Latest / DEEP INSIGHT / Trump asks Supreme Court to let him curtail mail-in voting
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: The Trump administration is now formally asking the Supreme Court
- 0:03Speaker 1: to let them tighten rules for mail in voting. This
- 0:08Speaker 1: is about an executive order that was signed by the
- 0:11Speaker 1: President earlier this year. It's an order that's been challenged
- 0:15Speaker 1: in the courts by nearly half of the states. All
- 0:18Speaker 1: of this is unfolding with just ninety nine days until
- 0:22Speaker 1: election day. Let's bring in Sana and cheap. Supreme Court
- 0:24Speaker 1: analyist Joan Biscubic Joan, always good to see you. Can
- 0:28Speaker 1: you walk through what this means the timetable here, because
- 0:33Speaker 1: the time crunch is real.
- 0:35Speaker 2: The time crunch is real, as you say, just ninety
- 0:37Speaker 2: nine days, and we know that President Trump is trying
- 0:41Speaker 2: several measures to try to affect what happens in November
- 0:44Speaker 2: in the midterms. This particular action today involves his March
- 0:48Speaker 2: directive that would involve the US Postal System and the
- 0:52Speaker 2: Department of Homeland Security screening state roles. The directive requires
- 0:59Speaker 2: the states to submit lists of eligible voters and then
- 1:03Speaker 2: for those two federal entities to try to screen whether
- 1:07Speaker 2: there are some non citizens who can be poised to vote.
- 1:11Speaker 2: That's his whole theme here is to try to take
- 1:15Speaker 2: non citizens out of the voter pool. As you know,
- 1:19Speaker 2: there are very few non citizens who have been found
- 1:22Speaker 2: to have voted at all. And I'll mention the New
- 1:24Speaker 2: Jersey situation in a few seconds, but really this has
- 1:28Speaker 2: not been a problem that the country has had in
- 1:31Speaker 2: the past. But the president is trying to head off something.
- 1:35Speaker 2: And twenty three Democratic led states have said, look, election
- 1:40Speaker 2: procedures are the domain of the states. This is not
- 1:43Speaker 2: something that the White House should be infringing on. And
- 1:46Speaker 2: so far lower courts have agreed. And what we have
- 1:49Speaker 2: is an order from the US Court of Appeals based
- 1:53Speaker 2: in Boston over the weekend that would halt this policy
- 1:58Speaker 2: going forward, not for state officials to start to keep
- 2:02Speaker 2: using their time to meet this directive. Today, just a
- 2:07Speaker 2: few minutes ago, Casey the Trump administration, the US Solicitor
- 2:10Speaker 2: General representing Donald Trump here, has come to the court saying,
- 2:15Speaker 2: you know, prevent the effect of that order from the
- 2:18Speaker 2: first circuit. Let these procedures go into effect. Nothing's really
- 2:23Speaker 2: happened yet. In fact, that's the government's argument at this point,
- 2:27Speaker 2: is that it's premature to interfere because right now the
- 2:32Speaker 2: federal government is just putting in several regulations to try
- 2:36Speaker 2: to prevent non citizens from voting, and we saw just
- 2:39Speaker 2: you know, in recent days, New Jersey has acknowledged that
- 2:43Speaker 2: some four hundred non non citizens did vote, but that
- 2:47Speaker 2: is just a real outlier situation. This has not been
- 2:51Speaker 2: a problem. So what will probably happen, Casey, is the
- 2:55Speaker 2: Justices will ask for some sort of response from the
- 2:58Speaker 2: Democratic challengers and we'll see if they want to intervene
- 3:02Speaker 2: at this point and effectively force the states to start
- 3:06Speaker 2: to keep to turnover roles and potentially have these procedures
- 3:10Speaker 2: in place for the November election.
- 3:13Speaker 1: Casey, all right, Joan Miscubic reporting Press Jones, thank you
- 3:17Speaker 1: very much. Our panel is also joined now by professor
- 3:20Speaker 1: of constitutional law at Georgetown University Michelle Goodwin. And Michelle
- 3:24Speaker 1: I actually I do want to put this to you
- 3:26Speaker 1: because I mean, you heard Joan walk through kind of
- 3:28Speaker 1: the immediate ramifications of this particular situation. But how unprecedented
- 3:35Speaker 1: is it or is it unprecedented for an administration to
- 3:39Speaker 1: try to make such dramatic changes to the way in
- 3:43Speaker 1: which Americans are allowed to or able to vote, with
- 3:46Speaker 1: such a compressed time frame before they're supposed to do so.
- 3:51Speaker 3: Well, it's great to be on with you and also
- 3:54Speaker 3: my good friend Joanes. So it's absolutely unprecedented. We've never
- 3:58Speaker 3: seen an executive order like this Trump order, which Joan
- 4:02Speaker 3: referred to notably in that first Circuit Court of Appeals
- 4:06Speaker 3: which upheld the injunction from a lower court. One of
- 4:09Speaker 3: those three judges was Trump appointed. That court said that
- 4:13Speaker 3: this is null and void just on its face, and
- 4:17Speaker 3: it is because it's extraordinary. We have known and held
- 4:21Speaker 3: for it's been now centuries that the domain of elections
- 4:25Speaker 3: are left two states to control, to monitor, they're responsible
- 4:30Speaker 3: for that. This is not something that is just of
- 4:33Speaker 3: the last year or two of this administration. This is
- 4:37Speaker 3: something that has been fundamental to the United States and
- 4:40Speaker 3: its rule of law and politics. And so what we see,
- 4:43Speaker 3: I think one of the ways of seeing this has
- 4:45Speaker 3: been a longer arc of Donald Trump with suspicion about
- 4:50Speaker 3: US elections. We saw that suspicion in twenty twenty with
- 4:54Speaker 3: more than sixty court challenges by Donald Trump under the
- 4:58Speaker 3: presumption that there was something that was miss in that
- 5:01Speaker 3: election and that he should have prevailed. It's worth noting
- 5:05Speaker 3: that he lost every one of those challenges except for one,
- 5:08Speaker 3: which was not a matter of whether he won or not,
- 5:10Speaker 3: But it was just during COVID to allow for those
- 5:14Speaker 3: who were overseeing those who were handling the elections to
- 5:17Speaker 3: be able to come six feet within those that were
- 5:20Speaker 3: handling it. So it's dead on arrival. But we're not
- 5:23Speaker 3: really sure what might happen with the United States Supreme Court.
- 5:27Speaker 1: Sochihin Hosa, how do you how do you think through this?
- 5:32Speaker 2: Both?
- 5:33Speaker 1: I mean you were at DOJ, but you've also worked
- 5:35Speaker 1: as a democratic operative. What is going on?
- 5:38Speaker 2: Like?
- 5:38Speaker 1: What is the president trying to accomplish here, because they are,
- 5:41Speaker 1: it seems, trying to use the postal service and how
- 5:44Speaker 1: should we put it?
- 5:44Speaker 4: Innovative ways?
- 5:46Speaker 1: Yes, compared to how it's been used in the past.
- 5:48Speaker 5: Yeah, absolutely, innovative ways. It's very clear that he is
- 5:51Speaker 5: trying to limit voting in some kind. Here is what
- 5:54Speaker 5: I would caution the administration and Republicans. If we are
- 5:57Speaker 5: ninety ninety day to the election, this cause total chaos.
- 6:01Speaker 5: There are election officials who are already very very stress
- 6:05Speaker 5: under circumstances. Under stress circumstances, they get threats all of
- 6:09Speaker 5: the time. We may end up having a democratic president
- 6:12Speaker 5: in twenty twenty eight, and the Trump administration wants to
- 6:16Speaker 5: continue to try to meddle elections. There might be a
- 6:19Speaker 5: Democratic administration that then might try to medal with elections too.
- 6:23Speaker 5: My hope is that that doesn't happen. But we can't
- 6:26Speaker 5: start the precedent of whether it's Republican or Democratic presidents,
- 6:32Speaker 5: anyone the federal government meddling in elections when it is
- 6:37Speaker 5: when they do not believe that they're going to win.
- 6:39Speaker 1: This is a state.
- 6:40Speaker 5: These are left to the states, and it's under the Constitution.
- 6:43Speaker 5: And I think that this is setting a very dangerous
- 6:46Speaker 5: precedent overall to make our election system more political based
- 6:51Speaker 5: on one party or another.
- 6:53Speaker 6: Well, I don't disagree on the making our election system
- 6:56Speaker 6: more political. I mean, we really do need to watch
- 6:58Speaker 6: out for that. We have to have as Americans trust
- 7:01Speaker 6: in the system. Problem with that is, and I'll leave
- 7:05Speaker 6: New Jersey to the side, because there were six four
- 7:08Speaker 6: hundred people who voted, six thousand who are eligible to
- 7:11Speaker 6: vote that really weren't eligible to vote. But I'll look
- 7:13Speaker 6: at some of the Republican states that actually participated in
- 7:16Speaker 6: this program and they have found individuals that are registered
- 7:21Speaker 6: to vote that according to the DMV. Because a lot
- 7:24Speaker 6: of states use motor voter is the way that they
- 7:26Speaker 6: do registration in the states now as being non citizens.
- 7:31Speaker 6: So they sent out letters to three thousand plus Alaskans
- 7:34Speaker 6: in the one case that I know about, and they're
- 7:37Speaker 6: following up on that. So there is some Again, these
- 7:40Speaker 6: are small numbers, I will grant you that, but I
- 7:43Speaker 6: don't know that it's absolutely wrong for us to take
- 7:46Speaker 6: a look at the system and go, you know, sometimes
- 7:49Speaker 6: people make mistakes, software has glitches. We saw that New Jersey.
- 7:53Speaker 6: Let's fix it.
- 7:54Speaker 5: Yeah, states should be fixing them, and that's what they're
- 7:55Speaker 5: doing in New Jersey. In other places, we haven't seen
- 7:58Speaker 5: mass voter fraud or people who are registered, who are
- 8:01Speaker 5: registered to vote, actually vote, who are non citizens, so
- 8:04Speaker 5: things like that. But it's up to the states to
- 8:06Speaker 5: do that, not up to the President of the United States.
- 8:09Speaker 3: And lets yeah clear that if we care about American voting,
- 8:15Speaker 3: then we would actually go back to the Voting Rights Act,
- 8:17Speaker 3: that John Lewis Voting Rights Bill. There's a lot to
- 8:20Speaker 3: be said about shoring up American elections, making sure that
- 8:24Speaker 3: Americans can vote. Right now, we have Americans that are
- 8:27Speaker 3: poised to be in lines for five, six seven hours
- 8:31Speaker 3: waiting to vote. We have states that have passed laws
- 8:34Speaker 3: that you cannot even give someone a water or a
- 8:37Speaker 3: sandwich while they're waiting in line for five or six
- 8:40Speaker 3: or seven hours. So of the things that we could
- 8:42Speaker 3: be talking about in terms of more robust American elections
- 8:46Speaker 3: that are fair and equal for all participants, this is
- 8:49Speaker 3: not it. But there certainly is more that we could do.
- 8:52Speaker 1: Well in Christmas hol to Sanderson, I mean, this is
- 8:54Speaker 1: of course a uniquely Trumpian fixation, right. The president has
- 8:58Speaker 1: been fixated on mail and votvoting, I think in no
- 9:00Speaker 1: small part because of the role it played in twenty
- 9:02Speaker 1: twenty during COVID when he lost his election. But I mean,
- 9:07Speaker 1: the New York Times points out that Republicans made huge
- 9:09Speaker 1: gains in mail in voting in twenty twenty four. They
- 9:12Speaker 1: wrote that it eroded a key Democratic advantage in nearly
- 9:15Speaker 1: every state the tracks party registration. The Republican rise in
- 9:18Speaker 1: the use of mail voting was almost always accompanied by
- 9:20Speaker 1: a drop in registered Democrats casting a mail ballot, and
- 9:24Speaker 1: it allowed Republicans to make significant inroads and battleground states
- 9:28Speaker 1: like Pennsylvania, red states like Florida, and blue states like Connecticut.
- 9:31Speaker 4: Yeah, this Florida is a great example of a state
- 9:34Speaker 4: one that counts its ballots extremely quickly. They know seen
- 9:38Speaker 4: a thing or two. But Florida was also a place
- 9:41Speaker 4: where the Florida Republican Party for a long time built
- 9:43Speaker 4: up a massive advantage by figuring out how do you
- 9:46Speaker 4: use mail in balloting and absentee voting to get your
- 9:49Speaker 4: voters registered and created a scenario where Florida became a
- 9:53Speaker 4: reliably red state. So it is not to say that
- 9:56Speaker 4: mail in voting always benefits one party or another. It
- 9:58Speaker 4: is a tool that you can use to figure out
- 10:00Speaker 4: how do I maximize turnout for my side. And what's
- 10:03Speaker 4: really interesting is in an election like twenty twenty four,
- 10:05Speaker 4: for a long time, Democrats had said, you know, the
- 10:07Speaker 4: more people who vote, the better we do, and Donald
- 10:09Speaker 4: Trump turned.
- 10:09Speaker 5: Out on its head.
- 10:10Speaker 4: He found a way to get lower propensity voters to participate,
- 10:14Speaker 4: and that creates exactly what you saw on the security question.
- 10:17Speaker 2: Though.
- 10:17Speaker 4: What's interesting is if you ask voters about something like
- 10:19Speaker 4: voter ID, you find eighty percent say they support voter ID,
- 10:22Speaker 4: but if you ask about mail in voting, you find
- 10:24Speaker 4: about seventy percent say they support mail in voting. A
- 10:26Speaker 4: majority coalition says like, both of these things can be
- 10:30Speaker 4: good things, and we should have a system that has them.
- 10:32Speaker 1: Yeah, fair enough, just very quickly.
- 10:35Speaker 7: What Trump is doing here is the one thing that
- 10:37Speaker 7: Congress will not be able to do. Yes, the same
- 10:39Speaker 7: act is not going to also pass the Senate, but
- 10:41Speaker 7: at least on the House side, Republicans, a majority of
- 10:44Speaker 7: them would be okay with again incentivizing the states, giving
- 10:48Speaker 7: states money to try and figure out voter ID. None
- 10:52Speaker 7: of this mail voting is something that Republicans just do
- 10:55Speaker 7: not want to talk about.
- 10:56Speaker 1: On Kapito for sure,