Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 411 - 12/9/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:0154321 All systems Go with Josh Applebaum starts now.
- 0:13Hello and welcome to. Episode 411 of the All Systems.
- 0:18Go sports betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 0:22I am your. Host Josh Applebaum.
- 0:29What's going on, everyone? Happy Tuesday, another day.
- 0:32Here in the arena guys, as we are.
- 0:34Full in the midst of the holiday.
- 0:36Season here, and we got a lot to get to on today's podcast as we
- 0:39power through the early. Portion of our week.
- 0:42And it's going to be. All basketball guys, all hoops
- 0:46because I got a. 5 pack of sweats for you.
- 0:48Excited. To break down for.
- 0:49Today's POD. 3 college basketball games, some short.
- 0:53Money line favorites and one dog.
- 0:55That's had a really good sharp line.
- 0:56Move in their favor, and they all happen to be.
- 0:58Added extra games. So why do I mention?
- 1:01That because they may. Not be the sexiest games.
- 1:03Of the night might not be the most.
- 1:04Heavily bet, but. If you're seeing line moves in a
- 1:07low. Bed obscure game that tells me
- 1:09that it's. Almost purely.
- 1:10Sharp, respected, money driven because the public.
- 1:12Can't even find these games on their app.
- 1:14But of course, pros don't care. If it's a big game, small game
- 1:17because you can cash a ticket on.
- 1:19You know Kennesaw State. Just as you would.
- 1:21Alabama, they'll pay out the same exact money.
- 1:23For each of them so. 3 plays in college.
- 1:26And then two NBA. Player props I'm looking at.
- 1:29Both games tonight, so it's actually an.
- 1:31Early game this one. Will be an early.
- 1:33Play 6:00 PM Eastern Time, the Heat and the Magic and then a
- 1:36830 game the Knicks. And the Raptors.
- 1:38Again, only two games. But I got 1.
- 1:40Guy from each game. Hopefully to go over. 22 1/2. .3
- 1:44bounds and assists. So let's get some over PR as
- 1:47which had some success. With thinking back to.
- 1:49Who was it? Cooper.
- 1:50Flag and. Jeremiah fears last week.
- 1:52So 5 pack overall, all hoops. You guys know the drill.
- 1:55Let's try to get 3 out of three out of five go.
- 1:57Three and two eke out. A winning night, that is the
- 1:59goal. Now looking back to our last
- 2:01night. Guys, what a sweat.
- 2:03With the LA Chargers. Man did the Chargers.
- 2:05Come up big for the team. Thought they were.
- 2:07Going to blow it there late. But chargers?
- 2:09Found a way to. And they're really kind of, you
- 2:12know, in control the whole game. And then big, you know,
- 2:14touchdown run there by Saquon Barkley.
- 2:17Philly's. Up What was it, 19 to 16?
- 2:20And then chargers. Kicked a field goal, dicker.
- 2:22The kicker, who was great, came through and then.
- 2:25Won in overtime when? Philly was driving.
- 2:27They score a touchdown. We we lose our 2 1/2.
- 2:30But hey. They're able to get a big stop
- 2:32there. Hertz turned it over a bunch,
- 2:33which was fine by us. So the Chargers were a fantastic
- 2:37contrarian prime time dog. And also did you guys see where
- 2:41that line? Closed.
- 2:41We got plus 2 1/2 at one point. I'm like man, I missed the.
- 2:44Three, but I better. At least take the 2 1/2.
- 2:46I'm glad we did. Didn't matter because they won
- 2:48the. Game, but the line.
- 2:49Closed at Chargers Plus. 1 1/2 or even plus one.
- 2:53So as I'm. Looking at this line.
- 2:55Move going further to the Chargers.
- 2:57Right before kick off. I got pretty excited.
- 2:59They're saying, hey, we're on the sharp side, so it was nice
- 3:01to. Get some CLV.
- 3:03And then have. That winner there with the
- 3:04Chargers. So 1 and O.
- 3:05Plus 0.88 unit night. I want to mention two other
- 3:09things real quick. One, did you guys notice?
- 3:12The Army Navy Total because Army Navy.
- 3:15We talked about yesterday. Getting under 39 1/2.
- 3:18I know it's a. Low number generally speaking,
- 3:20but for an army Navy game when they run it.
- 3:22Pretty much every single. Down felt like that would be the
- 3:24high watermark. Well, did you guys?
- 3:25See the total today. It's now down to 38 1/2.
- 3:28Some books 38, some books 37 1/2.
- 3:31So I'm glad we were able to put that one in.
- 3:33Hopefully you did too put some. Good CLV there for Army Navy.
- 3:37Let's see if we can get an under on Saturday and then real quick.
- 3:40Just want to say. Thank you to all you guys
- 3:42listening because I. Don't know if you.
- 3:44Guys are Spotify. People or iTunes people?
- 3:47But I run my podcast through Spotify and then I have.
- 3:50My feed that sends. It everywhere else.
- 3:52ITunes, iHeartRadio, YouTube. All the other.
- 3:55Platforms, so no matter what. Platform you're listening on.
- 3:57Thank you. But I got my Spotify wrapped for
- 4:00the all. Systems go pod basically
- 4:02compiled. A lot of stats numbers in terms
- 4:05of how the podcast. Performed this year and.
- 4:07I just want to thank you guys because.
- 4:09I found out that. I if you and I tweeted this out
- 4:12from the All Systems Go account if you.
- 4:14Ever want to follow? It's at under score, ASG under
- 4:17score. Podcast.
- 4:18But in the year 2025. Which is almost.
- 4:20Ending here, we had 47.2000 total podcast listen to.
- 4:27The follower count went up. 60% this year.
- 4:30And it was a total of. 7.7 thousand listening hours from
- 4:34you. Guys also ranked.
- 4:36As a 2020. 5 Marathon. Show talked about show.
- 4:40And most shared show. So thank you for.
- 4:42That and then. This was interesting to the top
- 4:45countries. One, of course, united.
- 4:47States 2. Canada 3.
- 4:48Mexico 4. Australia and five Poland.
- 4:52So I could have, you know, thought US, Canada, Mexico, what
- 4:55Australia. And Poland.
- 4:57Shout out to my Australians, my Polish friends out.
- 4:59There, sports bettors, thank you for listening.
- 5:01Thank you for tuning in. But yeah, just.
- 5:04Seeing the the growth year over year.
- 5:06It means a lot to me and it. Was kind of nice.
- 5:08To see it all. You know, put, put.
- 5:09Together a nice little. Little.
- 5:10Portfolio or a pamphlet there that Spotify?
- 5:13Put together so. Thank you for listening and if
- 5:15you did enjoy the pod this year I always say it at the end of
- 5:17the podcast but please give it a 5 star.
- 5:20Review Spotify or iTunes. That would mean a lot to me.
- 5:23Now. Let's even get a little winning
- 5:24streak going. Had a good Sunday.
- 5:26Good day yesterday. Let's make it three in a row.
- 5:28So I want to start off with some college basketball because
- 5:31there's about 25. Games on the slate.
- 5:32Here tonight. And I focused on all of these
- 5:35little. Obscure.
- 5:36Low bet, low back. Games here so.
- 5:39Anyway, when you look. Or just regardless of when
- 5:42you're trying to differentiate. A.
- 5:43You know, a regular. Game from a obscure.
- 5:46Game I look. At the Vegas ID.
- 5:48Number the rotation. Number so for example.
- 5:50If you're betting like. You know Villanova.
- 5:53Michigan. It's a big.
- 5:53Game You know Michigan's favored by 16.
- 5:56That's game 6O36-O four, so usually you're going to get a.
- 5:59What's called a three? Digit.
- 6:01Vegas ID or rotation? Or NSS number.
- 6:04When you get a six digit number, those are the added.
- 6:06Extra games. So those are the games that.
- 6:08Are hard to find public doesn't care about.
- 6:10Too much and those. Are the games that I like the
- 6:12target because if you see a line.
- 6:14Move. Usually it's going to be driven
- 6:15by. Smart money because the public.
- 6:16Doesn't care about these games. Because they're just not.
- 6:19Sexy enough, you can always. Do the mascot.
- 6:22Test do you know? The mascot of this team, If I
- 6:24told you Duke, you'd say Blue Devils instantly.
- 6:27Howard. What's Howard?
- 6:29What state are they? In What's their mascot?
- 6:31Well, the Howard Bison. So let's start there. 7.
- 6:34O'clock Eastern Time game. 3O6553.
- 6:37Three O 655. 4 McNeese or actually?
- 6:40I'm going to start here, yeah. Where is it all?
- 6:43Right Howard versus North Carolina A&T.
- 6:46So tip off at 7:00. As I mentioned.
- 6:48This a neutral site. Matchup so they actually.
- 6:50Be played at Cameron Indoor Stadium, home of the Duke.
- 6:52Blue Devils will set the stage here, Howard. 5:00 and 5:00.
- 6:56Just beat Bowie State 85 to 69. I couldn't even find a line for
- 7:00that game so. That's why I didn't list it.
- 7:02NCA and T4 and three on the air they.
- 7:04Just held off North Carolina Central. 69 to 54.
- 7:08What are we seeing across the market here?
- 7:09This game opened. Remember neutral site Cameron
- 7:12Indoor? I don't know if the crazies will
- 7:14be there because Duke's not. Playing but anyway opened with
- 7:17North Carolina A&T, listed around a 3 1/2 or 4 point.
- 7:21Neutral site favorite. Now it's pretty clear.
- 7:23Lines move toward Howard. I like.
- 7:25Howard and the points here. Because Howard went from plus 5
- 7:27+ 3 1/2 now down to plus. 2 1/2 some looks even got as low as 1
- 7:321/2 or. Two earlier today.
- 7:34Now I jumped on a bad +2. I thought I was getting a decent
- 7:37number. Because at the time, a lot of
- 7:38books were getting down to 1 1/2.
- 7:40Well, now you can get a + 2 1/2. With Howard, if you.
- 7:42Want to play it? But still open a current.
- 7:44All movement has been toward Howard.
- 7:46Added extra game obscure sharp line move but.
- 7:48Then you look at the splits that look pretty good on Howard 30.
- 7:517% of spread. Bets 52.
- 7:53Percent of spread dollars at Circa I.
- 7:55Really like this one. 67% bets. 95.
- 7:59Percent spread dollars. So again.
- 8:01Good evidence there, the wise guys out in Vegas.
- 8:04Also taking the points. Of Howard notice.
- 8:06Some advantages here Stat. Wise Howard.
- 8:08Better offensive. Efficiency 3 or fourth in the
- 8:11country. May not sound great.
- 8:12But NCA and T IS300. And 30th better three.
- 8:16Point shooting 33. Percent versus 31%.
- 8:19Better free throw shooting. 72% versus 70%.
- 8:22And if you remember Howard I. Believe made the NCAA.
- 8:25Tournament last year. Won their division.
- 8:28Howard also does a good job. Turnovers on both sides of the
- 8:30ball. They protect it when they have
- 8:32it. They rank. 250th.
- 8:33And turnover percentage, again doesn't sound great.
- 8:35But NCA and T ranks 300 and 28th and then forcing turnovers.
- 8:40They do a pretty good job of, you know, picking the pocket of
- 8:42the other team. They are forcing turnovers.
- 8:4519th. Most in college basketball?
- 8:47That's pretty good. 220. 1st on the other hand there.
- 8:50For North Carolina A&T. So Ken Palm doesn't have this as
- 8:54a. 3 point game from. NCA and T.
- 8:57But with the line moving toward Howard.
- 9:00With. A lot of stat.
- 9:01Advantages with good bet. Splits I think.
- 9:03Rhythm has this closer to a 2.1 point game.
- 9:06Again, I got a bad +2. I played it a little early.
- 9:09I thought it would. Keep falling, but.
- 9:11There was some buy back there in.
- 9:12NCANT so if you want to play it. Now you.
- 9:14Can get NCANT now at plus 2 1/2 and I believe.
- 9:18You can even. Get a + 3 at Caesars.
- 9:20What I do like though, if you're.
- 9:22Worried about this line going back toward?
- 9:23NC Ant. Is that there's a.
- 9:25Really good sharp mush. Edge.
- 9:26There's a 60%. Sharp mush edge on Howard and
- 9:30that's actually. Money line to win the game, so
- 9:32we just need them to basically, you know, win the.
- 9:34Game or or lose by I guess for me.
- 9:37Lose a lose by one you'll. Lose by two I.
- 9:39Push, but again, hope you guys can now get a three and a. 2
- 9:421/2. Or three.
- 9:43Let's just win. The game Bison.
- 9:45Wouldn't that be nice? But I am on Howard again.
- 9:47I got a bad +2 you. Can get. 2 1/2.
- 9:49Or three. Next one for you.
- 9:51Let's look at McNeese State. And Rhode Island another.
- 9:55One here that. Is a low bet.
- 9:56Added. Obscure game 7:00 tonight, game
- 9:58three O 655-7306. 558. McNeese State comes in seven.
- 10:03And two. Just crushed Northwestern.
- 10:05State 92 to 54 easily covered as a 19 1/2 point.
- 10:09Home favorite. Meanwhile, Rhode Island, seven
- 10:11and three on the year. They just had their three.
- 10:12Game win streak come to an end. They lost to Providence. 90 to
- 10:1571 didn't cover as a 7 1/2. Point Rd.
- 10:18Dog. So we've seen across the market
- 10:20here. This game open McNeese State
- 10:22very short. 1 1/2. Point Rd.
- 10:24Favorite. And if you.
- 10:26Look at the open a current. It's still showing McNeese State
- 10:29minus. 1 1/2. But if you pull up the line
- 10:31history, which you can. Just tap any box showing any
- 10:34odds on odds logic. It'll show you that, McNeese.
- 10:37State actually got as. High as minus. 2 1/2 and I
- 10:40believe one shop even might. Have touched -3 earlier today
- 10:43before. It came back down to 1 1/2 so it
- 10:45looks like it hasn't moved. But all movement.
- 10:47Liability in between. Has been in.
- 10:49Favor of McNeese State. That tells me McNeese State.
- 10:52Is the sharper side. Here I like the.
- 10:53Splits on McNeese State 56. Percent of spread bets. 74.
- 10:57Percent of spread dollars. At DK so good split in their
- 11:00favor. Now Ken Palm has McNeese winning
- 11:02by 1. Point. 72 to 70.
- 11:04One. So in that regard, I'm not going
- 11:06to lay a 1 1/2. I money lined McNeese State.
- 11:09You can get him around -125 at Caesar's right now.
- 11:12But you also have a bunch. Of advantages for McNeese State
- 11:16Better offensive efficiency 90. 5th versus 100.
- 11:19And 20th for Rhode Island, better defensive efficiency,
- 11:2265th in the country. Versus 93rd for Uri, better free
- 11:26throw. Shooting 77% versus 71.
- 11:29Percent and they take better care of the ball.
- 11:31They ranked fifty. 2nd and turning it over versus. 320th.
- 11:34For Rhode Island, So Rhode Island turns it over quite a
- 11:36bit. So again, looks like. -1 1/2
- 11:39stayed -1 1/2 but no, it's crept up.
- 11:41It's never gotten down to one or pick em so it tells me.
- 11:44Liability on McNeese. And there is a. 33%.
- 11:47Sharp mush edge from our friends at Juice.
- 11:49Reel on the money. Line for McNeese State so again
- 11:52I'm. I'm going money line here.
- 11:53McNeese State you. Can get.
- 11:55Around -120. 5 now at Caesar's. Last bat of the night, another
- 12:00obscure. Sharp line move.
- 12:01Let's talk about Bucknell. Visiting rider.
- 12:04Bucknell comes in two and nine on the year, I'll tell you right
- 12:06now. Both these teams are.
- 12:07Bad, but hopefully 1 is. Less bad or better?
- 12:10However you want to say that. But Bucknell 2 and. 9 They've
- 12:13dropped nine games in a row. They actually started.
- 12:15Two and O now they've lost ninth straight.
- 12:17Just came up short against UMBC 70. 3 to 66.
- 12:21Lost outright as a 2 point home favorite rider though.
- 12:24Pretty bad as well. They're one and seven.
- 12:26They've lost five straight. Just lost to Quinnipiac. 72 to
- 12:2958. But actually covered.
- 12:31As a 14. And a half point Rd. dog so.
- 12:34What are you seeing here? Well, pretty clear.
- 12:36Movement in favor of Bucknell Bucknell Open around -1 -, 1 and
- 12:41a. Half on the road.
- 12:42And we are now seeing Bucknell get steamed up to -2 1/2 -, 3
- 12:46and some shops now even going to minus. 3 1/2.
- 12:49So continues to rise. In favor of Bucknell and then
- 12:52added obscure game. DraftKings 71%, bets 91.
- 12:56Percent spread dollars on. Bucknell.
- 12:58Bucknell is. Favored to win by one point by
- 13:01Ken Palm, 70 to 69, he does have the.
- 13:04Bison ranked higher three. 17th, 1st 300.
- 13:06And 39th. But because of that.
- 13:07I went money line. On Bucknell I got.
- 13:11You can get a -, 142. Right now at DraftKings with
- 13:13some books are closer to. -150 -, 150. 5 but I'm going to pay a
- 13:17little more, protect myself on the off chance Bucknell only
- 13:20wins by. 1-2 or three, but on the splits.
- 13:23For the money line, 70% bets 88. Percent dollars at DK.
- 13:26Tells me big money here on Bucknell and.
- 13:29Some advantages. Offensive efficiency. 296th in
- 13:33the country for Bucknell 300 and. 48th for Ryder, one of the
- 13:36worst in the country. Better effective field goal.
- 13:38Percentage 279th. Versus 364th and better
- 13:42three-point. Shooting.
- 13:42Kind of a big. Edge here 33% versus 27%.
- 13:46So all three low. Bet obscure added Sharp Games.
- 13:50Liability line movement, Ken. Palms got an edge on most of
- 13:53these. Some good sharp mush edges as
- 13:55well I got. Bucknell -142 on the money line
- 13:58again, might. Be as high as. -150 -, 155.
- 14:02South McNeese and Bucknell money line Howard 2 1/2 Three if you.
- 14:06Can get it. Now let's talk about some NBA
- 14:09because I tell you what guys, I'm kind of into some of these
- 14:14these player point, the player. Props, especially PRA points,
- 14:16your bounds, assists. I think you just if you can find
- 14:19a guy. My whole theory here is like if
- 14:21you can find a guy. Who is a playmaker?
- 14:23And isn't just a 1 trick. Pony.
- 14:25You know again can score. Can rebound, can pass.
- 14:29I think there's an. Opportunity there where he may
- 14:30have a. Huge scoring night, but not so
- 14:32great. Rebound, but, you know,
- 14:34mediocre. Assists or vice versa.
- 14:35Maybe he has a. Huge double double of.
- 14:37Points or rebounds and assists but is low on.
- 14:39Points. It just gives you.
- 14:41More avenues, hopefully to. To cash the ticket.
- 14:43So. Only two games tonight.
- 14:46First one I want to talk about. Miami Heat and the.
- 14:48Orlando Magic now both. Teams come in 14 and 10 by.
- 14:51The way this is a 6:00 early game.
- 14:54But if you look at kind of the market, I was looking a little
- 14:57bit toward the magic. Because they did.
- 14:58Move a little bit. I think that one point they were
- 15:00getting a point, now they might be laying a point.
- 15:02Some books around to pick them but I focused on one player
- 15:06hopefully to to catch this PRA over.
- 15:08And it is Mr. Anthony Black Anthony.
- 15:12Black is a 6-7 guard from Arkansas.
- 15:16And he was great. In college, he's now.
- 15:19Been in the NBA? For a few years at this point,
- 15:21he was a 6th overall pick. He's gotten better.
- 15:24Each year. So his rookie year, 4.6 points
- 15:27last. Year 9.4 points.
- 15:28This year 13.2 points. He's and he also.
- 15:31Fills the stat sheet. So if you look.
- 15:33Over all, he's averaging. On the year 13.2.
- 15:36Points 3.9 rebounds, 3.1 assists.
- 15:39And he's actually gotten better in every single month,
- 15:41especially in the month of December, he's only played four
- 15:43games. But he's averaging 14.
- 15:46Points. 9 rebounds and five. Assists so he's really.
- 15:49Filling up the stat sheet and what?
- 15:50I like about Anthony. Black in particular.
- 15:53Is that his minutes have. Gone up every month.
- 15:56So his minutes. In the month of October 26. .5
- 16:02November. 27.8. December 30.8.
- 16:05So he's again gotten more playing time.
- 16:08As the year progresses, that tells you the.
- 16:09Coach trust him. He's.
- 16:10Deserving of that time. I believe.
- 16:13Franz Wagner's out, so that's a guy again.
- 16:16Who you remove him? Maybe black needs to step.
- 16:18Up here anyway, Long. Winded way of me saying that.
- 16:23He looks to be. An opportunity.
- 16:26For an edge on his over. Points, rebounds, assists.
- 16:29So in the market he is at. 22.5 / - 125 at Bet MGM.
- 16:36But here are the other. Books Caesar's over 23 1/2 -, 1
- 16:39O 5. FanDuel Over 23 1/2. -1 O 4 the
- 16:42score. Formerly ESPN bet over 23 and
- 16:45half. -1 O 5. DK over 23 and F. -111 Fanatics.
- 16:49Over 23 and F. -1 O 5 S. All of these books.
- 16:53Are at 23 1/2, but bet MGM is 22 and a.
- 16:56Half now again. It is juiced up. -125 but I'm
- 17:00one of those guys who always remembers.
- 17:02If I bet a player. Prop and lost by 1 yard or.
- 17:06You know, 1 rebound. Or one assist?
- 17:08So I paid up. For the bet MGM over 22 1/2 at
- 17:11-125 and. Again, this is a player who has
- 17:15gotten. A lot of time has gotten better
- 17:17each month. There's a void with no Wagner.
- 17:19And oh, by the way. This happens to be the highest
- 17:22total of the night. Around 235 1/2.
- 17:24So I played Anthony. Black to his over.
- 17:28Again, a lot of. Books at. 23 1/2 you can find
- 17:30the over 22 and. F -, 125 at Bet MGM, which is
- 17:33what I did, so let's. Go Anthony Black.
- 17:36And oh by. The way he has gone over this
- 17:38number in four of his last. Five games.
- 17:41Next one for you. I got another over 20. 2 1/2.
- 17:44Point your bonds assists and it's in the.
- 17:45Second game so you have the Knicks and the.
- 17:47Raptors now going to this one, Knicks. 16 and 7 Raptors 15 and
- 17:5110 have seen this line. Move a little bit toward the
- 17:53Knicks. They open as.
- 17:55Low as -3 1/2 - 4. Now they're up to -5 -. 5 1/2
- 17:59Total. Sits around 2:26, 2/25 and 1/2.
- 18:03But I. Landed on Mikhail Bridges.
- 18:05Over 22 1/2. PRA now.
- 18:08This is a good rhythm edge. Because rhythm is predicting.
- 18:1025.9. Points, rebounds and assists.
- 18:13So it's about a 3.4 PRA edge. In four games.
- 18:18This month 18.3 points per game. Five point. 3 rebounds per game.
- 18:223.8 assists per game. He's gone over this number in
- 18:25six of his last 10. But if you look.
- 18:27On the road, he's gone over this number. 9 and O.
- 18:31Nine straight on the road. He's gone over this number, so
- 18:34nine straight Rd. games and they're on the road tonight at
- 18:36Toronto. He's had at least. 23 PRA.
- 18:40It is a short spread so hopefully competitive game.
- 18:42Back and forth, get some scoring here.
- 18:45Lastly, you look at. All the books and what they're
- 18:47offering, well. Every book is 20. 2 1/2.
- 18:50PRA but this. Is why you got.
- 18:52To do your shopping around and why.
- 18:54If you use. Juice Reel they do a good job of
- 18:56just giving you the. Best prices?
- 18:58If not, you just. Have.
- 18:59To what I do is double check by. Clicking each app.
- 19:02Wherever you're. Located in your legal.
- 19:04State and just. Writing it down on a notepad.
- 19:06That's what I usually do. But Caesars?
- 19:09Bridges over 20. 2 1/2 - 118 FanDuel over 22 1/2. -130 the
- 19:15score. Again, ESPN bet 22 1/2 / -, 125
- 19:20DK over 22 1/2 -. 119 Fanatics over 22 1/2 -. 120 but but MGM
- 19:26over 22 1/2 at -1 O 5. So that is your best price
- 19:30there, which is what I played. So Mikhail Bridges.
- 19:33He's gone over this number 20. 2 1/2 nine straight.
- 19:36Times on the road. He's on the road tonight.
- 19:39And there's about a. 3.4 PRA Edge from the Market 20. 2 1/2.
- 19:44To what rhythm is predicting? 25.9.
- 19:47So both guys same number. Anthony Black over 20. 2 1/2.
- 19:51PRA at. -125 Bridges over 22 and F PRA.
- 19:56At -1 O 5 both at Bet MGM. So what does it for episode 411?
- 20:02Of the All systems go sports betting podcast powered by
- 20:04rhythm this is the part of the pod where you wrap things up and
- 20:07I always start first by. Saying thank you, thank you for
- 20:10listening, thank you for tuning. In thank.
- 20:12You for grinding in the arena every single day.
- 20:14Again, I mentioned those Spotify Wrapped numbers, which I'm very
- 20:18proud of, but just tells me we're.
- 20:19Growing this. Community, you know you.
- 20:21Grind every day. You keep your head down.
- 20:23It's not often you pick your head up and kind of smell the
- 20:25roses or look around and get some perspective, but.
- 20:27End of year. I didn't realize you're up 60%.
- 20:31With followers and listeners. So that is awesome.
- 20:33And it's all because of you guys.
- 20:34So thank you if. You do want to make my day give.
- 20:37The podcast, a five star review on Spotify or iTunes.
- 20:40Click the follow button and also recommend the pod to.
- 20:44A friend or retweet it when I put it out.
- 20:45They'll all be awesome of you guys.
- 20:47Next, if you enjoy the style of sports betting data.
- 20:50Driven sharp contrarian betting. Focusing on line movement.
- 20:53Bet split system matches what the market is telling us, not
- 20:56what our heart is telling us. Got a bet with the date of the
- 20:59numbers in our head, not our heart but if that style.
- 21:01Of betting has appealed to you. Again, you identified.
- 21:04You know, public. Eagles.
- 21:05Line dropping toward chargers. And that's now become a go to
- 21:08for you. Well, if.
- 21:09You want to learn more about data-driven betting?
- 21:11Or, more importantly, it's the holiday season and you're
- 21:13scrambling. And you have no clue what to get
- 21:15your dad. Or your son, or your nephew, or
- 21:19whoever. You know you should do.
- 21:20It's not going to cost much. 24 bucks.
- 21:23Go buy the. Everything Guide to sports.
- 21:25Betting or the? NFL sharp betting playbook the
- 21:27two books that I've. Written you can find.
- 21:29Them on Amazon.com they make a great.
- 21:31Stocking stuffer and. You'll get them in time for the
- 21:34holidays. So if you want.
- 21:35To get one or. Both.
- 21:36You'll make my day. Bring them the sports book, I'll
- 21:38buy you a. Beer and we'll we'll sweat some
- 21:40games together. Next, have you downloaded Rhythm
- 21:43and Juice Reel yet? Rhythm.
- 21:44Great. For their AI backed models and
- 21:45predictions for game bets and player props.
- 21:47Remember, Rhythm had the Chargers that.
- 21:49Basically a pick em. When we were getting.
- 21:51Points so shout out to Rhythm for that Chargers angle last
- 21:54night, but with also with. Juice Reel.
- 21:57You can get. The all systems go.
- 21:58Best bet picks there. Exclusively.
- 22:00For $4.99 a week if you want to tip your podcast host or support
- 22:04your podcast host you also get the Robo Jackson Best bet picks
- 22:08the sharp mush indicators. The arbitrage.
- 22:10Plays the shop. For the best line features.
- 22:12All. Located within Juice reel.
- 22:14So download rhythm and download juice reel.
- 22:16Give them a 5. Star Review.
- 22:17In the App Store. While you're at it, next.
- 22:19You have a live. Odds page if you don't.
- 22:21Have one you need one so many sports.
- 22:23Going on got. To be able to track the market
- 22:25in real time, you got to 1st know what are the games.
- 22:27Being played today. What's the start times I need
- 22:29live? Scoring when the game gets
- 22:30going, I need live. In game wagering odds I got to
- 22:33have. An open column tells me the
- 22:35opening number for every. Game, then all the current
- 22:37numbers to the. Right of it, so you can see at
- 22:39which. Direction the line is moved can
- 22:41pull up the line history, see where buyback has occurred.
- 22:44You can also shop for the best number and identify.
- 22:47Steam as numbers. Get lit up in red when the lines
- 22:49are moving. And you can do all of that with.
- 22:51Odds logic. So go download.
- 22:53Or just sign up for odds logic. But make.
- 22:56Sure you use this. Linkoddslogic.com/josh 1/2.
- 23:00Three. That'll get you a 7 day.
- 23:02Free trial and. 50% off your first month of service Lastly.
- 23:07Have you downloaded Novig yet? Well, Novig is a great sports.
- 23:10Betting exchange and it's not a sports.
- 23:12Book So the difference there is that you're not betting against
- 23:14the house who's going. To Jack up the juice on you.
- 23:17So instead of paying -115 -, 120, you're paying plus one O 2.
- 23:21-1 O3 I mentioned it yesterday, but at the time of the pod, you
- 23:25know, a lot of the books were like plus 2 1/2. -115 with the
- 23:28Chargers. Or some books around the two,
- 23:30but at the time. Novig.
- 23:32I believe was plus. 2 1/2. At -1 O 2.
- 23:35So you're risking. A unit you're getting more back.
- 23:37Because you're paying less. Juice.
- 23:39So again. If you win to, they're not going
- 23:41to boot yet, which is great. So go download Novig.
- 23:43And use the promo. Code Josh one. 2/3.
- 23:47For an extra. 25 bucks. So how about does it for episode
- 23:50411 of the ASG pod on a big Tuesday?
- 23:53As always guys. Coming off A1.
- 23:54And O or an O and one. Or actually, I got a little bit,
- 23:57a little bit. Ahead of myself there at the end
- 23:59of my spiel. But whether I see?
- 24:01You at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode
- 24:04Island, the Brook of New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan
- 24:06Sun down in Connecticut at the Encore in Boston, plain Ridge
- 24:09park casino MGM Springfield. The Nash and my neck of the
- 24:12woods between Nashua, on the border of New Hampshire and
- 24:16Massachusetts are out in the desert where the.
- 24:18True grinders. Get down or Billy Walter sends
- 24:20his number runners. Where the lowest juice.
- 24:21Possible is found at the South point or sweat and sharp
- 24:24contrarian plays. Jumping in the stadium swim.
- 24:26Pool when you catch a big ticket at Circa or.
- 24:28Maybe you're going to walk up. To me, we're just, you're just
- 24:31going to show me a lightning bolt?
- 24:32I don't. Even I can't make it a lightning
- 24:35bolt sound. I guess that's the sound of
- 24:37Thunder, technically. But show me a nice.
- 24:39Chargers ticket Really A. Blueprint play for us.
- 24:42Public Eagles. Low Bets.
- 24:44Higher dollars Contrarian primetime dog line move toward
- 24:47Chargers Chargers. Get it done.
- 24:49In overtime. So show me a Chargers ticket.
- 24:51First one's on me, next one's on you.
- 24:53We'll post about the book and sweat some.
- 24:54Hoops tonight. So as always, guys coming off A1
- 24:57and O. Or an O and 1A winning night.
- 24:59A losing night. Couple winning days, couple
- 25:01losing days, a hot streak, a cold streak.
- 25:03Somewhere in the middle. We're always grinding.
- 25:05We're never. Getting too high when things are
- 25:06going well. We're never getting too low And
- 25:09when? Things are not going our way.
- 25:10We just. Got to stick to the model stick.
- 25:11To the. Blueprint be disciplined.
- 25:13With our bankroll management, make bets with our head and not
- 25:15our heart. And of course find the system
- 25:17plays where the system matches, which are games that fit our
- 25:20model against the public. With the house with the pros
- 25:23flat bet avoid. Parlays and get that CLV.
- 25:26If we can do that. We're going to be.
- 25:28Successful sports bettors so have a.
- 25:30Great. Tuesday night, everybody.
- 25:32Be right back at it tomorrow for Big Wednesday.
- 25:34Edition. That'll be episode. 4/12 of the
- 25:36all systems Go sports betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 25:40Good luck. Everybody and enjoy.
- 25:42The sweats.