Yeah, that's what I was hoping, Jorian obviously joking the NBA will
3:25
never get to that point, but it's so rare just seeing six games pretty
3:30
much no injury news. We're not saying advocating set your lineup right now and
3:34
forget about it. Sometimes you get a random starting lineup change. Ross says,
3:38
you never know. Steve Kurt never says something does something different, of
3:40
course, but it was just recent coach talk. I'm expecting that starting lineup
3:46
to roll out the comingos. Trace are the Jackson Davis. I'm excited to
3:50
see how they all play together. CP three back in that starting lineup in
3:53
the Warriors have good some good value, some ownership going to that spot as
3:59
well. Gotta say how other people in chat before we go game by game
4:01
like always been in here paired by Clint Beatle pairby I already dropped this play
4:06
the day in here justin Sean Matt William new member. Love to see that
4:11
William again. Make sure to get in the discord. Always see you win
4:15
chats. Love that great way to start the new year, right there,
4:17
Charlie, what is going on? Go collect day, shout out, Go
4:21
collect shout out our partner at Drafters as well. Head older Drafters use that
4:26
promo code chip it. They'll match one hundred percent twenty dollars all the way
4:30
to one hundred playoff best ball fifty k up top in the Big One.
4:33
Also a three dollars contest as well. Head over there, Hoop and I
4:38
did a show. We'll have two other shows this week, another one next
4:41
week. Playoff Fastball always fun, a lot of strategy, shout out,
4:45
go collect maybe thirty thousand dollars? What a sixteen? Richie Small's in here?
4:48
Are man Ham's in here? Takedown? What's going on? You bet
4:53
you? Jordan in here as well? All we ask for me a like
4:55
button, subscribe button helps us out a ton and if you do, joan
4:59
to join us at schipanation dot com. Weekly, monthly, six months and
5:02
annual packages. All do include the discord except weekly, and the discord is
5:08
a huge piece of our content. Great community, and I say it a
5:11
lot a lot of people on the YouTube chat are in the discord as well.
5:15
Rio Any thoughts, slate thoughts, stars and scrubs, balance, build
5:20
anything you're really thinking? Again, my story is we're not really waiting on
5:24
too much injury news. So what we say now I'm expecting to be pretty
5:28
relevant four or five hours from now. But any thoughts before we go game
5:31
by game? Yeah, well, I have a definitely something to build off
5:36
of. What Ross said earlier, definite when we get to that game.
5:40
I have a few hot takes in that one that I'm excited to talk about.
5:44
But I hope that I can follow up on my Jordan Clarkson triple double
5:46
last night at whatever one percent owned. But yeah, no, this is
5:51
a this is a really fun slay. I just finished putting the slate plan
5:55
up and writing up all the games to get ready for the for the show,
5:58
and I think there's a couple interesting talking points in the slaveh for sure.
6:01
I think this is a pretty good GPP type of slate, a good
6:04
play to kind of get away from the Chalky type plays. I'm excited to
6:09
talk about it. I love it, Evan, what's going on? Nice
6:12
hit right before the New Year for yourself and the Hams talked about your little
6:15
one percent triple double in here Clarkson call that you had yesterday. So yeah,
6:19
Rio just put up the sleigh plan shortly before the show. If you
6:23
remember, go check that out very in depth. Good breakdowns there, projections,
6:27
of course, updated throughout the night. Ownership core reports, cash reports,
6:30
everything you need to be successful. First game of the night. I
6:34
also will say I like how the NBA has been doing it. So we
6:36
got one game at seven Eastern today, then we got three games at eight
6:41
pm Eastern, two games at ten pm Eastern, so it's all spread out.
6:45
Not really waiting for much injury news, but at least has some time
6:47
you want to grab a bite to eat, do whatever you want to do
6:49
in between locktoimes, which is always nice. First game of the night Chicago
6:54
Bulls Philadelphia seventy six ers two twenty three and a half total. Philly is
6:58
favored by ten. On the Chicago side, Levine out vouch out Tory Craig
7:03
really doesn't mean much, but Drummond will continue to start for vouch Leavin he
7:10
has been out. Caruzzo will still start. Not expecting any weird things on
7:14
the Bull side. As far as Philly, the Anthony Melton Robert Covington are
7:17
out in terms of ownership in this game, I think embiid is interesting.
7:24
He's gonna get some I think is a spend on this late eleven thousand trace
7:28
Re Jackson Davis. I mentioned him earlier. He is gonna be one of
7:30
the most popular plays, if not the most popular play on the slate,
7:34
which takes up a center spot. But I think people will have the money.
7:39
And if you look at spend ups on this slate and Beads at eleven
7:42
k, SGA's at ten to three, and those are the only two above
7:46
ten k on this slate. So if people go all the way up,
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I think it's Embiid there's enough value I think to make it work. But
7:51
if so that you have two center night in a lot of lineups, throw
7:56
it over to you on that thoughts and Embiid to start it off, and
7:59
then what else do you in this game? Yeah, so I mean starting
8:03
with the Bulls side, just their defense overall, it's actually held up pretty
8:07
nicely since Vuvic has been out of the lineup. They are. They have
8:11
a one to twelve defensive rating, which would be about eighth overall among all
8:15
teams on the year. And yeah, they've been pretty solid defensely all year
8:18
long, so they've they've held up really nicely without having Vuvic out there.
8:22
And then the Sixers obviously getting Joel and Beid him back is going to be
8:24
a huge help to their offense. Over the last four games that he's missed,
8:28
they've ranked fourteenth overall and offensive rating, which is well below their season
8:33
average of their third Overall, they were about one to fifteen without Embiid one
8:37
twenty one with him, so big boost to the Sixers obviously getting him back.
8:43
But yeah, I mean, Embiid's a great spend up always. I
8:48
don't think that he'll have too much of an issue with a matchup with Andre
8:52
Drummond. Definitely have the you know scenario of Drumm and getting intoul trouble,
8:56
which would give and be a clearer pathway to an upside. But I mean,
9:00
he's just he's unguardable right now. This season, he's just been so
9:03
good, definitely the front runner for MVP, dominating usage on the six Ers
9:07
thirty seven point seven and a half usage rate, leads a team in assist
9:11
percentage as well, so I think that he's pretty clearly the top spin on
9:15
the slate. I did see Para Bay drop a play of the day in
9:18
chat right before we got on talking about Tyrese MAXI I get it, definitely
9:22
going to have more usage going his way with no d Anthony Melton in this
9:26
game, like you said, but nine K is a pretty tough price side
9:28
for me to pay for him in this matchup especially. I mean, I
9:33
think the Bulls are the first overall team and DVP to opposing point guards,
9:37
having Carusa out there, iodasum MoU two really solid defenders on top of that,
9:41
getting Joel Embiid back. So I'm kind of fine going away from pretty
9:46
much everybody on the Sixers side outside of Joel Embiid, I guess. I
9:50
mean, Patrick Beverly is kind of projecting decently right now as a value at
9:54
three point nine K, so if you want to go for him, I
9:56
don't think that that's the craziest thing point guard spot, which is kind of
10:01
a valuable position, So you know, maybe maybe not going him, but
10:05
he definitely makes some sense at three point nine K. But outside of and
10:07
be not a ton of interest on the six Er side in such a slow
10:11
paced matchup against the Bulls, and then on the bull side, yeah,
10:16
I mean, anytime DeMar de Rosen is getting any sort of ownership above ten
10:18
percent, I think that he's just a clear fade and that gives us the
10:22
edge they were looking for. I just don't see how people are still playing
10:24
this guy at a point three K. He's just shown really no upside,
10:28
even with Lavigne, now, even with Vucevic, out only has like one
10:33
game above forty seven or two games above forty seven in like the past ten
10:37
games or so, he's a pretty clear X out to me. I do
10:43
think that Adre Drummond is a very interesting talking point in the slate though,
10:46
because we know the upside that he has when he gets to full minutes.
10:50
We've seen two out of the last three stars that he's had, he's got
10:52
sixty seven and a half DK points and fifty six point seven five DK points
10:56
with twenty five and twenty three rebounds. The one down game was against Indie
11:01
where he got into foul trouble early and he did lose a little bit of
11:03
run in the fourth quarter just with the game kind of playing up, and
11:07
pace still put up sixteen rebounds and seven points. So I think that,
11:11
you know, we can assume that on a normal night, when he gets
11:15
thirty thirty plus minutes, he's gonna go above forty five to fifty DraftKings points.
11:20
But the downside here is the Joel Embiid getting him into foul trouble scenario.
11:26
And I don't think that's a crazy I'm not saying to do this in
11:30
single entry type play. I'm saying like one fifty or like in the Latto
11:33
type stuff, giving some manual bumps to a guy like Terry Taylor, who's
11:39
the backup center. He used to be on the Pacers for a few years.
11:41
I believe, pretty solid fantasy point per minuted producer when he was getting
11:46
the minutes there. I don't think that he's the craziest play at like one
11:48
percent ownership, just sprinkling him in in some lineups that you know, the
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scenario is that Drummond gets into foul trouble, embiid gets him there early and
11:56
then maybe he gets you know, eighteen to two twenty minutes of runn as
12:00
a backup center. So I don't think that's the craziest thing. But I
12:03
still think Drummond's a great play. He's a fine play embiid, pretty solid
12:07
defender. But the Sixers are bottom eight rim defense on the year, so
12:11
I think there's definitely a clear path of upside for him, And then not
12:15
a ton of interest in really anybody else on the Bulls side. I think
12:18
Kobe White's just kind of come crashing back down to Earth. His efficiency's gone
12:22
way down. The mants are still there, but I guess we'll see an
12:24
easier defender now with no d Anthony Melton, so he's an option. But
12:28
I'm kind of okay getting away from most people in this game outside of Drummond
12:33
and Embiid. I definitely like the Drummond shout. I am worried about following
12:37
trouble, but when it's ownership party is going to be held in check,
12:41
which it is at the center position, the price is now right, just
12:43
has so much upside to break a slate. I think he's definitely and I
12:46
love two centers. It is pretty tough, I think to go Embiid and
12:52
Drummond. I mean we'll get to the Warriors. Maybe you have a different
12:54
hot take on Tray Jackson Davis, but that player, to me right now
13:00
dreams not necessarily lock button. Maybe there's really no such thing. But at
13:03
forty six hundred, like there's okay value on the slate. Someone's asking what
13:07
about Patuma or Morris. Jordan says, don't need it on the slate.
13:11
I'm kind of in between both, Like I don't love Batouma or Morris,
13:15
but I don't love a ton of value on this late I think there's some
13:18
alright plays and jamming in embiid or something like that. It's just if he
13:22
goes on and gets you seventy at thirty four hundred, if some guy gets
13:26
you sixteen fifteen on the six game slate, relatively healthy slate, I think
13:31
is fine there. So really it's Ish Smith, Tray Jackson Davis and outside
13:35
of that, nothing's screaming to me too much. What are your thoughts on
13:39
batwom Morris And I guess just the nature of the Yeah, like a drumming
13:41
MB could you see yourself doing that? Probably won't play them together. I
13:46
just think that they kind of eat into each other's upside a little bit,
13:50
and it's a little bit too risky, just obviously, like I said,
13:52
with the Embeid, the foul thing, he kind of he'll get into the
13:54
mode where he can just put his head down, kind of similar to how
13:58
Yannis does and just get to the line, you know, fifteen to twenty
14:01
times in a game and get the whole team in the foul trouble. So
14:03
I don't I don't think I would want to play them together. I don't
14:07
really. I guess I would be okay with Batoon at four point two K.
14:11
We've seen him kind of get hot before. He's a pretty solid three
14:16
point shooter as well. This is a pretty good matchup for three point shooters.
14:20
I don't know where the Bulls rink on the season, but I know
14:22
that they're a much bigger three point funnel this year. So I don't think
14:24
that batun Is is out of play by any means at four point two K
14:28
so I definitely prefer him to Marcus Morris. I think Morris is more more
14:31
so in play when embat is out because he kind of plays the small ball
14:35
center position, so that would be much more interested in batoom If choosing one
14:39
between the two, I like it, And yeah, the the MAXI call.
14:43
I mean I get a pair by a little leverage off of undeed six
14:48
games slates, he can get hot. I don't think it's crazy. He
14:50
just at that price day. I like a couple others around him, But
14:54
again, I think he's fine tomorrow. I echo everything you said, and
14:58
I know he talks about on that Mega million day two. I know you
15:01
had him in your one lineup. I think I might have had him in
15:05
like three or five or something. And I was kicking myself too. It
15:09
like he projects well it feels like I want to play him because forty minutes
15:13
on like thirty seven, thirty eight, forty minutes taking nineteen eighteen twenty shots.
15:18
Just man, he just doesn't The peripherals aren't there enough. He really
15:22
has to go I think like fourteen for twenty one or just have such an
15:26
efficient shooting night, and it still feels like he ends up with forty five
15:30
DK points or something. So I'm with you. I think getting it away
15:33
from Tomorrow makes a lot of sense. I'd rather go Kobe White, who's
15:37
seven hundred cheaper. Again, his minutes are still up there, the usage
15:39
is still up there. No Melton, who would have been on Kobe White
15:43
is a boost. I just think the savings and I don't know, I'm
15:46
just scarred from Deuro's in there. But Kobe White and Tomorrow a lot of
15:50
the same things. The peripherals aren't always there either, and they're still still
15:54
not the easiest matchup in the back court. But it's not the best game
15:58
personally that like embiid or Drummond and nothing mouse or just completely fade this game,
16:02
make it a five game slate and wait to hour. So I think
16:04
the best way to approach it ten point favorites as well, which is the
16:08
that and or no Sacramento really late in the day, but Memphis seventy six
16:14
ers ten point favorites. Only three pretty close spreads on the slate. Next
16:18
game on the slate eight pm Eastern Boston Celtics OKC Thunder about a two forty
16:22
total. Boston is favored by four and nothing on the injury report on both
16:27
sides, two healthy teams, and in terms of ownership in this game,
16:32
Josh Giddy sticks out. I think he will be pretty popular five point six
16:37
K. Again, there's not really when you go four k and below,
16:38
there isn't really many guys you want to get to outside of Jackson Davis and
16:44
Ish Smith. I think Giddy is one of the more popular value plays.
16:48
Thoughts on him. Thoughts on SGA again two players price about ten k embiid
16:52
SGA. I think SGA is interesting this spot. Not a great matchup,
16:56
but all the minutes, all the usage and probably sub ten percent or something
17:02
like that on this late not seeing really much value anything you got for cheap
17:06
any stars. What are your thoughts of this one? Well, first of
17:10
all, I think we spoke a little bit too soon. About having no
17:11
injury shenanigans because Terry Rozier is now probable, so we can kind of assume
17:17
that he's going to play in that. Yeah, oh yeah, so we're
17:19
gonna have to find some value elsewhere. Now that makes MB to circle back
17:25
even a little more like I will probably have less exposure to MB than I
17:30
would have would have otherwise because a lot of the value I mentioned this Smith.
17:33
The Warriors offer some, but it was really is Smith offered a ton
17:37
of value at four point three k's a starting point guard. Then you had
17:42
I don't know, I guess that was the main one there at Bridges.
17:45
I think was a fine play FanDuel like the Knicked Miss of the World.
17:48
We saw that yesterday. That wasn't fun, but some people would have went
17:52
there, Brandon Miller. It was more so Fandal had the Hornets mispriced more
17:59
than DK. It's still it's Smith value for sure. Takes probably Embataway SGA
18:04
even lower ownership, and maybe the more the mid tier row. Yeah,
18:08
definitely no two yeah, Now c W likes the two. Yeah. I
18:14
was just taking a quick glance looking at the guys in that same range.
18:15
It definitely seems like a double center night now for sure, because a lot
18:19
of the best value is some of these backup centers that we'll talk about it
18:23
in a little bit, you know, the Sandros, the Larry Nance's definitely
18:29
trace Jackson Davis. So I think it's probably gonna be a double center night
18:32
for me. But yeah, in this game, kind of surprised at how
18:37
high the total is though, because these are two of the best defensive teams
18:41
in the league. It's gonna be a really fun game to watch my viewers
18:44
standpoint. I don't know if this one's nationally televised, would not be surprised
18:48
if it was. But yeah, there's two of the best teams in the
18:52
Eastern and Western Conference facing off top two and top three defenses, the top
18:57
two and top six overall off so I think that definitely going to be some
19:03
scoring in this game. But I could also see a very competitive defensive battle.
19:06
Both these teams kind of play similar defense, both in the top half
19:10
rim defense, bottom seven and eight and three point defense, so we can
19:11
kind of already paint a picture to how the game is going to play out.
19:15
On the Celtic side. Tatum nine point a K really solid price site
19:21
coming with no ownership. Definitely a tough matchup going to see Jalen Williams in
19:25
this game. Really solid defender, but Tatum's taking almost nine three pointers a
19:29
game this season, leads a team in usage twenty nine percent, So I
19:33
think that he's my preferred spend up option. Probably I would max one of
19:37
him and Brown, but I think between those two, I definitely prefer Tatum.
19:41
I don't think that at eight point six K with Tatum and Brown price
19:45
as close as they are, that Jalen Brown is really in play for me
19:48
some kind of okay getting away from him. I think chrisols Porzingis is a
19:52
really interesting play in this game though he's been kind of in and the out
19:55
of the lineup all season with this lingering ankle slash calf injury. But yeah,
20:00
when he gets the normal minutes, he definitely produces. And just looking
20:03
at the usage and all these numbers from the starting lineup, you know,
20:07
with the Tatum, Brown, KP White Drew Holiday lineup, he averages the
20:11
most DK points per thirty six at forty three DK points. Really solid matchup,
20:18
like I said, for three point shooters, so I think that he
20:19
could definitely be out there launching. He's got good upside from blocks as well,
20:23
so I think that overall he's my favorite play on the Celtics side.
20:29
Derek White's a little bit tougher to get to. He's also tough to ignore,
20:32
though, just with how well he's played all season. But I think
20:33
just with the price price sid getting really close to eight K with the fully
20:38
healthy Celtics team, I'm pretty okay getting away from him. Same kind of
20:41
goes for Drew at almost seven K. He's really low usage with this team
20:45
fully healthy, So really just Tatum or Porzingis on the Celtics side and then
20:49
on the OKAC side, SGA gonna see he Drew Holiday on defense. Really
20:56
tough matchup, but I don't think that matchups really matter right now for Shay.
21:00
He's just been torching a couple of these really bad matchups quote unquote bad
21:03
matchups. I mean Denver, where he's supposed to see Conavious Colwell, Pope.
21:07
He went for forty three and four Minnesota with Jada McDaniels, who we
21:12
love as a defender, thirty four nine and six Lakers who have Cam Reddish
21:17
a couple other guys, thirty four seven and five so I think the SJA
21:21
definitely makes is an interesting spind up option, but he is ownership's kind of
21:26
following him as well. He is going to be above ten percent ownership,
21:29
And I think that there's somebody that I like, a couple guys that I
21:32
like in these other games a little bit more. But I think that Shay
21:34
is definitely an excellent spin up option. Maybe if you want to get into
21:38
like a little game sack with Porzingis and Shay or Tatum and Shay, it
21:41
makes a ton of sense as well. Less interested in the chet Holmgren side
21:48
of this one seven point six K. He's shown to be a very consistent
21:52
fantasy producer in his rookie season, right around forty DK points most games.
21:56
Shown solid upside in some of these games with the steals in the blocks,
22:02
hit a couple of big games against the Nuggets, But I just don't think
22:04
that he has the upside right now to get you like a tournament winning score,
22:11
and Center is pretty loaded, so I'm okay getting away from him gonna
22:14
be really tough matchup versus Celtics, who are top three in rim defense.
22:18
And yeah, Giddy is kind of an interesting talking point as well, five
22:22
point six k gonna come with some ownership. He's still losing minutes to guys
22:26
like Cason Wallace and Isaiah Joe, but he's shown that he can get it
22:30
done in around twenty five minutes of play. I also just think that there's
22:33
some better options in that same range as well in these later games. So
22:37
I'm kind of fine fading giddy at ownership. I think that lou Dort makes
22:41
a little bit of sense, though he's an okay value. You can definitely
22:45
get hot from three if he knocks down three to four three pointers, I
22:48
think that he could kind of get on his way to paying off the price
22:51
tag. But yeah, I kind of don't really have a ton of interest
22:53
in this game as a whole, surprisingly as high of a game sold as
22:57
it is. What are your thoughts? So, I like your Porzingis shout
23:02
A lot of it is because of power forward eligibility, Like that's why I
23:04
don't like chet just center eligible can't get there. If I played Porzingis,
23:08
I would definitely make sure it is that power forward and like without with this
23:12
Terry Rogier news now without Ish smith Man, like I'm thinking I'm leaning to
23:18
this heavy mid tier build. Maybe, Like I love SGA, I mean,
23:22
yeah, everything you said, and Jake's hyping him up. Kobe Bryant
23:25
doesn't care cord his SGA's kitchen. I mean, he's the man, There's
23:29
no doubt about that. But like I'm beat, I think I'm gonna have
23:32
to have less than I initially wanted SGA. I think his ownership goes down
23:34
with value being a little tougher. What are your thoughts on Like Jalen Williams
23:40
six point eight k, you just jam all of this mid tier range nobody
23:44
above like eight point four K or something. What are your thoughts on that?
23:48
And like a Jalen Williams in this spot, I think that was the
23:49
one you didn't really mention, which means you probably don't have ownership. But
23:53
I'm a huge fan of his game and we know he has that upside.
23:56
Yeah, I like I like the player for sure, but as far as
24:00
a fantasy player, I don't don't love it At almost seven K. Really
24:07
tough matchup as well. He's not really a three point shooter, so he's
24:10
kind of looking to get gets to the basket. He's gonna need to add
24:12
assists and rebounds to his upside, which he doesn't really do a ton of,
24:15
so I think that there's probably better options and cheaper options as well.
24:21
So I don't really have a ton of interests in Jaien Williams. But you
24:23
know, he's only going to be what, oh I see like around eight
24:26
percent ownership. We have him for about one. But yeah, I don't
24:30
know. I think it's a little too expensive for Jalen Williams personally. One
24:33
other guy, lou Dort someone mentioned it in chat, but now that value
24:37
is even tougher. Again, if you just if you go No. One
24:40
under four k and like nobody above eight five something like that, maybe you'd
24:45
fall on a low door price. He gets about thirty minutes. I don't
24:48
think it's the craziest thing. He obviously has to hit his wide open threes,
24:52
but some grab some boards and this two forty total definitely does feel surprising.
24:57
Really, anytime you see Boston in a total this big at surprising.
25:02
But man, if he's out there thirty minutes, you're going to need his
25:03
defense on a slate. Now values even tougher. Thoughts on him. Uh,
25:10
yeah, I mentioned him a little bit. I think that he's he's
25:11
fine. As a value option for sure. He's it's a better matchup for
25:15
three point shooters, which I guess you can consider him one. Four point
25:19
six K is totally fine, and he looks like he'll be needed on this
25:23
slate with no ischmidts, so I'm fine getting to the Ludort for sure.
25:27
Yeah. I wasn't really trying to call him a three point shooter. It's
25:30
just when Sga just has the ball, everyone's staring. He sits there and
25:33
he gets wide open on double teams, and that is his job outside of
25:37
playing defense, I guess. So yeah, yeah, he couple though.
25:41
Yeah, he's made me a believer, though I used to be a big
25:45
hater of his game. Just I remember a couple of years ago, two
25:48
three years ago when he was kind of starting to get the starting job there
25:52
and he was, you know, he was known as a really solid defender,
25:55
but he would be out there launching threes and he was just I saw
25:59
him airball a bunch one season, I feel like, And but he's really
26:02
turned it around. He's he's improved this game a ton, and I'm he's
26:04
maybe a believer for sure. I'm a semi big fan of Ludort. Now
26:08
you're a believer in that jump shot. He's he's a three point specialist.
26:11
You're about to say that, No, no, not a specialist. He's
26:15
definitely got some skills for sure. Mean you look at his numbers four for
26:18
five last game, five for six, a couple of games ago, and
26:19
they're almost all wide open, like yeah, I mean as but still,
26:22
I mean he wasn't hit on prior. But yeah, it's like the Luca
26:26
effect, like when you're when you're playing alongside a guy like him, you're
26:29
gonna get open shots. So it's it's good Williams. He and Grant Williams.
26:34
Yeah from deep right, come on right, Yeah, what's going on,
26:38
Danny? Happy new to year, Happy New Year two as well,
26:41
my man Jason, what's going on as well? See in chat. We'll
26:45
probably see this in a little bit, catching catching up on one point five
26:48
x four games left on the slate another eight pm Eastern. Actually, yeah,
26:52
someone reminded take one second, as tamblock to stay take a like take
26:56
a hike. We're not asking anyone to take a hike. We will ask
27:00
for that first part. Though. That like button helps us out A ton
27:03
is much appreciated. Subscribe button like button bringing you shows every single day.
27:08
We appreciated a ton San Antonio Spurs Memphis Grizzlies two thirty six total. Memphis
27:14
is favored by ten. Looking at the injury report in this one. Is
27:18
Dak Collins is out for the Spurs. On the Memphis side, no injuries
27:22
to be said. They're looking at ownership in this game. I mean,
27:26
you're talking about some of these value centers. So I'll throw it to you
27:27
right here is bizneck Biambo, which I guess he's not a backup at this
27:33
point, but in terms of value under four K, he's one of the
27:37
few that i'mseeing that Hey, he's gonna be on the court a little bit.
27:40
They're gonna need a size, but center's so good. And I know
27:44
Tracey Jackson Davis, I mean, well, unless Rio absolutely talks me off
27:47
the ledge, he might be in every single one of my lineups, especially
27:49
now with this is Smith with Terry Rose, you're playing, can you see
27:53
a Biz Jackson Davis double cheap center builds? And then talk about a couple
27:59
of guys A'm Marcus Smart in the mid tier obviously baying Jaron Jackson. What
28:04
do you see in this one, but start with Biz in this one.
28:07
Yeah, I don't. I don't think we should be playing Bizmack beyond Bo.
28:11
I mean, there's there's much better even though he's starting, like the
28:14
floor is so low for him, and I don't even know, like really
28:18
what his ceiling is. Maybe twenty seven when he got against Atlanta a few
28:21
games ago. Hey, if you sign me up for twenty two, I'm
28:23
putting this dude in some teams on this light. But I agree with you,
28:27
it's not a person like you have Sandros three hundred dollars more expensive.
28:33
He's for sure going to get backup center minutes. I think that Larry Nance
28:37
is a better option with four hundred dollars more. I'm not gonna be talking
28:41
to you off trace Jackson Davis, so he'll definitely be in a ton of
28:44
my lineups. But I mean, yeah, say no. I mean it's
28:48
pretty easy to say no to Biz. I looking so Mama, win this
28:51
game. You talk a little bit. He's gonna take zat Collins role,
28:53
so you just prefer him right there. Yeah for sure. But yeah,
28:59
just like environment wise, this is a really good spot for the Grizzlies to
29:02
kind of get back on track. They've obviously struggled all year long, one
29:03
of the worst offensively rated teams in the year. They've gotten much better,
29:10
much faster paced since John Moran came back, but they're still still struggling in
29:15
a lot and I'm kind of surprised that this the spread is as close.
29:18
Ten points is not close, but you know, going against the Spurs for
29:21
one of the worst teams in the league, you would think it'd be a
29:22
little bit wider. So that kind of tells me that, you know,
29:26
the game should stay close enough to where we see full run from all the
29:30
main starters on the Memphis side, which if you're telling me I'm getting my
29:33
thirty five, thirty six minutes from John Morant, then sign me up in
29:36
this matchup. So he's for sure probably my top spin on the slate.
29:40
I prefer him to SGA, prefer him to EMBIID obviously different price tag,
29:45
in different position, but he's for sure my my favorite spend on this slate
29:49
for sure. And I was sort of the mephaside because it looks like Desmond
29:56
Bain is coming in with a ton of ownership, which I mean I agree
29:59
with. He's a really so option. The matchup is great. Spurs are
30:02
dead last in three point defense, but fifteen hundred dollars more, I'd rather
30:07
just find that salary to get up to Jaw. I just think that the
30:10
upside is kind of unrivaled when things go right for them. We haven't really
30:12
seen the huge, huge game from John Rant yet, but we know historically
30:17
that he's got sixty five to seventy point games in his range of outcomes.
30:21
Bain's gotten that, you know, once or twice this season, had a
30:23
couple solid games alongside John Rant as well. But I just think that the
30:27
matchup is so good for Jaw in his full minutes workload. I will side
30:32
with him. James Jackson Junior, he's kind of in the DeMar derozen bucket
30:37
for me. Find cash play but a terrible GPP play. I mean,
30:41
I don't know what has really happened to him. His rebound he has just
30:44
created this year, he only has I don't know if this is correct,
30:47
but I looked at his game log. I think he only has two games
30:49
of double digit rebounds all season long, which is just insane to me.
30:53
I mean, obviously, playing alongside a guy like Tillman and Bismack. They
30:56
kind of take away rebounds, but you should still be out there getting some
31:00
boards. His his stocks, steals and blocks upside has come way down.
31:04
Maybe he can find a little bit of a ceiling here playing at home and
31:07
the you know that they had the whole scorekeeper hat setting or stat padding you
31:14
know, last year, two years ago, So maybe he gets a couple
31:15
there. But he just seems like a pretty easy fade for me, even
31:18
though he's projecting really well. I do like Marcus Smart as a value option,
31:23
a pivot off of Josh Giddy too, if you will. He's gotten
31:26
up double digit shot attempts in his four games since returning. He's averaging over
31:30
seven three point attempts per game, and really good match up for three point
31:33
shooters. If we want to consider Marcus Smart one, we've always seen him
31:37
kind of pop off for these random spikes and peripherals with assists and rebounds,
31:42
so he definitely get there if he's running hot in those categories. But he
31:48
also brings a pretty solid floor with his steals. He's gotten last four games
31:53
three, three, one, and five, and this is actually the best
31:57
matchup in terms of you know, guys that get steals, the Spurs are
32:01
dead last and steals allowed per game to shooting guards. I think that he
32:06
has some sneaky upside and doesn't look like he's coming in with a huge amount
32:07
of ownership. So I have interest in job being Marcus smart on the Grizzly
32:12
side, no Jared Jackson, no Bismack for me, and on san Antonio
32:16
kind it's tough to click on Wenby right now. He's only going to see
32:20
around twenty four to twenty five minutes eight point five K. He could definitely
32:22
still get there. He did it two games ago, went for sixty in
32:25
twenty four minutes, went for thirty six and six with seven blocks. The
32:30
Grizzlies are going to attack the rim, so you know he'll have plenty of
32:32
opportunities to get some blocks. Maybe he can grind his way there in twenty
32:37
four minutes. But that just kind of seems to be his his minutes cap
32:39
right now, so I don't think that we can really look there. Vasell
32:44
and cole to Johnson are kind of interesting options at seven K. Definitely risky
32:47
for you know, anybody that's playing on a team. Coach by Greg Popovic
32:51
right now, where the plaug could definitely be pulled to any minute, but
32:53
matchup wise pretty solid for both of them versus the Grizzlies, who are a
32:58
pretty big three point funnel. I think that the way to play it is
33:00
kind of game stacking it with Devin Vassel and Kella Johnson. You want to
33:04
have a Grizzly on the comeback, just kind of playing into the game being
33:07
more competitive, and these guys would see bigger minutes and probably be the reason
33:12
why it's competitive, and then kind of fine fading the whole mid tier the
33:16
so Hans, Trey Johnson, Malchi Branham much more interesting. Interested in Sandro
33:22
who's going to see backup center minutes. Seems pretty safe to play in a
33:25
blowout as well. Last game against these Celtics he played. It was a
33:30
really really big blowout, and he played the He didn't play in the third
33:34
quarter, but in the fourth quarter he played the last eight minutes of the
33:36
game and actually shared the court with Dominic Barlow, who is kind of their
33:39
third streak center. So it was nice to see that he's pretty safe to
33:43
play in a blowout. But those would the guys I'd be looking to in
33:45
this game. I like yeah, I agree with you that. I mean,
33:50
first of all, I was gonna say, did you see the so
33:52
Han I mean man maybe two and a half legit three feet short on as
33:58
a way jumper the left wing three pointers of like a pick and pop.
34:01
And then I don't. I don't know if I've ever seen someone miss that
34:04
bad. You didn't see it. I haven't seen it, but I've been
34:07
You know how I think about him offensive, He's got really just he's got
34:10
a lot to improve on. We'll just say that he's he's a one handed
34:14
free throw shooter, for god's sake. Yeah, he's got no bag so
34:16
far on the offensive. Then, but I'll of de find and I'll send
34:20
it to you on Twitter. I agree with you. I mean these my
34:22
favorite play in this game is Marcus Smart at five point a k. It's
34:25
just value is tough. I do love the job play. And again with
34:29
more lack of value like I don't see, I don't. I doubt I
34:31
can get up to Wemby like I thought I could on most teams prior to
34:36
the show. And it's SGA right there. I think SGA's fine. Jasz
34:39
even cheaper sub ten k nine point seven K I just even if I played
34:45
Job, I'm not going to force any of these spurs because A they kind
34:50
of like Vassal can go and get his thirty three, Calvin can get thirty
34:52
five, so Hand can get twenty nine. It's hard to get for me
34:57
to play Wemby at this price in those limited minutes. But when he is
35:00
out there, he's gonna smash him. Takeaway from all the guys. I
35:02
guess. Yeah, probably would be mom Ou on the spurs if I had
35:07
to pick anyone because of his price. When we get to Larry Nance,
35:09
though, I think that would be my preferred If you just had to say,
35:13
right now, Nance or Mom, who would you lean? I probably
35:15
would go Nance Nancy. Yeah, but well, I just want to clear
35:20
it up because I don't I don't know if that was kind of confusing.
35:22
I don't think you have to pair a jaw with a Spur, but I
35:23
think you have to pair Keldon and Vessel with a with a Grizzly. I
35:28
think you played jaw by himself. Okay, so if you played a Kelvin
35:31
or Vessell, you'd played Grizzly. Okay, Yeah, that makes sense.
35:35
No, biz Bain will be popular. I like that Jared Jackson call.
35:38
Though I didn't know that about the ten rebounds. I did know that it
35:40
feels like the dude hasn't hit a ceiling in ages, and which is so
35:45
weird for him because he's always been known as that floor ceiling guy. If
35:47
you stay out of follow trouble. I mean, the dude had huge,
35:51
huge outside mainly lot with the stocks, but the rebounds were always there.
35:55
He could hit shots too. But yeah, looking at that game log,
35:58
the Deroze in comparison is so good. I'd probably rather play DeRozan today.
36:02
I like Derosen more than Jackson. I think Jackson will be higher owned,
36:07
but yeah, I definitely like that comparison. Smart John Moran. Other than
36:12
that, I don't really like this game too much. You talked me into
36:14
a little MAMU and you have BIZ. I don't know. Maybe I'll have
36:17
a couple BIZ teams, but twenty one minutes, that's all I'm asking for.
36:22
Eighteen DK points. It's what it gets you, Tray Jackson Davis when
36:24
we get there, though, the center that my teams will pretty much all
36:28
be built around today, let's keep it rolling. Next game on the slate,
36:31
third of three that starts at eight pm Eastern Brooklyn nets New Orleans Pelicans
36:37
two twenty eight and a half total, Pelicans favored by five. On the
36:40
injury report, Trey Murphy's questionable. What are the few Q tags That actually
36:45
means a little bit, but on unusual NBA night in the association, Trey
36:50
Murphy being questionable means nothing relative this late so in or out, I don't
36:54
think it changes too much. Now you're talking Larry Nance, and that's because
36:58
the past two games him and Joe Ball are not splitting the five. But
37:02
Nance is playing every minute at the five that Joeval isn't. And you look
37:07
at this matchup with Claxton, but outside of him, like they can go.
37:12
Royce O'Neill is kind of a big Darien Sharp will play a lot of
37:15
backup five as well. But Larry Nance and Zion those who are big enough
37:19
where they're totally fine. Giving Nance twenty four to twenty five minutes, always
37:23
a good point per minute. Guy. The rebounds have been there. I
37:27
mean he plays above the rim. I think he's when also confairing him to
37:30
Mom, I feel a lot safer with Larry Nance in this spot. Talk
37:35
about him to start and then I don't know, we're talking some value,
37:38
some mid tier stuff. Zion under ak Bridges at seven to two, who
37:43
has been burning people as of late. CJ seven to one, Ingram eight
37:46
to one, even Claxton six. Say, like a lot of this game
37:51
in this mid tier that I'm probably looking at now with the value I don't
37:53
love, will be in this game pretty close spread. This is my favorite
37:58
game on the slate. What do you see? Yeah, this is a
38:00
definitely a game to target for sure. I mean the Nets they've been struggling,
38:05
big time losers have eight of their last ten games. Over that ten
38:07
game span, they have a defensive rating of one twenty two point seven,
38:12
which is third worst in the last ten games, and that would be the
38:15
worst overall in the season if that was their current number. But their getting
38:19
beat badly by three point shooters allowing over fifteen games. I think that we
38:22
can look to guys like Ingram, CJ. McCollum. For sure. Pelicans
38:28
have been pretty solid defensively top eight overall, kind of a middling offense,
38:31
a certainly Nets side. It starts and kind of ends for me with Michale
38:36
Bridges. I mean, if this game stays close. It's definitely gonna have
38:38
to beat him, putting the team on his back, probably gonna see herb
38:43
Jones on defense, which definitely make things a little bit more difficult for him.
38:45
But I just think that price tag wise, and like you said,
38:49
we might be looking at the mid tier type bills, you know, seven
38:51
point two k might be the cheapest we get. McHale for the rest of
38:53
the season. Been really really up and down for him lately. He's had
38:58
a couple of games in the in the fifth these and then a couple in
39:00
the team well. I guess the team ones was the Milwaukee game where he
39:05
only played one rotation, but he's had a couple of games in the twenties
39:08
where he's playing upper thirty minutes. So I think that definitely a bit risky.
39:14
But seven point two k really solid price sac for him. Claxton is
39:19
kind of just okay for me. Six pointy k is really expensive for him,
39:22
kind of looking to pay down at center tonight, going to be needed
39:25
for his defensive assignment on Joval getting to be needed for the size as well.
39:30
I think that in like you know, if he gets upwards of thirty
39:35
three to thirty four minutes. He definitely has a chance for the upside,
39:37
but I think I'm just going to be spending down at center tonight, so
39:39
I won't really have much of him outside of that. I think the only
39:44
other Nets person that I would consider probably Cam Johnson, but even at six
39:47
K, I don't really love it. He's just not really doing much outside
39:51
of scoring, so I would be okay getting away from him, kind of
39:52
just looking to McHale on the Nets side and then on the Pelican side.
39:58
Ingram in a really good groove right now. Scoring scored no less than twenty
40:00
four points and three straight games leading the Pelicans, and usage actually leading the
40:05
team an assist percentage as well, so he's got a pretty solid floor.
40:08
And like I said, the Nets defense really slipping bather right now over the
40:10
past ten games. Huge three point funnel, which is not really Ingram's area
40:15
of expertise, but he can definitely get, you know, do some damage
40:19
there. He's shown some pretty good upside at eight point one K, got
40:22
into the fifties a few times, so I like him, Zion. I
40:28
don't think this is the match up for him. As you know, he's
40:30
been playing much better lately as much as we've been kind of making fun of
40:31
him for the you know, the off court stuff and missing back to backs
40:36
and whatever. But he's had forty nine and two of his last four games,
40:38
so he's definitely had the outside. Probably gonna see Drin Finney Smith on
40:43
defense, who really solid defender Claxon down there kind of shoring up the interior.
40:46
I think that Zion's game is kind of best suited for teams that are
40:51
towards the bottom in transition defense that's where he'll get most of his damage done,
40:54
and teams that are really bad rim defenses, which nets aren't there much
41:00
for a three point funnel right now. So I would be okay gaging away
41:01
from Zion, but CJ. McCollum I have a lot of interest in him
41:07
as well. He's shown that he can still have a ceiling even with sharing
41:09
the court with Zion and brandon Ingram. Last game versus the Lakers, who
41:14
are a huge three point funnel as well, he went for forty eight point
41:15
two to five DK points, shot six over eleven from three. Two games
41:20
ago, he shot four for ten from three, got to thirty nine DraftKings
41:24
points, So I think that he's in a really good spot here, just
41:28
with how bad the Nets have been over their last ten games against three point
41:30
shooter. So I like him a lot in the mids here as a sneaky
41:34
option. And then yeah, like we mentioned earlier, Larry Nance find either
41:38
way, he's been seeing the backup sentimentutes. Like you said, he's shown
41:44
pretty good upside. He got double double last game. The game before that
41:46
he had hit a bunch of steals. I'm looking at the wrong game lot.
41:52
I think he had like six or seven steals and blocks combined. Yeah,
41:54
he had six, five steals, one block. So he's a solid
41:59
option fur point two K. Definitely gonna be looking to guys in that same
42:02
range. But yeah, if Trey Murphy and this is I think that we
42:07
can go to look at her Jones again four point nine K. He got
42:09
their last game. I think Naji Marshall would be in play two at three
42:13
point nine K probably get pretty popular. I would much rather play Naji Marshall
42:17
than Nicholas Batom, so maybe I'll save some spots open for him. But
42:22
yeah, just looking for looking at the main guys here. CJ. Ingram,
42:24
Bridges Zion a little bit claxon and Larry Nance. Yeah, this mid
42:30
tier we keep talking about it, but with a lack of value. I
42:34
think, give me thirty five plus or minutes for mcal Bridges. Give me
42:37
thirty five plus minutes from Ingram I still do. I don't mind Zion.
42:43
I know Giant is like Zion, you said it too, But if I'm
42:45
not going to be playing anyone above eighty five in some line of seven point
42:49
ak, we always know he has that upside. My two favorite games,
42:52
this game and then this Orlando Golden State game we'll talk about in a sac
42:55
just because it fits that mid tier construction. You know, guys are gonna
43:00
get minutes for not ten plus k, et cetera. And there's not many
43:04
guys below four k. I like much. But I love your nant shout
43:07
the Bridges. Yeah, like you, even Cameron Johnson, I don't love
43:12
him by any means. On most slates, I wouldn't like it. But
43:15
six K a guy that'll be out there about thirty minutes. He can hit
43:17
some shots. Give me thirty points at six K on this slay, Like,
43:22
I think that's totally fine. I don't think every if I had a
43:25
guess the winner today, even in the Lotto. It's not gonna be fire
43:30
fire, fire, fire fire. I think if you play Larry Nance and
43:32
he gets you twenty one, that could be enough. And what it gets
43:37
you on this late is how I see it. So yeah, I like
43:38
the mid tier and a lot of good shouts in this game. For sure,
43:43
the ingrams, the CJ call right in that build that I'm looking to
43:46
get exposure to. Same thing. We got two games left, gonna go
43:50
to Orlando Golden State. I look at that game very similar to that last
43:53
game. Two thirty total. Golden State's favored by three. This is two
43:58
of the six gate or two of the three games that have close spreads for
44:01
the injury report. Markel Foltz is questionable in this one. Joe Ingles is
44:06
out, Jonathan Isaac is out. Nothing. On the Golden State side,
44:10
Steve Kurr did come out saying that their starting lineup for the foreseeable future will
44:15
be CP or will be STEPH CP three, Clay kaminga trace, Jackson Davis.
44:21
I absolutely love that. I think Pods off the Bench fits their scheme
44:24
pretty good as well. Wiggans off the Bench. I really like what they're
44:29
doing with this lineup and why I like this Golden State side. CP three
44:34
at five point six K will be one of the most popular players on the
44:36
slates. Tray Jackson Davis will be one of the most popular plays on the
44:38
slates. I think Kaminga at five k is solid. Wiggans four to nine,
44:45
Pod six k, Clay six to one. I don't love any of
44:47
those guys too much, but they're gonna fit my builds, and this slate's
44:52
pretty tough. They're in a range where I'll probably be landing on them occasionally.
44:57
I'll get to you if you have any strong leads on those guys,
45:00
but you know the minutes will be there for them. Steph Man, he's
45:05
in the Jared Jackson Junior, the De Mar de Rosen categories right now.
45:09
Unfortunately, like I just I don't know, man, I need to see
45:14
something in the game log to show me that Price wants to wrote me in.
45:16
I'd rather get to the bridges, the Ingram's, the McCollums, the
45:21
Jaws, et cetera. I like Franz on the other side, Franz Polo
45:25
probably the only two. I think Cole Anthony maybe if you need folks to
45:31
be out there, I don't know it's mainly Franz and Paulo, but right
45:35
in that mid tier seven five, eight to two playing all the minutes the
45:37
story of the slate I said in a million times, but especially with Rosier
45:42
expected to play, I don't love this value down there too much. Give
45:45
me this mid tier guys in this game and that in that NETS game we
45:49
just talked about, what do you see in this one? Yeah, I
45:52
really like this game environment here. I think it has like kind of sneaky
45:54
game stack potential. Much more so if if my fold sport of Mess,
46:00
we've seen Paulo and Franz take on much bigger roles ball handling wise, just
46:05
say, Jenn Suggs is gonna be the starting point guard, more of a
46:07
more of a guard than a point guard. Anthony Black has no usage,
46:13
no col Anthony will take them away when he's out there, but his minutes
46:16
are kind of you know, the Milik monk ish where they could be twenty
46:20
five to one game and thirty two next game. So he's not the safest.
46:22
But they like with Franz and paul Cole staggered a little more with them
46:28
as well, which doesn't hurt too much, but Jos. Yeah, for
46:31
sure. I like coll Anthony's game too, North Carolina Boy, so like
46:36
him. But yeah, I mean the duo Paulo and Franz. They've been
46:39
on fire lately. Uh, last two games paul score fifty three fifty one,
46:45
Franz fifty five, forty six and a half. And on our correlation
46:49
sheet, if you remember, they are very strongly correlated together. So in
46:53
times where one of them is five axing, the other one is five xing
46:57
a lot of those times, I don't mind pairing them together. I've done
46:59
that few times throughout this year. Think that you could definitely get into a
47:04
game Sack here and yeah, I agree with you on Steph Curry though,
47:07
it's just gonna have to show it to me first. He's just been I
47:09
don't know, you know, it's if it's just the age thing, or
47:13
if it's the minutes he's not seeing. You know, he really hasn't seen
47:16
more than like thirty four to thirty five, and a lot of games sometimes
47:21
you know, against Boston out to thirty eight but still only put up forty
47:22
six zero point seventy five DK points. So he's just kind of you think,
47:27
I think has anything to do with Draymond, like getting everyone in the
47:30
flow of the offense, the screens, getting a more open looks. I
47:34
mean, yes, dudes, that he's just not used to playing and so
47:37
much of it as movements, getting the ball timing. I don't know,
47:42
Yeah, that definitely has something to do with it. I think he's Draymond,
47:45
you know, obviously not the best gifted offensive score, but he's kind
47:50
of just the engine that makes the offense run. Just everything kind of runs
47:53
through him. He gets the ball moving. And not having that definitely you
47:57
can see. I mean, the Warriors have definitely struggled this year offensively,
48:00
kind of turning things around right now. But I also think that even having
48:02
Chris Paul out there takes away some of the usage from him from an assists
48:07
standpoint. But yeah, definitely gonna have to be a wait and see approach
48:12
from me on Steph. Even as well as he's projecting for us right now.
48:15
Klay Thompson, just his minutes are not secure and he's just shooting the
48:20
ball terribly right now. I think that he's a pretty easy fade. So
48:22
I wanted to talk about the Chris Paul type of range right now because Chris
48:30
Paul obviously is a really strong play coming in with big ownership going to be
48:35
probably forty plus percent. I would guess had a huge game against Dallas last
48:38
time. Went from forty four and a half DK points thirty three minutes on
48:43
six of nine shooting from three. I'm not saying Chris Paul is a bad
48:46
shooter, but you have to go back pretty far to see a time.
48:50
I think the last time he did it was when he was with Phoenix.
48:53
You gotta go back pretty far to see the last time he made more than
48:55
six three pointers in the game. So I would say that it was a
48:59
bit fluky, and I don't think that he gets obviously he's not gonna get
49:04
six in the in back to that games, but I don't think that he's
49:06
going to have the same type of scoring output. So that's kind of where
49:09
I think it's very interesting to make the pivot to Brandon Plazemski, who he
49:15
was starting for the Warriors. He looked, you know, like one of
49:17
their better options. He was really consistent. You know that Kerr likes him,
49:21
He's talked him up a bunch, but they went with Chris Paul in
49:23
the starting lineup. So Pods is going to be in that second unit dominating
49:27
a lot of the usage. But I mean, uh, I believe Ross
49:31
said earlier that Kerr doesn't always do what he says he's going to do.
49:35
So just because Chris Paul is starting doesn't mean he's guaranteed to see thirty four
49:37
plus minutes. So I'm I'm gonna be personally taking a stand in my twenty
49:42
max stuff and one fifty stuff and going heavier on Pods at a fourth of
49:46
the ownership, when just a few games ago he's shown forty plus upside.
49:51
He's been really really close to getting triple doubles. Two, he's had a
49:53
couple games with you know, double digit rebounds, around seven six assists,
49:59
So I think that he's definitely shown the upside in six K. That's enough
50:01
for me to make that pivot. Kind of a similar ish situation the last
50:07
night where we had, you know, Bradley Beal was coming with a ton
50:09
of ownership. You had Scoot Henderson was a little bit less owned, but
50:13
coming with a good amount of ownership, and then Jordia Clarkson sitting right there,
50:16
same price, sact, same position, looking at no ownership. That
50:21
kind of is similar to me tonight with with Pod, So I like him
50:24
a lot as a low owned option, just just an ownership standpoint. Nothing
50:29
has nothing to do with with matchup, so I'm taking a stand there.
50:34
But yeah, Kaminga, this is not the spot for him either. The
50:37
Magic one of the best interior defense in the league, really big, just
50:39
an oversized team, have a ton of size down low, So I don't
50:44
think that this is the spot for Kaminga. Wiggins is going to be a
50:47
pretty solid value option right now four point nine k He's been playing much better
50:52
off the bench too, So I like Wiggins as a value piece. And
50:54
then yeah, trace Jackson Davis. He's He's definitely the best value on the
50:59
slate for me. I'm gonna be playing him, possibly locking him in twenty
51:01
lineups for sure, in all my main single entry stuff. But I do
51:07
think that also there's just a lot out type play. I don't think that
51:12
going to Kevon Looney as a just you know, bumping up his projection and
51:15
maybe getting you know, one to two percent, you getting a lineup with
51:20
him in there, just in the scenario that maybe Jackson Davis gets into foul
51:23
trouble and you get some more run out of loony, but that's just that's
51:29
big like big field stuff. I wouldn't do that in a single entry type
51:32
setting. Yeah, I love the Pod shout. It was December thirtieth when
51:37
they were playing Dallas. It was the same starting lineup. CP three started,
51:43
he got his little break and then he came back in and the first
51:45
quarter and Steph came in, but he didn't start the second and the Warriors
51:49
got hot. They came back and it was Pods, Wiggins, Steph Saich,
51:54
Gary Payton was in the mix a little Tracey Jackson Davis a little bit
51:58
too, but Gary Payton's worth the defense. Pods was playing so well in
52:00
Wiggins, they were fine not putting CP three back in until like three minutes
52:05
left in that game. And that was one of the games. That was
52:07
the game he knewd with. He did get up to thirty two minutes.
52:09
He played most of the second half. He shot the ball very efficient from
52:13
deep, but he still had a solid first quarter and they went away from
52:16
them because their team was playing so well. Pods like I love. I
52:21
think Pods is better fit for this team than CP three, like you mentioned,
52:25
and when he's out there, with Steph, he has the ball in
52:28
his hands a lot, likes to pick and roll, et cetera. The
52:30
offense slows down a bit if we don't know what Kurr is gonna do.
52:34
We know how they're gonna start at least I feel very comfortable confident in that.
52:37
But after that, how the game's flowing, what he likes, who's
52:40
playing well together. Kurr is definitely a field guy when it comes to that.
52:44
So yeah, CP three will be one of the highest owned plays on
52:46
the slate. I think going to Pods, I think you can play him
52:50
together like it's NBA. They're both in that mid tier. I just really
52:53
do like POD's good rebounding floor. I mean, I just everything. He's
52:59
a good player. He can score the ball. And just because he is
53:01
coming in with the second units, the usage I don't know how much you
53:06
think it does change. I don't the sample is not big enough there.
53:08
But because Steph Mintzer staggered a lot, CP three's a bit like he still
53:14
does play with those guys. Do you think he gets a big usage bump
53:15
there coming off the bench or I mean, it's just how they're gonna go.
53:21
What are your thoughts on the usage change. I mean I could pull
53:24
up numbers if you want to keep talking a little bit. Just just a
53:28
small two games sample really quick, all right, yeah, because I'm looking
53:34
at it. I mean it was fourteen fourteen, fifteen twelve, nineteen fifteen.
53:38
It looks pretty similar. He went through a stretch earlier, there was
53:42
some injuries, what mid December when it got up to twenty twenty four seventeen
53:46
twenty seven after that though, he hasn't seen it above twenty. But it's
53:50
like the rebounding nine nine, ten, seven, He gets assists, he's
53:53
active on defense. It's just he does every little thing, which is why
53:58
coaches love him that way. But three bout on the floor especially, But
54:01
he has it got over twenty in a little while, so it changes too
54:06
much. Yeah, No, it's it's it's still pretty low even in a
54:09
small two games sample size. Yeah, it's a really really small sample size.
54:15
Like you said, I don't know. Yeah, I just like him
54:17
just a pure leverage standpoint, just kind of taking matchups and everything aside,
54:22
just kind of playing the fantasy, you know, game theory type type game
54:28
here. I think that he makes a lot of sense as a pivot and
54:31
then I got two other questions before we get to the last game, So
54:35
you can we can definitely play Franz Paulo. They actually correlate well in our
54:38
ranking in our tool over here together. If Folks is out for sure,
54:43
If Folks is playing, would you change your mindset on that? My thought
54:45
is, at the end of the day, there's only two games at ten
54:47
pm Eastern. If you have both those guys in your lineups, you really
54:51
might not have any flexibility to go Otherwise. I'd still be fine with it,
54:54
especially on this six gamer maybe it hurts a little bit. Any thoughts
54:58
on that, and then talk about Pods and CP three together again. I
55:01
think you can play together for the price the nature of the slates, but
55:06
maybe they ate into each other a little bit. I don't know thoughts on
55:08
that. Yeah, starting with the Paulo and Front stuff, I think I
55:12
would have a little bit less interest in playing them together if Folks was in.
55:15
He's just he kind of takes away a lot of the upside from a
55:17
usage standpoint. I think, you know, if you did start your lineup
55:22
with both of them, if it's a pretty clear pivot, you can go
55:23
from Paulo to Miles Bridges one hundred dollars cheaper, same exact positional stuff,
55:30
and you're really not giving up too much of a projection. So I think
55:34
that that makes a ton of sense. And I don't think that I'm gonna
55:37
be playing pods and C three together just because I was looking at the rotations
55:40
from last game. They pretty much were a one for one swap in terms
55:45
of minutes outside of the oh actually, never mind, I am wrong about
55:51
that. They did overlap a little bit, So maybe I take back what
55:54
I said. I think that you could play them together. Maybe maybe you
55:59
have if you have the soul where you can add a manual DOC to lineups
56:04
that you know have CB three DOC pods or lineups that have pods docks CB
56:07
three a little bit, But yeah, I think you could play them together.
56:13
Yeah, I agree. I wonder if when CP three and him did
56:16
share the court, I assume without looking that Steph was probably off during that
56:21
time getting a little rest, but or it was definitely Clay it was one
56:23
of them. But a lot of the time they have at least two of
56:27
CP three pods and stuff on the court. There we got one game left
56:30
on the slates. Let me see the lights because it was a little hurtful
56:34
earlier people in chat. Let me know, eighty nine likes, two's seventy
56:37
five watching Let's get one twenty five very rare do I set a number.
56:40
Whether you guys get it or not, nothing's gonna change. But it does
56:44
help us out a ton, and we do appreciate it a lot. And
56:46
of course I got shout out to our partner at Drafters head over drafters dot
56:51
com. Playoff best Ball. Hoop and I did a show. You can
56:53
watch it on Replay Talk some strategy, did some drafts on Friday. We'll
56:57
have another show this Friday, another show next Friday. And if you do
57:00
want to join us, just had the golf show Tamba and Hoop did talking
57:05
about what's in store for the year. There is just week There is just
57:08
golf memberships as well. Most people here though you want to play all the
57:13
sports, NBA, NFL, Golf, MMA, all of that one price.
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We have weekly, monthly, six months, and annual packages. They
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do all include the discord except the weekly package though, so if you join
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any of them but weekly, make sure to get in that discord. Huge
57:29
piece of our product over here and appreciate everyone hanging out, hope, everybody
57:32
having a good day, having a great start to the new year, staying
57:36
with your New Year's resolutions. Two days into it, last game of the
57:39
night. Huge, huge, Actually, I haven't seen the updated spread on
57:44
this one. It was sixteen and two thirty total. But Rogier was not
57:50
expected to play. Now is probable they had the Sacramento haven't looked at It's
57:55
still probably what thirteen fourteen, you can look it up. When I'm talking
58:00
as far as ownership and stuff in this game, it was gonna be a
58:02
lot of the Charlotte ish. Smith was gonna be one of the most popular
58:06
plays, expecting to start again. The Bridges was gonna be pretty popular on
58:12
fan duel. Brandon Miller had a good price tag. Nick Smith was very
58:15
cheap, even though he is never a fun click. Now with Roseier in,
58:20
I don't know, it's tough to get to these Charlotte pieces, I'll
58:22
throw it to you, but start with Terry Rozier himself eight point nine K.
58:27
He's absolutely chucking. He's gonna be probably low owned, and it kind
58:30
of fits that build, that mid tier build where I want to go.
58:34
I still expect his ownership to be low. Could you get to a little
58:37
low owned Terry Roseier in this spot, because if this game is close,
58:42
it's gotta be because of him, is how I see it, So start
58:45
with that. Any interest on the other side, yeah, I mean I
58:47
would pretty much say the same thing that I would I was gonna say about
58:52
a Miles Bridge. Well, a little bit less out of Miles Bridges because
58:54
he played thirty six minutes last night, even in a blowout, But I
58:58
do think that getting to Rosier would make sense with a little game stack.
59:02
This is a good game environment too, pretty fast paced teams, Kings playing
59:07
much faster since Darren Fox came back. They're in the top ten of the
59:09
league now Hornet's obviously they're dead last in defense. I think that Kings will
59:15
have no issue scoring on them. But yeah, if the game were to
59:19
stay close with Rosier back, definitely going to be on the back of him
59:22
and Miles Bridges and probably Brandon Miller to a lesser degree. Talk about it
59:28
before. Just all year with LaMelo ball off the court, Rosier has one
59:30
of the best ball handling roles, leading the team in usage, assists,
59:34
percentage, touch time, all the main ball handling categories. His role has
59:39
been really good. It's the same role of a nine to five to ten
59:44
K type player, and he I mean, he's shown the upside too.
59:46
If he can get hot from three, he's shown the upside. He's had
59:51
a couple of games with thirteen around thirteen assists. I don't think that he's
59:53
the wildest play. We have to see where the projections shakeout for him.
1:00:00
I don't know if my what I'm looking at is updated, but I think
1:00:02
it's still fifteen point spread. I don't, I don't have it probably is.
1:00:07
I mean it was what sixteen and a half I'll look right now,
1:00:10
but that sounds right at point and a half for Rogier. Outside of him,
1:00:14
this team's really gotten. Often keep talking about I'm going to see it
1:00:17
in the sack and yeah, I mean yeah, like I just SAIDs Bridge
1:00:22
is fifteen. Yeah, so it's still still going to be a blowout,
1:00:25
but a little bit less of a chance, or I guess more of a
1:00:29
chance for it to stay closer with Rosier back, But yeah, Bridges would
1:00:34
have been the main focal point in the offense if if Rosier wasn't in.
1:00:37
But Rich is going to see Keegan Murray, most likely on defense, which
1:00:40
shouldn't be an issue for him. Kings are kind of struggling with their interior
1:00:44
defense. The bonus not the best interior defenders. I think the Bridges has
1:00:47
some upside at eight point one K, even with Rosier back, in the
1:00:51
scenario that the game were to stay close. Yeah. I wrote up Brandon
1:00:55
Miller at first, but I don't think that he's much in play now.
1:00:58
It's six point seven K with ROSEI year back. But I think that there
1:01:00
will be a couple of games coming up pretty soon where it will be his
1:01:04
turn, his time to take over the team. Maybe Rosier will take a
1:01:07
couple of nights off coming up, and I think that Brandon Miller will be
1:01:10
in play soon. But six point seven K is a little expensive right now
1:01:13
for him. Ish I don't think is in play anymore, obviously with Rosier
1:01:17
back four point three K. Yeah. Outside of that, it's tough to
1:01:22
get to any of these other Hornets guys. Nick Richards has been playing well
1:01:27
and Sabonis can be vulnerable a bit of opposing centers. I don't think that
1:01:31
he's the craziest play at six K, but better plays and the values here
1:01:37
at center for me, and then yeah, Sabonis on the other side.
1:01:39
This is the nut matchup for centers here. I mean, even in a
1:01:42
blowout win, I think that he could put up a huge stat line in
1:01:45
three three and a half quarters Hornets. They were a little bit better with
1:01:50
Mark Williams in there DVP wise, but now they're bottom two to opposing centers.
1:01:53
Sabonis has four triple doubles in his last seven games, getting a ton
1:01:58
more usage in the offense, getting more involved as a passer side, I
1:02:00
think that he puts up a big score here, not coming in with a
1:02:04
lot of ownership either, So I think he's a great play at nine point
1:02:07
seven K. Fox also in an equally as good spot, probably a little
1:02:13
bit better now with Rosier and there. Rosier not the best on ball defender,
1:02:16
and I think that Fox kind of makes a little bit more sense in
1:02:21
the scenario that a game were to stay close, kind of see his minutes
1:02:23
get elevated, his usage and scoring all go up in a closer game.
1:02:28
I think that in blowouts it's more the other guys doing the heavy lifting,
1:02:32
but I think that in a close game, Fox makes a ton of sense.
1:02:35
So pairing him with probably not Rosier, just both point guard eligible,
1:02:39
but actually Terry Terry shooting guard. Okay, so yeah, you could definitely
1:02:45
pair him with Terry Rozier as well. Bridges makes sense to I always liked
1:02:51
Aaron Fox. He's been one of the better scores, just most consistent scores
1:02:53
all year long, so I like him. I don't really have interest in
1:02:58
Keegan Murray. Not as good a matchup for three point shooters, so I
1:03:00
think that he just misses my player pool. Malik Monk is a solid option.
1:03:06
The load of mid tier have been playing super well lately. Thirty four
1:03:08
and a half DK points, forty one DK points the last two games.
1:03:12
He's a spark club plug off the bench, always has the chance to go
1:03:15
off, so I don't mind him at all at six point one K.
1:03:17
I am seeing a lot of ownership on Christy Arte, and I can pretty
1:03:22
comfortably just x M out of my playerpool. He's just got little to no
1:03:27
usage in the starting lineup when he's sharing the floor with Fox and sabonas he's
1:03:30
kind of be standing over there in the corner hopefully knocking down a couple of
1:03:34
threes. But I would just prefer to look elsewhere. If I can get
1:03:38
away from Christy Arte, that's usually how I want to play it. But
1:03:42
yeah, that's that's kind of it for me in this game. Yeah,
1:03:44
so juice, why do Arte is popping? Rio said at the end,
1:03:47
But so we started last game for herd or where everyone expecting the same thing.
1:03:52
But yeah, you can look at it. Rio just did. He's
1:03:54
getting ownership because he is starting in the minutes are safe. But when you're
1:03:59
sharing the core with Fox and Sabonis instead of the second unit, your shot
1:04:03
attempts and what you do on the offense, you stand in the corner and
1:04:06
you hope to get the ball and hit a couple of threes that way.
1:04:10
So the ownership I don't think is going to go anywhere. Though we lost
1:04:13
age Smith, we didn't gain more value as the show went on. We
1:04:15
actually lost value. So I do expect Duarte ownership to stay there. You
1:04:19
mentioned Nick Richards the Monster game he had yesterday, two other guys, and
1:04:25
you know there's not great value and we're talking about it, Harrison Barnes,
1:04:29
Jordan brought him up, and if we were talking Marcus Morris, Nicholas Patoum,
1:04:32
I will mention Harrison Barnes and then Trey Lyles. Again, I mean
1:04:36
at these guys, I mean we're hoping twenty points, twenty one points,
1:04:41
and it's what it gets you either of those two, any of those two
1:04:44
neither. I would much rather play Trey Lyles. If we're just talking like
1:04:48
having a forward spot available, if you have Duarte in there at forward instead
1:04:54
of guard, then I would much rather play Trey Lyles at four point three
1:04:57
K. At least we know that he has upside and it's a good matchup
1:05:01
for you know, he's most out there to be launching threes, which kind
1:05:04
of sucks. But at four point three K, I know that he's got
1:05:09
a little bit of upside, whereas dwart Te has little to none. I
1:05:12
agree, Yeah, he's more active, he can grab more boards. You
1:05:15
feel a little better about him, So I agree with that. That's all
1:05:18
six games. Yeah, the slates came in as there was some value.
1:05:23
I mean it was pretty concentrated. I think Tray Jackson, Davis Chris Paul
1:05:27
are the two most popular plays on the slate. We lost the Smith and
1:05:30
the Charlotte stuff for years, probable only waiting for Folts and Trey Murphy Folts
1:05:35
is one of the two to ten pm Eastern games, so I don't expect
1:05:39
to get that news. Trey Murphy will get. We match it like Herb
1:05:43
Jones, Naji Marshall, But yeah, I mean when that's the biggest news
1:05:45
on the slate. Besides, you never know what happens in the NBA.
1:05:49
Again, we're not saying enough, get off the show, put in your
1:05:53
teams like you would I'll say golf, I would say MMA. So many
1:05:56
cancelations you never know anymore, but it's not a sport like that. They'll
1:06:00
maybe get a random to someone in the starting lineup or something. Ownership projections
1:06:04
will be updated throughout the night Core reports as well in the discord. Always
1:06:10
make sure to get in there. But any final thoughts for you, it
1:06:13
looks like a mid tier bill for me, Yeah, same for me as
1:06:15
well. I think we talked to some points so we can have some games,
1:06:20
some leverage, and I think that's a pretty solid GPP type of slate.
1:06:25
Some sneaky spots to gamestack as well. So I really like the slate,
1:06:29
even not having Ishmith. I wasn't really that excited to play him either
1:06:31
way, so I'm kind of fine to not be forced to play a chalky
1:06:35
ish smith. So but yeah, all I know this is a pretty pretty
1:06:39
fun slatey. I'm looking forward to it. Yeah, I mean everyone's playing
1:06:42
with the same cards sometimes like that when you know you probably would fall on
1:06:45
some chalk just because of the nature of the slate, But you don't love
1:06:47
it when it's taken away. It's taken away from everyone. Everyone's got adjust
1:06:51
You had some Larry nance MoMu some cheap shouts that probably will be relatively low
1:06:57
well, and so head over ship a Nation dot com again, weekly,
1:07:00
monthly, six month, annual packages. Go check out that golf show too.
1:07:03
There is just golf memberships as well, weekly, monthly and for the
1:07:08
season. Go check that out. That was just on this page as well,
1:07:12
and someone asked was their hockey show. They did do an NHL Quick
1:07:15
Hit which is also on this YouTube channel. To check that out. Great
1:07:18
show as always, Rio, hope you have a great night. Somebody out
1:07:21
there. Go win some money with the ship in Nation logo up top for
1:07:26
Rio untitled town. Have a good night, good luck everybody. Then hands