Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 546 - 7/9/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:0154321 All systems Go with Josh Applebaum starts now.
- 0:13Hello and welcome. To episode 546 of the All
- 0:18Systems. Go sports betting podcast
- 0:21powered by Rhythm. I am your host.
- 0:24Josh. Applebaum, what's going on,
- 0:31everyone? Happy Thirsty Thursday.
- 0:33Another day here in the arena guys, we.
- 0:35Only got a few days left. Here until the MLB all.
- 0:38Star break again. We're winding down.
- 0:40We're getting closer. Which again, I don't.
- 0:42Know do you feel good about it or bad about?
- 0:44It I'm kind of. Sad that we're going to go
- 0:46through a few days with, with no MLB games, but also maybe a
- 0:49little bit excited to, you know, catch my breath, maybe take the
- 0:52wife and the baby out to. Lunch or dinner and have some
- 0:54fun. But really once.
- 0:56You get to the MLB All Star Break, you know that.
- 0:58Football is right. Around the corner, so that might
- 1:00be a little bit of a consolation prize.
- 1:03But we do have today we got. Tomorrow we got Saturday, Sunday
- 1:06and then one. 2-3, just 4. Short days from today, four days
- 1:11from tonight. We have the MLB home run.
- 1:13Derby, which typically. I don't.
- 1:15Bet I have. Had some luck cashing tickets.
- 1:18Not on who's going to win it because I feel like it's always
- 1:20a crapshoot, but sometimes there's like.
- 1:22Over under longest home run I've actually seen some.
- 1:25Value there last few years cashed a couple of.
- 1:27Those and get an. Over it was last year or the
- 1:30year before, but then also the MLB All Star game we are now
- 1:3312345 days away on. Tuesday from the MLB.
- 1:36All Star Game and I mentioned yesterday I'm waiting for this
- 1:39line to come out. It really hasn't.
- 1:40Come out anywhere. We're starting to figure out,
- 1:43OK, who's in, who's out in terms of, you know, who's getting
- 1:45voted in, the replacements, people are injured and getting
- 1:48replaced and all that kind of stuff.
- 1:50But we we are waiting on the actual lines for the game.
- 1:54So we'll see. I know the AL has had a great
- 1:56record here against. The NL over the last like. 20
- 1:58plus years. But I'm focused on the total I
- 2:01mentioned yesterday. Typically bet the under.
- 2:04You know, death, taxes and MLB All Star game unders.
- 2:08Typically you see those low. Scoring.
- 2:09Games 3:00 to 2:00. 4 to 3, two to one, that sort of thing, just
- 2:13cuz you have great pitching. And they're great hitters too,
- 2:16but good pitching usually. Beats good hitting.
- 2:19As you've seen historically, and then you.
- 2:20Bring in all the. Relievers and starters who are.
- 2:23Coming in as relievers, you're just going.
- 2:25Up against the. Best of the best.
- 2:26So that's why you. Typically see the unders.
- 2:28Cash had a pretty good clip, but again, we run the line yet we'll
- 2:31be. 7 1/2 we better hit it immediately before it gets.
- 2:33Down to seven. Sometimes that happens.
- 2:35I will wait and see and. Hopefully cash a ticket.
- 2:38In the All Star game coming up here.
- 2:40In a few days. But until then, we got a few.
- 2:43More days of. MLB betting, so let's.
- 2:45Try to make the most of it. Now looking back to our last
- 2:48night guys before we get to our sweats for today because I do
- 2:50have a day sweat for you guys. Today post another winning
- 2:53night, 2:00 and 1:00. Plus. 0.75 units had a nice hit
- 2:57with the nationals. Eight to two winners over
- 3:00Houston. I tell you what, guys, when you
- 3:02bet on the Nats, not that. They win every single.
- 3:03Game, but man, that offense is. Unbelievable.
- 3:06James Wood and. Garcia 12.
- 3:09They can put up runs in a hurry and they poured it on against
- 3:11Aragetti. So good winner there with the
- 3:13Nats and then my Boston. Red Sox I was.
- 3:16Joking with my buddy. Darush.
- 3:17One of the sharpest guys I know. He's a big White Sox fan.
- 3:21And he was like, oh, you really want to really going to bet
- 3:23against the White Sox? You know what happens when you
- 3:24bet against the White Sox. You usually win, but.
- 3:27I don't know. I got.
- 3:28I had a. Feeling with the Boston Red Sox
- 3:29cuz. As much as they've annoyed me
- 3:31and pissed me. Off and I hate Craig Breslow as.
- 3:33AGM and I'm. Disgusted by John?
- 3:35Henry as the owner. I I could.
- 3:38Feel I could see. They're.
- 3:39They got some mojo, they're turning it around, they're
- 3:41playing better. They had a sharp dog line move
- 3:43yesterday. Probably got around even money,
- 3:45but the Red Sox were 5 nothing winners against.
- 3:47The Southsiders only loser was the Brewers as great as the.
- 3:50Brewers have been. All year lost 5.
- 3:53To one in Saint Louis. Hey, sometimes that happens,
- 3:55but. As always guys, that's why we
- 3:57say when. We have a three.
- 3:58Pack. The goal is to go.
- 3:59Two and one each got a winning day, so that's what we did. 2
- 4:02and 1 + 0.75 units. So a couple winning days in a
- 4:06row. Let's try to.
- 4:07Continue the winning streak. Without further ado, let's get
- 4:10right to it guys, cuz I do. Have a day sweat?
- 4:12For you. Again, a team.
- 4:13That I'm. Worried to bet on cuz they're
- 4:15not that good but they're really sharp.
- 4:17And. I'm a I'm a sucker for sharp
- 4:19plays. So hopefully we'll get.
- 4:20Lucky and they'll come through for us, but first one on the
- 4:22board. 1:35 PM Eastern. Time.
- 4:25Let's go to Camden Yards, where the.
- 4:27Baltimore Orioles are hosting the Chicago Cubs now.
- 4:31Let's talk line, move split system matches.
- 4:33I'll give you my play for this one.
- 4:35So the cubbies come in 52 and 40 on the year they've taken the.
- 4:39First two games of this three-game interleague.
- 4:41Series they won the opener. 5:00 to 2:00.
- 4:43As a -1. 15 road favorite. They won again yesterday, nine
- 4:47to seven as a + 110 road dog. So in this afternoon series
- 4:51finale, we got the cubbies going with the.
- 4:53Lefty David Peterson. Just picked him up.
- 4:56From the. Who's at the Mets?
- 4:58Four and Seven, 6.75. ERA.
- 5:01The Orioles, meanwhile, who are. 42 and 51 they're.
- 5:04Going to go with the fellow southpaw Trevor Rogers.
- 5:06He's 6. And seven with a 4.7 O ERA now.
- 5:10What we've seen across the market.
- 5:11Will this game open with Baltimore list around 8 -, 120 -
- 5:15125 home favorite short number Chicago around a plus one O 5
- 5:19road dog and sharps, believe it or not, getting down on the
- 5:23Orioles here. That's why I mentioned, hey, I
- 5:26got. To play a sharp play even though
- 5:28the Orioles. Actually been favorites.
- 5:29In the first two games and and lost.
- 5:30Both of them with. Some line movement as well, but
- 5:33what's interesting. Here is that the public?
- 5:35'S pretty much. Split down the middle, 5050.
- 5:37You know, Peterson's got a high ERA.
- 5:39Orioles aren't that great. But yeah, they're at home.
- 5:42So if you look at. DraftKings it's 5050 ticket
- 5:44split 50. Percent money line bets.
- 5:47Chicago Cubs as a dog. 50% money line.
- 5:49Bets Baltimore Orioles as a short favorite.
- 5:51What do we always talk about? 5050 ticket splits.
- 5:54Theoretically, in a vacuum, when the bets are even, the line
- 5:57shouldn't. Really move at all because the
- 5:59odds. Makers have balanced action.
- 6:01You know can mitigate their liability and risk.
- 6:03They can just. Rake in the juice.
- 6:05However, sometimes you see a. 5050 ticket split and yet you
- 6:08see a line. Move, and that's when it gets
- 6:09notable. Because the line.
- 6:11Theoretically, again, shouldn't. Move at all and.
- 6:13That's what we've seen here, even though the tickets are
- 6:155050. The signs crept up.
- 6:17Toward the Orioles. They've gone from -120 up to
- 6:19-125 a lot of books now up to -130.
- 6:23So the lines creeping up further toward Baltimore, even though
- 6:26public's down the middle now. We look at DK only 50% tickets.
- 6:30But 79% of money line dollars are on Baltimore.
- 6:34So a good. Low bets, higher dollar.
- 6:36Sharp split in favor. Of the O's.
- 6:38And the O. 'S would match quite a few.
- 6:39System matches I mean. First off, you just have an
- 6:41interleague favorite. So lack of familiarity.
- 6:43Historically benefiting quote. UN quote.
- 6:45The better team, but. Here's where it gets good if you
- 6:48are a favorite who has lost the first two games of a three-game
- 6:51set. And you're trying to avoid the
- 6:53sweep. Favorites trying to avoid the
- 6:55sweep have been really good historically.
- 6:58This year they are 50. 5 and 3561 percent, 7% ROI.
- 7:03That would match with Baltimore. Trying to avoid the sweep.
- 7:06Then we got a fishy buy low sell high system if you are a buy low
- 7:10below 5. 100 home favorite and you're taking.
- 7:13In line movement. In your favor.
- 7:14And you're facing. An above 500 team so it's kind
- 7:17of fishy. Why is the line?
- 7:18Moving toward the team with the. Below. 500 Record when quote UN
- 7:21quote the. Better team.
- 7:22Is the dog getting plus money? Well, buying low on that sub 500
- 7:26home favorite with a line move against the above 500 team
- 7:29that's been profitable. Those teams are 54 and 3064.
- 7:33Percent, 10% ROI. This year now.
- 7:36Rodgers overall on the year. Starter here for the O's.
- 7:39His numbers aren't great. Six and seven.
- 7:41Four point. Seven OERA, but he's actually
- 7:43pitched really well. He was terrible to start the
- 7:46year. But he's really strung.
- 7:47Together. Good, good.
- 7:49You know, group of starts here. He's pitched.
- 7:51Well, as of late in his. Last six starts.
- 7:54He has a. 1.79 ERA He's only given up 7 earned runs in 35. .2
- 7:59innings pitched. Baltimore, you know they're.
- 8:01Nearly 10 games below. 500 they're 4.
- 8:03And two. In his last six starts.
- 8:06And he has a. 3.62 ERA during the day.
- 8:08Versus 5.55 at night. So I want to back Rogers,
- 8:12believe it or not. Again, because he's been.
- 8:14Pitched really well as of late. Hope that continues and I want
- 8:17to fade Peterson. Peterson has made two starts
- 8:20with the Cubs since getting acquired by.
- 8:22The Mets and the first one was pretty good.
- 8:24Second one he gave up 10. Earned runs in three. .2 Innings
- 8:28pitch. In a 17 to one loss at home
- 8:31against the Cardinals, I remember seeing that game, the
- 8:34score. I'm like, is that real?
- 8:35Is that a? Is that a bug in the score?
- 8:37No, that was. Real they lost 17 to 1.
- 8:40So again. 5050 down the middle, but lines.
- 8:43Moving toward toward the Orioles.
- 8:44So you got a good bet split low bets, higher dollars at.
- 8:46DK you got some? Really good system, matches
- 8:49hopefully. Rodgers greater than Peterson.
- 8:52And oh, by the way. Popped open Juice reel.
- 8:54Noticed a 5% sharp mush edge in favor of the Orioles, so nothing
- 8:58huge. But telling us a positive
- 9:00majority of winning betters also going Orioles today and.
- 9:03Then what I. Really like is I?
- 9:04Opened up the. Rhythm app and all three of my
- 9:08Rhythm recommendations are lighting up on the Orioles.
- 9:12So the AI model at Rhythm? Likes the OS.
- 9:14Sharp mush edge, sharp splits again.
- 9:17Don't let us down, Baltimore. You're not a very good team, but
- 9:19you're sharp today. Dear God, gambling.
- 9:22Gods come through for. Us so I got.
- 9:24Baltimore guys -130 kind of a short money line play here at
- 9:28Caesar's. They're pretty much -130
- 9:30everywhere. But let's go OS next step for
- 9:34you. Let's go down to Florida.
- 9:36Miami, where the Marlins are hosting the Seattle.
- 9:39Mariners a first pitch. Tonight 6. 40 PM Eastern Time.
- 9:44Now the Marlins are 50. One and 42.
- 9:47They've taken the first two games of this three-game.
- 9:49Series they won the opener. Six to five in extras.
- 9:52As a - 125 home favorite member. That was our.
- 9:55Jacob Marcy, walk off. And our harem Berto Herberto or.
- 9:59Hernandez pinch it a. Homer to tie it up in the 8th.
- 10:03Funny how you always remember a big.
- 10:04Comebacks you always. Remember the big losses to the
- 10:06heartbreaking ones? But anyway, they won again
- 10:09yesterday. 2 Nothing as a. Plus 110 home dog.
- 10:12So in tonight's series. Finale.
- 10:14The Mariners, who are 47 and 46. They're sending.
- 10:17Out the righty Bryce. Miller.
- 10:18He's 4:00 and 2:00. With a 1.71 ERA Marlins,
- 10:22meanwhile, going. With the righty Jansen.
- 10:24Junk. He's coming off the injured.
- 10:25List he's three and five with a four. .8 O ERA what?
- 10:29Have we seen across the market? This game open Seattle.
- 10:32Listed around a -, 1. 45 road favorite.
- 10:35Miami around a + 125 home dog. And the public says there's no.
- 10:40Way Seattle's getting swept. They've lost the 1st 2:00 they
- 10:43have. To win this one.
- 10:45And who knows, they might win this one.
- 10:46That's baseball. It's sports.
- 10:47Anything can happen. But that's kind of the gambler's
- 10:50fallacy. You're not betting.
- 10:51On the. Match up the sharp.
- 10:52You know. Splits the system.
- 10:54Matches any of that, You're betting on the fact that.
- 10:57A team is due or team has to do this or.
- 10:59Has to do that. And that's.
- 11:00Really never a good. Style of betting.
- 11:02I always make the. Comparison to the.
- 11:06The roulette table. You know you're with your
- 11:07buddies. At the casino, it lands on red
- 11:10five times in a row. Everyone's saying it's got to be
- 11:13black the next time, but no, it could be red a sixth time in a
- 11:15row. So you.
- 11:16Just want to take. Each game individually, not bet
- 11:18based on. What is supposed to happen?
- 11:20Because it's not the way sports works.
- 11:22But here's the thing. Even though nearly 2.
- 11:25Thirds of bets. 65% on the money line.
- 11:28Tickets. At DraftKings are going Seattle
- 11:31the line. Hasn't gone up further.
- 11:32Towards Seattle, they haven't gone -145 to -150 -, 1. 60 No
- 11:37the lines. Completely gone the other way
- 11:39we've seen Seattle. Fall from -145 down to -125.
- 11:45So if the public's all over Seattle.
- 11:47At -140. Five Why are the odds makers
- 11:49dropping? Them down to -125 saying hey,
- 11:51you like a -? 145 here, I'll chop off $0.20.
- 11:55It'll be even cheaper now. So that tells us that we have
- 11:58sharp reverse. Line movement on Miami because
- 12:01even though Miami is. Only getting. 1/3 of.
- 12:03Tickets at DK we've. Seen the line move in their
- 12:05favor plus 125 to around plus one O 5.
- 12:09We go over to circa 60. Percent money line bets, but
- 12:12over 90% of money line dollars are on Miami.
- 12:15So that tells us we got. A lot of big money in the.
- 12:17Desert the sharps, the wise guys.
- 12:19The ace Rothstein. 'S out in the desert.
- 12:21Going with Miami here, triggering that, triggering that
- 12:23RLM in their favor. We also get some system matches
- 12:27if you're a home dog off a win. And you missed the.
- 12:29Playoffs the previous year. Those have been good teams.
- 12:32To buy low on. Because they are. 84 and 80. 8
- 12:35on the year. Now that's an only a 49% win
- 12:38rate. But because of the.
- 12:39Plus money payouts. If you're 49% on a dog system,
- 12:42that's really good. That's a 6% ROI if you're a dog.
- 12:46Off a win, receiving line movement in your favor and
- 12:48you're facing an opponent who made the.
- 12:50Playoffs the previous season. Those dogs are. 52 and 50 this
- 12:53year, 51. Percent A nine percent ROI Miami
- 12:58has. The better bats, let's hope that
- 12:59their offense can get to Bryce. Miller he's.
- 13:02I think he's got a 0.4 O. ERA at home, but.
- 13:04Like 270 on the road. He's been really good in
- 13:07Seattle, but he's in Miami tonight.
- 13:09But Miami has the better offense.
- 13:11They're hitting 250. Four 426 runs scored.
- 13:14Seattle's hitting two. 30 only three. 177 runs scored.
- 13:19We do have two. Righties on the bump.
- 13:20And Marlins are better against righties.
- 13:22They're fifth in. Baseball hitting 258.
- 13:25Mariners are 21st. In baseball, hitting only. 239
- 13:28Then we get to. Some.
- 13:29Home Rd. Marlins 30 and 17 at home.
- 13:32That's the. 3rd best home record in baseball meanwhile.
- 13:35Mariners 20 and 26 on the road, six games below 500.
- 13:40So Publix all over Seattle. Gamblers fallacy.
- 13:42They can't. Possibly get swept.
- 13:44They have. To win today, however, the
- 13:46line's dropping toward Miami. They got good splits, especially
- 13:49at Circa. Good system matches better bats.
- 13:51Great at home. Oh, by the way, we noticed one
- 13:55rhythm recommendation on Miami and IT.
- 13:57Happens to be a. Green Star rhythm
- 14:00recommendation. So it tells.
- 14:01Me the AI model is lighting up here in favor of Miami.
- 14:05So call me crazy, but I'm taking.
- 14:06A shot on the. Fish here.
- 14:08Good Sharp. RLM.
- 14:09Dog gamblers fallacy play. Shop around.
- 14:12I was able to find Miami plus 1/12 at Bali Bet but most books
- 14:17now plus 110 even now plus one. O5 so just try to get.
- 14:20As much plus money. As you possibly can.
- 14:22Last bet of the night. Let's go right back to Saint
- 14:25Louis. 7:45 PM Eastern Time, first pitch.
- 14:28Between the. Brewers and the Cardinals now.
- 14:31The Brewers are. 58 and 30. Four.
- 14:33They won the first three games of this five game series.
- 14:36They won the opener 4:00 to 3:00.
- 14:38As a -, 120 road favorite. Then they swept.
- 14:41The doubleheader on Tuesday, winning four to three.
- 14:43As a -. 225 road favorite and then 1:50 as a -1 O.
- 14:47Five Rd. Dog.
- 14:48Then the Cardinals bounce back. They won last night. 5:00 to
- 14:511:00 as a + 125 home dog cards on the year now. 48 and 40.
- 14:57Three what do we see across the market?
- 14:59Well, first. Let's talk about the.
- 15:00Pitching matchup. Milwaukee is sending out the
- 15:02ready. Logan Thompson, he's coming.
- 15:04Off the injury list. He's two and one with a 2 point.
- 15:077. Four era, he'll be opposed by
- 15:09the fellow ready. Andre Palante.
- 15:12He is 10 and five with a three. .6 O ERA.
- 15:15Now, what have we seen in terms of line movement?
- 15:17Well, this game open. Milwaukee listed as a.
- 15:19Short -125 Road favorite Saint Louis A + 105 home dog and
- 15:24sharps. Going right back to the.
- 15:26Well, with Milwaukee. Because the beer makers.
- 15:29Have seen a line move in their favor.
- 15:30They've gone from -125 up to -135 S about a $0.10.
- 15:35The move. In favor of the.
- 15:36Brewers. Now we look at the splits.
- 15:39At DK 66%. Money line bets but 97% of money
- 15:45line dollars are coming in favor of Milwaukee, so line move and.
- 15:49Low bets, higher dollars. Pro and Joe split in their
- 15:51favor. Get to some system matches here.
- 15:53One that jumped out to me. When both teams.
- 15:55Are this is actually one of my favorite systems all year.
- 15:57It's been one of the best performing knock on wood.
- 15:59But when both. Teams are above. 500.
- 16:02Just take the team. Receiving line movement in their
- 16:04favor, those teams are 127 and 7563%.
- 16:09With a 14%. ROI.
- 16:11This year, Milwaukee has the better bats let's hope they can
- 16:13get. To Palante and Henderson can
- 16:15hold down Saint Louis. But Milwaukee is hitting two.
- 16:1850. Five, 468 runs scored.
- 16:21Saint Louis is hitting. 240. 5. 416 runs scored.
- 16:25Palante has been great on the road. 6 and O. 2.33.
- 16:29ER, a pretty darn. Good, but at home four and five,
- 16:334.47 ER a so not great Brewers. Meanwhile, 29 and 15 on the
- 16:38road. That is the best Rd. record in
- 16:40baseball. They're also 26 and 9.
- 16:42As a road favorite. That's also.
- 16:44Best in baseball? Milwaukee, by the way, you only
- 16:47lost yesterday. They're. 7:00 and 2:00.
- 16:49Against Saint Louis this year, so.
- 16:51Milwaukee won the 1st. Three lost last night.
- 16:54It's a rare 5 game series because they added a
- 16:56doubleheader from a previous. Rain out.
- 16:59But I'm going back to the well with the Brew crew.
- 17:01They got the Brewers -1. 32 at FanDuel.
- 17:04Shop round because a lot of books -135 -. 140 and I forgot
- 17:08to mention we have a 25% big fat 25% sharp mush edge in favor of
- 17:15Milwaukee from our friends at Juice reel and then pop open
- 17:18rhythm 2 count them two rhythm recommendations.
- 17:21Also lighting up in. Favor of Milwaukee, so add it
- 17:25all up here guys. 3 plays for tonight, all short favorites or
- 17:30a little. Bit of plus money dog.
- 17:32Orioles, Marlins. Brewers.
- 17:34Let's try to get 2 out of 3. Continue our winning ways.
- 17:38So that about does it for episode 546 of the All Systems
- 17:42Go Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 17:45This is the part of the pod we wrap things up.
- 17:47And I always start first by saying.
- 17:49Thank you. Thank you for listening.
- 17:51Thank you for tuning in. Thank you for.
- 17:53Supporting the pod, tuning in and getting.
- 17:55The insights each. Day.
- 17:56I know you got a lot going on summer.
- 17:58Vacation kids are at. Camp.
- 18:00It's hot out there, but I look at the stats, I see.
- 18:03I see the listens, the views, the clicks.
- 18:05And you guys show up every day, so that really means the world
- 18:08to me. I'm really proud of.
- 18:09You know, hosting. And creating this sports.
- 18:11Gambling data-driven community. But if you do enjoy the pod,
- 18:15hopefully you value the insights.
- 18:16Whether you you know? Tail every play I.
- 18:18Recommend or you. Pick and choose or.
- 18:21Or fade, whatever you. Want to do maybe?
- 18:22Just like the the breakdowns. Want to know where the sharp
- 18:25money's flowing? But please, could you help me
- 18:27grow this podcast? Just do something.
- 18:29Very, very easy. Very.
- 18:30Simple, give it a 5 star. Review on Spotify or iTunes.
- 18:34Leave a nice comment if you feel so inclined.
- 18:36Recommend the pod to a friend. Retweet or like the pod when I
- 18:40put it out on. Twitter, any or.
- 18:41All of those things will be very much appreciated next.
- 18:45If you enjoy this style of sports betting breakdown
- 18:47data-driven sharp. Contrarian betting focusing on
- 18:50line movement. Bet split system matches taking
- 18:52a contrarian approach. If this style of betting.
- 18:55Has turned on a light in your head, and now you.
- 18:57Have a blueprint of how to attack the market then I would
- 19:00love for you to to go to. Amazon.com and type in either
- 19:04the NFL Sharp Betting Playbook or the Everything Guide to
- 19:07Sports. Betting those are the two books
- 19:08that I've written. Very proud of both.
- 19:10And make a great. Birthday gift.
- 19:11Stocking, stuffer, whatever the. Case may be if you.
- 19:15Want to grab one? Or both of my books.
- 19:17Bring them the sports book, I'll sign them for you.
- 19:20I'll buy you a beer or ginger ale and we'll get some nachos
- 19:23and we'll sweat some. MLB together tonight.
- 19:25That sounds pretty good to me. Next, have you downloaded Rhythm
- 19:29in Juice Real yet? Well, if you.
- 19:30Haven't. What are you waiting?
- 19:31For they're my 2. Favorite sports betting apps?
- 19:34And I consider them just fantastic data-driven.
- 19:37Boxes to check off. When you're getting down,
- 19:39deciding whether. Or not to to place a bet
- 19:42because. Rhythm is always great.
- 19:43For their AI backed. Models and predictions for game
- 19:46bets and player props. Anytime I get a.
- 19:48Rhythm system match or green star smart signal?
- 19:51Always gives me more confidence. And then also you got rhythm.
- 19:55In addition to rhythm, you got Juice Reel.
- 19:57Juice Reel has so many great features.
- 19:58You can get the Robo Jackson best bet picks, sharp mush
- 20:01indicators, arbitrage plays. Shop for the best sign features.
- 20:04You can sync up your sports books and get a running report
- 20:07card of your action. You can also.
- 20:09Support the pod through the Juice Reel app by signing.
- 20:12Up to get the. ASG best bet picks.
- 20:14Exclusively on Juice Reel. I'm a partner.
- 20:17Of Juice Reel. So when I make a bet.
- 20:19I got my book synced up. The bet goes right to the Juice
- 20:22Reel app. On my profile page.
- 20:24If you just search. Buy sell in the bottom right.
- 20:26Corner of Juice Reel. A little tab, then you're going
- 20:29to. Click the search box.
- 20:30Type in ASG, you'll find my. Profile right there.
- 20:34And you can. Support the pod as I pass the
- 20:36hat. And you can spend $9.99 a week.
- 20:40So 10 bucks. A week to get every best bet.
- 20:42As soon as I make. Them get them early.
- 20:44Before the pod and. Hopefully beat some closing
- 20:46lines and again the pods. Free.
- 20:49I consider it a tip jar. Or you can get a full month.
- 20:51'S worth of plays. For $24.99 a week.
- 20:55So again. You sport the pod.
- 20:57You want to contribute to my daughter's upcoming childcare?
- 20:59Fund. You can do it.
- 21:01By getting the. ASG best bet picks.
- 21:03Directly from juice reel. So download rhythm, download
- 21:07Juice Reel, give them both. A five star.
- 21:09Review in the App Store. Next you have a live odds page.
- 21:12Well, if you don't have one, you need one I keep.
- 21:14Saying it, but it's true. You got to be able to track the
- 21:17market. You got to know some very
- 21:19simple. Things if you want to be a
- 21:20sports better. You might have a different.
- 21:21Style or different approach, but it's the same for everybody.
- 21:25You got to know #1 very simply, what are the games that I can
- 21:28bet on today? I need all the games in front of
- 21:30me. I need all the lines in front
- 21:32of. Me.
- 21:32I need an open. Column that never changes then
- 21:34to the right. All the current.
- 21:36Odds so I can. Quickly scan and go.
- 21:37Left to right. And say oh.
- 21:38Open -150 now it's -170 that tells me my.
- 21:42First bit of information. That big money's going on the
- 21:45favorite. Our team.
- 21:47Open -150 now it's down to -130. Quick bit of information.
- 21:51Lines going toward the dog, then you can shop for the best line.
- 21:54Find the book offering the best. Price you can track.
- 21:57Late movement. I always like it.
- 21:58Like, you know, there's a bunch of 1:00 games.
- 22:01So you look, you know, the last 20 minutes, 10 minutes, 5
- 22:03minutes. Before first pitch.
- 22:05Hey, which direction is the line breaking when lines are moving?
- 22:08They get lit up in red. And then yellow and then green.
- 22:11So you know that. Hey if I like this play, haven't
- 22:14got it yet. I better jump on it now because.
- 22:15It's moving, but you can get. All these great indicators with
- 22:19the. Odds logic live odds page.
- 22:21So if you ever want to try it out, I have a special link for
- 22:24you. Oddslogic.com/josh 123.
- 22:29That's going to give you a 7 day.
- 22:30Free trial to make sure you. Like it and I'm.
- 22:33Pretty confident you will because I use it every day and.
- 22:35Then you will get. 50% off your first month of service.
- 22:38Again, that's odds logic.com/josh 123.
- 22:43So that about does it for episode 540.
- 22:45Six of the ASG. Pod as always guys, two final
- 22:48thoughts. One whether I.
- 22:49See you at the. Borgata.
- 22:51In Atlantic City Twin. River in Rhode Island, the
- 22:53Brooklyn, New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in
- 22:56Connecticut at the Encore in Boston plainridge park casino
- 22:59MGM Springfield or the Nash in my neck of the woods on the.
- 23:02Border of Massachusetts. In New Hampshire.
- 23:04Or out in the desert where the true grinders get down.
- 23:07Or Billy Walter. Sends his number runners.
- 23:09Where the lowest juice. Possible is found at the South
- 23:11point or sweat and sharp contrarian plays.
- 23:13Jumping in the stadium. Swimming pool.
- 23:15When you catch a big ticket at Circa, wherever it may be,
- 23:17you're going to walk up to me. Show me a beautiful.
- 23:20Washington Nationals ticket. Show me a beautiful.
- 23:24Boston Red Sox ticket First one's on me, next one's on you.
- 23:27Will post about the book. Sweat sharp Contrane plays all
- 23:30night long. So as always guys.
- 23:32Coming off a two and one or A1 and 2A3 and O or an O and three.
- 23:35A hot streak, a cold streak, Couple winning nights in a row,
- 23:38couple losing nights in a row. We just.
- 23:40Can never get too high or too low.
- 23:42If things are good, don't. Get cocky and arrogant.
- 23:44If things aren't going our. Way don't smash your TV and you
- 23:47know. Drive your car off a Cliff.
- 23:50Definitely don't do that. But again, we can't.
- 23:52Overreact. Good or bad, we just got to.
- 23:54Stick to the model, stick to the blueprint discipline with our
- 23:57bankroll management and play the system matches games that are.
- 24:00Against the public, with the house, with the pros.
- 24:03Flat bet. Avoid parlays and get that.
- 24:05CLV if we can do. That and I'm confident that we
- 24:08can we're. Going to be successful sports
- 24:10bettors, so I hope everyone has a.
- 24:11Great, Thursday. We'll be right back at it
- 24:14tomorrow. That'll be a big.
- 24:15Fade the public. Friday Edition, Episode 547.
- 24:19Of the All Systems Go sports betting podcast powered by
- 24:22Rhythm. Good luck everybody and have a
- 24:24great Thursday afternoon and night.
- 24:26Good luck.