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NCAAB Best Bets 1/10/26 · Toadstool Sports

0:01
Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN
0:06
Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
0:08
Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
0:12
Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't
0:15
Speaker 1: even know what to tell you above that I just
0:18
Speaker 1: don't want to do this anymore. I have never seen
0:21
Speaker 1: anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two straight losses,
0:26
Speaker 1: not a good day at all. Own four that have
0:30
Speaker 1: not had a good season. Man with bookends the slump
0:34
Speaker 1: that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've reached a
0:38
Speaker 1: new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn my Bruins hat Man.
0:42
Speaker 1: I don't know what is going on with the Bruins
0:45
Speaker 1: arch hape? Is that what it is? I don't even
0:47
Speaker 1: know it's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man,
0:51
Speaker 1: I don't know what data is anymore. But I don't
0:53
Speaker 1: even know what data is anymore. Man, back with you
0:56
Speaker 1: after the worst day that I could possibly have, Back
0:59
Speaker 1: with you as I always am until I die at
1:03
Speaker 1: least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday did not go
1:07
Speaker 1: well for me. Own five the worst month that I've
1:11
Speaker 1: ever had in my eighteen years. Doing this. I don't
1:13
Speaker 1: know what to even tell you about this anymore. The slump, yes,
1:17
Speaker 1: the slump discontinues, The slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please.
1:23
Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
1:25
Speaker 1: other than potentially.
1:27
Speaker 2: End it all.
1:33
Speaker 1: What's up, everybody, It's towed back with you. This is
1:35
Speaker 1: toads lil sports. This is college basketball for January tenth,
1:40
Speaker 1: which it already is January tenth. I'll talk about what
1:44
Speaker 1: happened today Tomorrow. Winning day should have been a perfect day.
1:49
Speaker 1: I'm gonna give out plays. I feel like I don't
1:53
Speaker 1: even know what I'm doing anymore at this point. I
1:55
Speaker 1: think I have eight college basketball plays here, and I
1:58
Speaker 1: thought I was being more selective than that. Whatever. I
2:03
Speaker 1: don't know. I don't even have any of them in
2:05
Speaker 1: the system yet. I don't even know what the numbers
2:07
Speaker 1: are right now. I'm gonna have to put them in
2:11
Speaker 1: as I go on the fly. This is gonna be bad.
2:14
Speaker 1: I don't want this to take that long, and it's
2:15
Speaker 1: probably gonna take two and a half hours or something.
2:20
Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't know what else to say
2:21
Speaker 1: about this. College basketball is It's like the worst thing
2:26
Speaker 1: to handicap even though I've been good at it usually,
2:30
Speaker 1: I've been good at it this year. Let's get into it.
2:34
Speaker 1: I guess Nebraska speaking of Nate, Yeah, your team is
2:40
Speaker 1: the first game up here. I will talk about that. Charles,
2:43
Speaker 1: what's up? Yeah? Fuck the Houston Rockets obviously, mister Pinsey
2:48
Speaker 1: fucked the Rockets. Yeah, you're just doing whatever I do.
2:56
Speaker 1: I mean, that is what I recommend. But I mean,
3:00
Speaker 1: I don't know. I mean, I mean I also kind
3:02
Speaker 1: of want to like guide people in some way. My
3:06
Speaker 1: oh my god, But I don't know. I mean, the
3:08
Speaker 1: way that I do it is the way that I
3:10
Speaker 1: do it. So I think what I have is the best.
3:12
Speaker 1: But I don't know. I mean, other people can see
3:14
Speaker 1: things that I don't see. Or Yeah, I mean, it's
3:18
Speaker 1: all you know, it's all about a community. It's all
3:21
Speaker 1: about discussion. Number ten Nebraska is that number? Is that unranked?
3:25
Speaker 1: Excuse me, Indiana here at twelve pm, and this is
3:29
Speaker 1: the first of many games tomorrow where we have an
3:32
Speaker 1: unranked favorite against a ranked opponent. So the oddsmakers are
3:37
Speaker 1: telling you what they really think of Nebraska. With the
3:39
Speaker 1: fact that they're not a favorite in this game, they're
3:41
Speaker 1: indeed an underdog, and I will not be playing any
3:45
Speaker 1: of these unranked favorites this time. I just don't like
3:48
Speaker 1: the situation. I'm going based on situation. I just don't
3:51
Speaker 1: like the situation. I know that, especially last year, this
3:55
Speaker 1: has been a good handicapping approach to have all those
3:59
Speaker 1: games on your shows. It made money last year playing
4:01
Speaker 1: the unranked favorites against ranked underdogs. But I think the
4:07
Speaker 1: oddsmakers have caught on to it, and they're really skewing
4:09
Speaker 1: these lines this game. Is uh, Indiana's a four and
4:14
Speaker 1: a half point favorite in this game, So, I mean,
4:19
Speaker 1: I just don't see a situation for it. That's the problem.
4:22
Speaker 1: And I think Ken Pom probably will tell you that
4:24
Speaker 1: like he has these seems fairly close. But I think
4:27
Speaker 1: he has like, let me see, he has Indiana twenty
4:30
Speaker 1: fifth Nebraska twenty first, so he does have these teams
4:34
Speaker 1: really close to each other. Both teams are pretty balanced too.
4:37
Speaker 1: I mean, these are both good teams. They both play
4:39
Speaker 1: a similar tempo on Nebraska has been the much luckier team,
4:43
Speaker 1: though according to Ken Bom, Indiana unlucky. I think Ken
4:46
Speaker 1: Bomb probably has this about like a three point line
4:49
Speaker 1: in this one, So I think the oddsmakers are skewing
4:52
Speaker 1: that thing. Now Nebraska, and we know they haven't lost
4:55
Speaker 1: a game yet, they are coming off a game where
4:57
Speaker 1: they almost lost, so I state, I guess you could
5:01
Speaker 1: say which was a loser for me on the show,
5:04
Speaker 1: But coming off a close call like that against an
5:06
Speaker 1: unranked team, I just don't really see them not showing
5:10
Speaker 1: up exactly for this Indiana game, even though it is
5:12
Speaker 1: a second straight road game. Obviously, Yes, I think Indiana
5:17
Speaker 1: will show up as well. Indiana had an easy game
5:20
Speaker 1: last time against Merrilando the traveling back from that, both
5:25
Speaker 1: teams will show up. I do think that the rankings
5:27
Speaker 1: makers don't have this right obviously, as the as ken
5:31
Speaker 1: bumb will tell you, he has both these teams. Yeah,
5:34
Speaker 1: twenty one and twenty five respect respectably. Is that respectively respectably.
5:42
Speaker 1: I'm totally out of it. I don't get any sleep.
5:44
Speaker 1: I would lean Indiana. I think Indiana gets to win.
5:47
Speaker 1: I think Nebraska finally falls. But I've been saying that
5:51
Speaker 1: about Miami, Ohio as well, but I can't get there
5:55
Speaker 1: with this one. There's no real situation for it. So
5:58
Speaker 1: I'm just I'm talking aout it because it is one
6:00
Speaker 1: of the bigger games, three friends, girlfriend, their girlfriends, and
6:05
Speaker 1: your parents. Sounds like sounds like an orgy. I mean,
6:13
Speaker 1: Nebraska's good, but like I mean, they're they're really good defensively,
6:17
Speaker 1: but they're not as good as the rankings have them.
6:20
Speaker 1: Like yeah, I mean, they're just not as good as
6:22
Speaker 1: this undefeated They're not as good as they look like
6:26
Speaker 1: them being undefeated. I don't know. I don't know what
6:28
Speaker 1: else to say about it. But I trust Ken Palm
6:30
Speaker 1: and actual power ratings like this more than I trust
6:33
Speaker 1: whatever the rankings and makers are doing, because the rankings
6:35
Speaker 1: makers just go based on what they see pretty much.
6:39
Speaker 1: And I obviously I trust the odds makers because they
6:41
Speaker 1: have a ton of money on it. Thank you, sir,
6:46
Speaker 1: I thank you, thank you for creating the toad cult.
6:49
Speaker 1: The totis my Boston College Eagles are at the number
6:54
Speaker 1: twenty Louisville though I didn't go to BC and everybody
6:58
Speaker 1: in my family except me pretty much went to BU,
7:01
Speaker 1: so I don't know. I don't know, like I latched
7:03
Speaker 1: onto BC just because they had the more fun, the
7:06
Speaker 1: better sports program when I was growing up, And now
7:08
Speaker 1: there's ass obviously they're gonna be a big underdog at
7:11
Speaker 1: number twenty Louisville here. So the question is the situation.
7:15
Speaker 1: This is not one of my plays. BC just had
7:18
Speaker 1: a pretty close game against NC State, a decent performance
7:22
Speaker 1: from BC. There was a weird spot for NC State
7:24
Speaker 1: to have to go up there. I think I said
7:26
Speaker 1: BC would cover. They did. They're not going to overlook Louisville,
7:30
Speaker 1: but they are having to go down and travel there.
7:32
Speaker 1: Louisville is coming off playing Duke, I believe though, So yeah,
7:36
Speaker 1: I mean, Louisville is coming off the bigger game. They
7:38
Speaker 1: lost by double digits. Though in the game, wasn't that
7:41
Speaker 1: close down the stretch where they do play Virginia next,
7:44
Speaker 1: there is maybe an argument to be made this is
7:47
Speaker 1: kind of a sandwich spot for Louisville. I won't touch
7:50
Speaker 1: the game obviously. I guess I'll slightly lean to Boston College.
7:55
Speaker 1: It's a twenty one point spread down from twenty one
7:58
Speaker 1: and a half total. Pretty low one. But I you know,
8:03
Speaker 1: it's again not something I'm interested in. BU does play hockey.
8:09
Speaker 1: BC plays hockey as well. I mean the bean pot, baby.
8:12
Speaker 1: All the Boston schools are pretty good. Northeastern is good
8:15
Speaker 1: as well. At least those three schools are good. ESPN
8:20
Speaker 1: at newon his number twenty one. Tennessee at Florida. This
8:23
Speaker 1: is another one of the games where the unranked team
8:26
Speaker 1: is favored over the ranked team. Now Tennessee they're coming
8:30
Speaker 1: up beating Texas at home. Whatever Tennessee was favored, they
8:34
Speaker 1: should have won that game they did. Now they're going
8:37
Speaker 1: to Florida. This game isn't really surrounded by anything for Tennessee,
8:41
Speaker 1: so I don't really think they're gonna overlook Florida. Although
8:43
Speaker 1: this is a pacing contrast where Florida is gonna want
8:46
Speaker 1: to go fast, Tennessee wants to go slow, kind of
8:49
Speaker 1: just like last year. I think last year the home
8:52
Speaker 1: team won each of these matchups, just in a total blowout.
8:56
Speaker 1: If I remember correctly, I think I had at least
8:58
Speaker 1: one of those is a play. Now, Florida, they're better
9:01
Speaker 1: than the record looks. I think. I know they're the
9:04
Speaker 1: returning champs, are not as good as that, but I
9:06
Speaker 1: think they're better than the record looks. Although they've lost
9:09
Speaker 1: a bunch of games with the step up in class,
9:11
Speaker 1: they finally won a game that was a winner for US.
9:13
Speaker 1: They beat ranked Georgia. Though Florida was a big favorite
9:17
Speaker 1: in that game in Florida had a huge second half
9:19
Speaker 1: to win that game. But Florida Georgia, it's a big thing.
9:22
Speaker 1: It was a big win for Florida, even though yes
9:24
Speaker 1: they were a favorite. I don't really think they're gonna
9:27
Speaker 1: overlook Tennessee either though, so you know it's a stay
9:31
Speaker 1: away again for me. But I'm talking about it because
9:33
Speaker 1: it's one of the big games. Florida is a five
9:36
Speaker 1: point favorite, down from five and a half. Now it
9:38
Speaker 1: is a situation where Tennessee is the better defense getting points,
9:41
Speaker 1: so that angle does apply to Tennessee here. I'd probably
9:47
Speaker 1: still lean towards unranked team being favored and lay the
9:50
Speaker 1: points of Florida. Maybe Florida'll be able to control the
9:54
Speaker 1: pace in this one and make it faster. But again,
9:56
Speaker 1: it's not one that I want to do anything with.
10:00
Speaker 1: And again, yeah, if you want me to talk about
10:01
Speaker 1: any of the games i'm skipping, I will. I have
10:03
Speaker 1: a short list here of the games. I have a
10:06
Speaker 1: bunch of games that almost made my car that I
10:08
Speaker 1: was considering. Then I tried to narrow it down quite
10:10
Speaker 1: a bit and I've got eight and it's gonna kill
10:12
Speaker 1: me to do all the Instagram videos for it, which
10:15
Speaker 1: I don't know if I'm gonna do it at three
10:17
Speaker 1: am here or if I'm gonna do it tomorrow. I
10:19
Speaker 1: just won't sleep. Number twenty two Kansas is at West
10:22
Speaker 1: Virginia also at noon on Fox. I'm talking about all
10:26
Speaker 1: the ranked teams at the very least, but you know,
10:28
Speaker 1: I mean, I have to have some way to abbreviate
10:30
Speaker 1: these Saturday is shows. You know, Kansas, they're coming on
10:34
Speaker 1: an overtime game against TCU, which probably was a bigger
10:38
Speaker 1: game for TCU to do that. Like, Kansas was a
10:41
Speaker 1: decent sized favorite in this game and they almost lost,
10:44
Speaker 1: so you could make the argument that Kansas should bounce
10:47
Speaker 1: back from that. But they're going out on the road.
10:51
Speaker 1: They have Iowa State next in three days, so it
10:53
Speaker 1: could be a look ahead spot because that's a huge
10:55
Speaker 1: game against Iowa State and they did have to go
10:59
Speaker 1: to overtime against so they might be a little bit
11:01
Speaker 1: more tired. West Virginia, you know, maybe a little bit
11:05
Speaker 1: under the radar here. They're they're doing all right, I guess,
11:09
Speaker 1: so they haven't really done anything very impressive so far.
11:13
Speaker 1: This will be a big game for them, though, hosting Kansas. Obviously,
11:15
Speaker 1: West Virginia is coming off an ugly two point win
11:18
Speaker 1: at home over Cincinnati. I mean, obviously it's a pass
11:23
Speaker 1: for me. Both teams play slow, so taking the points
11:26
Speaker 1: might kind of make sense in a game where points
11:27
Speaker 1: are probably gonna be at a premium. Kansas is definitely
11:31
Speaker 1: a defensive oriented team. Kansas is a three and a
11:34
Speaker 1: half point favorite. Kind of looks too easy to play
11:36
Speaker 1: Kansas just because they are Kansas, the blue blood. They're
11:40
Speaker 1: doing better again this year than the ranked team low total,
11:43
Speaker 1: it's not up a little bit to one thirty six.
11:47
Speaker 1: Slight lean for me towards taking the points, but not
11:50
Speaker 1: something that I'm interested in. VCU is at George Mason
11:53
Speaker 1: in the A ten here. VCU is coming off a
11:56
Speaker 1: big game against Saint Louis Man and VCU took the
11:59
Speaker 1: loss at home by nine in that one. I thought
12:01
Speaker 1: VCU was gonna get that one. Saint Louis is good Man,
12:06
Speaker 1: like I've been saying, I think Saint Louis they may
12:08
Speaker 1: wind up having a case for an at large bid
12:10
Speaker 1: when the season ends. We'll see, but they are I
12:13
Speaker 1: believe the best team in the ACC in the excusually
12:15
Speaker 1: the A ten, and I think VCU is still second.
12:19
Speaker 1: Now VCU is coming up of that. It could be
12:20
Speaker 1: a hangover spot. And they also lost a win streak
12:23
Speaker 1: with that win, a five or six game win streak
12:26
Speaker 1: five I think, so both of those things could be
12:30
Speaker 1: hangover like. They could lead to a hangover. They could
12:34
Speaker 1: lead to a hangover spot. So I do worry about that.
12:37
Speaker 1: But George Mason is ahead of them in the standings.
12:40
Speaker 1: George Mason is actually top of the A ten right
12:42
Speaker 1: now in the standings, So it's like, is VC really
12:45
Speaker 1: gonna overlook them? Maybe not so, I mean for that reason,
12:50
Speaker 1: I can't quite get there at this George Mason's coming
12:53
Speaker 1: up a much easier game against Fordham though, where they
12:56
Speaker 1: just probably are gonna continue their momentum into this one.
12:59
Speaker 1: So I probably lean to George Mason. I think it's
13:04
Speaker 1: a more difficult spot for VCU. VC is a one
13:07
Speaker 1: and a half point favorite, But then again, the odds makers,
13:09
Speaker 1: they're also telling you VCUS the better team, even though
13:12
Speaker 1: if people just look at the records, they don't look
13:14
Speaker 1: at anything else. Oh my god, George Mason's fifteen to one.
13:18
Speaker 1: They're at home and they're getting a point and a half.
13:20
Speaker 1: So if that's the way the the public, you know,
13:24
Speaker 1: the Joe's handicap this, they might actually kind of want
13:28
Speaker 1: George Mason in the game. So that gives me a
13:29
Speaker 1: little bit of pause. Obviously, this is because VCU face
13:32
Speaker 1: some more difficult out of conference schedule though, that's why
13:35
Speaker 1: they have those other losses. Their only conference loss obviously
13:38
Speaker 1: is that one to Saint Louis. There's no real shame
13:41
Speaker 1: in that. It's a stay away from me. But again, yeah,
13:44
Speaker 1: I guess just based on situations, slightly to George Mason,
13:49
Speaker 1: but I don't love it at all. Man, all Right,
13:53
Speaker 1: I'm skipping some of the bigger conference games too. Again,
13:56
Speaker 1: Like if you want me to talk about other games,
13:58
Speaker 1: I can, but yeah, like I'm trying limited to basically
14:01
Speaker 1: just the ranked teams and then the other games that
14:03
Speaker 1: I had more of an opinion on, just to abbreviate
14:06
Speaker 1: this a bit. Still a pretty deep dive here. Next
14:10
Speaker 1: game up is going to be one of my plays,
14:11
Speaker 1: and I have to take a look and see what
14:13
Speaker 1: the number actually is on this to put it into
14:15
Speaker 1: the system. Let me take a look here, because I
14:18
Speaker 1: think we're getting an underrated team in a good spot here,
14:22
Speaker 1: and you might know what I'm talking about already if
14:24
Speaker 1: you see what game is up next here. But let
14:25
Speaker 1: me just see what the number is going to be
14:27
Speaker 1: on this. I apologize. I usually have them ready to go,
14:31
Speaker 1: but obviously I don't right now. Five. It's gonna be
14:37
Speaker 1: a minus five on this one, So I'm starting out
14:39
Speaker 1: with a favorite here. I'm gonna add it right now
14:43
Speaker 1: as I had the banners. Again, I apologize. It's a
14:47
Speaker 1: we're doing it on the fly here, man. We're gonna
14:51
Speaker 1: lay the points with NC State here minus five against
14:54
Speaker 1: Florida State. Obviously the osmakers are telling you NC State
14:58
Speaker 1: is the better team. It is a fairly high total
15:00
Speaker 1: because Florida State does like to play fast, so that
15:03
Speaker 1: might mean it might be easier for the favorite to
15:05
Speaker 1: cover in this one. Now, n C State, they are
15:11
Speaker 1: also like on the faster side as well, so Florida
15:14
Speaker 1: State going way up tempo probably won't throw them off
15:17
Speaker 1: that much. NC State is definitely the better team. Though
15:20
Speaker 1: they're top fifty in both offense and defense. They face
15:23
Speaker 1: the top fifty Strength to schedule ken Bum has them
15:27
Speaker 1: in the bottom third of luck as well, so they're unlucky.
15:31
Speaker 1: Like I said, NC State has underperformed, and he ken
15:34
Speaker 1: Bom has them at thirty third. Florida State is bad.
15:37
Speaker 1: Ken Bom has Florida State outside of the top one hundred.
15:41
Speaker 1: He has them very unlucky though, three forty three. But
15:44
Speaker 1: they just cracked one the top one hundred in offense
15:47
Speaker 1: and they're outside of it in defense. So this is
15:51
Speaker 1: I think it's definitely a mismatch, and I think it's
15:53
Speaker 1: worse because Luga. What Florida State just did. They just
15:56
Speaker 1: took Duke to the wire or they just played both
15:59
Speaker 1: other North carol line of teams, the two bigger North
16:01
Speaker 1: Carolina teams, and they almost beat Duke at Florida State.
16:05
Speaker 1: This game was close right to the wire. Florida State
16:08
Speaker 1: was winning most of the second half in this game, dude,
16:11
Speaker 1: so they actually could have put Duke away. But you know,
16:13
Speaker 1: it's really difficult to beat Duke obviously. Oh no, excuse me.
16:17
Speaker 1: Florida State was winning the first half. I can't even
16:19
Speaker 1: talk anymore, man. Florida State was winning most of the
16:22
Speaker 1: first half. They fell behind in the second half, They
16:25
Speaker 1: took the lead back a couple times. They came back
16:27
Speaker 1: again late in the second half, and they got it
16:29
Speaker 1: to within one score, I think late in the game,
16:31
Speaker 1: in the final minute, so they just took to pretty
16:34
Speaker 1: much to the wire, didn't go away. I don't expect
16:37
Speaker 1: Florida State to have a whole lot left in this one.
16:40
Speaker 1: Man NC State again, I think they're a little bit
16:42
Speaker 1: under the radar right now, a little bit middle of
16:45
Speaker 1: the They're almost falling into the middle of the pack
16:47
Speaker 1: in the ACC. They just had that game right they
16:50
Speaker 1: went up to BC. As I mentioned, it was kind
16:52
Speaker 1: of a weird spot for INC State because they had
16:54
Speaker 1: just played Virginia, which was lost for us on the show.
16:58
Speaker 1: I know, wait was it, No, it wasn't a loss
17:02
Speaker 1: for US. I was thinking of Virginia Tech. Excuse me.
17:04
Speaker 1: I leaned to NC State though in that one. But anyway,
17:09
Speaker 1: it was a weird spot. I think coming off that
17:10
Speaker 1: Virginia game, having to go up to Boston College, these
17:13
Speaker 1: Southern teams a lot of times, it's a tricky spot
17:16
Speaker 1: for them to have to go up there. BC played
17:19
Speaker 1: them fairly well here, so I think NC State will
17:22
Speaker 1: maybe refocus a little bit more off of this. Maybe
17:24
Speaker 1: they didn't have total focus here. I mean Florida State.
17:27
Speaker 1: It's not exactly like a team you're totally gonna get
17:29
Speaker 1: up for it. But it's just a really bad spot
17:31
Speaker 1: for Florida State. So I think laying the points makes
17:35
Speaker 1: sense in that one that's on ACC Network and noon.
17:37
Speaker 1: That's how we're gonna start out. Hopefully we can get
17:40
Speaker 1: a win on that one with NC State. All right,
17:47
Speaker 1: Next up we're gonna go with Well, I don't know
17:50
Speaker 1: what my next play is yet. I gotta figure it out,
17:52
Speaker 1: but we do have DePaul at Yukon and TNT at
17:55
Speaker 1: twelve thirty. De Paul. Actually, you know, the record doesn't
17:59
Speaker 1: look too bad right now. Are they no longer a
18:01
Speaker 1: dormat man? I don't know. But the ace the Big
18:04
Speaker 1: East excuseuly is way down this year too.
18:06
Speaker 3: Though.
18:06
Speaker 1: It's like, I think everybody that's above De Paul in
18:10
Speaker 1: the standings here is good in the Big East, and
18:13
Speaker 1: then everybody below them is bad. So and I think
18:16
Speaker 1: to Paul might also still be bad. So the Big
18:20
Speaker 1: East is uh yeah, it's not the most powerful conference.
18:24
Speaker 1: To Paul just beat Georgetown. It's a pretty decent win
18:26
Speaker 1: for De Paul. I think De Paul was actually a
18:28
Speaker 1: favorite in that game though at home, stepping way up
18:32
Speaker 1: in class of a's U come, this is actually a
18:34
Speaker 1: second meeting already, so we already have a second meeting,
18:37
Speaker 1: you know, I handicap second meeting similarly similarly to how
18:41
Speaker 1: I do it in like NFL divisional matchups, where especially
18:48
Speaker 1: when a home team lost the first matchup, a lot
18:50
Speaker 1: of times you do want to look towards them in
18:51
Speaker 1: the second matchup as the road team, as an underdog.
18:54
Speaker 1: So we do have that going for de Paul. They're a, uh,
18:58
Speaker 1: they're in the whatever you want to call it, the
19:00
Speaker 1: reversal revenge angle, which really, again, revenge is kind of
19:05
Speaker 1: a stupid way to put it, because yeah, in a way, like, yeah,
19:08
Speaker 1: De Paul's gonna be motivated here, obviously, I mean, they're
19:11
Speaker 1: gonna be motivated anyway when they're playing Yukon. But I
19:14
Speaker 1: think more what the deal is is that the team
19:17
Speaker 1: that lost the first game is gonna have the adjustments
19:19
Speaker 1: to make and Yukon just might look right past to Paul.
19:22
Speaker 1: So that's really the deal there, Like, that's why that
19:24
Speaker 1: angle works. Yukon is coming up a pretty bad performance,
19:29
Speaker 1: though Providence took them into overtime. I'm pretty sure in Providence,
19:34
Speaker 1: So that was a huge game for Providence lackluster performance
19:37
Speaker 1: from Yukon. Yukon I think was a double digit road
19:40
Speaker 1: favorite in that one, so I could see Yukon actually
19:43
Speaker 1: showing up with focus here though. But then again, they
19:45
Speaker 1: play Seaton Hall, and next to Seaton Hall is near
19:48
Speaker 1: the top of the conference right now, so it is
19:50
Speaker 1: possible they do still look past a Paul team that
19:52
Speaker 1: they already beat on the road by eighteen looking towards
19:56
Speaker 1: Seaton Halls. This is a very difficult game to handicap.
19:59
Speaker 1: From a side perspective, I think what you can probably
20:03
Speaker 1: say is that you're probably not gonna get value on
20:05
Speaker 1: the Yukon side because they're Yukon, like you're always gonna
20:08
Speaker 1: get that. That number is always gonna be skewed a
20:10
Speaker 1: little bit towards them. They're nineteen and a half point
20:13
Speaker 1: favored and the total is low in the one thirty
20:15
Speaker 1: fives or in the one thirty five range, excuse the
20:18
Speaker 1: one thirty five and a half. Taking the points probably
20:23
Speaker 1: the way I would lean in that game, but again
20:25
Speaker 1: I could see arguments going both ways there. Into the
20:28
Speaker 1: one PM slate, we have Michigan number two in the
20:31
Speaker 1: country rankings wise, at least ken Bumble will have some
20:35
Speaker 1: of these rankings differently, he does have Michigan still number
20:38
Speaker 1: two or number one. Even let me say he has
20:41
Speaker 1: the one. He has Iowa State two in Arizona three.
20:43
Speaker 1: Now they've been all kind of flipping around. Michigan is
20:47
Speaker 1: playing Wisconsin here. Wisconsin maybe on the way back up
20:51
Speaker 1: a little bit. They did just have a decent win
20:53
Speaker 1: at home against UCLA. Now they're going out on the road.
20:56
Speaker 1: I mean, obviously Wisconsin is gonna be a giant underdog
20:59
Speaker 1: in this game, though they will step up for the game.
21:03
Speaker 1: The question is is Michigan State gonna overlook this game?
21:05
Speaker 1: And I don't really think so because Michigan State just
21:09
Speaker 1: went to Penn State and almost lost the game. Not
21:12
Speaker 1: a good performance from Michigan man in that one. Almost
21:15
Speaker 1: losing is a pretty big favorite there. Penn State, I think,
21:18
Speaker 1: is not even in Kemp Bump's top one hundred. Bad
21:21
Speaker 1: game for Michigan in that one, So I think they
21:23
Speaker 1: might show up. They only played Washington next allthough they
21:26
Speaker 1: do have to go out to the Pacific Coast to
21:28
Speaker 1: do that. But Wisconsin, I mean, their name teams still
21:32
Speaker 1: in basketball, not really a team are gonna overlook unless
21:35
Speaker 1: it's really sandwiched in there by between these other between
21:39
Speaker 1: really big games, which this of course isn't. Michigan's a
21:42
Speaker 1: nineteen point favorite total is high. It's up to one
21:45
Speaker 1: sixty nine man, because again, this is not your father's
21:48
Speaker 1: Wisconsin team. Wisconsin has started going up tempo more recently
21:52
Speaker 1: and it has not really worked out great. Although I
21:57
Speaker 1: don't know what Wisconsin is gonna do right now. I
21:59
Speaker 1: had them as one of the I think first eight
22:02
Speaker 1: teams or so out of the tournament in my bracketology
22:05
Speaker 1: that I did on Monday. We'll see. I hm, I
22:09
Speaker 1: would probably lay the points with Michigan in this one,
22:11
Speaker 1: know if I was gonna play it. I just think
22:13
Speaker 1: they're coming off of a really bad game. But yeah,
22:15
Speaker 1: both teams will show up for it. But I think
22:18
Speaker 1: if you get like a focused Michigan team, it's probably
22:21
Speaker 1: gonna be a little bit of a problem there, and
22:23
Speaker 1: especially if it's gonna be a high scoring game, which
22:25
Speaker 1: Michigan does play ridiculously fast. Number six in tempo, which
22:30
Speaker 1: it's crazy that Michigan State's number one in defensive efficiency.
22:33
Speaker 1: This is according to Ken Bomb, and six in tempo,
22:36
Speaker 1: like usually teams have played that fast. They are not
22:40
Speaker 1: that good defensive efficiency wise, so it's crazy. Number seven.
22:46
Speaker 1: Houston is at Baylor on Peacock and NBC Sports at
22:49
Speaker 1: one pm. Houston is coming off a pretty tough game. Man.
22:53
Speaker 1: They got a nice win over Texas Tech, only beating
22:57
Speaker 1: them by four, So you could argue that maybe they're
22:59
Speaker 1: in a down spot here going to Baylor. But I
23:02
Speaker 1: could also see the argument that Houston didn't play that
23:05
Speaker 1: well against Texas Texas. Houston was whatever they were I
23:08
Speaker 1: think about a six, six and a half point favorite
23:11
Speaker 1: in that game, so you could argue that they didn't
23:14
Speaker 1: play as well as they should have as a favorite.
23:16
Speaker 1: But going on the road to Baylor, you know Baylor's
23:19
Speaker 1: gonna get up for this. I mean, Houston has been
23:21
Speaker 1: one of the big brothers in the state of Texas
23:23
Speaker 1: for a while. Baylor's coming off a lost to Iowa State,
23:27
Speaker 1: though at home by ten. Then the question becomes how
23:31
Speaker 1: close was this game? Like, was Baylor hanging around in
23:34
Speaker 1: this game? They were down six with four minutes left,
23:36
Speaker 1: so kind of yes. So I'm not really jumping out
23:40
Speaker 1: of my seat to I'm not running to grab Baylor here,
23:44
Speaker 1: let's just put it that way. I think you could
23:47
Speaker 1: argue that both teams are kind of in tough spots.
23:49
Speaker 1: It looks way too easy to lay the points with Houston,
23:51
Speaker 1: though Houston is a three point favorite, Like the public's
23:55
Speaker 1: gonna be all over the Houston side most likely, Like
23:58
Speaker 1: how could you only have to lay three with a
24:00
Speaker 1: three with the seventh ranked team in the country, right
24:04
Speaker 1: and Houston is good. I'm kem bum has them at eleventh,
24:07
Speaker 1: so they're a little bit over ranked right now. I
24:11
Speaker 1: think I would still need to taking the points with
24:13
Speaker 1: Baylor slightly because it does look too easy to play Houston.
24:17
Speaker 1: I think Houston is still coming off the the more
24:20
Speaker 1: difficult game, but it's a game that I really don't
24:23
Speaker 1: want to get involved. And next up, let me see,
24:26
Speaker 1: I gotta I gotta look at my spreadsheet here, just
24:28
Speaker 1: make sure I'm not like skipping any game that I
24:31
Speaker 1: wanted to do anything with her. I'm gonna I'm gonna
24:34
Speaker 1: keep I'm gonna keep tabs on this. Hold on, I
24:37
Speaker 1: think I actually skipped one that I was gonna talk about.
24:39
Speaker 1: Let me see, did I I did?
24:42
Speaker 3: Not?
24:43
Speaker 1: Okay? Next up is the next play for me? Actually,
24:45
Speaker 1: which I don't know This one, I don't know if
24:48
Speaker 1: I felt as good about it, But hold on, it's
24:50
Speaker 1: because I have to get into the system again. Here
24:53
Speaker 1: this one, we're gonna be taking points. Let me see
24:55
Speaker 1: what can we get on this Uh looks like the
24:58
Speaker 1: number is fifteen right now. Now we're gonna be on
25:01
Speaker 1: some underdogs here and some favorites. Man, this one, Yeah,
25:06
Speaker 1: it's a fifteen point underdog. I'm just getting it in
25:09
Speaker 1: right now. That didn't sound right. We're gonna be on
25:13
Speaker 1: LSU plus fifteen. Just let me get it in here.
25:16
Speaker 1: I apologize again. It's just you know, it takes so
25:20
Speaker 1: long to handicap the whole slate of games man, and
25:24
Speaker 1: I try to do it like as quickly as I
25:26
Speaker 1: can to, and it takes me like almost two hours.
25:28
Speaker 1: LSU plus the points against Vanderbilt here. This is in
25:33
Speaker 1: the one pm slate on SEC network. Vanderbilt number eleven
25:37
Speaker 1: in the country, and they're actually under ranked. Ken Bom
25:40
Speaker 1: has the number five in the country. He's got them
25:42
Speaker 1: top five both defense and offense. But he does have
25:45
Speaker 1: them pretty lucky at eighty first and LSU he doesn't
25:49
Speaker 1: really have that far down. He has them at forty first,
25:53
Speaker 1: has them a little bit less lucky at one eighty fourth.
25:56
Speaker 1: They haven't really faced that difficult to schedule, so that's
25:58
Speaker 1: kind of a problem to twenty seven. But they're decent.
26:02
Speaker 1: I mean, they're in the top forty in offense according
26:04
Speaker 1: to kem Bum, top seventy five and defense. Vandy's gonna
26:08
Speaker 1: try to speed this thing up. LSU plays more of
26:10
Speaker 1: a mid tempo game, but really this is all about
26:13
Speaker 1: the spot Vandy's coming off. They're legitimizing win man like.
26:19
Speaker 1: Vandy's good, definitely, like according to the analytics and whatever.
26:22
Speaker 1: But even I questioned them going into that game against Alabama,
26:25
Speaker 1: where I leaned to Vandy in the game, like based
26:28
Speaker 1: on the analytics and stuff and Alabama being a little
26:30
Speaker 1: bit down this year, but I was worried that Vandy
26:33
Speaker 1: had not faced a difficult schedule and that is still
26:36
Speaker 1: the key. Well, ken Bum does have him facing the
26:38
Speaker 1: fifty ninth strings of schedule now basically just because they
26:41
Speaker 1: played Alabama, I guess. But that was a huge win
26:44
Speaker 1: for Vandy, man beating one of the teams that's been
26:47
Speaker 1: one of the top teams in the SEC for the
26:49
Speaker 1: last couple of years, Alabama, and everybody was kind of
26:52
Speaker 1: questioning Vandy. Oh, Vandy hasn't played anybody yet. Yeah, well
26:56
Speaker 1: now they have and they just beat Alabama. There are
26:59
Speaker 1: other best win was probably Saint Mary's prior to that,
27:02
Speaker 1: and that was a tournament revenge game by the way
27:05
Speaker 1: for Vandy. They lost to Saint Mary's in the March
27:08
Speaker 1: Madas Tournament last year. But I think Vandy could be
27:10
Speaker 1: in a letdown spot here. Man. I know LSU has
27:13
Speaker 1: a decent record, but they are zero and to in
27:14
Speaker 1: conference so far. Might be a team maybe overlook out
27:18
Speaker 1: of Vandy does have Texas and next, though I don't
27:21
Speaker 1: think it's really a sandwich spot, although I don't know.
27:23
Speaker 1: Texas always kind of has that name recognition around them
27:27
Speaker 1: though in basketball though, Texas has not started well in
27:30
Speaker 1: the conference. But really, I think this is more of
27:31
Speaker 1: a letdown spot. But I think the other part of
27:35
Speaker 1: this is that LSU they're coming off a bad game. Dude.
27:39
Speaker 1: They just lost as a home favorite to South Carolina.
27:42
Speaker 1: This is a bad game. LSU was a pretty big
27:44
Speaker 1: favorite in this game and they lost. And you can
27:48
Speaker 1: kind of see why. They actually had a really bad
27:50
Speaker 1: shooting game thirty nine percent from the field and South
27:52
Speaker 1: Carolina shot fifty seven percent from three. I mean, there
27:58
Speaker 1: are a number of things in this game that were
28:00
Speaker 1: outliers here, man, like that was a ridiculous three point
28:03
Speaker 1: shooting performances of South Carolina. Don't expect to really see
28:06
Speaker 1: that happen again against LSU. LSU had fourteen turnovers to
28:12
Speaker 1: six for South Carolina. That's kind of a fluke thing
28:15
Speaker 1: that usually doesn't happen to the home team losing the
28:18
Speaker 1: turnover battle by that much. South Carolina went to the
28:20
Speaker 1: line seven more times the free throw line, so that
28:23
Speaker 1: was a bit of a weird situation. And where that
28:26
Speaker 1: was a little bit a bit of a weird stat
28:28
Speaker 1: I guess you don't usually see the road team go
28:30
Speaker 1: to the free throw line that much, so that was
28:32
Speaker 1: weird as well. And like the predictive stats, LSU won them.
28:36
Speaker 1: They were plus twelve and rebounds and plus nine in
28:40
Speaker 1: field goal attempts, so that tells you that LSU probably
28:42
Speaker 1: should have won the game, but instead they lost by
28:45
Speaker 1: eight because of those other fluke things that I talked about,
28:48
Speaker 1: including yeah being the like minus four and three pointers
28:51
Speaker 1: made as well. So I think LSU does bounce back
28:54
Speaker 1: from this, and I think maybe they were unfocused because
28:57
Speaker 1: maybe they were looking ahead to Vandy and they had
28:59
Speaker 1: just gone on the road prior to that South Carolina game,
29:02
Speaker 1: and Vandy, excuse me, LSU is an underdog, and they
29:05
Speaker 1: played pretty well at Texas A and M the game
29:08
Speaker 1: before that, so it was almost kind of a sandwich spot,
29:11
Speaker 1: and that A and M game also ended a win
29:12
Speaker 1: stream for them. So I think LSU was in a
29:14
Speaker 1: bad spot against South Carolina. I think they bounced back
29:17
Speaker 1: here against Vandy. Man, I know it is gonna be
29:20
Speaker 1: a high scoring game most likely, so taking the points
29:23
Speaker 1: is a little bit more iffy with that being the case.
29:26
Speaker 1: But you're getting a lot of points here. Fifteen. It's
29:29
Speaker 1: a bad spot for Vandy. Total is in the one sixties.
29:32
Speaker 1: But yeah, we'll do it. We'll take LSU plus the
29:35
Speaker 1: points in that one. All right, dirty sock? What's up man?
29:42
Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out. Okay, what do we have next here? Man,
29:51
Speaker 1: I'm trying to remember because I had everything in my head.
29:53
Speaker 1: All right, I'm Mercyhurst and Wagner. This is not one
29:57
Speaker 1: of my plays, but Mercyhurst, they just took Long Island
30:01
Speaker 1: to the limit. Man. They almost beat Long Island, which
30:04
Speaker 1: is actually a big deal in the Northeastern Conference here,
30:07
Speaker 1: Northeast Conference whatever, because Long Island is the best team
30:10
Speaker 1: in the conference and they were a big favorite in
30:12
Speaker 1: that one. So mercy Hurst almost pulled off a big
30:15
Speaker 1: win in that one. And now I think they're gonna
30:17
Speaker 1: be a little bit flat maybe off of that huge
30:19
Speaker 1: performance as an underdog. They're going to Wagner here, and
30:22
Speaker 1: I think Wagner is gonna be Wagner. We should call
30:25
Speaker 1: them Wagner. Wagner I think is gonna be in the
30:28
Speaker 1: better spot here because Wagner actually lost as a home
30:30
Speaker 1: favorite against a pretty weak Saint Francis team, so that
30:34
Speaker 1: was a bad loss for Wagner. So I think Wagner
30:36
Speaker 1: will show up better in this game. They're staying at home,
30:40
Speaker 1: so it's pretty like simple here. We have like a
30:42
Speaker 1: team that was a big underdog that fell just short
30:45
Speaker 1: versus a team that lost as a big favorite, well
30:48
Speaker 1: not a big favorite, but lost as a decent sized favorite.
30:51
Speaker 1: So I think Wagner is the right side here. They're
30:53
Speaker 1: already up from a pick them to three, though, so
30:56
Speaker 1: immediately you've already lost value on that. Like again, these
31:00
Speaker 1: college basketball lines, especially in these small conferences, they just
31:03
Speaker 1: moved so fast, but I think the money is agreeing
31:06
Speaker 1: with me on that total is really low at one
31:08
Speaker 1: thirty and a half, but three isn't a huge number
31:12
Speaker 1: to lane, so I think Wagner is the right side there.
31:15
Speaker 1: Western Carolina at the Citadel. Western Carolina just played pretty well.
31:20
Speaker 1: They beat firm in two games ago. That was a
31:23
Speaker 1: nice upset road win for Western and then they did
31:26
Speaker 1: not suffer a letdown after that. They almost pulled off
31:30
Speaker 1: another road up set at Samford, although Sanford is a
31:33
Speaker 1: bit down this year, so I don't know how big
31:35
Speaker 1: that game really was, but Western Carolina was a big
31:38
Speaker 1: dog in that one. Samford won the conference I think
31:40
Speaker 1: two years ago. Now it's a third straight road game
31:44
Speaker 1: for Western Carolina and up next they got the top
31:47
Speaker 1: team in the Soacon the Southern Conference. East Tennessee State
31:51
Speaker 1: is their next opponent. So I think it is kind
31:54
Speaker 1: of a sandwich spot here for Western Carolina. Man, it's
31:57
Speaker 1: a bad spot. A citadel is basically the dormat in
32:02
Speaker 1: this conference right now. Man, they're bad, and they're coming
32:04
Speaker 1: off losing by almost forty points to Mercer and they
32:08
Speaker 1: still don't have a win in the conference. Yes, the
32:10
Speaker 1: Citadel is putrid but it's not gonna be on my card.
32:14
Speaker 1: But this is a lean for me towards the Citadel.
32:19
Speaker 1: You're getting six and a half. It looks almost too
32:21
Speaker 1: easy to lay the points with Western Carolina. It's not
32:23
Speaker 1: that big of a number down from seven to six
32:25
Speaker 1: and a half here, I would take the points. Don't
32:28
Speaker 1: know if you'll get the key number seven. It's not
32:30
Speaker 1: on my card, but that is an opinion that I have,
32:34
Speaker 1: one of the stronger ones that I have, Like this
32:36
Speaker 1: is one of the ones that's almost on my card,
32:38
Speaker 1: and so is this one. Troy at Louisiana. Louisiana is
32:42
Speaker 1: putrid as well, but Troy is coming off a big
32:45
Speaker 1: game man against Arkansas State. Arkansas State is one of
32:49
Speaker 1: the best teams in the Sun Belt. That was a
32:52
Speaker 1: huge game for Arkansas State, though, because that was the
32:54
Speaker 1: rematch of the conference final from last year, which Troy won.
32:57
Speaker 1: I think it's a slight underdog in it last year.
33:00
Speaker 1: So Troy got into the tournament instead of Arkansas State.
33:03
Speaker 1: I think Arkansas State may be a program that's never
33:07
Speaker 1: even made the tournament. So Arkansas State definitely had that
33:10
Speaker 1: game circled and they beat Troy. Troy was a favorite
33:13
Speaker 1: in that game, though, I think so maybe it's or
33:15
Speaker 1: excuse mely Troy was an underdog in this game. Excuse
33:17
Speaker 1: they were on the road at Arkansas State, so Troy
33:20
Speaker 1: wasn't expected to win this game, so they lost by twelve.
33:24
Speaker 1: I don't know. So even though I think maybe Troy
33:26
Speaker 1: is in a little bit of a sandwich here, you
33:29
Speaker 1: could argue that maybe they're that maybe they'll show up
33:32
Speaker 1: for a game just because they did lose that game
33:34
Speaker 1: by double digits. Wasn't that close, but it did end
33:37
Speaker 1: a win streak for them, five game win streak, and
33:40
Speaker 1: sometimes that will hang you over a little bit. And
33:42
Speaker 1: they do have Southern miss up next, and Southern Misses
33:45
Speaker 1: its second place in the conference right now, and they
33:48
Speaker 1: have the revenge game against Arkansas State the next game
33:51
Speaker 1: after that, So I do think this does look a
33:52
Speaker 1: bit sandwichee. Louisiana is an awful team, but obviously that's
33:58
Speaker 1: factor into the line. Louisiana to just get a win
34:00
Speaker 1: over Uel Monroe, which that's a bit of a rivalry.
34:05
Speaker 1: I think otho ul Monroe is always on the short
34:07
Speaker 1: end of that one. I think YOA Monroe is just
34:09
Speaker 1: gone awful Louisiana got that win. They're not gonna be
34:13
Speaker 1: over confident off of beating Monroe by six points. I
34:16
Speaker 1: think they'll be focused on Troy, the team that won
34:19
Speaker 1: the conference last year. So I lean Louisiana in that one.
34:23
Speaker 1: Troy has dropped from an eleven point favorite or ten
34:25
Speaker 1: and a half point favorite. The total is pretty low
34:28
Speaker 1: in the one thirties. Troy does like to play slow
34:31
Speaker 1: and focus on deepfense, so asking him to lay double
34:33
Speaker 1: digits on the road in a spot like that is
34:37
Speaker 1: definitely definitely a questionable thing to ask. So I like
34:41
Speaker 1: Louisiana and that one. We have Penn State at Purdue.
34:45
Speaker 1: This one, you know, it was close to making my car,
34:49
Speaker 1: but I just don't think I could do it. Man.
34:50
Speaker 1: Penn State, I like purduing this game. But Penn State,
34:54
Speaker 1: I mean, look at what they've done. Man. They just
34:56
Speaker 1: played Illinois pretty close at home, lost by eight, and
34:58
Speaker 1: then they almost beat Michigan in the last a game.
35:01
Speaker 1: There would have been a monumental upset for Penn State
35:04
Speaker 1: if they were able to do it, and they almost did.
35:07
Speaker 1: They lost by two to Michigan, and Penn State was
35:11
Speaker 1: losing this game big. They were losing by fifteen with
35:14
Speaker 1: ten like ten forty one there to go, Penn State
35:17
Speaker 1: came all the way back and almost tied the game.
35:20
Speaker 1: They're only down by one point in the final like
35:23
Speaker 1: basically the final minute of the game. Huge game for
35:26
Speaker 1: Penn State. I think Michigan probably took their foot off
35:29
Speaker 1: the gas. Now Penn State's got to turn around and
35:31
Speaker 1: play another huge game, going to a place it's really
35:34
Speaker 1: difficult to win the Mackie at Purdue. Although Penn State
35:39
Speaker 1: won't overlook Purdue, so then the question becomes is Purdue
35:43
Speaker 1: gonna show up for this game? And you know, I
35:47
Speaker 1: mean Purdue, They're coming off a game against Washington they
35:50
Speaker 1: only won by eight, so it wasn't a great performance
35:53
Speaker 1: for Purdue. It was kind of just like whatever, probably
35:56
Speaker 1: get in, get out. Now they play Penn State. But
35:58
Speaker 1: they do have I on that, and you could worry
36:00
Speaker 1: that maybe that's a little bit of a look ahead
36:02
Speaker 1: spot there for Purdue. Other than that, I like Purdue
36:05
Speaker 1: in this one, though, I think Penn State. I just
36:07
Speaker 1: don't see how after that Michigan performance, how Penn State
36:10
Speaker 1: is gonna be able to show up again. And I
36:12
Speaker 1: wish they were playing somebody else in this game, but
36:15
Speaker 1: I would probably lay it with Purdue. It's twenty one
36:18
Speaker 1: and a half, though total's not really that low, one
36:21
Speaker 1: fifty two. Purdue plays slow, but the thing is they're
36:25
Speaker 1: two hundred and eighty eight and tembo, but they're number
36:27
Speaker 1: one in offensive efficiency according to Kem Bumbs. It's crazy
36:31
Speaker 1: like how much Purdue can actually score even though they
36:34
Speaker 1: don't play fast. Pretty insane, But yeah, I would. I
36:38
Speaker 1: would lay it with Purdue if I was gonna play it,
36:40
Speaker 1: but I do have some reservations with that one number
36:44
Speaker 1: twenty four SMU at number six Duke at two pm
36:48
Speaker 1: on ESPN. This will be somewhat interesting one, although Duke
36:53
Speaker 1: is definitely gonna be a favorite obviously in this game,
36:55
Speaker 1: probably a fairly substantial favorite. SMU just lost to a
36:59
Speaker 1: clip and I gave out Clemson on the show and
37:02
Speaker 1: that when Clemson they had a bigger lead late in
37:05
Speaker 1: the game and they blew it and my number one
37:07
Speaker 1: up pushing I found a four on that. Hopefully not
37:11
Speaker 1: too many people lost on that, but that was Clemson
37:14
Speaker 1: should not have failed to cover in that one man.
37:16
Speaker 1: SMU was coming up the huge legitimizing win. Talk about
37:20
Speaker 1: the legitimizer. SMU had had theirs against North Carolina and
37:24
Speaker 1: they had Duke coming up next, so it was a
37:27
Speaker 1: horrible sandwich spot that they were in. I guess maybe
37:31
Speaker 1: they still stepped it up for a game against Clemson
37:33
Speaker 1: because Clemson is still Clemson. They were still one of
37:35
Speaker 1: the better teams in the ACC. SMU did play well
37:38
Speaker 1: in that game, though, towards the end, at least cutting
37:41
Speaker 1: it closer, so they didn't go away at the very least.
37:45
Speaker 1: Now they got to play another road game against Duke. Now,
37:47
Speaker 1: they're obviously not going to overlook Duke, but Duke, the
37:50
Speaker 1: spot just sets up better for Duke. I think, well,
37:53
Speaker 1: I don't know. I mean, Duke just had a nice
37:55
Speaker 1: win over Louisville. It was an easier game for them, though,
37:58
Speaker 1: an easier win, So I don't know, man, I think
38:03
Speaker 1: did I say this game was closer down the stretch.
38:05
Speaker 1: I don't remember. I don't think it really was, but
38:07
Speaker 1: maybe I'm wrong. Yeah, not really, because I was thinking
38:10
Speaker 1: it might have been closer towards the end and Duke
38:12
Speaker 1: kind of escaped. But yeah, this game is a difficult one.
38:16
Speaker 1: Duke is laying twelve and a half. It's up from
38:18
Speaker 1: twelve total is fairly high at one fifty nine. I
38:21
Speaker 1: think this Duke team is playing faster than they have
38:24
Speaker 1: in the past, so they've kind of changed their moo.
38:27
Speaker 1: I guess from season to season. I don't know, man,
38:30
Speaker 1: Is it just just because the Boozer brothers want to
38:33
Speaker 1: play fast? I don't know. Yes, Duke has both sons
38:37
Speaker 1: of Carlos Boozer, who also went to Duke. His two
38:40
Speaker 1: sons played for Duke this year. Anyway, the boz Boozer
38:46
Speaker 1: brothers should be like a a beer company or something.
38:50
Speaker 1: But yeah, that's not something I want to get involved
38:52
Speaker 1: in that game. But I would probably lay the points
38:54
Speaker 1: with Duke if I was gonna play it. Number eighteen
38:58
Speaker 1: Georgia at unranged Cell Carolina. Uh oh, do we have
39:03
Speaker 1: another unranked favorite in this one? I think we actually do. No,
39:08
Speaker 1: we don't. My mistake. George is a three and a
39:10
Speaker 1: half point favorite. I don't know. I'm dude, A get
39:11
Speaker 1: all mixed up. I don't know, all mixed up. I
39:14
Speaker 1: don't know what to do. I don't know. I'm trying
39:17
Speaker 1: to think of some lyrics to make up for it.
39:20
Speaker 1: On the fly. I could make up some good parody lyrics.
39:22
Speaker 3: But.
39:24
Speaker 1: I don't know. Next thing, you turn around, find the
39:27
Speaker 1: underdog is you who? George is down from a four
39:31
Speaker 1: and a halfway favored to a three and a half
39:32
Speaker 1: way favorite in this one. South Carolina does suck ass,
39:35
Speaker 1: But I mean, as far as SEC teams go, they do.
39:40
Speaker 1: I think they. I don't know, man, I think they
39:41
Speaker 1: might be the worst team in the SEC. Maybe, I
39:44
Speaker 1: don't know. We'll see what ken Bom has to say
39:46
Speaker 1: about that. But they did just pull off that ridiculous
39:48
Speaker 1: upset of LSU. Not ridiculous, but it was a decent upset.
39:53
Speaker 1: So I don't know about South Carolina coming off an upset. Man,
39:57
Speaker 1: They're not going to overlook Georgia, but they did just
39:59
Speaker 1: have a pretty good performance at LSU. Man. Georgia, on
40:03
Speaker 1: the other hand, did lose to Florida, but that was
40:06
Speaker 1: a rivalry game, and Georgia had a bunch of wins
40:09
Speaker 1: in a row prior to that, seven wins in a row,
40:12
Speaker 1: so I could see them maybe being hungover. Second straight
40:15
Speaker 1: road game, big game, a game they got up for,
40:18
Speaker 1: although they wound up losing by fifteen and it wasn't
40:20
Speaker 1: really close down the stretch out for Florida opened it
40:23
Speaker 1: up in the second half, so I could see it
40:26
Speaker 1: going both ways. Like I could see that being a
40:28
Speaker 1: huge emotional get up game for Georgia and them kind
40:31
Speaker 1: of being sent back down to reality and now they
40:34
Speaker 1: have a hangover and they sort of lose the game
40:37
Speaker 1: twice also because it ended along win stream for them,
40:40
Speaker 1: or you could argue, well, they were a big underdog
40:43
Speaker 1: in that game and they lost by double digits, so
40:45
Speaker 1: maybe they should show up in the next game. But
40:47
Speaker 1: then also again, South Carolina's coming off a big performance
40:50
Speaker 1: as well. You know, this game is hard, hard to
40:55
Speaker 1: figure out. Georgia's down to three and a half from
40:58
Speaker 1: four and a half. I guess the early money was
41:00
Speaker 1: coming in towards South Carolina the way that I look
41:04
Speaker 1: at games, and I guess I won't really disagree with
41:06
Speaker 1: South Carolina plus the points there, but not something I
41:10
Speaker 1: really it's not something that gets me excited. Let's just
41:13
Speaker 1: say we have oh shit, I think I have Yeah,
41:18
Speaker 1: I have way too many uh, I have way too
41:20
Speaker 1: many windows up right now? Man, I apologize, although you
41:23
Speaker 1: can't see the other windows, but it's confusing me. Winthrop
41:26
Speaker 1: at South Carolina, Upstate USC Upstate I think Winthrop is
41:30
Speaker 1: in a bad spot because they just beat Charleston Southern.
41:34
Speaker 1: Charleston's Southern has been one of the better teams in
41:36
Speaker 1: the Big South. However, I do think Charleston's Southern's overrated
41:40
Speaker 1: and Winthrop was actually a big favorite in that one,
41:42
Speaker 1: so they actually didn't cover the spread. So I could
41:45
Speaker 1: see it going both ways, Like, was that a big
41:47
Speaker 1: win for Winthrop because Charleston's Southern was near the top
41:50
Speaker 1: of the conference or was it not a good performance
41:54
Speaker 1: from Winthrop because they didn't cover the spread and they
41:56
Speaker 1: barely got by them. Not sure, but what would What
42:00
Speaker 1: is definitive is that they play high Point next though,
42:03
Speaker 1: and high Point is definitely the best team in this conference.
42:06
Speaker 1: That is a huge game upcoming against high Point. So
42:10
Speaker 1: it is definitely possible that Winthrop does overlook usc Upstate. Here.
42:15
Speaker 1: Usc Upstate, they'll show up for a game against Winthrop,
42:18
Speaker 1: but they still don't have a conference win. Just lost
42:20
Speaker 1: on the road to Presbyterian, who's been somewhat mediocre in
42:24
Speaker 1: the conference at least this year. Yeah, this game, it's
42:27
Speaker 1: usc up State plus the points or past the game.
42:30
Speaker 1: I would say in this one they're getting five and
42:33
Speaker 1: a half here. That's what I would do if I
42:35
Speaker 1: was gonna play it. I would take the points and
42:37
Speaker 1: fade Winthrop in that one. And high Point is playing
42:41
Speaker 1: that Charleston Southern team, by the way, So Charleston Southern
42:44
Speaker 1: is coming up that good game against Winthrop, big game,
42:47
Speaker 1: but now obviously they're gonna show up for high Point.
42:49
Speaker 1: But Charleston Southern might run out of gas man because
42:52
Speaker 1: they already just played that big game against Winthrop. High
42:55
Speaker 1: Point is coming up smoking Gardner Webb. Gardner Web is
42:58
Speaker 1: just awful even as far as this conference goes. Gardner
43:02
Speaker 1: Web is so bad this year. But high Point beat
43:05
Speaker 1: them one hundred and forur to forty nine. I mean,
43:10
Speaker 1: it's almost like it's impossible to not feel high on
43:12
Speaker 1: yourself after you win a game like that. So I
43:15
Speaker 1: don't even know like which way I would want to
43:17
Speaker 1: go with this one man. High Point is definitely gonna
43:19
Speaker 1: be a big favorite. They're up from eight to eight
43:21
Speaker 1: and a half on the road here. The initial money
43:23
Speaker 1: looks like it did come in on them. I guess
43:25
Speaker 1: you could argue it sets up better for them because
43:27
Speaker 1: they are coming up the much easier game, but they
43:30
Speaker 1: could be riding real high off of that man, and
43:33
Speaker 1: they have Winthrop next, but Winthrop is behind Charleston's Southern
43:36
Speaker 1: and the standings, So I don't know. I mean, I
43:40
Speaker 1: thought it was an interesting one to maybe look at,
43:42
Speaker 1: but I mean, I guess I would somewhat lean towards
43:46
Speaker 1: laying it with high point, but I don't. I do
43:48
Speaker 1: not love it. Fox Sports won we have a pretty
43:50
Speaker 1: interesting one between Saint John's and Creighton in the Big East.
43:54
Speaker 1: Saint John's uh kind of riding the ship after they
43:58
Speaker 1: had that horrible loss at home to prop against. Saint
44:00
Speaker 1: John's is a big favorite in that one. I said,
44:02
Speaker 1: I thought they'd bounce back on the road at Butler,
44:04
Speaker 1: and they did so I was correct about that game.
44:07
Speaker 1: Now a second straight road game for them. Don't think
44:11
Speaker 1: Saint John's really gonna overlook Creighton though, And for Creighton,
44:14
Speaker 1: I think the spot is worse because Creighton just pulled
44:16
Speaker 1: off an upset on the road at Villanova. Villanova their
44:21
Speaker 1: first conference lost. Villanova is among the top teams in
44:23
Speaker 1: the conference right now. That was a big game for Creighton. Man,
44:27
Speaker 1: now they're coming back home. Now, they're not gonna overlook
44:29
Speaker 1: Saint John's. I believe Saint John's if I'm correct, me
44:32
Speaker 1: if I'm wrong. But I think Saint John's actually beat
44:35
Speaker 1: Crayton in the Conference final last year, so I don't
44:37
Speaker 1: think there's any way Creighton will overlook them. But the
44:40
Speaker 1: question is are they gonna be tired after the game
44:43
Speaker 1: against Villanova. I don't know, because they're definitely not gonna
44:45
Speaker 1: look past Saint John's for Georgetown or anything like that.
44:49
Speaker 1: But I think the spot does set up a little
44:51
Speaker 1: bit more difficult for Creighton, and they're traveling further because
44:54
Speaker 1: Saint John's is just coming to Omaha from Indianapolis. Creighton
44:59
Speaker 1: is coming in from Philadelphia. So yeah, slightly enough for
45:07
Speaker 1: st towards Saint John's for me in this one. Saint
45:10
Speaker 1: john Says flipped from plus one and a half to
45:12
Speaker 1: a pick them in this one, so they're probably gonna
45:14
Speaker 1: go off as a road favorite in this one. And
45:16
Speaker 1: I do think Saint John's is the better team here
45:19
Speaker 1: will obviously the oddsmakers are telling you that because they're
45:21
Speaker 1: basically a road favorite here. But I think Saint John's
45:24
Speaker 1: is a little bit under the radar right now because
45:26
Speaker 1: they have a number of losses that are against pretty
45:29
Speaker 1: good teams. So those are my thoughts on that one.
45:34
Speaker 1: You know, if you want me to talk about some
45:37
Speaker 1: of these other big conference games, I will, But a
45:38
Speaker 1: lot of these games were just kind of skipping because
45:40
Speaker 1: I'm not that interested in them. Buffalo and Ohio is
45:44
Speaker 1: an interesting one in the MAC because Buffalo is thirteen
45:47
Speaker 1: and two on the season, three and zero in the conference.
45:49
Speaker 1: But they haven't played anybody, man, I mean, they've played
45:53
Speaker 1: zero oh no, sorry, one Power conference team. They actually
45:56
Speaker 1: did win on the road at DePaul, but other than that,
46:00
Speaker 1: no other Power Conference teams. There are other step up games.
46:05
Speaker 1: They lost the same bond A Venture by eight at home.
46:08
Speaker 1: I mean, I guess that's not a horrible loss, but
46:10
Speaker 1: they took that loss. They also on the road to
46:12
Speaker 1: East Carolina it was not that good. And Buffalo has
46:15
Speaker 1: faced some real cupcakes, I think, pretty much in the
46:17
Speaker 1: MAX so far. They beat Western Michigan, Northern Illinois, and
46:20
Speaker 1: Ball State. Those are all bad teams. So this Buffalo
46:24
Speaker 1: team is not as good as the record looks. They're
46:26
Speaker 1: going to Ohio here now, I don't know if Buffalo
46:29
Speaker 1: is gonna overlook Ohio to Kent State because Buffalo does
46:32
Speaker 1: have actually a run of huge games after this against
46:35
Speaker 1: Kent State, Miami, Ohio, and Akron, who are the other
46:39
Speaker 1: teams that are atop the conference with them, and Ohio
46:42
Speaker 1: is just slightly behind them, So it is possible Buffalo
46:44
Speaker 1: might maybe overlook Ohio just a little bit with those
46:47
Speaker 1: upcoming games. Although Buffalo is coming off the easy win
46:50
Speaker 1: over ball State, so they're not in like a letdown
46:53
Speaker 1: spot or anything like that. Ohio is coming enough a
46:57
Speaker 1: win over UMass at home, right, I think Ohio might
47:00
Speaker 1: have been a bigger favorite than that at home against Yumas.
47:02
Speaker 1: I don't know, maybe they should have won that game
47:04
Speaker 1: by a little bit more, the only one by three.
47:07
Speaker 1: You gotta figure they're gonna show up for a Buffalo
47:09
Speaker 1: team though, that has two losses on the season and
47:12
Speaker 1: no losses in conference so far. And the interesting thing
47:15
Speaker 1: about this game is Ohio is the favorite, so the
47:18
Speaker 1: odds they're actually up to from a three point favorite
47:21
Speaker 1: to a five point favorite here, So again you're losing
47:23
Speaker 1: some value pretty fast on this early money all over
47:27
Speaker 1: Ohio here. And it's one of those games again with
47:29
Speaker 1: the really suspicious looking line, right, like, why is Ohio
47:33
Speaker 1: a team that's nine to seven on the season, Why
47:35
Speaker 1: Are they a five point favorite now against a thirteen
47:38
Speaker 1: and two team? Right, Well, that's because Ohio has faced
47:40
Speaker 1: the way more difficult schedule. They faced Louisville. I thought
47:45
Speaker 1: there was another power conference team in here. Maybe there wasn't,
47:47
Speaker 1: but they did face George Mason Loyal and Marymount, Saint
47:51
Speaker 1: Mary's totally legit team. They actually beat Illinois State, which
47:55
Speaker 1: is a decent win as well, and they played Arkansas State,
47:57
Speaker 1: so they've played a lot of good small conference teams,
48:00
Speaker 1: and they did beat Saint Bonadventure and they played a
48:04
Speaker 1: little bit more of a difficult MAX schedule already too.
48:06
Speaker 1: UMass is okay, even though they haven't won a game
48:08
Speaker 1: yet in the conference. They're lined like they're kind of
48:11
Speaker 1: a mediocre MAC team. And Ohio also lost to Bowling Green,
48:14
Speaker 1: who's not that bad. So I think Ohio is the
48:18
Speaker 1: better team here, as the osmakers are telling you. Don't
48:21
Speaker 1: know if I can quite get there laying five, but
48:23
Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure Buffalo is definitely an overrated commodity ken Bum,
48:28
Speaker 1: as Buffalo won sixty five, he actually has Buffalo is
48:31
Speaker 1: the better team, So my mistake, ken Bum does interesting
48:34
Speaker 1: because the osmakers are basically now at the point where
48:36
Speaker 1: they're telling you Ohio is a slightly better team. So again,
48:39
Speaker 1: there's not really much line value here anymore. If any
48:44
Speaker 1: at three, I think Ohio makes sense because it is
48:47
Speaker 1: one of those sus lines. But again, these games where
48:51
Speaker 1: the line looks suspicious like this, with these teams with
48:55
Speaker 1: the worst record actually being favored, the oddsmakers team would
48:58
Speaker 1: be just shoving that number like higher than it should
49:01
Speaker 1: be because they're trying to counteract how strong a spot
49:05
Speaker 1: like that is. So all right, what other of these
49:10
Speaker 1: games that I want to talk about here? I talked
49:12
Speaker 1: about Wagner Wagner, Baylor, Citadel. Let me see, I talked
49:18
Speaker 1: about Louisiana Purdue, USC Upstate. Okay, I'm just going through these, man,
49:24
Speaker 1: I'm looking. I don't I think my next play hasn't
49:27
Speaker 1: come up yet. We do have another game. It's one
49:30
Speaker 1: of those interesting lines. Is Georgia Southern at South Alabama
49:34
Speaker 1: here where Georgia Southern off to a nice start four
49:37
Speaker 1: and zero in the Sun Belt twelve and five overall,
49:40
Speaker 1: but South Alabama's only two and two in the Sun
49:42
Speaker 1: Belt in eleven and five. But South Alabama is actually
49:45
Speaker 1: the favorite here at three and a half at home,
49:47
Speaker 1: so the Oddsbeger's kind of telling you not to exactly
49:51
Speaker 1: buy this hot start. For Georgia Southern, they have faced
49:54
Speaker 1: pretty much conference cupcakes so far in the conference. They
49:58
Speaker 1: beat James Mann, who's down this year, Coastal Carolina, Georgia State,
50:02
Speaker 1: and ODU Old Dominion. Those teams are basically all at
50:06
Speaker 1: the bottom of the conference pretty much, so they have
50:09
Speaker 1: faced a weak conference schedule so far. With South Alabama
50:12
Speaker 1: has already played Troy, Texas State. I mean, those are
50:16
Speaker 1: teams that are at least better in the conference, so
50:18
Speaker 1: at least those two teams are decent in the conference,
50:22
Speaker 1: some more difficult schedule for South Alabama for the most part.
50:26
Speaker 1: I would lean to South Alabama in this game as well,
50:28
Speaker 1: but there isn't really much of a situation to look
50:30
Speaker 1: at here. I don't think they're actually a three point favorite.
50:33
Speaker 1: It looks like in some cases South Alabama actually is
50:37
Speaker 1: coming off playing Troy though that is kind of a
50:39
Speaker 1: difficult game. But I don't think they were that close
50:41
Speaker 1: in this game. They did lose my ten in a
50:44
Speaker 1: low scoring game, so it's kind of close. I guess
50:46
Speaker 1: they were. They were down double digits with two minutes
50:49
Speaker 1: to go, so it's not like the game went to
50:50
Speaker 1: the wire or anything. Georgia Southern is coming off that
50:54
Speaker 1: and actually kind of not that great of a performance
50:57
Speaker 1: against Old Dominion, only beating them by seven on the road.
51:00
Speaker 1: But maybe that should scare you a little bit with
51:02
Speaker 1: Georgia Southern because their wins in the conference against weak
51:06
Speaker 1: conference opponents have not been good. Beating JMU by four,
51:10
Speaker 1: Coastal Carolina by one, although it was on the road,
51:12
Speaker 1: and then Old do men U by seven ODU, so
51:16
Speaker 1: they have not been what they really look like so far.
51:19
Speaker 1: So for me, lean to South Alabama, but very very
51:23
Speaker 1: slight lean there for me. Stetson against Austin P. Stetson
51:27
Speaker 1: is coming off beating Lipscomb, huge win. I'm talking about
51:30
Speaker 1: Lipscomb again. Man, that was a huge win for Stetson.
51:34
Speaker 1: I mean, Lipscomb has been one of the best teams
51:35
Speaker 1: in the Atlantic Sun the last few years. They dealt
51:38
Speaker 1: Lipskomb their first conference loss of the season. Lipscomb is
51:41
Speaker 1: probably still the best team in this conference. So Stetson
51:44
Speaker 1: could be in a bit of a let down spot.
51:45
Speaker 1: But the problem is they're playing Austin P who is
51:48
Speaker 1: now currently the top team in the A Sun standing,
51:51
Speaker 1: so it's not like they're a team that Stetson will overlook.
51:55
Speaker 1: It's just a question of will they be able to
51:58
Speaker 1: maintain that effort. Two games in a for Austin P.
52:02
Speaker 1: Maybe they'll be on notice and maybe they will show
52:04
Speaker 1: up for a game against Stetson. They'll be playing a
52:06
Speaker 1: second straight road game, but both in the state of Florida.
52:09
Speaker 1: They did just beat Florida Gulf Coast on the road.
52:12
Speaker 1: Gulf Coast not that good this year, though, so I
52:14
Speaker 1: think I would lean to Austin P. Still against the
52:18
Speaker 1: Stetson Hatters, but one of the more ridiculous names and mascots. Dude,
52:23
Speaker 1: I should make fun of these team names where I
52:25
Speaker 1: don't usually point them out, but Austin P is laying
52:29
Speaker 1: eight here. Austin P is also a terrible name as well.
52:33
Speaker 1: The governors. I assume Austin P must have been a
52:36
Speaker 1: governor of Tennessee is where they're at. So I don't know,
52:40
Speaker 1: but I would lay it with Austin P in that game,
52:42
Speaker 1: but I was gonna play it. We're still in the
52:44
Speaker 1: afternoon slate here, two point fifteen pm. Here, we're looking
52:49
Speaker 1: at what's the next game. Here trying to look at
52:51
Speaker 1: the home. We're almost an hour already. This is gonna
52:53
Speaker 1: be a long fucking video. As usual CW Network, we
52:57
Speaker 1: have Stanford at Virginia, number twenty three ranked for Virginia.
53:01
Speaker 1: Stanford just beat Virginia Tech and demolish one of our
53:05
Speaker 1: plays on the show the other day when Virginia Tech
53:07
Speaker 1: had that game and Virginia Tech was blowing Stanford out.
53:10
Speaker 1: I don't know how Stanford won that game. I'm pissed
53:13
Speaker 1: about that one. Stanford also won on like a late
53:16
Speaker 1: three too. So now Stanford, coming off of beating Louisville
53:20
Speaker 1: at home, they traveled up to the East Coast and
53:22
Speaker 1: somehow managed to upset Virginia Tech there. Now they got
53:25
Speaker 1: to play Virginia. Now, I don't think they're gonna overlook Virginia,
53:28
Speaker 1: but I don't know how much, like how much is
53:31
Speaker 1: Stanford gonna be out of steam. They do play North
53:34
Speaker 1: Carolina and Duke after this too, so are they gonna
53:37
Speaker 1: look past Virginia. I kind of doubt it, But I
53:40
Speaker 1: don't know, man. I mean, if Stanford has a flat
53:42
Speaker 1: spot at all in the next three games, it could
53:46
Speaker 1: be this one. Virginia Virginia is coming off smoking Cal
53:52
Speaker 1: at Home, an easier win for Virginia at least. Now
53:54
Speaker 1: Cal has a good record, but they're not really as
53:56
Speaker 1: good as the record looks. I think Stanford's not as
53:59
Speaker 1: good as the record looks either though, And that's what
54:01
Speaker 1: we have here. Virginia is actually a huge favorite in
54:04
Speaker 1: this game. Oh I'm seeing ghosts here, man, you just
54:06
Speaker 1: see me jump. I just thought I saw somebody standing
54:08
Speaker 1: in front of me over here, dude, I have I'm
54:10
Speaker 1: on no sleep, dude, this is getting really really crazy.
54:13
Speaker 1: I hope I'm not gonna like seize out or anything.
54:16
Speaker 1: Holy crap. I thought I just saw a ghost. That's insane.
54:21
Speaker 1: Let me hold on. I'm gonna look at my phone
54:22
Speaker 1: real quick, because what of Like sometimes when you see
54:26
Speaker 1: a ghost, man, some weird crap is happening, like I
54:29
Speaker 1: don't know. And I actually thought it was my father,
54:31
Speaker 1: So that's that's not good. Dude. If I if I
54:34
Speaker 1: hear them, I don't want to. I don't want to
54:36
Speaker 1: even mention it. Man hole dude, I'm freaking out. Holy shit.
54:41
Speaker 1: Let's not think about that anyway. Virginia down from twelve
54:45
Speaker 1: to eleven and a half. Here but they're a big
54:48
Speaker 1: favorite here. Man. Virginia they play slow as as I mentioned,
54:53
Speaker 1: totals fairly low one and a half. Don't love the
54:57
Speaker 1: idea of laying points of Virginia here, man, So what
54:59
Speaker 1: do we do with this game? I mean, I don't know.
55:02
Speaker 1: I do think Stanford's in the worst spot here, though.
55:06
Speaker 1: It's a tough one to figure out, man, I mean,
55:08
Speaker 1: I think I would probably have to lean towards laying
55:10
Speaker 1: it with Virginia. And now Virginia could argue that may
55:13
Speaker 1: have a look ahead though, because they have Louisville, SMU
55:16
Speaker 1: and unc all up next to those are three ranked teams.
55:20
Speaker 1: I don't know. Again, it's not one that I want
55:23
Speaker 1: to get involved in, all right. Next up we have
55:26
Speaker 1: Villanova Marquett on TNT at two thirty pm. Villanova just
55:32
Speaker 1: lost a long wind streak. Man, they lost five five
55:35
Speaker 1: game win streak. I guess is what that is losing
55:37
Speaker 1: at home to Creighton. So now I could see this
55:39
Speaker 1: going two ways, right, When you lose a win streak
55:42
Speaker 1: like this, sometimes it will hang you over to the
55:43
Speaker 1: next game. And you could argue that was a big
55:46
Speaker 1: game against Creighton too, because Creighton is up there in
55:49
Speaker 1: the biggiest standings here, starting to play a little bit
55:51
Speaker 1: better here, But you could also argue Villanova should bounce
55:54
Speaker 1: back because they were a favorite in that game and
55:56
Speaker 1: fairly substantial favorite, and lost the game. They do have
56:00
Speaker 1: to go out to Milwaukee here and play Marquette, though,
56:02
Speaker 1: and Marquette has been awful so far, so they're definitely
56:06
Speaker 1: an easy team to overlook right now. I don't know
56:09
Speaker 1: if Villanova's gonna really care about having Providence up next, though.
56:13
Speaker 1: Providence is not a good record, so I don't know
56:16
Speaker 1: for Marquette. Marquette did just get a win finally beating Xavier,
56:21
Speaker 1: who's also not playing well this season, so that might
56:23
Speaker 1: be good for Marquette. Marquette staying at home. They just
56:26
Speaker 1: ended their losing street. They had six losses in a row,
56:30
Speaker 1: and a lot of times when a team ends a
56:31
Speaker 1: lost street sometimes that will give them new momentum coming
56:34
Speaker 1: into this game. So I do think the spot does
56:36
Speaker 1: set up better for Marquette here. I would lean towards Marquette.
56:40
Speaker 1: Villanova's already down from six and a half to four
56:42
Speaker 1: here total one forty six and a half. I think
56:45
Speaker 1: Villanova plays slow and Marquette likes to play fast, so
56:48
Speaker 1: Marquette might be able to try to speed this thing
56:51
Speaker 1: up a little bit. But Villanova, a slow based team,
56:55
Speaker 1: is a favorite. Is also not really something you want
56:57
Speaker 1: to look at, I would say, And at least ken
56:59
Speaker 1: Bomer is Markt is a very unlucky team at three
57:02
Speaker 1: thirty fifth in the country, So somebody keep in mind
57:06
Speaker 1: there at Villanova. Yeah, they're one of the like ten
57:10
Speaker 1: eleven slowest teams in the country pretty much. So, yes,
57:14
Speaker 1: the ghost of yours. Yeah, the Virginia Cavaliers, not not
57:17
Speaker 1: the Cleveland Cavaliers. I don't have a whole lot to
57:19
Speaker 1: make fun of the name of the Cavaliers, you know,
57:23
Speaker 1: But yeah, Villanova and Marquette. That's that's my uh handicap
57:29
Speaker 1: on that. I would take the boys with Marquette in
57:31
Speaker 1: that one if I was gonna play it. All right,
57:35
Speaker 1: And it's slipping my mind. What is Villanova's the Wildcats?
57:39
Speaker 1: That's right, every team is the wild And I'm like, wait,
57:41
Speaker 1: what's Villanova's team name? Again? They're the Wildcats, all right.
57:47
Speaker 1: South Florida and Tulsa is a This is a weird one.
57:50
Speaker 1: When I looked at this, I mean, south Ford is
57:52
Speaker 1: a decent team in the American Conference. Tulsa has been
57:56
Speaker 1: one of the top teams in the conference to start
57:58
Speaker 1: the season, although they did take a conference a law.
58:00
Speaker 1: Now South Florida is coming up a couple of big games.
58:03
Speaker 3: Man.
58:03
Speaker 1: They played UABAL. The uab's kind of mediocre in the conference,
58:06
Speaker 1: so that was a barn burner that I think went
58:08
Speaker 1: into overtime. Yeah, double overtime. Both teams scored over one hundred.
58:13
Speaker 1: And then they went to North Texas off it then
58:16
Speaker 1: and beat North Texas on the road. Nice win. I mean,
58:19
Speaker 1: North Texas has been a decent team in this conference
58:21
Speaker 1: as well, and they usually slow you way down and whatever.
58:25
Speaker 1: So coming up of those big games, the question is
58:27
Speaker 1: what is South Florida gonna South Florida gonna have left
58:30
Speaker 1: in the tank here against Tulsa, because I think they
58:32
Speaker 1: will show up for the game against Tulsa, but they
58:35
Speaker 1: might not have a whole lot left. The problem for
58:38
Speaker 1: the Tulsa side is Tulsa just lost a long wind stream. Man.
58:42
Speaker 1: Tulsa had not lost since they lost in a one
58:46
Speaker 1: point loss at Kansas State all the way back and
58:49
Speaker 1: probably October November or whatever. That was long long time ago.
58:53
Speaker 1: Tulsa had not lost since then, so now they took that.
58:56
Speaker 1: They took a close loss in North Texas at North
58:59
Speaker 1: Tech is in the last game as well, so I
59:01
Speaker 1: think Tulsa might be hung over after that. Man, you
59:05
Speaker 1: take that loss, sometimes you will be hung over having
59:09
Speaker 1: not lost in such a long time. So yeah, I
59:12
Speaker 1: mean I think the spot's a little bit worse for Tulsa.
59:16
Speaker 1: The money seems to be somewhat agree with that. Early.
59:18
Speaker 1: Tulsa's down from three and a half to three here,
59:21
Speaker 1: so they're not a big favorite. It looks a little
59:23
Speaker 1: bit easy to lay the points of Tulsa because the
59:25
Speaker 1: record is way better than South Florida's thirteen to two
59:28
Speaker 1: against I think nine and seven or something like that,
59:31
Speaker 1: nine and six, So it kind of looks too easy
59:34
Speaker 1: to lay the points with Tulsa, and the oddsbakers are
59:37
Speaker 1: kind of telling you these teams are almost evenly matched.
59:39
Speaker 1: So I do think I would take the points with
59:41
Speaker 1: South Florida, but obviously I don't love that all right,
59:47
Speaker 1: And again, I know I'm skipping some of the bigger
59:48
Speaker 1: conference games as well, just because there are just so
59:51
Speaker 1: many games to get through. Man, I mean, you could
59:53
Speaker 1: show one out and I'll try to talk about it,
59:55
Speaker 1: but just so many fucking games. Kent State in central
59:59
Speaker 1: mid Chigan was on my radar when I was going
1:00:02
Speaker 1: through these because Kent State did just have a nice
1:00:04
Speaker 1: win over Bowling Green. Bowling Green has been a decent team,
1:00:08
Speaker 1: although they did knock Bowling Green into the bottom half
1:00:10
Speaker 1: of the max, so I'm not sure if it's really
1:00:13
Speaker 1: going to set up a letdown spot for Kent State
1:00:15
Speaker 1: or not. But it was a decent win against a
1:00:17
Speaker 1: decent defense in Bowling Gread although that game was really
1:00:21
Speaker 1: high scoring, surprising because Bowling Green plays pretty good defense,
1:00:25
Speaker 1: but Kent State is a scoring team and they do
1:00:28
Speaker 1: not play great defense. So pretty interesting there. I think
1:00:32
Speaker 1: that's the case with Kent State at least. Uh yeah,
1:00:35
Speaker 1: they're pretty lopsided. They're almost top one hundred offensively and
1:00:38
Speaker 1: they're outside of the top two hundred defensively. Kent bom
1:00:42
Speaker 1: by the way, as Kent State has been the second
1:00:44
Speaker 1: luckiest team in the entire country, So ken Bumb is
1:00:49
Speaker 1: telling you Kent State should regress and then face the
1:00:51
Speaker 1: three hundred and tenth strongest schedule and they play super
1:00:55
Speaker 1: fast at twenty third, So Kent State we should see
1:00:59
Speaker 1: some regression out of them. They are coming off a
1:01:00
Speaker 1: decent win over Bowling Green, and they have Buffalo coming
1:01:04
Speaker 1: up next after they play Central Michigan here, so possible
1:01:07
Speaker 1: look ahead because Buffalo is sitting undefeated in the MAC
1:01:11
Speaker 1: right now. Even though I just told you I don't
1:01:13
Speaker 1: think Buffalo's as good as a record looks, but it
1:01:15
Speaker 1: still might be enough. The Kent State might be looking
1:01:17
Speaker 1: ahead to that game and they might not pay attention
1:01:19
Speaker 1: to this awful Central Michigan team here. They are pretty bad,
1:01:23
Speaker 1: but I think this would be a spot where I
1:01:26
Speaker 1: would take the points Central Michigan. They've faced difficult conference
1:01:29
Speaker 1: opponents here Man Ohio, Toledo, Akron on the road. I mean,
1:01:33
Speaker 1: those not that easy. So Central Michigan. I'm not gonna
1:01:37
Speaker 1: argue that they're good or anything like that, but they're
1:01:40
Speaker 1: there's a reason, I mean they're own four in the
1:01:42
Speaker 1: map because they have faced some difficult competition. They're still
1:01:46
Speaker 1: looking for their first conference win, so that's going to
1:01:48
Speaker 1: motivate them a bit. The question is is the game
1:01:50
Speaker 1: against Act Was this game close? And the answer is no.
1:01:53
Speaker 1: They lost by thirteen, but it's not like they were close.
1:01:56
Speaker 1: And then lost by thirteen on like a run at
1:01:58
Speaker 1: the end or anything like that, so they didn't play
1:02:01
Speaker 1: Akron very close. The spot to me sets up a
1:02:04
Speaker 1: lot better for Central Michigan. I like Central Michigan in
1:02:07
Speaker 1: this one. That's what I would play if I was
1:02:08
Speaker 1: gonna play the game. Let me see, as this sting
1:02:12
Speaker 1: goes way from us here, Kent State is down from
1:02:16
Speaker 1: ten to nine and a half here, and again I
1:02:18
Speaker 1: just showed you Kent State very very lucky. Ken Bum
1:02:21
Speaker 1: has Central Michigan three hundred and twenty second overall, though,
1:02:25
Speaker 1: but he has the bottom thirteen in luck though, or
1:02:28
Speaker 1: bottom fourteen or whatever in luck, so he has Central
1:02:31
Speaker 1: Michigan as being very underperformed, very unlucky. But they also
1:02:35
Speaker 1: don't even crack the top three hundred in either offense
1:02:38
Speaker 1: or defense, so they are a putrid team. But I
1:02:42
Speaker 1: do think that that is a spot where taking Central
1:02:44
Speaker 1: Michigan does make sense. All right, I did talk about
1:02:50
Speaker 1: Arkansas State. They could be in a letdown spot here, man,
1:02:53
Speaker 1: because they did just pull off that win over Troy. Now,
1:02:56
Speaker 1: Arkansas State was supposed to win that game. They were
1:02:58
Speaker 1: the favorite there, but that was a big win for them,
1:03:00
Speaker 1: And like I, said, I think they had that game
1:03:02
Speaker 1: circled because it was the rematch of the Sun Belt
1:03:04
Speaker 1: title game last year where Troy beat them. So Arkansas
1:03:07
Speaker 1: State very very satisfying win for them, and they have
1:03:11
Speaker 1: selled Alabama and then Troy up after this, and those
1:03:14
Speaker 1: teams are above Texas State and the standings at least
1:03:18
Speaker 1: both of those teams with double digit wins on the season,
1:03:21
Speaker 1: and Texas State does not have double digit wins. So
1:03:24
Speaker 1: I think this is a spot where you look towards
1:03:26
Speaker 1: taking the boys to Texas State, where you leave the
1:03:28
Speaker 1: game alone. But Texas State is playing a third fourth
1:03:31
Speaker 1: straight road game, which I don't love. That's a lot
1:03:34
Speaker 1: of road games to have to deal with in a
1:03:36
Speaker 1: row man. And they did just play on the road
1:03:39
Speaker 1: at Southern Miss and they actually, even though they lost
1:03:41
Speaker 1: by ten, they took them into overtime. So that was
1:03:44
Speaker 1: a big game for Texas State going to Southern Miss,
1:03:47
Speaker 1: who was near the top of the Sun Belt here
1:03:49
Speaker 1: and taking them into ots. So I can't get there
1:03:52
Speaker 1: at Texas State either. I lean Texas State, but it's
1:03:55
Speaker 1: a pass for me here. Arkansas State's an eleven and
1:03:58
Speaker 1: a half point favorite in that one. For what it's
1:04:01
Speaker 1: worth with the total. I think it was like one
1:04:02
Speaker 1: fifty five or something like that. All right, Oh, what
1:04:08
Speaker 1: else do we have here? I don't remember which other
1:04:13
Speaker 1: games I was gonna talk about. Oklahoma and Texas A
1:04:15
Speaker 1: and M is kind of a weird one a SEC network.
1:04:17
Speaker 1: We're still not even out of the afternoon slate here, man,
1:04:20
Speaker 1: Oh my god, and I still have I think six
1:04:23
Speaker 1: plays left to give out. Oklahoma just got blown out
1:04:27
Speaker 1: on the road by Mississippi State, but that broke along
1:04:29
Speaker 1: wind stream for Oklahoma, so I could see that again
1:04:33
Speaker 1: going two ways, like they could bounce back because that
1:04:35
Speaker 1: was an embarrassing loss. Mississippi State not very good this year,
1:04:39
Speaker 1: even though they're well, they're two and nine conference, so
1:04:41
Speaker 1: I don't know. Maybe Mississippi State is moving on moving
1:04:43
Speaker 1: the other way back up a little bit ole. Miss
1:04:46
Speaker 1: is actually the worst of the two Mississippi teams this year.
1:04:49
Speaker 1: Oklahoma doesn't look like they're that good either this year though.
1:04:52
Speaker 1: They've pretty much lost every time they's stepped up in competition,
1:04:56
Speaker 1: and they're kind of doing that here as well, going
1:04:58
Speaker 1: to Texas A and M. But they may bounce back
1:05:01
Speaker 1: or they may have a hangover off of those for
1:05:03
Speaker 1: losing that win streak. I'm not sure which way it's
1:05:05
Speaker 1: gonna go, but I think I do like Oklahoma more
1:05:09
Speaker 1: than I like Texas A and M. And then so
1:05:11
Speaker 1: Texas A and M is coming off that crazy game
1:05:14
Speaker 1: at Auburn. I mean, I don't know how much weight
1:05:18
Speaker 1: they're gonna put into beating Auburn though, because the thing
1:05:20
Speaker 1: is Auburn's down to the bottom of the conference here, man,
1:05:23
Speaker 1: So like, how big was that really? Even though Texas
1:05:26
Speaker 1: A and M was like a seven to seven point
1:05:28
Speaker 1: seven and a half point underdog in that game, So
1:05:30
Speaker 1: they did pull off a pretty sizable upset in that game,
1:05:33
Speaker 1: but you wouldn't know it based on the records. So
1:05:36
Speaker 1: I don't know how big that win was for Texas
1:05:39
Speaker 1: A and M, although you could see here they were
1:05:40
Speaker 1: celebrating it quite a bit. Auburn's been really good in
1:05:43
Speaker 1: the conference for a while, so I think it is
1:05:44
Speaker 1: still a big win for Texas A and M. But
1:05:48
Speaker 1: my hesitation is they do have that good like they
1:05:51
Speaker 1: were the team with the better record in the game
1:05:53
Speaker 1: at the very least, But Texas A and M got
1:05:55
Speaker 1: the win. They were losing this game by quite a bit.
1:05:57
Speaker 1: I think in the game, and they came back and won.
1:06:00
Speaker 1: They were losing my double digits in the second half,
1:06:01
Speaker 1: wound up winning well. They took the lead and then
1:06:04
Speaker 1: Auburn came all the way back, and then Texas A
1:06:06
Speaker 1: and M was able to somehow finish it off. And
1:06:09
Speaker 1: I think there was a questionable call at the end
1:06:11
Speaker 1: of that where it looked like Auburn had won the
1:06:13
Speaker 1: game with a near half court shot at the buzzer,
1:06:16
Speaker 1: and I guess it was called not good. They said
1:06:19
Speaker 1: that he didn't get it an oftentime, but I kind
1:06:21
Speaker 1: of watched the replay and thought that he did. It
1:06:24
Speaker 1: was very close. So I don't know. Maybe Auburn's in
1:06:27
Speaker 1: the worst spot coming off of a game like that,
1:06:30
Speaker 1: but Texas A and M might be in a bad
1:06:32
Speaker 1: spot of that. And Texas A and M does play
1:06:34
Speaker 1: tennisse see next, so they might overlook Oklahoma. Man, could
1:06:38
Speaker 1: you could make the argument this is a sandwich spot
1:06:40
Speaker 1: and they played Texas after that, and that's always kind
1:06:42
Speaker 1: of a big deal for Texas A and M. So yeah,
1:06:46
Speaker 1: I mean, in this game, I like Oklahoma. If you
1:06:48
Speaker 1: play the game, Texas A and M has moved up
1:06:50
Speaker 1: from a five to five and a half point favorite
1:06:52
Speaker 1: here though, But I think I would take the points
1:06:54
Speaker 1: in that one if I was gonna play it. Okay,
1:07:00
Speaker 1: all right, moving to the four pms later here, it's
1:07:04
Speaker 1: gonna be Arizona. TCU is gonna be the next team.
1:07:06
Speaker 1: Let me replenish my water. Here, my my microplastics, going
1:07:12
Speaker 1: straight to my balls. I'm gonna be right back intermission.
1:07:15
Speaker 1: I need to. I'm gonna just play like a random
1:07:17
Speaker 1: video during the intermission, although the only long one that
1:07:20
Speaker 1: I have is the intro. But hold on is four
1:07:44
Speaker 1: picks against Grossman in two fumbels. What do you see
1:07:46
Speaker 1: about the Bears? Of shut them down that way? No?
1:07:48
Speaker 1: We you know, I mean, we just let's wait.
1:07:51
Speaker 2: The Bears are what we thought they were. What the
1:07:54
Speaker 2: what we thought they were? We played them in preseason.
1:07:56
Speaker 2: Who the hell takes a third game in a preseason
1:07:59
Speaker 2: like is both? We played them a third game. Everybody
1:08:02
Speaker 2: played three.
1:08:03
Speaker 3: Quarters the Bears or who we thought they were. That's
1:08:07
Speaker 3: why we took the damn field. Now, if you want
1:08:10
Speaker 3: to crown them, then crown their ass. But they are
1:08:13
Speaker 3: who we thought they were, and we got about the hook.
1:08:18
Speaker 2: Thanks coach, like.
1:08:23
Speaker 1: About five minutes away. It's a disappointed coach. All right,
1:08:46
Speaker 1: I'm back Arizona at TCU here. Now. I did mention
1:08:52
Speaker 1: a little while ago that TCU is not in a
1:08:54
Speaker 1: very good spot here. This is an ESPN game actually
1:08:56
Speaker 1: at four pm U TCU. I don't think they're a
1:09:00
Speaker 1: very good spot. Although they're not gonna overlook Arizona. But
1:09:02
Speaker 1: the question is how much did CCU have left in
1:09:05
Speaker 1: the tank after they went to overtime at Kansas. They
1:09:09
Speaker 1: took Kansas at Allen Fieldhouse into overtime and lost the
1:09:12
Speaker 1: game anyway by four, And usually when that happens, I'm
1:09:15
Speaker 1: gonna tell you it's a flat spot coming off of that.
1:09:18
Speaker 1: It's just you can't really be flat at least emotionally
1:09:22
Speaker 1: playing Arizona, you know. So still a bad spot for TCU,
1:09:27
Speaker 1: though man TCU had six wins in a row prior
1:09:31
Speaker 1: to that, so it broke a wind streak for them.
1:09:33
Speaker 1: So I do think the spot is better for Arizona here.
1:09:36
Speaker 1: Arizona just drilled Kansas State at home. They have momentum
1:09:40
Speaker 1: right now. Obviously they haven't lost all season. I still
1:09:44
Speaker 1: think in this one it's Arizona over pass in this one,
1:09:48
Speaker 1: although it almost looks too easy to lay eight and
1:09:50
Speaker 1: a half with the number one ranked team against an
1:09:53
Speaker 1: unranked team. You know, it is what it is. I
1:09:58
Speaker 1: think the spot is definitely more difficult for TCU, though,
1:10:01
Speaker 1: so I think I would lay it with Arizona. I
1:10:03
Speaker 1: was gonna play the game, I don't really want to. Obviously,
1:10:08
Speaker 1: Oklahoma State at Iowa State at four pm here. Oklahoma State,
1:10:14
Speaker 1: they just want They won for us the other day
1:10:16
Speaker 1: they beat UCF. That was a decent bounce back win
1:10:19
Speaker 1: for Oklahoma State. No look ahead for them in that one.
1:10:23
Speaker 1: Now they do have to go to Ames, Iowa here
1:10:25
Speaker 1: to play I I think it's ames right to play
1:10:27
Speaker 1: Iowa State here. Iowa State number three in the country.
1:10:30
Speaker 1: They're legit. They haven't lost all season. They did just
1:10:34
Speaker 1: go to Baylor and beat Baylor. That was a pretty
1:10:36
Speaker 1: decent winnm in Baylor. Sure, Iowa State was the favorite
1:10:39
Speaker 1: in that one, but Baylor is. It's a tough It's
1:10:43
Speaker 1: still tough to win against Baylor man, tough to beat
1:10:46
Speaker 1: Baylor on the road. You know, Baylor, they have a
1:10:48
Speaker 1: good track record, good history as a program, so that's
1:10:52
Speaker 1: a big win. Oklahoma State might be a team that
1:10:55
Speaker 1: you would overlook even though they do have a good
1:10:57
Speaker 1: record right now. But it's just I don't know. I
1:10:59
Speaker 1: don't think they're for real. Iowa State might overlook them
1:11:02
Speaker 1: because they do have Kansas up next. That is a
1:11:04
Speaker 1: bigger game for Iowa State. So in this one, I
1:11:07
Speaker 1: do think I would probably take the points if I
1:11:09
Speaker 1: was gonna play it. Iowa Stated already dropped from twenty
1:11:12
Speaker 1: one to eighteen on the number there fairly high total
1:11:16
Speaker 1: at one sixty five, and I think I would take
1:11:18
Speaker 1: the points in that one. Valpo at Murray State Valpo.
1:11:25
Speaker 1: I when I first looked at this, I'm like, Oh,
1:11:26
Speaker 1: Valpo is in a letdown spot because they just beat
1:11:29
Speaker 1: Illinois State. That was a big win, giving Illinois State
1:11:32
Speaker 1: their first conference loss. They're one of the better teams
1:11:34
Speaker 1: in the conference. Valpo is not that good. That was
1:11:37
Speaker 1: a big win. They have Bellmont in Northern Iowa up next.
1:11:41
Speaker 1: Those are big games too, But Murray State's also a
1:11:43
Speaker 1: big game, and that's who they're playing right now, So
1:11:45
Speaker 1: they ever run a four huge games in a row,
1:11:48
Speaker 1: facing like a bunch of the top teams in the conference.
1:11:50
Speaker 1: So it's not like they're gonna overlook a Murray State
1:11:52
Speaker 1: team that's six and zero in the conference in fourteen
1:11:55
Speaker 1: and three, So the question is that they're gonna be
1:11:58
Speaker 1: too tired to finish this game. For that Illinois State
1:12:01
Speaker 1: game now going on the road, I don't know for
1:12:04
Speaker 1: Murray State. Murray State just beat Evansville, easy win for them,
1:12:08
Speaker 1: so I do think the spot does set up better
1:12:10
Speaker 1: for Murray State though, So I think if I was
1:12:12
Speaker 1: gonna play it, I would lay it. Murray State's up
1:12:14
Speaker 1: from ten and a half to eleven and a half,
1:12:16
Speaker 1: so the number seems to concur with that. At least
1:12:19
Speaker 1: early on. We'll see Saint Louis Is at LaSalle, and
1:12:25
Speaker 1: I was thinking Sat. Louis Is gonna be in a
1:12:27
Speaker 1: letdown spot man off of that big win for VCU.
1:12:30
Speaker 1: That was a huge game because I had said that
1:12:33
Speaker 1: it was between the two of them as the top
1:12:35
Speaker 1: teams in the A ten. But I don't think I
1:12:39
Speaker 1: could grab Lasal here either.
1:12:41
Speaker 3: Man.
1:12:41
Speaker 1: I think it's a second straight road game for Saint Louis,
1:12:44
Speaker 1: but Lasal they just upset Rhode Island on the road. Man,
1:12:47
Speaker 1: that was a nice upset for Lasal. So I think
1:12:51
Speaker 1: both teams are kind of in bad spots here. But
1:12:54
Speaker 1: Lasal did any long lost streak, so maybe that will
1:12:58
Speaker 1: give them some new momentum here. I don't love playing
1:13:01
Speaker 1: teams off of big upsets. Although Rhode Island is at
1:13:04
Speaker 1: the bottom of the conference, so I don't know. Is
1:13:05
Speaker 1: Losal gonna really be in a major letdown spot off
1:13:10
Speaker 1: of that and maybe not. I don't know, because these
1:13:11
Speaker 1: guys don't. I don't think these guys really think about it,
1:13:15
Speaker 1: like in terms of spread right there. I don't think
1:13:17
Speaker 1: they're really thinking, Oh, we just pulled off a seven
1:13:21
Speaker 1: and a half point upset. I think it's more like, oh,
1:13:23
Speaker 1: we just beat this Rhode Island team that doesn't have
1:13:25
Speaker 1: a good record. So I do think Lasal is probably
1:13:28
Speaker 1: the way to look in this game, but I don't
1:13:31
Speaker 1: love it. Needless to say, the number has moved up
1:13:35
Speaker 1: on Saint Louis from fourteen and a half to fifteen
1:13:37
Speaker 1: and a half. There, okay, holy Cross at American. I
1:13:43
Speaker 1: think American is in a bad spot. American just took
1:13:46
Speaker 1: Colgate to the limit on the road. Colegate is back
1:13:50
Speaker 1: near the top of this conference. Again. American did win
1:13:52
Speaker 1: the conference last year, though, so some of these other
1:13:54
Speaker 1: teams are definitely gunning for them. But America did just
1:13:58
Speaker 1: beat Cold or did just lose by two to Colgate
1:14:01
Speaker 1: on the road. I assume Colgate was the favorite in
1:14:03
Speaker 1: that game. And American has Navy up next, and Navy
1:14:07
Speaker 1: is actually in the top spot in the Patriot League
1:14:10
Speaker 1: right now, so I think this is a sandwich spot
1:14:12
Speaker 1: for American basically between the top two teams in the conference.
1:14:16
Speaker 1: Couldty easily overlook holy Cross, my wooster guys here, holy
1:14:20
Speaker 1: Cross has lost a couple of games in a row.
1:14:24
Speaker 1: They lost to Navy, I mean no shame in that. Really,
1:14:26
Speaker 1: they did lose to Lehigh on the road in the
1:14:28
Speaker 1: last game. Lehigh not a great team, so holy Cross
1:14:32
Speaker 1: may show up for this one of those it's a
1:14:33
Speaker 1: second straight road game. But again, yeah, I think holy
1:14:37
Speaker 1: Cross is the side to look at in this one
1:14:39
Speaker 1: of the American is up from eight and a half
1:14:40
Speaker 1: to nine. Total is pretty low at one thirty seven
1:14:43
Speaker 1: and a half, so taking the points might make more
1:14:45
Speaker 1: sense in that regard. I think holy Cross is the
1:14:49
Speaker 1: right side and that one. Finally, we get to my
1:14:52
Speaker 1: next play here, and let me see what the number
1:14:54
Speaker 1: is on this. I keep having to do this. Let
1:14:57
Speaker 1: me see, man, I'm gonna have to get up and
1:14:58
Speaker 1: give you my place for TI tomorrow too. This is crazy, man,
1:15:03
Speaker 1: Oh boy, this this line in this game A well,
1:15:07
Speaker 1: actually it's not that crazy. Okay. Let me see. I'm
1:15:09
Speaker 1: gonna find the best number on this that I can
1:15:11
Speaker 1: get right now. This one is a small number, man,
1:15:14
Speaker 1: it's a small underdog basically. So you could also look,
1:15:18
Speaker 1: you could take a plus one on this right now,
1:15:20
Speaker 1: where you can go underdog money line on this. Either way,
1:15:23
Speaker 1: I think is all right. This next one up is
1:15:26
Speaker 1: going to be Xavier plus one and a half once
1:15:30
Speaker 1: I get it into the system. Here, we're gonna take
1:15:33
Speaker 1: Xavier in this one. We're gonna fade Providence. And I
1:15:36
Speaker 1: already talked about Providence. What they just did. They just
1:15:40
Speaker 1: had multiple huge look at all these games they played
1:15:43
Speaker 1: in conference so far, and with basically no letup. They
1:15:46
Speaker 1: lost one hundred and thirteen to one hundred and ten
1:15:48
Speaker 1: in probably multiple overtimes on the road. Yeah, two overtimes
1:15:52
Speaker 1: against Butler. They had to come up with that. And
1:15:55
Speaker 1: they played Seaton Haul to within five points. This Seaton
1:15:58
Speaker 1: Hall looks pretty good this year. And then they went
1:16:00
Speaker 1: out on the road in the upset Saint John's is
1:16:02
Speaker 1: double digit underdogs on the road at Madison Square. I think,
1:16:07
Speaker 1: then what do they do? They came back home and
1:16:08
Speaker 1: they took Yukon too overtime. Huge game for Providence here too.
1:16:13
Speaker 1: I believe double digit underdogs in that one too, So
1:16:16
Speaker 1: this has to be the flat spot for Providence.
1:16:18
Speaker 3: Man.
1:16:19
Speaker 1: Now they're going out to Cincinnati playing a Xavier team
1:16:22
Speaker 1: it's looked really bad this year. And up next they
1:16:24
Speaker 1: got Villanova and then Creighton, and those two teams are
1:16:27
Speaker 1: one loss teams in the conference right now, so those
1:16:30
Speaker 1: are two of the top teams in the conference too.
1:16:32
Speaker 1: I think this is definitely a sandwich. This is like
1:16:35
Speaker 1: the obvious flat spot in the schedule, this one. This
1:16:38
Speaker 1: is one of the ones that jumped out at me early.
1:16:40
Speaker 1: I think this is one of the This is maybe
1:16:42
Speaker 1: the best play, to be honest, out of all of them.
1:16:45
Speaker 1: I like Xavier Providence down from one and a half
1:16:48
Speaker 1: to one here. This is what we're gonna do. Providence.
1:16:51
Speaker 1: Ken Bum has them ranked sixty third. He does have
1:16:54
Speaker 1: him very unlucky though, three hundred and fifty fourth in
1:16:57
Speaker 1: luck and thirty third and strangth the schedule, so that's
1:17:01
Speaker 1: not that bad. But Providence is pretty imbalanced. They're outside
1:17:03
Speaker 1: of the top one hundred defensively, so they're not good
1:17:06
Speaker 1: to defensively. They play really fast, twenty first in the country,
1:17:11
Speaker 1: so they're kind of a lopsided team. And yes, I
1:17:13
Speaker 1: know Xavier's outside of the top one hundred. I know
1:17:16
Speaker 1: Xavier's high up in ken Bum's luck in next which
1:17:18
Speaker 1: I don't love that they're eighty in the luck, so
1:17:22
Speaker 1: I don't love fading like a huge luck disparity like that.
1:17:25
Speaker 1: But I am here. Xavier's face the forty seventh strongest schedule,
1:17:29
Speaker 1: so they have faced a strong schedule. They do also
1:17:31
Speaker 1: play fast, so the teams are probably gonna go up
1:17:33
Speaker 1: and down the court here. And I believe Xavier is
1:17:37
Speaker 1: actually technically the better defense. They're in the top one
1:17:40
Speaker 1: hundred defensively yet, so they are actually the better defense.
1:17:43
Speaker 1: It's just Providence as the way better offense. So you're
1:17:46
Speaker 1: technically getting points with the better defense at home in
1:17:49
Speaker 1: this one with Xavier. In addition to it being a
1:17:52
Speaker 1: horrible spot for Providence and for Xavier, they don't have
1:17:56
Speaker 1: a excuse. They have one conference win so far against
1:18:00
Speaker 1: Georgetown on the road, so I think Xavier should show
1:18:03
Speaker 1: up here. They did just lose on the road by
1:18:05
Speaker 1: one against Marquette, but you know, I mean it's a Marquette.
1:18:08
Speaker 1: Marquette's down as well this year. Marquette was a slight
1:18:12
Speaker 1: favorite in the game. But still, I don't think Xavier
1:18:14
Speaker 1: is gonna be in any sort of hangover after that. Man,
1:18:17
Speaker 1: getting to host the Providence team that's doing a little
1:18:21
Speaker 1: bit better than they are on the conference. Horrible spot
1:18:24
Speaker 1: for Providence is really the reason for that play though,
1:18:26
Speaker 1: So I like Xavier. Okay, what are the other games
1:18:32
Speaker 1: I wanted to look at here, man, I mean Virginia
1:18:36
Speaker 1: Tech hosting Cal. Here, Virginia Tech coming off that game
1:18:39
Speaker 1: where they should have won against Stanford and they lost. Anyway,
1:18:43
Speaker 1: I guess maybe you could have argued it was gonna
1:18:45
Speaker 1: be a hangover spot off of the Wake loss that
1:18:48
Speaker 1: ended up win stream for them, but Virginia Tech should
1:18:50
Speaker 1: have won and covered that game for US. Man. Now,
1:18:53
Speaker 1: Virginia Tech's coming off with that, and they do have
1:18:55
Speaker 1: SMU up next, so it's possible they look ahead to
1:18:57
Speaker 1: that a ranked SMU team. Don't know if they're gonna
1:19:01
Speaker 1: overlook a thirteen to three CAL team though record is good,
1:19:04
Speaker 1: but Cal, I don't think they're really that good. They
1:19:06
Speaker 1: haven't faced that difficult of a schedule. Cal did just
1:19:09
Speaker 1: get blown out by Virginia, but they are already in
1:19:12
Speaker 1: Virginia now, so they're already adjusted to the time zone.
1:19:15
Speaker 1: But they do also play Duke next when they get
1:19:17
Speaker 1: back home. They get Duke in North Carolina. So it
1:19:20
Speaker 1: is possibly a look ahead spot. But I don't know
1:19:23
Speaker 1: if you overlook a twelve and two Virginia Tech team.
1:19:25
Speaker 1: So I struggle with this game quite a bit. Virginia
1:19:29
Speaker 1: Texas six point favorite total is not that high at
1:19:32
Speaker 1: one forty seven and a half. You know, I guess
1:19:35
Speaker 1: maybe I don't know, man, I don't know. I guess
1:19:39
Speaker 1: I slightly lean towards Cal getting the points, but it's
1:19:44
Speaker 1: really not one that I like much at all. Saint
1:19:48
Speaker 1: Francis is at Long Island. I talked about this one
1:19:50
Speaker 1: a little while ago. This is the other end of
1:19:53
Speaker 1: the Wagner and mercy Hurst game I've talked about. So
1:19:56
Speaker 1: those teams are all just flip flopping opponents, probably because
1:20:02
Speaker 1: Wagner is a Staten Island team and that's where that
1:20:04
Speaker 1: first game was, and then Long Island is somewhere on
1:20:07
Speaker 1: Long Island. Obviously, So it's that's it makes sense to
1:20:12
Speaker 1: have those teams be one after the other in your
1:20:15
Speaker 1: schedule for travel purposes. So that's for Saint Francis schedule.
1:20:19
Speaker 1: Saint Francis just pulled off the mild upset at Wagner,
1:20:23
Speaker 1: so you could argue maybe they'll be in a letdown
1:20:26
Speaker 1: spot here off of that, although I don't see you're
1:20:28
Speaker 1: not really gonna be in a letdown when you're facing
1:20:30
Speaker 1: the team it's atop the conference a Long Island, So
1:20:33
Speaker 1: the question is will they run out of gas here
1:20:36
Speaker 1: Long Island. I do prefer Long Island in this game
1:20:38
Speaker 1: because they did just have a scare against Mercyhurst, not
1:20:42
Speaker 1: a good performance for Long Island, so I do think
1:20:45
Speaker 1: Long Island is the way to look in this one.
1:20:48
Speaker 1: They're a sixteen point favorite, though that's how bad Saint
1:20:51
Speaker 1: Francis is. One hundred and forty nine is a total,
1:20:54
Speaker 1: not exactly a high total either, but that is my opinion.
1:20:58
Speaker 1: In that game, we have Lipscum at Florida Golf Coast. Lipscomb,
1:21:02
Speaker 1: as I already mentioned, is coming off getting upset by
1:21:05
Speaker 1: stats and not a good performance from Lipscomb, so I
1:21:07
Speaker 1: do think they bounce back here against Golf Coast, so
1:21:10
Speaker 1: though you know, Golf Coast will probably get up for
1:21:12
Speaker 1: the game as well because it is Lipscomb. But Golf
1:21:14
Speaker 1: Coast did just play against Austin p and this game
1:21:20
Speaker 1: was kind of in reach for Gulf Coast for a bitman,
1:21:22
Speaker 1: and then they stalled out late in the game. So
1:21:24
Speaker 1: it's a decent performance for them against Austin P. So
1:21:27
Speaker 1: they're gonna have to turn around and play another good
1:21:30
Speaker 1: team in the conference in Lipscomb. I think Lipscomb should
1:21:33
Speaker 1: be focused off of that horrible loss. I like lipscumb
1:21:36
Speaker 1: in this one, but the money has come in on
1:21:37
Speaker 1: Florida Gulf Coast up from Pickham to A one. I
1:21:41
Speaker 1: would probably take the points of Lipscomb though, or take
1:21:44
Speaker 1: the point if I was gonna do it. Some of
1:21:49
Speaker 1: these other games in I don't know how interesting they
1:21:51
Speaker 1: really are. Again, you could shout out another one if
1:21:53
Speaker 1: you want me to talk about something that I have
1:21:56
Speaker 1: not Western Kentucky at utep utep they just be Middle Tennessee. Man,
1:22:04
Speaker 1: that was a pretty big win for them. Middle Tenesnessee
1:22:06
Speaker 1: is one of the better teams in the conference. Could
1:22:08
Speaker 1: be a bit of a letdown spot, although they're facing
1:22:10
Speaker 1: Western Kentucky, and Western Kentucky has a decent name that
1:22:14
Speaker 1: they've made for themselves in college basketball as well. Western
1:22:17
Speaker 1: Kentucky is coming off in ugly loss to New Mexico
1:22:20
Speaker 1: State though, and they're only traveling from there to utep
1:22:23
Speaker 1: so they're out in the Southwest right now. So I
1:22:27
Speaker 1: kind of lean towards Western Kentucky in that one, but
1:22:29
Speaker 1: it's not a strong opinion. They're off from two to
1:22:33
Speaker 1: three and a half there though, so the money seems
1:22:35
Speaker 1: to be agreeing with that early on. Alright, what are
1:22:42
Speaker 1: the games that I even want to mention? Man? I mean,
1:22:46
Speaker 1: some of these games probably not worth mentioning, although Illinois
1:22:49
Speaker 1: Chicago is that Illinois State. As I talked about, Illinois
1:22:51
Speaker 1: State just had an ugly loss to Valpo. Now, maybe
1:22:54
Speaker 1: it'll hang them over because they lost a four game
1:22:57
Speaker 1: win streak, but I kind of think they bounce back here.
1:23:00
Speaker 1: They have Indiana State and next. Indiana State has not
1:23:03
Speaker 1: been playing well, so I think Illinois State will be
1:23:06
Speaker 1: mad after that loss and will show up. But Illinois
1:23:09
Speaker 1: Chicago's gonna show up as well because they're kind of
1:23:11
Speaker 1: a little brother in Illinois. But they did just have
1:23:15
Speaker 1: a nice win over a Southern Illinois and another little
1:23:18
Speaker 1: brother big brother situation where I think Southern ILLINOI is
1:23:21
Speaker 1: also a big brother to them, so that was a
1:23:22
Speaker 1: decent win for them as well. So it might be
1:23:25
Speaker 1: difficult for them to maintain that effort two games in
1:23:27
Speaker 1: a row like that. I would lay it with the
1:23:30
Speaker 1: Illinois State in that one if I was gonna play it.
1:23:33
Speaker 1: The money has dropped the line from twelve to eleven
1:23:36
Speaker 1: and a half in that one, so it seems to
1:23:37
Speaker 1: somewhat disagree with me on that one. Total pretty low
1:23:40
Speaker 1: at one forty two, so maybe you don't want to
1:23:42
Speaker 1: necessarily lay the points in that game, all right. Washington
1:23:49
Speaker 1: State in Saint Mary's kind of an addressing game at
1:23:52
Speaker 1: five PM and CBS Sports it is a TV game.
1:23:55
Speaker 1: Washington State just beat their old PAC twelve PAC two
1:24:00
Speaker 1: rival in Oregon State. Both of the teams moved over
1:24:02
Speaker 1: to the West Coast Conference here in basketball. That is
1:24:05
Speaker 1: a big game for both teams. But Washington State's not
1:24:09
Speaker 1: gonna overlook Saint Mary's either though, man and they do
1:24:12
Speaker 1: play Gonzaga next too, but again, it's playing Saint Mary's
1:24:15
Speaker 1: is a big deal. They're one of the best teams
1:24:18
Speaker 1: in the conference. Quite obviously Saint Mary's coming off that
1:24:20
Speaker 1: win for Seattle. We had Saint Mary's in that game.
1:24:23
Speaker 1: I thought Seattle was in a bad spot coming off
1:24:26
Speaker 1: of that huge game I think against Gonzaga. So Saint
1:24:30
Speaker 1: Mary's got it done for us. Saint Mary's does have
1:24:33
Speaker 1: San Francisco and then Santa Clara next, so they might
1:24:36
Speaker 1: actually overlook Washington State with those next games up. Man,
1:24:40
Speaker 1: it depends on how much stock they put into, Like
1:24:43
Speaker 1: how big is the game against Washington State because they
1:24:45
Speaker 1: are a former big boy, a former Pac twelve team.
1:24:49
Speaker 1: I don't know. I kind of leave Gewards taking the
1:24:51
Speaker 1: points here actually with Washington State.
1:24:53
Speaker 3: But.
1:24:55
Speaker 1: You know you're getting them as an underdog a fifteen
1:24:57
Speaker 1: a half point underdog total one and a half and
1:25:00
Speaker 1: same Mary's play is really slow, so sometimes it does
1:25:04
Speaker 1: make sense to take points against them because they play
1:25:07
Speaker 1: so slow. Okay uh uh Southeast and Louisiana at MacNeice.
1:25:18
Speaker 1: Macnee is coming off barely getting by Stemen f Austin.
1:25:24
Speaker 1: So now the question is is MacNeice gonna be in
1:25:27
Speaker 1: a bounced back spot here because they were a huge
1:25:30
Speaker 1: favorite against Stemen F. Austin and they barely got by them.
1:25:33
Speaker 1: Or is MacNeice gonna be in like a hangover spot
1:25:38
Speaker 1: ro letdown spot because that was a big win over
1:25:40
Speaker 1: Stephen F. Austin because they gave Stephen F. Austin their
1:25:43
Speaker 1: first conference loss. MacNeice does have a big game up
1:25:47
Speaker 1: next against Nichols, who is the only remaining undefeated team
1:25:50
Speaker 1: of the conference. And by the way, MacNeice only had
1:25:53
Speaker 1: one conference loss last year in the south Land and
1:25:55
Speaker 1: it was to Nichols. They played twice during the year,
1:25:59
Speaker 1: but Nickel did beat them once and it was their
1:26:02
Speaker 1: only loss all seasons. So MacNeice has Nickels next, so
1:26:05
Speaker 1: I think at the very least you can argue it's
1:26:07
Speaker 1: a look ahead spot here. So I think Southeast Louisiana
1:26:11
Speaker 1: is the side to look at in this game. They
1:26:14
Speaker 1: just beat Lamar in the last game, but what that
1:26:15
Speaker 1: did is break along lost Street or break a four
1:26:18
Speaker 1: game loss street for them, so I think that should
1:26:22
Speaker 1: have them in a better position in this game here.
1:26:24
Speaker 1: So I like Ceutheast Louisiana in this one. McNeice. Of course,
1:26:28
Speaker 1: they're not exactly the same team they were the last
1:26:30
Speaker 1: couple of years. So though there's still the team to
1:26:32
Speaker 1: beat in this conference until we see otherwise, they're down
1:26:36
Speaker 1: from a seventeen point favorite or sixteen and a half
1:26:38
Speaker 1: point favorite here total is low and one thirty eight
1:26:41
Speaker 1: and a half, so the points are worth more. Makes
1:26:43
Speaker 1: more sense to take the points. Southeast Louisiana is my
1:26:47
Speaker 1: opinion in that one. And I think we've gone through
1:26:50
Speaker 1: all of my leans that are not on my card
1:26:53
Speaker 1: now in my card, we still have not hit all
1:26:55
Speaker 1: the games, so I have a lot of later games here.
1:26:58
Speaker 1: Apparently I didn't really think about it when I was
1:27:00
Speaker 1: going through it all all right, Marshall and Liberty, those
1:27:11
Speaker 1: are two Yeah, they're two different conferences. I was like,
1:27:13
Speaker 1: are they playing each other? I think they might have
1:27:15
Speaker 1: been in the same conference as something. No, I don't
1:27:17
Speaker 1: think they were. I think Liberty was in the a
1:27:19
Speaker 1: Sun and Marshall's in the Sun Belt. Uh yeah, where
1:27:23
Speaker 1: are those games at Marshall at Georgia State. I'll do
1:27:31
Speaker 1: it because I already went by them chronologically. Marshall just
1:27:34
Speaker 1: beat James Madison on the road and barely got by them.
1:27:37
Speaker 1: James Madison is not a very good team this year,
1:27:39
Speaker 1: so that wasn't a good performance from Marshall. They don't
1:27:42
Speaker 1: really have anything up after this. Georgia State is not
1:27:45
Speaker 1: a good team either, but maybe Marshall'll have more focus
1:27:48
Speaker 1: because that last game wasn't very good. Georgia State. They
1:27:55
Speaker 1: just lost at home to app State. I mean, I
1:27:58
Speaker 1: don't know how to gauge this game. Really. Appstate was
1:28:01
Speaker 1: a small road favorite in that one. Georgia State played
1:28:04
Speaker 1: our right in the game, took a loss. I don't
1:28:05
Speaker 1: see them overlooking Marshall though, because Marshall's up near the
1:28:09
Speaker 1: top of the conference. You know, I don't know, man,
1:28:13
Speaker 1: It's a It's a tough call. Neither team is really
1:28:16
Speaker 1: in a bad spot. Marshall's laying five. Uh, I don't know.
1:28:22
Speaker 1: I don't I don't really have many thoughts on this game,
1:28:24
Speaker 1: which is why I didn't talk about it. I would uh,
1:28:27
Speaker 1: I would probably lay it with Marshall because they are
1:28:29
Speaker 1: coming off kind of a bad performance, whereas Georgia State
1:28:32
Speaker 1: at least played pretty well as a home dog in
1:28:34
Speaker 1: the last game. I'd probably lay it with Marshall. I
1:28:38
Speaker 1: don't love it at all, though, and it almost looks
1:28:40
Speaker 1: too easy to do it because they're obviously also the
1:28:42
Speaker 1: team and has the better record, and they're not laying
1:28:44
Speaker 1: that many points Liberty or I already went by Liberty.
1:28:53
Speaker 1: This is an interest. I actually do have some thoughts
1:28:55
Speaker 1: on this game. Liberty is at Sam Houston. I mean,
1:28:59
Speaker 1: I think Sam Houston's one of the unluckiest teams right now.
1:29:03
Speaker 1: I think they're one of the most overlooked teams right now. Liberty.
1:29:10
Speaker 1: Liberty is on a roll. They've won a bunch of
1:29:12
Speaker 1: games in a row, six games in a row. They
1:29:13
Speaker 1: just beat LA Tech. That's not a huge win though
1:29:17
Speaker 1: or anything. So this kind of comes down to numbers.
1:29:19
Speaker 1: I think where both teams should show up. But I
1:29:22
Speaker 1: think Sam Houston is getting overlooked. I think Man Liberty.
1:29:28
Speaker 1: Their next game is against New Mexico State, so it
1:29:31
Speaker 1: is possible that game is bigger than them because they're
1:29:33
Speaker 1: higher up in the standings. Sam Houston, where are they at? Yeah,
1:29:37
Speaker 1: they're one and three in conference right now. But Sam Houston,
1:29:40
Speaker 1: I think they're better than they looked. They did just
1:29:42
Speaker 1: get a win against Delaware to give them some new momentum,
1:29:45
Speaker 1: and I'll show you how underrated Sam Houston is. Oh
1:29:49
Speaker 1: kem Bum only has the two hundred and seventy eighth
1:29:51
Speaker 1: in lock. I thought they're going to be lower than that,
1:29:53
Speaker 1: but still they're pretty unlucky. They're at one one hundred
1:29:56
Speaker 1: and twenty second in kem BAM's rankings, so that Sam
1:29:59
Speaker 1: Houston team is not bad. In fact, they're not that
1:30:04
Speaker 1: much worse than Liberty, who Ken bum as it one
1:30:07
Speaker 1: oh one in the rankings and he has Liberty very
1:30:10
Speaker 1: lucky at twelfth in the country in luck. So as
1:30:14
Speaker 1: you can tell, I do like Sam Houston in that game.
1:30:17
Speaker 1: I think the like Sam Houston is I think gonna
1:30:20
Speaker 1: be overlooked because the record is really ugly. Right now,
1:30:23
Speaker 1: they're better than that record would tell you. They've actually
1:30:25
Speaker 1: made some more difficult schedule than Liberty so far as well.
1:30:30
Speaker 1: Sam Houston actually technically has the better deepmense too slightly,
1:30:33
Speaker 1: even though the bigger gap is that Liberty has the
1:30:35
Speaker 1: better offense, but Sam Houston is technically the better deepfense.
1:30:39
Speaker 1: They play fast and Liberty plays really slow, so Sam
1:30:42
Speaker 1: Houston might be able to throw them off. As far
1:30:46
Speaker 1: as tempo is concerned. You're getting one and a half
1:30:49
Speaker 1: of Sam Houston Liberty up from one to one and
1:30:51
Speaker 1: a half. I lean Sam Houston in that one all right,
1:30:57
Speaker 1: that one I feel obvious, say, I feel stronger, more
1:31:01
Speaker 1: strongly whatever about that one than the other game than
1:31:04
Speaker 1: the Marshall one. Right, really don't have a good gauge
1:31:06
Speaker 1: on the Marshall one at all. Okay, Yeah, I mean
1:31:13
Speaker 1: I don't know. I was gonna talk about Big Sky,
1:31:15
Speaker 1: but there's not a whole lot going on with the
1:31:17
Speaker 1: Big Sky right now. Yes, sir, I don't want to
1:31:22
Speaker 1: like force a play on anything either though, But yeah,
1:31:24
Speaker 1: Sam Houston, I mean, it was a game that I
1:31:27
Speaker 1: was that I sort of eyed six pm on ESPN.
1:31:31
Speaker 1: I think this might be a game where we have
1:31:33
Speaker 1: is this one of the ones? I think this might
1:31:34
Speaker 1: be one of the ones where we have an unranked
1:31:36
Speaker 1: favorite against a ranked opponent. And this is number fifteen
1:31:39
Speaker 1: Arkansas at Auburn, Arkansas. Though they were in a bad
1:31:44
Speaker 1: spot last week, I thought because they'd beaten TENNESSEEE the
1:31:47
Speaker 1: game before that or last game, I should say, they
1:31:49
Speaker 1: went on the road to Old Miss, who's really not
1:31:52
Speaker 1: doing well this year in Arkansas didn't play that well
1:31:54
Speaker 1: against them. They wound up covering somehow, winning by seven.
1:31:59
Speaker 1: But I think Old Miss was kind of in that game.
1:32:01
Speaker 1: It wasn't a great performance from Arkansas, so they might
1:32:04
Speaker 1: bounce back because I think they might have been looking ahead.
1:32:07
Speaker 1: I mean, Auburn, even though the record's not good, they
1:32:09
Speaker 1: still have that like weight behind their name. Auburn is
1:32:12
Speaker 1: coming off that game that I talked about already though,
1:32:14
Speaker 1: where they had kind of a heartbreaker against Texas A
1:32:17
Speaker 1: and M. Although Auburn you could argue, well, Auburn was
1:32:20
Speaker 1: the favorite in the game, so maybe they should be
1:32:22
Speaker 1: more focused here off of that maybe, but that game.
1:32:26
Speaker 1: I liked Texas A and M in that game, by
1:32:28
Speaker 1: the way, because Auburn was coming off that other huge
1:32:30
Speaker 1: game against Georgia the game before that, which I think
1:32:33
Speaker 1: went into overtime, and they had Arkansas on deck. So
1:32:36
Speaker 1: Texas A and M was kind of on my short
1:32:37
Speaker 1: list that night, and they did obviously cover and win outright.
1:32:41
Speaker 1: But again, I could see Auburn bouncing back because they
1:32:46
Speaker 1: were favored in that game. But I could also see
1:32:49
Speaker 1: them being a kind of a down mood because they
1:32:52
Speaker 1: basically they thought they'd won that game with that three
1:32:54
Speaker 1: pointer at the end, and Texas A and M is
1:32:56
Speaker 1: at least a team with the better record, and Auburn
1:32:59
Speaker 1: maybe feels like they got screwed on that call at
1:33:01
Speaker 1: the end of the game where maybe that three pointer
1:33:05
Speaker 1: was good, it was close. So I don't know, man,
1:33:08
Speaker 1: I don't know which way it's gonna go for Auburn
1:33:10
Speaker 1: in this game. And that is the question now. I
1:33:12
Speaker 1: believe it is one of the games where you have, yeah,
1:33:14
Speaker 1: the home team, the unranked team is favored. Here, Auburn
1:33:18
Speaker 1: is a one point favorite. Total is pretty ludicrous at
1:33:21
Speaker 1: one seventy two. I mean, both these teams are probably
1:33:23
Speaker 1: gonna be playing fast, high total obviously. Uh, just because
1:33:29
Speaker 1: it is unranked favorite against ranked underdog. I would probably
1:33:33
Speaker 1: still lean to Auburn in the game, but it's kind
1:33:35
Speaker 1: of tough to get there with that one, man, especially
1:33:37
Speaker 1: because it looks like Arkansas is I don't know, actually,
1:33:41
Speaker 1: I don't even know if I would agree with that though.
1:33:42
Speaker 1: I mean, Arkansas is kind of in a Arkansas is
1:33:46
Speaker 1: actually in an easier spot here, man, because they just
1:33:48
Speaker 1: didn't play well against a bad Old Miss team. Auburn
1:33:52
Speaker 1: played a really, really difficult game that ended in kind
1:33:54
Speaker 1: of heartbreaking fashion against a and MS. You know what,
1:33:57
Speaker 1: I actually don't like it. I actually would lean to
1:33:59
Speaker 1: Arkansas on that game. Now that I think about it,
1:34:02
Speaker 1: even though dude, I just have a tendency to go,
1:34:04
Speaker 1: oh my god, unranked favorite, like I always love the
1:34:07
Speaker 1: unranked favorites. But in that one, I actually probably slightly
1:34:10
Speaker 1: lean Arkansas. With the situation there a wake Forest at
1:34:14
Speaker 1: North Carolina for Garrett here number seventeen, North Carolina. Wake
1:34:21
Speaker 1: Forest is coming off a close game against Miami. Wake.
1:34:24
Speaker 1: I think it was a small favorite at home against Miami. There,
1:34:28
Speaker 1: they're not going to overlook North Carolina, though I know
1:34:31
Speaker 1: Miami's on the upswing here, but Wake, Yeah, I mean
1:34:34
Speaker 1: they'll show up for North Carolina. You gotta think. I
1:34:37
Speaker 1: don't know how tough that game really was against Miami.
1:34:39
Speaker 1: They lost the game, but obviously huge deal for Wake
1:34:43
Speaker 1: to be playing North Carolina, one of the in state
1:34:45
Speaker 1: biggest brothers. And North Carolina could be in a bit
1:34:48
Speaker 1: of a hangover spot because they did just lose like
1:34:50
Speaker 1: a seven game win streak with that loss to SMU.
1:34:54
Speaker 1: So again, when you lose a win streak like that,
1:34:55
Speaker 1: sometimes it will hang you over. And they've had a
1:34:58
Speaker 1: week off, which I don't really think is that good
1:35:01
Speaker 1: because again I think that loss just kind of lingers
1:35:05
Speaker 1: the whole week. So I don't love it really. For
1:35:08
Speaker 1: North Carolina, I kind of lead to Wake in this game.
1:35:12
Speaker 1: North Carolina is up from a nine to a ten
1:35:14
Speaker 1: to half point favorite, though I don't know, maybe because
1:35:16
Speaker 1: they've been off all week Wake Forest. Did they play
1:35:19
Speaker 1: in the middle of the week. I'm not sure they did,
1:35:23
Speaker 1: so Wake has less rest here, but I tend to
1:35:27
Speaker 1: think rest is a little bit less of a big deal.
1:35:30
Speaker 1: Although I guess when you've been off for a week,
1:35:32
Speaker 1: I guess it kind of means something. But I still
1:35:34
Speaker 1: think that loss for North Carolina just ended their momentum,
1:35:37
Speaker 1: So I think I would take the points with Wake,
1:35:39
Speaker 1: especially because they're in the little brother role as well.
1:35:42
Speaker 1: Up the lines up to ten and a half. I'm
1:35:46
Speaker 1: not gonna hate you the sports seems you like. What
1:35:49
Speaker 1: is it you like? Who are the teams that I
1:35:52
Speaker 1: hate the most?
1:35:52
Speaker 3: You like?
1:35:53
Speaker 1: Yankees Lakers? Oh, that would be awful if it's that
1:35:56
Speaker 1: combination Yankees Lakers. I don't know what team do I
1:36:02
Speaker 1: hate the most in the NFL? Now. It was the
1:36:05
Speaker 1: Patriots for a while when when I hated Belichick and Brady,
1:36:08
Speaker 1: but they're not my most hated NFL. I don't even
1:36:11
Speaker 1: know who do I hate in the NFL. Now, I
1:36:13
Speaker 1: don't even know. I don't really have much of much
1:36:16
Speaker 1: hatred in the NFL at this point. Oh god, why
1:36:22
Speaker 1: why why the Falcons? Falcons, Lakers, Yankees? None of that
1:36:28
Speaker 1: makes any sense, man, Obviously the Falcons, I don't hate.
1:36:33
Speaker 1: Why that mix of teams, that's just bizarre. I don't know.
1:36:37
Speaker 1: I mean, well, there are guys that will be like, yeah, man,
1:36:40
Speaker 1: lo I like the Lakers, I like the Yankees. I'm like,
1:36:42
Speaker 1: it's like, that's just because you're choosing like the teams
1:36:45
Speaker 1: that have the most championship or actually the Celtics have
1:36:47
Speaker 1: the most championships over the Lakers, so that would be
1:36:50
Speaker 1: even crazier, like of somebody who likes the Celtics and
1:36:53
Speaker 1: the Yankees. I actually knew a guy who did. One
1:36:57
Speaker 1: of the guys that was on my intramural basketball team,
1:36:59
Speaker 1: and we had him because he was tall and he
1:37:01
Speaker 1: got a lot of rebounds although he couldn't shoot. But
1:37:03
Speaker 1: he was one of the three players that we had
1:37:06
Speaker 1: who didn't go to my school. So I think I've
1:37:09
Speaker 1: told this story before. I don't want to like make
1:37:12
Speaker 1: this show no longer, but yeah, like we got in
1:37:15
Speaker 1: trouble for using three guys that weren't on that didn't
1:37:17
Speaker 1: go to our school because another team told on us
1:37:21
Speaker 1: because they were pissed. It was really a bitch move,
1:37:23
Speaker 1: like chick stuff. Because one of the guys on our
1:37:25
Speaker 1: team was dating the x of of one of the
1:37:30
Speaker 1: guys on the on the other team. So that's how
1:37:32
Speaker 1: it all happened. So then we lost our guys that
1:37:35
Speaker 1: went to the other school, and that guy was one
1:37:37
Speaker 1: of them. That guy rooted for the Celtics and the
1:37:40
Speaker 1: Yankees and the Patriots. I'm like, I fucking hate you, dude. Like,
1:37:44
Speaker 1: like all he's doing, he's just picking the teams that
1:37:46
Speaker 1: have the most championships. I'm like, what the fuck. Well,
1:37:53
Speaker 1: at least at least that's better. I guess I'm inheriting
1:37:57
Speaker 1: the fandom for your dad. I mean that's uh yeah.
1:38:00
Speaker 1: I mean, I'm not gonna knock that. I'm not gonna
1:38:03
Speaker 1: knock not liking the Cowboys either. I mean, I don't
1:38:05
Speaker 1: hate I don't hate the Falcons, but it's a weird
1:38:08
Speaker 1: choice Lakers. Maybe I'll question the Lakers a little bit more.
1:38:14
Speaker 1: I mean, as a Celtics fan, I obviously hate them,
1:38:16
Speaker 1: though I do at Lebron obviously did not like Kobe either.
1:38:21
Speaker 1: I was on Shack side of the Shaq Kobe debate.
1:38:25
Speaker 1: Kobe tell me I'm an ass taste man. All right,
1:38:30
Speaker 1: let's see if we can get this show done. Man,
1:38:32
Speaker 1: we don't have too many games left. Northern Iowan Bradley's
1:38:35
Speaker 1: kind of an interesting one on espn U in the
1:38:38
Speaker 1: Missouri Valley. Northern Iowa is coming up a pretty big
1:38:41
Speaker 1: game against Bellmont, but they did lose my double digits,
1:38:44
Speaker 1: and I don't think the game was that close, so
1:38:46
Speaker 1: maybe they'll bounce back from that. Going to Bradley here, Bradley,
1:38:52
Speaker 1: they're coming up of being Drake in a very satisfying
1:38:55
Speaker 1: ninety three to sixty six result. Though satisfying especially because
1:38:59
Speaker 1: that was the re match from the conference final last
1:39:02
Speaker 1: year's and Bradley lost to Drake in the final last year,
1:39:05
Speaker 1: so you know, they had that game circled, even though
1:39:07
Speaker 1: it's a different Drake team this year. So I think
1:39:10
Speaker 1: it's a letdown spot for Bradley here off of that.
1:39:12
Speaker 1: Actually it could be, even though like hesitate to say
1:39:16
Speaker 1: that because I don't think they could really overlook Northern Iowa,
1:39:19
Speaker 1: but I like Northern Iowa in the game if I
1:39:21
Speaker 1: was gonna play it, but you do have to lay
1:39:23
Speaker 1: a lot of points with them if you want it
1:39:25
Speaker 1: or no, wait, what am I saying? Yep, you're taking points?
1:39:28
Speaker 1: What am I saying? Yeah? You're getting points with Northern
1:39:30
Speaker 1: Iowa here in a low total game one twenty nine
1:39:33
Speaker 1: and a half. I don't know what game I was
1:39:35
Speaker 1: thinking of. Bradley's up to a three and a half
1:39:37
Speaker 1: point favorite from two and a half, so it looks
1:39:39
Speaker 1: like some of the money maybe came in on Bradley.
1:39:42
Speaker 1: But yeah, I like the idea of taking the points
1:39:44
Speaker 1: in that one with Northern Iowa. I think. I don't
1:39:48
Speaker 1: know if I wasn't thinking of Belmont Drake either. This
1:39:50
Speaker 1: is an interesting game as well. Belmont, of course is
1:39:53
Speaker 1: coming off that really nice win over Northern Iowa. That
1:39:56
Speaker 1: was a big win because those are two of the
1:39:58
Speaker 1: top teams in the conference. Now, second straight road game,
1:40:01
Speaker 1: they gotta go to Drake. I gotta do it, right,
1:40:04
Speaker 1: don't I have to do it? I don't even like Drake.
1:40:07
Speaker 1: You don't like the Drake? Hey, the Drake? Could you
1:40:10
Speaker 1: not like the Drake? Who's d Drake is good? Yeah?
1:40:18
Speaker 1: I don't I don't even know if I like Drake
1:40:20
Speaker 1: in this game, though, because Belmont, I think they will
1:40:22
Speaker 1: actually maybe still show up for Drake, because again, Drake
1:40:25
Speaker 1: won the conference last year, and Drake might have also
1:40:29
Speaker 1: been the team that knocked out Belmont in the conference
1:40:31
Speaker 1: tournament too. I don't remember, but a lot of teams
1:40:33
Speaker 1: have Drake circle Man because they won the conference last year. Again,
1:40:37
Speaker 1: even though it's a different Drake team this year that's
1:40:39
Speaker 1: not as good. Drake is coming off that blowout loss
1:40:42
Speaker 1: to Bradley, So I do actually prefer Drake in this one.
1:40:46
Speaker 1: I do like the Drake in this one. Not a
1:40:49
Speaker 1: play for me, but I do lean Drake. Belmont's down
1:40:52
Speaker 1: from seven to six in that game, total in the
1:40:55
Speaker 1: low one fifties. I would take the points to Drake
1:40:58
Speaker 1: if I was gonna play that one. We have Seaton
1:41:03
Speaker 1: Hall at Georgetown. This game is this game on my card?
1:41:08
Speaker 1: I guess it is. I haven't listed, as I have
1:41:11
Speaker 1: five more plays to get through and this one is
1:41:12
Speaker 1: on my card. Okay, okay, Toad of the past, Toad
1:41:18
Speaker 1: from an hour ago. Oh my god, We're gonna take
1:41:22
Speaker 1: the points with Georgetown in this one. As soon as
1:41:24
Speaker 1: I figure out what the number is it's a small
1:41:27
Speaker 1: underdog price of some kind. Two and a half I
1:41:29
Speaker 1: think is what it is. Right now, we'll take the
1:41:32
Speaker 1: points with g Town here. I gotta get it in
1:41:34
Speaker 1: the system here, which is what I'm doing. Let me
1:41:38
Speaker 1: get that in all right, Georgetown plus two and a half.
1:41:47
Speaker 1: There we go. That's the next play up here. We're
1:41:50
Speaker 1: gonna fade Seaton Hall here. Man a, Seaton Hall has
1:41:53
Speaker 1: been good, I know. So it's a line that looks
1:41:55
Speaker 1: too easy to play Seaton Hall for one thing, right,
1:41:58
Speaker 1: Georgetown has the uglier record, Like who's gonna want to
1:42:01
Speaker 1: take a very small underdog price basically almost pick the
1:42:04
Speaker 1: winner with Georgetown right Well, Seaton Hall just be Creighton.
1:42:09
Speaker 1: That's a pretty good win. Creyton is actually above them
1:42:12
Speaker 1: in the Big East standings right now, so that was
1:42:14
Speaker 1: a big win for Seton Hall. It was a slugfest
1:42:17
Speaker 1: type of game, a low scoring defensive game. Now they
1:42:20
Speaker 1: go on the road tovase Georgetown and up next they
1:42:22
Speaker 1: got to play Yukon in three days, so they have
1:42:26
Speaker 1: this game sandwiched in between the two teams that are
1:42:28
Speaker 1: atop the conference right now. So that is I think
1:42:31
Speaker 1: a sandwich spot. Georgetown is still not a team that's
1:42:35
Speaker 1: really drawing much attention here, and I don't think they're good,
1:42:38
Speaker 1: but I think they could show up in this game.
1:42:40
Speaker 1: Georgetown has lost two in a row. They did just
1:42:42
Speaker 1: lose that to Paul. I think DePaul was actually favored
1:42:45
Speaker 1: in that game, like I said, but losing to DePaul
1:42:48
Speaker 1: is still kind of ugly. Man. You gotta think Georgetown
1:42:51
Speaker 1: will show up for a game against Seaton Hall. Now,
1:42:55
Speaker 1: one thing is, Seaton Hall is a slow paced team here.
1:42:59
Speaker 1: Georgetown is a fat pace team. So we need Georgetown
1:43:02
Speaker 1: to speed this thing up and kind of throw Seaton
1:43:05
Speaker 1: Hall out of their elem and to make them uncomfortable.
1:43:07
Speaker 1: So hopefully Georgetown could do that speed the game up
1:43:10
Speaker 1: a little bit. Now, Seaton Hall, they're way better defensively
1:43:13
Speaker 1: than offensively, ninth in defense according to Kembum, but outside
1:43:18
Speaker 1: of the top one hundred offensively, So that might be
1:43:21
Speaker 1: good for taking the points here, because Seaton Hall really
1:43:23
Speaker 1: struggles to score for Georgetown. Again, they do play fast. Georgetown,
1:43:30
Speaker 1: I think is the somewhat better offense here, but obviously
1:43:32
Speaker 1: the worst defense. Yeah, Georgetown's is a slightly better offense,
1:43:36
Speaker 1: but they're outside of the top one hundred and both.
1:43:38
Speaker 1: They are the unluckier team though according to Wait, what
1:43:41
Speaker 1: am I saying? They play slow? I thought Georgetown was
1:43:43
Speaker 1: a faster based team. My mistake. It's a slow paced game,
1:43:47
Speaker 1: so all right, so it's gonna be a slow paced
1:43:49
Speaker 1: game on both sides. Seaton Hall can't score that well though,
1:43:54
Speaker 1: so yeah, I still like it. It'll be a lower
1:43:56
Speaker 1: scoring game. At least one hundred and thirty seven and
1:44:00
Speaker 1: a half is the total. It's the low totals, the
1:44:02
Speaker 1: points that were a little bit more of that. I
1:44:03
Speaker 1: know you're not getting too many points here, but I
1:44:05
Speaker 1: think it's a pretty iffy spot for Seaton Holler. I
1:44:08
Speaker 1: think it's a bad spot. We'll do it. We'll take
1:44:10
Speaker 1: the points of Georgetown. Ken bum again, as I was saying,
1:44:14
Speaker 1: does have them as the unluckier team though as well.
1:44:16
Speaker 1: So I'm trying to keep all these all these things
1:44:19
Speaker 1: straight man, with ken Pum trying to hit Like most
1:44:23
Speaker 1: of these TV games here, Clemson at Notre Dame. Clemson
1:44:29
Speaker 1: is coming off that nice win of restmmule, though it
1:44:31
Speaker 1: wasn't that nice for us because they didn't cover, but
1:44:33
Speaker 1: they still did beat a ranked team. Pretty satisfying win
1:44:37
Speaker 1: for Clemson now, they're going on the road to face
1:44:39
Speaker 1: Notre Dame, and Clemson hasn't exactly been great on the
1:44:42
Speaker 1: road in conference, at least barely getting by Syracuse and Pitt.
1:44:48
Speaker 1: Not a look ahead. The only a BC up next,
1:44:51
Speaker 1: but it could at the very least be a letdown
1:44:53
Speaker 1: spot now. Notre Dame is coming back from the Pacific Coast, though,
1:44:56
Speaker 1: and they played pretty well at Cal in the second
1:44:59
Speaker 1: of those those games. Cal not a great team, but
1:45:02
Speaker 1: still decent records. That was still a decent game for
1:45:05
Speaker 1: Notre Dame. Maybe a questionable spot for them two coming
1:45:08
Speaker 1: back from that, I would still probably lead towards Notre Dame. Here, though,
1:45:13
Speaker 1: let me get the Georgetown one down cleanses down from
1:45:16
Speaker 1: three to two here the total is low at one
1:45:18
Speaker 1: thirty three. Money seems to be in early agreement with
1:45:22
Speaker 1: me on the Notre Dame side. That is the way
1:45:23
Speaker 1: I would look in that game if I was gonna
1:45:25
Speaker 1: play it, But it's not a strong one for me.
1:45:30
Speaker 1: Next up, I think it's a next one of my players, right,
1:45:33
Speaker 1: I think I'm done with all my leans. So next up,
1:45:36
Speaker 1: let me find the number on this. If I can
1:45:40
Speaker 1: even find it here, where is it? Here? It is
1:45:44
Speaker 1: I'm looking on Action Network. Man, they just the way
1:45:48
Speaker 1: that they list some of these team names is like
1:45:50
Speaker 1: they abbreviate them in weird ways and whatever. This next
1:45:53
Speaker 1: one up, it looks like it's a thirteen and a
1:45:56
Speaker 1: half point number. Do we lose on this already? We're
1:46:00
Speaker 1: gonna take the points? No, I guess we didn't. We're
1:46:02
Speaker 1: taking the points with the Houston Christians. This is the
1:46:04
Speaker 1: other side of that Stephen F. Austin game that I
1:46:07
Speaker 1: talked about. I think Stephen EV. Austin is in a
1:46:09
Speaker 1: pretty difficult spot here man. So Houston Christian is gonna
1:46:14
Speaker 1: be a play here plus thirteen and a half against
1:46:17
Speaker 1: Stephen F. Austin low total of one hundred and thirty eight.
1:46:20
Speaker 1: So I do like that. As far as taking a
1:46:22
Speaker 1: boatload of points here in a game, it's probably gonna
1:46:25
Speaker 1: be slow. Now I already mentioned Stephen F. Austin. They
1:46:28
Speaker 1: almost beat macnee Man, that was a huge game, following
1:46:32
Speaker 1: just short of McNeice. That would have been a huge
1:46:35
Speaker 1: win because McNeese has dominated the Southland Conference the last
1:46:38
Speaker 1: couple of years. I think Stephen EV. Austin is gonna
1:46:41
Speaker 1: be flat off of that game, and that also ended
1:46:44
Speaker 1: a long win streak of Theirs. They'd won seven games
1:46:46
Speaker 1: in a row, so I think that could have a
1:46:48
Speaker 1: kind of a double hangover effect. They're playing a Houston
1:46:51
Speaker 1: Christian team, it's in dead last in the conference right
1:46:54
Speaker 1: now that I think they could easily overlook, and they
1:46:57
Speaker 1: have an Incarnate Word next. Incarnate Word's been decent in
1:47:00
Speaker 1: the conference, like Incarnate Word did play MacNeice pretty tough,
1:47:04
Speaker 1: I think already. And I think we faded Incarnate Word
1:47:07
Speaker 1: off of that game show and I think it might
1:47:08
Speaker 1: have been a winner on that one. So it's at
1:47:13
Speaker 1: the very least it's a major hangover spot, and maybe
1:47:15
Speaker 1: you could argue it's a sandwich spot here. I think
1:47:18
Speaker 1: Houston Christian will get up for a team like Stephen F.
1:47:21
Speaker 1: Austin that's near the top of the Southland and they're
1:47:23
Speaker 1: in the state of Texas, so Houston Christian might consider
1:47:26
Speaker 1: that to be a big brother situation. Houston Christian has
1:47:30
Speaker 1: lost a few games in a Rona, but dude, Houston Christian,
1:47:33
Speaker 1: they faced a difficult conference schedule except for that loss
1:47:36
Speaker 1: to see Lot at home Southeast Louisiana. That wasn't a
1:47:40
Speaker 1: great loss, but other than that, they lost on the
1:47:42
Speaker 1: road to Nichols, who still hasn't lost a conference game.
1:47:45
Speaker 1: They had to play Iowa State in the middle. Here,
1:47:47
Speaker 1: they lost to Incarnate Word on the road, who is
1:47:49
Speaker 1: a decent team, and then they lost to A and M.
1:47:51
Speaker 1: Corpus Christie who's near the top of the conference as well.
1:47:54
Speaker 1: So Houston Christians faced a pretty difficult conference schedule so far.
1:47:59
Speaker 1: I think they could up in this one man and
1:48:01
Speaker 1: at least get within this number, even though they're really
1:48:03
Speaker 1: not a good team. Ken Bum does as Stephen F.
1:48:06
Speaker 1: Austin and want to wait in his rankings, and he
1:48:08
Speaker 1: has them unlucky as well, so yeah, that worries me
1:48:11
Speaker 1: a little bit. But he also has them outside of
1:48:13
Speaker 1: the top one hundred in offense, so they're more of
1:48:15
Speaker 1: a defensive team. They play slow, so possibly a style
1:48:22
Speaker 1: of team where they're not gonna be able to cover
1:48:24
Speaker 1: a large number like this. Houston Christian plays even slower
1:48:28
Speaker 1: than that, although they're at three under it than Ken
1:48:30
Speaker 1: Bomb's rankings, which does worry me a little bit. He
1:48:32
Speaker 1: does have them also pretty unlucky and having faced a
1:48:34
Speaker 1: slightly more difficult schedule I think than Steven F. Austin.
1:48:38
Speaker 1: He's got you s to Christian really bad defensively, so
1:48:41
Speaker 1: I do worry about that a little bit outside of
1:48:44
Speaker 1: the top three hundred, But this is all about the
1:48:47
Speaker 1: spot man, So hopefully Steven of Austin is just gonna
1:48:49
Speaker 1: play an ugly slow style, try to get in, get out,
1:48:53
Speaker 1: and hopefully we can get that one with Houston Christian.
1:48:56
Speaker 1: All Right, Missouri at Ole, miss This is a game
1:49:00
Speaker 1: where Missouri is coming off back to back upsets. Man,
1:49:04
Speaker 1: the upset Florida ranked Florida at home and then we
1:49:07
Speaker 1: faded Missouri off of that. I thought it was a
1:49:10
Speaker 1: good spot for Kentucky to bounce back as well, and
1:49:13
Speaker 1: we lost the game outright. So Missouri pulled off a
1:49:16
Speaker 1: double digit upset at Kentucky, and maybe the power lad
1:49:19
Speaker 1: these guys have to adjust on Kentucky because maybe they're
1:49:22
Speaker 1: just really not this good. I don't know. But Missouri
1:49:26
Speaker 1: is now coming off two huge wins, Man and now
1:49:28
Speaker 1: going on the road to face old miss who is
1:49:30
Speaker 1: at the bottom of the conference. And they got Auburn
1:49:33
Speaker 1: up next, which maybe they'll still look ahead to Auburn
1:49:36
Speaker 1: because Auburn still has wait in the conference as far
1:49:39
Speaker 1: as their name is concerned. So I really don't like
1:49:43
Speaker 1: the spot for Missouri. The problem is Old Miss is
1:49:46
Speaker 1: coming off playing Arkansas pretty tough, and they have Georgia
1:49:49
Speaker 1: up next, so it's possible Ole Miss could be in
1:49:52
Speaker 1: a little bit of a sandwich here as well, though
1:49:54
Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna overlook Missouri, but who knows.
1:49:57
Speaker 1: I mean, Missouri is near the top of the conference
1:49:59
Speaker 1: right now though, so I do think the spot is
1:50:01
Speaker 1: better for Old Miss, but I do worry a little
1:50:04
Speaker 1: bit about it being surrounded by big games and them
1:50:07
Speaker 1: coming off a big performance. So yeah, I lean to
1:50:12
Speaker 1: Ole Miss in the game, though slightly. Ole Miss is
1:50:15
Speaker 1: up from a pick them to a one and a
1:50:16
Speaker 1: half point favorite, though, And look at the team's records,
1:50:19
Speaker 1: by the way, So who's gonna lay points with an
1:50:22
Speaker 1: eight and seven Old Miss team against a twelve and
1:50:24
Speaker 1: three Missouri team, right, So again, it's one of those
1:50:28
Speaker 1: lines that just looks weird where the osmakers are telling
1:50:30
Speaker 1: you there's not much of a gap between the two teams.
1:50:32
Speaker 1: So I do like Old missing that one more. I
1:50:37
Speaker 1: like that one to some degree, let's say, justin well,
1:50:43
Speaker 1: you dude, you keep saying that, but like you can
1:50:46
Speaker 1: find some of the like you can find some of
1:50:48
Speaker 1: the most value in mid major basketball because the oddsmakers
1:50:52
Speaker 1: don't pay as much attention to setting those lines. So
1:50:55
Speaker 1: that's where you can find the most value in a
1:50:57
Speaker 1: lot of cases playing those So it's like it's the
1:51:00
Speaker 1: opposite of what you think, like you just have to
1:51:03
Speaker 1: go in and look at those teams and like figure
1:51:05
Speaker 1: out who they are and look at the schedules. And
1:51:07
Speaker 1: I try to do that. And when you do, yeah,
1:51:10
Speaker 1: like it's in some way it's it's better to do it.
1:51:13
Speaker 1: It's easier to make money. You can find lines that
1:51:15
Speaker 1: are that are further off in those games because the
1:51:18
Speaker 1: books have to make sure that their lines are better
1:51:21
Speaker 1: in the bigger games when they know they're gonna get
1:51:23
Speaker 1: a bigger volume. So yeah, all right. Next up is
1:51:29
Speaker 1: another one of my plays here, and this is going
1:51:31
Speaker 1: to be fading a ranked team, although we're taking an
1:51:33
Speaker 1: underdog in this one. And let me just see what
1:51:35
Speaker 1: the number is on this one here. I still have
1:51:37
Speaker 1: I think two or three plays left here. Let me see,
1:51:40
Speaker 1: I'm trying to get my other Oh, I think I
1:51:43
Speaker 1: think I'm about to close my other Firefox window here.
1:51:46
Speaker 1: I'm so out of it right now, man, I apologize.
1:51:50
Speaker 1: At least my morning job won't be as bad, but
1:51:53
Speaker 1: I have to get out of all these stupid Instagram videos.
1:51:56
Speaker 1: We're gonna be able to get six and a half
1:51:58
Speaker 1: right now with this. I don't know if we can
1:52:01
Speaker 1: get seven on this. We're gonna take the points with
1:52:03
Speaker 1: Colorado and let me get this up here, let me see. Yeah,
1:52:11
Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know if I can wait, like
1:52:12
Speaker 1: you know, if I can give you the weights on
1:52:14
Speaker 1: these like how strongly I feel about each one of
1:52:17
Speaker 1: these plays. I usually just play them all at the
1:52:20
Speaker 1: same amount, though, and hope to win more than I lose.
1:52:22
Speaker 1: But I think Colorado might be one of the weaker.
1:52:25
Speaker 1: I think Houston Christian and Colorado are probably two of
1:52:27
Speaker 1: my least favorite. Xavier is my favorite, I think, though.
1:52:32
Speaker 1: But we're gonna be on Colorado plus six and a
1:52:34
Speaker 1: half against Texas Tech. Texas Tech's up to a six
1:52:39
Speaker 1: point favorite, and I know this one's a higher total
1:52:41
Speaker 1: because I think both teams play somewhat fast. Texas Tech's
1:52:45
Speaker 1: kind of a mid tempo team this year after they
1:52:46
Speaker 1: were kind of slower last year, and I think Colorado
1:52:49
Speaker 1: might be a little bit faster. But this is all
1:52:52
Speaker 1: about the spot that Texas Tech is in, and it's
1:52:54
Speaker 1: kind of similar to the spot that Steven of Austin
1:52:58
Speaker 1: is in that we just talked about. Colorado is a
1:53:01
Speaker 1: six to six and a half point dog here right now,
1:53:03
Speaker 1: But yes, I know the total is somewhat high at
1:53:05
Speaker 1: one fifty nine and a half. But Texas Tech's coming
1:53:08
Speaker 1: off taking Houston to the wire Man. That was a
1:53:10
Speaker 1: monster game for Texas Tech and it ended a four
1:53:13
Speaker 1: game win streak for them, so I think they might
1:53:15
Speaker 1: be hung over off of that huge game. Almost got
1:53:18
Speaker 1: the win against Houston. It's an in state big brother situation.
1:53:21
Speaker 1: Texas Tech did actually beat Houston once last year. I'm
1:53:24
Speaker 1: pretty sure they went one and one against each other. Now,
1:53:28
Speaker 1: Texas Tech is going to elevation and this is only
1:53:31
Speaker 1: their third road game of the year, and by the way,
1:53:34
Speaker 1: they're zero to two on the road, although they lost
1:53:36
Speaker 1: to Illinois and Houston. Obviously, Colorado is not as good
1:53:38
Speaker 1: as those two teams, but Texas Tech hasn't been quite
1:53:42
Speaker 1: as good on the road at least now. Although well
1:53:45
Speaker 1: what I guess you could argue they weren't that bad
1:53:47
Speaker 1: because they did both games were close, but still they
1:53:50
Speaker 1: did lose both of them. Now, going from Houston, that
1:53:53
Speaker 1: grinding game up into elevation to play Colorado, I think
1:53:57
Speaker 1: it's difficult, and I'd love this even more, Like I mean,
1:53:59
Speaker 1: i'd like it more. I don't know if I love it,
1:54:02
Speaker 1: but I like it, but i'd love it probably if
1:54:04
Speaker 1: BYU was the next opponent, because then it would be
1:54:06
Speaker 1: a sandwich. Unfortunately that's not the case. They play Utah next,
1:54:10
Speaker 1: and Utah is basically a dormat. But Colorado, I just
1:54:14
Speaker 1: don't know if they're gonna pay that much attention off
1:54:16
Speaker 1: of this Houston game. I know Colorado does have a
1:54:18
Speaker 1: pretty good record right now. They're the two and zero
1:54:20
Speaker 1: in conference. But Colorado, it sets up way better for them.
1:54:23
Speaker 1: They're staying at home, they're used to it, they're already
1:54:26
Speaker 1: in elevation. They just beat that Utah team, so not
1:54:29
Speaker 1: an impressive win. They should step up for the game
1:54:32
Speaker 1: against Texas Tech. So we'll take the points of Colorado
1:54:35
Speaker 1: and that one. Hopefully. I'm not like spreading myself a
1:54:38
Speaker 1: little bit thin with these plays here, man, because I
1:54:41
Speaker 1: wound up with more plays than I thought I would have.
1:54:45
Speaker 1: Like I kind of went from like two, which at
1:54:48
Speaker 1: first I had NC State and Xavier, and then I
1:54:50
Speaker 1: expanded it from two to well, I think the Mountain West.
1:54:55
Speaker 1: I'm about to give you two Mountain West games to
1:54:57
Speaker 1: finish this, and I think those two were probably also
1:55:00
Speaker 1: in there. So I think I would probably go Xavier.
1:55:03
Speaker 1: As far as how strong I feel about this, I
1:55:05
Speaker 1: think I would go Xavier then then maybe the Mountain
1:55:10
Speaker 1: West Games, then NC State, then LSU, then Georgetown, then
1:55:15
Speaker 1: Houston Christian then Colorado. Is probably how i'd rate them,
1:55:18
Speaker 1: but I don't know, but we're gonna do all of them.
1:55:23
Speaker 1: Missouri Valley definitely my preference over Conference USA. It is
1:55:27
Speaker 1: hard to get a grasp of It's a weaker conference,
1:55:30
Speaker 1: and I think it's a more strange conference. Missouri Valley
1:55:33
Speaker 1: has a lot of competitive teams in it right now,
1:55:35
Speaker 1: so you get more like spots that you can figure
1:55:38
Speaker 1: out in that one. But I've kind of always preferred
1:55:40
Speaker 1: Missouri Valley. Missouri Valley has had a lot of pretty
1:55:44
Speaker 1: good programs go in and out of it, though, But yeah,
1:55:47
Speaker 1: right now, definitely Missouri Valley. Okay, what other games that
1:55:51
Speaker 1: I want to talk about here? Uh, let's see cal
1:55:59
Speaker 1: State bay Field. Let me see what was the deal
1:56:01
Speaker 1: with them. Oh, I don't know, this isn't really Again.
1:56:04
Speaker 1: I was gonna talk about they were coming off a
1:56:06
Speaker 1: big upset of UC Davis, and then I believe I
1:56:09
Speaker 1: was correct they didn't cover against Riverside in the next game.
1:56:11
Speaker 1: But I don't think there's anything to really see about that.
1:56:13
Speaker 1: They're coming off a bad performance against Riverside and now
1:56:16
Speaker 1: they're going, probably with some focus to Long Beach State.
1:56:20
Speaker 1: Long Beach State. They just lose that UC or Vinal
1:56:22
Speaker 1: then they lost by double digits. But was this game close? No,
1:56:25
Speaker 1: it wasn't, not really. But I probably prefer fading Long
1:56:30
Speaker 1: Beach in that one. Long Beach is actually a five
1:56:32
Speaker 1: point favorite, which is bizarre low total at one forty seven.
1:56:37
Speaker 1: I would probably take the points with Bakersfield in that one.
1:56:41
Speaker 1: You agree, Hell yeah, I considered fading cal State Fullerton
1:56:47
Speaker 1: against cal State Northridge.
1:56:48
Speaker 3: Man.
1:56:48
Speaker 1: Fullerton is coming off a huge win. They went on
1:56:51
Speaker 1: the road and they upset you see San Diego. That
1:56:54
Speaker 1: was a monster win for cal State Fullerton.
1:56:56
Speaker 3: Man.
1:56:56
Speaker 1: You see, San Diego is a huge favorite in this game,
1:56:59
Speaker 1: and Fullerton won. And look at the shooting percentages of
1:57:03
Speaker 1: this game. This is ridiculous. Uh. You see San Diego
1:57:07
Speaker 1: lost the turnover battle seventeen to six. Uh, so that
1:57:11
Speaker 1: obviously threw the game off. That was kind of a fluke.
1:57:13
Speaker 1: They outrebounded Fullerton thirty nine to twenty eight, so you
1:57:18
Speaker 1: see San Diego pretty much dominated the like the most
1:57:23
Speaker 1: predictive stat but then Fullerton also shot fifty percent from
1:57:27
Speaker 1: the field, fifty two percent from three, had six more
1:57:30
Speaker 1: three pointers. Well, you see San Diego was only forty
1:57:33
Speaker 1: percent and twenty six percent respectively. So you gotta think
1:57:37
Speaker 1: there's gonna be some regression for cal State Fullerton here, man,
1:57:40
Speaker 1: am I gonna convince myself to add a play here?
1:57:43
Speaker 1: I forget why I didn't want to play it. They
1:57:44
Speaker 1: have you see Davis next Davis as an alright team,
1:57:47
Speaker 1: it's above them the standings of the very least. But
1:57:49
Speaker 1: I think this is definitely a letdown spot in the
1:57:52
Speaker 1: regression spot for cal State Fullerton. Oh yes, My problem
1:58:00
Speaker 1: was cal State Northridge does have UC San Diego on deck,
1:58:04
Speaker 1: so you get argue it's a little bit of a
1:58:05
Speaker 1: look at it here. Cal State Northridge just beat cal Paly,
1:58:09
Speaker 1: But it wasn't a good game for cal State Northridge.
1:58:11
Speaker 1: They were a pretty big favorite in this game and
1:58:13
Speaker 1: they almost lost to Cal Paula. Cal paul was beating
1:58:16
Speaker 1: them throughout a lot of the second half. Northridge wanted
1:58:20
Speaker 1: to barely getting by them. You know what, I don't know, man,
1:58:25
Speaker 1: this is a the more that I think about this,
1:58:30
Speaker 1: Fullogen's up from a pick them to a pick them
1:58:32
Speaker 1: with juice, So it's basically a pick the winner here.
1:58:36
Speaker 1: What are the team's records look like here? Am I
1:58:38
Speaker 1: gonna add a ninth play here? Man? I mean Northridge
1:58:44
Speaker 1: is ten and seven, and that's the side that I
1:58:46
Speaker 1: want here. They look like the better team, which they
1:58:48
Speaker 1: are the better team, but man, the spot is just
1:58:51
Speaker 1: really bad for cal State Fullerton. I think it is
1:58:55
Speaker 1: a major letdown spot. I don't know should I add
1:58:58
Speaker 1: or should I just stick with my guns here? Sick
1:59:03
Speaker 1: with the other games that I have here? I mean,
1:59:05
Speaker 1: that was just a It was a monster upset the
1:59:08
Speaker 1: cal State Fullerton pulled in that game, though, And the
1:59:12
Speaker 1: numbers like look like there's so much regression coming here.
1:59:16
Speaker 1: Oh God, I'm thinking about it. I'm thinking about it.
1:59:24
Speaker 1: I don't want to take too long here though. Uh
1:59:28
Speaker 1: you know, I'm worried that cal stateon Worth is is
1:59:30
Speaker 1: gonna be looking ahead. A little bit of that last
1:59:32
Speaker 1: game they played was bad. Yeah, let's add it. We'll
1:59:36
Speaker 1: have a ninth play. I dude, my Instagram, Oh my god,
1:59:39
Speaker 1: I don't want to have to do all this Instagram shit,
1:59:42
Speaker 1: but oh my god, hold on, Yeah, I just think
1:59:46
Speaker 1: it's it's I don't know, I like it a little
1:59:49
Speaker 1: bit too much to leave it away, to leave it off.
1:59:53
Speaker 1: We're gonna be on CS north Ridge. Let's see plus
2:00:00
Speaker 1: I guess is what the number is here? A lot
2:00:02
Speaker 1: of the books are kind of screwing you with the
2:00:04
Speaker 1: with the juice here, so money line makes sense as well.
2:00:08
Speaker 1: I don't think you can find it a money line
2:00:10
Speaker 1: Underdog price right now though. So the plus one, yeah,
2:00:15
Speaker 1: is what makes sense here? I guess. And then yeah,
2:00:19
Speaker 1: I think that's what I have to do. Okay, making
2:00:22
Speaker 1: sure I get that in there. All right, I'm gonna
2:00:24
Speaker 1: add it. I'm adding it to the banners right now. Dude,
2:00:28
Speaker 1: so much to get through here, but we're almost done
2:00:31
Speaker 1: at two hours. Holy shit, we'll do CALSA Northridge plus one.
2:00:38
Speaker 1: Let me edit it here. Ah, god, dude, I hate
2:00:44
Speaker 1: stream yards new system here where they default to a
2:00:47
Speaker 1: ten second time er. Then when you have everything up.
2:00:50
Speaker 1: Like when you try to edit one of the banners
2:00:53
Speaker 1: and you have the creative banner up, they scroll into
2:00:55
Speaker 1: each other. It's so bad. If anybody doesn't use a
2:00:58
Speaker 1: stream here, they'll know what I'm talking about. Yes, cal
2:01:00
Speaker 1: State and North Ridges to play there plus one. All right,
2:01:06
Speaker 1: let's get this done. Man. We do have Texas at
2:01:08
Speaker 1: Alabama on ESPN at eight pm. Alabama coming off that
2:01:13
Speaker 1: loss to vandy Man. That was a big game for
2:01:15
Speaker 1: both teams. It was a close game. I think this
2:01:17
Speaker 1: could be a hangover spot for Alabama and it did
2:01:20
Speaker 1: end a four game win stream for them as well.
2:01:23
Speaker 1: They're going up against Texas here. Now. Texas is coming
2:01:27
Speaker 1: off a double digit loss at Tennessee. I don't think
2:01:29
Speaker 1: that game was that close. Yeah, it's a second straight
2:01:32
Speaker 1: road game, but I think you're probably gonna get an
2:01:34
Speaker 1: effort at least out of Texas here. I know Alabama
2:01:37
Speaker 1: doesn't really have a big game up next, I don't think,
2:01:39
Speaker 1: but I think it is at the very least a
2:01:40
Speaker 1: hangover spot for them. Yeah, they only play in Mississippi
2:01:43
Speaker 1: State in nextcell. Missippi State is technically ahead of them
2:01:46
Speaker 1: in the conference. For now, I lean Texas in this
2:01:51
Speaker 1: one is a very high total in this one, though,
2:01:54
Speaker 1: so the points. Taking the points is a little bit
2:01:57
Speaker 1: less tempting when it's a one to seventy six total,
2:02:00
Speaker 1: although it dropped a little bit, but Alabama's down from
2:02:03
Speaker 1: twelve and a half to twelve there. I would take
2:02:05
Speaker 1: the points if I was gonna play it. Molly Miller,
2:02:10
Speaker 1: Arizona State Women's basketball. No, I don't know who she is.
2:02:13
Speaker 1: She hot? What's the deal with? I don't follow women's
2:02:16
Speaker 1: at all except I always see that huge fat chick
2:02:20
Speaker 1: on Iowa State that keeps getting posted all the time,
2:02:24
Speaker 1: Audi Crooks or whatever her name is, Audi, and she's
2:02:27
Speaker 1: as big as an Audi vehicle. San Francisco at Pepperdine.
2:02:31
Speaker 1: San Francisco is coming up a pretty tough game, tough
2:02:34
Speaker 1: loss against Loyle and Mary Mountain, a second straight road
2:02:37
Speaker 1: game going to Pepperdine, and they do have Saint Mary's
2:02:40
Speaker 1: up next. So this does look kind of sandwiche to
2:02:43
Speaker 1: me for San Francisco here, and maybe San Francisco is
2:02:46
Speaker 1: not quite as good as we thought they were early
2:02:49
Speaker 1: in the season. They're not playing that well right now. Pepperdine.
2:02:53
Speaker 1: They just lost pretty bad. They to San Diego and
2:02:55
Speaker 1: I talked about that game when it happened. I like
2:02:57
Speaker 1: San Diego and that one, and I was correct about
2:02:59
Speaker 1: that one. It was not on my card, but Pepperdine,
2:03:03
Speaker 1: they'd played Pacific on the road really close as a
2:03:06
Speaker 1: big underdog, and they had this San Francisco game up next,
2:03:09
Speaker 1: so I thought it was a sandwich spot for that
2:03:12
Speaker 1: for that for Pepperdine in that one, and now they're
2:03:14
Speaker 1: back home now, I think it's kind of a sandwich
2:03:16
Speaker 1: spot for Sar Francisco. So I like Pepperdine in this one.
2:03:21
Speaker 1: San Francisco is down from nine to eight and a half.
2:03:23
Speaker 1: Here the total is one thirty nine, so it's not
2:03:25
Speaker 1: a high total really, So yeah, that's the way I
2:03:27
Speaker 1: would go in that game. Pepperdine would be the way
2:03:30
Speaker 1: I would play that game. But you know, San Francisco
2:03:33
Speaker 1: against Loyal and Marymount, I guess because Loyol and Marymount
2:03:36
Speaker 1: is kind of in the middle of the standings or whatever.
2:03:38
Speaker 1: I'm kind of just not considering that to be like
2:03:41
Speaker 1: a monster game or anything. All Right, what other games
2:03:46
Speaker 1: we want to finish with here? I know I'm skipping
2:03:48
Speaker 1: some of the big conference games. Some of them are
2:03:50
Speaker 1: just kind of uglier games that I don't care as
2:03:52
Speaker 1: much about. You covered or well, what are we talking about? Oh?
2:03:57
Speaker 1: Is she a coach? Oh? All right, I'll look up
2:04:01
Speaker 1: Arizona State's fifteen and one, so they have a good
2:04:03
Speaker 1: women's program. Right now, I'm gonna i'll do a special
2:04:06
Speaker 1: where I fill out the women's bracket when it comes up.
2:04:09
Speaker 1: I think I did last year or two. I usually
2:04:12
Speaker 1: do pretty well in the women's bracket, although last year
2:04:16
Speaker 1: I don't remember if I had the right champion last
2:04:18
Speaker 1: year or not. I definitely did the previous year. I
2:04:20
Speaker 1: think I might have last year or too. You see
2:04:22
Speaker 1: san Diego's that you see Riverside, I think you see
2:04:25
Speaker 1: San Diego is gonna be pissed off. Man. That was
2:04:28
Speaker 1: they got to bounce back from that. I showed you
2:04:30
Speaker 1: the stats and that loss already against Fullerton. There's gonna
2:04:33
Speaker 1: be a lot of regression progression year. You see San
2:04:36
Speaker 1: Diego is gonna play a better game here, man, I
2:04:38
Speaker 1: would not want to be You see Riverside in this one,
2:04:40
Speaker 1: I think they're gonna get drilled in this one. Riverside
2:04:44
Speaker 1: is coming off that game where they played okay as
2:04:46
Speaker 1: an underdog, coming to within one point. I think they
2:04:48
Speaker 1: were an underdog at Bakersfield. I know this is a
2:04:51
Speaker 1: big game against you see San Diego, but you see
2:04:54
Speaker 1: San Diego. I expect a much better performance from them
2:04:57
Speaker 1: out of that last game. It would be use San
2:05:00
Speaker 1: Diego minus. The points are passed for me in this one,
2:05:02
Speaker 1: but they're and I am passing, of course, but they're
2:05:05
Speaker 1: down from ten and a half to nine, so some
2:05:07
Speaker 1: of the early money kind of came in against them
2:05:09
Speaker 1: in that one for whatever reason. Middle Tennessee at New
2:05:15
Speaker 1: Mexico State. Middle Tennessee might be in a bounce back spot.
2:05:17
Speaker 1: Here's some cusa for you. They just lost to a
2:05:20
Speaker 1: pretty ugly UTEP team was at the bottom of the conference.
2:05:24
Speaker 1: Not a good loss for Middle Tennessee there on the road.
2:05:28
Speaker 1: I think they could bounce back from that going to
2:05:30
Speaker 1: New Mexico State. Here. New Mexico State's probably not gonna
2:05:34
Speaker 1: overlook Middle Tennessee, but they do play Liberty next, and
2:05:37
Speaker 1: New Mexico State is coming off beating Western Kentucky, which
2:05:40
Speaker 1: I think is always a fairly satisfying win because they've
2:05:43
Speaker 1: been a decent team for a while. So I would
2:05:45
Speaker 1: take the points with Middle Tennessee. If I was gonna
2:05:48
Speaker 1: play that one. It's a three and a half spread
2:05:50
Speaker 1: on that one. With New Mexico State laying the points.
2:05:53
Speaker 1: In that one, I would take the points with Middle
2:05:55
Speaker 1: Tennessee if I was gonna play that one, though, and
2:05:59
Speaker 1: then see network as Mississippi State of Kentucky. What do
2:06:02
Speaker 1: we do with Kentucky? Man, Mississippi State just beat Ou Oklahoma,
2:06:06
Speaker 1: but I had pretty good margin there. They go on
2:06:09
Speaker 1: the road to Kentucky, but Kentucky's really struggling, man, So
2:06:13
Speaker 1: it's possible Mississippi State overlooks them because they play Alabama next.
2:06:18
Speaker 1: So I kind of like Kentucky in the spot. They
2:06:21
Speaker 1: gotta right the ship here.
2:06:22
Speaker 3: Man.
2:06:23
Speaker 1: They just lost as a double digit favorite and we
2:06:25
Speaker 1: got caught, well we got caught, I don't know, but
2:06:27
Speaker 1: we lost the game. We lost a play on that one.
2:06:31
Speaker 1: I think they gotta bounce back. Man. He loses a
2:06:33
Speaker 1: double digit favorite at home. That's not good. So this game,
2:06:37
Speaker 1: I think I would lean to Kentucky In this one.
2:06:40
Speaker 1: They're laying eleven and a half points now, up from nine,
2:06:43
Speaker 1: and it's another one of those games where it's a
2:06:46
Speaker 1: misleading line. I know you've lost a little bit of
2:06:48
Speaker 1: value on this, but I could only lay the points here.
2:06:51
Speaker 1: But Mississippi State has the better looking record, So again,
2:06:55
Speaker 1: the public is gonna see this and probably think, holy crap,
2:06:58
Speaker 1: like there's a ton of value getting here. But again,
2:07:01
Speaker 1: the oddsmakers are lining it this way for a reason.
2:07:03
Speaker 1: They're telling you Kentucky is the way way better team
2:07:06
Speaker 1: power ratings wise. So that's what we got going on
2:07:10
Speaker 1: in that game. Missouri State and New Mexico State. Interesting
2:07:17
Speaker 1: we're talking about men's now is that men's basketball? Their
2:07:23
Speaker 1: players are talented? All right? All right? What else do
2:07:26
Speaker 1: we have here? Utah State and Boise State. It's on
2:07:30
Speaker 1: CBS FIRS. This is a good one, man. These are
2:07:32
Speaker 1: probably the top two teams in the Mountain West. This
2:07:35
Speaker 1: is a good game. And I do not have a
2:07:37
Speaker 1: play on this one. I don't believe. But yeah, I
2:07:39
Speaker 1: don't think I do. But Utah State, they're coming out
2:07:42
Speaker 1: of an easy win over air Force. They facing easy
2:07:44
Speaker 1: conference schedule so far. Man, So even though yeah, their
2:07:47
Speaker 1: power raid is the best team in the conference, they
2:07:49
Speaker 1: got to step up a little bit in class to
2:07:51
Speaker 1: face Boise here. Now, Man, after they face Colorado State,
2:07:54
Speaker 1: Fresno State, San Jose State and Air Force. Those are
2:07:57
Speaker 1: a lot of the drags for the most part of
2:07:59
Speaker 1: them out and West. Now they're on the road at Boise.
2:08:02
Speaker 1: Maybe not an easy game for them matter though they
2:08:05
Speaker 1: should get up for the game. But I think Boise
2:08:08
Speaker 1: is going to be more up for it. And there
2:08:09
Speaker 1: we faded Boise in their last game because they were
2:08:11
Speaker 1: coming off a grueling triple overtime game against San Diego State.
2:08:15
Speaker 1: That was a huge game and they had Utah State
2:08:17
Speaker 1: on deck. So we got Grand Canyon right the other
2:08:20
Speaker 1: day and it was a bad game for Boise State.
2:08:23
Speaker 1: Grand Canyon won by seventeen is eight and a half
2:08:25
Speaker 1: point dogs in that one. So you gotta think Boise
2:08:29
Speaker 1: State's going to be in a better spot here to
2:08:31
Speaker 1: bounce back after that pretty bad performance. So I prefer
2:08:35
Speaker 1: Boise State in this game. Utah State's then from one
2:08:38
Speaker 1: and a half to one here. I believe Utah State
2:08:41
Speaker 1: likes to play fast too. I believe this is a
2:08:43
Speaker 1: tempo mismatched type of game or tempo collision if you
2:08:47
Speaker 1: want to call it that. Utah State is in the
2:08:50
Speaker 1: top third and tempo at least, and Boise plays quite slow.
2:08:53
Speaker 1: They're in like the bottom third, so Boise, we'll try
2:08:56
Speaker 1: to slow this thing down. And I believe they're the
2:08:59
Speaker 1: better defenses. Well, yeah, it's not by much though. Utah
2:09:01
Speaker 1: State some more balanced team, but you're getting the slightly
2:09:04
Speaker 1: better deepfense and Boise as well at home getting a
2:09:07
Speaker 1: point or so there. Men's yeah, dudes, rock man, dudes.
2:09:14
Speaker 1: Rock BYU is at Utah, of course, both these are
2:09:17
Speaker 1: Utah teams. Ten PM. We're getting into the real degenerate hours,
2:09:20
Speaker 1: both on the show here and the games that we're
2:09:23
Speaker 1: talking about. BYU coming up an easy win over Arizona State.
2:09:27
Speaker 1: Nothing to really see there going to Utah. Is it
2:09:29
Speaker 1: possible they overlook Utah because they got TCU and then
2:09:32
Speaker 1: Texas Tech on deck. I don't know. I mean TCU
2:09:35
Speaker 1: hasn't been that great either, so I don't really know
2:09:38
Speaker 1: if it's that bad of a spot for BYU. Utah
2:09:41
Speaker 1: probably is going to be the more focused team though.
2:09:45
Speaker 1: I would guess though, just because they're the little brother
2:09:48
Speaker 1: now in the state of Utah. BYU has had the
2:09:50
Speaker 1: upper hand for quite a while now, so I expect
2:09:53
Speaker 1: Utah to show up. Utah is coming up that double
2:09:55
Speaker 1: digit loss at Colorado. I would probably take the points,
2:10:00
Speaker 1: but man, it is ugly and it's a high total
2:10:02
Speaker 1: because I think both teams play pretty fast by use
2:10:05
Speaker 1: a thirteen point favorite, the totals one sixty five lean
2:10:09
Speaker 1: towards taking the points, but I don't love it. And
2:10:11
Speaker 1: ken Bom is Utah outside of the top one hundred
2:10:14
Speaker 1: as well. They play somewhat fast and the faster third
2:10:17
Speaker 1: BYU I think does play faster, yeah, by use forty
2:10:21
Speaker 1: eight than tempo, but by use a legit team like
2:10:25
Speaker 1: ken Bom has them at number ten in the country,
2:10:27
Speaker 1: so their ranking is not far off. We still have
2:10:29
Speaker 1: not gotten to my two plays, I know, but we're
2:10:31
Speaker 1: gonna do them right now. Although I think I might
2:10:34
Speaker 1: talk about all four of these remaining games in the
2:10:37
Speaker 1: Mountain West and West Coast Conference because they're all pretty
2:10:40
Speaker 1: good ones. Let me see what am I remaining to here.
2:10:44
Speaker 1: I gotta make sure I know what they are. Oh shit,
2:10:49
Speaker 1: I think I skipped one. My apologies. I'm pretty sure
2:10:52
Speaker 1: actually I skipped one. I'm not gonna talk about the
2:10:54
Speaker 1: Fresno game, even though it's on CBS Sports. That's a
2:10:57
Speaker 1: That game sucks. Where's the other game? How did I
2:11:00
Speaker 1: miss it? My apologies? Guys. You know how I talked
2:11:04
Speaker 1: about Grand Canyon pulling off that big win for Boise State. Well,
2:11:08
Speaker 1: we're gonna grab San Jose State. We're gonna fade Grand
2:11:11
Speaker 1: Canyon off of that. A lot of times. I'll fade
2:11:13
Speaker 1: a team that I played on if I did it
2:11:15
Speaker 1: with success. Man, So I'm i zig zag myself. Basically,
2:11:20
Speaker 1: we're gonna get let me see here, Grand Canyon, where
2:11:25
Speaker 1: are they at? My mistake, I'm looking. I'm looking at
2:11:27
Speaker 1: the at Action Network here. My apologies. I'm in a
2:11:31
Speaker 1: different window here, so I'm just basically talking to myself.
2:11:34
Speaker 1: I apologize. Yes, we can find sixteen and a half
2:11:38
Speaker 1: actually with reduced juice at some places, so that looks
2:11:41
Speaker 1: like the best number right now on San Jose State.
2:11:46
Speaker 1: That's what we're gonna do. I know they're an ugly team,
2:11:48
Speaker 1: for sure. Grand Canyon is kind of ugly too, though,
2:11:52
Speaker 1: let's add this one in San Jose State plus sixteen
2:11:56
Speaker 1: and a half is the play. I know. We got
2:12:00
Speaker 1: a ton of plays here, man. That's yeah, way more
2:12:04
Speaker 1: than I had last week. But we're gonna fade Grand Canyon. Man,
2:12:06
Speaker 1: Grant Canyon just pulled off. This is one of one
2:12:09
Speaker 1: of the better ones. I think Grant Canyons pulled off
2:12:11
Speaker 1: that big upset at Boise State. Man, that was a
2:12:13
Speaker 1: big win, especially for Grand Canyon being new to the
2:12:17
Speaker 1: Mountain West. They got two Mountain West wins already, but
2:12:20
Speaker 1: they beat Wyoming and what was the other one? Where
2:12:24
Speaker 1: is the other one? Who else did they beat? Where
2:12:26
Speaker 1: the fuck is it? But wait, how are they too?
2:12:30
Speaker 1: Oh right? They be? What am I saying? They beat boys?
2:12:32
Speaker 1: Of course? So yeah, the other win that they had
2:12:34
Speaker 1: was Wyoming. So yeah, this is their like Mountain West
2:12:37
Speaker 1: legitimizer game, even though Wyoming has been decent this year.
2:12:41
Speaker 1: I mean, you beat Boise State, one of the top
2:12:43
Speaker 1: teams in the conference. Yeah, that's a big win. I
2:12:46
Speaker 1: know Boise has dropped down in the standings, but power
2:12:49
Speaker 1: ratings wise, big win. They were up near the top
2:12:51
Speaker 1: of the standings until they took that loss for the
2:12:53
Speaker 1: most part, so huge win. Grand Canyons now kind of
2:12:57
Speaker 1: legitimizing the new conference. They got San Jose State. Here
2:13:00
Speaker 1: are they really gonna pay attention to San Jose State?
2:13:03
Speaker 1: Look who they have up next? Starting in three days
2:13:05
Speaker 1: from now, they gotta go to New Mexico and play
2:13:07
Speaker 1: in the pit and then they play Utah State in
2:13:10
Speaker 1: San Diego State, So they're playing the top three teams
2:13:13
Speaker 1: in the conference right now, all in their next three games.
2:13:17
Speaker 1: So I think it's a sandwich spot for Grand Canyon.
2:13:20
Speaker 1: I think it's bad. We're getting a lot of points
2:13:23
Speaker 1: in San Jose State. Here. San Jose State's coming out
2:13:25
Speaker 1: of an ugly home loss to Fresno. They might bounce
2:13:29
Speaker 1: back from that, and there are other conference losses were
2:13:32
Speaker 1: pretty respectable. Really, I would say, well just because the
2:13:35
Speaker 1: opponents were good, they beat those exact they lost excuse me,
2:13:38
Speaker 1: to those exact three teams I just mentioned New Mexico,
2:13:41
Speaker 1: San Diego State, in Utah State. So San Jose State
2:13:44
Speaker 1: has not had an easy start to conference play. So yeah, coming,
2:13:49
Speaker 1: I mean, they were coming off that string of big games.
2:13:52
Speaker 1: Maybe they just didn't have it for that game against Fresno,
2:13:54
Speaker 1: although I thought they caught Fresno at a good time
2:13:56
Speaker 1: in that game and they still didn't get it. But
2:14:00
Speaker 1: I think San Jose State is gonna show up in
2:14:02
Speaker 1: this one at least with some focus. Here Man, Grand
2:14:05
Speaker 1: Canyon yeather in ken Bumb's top one hundred right now,
2:14:07
Speaker 1: but they don't score that well they're more of a
2:14:09
Speaker 1: defense oriented team and they play pretty slow, so that's
2:14:13
Speaker 1: also not what you want when you're laying a ton
2:14:15
Speaker 1: of points. San Jose State obviously is the worst of
2:14:18
Speaker 1: the two teams. They play really slow as well, so
2:14:21
Speaker 1: it's gonna be a muddy game, I think mental though.
2:14:23
Speaker 1: San Jose State is worse defensively than offensively, so I
2:14:27
Speaker 1: do worry about that. Yeah, Grant Canyon is the better
2:14:29
Speaker 1: team on both sides of the ball, but you can't
2:14:31
Speaker 1: just totally avoid things like that when you see a
2:14:33
Speaker 1: spot that's good. San Jose State has faced of difficult schedule,
2:14:38
Speaker 1: sixty fourth strength of schedule and ken palm, so we're
2:14:42
Speaker 1: gonna take the points of San Jose State there and
2:14:46
Speaker 1: then all right, let's get back to what I was
2:14:48
Speaker 1: gonna talk about here, or actually, my last play is
2:14:52
Speaker 1: the next one up, which is Wyoming against Nevada getting
2:14:55
Speaker 1: into the d jen hours. For sure, my playing this
2:14:59
Speaker 1: one is going to be Wyoming. Let me get it
2:15:01
Speaker 1: into the system here, let me figure out what the
2:15:03
Speaker 1: best number is right now on Wyoming, and then I'll
2:15:07
Speaker 1: be able to relax a little bit before I have
2:15:09
Speaker 1: to do the stupid Instagram videos which is gonna take
2:15:12
Speaker 1: for fucking ever. Wyoming actually not that bad of a
2:15:15
Speaker 1: team this year. Man, Now we can get five and
2:15:17
Speaker 1: a half with Wyoming here against Nevada. Both teams have
2:15:20
Speaker 1: the same record, so I know, you know, the line
2:15:23
Speaker 1: doesn't look that weird or anything like that. Wyoming might
2:15:26
Speaker 1: be a little bit overrated as well, but I like
2:15:29
Speaker 1: Wyoming in this one. The spot I think is bad
2:15:31
Speaker 1: for Nevada. I will show you in a minute. Let
2:15:34
Speaker 1: me get Wyoming in here. It is mountain some Mountain
2:15:38
Speaker 1: West action here in these last two plays, Wyoming, they're
2:15:43
Speaker 1: coming into this game of a beating UNLV, which I
2:15:45
Speaker 1: don't think that's gonna have them hung over or anything
2:15:47
Speaker 1: like that. Are in a letdown spot. Why UNLV has
2:15:49
Speaker 1: not been very good this year. Now they're going to Nevada.
2:15:52
Speaker 1: I know Reno is not an easy place to play,
2:15:54
Speaker 1: but we're getting points here with Wyoming, and I think
2:15:57
Speaker 1: they're gonna show up. I mean, Nevada's up in the
2:16:00
Speaker 1: four in the conference right now, so I don't think
2:16:03
Speaker 1: Wyoming will be overlooking them for San Diego State. But
2:16:06
Speaker 1: also I think Nevada is in a fade spot, and
2:16:08
Speaker 1: that's why we're doing this, they just lost a huge
2:16:11
Speaker 1: win streak. They were on what was what is this
2:16:13
Speaker 1: a seven game win streak. They hadn't lost since they
2:16:16
Speaker 1: lost to Washington way earlier in the season. They had
2:16:20
Speaker 1: that win streak snapped in a close game against San
2:16:23
Speaker 1: Diego State. And this is a game where I think
2:16:24
Speaker 1: we had Nevada in this game and they they lost it.
2:16:28
Speaker 1: For me, man, Nevada looked like they were gonna win
2:16:30
Speaker 1: the game. We had them on the money line and
2:16:32
Speaker 1: they yeah, they they kind of screwed us. But and
2:16:36
Speaker 1: I know Nevada shot horribly in the game, sure, but
2:16:39
Speaker 1: San Diego State did outplay them. They out rebounded them
2:16:43
Speaker 1: thirty eight to thirty one, So I don't know. There
2:16:47
Speaker 1: were some things about over San Jose State did outplay them,
2:16:50
Speaker 1: But really what I'm looking at is this is a
2:16:52
Speaker 1: close game and who we go back? Yeah, Like the
2:16:58
Speaker 1: game went basically all the way to the I'm mad
2:17:01
Speaker 1: because Nevada was winning this game sixteen to four right
2:17:03
Speaker 1: out of the shoot man and fourteen to two, so
2:17:06
Speaker 1: I thought we were gonna get an easy women in Nevada,
2:17:08
Speaker 1: and then they totally lost it. And it was close
2:17:11
Speaker 1: all the way pretty much towards the end, big game
2:17:13
Speaker 1: for Nevada against San Diego State, who is still basically
2:17:19
Speaker 1: part of the class of the Mountain west Man and
2:17:22
Speaker 1: then oh yeah, after this game, who does Nevada play next? Yeah,
2:17:25
Speaker 1: they play Utah State of course, so they have the
2:17:28
Speaker 1: top team in the conference up after this. So it
2:17:30
Speaker 1: is a sandwich spot for Nevada. In my opinion, we're
2:17:34
Speaker 1: gonna grab the points with Wyoming in that one, and
2:17:38
Speaker 1: that's gonna do it for my plays. It looks like
2:17:40
Speaker 1: it's a five point spread right now. The total in
2:17:42
Speaker 1: that one is not high at one forty three, so
2:17:44
Speaker 1: taking the points looks pretty good in that one. I
2:17:47
Speaker 1: might have to do like short Instagram videos for tomorrow,
2:17:50
Speaker 1: just really hit on the situation real real quick. Now. Nevada,
2:17:55
Speaker 1: I mean, they're not ranked that well in ken Bomb
2:17:57
Speaker 1: at eighty first. They're pretty lucky sixty seven in Kent
2:18:01
Speaker 1: Bum's rankings, so they've overperformed according to him. They're slow,
2:18:05
Speaker 1: so again, they're probably gonna be slow in the game
2:18:08
Speaker 1: down here as far as Wyoming is concerned. And again,
2:18:12
Speaker 1: a slow paced team is usually something where you don't
2:18:14
Speaker 1: want them to have them laying points right Wyoming is
2:18:17
Speaker 1: not that far back from Nevada. Man, they're only thirteen
2:18:20
Speaker 1: ranking spots lower. They're not that much worse on either
2:18:23
Speaker 1: side of the ball. In fact, they're actually slightly better
2:18:25
Speaker 1: defensively according to Kent Pom by two ranking spots ninety
2:18:29
Speaker 1: one to eighty nine. So Wyoming is actually technically the
2:18:33
Speaker 1: slightly better defense getting points. And they like to play
2:18:36
Speaker 1: kind of mid tempo, but I think they'll probably get
2:18:39
Speaker 1: engaged in a slow paced game here and I hopefully
2:18:41
Speaker 1: that will be good for taking the points. And yes,
2:18:45
Speaker 1: Nevada has faced the more difficult schedule, but Wyoming is
2:18:47
Speaker 1: actually the less lucky team according to ken Pom, So
2:18:50
Speaker 1: they're not really actually under they're not really overperforming actually
2:18:54
Speaker 1: or whatever. They're not really underrated or yeah, they're not
2:18:59
Speaker 1: really over I'm losing my mind. They're not really overrated
2:19:01
Speaker 1: or anything like that. So they're two hundred and fourteenth
2:19:04
Speaker 1: in the lock Index. So that's what we got going
2:19:07
Speaker 1: on there. And then there was one big game up
2:19:09
Speaker 1: I think that I haven't talked about yet. Ah. Yes,
2:19:13
Speaker 1: actually two of them, Loyal and Marrymount and Santa Clara
2:19:15
Speaker 1: is a pretty big game in the West Coast Conference
2:19:18
Speaker 1: now Loyal and Marrymount coming off a big win over
2:19:20
Speaker 1: San Francisco, although I don't think they're gonna overlook Santa Clara.
2:19:23
Speaker 1: It's just a matter of are they gonna have enough
2:19:26
Speaker 1: in the tank to perform against Santa Clara. Santa Clara
2:19:29
Speaker 1: just lost a win streak, though, and they lost at Gonzaga,
2:19:32
Speaker 1: which was expected. We didn't think they were gonna win
2:19:35
Speaker 1: that game, and the game was pretty out of reach
2:19:37
Speaker 1: after it was close for most of the game. Gonzaga
2:19:40
Speaker 1: kind of just put it away. So it wasn't a
2:19:42
Speaker 1: game where Santa Clara took them to the wire or
2:19:45
Speaker 1: anything close to that, but they did cost them a
2:19:48
Speaker 1: win streak, so sometimes they will be hung over off
2:19:50
Speaker 1: a win streak like that. But to me, I think
2:19:53
Speaker 1: the spot's a little bit worse for Loyal and Merrymount
2:19:56
Speaker 1: coming off that tougher game against a well not tougher opponent,
2:19:59
Speaker 1: but game that was closer against decent opponents in San Francisco.
2:20:04
Speaker 1: Santa Clara is up from ten to twelve here on
2:20:06
Speaker 1: the line, so the money early seems to kind of
2:20:09
Speaker 1: agree with laying it was Santa Clara. That is also
2:20:12
Speaker 1: what my opinion would be, and then to finish it
2:20:14
Speaker 1: off the actual DJEN game at midnight. Of course it's
2:20:18
Speaker 1: in Hawaii. Hawaii hosts the DJEN hours. Man, you see
2:20:22
Speaker 1: Irvine is going out there. You see Irvine, they're actually
2:20:26
Speaker 1: a top the Big West right now. Man, They just
2:20:28
Speaker 1: had kind of a bad performance against Long Beach, though
2:20:31
Speaker 1: they won by ten, and the game was not great.
2:20:36
Speaker 1: I don't think for Irvine. I think Irvine should have
2:20:38
Speaker 1: won this game more easily. It was at home, though
2:20:41
Speaker 1: they did pull away towards the end though. But I expect,
2:20:43
Speaker 1: you see Irvine will be focused going out to Hawaii.
2:20:47
Speaker 1: I mean it is something I think they have to
2:20:48
Speaker 1: do pretty much every year. They have to go to Hawaii,
2:20:50
Speaker 1: so at least they're used to doing it. Hawaii is
2:20:54
Speaker 1: actually traveling back to Hawaii as well, so they're not
2:20:57
Speaker 1: waiting at home here at Hawaii just lost a long
2:21:00
Speaker 1: win streak. Man, Hawaii's been off for a little while
2:21:03
Speaker 1: because these teams usually get a little bit of extra
2:21:04
Speaker 1: rest to travel to Hawaii to and from Hawaii. But
2:21:07
Speaker 1: Hawaii had a seven game win streak I think snapped
2:21:12
Speaker 1: against you See San Diego, and at that time, Hawaii
2:21:15
Speaker 1: and you See San Diego were vying for the top spot.
2:21:18
Speaker 1: Although now you see a Irvine is so it's not
2:21:19
Speaker 1: like Hawaii's gonna overlook you see Irvine. But that was
2:21:23
Speaker 1: a big game against you see San Diego. Man, it
2:21:25
Speaker 1: might have halted Hawaii's momentum a little bit here. So
2:21:29
Speaker 1: I kind of prefer Irvine in this one, coming off
2:21:34
Speaker 1: the easier game. You're getting five and a half points
2:21:36
Speaker 1: with them. Hawaii is the favorite. Hawaii actually might be
2:21:38
Speaker 1: the best team of the Big West right now, power
2:21:41
Speaker 1: ratings wise, because you see San Diego's falling off a
2:21:43
Speaker 1: little bit. Total one point thirty eight still low. I
2:21:47
Speaker 1: would probably take the points in that one. And finally
2:21:50
Speaker 1: that's gonna do it once again. My plays for tomorrow
2:21:55
Speaker 1: are NC State minus the points. This is just college
2:21:58
Speaker 1: basketball too, LSU plus the points, Xavier plus the small
2:22:03
Speaker 1: points spread there, Georgetown plus the points, Houston Christian plus
2:22:08
Speaker 1: the points, Colorado plus the points, Cal State Northridge plus
2:22:13
Speaker 1: the one point, and San Jose State plus the points.
2:22:17
Speaker 1: I know, dude, I know it's a high volume, and yeah,
2:22:20
Speaker 1: I mean it gets to when where you have a
2:22:23
Speaker 1: lot at risk, But yeah, I mean you gotta just
2:22:28
Speaker 1: like hopefully. I mean, it's very rare that you have legit.
2:22:30
Speaker 1: If that you just get massacred, you know. So hopefully
2:22:34
Speaker 1: the volume is not too extreme with eight or nine
2:22:36
Speaker 1: plays here, and of course I'm gonna have more plays
2:22:39
Speaker 1: once I get into the hockey and NBA tomorrow, which
2:22:42
Speaker 1: we'll do tomorrow morning in NFL. Was I don't know
2:22:44
Speaker 1: if I'll have any NFL tomorrow or not, but we'll see.
2:22:46
Speaker 1: That's gonna do it for now. Thank you, sir. Thanks
2:22:49
Speaker 1: everybody for hanging out sticking with me for this long
2:22:51
Speaker 1: ass show. That's gonna do it. Learn it tone on Instagram,
2:22:55
Speaker 1: learn it tone on Twitter, like, subscribe, comment on the
2:22:58
Speaker 1: channel here, of course, listen on audio Spotify, Apple review
2:23:03
Speaker 1: over there. Helps me out covered in you because my
2:23:05
Speaker 1: juke channel on YouTube, Patreon, dot com, sation, learn to
2:23:08
Speaker 1: toad and I'll try to get to some of those
2:23:10
Speaker 1: uke covers eventually.
2:23:11
Speaker 3: I know.
2:23:11
Speaker 1: I put up another one earlier today just because I
2:23:14
Speaker 1: wanted to do it. There was not a request, but
2:23:17
Speaker 1: it's one that I've done before, but I hadn't done
2:23:18
Speaker 1: it recently or I think with the camera setup and whatever.
2:23:23
Speaker 1: So I did that going with the anti war just
2:23:27
Speaker 1: to piss off the the pro War right, because yeah,
2:23:31
Speaker 1: now I get I get lumped in with the leftists again. Man,
2:23:34
Speaker 1: That's just how it is, just because I stay pretty consistent.
2:23:38
Speaker 1: Oh what else? Loser Cast? Of course, check out check
2:23:41
Speaker 1: out the Loser Cast, the comedy podcast that I'm on,
2:23:44
Speaker 1: and I think that's gonna do. And I was on
2:23:46
Speaker 1: IF by Whiskey earlier this week, so you can check
2:23:48
Speaker 1: out that show as well. And of course I did
2:23:49
Speaker 1: have Clint on for Bald where we broke down the
2:23:53
Speaker 1: NFL playoffs and I also did a solo bracket special
2:23:56
Speaker 1: on it, so if you haven't checked those out yet,
2:23:58
Speaker 1: those are up on the YouTube channel and they're on
2:24:01
Speaker 1: the audio as well. So that's gonna do it, man.
2:24:06
Speaker 1: Peace until a few hours from now when I'm lacking
2:24:09
Speaker 1: sleep again in the morning. Peace.
2:24:13
Speaker 3: H